Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Tuesday 1/27/26

Transcript

NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Tuesday 1/27/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself.
• 0:04
  Speaker 2: We're on Own seven run over the last two days
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: after tonight it was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you above that
• 0:18
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: slump continuing.
• 0:24
  Speaker 2: Two straight losses, not a good day at all all
• 0:27
  Speaker 2: in four that have not had a good season. Man
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: with bookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues,
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: I've reached into pink.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins.
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: Hat Man, I don't know what is going on with
• 0:44
  Speaker 2: the bruins arch hape?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: who even knows?
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: Man, I don't know what data is anymore. I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore.
• 0:55
  Speaker 2: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: could possibly have with you, as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: Until I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me.
• 1:08
  Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slump, praise, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody,
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports. It is Tuesday,
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: January twenty seventh. We had a decent day on the
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: show yesterday, three and one. I would make the argument
• 1:46
  Speaker 2: it should have been four and oh. We had the
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: easy win in the afternoon with Charlotte, even though that
• 1:50
  Speaker 2: line actually dropped to like one and a half. You
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: could have gotten like a minus one twenty money line
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: on that too, But none of that mattered because they
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: won in a giant blowout. I think they might have
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: been win by fifty points in that game at one point.
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know how much they won by, probably thirty something.
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: That was an easy win with Charlotte, so that makes
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: you feel pretty good. The rest of the NBA didn't
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: do as well. Orlando had gone up to about six
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: six and a half or so. Not a huge difference there,
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: I think, dude.
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: The final score in.
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: That game was extremely misleading. If you look at what
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: happened in that game. Orlando was winning the game outright
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: earlier in the game, like I think in the second
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: quarter they were, so it was looking pretty good for
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: Orlando at that point, and then the entire game just
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: swung in the wrong direction. You wound up with Orlando
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: had seventeen more field goal attempts in that game, and
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: yet they didn't even cover. How does that even happen?
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: And they only lost the rebounding battle by three. It's
• 2:47
  Speaker 2: another one of those outliers.
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: When you have that many more field goal attempts than
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: your opponent, you rarely lose the game. You Yeah, I
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: mean they The fact that they lost the game by
• 2:57
  Speaker 2: as much as they did is just absolutely absurd, and
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: didn't even cover with that much of a field goal edge,
• 3:05
  Speaker 2: it makes no sense.
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: Cleveland shot fifty.
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: Three percent from the field and forty four percent from three,
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: so that was part of the reason why they won
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: as well some outlier percentages there in. Cleveland also had
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: twelve more free throw attempts in the game, so they
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: were getting to the line more towards the end. So
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: don't believe what you see with the final score man,
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: because that game was definitely more like if you the
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: stats that actually matter, that game should have been a
• 3:33
  Speaker 2: lot closer. So I'm pissed about that. And then Memphis
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: covered for us and almost blew it. Dude, Memphis was
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: winning that game outright in the fourth quarter. So I'm like, oh,
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: we have an easy winner here with Memphis there, They're
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: gonna cover the ten and a half easy, like they're
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: gonna they might win the game outright, which.
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: Of course they didn't, but they almost didn't cover.
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: They fell behind by nine I think at most, and
• 3:55
  Speaker 2: that's what they lost by, so they were still covering.
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: I think it was actually a wire to wire hovers still.
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: But the fact that they lost that game by nine
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: was fairly ridiculous because they had that cover in hand
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: the whole time. I don't know what happened to the end,
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: maybe some intentional fouls or something, but it shouldn't have
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: even been that close. But as long as you got
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: ten ten and a half on that, you won it, obviously.
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: And then the Islanders I didn't even pay attention to it,
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: but that was no sweat. They won four to nothing.
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: It was not close on the scoreboard. At least, so
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: that was an easy win.
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: So that was probably I think the strongest play of
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: the day.
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: If you watch my Instagram videos, I think I kind
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: of made that apparent.
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: But that's the way that it went. It was a
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: good day. Tyson. What's up.
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out, Jeffrey, what's up, Kyle, what's up?
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out everybody.
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Charlotte was up by fifty. That was one of those. Uh.
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: There were a couple of afternoon games in the NBA.
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: I was correct about both of them as well, but
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: that was the one that I had to play on.
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: Islanders. Yet it was so rock and and that wasn't it.
• 5:00
  Speaker 3: Uh.
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: That was part of the handicap as well, that he
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: was likely going to be back in net there and
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: he's their better goalie. I don't know about playing under
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: the Flyers games though, like ever, because the Flyers just
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: give up way too many goals. Yes, be more disciplined,
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: dirty sock, what's up?
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: Man? That's ah, that's what I try to be disciplined.
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: That's that's what I do. Man.
• 5:24
  Speaker 2: On the show, I just give out exactly what I'm
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: doing and that's and that's it. And like you know,
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: while I was actually doing this, which of course I'm
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: not at the moment. Because I'm doing I'm gonna be
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: able to free up a lot of my money within
• 5:38
  Speaker 2: the next couple of weeks, so I might be like
• 5:41
  Speaker 2: full time sports better trying to do that for a living.
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: Holy crap, and hopefully, dude, I want to blow the
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: channel up or something like. That's in a good way,
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: like I want to make money off of this, off
• 5:54
  Speaker 2: of the content. Man, come on, But like when I
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: was doing it, you know, I've done this for whatever
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: nineteen years now, and if I like dabbling like other stuff,
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: it's just really really small amounts or I just I
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: consider that to not be part of the like actual
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: like profit mechanism, you know what I mean. Like if
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna play some random thing, all, let me just
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: have some money on this, I consider it to be entertainment.
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: I just throw, you know, ten twenty bucks on something,
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean. I don't consider that to
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: be part of the part of the whole thing. So
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: the Islanders coach bench the starters. Again, I didn't even
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: know that, but that's another good angle, because yeah, if
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: the coach benches the starters, I mean It was somewhat
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: part of the angle anyway, though, because by benching the starters,
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: the team did terrible in the previous games, So that
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: was part.
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: Of the handicap. The fact that they were gonna be
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: in a bounce back spot.
• 6:51
  Speaker 2: Well, yes, I will, well, I will rejoin you because
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: I've done it as like a side thing for a
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: long long time. It's just that when I lost my
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: job this past year, I was not really in a
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: position where I had a lot of money freed up,
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: Like I didn't really have the bank roll for it,
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: because I was kind of relying on having constant income.
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: In addition to this, I mean, I don't know. Yeah,
• 7:22
  Speaker 2: a system, all right.
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: I have no idea.
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: Let's get into today. We're gonna be disciplined today. There's
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: gonna be yeah, I gotta zoom in here. Yeah, we're
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: gonna have a Oh hang on a second, crap. Oh god,
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: stream Yard is just like, what are you doing?
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: Man? I apologize, all right, there we go.
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: Yeah, we're gonna be disciplined today. Man, it's gonna be
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: a We're gonna be really selective today. I'm only gonna
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: get a I'm only gonna give.
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: Out two plays.
• 7:52
  Speaker 2: One in college basketball, one in hockey, and it's gonna
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: be really uninteresting, it's gonna be really ugly. But the
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: name of the game is you're trying to win, like
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: that's the whole thing. So that's what we're trying to
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: do here. We have college basketball, we have a couple
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: of afternoon games in the Swack at two pm, which
• 8:12
  Speaker 2: no interest for me in these although Alabama State and
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: Texas Southern, this game I kind of looked at just
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: a little bit because I saw that Alabama State has
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: Bethune Cookman on deck and that could be a look
• 8:23
  Speaker 2: ahead because they are in first place in the conference.
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: Now. Alabama State won the conference tournament.
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: Last year, so there's the possibility here they kind of
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: overlook Texas Southern. It is a second straight road game
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: for Alabama State. They're coming up and win over Prairie
• 8:39
  Speaker 2: View on the road, which isn't a big win or anything,
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: but it's possible they overlooked this Texas Southern team that's
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: way down this year. Texas Southern just beat Alabama A
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: and M. And they are staying at home. That was
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: a fine win as well, over a middle of the
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: pack team in the conference. I don't know too much
• 8:56
  Speaker 2: about the swack anyway, I rarely swacking miock miac are
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: rarely gonna make my card, but I mean they have before.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: We're really rare.
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: But in this one, because Alabama State does have that
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: potential look ahead, I would lean to Texas Southern in
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: this one.
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: They've flipped from a one and a half dog to
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: a two point.
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: Favorite though, so the market seems to be agreeing with
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: me on that sentiment there. So out of those two games,
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: that would be my preferred approach if any in those
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: two ugly swack games, I think Texas Southern is the
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: way to look. It might be a money line look
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: on that one. Actually, depending on what numbers you get there. Brad,
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: what's up man, go for it. I will within like
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: the next few weeks. Probably you like Northeastern. Wait, it's
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: Northeastern playing today? I don't think I I don't think
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: there were any Colonial games. Say what are you talking about?
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: Or you're wait Northeastern? Do you mean Northwestern State? Plus
• 9:57
  Speaker 2: the points against Stephen F.
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: Austin.
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: This game is on CBS Sports at four pm, so
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: it's actually televised, so you get to see Steven F. Austin.
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: You know on TV if you want. They are one
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: of the better teams in the Southland Conference. Charles, what's up, man,
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: It's gonna be between Stephen F. Austin and MacNeice in
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: this conference obviously. Yeah, you're on this Northwestern State side.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: Yeah, looking at.
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: This game, I mean, I'm talking about it because it
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: is a TV and Northwestern State is coming off a
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: couple road losses here. They did have a game postponed
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: as well, so they have a little bit of extra
• 10:35
  Speaker 2: time off coming into this game because of these stupid
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: weather postponements. That was supposed to be a home game though,
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: and now they're going back out on the road against
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: and now they're actually facing a third straight road.
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: Game, which I don't love. But you know they're not
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook Stephen F. Austin.
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: Steven of Austin already beat them in Northwestern States, so
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: this is a little bit of an avenging road dog
• 10:58
  Speaker 2: angle here in a end of the conference matchups. Here,
• 11:02
  Speaker 2: if we look at what happened in this first game, uh,
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: Steven F Austin was an eight and a half point
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: favorite on the road. They did win the game. Now,
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: based on the fact they were an eight and a
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: half point favorite here. This line today is a little bit.
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: High, I would say based on that, I think you
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: did have to kind of adjust the the power ratings
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: on the two teams, Like Stephen F.
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: Austin is probably a little bit better than we thought
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: they were at this point.
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: But that's you know.
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: I still think the line might be a little bit
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: high if we look at what happened in this game. Yeah,
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: I mean, the game wasn't really a blowout or anything,
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: but the game was pretty much out of reach by
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: the end of it was a fairly easy win for
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: Steven F.
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: Austin.
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: I don't I don't want to say it was misleading
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: or anything really, because they're clear clearly they're the better
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: team here. I'm looking at the stats and whatever it was.
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: To me, it doesn't seem like there was much of
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: an outlier here or anything. Steven of Austin did win
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: the rebounding battle, which I'm not surprised by, but yes,
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: clearly the better team. You're having to lay a ton
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: of points with stevenvaff in this one and Steven of Austin.
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: I would probably like this better if they had MacNeice
• 12:06
  Speaker 2: on deck, which they don't.
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: They have them in two games they play.
• 12:09
  Speaker 2: They play Southeastern Louisiana next, which is not a huge
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: game other than last place in the conference in fact,
• 12:15
  Speaker 2: but still there is the potential they.
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: Overlook Northwestern State here.
• 12:19
  Speaker 2: Stevenen have Austin to just win three straight games on
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: the road, including beating Nichols, who's been one of the
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: better teams in the conference. And they beat Lamar in
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: their last game, which was a decent win as well,
• 12:30
  Speaker 2: although I'm pretty sure Steven at Austin was a favorite
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: in that game despite being the road team, So I
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: don't really am interested in it. But I would not
• 12:38
  Speaker 2: disagree with Northwestern State in this one because again, you
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: know me, I like to look at those road underdogs
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: in the second matchup if they lost at home. But
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: I worry about it a little bit because steven of
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: Austin is clearly the better of the two teams here,
• 12:52
  Speaker 2: but they are laying fourteen in this one. Yeah, I'll
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: agree with taking the points there, but it's not a
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: strong opinion for me. All Right, we have a ACC
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: network at six pm, wake Forest and Pitt. We have
• 13:08
  Speaker 2: a decent amount of big conference games today. But I
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: actually my play is not in one of them, and
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: I just I don't know. I don't have a good
• 13:15
  Speaker 2: read on really any of these games, to be honest,
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: I have some opinions. But Wake Forest, They're coming off
• 13:23
  Speaker 2: of a really ugly loss to Duke. Now, they should
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: bounce back like any team that loses that bad. I
• 13:30
  Speaker 2: know it was Duke, but Duke is for real obviously.
• 13:33
  Speaker 2: I mean, we saw what they did to Louisville last night.
• 13:35
  Speaker 2: We know, so it's not that surprising that Wake lost
• 13:38
  Speaker 2: that badly, even though Wake usually gets up for games
• 13:41
  Speaker 2: against Duke because Wake is the little brother in the
• 13:44
  Speaker 2: state of North Carolina or one of the little brothers.
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: Now they are.
• 13:47
  Speaker 2: Having to play a fourth road game in five games,
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: which is not that easy, and they do have NC
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: State on deck, so they are technically in a North
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: Carolina sandwich here, and that is a bigger game. So
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: I definitely have my concerns with Wake, even though usually
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: when you come off a blowout loss like that, you're
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: gonna bounce back and play better at least in the
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: next game. But the amount of road games they played
• 14:09
  Speaker 2: recently also worries me. As far as how Pitt sets
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: up in this game. Pitt just had a closer game
• 14:16
  Speaker 2: they lost to an NC State. I don't think the
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: game was that close, but they lost it home by nine.
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: I think Pitt was kind of hanging around to this
• 14:23
  Speaker 2: game late. Let me see, Pitt was winning the game
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: in the second half, and then they did fall flat
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: later in the game. I think they were at best.
• 14:31
  Speaker 2: I think they were within seven or eight in the
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: final couple of minutes. But they did play kind of
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: a more competitive game there. So in that respect, you
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: could argue that Pitt is kind of in the worst
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: spot here, and they do have a look ahead to
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: Clemson potentially here where maybe Pitt overlooks Wake. But I
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: don't know if Pitt's gonna overlook anybody, man, because Pitt
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: is pretty bad. They're literally the bottom of the conference
• 14:54
  Speaker 2: right now. They only have one conference win. So do
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: you really overlook anybody when you're in a situation like that?
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: Probably not so looking at this game.
• 15:04
  Speaker 2: I went back and forth on this game, market Reda
• 15:07
  Speaker 2: saying Pitt, I guess I won't disagree with it. Fifty tickets,
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: eight and nine percent of the cash on pit. They're
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: a one and a half point favorite, which is also interesting.
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: He was people are gonna look at the records, and
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: why would anybody want to lay a favorite price with
• 15:21
  Speaker 2: a below five hundred team right against Wake who has
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: the better record. So looking at everything that's involved in
• 15:28
  Speaker 2: that game, I would lean to pit but not a
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: strong opinion for me there. Yes, that would be the
• 15:35
  Speaker 2: hope that Austin overlooks Northwestern State. The Northwestern say, wha wait,
• 15:43
  Speaker 2: what is there?
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: Why do I forget? They're what are they? They're the
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: Purple Demons or something. They have some crazy name.
• 15:49
  Speaker 2: Oh, they're just the Demons now, I think they were
• 15:52
  Speaker 2: the Purple Demons or something like that for a while.
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: They shortened it. But yes, of course you're allowed to
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: be the demons.
