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Iran War?; Ukraine; Taiwan; Trade; Mamdani; Pentagon & Anthropic; MAGA/AI; Dugin | Yaron Brook Show · Yaron Brook Show

• 0:02
  Speaker 1: A lot of them, fundamental principals, he Weedom, Natal cell
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• 0:19
  Speaker 1: Oh right, everybody walk up there on book show on
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: this Thursday, February nineteenth. Hope everybody has had and is
• 0:28
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• 0:32
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  Speaker 2: At the usual time, usual time.
• 1:19
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: One Iran.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: The United States continues to mass troops, well really air
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: assets primarily and navy assets in the Middle East in
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: preparation for an attack on on Iran. President Trump supposedly
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: has given them a ten day ultimatum to.
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: Agree to his terms or else.
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: So though we know that these kind of ultimatums are
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: fairly meaningless overall, it's given the amount of movement into
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: the Middle East, I wouldn't be surprised if there was
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: attack earlier than ten days. And many sources are claiming
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: again rumors are flying because fog of war and everything,
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: then an attack is imminent and could be this weekend.
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: I doubt this weekend. The uss Ford is just now
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: entering the Mediterranean.
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: It would need to get.
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: Close to the shores of Israel in the Eastern Mediterranean
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: to play any kind of role in whatever the US
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: military is planning. And if it stays in the Eastern Mediterranean,
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: it would be primarily playing a defensive role that is
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: helping to knock down missiles sent towards Israel. It's hard
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: to believe that you would move the largest and most
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: technologically advanced aircraft carrier in the world really to just
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: play to the Middle East just to play defensive role.
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: If it's going to play in an offensive role.
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: It would have to go through the Swiss Canal down
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: into the Arabian Sea and closer to where the United
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: States has its other aircraft carrier that would take another
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: ten days probably from today, So we're not looking at
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: this weekend. We're looking next weekend, and over all that's
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: probably the timetable that you know, given the us IS
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: Ford is heading in that direction.
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: If you're not for the.
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: Us IS afford, if the AirCare carroll was not in play,
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: then I'd say yeah, any day now, but it certainly
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: looks like it.
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: The Ranians are preparing for war. The Ranians are.
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: It's pretty amazing how much time Trump is giving them
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: to get prepared. Preparations here are Cruso. They've learned a
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: lot in the Twelve day war with Israel. They are
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: dramatically reinforcing all of their nuclear sites. They've learned what
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: the bunker busting bomb can and cannot do, how deep
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: it can go, what kind of damage.
• 3:59
  Speaker 2: You could create.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: And it really does appear that they are trying to
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: protect whatever nuclear assets they still have in significant ways
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: all over Iran, particularly in the tunnels in the mountains.
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: It weren't even bombed during the Twelve Day War and
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: might be where some of their most advanced nuclear assets
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: are held, but really really hard to hit and hard
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: to penetrate. But you know, we're giving them time to
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: organize and do all this stuff and get prepared. Some
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: stories are saying that they have shifted their command locations,
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: They've dispersed them because last time what happened was all
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: the generals got together in one place and bombed them
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: and killed them all in one go. They're not going
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: to do that again, but they've dispersed them. Supposedly, a
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: lot of the commanding control centers are now being placed
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: in hospitals, under the assumption that neither the United States
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: nor is Well will bomb a hospital. They learned this
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: from Ramas and uh so they're likely again likely to
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: get that organized and get that going and establish command
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: and control facilities.
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: Through hospitals that will protect them.
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: They're deploying more and more troops and missiles to the
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: Homo Straits. The number one strategic advantage Iran has is
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: their potential capacity to close the straits. We're getting them,
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: giving them time to get themselves organized.
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: And fortified and ready for that.
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: Today as we speak, well it's already over. They're running
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: drills which include a Russian a Russian ship, a Russian destroyer.
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: I guess that is in the Homo straits.
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: They've closed off a big portion of it and they're
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: running drills together with a Russian boat. I think they
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: might also be Chinese boat there and others. So I'm
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: sure the US will wait until the Russians and the
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: Chinese leave before they attack anything. But almost straight where
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: a big chunk of the globes oil supply goes through
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: is something that the Uranians could do a lot to block,
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: and that is there probably the only really strategic play.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: They have no other way to defend themselves. They're running
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: drills for their defense systems. I don't think that'll help them.
