Latest / The Financial Exchange Show / Low taxes and high tariffs, why won't this strategy work?
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- 1:04presented by Veterans Development Corporation. This is the Financial Exchange
- 1:08with Chuck Zutta and Paul Lane.
- 1:12Speaker 2: Chuck, Paul Tucker with you here on a boring Wednesday,
- 1:16markets remain stuck in neutral. Look, it's it's been just
- 1:20a really boring week so far. And if you try
- 1:26to hype up every week like it's the greatest thing ever,
- 1:29then look, people are just gonna be like, okay, like
- 1:32you're the boy cried wolf. So the last couple of days,
- 1:35the SMP has floated up maybe a quarter percent each day.
- 1:38Not really a ton of movement today, and it's because,
- 1:41quite honestly, we're not really getting any meaningful economic data
- 1:45at the moment. Earning season is done at the moment,
- 1:49and so absent anything that is a huge surprise to markets,
- 1:54there's just nothing to really move markets that much. I mean,
- 1:57you look at what came out this morning. Hey, we
- 2:00you know mortgage application data. Okay, great, we get that
- 2:03every Wednesday, and it, you know, is shown kind of
- 2:06the same trends that we've seen, which are higher refinances,
- 2:08but still a sluggish purchase index that isn't moving a ton.
- 2:14We also got some new home sales data that came
- 2:16in basically in line with expectations, not really making any
- 2:20waves there. So again, how are markets going to react?
- 2:23They're pretty much not going to and this is kind
- 2:26of the status quo until kind of tomorrow, but really Friday,
- 2:32when Friday, we're gonna be getting PCE inflation data as
- 2:35well as personal income and spending. Tomorrow we get some
- 2:38GDP data, but it's the second revision, the third reading
- 2:42of second quarter GDP, so it's not really anything that
- 2:46we haven't seen before. So Friday you get a little
- 2:50bit of news. But this is all kind of setting
- 2:52up for next week, which I do think has the
- 2:54potential to be one of those fun market moving weeks
- 2:57because next week, you look at what we have on HAP.
- 3:01Monday we got Chicago PMI and Dallas FED Manufacturing Index,
- 3:04Powell's also speaking Monday afternoon, Tuesday, ISM Manufacturing and JOLTS report,
- 3:10the Job Openings Report, Wednesday, ADP Employment Thursday, ISM Services
- 3:15and Weekly Jobless Claims Friday jobs reports. So you get
- 3:20this build up through the entire week there and after
- 3:23that you're right into earning season the week after. So
- 3:26this is kind of the calm before the potential storm.
- 3:30I mean again, I don't think anyone has a great
- 3:34conclusive read on exactly where this economy is going other
- 3:38than it's been slowing down. It's continuing to slow down.
- 3:42But in the last month or so, we've started to
- 3:44see a few green shoots that indicate parts of it
- 3:47might be bottoming. Those parts, you know, when I look
- 3:51at the areas that you know, we've seen a little
- 3:53bit of improvement, housing starts, in building permits starting to
- 3:57show some signs of life. You've got retail sales that
- 3:59are still cooking on a pretty good rate at this point.
- 4:02On the other hand, the labor market kind of starting
- 4:07to look crappy, quite honestly, like it kind of starting
- 4:09to look not great. And so there are some different,
- 4:12you know, crosswinds that we're seeing in this economy. And
- 4:16the question is, hey, are those slow down ones going
- 4:19to win out over the one suggesting that we're bottoming.
- 4:22And the next couple months of data is going to
- 4:25give us the answer there as far as where things go.
- 4:28Speaker 3: Yeah, I was trying to look for, you know, any
- 4:30piece of data to really hone in on this week
- 4:32that is noteworthy, But the overall sentiment is the labor
- 4:37market is the most important focus for us, and really
- 4:40we won't get further information on that until next week.
- 4:44Other than that, you're just kind of parsing through individual
- 4:47stories on companies and things like that. And then there's
- 4:50obviously a lot of economic policy claims from politicians that
- 4:55are being sort of circulated around at the moment.
- 4:58Speaker 2: What's being circulated these days?
- 5:00Speaker 3: Should we segue into yes?
- 5:02Speaker 2: I thought that'd be great.
- 5:03Speaker 3: We've got Trump and Kamala Harris both on the campaign trail,
- 5:08coming out each day with different economic policies, and we'll
- 5:11start here with Trump's one. This is I believe he
- 5:14spoke yesterday in Georgia and Savannah, Georgia, where he was
- 5:20rebranding a new American industrialism, and in this particular speech
- 5:25he mentioned that for companies that are to manufacture in
- 5:29the US, he intends to lower the corporate tax rate
- 5:32for those companies from twenty one percent to fifteen percent.