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: Uh, you're you're not gonna have that name woke a fide.
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: It's already right in line with what they want to do.
• 16:09
  Speaker 2: But yes, the Northwestern State, Yeah, could be overlooked there
• 16:14
  Speaker 2: for sure.
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: All right, we have Fox Sports won.
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: The first ranked team that's playing is Michigan State, number
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: seven in the country at Rutgers.
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: Rutgers not a very good team obviously at six thirty
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: pm Eastern.
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: Now, the big part of the handicap here is that
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: Michigan State has Michigan next. So that's really I think
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: the main component of this is they could be looking
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: ahead to Michigan. That's a monster game obviously for a
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: whole slew of reasons. I mean, both teams playing well,
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: it's a massive rivalry game. Michigan is one of the
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: top teams in the country. You know that Michigan State's
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: gonna be looking way like they're gonna be looking ahead,
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: Like I don't see them really having full focus here
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: on Rutgers and looking at what Michigan State's done on
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: the road. They haven't had that many roads games, and
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: they haven't been that great. I mean, they barely got
• 17:03
  Speaker 2: by Penn State, although they were coming out of a
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: huge game against Duke and we won with Penn State
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: covering here on the show. In that one on Michigan State,
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: we lost with them against Nebraska. Unfortunately they failed to
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: cover I think barely in that game. But I mean,
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna knock them too much for losing on
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: the road to Nebraska. And then they did win at
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: Washington and at Oregon, which those aren't very good teams,
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: but they were out on the Pacific Coast for those games,
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: which was at least a weird travel spot and kind
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: of an unfamiliar venue to them. So I'm not gonna
• 17:34
  Speaker 2: say they've been bad on the road, but having to
• 17:38
  Speaker 2: go out to New Jersey and you know, we're still
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: having the lingering effects of the snow up here and whatever,
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: although of course Michigan is used to the snow as well,
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: Michigan State, the state of Michigan is I don't know
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: if that's gonna affect them at all, affect their travel whatever.
• 17:53
  Speaker 2: But again they could be looking ahead to Michigan. It's
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: just a huge game. So that's kind in the handicap here.
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: Whereas Rutgers, I think you at least know you'll get
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: an you'll get an effort out of Rutgers here. They
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: just lost at home horribly to Indiana eighty two to
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: fifty nine. Rutgers staying at home after that, they got
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: Michigan State coming into their house. You know they're at
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: least gonna try to put in an effort in this game,
• 18:18
  Speaker 2: I would say, so, I think it's more known that
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: you're gonna get an effort out of Rutgers here. So
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: I would have to take the points with the Rutgers
• 18:25
  Speaker 2: if I was gonna play this.
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: It's not on my card, but that's the way I
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: would lean on. Michigan State's extremely public.
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: It looks like ninety two percent of the tickets, but
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: the money looks like it's in disagreement with that. Maybe
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: a bit of a sharp square divide on this one.
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: Fifty nine percent of the cash coming in on Rutgers.
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: So the money is coming in on Rutgers. Michigan State's
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: a fifteen point road favorite, and both teams like to
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: play slow. They play some ugly, low scoring games. The
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: total in the one thirties makes it more tempting to
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: want to take a huge underdog price with a home
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: dog here, So a few things do line up on
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: the Rutgers side there.
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: That is the way that I would lean in that game.
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: All right, Actually, Nebraska Michigan, I forgot to Actually I
• 19:08
  Speaker 2: think I forgot to handicap this game this morning because
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: I already knew what my thoughts were on the game.
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: Hold on, I gotta figure out if I'm to add
• 19:14
  Speaker 2: this to my card or not. This is on Peacock
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: at seven pm, the big game of the day. Number
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: five Nebraska, number three Michigan. But if you go consult
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: the old Ken Pomeroy. Here, he has Michigan as the
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: second best team in the country. They've been flip flopping
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: with Arizona, so you could make the argument that the
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: best team in the country. And he's got Nebraska twelfth.
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: So he has Michigan better on both sides of the
• 19:41
  Speaker 2: ball than Nebraska. Both teams are actually better defensively than offensively,
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: but he's got yeah, Michigan just better both sides of
• 19:49
  Speaker 2: the ball. And he has Michigan as a fast paced
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: team in Nebraska was fast paced last year, so I
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: keep thinking they are.
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: But they're not. They're slow based team.
• 19:58
  Speaker 2: So Michigan might be able to speed this game up here, man,
• 20:01
  Speaker 2: and that might throw Nebraska out of what they want
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: to do because they want to play slow.
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: Nebraska.
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: Ken bumb also has as the thirty second luckiest team
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: in the country, so he's telling you they've overperformed. And
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: I keep saying that, like, yeah, they're a good team,
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: but they're not as good as this twenty to ozero
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: record makes them look. Michigan has also faced a much
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: They faced the more difficult schedule. They faced the seventh
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: most difficult schedule in the country, Nebraska forty six and
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: Michigan is one hundred and eighteenth. Again, Bump's luck in deck,
• 20:30
  Speaker 2: so he's telling you that, yeah, Michigan has not overperformed
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: as much as Nebraska has. So ken Bum's numbers are
• 20:39
  Speaker 2: basically telling you already that Nebraska is an overrated team,
• 20:43
  Speaker 2: which I do keep saying, Sorry, Nate Charles, what's up man?
• 20:48
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out. So this game, I mean, the
• 20:51
  Speaker 2: handicap in this one would be like a numbers handicap, Like,
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: there's not really gonna be a situational handicap here because
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: both teams you know, are going to show up for this.
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: Nebraska's just rolling into this game not having lost yet
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: at all. Of course, we could look at what Nebraska's
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: done on the road so far. They only beat Illinois
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: by three, but of course they were double digit underdogs
• 21:12
  Speaker 2: in that game, and I took a loss on that one,
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: laying the points with Illinois here on the show. Unfortunately
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: it was bad. It was not even close. But then
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: that was a good win for Nebraska. No doubt Illinois's legit,
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: they're better than Nebraska is.
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: But back then I think we didn't know that Nebraska was.
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: Like as good as they are, even though I still
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: think they're overrated. I think they were actually maybe even
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: being a little bit. I think they were being a
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: little bit underrated at that point, even though I think
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: Illinois was too. Now, Nebraska beating Michigan State, of course
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: at home, that was their biggest kind of statement win.
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: What else have they done on the road.
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: While they beat Ohio State by three, they beat Indiana
• 21:51
  Speaker 2: by six, they beat Northwestern, which Northwestern is a little
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: bit under the radar, they did beat them handily by nineteen,
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: and then their last game they've beaten Minnesota buy whatever
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: that is nineteen as well, So they've been okay on
• 22:05
  Speaker 2: the road.
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: But those Ohio State and Indiana.
• 22:07
  Speaker 2: Results don't inspire too much confidence here for me for Michigan.
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: Michigan's only losses to Wisconsin, as we know, it was
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: kind of an odd home loss for Michigan there. They
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: didn't have that game really surrounded by anything.
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: I think.
• 22:22
  Speaker 2: I don't know what happened in that game, just it
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: seems like it was a bit more of an outlier
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: to me. Now and now Michigan, of course they're on
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: a four game win streak as well coming into this one.
• 22:31
  Speaker 2: They've stayed at home the last couple of games, so
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: they've had to travel less here. They're just staying at
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: home now. They do have Michigan State on deck, but
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: I highly doubt that Michigan overlooks Nebraska in this one.
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: And the fact that they have this type of setup.
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: Is actually gonna help Michigan State probably in that game
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: because Michigan's gonna have to play two huge games in
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: a row here. But yeah, I would have to lean
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: to Michigan in this game, man. And people are gonna
• 22:56
  Speaker 2: look at this game and see the line on this
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: is Michigan is a double digit favorite, down from eleven
• 23:01
  Speaker 2: to ten and a half year.
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: The public is gonna be all.
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: Over Nebraska, like, how could you be getting a double
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: digit underdog price with an undefeated team? And the teams
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: are ranked two spots away from each other by the
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: rankings makers, right, so the public will be all over
• 23:17
  Speaker 2: the underdog here. And they are seventy three percent of
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: the tickets around Nebraska only sixty three percent of the
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: cash though, So this is looking like one of those
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: situations where you have an anti public favorite, and you know,
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: I like that because that means you're fading the public
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: and you're playing the better team. You wouldn't need Michigan
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: to win by margin here. I mean, I was pretty
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: close to putting this on my card. Man, I think
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna do it, but I would lay the
• 23:42
  Speaker 2: points with Michigan in this one. I would fade the public.
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: This is definitely kind of a numbers play, kind of
• 23:49
  Speaker 2: a perception play here where what the people think about
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: these two teams is not entirely accurate. Michigan is definitely
• 23:58
  Speaker 2: the better team, so that's the way I would go
• 24:02
  Speaker 2: the number though I don't know, man, I don't know
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: if ten and a half is maybe a little bit high.
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: I mean, I have to see what ken Bun does.
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: As they keep clarifying everybody should buy ken Bum, I
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: shouldn't really show his money stuff. He's got nine point
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: victory here for Michigan, but yes, by ken Bum, it's
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: only like thirty bucks a year or whatever. So those
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: are my thoughts on that. I lean to Michigan pretty strongly.
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: I think that I think Michigan does win that game
• 24:30
  Speaker 2: by double digits, but doesn't quite make my card, you
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: know me, I like the situations and not the guy
• 24:40
  Speaker 2: from Jersey Shore seven PM. We have number fifteen Arkansas
• 24:44
  Speaker 2: at Oklahoma. I'm looking at this game. Arkansas is only
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: small favorite here, so looking at the market on this
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: it does look too easy to play Arkansas. They're down
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: from three to two and a half here. We know
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: that the better team they're ranked, Oklahoma, I think, is
• 24:58
  Speaker 2: at the very bottom of the SEC rank SEC standings
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: right now. Nobody's gonna want Oklahoma in this game. Eighty
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: two percent of the tickets seventy one percent of the
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: cash on Arkansas, so they're a public side with less
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: than the money on them. Arkansas, they just beat Vandy
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: and then they didn't really suffer for the letdown. They
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: beat LSU in the next game, although well, actually I
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: don't know, it kind of was a letdown because Arkansas
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: didn't cover. So that's kind of the issue that I
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: have here. Arkansas is a ten and a half point
• 25:29
  Speaker 2: favorite in this game and they only won by four.
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: And you know, I talk about when huge favorites have
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: close calls like that, they usually actually show up focused
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: in the next game. So that would be my concern
• 25:39
  Speaker 2: with Arkansas that maybe they actually will come in focused
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: after kind of a questionable performance against LSU.
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: They do have Kentucky up next, and I know I
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: have Kentucky.
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: Still barely making the tournament, although their record is starting
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: to look better Kentucky, Kentucky probably should be a top
• 25:55
  Speaker 2: twenty five ranked team, to be honest, it's just that
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: their tournament resume has so because they've been so up
• 26:01
  Speaker 2: and down this year. But Kentucky looks like they're finally
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: riding the ship. So Arkansas could be looking ahead to
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: that Kentucky game. For Oklahoma here, they haven't played well
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: man and they just took another loss.
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: It was on the road.
• 26:15
  Speaker 2: It was a close loss, though, and Oklahoma was a
• 26:17
  Speaker 2: dog in that game against Missouri and they almost pulled
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: off the upste And you remember I talked about I
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: thought Missouri was in a sandwich spot in that game
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: because they played Georgia the game before then, and they
• 26:28
  Speaker 2: had I don't know, some ranked team upcoming. I forget
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: whoever Missouri's playing today, which we'll talk about. I think,
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: uh Alabama, maybe a sou I forget it might be Alabama,
• 26:40
  Speaker 2: I forget.
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: But it was a sandwich spot that Missouri was in.
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma did cover. So I'm kind of angry that I
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: did not put that on my card.
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: So Oklahoma did play well as a road underdog in
• 26:51
  Speaker 2: that one, and you know, sometimes I don't like to
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: play on teams that played well as a road underdog.
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: I think there were only about a four and a
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: half point dog, but I like to fade dogs that
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: played really well and had a close call in the
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: last game. So the situational aspect of this game kind
• 27:06
  Speaker 2: of worries me a little bit as far as Oklahoma
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: is concerned. Oklahoma has lost a ton of games in
• 27:12
  Speaker 2: a row, though, so I think they really can't afford
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: to overlook anybody, you know, like they're not gonna overlook
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: a ranked Arkansas team coming into their place. And if
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: you look at what Oklahoma's done at home, they actually
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: almost beat Alabama at home. That's not too bad. They
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: beat Old Miss at home. I know they're down this year,
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: but that's.
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: An Okay win. And they lost to Florida. I'm not
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: really gonna knock them for that. Florida. As I said
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: last night.
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: I think it's probably the best team in the SEC.
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: By the way, thanks for everybody for showing up for
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: the Bracketology show last night as well, which I usually
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: do on Monday nights right now, and I might have
• 27:45
  Speaker 2: to do them multiple times a week once you really
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: get into the heat of the.
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: Lead up to March Madness year.
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: But anyway, Oklahoma, I just don't really see them overlooking anybody, man,
• 27:55
  Speaker 2: And that's kind of the thing here, and there could
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: still be the potential that Arkansas does overlook them. I
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: don't love the situational set up, but I will agree
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: with the market on this one and lead towards taking
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: the points with Oklahoma, but I don't love it by
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: any means. ESPN two at seven BM is number seventeen.
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: Virginia at Notre Dame. Virginia is coming off a pretty
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: tough loss against North Carolina. Now that was a big game,
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: no doubt about it, and it ended a five game
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: win streak for Virginia. And I talk about how when
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: you lose a win streak sometimes you'll lose the same
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: game twice. Especially if you lost that win streak in
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: a big game, it might hang you over. So that
• 28:35
  Speaker 2: was a big game, So I could see this being
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: a hangover spot for Virginia, and I lean.
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: Towards it being that, Like I would probably fade Virginia
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: in this game.
• 28:44
  Speaker 2: One concern might be though, that Virginia was actually a
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: seven and a half point favorite or so in that
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: game against North Carolina, so they did lose as a favorite.
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: So sometimes teams that lose his favorites, they'll actually bounce
• 28:55
  Speaker 2: back in the next game. But Virginia, you know, having
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: to go to South Bend to kind of a weird
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: spot for them. Notre Dame just beat BC at home
• 29:05
  Speaker 2: to end a five game losing streak, So we have
• 29:08
  Speaker 2: streaks going in the opposite directions here. Where Virginia just
• 29:11
  Speaker 2: lost a wind streak, Notre Dame just ended a losing streak.
• 29:14
  Speaker 2: So Notre Dame the momentum for them sets up better
• 29:18
  Speaker 2: in my opinion coming into this one because they ended
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: their losing momentum and Notre Dame just looked really bad
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: at North Carolina the game before the BC game, so
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: people might look at that and think, oh, whoa, Virginia
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: almost beat North Carolina.
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame got blown out by them. So this is
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: pretty easy, right. You played Virginia here, But we're not
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: questioning that Virginia is the better team. Of course they are.
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: We all know this. But the question is should we be.
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: Laying this many points with Virginia on the road in
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: the spot, and I would say, no, Virginia's laying nine
• 29:48
  Speaker 2: and a half here on the road, fifty to fifty
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: on the tickets, sixty four percent of the cash on
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: Notre Dame.
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: I agree with the market in this one.
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: I would take the points with Notre Dame if I
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: was gonna play if Virginia does not have a big
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: game up now, I forget who they play. But it
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: wasn't anything like there wasn't really a look ahead component
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: to this.
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: It's Boston College.
