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Episode 278 - 5/14/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:18
  Hello, and welcome to episode 278 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 0:24
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:27
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:35
  Happy Wednesday. We are halfway through our work
• 0:38
  week, guys, halfway through the month of May and something
• 0:42
  something happened today, a bit of an anniversary as sports
• 0:46
  betters. I think we want to be at least
• 0:48
  conscious of kind of the awesome situation we are at at this
• 0:52
  moment in time. And you guys know the drill,
• 0:54
  legalized sports betting. There's a big anniversary today.
• 0:57
  Actually seven years ago today, that was May 14th, 2018 pass but
• 1:03
  was overturned. So this is a Supreme Court
• 1:05
  decision that used to be Christie versus versus New
• 1:08
  Jersey. And then it was, what was it N
• 1:10
  Murphy versus NCAA. But seven years ago today, that
• 1:14
  federal ban on sports betting was reversed.
• 1:17
  And if you remember, it was a six to three Supreme Court
• 1:20
  decision in the whole crux of the matter from a legal
• 1:24
  standpoint. And I'm I'm no lawyer here.
• 1:25
  I'm not going to get into the nitty gritty, but I remember the
• 1:28
  day it happened. I was actually back working for
• 1:31
  a different sports betting company at the time, but that
• 1:33
  was the watershed moment that changed everything for us guys
• 1:36
  because no longer did you have to go offshore Western Union
• 1:39
  money. I'm not saying I did that, but
• 1:41
  maybe some people did to to bet offshore, work through a bookie,
• 1:46
  open the floodgates, legalized betting and now we're up to 39
• 1:49
  States and counting with legalized sports betting.
• 1:52
  But the angle of you know why it got overturned?
• 1:55
  It was all about the anti commandeering law.
• 1:57
  So basically the idea and the argument was, hey, you know, you
• 2:02
  don't have to smoke cigarettes, but you know, you should be able
• 2:05
  to decide if you're an adult, whether or not you want to smoke
• 2:07
  cigarettes or if you want to legalize cannabis.
• 2:11
  It should be up to obviously the people in your state to decide
• 2:14
  on it and vote on it. And same thing with with
• 2:17
  legalized sports betting. You can choose to participate or
• 2:20
  not, but it should at least be up to the will of the people in
• 2:23
  your state to decide what's legal and what's not within
• 2:26
  their borders. So passed was seven years ago
• 2:29
  today gets overturned again. Look at the industry Now.
• 2:32
  I actually when I was working on my new book, which is going to
• 2:36
  the printing press very, very shortly here, I remember writing
• 2:39
  about how in the year 2024, over $150 billion was bet on sports
• 2:45
  and the legal sports, sports books took in revenue of $14
• 2:49
  billion. So just look at how we've
• 2:52
  expanded to a ridiculous degree. And I can just say, you know,
• 2:55
  from legalized betting in my perspective, I love the fact
• 2:57
  that I have legal books. I can pop open my app, bet from
• 3:00
  anywhere, shop for the best line.
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  I would, I would never want to go back to the days of offshores
• 3:05
  and bookies. And hey, we're living in the
• 3:08
  golden age of sports betting, which is great for us who love
• 3:11
  to bet on sports. Now turning the page after the
• 3:14
  pass plus seven-year anniversary for today.
• 3:16
  Maybe that'll bring us some good luck because boy do we need it
• 3:18
  after a pathetic, disgusting night last night.
• 3:20
  Had a nice Monday 3:00 and 1:00 last night O and 4 -, 4 units.
• 3:25
  Nothing went our way. The coup de grace was once again
• 3:29
  Mr. Jeff Hoffman. Jeff Hoffman, I remember blew a
• 3:32
  save for me. Was it about a week ago?
• 3:34
  I think it was against the Angels.
• 3:35
  He did it again last night after Dalton VAR show for the Jays hit
• 3:38
  a huge home run in the eighth inning.
• 3:40
  Give them a was it a 7 to 6 lead going into the 9th and Mr.
• 3:44
  Hoffman comes in, only gets one out and gives up like five runs.
• 3:47
  And actually, the Jays made it interesting in the bottom of the
• 3:49
  ninth, but just another terrible blown save by Hoffman.
• 3:52
  That's baseball for you. Reds and the Yankees both were
• 3:55
  down and forced extras, losing extra innings.
• 3:59
  So baseball was just brutal last night as as some people like to
• 4:02
  say, it's whiskey and a revolver.
