Latest / Toadstool Sports / Thursday BEST BETS | Light Thursday | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/20/26

Transcript

Thursday BEST BETS | Light Thursday | MLB & WNBA & NFL Preseason | 8/20/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: your checks. The black coffee on the felt man, you
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: look like a mess. Three team Poulette turned the dust
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: in your head. Now you stare at the chips like
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: they made you this man.
• 0:33
  Speaker 2: But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Your name still means something on somebody for show. Put
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: the glass down, baby, look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: No, hold on, hold on nothing.
• 0:54
  Speaker 4: Nice now, hold on, hold on me, but it all.
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: Get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on and stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 5: Now what's up, everybody? It's towed back with you. Toadstool Sports, Thursday,
• 1:33
  Speaker 5: August twentieth We went two and oh on the show yesterday.
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: It could have been more.
• 1:39
  Speaker 5: I think the other games that I liked also were
• 1:42
  Speaker 5: not It would have been three to zero to one
• 1:44
  Speaker 5: if we went with all four of the plays. But
• 1:46
  Speaker 5: I'm happy with the two and oh. Seattle got themselves
• 1:49
  Speaker 5: up to a seven and nothing lead. I think of
• 1:51
  Speaker 5: the second inning, so like, all right, yeah, we won
• 1:54
  Speaker 5: that one. I mean, let's uh, I guess totally jump
• 1:58
  Speaker 5: the gun there. But there's no way Logan Gilbert's gonna
• 2:01
  Speaker 5: implode that bad and they were winning seven to two
• 2:03
  Speaker 5: at the end of the fifth inning.
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: The bullpen almost blew it.
• 2:07
  Speaker 5: It wound up seven to five, so I guess it
• 2:09
  Speaker 5: was a good call to not include their bullpen there
• 2:14
  Speaker 5: with Washington. It didn't even matter. Washington was I think
• 2:16
  Speaker 5: up three to nothing at the end of five. Maybe
• 2:18
  Speaker 5: it was two nothing, and they won the game six
• 2:21
  Speaker 5: to nothing, so their bullpen didn't even give anything up.
• 2:23
  Speaker 5: But I don't care. We got the win there. Gage
• 2:27
  Speaker 5: Jump did not pitch for the A's, so it wound
• 2:30
  Speaker 5: up being Springs. I kind of forgot about Springs. I mean,
• 2:33
  Speaker 5: he's not the worst pitcher, and they were winning at
• 2:36
  Speaker 5: the end.
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: I think they're winning.
• 2:37
  Speaker 5: By quite a bit, maybe at the end of five,
• 2:39
  Speaker 5: and then they blew the whole game. I'm pretty sure
• 2:42
  Speaker 5: they were winning like five or six to nothing at
• 2:45
  Speaker 5: the end of the fifth, So the A's would have
• 2:46
  Speaker 5: been a winner, and if you played in the Anaheim one, that.
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: Would have been a push. I think it was two
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: to two at the end of the fifth. But whatever.
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: I don't love the board today. I will give out.
• 2:56
  Speaker 5: One baseball play today. It's kind of a weird spot
• 2:59
  Speaker 5: of for a Thursday game. So you might already know
• 3:02
  Speaker 5: which game I'm focusing on here. I don't really have
• 3:04
  Speaker 5: great opinions on baseball today. There are a couple WNBA
• 3:07
  Speaker 5: games that I don't love, and I guess I'll talk
• 3:10
  Speaker 5: about the NFL preseason. But Week two preseason or whatever,
• 3:15
  Speaker 5: I think it starts becoming even kind of less predictable
• 3:18
  Speaker 5: in a way because you don't know when the actual
• 3:20
  Speaker 5: starters might start getting involved. I don't think it's really
• 3:23
  Speaker 5: gonna happen in today's games, but whatever. Alright, baseball, we
• 3:29
  Speaker 5: have Saint Louis and Cincinnati finishing up what is now
• 3:32
  Speaker 5: a five game series because they played a makeup game
• 3:35
  Speaker 5: earlier in the series, a doubleheader, so today they're finishing
• 3:39
  Speaker 5: the series. These teams will split the series to too.
• 3:42
  Speaker 5: It's been a competitive series, divisional series. I expect both
• 3:46
  Speaker 5: teams will continue to show up to try to win.
• 3:49
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 3:50
  Speaker 5: Saint Louis is the somewhat better team, but I don't
• 3:53
  Speaker 5: think either team is a playoff bound or anything like that.
• 3:56
  Speaker 5: Saint Louis used two relief pitchers yesterday. I don't like
• 3:59
  Speaker 5: these bullpens, Sinnati's four. I will say that Saint Louis
• 4:03
  Speaker 5: probably does have the bullpen advantage their twentieth. If you
• 4:06
  Speaker 5: arrange bullpens by whip, Cincinnati is twenty fifth.
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: Neither good, but Saint Louis a little bit better.
• 4:14
  Speaker 5: Both offenses have struggled as well this year, ranging by
• 4:17
  Speaker 5: ops Saint Louis twenty fourth, Cincinnati twenty fifth. So these
• 4:21
  Speaker 5: offenses don't do a whole lot typically, although this is
• 4:23
  Speaker 5: a more hit or friendly park here, but I believe
• 4:26
  Speaker 5: most of these games have been somewhat lower scoring.
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: I think, oh no, actually, we've had.
• 4:30
  Speaker 5: Two unders two overs in this series, so it's been
• 4:33
  Speaker 5: a very even series as far as the results, the sides,
• 4:38
  Speaker 5: and the totals. Mike Numbergreevy is getting the start for
• 4:41
  Speaker 5: Saint Louis. The advanced analytics guys, you know, ripping their
• 4:45
  Speaker 5: hair out or whatever over this guy because they can't
• 4:47
  Speaker 5: figure out why he continues to pitch. Well, he's not bad.
• 4:51
  Speaker 5: A three point four to eighty or a one point
• 4:53
  Speaker 5: two to whip.
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: I mean, the advanced analytics guys.
• 4:56
  Speaker 5: Have a point where he's not a guy that goes
• 4:58
  Speaker 5: out and blows you away, but he he generally has
• 5:00
  Speaker 5: pitched effectively in his career. He's a little bit well,
• 5:04
  Speaker 5: he's not even a little bit worse on the road. Actually,
• 5:06
  Speaker 5: his home road splits are pretty insignificant. His he ray
• 5:09
  Speaker 5: is only slightly higher on the road, but his opponent
• 5:11
  Speaker 5: batting average is actually lower on the road. He pitched
• 5:15
  Speaker 5: well last time out against the Cubs. He's had a
• 5:17
  Speaker 5: decent month of August fifteen to five, strike out walker
• 5:20
  Speaker 5: ratio two point eight. Oney ra faced the Yankees in
• 5:24
  Speaker 5: here and did okay, even though he didn't make it
• 5:26
  Speaker 5: five innings there, was kind of inefficient with his pitches,
• 5:29
  Speaker 5: and then pitched all right against Colorado and then had
• 5:32
  Speaker 5: a nice outing against the Cubs last time on picked
• 5:35
  Speaker 5: up a win in that one. So yeah, he's in
• 5:38
  Speaker 5: all right form right now. And Saint Louis has won
• 5:41
  Speaker 5: his last three starts, which is obviously not too bad.
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: Look at his overall numbers.
• 5:46
  Speaker 5: His hit rate is fine, his walk rate is he
• 5:48
  Speaker 5: doesn't walk anybody really. His strike gout rate is quite
• 5:51
  Speaker 5: low though, and again that's the knock on him as
• 5:54
  Speaker 5: he doesn't strike anybody out, but he really doesn't put
• 5:56
  Speaker 5: that many guys on base either, so that's what he
• 6:00
  Speaker 5: get with him. Pretty low strike up for nine, but
• 6:03
  Speaker 5: strike out walk ratio not too bad because of the
• 6:06
  Speaker 5: low walks, and he does typically do well against Cincinnati.
• 6:09
  Speaker 5: Thirty nine career at bats, they only have a one
• 6:12
  Speaker 5: tozh three average four forty two oh ps against him,
• 6:15
  Speaker 5: four to four strikeout walk ratio though, which is a
• 6:18
  Speaker 5: little bit Unmacgrievy like. Although it's really just a low
• 6:21
  Speaker 5: strikeout rate there, which is kind of like him. But
• 6:24
  Speaker 5: usually he has a better strike out walk ratio. But
• 6:27
  Speaker 5: I think he might pitch all right here. Brady Singer
• 6:30
  Speaker 5: is pitching for Cincinnati. Not a good season for him.
• 6:33
  Speaker 5: Four point six six ERA, one point four to four
• 6:35
  Speaker 5: whip is very ugly. But he does pitch better at home,
• 6:39
  Speaker 5: fairly significantly. Three point six to two homey arras more
• 6:43
  Speaker 5: than two runs better than it is on the road,
• 6:45
  Speaker 5: and his opponent of batting average is a lot lower
• 6:48
  Speaker 5: at home as well, So for whatever reason, he just
• 6:51
  Speaker 5: pitches way better in this stadium. He's been mediocre. He's
• 6:54
  Speaker 5: been all right over the last month, or at least
• 6:57
  Speaker 5: in August, I should say, but his July I actually
• 7:00
  Speaker 5: wasn't too bad either, so he's pitching a little bit
• 7:02
  Speaker 5: better recently. His hit rate is still too high, he
• 7:06
  Speaker 5: lows a lot of home runs, his walk rate is
• 7:08
  Speaker 5: kind of mediocre. Strikeout rate looks somewhat low, So yeah,
• 7:12
  Speaker 5: it's the strikeout walk ratio is not great. Strike out
• 7:16
  Speaker 5: per nine is lower than it has been throughout his career.
• 7:20
  Speaker 5: Not really great indicators there. Numbers against Saint Louis are
• 7:24
  Speaker 5: a little bit all over the place, forty one at
• 7:26
  Speaker 5: bats to forty four average, eight twenty five ops though
• 7:30
  Speaker 5: that's kind of high. He's a lot of three home
• 7:31
  Speaker 5: runs to them, but two of them are Burlison. Ten strikeouts,
• 7:35
  Speaker 5: three walks. Here, I'm gonna lean slightly towards Saint Louis here.
• 7:40
  Speaker 5: I think McGreevy has the upper hand in the pitching matchup.
• 7:43
  Speaker 5: Plus you probably get the better bullpen. You could go
• 7:46
  Speaker 5: first five if you really don't want to rely on
• 7:48
  Speaker 5: their bullpen, or then you might have to pay a
• 7:50
  Speaker 5: bit more for it. Seventy five percent of tickets, ninety
• 7:52
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash on Saint Louis. You might also
• 7:54
  Speaker 5: get a little bit more motivation from them because they
• 7:58
  Speaker 5: might still think that maybe there's a chance at the
• 8:01
  Speaker 5: playoffs or Cincinnati. I don't think he's in that mindset
• 8:04
  Speaker 5: both teams did. I think kind of becomes sellers of
• 8:07
  Speaker 5: the trade deadline, though Saint louis Is it's basically a
• 8:10
  Speaker 5: pickham price here. The money's also indicating towards the under
• 8:15
  Speaker 5: a bit. The totals at nine, and I think I
• 8:17
  Speaker 5: would probably have a lean towards the first five under
• 8:21
  Speaker 5: in this game as well. I would not go full
• 8:23
  Speaker 5: game because the bullpens suck, but I think the starting
• 8:26
  Speaker 5: pitching might be good enough and the hitting might be
• 8:28
  Speaker 5: weak enough that maybe a first five under makes some
• 8:32
  Speaker 5: sense here. But probably I prefer Saint Louis, but I
• 8:36
  Speaker 5: don't want anything to do with it. San Francisco and Cleveland.
• 8:40
  Speaker 5: They're finishing the series. I was correct about that game
• 8:43
  Speaker 5: yesterday to being an under, although the tug boat only
• 8:46
  Speaker 5: pitched two innings yesterday and I don't think he struck
• 8:49
  Speaker 5: anybody out, but I think he had two shutout innings
• 8:52
  Speaker 5: to start the game for San Francisco, and then Adrian
• 8:56
  Speaker 5: Hauser came in. And if you had told me that,
• 8:58
  Speaker 5: I would have been like, Yeah, Cleveland's gonna win that game.
• 9:01
  Speaker 5: And no, they actually didn't. Cleveland scored no runs in
• 9:04
  Speaker 5: the game. Just this is such a bad offense from Cleveland, dude.
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: But these teams have split the series.
• 9:10
  Speaker 5: Cleveland should be the more motivated team here because they're
• 9:13
  Speaker 5: trying to make the playoffs.
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: Still, San Francisco is not.
• 9:18
  Speaker 5: I mean, if Cleveland loses this series, you might have
• 9:21
  Speaker 5: to stick a fork in them. They used three relief
• 9:24
  Speaker 5: pitchers yesterday. Cleveland has been the better of the two
• 9:26
  Speaker 5: bullpens this year. San Francisco only used one though, because
• 9:30
  Speaker 5: they used Howser for most of the time and he's
• 9:33
  Speaker 5: technically technically considered to be.
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: A starter for them.
• 9:36
  Speaker 5: I guess San Francisco's twenty fourth and bullpen Cleveland's seventeenth.
• 9:41
  Speaker 5: Cleveland does have the better bullpen numbers. Cleveland is dead
• 9:44
  Speaker 5: last offensively now. They fell behind Toronto with that atrocious
• 9:48
  Speaker 5: offensive performance yesterday.
• 9:51
  Speaker 2: Yeah, not good. Not good.
• 9:52
  Speaker 5: Even though they added some bats at the trade deadline,
• 9:55
  Speaker 5: this is still a pathetic offense. San Francisco's really isn't
• 9:59
  Speaker 5: that much bad though their rank twenty yet that I
• 10:01
  Speaker 5: think they're being overrated even at that. You know, could
• 10:05
  Speaker 5: be in line for another low scoring game here, possibly.
• 10:08
  Speaker 5: I don't know if I trust these starters enough, but
• 10:10
  Speaker 5: it could be. The odds makers seem to think it
• 10:13
  Speaker 5: will be low scoring. Landon Route is getting the start
• 10:16
  Speaker 5: for the Giants, he's been alright. Four point three to
• 10:19
  Speaker 5: one ERA one point three whip is yeah, I don't know,
• 10:22
  Speaker 5: a little bit high. He's a little bit worse on
• 10:25
  Speaker 5: the road four point three to nine Rody Ra. So
• 10:27
  Speaker 5: he does pitch a little bit better in the Giants
• 10:30
  Speaker 5: pitcher friendly home stadium.
