Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Nicola Willis: Finance Minister on the impact of the OCR cut and dropping interest rates
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: So good news for mortgage holders. The official cash rate
- 0:02Speaker 1: yesterday dropped by fifty basis points. It's down to three
- 0:05Speaker 1: point seventy five percent. The question is will the banks
- 0:08Speaker 1: pass it on? Well, banks have already started doing that,
- 0:11Speaker 1: and Finance Minister Nichola Willis joins me. Now, hello, Nicola, Hi,
- 0:14Speaker 1: how are you. I'm good good news for us, good
- 0:17Speaker 1: news for mortgage holders. What does it say about our economy?
- 0:21Speaker 2: Well, it says that things are going to get better
- 0:23Speaker 2: for New Zealanders who are worried about the cost of
- 0:25Speaker 2: learning because their mortgages are going to get cheaper. And
- 0:29Speaker 2: the Reserve Bank is confirming the view that the economy
- 0:32Speaker 2: is going to grow this year, which means more people
- 0:35Speaker 2: on jobs, more business is doing well, and more wealth.
- 0:39Speaker 1: And in our economy this is true. The Reserve Bank has
- 0:43Speaker 1: made it clear that there will be more cuts. Do
- 0:45Speaker 1: you believe that because there is an argument that we
- 0:48Speaker 1: shouldn't be going to heart right now, considering the global situation,
- 0:51Speaker 1: considering the baked in non tradable inflation that we've got.
- 0:55Speaker 1: You know, we see rate rises the whole time, we
- 0:57Speaker 1: see water rises the whole time. Do you belie that
- 1:00Speaker 1: there will be more cuts.
- 1:02Speaker 2: Well, the Reserve Bank is forecasting more cuts, that's very clear.
- 1:05Speaker 2: They see that interrast rate reductions will continue for the
- 1:08Speaker 2: year ahead, and that's based on their view that New
- 1:11Speaker 2: Zealand has inflation under control, which is very good news
- 1:15Speaker 2: for all New Zealanders. It means less price rises and
- 1:18Speaker 2: it also means that interest rates can keep coming down.
- 1:21Speaker 2: So if you've got a mortgage or you're a small business,
- 1:24Speaker 2: interest rates are going to keep dropping.
- 1:27Speaker 1: So is the fact that inflation is now under control.
- 1:31Speaker 1: Who should get the credit? Is it because of your
- 1:33Speaker 1: policies and your fiscal management or is it just the
- 1:36Speaker 1: consequence of the Reserve bank squeeze of money supply over
- 1:39Speaker 1: the past two years.
- 1:40Speaker 2: Well, the Reserve Bank has the decision making power when
- 1:43Speaker 2: it comes to reducing interest rates. All we can do
- 1:46Speaker 2: is the government is make it easier for them, and
- 1:48Speaker 2: we have since coming to government, we have been disciplined
- 1:52Speaker 2: about government spending. We went through a period as a
- 1:55Speaker 2: country where the government was spending more than it ever
- 1:58Speaker 2: has even while inflation was driving to generational high as
- 2:03Speaker 2: it was up at more than seven percent, and the
- 2:06Speaker 2: government kept on spending, and that makes it hard for
- 2:08Speaker 2: the Reserve Bank produced infrastrates. So now it's in a
- 2:11Speaker 2: different point of the cycle where it can look at
- 2:14Speaker 2: a government that's saying, well, be restrained, please just drop
- 2:18Speaker 2: interest rates, and.
- 2:19Speaker 1: They are yes, Well, there's good spending and there's bad spending.
- 2:22Speaker 1: And I know. Over the weekend, Engineering New Zealand and
- 2:24Speaker 1: Philip Templar wrote a piece complaining about the lack of
- 2:27Speaker 1: spending on any infrastructure and the fact that because there
- 2:30Speaker 1: is no investment from the government in our infrastructure, we
- 2:32Speaker 1: are losing our best and brightest engineers to Australia and
- 2:36Speaker 1: the rebuild in America. So the question is when will
- 2:39Speaker 1: you start spending.