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: I don't think there's any hope there. But we're giving
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: them a lot of time and whatever they're doing, they're preparing,
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: and maybe the most importantly, they're rounding up and they're
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: rounding up opposition figures.
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: They're running any of anybody that might.
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: They fear, they think might use an opportunity of a
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: US attack to start an attempted revolution, bring people into
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: the streets. So they are attacking the infrastructure of the opposition.
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: They're going after people who might be in leadership positions
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: within the opposition. They're trying to do whatever they can
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: to stop any kind of internal insurgents.
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: Against the regime.
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: Since the beginning of the protest, Iran has arrested more
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: than fifty three thousand people, and of course we don't
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: know exactly how many they killed, anywhere between seven thousand
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: is the most conservative to thirty something thousand, which is
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: some Uranian sources are claiming. So it's hard to say.
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: But you know, even as I said the other day,
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: even just the last few days, there have been large
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: demonstrations in cities around around Iran against the regime with
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: clear chance of getting rid of the Ayatula bet Iran
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: is going to again. We're giving them time, plenty of
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: time to to get rid of those, to get rid
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: of what they would consider trouble makers. Right now, the
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: betting odds are, according to poly market, that there is
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: a sixty four percent chance that let's see street protest
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: erupt again. So the odds on poly market on usir
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: strikes before March thirty first, sorry, before March thirty first,
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: sixty four percent. Sixty four percent chance of US strikes
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: before March thirty first, I think those are pretty good odds.
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: I think that's about right.
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: End of March is five weeks from now, five and
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: a half weeks from now. I think that's about right.
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: That's about the right, the right odds. Maybe I would
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: put them a little higher, I mean, put them at
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: seventy percent.
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: But it does look like the US is serious.
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is the largest deployment of American military
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: forces in the Middle East since the war with Iraq,
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: So this is this is massive. You're even seeing special
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: forces assets, CIA assets, intelligence planes, what do you call
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: the command and control airplanes. It really does seem according
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: to Israeli sources, at least, the war is inevitable. According
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: to some in Israel, just to quote one of their experts,
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: you don't deploy so many forces just to leave them
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: sitting at basis for weeks. I don't know. You also
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: are not Donald trumpson, who knows what he will do,
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: what he plans to do. According to Axias, they're the
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: evidences US war with Iran is imminent. Israel is preparing
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: for scenario of war within days. It's expected include weeks long,
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: full fledged war. Unlike the Vinatula Operation joint Jewish Israeli campaign,
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: which is much broader in scope that the Twelve Day
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: war in June, YUS Amada now consists of two aircraft carrier,
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: well not yet, right, that's part of the issue. That's
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: why I don't think it's imminent. Two aircraft carriers, twelve warships,
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: hundreds of fighter jets, and multiple air defense systems. More
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: than one hundred and fifty US cargo flights have moved weapons,
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: systems and ammunition into the Middle East. Another fifty fighter
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: jets just in the last twenty four hours, thirty five
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: F twenty two ISS and F sixteen's have moved into
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: the region. And of course the oil markets are saying
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: war is imminent, with all prices spiking, spiking over the
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: last over the.
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: Last few days.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: Let's just see what's sport ol right now is yeah,
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: sixty six dollars, so sixty six forty seven, sixty six.
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: And a half for crude oil.
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: That's high, as you know, relative to what it was
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: you know a month ago, which was sixty and it's
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: been as low as fifty five. So it definitely looks
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: like all markets are preparing for some kind of shock
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: to the supply of oil. I think if all it
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: does break out, you would see crude oil at above
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: seventy easily, maybe even eighty again because of the danger
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: of the blockage.
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: To the Straits of Homos.