• 10:32
  Speaker 2: His problem is.
• 10:33
  Speaker 5: Very clearly the walks. He walks way too many guys.
• 10:36
  Speaker 5: Fourteen to twelve strike out walk race year this month.
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: You can't do that.
• 10:40
  Speaker 5: He's walking almost one guy an inning this month. Yeah,
• 10:43
  Speaker 5: that's not good. Not going deep into these games. The
• 10:45
  Speaker 5: Giants have lost this last five starts. That's not a
• 10:49
  Speaker 5: good sign. The walks are the huge issue with him.
• 10:52
  Speaker 5: If he wasn't walking guys, I think he'd be a
• 10:53
  Speaker 5: pretty good pitcher. His hit rate is low again, his
• 10:57
  Speaker 5: walk rate is enormous, and his strikeout rate is almost
• 11:00
  Speaker 5: one per inning, which is pretty decent. But his strikeout
• 11:04
  Speaker 5: walker is just way down because of the ridiculous amount
• 11:07
  Speaker 5: of walks. Strike out for nine actually pretty good almost nine.
• 11:11
  Speaker 5: So again, his issue was almost entirely related to his command.
• 11:16
  Speaker 5: Maybe he'll do better here though, because Cleveland is such
• 11:18
  Speaker 5: a bad offense and they only have two guys who
• 11:20
  Speaker 5: have faced him, guys that have been in the National
• 11:23
  Speaker 5: League for a little bit, I think, or actually Adele
• 11:25
  Speaker 5: was on Anaheim, so I don't know, uh, but Cleveland,
• 11:28
  Speaker 5: Adele and Nathaniel Lowe are the only guys who have
• 11:31
  Speaker 5: faced him. Lowe has the only hit, a single. They
• 11:34
  Speaker 5: were combined one for five, often with a strikeout. Not
• 11:37
  Speaker 5: a whole lot to see there, but he will be
• 11:39
  Speaker 5: unfamiliar to Cleveland, so that might be a little bit
• 11:42
  Speaker 5: of an extra edge for him pitching against an offense
• 11:44
  Speaker 5: that hasn't seen him before. Gavin Williams is getting the
• 11:47
  Speaker 5: start for Cleveland. Williams is good man. He's been a
• 11:50
  Speaker 5: really good strikeout pitcher this year. Three point seven four,
• 11:54
  Speaker 5: one point zero eight whip those are good numbers. He's
• 11:57
  Speaker 5: also good at home three point two seven home. Wasn't
• 12:01
  Speaker 5: good last time out though, against San Diego, which is
• 12:04
  Speaker 5: maybe a bit of a red flag, although San Diego
• 12:06
  Speaker 5: has been hitting better since the All Star break. But
• 12:09
  Speaker 5: he gave up five runs to them, four and a
• 12:11
  Speaker 5: third walk. Too many guys had a bad outing. I'm
• 12:16
  Speaker 5: not gonna say Williams is done, though, you know what
• 12:18
  Speaker 5: I mean, Like he was striking out so many guys
• 12:20
  Speaker 5: in the lead up to that, pitching really well in
• 12:22
  Speaker 5: the lead up to that, so I think maybe it's
• 12:25
  Speaker 5: a little bit of an outlier and maybe he bounces back.
• 12:28
  Speaker 5: You don't, I think, have to worry about his innings yet,
• 12:31
  Speaker 5: because he threw one hundred and sixty seven to two
• 12:33
  Speaker 5: thirds innings last year, so he's not one of those
• 12:35
  Speaker 5: guys who's throwing this many innings for the first time,
• 12:38
  Speaker 5: so I don't think that's as much of a concern.
• 12:40
  Speaker 5: He does have a low hit rate, He's hard to hit.
• 12:42
  Speaker 5: His walk rate is kind of mediocre, strikeout rate is
• 12:45
  Speaker 5: very high. Like I said, he strikes out a ton
• 12:47
  Speaker 5: of guys. His home run rate is not really that good,
• 12:51
  Speaker 5: but overall yet good strike his strike out walk ratios
• 12:55
  Speaker 5: better this year than it ever has been. He has
• 12:58
  Speaker 5: actually gotten his walks down quite a bit this year,
• 13:01
  Speaker 5: so that's helped them a lot, and the strike up
• 13:03
  Speaker 5: for nine has actually also gone up, so he's better
• 13:06
  Speaker 5: this year than he ever has been before. His numbers
• 13:09
  Speaker 5: against San Francisco very hard to gauge. Four hitters have
• 13:12
  Speaker 5: face them ten at bats two hundred average, but they
• 13:16
  Speaker 5: do have an eight thirty three ozhops. It's such a
• 13:18
  Speaker 5: small sample size. I don't know what you can really
• 13:21
  Speaker 5: take away from that. A Damis does have a home
• 13:23
  Speaker 5: run off him, and that's the only extra base hit
• 13:26
  Speaker 5: two to two strike out walk ratio. Cleveland should get
• 13:31
  Speaker 5: this win here, man, I think Williams is the better
• 13:33
  Speaker 5: pitcher here. Problem is, everybody kind of knows Cleveland needs
• 13:36
  Speaker 5: to win, and you're paying a lot for it.
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 13:38
  Speaker 5: Cleveland's been a heavy favorite throughout the series. Their minus
• 13:41
  Speaker 5: one ninety here, and given that the total is really low,
• 13:45
  Speaker 5: like basically it's seven, you know, I don't really love
• 13:48
  Speaker 5: the idea of laying a price like that, Like a
• 13:50
  Speaker 5: situation where you basically have to lay a run line
• 13:52
  Speaker 5: with Cleveland if you really want them, and Cleveland can't
• 13:55
  Speaker 5: hit at all and the total is low, it's gonna
• 13:58
  Speaker 5: be tough for.
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: Them to get over that number. Man. But Williams I
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: think should do his part.
• 14:02
  Speaker 5: Nine tickets ninety four percent of the cash on Cleveland.
• 14:07
  Speaker 5: The under might be a way to look in this game.
• 14:09
  Speaker 5: I mean, the total is low, obviously, it's very low.
• 14:12
  Speaker 5: It's low for a reason. The money is slightly indicated
• 14:15
  Speaker 5: towards the over though, But I don't know, man, I mean,
• 14:19
  Speaker 5: I think both pitchers might have a like an like
• 14:22
  Speaker 5: an easier go of it in this game. I don't
• 14:25
  Speaker 5: know if I'd really want to factor in the bullpens though,
• 14:29
  Speaker 5: but if you go first five, you're gonna be looking
• 14:30
  Speaker 5: at about a three and a half, that dreaded number.
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: I don't want to do it, man, I don't want
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: to touch it.
• 14:36
  Speaker 5: It is possible that something goes wrong with at least
• 14:39
  Speaker 5: one of the pictures here. You could do something like
• 14:42
  Speaker 5: you could go San Francisco under their team total or something.
• 14:45
  Speaker 5: If you think Williams will come out there in shred.
• 14:49
  Speaker 5: You might have to worry about Cleveland's bullpen a little
• 14:51
  Speaker 5: bit though, and you'd need San Francisco.
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: To probably score.
• 14:57
  Speaker 5: You probably would need them to score two or less
• 15:00
  Speaker 5: the game though. So it's another one of those situations
• 15:02
  Speaker 5: where it's just I think it's extremely risky to do
• 15:04
  Speaker 5: something like that, so I wouldn't want to do it.
• 15:07
  Speaker 5: It's a very tough game to gauge. I mean, if
• 15:10
  Speaker 5: you're forced me to give a play on that, I
• 15:11
  Speaker 5: guess I would say maybe an under. But yeah, I
• 15:14
  Speaker 5: want nothing to do with it. I think Cleveland should
• 15:17
  Speaker 5: win but the price is just crazy, you know what
• 15:20
  Speaker 5: I mean. I don't think you could come close to
• 15:23
  Speaker 5: laying a price like that. Toronto at Tampa Bay surprisingly
• 15:28
  Speaker 5: high scoring game yesterday.
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay did get the win. That didn't surprise me.
• 15:32
  Speaker 5: But I think Rasmussen was worse yesterday than we thought
• 15:35
  Speaker 5: he would be. I don't know what happened in this game.
• 15:38
  Speaker 5: Let me sing, Yeah, Rasmussen didn't really have it yesterday
• 15:41
  Speaker 5: all those Surezer was even worse. But yeah, I mean
• 15:45
  Speaker 5: I expected Tampa to win. I didn't expect it to
• 15:47
  Speaker 5: be massively high scoring like that. But whatever, these teams
• 15:51
  Speaker 5: will split the series. I do expect both teams to
• 15:53
  Speaker 5: show up here. Tampa is still trying to hang on
• 15:56
  Speaker 5: to the division lead. Toronto trying to play spoiler in
• 15:59
  Speaker 5: a visional match up here, which should motivate them. Tampa
• 16:04
  Speaker 5: Bay four relief pitchers used yesterday. I believe it was
• 16:07
  Speaker 5: an extra ending game two.
• 16:10
  Speaker 2: No, it wasn't. For some reason, it seemed like it was,
• 16:12
  Speaker 2: but I guess it was not.
• 16:14
  Speaker 5: Toronto used a bunch of relief pitchers at these five,
• 16:17
  Speaker 5: but kind of light usage across all of them. Tampa
• 16:20
  Speaker 5: Bay is the higher ranked bullpen at fourth, but their
• 16:24
  Speaker 5: eray is a little bit high and it is higher
• 16:26
  Speaker 5: in than Toronto's. Even though Toronto's whip is higher and
• 16:28
  Speaker 5: they're at sixteenth, you could make the argument Toronto is
• 16:31
  Speaker 5: the better bullpenal though they're a little bit more used
• 16:34
  Speaker 5: I think after yesterday only slightly. Though it's close, Tampa
• 16:39
  Speaker 5: Bay is sixth offensively, that's not very close.
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: Toronto's twenty eighth.
• 16:43
  Speaker 5: Now, congratulations to them, tied with anaheigh, but yeah, Tampa Bay,
• 16:47
  Speaker 5: there's a pretty big gap with them having an offensive edge,
• 16:50
  Speaker 5: but bullpen wise, I don't think there's a big gap.
• 16:54
  Speaker 5: Interesting pitching matchup man Shane Bieber. You're getting Bieber at
• 16:59
  Speaker 5: a bigger underdog price than maybe ever. I mean Bieber,
• 17:04
  Speaker 5: it's just hard to gauge what he is right now
• 17:06
  Speaker 5: because he's trying to come back from injury. He was
• 17:08
  Speaker 5: really good throughout his career before that injury. He's had
• 17:12
  Speaker 5: a second injury actually, because last year he came back
• 17:15
  Speaker 5: from injury after missing I believe an entire season and
• 17:18
  Speaker 5: he pitched well, but then he got injured again and
• 17:21
  Speaker 5: now he's trying to come back from that. His season's
• 17:23
  Speaker 5: been all over the place. He looks really good in
• 17:26
  Speaker 5: some starts, and he looks absolutely terrible in some starts.
• 17:29
  Speaker 5: Four point nine to ninety RA, one point five to
• 17:31
  Speaker 5: six WHIP. Obviously, those numbers are not good. His numbers
• 17:34
  Speaker 5: on the road have been abysmal eight point two seven
• 17:37
  Speaker 5: ROADIRA with a way higher opponent batting average, so you
• 17:41
  Speaker 5: don't really want to back him on the road until
• 17:43
  Speaker 5: further notice. I would say, although one of his last
• 17:45
  Speaker 5: two road outings was actually good against Houston, then he
• 17:49
  Speaker 5: was not good in the ensuing start at Philly, was
• 17:54
  Speaker 5: really good last time out at home against the Yankees, though,
• 17:57
  Speaker 5: So it's like, what are you gonna get out of
• 17:58
  Speaker 5: him here?
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: Man?
• 17:59
  Speaker 5: I mean, I mean, two of his last three starts
• 18:01
  Speaker 5: have been good, but he's also kind of alternating good
• 18:03
  Speaker 5: and bad starts here. So if that was if that's
• 18:06
  Speaker 5: the case, he's that means he's gonna have a bad
• 18:08
  Speaker 5: one here. But I'm not convinced that that's actually gonna happen.
• 18:12
  Speaker 5: He does allow too many hits this year, too many walks.
• 18:15
  Speaker 5: His strikeout rates gonned down a bit, so none of
• 18:17
  Speaker 5: those numbers are good. His strikeout walk ratio straight up
• 18:20
  Speaker 5: for nine at the worst. That they've been in his career. However,
• 18:24
  Speaker 5: it's a small sample size. He's only thirty one, so
• 18:28
  Speaker 5: I think there is a chance that he still bounces
• 18:30
  Speaker 5: back here. Man, I'm hoping for him. You know, his
• 18:33
  Speaker 5: numbers against Tampa Bay overall are very good and in
• 18:36
  Speaker 5: fifty two at bats eleven to two strikeout walk ratio
• 18:39
  Speaker 5: one fifty four average allowed, five to fifty one oh ps.
• 18:42
  Speaker 5: But obviously those numbers are mostly in the past. He
• 18:46
  Speaker 5: faced them once this year. He actually did do really
• 18:48
  Speaker 5: well at home against Tampa Bay. The one time he
• 18:51
  Speaker 5: faced them this year. He went seven innings and allowed
• 18:53
  Speaker 5: one run on three hits. Only three strikeouts though, but
• 18:57
  Speaker 5: no walks, So he is capable of beating Tampa Bay.
• 19:00
  Speaker 5: Although Tampa Bay is good at home, they're much better
• 19:02
  Speaker 5: at home than they are on the road.
• 19:05
  Speaker 2: It's it's a.
• 19:06
  Speaker 5: Tough game to figure out, man. This game really all
• 19:09
  Speaker 5: comes down to Bieber. Like, if he's pitching the way
• 19:12
  Speaker 5: that he's capable of pitching, I think Toronto can definitely
• 19:15
  Speaker 5: win this game. If he's not, then they might get
• 19:19
  Speaker 5: blown out of the building, you know what I mean.
• 19:21
  Speaker 5: I think there's a wide variance here and Tampa Bay's
• 19:23
  Speaker 5: going with Ian Seymour, and I will say that if
• 19:26
  Speaker 5: you're gonna play this game, Tampa Bay might put an
• 19:28
  Speaker 5: opener in front of Seymour because they've done that before.