- 5:36Trump had made headlines because he had gone after John
- 5:39Deere for shifting some of the production of one of
- 5:43their vehicles from Iowa to a facility in Mexico and
- 5:48claiming that he would institute two hundred percent tariffs on them.
- 5:53You know, in order to combat or for this effort.
- 5:57We've talked about this before, Chuck and I was trying
- 5:59to do and digging in this yesterday. There is a
- 6:02huge amount of focus from President Trump to try and
- 6:05bring back manufacturing jobs the United States and investment foreign
- 6:09investment into the United States for manufacturing. And you and
- 6:12I have spoken about this concept on the show before.
- 6:14Is this something that we necessarily want, you know, this
- 6:17idea that just by lowering corporate taxes and potentially assessing
- 6:22some tariffs, that America is going to turn into this
- 6:26manufacturing dominant country. And some of the numbers I parsed
- 6:29through yesterday is we actually do manufacture some things really
- 6:33well and actually rate pretty high in certain areas. But
- 6:36this idea that this is going to bring thousands, hundreds
- 6:39of thousands of jobs here, I'm just not sure if
- 6:42that's the case or the best approach to go at
- 6:43it from an economic standpoint.
- 6:45Speaker 2: Yeah, Look, there are things that you want to make
- 6:50in America because in the event of any kind of
- 6:53conflict or supply chain disruptions, as you saw back in
- 6:57twenty twenty, you want to have domestic supplies of those things. Medicines,
- 7:03medical devices, semiconductors, you know, steal things along those lines.
- 7:10There's stuff that you want to have domestic supplies of.
- 7:15There are other things that you sit there and you say, look,
- 7:17if this gets made overseas, whether it is you know,
- 7:22in China, Europe or wherever, I don't care where it's
- 7:26made because it's not a national security issue and it's
- 7:29not a it's not even a quality of life issue.
- 7:32I use the example of tickle me elmos. Do I
- 7:36care at all where tickle meelmos are made? No, because
- 7:39if I can't get enough tickle me almos, I'll find
- 7:42something else for the kid to play with. Like, it's
- 7:45just not a big problem. There are other things that
- 7:48are probably middle ground where you say, look, I might
- 7:51not want this to be made in China because of
- 7:55you know, concerns about what you know different, you know,
- 7:59potential for espionage and things like that. So we're gonna
- 8:03cover a story later today about cars. Do I want
- 8:06you know, the US to have you know, import to
- 8:09be importing you know, cars or you know, transportation equipment
- 8:13from China? Probably not, But do I need it to
- 8:18be made here as opposed to in Mexico or you
- 8:22know a country that does not have similar that I
- 8:25do not have similar concerns about espionage with no So
- 8:28like that's kind of the middle ground, which is, hey,
- 8:30I don't need it here, but I probably don't want
- 8:33it made in China or you know, Iran or places
- 8:37like that. Iran is obviously kind of a like, we
- 8:40don't import anything from Iran's But so there's kind of
- 8:44this this mosaic and this patchwork that you build where
- 8:46you say, look, there are the things that we need
- 8:49to make here, at least in bare minimum quantities, that
- 8:53have to be here, and that we need to incentivize
- 8:55even if it's a bad thing economically for us to do.
- 8:58So that's fine. There's then that middle ground, which is, hey,
- 9:04it'd be nice to make these things here. Probably don't
- 9:06want the maid in China or in a couple other countries.
- 9:08But other than that, it's fine if they're made somewhere else,
- 9:11because if we can get them more cheaply from there,
- 9:14that's perfectly fine, and it helps to keep the cost
- 9:16of living you know, where it needs to be. And
- 9:19there are other things where you say, look, do I
- 9:23care where my water bottle is made? No, Like, make
- 9:26the thing wherever the heck you want as long as
- 9:28it you know, passes the basic you know, requirements of
- 9:32whatever it is for that like, yeah, don't make the
- 9:34water bottle out of letter whatever it is. But okay, fine.
- 9:39I think that when we look at the idea of
- 9:41hey we need to you know, make everything here, well,
- 9:46what's the cost of doing so? Because the reason why
- 9:48companies moved production overseas is not because, like the the
- 9:54CEOs of major companies didn't get together over the last
- 9:57two decades three decades and say, hey, let's move production
- 10:01to Asia because we want to give you know, all
- 10:04of the American jobs to people in Asia. No, it's
- 10:07not really what they did. They looked at it and
- 10:09they said, hey, we can improve or maintain our margins
- 10:13by moving this production overseas, and so it's cheaper for
- 10:16us to produce, cheaper for our customers to buy. And
- 10:20that's why they did it. Well, if you're gonna move
- 10:23that production back, what happens to that cost? It's not
- 10:26a costless shift. And that's the thing. If you really
- 10:32want to pay, how much does it tickle me Almo cost?
