Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Rally Over?📉Technical Analysis with Tim Warren
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: But of course we're going to talk about the breakdown
- 0:02Speaker 1: how the market is performing.
- 0:03Speaker 2: Let's just jump into it.
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- 0:39Speaker 1: Listen is the rally over man, I don't know, but
- 0:43Speaker 1: you know who can help us, and that of course
- 0:44Speaker 1: is Tim Warren coming in from Tim Warren Trades.
- 0:47Speaker 2: How are you?
- 0:49Speaker 3: I'm doing good, Paul, good to be here again.
- 0:51Speaker 2: How you doing, I'm good, I'm good.
- 0:52Speaker 1: If you guys haven't checked out his channel, jump over
- 0:54Speaker 1: there right now, hit subscribe, get into the crew. He
- 0:58Speaker 1: and shrim do a great job at really breaking down things,
- 1:01Speaker 1: and I love the content. Tim, So you guys keep
- 1:04Speaker 1: doing what you're doing, man, pop.
- 1:05Speaker 2: It in there. Hey, there's a lot going on. You know.
- 1:09Speaker 2: We had the Clarity.
- 1:10Speaker 1: Banking Act thing that was just absolutely insane.
- 1:15Speaker 2: We've done so many videos on this.
- 1:17Speaker 1: My brain is like fried on the amount of stuff
- 1:19Speaker 1: and research that we've had to do. But essentially what
- 1:22Speaker 1: happened The Clarity Act stalled. The Banking Committee is now
- 1:26Speaker 1: kind of left up to trying to pick up the shambles.
- 1:30Speaker 1: Banks I think got in with an overreach with all
- 1:33Speaker 1: the amendments.
- 1:35Speaker 2: We had a nice thing cooking, Bitcoin.
- 1:37Speaker 1: Was on the move and everything was looking good and
- 1:39Speaker 1: then bam, here we go. What do you think, where
- 1:43Speaker 1: does bitcoin stand right now in terms of the charts?
- 1:46Speaker 2: What does this look like?
- 1:48Speaker 3: You know, it's crazy because the charts on longer time
- 1:52Speaker 3: frames still have a lot of good signs. There's some
- 1:54Speaker 3: intermediate things right now. The weekly charts extremely bullish, and
- 1:58Speaker 3: I'm sure if we went down like small timeframes right now,
- 2:00Speaker 3: you can find some bullsh stuff. I would say, right now,
- 2:03Speaker 3: and we can think a look here a little bit,
- 2:04Speaker 3: tell me if you want me other charts, but the
- 2:06Speaker 3: daily chart, I would start to have some questions, is
- 2:11Speaker 3: this still bullish? Right now? We did go up in
- 2:13Speaker 3: touch above ninety eight K. I still think one hundred
- 2:16Speaker 3: k is doable. I still think this move goes above
- 2:18Speaker 3: one hundred k. But to be fair, we did hit
- 2:20Speaker 3: my first level of resistance I talked about on the
- 2:23Speaker 3: show weeks ago, months ago at this point once we
- 2:26Speaker 3: bottomed out back in November. But then the four hour
- 2:29Speaker 3: chart now is starting to give us some by single
- 2:31Speaker 3: So there's a lot of mess going on. There's a
- 2:33Speaker 3: bullish formation. But when I saw that news, when I
- 2:36Speaker 3: saw the Banking Committee right the other day, we reported
- 2:38Speaker 3: it like this is looking positive, this is looking good.
- 2:40Speaker 3: They're going forward. There's kind of that thought of like, man,
- 2:43Speaker 3: Charles Hoskinson is going to be wrong. We are going
- 2:45Speaker 3: to get this thing passed in Q one. And then
- 2:48Speaker 3: today you're like, oh, crap, Charles hoskinsin might might have
- 2:52Speaker 3: been right, right, Maybe don't pass it, in which case
- 2:54Speaker 3: that's not good. And then you have you have Donald
- 2:58Speaker 3: Trump out here speaking a lot about Greenland and about
- 3:01Speaker 3: Iran and about more terrifts. And I told some of
- 3:04Speaker 3: my buddies earlier today, I was just like, Trump needs
- 3:08Speaker 3: to put the microphone down and go play a good
- 3:10Speaker 3: round of golf. I think he just hasn't played golf
- 3:12Speaker 3: in a while. He's uptight, he's not thinking. Put the
- 3:15Speaker 3: microphone down. Trump, Let the markets get a breath of
- 3:18Speaker 3: fresh air, go play around of golf, rethink your your messages,
- 3:22Speaker 3: and let's come back and try it again next week.
- 3:24Speaker 2: Hey, I've got a clip here for Mike Novilgrass.
- 3:26Speaker 1: He talks about why the bills stalled, and it might
- 3:28Speaker 1: give you some insights as to whether or not bitcoin
- 3:31Speaker 1: picks up here or not.
- 3:32Speaker 2: Take a look.
- 3:33Speaker 4: They worry if stable coins are allowed to effectively a
- 3:37Speaker 4: crew interest or some other kind of points or other things.
- 3:41Speaker 2: That there would be deposit flight. That is that is
- 3:44Speaker 2: right right right now.