• 19:31
  Speaker 5: So I think if we're gonna make a play on this,
• 19:33
  Speaker 5: you should pick Bieber must start, but don't pick a
• 19:36
  Speaker 5: starter for Tampa. But it likely will be Seymour, either
• 19:40
  Speaker 5: just from the get go, or they'll put an opener
• 19:42
  Speaker 5: in front of him and then he'll come into the
• 19:43
  Speaker 5: second inning. Seymour has actually been pretty good, a four
• 19:46
  Speaker 5: point one one ERA, one point one to three whip.
• 19:49
  Speaker 5: He's been very good at home three point six to
• 19:51
  Speaker 5: one home ERA has been better at home than on
• 19:53
  Speaker 5: the road.
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: He's in really good form right now.
• 19:56
  Speaker 5: Twenty five to three strikeout walk ratie on eighteen innings
• 19:59
  Speaker 5: in August.
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: That's quite good.
• 20:01
  Speaker 5: He's allowed three or fewer earned runs in every start
• 20:03
  Speaker 5: going all the way back.
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: Into mid July.
• 20:06
  Speaker 5: Basically some of those are shorter outings though, and maybe
• 20:10
  Speaker 5: all of them weren't starts, but he's basically getting a
• 20:13
  Speaker 5: starter's workload. He's got a low hit rate, low walk rate,
• 20:16
  Speaker 5: high strikeout rate. All of those numbers are good across
• 20:19
  Speaker 5: the board. Strike out walk ratio therefore is pretty good
• 20:23
  Speaker 5: strike out for nine, very nice number there as well. Toronto, though,
• 20:27
  Speaker 5: actually hits him well, believe it or not, forty five
• 20:29
  Speaker 5: career at bats, three eleven average, nine h three oh
• 20:33
  Speaker 5: ps eleven to six strikeout walk ratio. So this bad
• 20:37
  Speaker 5: lineup that Toronto has does a lot of damage for
• 20:39
  Speaker 5: whatever reason against Seymour. You know, it's a tough game
• 20:44
  Speaker 5: to gauge because Seymour has the better home road splits.
• 20:48
  Speaker 5: Tampa Bay is much better at home. Tampa Bay is
• 20:51
  Speaker 5: the better team, their favorite for a reason. But there
• 20:54
  Speaker 5: might be some value looking at Toronto here, man, And
• 20:57
  Speaker 5: that's the way I would leave. This is one of
• 20:59
  Speaker 5: my stronger opinions of the day. I considered it putting
• 21:01
  Speaker 5: Toronto on my card. You'd be able to make like
• 21:04
  Speaker 5: a plus one run line out of Toronto, basically, if
• 21:07
  Speaker 5: if you're gonna go full game with it, or you
• 21:09
  Speaker 5: could go first five on it and take Toronto, you know,
• 21:13
  Speaker 5: plus the half run or whatever in the first five,
• 21:16
  Speaker 5: maybe they can hang around in this one. Man, It
• 21:17
  Speaker 5: all depends on Bieber. So I don't really want to
• 21:19
  Speaker 5: do it, but the money seems to agree with Toronto.
• 21:23
  Speaker 5: Seventy nine percent of the tickets and sixty six percent
• 21:25
  Speaker 5: of the cash on Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay opened in
• 21:28
  Speaker 5: the minus one seventies and already dropped down to minus
• 21:30
  Speaker 5: one sixty or so, so real money to me looks
• 21:33
  Speaker 5: like it has come in in Toronto, and it's like,
• 21:36
  Speaker 5: when are you gonna get Bieber?
• 21:37
  Speaker 2: Is this big of an underdog? You know?
• 21:39
  Speaker 5: Some of it has to do with the fact that
• 21:41
  Speaker 5: it seems offense is horrible, but maybe Bieber can pitch
• 21:45
  Speaker 5: well and hang around here. He has the better matchup
• 21:47
  Speaker 5: numbers over Seymour. But again, Bieber's very unpredictable this year,
• 21:51
  Speaker 5: Seymour has been more consistent. I don't really want to
• 21:54
  Speaker 5: fade Seymour in really good form right now. I don't
• 21:56
  Speaker 5: really want to fade Tampa Bay at home unless there's
• 21:59
  Speaker 5: a very good reason to do so, so I'll stay
• 22:02
  Speaker 5: off of it. But I do lean to Toronto in
• 22:04
  Speaker 5: this one. Plus the half run in the first five
• 22:07
  Speaker 5: probably is the better way to play it, so you
• 22:08
  Speaker 5: just avoid their bullpen. It's yeah, I mean, it's not
• 22:13
  Speaker 5: one that I'm that interested in, but I think as
• 22:15
  Speaker 5: far as the games today go, I think that's one
• 22:17
  Speaker 5: of the better looks.
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: Of the day.
• 22:21
  Speaker 5: A's in Kansas City. Kansas City is on the vergeon
• 22:24
  Speaker 5: of a four game sweep. That's how bad the A's are. Man,
• 22:27
  Speaker 5: You're you're gonna go get swept by the Royals? Is
• 22:30
  Speaker 5: that really gonna happen? And the A's blew it yesterday.
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: Their bullpen completely blew it.
• 22:35
  Speaker 5: Like I said, I think they're winning the game six
• 22:37
  Speaker 5: to nothing or something like that, and then they wound
• 22:40
  Speaker 5: up losing nine to seven. I think they gave up
• 22:42
  Speaker 5: seven runs in one of the later innings. So if
• 22:45
  Speaker 5: you did play A's first five, you gotta win with
• 22:47
  Speaker 5: that one. And it was not Gauge Jump. Gauge Jump
• 22:49
  Speaker 5: got pushed back to today. Springs wound up getting the
• 22:52
  Speaker 5: start for the A's yesterday. I think he started or
• 22:55
  Speaker 5: he came in after an opener. I forget. I do
• 22:59
  Speaker 5: like the A's again in this one, though, I mean,
• 23:01
  Speaker 5: do you really like? I mean, I know, it's a
• 23:03
  Speaker 5: lot easier to finish the sweep when you've already won
• 23:06
  Speaker 5: the first three games. But Kansas City might look ahead. Man,
• 23:09
  Speaker 5: they got Detroit next. That's a big series where they
• 23:12
  Speaker 5: get to play a divisional foe and maybe play spoiler
• 23:15
  Speaker 5: to Detroit's weakening playoff chances here.
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: Kansas City might just pack it in. You know, it's
• 23:22
  Speaker 2: an afternoon game.
• 23:23
  Speaker 5: You've already won the series, You're playing a dreadful A's team,
• 23:26
  Speaker 5: You've already shown.
• 23:28
  Speaker 2: That you're the better team out of the two.
• 23:30
  Speaker 5: Kansas City might look ahead, So situationally, I think makes
• 23:33
  Speaker 5: sense to look towards the A's here. I would not
• 23:36
  Speaker 5: do it in the full game because there's no way
• 23:38
  Speaker 5: you can back this league worse bullpen.
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: Their bullpen is gone awful.
• 23:42
  Speaker 5: These four guys yesterday Kansas City used three. Kansas City's
• 23:47
  Speaker 5: bullpen is also very bad, but I think both bullpens
• 23:50
  Speaker 5: are completely unbackable. The A's are twenty ninth, Kansas City
• 23:53
  Speaker 5: thirtieth the whip, but it's only point oh one difference
• 23:57
  Speaker 5: in whip, and the A's era is half a run worse.
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: So yeah, the.
• 24:01
  Speaker 5: A's are the worst bullpen, Kansas City is second worst.
• 24:04
  Speaker 5: The A's do have the better offense. They're fifteenth. Kansas
• 24:07
  Speaker 5: City is twenty first, tie with Texas, although they do
• 24:11
  Speaker 5: hit better at home. Gage Jump is getting the start today,
• 24:14
  Speaker 5: and I think he's the preferable starter here. People are
• 24:17
  Speaker 5: gonna look at this and probably not want anything to
• 24:19
  Speaker 5: do with the A's because they can't win a game.
• 24:21
  Speaker 5: Jumps e ra doesn't look that good at four point five,
• 24:24
  Speaker 5: and it's actually way higher than Dob Knock, who's pitching
• 24:28
  Speaker 5: for Kansas City. But I can tell you just you know,
• 24:32
  Speaker 5: gage Jump is the better pitcher. Like Dob Knock is
• 24:36
  Speaker 5: an older guy that's basically never been able to stick
• 24:38
  Speaker 5: in the league and he doesn't have very good stuff.
• 24:40
  Speaker 5: Gage Jump actually has good stuff and he's really young,
• 24:44
  Speaker 5: so I think he might be a good pitcher, just
• 24:46
  Speaker 5: he doesn't pitch in a good environment.
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: In that as stadium.
• 24:49
  Speaker 5: He does have a one point four or five whip though,
• 24:51
  Speaker 5: so that's a little bit concerning.
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: Along with that four point five era.
• 24:55
  Speaker 5: Jump is way worse in his home stadium though, and
• 24:58
  Speaker 5: he's on the road here where he's a lot better
• 25:01
  Speaker 5: two point six rodier Raim with a much lower opponent
• 25:04
  Speaker 5: batting average. So gage Jump is much more backab along
• 25:07
  Speaker 5: the road, and we did do that early in the season.
• 25:09
  Speaker 5: We picked up some wins during this run of games
• 25:12
  Speaker 5: where he A's had four wins in a row with
• 25:15
  Speaker 5: him on the mound, I think we won at least
• 25:17
  Speaker 5: two of those here around.
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: The show and maybe pushed another one. Jump.
• 25:23
  Speaker 5: You know, the issue with him is the walks, though,
• 25:25
  Speaker 5: like I said, his walk number has been very high recently.
• 25:30
  Speaker 5: The A's has still won three of his last four starts,
• 25:33
  Speaker 5: though two of them against the Red Sox. As I
• 25:35
  Speaker 5: mentioned yesterday, during that stretch where the Red Sox were
• 25:38
  Speaker 5: winning every game, they had that huge stretch where they
• 25:41
  Speaker 5: only had two losses, both of them were against Jump,
• 25:44
  Speaker 5: So do with that info what you want. Jump has
• 25:48
  Speaker 5: a hit rate that's you know, it's around one per inning.
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: It's mediocre. His walk rate is really the main issue
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: with him. That's too high.
• 25:54
  Speaker 5: But he does strike out a lot of guys, so
• 25:56
  Speaker 5: that's a good sign that he gets a lot of strikeouts,
• 25:58
  Speaker 5: but he's got to get that walk number down. The
• 26:01
  Speaker 5: strikeout walk ratio is bad because of the walks. StrEG
• 26:04
  Speaker 5: up for nine is good number though almost ten, so
• 26:07
  Speaker 5: that is good. But again he's not allowing that many
• 26:10
  Speaker 5: runs recently, but he's still walking too many guys. He
• 26:13
  Speaker 5: might do well here though, because he's better on the road,
• 26:15
  Speaker 5: and I know Kansas City is more of a hitter
• 26:17
  Speaker 5: friendly park. Now it's not Sacramento though, so he should
• 26:21
  Speaker 5: do better here in Kansas City. Is not a good
• 26:23
  Speaker 5: offense really, and they haven't seen him before, so I
• 26:25
  Speaker 5: think Jump should pitch well here. He has the unfamiliarity
• 26:29
  Speaker 5: edge against the Royals. Like I said, the Royals are
• 26:32
  Speaker 5: going with Randy dobb Knock here who people are gonna
• 26:35
  Speaker 5: oh my god, one point seven to three era, And
• 26:38
  Speaker 5: I think the public's gonna gravitate towards towards Kansas City
• 26:41
  Speaker 5: here for that reason, he is not anywhere near this
• 26:44
  Speaker 5: good man. I mean, his whip alone tells you this
• 26:47
  Speaker 5: is a very misleading ra one point three whip, and
• 26:50
  Speaker 5: then you start digging into his numbers a little bit more.
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: Well, he's actually not even been that good at home.
• 26:54
  Speaker 5: A three point nine to three HOMI RA, which doesn't
• 26:56
  Speaker 5: seem that bad, but three h seven opponent a bad average,
• 27:00
  Speaker 5: that's bad. He's been better on the road so far,
• 27:04
  Speaker 5: and he's not pitching as well as it looks like.
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: He did have a.
• 27:06
  Speaker 5: Bounce back outing last time against Anaheim, even though they
• 27:09
  Speaker 5: lost that game. He didn't allow any runs in five
• 27:12
  Speaker 5: to two thirds. Anaheim's a very bad offense though, and
• 27:15
  Speaker 5: you look at his overall numbers. The stroke out walk
• 27:18
  Speaker 5: ratio is just really bad. Like he doesn't allow that
• 27:20
  Speaker 5: many hits, which is fine. His walk number on its
• 27:24
  Speaker 5: own isn't that bad, but he also doesn't strike anybody out,
• 27:28
  Speaker 5: and he's getting away with a lot because he gets.
• 27:30
  Speaker 2: A lot of ground balls.
• 27:31
  Speaker 5: But you look at his career numbers, there's a reason
• 27:34
  Speaker 5: why he hasn't pitched that much in the majors, Like
• 27:36
  Speaker 5: he has not posted good career numbers, so it's been
• 27:39
  Speaker 5: kind of surprising that he's been effective at all this year.
• 27:43
  Speaker 5: But his stroke out walk ratio is below two, which
• 27:46
  Speaker 5: is obviously not good. His strikeout per nine is still
• 27:50
  Speaker 5: that's not a good number either, like I said, And
• 27:53
  Speaker 5: the walk rate, like I said, is high enough that
• 27:55
  Speaker 5: the strike out walk ratio is also bad. The A's
• 27:59
  Speaker 5: only have one hitter who faced him, though Jonah him
• 28:01
  Speaker 5: is zero for two against him with no strikeouts, no walks.
• 28:05
  Speaker 5: But Jump has the way higher ceiling here, man, he's
• 28:08
  Speaker 5: the younger, more talented pitcher. A's are in the better
• 28:12
  Speaker 5: situational spot. I would take the A's in the first five,
• 28:15
  Speaker 5: just like I said yesterday. I think this is one
• 28:17
  Speaker 5: of the better looks of the day as well, and
• 28:19
  Speaker 5: the money seems to agree with this. Kansas City is
• 28:22
  Speaker 5: seventy one percent of tickets, only sixty two percent of
• 28:25
  Speaker 5: the cash, so the money is coming and fading the
• 28:28
  Speaker 5: public Kansas City side. They're in the minus one thirties here.