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: I'm sure, I'm sure much of US prep, of US
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: military prep is how to neutralize whatever assets the Ranians
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: have to block. Iran has a lot of cruise missiles,
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: a lot of just just just artillery could block the
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: straits along the shore there, and I'm sure the first
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: wave is basically their viscerate whatever weapons systems they have
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: right there close to the close to the shore. It
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: could also be that Ion is told if you do that,
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: we take out your oil field, we take out your refineries,
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: we take out If you remember from the Twelve Day War,
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: I told you there's one basically like floating. It's on
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: an island just off the coast, one place where all
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: the ships load Uranian oil for export. So you take
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: out that and the oil industry and I wan to
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: shut down because they cannot export any oil. You would
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: think that at the very least they would be told,
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: if you close the straits and Foremos, you will not
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: export one drop of oil. Your oil industry is over
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: for the foreseeable future. I expect that's the threat. But
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: how that plays out exactly, and what is actually done.
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: You know again, we will have to see. According to
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: the Times, this is the British newspaper, The Times, the
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: UK is blocking the US from using Diego Garcia, which
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: is in the Indian Ocean where the United States would
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: fly B fifty two's or B twos out of for
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: bombing runs over Tehran, but that they blocking US from
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: using Diegoza for the ran Iranian strikes, which is which
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: is strange. I mean, I don't know why Britain would
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: do this. It's a little suicidal and stupid in my view.
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: But it you know, it's it's it's possible, it's a
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: it's it's a crazy goverment they have in the UK.
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: They're also claiming.
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: The Times also claims that the the the UK the
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: government is stopping the Trump administration from using the old
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: AFOs in in Gloucestershire as a facility from which flights
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: could take off, uh, you know, to attack Iran. So
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know why Europe is, or at least the
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: Brits and possibly other countries in Europe are taking an
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: anti Iran war stance.
• 14:06
  Speaker 2: I mean, it really is insane for.
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: Them this if this happens, and I am very very
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: hopeful that finally Trump will do something, I can completely
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: one hundred percent of support. But if this happens, and
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: it really is targeted, not just getting a better deal
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: out of the Ranians, but at regime changes was necessary,
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: which is necessary.
• 14:28
  Speaker 2: You know, if it happens in regime change, this will be.
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: As I've told you over and over again during the
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: Twelve Day War, after twelve to war, this will have major,
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: major geopolitical implications. Not only is it the end I
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: think of a vibrant, aggressive, confident Islamist movement. I think
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: this is a massive setback for Islamism in the world
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: out there. I think the Middle East changes forever. I
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: think Islam and Europe its features will change forever. Uh
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: if this regime change, So Europe is a massive beneficiary
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: of this, if it succeeds.
• 15:07
  Speaker 2: But I think this is a geopolitical perspective. This is
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: a major watch us China.
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: Watch what we can do, What's the kind of resources
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: we can deploy, What's what we can do if we're
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: really committed to it, particularly if it's regime change. I
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: mean China is terrified of regime change in China, uh
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: and uh and and they are I think they they're
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: already impressed by by what what was done in Venezuela.
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: They're impressed, I'm sure, by by what Israel did in
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: the Twelve Day War. They have no indication that America
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: has the stomach and is willing to commit to a
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: real offensive offensive campaign. If Trump goes through with this
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: and actually you know, dismantles Iran's military and destroys it
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: and the result is regime change, then uh, you know, begme.
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: Begin can see one how quickly the US can deploy
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: military assets to a far away location.
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: Uh in the Middle East is in some ways further
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: than than than China is.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: You know. They they will also be watching how long
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: the United States can sustain a military effort uh far
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: away from the United States. They will see how the
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: U S allies react to it.
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: Uh and Uh.
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: They will see to what extent just drains the US
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: military assets uh and and and makes possible, you know,
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: to what extent the U. S could theoretically fight on
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: another front. But really, what I think China will watch
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: is the extent of which the US has the stomach,
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: has the determination, is willing to gauge and sustained lengthy
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: devastating offensive military actions.
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: We haven't seen that since the.
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: Iraq War, and that wasn't done very well back then
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: that involved US the ground forces. A war with China
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: would not involve ground forces. It would involve primarily navy
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: and effs, which is what we're seeing with Iran. They
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: would be deployed from forward, from aircraft carriers and forward bases.