- 3:45Speaker 4: That's the central issue that because they're not allowed to
- 3:47Speaker 4: technically yet. It's so interesting whenever you have a new
- 3:52Speaker 4: technology that's disruptive, the incumbents say no, we don't want
- 3:56Speaker 4: to give a bar monopoly. They are using community banks
- 4:00Speaker 4: as a shield. Say oh my god, it suits me
- 4:02Speaker 4: depositive plate from community banks. The reality is that people
- 4:05Speaker 4: wanted to move out of community banks at low interest rate,
- 4:08Speaker 4: they could move to so far or tons of the
- 4:11Speaker 4: neo banks that already offer much better deposit rates. Stable
- 4:14Speaker 4: planes are mostly away of us, rejecting power to the
- 4:19Speaker 4: rest of the world. And if you don't allow some
- 4:22Speaker 4: interest or some mechanism to generate interest on stable poins,
- 4:27Speaker 4: you're going to continue this monopoly where Teather has.
- 4:30Speaker 2: The majority of overseas.
- 4:32Speaker 4: Stable poins and so hard to compete with the incumbent
- 4:36Speaker 4: unless you can offer something different. And for me, I
- 4:40Speaker 4: just keep saying, we've got to get this bill passed
- 4:42Speaker 4: so we can move on and the industry can start growing.
- 4:44Speaker 4: And if it's not perfect, who cares, We'll fix it
- 4:47Speaker 4: in time.
- 4:49Speaker 1: I do not know if I'm in agreement with if
- 4:51Speaker 1: it's not perfect, I get that. Listen, it's probably not
- 4:56Speaker 1: going to be perfect. But some of the things that
- 4:57Speaker 1: came through on that bill were a little bit of overreach.
- 5:00Speaker 1: I think that's the only thing as long as we
- 5:02Speaker 1: don't start getting into privacy issues that's a concern. I'm
- 5:07Speaker 1: on the fence on yields. We'll see, but it definitely
- 5:12Speaker 1: is a different time for sure.
- 5:13Speaker 3: I think I think the best way to think about
- 5:16Speaker 3: it is this, And again, there's a part of me
- 5:18Speaker 3: that is in agreement let's get the bill passed. Let's
- 5:20Speaker 3: just get going. But if you're gonna answer this question
- 5:24Speaker 3: for yourself, you gotta ask your question, what's more than
- 5:26Speaker 3: likely that in the future the government's going to restrict
- 5:29Speaker 3: more freedom or give more freedom. That's what we're kind
- 5:32Speaker 3: of talking about right now. I think you want to
- 5:34Speaker 3: start off with a very long leash, and then the
- 5:37Speaker 3: discussion becomes should we be short in the leash should be
- 5:39Speaker 3: short and lee should be short least. I don't think
- 5:41Speaker 3: the chances of them say let's start with a short
- 5:43Speaker 3: leash and then stretch it out as we go is
- 5:45Speaker 3: the better way of doing it. So I kind of
- 5:47Speaker 3: I'm on board with what Brian Armstrong saying. I do
- 5:50Speaker 3: want to see a bill passed. I do want to
- 5:51Speaker 3: see a bull market come to fruition again. But I
- 5:57Speaker 3: am a big fan of like, let's get a longer
- 5:59Speaker 3: leash for cripough and if they want to shorten it
- 6:01Speaker 3: later on, that's a discussion for future politicians to have.
- 6:05Speaker 1: Yeah, you got bitcoin traders now predicting a strong run up.
- 6:09Speaker 1: This could happen if we get another wind underneath a
- 6:12Speaker 1: Clarity Act that could come back on a second round.
- 6:15Speaker 1: That could be much more favorable. What would it take
- 6:18Speaker 1: on the charts right now, tim for bitcoin to get
- 6:21Speaker 1: a run.
- 6:23Speaker 3: Yeah, well, you know it's funny. I have ast people
- 6:25Speaker 3: are watching this. My video just probably went out on
- 6:27Speaker 3: my channel as well. I talked about in the last days,
- 6:30Speaker 3: I actually made my whole month's salary in the last
- 6:32Speaker 3: day days trading bitcoin, and in the end of it,
- 6:35Speaker 3: I give a trade setup for both directions. So you
- 6:39Speaker 3: asked me about going up, I'm going to answer it
- 6:41Speaker 3: both up and down. So whether people are watching it
- 6:43Speaker 3: now when they're bullish or they're bearish, what is the
- 6:46Speaker 3: case for a big run up above one hundred K
- 6:49Speaker 3: I'm going to start off with something I've been saying
- 6:51Speaker 3: now for a long time. We are receiving weekly by signals.
- 6:55Speaker 3: If you don't like my indicator here neuroway, which again
- 6:58Speaker 3: is very reliable historically, just take a look at the RSI,
- 7:01Speaker 3: take a look at the mac D, look at traditional
- 7:03Speaker 3: technical analysis, and you're gonna find extremely strong reasons bullish
- 7:08Speaker 3: divergence uptrending MACD, very strong reasons to say the weekly
- 7:14Speaker 3: chart is suggesting a significant move up. Okay, even in
- 7:18Speaker 3: bear markets, we're talking about big big, big moves back
- 7:21Speaker 3: in twenty twenty two, when we had the same thing
- 7:24Speaker 3: happen during the bear market. We had it happened twice
- 7:27Speaker 3: in January and then again in June. Both of these
- 7:31Speaker 3: moves were forty five percent moves to the upside. We're
- 7:34Speaker 3: not talking about just a little rebound bound, trying about
- 7:36Speaker 3: a significant bullish move. Bitcoin could do the same thing here.