• 28:32
  Speaker 5: It's not gonna be that big of an underdog price.
• 28:34
  Speaker 5: With the A's in the first five. It'll probably be
• 28:36
  Speaker 5: closer to like a pick them, I would guess. But
• 28:39
  Speaker 5: that's the way I would play this is to take
• 28:41
  Speaker 5: the A's in the first five. I think Jump has
• 28:44
  Speaker 5: a significant edge over daub Knock there, plus the motivational edge.
• 28:49
  Speaker 5: Seattle and Milwaukee'd be won with Seattle yesterday. Now these
• 28:52
  Speaker 5: teams have split this series so far. Seattle's in desperation mode, man,
• 28:58
  Speaker 5: like I said yesterday, Milwaukee they're making the playoffs. It's
• 29:01
  Speaker 5: just a matter of whether or not they're gonna have
• 29:03
  Speaker 5: the one seed in the National League or not.
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: Which, yeah, it's something to fight for.
• 29:07
  Speaker 5: But Seattle is fighting for their lives to try to
• 29:10
  Speaker 5: make the playoffs right now, so I think these games
• 29:12
  Speaker 5: are more meaningful to Seattle. Everybody was writing Seattle off
• 29:15
  Speaker 5: after they lost twenty two and nothing in the first game,
• 29:18
  Speaker 5: and you know me, I was like, no, we're gonna
• 29:20
  Speaker 5: actually bet Seattle after that, and it worked out pretty well.
• 29:23
  Speaker 5: They won the game and won more easily in the
• 29:26
  Speaker 5: first five. I don't know if I want to trust
• 29:28
  Speaker 5: their bullpen now. Yesterday, their bullpen came into yesterday rested
• 29:32
  Speaker 5: and they use all their better relievers and they didn't
• 29:34
  Speaker 5: even do that well. But they were able to do
• 29:36
  Speaker 5: well enough to finish the game off and win. But
• 29:39
  Speaker 5: I don't trust Seattle's bullpen. Milwaukee does have the better bullpen,
• 29:43
  Speaker 5: although they did use four guys out of the bullpen
• 29:45
  Speaker 5: as well, but not really their better relief pitchers. So
• 29:48
  Speaker 5: Milwaukee does get the bullpen edge here. Their ranked fifth,
• 29:51
  Speaker 5: but I think they're you could debate they might be
• 29:54
  Speaker 5: like the third best bullpen in baseball at this point.
• 29:57
  Speaker 5: They're a good bullpen. Seattle, who I think I've had
• 30:00
  Speaker 5: a good bullpen because they have a lot of the
• 30:01
  Speaker 5: same guys as last year they ranked twenty first. I
• 30:05
  Speaker 5: don't think they're quite that bad, but they've been a
• 30:07
  Speaker 5: big disappointment, and they've been a huge disappointment offensively. Seattle
• 30:12
  Speaker 5: twenty seventh, although they were able to score some runs
• 30:14
  Speaker 5: yesterday really in that one big inning, but I'll take it.
• 30:18
  Speaker 5: In fact, that was the only inning where they scored.
• 30:20
  Speaker 5: I think, if you're gonna tell me Seattle's only gonna
• 30:23
  Speaker 5: score one inning yesterday, I would have been a little
• 30:25
  Speaker 5: bit worried, but it was a huge inning. Milwaukee is
• 30:30
  Speaker 5: seventh Offensively, Milwaukee is obviously the better offense here.
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: The thing is the motivation. Plus I think Seattle has.
• 30:37
  Speaker 5: The better starting pitcher on the mound again here with
• 30:39
  Speaker 5: George Kirby. I don't trust him as much as I
• 30:43
  Speaker 5: trust Logan Gilbert, though nowhere near as much. Kirby three
• 30:46
  Speaker 5: point eight ninety arra, but his whip is one point
• 30:49
  Speaker 5: three to one, which is a little bit questionable. And
• 30:51
  Speaker 5: he's not as good on the road like most of
• 30:54
  Speaker 5: Seattle's pitchers. He pitches better in Seattle in the pitcher
• 30:57
  Speaker 5: from the environment there four point five to five roady
• 31:00
  Speaker 5: with a three to eighteen opponent of batting average on
• 31:02
  Speaker 5: the road.
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: I don't want to trust that.
• 31:04
  Speaker 5: And his recent performances wasn't good last time out at
• 31:08
  Speaker 5: Houston seven to six strikeout walk ratio this month is
• 31:11
  Speaker 5: quite ugly. He's like not striking anybody out this month,
• 31:15
  Speaker 5: so I don't want to trust him. His last two
• 31:17
  Speaker 5: road starts were both very ugly and one was against Texas,
• 31:21
  Speaker 5: which is not a good sign. So he's not pitching
• 31:23
  Speaker 5: well on the road right now. He's been too hittable
• 31:25
  Speaker 5: on the season. His hit rate is way too high.
• 31:28
  Speaker 5: He doesn't walk many guys. Strikeout rate has gone down
• 31:31
  Speaker 5: this year too, so his strikeout numbers don't really look
• 31:33
  Speaker 5: that good either. Strikeout walk ratio is still pretty good though,
• 31:38
  Speaker 5: because he doesn't walk anybody, but even that number is
• 31:41
  Speaker 5: still at its lowest that it's been.
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: In his career.
• 31:45
  Speaker 5: Like I don't know what happened to Curbing, he was
• 31:47
  Speaker 5: way better two years ago.
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on with him now.
• 31:51
  Speaker 5: This has been his worst season pretty much, and his
• 31:54
  Speaker 5: strikeout per nine is also way down, so I don't
• 31:58
  Speaker 5: know what's happened to him. But his strikeout rate has
• 32:01
  Speaker 5: just completely dwindled, even though he's not an old man.
• 32:04
  Speaker 5: His numbers overall against Milwaukee are good though, in thirty
• 32:07
  Speaker 5: five at bats two hundred average five to seventy one
• 32:09
  Speaker 5: ops five, zero strikeout walk ratio, so maybe he's backable here.
• 32:15
  Speaker 5: Milwaukee does not have one of their better starters on
• 32:17
  Speaker 5: the mound here they have Robert Gasser going. Although Gasser
• 32:22
  Speaker 5: he's not awful four point five four ERA, one point
• 32:25
  Speaker 5: two to four WHIP. He's good at home three point
• 32:28
  Speaker 5: four to seven homey RA, so he has the better
• 32:30
  Speaker 5: of the home road splits. And he's in better form
• 32:33
  Speaker 5: than Kirby is right now. He's coming off a nice
• 32:35
  Speaker 5: outing at the Dodgers where he held him to three
• 32:38
  Speaker 5: runs in six and a third inning. He's had seven
• 32:40
  Speaker 5: strikeouts one walk. That's pretty good, good strikeout walk race
• 32:44
  Speaker 5: here this month. He hasn't had a bad outing since
• 32:47
  Speaker 5: he had to pitch in Pittsburgh on July twelve, which
• 32:49
  Speaker 5: is kind of a difficult task to have to face.
• 32:53
  Speaker 5: And his last two outings the only two outings really
• 32:56
  Speaker 5: that were really bad this season, at least once the
• 33:00
  Speaker 5: season got going, like starting at early June, they were
• 33:03
  Speaker 5: in bad pitching environments. One was against Pittsburgh in Pittsburgh
• 33:07
  Speaker 5: and they hit really well at home. The other was
• 33:09
  Speaker 5: in the A's stadium, So I'm willing to give him
• 33:11
  Speaker 5: a pass a little bit on those. His hit rate
• 33:14
  Speaker 5: is around one per inning, though, which is mediocre. He
• 33:16
  Speaker 5: doesn't walk anybody though, and he strikes out an okay
• 33:19
  Speaker 5: amount of guys, so he has good command numbers to
• 33:22
  Speaker 5: strike out.
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: Walk ratio is pretty good. Streke out per nine is
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: also not bad.
• 33:26
  Speaker 5: He's actually having his best season so far, but it
• 33:30
  Speaker 5: is It's the most that he's pitched ever in his
• 33:33
  Speaker 5: career so far, though, and it still isn't even that
• 33:35
  Speaker 5: many innings. He might have a little bit of an
• 33:37
  Speaker 5: edge here because Seattle hasn't seen him before, so Gasser
• 33:42
  Speaker 5: might due okay here as well. The under I think
• 33:45
  Speaker 5: is maybe in play in this game. I still I
• 33:49
  Speaker 5: kind of still lead Seattle, but the money doesn't agree
• 33:51
  Speaker 5: with that.
• 33:51
  Speaker 2: Fifty percent of.
• 33:52
  Speaker 5: Tickets seventy six percent of the cash on Milwaukee. Like
• 33:57
  Speaker 5: I said, Gasser is in better form, even though I
• 33:59
  Speaker 5: think you can make the argument Kirby's the better overall pitcher,
• 34:02
  Speaker 5: but I worry about his road numbers. The home road
• 34:04
  Speaker 5: splits do favor Milwaukee. Milwaukee's around minus one twenty seven
• 34:10
  Speaker 5: year on the price, and they're getting the money. Fifty
• 34:13
  Speaker 5: seven percent of tickets seventy six percent of the.
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: Cash on Milwaukee.
• 34:18
  Speaker 5: Again, under might be worth a consideration, but the money
• 34:21
  Speaker 5: doesn't look like it agrees with that. Either sixty seven
• 34:23
  Speaker 5: percent of tickets, ninety four percent of the cash on
• 34:25
  Speaker 5: the over money coming out of the over the totals eight.
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: You could limit it to the first five.
• 34:30
  Speaker 5: I mean, maybe that is what I would do, because
• 34:32
  Speaker 5: the Seattle bullpen, I don't trust them.
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: I trust Milwaukee's but not Seattle's. First five.
• 34:39
  Speaker 5: You're probably looking at about a four and a half.
• 34:41
  Speaker 5: Maybe that's not a bad number in the first five.
• 34:44
  Speaker 5: Both starting pitchers might be able to hold up as
• 34:46
  Speaker 5: far as getting that under in the first five. So
• 34:49
  Speaker 5: maybe that's the way that I would lean in that game.
• 34:51
  Speaker 5: No real strong opinion there though. Next game up is
• 34:55
  Speaker 5: going to be my actual play because I think it's
• 34:57
  Speaker 5: kind of a weird situation and I think we do
• 34:59
  Speaker 5: get the better pitcher and the better team in a
• 35:02
  Speaker 5: spot where I think they're gonna show up. It looks
• 35:09
  Speaker 5: too easy, but I think the money's agreeing with me,
• 35:11
  Speaker 5: and I think we're getting a little bit of value
• 35:13
  Speaker 5: on the Atlanta Braves. There you go, Garrett, that's my
• 35:16
  Speaker 5: one play of the day. We're gonna play the Braves,
• 35:18
  Speaker 5: even if it does look too easy. This is against
• 35:21
  Speaker 5: the White Sox. This is I believe this is a
• 35:23
  Speaker 5: makeup game. I don't know what the deal is here
• 35:25
  Speaker 5: because these teams are playing a new series starting tomorrow
• 35:29
  Speaker 5: and Atlanta is playing Milwaukee but tomorrow. But I don't
• 35:32
  Speaker 5: think Atlanta is going to overlook this game because Atlanta's
• 35:35
  Speaker 5: lost three games in a row and they've lost five
• 35:37
  Speaker 5: of six. They're coming off getting swept by the Twins, dude,
• 35:40
  Speaker 5: I mean, that is just.
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: Some ugly stuff. So I think they're gonna bounce back.
• 35:44
  Speaker 5: And they're only traveling from Minnesota to Chicago here, not
• 35:48
  Speaker 5: a bad travel spot. I think they're gonna be in
• 35:49
  Speaker 5: bounced back mode.
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: It'll be good for them. Just get the hell out
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: of Minnesota.
• 35:53
  Speaker 5: And remember they did face two starry pitchers that had
• 35:56
  Speaker 5: good home splits in that series. And yeah, I mean Atlanta,
• 36:02
  Speaker 5: they're starting pitching rotation kind of has some issues here, man,
• 36:05
  Speaker 5: But I think they do have an edge in the
• 36:06
  Speaker 5: starting pitching in this one, even though they are actually
• 36:08
  Speaker 5: facing another starter here that does have better home road splits,
• 36:12
  Speaker 5: better home splits, but I'm gonna.
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: Fade him here anyway.
• 36:16
  Speaker 5: And it's a pitcher that I faded last time he
• 36:18
  Speaker 5: pitched and it wound up being a loss.
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: But I'm willing to.
• 36:21
  Speaker 5: Fade him again here, Man, I like the spot for Atlanta.
• 36:24
  Speaker 5: I think they're gonna be in a bounce back spot.
• 36:25
  Speaker 5: I mean, you're talking about one of the better teams
• 36:27
  Speaker 5: in baseball here in a situational spot where they should
• 36:31
  Speaker 5: show up. The White Sox. They're coming off a huge
• 36:35
  Speaker 5: series against the Cobs, a big Chicago series, and yes,
• 36:39
  Speaker 5: I understand they're staying in Chicago, so it's not really
• 36:43
  Speaker 5: a return home spot. They were just in Detroit. They
• 36:45
  Speaker 5: swept Detroit and then they played the Cubs. But what
• 36:48
  Speaker 5: I'm saying is those are two huge series, right Like
• 36:51
  Speaker 5: sweeping the Tigers was a huge deal because it gave
• 36:53
  Speaker 5: the White Sox a big lead in the Al Central,
• 36:56
  Speaker 5: and then they had their huge rivalry series against the Cubs.
• 37:00
  Speaker 5: So I think it's a bad spot. Even though they're
• 37:02
  Speaker 5: not returning home. They're just staying in Chicago, so they're
• 37:05
  Speaker 5: already home. But I think it's a bad spot for
• 37:08
  Speaker 5: them anyway. I think it might be a letdown spot,
• 37:10
  Speaker 5: even though I know it is the Braves coming in,
• 37:12
  Speaker 5: but I think this series might mean a little bit
• 37:14
  Speaker 5: less to them than these previous two series did. And
• 37:17
  Speaker 5: the Braves, I think are in a spot where they're
• 37:19
  Speaker 5: gonna come out with some focus here, and you're gonna
• 37:21
  Speaker 5: get the better team in a focused spot with I
• 37:24
  Speaker 5: think the better starting pitcher on the mound.
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: Two.
• 37:27
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I think we're gonna go with it man with
• 37:29
  Speaker 5: Atlanta here, we also get the bullpen edge, so that's
• 37:31
  Speaker 5: why I'm leaving it as a full game play.
