Latest / Toadstool Sports / SUNDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball & NHL & NBA | 3/1/26

Transcript

SUNDAY BEST BETS | College Basketball & NHL & NBA | 3/1/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: next have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached into peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: hack Man, I don't know what is going on with
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: the bruins. Our shape? Is that what it is? I
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: don't even know It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. I don't even
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. Man, back with you after
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: the worst day that I could possibly have with you,
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: as I always am until I die, at least oh
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: for me. Own five the worst month that I've ever
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't know
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: what to even tell you about this. Anymore slumps, The
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: slump discontinues, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: towed back with you with Toadstool Sports. It is Sunday.
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: It's March, Baby, March first, March Madness. Can we officially
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: say that March Madness has started? I would say no,
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: because I would say that it officially starts when the
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: conference tournament start. That I consider that to be March Madness,
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: and that will happen shortly. I think sometimes it actually
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: happens before March even starts, depending on another calendar works out.
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: But it will be starting soon. Man. We had a
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: pretty good day on the show yesterday, four to two
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: and one. Started out not great with Buffalo losing outright.
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know really what to say about that. I mean, yeah,
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: they weren't really in position to cover that thing. It
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: was a close game, but we needed them to win
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: by points. Then things started turning around nicely. We got
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: the win outright win with Bellerman. They put up like
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: one hundred and eleven points. I mean, that's kind of
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: what Bellerman does. They just even though they're a slow team,
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: they they scored decently and they can't stop anybody. So
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: but they were able to get the outright win their
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: good spot Bryant with an outright win as well over
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: the absolute fraudulent n j I T. Finally we get
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: a win fading n j I T. Pretty easy one there,
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: and Bryant was up to about a three and a
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: half point dog in that one. I don't know if
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: it ever actually hit four. I will score to three
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: and a half, but it doesn't matter because they won outright.
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: Arizona about the win. They were winning by double digits
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: at halftime, and then I think the lead did slip
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: at one point to below the nine and a half,
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: but they got back above it. They wound up pushing
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: the lead to almost twenty pretty late in the game,
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: and then it was pretty much over. I don't know
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: how much they actually won by, like seventeen maybe something
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: like that. So Arizona covered every number, so that worked
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: out well even if you laid the ten ten and
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: a half, although again you want to get the best number.
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: It did matter in Virginia, Tech, which shouldn't have. Virginia
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: Tech was tied at halftime, dude, and they were still
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: in that game in the closing minutes, I think they
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: were still down not that many points. Then all of
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: a sudden, they're down like eight to nine. I'm like,
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: this is just such bs, dude. Then they wind up
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: scoring I think right near the buzzer to push the
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: number at seven. I'm not happy about it. That should
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: have been a cover. North Carolina is still a massively
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: overrated team. I'm not happy. People who got the six
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: and a half didn't get us, so hopefully you got
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: the seven. I saw sevens fairly abundantly out there, and
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: that's what I scored it at. We did not get
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: the winning hockey with Columbus, which actually I had at
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty four, not minus one thirty, so my mistake,
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: but close in that range. But you don't want to
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: lose a favorite like that, man. So yeah, it was
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: a winning day yesterday, of course, four to and one whatever.
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: But because the moneyline favorite was a loss, that was
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: a little bit more of a loss than most other
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: players would have been. Columbus had a two nothing lead
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: out of the gate, and I'm like, all right, this
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: is looking pretty good. They played fine in the game.
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: They lost the face off battle, but they did have
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: more shots in the game. I think they might have
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: been the more physical team as well, had more hits,
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: and they wound up losing the game in overtime. Not
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: happy about that at all. Definitely had chances to win
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: that game, especially when you're up to nothing, don't blow
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: the lead. And they were actually behind three to two
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: at one point in the game. Not happy about that.
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: And then the Washington Wizards did actually get us the
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: cover there. They were winning the game outright at halftime,
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: and then things started going very badly for them, even
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: though I think in the fourth quarter, I'm pretty sure
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: they were still within four points, like early in the
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: fourth quarter, and then all of a sudden, they're down
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: by like sixteen, and I'm like, are you serious, They're
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: actually not gonna cover this, But they did. They lost
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: by nine. So I don't know. I didn't watch any
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: of that game, but I don't know what happened at
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: the end of it. But maybe who do we even
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: play against in that game? I don't even remember who
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: is that play against. I don't remember at all. Whoever
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: it was. They must have taken their foot off the
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: gas though, because yeah, we got the cover with the
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: with the Wizards there. Yeah, who why don't I remember
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: who that was against? Now I gotta look real quick.
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: That was oh Houston. Yeah, no, Toronto, my mistake, Yeah, Toronto.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: I'm like, wait, Houston, that's not right, Yeah, Toronto. All right,
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: let's get into today. We got some players today. We're
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: gonna have two college basketball, one hockey two NBA. The
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: NBA ones are actually both pretty much the same kind
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: of they're they're both some nice sandwiches. Man, we got
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: some NBA sandwiches. Mister Pinsley, what's up, Thanks for hanging out.
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: Good to see you again. All right, college basketball, we're
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: coming down the stretch. Man. This is the last I
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: don't want to call it the last full weekend, but
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: it's the last. Well, it's kind of the last full
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: weekend because the small conference tournaments are gonna be starting
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: this week. Man, it's gonna be fun. And then the
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: Big conference is still have one more Saturday left to play,
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: I think, before their conference tournaments start. But yes, we
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: have some noontime action here Sunday. We always have after
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: noon action. It's almost all afternoon action, some night action
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: actually tonight because no football, but LaSalle at Davidson gets
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: a TV game on USA Network. They carry the Atlantic ten.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know why anybody's gonna want to watch this game.
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: Lasal is a very bad team. I believe that every
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: team in the Atlantic ten does make their conference tournament,
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: so I don't think there's any issue there. A LaSalle
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: did just get bombed by George Washington, who couldn't get
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: it done for Roth. But it was the revolutionary George
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: Washington against LaSalle. Yeah, it was the Lasal, the Frenchman
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: turning on the Americans. America won that battle, George Washington
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: with a huge win, putting up over one hundred points,
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: blowing Lasal out. Maybe Lausale will bounce back a little
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: bit here in this one. Davidson has been an okay
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: team this year. They had a nice road win against
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: Dukane in their last game. This will not be their
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: final home game. I don't really have a good read
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: on this at all. These teams have not played this season.
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: This is their only matchup this year. Davidson's an eleven
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: point favorite and they have seventy one percent of tickets
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: in ninety four percent of the cash on them. I
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: don't think I would lay it, though, I mean, Lasal
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: is so bad. The totals pretty low in the one thirty.
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think I would lay it, but
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: also Lasal is so bad, I should say, but I
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: would probably need toward taking it with LSAL. I I
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: was gonna do anything with that game, but I will
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: not obviously. ESPN two at noon, Tulane is at South Florida.
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: South Florida trying to establish themselves here. They are close
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: to getting the one seed in the American right now,
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: three games left. They have a one and a half
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: game lead. They're playing against what I think is an
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: overrated Tulane team here. South Florida is on a run.
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: They've won six games in a row. They're back home.
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: It is possible that they overlook Tulane. I guess they
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: have Memphis on deck, which is always kind of a
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: big name. But Memphis is just having so many struggles
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: this year that I don't know that it's really a
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: look ahead. South Florida beat Rice on the road in
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: the last game, I think, which is nothing to really
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: look at at all. Tulane coming into this off of
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: getting absolutely crushed by Tulsa in their last game, so
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: they may very well get up for this game as well.
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: I can't really read this game, but I don't really
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: have anything to really go on with this game except
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: for the market read. South Forard is a fifteen point favorite,
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: sixty five percent of the tickets around them, fifty four
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on TWU lane. So the market
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: read is saying tulane. So if you want to take
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: that for you know, any anything that it's worth, I
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: guess I mean it's worth something. I think these market
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: reads kind of give you some information there about where
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: the actual money is coming in, even though it doesn't
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: really tell you why that's the case. But it could
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: just be the numbers. Guys just think that the line's
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: a little bit too high in South Florida. Maybe it
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: is because you know, they have the better records, so
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: the line might have to be pushed in their direction
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: a little bit, especially on a big TV game, So
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: I won't really disagree with leaning towards the underdog in
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: that one too, But nothing for me there. North Texas
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: at UAB is on ESPNU at noon. This is kind
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: of a more interesting game. I would say, North Texas
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: already I think they played UAB earlier this did they? Yeah,
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: they did. They lost at home to UAB. So this
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: is actually a road revenge angle for North Texas. Or
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: it might be the case that maybe UAB just won't
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: really take them as seriously after beating them at home.
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: North Texas was actually the favorite at home. They will
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: be an underdog here. Of course, North Texas did just
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: lose to Charlotte, which is not a great loss. Charlotte
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: not a good team, not as good as their record looks.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: UAB is better than Charlotte, though, And this will be
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: a second straight road game here. UAB just beating Memphis
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: on the road. That was a nice win for UAB,
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: even though I know Memphis massively struggling. That was an upset.
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: UAB were five and a half point dogs in that one.
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: They won by double digits. That was a strong win
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: for them. Man, given that they already beat North Texas,
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: this will not be their final home game. I'm gonna
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: lean to North Texas in this one. The money is
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: not agreeing with me on this. UAB up to a
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: five and a half point favorite, fifty to fifty on
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: the tickets seventy five percent of the cash on UAB.
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: I like, how the first you know, actual opinion that
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: I have of any real sort goes against the market.
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: Isn't that just great? The total is pretty low North Texas,
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: we know they played just extraordinarily slow, so they may
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: be able to slow this game down really ugly it
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: up and stay within that number. That way, it might
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: be an interesting game to watch, even though North Texas
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: is kind of like watching paint dry. But they do
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: play a lot of close games though. Fox Sports won
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: at noon. Rutgers at Maryland. Yeah, this is a great
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: Big Ten match up here. I believe every team in
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: the Big Ten makes the Big Ten tournament, so there's
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: no issue as far as which team might not make
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: the tournament. Rutgers coming off a home loss to Washington,
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: maybe it'll be good for them to just get out
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: go on the road again playing a Maryland team. It's
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: not exactly good, although it's three road games in four
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: games for Rutgers, which is not that easy. Maryland just
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: lost at Nebraska that was a more difficult game. Though
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: they finished season with Wisconsin and then Illinois, which are
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: probably bigger games. At this point, Maryland is the favorite here,
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: five point favorite. But I mean, the Odsbegers are telling
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: you Maryland is the better team here. But man, I mean,
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know, Man, should Maryland really be this much
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: of a favorite against like anybody else in the Big ten?