• 30:06
  Speaker 2: Yeah, not a look ahead, but still for me lean
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: to Notre Dame in that one. Virginia also plays slow,
• 30:15
  Speaker 2: not as slow as they did under the Tony Bennett era,
• 30:18
  Speaker 2: but they.
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: Still play pretty slow.
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: So there's still a slow down team and you're asking
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: them to lay a bunch of points on the road.
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: Notre Dame actually plays even slower than Virginia, and the
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: total is pretty low at one forty one, So could
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: be a game where points are at a bit of
• 30:32
  Speaker 2: a premium there as well, and taking the points with
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: the home team makes more sense in a game like that.
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: Next up is my actual play. I don't know if
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: anybody who was able to guess it.
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: But we're going Southland on this. We're gonna be in
• 30:45
  Speaker 2: East Texas A and M plus seven. I think in
• 30:50
  Speaker 2: this one we have a combination of a Sandwich spot
• 30:52
  Speaker 2: and in an Avenging Road underdog here. So I like
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: that East Texas A and M playing Lamar Lama. East
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: Texas A and M did lose already at home to Lamar. Now,
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: one issue that I do have with this is that
• 31:06
  Speaker 2: the line in this game was Lamar five and a half,
• 31:09
  Speaker 2: which would indicate that they should probably.
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: Be like.
• 31:14
  Speaker 2: Like a ten point favorite in this one. So I
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: don't know why they're only seven here. So I do
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: worry about that that the number doesn't make a whole
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: lot of sense based on what this number was though
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: this number opened two and a half, so if this
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: was actually two and a half to seven would make
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: a lot more sense in this game. So I don't
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: know why the line was up to five and a
• 31:33
  Speaker 2: half in this particular game.
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: Lamar did cover.
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: Either one of those numbers, but yeah, I don't know
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: what happened in that game as far as what the
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: number did. Ken Bomb has this number right at seven,
• 31:43
  Speaker 2: by the way, for today's game, So ken Bom is
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: at least saying that the line is pretty much where
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: it should be. So I don't think we have to
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: worry that much about why this line was five and
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: a half. If really what happened in this game, Texas
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: A and M had a horrible shooting game thirty seven
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: percent from the field.
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: That's bad.
• 32:02
  Speaker 2: The rebounding battle was actually pretty close, and East Texas
• 32:05
  Speaker 2: A and M lost the turnover battle pretty badly minus
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: seven and turnovers. Now, of course, they're more liable to
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: do that on the road, like if they lost the
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: turnover battle at home. I know that's not really a
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: good sign for being the road team, but it is
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: something you could fix and you can clean up right
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: And for Lamar, Lamar might just look right past East
• 32:27
  Speaker 2: Texas A and M because they're not a very good
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: team and Lamar already beat them on the road, you
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: know what I mean, So they just might not have
• 32:32
  Speaker 2: a ton of focus on this game here against East
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: Texas A and M and East Texas A and M.
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: They should at least have adjustments to make after this.
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: And that's another reason why this Avenging road dog angle
• 32:45
  Speaker 2: works so well, is that if A team lost at
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: home in the first game, they know what went wrong
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: and they have adjustments to make. They have things to fix,
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: whereas the team that already won, they don't really have
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: anything to fix, and they could.
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: Overlook that team much more easily. You know.
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: That's why this angle works. But the other part of
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: this handicap here Lamar. Now both these teams have a
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: little bit of extra rest here because these teams had
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: a postpone meant which was actually this game got postponed.
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: This game was gonna be I think yesterday. I think
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: it was supposed to be yesterday and now got moved
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: to today. But Lamar played like three days ago, and
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna show you in a minute that East Texas
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: A and M actually hasn't played for like a week.
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: So Lamar has actually.
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: Played three games over a span where East Texas A
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: and M has only played one.
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: So East Texas A and M is gonna be the
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: way more rested.
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: Team coming into this because East Texas A and M
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: has had their last two games postponed due to the weather,
• 33:42
  Speaker 2: including this one, whereas Lamar only had this one. So
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: there's a rest edge for Sex's A and M here
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: that might be factoring into the line a little bit
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: because it kind of has to, but I like it anyway.
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: We're getting a dog price here, and then I haven't
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: even talked about the sandwich aspect of this. Lamar just
• 33:58
  Speaker 2: had a huge game against even have Austin, who's leading
• 34:01
  Speaker 2: the conference right now, and they only lost them at
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: home by seven.
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: Steven F. Austin in this game, yeah they did cover.
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: They were four and a half point favorite, but this
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: is a game where Lamar played the pretty close man.
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: Even though yes, Stephen F. Austin did shoot well in
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: the games that was part of it. Lamar did out
• 34:19
  Speaker 2: rebound them, which does worrying me a little bit. Lamar
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: actually outplayed Stephen of Austin in the game a bit,
• 34:24
  Speaker 2: and Lamar lost the turnover battle which factored into why
• 34:29
  Speaker 2: they lost the game, and they actually had more field
• 34:31
  Speaker 2: goal attempts in the game, So yeah, that.
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: Worries me that they actually outplayed the better team here.
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: But this was just a monster game, dude, and Lamar
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: was kind of hanging in this game most of the way.
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: Although I know near the end of the game they
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: were down seven to nine, they wound up losing by seven,
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: so it wasn't that close, but it was like at
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: its closest, like with a few minutes left they were
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: within two possessions. They were down five with like three
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: forty six left there. So it was a close game
• 34:59
  Speaker 2: for Lamar against one of the top teams in the conference.
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: So that was a huge game.
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: So they're coming off of that huge performance and to
• 35:06
  Speaker 2: make matters a lot worse, you know, I said this
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: was a sandwich spot. They got MacNeice up next in
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: four days. They got to play MacNeice on Saturday.
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: Huge game. MacNeice the team that won the conference the
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: last two years. They were the dominant presence in this conference.
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: They're still the best team in the conference this year
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: until Steveen of Austin really outs them, which hasn't happened.
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: I think MacNeice actually beat Stephen of Austin this year
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: and they have two losses to other teams. So it's
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: a huge game.
• 35:36
  Speaker 2: And that's also a revenge game for Lamar because Lamar
• 35:38
  Speaker 2: lost to MacNeice once already so at MacNeice. So this
• 35:43
  Speaker 2: is a sandwich spot for sure. Plus it's an avenging
• 35:45
  Speaker 2: road dog angle. Plus, like I said, East Texas A
• 35:48
  Speaker 2: and M has extra rest because they had a game
• 35:51
  Speaker 2: against Northwestern State postponed and this Lamar game postponed.
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: So that's I think that's good.
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: Now they're actually well, the're finishing up a road trip here,
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: and yeah, it's a third straight road game, and I
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: worry about having that many games in a row on
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: the road in college basketball. But because they had these
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: games postponed and now they've been off for about a week,
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: I think that's actually helpful. Even though they did win
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: their last game at a blowout at Incarnate Words, So
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: you worry about maybe having too much time off after
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: a win like that might hurt your momentum or whatever.
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: But I don't think they're gonna overlook a team that
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: beat them at their own place, you know.
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: So I see them showing up for this East Texas
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: A and M is the play here? Let me see here.
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: The line already dropped to five. My god, My apologies man,
• 36:39
  Speaker 2: this line again. It's it's college basketball, you're liable to
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: miss these line was like really quick, man, It was seven,
• 36:47
  Speaker 2: like literally right before I started the show, and now
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: it's five. I mean, do what you want with it,
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: if you want to play it for like less money
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: or something like that. I would I apologize to me
• 36:56
  Speaker 2: because I'm being really selective and this is the best
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: play in my opinion of the day. And it looks
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: like the professional money might be agreeing with me here
• 37:04
  Speaker 2: knocking this line down. It's a low total as well,
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: one forty and a half, so it's expected that we're
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: gonna see some low scoring action in this one or
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: less action, and Ken Bump kind of tells you that
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: as well. Both teams are pretty bad offensively. Both teams
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: are better defensively than offensively. East Texas A and M
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: is barely in his top three hundred, but Lamar is
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: not that much better.
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: They're at two twenty.
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: Both teams are pretty miserable offensively, they're both good defensively.
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: Lamar plays slow and they're gonna be at.
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: Home, so the slowdown team at home probably gonna be
• 37:38
  Speaker 2: able to slow the game down, even though I know
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: that my frustrated sext A and M a little bit
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: because they want to go a little bit faster. But
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: if it's a slow down style and you're asking that
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: home team to cover as a favorite, I still kind
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: of like the dog.
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: But I like the dog for all those.
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: Reasons there man, I'm not really sure what that means. Yeah,
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: like I said, that line is plummeting already, it's five
• 38:02
  Speaker 2: and a half. I don't know what to tell you, man.
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: Like I get ready to do the show, I picked
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: the spots that I like, like, Okay, this numbers at seven.
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: That's what we're going with here. Sometimes you get a
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: better number as I'm talking. Sometimes it's worse. This number
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: has moved in the same direction as me. So I
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: would still probably do it, but for less of an amount,
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: probably at the plus five and a half. Seven is
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a key number in basketball though,
• 38:31
  Speaker 2: because it's a three possession threshold. And again I recommend
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: having as many books as possible because you've got to
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: be able to line shot. Man, you can't tie yourself
• 38:41
  Speaker 2: to one book, especially FanDuel. FanDuel is the absolute worst.
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: Fandel screws you in like every imaginable way, Like they're
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: basically a scam. At this point, CBS Sports at seven pm,
• 38:56
  Speaker 2: Richmond at Vcure Richmond.
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: Three straight losses. They're playing a third road game in
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: four games, which is not easy to do.
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: I thought they would play better against George Washington in
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: the last game they caught George Washington in a pretty
• 39:12
  Speaker 2: good spot to catch them and still didn't work. We
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: lost with Richmond, they did not cover. Now, this is
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: a big game for Richmond, though I think they probably
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: consider themselves to be a little brother in the city
• 39:23
  Speaker 2: of Richmond. I'm pretty sure VCU was also in Richmond.
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: They are, so this is a huge game for Richmond,
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: a bigger game for them than it is for VCU.
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: Probably VCU. The problem is they just don't have this
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: game surrounded by much. They just beat Davidson on the road.
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: They have Loyola Chicago next to not a big game there.
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: So I don't know that VCU is gonna not pay
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: attention to this game, but I do think the game
• 39:47
  Speaker 2: means more to Richmond. So I would lean to taking
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: the points with Richmond in this one. VCU down from
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: twelve to eleven.
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: Here sixty two percent of the tickets eighty six percent
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: of the cash.
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: On VCU though, so the money looks like a kind
• 40:00
  Speaker 2: of is on VCU based on the percentages there, But
• 40:03
  Speaker 2: I don't really agree with that. I would probably take
• 40:05
  Speaker 2: the points in that one, just I think it's a
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: big game for Richmond, like bigger than it is for VCU,
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: So that's kind of my that's the way that I
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: read that game. The best sports book, I don't know,
• 40:19
  Speaker 2: I mean it depends on Like, dude, you just you
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: just have to you have to have all of them available,
• 40:25
  Speaker 2: Like I'm not gonna tie myself to one sports book
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: like you need to be if you're serious about this
• 40:30
  Speaker 2: and trying to actually make money, you've got to have
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: every book that's available to you. You got to have
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: an accounted every single one. And that's the deal, because
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: you've got to be able to find the best number.
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: You should be like in a state that has like.
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: Several online sports books at the very least.
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: And then there are some other ones that we don't
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: There are some other ones that we aren't allowed to
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: talk about that are.
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: Offshore actually on YouTube.
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: I might get, Uh, it's possible that the show gets
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: taken down just because we mentioned any sports book at all.
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: So I don't even know if I'm I don't even
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: think I'm allowed to name them out by name.
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: But there are certain ones that lag behind others, and
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: like they lag behind like the main two, which you
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: know what I'm talking about.
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: So those other books are better than those two generally
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: like forgetting better numbers.
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: But I don't know.
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: I don't know how to answer that question otherwise, because
• 41:26
  Speaker 2: like the best ones are ones that you that you
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: aren't even allowed to use, Like what am I What
• 41:30
  Speaker 2: am I gonna say is the best?
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: There's one?
• 41:32
  Speaker 2: Like there are a couple in Vegas that are like
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: really sharp casinos that are actually probably the best that
• 41:38
  Speaker 2: cater to the sharps. And there are a couple of
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: offshore books that cater to the sharps as well that
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: I would say those are the best books that, of
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: course I may or may not have used prior to
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: the legalization of these things in certain states. Arizona State
• 41:59
  Speaker 2: at use this is kind of a weird travel spot
• 42:01
  Speaker 2: for Arizona State. Arizona State just ended a losing streak
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: by beating Cincinnati. They lost three games in a row.
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: But now they got to travel out to Florida. And
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: I don't know that Arizona State's played on the East
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: coast this entire season.
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: I don't believe they have.
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: And they have Arizona on deck the rematch with Arizona
• 42:20
  Speaker 2: after they played pretty well against Arizona the first time.
• 42:23
  Speaker 2: That's a massive rivalry game. Of course, huge game for
• 42:26
  Speaker 2: Arizona State on deck, so this is a weird spot
• 42:29
  Speaker 2: for them, and they're coming up a pretty satisfying win
• 42:31
  Speaker 2: against Cincinnati as well.
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: UCF just ended.
• 42:35
  Speaker 2: A little bit of a losing streak with a win
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: at Colorado and now they're coming back home from that.
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: But the problem with UCF here is they got two
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: huge games on deck against Sexast Tech in Houston, so
• 42:46
  Speaker 2: there's the possibility they.
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: Overlook Arizona State here.
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: Overall, I probably prefer U SEF in this game, though,
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: because it's a weird travel spot for Arizona State. Man
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: UCF's laying seven and a half seventy nine percent of
• 43:00
  Speaker 2: tickets eighty five percent of the cash on them. They're
• 43:02
  Speaker 2: a public side, probably looks like some of the money
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: is also kind of coming in on them.
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: I would lead towards laying it, but I don't love
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: the game.
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I just I don't really give a shit with
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: fat what well I can I can?
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: I can? I call it fag dual because I might
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: be able to call it that. Again, that's less likely
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: to get get the channel newt to know. I don't know.
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to call them otherwise, but FD
• 43:32
  Speaker 2: let's call them. Yeah, I don't really I don't care
• 43:37
  Speaker 2: what they're saying, like where the money is and whatever. Like,
• 43:39
  Speaker 2: I don't think it's a good gauge of what's actually
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: happening places like them and DK and the other places
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: that I'm not allowed to say my name or whatever,
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: you know, Like there's too much of a public influx
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: that skews all the numbers there. So that's why I
• 43:54
  Speaker 2: like to look at a site like this pregame, because
• 43:57
  Speaker 2: they have a mix of a bunch of different books
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: they're using, like some of them sharp like Vegas Casino,
• 44:02
  Speaker 2: some of the sharp online books and whatever. The factor
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: into this so I can get a better gauge of
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: what the public versus professional splits actually are by looking
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: at this site. I don't know, It's always worked for me,
• 44:13
  Speaker 2: so I keep using it. I don't know what, like,
• 44:16
  Speaker 2: I don't want to, I don't want to say anything
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: about it. But it is a good thing that this
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: tool is free.
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 44:22
  Speaker 2: And I found this site because a bunch of the
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: handicappers that I listened to used to be at this site,
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: like Marco DiAngelo VR those guys, they used to be
• 44:30
  Speaker 2: at this site, and they all left because I assume
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: they don't like the guy who runs this site, and
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna say anything else about it, but they
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: went and did their own thing, and they're at wager Talk.