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: I'll trust Atlanta's bullpen.
• 37:35
  Speaker 5: Even though they used four guys yesterday, I'm okay with
• 37:39
  Speaker 5: going with their bullpen over the White Sox. White Sox
• 37:42
  Speaker 5: only used two, but they had some heavy usage a
• 37:44
  Speaker 5: couple of days before that, and the Braves are still
• 37:47
  Speaker 5: one of the better bullpens in baseball. They're still ranked
• 37:49
  Speaker 5: third and whip although I think maybe they're not quite
• 37:54
  Speaker 5: that good, but they're a good bullpen. Nonetheless, White Sox
• 37:57
  Speaker 5: are a mediocre bullpen at fifteenth, but I think we
• 38:00
  Speaker 5: could still roll with the full game here on this one.
• 38:03
  Speaker 5: Braves are thirteenth in offense, have actually fallen behind the
• 38:06
  Speaker 5: White Sox or at eighth, but the Braves are definitely
• 38:09
  Speaker 5: capable of hitting, and they're actually better offensively on the road,
• 38:12
  Speaker 5: so I think Atlanta's offense could start breaking out again.
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 38:16
  Speaker 5: They're not a bad offense, and we're gonna back Grant
• 38:18
  Speaker 5: Homes here. Even though I don't think he's that good,
• 38:21
  Speaker 5: but he's decent enough here in my opinion. A three
• 38:25
  Speaker 5: point eight two ERA one point three to five whip,
• 38:27
  Speaker 5: I know, is not that good, but he's good on
• 38:29
  Speaker 5: the road three point zero nine road e ray.
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: Last year he was better at home.
• 38:34
  Speaker 5: I don't really get it, but this year he's been
• 38:36
  Speaker 5: better on the road, so I'll roll with that. Two
• 38:38
  Speaker 5: eighteen upon a batting average on the road as well.
• 38:40
  Speaker 5: His numbers are just better on the road. That's the
• 38:43
  Speaker 5: way that it is. He is coming off a bad
• 38:45
  Speaker 5: outing against Arizona, but he was good in the prior
• 38:48
  Speaker 5: to outings, including one against the Yankees on the road,
• 38:52
  Speaker 5: So his last couple of road outings have actually been
• 38:54
  Speaker 5: pretty good. Some of them have been against good offenses recently,
• 38:58
  Speaker 5: and he's still done well. So he's pitching better on
• 39:00
  Speaker 5: the road.
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: His walks are a little bit of a concern here,
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: but that's just the way that it is.
• 39:05
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 39:06
  Speaker 5: I understand he doesn't have a good strike out walk ratio.
• 39:08
  Speaker 5: I know he doesn't allow that many hits, issues too
• 39:12
  Speaker 5: many walks and he doesn't strike out enough guys, so yeah,
• 39:16
  Speaker 5: his strikeout walk ratio is bad, but I'm still willing
• 39:19
  Speaker 5: to back him in this spot and against the pitcher
• 39:22
  Speaker 5: on the other side here. I know his strike up
• 39:24
  Speaker 5: for nine has gone down this year from where it
• 39:26
  Speaker 5: was as well, but whatever, still backing him here. He's
• 39:31
  Speaker 5: been decent enough against the White Sox in my opinion,
• 39:35
  Speaker 5: they have twenty one at bats against him, they only
• 39:37
  Speaker 5: have a one to ninety batting average against him seven
• 39:39
  Speaker 5: to sixty eight ops. It is above that seven to
• 39:42
  Speaker 5: fifty threshold. It's not like exorbitantly high, though they do
• 39:46
  Speaker 5: have two of them runs off and from Doyle and Vargas.
• 39:49
  Speaker 5: But I think Holmes is the better pitcher here in
• 39:51
  Speaker 5: this game over Anthony Kay, who I just really think
• 39:55
  Speaker 5: is overperformed in this year. Kay kind of has similar
• 39:58
  Speaker 5: looking numbers to Holmes in Away four point zero one
• 40:01
  Speaker 5: to Array one point three to four whip.
• 40:04
  Speaker 6: Oh.
• 40:04
  Speaker 5: By the way, when a guy named Holmes comes into Chicago,
• 40:08
  Speaker 5: usually he winds up killing. If people get my serial
• 40:13
  Speaker 5: killer reference there with h H. Holmes, look it up
• 40:17
  Speaker 5: or don't because you might be terrified by what you find.
• 40:21
  Speaker 5: Anthony Kay, I know He's been better at home three
• 40:23
  Speaker 5: point two two home hee Arral, though his opponent batting
• 40:26
  Speaker 5: average is really kind of mediocre.
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: Both at home and on the road. He's just been
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: very mediocre.
• 40:33
  Speaker 5: I mean, that's the way that it is. He doesn't
• 40:34
  Speaker 5: really strike that many guys out either, though. Yes, the
• 40:36
  Speaker 5: White Socks have won five his last six games, including
• 40:39
  Speaker 5: the woe where he tried to fade him against Detroit
• 40:42
  Speaker 5: and Detroit lost the game by one. I don't think
• 40:45
  Speaker 5: Kay is gonna continue keeping this up, man. His hit
• 40:48
  Speaker 5: rates mediocre, is walk rates mediocre, He doesn't strike guys out,
• 40:52
  Speaker 5: so you know, he's not significantly better than Holmes. In fact,
• 40:56
  Speaker 5: I don't think he's better than Homes, even though he
• 40:58
  Speaker 5: strike out walk ratio is a little bit better. And
• 41:01
  Speaker 5: k he's a bit older, and he just hasn't had
• 41:04
  Speaker 5: a good career. So Holmes' career has been a little
• 41:07
  Speaker 5: bit better, even though it's a shorter career. So I'm
• 41:10
  Speaker 5: kind of going with that too, Like just the way
• 41:12
  Speaker 5: that I gauge pitchers, I think Holmes is better than
• 41:15
  Speaker 5: Ka and Kay's strike up for nine is just kind
• 41:18
  Speaker 5: of mediocre here as well. I think Holmes overall has
• 41:21
  Speaker 5: the better stuff and kay against the Braves. It's been
• 41:24
  Speaker 5: a struggle though it's only six hitters who have faced them,
• 41:27
  Speaker 5: only fifteen at bats, but the Braves have done a
• 41:29
  Speaker 5: lot of damage in those in that small amount of
• 41:32
  Speaker 5: at bats four hundred average, one thousand oh ps two,
• 41:36
  Speaker 5: zero strike out walk ratios. Whatever, But yeah, I say
• 41:39
  Speaker 5: we do it. The money seems to agree with me
• 41:41
  Speaker 5: on this. I worry that it looks too easy to
• 41:44
  Speaker 5: play the better team the Braves here, but the White
• 41:46
  Speaker 5: Sox have some hype around them this year.
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: People like their offense.
• 41:50
  Speaker 5: I think it's a bad spot with the White Socks
• 41:52
  Speaker 5: coming up multiple huge series. Braves should be a little
• 41:55
  Speaker 5: bit angry off of that ugly series against Minnesota. It's
• 41:58
  Speaker 5: a weird makeup game spot here. Who are the White
• 42:02
  Speaker 5: Sox playing next?
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: Let me see.
• 42:05
  Speaker 5: I mean, I'm not gonna say they're gonna overlook the Braves.
• 42:07
  Speaker 5: I'm not really saying that, but let me see. No,
• 42:09
  Speaker 5: they only play the Mets next. Not a big deal,
• 42:11
  Speaker 5: but whatever, I say, we do it. Anyway, fifty tickets,
• 42:16
  Speaker 5: eighty seven percent of the cash on Atlanta. So the
• 42:18
  Speaker 5: money is agreeing with me on this. The money's coming
• 42:21
  Speaker 5: out on the over eight and a half in this
• 42:22
  Speaker 5: game too.
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: I don't disagree with that.
• 42:24
  Speaker 5: I think both pitchers are not as good as their
• 42:26
  Speaker 5: era makes them look, so yeah, the over makes some
• 42:29
  Speaker 5: sense to me in this one, but I think the
• 42:31
  Speaker 5: Braves are the way to play it, all right, Yankees
• 42:37
  Speaker 5: in Baltimore, they're finishing their series here.
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: The Yankees are on the version of a sweep. I
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: believe here.
• 42:43
  Speaker 5: We got the Yankees right the other day and then
• 42:45
  Speaker 5: they won again yesterday, And I believe I was wrong
• 42:47
  Speaker 5: about the over in the game yesterday. I think it
• 42:50
  Speaker 5: landed eight, so it did not go over the total.
• 42:53
  Speaker 5: The Yankees are playing who are they playing next?
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: Toronto?
• 42:56
  Speaker 5: I don't think that's that big of a deal, although
• 42:58
  Speaker 5: maybe because Toronto's team eliminated them last year, so maybe
• 43:01
  Speaker 5: the Yankees still have their eye on Toronto. And the
• 43:04
  Speaker 5: Yankees did just lose again to Toronto, so maybe that is
• 43:07
  Speaker 5: more of a look ahead than you think.
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: Baltimore is one of those home teams.
• 43:11
  Speaker 5: Trying to avoid a sweeps, and they might get a
• 43:12
  Speaker 5: little bit up for this game. But I am looking
• 43:15
  Speaker 5: more at the total than the side in this one,
• 43:18
  Speaker 5: although I'm not gonna play it either way, But Baltimore
• 43:20
  Speaker 5: used five relief pitchers yesterday. That would worry me if
• 43:23
  Speaker 5: I was gonna look at Baltimore in this game. The
• 43:26
  Speaker 5: Yankees have the better bullpen, although I believe yeah, the
• 43:30
  Speaker 5: Yankees used five re leaf pitchers this today.
• 43:31
  Speaker 2: Was at an extra inning game. I guess it wasn't.
• 43:34
  Speaker 5: The only extra inning game was a stupid Red Sox
• 43:36
  Speaker 5: game where they made that comeback and then blew Actually,
• 43:39
  Speaker 5: they blew an initial lead, then came back, then blew
• 43:43
  Speaker 5: it again in the end.
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Red Sox. Their bullpen is in bad shape right now.
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 43:48
  Speaker 5: And then I guess the other extra inning game was
• 43:50
  Speaker 5: Dodgers and Rockies, and none of.
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: Those teams are playing today, so anyway, I don't know.
• 43:55
  Speaker 5: The Yankees Orioles game almost kind of had the feel
• 43:59
  Speaker 5: of an extra inning game just looking at the bullpen users. Yeah,
• 44:02
  Speaker 5: the Yankees used five relief pitchers yesterday. Yankees are the
• 44:05
  Speaker 5: better bullpen, though they're ranked second in bullpen here. The
• 44:09
  Speaker 5: Orioles are thirteenth. They're not bad, but the Yankees definitely
• 44:12
  Speaker 5: have a bullpen edge. Yankees' offense has struggled, though there's
• 44:15
  Speaker 5: seventeenth right now.
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: The Orioles sixteenth.
• 44:18
  Speaker 5: So we do have a couple of offenses that are kind
• 44:20
  Speaker 5: of in mediocrity right now, and the offenses might not
• 44:24
  Speaker 5: do a whole lot here, which is kind of what
• 44:26
  Speaker 5: I'm looking at in this game. Garrett Cole is pitching
• 44:29
  Speaker 5: for the Yankees, so as far as the.
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: Side, I don't really want to fade Cole.
• 44:33
  Speaker 5: He's been pitching pretty well three point two two ERA,
• 44:36
  Speaker 5: one point h eit whip he's been. He's not as
• 44:39
  Speaker 5: good on the road two fifty seven opponent a batting
• 44:42
  Speaker 5: average on the road compared to one ninety two at home.
• 44:44
  Speaker 5: His ERA is only a little bit worse on the
• 44:46
  Speaker 5: road three point twenty five, but he is more fadable
• 44:48
  Speaker 5: on the road. I still don't want to fade him
• 44:50
  Speaker 5: right now. He's pitching well right now. He's allowed two
• 44:53
  Speaker 5: or fewer on runs in his last four starts, hasn't
• 44:55
  Speaker 5: allowed more than three e in runs going back through
• 44:58
  Speaker 5: the beginning of July. He's got a low hit ran
• 45:01
  Speaker 5: on the season. He doesn't walk anybody. Strike out rate
• 45:03
  Speaker 5: is fairly high, so even though he's not the dominant
• 45:06
  Speaker 5: coal that he used to be, he's still pretty good
• 45:09
  Speaker 5: and actually strike out walk ratio is quite good. It's
• 45:13
  Speaker 5: almost five here, so he's having a good season. Strike
• 45:17
  Speaker 5: up for nine number is not as good as it
• 45:19
  Speaker 5: once was in some of his past seasons, but it's
• 45:21
  Speaker 5: pretty good. So he's an older dude at this point
• 45:24
  Speaker 5: coming back from injury, and he looks like he's still
• 45:26
  Speaker 5: pretty much he's got pretty good stuff.
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: Still.
• 45:30
  Speaker 5: Baltimore against him has some mediocre numbers. They only have
• 45:34
  Speaker 5: six guys to have face him. Forty one at bats,
• 45:36
  Speaker 5: tons of strikeouts, eighteen strikeouts, four walks two twenty average,
• 45:42
  Speaker 5: so that all looks pretty good for Coal except seven
• 45:44
  Speaker 5: to seventy seven OPS.
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: So Baltimore does have some power hitting against him.
• 45:48
  Speaker 5: They have three home runs against him, but other than that,
• 45:51
  Speaker 5: I lean more towards Coal pitching well here though. I mean,
• 45:54
  Speaker 5: his numbers are mostly good against Baltimore, even though OPS
• 45:57
  Speaker 5: isn't that high. Kyle Brad just pitching for Baltimore. I
• 46:02
  Speaker 5: think he's okay. A three point six five yarra one
• 46:04
  Speaker 5: point three to six whip does indicate his RA should
• 46:07
  Speaker 5: be higher, though, but he's been good at home three
• 46:09
  Speaker 5: point three to four home y RA with a one
• 46:12
  Speaker 5: to eighty eight upon a batting average at home, so
• 46:14
  Speaker 5: he's actually significantly better at home.
• 46:17
  Speaker 2: He's in good form for the most.