- 10:36Tucker tickle me Elmo cost. Let's see, it looks like
- 10:41if you buy one on Amazon right now, it's going
- 10:45for twelve ninety nine. Actually, no, I got another one that.
- 10:49Speaker 4: I'm seeing one that's fifty bucks.
- 10:51Speaker 2: Fifty bucks, fifty bucks for a tickle Meelmo. What's the
- 10:54one I have here? Oh, this is just a this
- 10:56is not a tickle Mielmo. This is just an Almo.
- 10:58Almo's thirteen dollars to get the tickling one. It's it's
- 11:01forty to fifty. Do you want to start paying seventy
- 11:07five eighty dollars for your tickle Malmos? Probably not? So
- 11:12why do you want to make that here? And I'm
- 11:15not saying that like we're saying, hey, let's build everything.
- 11:18But this is why you don't want to build everything here,
- 11:20because you don't need that to be built here. So
- 11:25I think as we go through these conversations, it's a
- 11:28question of, Hey, how do we prioritize the things that
- 11:31we want to really build here in the United States
- 11:36because we don't need to build everything here. If we
- 11:39can get other places to manufacture at a cheaper price,
- 11:45that allows us to buy at those cheaper prices and
- 11:49not see significant inflation from trying to bring that production
- 11:53back domestically.
- 11:54Speaker 3: Yeah, and that's why I think the targeted tariffs approach
- 11:56are a better recourse than looking at broad sweeping measures
- 12:01where you're assessing a tariff on all imports from Mexico
- 12:04or all imports from another country.
- 12:07Speaker 2: I'm even fine with the all imports from China thing,
- 12:09given the abuses that they That's.
- 12:11Speaker 3: Why I did not mention China there.
- 12:13Speaker 5: I would have a.
- 12:13Speaker 2: Huge problem with what the with what the first Trump
- 12:17administration did back in twenty seventeen through twenty twenty. I
- 12:20don't think there's any problem there in terms of looking
- 12:22at that and saying, yeah, if you want to, you know,
- 12:24address the China trade imbalance through tariffs, you know, widespread
- 12:29tariffs on China, I think there's a very reasonable case
- 12:33to be made that that was the right thing to
- 12:35do there.
- 12:37Speaker 3: Yeah, I just worry about the retaliatory efforts, not specifically
- 12:40of China. I'm on the same page with you there,
- 12:41but of other countries to implement these high tariff strategies.
- 12:46It just reeks of potential concerns for inflation to reignite
- 12:50with some of these policies. And again, this is part
- 12:52of the campaign trail, so we have to take a
- 12:54lot of these with a many grains of salt because
- 12:57you're trying to buy votes. But ultimately it does really
- 13:02lead to a lingering concern regarding inflation, which hopefully we've
- 13:05resolved at this point over a year half to two
- 13:09year battle with it.
- 13:10Speaker 2: Just take a quick break here. When we come back,
- 13:12we'll talk a little bit about China and their latest
- 13:14efforts to try to stimulate the Chinese economy.
- 13:17Speaker 1: Right after this, the latest news on inflation, the FED,
- 13:20the economy, and how the markets are reacting. Every morning
- 13:24right here on the Financial Exchange Radio Network. Miss any
- 13:28of the show, catch up at your convenience by visiting
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- 13:38This is your home for the latest business and financial
- 13:41news in New England and around the country. This is
- 13:44the Financial Exchange Radio Network. All right.
- 13:54Speaker 2: The People's Bank of China announced a rate cuts earlier
- 13:59this week. They're cutting the and again the Chinese monetary
- 14:03system is a little bit different from the US one,
- 14:06so when you hear about the stuff that they're doing,
- 14:08it's not exactly analogous to what the Federal Reserve does
- 14:13in the United States. A quote here from Bloomberg. The
- 14:16People's Bank of China cut the rate of the medium
- 14:18term lending facility to two percent from two point three percent,
- 14:22according to a statement on Wednesday. This is the biggest
- 14:25cut that the bank has made since twenty sixteen. It's
- 14:30part of the package that they announced yesterday. They also
- 14:36lowered the reserve ratio for banks, meaning that banks don't
- 14:39need to hold as much cash back when making loans.
- 14:42They can basically use more a larger percentage of deposits
- 14:46to lend out money. Also, seven day reverse repurchase notes.
