Latest / Upper Hand Fantasy / 2026 Week 5 Start/Sit: 21 Lineup Calls Plus QB and TE Streamers
Transcript
- 0:00SPEAKER_00: Alright, we're four weeks in injuries are piling up.
- 0:02SPEAKER_00: By weeks are already here, and I know a lot of you are staring at your lineup right now with two or three spots where you honestly don't know which way to go.
- 0:08SPEAKER_00: So that's what this one's for.
- 0:09SPEAKER_00: I've got a lot of players to talk about in this one.
- 0:12SPEAKER_00: Starts, desperate starts if your bench is getting thin, sits, and then some quarterback and tight end streamers at the very end.
- 0:17SPEAKER_00: There's a receiver in here I think is about to have a Tetaro and McMillan type week and a running back, a lot of you are auto-starting that I'm sitting.
- 0:24SPEAKER_00: So that's what we're doing today.
- 0:25SPEAKER_00: Let's get right into it.
- 0:26SPEAKER_00: All right, let's begin with a few of our starts.
- 0:28SPEAKER_00: And I want to start at tight end because Isaiah likely has quietly made one of the best stories of the season.
- 0:33SPEAKER_00: 31% target share leads every tight end in football through four weeks.
- 0:36SPEAKER_00: He was up at 41% just last week from Jameis Winston.
- 0:39SPEAKER_00: And for the season, neighbors is next close is at just 24% target share.
- 0:44SPEAKER_00: He gets Washington this week, who's top eight in yards, touchdowns, and points per game allowed to tight ends.
- 0:49SPEAKER_00: And the matchup is great schematically too.
- 0:51SPEAKER_00: Likely has the third highest target rate and the sixth most yards per route run among tight ends against too high safety coverage.
- 0:56SPEAKER_00: And the commanders run too high at the highest rate in the league.
- 0:59SPEAKER_00: He's a lot in loaded tight end.
- 1:01SPEAKER_00: Let's move to a running back that I really like this week.
- 1:02SPEAKER_00: That's Aaron Jones going up against the Saints.
- 1:04SPEAKER_00: His workload has been about as good as it gets without Jordan Mace.
- 1:08SPEAKER_00: He's been top five in snap share, rush attempt share, target share, and he's basically on the field for every possible play type.
- 1:13SPEAKER_00: And the Saints, they've given up the most fantasy points, yards, and touchdowns per game to running backs, plus the most yards per carry and fantasy points per opportunity.
- 1:21SPEAKER_00: And now obviously some of that is who they actually played, right?
- 1:24SPEAKER_00: Jameer Gibbs in week one, B.
- 1:25SPEAKER_00: John Robinson last week, but Rob Brian Robinson did well too, right?
- 1:28SPEAKER_00: But think about this for a second.
- 1:30SPEAKER_00: Jones hasn't scored a single touchdown since Jordan Mason went down, even with all the work that he's got.
- 1:35SPEAKER_00: So he's walking, you know, into a matchup that just gave up five rushing touchdowns to running backs last week.
- 1:41SPEAKER_00: So he's been pretty safe to start, and this week I think he comes with a ton of upside.
- 1:44SPEAKER_00: I'm starting Quinchon Juckens against the Jets this week.
- 1:46SPEAKER_00: His usage has quietly been pretty good.
- 1:49SPEAKER_00: Top 10 in the league in backfield carry share.
- 1:51SPEAKER_00: He's first among qualifying running backs in target rate, which is kind of surprising.
- 1:55SPEAKER_00: That's gotten him top 10 target share at the position as well.
- 1:58SPEAKER_00: The matchup's pretty good too.
- 1:59SPEAKER_00: The Jets are top three in points and yards per game allowed to running backs, top 10 in yards per carry and touchdowns as well.
- 2:04SPEAKER_00: The Browns are two and a half point dogs, and I think that just means that the game is gonna be close enough for him to rack up volume.
- 2:09SPEAKER_00: So, you know, his offense isn't amazing, but it's improved enough.
- 2:12SPEAKER_00: And Junkins, I think, is a solid RB2 this week.
- 2:14SPEAKER_00: DeAndre Swift going up against the Packers.
- 2:16SPEAKER_00: I'm starting him, man.