• 46:18
  Speaker 5: Part right now, except that his strikeout walk ratio isn't
• 46:22
  Speaker 5: really that good over his last few starts. But he
• 46:24
  Speaker 5: had four walks last time out against Tampa and he
• 46:27
  Speaker 5: still didn't allow many runs to them and they won
• 46:30
  Speaker 5: the game Baltimore did, so he wasn't exactly horrible in
• 46:34
  Speaker 5: that start. But if you look at his overall numbers here,
• 46:37
  Speaker 5: hit rate isn't too bad. His walk rate is still concerning,
• 46:40
  Speaker 5: for sure, it's a bit high. His strikeout rate is okay.
• 46:43
  Speaker 5: If he was able to get the walks fixed, he'd
• 46:46
  Speaker 5: be a lot better. His numbers have been better in
• 46:48
  Speaker 5: past years, though, but.
• 46:50
  Speaker 2: This is his longest.
• 46:51
  Speaker 5: This is the longest that he's pitched in his season
• 46:53
  Speaker 5: since twenty twenty three, though, and in twenty twenty three
• 46:56
  Speaker 5: he was actually awesome, so he is a little bit
• 46:58
  Speaker 5: worse than that. But of course, if you look at
• 46:59
  Speaker 5: his care he's capable of pitching better than he has
• 47:02
  Speaker 5: this year, So I don't think he's bad. It's just
• 47:05
  Speaker 5: his career got a bit derailed by injuries. But yes,
• 47:07
  Speaker 5: this strike out walk ratio is down this year because
• 47:10
  Speaker 5: the walks are just crazy high.
• 47:12
  Speaker 2: But also his strike cut rate.
• 47:13
  Speaker 5: Has gone down this year as well, so there's room
• 47:17
  Speaker 5: for improvement. He's not that old, he's twenty nine, and
• 47:19
  Speaker 5: he's been good in his career against the Yankees. Sixty
• 47:22
  Speaker 5: eight at bats one, ninety one average, six forty eight ohps,
• 47:26
  Speaker 5: twenty eight to ten strike out walk ratios. Again, kind
• 47:28
  Speaker 5: of too many walks in there, but whatever, I think
• 47:32
  Speaker 5: the under is the better way to look at this game.
• 47:34
  Speaker 5: And I consider this game as well possibly having it
• 47:37
  Speaker 5: as a play, but it's not gonna happen. Although it
• 47:41
  Speaker 5: looks like some money has definitely driven that total down.
• 47:44
  Speaker 5: It opened at eight and juice to the over and
• 47:46
  Speaker 5: out seven and a half juice to the over, so
• 47:50
  Speaker 5: some movement towards the under here, But we have fifty
• 47:52
  Speaker 5: to fifty on the tickets ninety three percent of the
• 47:54
  Speaker 5: cash on the over, so the money seems to be.
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: Coming in on the over at this point.
• 47:58
  Speaker 5: But again, I would play the under in this one
• 48:01
  Speaker 5: if I was gonna play it. If you don't want
• 48:03
  Speaker 5: to trust the bullpens just because the bullpens have too
• 48:05
  Speaker 5: much usage, like normally, I would say, yeah, the bullpens
• 48:08
  Speaker 5: I think are trustworthy enough, especially the Yankees, but because
• 48:11
  Speaker 5: of the usage Yestday could maybe go first five under,
• 48:15
  Speaker 5: but you might have to take it three and a half,
• 48:17
  Speaker 5: which you know I don't love doing that, and maybe
• 48:19
  Speaker 5: you'd find a four out there at a decent price.
• 48:21
  Speaker 5: The money is indicating on the Orioles seventy eight percent
• 48:24
  Speaker 5: of ticket, sixty four percent of the cash on the Yankees.
• 48:27
  Speaker 5: Yankees are around minus one twenty. I think maybe the
• 48:30
  Speaker 5: thought there as well. It looks too easy to take
• 48:32
  Speaker 5: the Yankees, although it looks too easy to take Atlanta too,
• 48:35
  Speaker 5: but the money's coming in on them and we're playing
• 48:37
  Speaker 5: it as well.
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: This game.
• 48:38
  Speaker 5: I think the spot does set up better for Baltimore though,
• 48:41
  Speaker 5: because they're looking to avoid the sweep and they have
• 48:43
  Speaker 5: a picture that I think it is at least capable
• 48:46
  Speaker 5: of holding them.
• 48:47
  Speaker 2: In the game.
• 48:47
  Speaker 5: I think if you play Baltimore, you should only play
• 48:49
  Speaker 5: it in the first five though, because they're not gonna
• 48:51
  Speaker 5: have a bullpen edge, So Baltimore first five. I wouldn't
• 48:55
  Speaker 5: disagree with that, just based on the fact that maybe
• 48:58
  Speaker 5: bradish can hang around against Cold in that game, and
• 49:01
  Speaker 5: it's supposed to be a low scoring game, so that
• 49:03
  Speaker 5: might mean the underdog has a better shot. Plus the
• 49:05
  Speaker 5: Yankees might just overlook them in the last game of
• 49:08
  Speaker 5: the series. But I still think the under in the
• 49:10
  Speaker 5: first five might be the better.
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: Look there.
• 49:13
  Speaker 5: All right, let me see, should I take a break
• 49:16
  Speaker 5: now and then do the two later games, one as
• 49:19
  Speaker 5: a TV game, then I'll talk about WNBA and NFL. Yeah,
• 49:22
  Speaker 5: let's do that. I'll be right back, yep. Inside, I
• 49:30
  Speaker 5: want to kill myself. We were on OWN seven run
• 49:34
  Speaker 5: over the last two days after tonight.
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
• 49:38
  Speaker 5: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 49:41
  Speaker 5: Sunday one and five.
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you above that.
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 49:46
  Speaker 5: I have never seen anything like this, man, with the
• 49:50
  Speaker 5: slump continuing.
• 49:51
  Speaker 2: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. OWN
• 49:54
  Speaker 2: four that have not had a good season.
• 49:59
  Speaker 5: Man, which can the slump that I'm on and the
• 50:03
  Speaker 5: slump continues.
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: I've reached into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: Broins hat man. I don't know what is going on
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: with the Bruins arch epe is that what it is?
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: I don't even know it's it's March ninth. I think
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: who even knows? Man, I don't know.
• 50:19
  Speaker 3: What data is anymore.
• 50:20
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, Back
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: with you after the worst day that I.
• 50:25
  Speaker 5: Can possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 50:29
  Speaker 6: Until I die, at least oh and two yesterday and
• 50:33
  Speaker 6: yesterday it did not go well for me. Oh and
• 50:35
  Speaker 6: five the worst month that I've ever had in my
• 50:39
  Speaker 6: eighteen years doing this.
• 50:40
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 50:42
  Speaker 5: To the slumps, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 50:50
  Speaker 6: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 50:53
  Speaker 6: other than potentially end it all.
• 51:00
  Speaker 5: All right, we have Washington and Texas. We got the
• 51:04
  Speaker 5: win yesterday on the show with Washington in the first five.
• 51:07
  Speaker 5: They won in the full game as well. This game,
• 51:11
  Speaker 5: I'm not really wanting to take Washington here. Texas might
• 51:15
  Speaker 5: have extra motivation here, especially after getting shut out at
• 51:17
  Speaker 5: home yesterday and the fact they're fighting for a playoff
• 51:21
  Speaker 5: spot here is Washington kind of more playing out the
• 51:23
  Speaker 5: stretch here. Texas probably has more motivation. They have the
• 51:27
  Speaker 5: more established starter here. But you're gonna have to pay
• 51:30
  Speaker 5: for it if you want to play Texas here, but
• 51:33
  Speaker 5: it might be a bounced back spot for them home
• 51:35
  Speaker 5: teams after getting shut out in the previous game a
• 51:38
  Speaker 5: lot of times to perform well. Washington does not have
• 51:41
  Speaker 5: a good bullpen. The use three guys out of the
• 51:43
  Speaker 5: bullpen yesterday. Texas also did. Texas' bullpen should be the
• 51:47
  Speaker 5: better of the two, and I think it is, but
• 51:48
  Speaker 5: they've been pretty disappointing this year.
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: They're nineteenth right now.
• 51:53
  Speaker 5: ERA not really that good, but still better than Washington,
• 51:56
  Speaker 5: who's twenty six with an almost five ERA out of
• 51:59
  Speaker 5: the bullpen.
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: Not good.
• 52:01
  Speaker 5: As far as the offense is, Washington's definitely better in
• 52:04
  Speaker 5: that department. Their number two Texas is twenty first, tie
• 52:09
  Speaker 5: with the Royals.
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: This is more of a pitcher friendly park.
• 52:12
  Speaker 5: As I keep saying, maybe this is gonna be one
• 52:14
  Speaker 5: of those Texas unders man. The pitching might be able
• 52:18
  Speaker 5: to outweigh the hitting in this game. Andrew Alvarez is
• 52:21
  Speaker 5: pitching for Washington. He's a guy that does have some talent.
• 52:24
  Speaker 5: Three point seven two ERA, one point three to three
• 52:27
  Speaker 5: whip is not really that good, but he's actually good
• 52:29
  Speaker 5: on the road. Three point one to two roady Ray
• 52:31
  Speaker 5: with a better opponent of batting average as well, so
• 52:34
  Speaker 5: his splits favor him on the road, which is where
• 52:37
  Speaker 5: he is here. He's pitched reasonably well over the last
• 52:40
  Speaker 5: few starts, so though his team isn't really getting wins
• 52:43
  Speaker 5: behind him, but it's not really his faults.
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: He's not going too deep.
• 52:46
  Speaker 5: Into some of these outings, but he's not allowing many
• 52:48
  Speaker 5: runs two or fewer in his last three. Not really
• 52:52
  Speaker 5: striking a lot of guys out recently, though, but he's
• 52:56
  Speaker 5: allowed relatively few hits here. Strike out rate is okay.
• 52:59
  Speaker 5: His problem is he walks too many guys. Does introduce
• 53:02
  Speaker 5: a lot of ground balls too. Though as far as
• 53:05
  Speaker 5: his wait a minute, I want to look at stats,
• 53:08
  Speaker 5: not splits. What Yeah, his strag out walker issue is
• 53:10
  Speaker 5: not really that good because he walks too many guys,
• 53:13
  Speaker 5: but a strike up for nine numbers decent, so again
• 53:16
  Speaker 5: the command if he fixes that, I think he'd be
• 53:18
  Speaker 5: pretty decent. As far as Texas offense, only Nemo has
• 53:22
  Speaker 5: ever faced him because he was on the Mets, so
• 53:24
  Speaker 5: he was in his division for a bit. Nimo's won
• 53:27
  Speaker 5: for two, often with a single and a strikeout, but
• 53:29
  Speaker 5: Alvarez is unfamiliar to the rest of Texas' lineup This
• 53:32
  Speaker 5: game on Fox Sports One. By the way, Alvarez might
• 53:36
  Speaker 5: have a little bit of an extra edge because Texas'
• 53:38
  Speaker 5: offense hasn't faced him before, so he might be backable
• 53:42
  Speaker 5: here because he is better on the road and he's
• 53:44
  Speaker 5: facing an offense it's not familiar with him.
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: Jacob deGrom is pitching for Texas. It looks like he
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: avoided injury.
• 53:51
  Speaker 5: Man. He had to leave his previous start with an injury,
• 53:54
  Speaker 5: and I was like, oh, man, if he's out, Texas
• 53:56
  Speaker 5: is probably screwed. But it looks like he avoided injuries
• 54:00
  Speaker 5: so or at least avoided something serious because I think
• 54:03
  Speaker 5: he's just pitching on schedule here. He's got a three
• 54:05
  Speaker 5: point nine to five YRA one point one seven whip.
• 54:08
  Speaker 5: Obviously he's not what he once was, but he's still
• 54:10
  Speaker 5: having a good season here. He's been good at home
• 54:13
  Speaker 5: two point nine to three homey RA with a much
• 54:16
  Speaker 5: lower opponent batting average, So he's not really good on
• 54:18
  Speaker 5: the road this year, but he does pitch well here
• 54:20
  Speaker 5: in this stadium. He's been having some walk issues where
• 54:25
  Speaker 5: he's It really was just in one road start though
• 54:27
  Speaker 5: against Houston. If you take that out, his numbers look
• 54:29
  Speaker 5: pretty good. For the most part. Recently and really over
• 54:32
  Speaker 5: the course of the season, he's been pretty good. Although
• 54:35
  Speaker 5: his hit rate is a little bit higher than you
• 54:36
  Speaker 5: might expect, it's still not bad. Doesn't really walk guys,
• 54:40
  Speaker 5: still strikes out a good amount of guys, so he's
• 54:42
  Speaker 5: still going out there and pretty much dealing. His strikeout
• 54:46
  Speaker 5: walk ratio isn't as good as it once was in
• 54:49
  Speaker 5: his career, but it is still almost five, which is
• 54:51
  Speaker 5: pretty good, quite good, and his strikeout per nine is
• 54:55
  Speaker 5: still pretty high here. It's gone up from where it
• 54:58
  Speaker 5: was last year, so he's he's still pitching pretty effectively
• 55:02
  Speaker 5: and Washington has not had success against him. They only
• 55:05
  Speaker 5: have thirteen at bats against them, five hitters. I remember
• 55:08
  Speaker 5: Degram being on the Mets, but that must have been
• 55:10
  Speaker 5: so long ago that Washington no longer really has guys
• 55:13
  Speaker 5: that were in those lineups back then. They have five
• 55:15
  Speaker 5: guys who have faced him, They're only one for thirteen
• 55:19
  Speaker 5: off them. Only Ruiz has a hitoff I'm a single.
• 55:21
  Speaker 5: They have four strikeouts, no walks, so that's an seventy
• 55:25
  Speaker 5: seven average and one fifty four to ohps against, so
• 55:27
  Speaker 5: so I think deGrom can pitch well here as well.
• 55:30
  Speaker 5: So I think the first five under is the way
• 55:33
  Speaker 5: to play this. I don't trust either bullpen at this point,
• 55:36
  Speaker 5: but especially not Washington's both starters they can get the
• 55:40
  Speaker 5: job done here. It looks like the over is somewhat public.
• 55:44
  Speaker 5: Eighty percent of tickets on the over, although eight and
• 55:47
  Speaker 5: nine percent of the cash. I guess maybe there's some money.
• 55:50
  Speaker 5: I hear reving engines outside again, I hate these fucking people.