- 14:52The People's Bank of China has cut the rate on
- 14:56those instruments by twenty basis points is expected to cut
- 14:59their interest rate those by twenty basis points to one
- 15:02and a half percent soon as well. And other things
- 15:07that they did they are planning on not planning on.
- 15:12They announced the ability for basically Chinese citizens to be
- 15:17able to borrow direct from the People's Bank of China
- 15:20in order to buy Chinese stocks, which is part of
- 15:22the reason that the Chinese stock markets surged yesterday. It's like, hey,
- 15:25we'll lend you money to buy equities. Gee, that sounds great,
- 15:30and so ultimately the question on this is going to be, look,
- 15:35is any of this enough to actually boost the Chinese economy,
- 15:40And the answer is it probably provides a boost from
- 15:44where it was going otherwise. But you still have an
- 15:47economy that's dependent on two things real estate development. Real
- 15:52estate development which China has tried to curtail in the
- 15:54past few years, and many Chinese citizens are feeling burned
- 15:57on because hey, it's a major source of investment for
- 16:03the Chinese population, and when it's performed the way it
- 16:06has the last several years, they get skittish to invest again, rightly.
- 16:09So second piece is foreign direct investment. How much money
- 16:13is flowing into China to build new factories and you know,
- 16:16things like that to produce exports. And a number of
- 16:20companies are looking at the Chinese market right now and saying, hey,
- 16:23we're feeling a little bit burned by what's happened here.
- 16:25As well. We covered stories in the last couple of
- 16:27weeks about how automakers are rethinking their investment in China
- 16:32because of this growth of the Chinese domestic ev industry
- 16:36that is now pricing out a lot of foreign competition,
- 16:40and so hey, you've got that happening. You've got companies
- 16:43like Apple saying we want to make more of our
- 16:45stuff in India and not you know, directing that investment
- 16:48back to China. It's unclear to me how this ultimately
- 16:52changes the trajectory of the Chinese economy, which can best
- 16:56be described as bad right now.
- 16:59Speaker 3: Not to mention, you have just geopolitical tensions in place
- 17:02where companies are hesitant to get stuck in, you know,
- 17:06mired in any type of crosshairs that when you're dealing
- 17:09with the Chinese government. Micron and others have been the
- 17:12target of retaliatory efforts where you can be operating your
- 17:15business one day and then shut down or in a
- 17:19very difficult spot the following day. So there's the uncertainty
- 17:23which leads to lessing of the foreign direct investment like
- 17:26you mentioned. And then on the real estate side of things,
- 17:29Barclays has estimated that approximately eighteen trillion dollars of household
- 17:33wealth has been wiped out since twenty twenty one, which
- 17:36is equivalent to about sixty k per family. We're talking
- 17:39about these yesterday, where the property market's in a really
- 17:42difficult spot. A lot of middle class families in China
- 17:45rather than using the markets. Their big investment oftentimes is
- 17:49is a rental property of some sort. And you have
- 17:51this significant backlog we covered over the years many of
- 17:55the property developers who went belly up over there, and
- 17:58you have a backlog of unfinished homes where they were
- 18:00taking deposits for these units that are far behind on
- 18:04the completion front. So it just doesn't really seem like
- 18:07any of these measures directly will impact clearing out those
- 18:11concerns just because you lower barring costs. To me is
- 18:16it's a step in the right direction, But to your point,
- 18:18it's probably the first of many steps that will need
- 18:21to occur before you get this thing trending in the
- 18:23right direction.
- 18:24Speaker 2: I also have a great stat This is from last week,
- 18:27so it's a little bit out of date now, but
- 18:28this is from the head of Equities and Markets at
- 18:33Wisdom Tree. And if you go back to the start
- 18:38of nineteen ninety four, so almost thirty years, and if
- 18:41you look at the MSCI China US Dollar Total Return Index,
- 18:45so basically, what do you get if you invest in
- 18:47the China Index denominated in dollars as a US citizen.
- 18:51Pretty much the total return including dividends and everything there
- 18:58is negative eleven percent over the thirty year period. Wow,
- 19:02negative eleven percent.
- 19:05Speaker 3: With a country that was growing on a GDP basis
- 19:08double digits during a lot of that timeframe.
- 19:10Speaker 2: Most of that bad performance is since twenty sixteen, twenty seventeen,
- 19:15and specifically you look at that and it's several years
- 19:18after g came to power and has basically run the
- 19:20economy into the ground in China as he has tightened
- 19:25his grip on the country. Not great, Bob, not great,
- 19:29not great. G Let's take a quick break here when
- 19:32we come back. We're joined by Todd Lutsky for Ask
- 19:34Todd after Wall Street.