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: They would also see, for example, how susceptible the US
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: aircraft carriers are to drone swarms that the Iranians can
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: put together, and what other capabilities in terms of dealing
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: with that, because the Chinese, of course, can do a
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: lot more. Now the Chinese have capabilities that, of course
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: the Iranians do not have.
• 17:59
  Speaker 2: So but so this will be the United States better.
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: Perform brilliantly here uh and and and crush the Ranians
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: without any without really suffering anything. Given Israel did it
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: for twelve days and uh. But again, the audience is China,
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: that's who's watching. That's long term kind of the strategic
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: enemy of the United States. So potentially the strategic enemy
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: of the United States. So let's hope it goes well.
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: Uh.
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: Anyway, we're watching, we continue to watch. I've been watching
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: for a long time now, but it really does seem
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: like it's getting close. Somebody said the Joel photos in
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: the betray and yes, I think it just crossed in
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: maybe today, maybe yesterday.
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: But it still has to sale.
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: It has to get to be effective to help defend
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: Jordan and Israel from ballistic missiles. It has to be
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: in the Eastern it has to be some way close
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: to Cyprus. That'll be a few more days. And again,
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: if it's going to go to the Arabian uh To,
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: if it's going to get close to you on. In
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: other words, if it's going to really participate in offensive operation,
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: it has to get closer to you on, which is
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: another week at least, because it has to go through
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: the Swiss Canal, which is not easy for a ship
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: that lodge, and it has to it has to, you know,
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: get there, get there.
• 19:30
  Speaker 2: So we'll see, we'll see. US has also.
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: Moved a significant number of all of its E three
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: command and control aircraft to Europe in the Middle East.
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: E three is a command and control right This is
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: this is where they basically manage the entire the entire
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: war plan. This is where you know, people are deployed
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: and they have. They have these sophisticated radar and electronic
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: and they're basically targeting and sending the various fighter and
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: bombers in various directions. The US doesn't have that. I mean,
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: it doesn't have that many. That says sixteen total. It's
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: deployed six of them to Europe in the Middle East,
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: but at any given point in time, they probably don't
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: have sixteen. They probably only have eight nine, So almost
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: all of them now are deployed in the Middle East.
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: If China was going to invade Taiwan, now would be
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: the time. I don't think it'll happen, but now would
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: be the time. The US is busy, and it would
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: be very difficult for the US.
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: To respond.
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: Waiting waiting the sooner the better in many respects. But
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: more importantly, we wanted to be successful. We wanted to
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: be overwhelming. I wanted to be fast. People talk about weeks.
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: It doesn't need to be weeks. If the United States
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: is willing to really, you know, go all out and
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: and do this, it's going to be interesting. There was
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: a lot of talk about shrotages missiles, both missiles for
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: their defense systems but also at ground missiles.
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: I assumed that.
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: Manufacturing plants in the United States have gone all in
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: on manufacturing the missiles over since the Twelve Day War
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: to today, so that they've refurbished the Israeli Air Force
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: and the US Air Force and Navy have enough supplies.
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: To carry this.
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: But yeah, if they go all in, this shouldn't take
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: long and it should be devastating. And if they did right,
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: and they're willing to attack regime facilities, including go after
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: the Supreme Leader, go after the governments of Yuan, go
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: after the institutions of government, and I think this could
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: be quick, devastating and could lead to regime change if
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: they just go after all the military facilities and they
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: drag it out and uh and and you know they
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: they don't go after how many And he sticks around
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: and he's not going to run away because he's a
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: he's a religious nut. He believes he's going to go
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: to heaven and get seventy two virgins. If he gets killed,
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: then this could drag on for a while and you
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: might not see regime change at the end. And that
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: would be that would be horrible if that actually happened,
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: If that actually happened.
• 22:35
  Speaker 3: All right, what did I do here. I didn't they
• 22:37
  Speaker 3: didn't press the button. I'm supposed to press the button.
• 22:40
  Speaker 3: There it is, it's pressed now, Okay. So that's an
• 22:46
  Speaker 3: update from Iran. The other wolf front is Ukraine. UH
• 22:53
  Speaker 3: talks in Ukraine.