• 4:04
  How baseball can just frustrate you.
• 4:07
  And then to make matters worse, Denver, OK, C closing line
• 4:11
  value. We got the 221.
• 4:12
  It closed 221 1/2, even 222. They come up four points short.
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  So again, we just got to keep grinding.
• 4:19
  Had a good Monday, terrible night last night up down,
• 4:22
  treading water. When you're when you're 4 and O,
• 4:24
  you're never as good as you think.
• 4:25
  When you're O and four, you're never as bad as you think or
• 4:27
  beating closing lines. Bullpens are blowing it.
• 4:29
  Teams aren't coming through in extras.
• 4:31
  Hey, we just got to keep grinding.
• 4:33
  So with that being said, on the seven-year anniversary of PASPO
• 4:36
  being overturned, let's get some winners in baseball today.
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  Guys smaller than you. Actually a pretty big slate
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  today. There's some double headers
• 4:42
  going on. But I found three bets overall
• 4:44
  that caught my eye with good line movement, good system
• 4:47
  matches, good bat splits. So we're going to see if we can
• 4:49
  go 2IN1, eek out a winning day. So I wanted to mention real
• 4:54
  quick just the Celtics game because I can just before we get
• 4:56
  to our baseball games. Got a minute here to to vent to
• 4:58
  you a little bit. But really what everyone's
• 5:01
  talking about in Boston. You know, I'm a New Englander,
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  born and raised in Western Mass. I live on the outskirts of
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  Boston. I listen to talk radio every day
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  even though my wife thinks I'm crazy.
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  How, how how can you listen to that?
• 5:11
  All they do is bitch about sports all day.
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  Well, I don't know why I love it.
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  But anyway, is this the end of the Celtics era?
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  I wouldn't be so quick to, you know, dance on their graves.
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  Yet believe it or not, without Jason Tatum pivotal Game 5
• 5:24
  tonight, Celtics are actually favored by 5.
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  Some books were 5 up to 5 1/2. There were some fives down to 4
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  1/2 back up to five. I think the obvious play is just
• 5:33
  take the Knicks in the points know Jason Tatum, but I would
• 5:36
  just be a little cautious because the Knicks are a very
• 5:39
  trendy dog. Looks like a little bit of a
• 5:40
  line freeze on Boston. I wouldn't be surprised if they
• 5:43
  won this game and covered this game.
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  Did I play it? No, but I just wanted to give a
• 5:48
  word of caution because right now with the with the bet splits
• 5:51
  at DraftKings, 67% of bets are on the Knicks.
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  At Circa, it's more 5050, but if you look at the splits from
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  DraftKings, only 33% bets, but 43% money is on the Celtics.
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  And that Circa, only 50% bets, but 63% money is on the Celtics.
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  So do they win? Do they cover?
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  Do they continue to extend their season?
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  We shall see. If you're in Boston like me,
• 6:14
  talk radio is all about, you know, is this the end of the
• 6:16
  Celtics as we know it? Tatum's going to be out for a
• 6:19
  year. Do you trade Jaylen Brown
• 6:21
  Houser, maybe he plays tonight, but you got Drew Holiday and
• 6:25
  Porzingis. Not that you guys care if you're
• 6:27
  not Celtics fans. I know my my friend Maureen
• 6:30
  chases. She's rooting for the Celts
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  here. But let's see what they what
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  they can do. Still got a few good players.
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  Jaylen Brown, now, now is your time to shine.
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  So wouldn't it wouldn't it be just be awesome if the Celtics
• 6:41
  could win tonight and extend the series?
• 6:43
  And again, looks like there's some betters here leaning on the
• 6:45
  Celts as we have kind of a line freeze open around 5 still 5
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  even though public is hammering the Knicks.
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  So we'll see what happens tonight at the Garden.
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  But anyway to our plays here for tonight.
• 6:57
  Let's go right back to Major League Baseball.
• 6:58
  I want to start the first breakdown today in Detroit, 6:40
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  PM Eastern Time, first pitch, the Red Sox visiting the Detroit
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  Tigers. So we have the Tigers coming in
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  28 and 15. I'm still kicking myself for not
• 7:12
  playing their win total going into the air, but they have
• 7:15
  taken the first two games of this three-game series.
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  They won the opener 14 to 2 as a -, 1 O 5 home dog.