- 19:35Speaker 1: Watch, Like us on Facebook and follow us on Twitter
- 19:44at TFE show. Breaking business news is always first right
- 19:48here on the Financial Exchange Radio Network. Time now for
- 19:53Wall Street. Watch a complete look at what's moving markets
- 19:57so far today right here on the Financial Exchange Radio Network.
- 20:01Speaker 4: Well after another positive day and fresh record highs for
- 20:04the Dow and SMP five hundred, markets today are pretty
- 20:07quiet in mixed territory as Wall Street readies for jobless
- 20:10claims tomorrow and more on the inflation front when the
- 20:13core PC index is unveiled on Friday morning. Right now,
- 20:17the Dow is down by about a third of a percent,
- 20:19SMP five hundred is completely flat, and the Nasdaq is
- 20:23up by over a quarter of a percent. Russell two
- 20:26thousand is down by a third of a percent, Tenure
- 20:28Treasure reeled up by three basis points at three point
- 20:31seven to seven percent, and crude oil down about one
- 20:34and a half percent, treating at seventy dollars and fifty
- 20:37two cents a barrel. Breaking news this morning where Google
- 20:40filed an antitrust complaint with the European Commission accusing Microsoft
- 20:45of using unfair licensing contracts to stifle competition in the
- 20:49multi billion dollar cloud computing industry. Google alleges that Microsoft
- 20:54uses unfair licensing terms to lock in clients and exert
- 20:57control over the cloud market. Both of those stock today
- 21:00are flat. Meanwhile, Bloomberg reported that German software developer SAP
- 21:04is being investigated by the US Justice Department over potential
- 21:09price fixing. That stock is down by two percent. Elsewhere,
- 21:13KB Home shares down by four and a half percent
- 21:16if the home builder posted weaker than expected fiscal third
- 21:19quarter earnings. Where it's your over year housing gross margin
- 21:23also fell. Both Generalmoters and Ford received downgrades from Morgan
- 21:27Stanley citing China competition and a weakening US consumer. Those
- 21:31stocks down anywhere between four and five percent, and Micron
- 21:35Technology will post their earnings after today's closing bell. I'm
- 21:40Tucker Silva and that's Wall Street Watch.
- 21:43Speaker 1: This is Asked Todd on the Financial Exchange Radio Network.
- 21:47If you have an existing estate plan or in the
- 21:49market for one, Todd Letsky is here to answer your
- 21:51questions and help you plan for later life. Ask Todd
- 21:54is presented by Cushing and Dolan, serving Massachusetts and New
- 21:58England for more than thirty five years, helping families with
- 22:01a state and tax planning, Medicaid planning, and probate law.
- 22:04Visit Cushingdolan dot com. Now here's Todd Lutsky.
- 22:09Speaker 2: As promised, We're now joined by Todd Lutsky from the
- 22:12law firm of Cushing and Dole and the segment is
- 22:14Asked Todd, and it's your chance to speak with Todd
- 22:18Lutsky live on air about your estate planning questions. Phone
- 22:22lines are open at eight eight, eight to zero five
- 22:24two two six three. We got plenty of room on
- 22:27him right now, but they do fill up. In the
- 22:28last couple weeks, we've not gotten through all of the calls,
- 22:31so get call on early to make sure you get
- 22:34in line and we can get to you again. That
- 22:36number is eight eight eight to zero five two two
- 22:40sixty three. That is the number to call to speak
- 22:42to Todd Lutsky about your estate planning questions. Again. It's eight
- 22:46eight eight to zero five two two six three, and
- 22:51we'll get to your questions in just a little bit
- 22:53one more time. Eight eight eight to zero five two
- 22:57two six ' three. Mister Lutsky, how are you doing today?
- 23:01Speaker 5: I am doing fine. I'm afraid to ask you though.
- 23:03Speaker 2: I'm good. Did you see there was big news yesterday?
- 23:06Speaker 5: No, what happened?
- 23:07Speaker 2: I'm kind of a dinosaur geek. Oh you are archaeologist.
- 23:10They just found a fossilized dinosaur fart. Well, no, I
- 23:16didn't realize that. They called it a blast from the past.
- 23:20Just very exciting news, Todd. I want to talk a
- 23:23little bit about emergency nursing home situations. Let's say that
- 23:28someone is in a case where they didn't necessarily do
- 23:33any planning and now they have a long term care
- 23:37situation that is imminent. Yeah, is there a scenario in
- 23:43which it still makes sense to do updated estate planning documents,
- 23:47including trusts, as you are heading into a long term
- 23:51care situation.