- 2:17SPEAKER_00: I know some of you are panicking around Swift being benched and Kyle Manongai racking up those 30 carries and performing with those carries last week.
- 2:23SPEAKER_00: And I want to address that because I really don't think you need to worry.
- 2:27SPEAKER_00: The way I see this is Swift's benching after the fumble was Ben Johnson sending a message more than showing uh, you know, a preference between him and Manongai.
- 2:34SPEAKER_00: He acknowledged Ben Johnson acknowledged that this is not something that has been a problem with Swift through his career, and the message was sent.
- 2:41SPEAKER_00: So I think they just move on.
- 2:43SPEAKER_00: The punishment was already applied last week.
- 2:45SPEAKER_00: Through the first three games, Swift was leading the backfield 65 to 35% wise uh in snaps and taking 60% of the carries to Manongai's 30% of the carries.
- 2:55SPEAKER_00: So Swift also had all six of the backfield's goal line carries up until that point, and Monongai had zero until he got six this past week.
- 3:03SPEAKER_00: So maybe he doesn't reset all the way back uh this week, but Swift was also a little bit banged up coming in.
- 3:09SPEAKER_00: Uh and that Jets game was well in hand.
- 3:11SPEAKER_00: So letting Manongai close it out makes sense.
- 3:13SPEAKER_00: I expect this to kind of settle back to what we saw early.
- 3:17SPEAKER_00: Um, you know, the matchup is great too.
- 3:19SPEAKER_00: Green Bay is allowing the second most fantasy points, yards, touchdowns per game to running backs.
- 3:23SPEAKER_00: Um, Swift's still the guy, and I'm still starting him.
- 3:26SPEAKER_00: So Jalen Warren up against the Colts.
- 3:27SPEAKER_00: So you got to keep an eye on Rico Daddle's foot injury.
- 3:30SPEAKER_00: But honestly, though, Warren has made the case these last two games that he's the better bag.
- 3:33SPEAKER_00: I'm starting him.
- 3:34SPEAKER_00: He's averaging 151 yards per game without Dattle.
- 3:37SPEAKER_00: Last week the Steelers ran 71 offensive plays, and Warren was on the field for 69 of them.
- 3:42SPEAKER_00: Okay, that's a 97% snap share.
- 3:44SPEAKER_00: He's first in backfield carry share, second in route participation over these past two games.
- 3:48SPEAKER_00: Now, Mike McCarthy did say that they will go back to a split once Rico's back, but Rico's status is also up in the air, apparently.
- 3:55SPEAKER_00: I'm starting Warren regardless this week because of the fact that, you know, it doesn't seem like Daddle would be uh, you know, 100% either way.
- 4:03SPEAKER_00: The matchup's great.
- 4:04SPEAKER_00: Indy's top 10 in fantasy points and touchdowns allowed to running backs, third and receiving yards allowed per game.
- 4:09SPEAKER_00: Um, you know, Warren top four in receiving yards among running backs right now.
- 4:13SPEAKER_00: So that plays into his favor.
- 4:15SPEAKER_00: If Daddle's out, he's a fringe RB1.
- 4:17SPEAKER_00: And if Daddle plays, I don't know how they go back to a 50-50 split this week.
- 4:20SPEAKER_00: So I think he's a solid RB2 with real RB1 ceiling either way.
- 4:25SPEAKER_00: I'm starting Emmanuel Wilson once again against the 49ers.
- 4:27SPEAKER_00: Now the matchup is average, but this one is all about the volume that he's getting right now, right?
- 4:31SPEAKER_00: Judarian Price is on IR.
- 4:33SPEAKER_00: Uh Wilson was up to 70% backfield carry share and a 35% route participation, uh, plus 21% target share in all the two-minute snaps last week.
- 4:42SPEAKER_00: The 49ers have not been a great matchup for running backs on the ground, but through the air, different story.
- 4:46SPEAKER_00: Uh, first in receptions, second in receiving yards per game allowed to running backs.
- 4:50SPEAKER_00: So, with that type of role where he's running those types of routes and getting targeted, I'm starting him in basically any matchup with that type of role.
- 4:58SPEAKER_00: And the receiving work gives him a nice path to a big week.