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: I don't, I really don't know. I would probably wan
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points with the Rutgers. I don't love it.
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: But you know, seventy per ticket, seventy three percent of
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: the cash on Maryland, they look like kind of a
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: public side, not a ton of the money coming in,
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: you know, like, you know, they don't have a huge
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: cash dispariting on them, is what I mean to say.
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: I'm staying away though. Quinnipiac at Canisius is a pretty
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: weird one. This will be Canesius's final home game though,
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: and remember they're not going to be in the matt
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: Act Tournament as the bottom three teams do not make
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: their conference tournament, and that would be Canesius Niagara Riders.
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: So those teams keep in mind. I think they're all
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: playing their final game today, so and they might all
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: be at home too. So I will say that is
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: an extra motivator, and I'll point it out now because
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: I forgot to talk about it yesterday and I said
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: I was going to and I completely forgot. The Northeast
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: Conference had an interesting scenario yesterday with new Haven had
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: their final home game and they did actually win that game,
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: and I would have given you a lean on new
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: Haven wasn't gonna make my card. But new Haven they're
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: in their first year in the in Division one, and
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: there's a transition period. So when you're in transition that
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: first year, you're not allowed in the NCAA tournament, but
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: you're also not allowed to play in your conference tournament.
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: Although I think maybe different conferences have different rules. But
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: new Haven that was literally their last game of the
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: year because they're a first year Division one team. I know,
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: it's stupid, because if you're good enough, I mean, I
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: think you should, you know, be given a shot like
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: playing your conference tournament. You know, most teams that in
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: that conference make their tournament. But whatever, that's how it is.
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: It's stupid, but that was their final game of the season,
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: so you got to think that was a bit of
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: an extra motivator there. You get to do it at home.
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: I forget who they played, but they did get a win.
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: I think it might have been a revenge spot too,
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: so I was gonna point that out, and I forgot.
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: The Northeast Conference is very strange because they have multiple
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: teams that are in transition right now, which include mercy
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: Hurst and Lemoyne. But those two teams are different because
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: those two teams are not in their first year of transition,
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: so they are actually going to play in the Northeast
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: Conference tournament, but they're not allowed to play in the
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: NCAA tournament, so they're in that scenario. We've seen that
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: scenario a couple times recently where we've had a team
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: that makes their conference final in the conference tournament, but
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: they're in like their second or third year of transition,
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: and they're in a position where if they win that game,
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: they're not allowed to make the tournament, you know what
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: I mean. So their opponent or however the conference structure works,
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: whoever is going to represent that conference in the NCAAA
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: tournament is already decided pretty much prior to that game.
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think unless the the eligible team wins,
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: if that makes sense, you know what I mean, Because
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: obviously if the one team that's eligible wins, they're allowed
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: to get in. So that always set up like an
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: interesting scenario for me where you know, well, you know,
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: I think it depends no, yeah, because I think because
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: one team is ineligible, Yeah, then I think if the
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: eligible team wins, I think it doesn't even matter if
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: the eligible team wins. Yeah, that's what it was, because
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: I've given every time that scenario comes up, I give
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: out a play, and it might happen in the Northeast
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: Conference this year, but that play is always on the
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: ineligible team in their conference final, because that's their last
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: game if they can't make the NCAA tournament. They want
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: to like prove something like, hey, we're actually good enough,
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: we can win this game. We should be in, whereas
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: the team that they're playing is usually like already in,
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: regardless of they win that game or not, if that
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: makes sense. So there are a lot of weird scenarios
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: that show up in some of these smaller conferences, but
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: I figured I would point that out anyway. Quinnipiac is
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: at Canesius. It is Cannesius's final game of the season.
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: They're not making the conference tournament, so this is it
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: for them. Quinnipiac, though they are still playing for something
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: unlike Merrimack who has the conference wrapped up. Quinnipiac is
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: in this mix here where they could change their seed
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: in a little bit. I think they might still have
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: a shot to get one of the top four seeds
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: in the conference, which I think would give them extra
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: buy in the conference tournament or something, so they probably
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: do want to play for that. They had a bad
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: game in their last game against Niagara, so that might
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: actually spur them, so they might actually have some momentum
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: here or some motivation here. Excuse me, because Quinnipiac, you know,
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: they have something to play for in this game. Canizus
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: probably does two. I mean it's their final home game.
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: But I think they kind of treated that Merrimack game
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: like their super Bowl. They caught Merrimack at a great
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: time because Merrimack was traveling out to Buffalo. I think
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: the matt Act doesn't pay for flights either, so I
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: think every comp every team in this conference has to
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: take a bus everywhere, so that makes it even worse.
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: And Merrimack having the conference already wrapped up, they had
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: nothing to play for, and I think Canesius really got
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: excited about that game. Hey, we get a chance to
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: beat the top seed in the conference, let's do it.
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: So they won, but now that could put them in
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a letdown spot. Man, even though
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: I know this is their final home game, it seems
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: like they kind of treated the Merrimack game as their
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: big game and they're running into a Quinnipiac team that,
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: even though Quinnipiac beat them already at Quinnipiac, Quinnipiac does
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: have something to play for, So I don't really want
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: Canesius here. The money is still saying Canesius is the
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: right side Quinnipiac eight point favorite of the tickets, fifty
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash. This is a massive ticket
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: versus cash just verrier there, So there's no way that
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: I would recommend laying it with Quinnipiac. I would probably
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: still need to taking the points with Canesius final home game,
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: you know, final game of the season again because you
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: know they're not playing in the conference tournament. So I
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: would probably still take the points with the team that
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: is in that scenario and the revenge scenario. But I'm
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: just saying Quinnipiac does have something to play for though,
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: But probably yeah, because they're a pretty big road favorite,
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: fade in them probably still is the move in that game,
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: but it's not something I want to actually do. CBS
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: at won thirty PM. Number eight Perdue is that Ohio State.
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: Purdue is coming up a pretty big game against Michigan
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: State where they lost the game, and now everybody's kind
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: of trashing Purdue because they have four home losses this year,
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: which I think is the most they've had in probably
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: over a decade. And whatever Purdue team did that the
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: last time was nowhere near as good as this Purdue teams.
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: So it is kind of crazy that Purdue has lost
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: this many games at home, although I think if you
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: look at what they are, they're against really good teams
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: though Iowa State, Illinois, Michigan and Michigan State. I mean,
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: none of those teams are bad in any way. Like
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: those are all gonna be top four seeds in the tournament.
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: So it's like, I don't know, you mentioned that Purdue
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: has four home losses, and yeah, they probably should have
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: gotten at least one win out of those games. So
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: those are legit teams, man, all of them. But Purdue
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: is now coming up that big game against Michigan State.
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: They gotta go out on the road. It was a close,
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: tough game against Michigan State. Ohio State is on the
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: bubble and they're gonna be a home underdog here, So
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: I think you gotta lead to Ohio State in this one.
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: They've lost two games in a row. They're coming off
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: kind of a blowout loss, if you want to call
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: it that at Iowa. It was a decent spot for
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: Iowa there because Ohio State had this big game on
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: deck and they had played Wisconsin and Michigan State the
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: two games prior to that, winning against Wisconsin and then
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: playing Michigan State really close. But Ohio State gonna be
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: a home dog here in the better spot and playing
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: for you know, their tournament lives pretty much. So I
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: would lean to taking the points of Ohio State here.
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: This would really bolster their resume if they were able
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: to get this win. Purdue is up to a six
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: point favorite, seventy tickets, ninety percent of the cash on them.
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: But you know Purdue is going to be the public
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: side here. If the public plays this game, they'll be
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: laying it with Purdue. I would not do that. I
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: would take the points regardless of what that cash dis
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: verity says. Right now. I lean Ohio State in that one.
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: A lot of leans towards home teams in some of these,
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: including this one ESPN two at two pm, Murray State
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: is at Bradley. This will be an interesting one because
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: these two teams are basically this is the second place
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: game in the Missouri Valley here. This is the battle
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: to get the two seed pretty much. Although Illinois Chicago
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: is in the mix, I don't think they can get
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: it because Murray State and Bradley are tied with each
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: other and have the tiebreaker over Uice. So whichever team
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: wins this game will get the number two seed in
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: the Missouri Valley, I believe, because this is the final
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: game for them, so it does also mean that it
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: is the final home game for Bradley, so that's gonna
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: be a big deal as well. Murray State just ended
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: their losely three to the win over a very bad
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: Evansville team in Murray State's final home game, but now
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: they've gotta go on the road play Bradley. They did
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: beat Bradley by twenty points at home, so we might
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: have a bit of a revenge angle here or whatever
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: you want to call it. Bradley might be able to
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: make the adjustments here because Bradley is not that bad,
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: and the fact that they're favored here, I think the
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: public is gonna probably want to take Murray State. Looking
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: at the records here, like, oh, Murray State actually has
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: a slightly better record. You're giving me four and a
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: half points here, and Murray State, everybody kind of knows
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: they're a fast team, they play offense, whatever. If people
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: watch them or look at their final scores, they're kind
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: of an appealing team to play from the public's perspective.
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: But I would not do that here. Bradley did just
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: lose to Illinois Chicago, not a great loss, but now
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: they're back at home. I think it sets up a
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: lot better from them here in this one. The line
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: looks a little bit strange on it. I would lay
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: it with Bradley in this one. I was gonna play
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: it Bradley four four and a half here. Seventy percent
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: of the tickets ninety seven percent of the cash on them,
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: So the money is indicating on Bradley a little bit there,
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: and I agree with that. All right. We have a
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: lot of American action today. It's it's mostly American and
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: a matt act, and a lot of these games are
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: just not that interesting Rider. My mistake. Rider is actually
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: on the road, so Ryder I believe they actually already won. Yeah,
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: they won their final home game against Niagara. They just
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: got blown out by Iona. So they're playing their last
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: two games in upstate New York. I guess is what
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: this is or it's somewhere in New York north of
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: the city, let's just put it that way. Ryder finishes
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: their season here with Seanna. This will be Ryder's last game,
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: so I think they might get up for it, because
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: again they're not playing in the conference tournament. They might
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: get up for this. Sianna might not take them seriously
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: because they beat them already only by nine, but it
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: was at Ryder, so Sianna already beat them on the road.