- 7:40Speaker 3: So the bullsh case starts with weekly by signals and
- 7:43Speaker 3: then more specifically, there's two things I'm kind of watching
- 7:46Speaker 3: to the upside to talk about where we could get
- 7:48Speaker 3: over one hundred K. Number one, let's start off with
- 7:53Speaker 3: this formation right here, this red flat line with ascending
- 7:56Speaker 3: green line. This is called an ascending triangle formation, and
- 7:59Speaker 3: it has a breakout pattern predicting that we could make
- 8:02Speaker 3: our way all the way after this breakout, all the
- 8:04Speaker 3: way back up to one hundred and eleven thousand almost.
- 8:07Speaker 3: I'm gonna shorten it a little bit. That would kind
- 8:09Speaker 3: of take us back over to some of these highs
- 8:11Speaker 3: we had in January. If you're a bear right now,
- 8:13Speaker 3: you're like, oh, look at that almost a perfect looking
- 8:16Speaker 3: head and shoulders pattern. The other thing, I'm gonna say
- 8:18Speaker 3: a little bit lower than that. We're we're gonna come down.
- 8:20Speaker 3: I would say the big target would be the two
- 8:22Speaker 3: hundred day moving average right there, currently sitting just below
- 8:26Speaker 3: one hundred and six thousand dollars, So let's call it
- 8:28Speaker 3: one hundred and five, give it a couple more weeks
- 8:31Speaker 3: to keep dropping. That's above one hundred thousand, right, That
- 8:35Speaker 3: is the case right now to say Bitcoin, even if
- 8:38Speaker 3: you're bearish, should make a move back to that two
- 8:40Speaker 3: hundred day I mean people need to remember back in
- 8:42Speaker 3: twenty way two. People are gonna reference this a whole lot.
- 8:45Speaker 3: I'm bullish. I think the twenty way six is gonna
- 8:47Speaker 3: be very bullish. But if you're a fan of twenty
- 8:49Speaker 3: twenty six being a bear market, go back over here
- 8:52Speaker 3: and take a look what we had going on during
- 8:55Speaker 3: this time. I just messed that up. Give me a second.
- 8:57Speaker 3: I'm gonna get back to it. I can't show the
- 8:58Speaker 3: weekly bicygnal. You don't have to trust me on this.
- 9:00Speaker 3: One weekly by signal comes in, we start to make
- 9:02Speaker 3: a move up. Where do we reject right at the
- 9:05Speaker 3: two hundred day moving average? After a forty five percent
- 9:08Speaker 3: increase in Bitcoin's price, then we fall flat to the downside.
- 9:12Speaker 3: So that's the case right now, for a big move
- 9:16Speaker 3: up in the next couple of weeks, next couple of months.
- 9:19Speaker 3: I want to turn this off though I told you
- 9:21Speaker 3: i'd give you a flip side. I say this in
- 9:22Speaker 3: my video so people can still watch this if they
- 9:24Speaker 3: want to. Some people are not necessarily agreeing though, with
- 9:28Speaker 3: this red trend line. It is. It is what a
- 9:31Speaker 3: lot of analysts are using right now. But I want
- 9:34Speaker 3: to give some credence to where we just touched here.
- 9:36Speaker 3: Let's clean this chart up. Let me get a different
- 9:38Speaker 3: chart real quickly and have this fixed a little bit.
- 9:41Speaker 2: There.
- 9:41Speaker 3: We got to get rid of that line. You can
- 9:43Speaker 3: see the green uptrend very very cleanly. What about this
- 9:46Speaker 3: line here? After now watching this, you kind of can say,
- 9:50Speaker 3: all right, that looks like an ascending level of resistance
- 9:54Speaker 3: right there. We've had a support resistance support now resistance
- 9:58Speaker 3: touch and if we keep down, if we do lose
- 10:01Speaker 3: that former horizontal level of resistance now turned support around
- 10:06Speaker 3: ninety four to four, it was that, and we start
- 10:09Speaker 3: hating backed on towards this green line, especially if you
- 10:12Speaker 3: make a breakdown below there. It's not as simple. Some
- 10:15Speaker 3: people are in to say Tim is that just a
- 10:17Speaker 3: fall a rising wedge pattern. A rising wedge pattern would
- 10:20Speaker 3: suggest a breakout all the way down here towards seventy
- 10:24Speaker 3: eight thousand dollars. It gets worse than that. If we
- 10:27Speaker 3: make a barest break right now below this green line,
- 10:30Speaker 3: I think you're actually possibly looking at a bear flag opportunity.
- 10:35Speaker 3: We're talking about a situation maybe where they do keep
- 10:39Speaker 3: kicking the regulatory bill of the Clarityact down the road.
- 10:43Speaker 3: We do see more tariffs come in, we see a
- 10:45Speaker 3: complete global fallout from things that the White House is doing,
- 10:50Speaker 3: things from further taking us towards World War III. All
- 10:53Speaker 3: of a sudden, that target becomes sixty two THO sixty
- 10:57Speaker 3: to sixty two thousand dollars. That's your super bear case scenario.