• 44:41
  Speaker 2: And wager Talk obviously has blown up and is a
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: much better, in my opinion, much better channel on YouTube
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: and whatever. They got a lot of stuff going on
• 44:49
  Speaker 2: for them, much better than this one here. So, and
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: you get most of the guys that went over there
• 44:54
  Speaker 2: from here are still over there at wager Talk. So
• 44:56
  Speaker 2: and Marco DiAngelo, one of the founders of wager tacer
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: over there and still my favorite handicap for the guy
• 45:03
  Speaker 2: that I've learned the most from ESPNU has Syracuse at
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: NC State. Syracuse is coming off of a decent performance
• 45:12
  Speaker 2: at home against Miami.
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: Now they've lost three games in a row, so I'm
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: not gonna.
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: Say they're gonna overlook a decent team against the state
• 45:20
  Speaker 2: that probably should make the tournament. But Syracuse is coming
• 45:23
  Speaker 2: off some tough games.
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: They played Virginia Tech and Miami both pretty close at home,
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: so the situation will set up isn't exactly great in
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: my opinion for Syracuse here.
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: NC State.
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: They just beat Pitt, which is kind of whatever when
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: they do have Wake on deck and they know Wake
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: is gonna be gunning for them. But to me, the
• 45:42
  Speaker 2: spot looks a little bit better for mc State because
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: they're coming off a game against Pit on the road
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: where they didn't even actually do that well. So I
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: probably actually prefer NC State in this game. But the
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: money looks like it's kind of disagreeing. Syracuse has seventy
• 45:55
  Speaker 2: three percent of the tickets eighty four percent of the
• 45:57
  Speaker 2: cash on them, although they might be shaping up to
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: be a somewhat public side. I don't know tough to
• 46:03
  Speaker 2: read these percentages here because it looks like maybe the
• 46:05
  Speaker 2: money is also coming in on the Syracuse side. NC
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: State dropped from twelve to ten and a half here,
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: but I would probably lean towards laying it with NC
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: State in that one, just the situation will set up.
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: To me, looks like it's a little bit better in
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: that case. Ohio at Kent State is probably the best
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: MAC game of the day here Battle of Ohio. Of course,
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: the Ohio teams are all like the best teams in
• 46:29
  Speaker 2: the MAC this year. Man Oddly like the five Ohio
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: teams are actually legitimately the.
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: Top five teams in the conference.
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: Probably Ohio is coming up of losing an Akron, but
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: they got blown out. Akron still the best team in
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: the conference in my opinion and in the power ratings
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: guys opinions. Now Ohio's gonna go out on the road
• 46:48
  Speaker 2: to play Kent State. They're coming off a blowout loss,
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: so they might turn it around and play better here.
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: And Kent State still hasn't played since that. I don't
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: know they did.
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, Kent State had that barnburner a game against
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: Miami Ohio, but they did play after that, and they
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: almost lost at Eastern Michigan. So that was an explainable loss, man,
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: because Kent State went all out against Miami Ohio and
• 47:10
  Speaker 2: they lost in overtime. I think Kent State was winning
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: that game down the stretch too, and they lost the game.
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: That was an insane game, crazy game. They were hung
• 47:20
  Speaker 2: over after that game, almost had the huge win over
• 47:23
  Speaker 2: Miami Ohio. They almost lost the Eastern Michigan. So now
• 47:26
  Speaker 2: they're probably actually in a bounce back spot off of
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: that bad performance against Eastern Michigan. But they do have
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: Acron on deck, which is a big game, But I
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: don't really see Kent State overlooking Ohio either, because Ohio
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: has been decent this season. Kent State did drop from
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: seven to six and a half, but I don't know,
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: I see both teams kind of showing up for this one.
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: I kind of lean towards Kent State in that one,
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: but not a strong opinion for me there. And then,
• 47:52
  Speaker 2: of course, that Eastern Michigan team is coming off that
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: big game against Kent State where they played them to
• 47:57
  Speaker 2: within one point. I don't know how big of an
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: underdog they actually were here though there were four and
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: a half, so they weren't like a giant underdog here,
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: but that was still a pretty big performance from them.
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: Now they're coming off of that, this game might mean
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: a little bit more to Central Michigan. Who knows, because
• 48:11
  Speaker 2: they're in literally last place in the conference. So this
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: is a rivalry between Eastern and Central Michigan's. But Central
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: Michigan might put a little bit more weight into this one.
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: They lost their last home game to Ball State. They're
• 48:23
  Speaker 2: coming back home after losing on the road to Western Michigan,
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: not a good loss. Central Michigan has actually been decent
• 48:30
  Speaker 2: at home, if you'll get their conference home losses. This year,
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: they did lose so High O pretty bad they which
• 48:35
  Speaker 2: isn't a terrible loss, But they played Toledo two within
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: three and they actually beat Kent State at home, So
• 48:41
  Speaker 2: Central Michigan actually hasn't been that bad at home.
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: So I lean Central Michigan in this game. No, I
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: do not want to bookmark this.
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: The money seems like it's agreeing, Like I don't think
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: there's really a lot of public action on this game.
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: Eastern Michigan down from three and a half to three
• 48:59
  Speaker 2: percent of the tickets ninety eight percent of the cash
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: on Central Michigan. I agree with Central Michigan in that game.
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: All right, what other games that they even want to
• 49:09
  Speaker 2: talk about here? Man, I'll talk about other games if
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: you if you want me to. But we have Providence
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: at Yukon number two, Yukon, which I think they're over ranked, man,
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: and ken Bom will tell you that that's the case
• 49:22
  Speaker 2: because he has Yukon probably somewhere around eight.
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: He actually has them at ten.
• 49:25
  Speaker 2: Excuse me now, So them being ranked two is overrating them,
• 49:30
  Speaker 2: and the Big East is just not very good, and
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: that's kind of the problem. This game's on TNT and
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: True TV. Providence. Providence is coming up, losing it home
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: to Georgetown. Not a great loss for Providence there. Obviously,
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: they should show up obviously for a game against Yukon,
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: although Yukon may not overlook them this time because Providence
• 49:50
  Speaker 2: took them into overtime the other time they played, so
• 49:53
  Speaker 2: Providence is they're an avenging road underdog here.
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: But Yukon almost lost that game at Providence.
• 50:00
  Speaker 2: Providence took them to overtime, so Yukon might actually take
• 50:04
  Speaker 2: Providence more seriously because Providence played them close. But on
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: the other hand, Providence did lose to them at home,
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: so they will be an avenging road underdog in this game.
• 50:14
  Speaker 2: Yukon coming up beating Villanova, which is a pretty big win. Villanova,
• 50:19
  Speaker 2: one of the teams is closest to them in the standings,
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: and they do have Creighton up next, which is another
• 50:24
  Speaker 2: pretty big game.
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: They're going on the road to play Creighton.
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: Creighton in fourth in the conference right now, so there
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: is somewhat of an argument to be made. There's a
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: sandwich spot here and you're gonna be asking a slow
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: down Yukon team to cover a huge number here. I
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: would probably have to take the points with Providence of
• 50:42
  Speaker 2: this one, even though there is the worry that Yukon
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: takes them seriously because Providence played them basically to the
• 50:48
  Speaker 2: y or the other time they played them. But that
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: also does mean that Providence can kind of hang with
• 50:54
  Speaker 2: Yukon in a way, although of course it's a different
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: animal playing.
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: On the road here.
• 50:58
  Speaker 2: I don't know if this game this game is to
• 51:00
  Speaker 2: it gamble, So this is one of the Uh, this
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: is the better home venue for Yukon as far as
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: how tough it is to beat them like the heart.
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: As I always point out, the Hartford Civic Center, the
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: crowd doesn't get as crazy stores Connecticut is actually on campus,
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: so you get the students getting really really rowdy at
• 51:19
  Speaker 2: the games at Gamble.
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: But I still do lean towards taking the points of Providence.
• 51:24
  Speaker 2: Seventy one percent of tickets on Yukon, sixty percent of
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: the cash on Providence is a fifteen point dog here.
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: I do lean that way slightly.
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: Total has dropped a little bit. Yukon slows the game down,
• 51:36
  Speaker 2: Providence likes to speed it up. Uh So the oddsmakers
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: have kind of thrown like a mid tier Total out
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: there at one fifty five, which is interesting because it
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: kind of indicates that they think Yukon won't be able
• 51:47
  Speaker 2: to totally totally slow the game down, which is kind
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: of interesting.
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: So that might.
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's it's weird because like Providence wants to
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: speed the game up, and if the game is slowed down,
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: Providence might actually have a better chance of covering as
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: an eleven point dog, you know, because points would be
• 52:06
  Speaker 2: more to premium.
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: So it's one of those.
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: Weird situations where the huge dog is the speed up team.
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: Kind of a weird situation there. George Washington at number
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: twenty one, Saint Louis. Saint Louis, they're legit man, like
• 52:22
  Speaker 2: I keep saying, I think they're ranked about appropriately here.
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: George Washington just got that win of a Richmond. I
• 52:27
  Speaker 2: thought George Washington would be in a sandwich spot after
• 52:30
  Speaker 2: playing George Mason and possibly be looking ahead to this
• 52:33
  Speaker 2: game against Saint Louis. They won anyway, Obviously they'll show
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: up for this game against Saint Louis, but I don't
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: know that Saint Louis is gonna overlook this game either.
• 52:42
  Speaker 2: They just beat Saint BoNT Adventure. They did absolutely trounce them,
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: but Saint Louis just rolling right now. I think maybe
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: the one question is will they look ahead to Dayton,
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: which is their next game, which is a TV game
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: three days from I think that's a Friday night game
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: against Dayton on CBS Sports. They might look ahead to
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: that because Dayton is in third place in the conference,
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: but George Washington is not that far behind.
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: Them either, So.
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: A little bit of a difficult read in this game.
• 53:10
  Speaker 2: The money is coming in on GW for what it's worth,
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis dropped from eleven to nine and a half.
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: Not a lot for a Saint Louis team like this
• 53:17
  Speaker 2: to be laying at home. Man sixty two percent of
• 53:20
  Speaker 2: the tickets on them, fifty one percent of the cash
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: on George Washington.
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: I won't disagree with the market in this one.
• 53:26
  Speaker 2: The market is saying to take the points with George Washington,
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: but I'm staying away from it. And Saint Louis did
• 53:32
  Speaker 2: look really good in that blowout win over Saint Bonadventure.
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: Maybe two good, although Saint Bonadventure actually is probably better
• 53:41
  Speaker 2: than they actually look, but.
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 53:44
  Speaker 2: That's That's what I have to say about that. Game
• 53:46
  Speaker 2: s he's seen network at eight PM. Missouri is at Alabama. Yeah,
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: that's what I thought. Missouri's playing Alabama here. Alabama is
• 53:53
  Speaker 2: still in the rankings at twenty third. Ken Baum basically
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: says that that's about correct. Now he's got them nineteenth
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: because Alabama has been kind of over ranked based on
• 54:03
  Speaker 2: what they did the last couple of years, but this
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: year they're down a little bit, but the rankings makers
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: have kind of adjusted and caught up to that. Now,
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: Missouri is coming up a game where they almost lost
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: as a home favorite to Oklahoma. Like I said, Missouri
• 54:15
  Speaker 2: is coming off a big game against Georgia where they
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: barely lost the game prior to that and had Alabama
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: on deck, which the insinuation there was that Missouri would
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: show up for a game against Alabama, which of course
• 54:27
  Speaker 2: I think they will. But if you look at this
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: line here, Alabama's laying double digits in this game, and
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: they're thirteen and six overall, three and three in the SEC,
• 54:36
  Speaker 2: and Missouri's fourteen and six, four and three in the SEC.
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: So the public is gonna look at this game and
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: if they want to play this game, they're probably gonna
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: take the dog because they're gonna look at this and say,
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: oh my god, I'm getting double digits from the team
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: that has the better record, Like they're gonna think that
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: it's probably sneaky or something to take the dog here.
• 54:57
  Speaker 2: When it's that type of setup, I don't like it, man,
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: because odsbagers are basically telling you. They're telling you Alabama
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: is a significantly better team. They're pretty much telling you
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: that Missouri must have faced a really, really easy schedule
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: and we'll look.
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: At ken bomb in a minute. I guess I think
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: that's that is the case.
• 55:14
  Speaker 2: Alabama is coming off of a loss at home as
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: a favorite to Tennessee. Now I could see this going
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: two ways because that was a big game. It's always
• 55:22
  Speaker 2: big when you play Tennessee. But Alabama just can't get
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: over the hump against Tennessee. Tennessee has won five games
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: in a row against them. So I could see it
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: going both ways here because Alabama lost is a home
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: favorite and some as the team will bounce back after
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: they lose the home favorite.
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: But on the other hand, that was a.
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: Big game against Tennessee, so will they overlook Missouri here?
• 55:43
  Speaker 2: And Alabama does have Florida on deck, which is a
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: pretty big game, So I don't know.
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know which way this is gonna go.
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: Missouri coming into this one, of well, I already showed
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: what they're coming off of that barely getting by Oklahoma.
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: So it's an interesting game here where I think the
• 55:59
  Speaker 2: situation actually kind of favors Missouri, but I think the
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: numbers kind of favor Alabama. So I was I was
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: thinking the numbers, guys who might come in on Alabama here,
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: and that Missouri would be a public side just based
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: on the records, But it looks like that's not really
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: the case.
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: Alabama is a ten and a half.
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: Boy favorite, fifty three percent of tickets on them, it's
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: seventy six percent of the cash coming back on Missouri.
• 56:23
  Speaker 2: So maybe the fact that Alabama's ranked is kind of
• 56:26
  Speaker 2: keeping the public away from Missouri a little bit. I
• 56:28
  Speaker 2: don't know, man, But the money is saying Missouri based
• 56:31
  Speaker 2: on the situation. I don't really disagree. I would probably
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: lean to Missouri as well, but the numbers kind of
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: started indicating in the other direction a little bit, though,
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: Like I don't know where just Kenby to have Missouri ranked.
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: Let me see, he has them fifty six that's not
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: very good.
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: Uh, they're barely in the top one hundred defensively, which
• 56:54
  Speaker 2: is not that good. They play slow, and of course
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: Alabama is a speed teams, so Missouri is potentially gonna
• 57:02
  Speaker 2: be thrown off by Alabama playing way fast. It's gonna
• 57:05
  Speaker 2: get Missouri uncomfortable. Kem Bum's got Missouri sixty second in luck,
• 57:09
  Speaker 2: which isn't good either, means they've overperformed, and ninety first
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: is straight the schedule. Alabama, by the way, according to
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: kemb Bum has faced the number one strength of schedule,
• 57:19
  Speaker 2: So that's what I was saying, they faced the stronger
• 57:21
  Speaker 2: schedule like without question. And yeah, Alabama's eighth in the
• 57:26
  Speaker 2: country and tempo. They're actually the better team on both
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: sides of the ball than Missouri. Even though Alabama is
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: not a very good defensive team, they're way better offensively.
• 57:37
  Speaker 2: And Alabama is unlucky actually according to kembumba two hundred
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: and fifty first.
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: So I don't want to come in and take Missouri
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: in that one.
• 57:43
  Speaker 2: Although the money is saying Missouri, the situation says Missouri,
• 57:47
  Speaker 2: but like I said, the analytics and the numbers say
• 57:50
  Speaker 2: Alabama in the game. So it's got to be a
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: stay away for me. Indiana State at Illinois Chicago. Illinois
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: Chicago is coming up a big upset road win of Bradley,
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: which is also an in state little big brother situation
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: I think, where Bradley I think is considered to be
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: the bigger brothers than.
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: Them in Illinois. That was a big win for ui C.