• 55:53
  Speaker 5: Looks like maybe some of the money is coming in
• 55:55
  Speaker 5: on the over as well. Total is low at seven
• 55:57
  Speaker 5: and a half, so oddsmakers think this is going to
• 56:00
  Speaker 5: be a low scoring game. I think if you play
• 56:03
  Speaker 5: the under, you got to do it in the first
• 56:04
  Speaker 5: five though, because the bullpens could just ruin you in
• 56:07
  Speaker 5: this one but full game. You'd beginning the hook, you'd
• 56:10
  Speaker 5: be getting that key number on the seven, seven and
• 56:13
  Speaker 5: a half there the hook above the key number seven.
• 56:17
  Speaker 5: I should say, first five under I still think is
• 56:21
  Speaker 5: the way to play this though, but you're gonna be
• 56:23
  Speaker 5: probably looking at about a three and a half. I
• 56:25
  Speaker 5: wouldn't really want to do that, and the money is
• 56:27
  Speaker 5: vacuum Washington for what that's where seventy eight percent of
• 56:30
  Speaker 5: tickets on Texas. I think it's all about the price,
• 56:32
  Speaker 5: because everybody kind of knows Texas needs to win throughout
• 56:36
  Speaker 5: from minus one fifty two to minus one sixty something.
• 56:38
  Speaker 5: Here you're paying extra for de gram as well because
• 56:41
  Speaker 5: of his name, fifty percent of the cash on Washington.
• 56:45
  Speaker 5: I wouldn't really want to back Washington here, though, Like
• 56:47
  Speaker 5: I think Texas does have the starting pitching edge year,
• 56:50
  Speaker 5: the motivational edge, the bullpen edge, so I would stay
• 56:54
  Speaker 5: off of it. It's it's really like, do you think
• 56:56
  Speaker 5: that that price is warranted? Maybe it's not, but I
• 56:59
  Speaker 5: wouldn't want to try to come in and play Washington here. However,
• 57:02
  Speaker 5: if it is gonna be low scoring, as I always say,
• 57:04
  Speaker 5: that means the underdog has a better chance of hanging around.
• 57:08
  Speaker 5: And I did say I like the unders so there
• 57:10
  Speaker 5: is a chance maybe if you're gonna if you're gonna
• 57:13
  Speaker 5: I mean, if you're gonna play Washington, the only way
• 57:14
  Speaker 5: to really do that is to take Washington plus the
• 57:17
  Speaker 5: half run or whatever in the first five and avoid
• 57:19
  Speaker 5: their bullpen. So if you're gonna do that, maybe they
• 57:21
  Speaker 5: can hang in there. But first five under is what
• 57:25
  Speaker 5: I would do in that game. Anaheim at Houston is
• 57:27
  Speaker 5: the last game these seems I believe have split the
• 57:31
  Speaker 5: series so far. Yeah, Houston lost the first game, bounced
• 57:34
  Speaker 5: back and won yesterday.
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: But Urania pitched pretty well again yesterday.
• 57:38
  Speaker 5: And it was a two to two game I believe
• 57:40
  Speaker 5: at the end of five, and then Houston wound up
• 57:42
  Speaker 5: being able to get the win when it came down
• 57:45
  Speaker 5: to bullpens. Houston obviously has a better bullpen here there.
• 57:48
  Speaker 5: They used five guys out of the bullpen yesterday and
• 57:50
  Speaker 5: they had to kind of close that game out. Anaheim
• 57:53
  Speaker 5: used three. Houston will still have a bullpen edge here though.
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: Even if they are more overworked. They have the he
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: thrawing bullpen.
• 58:01
  Speaker 5: Anaheim's not that good at twenty seconds, so Houston still
• 58:04
  Speaker 5: has the better bullpen. Houston has the better offense by far.
• 58:08
  Speaker 5: They're ninth, tied with the Miami and the Red Sox
• 58:11
  Speaker 5: at this point. That's kind of crazy. The Red Sox
• 58:14
  Speaker 5: are now ninth. They were bottom dwellers offensively most of
• 58:18
  Speaker 5: the season. Houston or excuse me, Anaheim is twenty eighth
• 58:23
  Speaker 5: in offense, tied with Anaheim, So yeah, that's not good.
• 58:28
  Speaker 5: These two teams are tied in offense that I just
• 58:30
  Speaker 5: say that. Yeah, wait what am I even? Oh no, no, no,
• 58:37
  Speaker 5: what am I saying?
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: No? Houston?
• 58:39
  Speaker 5: Yeah, Anaheim is twenty eight, tied with Toronto. I'm way
• 58:41
  Speaker 5: out of it right now. I apologize. Yeah, Anaheim and
• 58:44
  Speaker 5: Toronto are tied to twenty eighth. Yes, Houston has the
• 58:47
  Speaker 5: way better offense here. Houston's ranked ninth, Anaheim twenty eighth. Yeah,
• 58:52
  Speaker 5: my brain is yeah, I don't know.
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: Do I have another stroke? I have no idea.
• 58:57
  Speaker 5: Houston is going to be more motivated here, although is
• 59:00
  Speaker 5: going to try to play spoilers. Anaheim will show up
• 59:03
  Speaker 5: to try to spoil it for a divisional foe here.
• 59:06
  Speaker 5: Houston trying to make the playoffs though, and Houston has
• 59:08
  Speaker 5: the better starting pitcher on the mound here, so I
• 59:11
  Speaker 5: would not want to try to play Anaheim here. Grayson
• 59:14
  Speaker 5: Rodriguez is pitching for Anaheim. I mean, he's definitely capable
• 59:17
  Speaker 5: of pitching better than what he's shown this year. He
• 59:20
  Speaker 5: was fairly good early in his career, injuries have totally
• 59:24
  Speaker 5: derailed him, and this year he has a seven point
• 59:26
  Speaker 5: one seven e RA.
• 59:27
  Speaker 2: One point five to nine whip. Not good.
• 59:29
  Speaker 5: Although He's actually been way better on the road four
• 59:32
  Speaker 5: point nine to seven roady ra and a much better
• 59:34
  Speaker 5: opponent batting average on the road, so he is maybe
• 59:36
  Speaker 5: potentially backable on the road. He's been pitching a little
• 59:40
  Speaker 5: bit better recently, although not going deep into some of
• 59:43
  Speaker 5: these outings, and Anaheim can't hit either in their bullpen sucks,
• 59:46
  Speaker 5: so they've lost his last six starts. Some of it
• 59:49
  Speaker 5: is not totally his fault, but he's I mean, he's
• 59:53
  Speaker 5: kind of pitching mediocre recently. His hit rate is still
• 59:55
  Speaker 5: too high, his walker rate is still too high. His
• 59:58
  Speaker 5: strikeout rate is okay, so he does still have decent
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 5: strikeout stuff here, but the walks are bringing his stuff,
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 5: you know, his walks are making his numbers look worse.
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 5: Strake up walk ratio not really that good. A straight
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 5: up for nine is down from where it was back
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 5: when he pitched with Baltimore as well, so he's not
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 5: really back up to that level that he once was,
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 5: and who knows if he'll actually get back there. His
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 5: numbers he gets Houston are not great. In seventy three
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 5: at bats to forty seven average not too bad, but
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 5: eight hundred ops is high. Fourteen to eight strike out
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 5: walk ratio not really that good either. Even though he
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 5: is better on the road, he's not really pitching that well.
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 5: I wouldn't want to back him here and then have
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 5: Anaheim's bullpen coming in behind him. God, Peter Lambert is
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 5: getting the start for Houston. He's had his only good season.
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: Of his career so far.
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 5: What a difference it makes to not have to pitch
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 5: a course field and in that Colorado organization anymore. Three
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 5: point one one, one point one five whip pretty good.
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 5: He's been basically the same home and away. His home
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 5: road splits are not really significant here He's still pitching
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 5: fairly well. He hasn't really thrown that many innings this
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 5: year yet either, so he's not really up to that
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 5: point where you have to worry about his innings count here.
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 5: He's allowed two or fewer earned runs at every start
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 5: since the beginning of July, so he's not allowing a
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 5: lot of runs here. Has a low hit rate. His
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 5: walk rate is kind of mediocre, and his strikeout rate
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 5: is pretty decent. So the strikeout walk ratio is not
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 5: great because of the walks. He's got to kind of
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 5: fix that. But other than that, these numbers are pretty good.
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 5: This has definitely been his best season, and his strikeout
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 5: up per nine has gone way up from what it
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 5: once was, So his strikeout stuff has somehow developed here
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 5: even though he's twenty nine. Maybe working with different pitching
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 5: coaches has made that happen.
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 5: His numbers against Anaheim are also good, and they're not
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 5: a good offense. As we said, thirty eight at bats,
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 5: fourteen to two, strikeout walk ratio one to eighty four
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 5: upon a batting average for eighty eight ops. Those are
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 5: all good numbers, so I would not try to play
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 5: Anaheim here. I think Houston has the edges here, but
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 5: Houston is not getting the money, and I think it's
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 5: because they're heavily priced. They're at like minus one seventy
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 5: something and they did drop for minus one ninety five,
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 5: so some real money has come in.
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 2: And played Anaheim here. I wouldn't want to do it again.
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 5: I think Houston has the better started pitcher, they have
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 5: more motivation, they have the better bullpen, they have the
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 5: better offense. So there isn't really anything I can key
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 5: on except for the price that that's the only thing
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 5: that you could really say.
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: Well, maybe Anaheim makes sense, but when.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 5: It really just comes down to price and there's no
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 5: other reason to play them, you know me, I'm not
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 5: gonna be doing that. I need something else to really
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 5: latch onto here, and if Houston has all the edges,
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 5: I think there's a.
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: Decent chance they win the game.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 5: Obviously, I'm ninety four percent to take us ninety percent
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 5: of the cash on Houston, though the money is coming
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 5: in towards Anaheim, I would lead Houston. Though in this game,
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 5: man totals at eight and a half money kind of
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 5: indicating towards the under. I don't really see that necessarily either.
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 5: If you're gonna play the under, you should do it
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 5: in the first five because the Anaeim's bullpen's not good.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: But Houston, I mean maybe a game.
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 5: Or you might be able to lay a run line
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 5: with Houston, like making minus one run line to get
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 5: the price down, because I think they should win and
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 5: as long as they win, you won't lose money on that.
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 5: But that's not really something I really want to do,
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 5: especially when their public and the market REDA is saying
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 5: to not do it.
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I won't be doing it all right, WNBA, we.
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 5: Have three games here, Indiana and Dallas is kind of
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 5: the big game of the night, which is the first
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 5: game of the Amazon Prime doubleheader. Dallas has been losing
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 5: a lot of games recently, even though they're a decent
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 5: team at least scoring wise, but they've been dealing with
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 5: some injuries recently. Though they still have Becker best player.
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 5: They've lost two games in a row and they've lost
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 5: five of their last six, which is not good, including
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 5: losing to Indiana back on Friday. They went into Indiana
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 5: and lost by eleven and that was a somewhat close
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 5: game late in the game and Indiana pulled away maybe
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 5: a little bit of a zigzag spot here, But if
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 5: you dig into that box score, there are outliers going
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 5: both ways, Like Dallas shot really poorly in that game,
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 5: in Indiana shot well, So that is an outlier where
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 5: maybe Dallas will shoot better here, especially because Indiana's deepense
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 5: is nothing to write home about. Here. Neither of these
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 5: defenses are good, and maybe Indiana was shooting so hot
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 5: in that game and that maybe they will regress a
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 5: little bit here. But the problem is Dallas also won
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 5: the free throw battle in that game and they still
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 5: lost by eleven, So I don't think that's a very
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 5: good sign. Dallas is also returning on from a road
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 5: trip that they've been on for almost a week, where
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 5: they did go to Indiana and Golden State, and you know,
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 5: I don't love teams returning on from road trips that
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 5: it can tend to be a little bit of a distraction. However,
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 5: I don't think they're going to overlook Indiana though, and
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 5: it is a home game on Amazon Prime. It's a
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 5: quick revenge spot, and their next game is only against Seattle,
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 5: so I don't think Dallas will fall into that distract spot.
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 5: Still not exactly the spot where I'm rushing to like back.
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 2: Them here, though.
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 5: You know, as far as Indiana, they're coming off kind
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 5: of an easy win over Toronto, and they're on a
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 5: roll right now, they won five games in a row.
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 5: I mean, it's possible they don't take Dallas as seriously here.
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 5: Their next game is pretty big against New York, so
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 5: maybe it is possible they do look ahead here. So
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 5: I think I would lean to Dallas here slightly, but
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 5: I do not want to do it.
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: You know, I.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 5: Don't really love the return home spot and whatever, but
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 5: the money is indicating on Dallas and.
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: I don't disagree with it.
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 5: Eighty eight percent of tickets on Indiana, fifty six percent
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 5: of the cash on Dallas. Indiana is around a three
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 5: point favorite here, it looks like maybe two and a half.
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 5: DK looks like it as a three and a half there,
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 5: so whatever, I would lean slightly to Dallas.
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: The money is also coming in on the over here.
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 5: I don't really disagree with the over I mean, the
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 5: style of play looks like it should be a high
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 5: scoring game, but the.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: Total is definitely high one eighty five.
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 5: But both teams like to go up and down the court,
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 5: they both score, and they both don't really play very
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 5: good defense, so it does have the makings of maybe
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 5: an over type of game, but the total is high,
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 5: so I wouldn't really want to do it. I believe
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 5: the last game that they played went over this total.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 2: I think did it Let me see it hit?
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 5: No, it landed one to eighty five if I did
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 5: my math right there, so it looks like it was
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 5: right on, and the number that it is here right
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 5: now interesting unless I did that math wrong. No, I
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 5: think I did it right all right. My stroke brain
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 5: is not allowing me to do math anymore. Connecticut and
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 5: Las Vegas.
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: I mean, this is a massive mismatch. Vegas will be
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: a huge favorite here.
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 5: Obviously, Vegas is coming off two losses here and they
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 5: are staying at home now. The last loss was kind
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 5: of explainable because they're coming up a huge game against
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 5: Minnesota and then they sort of lost the same game twice.
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 2: I think having to play Atlanta. The next game in Atlanta.
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 5: Is at least I think better defensively than Vegas is
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 5: at this point. So because of that, I don't think
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 5: Vegas is gonna overlook anybody here, Like this is the
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 5: last game of the home stand, and I don't think
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 5: they want to go two and three on the home stand,
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 5: you know. So I think Vegas will win this game,
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 5: but it's a matter of are they going to cover
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 5: this huge number here.
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: That's a different story.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 5: Maybe they won't take Connecticut seriously enough to beat them here,
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 5: but I don't want Connecticut or to beat them by margin.