- 11:01Speaker 3: I tell people in my video how I plan on
- 11:03Speaker 3: trading it right, even though I'm giving I just give
- 11:06Speaker 3: you a bullshnario, give you a bear scenario. I'm gonna
- 11:08Speaker 3: be honest with people. I'm a bull. I think the
- 11:10Speaker 3: bullshnario is more likely, but I'm also a trader who
- 11:13Speaker 3: wants to make money. I'm not prideful about it. I
- 11:17Speaker 3: follow the trend. If I see a breakout blow that
- 11:19Speaker 3: green line. I'm turning bearish, but until that happens, I
- 11:22Speaker 3: still think a move above one hundred k is the
- 11:24Speaker 3: most likely scenario right now.
- 11:26Speaker 1: Well, if you look at Fear and Greed, it's holding
- 11:29Speaker 1: at neutral fifty. I mean, this is way up on
- 11:31Speaker 1: the chart from where we have been. Granted, ETH has
- 11:34Speaker 1: been trading pretty solidly, but it does hold us in
- 11:37Speaker 1: a position. Really all zoom in on that for everybody
- 11:39Speaker 1: to kind of see.
- 11:40Speaker 2: Where we were.
- 11:40Speaker 1: Remember we were at a ten right there, not too
- 11:43Speaker 1: long ago, so quite a bit different of where we
- 11:47Speaker 1: are now trading at fifty with a neutral When you
- 11:50Speaker 1: look at that, along with what is going on within
- 11:53Speaker 1: the ETH ecosystem, we're talking about Bitcoin, that could get
- 11:56Speaker 1: a reversal here.
- 11:58Speaker 2: Yeah, now, let's take a look at it.
- 12:00Speaker 1: I want to play a clip for you because this
- 12:02Speaker 1: is Tom Lee none other than he's got a new
- 12:04Speaker 1: strategy that may have.
- 12:06Speaker 2: A little influence on the eighth price. Take a look.
- 12:09Speaker 2: You got to explain this to everyone, including me.
- 12:12Speaker 5: Mister Beast is the number one content creator in the
- 12:15Speaker 5: world two order fifty two million views a month, which
- 12:17Speaker 5: is more than the Super Bowl, and really he is
- 12:20Speaker 5: probably the iconic person for gen z Jen Alpha and
- 12:23Speaker 5: arguably millennials, so he is probably one of the most
- 12:26Speaker 5: important creators in the world. Beast Industries is planning to
- 12:30Speaker 5: create a future platform of services which includes digital items
- 12:36Speaker 5: and even financial services, and that's really where a collaboration
- 12:40Speaker 5: between Beast Industries and bitmin will make sense.
- 12:44Speaker 2: So kind of getting it, kind of getting it? What
- 12:46Speaker 2: could you have done this with Salona?
- 12:48Speaker 5: Seventy percent of all tokenized assets are taking place on
- 12:52Speaker 5: Ethereum sin It's had one hundred percent uptime since inception,
- 12:55Speaker 5: the only smart contract platform to have never gone down.
- 12:59Speaker 1: All Right, so my question quickly, tim is can Tom
- 13:03Speaker 1: Beast his way through into Ethereum and is this a
- 13:08Speaker 1: deal or not? I mean, is this gonna make a
- 13:11Speaker 1: make a benefit other than just a you know, a
- 13:14Speaker 1: soaring etf.
- 13:15Speaker 3: That's a big win. It almost to me would make
- 13:19Speaker 3: more sense for mister Beast to partner with a Salona
- 13:22Speaker 3: than a Ethereum. But hey, if they got that deal,
- 13:24Speaker 3: that's a lot. I mean, we're talking about the technically
- 13:27Speaker 3: not the most viewed YouTube channel in the world. I
- 13:29Speaker 3: think there's like one or two people that technically have
- 13:31Speaker 3: more views, but he's the biggest YouTube figure for sure, for.
- 13:35Speaker 1: Sure, for sure, and you go to the chart on ethereum.
- 13:38Speaker 1: Right now, with all this, this is good good news
- 13:41Speaker 1: for both heath trading out of three K. Again, what
- 13:44Speaker 1: do you like and what do you don't like about
- 13:46Speaker 1: ethereum right.
- 13:47Speaker 3: Now, I'm still going to preface before I do my
- 13:50Speaker 3: two sided technical analysis. I want to preface this with
- 13:53Speaker 3: saying I believe we're gonna shoot to the upside right
- 13:57Speaker 3: I right now have trades in the long position looking
- 14:00Speaker 3: for move to the upside. Clearly, what you can see
- 14:03Speaker 3: happening right here is a symmetrical triangle. Unlike bitcoin, Bitcoin
- 14:07Speaker 3: had a flat level of resistance during the same timeframe.