• 7:20
  They won again yesterday 8:50 and extra innings as a -, 115
• 7:24
  home favorite. That was brutal because
• 7:26
  Christian Campbell actually had a home run oppo to give him the
• 7:29
  lead and they blew it. So Red Sox dead even 500.
• 7:32
  But man, I can count on one hand probably four or five games
• 7:36
  they've blown, which makes this win total a sweat for me because
• 7:38
  I'm on the over 85 1/2. But anyway, pitch match up for
• 7:42
  the series finale tonight. The Sox are going to go with the
• 7:45
  righty Hunter Dobbins. He's been pretty decent two and
• 7:47
  one 2.78 ERA. You know, the tigers are going
• 7:50
  to go with the lefty and maybe the Cy Young re you know, redo
• 7:54
  here today or this year because he won it last year.
• 7:57
  Tarek Scubal, I believe he's plus 200, the favorite, but you
• 8:01
  have Max freed and crochet kind of close to him.
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  But I'm interested in maybe thinking about Scubal as a Cy
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  Young. He's four and two two point O 8
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  ERA. So what have you seen across the
• 8:10
  market here? Well, this is a big number, but
• 8:12
  I'm laying it. This game opened with Detroit
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  around a -. 200 home favorite Red Sox a + 180 Rd. dog and the
• 8:20
  sharps are not saying hey, this number is, you know, too big,
• 8:23
  you might as well take a plus money payout on Boston.
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  Nope, they're laying it with scuba in Detroit.
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  Detroit open this game -200 They've now been bet up to -220
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  I've seen some shops even get as high as -230 so nothing but
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  steam in favor of the Tigers. If you look at the bet splits,
• 8:39
  pretty good splits here on the Tigers at DraftKings, 85% of
• 8:44
  money line bets, 87% of money line dollars.
• 8:47
  At Circa, they're only 36% of bets are on the Tigers, but
• 8:50
  they're taking into account 76% of money line dollars.
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  So that really is notable to me that out in Vegas, you have kind
• 8:57
  of a contrarian low bets, higher dollar split telling you the
• 8:59
  bigger, sharper wagers are laying the big chalk with the
• 9:02
  Tigers. I have 12 system matches lit up
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  on Detroit. Home favorites off a win with a
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  winning record. They're 98 and 48 this year. 67
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  percent, 7% ROI. Non division home favorites off
• 9:14
  a win with steam $0.05 or more. 72 and 3468% with a 9% ROI.
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  Home favorites -200 or more, 67 and 1780 percent, 12% ROI.
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  Favorites with line movement in their direction who made the
• 9:28
  playoffs the previous year. 150 and 7268% with an 8% ROI.
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  So quite a few systems lit up on Detroit.
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  Detroit also has that classic correlative betting favorite low
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  total. So a big favorite upwards of
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  -220 now with a very low total of 7 and some looks, even juiced
• 9:46
  a little bit to the under. Some looks, I believe even open
• 9:49
  7 1/2 down to seven. So again, when we see the line
• 9:52
  moving toward the favorite and the total is low and getting
• 9:54
  lower, usually that's a situation where maybe you're in
• 9:58
  for hopefully a low scoring favorite win there, maybe 3,
• 10:02
  nothing, something like that. Wouldn't that be nice because
• 10:04
  I'm on Detroit home Rd. splits? Red Sox are only 11 and 13 on
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  the road. Tigers 16 and five at home this
• 10:10
  year and scuba in particular. This is all about scuba.
• 10:13
  Why this line is so high. He's got a 1.38 ERA and two May
• 10:17
  starts this month. He's only given up two runs in
• 10:19
  13 innings. Tigers, meanwhile, 5 and one in
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  his last six starts overall and on the road, 3 point O 4 ERA.
• 10:26
  That's not bad. But at home, 1.13, so I know
• 10:30
  it's a big number. Then we got line movement, bet
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  splits, tons of system matches, home Rd.
• 10:35
  I'm going to back TARC school here today guys, I got Detroit
• 10:38
  again. Shop around because I got -220 I
• 10:41
  know it's a big number, but as always, bet to risk versus bet
• 10:43
  to win. If you're playing the Tigers
• 10:45
  with me, you're not risking 2.2 units to win one unit that'll be
• 10:49
  betting to win. You're just risking your one
• 10:51
  unit trying to get a little less than 1/2 unit back.