- 23:52Speaker 5: So generally not the normal estate planning trust that you
- 23:56would think about. Right, that's probably too late for that,
- 23:59because because like the Medicaid irrevocable trust that we were referencing,
- 24:03the guide and things like that, you need, there's a
- 24:06five year waiting rule that many of us have learned
- 24:08about in the past, and so it's hard to overcome that.
- 24:11But there is, and it is somewhat breaking news the
- 24:15pooled trust, which by the way, was around for my
- 24:19whole career as practicing in the elder law world, and
- 24:24then in I believe March of twenty twenty four, it
- 24:29went away by legislation or it went Yeah, they took
- 24:32it away as an option. So just earlier this year,
- 24:36earlier this year and then lo and behold. Effective now
- 24:40I think it's effective December of this year. Pool trusts
- 24:44are back by legislation. They actually decided to pass a
- 24:48law and not allow these regulations to apply anymore, and
- 24:50they went at the legislative level here in Massachusetts, they've
- 24:54brought back pool trust and that would be the kind
- 24:57of trust that you're referring to here, Chuck, I believe, So.
- 25:00Speaker 2: What is a pool trust?
- 25:02Speaker 5: A pool trust is one that we actually don't even prepare.
- 25:05But when you're applying for medicaid in this scenario you mentioned,
- 25:09that's when these would come up. So like a financial
- 25:11institution would prepare this pool trust, and then there's this
- 25:16charity pool called Plan of Massachusetts and Rhode Island. They're
- 25:20the charity, they serve as trustee, and then this money
- 25:24gets put into this trust along with other people's money,
- 25:27and it gets invested and managed for who for the
- 25:30person who put it in, and that money can be
- 25:33used for their benefit. But the key is that by
- 25:37transferring it into this pooled trust, there's no five year
- 25:41waiting period. So again last minute, as you mentioned, you're
- 25:43going into the nursing home, this is when you would
- 25:46use this and then there's no five year waiting period
- 25:49to put it in. The catch is that there's a
- 25:53payback provision. So when you pass away, if you've been
- 25:56in the nursing home for less than two years, then
- 25:59you need to not only give ten percent to charity
- 26:03Plan of Massachusetts and Rhode Island and repay the state
- 26:07for your care that you receive benefits that you received
- 26:11again at a Medicaid rate way better, and then the
- 26:13balance can go to the family. Or if you've been
- 26:16in there for two years or longer, then you got
- 26:18to give twenty percent to charity, pay back the state
- 26:22balance to the family. Still, it's a wonderful way of
- 26:26getting on Medicaid last minute and leveraging private pay against
- 26:30the Medicaid rate, and everybody wins, from the nursing home
- 26:34to the state, to the family to the applicant.
- 26:37Speaker 2: Talking with Todd Alutski from the law firm of Cushing
- 26:39and Dolan. If you have a question to ask Todd
- 26:42about your estate plan, still room on the phone lines
- 26:45at eight eight eight to zero five two two six three.
- 26:49That number again is eight eight eight to zero five
- 26:53two two sixty three. We're gonna take a quick break here,
- 26:56but when we come back, it's going to be right
- 26:59to your question uestions with Todd Lotsky. So again, still
- 27:02some room on the phone lines at eight eight eight
- 27:04to zero five two two sixty three. When we come back,
- 27:08right to your questions with Todd. That number one last
- 27:10time is eight eight eight to zero five two two
- 27:14sixty three.
- 27:16Speaker 1: Ask Todd with Todd Letsky every Wednesday at ten thirty
- 27:19only here on the Financial Exchange Radio Network. Todd Letsky
- 27:25answers your questions about a state and elder life planning
- 27:28every Wednesday at ten thirty, right here on the Financial
- 27:31Exchange Radio Network.
- 27:37Speaker 2: Still room for one more call for Toddlotsky at eight
- 27:41eight eight to zero five two two six three. Let's
- 27:46go now to our first caller, though, Mark in Boston. Mark,
- 27:49what is your question for Todd?
- 27:53Speaker 6: Hey, how you doing? Thanks for taking the call. Quick question.
- 27:57I just set up a a will and and a trust,
- 28:02a revocable trust. And I've got my home. I own
- 28:08my home and it's in an LLC. I've got some
- 28:10life insurance stock stuff. But everybody, everything, the beneficiary of
- 28:14everything is the the revocable trust. Now, what do I
- 28:19have to do to protect this and all my stuff? Againstal,
- 28:23I'm going to drop that in a sookable trust.
- 28:28Speaker 5: Yeah, let me. And interestingly enough and for everybody listening,
- 28:31it just sounds a little like Mark, You're you're kind
- 28:33of all over the place, so let me. You said
- 28:35a lot of things that mean a lot of things
- 28:37to me legally. So let me ask you a couple
- 28:38of clarifying questions. One and the one that's most disconcerting
- 28:42to me is that you said your home, your primary residence,
- 28:46is in a limited liability company. Is that correct?