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: This is Sianna's final home game, though, and Sianna does
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: have something to play for because they are in the
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: mix in the matt Ac playing for one of their
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: one of the seeds here. If they win, they're gonna
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: be guaranteed one of the top four seeds at least.
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: But when that's the case, sometimes you have to lay
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: too many points with a team like that because they
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: know we win, we get a top four seed. You
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: know they're coming up a pretty bad loss, though a
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: fair field that wasn't a great loss for Sianna, so
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: they may very well show up in this one. And
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: it is their final home game, which usually is a boost,
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: but the money is coming in on Rider. Sianna's down
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: to a fifteen and a half point favorite. Do you
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: really want to lay fifteen and a half? I know
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: how bad Rider is, but fifteen and a half with
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: a total of one thirty seven seems like a lot
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: of points to try to cover here, man Like, I
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: don't think Sianna's gonna lose this game, but covering is
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: a totally different story. Eighty two percent of the tickets
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: around them, fifty eight percent of the cash on Rider,
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: I'll agree with the Rider side and that one. I mean,
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: Ryder is not playing again after this, so they have
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: pretty much every reason to just go all out, right
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: Like in a game like that, it's your last game, right, like,
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: everything is on the table. You can take huge risks,
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: you can do ridiculous things. You know, you're not really
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: worried about injuries anymore at that point. You just do
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: whatever you want, you know what I mean. So you
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: get to play super super loose. If you're in Rider's case,
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: there was Sianna you know, has a little bit of
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: something to play for, so that might mean they're playing
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: a little bit more tight butt hole there, you know
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: what I mean, which isn't good when you're trying to
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: cover a huge number like that as a favorite. Kyle,
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out all right? Then of
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: course Merrimac is at Niagara. There is no way that
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: I would lay the points with Merrimac, Like, it's absolutely
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: ridiculous that dude. Like we see, like what happens with
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: these teams right, Like we saw North Dakota State just
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: got absolutely out of the building by Saint Thomas the
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: other day because North Dakota State had nothing to play
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: for because they're already the one seed. Merrimack is already
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: the one seed in this conference. They had nothing to
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: play for it and they lost to Canesius. You see
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: a scenario like this, like why like the odds makers, Well,
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: I guess because they have to split the action. The
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: odds makers have to make them the favorite. I guess
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: because they basically know, like you know, if they make
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: the line really low on Merrimack, they pretty much know
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: they're gonna get lop sided action on Merrimac, but you'd
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: think they would be okay with that because like Merrimack
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: is in a horrible like Merrimack has no motivation here,
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean? Maybe after an ugly loss
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: of Canesius, maybe they'll play for some sense of pride
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: and they maybe kind of this thing like, hey, we
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: don't want to go into the conference tournament on a
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: losing note. I guess you could make that argument, but
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: there's no way that I would lay it with them
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: in this game, even though they're at Niagara bad team.
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: But again, Merrimack, they've already wrapped up the conference one seed,
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: so they don't have anything to play for here, and
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: they did just lose along win streak, And you know
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: I talk about that when a team loses along win streak,
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: sometimes they're hung over into the next game, which I
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: mentioned with Austin p in one of my winners yesterday.
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: So that scenario is kind of going on with Merrimack
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: as well. Here. They have not played Niagara this year.
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: This will be Niagara's last game and it's at home,
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: so they might get up for this. But they did
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: just beat Quinnipiac, so that was a big game for
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: them too. They pulled off the upset, Like do they
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: have it in them to pull off two straight upsets
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: to finish the season. I don't know. But again, Merrimack,
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: they they literally have nothing to play for here, unless
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: you think that they really care about the fact that
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: they lost to Canesius. Merrimack down from eight and a
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: half to eight here. I would take the points with
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: Niagara in that one, but uh, I think fading Merrimack
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: in the Conesius game was probably the preferable of those
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: two games. Like, now that Merrimack has lost that game,
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: I think this game is less appealing, even though it
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: is Niagara's final home game, So I didn't realize that
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: the setup would kind of be like that. But I
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: should have given out Kenesius the other day very close.
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: I talked about it ESPN you at two pm. Saint
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: Peter's and Marist this game gets TV billing because this
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: is like sort of the second place game in the
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: matt Act. Saint Peter's is a one game lead over
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: Maris and Sianna. Maris has the tiebreaker against Sianna, so
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: Saint Peter's they're in a position where if they win
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: this game, they wrap up the two seed in the
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: matt Act. But you know it's not that easy, man.
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: When you know that and that's in your head, Hey,
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: all we got to do is win this game. That's
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: all we have to do. It's almost like you start
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: taking that a little bit, like lightly almost, you know
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: what I mean, Like, all we have to do is win.
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: So I like it when a team needs help rather
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: than controlling their own destiny. Now Saint Peter's just beating Manhattan.
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: That's a whatever win. That was an easy win. They're
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: playing Maris here. Like I said, Maris kind of flies
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: under the radar because they're never a good team, but
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: they are pretty good this year. Saint Peter's already beat
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: them at Saint Peter's by ten. Now they're on the
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: road against them, So I think this game lines up
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: a little bit better. From Marius to me, Maris just
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: beat Sacred Heart by two points, so they're coming off
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: kind of a close call. Man. Maris were seven and
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: a half point favorites in this game and they almost
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: lost the game. So I think they will show up
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: in this one. I think they probably might have been
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: looking they might have been looking ahead already to this game,
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: not taking Sacred Heart seriously, who they already beat on
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: the road. You know, they might have been looking ahead
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: to this game because they knew this game would be
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: a bigger game. So I like that for Marius because
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: they got a bit of a scare. Now they're in
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: revenge mode here. It's their final home game. Saint Peter's
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: is in a position where they control their own destiny.
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: People are gonna look at this. The public's probably gonna
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: want well, I don't know if they're gonna want Saint
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: Peters or not, because they do have the better conference record,
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: so they are above Maris in this standings. Yet they're
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: an underdog here. But they're an underdog for a reason.
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, first of all, Marius is at home. But
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: second of all, I think Saint Peter's is the most
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: overrated team in this conference. If you look at ken
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: Bum's numbers, they're not even inside the top two hundred.
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: They're probably like the fourth best team in this conference
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: behind Merrimack, Sianna, and Marist. I believe, so I would
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: lean to Marison this one, and the money seems like
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: it is agreeing. The number is going up a little
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: bit to three and a half with juice fifty two
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets ninety nine percent of the cash
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: on them. I don't know if that cash percentage is accurate,
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: but the setup is better I think for Marius as well.
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: I would lay it with Marist if I was gonna
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: play it. Northern Iowa and Drake is kind of an
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: interesting scenario. We get the Drake again here. Man, Now,
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: this is an Iowa rivalry game, so there are some
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: conflicting things here. Drake is already locked into the eleven
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: seed in the Missouri Valley Tournament, cannot improve their position,
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: and they cannot fall below their positions, so conference seating wise,
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: they have nothing to play for. But because this is
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: a rival because Northern i was usually the better team
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: in Iowa, and Drake already lost to them by twenty
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: four points on the road, and this is Drake's final
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: home game and Drake has lost eight straight games or
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: something like that, I think Drake will actually still show
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: up in this game even though they can't, you know,
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: change their seating or whatever. You don't want to go
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: into the conference tournament losing nine straight, you know what
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: I mean? And this is a rivalry game and your
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: final home game. So I actually think Drake does have
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: motivation in this game. Northern Iowa is coming off a
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: tough game against Illinois State where they lost very big game. Actually,
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: so I actually like Drake in this game. Northern i
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: was a four point favorite here, seventy two percent ticket,
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: seventy nine percent of the cash. I know Northern Iowa
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: was playing for some seating here. They're trying to yeah,
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: like they're they're jocking for seeding and tournament right now.
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: But they're a very defensive team, man, and asking a
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: team like that to lay points on the road like that,
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: I don't love that idea. And they look like kind
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: of a public side. So yeah, I would take the
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: points with Drake. It might be the one scenario where
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: I lean to a team that doesn't have anything to
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: play for in their conference standards because they have other
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: things that I think they have to play for in
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: this one. All right, I still have two plays. Like
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: I said, they're both TV games, and one is the
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: next one up. Let's do this. We're gonna take Indiana,
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: and this is one where I would say find the
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: best number that you can on this because two and
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: a half is I think it's a little dicey, like
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: I would rather have three three and a half here,
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: which I think is a more appropriate line too. But
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: I love the spot for Indiana here. I would still
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: do it at two and a half, but maybe wait
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: a little bit and see if you can get a
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: better number on this It opened at three and a half,
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: It is two and a half right now. There might
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: be some threes still out there. Sure, seventy two percent
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: of the tickets at sixty seven percent of the cash
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: on Michigan State. I know we're fading Michigan State here,
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: but we're gonna talk about the situational aspects of this
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: game in a second, of course, because you know me,
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: I play on games because of the situation, and this
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: is one of them. Michigan State is gonna be a
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: very public side here. You know, the public's gonna be
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: perusing the board here, and you know their eyes are
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: gonna be attracted to these games like this Purdue and
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: you know Michigan State, Oh my god, the CBS games here.
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: They're gonna look at this game and think it looks
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: so easy to lay two and a half. Basically, it's
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: basically like pick the winner. It looks so easy to
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: play Michigan State here, and that is not what we're doing.