• 10:54
  But should still be available at Bet MGM tigers -220 next one for
• 10:59
  you. I'm looking for some revenge
• 11:02
  north of the border because Jeff Hoffman, seriously, I, I don't,
• 11:06
  I don't, I don't want to be that person that like, you know, mean
• 11:08
  tweets, you know, the players when they blow for them.
• 11:11
  But I, I've gotten close because this guy Hoffman keeps blowing
• 11:14
  saves for me, which is very, very frustrating.
• 11:17
  But anyway, I'm going to, I'm going to go right back to the
• 11:19
  scene of the crime, see if we can get some revenge tonight.
• 11:21
  Tampa Bay at Toronto, 7 O 7:00 PM Eastern Time.
• 11:25
  First pitch. We have the Rays coming in 19
• 11:28
  and 22. As I mentioned, broke our hearts
• 11:30
  last night. Junior Caminero hit a Grand Slam
• 11:32
  in the ninth thing. Unbelievable.
• 11:34
  They won 11 to 9 cash as a + 125 Rd. dog.
• 11:38
  In the rematch tonight, the Rays are going to go with the ready
• 11:40
  Ryan Pepeo. He is 2 and four 3.86 ERA.
• 11:44
  Meanwhile, the Jays who are 20 and 21, they're going to go with
• 11:47
  the righty Chris Bassett, he's three and two 3.35 ERA.
• 11:51
  What have we seen across the market here?
• 11:53
  Well, nothing but steam on Toronto.
• 11:56
  The Jays open this game around a -, 140 home favorite Tampa, plus
• 12:00
  120 row dog. And we've seen the Jays now get
• 12:03
  steamed up -140 up to -160 so about a $0.20 steam move in
• 12:08
  favor of Toronto. That's what's look pretty sharp
• 12:11
  on the Jays. 70% bets 81% dollars at DraftKings, 69% bets
• 12:17
  99% dollars at Circa. So both books National
• 12:21
  DraftKings and Sharp Vegas circa both showing good low bets,
• 12:26
  higher dollars, higher dollar splits in favor of Toronto.
• 12:30
  Toronto. I have 8 system matches lit up
• 12:33
  home favorites off a loss, the bounce back 94 and 5663% this
• 12:38
  year. 4% ROI when both teams are below 500.
• 12:41
  Take the favorite 50 and 2170 percent, 14% ROI.
• 12:46
  Home favorites -150 or more 128 and 5570% with a 4% ROI.
• 12:52
  And we also have below 500 favorites playing an opponent
• 12:56
  who missed the playoffs the previous year.
• 12:58
  That system is 95 and 5464 percent, 5% ROI.
• 13:02
  In particular if you're a home favorite.
• 13:05
  I'm starting to do a little little bit more digging into my
• 13:07
  database on like series situations.
• 13:09
  And I was just thinking to myself, hey, you know what?
• 13:11
  If you're a favorite in game two of a series after you lost game
• 13:14
  one, well, I dialed that up in my database and came up with a
• 13:18
  pretty good number. Home favorites who lost the
• 13:21
  series opener have gone 29 and 1664 percent, 9% ROI in the
• 13:26
  second game of that series. So that would match with
• 13:29
  Toronto. Toronto is another favorite.
• 13:31
  Low total correlative betting. Again, lines moving in their
• 13:34
  favor up to -160 total in this game is 8.
• 13:37
  Jays do have the hotter bats. Over the last 10 games they're
• 13:40
  hitting 292. Last 10 games for the Rays
• 13:43
  hitting 225 and Chris Bassett, 3.99 ERA on the road, but he's
• 13:48
  at home tonight. 2.2 OERA. So we have a revenge play.
• 13:53
  Toronto let us down last night. Jeff Hoffman, you're dead to me.
• 13:56
  But tonight we have the same match up yet.
• 13:59
  We got a steam move on Toronto. Really good bet splits, tons of
• 14:02
  system matches. I'm going to bank on Toronto
• 14:04
  hopefully to get back on track. I got the Jays -160 at Caesar's
• 14:10
  last night of the night. Let's go out to the West Coast
• 14:13
  LA Angels visiting the San Diego Padres, 9:40 PM Eastern Time,
• 14:17
  first pitch. This is the rubber match of a
• 14:20
  three-game series. They split the first two.