- 14:10Speaker 3: There's clearly a decline of resistance. But eth is still
- 14:12Speaker 3: seeing didn't mean to draw there. Eth is still seeing
- 14:15Speaker 3: a high or low situation going on a rising level
- 14:18Speaker 3: of support. And what you do with this formation, you
- 14:21Speaker 3: would take the opening. I'm actually gonna not go to
- 14:24Speaker 3: this one. I'm gonna take the opening right here and
- 14:26Speaker 3: be a little more conservative here because technically this formation
- 14:29Speaker 3: started with this support touchdown here, so I got to
- 14:31Speaker 3: come up to the next level of resistance. This break
- 14:34Speaker 3: up to the upside would send ethereum in the short term,
- 14:37Speaker 3: similar to what I said with Bitcoin going to like
- 14:39Speaker 3: one hundred k, sorry, one hundred and five to one
- 14:42Speaker 3: hundred and ten k, this was set ethereum up towards
- 14:45Speaker 3: the four thy three hundred, It would be the target
- 14:48Speaker 3: right there. I think if you wanted to be looking
- 14:50Speaker 3: for a little bit more particular level, I would be
- 14:53Speaker 3: a fan of using Fibonacci right here and say, hey,
- 14:55Speaker 3: are we really close to something actually kind of sticks
- 14:57Speaker 3: right there? Platinum pocket at forty three hundre Golden pocket,
- 15:01Speaker 3: just keep an eye on that one as well. Just
- 15:03Speaker 3: below four thousand and thirty nine sixty give or take,
- 15:06Speaker 3: is where the golden pocket is sticking. That's my short
- 15:08Speaker 3: term bullish scenario before all time high conversations for ethereum.
- 15:12Speaker 3: But on the same breath, what happens if this ends
- 15:18Speaker 3: up being a false breakout Right here right you can
- 15:21Speaker 3: clearly see that ethereum broke above resistance, and I love
- 15:24Speaker 3: what I'm seeing right here. If we can sustain this bullishness,
- 15:26Speaker 3: a retest of that resistance level of support would be
- 15:29Speaker 3: very bullish. But let's pretend, because I always like to
- 15:31Speaker 3: be aware if I'm wrong, Let's pretend we lose this
- 15:34Speaker 3: red line, we drop back in, and then we lose
- 15:36Speaker 3: this green support level as well. You know, some people
- 15:40Speaker 3: say conservative here, and let's just take this exact same level.
- 15:43Speaker 3: We'll move it down low. We're talking about the ethereum
- 15:45Speaker 3: drop to twenty two hundred dollars, right, that's a very
- 15:48Speaker 3: conservative level. I probably, if I enter a short, would
- 15:50Speaker 3: take profit at that level. But once again, you're looking
- 15:53Speaker 3: a little bit more aggressively here and saying, man, could
- 15:55Speaker 3: this be a bare flag of its own? Right? A
- 15:58Speaker 3: big move down paired with a symmetrical triangle pattern. We're
- 16:02Speaker 3: talking about a move down here all the way to
- 16:05Speaker 3: seventeen eighty one, let's call it eighteen hundred, back towards
- 16:08Speaker 3: support levels we had in April of twenty five, pretty much.
- 16:12Speaker 3: But in a nutshell, that's the barest scenario. I still
- 16:15Speaker 3: think this is the more likely, right. If anyone is
- 16:17Speaker 3: asking Tim, what do you think is gonna happen? I
- 16:19Speaker 3: think that's more likely. But I'm again, I'm watching the charts,
- 16:22Speaker 3: I'm reading everything. I still like this. I still like
- 16:26Speaker 3: what I'm seeing on the weekly chart right now. With
- 16:29Speaker 3: our oscillators. They still make me feel like a big
- 16:31Speaker 3: boom is coming to the upside. But I'm prepared for
- 16:34Speaker 3: both scenarios. We are absolutely right now with bitcoin and ethereum,
- 16:38Speaker 3: and you can look at almost any ALTCRN. Now we
- 16:40Speaker 3: are in decision crunch moment. Do we break these resistance levels,
- 16:44Speaker 3: do we confirm support and make bigger moves the upside,
- 16:47Speaker 3: or do we lose the support and all of a sudden,
- 16:49Speaker 3: you're looking at some blood. You're looking at a pretty
- 16:51Speaker 3: gnarly pullback for a lot of these points.
- 16:54Speaker 1: Yeah, listen, Maddick was making some moves being Polygon and
- 16:58Speaker 1: they were reportedly laid off thirty percent of their employees,
- 17:01Speaker 1: started to reposition their entire infrastructure, a lot of new
- 17:05Speaker 1: stuff happening with them, and of course we saw the
- 17:07Speaker 1: token moving up and down Polygon.
- 17:10Speaker 2: What do you like this token?
- 17:11Speaker 1: Because this thing has been was depressed, had a nice
- 17:14Speaker 1: run here over the past week or so.
- 17:17Speaker 2: What do you think you know?