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: They're actually playing well in conference right now that they've
• 58:14
  Speaker 2: won six straight games, but this could be a bit
• 58:16
  Speaker 2: of a letdown for them. Man, they're playing in Indiana State.
• 58:19
  Speaker 2: They have not played them yet this year, but I
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: just see this maybe being a letdown spot here. And
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: Indiana State hasn't played very well in conference play. They've
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: lost three more games in a row. They just lost
• 58:31
  Speaker 2: at home to Drake. They are playing a third road
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: game of four games, which is a little bit difficult.
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: But Indiana State did lose to Bradley on the road
• 58:39
  Speaker 2: the game before that. So the public, if they look
• 58:42
  Speaker 2: at this game, I'd be saying, well, Indiana State lost
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: to Bradley and UIC beat them, so this is really easy,
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: right Like you play U S here, It looks really
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: easy to play U S here.
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: But I would disagree with that.
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: I would take the points with Indiana State, and this
• 58:58
  Speaker 2: one U I S is down from seven six and
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: a half, but fifty percent of tickets ninety three percent
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: of the cash on u C. So it looks like
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: the money is kind of disagreeing with me there and
• 59:08
  Speaker 2: laying the points. But I would not I would take
• 59:10
  Speaker 2: the points if I was gonna play it in that one.
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: I just think it's a letdown spot for u C.
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: And that's kind of the simple handicapping version. There a
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: lot of games still to talk about. Man, these Tuesdays
• 59:22
  Speaker 2: and Wednesdays really difficult to get the show none Man.
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech in the Battle of the
• 59:30
  Speaker 2: Text on ACC Network at eight pm. Georgia Tech con
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: of a loss by double digits to Clemson at home.
• 59:39
  Speaker 2: Maybe that was a big game against Clemson, but they
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: got blown out. So I don't really see Georgia Tech
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: overlooking really anybody at this point because they're just not
• 59:46
  Speaker 2: playing that well. They do have North Carolina up next,
• 59:49
  Speaker 2: but I just don't see them overlooking at potential. I
• 59:53
  Speaker 2: was gonna say playoff playoffs, a potential tournament team in
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: Virginia Tech. Here now Virginia Tech They're not as good
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: as their record looks. As I keep saying, their schedule
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: has not been that intimidating. They're coming off a loss
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: on the road to Louisville by double digits. They do
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 2: have Duke on deck, and that is a monster game
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 2: against Duke. I think the potential for the the overlook
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 2: is more on the Virginia Tech side that there's more
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 2: potential for them to overlook their opponent here. So I
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: probably lean towards Georgia Tech plus the points.
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 3: In this one.
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: But I don't like the game at all.
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: The money looks like it's disagreeing and laying the points
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: of Virginia Tech here, sixty percent of tickets, ninety eight
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Virginia Tech.
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: They're out from eight and a half to nine.
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: But I don't love it, man, because again I think
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 2: they're a little bit overrated based on the record. Yeah,
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 2: and I think the look ahead to Duke might affect
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 2: them more than the look ahead is going to affect
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 2: a team like Georgia Tech, who more desperately needs us
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 2: some wins here. Okay, we have Fox Sports one Kansas
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: State at West Virginia Big twelve Kansas State is coming
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 2: off their big rivalry game against Kansas but they got
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: blown out. I thought we'd get a better performance out
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 2: of Kansas State there, Nope, they got destroyed.
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: So maybe it'll be better for them to just go
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: out on the road.
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't really see Kansas State overlooking anybody
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 2: right now, but it's kind of a weird travel spot
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: going to Morgantown and Kansas State is not that good man.
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: West Virginia is the better team.
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 2: West Virginia is coming back home from going to Arizona,
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 2: and of course they lost to Arizona on their last game,
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 2: no shock or there. They got blown out, so they're
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 2: coming off a blowout loss too, So West Virginia may
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: show up with focus as well, just because that was
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: an ugly loss. So I don't really see that much
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: of a scheduling advantage one way or the other here,
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 2: but the money seems like it's kind of indicating on
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: taking the points to Kansas State. West Virginia up for
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: May and a half to nine here, which is a
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: lot to lay with a very slow paced West Virginia team.
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: It's not that good offensively.
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 2: Sixty take a sixty four percent of the cash, so
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: the money seems like it is fading West Virginia a
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 2: little bit here. Total's fairly low in the one forties.
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: Kansas State's gonna try to speed the game up man
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: and West Virginia is gonna slow it down. But trying
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: to lay points with a slowdown team like this.
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: I don't love it.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: I would probably lean towards taking the points to Kansas State,
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 2: but I don't like it very much at all. Purdue
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: is down to number twelve in the country at Indiana.
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: I think Purdue is being overlooked a little bit based
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 2: on that they're being under ranked at least, let's just
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: put it that way. I think they're a legit team
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 2: ken vam Messim at eighth in the country. They're not
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 2: good defensively really though, at least as far as like
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 2: these elite teams. Purdue is much better on the offensive
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: side than the defensive side. They're going to Indiana here
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: and now, Indiana. This is a huge game for Indiana though,
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 2: because they're the little brother in the state of Indiana
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: to Purdue at this point, so I think the game
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 2: probably means more to Indiana. Purdue is coming off that
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: home lost to Illinois, so they've lost too in a row,
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 2: but that was a tough spot them coming back from
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: the Pacific Coast.
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: They lost a long win streaks. They were in a
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: bit of a hangover.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: That's why I recommended leaning towards Illinois in that game.
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: Wasn't a player or anything, but Illinois got the outright win.
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: Huge win for Illinois.
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: Now does Purdue bounce back, I don't know, because they
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 2: did just lose as a home favorite and that was
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: kind of that hangover spot, so they could bounce back. Although,
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: on the other hand, that was a big game against
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 2: Illinois as well, so I could see it going either
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 2: way for Purdue here. For Indiana, you know they're gonna
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: show up. They just ended a lost streak by beating Rutgers.
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 2: They're not gonna overlook Purdue here. But now they have
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: some new momentum coming into this game against Purdue off
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: of beating Rutgers. So this is a tough handicap, dude.
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: Purdue is only laying five. It's gone up from four
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 2: to five five with juice.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: They're very public of the tickets, ninety four percent of
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: the cash on them. Man.
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'd probably slightly lean towards taking the points
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: with Indiana, but I would not be shocked if Purdue
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: comes out with a much bigger effort after that game
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: against Illinois.
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: So I have to stay away from this.
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 2: It wouldn't shock me if this game goes in really
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 2: any direction, Like I could see it being a Purdue blowout,
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: and I could also see it being in Indiana outright win.
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 2: So this game is very difficult for me to handicap
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: the side. I have to stay away from that game,
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 2: but you know me, My tendency is to take the
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: points going against the public. But there are certain situations
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: where the situation will be so strong that I'll disagree
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: with it.
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: This won the situation. I could see arguments for.
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 2: Both sides, so got to stay away. Kentucky at number
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: eighteen Vandy on ESPN. I think both of these teams
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: are actually under ranked at this point. Kentucky ken Bum
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: has them twenty eighth, but I actually think they might
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: be legitimately a top twenty five team. He's got Vandy
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: at thirteenth, so they're being a little bit under ranked
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: now because they've lost a few games. I don't think
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: either team is gonna not show up here, though Kentucky
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: does have some momentum now. They just beat Ole miss
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 2: Who cares they should show up for this game against Vandy. Vandy,
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: on the other hand, I think, also is gonna show up.
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: They just beat Mississippi State again, who cares. Both teams
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 2: are beating these Both teams are coming up beating the Mississippis,
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 2: and those teams are not very good. This year, Vandy
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: finally ended a three game losing streak, which those losses
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 2: were kind of explainable, like Texas is not as bad
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: as they look. Then Vandy was kind of in a
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: hangover spot off for their first loss. Florida is of
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: course very legit. Vandy lost to them, and then I
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: think because that was such a big game, Vandy just
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 2: had a bad game in the next game against Arkansas.
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: But they erased all that losing momentum with a win
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: against Mississippi State, so they're coming into this game with
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: momentum here. I think both teams will show up, But
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 2: I think if that's the case, I think I would
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: have to probably lean towards the better team, which is Vandy.
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: But both teams are a little bit under ranked right now,
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 2: I think, man, Although I prefer Vandy because I just
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 2: think they're the more balanced team. Ken Bomb has them
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 2: in the top twenty in both offense and deepfense, and
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 2: for Kentucky they're actually not even in the top thirty
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 2: in either.
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: Kentucky Actually Kentucky.
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: Is fairly balanced as well, to be honest, but yeah,
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 2: I probably prefer Vandy here. Vandy's a little bit more
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 2: of a speed up team as well, and they might
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 2: be able to speed the game up a bit more.
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: But Kentucky has been the unluckier. Unlucky Kentucky. They've been
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 2: the unluckier of the two teams. A great to Ken
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 2: Pom so far, but I.
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: Still think the I don't know.
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 2: To me, it seems like the public just doesn't consider
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: Vandy to be legit. They're out from six and a
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 2: half to seven and a half. But the money looks
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: like it's indicating on Kentucky, with tickets being fifty to
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: fifty in Kentucky getting seventy percent of the money. But
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 2: I kind of disagree with it. Like again, I think
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 2: I lean towards the better team in what I think
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 2: is a focus spot, although focused spot for both teams.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 2: There are good old pals at Miami Ohio who are
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: ranked twenty fourth in the country.
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: Even though Ken has them mid eighty sixth. They moved
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: up a little bit in Ken BAM's rankings.
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: Undefeated Miami Ohio ranked twenty fourth in the country. Way overrated,
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 2: of course, based on that ranking. Nine PM on ESPNU
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: Miami Ohio. Just because they're Miami Ohio and because of
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 2: what they're doing, they get the TV billing. Here, Zach,
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: what's up man, Thanks for hanging out. They're playing U
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 2: Mass here U Mass. I mean, they've been a decently
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: competitive team in the conference here. They got a couple
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: of recent wins against Toledo, they got to win at Buffalo,
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 2: they played pretty close at Ohio. They had a close
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: game at home against Bowling Green. U Mass is an
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: OK team.
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: In the conference, so there's the chance they could be
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: competitive here.
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 2: But this is a fourth road game in five games,
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: which is not easy, and they are coming off I
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 2: think a mild upset of Buffalo in the last game
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 2: on the road. Buffalo is not as good as they
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: really appeared based on their overall record though. Now for
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 2: Miami Ohio, though they have not played since that barn
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 2: burner against Kent, and that was a big game for
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 2: Miami Ohio, Man, huge Ohio rivalry, and they haven't played
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 2: since then, So now Miami Ohio might have their momentum
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 2: disrupted because they haven't played for a while. And when
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 2: you're winning like this, like Miami Ohio as, you do
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: not want to have a long time off man. You
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 2: don't want to have a break. You want to keep playing.
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: And that was a huge game that went into overtime, big.
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: Win over Kent State.
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 2: So I do prefer you Mass in this game, man,
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 2: And again, I think you're probably getting a little bit
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 2: of live value here, just because Miami Ohio is.
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: This team that is in the rankings where they really.
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: Should not be, and they're still one of the luckiest
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: teams in the country, and they faced one of the
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: least difficult schedules. Miami Ohio is off from nine and
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: a half to ten.
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: Here. I think it's a bit much.
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: Sixty percent of the tickets are on them, of course
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: the public, they'll come in and play Miami Ohio and
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 2: this one most likely, but eighty percent of the cash
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 2: on you Mass, So it might be a pros versus
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 2: Joe's situation there.
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: I would lean to you, maass in that one.
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: A lot of TV games here late night Man to
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 2: finish this off, Saint Joe's at Loyola Chicago and CBS Sports.
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: I don't know why this game is getting a TV spots,
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: to be honest, this is a bad game. Saint Joe's
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 2: just beat us over on Saturday, the upset Dayton, even
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: though Saint Jose is coming off a huge game against
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 2: VCU and played them pretty close in the prior game,
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 2: which was my handicap. I thought Dayton was gonna be
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: in a bounce back off of an ugly loss to
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 2: Lasal that didn't happen and Saint Joe's beat us.
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: But now Saint Jose is coming.
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: Up two huge games against VCU and Dayton, so the
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 2: letdown spot might come here going on the road to
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 2: play Loyola Chicago. Loyola they've had a bad season, man,
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: and they're on a bad losing street. They've lost seven
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 2: games in a row, so I just don't see them
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 2: being unfocused in this one, man, even though they have
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 2: VCU up next. I just don't really think Loyola can
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 2: overlook anybody at this point. I think it is a
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 2: letdown spot for St. Joe's here, so I would lean
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: to Loyola here, and the money.
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: Seems to agree.
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 2: It looks pretty easy to lay the three and a
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: half with Saint Joe's against a bad Loyola team here,
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: but that's not what I would do in this one.
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 2: Seventy one percent of the tickets around Saint Joe's sixty
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash though, on the Loyola Chicago.
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: Side, and that's the way I would lean in that
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: game as well. I agree with the market in that one.
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 2: TNT True TVHBO Max has Creighton at Marquette, which at
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: the start of the season this looked like it was
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 2: going to be a better game than it is. Creighton's
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: been okay, like they're playing okay in the Big East.
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: They had a pretty difficult out of conference schedule, which
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 2: is why their overall record doesn't look that look that good.
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 2: They're kind of a tournament bubble team right now. They're
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 2: coming up barely beating Xavier at home, which is not
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 2: a great win, but it got the job done. Now
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 2: they're having to go to Marquette, which is in Milwaukee,
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 2: and Creighton does have Yukon on deck, so they might
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 2: be looking ahead maybe that that is a big game
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 2: against Yukon. They did already beat Marquette by twenty one
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 2: at home, so there's the possibility they overlook Marquette for
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 2: that reason too.
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: So some of these things do have me leaning towards.
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: Marquette here, and Marquette did just lose pretty ugly by
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 2: double digits at Butler, So yeah, I would probably have
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 2: to lean to Marquette in this one.
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: You know you're gonna be.
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: Getting points with them, and it's not a lot. Actually,
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 2: it looks actually way too easy to lay the points
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 2: with Creighton. Creighton's three down from a three point favorite
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: to a two point favorite here, and their public of course,
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 2: seventy four percent of tickets on them, only fifty percent
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 2: of the cash. I'll agree with the market read on
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 2: this one as well and lean towards Marquette in the game.
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 2: I don't disagree with that. I think it's a tricky
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: spot for Creighton. Marquette probably gonna be the more desperate
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: team there.
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: And then we got.
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: A couple of games here. Mountain West playing some late
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 2: night games here. Fox Sports one has Grand Canyon and Nevada.
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: This could be a good game.
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 2: Man Grant Canyon has been playing well in the Mountain West.
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: But I think that Grand Canyons games are very I
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 2: think for the most part, they're going to be kind
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: of home centric, like home advantageous because these teams are
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: not used to playing at Grand Canyons, so they have
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 2: a little bit of an extra home advantage because they're
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 2: new to the conference. But Grand Canyon's not used to
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 2: playing some of these teams in their spots, So Grand
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 2: Canyon might struggle on the road a little bit. Although
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 2: I said that as part of the handicap on Saturday
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: or whatever against Fresno and we did not get the
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: cover with Fresno. In that game, Grand Canyons still won
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 2: and covered, even though they were coming up monster wins
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: against Utah State and San Diego State both at home,
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: and I thought a road spot would be a little
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 2: bit tricky. This still is a little bit tricky, man,
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 2: even though I think Grand Canyon will show up for
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 2: this game and having to go to Reno, Nevada and
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 2: Nevada's pretty good at home. I mean, that's a difficult
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 2: spot for Grand Canyon to have to go to. Man
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 2: Nevada is coming up a tough game though they just
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 2: went to the pit to play New Mexico and they
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: lost to him. Not the medical drama, the pit, not Pittsburgh,
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: the pit because it's a pit in the ground where
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: New Mexico plays, one of the most difficult places to play.