• 14:22
  We saw the Angels, who are 17 and 24, take the opener 9:00 to
• 14:26
  5:00. They cashed as a big plus 185
• 14:28
  row dog. Padres, meanwhile, 26 and 15,
• 14:32
  they bounced back with a six to four win yesterday, came back
• 14:35
  late in the game, won that game and took care of business as a
• 14:38
  -, 225 home favorite. So pitch a match up for tonight.
• 14:42
  We got the Halos going with the righty Kyle Hendricks.
• 14:45
  He's one and four 5.3 OERA. Meanwhile, the pods are going to
• 14:48
  go with the righty Randy Vasquez.
• 14:50
  He's two and three 3.76 ERA. So what have you seen across the
• 14:54
  market here? Well, this game opens pretty
• 14:57
  hefty favorite for San Diego around a -. 175 home favorite.
• 15:00
  LA around a + 155 Rd. dog and pros are laying in the wood.
• 15:05
  They don't seem to be scared by this big number.
• 15:07
  They've steamed the Padres up -175 up to -185 some shops even
• 15:13
  as high as -190 I got San Diego -184 at FanDuel.
• 15:18
  Lots of systems here. I got 14 lit up on San Diego
• 15:22
  home favorites off a win with a winning record.
• 15:25
  Or sorry, I forgot to mention the bet splits at DraftKings.
• 15:27
  85% of money line bets in dollars on the Padres and at
• 15:31
  circa around 70% of money line bets and dollars on the pods.
• 15:35
  So that's kind of a one way pro and Joe heavy bets split in
• 15:38
  favor of San Diego. Now, as I mentioned, all these
• 15:41
  systems start off with home favorites off a win with a
• 15:44
  winning record 98 and 4867 percent, 7% ROI this year.
• 15:49
  Interleague home favorites who made the playoffs the previous
• 15:51
  season, 39 and 1868 percent, 13% ROI.
• 15:56
  Favorites with line movement in their direction who made the
• 15:58
  playoffs the previous season, 150 and 7267 percent, 8% ROI.
• 16:04
  Then also non division home favorites off a win with steam
• 16:07
  $0.05 or more, 72 and 3468% with a 9% ROI.
• 16:12
  Pods meanwhile going to make on their offense hopefully getting
• 16:15
  to Hendrix tonight. They're hitting two 65191 run
• 16:19
  scored. Angels only hitting 216 with 157
• 16:22
  run scored. Home Rd. splits seem to favor
• 16:25
  San Diego 15 and five at home. LA is only 8 and 14 on the road.
• 16:30
  Padres do have the better bullpen, although they did blow
• 16:33
  it in the opening game of the series, but they have an ERA of
• 16:36
  3.32 out of the pen. That's 7th best in baseball.
• 16:39
  Angels dead last worst bullpen. 7 point O 7 ERA San Diego,
• 16:44
  meanwhile, hitting 263 at home. That's six best in baseball.
• 16:47
  LA only hitting 214 on the road that ranks 28th and in
• 16:51
  particular home Rd. splits for these pitchers.
• 16:53
  Hopefully an edge here for San Diego because Vasquez on the
• 16:57
  road 4.76 ERA, but at home 2.3 O.
• 17:01
  And conversely, Kyle Hendricks at home, he's been decent 3.57
• 17:06
  ERA, but he's on the road tonight and on the road he has
• 17:09
  an ERA of seven. So hopefully this is making or
• 17:12
  shaping up for the Padres bats to get to LA.
• 17:16
  Also did notice the Padres just got Jackson Merrill back, who's
• 17:18
  one of my favorite young players in baseball.
• 17:21
  But anyway, guys open as a big relatively big favorite.
• 17:25
  Gotten steamed even higher Bat split system matches, home Rd.
• 17:28
  splits. I'm going with the fathers.
• 17:30
  Let's go dads. I got a -, 184 at FanDuel.
• 17:34
  So Detroit, Toronto and San Diego.
• 17:35
  Can we get 2 out of 3 and eke out a winning night?
• 17:39
  That is the goal for tonight. So that about does it for
• 17:42
  episode 278 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
• 17:46
  powered by Rhythm. Of course.
• 17:47
  This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and I
• 17:50
  start first by saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
• 17:53
  out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
• 17:55
  the virtual bar and sweat sharp, data-driven breakdowns with me
• 17:58
  each day. Good day, bad day, you guys,
• 18:01
  TuneIn. That means the world to me
• 18:02
  because that tells me that even though we want the results, we
• 18:04
  want to have big winning nights every night, we got to be
• 18:07
  realistic and know that sports betting is difficult.