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: Why is that the case, Well, Michigan State just had
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: a huge win at Purdue. Teams don't just go into
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: Purdue and beat them, Man, it's one does not simply
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: enter maci Arene or whatever and beat Purdue, although this
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: year it's happened four times. Like I said, that's a
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: monster win for Michigan State. Man, now they have a
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: second straight road game. They're doing the illin the issues,
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: they're doing the Indiana duo here coming off the huge
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: game of the two. Now I wish they had Michigan
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: on deck because this would be even better. They have
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: Rutgers in between the two. Unfortunately, but Rutgers actually gave
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: Michigan State a scare. So remember Michigan State. They went
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: two Rutgers and Rutgers took them to overtime. So Michigan
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: State might actually be looking at that Rutgers game is
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: bigger than this game because Rutgers gave them problems. Indiana
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: did not. They already played Indiana and they beat them
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: by twenty one. So I don't think they're really gonna
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: take Indiana seriously, here, I think at the very least,
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: they're in a major letdown spot. It's a revenge spot
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: for Indiana and for Indiana, they're coming off a really
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: bad loss at home. They've lost three in a row,
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: but they just lost as a favorite. I think against Northwestern.
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: This is a bad loss for Indiana. They're nine and
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: a half point favorites. So I like playing on team
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: when they lose that home is a big favorite because
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: usually that was like an outlier type of Sinnaria and
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: usually you're gonna get a much better effort out of
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: that team in the next game, and I think we
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: will from Indiana. Plus, now Indiana is a home underdog
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: and Indiana's fighting for their tournament lives here and man,
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: so I know people know that that Indiana is trying to,
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: you know, fight for the bubble or whatever. They're still
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: gonna want to play Michigan State, as everybody knows they're
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: the better team here. But again, getting points with the
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: team that you know you're gonna get an effort out
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: of that's what I like, and that's what we're getting
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: here with Indiana. Yeah, I think the line should be
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: a little bit bigger, but Michigan State is also not
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: really a style of team that you want to lay
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: points with on the road. They're not that great offensively.
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: They're much much better defensively. They're a great defense, and
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: they play slow, so that's not really the you know,
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: conducive to laying points on the road. They're pretty lucky
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: according to Kenbom as well. They're in the top one
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: third of the Lucky Index basically, whereas Indiana is in
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: the essentially in the bottom third of the Luck Index.
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: Indiana is a decent team. They're almost in the top forty.
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: They're all right on both ends. They're a bit more
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: balanced than Michigan State is, even though they're better on
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: offense and defense, and I believe they're actually they're either
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: the better offense or close to the better offense here,
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: although you know me, I like the better defense, which
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: of course we don't have here. But Indiana also, believe
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: it or not, plays slow this year, which I'm used
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: to them being a fast paced team. They're not, so
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: this will probably be a slower game or points or
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: more to premium. Although the total's gone way up, it's
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: gone up nine points almost, which is something you rarely
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: rarely see. But if people are expecting this to be
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: a high scoring game, I actually think that's beneficial to
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: Indiana because Michigan State does not want the tempo to
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: be pushed on them, so maybe Indiana will actually try
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: to speed this thing up. But yes, we're gonna go
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: with Indiana in this one. Get the best number that
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: you can on this. I'm gonna see if there are
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: any better numbers out here right now. I'm still gonna
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: say do it at two and a half. Yeah, I
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: don't know if we're gonna get better than two and
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: a half at this point, man, unfortunately, but we're gonna
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: do it anyway because the spot is is very conducive
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: to it. So that's what we're doing, all right. To
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: finish this off here, we have Fox Sports one, not
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: the greatest Big East matchup here between DePaul and Marquette.
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: De Paul already beat Marquette at home by five points.
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: At de Paul. De Paul is coming off a decent
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: road win against Creighton that I believe was an upset win.
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: So there are some aspects of this that lead me
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: to leaning towards Marquette here. Three road games and four
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: games is also not very easy for uh de Paul here,
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: even though they're staying in the Midwest, at least for
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: these purposes. They're going from Omaha up to Milwaukee, and
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee's not that far away from Chicago, which is where
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: De Paul is. De Paul does have Villanova on deck
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: though on TV. That's a big game. They get to
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: host Villanova, they might have their eyes set on that man,
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: and they lost to Villanova before, so that might be
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: a bigger game for them. So you could make the
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: argument this is a bit of a sandwich spot. It
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: is kind of a revenge spot for Marquette. Marquette just
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: ended a losing streak with a win over Georgetown. I
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: believe it was a road upset, so both teams are
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: coming off of upsets. Here, that was more of a
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: mild upset. At this point, I think Marquette is just
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: not as bad as their record makes them look. Like
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: people are gonna look at this and see Marquette laying
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: four and a half points, and there's no way the
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: public is gonna want Marquette here, Like, why would you
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: lay points with the team with the much worse record,
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: the team that's well below five hundred, Like the line
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: looks like it makes no sense, right, but the oddsmakers
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: are telling you the Marquette is actually better than de Paul,
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: believe it or not. And in a spot like this, Yeah,
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: I think Marquette is the right side in this game.
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: That's the way I would lean. The money is not
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: agreeing with me on that one. Marquette four and a
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: half fifty eight percent of the tickets on them, sixty
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: percent of the catch on De Paul. I do not
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: agree with that. I would lean towards Marquette in that one.
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: Next up, CBS Sports at five pm. This is my
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: final game in the Best Bets for College Basketball. We
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: are going to play Illinois State on the money line
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: against Belmont here. I like how this one sets up
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: as well. Man. Belmont, they have nothing to play for.
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: They've already wrapped up the Missouri Valley. They have a
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: four game lead over the next closest teams. Yeah, Belmont's
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: they already got the one seed, man, so this game
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: doesn't really mean that much to them. It means a
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: lot more to Illinois State because they're jocking for positioning here.
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: They do still have I think a shot at getting
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: one of the top four seeds, which would mean to buy.
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: So I think you're gonna get a bunch of effort
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: out of Illinois State here, man. I think there's a
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: huge motivational disparity in this game. Illinois State is also
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: having their final home game because this conference plays their
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: conference tournament at in Saint louis Are Madness, Man, so
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: it's a neutral location. So Illinois State this will be
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: their final home game, and it's revenge for Illinois State
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: because Belmont already beat them by eleven at Belmont. And
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: what's interesting is if you dig into the box score
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: of this game, it wasn't really what it looked like.
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: Illinois State out rebounded Belmont by nine in this game,
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: and they somehow still lost the game. Why do they
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: lose because Belmont shot fifty eight percent from the field
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: and fifty six percent from three. Illinois State actually had
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: more possessions in the game, which is usually a sign
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: that you should win the game. But they had a
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: horrible shooting game and they only shot thirty eight percent
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: from the field and twenty nine percent from three. So
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: that's why they lost. So I think there's gonna be
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: some regression here. Man. You usually do not see a
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: twenty percent disparity in field goal percentage, almost thirty percent
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: from three point range. That's not gonna happen again. Belmont
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: is good at shooting, there's no doubt about that, but
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: this is a game where they don't have as much
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: motivation and Bellmont is not good on defense, so I
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: highly doubt that you're gonna see that poor of a
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: shooting performance from my Illinois State at this time. Belmont
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: is a much much better offensive team, and they're pretty lucky.
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: According to kemp Bom, even though they are the best
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: Ken Bomb rated team in the Missouri Valley, they're very
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: good on offense, defense leaves something to be desired, they
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: play fast, and they're pretty lucky. Acquording to kem Bum
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: they're almost in the top one hundred in luck. He's
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: got Illinois State cracking the top one hundred. Though not
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: a bad team, and they are the much better defense.
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: They're not that good on offense, but they're much better
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: on defense. So you know me, I like playing the
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: better defense man, especially when you're getting the more motivated team.
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: They also slow the game down, so I think it's
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: easier to slow the game down, easier to control the
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: pace when you're at home. So if Illinois State could
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: slow it down, that could also frustrate Belmont. So I
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, do you really think an unmotivated Belmont
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: team wants to go in here play a slow grinding
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: game like this. I don't think they. Dos State is
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: less lucky as well, so we have the luck disparity
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: in our favor here as well. According to ken Bund,
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: they're in the bottom third of the luck index. Yeah,
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: it sets up pretty nicely, man, from what I could see.
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: And as far as Illinois State, they did just beat
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: Northern Iowa. I know that was a good win for them,
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: but again, this is their final home game. Man, They're
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: gonna leave it all on the floor in this one.
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna give you a huge effort here. Yeah,
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: they're coming off an upset and win over Northern Iowa.
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: But Belmont will be a bit of a reprieve to
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: be honest, because Northern Iowa is an excellent defensive team
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: Belmont is not. So Illinois State's gonna gonna get a
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: little bit of a The Illinois State's the better deep
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: bets here, they're gonna get a reprieve. So instead of
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: a you know, really really physical game like they probably
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: had against Northern Iowa, which I know I don't usually
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: like playing teams off a physical game like that. But
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: Illinois State's gonna be the one that wants to make
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: this game more physical than Belmont wants to. Belmont, I
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: know they want to cover it again, even though they
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: didn't even need the game. They crushed Evansville. Evansville is
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: really bad, though, and Belmont is now going for playing
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: two home games against very weak opponents in Indiana State
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: and Evansville to playing Illinois State. Man last time Belmont
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: played a game against a depfense that was this good. Yeah,
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: they did put up ninety one against Northern Iowa, but
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: that was at home and it was a game where
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: Belmont actually had motivation, whereas here they do not, So
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: I don't really see that happening again. Yeah, I mean
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: they've been able to do it like on the road.
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: I know they were able to beat Illinois State at home,
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: put up good numbers there. They've beaten Northern Iowa on
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: the road put up good numbers and that one too,
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: so I know Belmont is a force offensively. But again,
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: a lot of this comes down to the spot and motivation,
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: and it's all about that Illinois State that plus still
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: the better defense. The money is agreeing with me on this.
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: Illinois State has gone from a one point dog to
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: a Pickham price. Here. I would look at both markets, obviously,
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: when you see a number around this price, find the
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: better price. It might be on a pick them a
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: spread play, or it might be on the money line.
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: Find whatever the best number is. Seventy six percent of
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: tickets are on Belmont because the public are idiots. Seventy
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: four percent of the cash on Illinois State public. I mean,
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: go ahead, man, you can go right, go right ahead
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: and bet a team that does not have a motive,
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: does not have motivation. Go ahead and do that. But yes,
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: we're gonna play Illinois State in that one. CBS Sports
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: does have one night game with Charleston and UNC Wilmington.