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 5: I mean, I think Vegas will win, but I don't
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 5: want Connecticut here because Connecticut they're playing a little bit better.
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: They want two of their last four.
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 5: They beat La in their last game, which I know
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 5: La is not that good, but Still it's good for
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 5: Connecticut whenever they get a win, but they're starting a
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 5: road trip here, which usually is a focused spot. The
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 5: problem is they're going east to west to play a
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 5: late night game.
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 6: You know.
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 5: I talk about that, that cross country trip going from
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 5: the East coast to the West coast. That can mess
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 5: with your biological clock, and now all of a sudden
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 5: you're having to play basically past midnight your time. I
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 5: don't think that's good. So I don't really want anything
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 5: to do with Connecticut here or either. Vegas is probably
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 5: favored too heavily, though at fourteen and a half. It's
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 5: a low total at one sixty seven and a half,
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 5: and you know, I don't love laying huge amounts of
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 5: points with it. I mean I don't love it generally,
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 5: but with a load total like that, every point is
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 5: worth more, so that makes the underdog a little bit
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 5: better of a look, I wouldn't really disagree with taking
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 5: Connecticut plus the fourteen and a half, but I don't
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 5: want to do it. I don't want either team in
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 5: this one eighty percent of tickets, seventy nine percent of
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 5: the cash on Vegas. I think it's all about just
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 5: the number being really really high here on Vegas. But
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 5: Vegas should be in a spot where they show up
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 5: and win the game, though, you know, because they're coming
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 5: off kind of an ugly loss in their last game
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 5: that was kind of explainable, and that's a situation where
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 5: I don't really want to fade that better team if
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 5: you think you're gonna you're gonna get focus.
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: Out of them, you know.
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 5: And Connecticut traveling cross country like that, no thing, thank you,
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 5: which makes it seem like I should be leaning to Vegas,
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 5: but there's no way that I would lay that number.
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 5: All right, Atlanta and La is the last game on
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 5: Amazon Prime.
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: LA is not playing well at all.
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 5: They lost five games in a row, however, mostly to
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 5: decent teams here except maybe Phoenix of the Phoenix I
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 5: think is at least better than they look.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 2: And then.
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 5: They lost a Connecticut last time I which is very ugly.
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 5: So you would think, well, maybe LA should be in
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 5: a bounced back spot here.
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 2: I'm not so sure because they're returning home to the
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 2: West coast.
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 5: They're going east to west and it's a return home spot,
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 5: so you know how negative that spot is. They've been
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 5: away for a week, they're having a return home, which
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 5: in itself is bad because you get distracted potentially you
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 5: have to get back to home life.
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 2: Whatever.
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 5: They might not overlook Atlanta them because Atlanta is a
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 5: good team, but even so, having to return from a
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 5: road trip plus having to go all the way back
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 5: to the West coast and readjust to the Pacific time
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 5: zone not a good spot LA man. So it's typically
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 5: a spot route fade them. But I Am not going
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 5: to come in on Atlanta here either. Atlanta's already in
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 5: the Pacific time zones. That will be an advantage to
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 5: them because they're already adjusted to the time zone.
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: But they just beat Vegas, man Like when you beat.
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 5: The returning champs in their own house, I think you
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 5: could be in a letdown spot off of that and
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 5: the game prior to that. They had a huge overtime
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 5: game against Indiana, so they're coming off two big games,
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 5: so they could definitely be in a letdown spot here.
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 5: So I'm not going to do anything with it. It's
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 5: I mean, maybe a gamer, maybe you could look towards
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 5: an over I mean, the totals at one hundred and
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 5: eighty and a half, so it's expected to be kind
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 5: of high scoring, even though Atlanta is a good defense,
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 5: LA is not, and LA might control the pace a
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 5: little bit more and maybe just start running. But the
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 5: problem that I have with it, I think Atlanta could
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 5: be ripe for a bad defensive performance like usually that
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 5: happens when you don't have a particularly focused effort.
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 2: It could show up on the defensive side.
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 5: The problem is with LA returning home across country from
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 5: the road trip like that, I think that can affect
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 5: the offense negatively, and the offense might be sluggish a
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 5: little bit early in the game, so I wouldn't really
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 5: want the over here either. High total one eighty and
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 5: a half, it is supposed to.
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 2: Be a high scoring game.
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 5: Money is back in LA sixty percent takes sixty one
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash on Atlanta. Atlanta's laying eight and
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 5: a half, So again, I think a lot of it
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 5: is just the price here, like, oh yeah, let's just
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 5: grab the home underdog because Atlanta will probably be a
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 5: little bit over valued in the market. And it is
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 5: true Atlanta's in a letdown spot, but I can't play
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 5: LA in a return home spot like that, even though
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 5: they should be in a bounce back spot because their
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 5: last loss was really ugly against Connecticut, but with the
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 5: cross country travel, the bad like biological clock spot, I
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 5: can't do it. If you forced me to give you
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 5: a lean, maybe I would lean to La here. So
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 5: maybe I do agree with the market on all three
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 5: sides here, but I'm not gonna There's no way I'm
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 5: gonna do it. So I again, I'm waiting for another
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 5: good spot in the WNBA, and we're the last couple
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 5: of times I've found what I thought was a good spot.
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 2: It didn't even work. But whatever. It's a Thursday.
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 5: Oh, actually, hold on, how could I forget NFL preseason?
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 5: I don't have a whole lot to say here. I mean,
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 5: the first game is on ESPN. It's Vegas in Houston.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 5: Both teams I believe lost their first preseason game pretty
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 5: ugly Vegas to Arizona. Though Arizona, remember, already had a
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 5: game under their belt from the Hall of Fame game,
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 5: so I think Arizona a little bit of an advantage there.
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 2: Houston.
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 5: I think Houston is just going through the motions, like,
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 5: I don't think they care about preseason. I think they
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 5: lost pretty badly to the Chargers, who are also playing today.
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 2: I think I would lean to Vegas in this one, though.
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 5: I mean Vegas is actually favored in Houston here, and
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 5: I think Vegas you're gonna see more of Mendoza here
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 5: because I think the plan is that he won't start
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 5: the season, They won't rush him in as quarterbacks, so
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 5: I think they want to get him out there and
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 5: get him more playing time and see what he can
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 5: do out there. And I think Cousins will start for
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 5: them to start the season and probably won't really see
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 5: this game, but I think.
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 2: That helps Vegas here.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 5: When you have your talented youngster like Vegas is gonna
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 5: just unleash him probably, you know what I mean. If
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 5: he's gonna be out there, they're just gonna want to
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 5: see what he can do. Whereas I don't think Houston's
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 5: really gonna take it seriously. And Houston's got like Davis
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 5: Mills as their backup and whatever, so Houston doesn't really
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 5: have a quarterback that they're gonna be like trying.
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: To see what he has in this game, you know
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 2: what I mean.
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 5: So I think Houston is more likely to go kind
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 5: of vanilla on offense again and just not give a
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 5: shit here. Houston also just lost one of their wide receivers.
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 5: What's his name, Higgins? Yeah, Jaden Higgins. He tore his
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 5: ACL in practice. These Houston's wide receivers are always getting injured, man,
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 5: I mean.
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 2: It's so ridiculous. I don't know.
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 5: But now Davis Mills yet for Houston. He does have experience,
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 5: which is good in preseason. If he is gonna be
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 5: out there, they might use some other quarterbacks as well.
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 5: But I just see Houston going pretty vanilla again here,
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 5: just not caring even though it is another home game
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 5: for them. Vegas has a new coach, remember, as well,
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 5: which I forgot to me.
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: I mentioned it eventually in their first game.
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 5: But I think the combination of having a new coach
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 5: and wanting to see what you have with your new
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 5: first overall draft pick here, I think Vegas is going
• 1:14:17
  Speaker 5: to be taking this game more seriously, so I would
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 5: leave Vegas here. The money doesn't agree with me though,
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 5: sixty percent of tickets eighty nine percent of the cash
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 5: on Houston.
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 2: But that surprises me. You think the public would.
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 5: Just come in on Houston because nobody thinks Vegas is
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 5: that good. Maybe the Mendoza hype is actually that real
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 5: at this point. I don't know, but to me, you
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 5: think the public would think, well, why is Vegas favoring
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 5: on the road here, you know, and low totals today,
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 5: By the way, both totals right on that key number
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 5: thirty seven above that key number of thirty seven. Thirty
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 5: seven and a half. Preseason games usually tend to be
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 5: lower scoring. But again, I think it's more likely that
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 5: the second game is going to be an under than
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 5: the first game, although the money is kind of indicating
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 5: on the over in both games. But I think the
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 5: second game there might be a reasonable look towards an
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 5: under because San Francisco in LA I mean, these teams,
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 5: I think they're both gonna go pretty vanilla here.
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 2: Like San Francisco has a lot of injuries.
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 5: I don't really see them playing a lot of their
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 5: guys here, and the backup quarterbacks are guys that don't
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 5: really need to be worked out here. As far as like,
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 5: it's probably gonna be a decent amount of like Mac
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 5: Jones and Trey Lance, who I think you see on
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 5: San Francisco by the way, those guys have already played
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 5: in the league a lot, So I see both offenses
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 5: year probably going kind of vanilla. You know, you have
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 5: the same coaching regimes here, so they're not gonna go
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 5: out there necessarily trying to win these games. I believe
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 5: the Chargers did beat Houston pretty easily in their first
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 5: preseason game, where San Francisco lost ugly at home to Tennessee.
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 5: But Tennessee I think was another one of those teams
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 5: with the new coach trying to win, you know, where
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 5: San Francisco was not. But I see both these teams
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 5: probably not breaking out a whole bunch of crazy things
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 5: on offense here. So I think the under doesn't make
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 5: sense in the forty nine Er Charger game here. But
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 5: do what you want with all that info. I'm not
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 5: a preseason guy. I'm not playing the preseason. That game
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 5: is on NFL Network. That's all I got here, man,
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 5: mister Pinsey, what's up? Thanks for hanging out. Rangers Nationals under.
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 5: I agree with the under, I would say in the
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 5: first five in that game because I can't back the
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 5: Nationals bullpen. I don't even want to back the Rangers bullpen.
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 5: I think the under makes more sense in that game
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 5: than anything else, but I think it's dangerous, so I
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 5: don't really want to do it. But yeah, I think
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 5: the pitching can outweigh the hitting in that game. But again,
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 5: the bullpen sucks, so it'd have to be a first five.
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 5: In my opinion, you're gonna be looking at three and
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 5: a half, which seems dangerous to me. You can go
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 5: back and see my analysis on it. It'll be it's
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 5: somewhere in the show. I talked about every game play today.
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 5: For me on Thursday, Atlanta, Braves is my only play here,
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 5: and I know it looks too easy, but I think
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 5: the spot sets up well for it. I think you're
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 5: getting the better team at a focused spot here. I
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 5: think you have the better of the two pitchers, even
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 5: though they're both not really good pitchers. But I think
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 5: you get the better of the two and you just
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 5: get the better team, the better bullpen.
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 2: Whatever.
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 5: Braves will be my one player of the day. We
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 5: run a five oh run of the last two days.
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 5: I'm gonna try to keep it up, keep it going here,
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 5: try to get a win today on Thursday. Learn to
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 5: tone on Twitter, and learn a tone on Instagram. Like
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 5: subscribe to the channel here and you'll get notified when
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 5: I go live for some of my football stuff.
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 2: I know I keep promoting it. I gotta do it.
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 2: I will do it.
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 5: I gotta do a college football preview and then an
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 5: NFL preview at some point as well.
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 2: It'll happen. How many days do I have left before
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 2: college starts. I think I have at least a few days,
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 2: so I will do it soon.
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 5: There's a chance I just tried to knock it out
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 5: this afternoon or something to do with the college one.
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 2: We'll see.
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 5: What else do I have to promote here? And the
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 5: NFL went, I'll do as well. And I didn't realize
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 5: I was a week behind in Hard Knocks, by the way,
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 5: so now I'm trying to catch up with the Seattle
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 5: Seahawks Hard Knocks where right now they're I guess in
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 5: the process of trying to assign a felon who got
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 5: kicked off of the Detroit Lions, who's a player that's
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 5: in the secondary. I already forget his name, but I
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 5: don't know. He was charged with armed robbery and kidnapping,
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 5: by the way, so that's great, although he claims that
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 5: he was doing it to get stuff that was stolen
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 5: from him back, So I'm like.
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 2: Is this another OJ situation? OJ did that after.
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 5: He committed the murders, though, so I don't know, and no,
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 5: I'm not an OJ conspiracy guy.
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 2: I think OJ definitely did it. Anyway, what else was
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 2: I gonna say?
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 5: Yeah, listen on audio, Apple, Spotify, Speaker. That helps me
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 5: out as well. Numbers have gone up there recently, so
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 5: I'm happy about that. They're not really doing anything on
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 5: YouTube though, we got a get all this stuff going?
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 2: Man?
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 5: What else do we have covered in you? Because my
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 5: juke channel on YouTube, so you can.
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 2: Check that out.
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 5: I did a Weezer cover for the new album that's
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 5: coming out. Maybe not my greatest work, it's one of
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 5: the new songs.
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 2: The song is too short.
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 5: In my opinion. I like the song, but it's too sure.
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 5: I listened to the album already.
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 2: Because they.
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 5: They had a cassette version of it that actually got
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 5: mailed out first to the people that bought it, so
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 5: in mono and it is. It's a pretty good album,
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 5: to be honest. I'm a fan of Weezer, so I
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 5: don't know. I kind of reviewed it on Twitter recently,
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 5: so you can go check that out too. But yeah,
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 5: it's it's one of their better releases in quite a while.
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 5: So trying to sound like they're old cells to some degree,
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 5: all right, what else? Maybe the mono aspect of it
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 5: made it sound more like that, I don't know, pagroon
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 5: dot com, slash and learn it tot if you want
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 5: to support me that way. Loser cast every Tuesday night,
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 5: and the New York Giants Gee Spot podcast. Who Knows
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 5: That's gonna do it though? Happy Thursday, everybody, the one
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 5: play today. Let's get it peace.
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: If the doc starts talking, hand me the phone at
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: somebody and so, let somebody know.
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 3: You do not have to.
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 4: Lose this round lone. Hold on, hold.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 3: On nothing name not now, hold on, hold on, let
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 3: me pull you out that bad luck by time, but
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 3: it don't get the crown.
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: Hold on hold, stay
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 4: With me, now, hold on hold, You're still here now