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 2: But Nevada played pretty well in that game. So they
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 2: are coming up a big game against New Mexico. So
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 2: I actually think Nevada they're coming up with a more
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 2: difficult game, and they got their rivalry against UNLV on deck.
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 2: You know, there is the potential they actually don't totally
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 2: take Grand Canyon seriously in this game, even though Grand
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 2: Canyon I think might have leaped frog Nevada and the
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: standings in the conference.
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: I'd probably lean towards taking the points in this game.
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: Nevada up from three to four and a half.
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: Here eighty percent of the ticket sixty seven percent of
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 2: the cash on them, so it looks like looks like
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 2: the cash percentage is kind of fading Nevada there, and
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't really disagree. The total's fairly low as well,
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 2: at one forty one and a half. Yeah, I think
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 2: Nevada coming up that game against New Mexico makes a
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 2: spot a little bit worse for them, and then UNLV
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 2: does also play on TVs and then at CBS Sports
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: hosting Newmax New Mexico. Coming off that win over Nevada,
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 2: that was a nice win for them. Possible they overlook
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: UNLV here. These teams haven't played yet this year, and
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 2: Nevada also has not played Grand Canyon.
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: Net I don't believe UNLV.
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 2: I mean, these teams don't really overlook UNLV at home,
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 2: and they don't really get distracted by playing in Vegas
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 2: because they have to do it every year, so they're
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 2: used to it now. UNLV did just lose a three
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 2: game win streak where they beat Boise to start it,
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 2: which is a good win for them, and then they
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 2: beat Utah State on the road, which is a monster
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 2: win for UNLV. But they caught Utah State in a
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 2: good spot because Utah State had taken their first loss
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 2: of the season in the game prior to that to
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 2: Grand Canyon. So UNLV did catch Utah State in a
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 2: good time to catch them. They were not able to
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 2: keep up that effort and they lost their last game
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 2: to San Diego State by double digits at home.
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: San Diego State did cover that. Now I could see
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: UNLV maybe being hung over because they lost that win
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: streak and that was a tough game, but I could
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: see them bouncing back as well. In New Mexico, he's
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: coming up that nice win over Nevada.
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 2: So I probably waned towards NLV plus the points here,
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 2: but it's not something I'm gonna be involved in. New
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 2: Mexico's a five point favorite, ninety one percent of tickets
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 2: on them, ninety four percent of the cash on them.
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: They're very public side.
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 2: It almost looks too easy to lay the points with
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 2: New Mexico there, so I'd probably take the points. But again,
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 2: big college basketball slate today, and I only have one
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 2: play for you there, so it's what I could do. Man,
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 2: I'm being really selective. Like I said, We're gonna have
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 2: one hockey play and I'm skipping the NBA. I feel
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 2: like I'm skipping the NBA a lot. But I had
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 2: three NBA plays yesterday though, and went two and one.
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 2: So it's all about how many spots I see. So
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 2: there's a big NBA and NHL board today. It's gonna
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 2: be a long show. You guys can look at that
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 2: while I take in intermission for a second.
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: Here, hang on.
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 4: Every about it for Philadelphia seventy six, stopody.
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 3: Everybody for Philade.
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: Seventy six.
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 3: He go.
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 4: Philadelphia on the road, then the bench from the world
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 4: Philadelphia in the call seem of.
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 3: The twenty six seventy sixties twenty six.
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: Seventy six.
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 4: Faded out seventy six to.
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: About it out seventy six. Al Right, that that that'll
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: be my intermission of music. Now. I don't have the
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: full thing there, but I have like two minutes of it.
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 2: I think it was because it was capped by It
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 2: was back when Twitter was capping the video lengths, so
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 2: I one of the I grabbed that one for Twitter,
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 2: although I did play the full one for that intro
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 2: the other day from YouTube. But I don't know, dude,
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 2: I don't know if it's gonna like copyright strike me
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 2: or anything for this.
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know who knows. Hopefully it's fair use, But dude,
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: why do the Sixers?
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 2: You know, as a Celtics fan, I'm like, why why
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 2: don't we have like a banger of a song like that?
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 2: I mean, that song is a banger, man, and it
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 2: has to be the Sixers that have it, all right,
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 2: NHL first game up is Nashville at my Boston Bruins. Unfortunately,
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: I think the spot is not very good for the Bruins.
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 2: Nashville is coming off a real ugly loss to Utah
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 2: five to two at home. And I talk about this
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: when teams are not doing well at home and they're
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 2: coming off a bad loss at home, one of the
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: best things is to go out on the road start
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 2: a road trip. Usually teams are focused to start a
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 2: road trip. Nashville's had multiple days off. They have a
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 2: huge rest advantage here too, so a lot of advantages
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 2: for Nashville and this one unfortunately, and the Bruins are
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 2: on a back to and they played an overtime last
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 2: night in New York against the.
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: Rangers and loss.
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 2: I told you the Rangers I thought might get up
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 2: for that because the Bruins had absolutely embarrassed them in
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 2: the game that they played prior to that ten to two.
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: Bruins took the loss. The Bruins did not.
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: Use Swaymen in net though, so Swayman will be in
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 2: net for this one, so the Bruins will have their
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 2: better Goalian net here. Corpora Salo played last night, but
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 2: it's still back to back with a little bit of
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 2: travel here. The travel between New York and Boston has
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 2: been a bit iffy alon. I'm assuming they might just
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 2: be flying or something.
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: I don't know how it's gonna work because the weather
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 2: has been a little bit weird, so I don't know
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 2: if the travel is gonna impact them at all. They're
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 2: playing a third game in four and A's as well,
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 2: which is not great, and on the back to back,
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 2: and they have Philadelphia Phihiladelphia up next, and then they
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 2: go down to Florida and they play Tampa Bay in
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 2: some place in Florida that's not actually Tampa's home arena.
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 2: I don't know what exactly that game is.
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: And then they have the.
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 2: Anthers up after that too, which is a big game.
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 2: So definitely could have overlook Nashville and be looking ahead
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 2: to these other games here. So this game is definitely
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 2: Nashville or pass on this one, even though the Bruins
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 2: that was kind of an ugly loss last night to
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 2: the Rangers, but it was still kind of a big
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 2: game ish just because it's an original six matchup. Whatever, Yeah,
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 2: definitely lean to Nashville here. The oddsmakers are telling you that,
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 2: at least in this spot, the Bruins don't even get
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 2: full home ice, so they're not even the better team
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 2: in this spot, which is.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: A little bit crazy.
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 2: Fifty four percent of the tickets, ninety one percent of
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 2: the cash on Nashville, and it looks like it's just
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 2: minus won ten price on both sides. Nashville is most
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 2: likely the right side in that game. Oh yeah, the
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 2: Sixers got killed. Oh yeah, that was yeah, well that
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: was a win. I gave that winner out on the show.
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: That was the show.
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: Oh I forgot to wear my Hornet shirt. Oh man,
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 2: I was gonna wear my Hornets jersey man. All right,
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 2: But yes, Nashville is the lead in that game. That's
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 2: one of the ones that's closer to making the cut
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 2: for me as a play Buffalo at Toronto. Buffalo coming
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 2: into this game off of that five nothing win against
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 2: the Islanders, which is why we played the Islanders last
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 2: night or yeah, yeah, it was last night, I think
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 2: right or late afternoon.
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: I don't I forget when the game was yesterday, but whatever.
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: So now when a team wins five to nothing, though,
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: I tend to kind of want to look to go
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: against them in the next game. They're finishing up a
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: road trip here that.
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 2: They've already won, Buffalo has They're already three and one
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 2: on the road trip, they're going to face this Toronto team.
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 2: It's been kind of struggling coming off a very satisfying win. Yeah,
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 2: it's possible they just don't have their greatest effort here
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 2: man and having a couple of days off for Buffalo,
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 2: I don't really think helps when they're on a roll
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 2: like this. Again, you don't want to have your momentum disrupted,
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 2: So those couple of days off could hurt them a
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 2: little bit. While Toronto they don't have as much rest
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 2: because they played on Sunday. But they've just had an
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 2: awful home stand. They've they've gone zero to four on
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 2: their home stand, but they had a return home spot,
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: which is usually tough. They lost to Minnesota, Detroit, Vegas,
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 2: and Colorado. I mean, those are all good teams, So
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 2: Buffalo is actually the weakest team they're facing on the
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 2: entire home stand. I think Toronto might come up with
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 2: a little bit of desperation trying to get a win
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 2: here to finish the home stand. So yeah, I lean
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 2: to Toronto in this game. Money seems like the market
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 2: seems like it agrees that the Buffalo did initially flip
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 2: from plus one zho two to minus one thirteen.
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: I would only play Toronto in this one.
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 2: You're gonna get them maybe a little bit of a
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 2: home dog price here, seventy seven percent of tickets, only
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 2: sixty three percent of the cash on Buffalo. I definitely
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 2: prefer Toronto in that one. So those are strong ish
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 2: leans for me. There to Nashville and to Toronto. Okay,
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 2: of Vegas at Montreal, this one is a bit tougher
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 2: to read from me. A Vegas did just get smoked
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 2: by Auto A seven to one, though, so when I
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 2: see that, I'm immediately I am gonna be looking towards
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 2: playing on that team. It just got blown out because
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 2: that's just an embarrassing loss, you know, So I think
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 2: they might show up with some focus here from Montreal,
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 2: even though they got Dallas on deck. Montreal has been
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 2: playing pretty well, so I don't think you're really gonna
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 2: overlook Montreal.
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: Montreal. They're off a two straight losses.
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 2: They did lose in Boston, which is a big game
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 2: though an original six games, so and they're coming back
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 2: home from that. It was only a single game road trip,
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 2: so not really a road trip or anything, So I
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 2: think both teams are actually gonna.
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: Show up focused in this one. Like I don't think
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: you really overlooked Vegas.
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 2: Montreal has had a couple of days off too, But
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 2: because Vegas, because that loss that they just had was
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: so horrendous, and I think they're the slightly better team here,
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 2: I think I would lean towards Vegas in this game. Again,
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 2: when you have both teams focus, I think the better
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 2: team makes sense. Vegas down from minus one on nine
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 2: to minus one o eight, sixty eight percent of the tickets,
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 2: ninety four percent of the cash on Vegas. I agree
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 2: with the Vegas side in this one. Okay, Kings at Detroit.
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 2: Of course, we have the road Warrior Kings. The Kings
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 2: are good on the road, man better on the road
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: than at home. They did just get a home win
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 2: against Saint Louis in a shootout, and then and that
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 2: was a win. We had a win with that one
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 2: on the show, close call, and then LA had a
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 2: postponed game.
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: They're supposed to go to Columbus.
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 2: That game didn't happen, but I'm assuming they're kind of
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 2: just staying in the Midwest area now. They're going to Detroit,
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 2: so they do have some extra rest here now where.
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: They were gonna have to play a third game in
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: four and a is now they don't.
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 2: Now they have two days off, but when you have
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 2: two wins in a row, you don't really necessarily want
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 2: to have a couple of days off. But I do
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 2: think that the setup is better here for the Kings
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 2: because Detroit to just get a blowout win over Winnipeg.
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 2: I know it's Winnipeg, they haven't been playing well, but
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 2: still a five to one win sometimes seems to be
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 2: a little bit overconfident after that. But also Detroit is
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 2: returning home from a road trip. It wasn't a road
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 2: trip for a full week. They've been away since Wednesday,
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: but still a road trip. Didn't take them that far though,
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 2: just Toronto, Minnesota, Winnipeg. But those first two games went
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 2: into overtime, a little bit of a tough road trip.
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 2: They played pretty well on the road trip, and now
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 2: they're coming back home from that still, so there could
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 2: still be that little bit of a distraction angle. And
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 2: they do have a Hulu game on deck against Washington
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 2: all the Washington hasn't exactly been playing that well, so
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 2: I lean to the Kings in this game, but I
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: have some reservations about it. All the money seems to
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 2: agree market Reid looks like it's in agreement all over
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 2: the Kings here Detroit down for minus minus one twenty
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 2: two here sixty three percent of the tickets on them,
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 2: fifty six percent of the cash coming in on La though,
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 2: so the money is on the King's side. I agree
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 2: with that one as well, so I agree with the
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 2: market reading all of those games so far, Utah is
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: at Florida. Utah just lost two to nothing in Tampa
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 2: Bay in the last game. It's tough. It's tough man
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 2: to play both Florida games, especially back to back, and
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 2: that's what Utah is having to do here. A tough
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: game against Tampa Bay last night, losing two to nothing.
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: Then I'm going to.
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 2: Overlook Florida but having to do it on a back
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 2: to back difficult. It's a third game in four and
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 2: as all in different cities, that's difficult. So the travel
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: spot is pretty difficult for Utah here man, and that
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 2: lost to Tampa Bay ended a five game win streak
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 2: for Utah.
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: So as I always talking about.
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 2: Sometimes that will hang you over when you have a
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: win streak busted like that, sometimes you'll play worse in
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: the next game. And it looks like they might have
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 2: to use vana Check in this game man in net
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 2: and he is their lesser of their two goalies. Man,
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 2: but on the back to back they used the Milka
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 2: last night, so it's probably gonna be Vanacheck here. So
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 2: I think there are definitely some disadvantages for Utah here
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 2: Florida coming into this game. We're turning home from a
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 2: road trip, though, but in not a full week they
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 2: went on the road. They did go up to Winnibeg
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 2: and Minnesota though, so it was a road trip that
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 2: took them pretty far.
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: They actually swept the road trip three and zero, with two.
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: Games that went into overtime and shootout, and then clawber
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: Chicago in the final game.
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: And now they're coming back home. They're playing a third
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: game in four days and a fourth game in six days,
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: and still returning.
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 2: Home from a road trip, where again that road trip orturn.
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 2: You might get a little bit distracted, man, and they
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 2: do have to go right back out on the road
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 2: and place Saint Louis after this.
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, not a team that is really going to.
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 2: Draw your focus necessarily but they don't have that much
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 2: time back at home to get stuff done. If some
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 2: stuff piled up that they have to do back at home,
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 2: especially because you know they were away. Oh no, wait,
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 2: we're talking About'm just gonna say they were away during
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 2: the storms. They're talking about Florida here, so the storms
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 2: shouldn't really affect them other than maybe it affected their
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 2: travel a little bit. The money is all over Utah
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 2: in this game, though, Florida down for minus one seventy
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 2: eight to minus one forty eight, seventy one percent of
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 2: the tickets on them, sixty nine percent of the cash
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: coming in on Utah. There's a really strong market read
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 2: on Utah here looks like pros versus Joe's looks like
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 2: reverse live movement against Florida.
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: But again, I just showed you. I think both teams
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: are in horrible spots here, So I don't know.
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 2: I mean, I usually do say that the road trip
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 2: return is actually the worst of the spots, so I
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 2: guess I won't disagree with Utah here. But man, it
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 2: is a difficult read in this game, man, very very
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 2: difficult read.
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: So it might be one of those games where I
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: kind of recommend.
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 2: An over it looks like it's six juice to the
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 2: over there because if both teams are kind of in
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 2: questionable spots, tired spots, distracted spots, I think it affects
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 2: the deep beense more and Utah will love their lesser
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 2: goalie in net as well, so that could be the case.
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 2: Next up, this one almost made the cut for me.