- 17:19Speaker 3: I've been on your show before. We were talking about
- 17:21Speaker 3: this a little bit before we went live. I've been
- 17:23Speaker 3: here before telling you I'm out on Polygon formally known
- 17:26Speaker 3: as MADIC. I still like to look at the MADIC
- 17:28Speaker 3: chart because I like the chart history of it if
- 17:30Speaker 3: I ever get asked about it. But I'm gonna sing
- 17:32Speaker 3: a little bit of a different tune than I've sung
- 17:34Speaker 3: in a while. I'm actually back in on Polygon formally
- 17:38Speaker 3: known as Madic, and the reason why is because the flash,
- 17:42Speaker 3: the flash that's happening on the price charts is not
- 17:45Speaker 3: just this dead cat bounce careless djen traders who said, oh,
- 17:50Speaker 3: this coins down a million miles, let me just take
- 17:53Speaker 3: a swing on it. The pumps came from fundamental changes
- 17:57Speaker 3: that the Polygon team is working on to change vision
- 18:01Speaker 3: for what the coin's gonna do. I made a video
- 18:03Speaker 3: on this last week and talked about the fundamental things
- 18:06Speaker 3: that are happening right now with their team and the
- 18:09Speaker 3: change to a more payment based system, the new adoption
- 18:12Speaker 3: that's coming in. Again, we're not just talking about an
- 18:13Speaker 3: increase in trading volume. We've seen an increase in use
- 18:16Speaker 3: case of the token and an increase of just overall
- 18:20Speaker 3: like metrics. And so when you say this thing, oh,
- 18:23Speaker 3: they just laid off, you know, thirty percent of their staff,
- 18:25Speaker 3: some people look at that as a bad thing. In
- 18:27Speaker 3: the stock world. I know it doesn't work its way
- 18:28Speaker 3: perfect and crypto, but in the stock world.
- 18:30Speaker 2: That's good.
- 18:30Speaker 3: It's actually good for a stock when people lay off.
- 18:33Speaker 3: And in this case, the reason I think it's good
- 18:35Speaker 3: is because it's communicating their complete change in vision direction.
- 18:39Speaker 3: They're laying off staff that will be worthless in the
- 18:43Speaker 3: future because they won't be doing anything important. So this
- 18:46Speaker 3: allows them to save and spend money money in a
- 18:48Speaker 3: better way. They can hold more of their own token,
- 18:50Speaker 3: not to sell as much to pay salaries and everything.
- 18:53Speaker 3: You can see, big, big, big break to the upside.
- 18:56Speaker 3: I'm not surprised that we have a pullback here. I
- 18:59Speaker 3: mean within just a little over one week they saw
- 19:03Speaker 3: an almost a ninety percent increase to the upside. We
- 19:06Speaker 3: kind of called this on our channel, even that video
- 19:08Speaker 3: Watch for Reversals. I mean, we saw a bunch of
- 19:10Speaker 3: rejection coming in. You see all this daily chart there,
- 19:13Speaker 3: looks like a little bit of a pullback. I told
- 19:14Speaker 3: our community, Hey, look for a kattha woe one, look
- 19:18Speaker 3: for a pullback. Let's look at the FIBONACI here. This
- 19:21Speaker 3: this kind of just screams to me, we probably want
- 19:23Speaker 3: to pull back fifty percent of this move. Well, guess
- 19:26Speaker 3: what we're all right now? I predicted thirteen point five
- 19:30Speaker 3: cents would be an area to watch. Here, we're almost
- 19:33Speaker 3: back to that level again. I just show you that
- 19:35Speaker 3: daily chart. Daily oscillators definitely told you, hey, take some
- 19:38Speaker 3: profit slash look for a short position. But guess what's
- 19:40Speaker 3: happening out in the weekly chart. The mac D just
- 19:43Speaker 3: crossed bullish right here after trending that direction. I mean
- 19:46Speaker 3: a boatload of bullish divergence coming in there on my
- 19:50Speaker 3: osc lator the neurowave. While we haven't gotten a full actually,
- 19:54Speaker 3: I think if I zoom in there, actually no, we
- 19:55Speaker 3: have a full little biasting right there. We have the
- 19:58Speaker 3: green dot. We have positive money flow here. Go back
- 20:00Speaker 3: and look at the last times. We're not talking about
- 20:02Speaker 3: anything pretty, but last couple of times we've gotten this
- 20:04Speaker 3: bullsh by signal. We've seen decent bounces for Polygon this time, though,
- 20:09Speaker 3: the big questions be can we break the former high?
- 20:13Speaker 4: Right?
- 20:13Speaker 3: We have been in a down trend officially. You can
- 20:16Speaker 3: definitely say since February twenty three. I'd make an argument
- 20:19Speaker 3: since January twenty two, so this one not even ever
- 20:21Speaker 3: close to new all time high since the Bearemarcket started.
- 20:24Speaker 3: But all you got to do to change that trend
- 20:26Speaker 3: is just break above this line right here, the high
- 20:30Speaker 3: from back in August. We just need to get back
- 20:32Speaker 3: above thirty cents. And Polygon has some fresh life. The
- 20:36Speaker 3: fundamentals have fresh life. Can the charts get fresh life?
- 20:39Speaker 3: All of a sudden? This is completely different coin?
- 20:41Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, well it's a different you know, it's a
- 20:44Speaker 1: different day now. I think maybe they get a little
- 20:46Speaker 1: bit of a flight underneath them. You have some other
- 20:49Speaker 1: things going on right now. First of all, do you think, well,
- 20:52Speaker 1: let's compare Solana first, because they had some news. Interactive
- 20:55Speaker 1: Brokers now another big partner as twenty four to seven
- 20:58Speaker 1: funding with USDC on Solana. They also IBK are also
- 21:02Speaker 1: added RLUSD with Ripple. So the key is is this
- 21:06Speaker 1: is traditional finance all moving in. Do you think Solana
- 21:10Speaker 1: is in the right spot right now? And which would
- 21:13Speaker 1: you trade Ethereum or Solana today?