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: This is a good game in the Colonial. Un see
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: Wilmington as a one and a half game lead, which
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: I believe means that they've won the conference. Then right,
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: let me see no, actually they have two games left,
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: So here's how it's gonna work out. I think you
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: u and see Wilmington one at Charleston already by twelve,
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: So there is a road revenge angle here for Charleston.
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: But now if UNC Wilmington loses this game and then
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: they lose to Elon, then I think Charleston actually would
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: overtake them for the conference win because I think they
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: would I guess they would have the tiebreaker in that case.
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I don't think UNC Wilmington has wrapped it up.
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: So I think they do still have motivation here. It
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: is still their final home game of the season, so
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: I think you will get a motivated effort out of
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: both teams here. UNC Wilmington staying at home of an
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: easy win over NCA and T Charleston coming into this
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: game of an easy win as well for Hampton. But
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: this is Charleston's last game of the season. Man. But
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: although they will play in the conference tournament of course,
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: in fact, they were one of the teams that could
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: win this conference. This is their fourth road game in
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: five games, though, so I don't love that. That's a
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: lot of travel. So that does help UNC Wilmington, But
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: Graska UNC Wilmington team that plays slow, and you know,
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: I don't really think they I think they do get
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: themselves locked into a lot of ugly low scoring games.
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: The totals in the one forties here, laying four and
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: a half with UNC Wilmington. A spot like this where
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: it is road revenge for Charleston, I think the move
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: is to take the points with Charleston in this game,
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: if you're gonna play the game, Wilmington down from five
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: and a half to four here, eighty nine percent of
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: the tickets eighty six percent of the cash on Wilmington,
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: so they're a very public side with less of the
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: money on them. Public likes the team with the prettier record, man,
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: and that is UNC Wilmington. They only have four losses
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: on the season. I think they played a pretty easy
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: out of conference schedule though, So those are my thoughts
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: on that. All right, let's go to the NHL. We
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: have a few NHL games here. I do have a
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: play on one of them. I think there are six games,
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: starting with Vegas and Pittsburgh on TNT at one pm
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: afternoon action here. Vegas had yesterday off and they lost
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: at Washington in their last game, so you might get
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: a motivation motivated effort out of Vegas here after I
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: thought it was a bad spot for them going to
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: Washington there. I want to be correct, and I think
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: I disagreed with the market on that one. But now
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: I think Vegas could be in bounced back mode here.
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: They are the better team, even though people are gonna
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: look at this and see Pittsburgh as thirty wins and
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: the record looks pretty, but the oddsmakers are telling you
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: who the better team is, and they're lining Vegas as
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: a minus one fifty favorite on the road. So the
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers are obviously telling you Vegas is significantly better than Pittsburgh.
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: Vegas down for minus one sixty to minus one fifty
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: here though, sixty six percent to take a sixty seven
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Vegas though, so the money
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: is on Vegas. Pittsburgh just pulled off a win, yes
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: or excuse you lost yesterday at the Rangers, even though
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: I think they had a two to nothing lead in
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: that game and the Rangers are absolute ass at home.
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh still wound up losing that game. But now they're
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: on a back to back, they're coming back home from that.
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: The rest scenario does favor Vegas here. I would lean
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: to Vegas here as well. Man, it is kind of
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: a weird looking number, like the Public is definitely gonna
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: be a bit misled by that number, and they could
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: probably be tempted to play Pittsburgh as the underdog there.
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards Vegas. Chicago at Utah. This is
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: a difficult game to figure out. Utah is going to
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: be a big favorite here. Chicago is not good. The
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers basically are telling you one of the worst teams
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: in the NHL. They've lost both games coming out of
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: the break. They had to play at Colorado yesterday though,
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: so they're doing the high elevation back to back here.
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: That is not easy to do, man, even though they
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: haven't won, and they should be motivated, but you know,
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: fatigue might set in a little bit here. Although Utah
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: is coming up a monster game against Minnesota and that
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: was the game I gave you guys a winner on
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: that one my return to hockey after the Olympic break.
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: We got a nice easy armchair winner with Utah there.
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: That was a big win over Minnesota. Man, So you
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: could argue Utah is in a letdown spot here, even
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: though they do have one day off whereas Chicago does not.
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: So this is a game that I'm obviously passing on
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: the game. Utah is a public side. Ninety two percent
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash doesn't
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: really mean anything. They're up to a minus three ten
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: favorite here. I mean, if you wanted to take a
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: shot with Chicago on the puck line to try to
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: get them to come within a certain number of goals,
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: I mean, have at it. I guess I'm not gonna
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: be doing it. I don't love the game at all, though,
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: but I would I guess probably lean that way. It's
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: a fairly low total as well, around six, so we'll see.
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: The next game up is the game I actually want.
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: So this is the one best bet in hockey, and
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: we're gonna play the Winnipeg Jets. J Ets Jets Jets
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: Jets minus one twenty on the road. The oddsmakers are
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: gonna look at this and think, I mean, excuse me.
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: The public is gonna look at this and the like,
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: what's going on here? But the odds makers know what
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: they're doing. Man, As I keep telling you, San Jose
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: is not as good as their record looks. But the
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: public is gonna look at this and think I'm getting
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: the better team here. With San Jose as an underdog
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: at home, Like, how could that be the So I
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: think the public is gonna play the Sharks here, and
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: you know, everybody's all excited about you know, celebriny and
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: these young guys San Jose Has. But I'm telling you
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: that is not the move. The Osvigers are telling you
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg is the better team here. And some of that
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: has to do with the fact that they have an
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: elite goalie, Hella Book and he I'm assuming he's gonna
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: play in this game, which I'm gonna talk about in
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: a minute. It does look like he is. I looked
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: at the starting goalies a little while ago, and I
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: believe it will be him. And remember Winnipeg Hellabook missed
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: a large chunk of the season. Man Winnipeg lost a
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: lot of the games they had without him. So that's
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: part of the reason why Winnipeg has such a bad record.
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: Like this, this Winnibeg team has not had that much
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: of a fall off from last year. Okay, even the
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: last year they overperformed. They're not that much worse this
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: year than they were last year. Now Winnipeg is playing
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: a third road game or a third road game in
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: the last whatever. This is five days. I guess I'm
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: not Excuse me, I'm not too concerned by that because
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: they're one and one on the road trip, and I
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: know they played overtime games in the first two, but
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: playing an overtime game against Vancouver basically tells you that
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: you didn't play well. Hellibrook did not play in that game,
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: so he's only played once since the Olympics, and he
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: didn't have a good game against Anaheim. They lost in overtime. Hello,
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: book was good early in that game. Winnipeg had a
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: three to one lead in the game and they wound
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: up blowing it. But I think this is good because
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: that means Hellibook gets that game out of the way,
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. That was the letdown spot
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: I think, if you will, for Hellibook there because he
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: was coming out of that huge performance in the gold
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: medal game. I think it kind of made sense that
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: he was gonna have a little bit of a worse
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: effort there. But I think he bounces back in this one. Man,
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: I think we get a better effort out of him
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: this time. They're staying in the state of California here
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: with one day off, so I don't mind that. But
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: look at the spot for San Jose. San Jose just
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: beat the Oilers yesterday, and unfortunately that did not make
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: my card because you remember that was my second strongest
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: hockey league. Yesterday, san Jose got the win. You remember
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: my reasoning behind that. San Jose had a horrible loss
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: in the game before that to Calgary. So by the way,
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: that means San Jose at home, they could lose to
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: anybody at home, because Calgary is ass Winnipeg is better
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: than Calgary. So I thought it was a good bounce
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: back spot for San Jose. And Edmonton was coming of
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: an eight to one win if you remember over. I
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: believe LA. So both both games that were the you know,
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: flip the script games yesterday, both won unfortunately, and my pick,
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: of course is a loser. And then both these other
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: ones won. I think Calgary after they got that win,
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: I think they lost yesterday, and LA bounced back after
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: they had lost horribly to Edmonton. I think LA did
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: win yesterday, but San Jose huge win over Edmonton yesterday. Man,
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: and now they're on a back to back, so I'm
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: assuming that means Nadalkovich will be back in net year.
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: I don't really care which goalie san Jose is. I
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: think Nadelkovitch might actually be slightly better than Askarov, although
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: Askarov has been playing better a scar off, I don't
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: know he pronounced his name. He's been playing better recently, though,
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: which is why they've kind of made him their primary goalie.
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: But I'm fine with it because Nadelkovic Here's what I
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: like about this. You got hellabook who already he played
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: in the gold medal game, and he played a game
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: already after that in his letdown spot, so that's already
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: out of his system. He's already shed the rust and whatever.
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: He doesn't have rest. But if Nadelkovic is gonna be
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: a net here, he might be rusty as hell. Man.
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: He hasn't played since January thirty first in an actual game,
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: so you might get a really really rusty goaltender situation
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: in this one for San Jose. So I think that's
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: a big problem for San Jose here. Yeah, I like
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg here man for all those reasons. Winnipeg did initially
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: drop for minus one twenty five to minus one fifteen.
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: I don't see anything below minus one twenty, but maybe
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: you'll find a better price. Fifty nine percent of the
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: tickets around San Jose, seventy four percent of the cash
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: on Winnipeg. So the money is indicating on Winnipeg. I
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: agree with it. That will be my hockey play Winnipeg
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: money line. All right. Saint Louis at Minnesota, and I
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: apologize I forgot to wear my mammoth jersey the other
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: day after they won. I was too distracted, but that
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: was yesterday. They won two days ago. But yesterday I
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: could have worn it in honor of their win, but
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: I had to do the college basketball showing. You know,
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: I was up against it. I'm like whatever, I just
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: gotta get these shows out, all right. Saint Louis at Minnesota.
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis coming into this off a three to one
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: loss at home to New Jersey. That was yesterday though,
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: so there aren't a back to back, so somebody keep
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: in mind there. Minnesota is coming up a pretty ugly
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: loss to Utah. They're returning home from a road trip,
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: but it was only a Thursday Friday road trip. They
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: had yesterday off. Now they're back home, but they do
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: have Tampa Bay on deck in a huge TV gain.