• 18:09
  It ain't easy, but it goes to show me that you guys are
• 18:12
  embracing the process in the in the breakdown.
• 18:15
  So that means the world. But if you enjoy the pod, please
• 18:18
  could you help me grow this podcast by giving it a five star
• 18:21
  review on Spotify or iTunes? If you want to click the review
• 18:24
  button and leave a nice little comment, you enjoy the
• 18:27
  breakdowns, whatever, that'll be much appreciated.
• 18:30
  And then also if you want to recommend the pod to a friend or
• 18:33
  click that follow button, that way you get alerted as soon as
• 18:36
  it drops each day, that will be awesome as well.
• 18:39
  Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
• 18:42
  sharp contrary and betting win, lose or draw, you're learning
• 18:45
  how to read the market, identify where the smart money is
• 18:48
  flowing, figure out how to go contrarian, looking at betting
• 18:51
  system matches and splits. If this style betting has
• 18:54
  appealed to you and you've seen some some results and you want
• 18:57
  to learn more about data-driven betting, or maybe you have a
• 18:59
  friend or colleague or family member who likes to bet on
• 19:02
  sports but just throws darts, just bets based on opinion and
• 19:06
  maybe loves betting but doesn't get the results they're looking
• 19:08
  for. You know you should do, you
• 19:10
  should go to Amazon.com and type in the everything guide to
• 19:14
  sports betting. That's the first book ever
• 19:16
  wrote. Very proud of it, but it's got
• 19:18
  everything I've learned in the industry, how lines are set, how
• 19:20
  and why they move, how to read line movement, how to locate
• 19:22
  sharp action, how to place a bet in person or online, how to go
• 19:26
  contrarian, how to set up a bankroll management plan.
• 19:28
  It's really geared toward brand new betters, but even people who
• 19:32
  might be, you know, relatively intermediate betters might
• 19:35
  benefit as well with some good systems and and little tips and
• 19:39
  strategies. While you're at it, stay on
• 19:42
  Amazon. Once you pick up the everything
• 19:43
  guide, then type in the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook.
• 19:47
  It's my new book comes out August 12th.
• 19:49
  We are now less than three months away, which is crazy
• 19:52
  because I've been working on this for over three years and
• 19:54
  it's been a bit of a process. But we're getting closer and
• 19:57
  closer to the debut. But if you want to support the
• 19:59
  team and pre-order a copy of the NFL sharp betting playbook, you
• 20:03
  would really make my day and make my publisher triumph books
• 20:06
  very happy as well. But you'll bring the Everything
• 20:09
  Guide and the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook to the sports book.
• 20:12
  I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale or a Diet Coke.
• 20:15
  We got some nachos, we'll put some games together.
• 20:17
  How does that sound next? Have you downloaded Rhythm or
• 20:21
  juice Reel yet? And or Rhythm or Juice Reel?
• 20:23
  Well, you should if you haven't done it yet, because these are
• 20:26
  my two favorite sports betting apps on the market.
• 20:28
  They do a fantastic job of giving us just another box to
• 20:32
  check off when we're looking through our data checklist.
• 20:34
  Rhythm, of course, helping us power this pod rhythm also has
• 20:38
  I'll tease it a little bit, but I'm now a beta tester for some
• 20:41
  of their updates in the app and I can just tell you they look
• 20:43
  fantastic. But rhythm is great for their AI
• 20:46
  backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 20:49
  And then juice rail where you can throw a $5.00 bill in the
• 20:52
  tip jar. If you enjoy this pod, which
• 20:54
  it's free, you know what you should do.
• 20:56
  You should sign up to get the all systems go best bet picks on
• 21:00
  juice reel. You can just sign up from the
• 21:02
  link that I tweet out each out late afternoon.
• 21:04
  You can also just download juice reel and go to the buy sell tab
• 21:07
  and search ASG under score podcast.
• 21:10
  But it's 5 bucks a week and and you'll get those plays and
• 21:14
  hopefully you beat some closing lines along the way.
• 21:16
  But also with Juice Reel, you're going to get the robo Jackson
• 21:18
  best bet picks, the sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage plays,
• 21:21
  the shop for the best line futures.
• 21:23
  Sync up your sports books, get a running report card of your
• 21:26
  action and actual dollar and bet breakdowns.