- 5:00SPEAKER_00: I'm starting Braylon Allen this week against the Browns.
- 5:03SPEAKER_00: Last week was weird.
- 5:04SPEAKER_00: The Jets ran fewer plays than the Bears had first downs, which is an outlier that's not happening again.
- 5:09SPEAKER_00: But you look at what Allen did inside this game, right?
- 5:11SPEAKER_00: 94% of snaps, 100% of the team's rushing attempts, and Isaiah Davis was active and available in that game.
- 5:18SPEAKER_00: So, you know, game and a half sample here, you know, with Bruce Hall out, but that type of usage should be in your lineup regardless of the matchup.
- 5:24SPEAKER_00: In this case, the matchup isn't bad at all.
- 5:26SPEAKER_00: The Browns are top eight in rush yards per game allowed, top five in yards per carry allowed.
- 5:30SPEAKER_00: Vegas expects a close game in this one, so Allen should stay involved throughout.
- 5:34SPEAKER_00: If that bell cover holds, he can have a huge day.
- 5:37SPEAKER_00: I think someone who's gonna have a ridiculously huge day and who I'm starting all day long is Michael Wilson going up against the Lions.
- 5:42SPEAKER_00: You know, remember Tedor McMillan, he had a 40-point game last week against the Lions.
- 5:46SPEAKER_00: That's basically what I think is coming for Michael Wilson.
- 5:49SPEAKER_00: And honestly, like I'm including him here just to remind everyone that he's basically a must-start wide receiver.
- 5:54SPEAKER_00: You didn't draft him as one, obviously, but right now he is a wide receiver one start.
- 5:59SPEAKER_00: He's got a 36% target share and 30 targets over the last two games that leads the team by a mile, even over Trey McBride.
- 6:06SPEAKER_00: The matchup is straight fire.
- 6:07SPEAKER_00: Like the Lions are top three in receptions, yards, and fantasy points per game allowed to wide receivers.
- 6:11SPEAKER_00: And Wilson absolutely feast against single high coverage, which Detroit runs at the ninth highest rate, third highest target rate in the league against it at 36%, and then 2.56 yards per route run against single high coverage for Wilson, opposed to just 0.91 against two high.
- 6:28SPEAKER_00: So that's a massive difference.
- 6:29SPEAKER_00: So schematically, he has a big advantage in this one.
- 6:32SPEAKER_00: Vegas obviously expecting fireworks in this game, 54 and a half game total.
- 6:36SPEAKER_00: He's by he has to be like a start of the week, right?
- 6:39SPEAKER_00: This week.
- 6:39SPEAKER_00: So you got to fire him up.
- 6:40SPEAKER_00: Let's start with Will Shipley against the Jaguars.
- 6:43SPEAKER_00: Now, the matchup kind of sucks, but Shipley's known for his receiving usage, right?
- 6:46SPEAKER_00: And the Eagles are down multiple weapons right now.
- 6:49SPEAKER_00: So the fact that Jacksonville's given up the most receiving yards per game and the second most receptions to running backs could help him overcome the tough overall matchup.
- 6:57SPEAKER_00: The Eagles are also six and a half point underdogs, so this could be a lot less running and a lot more throwing.
- 7:02SPEAKER_00: Maybe he becomes an extension of the passing game with those check downs given the offensive line issues.
- 7:06SPEAKER_00: And that's Shipley's bread and butter, right?
- 7:08SPEAKER_00: I mean, I'm not dying to start him.
- 7:09SPEAKER_00: This offense hasn't been good lately.
- 7:11SPEAKER_00: Um, you know, they just lost Cam Jurgens and uh Lane Johnson in the same week, but maybe that means more check downs as an extension of the run game, right?
- 7:19SPEAKER_00: So if you're desperate, he's worth a look.
- 7:21SPEAKER_00: Roman Wilson's pretty interesting against Indy this week.
- 7:24SPEAKER_00: He's come through these last two weeks, kind of living and dying by touchdowns, but Rodgers is looking for him exactly six times per game uh four weeks in a row.
- 7:31SPEAKER_00: The Colts, you know, have actually been tough against perimeter wide receivers this year, where DK Metcalf runs most of his routes.
- 7:37SPEAKER_00: They're allowing the second fewest fantasy points to those outside receivers this year, believe it or not.