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 2: This is probably my second strongest lean with Winnipeg at
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 2: New Jersey. Winnipeg is a disgusting loss to Detroit at home,
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 2: bad loss, five to one. Hella Book, I don't know
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: what's going on with him, man. I think Winnipeg is
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 2: gonna at least improve from what we've seen out of them.
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 2: They were playing better while once Hellibuk came back for
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: a bit, but I don't know.
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: They're in this bit of a lull here.
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 2: But now they're coming off a blowout home loss, They've
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 2: had two days off, and they're starting a road trip.
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 2: And I think all of that is positive, right because
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 2: you usually focus to start the road trip you're coming
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 2: off a disgusting loss. A couple of days off could
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 2: break that losing momentum. So I like all that for Winnipeg.
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 2: Now maybe it could certainly look ahead to Tampa Bay.
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 2: Winnipeg did beat New Jersey back on the eleventh, so
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 2: that's that gives me a little bit of positive Maybe
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 2: New Jersey will not overlook this game from there from
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: their end of things, and that Winnipeg. You know, I
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 2: don't know if Winnipeg's really gonna overlook them and be
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 2: looking ahead to Tampa though, just because again, when you're
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 2: off a five to one loss starting a road trip,
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 2: I do think more often than that you will at
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 2: least be focused. So I'm not really that worried about
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 2: Winnipeg looking ahead.
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: For New Jersey.
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 2: My worry is that New Jersey might still show up
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 2: with some focus. That's kind of the concern.
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 2: They are returning over from a road trip that lasted
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 2: more than a week, so New Jersey is a legit
• 1:30:21
  Speaker 2: road trip return spot here. They went up to the
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 2: Pacific Northwest. They beat Edmonton during the road trip. They
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 2: finished the road trip with a loss, the only loss
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 2: on the road trip to Seattle, where I forget if
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 2: do we have Seattle in that game?
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: I forget if we did. I don't think we did.
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 2: But New Jersey that ended a three game win stream
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 2: for them, and I do talk about how sometimes when
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 2: you lose a wind stream, it'll hang you over into
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 2: the next game. Now will they overlook Winnipeg. They did
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 2: lose at Winnipeg in their previous road trip. But I
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 2: don't know, man, I mean a road trip going all
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 2: the way up to the Pacific Northwest and now having
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 2: to come all the way back, having to fly through
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 2: like the storm days on Sunday because the storms are
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 2: up in the northeast there.
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know if it affected they're
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: travel at all.
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 2: Having to travel back seems like a pretty difficult spot
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 2: for New Jersey here man. Again, having a return home
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 2: from a road trip, you got stuff to do back
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 2: at home.
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: It is pretty difficult. I have to.
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: Get whatever wasn't getting done at home. You know, you
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 2: might have to shovel your family out and whatever. There
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 2: might be a lot of stuff you have to do
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: back at home.
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: Unfortunately they only have Nashville up next, because I was
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 2: hoping they'd have some other opponent up next to to
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 2: be more likely to look ahead too. But I like
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 2: Winnipeg in this game, although it looks like the market
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 2: read is actually going against me now in this game.
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: But This game almost made my card. Man, I like Winnipeg.
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 2: Obviously, when you have a team that's starting a road
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 2: trip against a team returning home from a road trip,
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 2: it's almost automatic that I'm gonna either be on the
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 2: team starting the road trip or I'm gonna stay off
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 2: of it. Fifty tickets on Winnipeg, fifty six percent of
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 2: the cash on New Jersey. New Jersey down for minus
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 2: one twenty five to minus one twenty But yes, I
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 2: prefer Winnipeg.
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: I guess the short.
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 2: Dog in that game, and that is the way that
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 2: I would lean in that one. Winnipeg Dallas at Saint Louis.
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 2: Dallas just beat Saint Louis. We have a little bit
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 2: of maybe a zigzag here, but it wasn't really an outlier.
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 2: Now, Dallas has been off for a few days, so
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 2: they have rest coming into this game, but they're going
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 2: on the road to Saint Louis.
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: They are starting a road trip here.
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 2: But because they just beat Saint Louis, there is the
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 2: possibility they just overlooked them this time and they look
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 2: ahead to Vegas in the next game.
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: So that would be the concern with Dallas here.
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 2: That would be the potential zig zag here for Saint Louis,
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 2: but I'd like it better if Dallas blew Saint Louis
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 2: out in that game. I think they have more of
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 2: a tendency to overlook Saint Louis because they only won
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 2: three to two and Dallas had to win on like
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 2: a final second goal in that game pretty much to
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 2: even to win that game, I'm pretty sure.
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: So that was a close call for Dallas.
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 2: Man So the fact that was a close call, they
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 2: might take Saint Louis seriously, and because usual you want
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 2: to get the road trip off on the right foot,
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 2: they might take them seriously for that reason. And they
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 2: do have more rest here than Saint Louis does, so
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 2: there is that, although Saint Louis has a good amount
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 2: of rest too. They haven't played since Saturday, but they
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 2: did play a game the day after they played Dallas,
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 2: and that was that game where I thought it was
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 2: a horrible spot for Saint Louis, the back to back
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 2: the Dallas sandwich, and Saint Louis almost won that game,
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 2: but we did thankfully get the win with La in
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 2: that one.
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis has now lost four games in a row.
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: That was a difficult game though against La so I
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: don't know, man.
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 2: It was also a return home spot, by the way
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 2: for them, So there were a lot of negatives for
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis in that one, which is why we faded them.
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 2: Now they have days off here that could break their
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 2: losing momentum. I don't think they're gonna overlook Dallas. So
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 2: there are some things that do indicate on the Saint
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 2: Louis side here having those days off could disrupt their
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 2: losing momentum. So I actually probably do prefer Saint Louis
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 2: in this game.
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: But this game's got a lot, a lot of kind
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: of conflicting angles to it that I just don't love.
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 2: The money is agreeing with Saint Louis on this one.
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 2: I mean, I'll agree with it, but I don't love it.
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 2: Dallas up for miss one fifty to mine one fifty
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 2: two to fifty seven percent of the tickets on them,
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 2: eighty three percent of the cash on the Blues there,
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 2: And yes, I don't disagree with the Blues in that one, but.
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: It's you know, as I as you can.
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 2: See from my read on that game, there are a
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 2: lot of conflicting factors there. Chicago at Minnesota. Chicago's coming
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 2: up an awful blowout loss five to one against Florida.
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 2: Florida is a good team, but Chicago should be in
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 2: a bit of a bounced back spot here.
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: They're starting a quick road trip.
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 2: But it's usually good to go out on the road
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 2: if you lose really badly at home, usually refocus when
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 2: you go out on the road. They're not gonna overlook Minnesota,
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 2: so I think it's a positive spot for Chicago coming
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 2: off an ugly loss, starting a road trip here, just
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 2: go focus on hockey. You know, Minnesota is coming up
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 2: game against Florida as well. Both teams just played Florida,
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 2: but Minnesota almost beat that. Minnesota lost in overtime. Minnesota
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 2: staying at home here, but this still coming off two
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 2: overtime games against Detroit, m Florida on the public, if
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 2: they play this game, is probably gonna be leaning towards
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 2: playing Minnesota in some way, which with person, we know
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 2: they're the better team. It's not just that they played
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 2: against Florida better than Chicago did. Minnesota is the better team,
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 2: but in this spot, I think the spot is better
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 2: for Chicago. Minnesota maybe in a little bit of a
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 2: hangover after a more difficult game against a bigger performance
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 2: against Florida. Let's say that went into overtime. The money
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 2: is agreeing with Chicago here. That would be the way
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 2: I would lean obviously in Minnesota down for minus two
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 2: thirty to minus two eighteen on the money line here,
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 2: seventy two percent of the tickets on them, but seventy
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the Blackhawks. I agree with
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 2: the Blackhawks, and this one probably would be a puck
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 2: line play on this one. Take them to come within
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 2: one go one and a half goals, and that one
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 2: probably is the way to go. That would be the
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 2: goal in that game. We have San Jose at Vancouver.
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 2: San Jose just beat the Rangers. That was on the
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 2: twenty third, So San Jose hasn't played since the twenty third.
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 2: They're starting a road trip now with three days off.
• 1:36:13
  Speaker 2: You might worry that that might stall their momentum a
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 2: little bit of the fact that they had a win
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 2: and they haven't played since them.
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: That was a weird spot for San Jose.
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 2: They were actually in a road trip Sandwich, returning from
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 2: the East Coast, had one game and they had to
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 2: go right back out on the road. I'm kind of
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 2: surprised they won that game, but they did. They did
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 2: have a lot of time off surrounding that game, so
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 2: maybe that helped them focus on that one game. But
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 2: now they're starting a road trip, maybe they do a
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 2: momentum to start the road trip. Although they do play
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 2: Edmonton next, so there is the possibility they overlook Vancouver,
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 2: who has been.
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: Pretty bad this year. Very easy to overlook.
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 2: Vancouver's lost a lot of games recently, they've lost thirteen
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 2: or fourteen games or something like that.
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: It's not going well for them. Man, they're staying at home.
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 2: They've only won one game in this long home stand,
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 2: but they've been at home for a long time, not
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 2: having to travel. They're probably not gonna overlook anybody at
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 2: this point. So I think the spot is actually a
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 2: little bit better for Vancouver in this one. And that's
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 2: how I would lean in this game. It's not a
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 2: play for me, but San Jose's minus one twenty, he'll
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 2: get Vancouver as a home underdog here. I don't think
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 2: San Jose is still I'm gonna say, I don't think
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 2: they're as good as their record looks. Ninety one percent
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 2: of the tickets, sixty seven percent of the cash on
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 2: San Jose, so they're a public side, but less of
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 2: the money on them. It looks like the market is
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 2: agreeing with the Vancouver side there, and of course that
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 2: means my final play here. I forgot to do the
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 2: best bets visual the graphic for the other one. But
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 2: this is my final play of the day. And I
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 2: said it was gonna be in hockey, so you know
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 2: it's in this game, and it is Seattle. We're gonna
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 2: go with the Kraken as an underdog here against Washington.
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 2: I think the spot is pretty bad for Washington here.
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: Whoops, Washington.
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 2: I think they're in a sandwich spot here, man, And
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 2: I know I had some other leans that I like.
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 2: I like Nashville, I like Toronto. Here today the Kings
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 2: I think were a decent lean as well and win
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 2: a peg, even though the money looks like it's indicating
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 2: against it. I think those are the best leans in
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 2: hockey besides this one that I'm actually gonna give out
• 1:38:18
  Speaker 2: a play on.
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: I think it's a bad spot for Washington.
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 2: They just had a big game against Edmonton, although they've
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 2: had a couple of days off since then. They've had
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 2: two days off, but they're finishing up a road trip,
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 2: and I know they're probably gonna want to try to
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 2: get a game because it's been a bad road trip.
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: But that was a huge game against Edmonton. Man, they took.
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 2: Edmonton to overtime, and I think it was a brutal
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 2: loss to They lost this game, like right at the
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 2: end of it, they lost the lead in the final minute.
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 2: Washington had the lead in the final minute, gave up
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 2: the lead, and then they lost almost immediately in overtime.
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 2: That's a brutal loss to a pretty good Edmonton team
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 2: as an underdog. Washington was an underdog in that game.
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 2: I just don't know what they're gonna have left for
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 2: this game against And they have to finish the road
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 2: trip with Detroit. Actually they have to go to Detroit
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 2: after this, and then they play Carolina and the Islanders
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 2: Philade Olviously, they have four big conference games on deck,
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 2: so I think this is a sandwich spot.
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: I don't think that.
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know if they're really gonna take Seattle totally
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 2: seriously here. Seattle did just beat New Jersey decent win,
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 2: but I don't think they're they're gonna be overconfident here.
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 2: Don't really think they're gonna overlook Washington. They're just staying
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 2: at home, so the travel spot better for them. They're
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 2: on a long home stand. They're two and two on
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 2: the home stand, so they might be pretty motivated to
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 2: try to, you know, get on the winning side on
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 2: the home stand here. And they only play Toronto next,
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 2: which really don't think is any cause for a look
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 2: ahead or anything.
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna be on Seattle here, and what I
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: think is a.
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 2: Sandwich for Washington. Washington's up for minus one thirty five
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 2: to minus one thirty six. I looks like some public percentage.
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 2: I take a percentage on Seattle sixty seven percent, but
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 2: we see ninety nine percent of the cash right now.
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: Al though I don't know if that's accurate at all.
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 2: This We're probably gonna see the market read on this
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 2: change throughout the day because this is a late night game,
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 2: so who knows what the market's gonna be like. We
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 2: get Seattle at a decent underdog price and when I
• 1:40:11
  Speaker 2: think is a good spot, So that's gonna be the
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 2: play there, Thank you sir.
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: It's just a chat GPT creation there. I don't know.
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 2: I had to do it a few times because it
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 2: didn't give me one that I really liked the first
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 2: few times. All right, NBA to finish this off. I
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 2: do not like the NBA board today. I'm gonna have
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 2: a two hour video today. God, I'm gonna have to
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 2: get some lunch after this. Portland is on a back
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 2: to back here, so the spot is pretty bad for Portland, man.
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: I know, they lost to the Celtics last night.
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 2: The Celtics had a huge lead early in the game,
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 2: and Portland actually cut the lead quite a bit in
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 2: the game, but they still didn't cover. Celtics actually covered
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 2: the seven and a half at the very least. So
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 2: the Portland refused to go away in that game, and
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 2: they put in a big effort to finish that game off.
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 2: So they are coming up that game against the Celtics.
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 2: They're playing it back to back here, having to go
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 2: down to Washington and they play the Knicks next, and
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 2: then they return home and play Cleveland.
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: So this is pretty much a sandwich spot.
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 2: It looks like they could easily overlook Washington here and
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 2: Portland with no rest on a back to back.
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 1: That's not good man. So it's a bad spot for Portland.
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 2: The issue I have with Washington here is they just
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 2: played really well as a huge underdog against Charlotte, So
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 2: that would be the one issue I have. They're traveling
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 2: back from Charlotte here. They were a huge underdog. Believe
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 2: it or not, they were a double digit underdog and
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 2: almost pulled the upset against Charlotte. That's my one hesitation
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 2: with Washington here, other than the fact that Washington has
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 2: been abysmal and they seem to just fail to cover
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 2: every time we try to play on them. So we're
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 2: staying away from it. But I would take the points
• 1:41:49
  Speaker 2: with the Wizards if I was gonna play this game.
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 2: The money looks like it doesn't even agree. The money
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 2: is coming in on the Trailblazers. I don't know how
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 2: that's even possible. They're seven and a half point favorite here, Uh,
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 2: fifty four percent ticket sixty seven percent of the ash
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 2: coming in on the Blazers. Maybe it's kind of a
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 2: numbers thing, and maybe some of the numbers guys basically
• 1:42:10
  Speaker 2: think that there's a little bit of value on the
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 2: Blazers because maybe the Blazers are actually not as big
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 2: as big of a favorite as they should be because
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 2: they're on no rest here. I don't know, but they're
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 2: still laying points on the road man, in a bad spot.
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 2: So I still think the Wizards are preferable in that game.
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 2: But I'm staying away h Sacramento at the New York
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 2: Knicks here. Sacramento's on a five game losing streak. They
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 2: just got blown out by Detroit, so I mean, you'll
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 2: probably expect effort out of them.
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 1: At the very least.
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 2: They played pretty well against Cleveland the game before that,
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 2: so I think they might have not had that much
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 2: left in the tank. I think I did lean towards
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 2: Detroit in that game against them. I forget if I did, actually,
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 2: but Detroit beat them up. Now they're gonna be looking
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 2: to try to get a win on this road trip here. Man,
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 2: They're not gonna overlook the Knicks, So the Kings at
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 2: least should be focused in the spot. The Knicks are
• 1:43:04
  Speaker 2: coming up beating Philadelphia, which I thought the Knicks would
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 2: get that win.