- 21:17Speaker 3: I just to actually just tagle this question this week
- 21:20Speaker 3: with a video that just went out yesterday. I want
- 21:23Speaker 3: to say, sometimes my videos like forget which ones go
- 21:25Speaker 3: out and which days. So I think I told you,
- 21:28Speaker 3: I think I spoiled this on your Guys show last week.
- 21:31Speaker 3: Solana is my top choice for all coins. Does it
- 21:34Speaker 3: mean that I think it's my biggest gainer, right. I
- 21:36Speaker 3: think some other coins with smaller market caps can have
- 21:38Speaker 3: bigger potential returns. I think in the video I made yesterday,
- 21:42Speaker 3: I talked about a potential three two four x is
- 21:46Speaker 3: what I'm looking at for Solana in twenty twenty six.
- 21:49Speaker 3: There's a chance he goes higher than that, but it's
- 21:51Speaker 3: what I'm watching. One of the biggest reasons why is
- 21:53Speaker 3: because Solana already has a decent sized market cap, sitting
- 21:56Speaker 3: close to ninety billion dollars. I'm talking about it getting
- 21:59Speaker 3: somewhere between two point fifty to three hundred and fifty
- 22:02Speaker 3: billion dollars before the end of the year major wins,
- 22:05Speaker 3: And in the video I talked about my reason why
- 22:08Speaker 3: is because, to be fair, like you just said, Ethereum
- 22:10Speaker 3: still has a lot of relationships with institutions. That's not
- 22:13Speaker 3: a surprise. We always knew Ethereum was going to be
- 22:16Speaker 3: a sweetheart to the institutional family Solana. If you asked
- 22:21Speaker 3: me this six months ago, will Solana be attracted to institutions,
- 22:26Speaker 3: I would have said, yeah, maybe they'll start an ETF.
- 22:29Speaker 3: Maybe you'll see some institutions dabble with like a company
- 22:33Speaker 3: creating ETFs or a mean coin on Solana just to
- 22:36Speaker 3: excite their community. I would have never guessed that Solana
- 22:40Speaker 3: would actually be a serious contender for real tokenized assets
- 22:44Speaker 3: being used by banks, by financial institutions, And yet here
- 22:48Speaker 3: we are. So they don't have to outpace Ethereum. They
- 22:51Speaker 3: don't have to have more than fifty percent of tokenized
- 22:53Speaker 3: assets to be a bigger thing than Ethereum. I think
- 22:56Speaker 3: the fact that their foot's even in the institutional world
- 23:00Speaker 3: is a big deal. And the reason why is because
- 23:02Speaker 3: until Ethereum fixes what they have going on, Solana is
- 23:05Speaker 3: faster and it's cheaper, and if the big boys are
- 23:08Speaker 3: trusting it to operate, Ethereum better watch out. I'm not
- 23:11Speaker 3: saying Etherem's gonna crash. I'm not saying Ethereum will get deep,
- 23:14Speaker 3: you know, kicked out of number two spot. But I
- 23:16Speaker 3: think Solana is gonna be a whole lot more competitive
- 23:19Speaker 3: than I thought it even would have been six months ago.
- 23:21Speaker 1: Well, if you look at the poll you guys ran
- 23:25Speaker 1: Shroom put up there, I mean it's kind of split
- 23:27Speaker 1: right now. Will Solana be the top chain, you know
- 23:30Speaker 1: for tokenization between ether and Solana kind of split right now?
- 23:34Speaker 2: On whether or not that's going to happen. And if
- 23:36Speaker 2: you do, look at.
- 23:38Speaker 1: The fact that we could see institutions start to play
- 23:41Speaker 1: in the Salona playground.
- 23:42Speaker 2: There are some unique elements.
- 23:44Speaker 1: With Solana that are quite a bit different than Etheroeum,
- 23:46Speaker 1: so exactly that in itself.
- 23:48Speaker 2: Is a big deal. How would I trade this? Though?
- 23:50Speaker 2: Right now?
- 23:51Speaker 1: If you look at the chart on Solana, we just
- 23:53Speaker 1: showed it a little bit. What would your chart show
- 23:55Speaker 1: for Solana? Should I enter a trade or not?
- 23:59Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean so that's kind of what we tend
- 24:01Speaker 3: that video right there. I mean, the best time to
- 24:03Speaker 3: have entered a trade was back here when we retouched
- 24:06Speaker 3: this support zone back at one hundred and nineteen hundred
- 24:09Speaker 3: and twenty dollars. Right, So this is where we got
- 24:11Speaker 3: into it here a couple of weeks ago. If you're
- 24:14Speaker 3: looking forward though, you're still liking what you're seeing here,
- 24:16Speaker 3: I'll show you that. I told you're gonna see this
- 24:17Speaker 3: on almost every chart. Mac D's bullsh RSIs bullish. My
- 24:22Speaker 3: neurowave great bullish bi signal right there. I put a
- 24:26Speaker 3: couple of different levels here. You know, I do plan
- 24:28Speaker 3: on taking some profit around one hundred and ninety dollars,
- 24:31Speaker 3: This is going to be a pretty significant Fibonacci level.