- 7:42SPEAKER_00: But the slot, they've allowed the second most fantasy points to slot receivers.
- 7:45SPEAKER_00: So Wilson has a bit of an advantage this week.
- 7:48SPEAKER_00: You know, not only that, but 2.3 yards per route run against single high coverage for him versus only 1.03 against too high.
- 7:55SPEAKER_00: And the Colts run the 10th most single high coverage in the NFL.
- 7:58SPEAKER_00: So, you know, not the worst desperate start in the world.
- 8:00SPEAKER_00: I'll fire I'd fire him up if you are desperate.
- 8:02SPEAKER_00: Another one is Antonio Williams going up against the Giants.
- 8:05SPEAKER_00: Now, a couple things need to be true here, right?
- 8:06SPEAKER_00: Terry McLaurin probably needs to be out.
- 8:08SPEAKER_00: Just keep in mind that Stefan Diggs is also dealing with the hamstring injury.
- 8:11SPEAKER_00: It looks like Jaden Daniels is gonna play, so that's that's good.
- 8:14SPEAKER_00: It's kind of like lining up, you know, for a decent week for Williams, um, depending on you know how many of these receivers are gonna be out.
- 8:22SPEAKER_00: But with McLaurin out last week, Williams actually tied Diggs for the team lead with a 24% target share.
- 8:27SPEAKER_00: He moved into a near full-time route roll.
- 8:29SPEAKER_00: Um he also had an 80-something yard touchdown call back.
- 8:33SPEAKER_00: So Williams has been efficient enough against all type of coverage this year.
- 8:36SPEAKER_00: Single high, two high, doesn't matter.
- 8:38SPEAKER_00: Like he's had at least a 23% target rate.
- 8:40SPEAKER_00: Uh, that's the target per route run against single and too high coverage.
- 8:44SPEAKER_00: He's running his routes, he's also running his routes like 50-50 inside out, and that matters too because the Giants allow the third fewest slot points per game to receivers, but the fifth most to perimeter receivers.
- 8:56SPEAKER_00: And if McLaurin and Diggs sit or one of them, Williams could be a primary outside receiver this week.
- 9:02SPEAKER_00: Romo Dunsey against the Packers.
- 9:04SPEAKER_00: Another desperate start here.
- 9:05SPEAKER_00: His target share has actually gone up every single week this year.
- 9:08SPEAKER_00: And last week he hit a season high 20% share that was tied with Luther Burden for the team lead, but he did get more air yards.
- 9:14SPEAKER_00: And Tyson Badgant, you know, throwing him the ball, you know, they seem to have a little bit of a rapport.
- 9:18SPEAKER_00: Six catches for 94 yards.
- 9:20SPEAKER_00: Uh it was a pretty run-heavy game script and a tough matchup on paper.
- 9:24SPEAKER_00: Um, but it's Badgent again this week, and Green Bay looks tough on paper as well, but they're actually top 10 in fantasy points per game allowed to perimeter receivers.
- 9:32SPEAKER_00: And Odunse averages 2.51 yards per route run against too high safety coverage.
- 9:36SPEAKER_00: That's 22nd among all receivers, by the way, which is pretty good.
- 9:39SPEAKER_00: Um, and Green Bay runs too high at the sixth highest rate.
- 9:43SPEAKER_00: So if you need a deep start, he's got a shot at stringing two good games together here.
- 9:46SPEAKER_00: Next up is Trey Harris against the Broncos.
- 9:48SPEAKER_00: So the Chargers obviously have been bad.
- 9:50SPEAKER_00: They've been really bad offensively, but Lab McConkey's iffy with that foot injury, right?
- 9:54SPEAKER_00: Um, and with McConkey outmost of last week's game, Harris's role actually jumped to 91% route participation.
- 10:00SPEAKER_00: Uh, he's led the team in target share this season overall, which is kind of crazy.
- 10:04SPEAKER_00: And apparently Quentin Johnston also is dealing with a chest injury.
- 10:07SPEAKER_00: So monitor that.
- 10:08SPEAKER_00: But now, like Harris is going against a Broncos defense without Pats or Tan, which is obviously a big hit to that secondary.