• 21:30
  Real money, real bets from everyone who has synced their
• 21:32
  sports books to the app for every single game, which I think
• 21:35
  is always a cool feature. But again, download rhythm,
• 21:38
  download Juice reel, give them a five star view in the App Store
• 21:41
  and you'll be off and running with two great sports betting
• 21:44
  apps. Next, do you have a live odds
• 21:47
  page? Well, if you don't, you need one
• 21:50
  because I don't know how you're betting on sports without
• 21:51
  knowing all the games available to you that day.
• 21:54
  The opening numbers, all the current lines, shopping for the
• 21:56
  best line, finding that best price, getting the complete line
• 22:00
  history which can show you all the moves in between.
• 22:03
  Get all your sports books linked up, your notifications.
• 22:06
  There are a lot of live odds pages out there, but I would
• 22:08
  highly recommend giving Odds Logic a shot.
• 22:11
  I've partnered with Odds Logic because I believe in them and I
• 22:14
  use their product myself. It's a great live odds page.
• 22:17
  It's clean, it's crisp, it's got all the games, all the different
• 22:19
  sports books. A lot of live odds pages don't
• 22:22
  have Pinnacle or Circa. Those are two huge market
• 22:24
  setting books. So when they're they're moving,
• 22:26
  you know the whole market's about to move.
• 22:28
  That's a huge benefit of Odds Logic.
• 22:31
  But if you want to give it a shot, maybe you have an odds
• 22:33
  page that's delayed or doesn't give you a lot of books, or
• 22:37
  maybe you have one that's just way too expensive, then give
• 22:41
  Odds Logic a shot. Just go to oddslogic.com slash
• 22:45
  Josh 123 again, that's odds logic.com/josh 123 and you'll
• 22:51
  get 50% off your first month and then you'll also get a 7 day
• 22:55
  free trial. And again, if you have any
• 22:57
  questions about the book juice reel, you know, rhythm or odds
• 23:03
  logic, you can always DM me on Twitter.
• 23:05
  I'll be happy to help you in any way that I can at Josh under
• 23:08
  score insights. So that about does it for
• 23:11
  today's pod do or die Celtics passport anniversary lot going
• 23:16
  on in the world, of course. But I'll leave you with a couple
• 23:18
  things as we always do. One, whether I see you at the
• 23:21
  Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
• 23:24
  Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
• 23:26
  Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park,
• 23:29
  Casino, Ram Jam, Springfield or the Nash in National New
• 23:32
  Hampshire in my neck of the woods.
• 23:34
  Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get down
• 23:37
  or Billy Walters sends his number runners where the lowest
• 23:39
  juice possible is found at the South Point or sweat and sharp
• 23:42
  contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool.
• 23:45
  When you catch a big ticket at Circa, you know what you're
• 23:47
  going to do. You're going to take all those
• 23:48
  tickets from last night, RIP them up, recycle them.
• 23:51
  Don't throw them in the trash. You know, recycle them.
• 23:54
  Do the right thing. But man, VAR show almost being a
• 23:57
  hero, Hoffman blowing it, Reds and Yankees both force extras
• 24:01
  only to lose an extras, beat the closing line with Denver OKC
• 24:04
  over only to have it come up short.
• 24:06
  That's betting guys. You got to have thick skin.
• 24:09
  It's not my first O in Fortnite. It won't be my last.
• 24:11
  But we just got to stick to the model, stick to the blueprint,
• 24:14
  not overreact and see if we can have a bounce back night here
• 24:17
  for tonight. So as always, stay sharp, stay
• 24:21
  contrarian, bet against the public, place yourself on the
• 24:23
  side of the house. Always be with the smart money,
• 24:25
  never against it. Will smart money win every time?
• 24:28
  No, but here's the thing, it's going to win a majority of the
• 24:30
  time long term, which is why you always want to be with the smart
• 24:33
  money. So O and four, four and O2 and
• 24:36
  2-3 and one, one and three high, low up, down, treading water.
• 24:40
  We just got to continue to grind, manage our bankroll with
• 24:43
  some discipline and see if the brakes can go our way here for
• 24:46
  tonight, guys. So I hope you have a great
• 24:49
  Wednesday night. We'll be right back at it
• 24:51
  tomorrow for a big episode 279 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 24:56
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 24:59
  Good luck, everybody. Go Celts and let's see we get
• 25:02
  some winners on a diamond. Good luck.