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: They got Tampa, Vegas, Colorado all upcoming so you know,
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: it's not exactly the greatest spot from Minnesota. They dropped
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: for minus two fifteen to minus two forty five. I
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: do think Minnesota is a bit of an overrated team.
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: Ninety four percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: cash on them. Probably not accurate, of course, but I
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: struggle with this game. I might lean towards a Saint
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: Louis puck line in that one, but I don't want
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: anything to do with it. And you still might get
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: an effort out of Minnesota, possibly just because they lost
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: pretty badly in Utah. So I don't know. Man a
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: tough game to read. ESPN at six thirty pms Florida
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: at the Islanders, and this caught my eye because look
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: at the line in this game. Florida is minus one
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: forty two even though they're on the road at the Islanders,
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: and the Islanders have the better looking record, So you know,
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: the public is probably gonna look at this and think,
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: oh my god, I'm getting the team with the better
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: record at home as an underdog. It looks kind of
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: easy to play the Islanders in this one, so I
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: would probably not do that. Florida did play yesterday, though,
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: so they're on a back to back, they played at home,
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: or no, they didn't. My mistake. They did not play yesterday,
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: my mistake. They played on I was like, no way,
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: they're traveling from Florida here with no time off. No,
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: they played in Florida on Friday. They lost to Buffalo. Now,
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: Buffalo is a decent team, although Florida was a decent
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: sized favorite in that game. So they did still suffer
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: an upset at home. Maybe it would be good for
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: them just go out on the road focus on hockey here.
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: For the Islanders, they played yesterday unfortunately beating me going
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: into overtime, and they used Saraka and net So that
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: means they're gonna have a rusty goaltender here in this one, man.
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: So that's something you gotta look at. It's not a
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: scenario that comes up often, man, But because of the
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: Olympic break, you might be able to do the same thing.
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: With the All Star break. You can find these situations
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: where a second string goalie is coming in and they're
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: gonna be rusty. In this case, Ridditch I think is
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: likely to play here and he hasn't played since February second.
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: And by the way, they lost that game. They've lost
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: three of his last four games, four of his last
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: five actually, so the Islanders are significantly worse with Ritt
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: and that does have something to do with Like, Florida
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: is such a big favorite here, but the Islanders are
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: coming up two straight overtime games, playing a third game
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: in four days, all in different cities, with both of
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: those other two being in overtime. Yeah, I would lean
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: to Florida in this game. Man, the money seems like
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: it is agreen. They're up to minus one forty four
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: from minus one thirty five, sixty nine percent of the tickets,
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: seventy one percent of the cash. So the public is
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: not staying off of Florida as much as I thought
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: they would be. But I think the actual money is
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: on Florida, and I agree with Florida in that game.
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: Calgary at Anaheim Calgary, Yes, they did take the loss yesterday.
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: Like I said, after they had that win over San Jose.
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: They lost at LA yesterday. They're playing a third game
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: in four days now, all in different cities and a
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: back to back, although they are only going from La
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: to Anaheim here, which is not horrible. Anaheim did just
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: beat Winnipeg like I said in overtime, that was two
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: days ago after beating Edmund, so I thought they could
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: be potentially in a letdown spot. But I also didn't
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: love the idea of jumping on Hello Book of course,
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: in his first game out of the gold medal game.
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: So Anaheim beat him in overtime. Now that this game
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: against Calgary, who they just beat on the road, by
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: the way, on January twenty fifth, It was an overtime game,
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: but Anaheims still might not take them totally seriously when
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: they have to play Colorado and then the Islanders and
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: then the Canadians all in a row after this. Those
• 57:27
  Speaker 1: are all bigger games than this, So I would lean
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: to Calgary in this game. Although I know Anaheim is
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: a good home team. They're out for a minutus one
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: sixty five to minutus one seventy five. I don't really
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: see the percentages on this yet, but it would probably
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: be like a split puck line money line play for
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: me on Calgary if I was gonna do anything with that.
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: I don't do much with totals. Man. I'm a side guy,
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: except except not when I order food. I'm not gonna
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: order just sides when I order food. All right, let's
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: go to the NBA. We got a like twelve NBA
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: games today. I think maybe eleven. ABC has a pretty
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: interesting double header here. The first game up is a
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: pretty good one with the Spurs at the Knicks at
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: one pm Eastern. Spurs. I believe that they might be
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: at first place now in the They're really close record
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: wise to the thunder Man. I don't know which one
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: of the teams has the one seed right now. In
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: the West. Spurs are playing really, really well though they've
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: won eleven games in a row. Now, they're staying in
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: New York. They just beat Brooklyn, and they have time
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: off because they haven't played his Thursday, so they have
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: two days off, which you might argue might hurt their
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: momentum a little bit, but they're just kind of rolling
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: right now. I think they will still momentum. You know,
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get a huge effort out of them here
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: in this game. And I actually think the spot is
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: worse for the Knicks because they were turning over from
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: a road trip. You know what I say about that.
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: It's not a long road trip really, but it was
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: a week long. They only went to Chicago, Cleveland, and Milwaukee,
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: but still a road trip. Have them gone for a
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: week when you come back home, it could be a distraction. Man,
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: you got stuff to do back at home, especially when
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: you have to go right back out on the road,
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: which they do. Have to go to Toronto, by the way,
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: That might be a spot to I although I think
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: Toronto might be returning over a road trip there, so
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: I'd worry about that. But the Knicks are gonna be
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: in a sandwich between the Spurs and the Thunder in
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: that game against Toronto, so that doesn't look great. Weird
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: travel spot there for them. But when you come back
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: home and you don't have that much time to get
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: stuff done at home and you have to go right
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: back out on the road, I don't love that spot.
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: Even though the Knicks, they should theoretically show up for
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: a game against San Antonio, and the Knicks should be
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: a little bit rested because they did have a couple
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: of days off prior to their Milwaukee game, which was
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: kind of a cake walk, a cake millwalk. They crushed
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee in their last game, but I would lean to
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: the Spurs in this one. And interestingly, the oddsmakers are
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: actually telling you the Spurs of the better team because
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: their favorite, although they did they drop from minus one
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: and a half to pick them. Here we see fifty
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: to fifty on the tickets and on the cash right now.
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: But I think I prefer the Spurs in this game.
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: I have not looked at the injury report here. It
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: looks like it's just Miles McBride for the Knicks. He's
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: been out for quite a while. Spurs, it's kind of
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: the same injury report for them too. Plumbly, I think
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: is he out because of the gambling thing? I forget,
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: not injury lit He's been out for a long time anyway, though,
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: So speaking of these duke players, But yeah, those are
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: my thoughts on that side. So I like, I can't
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: have a side chick when I don't have a main chick. Baby,
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: they're all side chicks to me, They're all just chicks.
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: It's it's like the Dixie Chicks. I just dropped the
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: side from the name. I do like side boob, Yes,
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: under Boob. I think I prefer them. I don't know.
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: There's something about under boob where it's kind of like,
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know, It's like the shirt is like an
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: inch away from like the big reveal. You know what
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, the under boob is better, I think, yeah,
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: and then you know full boob obviously. All right, next
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: up is gonna be one of my plays. This is ugly, man.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: I know I'm going right back to what I did before.
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: I'm going to one of the same teams that killed
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: me the other day. But you know, I just did
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: that with the Wizards and they got it done for me.
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: So let's do it with this one. You know where
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: I'm going with this. Yeah, we're doing it, man. We're
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: taking the Brooklyn Nets plus twelve against Cleveland. I think.
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: You know, Brooklyn, say what you want to say. You know, Oh,
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: this team might be tanking whatever, but if you get
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: a home game against one of the top teams in
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: the conference, I think you will have some effort at
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: a game like this. And the spot for Cleveland is
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: so bad I think I have to I have to
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: do it. Man. Cleveland just beat Brooklyn in Cleveland by
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: almost thirty points, so they're not gonna take Brooklyn seriously. Man,
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: that was back on February nineteen. It was the first
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: game out of the All Star Break. They crushed Brooklyn,
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: So I don't think they're gonna pay attention to Brooklyn
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: and look at what Cleveland has done. Man, they just
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: had to play an overtime game against Detroit where they
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: fell short on the road at Detroit. That was a
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: big game where I think Cleveland was an underdog here, Yeah,
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: by eight and a half. So that makes it even
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: crazier because you know, I talk about this, not only
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: was it a big game, but when you're a big
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: underdog and you take a team into overtime like that,
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna be flat more often than not
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: in the next game. So we have that going on here.
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: Even though I guess you could argue, well, Cleveland wants
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: to at least get a win on this road trip, Man,
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: I'm not so sure about that, because they're in a
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: Detroit sandwich. Man. They come back home and they got
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: to play Detroit again on Tuesday. That's gonna be a
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: monster game. And then they have the Celtics after a
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: bunch of days off. Unfortunately for me, I'm pissed about
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: the scheduling. Man, Cleveland has that much rest before they
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: play the Celtics, That is bullshit. But they will play
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: the Celtics on TV on ABC on Sunday, and then
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: they have Philadelphia after that and then a TV game
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: against Orlando. So this is like clearly a flat spot
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: in the schedule for them. And Brooklyn is coming off
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: an embarrassing game against the Celtics. Man, the Celtics, by
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: some metrics, had the best offensive performance in NBA history
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: in that game, based on like some combination of field
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: goal percentage, three point percentage, in offensive rebounds. The Celtics
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: had the best offensive performance in NBA history in that game.
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: And that's why we lost with the Brooklyn Nets. There,
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: is that really what we expected there? I'm gonna say no.
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn has put up over one hundred and ten at
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: least one hundred and ten points in three straight games.
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: So they're coming out and scoring. Man. Even ig it'st
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: a good defensive team like the Celtics, they're scoring. So yeah,
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: I think Brooklyn is still giving you an effort, man.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: And that was a trip to Boston. Now they're back
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: in New York. They've had a day off, both teams
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: have had a day off, but still horrible spot for Cleveland.
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: They're in a Detroit sandwich here. I don't know what
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: sandwiches they eat in Detroit, but somebody could probably inform
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: me there's probably something I like Detroit pizza. I don't
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: know about the or excuse they're in a Cleveland sandwich.