- 10:14SPEAKER_00: And by the way, Harris is actually top 15 in yards per route run against single high safety coverage, where he's earning targets at a 24% rate, and the Broncos run single high at a top 12 rate.
- 10:24SPEAKER_00: So the Chargers have also run the eighth most plays while trailing as well.
- 10:28SPEAKER_00: So there should be some passing volume here.
- 10:30SPEAKER_00: He's a sneaky star from McConkey's out.
- 10:32SPEAKER_00: Another receiver you might want to consider is Romeo Dobbs against the Raiders.
- 10:34SPEAKER_00: He has a huge coverage split.
- 10:36SPEAKER_00: He averages 3.05 yards per route run against two high safety coverage versus just 0.74 against single high.
- 10:43SPEAKER_00: And the Raiders run too high at the 10th highest rate.
- 10:46SPEAKER_00: His target share also jumped to 27% last week with Mac Collins missing some time.
- 10:50SPEAKER_00: He caught two touchdowns.
- 10:51SPEAKER_00: And if Matt Collins misses again this week, I think there are more looks to go around.
- 10:55SPEAKER_00: Drake may look a lot more like last year's version of himself against the Bills.
- 10:58SPEAKER_00: So let's hope he can string you know a few of these games together.
- 11:01SPEAKER_00: Dobbs is really nothing more than an upside flex play, but you know, sneaky, workable matchup here.
- 11:05SPEAKER_00: Dante Myers against the Dolphins.
- 11:07SPEAKER_00: Who?
- 11:08SPEAKER_00: Bengals wide receiver, Dante Myers.
- 11:10SPEAKER_00: Now, this one obviously comes down to Jamar Chase and T.
- 11:12SPEAKER_00: Higgins.
- 11:12SPEAKER_00: Apparently, Chase is back at practice on Thursday.
- 11:14SPEAKER_00: Um, so there is a chance he can clear concussion protocol before his game on Sunday.
- 11:18SPEAKER_00: But Myers ran 93% of the routes last week, 17% target share overall.
- 11:23SPEAKER_00: But, you know, once Chase left the field, he had six targets, five catches, 51 yards.
- 11:27SPEAKER_00: And once Higgins went down as well, he added another two targets, you know, one catch and 15 yards.
- 11:32SPEAKER_00: So he was clearly Burroughs' favorite target once those two were off the field, especially when you know, when when Jamar was off the field, he was actually actually able to get some targets.
- 11:41SPEAKER_00: So, you know, Myers could be the Bengals wide receiver one this week.
- 11:45SPEAKER_00: Um, keep an eye on you know Chase and Higgins' status.
- 11:48SPEAKER_00: I think he's worth a dart throw.
- 11:50SPEAKER_00: Just keep in mind that this will likely not be the same game script as they had last week against the Jaguars, where they were kind of catching up the entire time.
- 11:56SPEAKER_00: All right, I got a few sits here.
- 11:57SPEAKER_00: I also have a few quarterback streamers that you might want to consider over some of these quarterbacks that I mentioned here.
- 12:02SPEAKER_00: First, I'm I'm not really a fan of starting Kyler Murray against the Saints.
- 12:05SPEAKER_00: I like the Vikings run game.
- 12:06SPEAKER_00: I like Hawkinson this week.
- 12:07SPEAKER_00: I just don't love Kyler.
- 12:09SPEAKER_00: The Saints are on an The Saints are an average matchup for quarterbacks, but this Vikings offense leads the league in three and outs, and Kyler just isn't running the ball this year.
- 12:17SPEAKER_00: So without the legs, there's not much of a floor.
- 12:19SPEAKER_00: I just look elsewhere.
- 12:20SPEAKER_00: Second, Jordan Love versus the Bears.
- 12:21SPEAKER_00: Love is being started in 34% of sleeper leagues, as I just saw right now, and I think that's a mistake.
- 12:26SPEAKER_00: The Bears are bottom 12 in fantasy points, passing yards, and passing touchdowns allowed per game to quarterbacks this year.
- 12:31SPEAKER_00: Schematically, it's not a great spot either.
- 12:33SPEAKER_00: Love hasn't really played well against man coverage or single high looks, and Chicago runs both at top five rates.
- 12:39SPEAKER_00: So I'm not loving it this week.