- 28:49Speaker 6: Yes, it's a it's a multi family home.
- 28:52Speaker 5: Put it.
- 28:53Speaker 6: Uh.
- 28:55Speaker 5: I can understand why you did it partly, But the
- 28:58thing you need to really remember, and I generally don't
- 29:01do this, is even though it's a two family or
- 29:04a multi family home. You know, I get that you're
- 29:07renting it and you want to protect it, but when
- 29:09you put it in an LLC, you immediately lose any
- 29:12of the capital gains exclusion that you would get if
- 29:15you were to sell it. So if it's a two
- 29:17family home, fifty percent of the gain would be you know,
- 29:20if you're married, fifty percent of the gain would be
- 29:23allowed or available to shelter up to five hundred thousand
- 29:27dollars of that gain from taxes. You lose that immediately
- 29:31by putting it into an LLC, because now you're telling
- 29:34the government that it's not my home anymore. It's now
- 29:37a commercial residential property. So that's something we might want
- 29:40to fix on. Obviously, I get the protection side of it,
- 29:43but you might want to have a lot of umbrella
- 29:46coverage on insurance. Umbrella insurance could maybe help with that.
- 29:49Then the other piece would be it sounds like everything
- 29:53else is centered around your revocable trust. So depending on
- 29:57how much you're worth, right, not everybody needs to do
- 30:00irrevocable trust. I mean, if you're self insured for the
- 30:03nursing home, then you probably don't need to worry. But
- 30:05depending on the size of your estate and your age
- 30:08like sixty and over, sort of what I think about
- 30:10in my head when I mentioned this to clients. But
- 30:14if you're in that category and you want to protect
- 30:16assets from the nursing home, then we would completely get
- 30:20rid of what you have and you would start fresh
- 30:23with an irrevocable or if you're married and you're worth
- 30:26more than two million dollars, then two irrevocable medicaid trusts,
- 30:32and we would take your house and put it in
- 30:34that new trust. You know, whether it stays in the
- 30:37LLC or not, we would have to discuss. I don't
- 30:39love the idea, but you know, we certainly can do it,
- 30:42and along with some of your investment portfolios, not IRA accounts,
- 30:46not retirement accounts, and we would put those non retirement
- 30:50accounts and some of your real estate into these irrevocable trusts.
- 30:54And that's the way to go to provide the protection
- 30:57from the nursing home while continuing to get the benefits
- 31:02of avoiding probate and eliminating or sheltering or reducing your
- 31:06estate tax both at the federal and the state level.
- 31:10So and of course providing for your family. So it
- 31:12does everything the revocable trust does that you have, but
- 31:15it adds nursing home protection planning. So that's probably the
- 31:19way to go for you, Mark, and you can figure
- 31:22out how best to do that, reach out to an
- 31:25estate planning attorney and then they can help get your
- 31:28your ducks in a row. That said, Mark made us
- 31:33touch on two of the top seven estate planning trusts.
- 31:36Mark mentioned the revocable, I came back with the irrevocable.
- 31:40Those are two of the top seven estate planning trusts
- 31:43mentioned in this guide this month. And there's others from
- 31:46irrevocable life insurance trusts to sole benefit trust to special
- 31:51needs trusts. But we think the top seven, not only
- 31:54from a tax perspective, does it explain it It explains
- 31:57that how it operates. And most importantly, if you've never
- 32:01done your planning, get this learn which trust might be
- 32:04right for you before you go in to see the
- 32:07estate planning attorney. And if you've already done your planning,
- 32:10like Mark, maybe get this and learn how shifting from
- 32:13a revocable to an irrevocable might be right for you.
- 32:17Eight six six eight four eight five six nine nine
- 32:22or Legal Exchange Show dot com again eight six six
- 32:25eight four eight five six nine nine or Legal Exchange
- 32:29Show dot com.
- 32:30Speaker 2: Todd, We've got another one q'ed up for you here.
- 32:32Let's go to Mike on the Cape. Mike, what is
- 32:35your question for Todd Lunsky?
- 32:38Speaker 7: Wellsky, I'm a seventy eight year old and my wife
- 32:42is sixty nine. We have property and we have a
- 32:47few hundred thousand dollars in the bank, but my wife
- 32:49refuses to get a trust or will. I don't know
- 32:54what to do about it. I've tried for a couple
- 32:56of years now, and I'm not getting any younger, so
- 32:58I'm not sure what to do. If you've got an
- 33:00answers for me, I would appreciate it.