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: What am I saying? No, Cleveland is in a Detroit sandwich. Yes,
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 1: Cleveland is in a Detroit sandwich. Cleveland has seventy eight
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, eighty one percent of the cash on them.
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: They're up from eleven to twelve here. They're gonna be
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: a public side. This is an afternoon game whatever. Yeah,
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: we're taking the nets there. Man, we're fading the public
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: and doing that as well. That's true. I have a
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: well they're not breaking down my door, well some of
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: them are, but I also have a harem, and these
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: chicks are trying to get into it. Bucks at Bulls
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: here in Milwaukee, at Chicago, I don't have a whole
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: lot to say about this. When the Bucks just took
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: a bad loss to the Knicks, maybe they'll show up
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: after really bad loss like that. The Bucks were actually trying.
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: Prior to that, they had won five of six. So
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: the Bucks are actually giving you effort here even without Yiannis,
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: and maybe they will give you an effort here where
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: Chicago they don't look good. They screwed me the other day. Uh,
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: taking another loss. Chicago's lost a lot of games in
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: a row, eleven games in a row. I don't know
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: if that's gonna change. They did just lose to Portland
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: in a somewhat closer game. They almost covered for me.
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: They got Oklahoma City on deck. I don't know, man,
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: this is a tough game to figure out. I don't
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: want anything to do with it. The money is coming
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: into the Bulls again. I think tanking is you know,
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: just an overused term though you know what I mean again,
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: the tanking comes from more an organizational level, and it
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: could be like the coach benching everybody and whatever. Bucks
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: are down for three and after three here, so they
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: are actually a road favorite here. Fifty tickets, ninety one
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Bulls. Money is coming
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: into the Bulls. You know, I have nothing to really
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: say about it. The Bulls do have a bunch of
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: injuries though Simon's is still out, Smith is still out,
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: very very injured Bowl team here, which is why probably
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: why the Bucks are favorite like that without Giannis. But yeah,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, the money is saying the Bulls. I don't
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: want to do it. Donovan Mitchell, by the way, is
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: still out for Cleveland. I forgot to mention that, So
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: no change there as far as you know, like is
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: there like an injured player theory spot or anything like
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: that here. Mitchell has already missed a game or two,
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: so he's out for Cleveland hard and is questionable. But
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: I'm expecting that he will play, although at this point
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: if he doesn't, then you'll get line value on the
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: nets at least because the line will drop towards game time. Mean,
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: that did happen the last time I faded Cleveland? You remember,
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: I gave you guys the bucks and the line dropped
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: from nine to two and a half, and luckily they
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: covered every number. That was because Mitchell, you know, was
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: ruled out and I think he hasn't played us since
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: the game prior to that, and I think hardened. They
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: wound up deciding to rest hard and in that game too.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: All right. Minnesota at Denver. This is the other ABC game,
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: the afternoon doubleheader. This is at three thirty PM. This
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: is an interesting game. Minnesota just had kind of an
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: ugly looking win where neither team scored one hundred points.
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: They won at LA, but I like that when a
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: team wins and they don't look good in doing so,
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: I think they get undervalued in the next game. You
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: know what I mean, because the public is not gonna
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: be impressed. Oh, you won a ninety four to eighty
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: eight game. What is this the nineties? You know? But
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: I like that when a team doesn't look good in
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: a win, their momentum continues, and I think they're gonna
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: be undervalued. They're going into Denver here. I know it's
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: an elevation game, but they've had a couple of days off.
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: I don't think that will disrupt their momentum that much.
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: And I do not like the spot for Denver. Denver
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: after beating Boston again unfortunately, they went to Oklahoma City
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: on Friday and they took Oka See to overtime in
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: SGA's return, and I told you reversed injured player spot.
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: I thought Oklahoma City was gonna have to adjust a
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: little bit, get used to SGA being back, and Denver
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: could have won that game outright. Oklahoma City came close
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: to covering and overtime Denver's still covered. But that was
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: a monster game for Denver. Dude, Now I know this
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: is a big game as well against Minnesota, but Denver's
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: coming off the much higher effort games here, so I
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: would have to lean towards Minnesota and this one. The
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: Nuggets are getting the money and I do not agree
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: with that. This game almost made my card. I like
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: the Wolves sixty tickets, eighty three percent of the cash
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: on the Nuggets. They're up to a three point favorite.
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: I don't really see much going on with the injury report.
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: I saw that Randall was a game time decision. I
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: think he's gonna play, though. I mean it's a huge game,
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: a TV game. If he can get out there, he'll
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: get out there for Denver. I think Murray will play here.
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know if he played in the last game
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: or not, but basically Aaron Gordon is still out for them,
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: and then you know they do have some injuries piling
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: up on the Nuggets side. But the Nuggets, they're also
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: not that good at home. There's sixteen to eleven at home,
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: which is fine, but not as good as you would
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: think with that elevation edge. Minnies SODA's pretty good on
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: the road. Seventeen to twelve. NBA teams are usually not
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: far above five hundred on the road. But Minnesota has
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: been a pretty good road team, So yeah, I like
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: Minnesota in that one man. Memphis at Indiana, Memphis coming
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: up beating Dallas, So Memphis actually has showed something finally
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: getting a win there. This Memphis team, you know, after
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: they unloaded a bunch of guys at the trade deadline,
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: they shut down some of their injured players. You know,
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: Morant is a chemistry issue or whatever. They've been playing
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: with all backups basically, but they finally did get the
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: win over Dallas. Now they're going to Indiana, though, and
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: they might catch Indiana in kind of a foul mood
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: because Indiana's coming out of a really bad loss to Charlotte.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: Indiana's gotten blown out in a couple of games. They've
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: given up over one hundred and thirty points in four
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: straight games. At some point, I think you got to
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: play for something, man, And Indiana is staying at home
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: and they haven't played since Thursday. Maybe that can help
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: break that losing momentum there. I think I lean to
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: the Pacers in this game. The money is saying the Grizzlies.
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna be hard to gauge, like which
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: team is gonna be more motivated here, you know what
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: I mean. It's they play out the stretch. Pacers flip
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: from a two point dog to a one point favorite. Here,
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: seventy percent of the tickets are on them, though in
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: eighty one percent of the cash on the Grizzlies. So
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: the margarite is saying the Grizzlies. But I don't really
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: agree with that, all right, Portland at Atlanta. Portland did
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: just lose at Charlotte. Charlotte they've been hot, man, I
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: didn't really think Charlotte should be that big of a
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: favorite that they covered anyway, Portland. That was yesterday too.
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: So Portland's on a back to back. They're playing a
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: fourth game in six days, actually a fifth game in
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: eight days, all in different cities, which is not easy
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: to do. They had one home game in the mix.
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: They're very, very bizarre. So the travel spot for Portland
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: is very weird, a rare fifth and seven with or
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: no fifth and eight, excuse me, it's a fifth and eight,
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: but with all different cities, you know, that's kind of
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: a cult. Whereas for Atlanta, they're just staying at home,
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: coming off easy wins over Washington. The situational setup is
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: a lot better for Atlanta here, man, other than the
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: fact that you think they might get a little bit
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: rusty because they haven't played since Thursday. But having two
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: days off, I don't think it's that big of a deal.
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: It's not an extended break. So I would have to
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: lean to the Hawks in this one. They're down from
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: six to five here, sixty four percent of tickets, eighty
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash on them. Yeah, I would
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: lay it if I was gonna play it in that game.
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: Next game up will be my other play. I told
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: you we have two sandwiches, and I accidentally gave it
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: away that we're gonna play the Orlando Magic here plus
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: five and a half or I guess it might be
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: five at a lot of spots. But hopefully there's not
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: much of a difference there between those two numbers. I
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: see four and a halfs showing up as well. Get
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: the best number that you can on this, obviously, I
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: think try to get at least five. I think you
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: probably can. But we got Detroit in the other end
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: of that, Sam much man, we're fading Detroit. I know
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: how difficult that looks, but dude, Detroit, they might start
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: coasting at some point man, even though they're playing for
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: seeding against you know, the Celtics and the Knicks, still
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: trying to maintain the one seed. But they got a
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: pretty big lead over all those teams. They got an
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: eight and a half game lead over Cleveland. Now in
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: the Central Division, and I think Detroit is probably at
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: least I would say, four games ahead of the Knicks,
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: and the Celtics don't. I don't know exactly where they are,
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: but Detroit. They got some nice padding here, man, And
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: Detroit's coming up that huge win over Cleveland. And not
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: only that, but it's actually worse because look at Detroit's
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: lead up to this game. Detroit had to play San
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: Antonio on Monday, then they played Oklahoma City in the
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: middle of the week and beat them, and then they
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: played Cleveland and yeah, both those games, all those games
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: were at home, but huge games, all three of them.
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: And they beat Cleveland in overtime. Now they're going on
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: the road, and I know, I'll say a lot of
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: times when you start a road trip, you will be focused,
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: try to get the road trip off on the right foot.
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: I don't think that's the case here, And man, I
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: think this is a sandwich spot and then look who
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: they have up next after that? Oh yeah, they have
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: Cleveland again. So they're in a Cleveland sandwich, which I
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: guess is you know, some big, you know, Dagwood sandwich
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: or something. Maybe that's more of a Columbus thing, I
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: don't know, but a big sandwich piled high with Deli meat.
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know. It's it's more of a New York
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: thing too. The Cats is Delhi. But whatever you want
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: to call this, this is a Cleveland sandwich. I don't
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: know they're really gonna pay that much attention to a
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: fairly struggling Magic team here and after Cleveland, by the way,
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: after they play Cleveland again, they got to play San
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: Antonio in revenge right after that. So this is clearly
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: like a down spot in the schedule. This is a
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: mega sandwich for Orlando. I think they're in a positive
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: spot because they just lost to Houston. I know that
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: was a tough game. It was a close game, but
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: they've been off now since Thursday. And look at the
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: situational spot though Orlando return home from a road trip.