- 12:40SPEAKER_00: Tony Powler against the Titans, not a fan of this one.
- 12:42SPEAKER_00: I mean, his role's been solid.
- 12:44SPEAKER_00: He's been a fantasy RB2 the last two weeks, but Houston's one of those stingier matchups for running backs.
- 12:49SPEAKER_00: Bottom eight in fantasy points and yards per game allowed, as well as yards per carry.
- 12:53SPEAKER_00: Tennessee also has the lowest implied total of the week.
- 12:55SPEAKER_00: You know, Houston favored by a touchdown.
- 12:57SPEAKER_00: So like this game could get away from the Titans in a hurry.
- 13:00SPEAKER_00: Um, he's not the back on the field, you know, in negative game scripts, right?
- 13:03SPEAKER_00: That's Tajay Spears.
- 13:04SPEAKER_00: Alvin Kamara against the Vikings.
- 13:06SPEAKER_00: Uh, not loving this.
- 13:07SPEAKER_00: I know that he scored two touchdowns last week, right?
- 13:09SPEAKER_00: The two rushing touchdowns are definitely going to give people the false confidence that he's a relatively safe start this week.
- 13:15SPEAKER_00: Um, you know, he's obviously at the goal line back for this offense.
- 13:17SPEAKER_00: And if the Saints keep moving the ball well enough, like you know, he'll get his chances in the red zone.
- 13:21SPEAKER_00: But he got pretty lucky with those touchdowns last week, and he's been inefficient overall.
- 13:25SPEAKER_00: The Vikings are giving up the third fewest points to running backs uh this year.
- 13:29SPEAKER_00: So, you know, you're counting on a touchdown to save your week, and I don't really want to do that.
- 13:33SPEAKER_00: If you have another option, I'm sitting him.
- 13:34SPEAKER_00: If you have another option for Cam Scadabo against the commanders, I would look for that.
- 13:39SPEAKER_00: Um, he got the early down work, the goal line work, the two-minute roll, that's all his.
- 13:43SPEAKER_00: But he's just been inefficient, right?
- 13:45SPEAKER_00: He's the RB29 in actual points per game, but the RB16 in expected fantasy points per game.
- 13:50SPEAKER_00: So the production should come eventually.
- 13:52SPEAKER_00: I just don't think it's this week.
- 13:54SPEAKER_00: Washington's bottom five in points per game allowed to running backs, bottom 10 in both rushing and receiving yards allowed.
- 13:59SPEAKER_00: They've bottled up basically every running back, not named Jonathan Taylor this year.
- 14:03SPEAKER_00: I would sit him if you can.
- 14:04SPEAKER_00: Debo Samuel against the Seahawks.
- 14:06SPEAKER_00: His production has looked fine on the surface, but I think it's built on strategic touches, right?
- 14:11SPEAKER_00: He's been drawn up as a gadget guy for the most part.
- 14:14SPEAKER_00: 37.5% design target share.
- 14:16SPEAKER_00: That's the highest among qualifying receivers.
- 14:19SPEAKER_00: The route participation is only at 69% for the year, and that's fine in good matchups, but this matchup is not ideal.
- 14:24SPEAKER_00: Seattle's bottom five in yards, touchdowns, and fantasy points per game allowed to receivers, and they like to run too high safety coverage, which Debo hasn't really lit up this year.
- 14:33SPEAKER_00: So I'm trying to find another option if I can.
- 14:35SPEAKER_00: Alright, I got some quarterback streamers for you.
- 14:37SPEAKER_00: Jared Goff against the Cardinals, Lions Cardinals, the highest total of the week.
- 14:41SPEAKER_00: This one has shootout written all over it.
- 14:43SPEAKER_00: Goff is the QB6 in points per game, believe it or not.
- 14:45SPEAKER_00: He's scored at least 16 points in every game.
- 14:48SPEAKER_00: Uh, Arizona's top 10 in passing yards, top five in fantasy points, first in touchdowns per game allowed to quarterbacks.
- 14:54SPEAKER_00: Um, he also averages the eighth highest yards per attempt among all quarterbacks against two high safety coverage, and Arizona runs it at the second highest rate.