- 24:34Speaker 3: That's the golden pocket of retlacement right there. So that's
- 24:38Speaker 3: something I'm watching. Think Bitcoin to one hundred and five
- 24:42Speaker 3: to one hundred and ten K is the concept of
- 24:44Speaker 3: if we reject and put a lower high on Bitcoin,
- 24:47Speaker 3: we probably put it a lower high on Salona as well.
- 24:49Speaker 3: And that's where that one hundred ninety is coming into
- 24:51Speaker 3: my opinion. If we break above though, if we start
- 24:53Speaker 3: hitting you all time highs. You know, I do all
- 24:55Speaker 3: this in the video. I still encourage people go watch it,
- 24:57Speaker 3: give it a like help me out in the algora
- 25:00Speaker 3: them there, But I'm gonna do some some goodwill you
- 25:02Speaker 3: know here and tell you guys my levels here. Four
- 25:06Speaker 3: hundred dollars is the next significant Fibonacci extension level. Whenever
- 25:10Speaker 3: you look at whenever you get into price discovery mode,
- 25:12Speaker 3: I always love to pull up Fibonacci extension and you're
- 25:15Speaker 3: gonna find this can help you a lot. Like back here,
- 25:18Speaker 3: we knew that a top four Solana would probably be
- 25:21Speaker 3: in somewhere between two fifty two three oh seven based
- 25:25Speaker 3: on these Fibonacci levels. Get rid of that real quickly,
- 25:27Speaker 3: look at where Solana rejected those next two times two
- 25:31Speaker 3: fifty and three hundred. So Fibinaci extension very important for
- 25:36Speaker 3: price discovery mode when looking at this stuff, where are
- 25:39Speaker 3: those levels coming in? One point two seven two is
- 25:42Speaker 3: coming at four hundred, Golden pockets coming in at six hundred,
- 25:45Speaker 3: and I put a thurbine out there for I don't
- 25:47Speaker 3: think it's gonna happen necessarily in twenty way six for sure,
- 25:50Speaker 3: But then we have a raging bull market. Don't cut
- 25:52Speaker 3: out one thousand dollars for Slana. We're talking about a
- 25:54Speaker 3: five hundred and sixty ishillion dollar market cap. That's a
- 25:59Speaker 3: tall tale. I'm I'm not saying I'm holding to it.
- 26:01Speaker 3: I'm a bigger fan of four hundred and six hundred
- 26:03Speaker 3: right now as it stands, but I won't I wouldn't
- 26:06Speaker 3: be surprised if the bull run takes off like crazy
- 26:09Speaker 3: and goes to one thousand. I just might not wait
- 26:11Speaker 3: for it to take profit.
- 26:13Speaker 1: Man, Tim, I feel you you are back in the game.
- 26:16Speaker 1: Apparently you're you're giving some price predictions there now.
- 26:20Speaker 2: I'm gonna say, yeah, thousand.
- 26:22Speaker 1: Dollars a little bit of a reach for me, right
- 26:24Speaker 1: right under the current situation.
- 26:26Speaker 3: Yes, exactly. The current situation makes that a little bit unrealistic.
- 26:31Speaker 3: And I said my video, I tell people more than
- 26:34Speaker 3: likely that four hundred and six hundreds more realistic as
- 26:36Speaker 3: a stare stepper to a continued bull run. Right, you know,
- 26:39Speaker 3: I think about this. If we're right that twenty twenty
- 26:41Speaker 3: six is bullish, that's the last argument, Right, If twenty
- 26:44Speaker 3: twenty six is bullish, that's the last argument against the
- 26:47Speaker 3: four year cycle. It's done, in which case, why couldn't
- 26:50Speaker 3: twenty twenty seven be bush? In fact, I'd make the
- 26:52Speaker 3: argument if twenty twenty six is bullish, now there's a
- 26:55Speaker 3: great light that twenty twenty seven is bullsh as well.
- 26:58Speaker 3: And then it's something after a ridiculous the overpriced economy.
- 27:01Speaker 3: Then you have pullbacks later on. My realistic thought process
- 27:05Speaker 3: is four hundred to six d and twenty way six
- 27:08Speaker 3: and then look for one thousand sometime in twentywy seven
- 27:12Speaker 3: in an extended bull run. But if we don't get
- 27:14Speaker 3: this stuff happening, if we don't see a bull run
- 27:16Speaker 3: extend again one ninety, I'm I'm taking some profitent one
- 27:20Speaker 3: ninety and I want to watch. Do we get the
- 27:22Speaker 3: breakthrough or do we reject? Then I make a lot
- 27:25Speaker 3: of other decisions about my portfolio.
- 27:28Speaker 2: All right, Well, there you have it, guys.
- 27:29Speaker 1: Tim is on Solana as this number one token I
- 27:32Speaker 1: feel like right now, so a big one for sure.
- 27:35Speaker 1: Hey Tim, it was great having you in. Thanks a
- 27:36Speaker 1: lot for jumping into the show today.
- 27:38Speaker 3: Absolutely, Paul, thanks for having me again.
- 27:47Speaker 1: If you like this video, hit like and subscribe, drop
- 27:49Speaker 1: a comment down below, and also join our free private
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- 27:53Speaker 2: The link is in the description.