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: They were on the road for a week going out
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: to the Pacific coast, and you know how difficult I
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: always talking about those road trip returns are so even
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: though yeah, they did get up for the game against Houston,
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: it was a big game, they still fell short. And
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: a lot of times I talk about it when a
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: team returns home from a road trip, they get distracted
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: because they have to get stuff done whatever. But if
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: they don't do that well in the first game, although yeah,
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: they did do pretty well, but even so, a lot
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: of times they'll be able to get the stuff done
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: after the game or whatever, they'll refocus and they'll give
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: you a much better game in the next game. I
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: think that's what we're gonna get here. I like the
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: magic here. Hopefully they give us us some magic in
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: this game. Franz Wagner is still out unfortunately for Orlando,
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: but I think Suggs has been back for a little
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: bit now, so not a whole lot going on with
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: the injury report here, although we still have that one
• 1:14:41
  Speaker 1: suspension on the Detroit side. Suggs did play in the
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: Houston game. He only played thirteen minutes, but I like
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: that because he had been injured and he returned and
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: they kind of eased him back into the game. So
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: I like that too. So this won't be a reverse
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: injured player spot. I like that when they kind of
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: ease the guy back in and then you can kind
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: of more like slowly readjust to your roles or whatever.
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: So I expect a much better game from Suggs this
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: time as well, in more minutes from him. He only
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: played thirteen minutes and had one field goal make, so
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: I think he'll be a much bigger part of this game.
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be on the Magic. Sixty three percent of
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: the tickets are on the Pistons, sixty two percent of
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: the cash the honor Orlando, and the number drop from
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: six to five and a half here, but the money
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: is saying the magic. I'm agreeing with it. We will
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: be on the Magic. My Boston Celtics get the primetime
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: night game on NBC and Peacock against the Philadelphia seventy
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: six Ers. The Sixers are coming off of win over Miami.
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: They haven't played his Thursday, so they do have rest
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: coming into this, and you know they should be focused.
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: Although you're dealing with, you know, a Philly team that
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: has Paul George suspended. We don't know if Embiid is
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: gonna play because we never know. The Celtics they're staying
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: at home of a nice easy win over Brooklyn. But
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: the problem with the Celtics is that nobody's you know,
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: nobody's gonna put in that big of a performance every
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: single time, you know what I mean. Like that was
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: his store effort from the Celtics, shooting like sixty percent
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: from the field, sixty five percent from three. There's gonna
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: be some regression there. Now. Am I saying the Celtics
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: are gonna lose this game outright? Not necessarily, I mean,
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: it's it's possible. I guess hopefully that's not the case.
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: I hope they win this game, but I never want
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: to play on a team that's coming out of a
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: ridiculous offensive effort like this. By the way, shout out
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: to Vouchvich, who played a really good game in that one.
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: Nice twenty and ten performance from him in that game.
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: Decent pickup for the Celtics, although with a move that
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: they made like that, they're basically trying to win right
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: now because Vucevich is not young man. But a good
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: game from him in that one, man, So I like that.
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: Celtics are a nine and a half point favorite here,
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: up from eight and a half, but they have sixty
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the tickets on them fifty four percent
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: of the hash on the Sixers. I agree with the
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: Sixers side, and that one I would take the points unfortunately,
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: but I just hope the Celtics win Man Oklahoma City
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: at Dallas. Oklahoma City, big overtime win against Denver. Now
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: that was SGA's return, and you know, I talk about
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: when a team has, you know, their star player returning
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: for the first time, a lot of times they don't
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: do as well, and then that second game that he's back,
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: they'll do a lot better. So they are in that situation,
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: and they did almost lose as a home favorite, a
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: big home favorite, So we do have that going for
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City. A lot of times when you have a
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: game like a close game is a big favorite, a
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: lot of times you will refocus. But I could see
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: them being in a letdown spot because that was a
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: big win over over Denver. Man. Now they're going to
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: play this Dallas team that really isn't that great and Dallas,
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: you know, you know, they're easy to overlook, I should say,
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: but Dallas, they're not as bad as maybe you think
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: I would say, because in that long losing streak, they had,
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: they lost to all good teams. But I guess maybe
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: I could be wrong because now they've lost to two
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: really bad teams in Sacramento and Memphis. So Dallas basically
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: just lost to two teams of backups. But you know,
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: this is the NBA, and weird shit happens. Dallas staying
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: at home off a two really really hideous losses. It
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: looks like maybe flag miss those games. Is flag out?
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: Let me say he is. He's out until March third,
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: So flag is out. So that's somebody something to flag,
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: something to keep in mind. So yeah, that's part of
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: the reason why Dallas has been losing is they're without flag.
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: But they will be today too. But the thunder link
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: fifteen and a half here, man, I would probably take
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: the points with Dallas here. I mean, again, weird shit
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: does happen. I think the spot is better for Dallas.
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: Sixty eight percent of tickets around Oklahoma City sixty one
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Dallas, so there is a
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 1: ticket versus cash disparity there, So I actually want to
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: do it. No, but that is the way that I
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: would lean there. Orleans at the Clippers. New Orleans has
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: won four games in a row Man. This New Orleans
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: team probably not as bad as people think they are.
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know what's going Is Zion hurt. I don't
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: know what's going on as Zion Man. No, I guess
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: he's not. He's just not factoring into the box scrore hole. Well,
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: maybe he got injured in this last game. I don't know.
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: I'll look at the injury report in a second. But
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: New Orleans coming to this game on a nice wind stream.
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: Four straight games that they're coming out of elevation now
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: or they beat Utah twice, including yesterday, so they're playing
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: a third game in four days, two of them in
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: Utah now playing the Clippers, and they do have the
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: Lakers on deck. Teams might still overlook a Clippers a
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: bit because they have a bad record. They've lost three
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: games in a row. They are staying at home, but
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: they are coming up of a bigger game against Minnesota.
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: But they had a lot of rest prior to that game,
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: so they're a pretty rested team with a lot less
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: travel here. So there were some advantages to the Clippers here.
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: They're up to a nine point favorite fifty per tickets
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: on the Clippers, with fifty of the cash on the Pelicans.
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: So the money is saying Pelicans here. I guess if
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: you're going with the angle that the Clippers are coming
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: up a big game where they fell just short against Minnesota,
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 1: I guess I could see that argument, but that's not
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: a game I'm gonna be interested in. Yes, I do
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: know the flag fan base. I mean, yeah, you. I
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: don't know if you could say it or not. YouTube
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: might send YouTube might not censor that because it's a
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: it's a misspelling of the word dirty sock. What's up?
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out all right? Final game is Sacramento
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: at the Lakers. We know Sacramento. They're you know, they're
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: playing with all backups here, though they do have Russell
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: Westbrook playing, which is kind of hilarious that they have
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: him towards the end of his career. They're actually playing
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: okay though they've won two of the last three, which
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: isn't that bad. Coming into this game. They've had some
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: time off. I haven't played since Thursday. They do have
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: to travel to the Pacific Coast for this. They're catching
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: The Lakers off a nice win against Golden State, although
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: it was without Curry for Golden State. The Lakers are
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: turning over from a two game road trip, which isn't
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: that big of a deal. But I don't know how
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: much effort they're really going to put in against a
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: Sacramento team. It's still very overlookable. You could argue the
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: Lakers are in kind of a letdown spot of a
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: golden state. They only play New Orleans next. That's not
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: a big deal, not a game I want anything to
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: do with. The Lakers are getting the money. It looks
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: like they're up to a twelve and a half point
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: favorite from eleven and a half seventy four percent of
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: tickets ninety four the cash on the Lakers. They're getting
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: the money, but I don't know. I maybe slightly lean
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: towards fading them and taking the points. This Lakers defense
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: is still not good, man, So I don't know, though
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: they are offensively capable of beating any team, pretty much,
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: beating any team by this margin, though, especially a really
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: bad team like the Kings, a team that has you know,
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: their best players are not coming back this season. So
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. Man. That's my breakdown for today
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: on once again the plays today college basketball. We're gonna
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: take the points with Indiana I was hoping we could
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: find the three three and a half coming back there,
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: but we might not find it. Illinois State on the
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: money line or to pick them, whichever gives you the
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: better price. Hockey. We got Winnipeg on the money line,
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: and then NBA we're playing too sandwich spots. We're playing
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: the nets again plus the points, and we're playing the
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: magic plus the points. That's gonna do it, man. Let's
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: have a winning day today as always. That's that is
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: the goal. Let's get it done. Thanks everybody for hanging out.
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: Learn to toad on Twitter. You get subscribe to me
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: there if you want to throw me some support that way,
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: that's appreciated. You get a group chat with me, although
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  Speaker 1: it's not that active right now because we only have
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: a few people in it. Jeffrey is in it, but
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: shout out to Jeffrey dude. I hope he's all right.
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: And I don't know where he's at right now. Haven't
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: seen him in a while in the chat. Maybe after
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: football season he might become disinterested. I don't know. He
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: seems like NBA though in NHA and college basketball in NHL,
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. Anyway, Yeah, I'll learn a tone
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: on Instagram as well. You get my short betting videos there.
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: Like subscribe to the channel here of course, boost this thing, man.
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• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: hundred but a thousand and keep ramping this thing up
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: and have it snowball. Let's go, baby. I'm trying some
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: things out with a new title here. Let's see if
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: that attracts the eyes. You can go listen on audio
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: as well. That helps me out on Spotify and Apple.
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: Give me good reviews over there. Covered in Yuke is
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: my yuke channel on YouTube. I did do a Neil
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: Sedaka tribute which I haven't put up on the YouTube yet,
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: so that'll be up at some point. Maybe I'll try
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: to get it up there today on YouTube, but check
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: that out, like, subscribe to that channel over there too,
• 1:23:50
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• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: learn your tone and you can throw me support that way.
• 1:23:56
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• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: a Yuke spot five feet on there, a Yuke podcast
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: and you can request stuff from me and Loser Cast
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: will be back on Tuesday with a new episode. You
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: can check out as well. The comedy podcast That's Gonna
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: Do it. I appreciate it, Thanks everybody, and I'll be back, yeah, tomorrow.
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know when I'm gonna do the show tomorrow
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: because they do have to go to the bank to
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: have some financial discussions decide what I'm gonna do here.
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna I'm gonna tell them I'm becoming a professional
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: vetter and they're gonna be like, yeah, something like that.
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: All right, that's gonna do it. Peace for now, guys,