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: They did. They came back won the game.
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 2: Pretty big win for the Knicks against a team that's
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 2: probably gonna be a playoff team.
• 1:43:14
  Speaker 1: At least Philadelphia playoffs.
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 2: So the Knicks are coming off that they're returning home
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 2: from that and they gotta go right back out on
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 2: the road and play Toronto tomorrow.
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: So I think the Knicks could overlook Sacramento here.
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 2: The only issue is that the Knicks actually just lost
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 2: at Sacramento back when they played them, and that was
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 2: with Sacramento without Sabonis, I'm pretty sure as well, so
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 2: the Knicks probably didn't take them seriously at all. Now
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 2: Sacramento has Sabonis, so for that reason, the Knicks might take.
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 1: Them seriously just for that reason, but it's still a
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot for the Knicks.
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 2: I would still lean towards the Kings in this game
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 2: plus the points, but the money looks like it doesn't
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 2: agree with it.
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 1: Knicks are up or thirteen, they're sitting around thirteen and
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: a half.
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 2: It hasn't really moved seventy two tickets ninety percent of
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 2: the cash on the Knicks, So yeah, I lean against that,
• 1:44:04
  Speaker 2: though I leaned towards Sacramento plus the points there, but
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 2: I don't love it at all. Milwaukee at Philadelphia on
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 2: NBC and Peacock. Of course, Milwaukee, we were gonna try
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 2: to play on them in the injured player theory spot
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 2: against Dallas, and also because they thought they were catching
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 2: Dallas in a very bad spot, and then the weather
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 2: caused the game to be postponed, So that's awesome. I
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 2: think it was actually Dallas's playing that probably got messed up, right,
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 2: because it wouldn't have been Milwaukee's because they were staying
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 2: at home. But now Milwaukee has extra time off because
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 2: of that. They haven't played since Friday, and they played
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 2: pretty close against Denver, but remember that was with Yannis
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 2: from Milwaukee, although he got hurt in the game and
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 2: tried to play through it.
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: It was Denver without Jokich.
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee was favored in the game though, so the fact
• 1:44:47
  Speaker 2: that Milwaukee lost that game could kind of go either way.
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 2: You could either argue it was a close game and
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 2: they'll be hung over after that, or he could argue
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 2: with they lost as a favorite.
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: So the bounce back, and that was my argument when
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 1: I wanted to play them.
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 2: And they're still in the injured player spot now because
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 2: this is the first game without Yannis, this time after
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 2: he got hurt. So Milwaukee pretty much knows they're gonna
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 2: have to step up their game here, and we have
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 2: with Giannis out of the lineup, and they have extra
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 2: rest here now having not played since Friday, and that
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 2: might help break their losing momentum.
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 1: So I do kind of like Milwaukee in the spot.
• 1:45:19
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia, though, they're coming up of an embarrassing loss though,
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 2: so they might show up focus as well. But they
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 2: aren't a back to back here, and we played Charlotte
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 2: in that game for a reason. Man, Philadelphia was coming
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 2: up that huge game against the Knicks. I thought it
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 2: was a bad spot that Charlotte was gonna bounce back
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 2: off an ugly game against the Wizards. Philadelphia did have
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 2: this game on deck against Milwaukee, which is an NBC game,
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 2: So part of that handicap was that Philadelphia would be
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 2: looking past Charlotte and would show up in this game
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 2: against Milwaukee. But they are on the back to back here,
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 2: so there's a huge rest advantage from Milwaukee here, Milwaukee here,
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia playing a third game in four days. I have
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 2: to lean towards Milwaukee in this one man in the
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 2: injured player theory spot, Philadelphia is up to a ten
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorite. The one thing with the
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 2: Bucks though, is that they did punt yesterday's game, so
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 2: and Being and George both didn't play yesterday, so they're
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 2: gonna be rested still, So the Sixers, like they're two
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 2: of their best players, will be rested coming into this game.
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 2: So that's the one thing they didn't play yesterday. So
• 1:46:24
  Speaker 2: not all back to backs are the same, right, So
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 2: the Sixers did rest those two guys yesterday. But the
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 2: Sixers are lanked ten and a half here, man, And
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 2: it's a pretty low total at two nineteen as well,
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 2: seventy percent tickets ninety percent of the cash on the Sixers.
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 2: But again I disagree with the percentages on this one.
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 2: I would take the points with the Bucks.
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: Again.
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 2: I think the clinching factor here is that I think
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 2: there's just an overreaction again to Giannis being out. It's
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 2: the injured player theory spot coming into play there. So
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 2: I would lean to the Bucks, even though I think
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 2: both teams actually will show up with focus. Pelicans at
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma City, Pelicans coming into this game off beating the
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 2: San Antonio Spurs. Man, So the Pelicans have pulled up
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 2: back to back road up sets here, huge upset over
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 2: the Spurs. Now, do you really think they can carry
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 2: all that again, that effort again into a game at
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma City?
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 1: I just don't really think so, man.
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 2: I think the Pelicans even though ideally for them to
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 2: get up for this game, but I just see them
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 2: running out of steam at some point in this game.
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 2: Then for Oklahoma City, they've lost two games in a
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 2: row at home. Now as double digit favorites against Indiana,
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 2: and I think they were double digit favorites against Toronto.
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 2: That's just ugly, man, that's bad. They've lost both games
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 2: on the home stands. So I think you're gonna see
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 2: a focused okay Seed team, even though they do have
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 2: Minnesota on deck and then Denver.
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: Those are bigger games. Don't know when Jokic just coming
• 1:47:46
  Speaker 1: back though. But again, this okay Seed team, they don't
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 1: want to go zero to three on the home stand man.
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 2: So I expect them to show up. I thought they
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 2: would show up against Toronto. I'm surprised they didn't. But
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 2: this okay Seed team is very, very difficult to beat
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 2: at home. In the usually win by margin at home,
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 2: I would have to lay it with the thunder if
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 2: I was gonna play it. They're down for fifteen to
• 1:48:05
  Speaker 2: fourteen and a half. The percentages slightly do agree with
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 2: me on this one. Sixty two percent of ticket, sixty
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 2: four percent of the cash on the Thunder. So that's
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 2: the first one where the market actually agrees with me.
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 2: You can see why I'm not playing any of these
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 2: games here in the NBA today. Detroit at Denver. We're
• 1:48:22
  Speaker 2: still looking at Denver without Jokic here, Detroit coming into
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 2: this game off of beating the Kings easily. Whatever anow
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 2: they're starting a road trip. Usually you start a road trip,
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 2: your focus to start the road trip. Detroit's coming into
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 2: this with some momentum off of beating Sacramento. I don't
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 2: think they're gonna overlook Denver as the first game of
• 1:48:41
  Speaker 2: the road trip, even though it is without Jokicic. I
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 2: expect Detroit will show up, but Denver should show up
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 2: as well here man. Denver did play pretty well as
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 2: the dog at Milwaukee.
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 1: They got the job done. They beat Milwaukee. They're supposed
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 1: to play Memphis after that, and they did not because
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 1: of the weather. So extra rest for Enver here. But
• 1:49:01
  Speaker 1: they're technically returning home from a road.
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 2: Trip, although it was only a road trip that started
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 2: on Thursday, but still there might have to be stuff
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 2: done back at home. It did snow up in Denver
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 2: as well. They might have to get some stuff done
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 2: back at home whatever.
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 1: Who knows.
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 2: So the spot isn't ideal for Denver here. Now they
• 1:49:20
  Speaker 2: do have extra rest, but they're coming off an upset
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 2: on the road of Milwaukee, and the extra rest might
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 2: hurt their momentum a little bit because they've been winning games.
• 1:49:29
  Speaker 1: So you don't really want to have extra rest when
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 1: that's the case.
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 2: So even though I think both teams show up, I
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 2: actually think the Pistons actually set up a little bit
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 2: better in this game the spot does. And again the
• 1:49:39
  Speaker 2: market doesn't agree with me. The Pistons are up from
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 2: five and a half to seven, but I would lean
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 2: their way in this game. Sixty percent of the tickets
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 2: only fifty six percent of the cash on them though,
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 2: so the money is disagreeing with the Pistons here. Laying
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 2: seven on the road does look difficult to do, But yeah,
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I think I would have to lean
• 1:49:59
  Speaker 2: that way based on the It's a game I don't
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 2: want to get involved in though, of course.
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 1: And then we have Brooklyn at Phoenix. This is kind
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 1: of an ugly one man, but Brooklyn. They just lost
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: pretty badly at LA to start the road trip.
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 2: But Brooklyn was coming up that really tough double OT
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 2: game against the Celtics, and then they had to fly
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 2: out west, you know, changing their body clock and whatever.
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 2: That was a really difficult spot for Brooklyn to be
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 2: in there, and they got annihilated by the Clippers. They
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 2: might settle down and play a better game here against Phoenix.
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 2: Phoenix did just beat them at.
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 1: Home by nine back on the nineteenth, so.
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 2: There's a little bit of a road reversal, revenge angle
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 2: and play here for Brooklyn. So I think they will
• 1:50:39
  Speaker 2: show up, even though they do have Denver next whatever.
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 2: They've lost five games in a row. They're not going
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 2: to overlook anybody anyway, So I think Brooklyn should show
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 2: up in this game. Now they're more adjusted to the
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 2: time zones out there, so a bit of a better
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 2: spot for them here. Not coming off a double OT
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 2: game against the Celtics now either, Phoenix is coming off
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 2: a game against Miami that was a turn home spot.
• 1:51:01
  Speaker 2: Let me talk about how the return home spots are
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 2: bad because teams tend to lapse.
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 1: And focus a little bit and have to get back
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: to home life and whatever.
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 2: So Phoenix did lose to Miami by nine, and usually
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 2: when that happens, you'll bounce back in the next game
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 2: when you play a bad game in that first game home.
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 2: But their next two games after this are against Detroit
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 2: and Cleveland, and again they did just beat Brooklyn on
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 2: the road, so there is still the possibility.
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 1: The Phoenix just overlooks Brooklyn.
• 1:51:27
  Speaker 2: And that game against Miami was still fairly close, and
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 2: it was a big game, still ish bigger than the
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 2: Nets are. So this game, the market actually agrees with
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 2: me on this one. I would lean towards the Nets.
• 1:51:37
  Speaker 2: I agree with the market and this one, Nets plus
• 1:51:39
  Speaker 2: the points would be my opinion.
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 1: In this one.
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 2: Sun's down from nine and a half to eight years,
• 1:51:44
  Speaker 2: so the market is moving the numbers.
• 1:51:47
  Speaker 1: Kind of the number the move is agreeing with us.
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 2: Let's say seventy two percent of the tickets on the
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 2: Suns fifty eight percent of the cash though on the Nets.
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 2: I agree with the Nets in that one. And then
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 2: the final game on NBC, the doubleheader after from Milwaukee Philadelphia.
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 2: This is an ugly doubleheader.
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 2: We have Clippers at Utah, Clippers coming up that blowout
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 2: win over Brooklyn. Now they are starting a road trip,
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 2: and usually your focus to start at the road trip,
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 2: but they do play Denver next, So there is the
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 2: potential they overlook Utah here man, especially.
• 1:52:19
  Speaker 1: Off a destruction of Brooklyn.
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 2: Even though I know it's Brooklyn, you still might get
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 2: over confident when you beat a team by almost forty.
• 1:52:26
  Speaker 1: Man, Utah is.
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 2: At least better at home, So there is that Utah
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 2: just got blown out. So Utah is coming up a
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 2: blowout loss, having a couple of days rest at home.
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 2: They're staying at home. Spot to me, looks a little
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 2: bit better for Utah to bounce back off of that
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 2: disgusting loss to Miami where they give up one hundred
• 1:52:44
  Speaker 2: and forty seven and lost by over thirty points.
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 1: I probably prefer Utah on this one.
• 1:52:49
  Speaker 2: They get to host a TV game, which usually they
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 2: don't do, so I think I lean towards Utah in
• 1:52:54
  Speaker 2: this game. The money again looks like it's kind of disagreeing.
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 2: The Clippers drop from ten and a half to eight
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 2: and a half here, but they have seventy four percent
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 2: of tickets in eighty seven percent of the cash on them.
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 2: But I would probably lean towards taking the points with
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 2: the Jazz in that one. And that's gonna do it, man.
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 2: Those are the games today. That's gonna do it being
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 2: really selected the two plays college Basketball East Texas.
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 1: A and M plus the points. Although I apologize that the.
• 1:53:19
  Speaker 2: Line has dropped, man, but at least I think that
• 1:53:23
  Speaker 2: means that the market is agreeing with it. But if
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 2: you want to take the five and a half or whatever,
• 1:53:28
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna say not to, but I think probably
• 1:53:30
  Speaker 2: put less money on it. And then we have the
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 2: Seattle Crack and Home Underdog here and those are the
• 1:53:36
  Speaker 2: only plays today. You know, It's just it's a board
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 2: that I don't love today. Man, That's just the way
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 2: that it is. Let's get some wins. Enjoy the games. Man,
• 1:53:45
  Speaker 2: learn a tone on Twitter, got subscriptions that just put
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 2: up a subscription yuke video out there. That is a
• 1:53:50
  Speaker 2: cover of a song that we did in my old
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 2: high school band and that I've carried on with my
• 1:53:56
  Speaker 2: one man Midi project and now I Yuka fied it,
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 2: so Jeffrey has seen you.
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 1: Guys can check that out if you sub to me
• 1:54:02
  Speaker 1: on Twitter for that.
• 1:54:04
  Speaker 2: We're on learn to toad on you on Instagram as well,
• 1:54:07
  Speaker 2: of course you can check that out, like subscribe to
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 2: the channel here.
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 1: Let's get more subscribers. Man, push this thing.
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 2: Tell everybody about it with stagnated man, I don't love it,
• 1:54:16
  Speaker 2: give me more comments whatever.
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 1: All the activity on the channel helps.
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 2: We're on audio and reviews and listening on audio helps
• 1:54:24
  Speaker 2: on Apple and Spotify. Covered in yuca is my yuke
• 1:54:27
  Speaker 2: channel on YouTube. You can check that out Patreon dot com.
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 2: Sash learned to toad for the bonus Yuke feed and
• 1:54:33
  Speaker 2: Yuke requests and then loser Casts will be back tonight,
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 2: so you can check that out ten pm Easter and
• 1:54:40
  Speaker 2: the comedy podcast. Then I'm on so you can check
• 1:54:42
  Speaker 2: that out. Thank you, sir, Thanks for hanging out everybody.
• 1:54:46
  Speaker 2: I appreciate all the regulars. Man, I want to blow
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 2: up the show though. I want it to be bigger.
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I think just this long form.
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 2: Format everybody's got add so they don't get into it. Man,
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 2: they don't like it, so I don't know, but that's
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 2: gonna do it man my throat all right, loser Cast
• 1:55:06
  Speaker 2: is underrated.
• 1:55:07
  Speaker 1: Well, thank you. Hopefully that blows up as well. It's
• 1:55:11
  Speaker 1: still new.
• 1:55:11
  Speaker 2: We've only done like ten episodes, so hopefully that thing
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 2: blows up. Hopefully Adam Nutter can actually start joining us
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 2: on Tuesdays. Stop listening to your wife, man, Just do
• 1:55:20
  Speaker 2: the Late Show on Tuesday.
• 1:55:21
  Speaker 1: Bro, that's gonna do it. Peace,