- 2:41Speaker 2: Well, one of the things that drives me in politics
- 2:44Speaker 2: is wanting new skilled New Zealanders to stay here in
- 2:47Speaker 2: this great country. The factor is that we are spending
- 2:51Speaker 2: more on infrastructure than the previous government was forecasting to do.
- 2:56Speaker 2: We are continuing to invest in building hospitals and building
- 2:59Speaker 2: schools and building roads and we will keep doing so.
- 3:03Speaker 2: We need to also paint a better future for New
- 3:06Speaker 2: Zealanders and that is why we are so focused on
- 3:09Speaker 2: growing the economy so that we can create better opportunities
- 3:13Speaker 2: than the years ahead.
- 3:14Speaker 1: Are we building roads, Yes, we are.
- 3:17Speaker 2: I mean, we just last week opened the new road
- 3:23Speaker 2: in the Hawk's Bay. We've got new roads happening in
- 3:26Speaker 2: christ Church. We've got new roads of national significance happening
- 3:29Speaker 2: across the country. We've got a record investment in the
- 3:32Speaker 2: National Land Transport Fund so that we can build roads
- 3:36Speaker 2: that will make a difference to New Zealander who can
- 3:38Speaker 2: meet from one region to another.
- 3:40Speaker 1: Those roads were ordered by another regime. What I'm asking is,
- 3:43Speaker 1: what are you going to do?
- 3:44Speaker 2: No, we have announced new projects, Andrew.
- 3:47Speaker 1: Yes, but I'm just doing the light rail thing with you.
- 3:50Speaker 1: If you know what I mean. You know we announce projects,
- 3:54Speaker 1: but it's not a project until a side has turned.
- 3:57Speaker 2: Well, you are making a very good point, which is
- 3:59Speaker 2: we did cancel fantasy projects. I don't think anyone in
- 4:02Speaker 2: Auckland thought light rail was actually going to happen. Yes,
- 4:05Speaker 2: there are a lot of people involved in designing it,
- 4:08Speaker 2: but it wasn't ever going to happen. And similarly with
- 4:10Speaker 2: the Lake Conslow hydro project, that was never going to
- 4:13Speaker 2: happen either. We're focusing our resources on projects we will
- 4:17Speaker 2: actually open, and that's roads of national significance, that's big hospitals,
- 4:21Speaker 2: that schools. We're doing things where we invest the resources
- 4:25Speaker 2: and projects we will fund and we will di liver.
- 4:27Speaker 1: Okay, yes you're cutting the spending, but you're still having
- 4:30Speaker 1: to continue the borrowing because we have so we have
- 4:33Speaker 1: huge interest payments. Our dollar has had a year long
- 4:36Speaker 1: slide downward, and I want to know what's that doing
- 4:39Speaker 1: to our debt and its repayment and our economy.
- 4:42Speaker 2: Well, we have a flexible exchange rate, and the plus
- 4:46Speaker 2: side of that is it means that when our dollar
- 4:48Speaker 2: is coming down, our exporters get more for their exporting
- 4:54Speaker 2: and so if you're a dairy farmer or you're a
- 4:56Speaker 2: sheep farmer right now, there is a plus side to that. Overall,
- 5:00Speaker 2: it means that our exchange rate is adjusting to the
- 5:03Speaker 2: circumstances that are happening around the world. New Zealand just
- 5:07Speaker 2: needs to keep doing what it's always done well, which
- 5:09Speaker 2: is selling our beautiful, amazing products around the world for
- 5:14Speaker 2: good prices, and we will keep doing that.
- 5:17Speaker 1: Nikola Willis Finance Minister. I thank you for your time today.
- 5:21Speaker 2: For more from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge, listen live
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