- 33:03Speaker 5: Yeah, So that is a that is a complicated situation, right,
- 33:06because when clients come in, and I've I've had a
- 33:09few of these, not many, but you know, when clients
- 33:13come in, I always say I want both clients. You know,
- 33:16Sometimes like a husband or a wife will come in
- 33:20and they'll say, oh, you know, my my spouse is
- 33:22not interested in this. She'll just do or he'll just
- 33:25do whatever whatever we decide to do, or you know,
- 33:28and if that's the case, I always tell me, you
- 33:30know what, I really want to have the meeting with
- 33:33both people here. Why because it's not about numbers, it's
- 33:37not about taxes, it's not about probate. While it is
- 33:41about those things, it's really about the family behind the
- 33:43estate plan, and I need to understand what their wishes
- 33:46are and who they want to be, and not only
- 33:49who they want to be fiduciaries, but also to understand
- 33:52how a trust works when one person passes away, because
- 33:56the other one might be the survivor and they need
- 33:59to know how it works. So I generally want both there.
- 34:02Now that said, in your case, you sometimes get people
- 34:05who just don't want to participate. That doesn't mean that
- 34:08you can't do an estate plan for yourself. As long
- 34:12as we know we're only representing one party. We can
- 34:16do that. You can come in and you can set
- 34:19up a trust or a will. Again, you probably need
- 34:22more than just a will, and at least deal with
- 34:24the assets that you have access to or your half
- 34:28or you know, and get some of the stuff in
- 34:31the trust. And remember we're not going to disinherit your spouse,
- 34:35but to the extent possible, you can provide for your
- 34:38spouse through your own estate plan. So I'm going to
- 34:43say you could probably do a state planning for at
- 34:46least some of the assets and try to take care
- 34:49of you, your family, and your spouse, even though your
- 34:53spouse isn't technically participating in that plan. So that that
- 34:57might be a way to look at that.
- 34:59Speaker 2: Todd early we had talked a little bit about the
- 35:02idea of hey, do you update your estate plan if
- 35:06you have an imminent long term care situation? I think
- 35:10we covered that decently well. But yeah, as far as
- 35:13what else you can consider if you have an imminent
- 35:16long term care situation? What what are other options that
- 35:18might be on the table for people depending on the
- 35:20situation they find themselves in.
- 35:23Speaker 5: So if we're if we're looking at this is last minute. Again, yes,
- 35:27So if you're looking at last minute, the pool trust
- 35:30ideas is really the way to go when you're older
- 35:32and annuities don't work short of that, if you're if
- 35:36you're married, and this is an important part of the
- 35:38pool trust, if you're married, you likely will never do
- 35:43the pool trust. Why because if you're married, you're likely
- 35:46going to have that one spouse at home. And if
- 35:50that spouse is at home, now we have options because
- 35:54that spouse can have all the excess resources. So if
- 35:58you're faced with nursing home planning and you have a
- 36:01spouse at home, you can take all the excess money
- 36:05over one hundred and forty eight thousand in change for
- 36:09the healthy spouse and two thousand for the six spouse.
- 36:12So the first one hundred and fifty thousand dollars of
- 36:16assets you can reach in, take out and give to
- 36:19the healthy spouse. The excess regardless of how much it
- 36:24is is allowed to come over to that spouse, we
- 36:28wouldn't need the pooled trust. We instead would buy a
- 36:31medicaid annuity for the healthy spouse, converts those assets into
- 36:37an income stream for the spouse, thereby taking what once
- 36:42was a countable asset and making it non countable by
- 36:48converting it into a stream of payments, a stream of
- 36:52income that they get, and that technique would allow the
- 36:57six spouse to become eligible for medicaid right away. So
- 37:01that's when you use a pool trust and when you
- 37:03would not use one.
- 37:05Speaker 2: Mister Lutsky, thank you so much for joining us today.
- 37:07Speaker 5: Always pleasure, Thank you.
- 37:09Speaker 1: This has been Aske Todd on the Financial Exchange Radio network.
- 37:13Ask Todd with Todd Lutsky has been presented by Cushing
- 37:16and Dolan, serving Massachusetts and New England for more than
- 37:18thirty years, helping families with the state and tax planning,
- 37:21Medicaid planning, and probate law. Call eight hundred three nine
- 37:24three four thousand and one or visit Cushingdolan dot com.
- 37:28The views expressed in this segment are solely those of
- 37:30Cushing and Dolan. Armstrong Advisory does not provide any legal
- 37:32or tax advice. Please consult with your illegal or tax
- 37:35advisor on such matters. Cushing and Armstrong do not endorse
- 37:37each other and are not affiliated