- 15:02SPEAKER_00: And this one's in a dome, which matters because Goff has averaged 20 points per game indoors versus 16 outdoors in his lion's career.
- 15:09SPEAKER_00: He definitely has overall QB1 upside this week.
- 15:11SPEAKER_00: And the other quarterback on the other side of the ball, Jacobi Brissett.
- 15:14SPEAKER_00: Like he's somebody who I want in my lineup.
- 15:16SPEAKER_00: He's rostered in only 42% of leagues.
- 15:18SPEAKER_00: He's being started in just 32%, and I think he should be started in a lot more.
- 15:22SPEAKER_00: The Cardinals are four and a half point underdogs, but they still have the sixth highest implied total of the week.
- 15:26SPEAKER_00: Arizona's run the sixth most plays while trailing, and Brissett ranks fourth among qualifying quarterbacks and expected fantasy points per drop back when trailing.
- 15:35SPEAKER_00: On top of that, the Lions are number one in passing yards and points per game allowed through four weeks, and every quarterback to face them has at least scored 20 points.
- 15:43SPEAKER_00: Don't overthink this one.
- 15:44SPEAKER_00: He's a safe start with top 12 upside.
- 15:46SPEAKER_00: All right, I got some tight end streamers.
- 15:48SPEAKER_00: I will say I don't love going back to the wall with Brenton Strange.
- 15:51SPEAKER_00: I think that was a little bit of an outlier game because he was going up against Cincinnati, okay?
- 15:55SPEAKER_00: Um, they're just like a tight end funnel defense, right?
- 15:58SPEAKER_00: Um, guys, I'd rather play above him, right?
- 16:00SPEAKER_00: TJ Hawkinson against the Saints, 41% target share last week.
- 16:04SPEAKER_00: Justin Jefferson could be out this week again.
- 16:06SPEAKER_00: Uh the matchup is great on paper and schematically.
- 16:09SPEAKER_00: The Saints are allowing the fourth most receiving yards and seventh most fantasy points to tight ends, but also he's been tearing up single high coverage so far.
- 16:16SPEAKER_00: He ranks fourth in yards and targets per route run against it, and the Saints run it at the second highest rate.
- 16:22SPEAKER_00: So if Jefferson sits, he's the focal point of this passing game.
- 16:25SPEAKER_00: Mike Goseki against the Dolphins.
- 16:26SPEAKER_00: I think this one's pretty simple.
- 16:27SPEAKER_00: If Chase and Higgins both miss, Burr needs someone to throw to, and Miami is top two in yards and points per game allowed to the tight end position.
- 16:34SPEAKER_00: He's already scored three touchdowns this year, so if those two guys are out, I'm perfectly fine throwing a dart on him.
- 16:40SPEAKER_00: Kenyon Sadiq against the Browns.
- 16:41SPEAKER_00: I know he put up a donut last week, but I am not completely staying away because the target share has been there.
- 16:46SPEAKER_00: The matchup's good too.
- 16:48SPEAKER_00: It doesn't seem like A.D.
- 16:48SPEAKER_00: Mitchell's playing again, and the Browns are top 10 in fantasy points and receiving yards allowed to the position.
- 16:53SPEAKER_00: Let's consider Tyler Higbee as well against the Bills.
- 16:56SPEAKER_00: This one's only if Cold B.
- 16:57SPEAKER_00: Parkinson's out again, right?
- 16:59SPEAKER_00: Um these last two weeks, Higbee's been pretty good.
- 17:01SPEAKER_00: Eight for 62 in a touchdown, five for 67 last week.
- 17:04SPEAKER_00: Not the best matchup in the world against the Buffalo Bills.
- 17:07SPEAKER_00: Like it's a neutral matchup, but he's gonna be one of the primary guys for Matthew Stafford in a game that could have some scoring.
- 17:13SPEAKER_00: So that's everything for this week.
- 17:14SPEAKER_00: Keep an eye on the injury report through Sunday because a lot of these things kind of hinge on guys like McLaurin, Diggs, McConkie, Chase, Higgins.
- 17:21SPEAKER_00: So now if you can take just a second to subscribe to the channel or the podcast, wherever you're watching or listening, it would mean the world to me.
- 17:27SPEAKER_00: Good luck this week, and I'll see you in the next one.