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: UH talks between the United States, the Ukrainians, and the
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: Russians with some European participation, ended earlier this week. The
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: I guess late on Tuesday and then they reconvened on Wednesday.
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: But the reality is on Wednesday, the last of two hours,
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: there's just no deal on the table. There's there's nothing.
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: The Russians won't budge, they won't compromise, and it is
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: absolutely true that the United States is hammering away at
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: the Ukrainians in terms of trying to get them to
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: basically given to all of the Russian demands. It really
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: is astounding the extent to which the United States is
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: completely on board with whatever Russia wants and has given
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: in completely to the to the Russian demands. It really
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: does look like, you know, nothing is happening. And that
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: is interesting that after the talks yesterday finished the Kremlin,
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: the negotiator returned to the venue where the negotiations were
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: happening and had a closed door meeting with the Ukrainian side,
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: just Russian and Ukraine for about an hour and a half.
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: Unknown what actually transpired there, but anyway, nothing, nothing is
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: happening again, there's there's basically stalemate at the front of
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: the Ukraine is actually making some minor progress in some regions,
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: but Russia wants the territory. And the more and more
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: you listen to the Russian side, the more and more
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: you listen to the Russian side, the moment you realize
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: they really want all of Ukraine. They really want to
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: control of the Ukraine. They're not going to give anything less.
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: They're floating taking Odessa, and they want territory they haven't
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: even occupied. There's just nothing there. I mean, here's a
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: quote from Reuters. Use intelligence reports continue to warn that
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: Russian President Vladimir Putin has not abandoned his aim of
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: capturing all Ukraine and reclaiming parts of Europe that belonged.
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: To the former Soviet Union.
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: Six sources familiar with US intelligence said, even as negotiators
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: seek an end to the war that would leave Russia
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: with far less territory, they just are not willing to
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: give an inch.
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: They want more.
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: At this point, this has been devastating for Putin. You know,
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: that special military operation has cost him something like three
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: hundred and fifty to four hundred thousand lives, another eight
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: hundred thousand to nine hundred thousand injured cripples.
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: Going back to Russia.
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: It's cost him, you know, the economy, the standard living,
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: quality of life, it's cost him Russian future. It's going
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: to be very difficult for the Russian economy to pivot
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: from war footy back to normal. The only thing saving
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: Putin right now, the only thing saving Russia right now
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: is Trump. Is Trump's sympathy, is Trump's positive attitude. It's
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: Trump's not willing to arm Ukrainian into the teeth to
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: get this over with. That is what saving puts in it.
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: Putting keeps dangling money and resources and access in front
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: of in front of Trump in order to try to
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: get him to force Ukraine into a deal. But the
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: reality is that.
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: The more this goes on, the less.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: The less Trump has over Ukraine, the less Trump can
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: exert force over Ukraine. The Europeans, to some extent of
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: stepping up. They're providing more support now than ever before.
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: They're filling in all the gaps where the United States
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: used to supply the aid. I mean, US gives zero
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: aid right now to Ukraine.
• 26:58
  Speaker 2: Nothing.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: Now, you know, it could do a lot of harm
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: by withdrawing intelligence, by potentially even shutting down stalling, But
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: it doesn't have that much leverage over Ukraine because the
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: Europeans are stepping in forward. So even though the Americans
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: are basically cited with the Russians, it's not being very effective.
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is one interpretation, this is of what's
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: going on. Ukraine peace talks have been little more than
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: a mafia style shakedown by the United States and Russia
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: ganging up on the Ukrainians. But here's the thing, the
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: US the Europeans are finding a backbone. So here's there's
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: a document supposedly being circulated by the EU that it
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: demands as part of any peace deal that Russian troops
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: withdraw from Belarus, Georgia, Amenia, Moldova as part of and
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: all parts of Ukraine as part of a peace deal.
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: It also demands nuclear weapons out of Belarus, reparations for
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: war damages, and free elections inside Russia with international monitoring.
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is what you call in Hebrew hutzba
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: and it's great. This is what if Trump was a
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: mass the negotiator, if Trump really wanted a deal, if
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: Trump was really an impartial you know, wanted to deal
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: with Russia, these would be this is be the first
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: thing he'd say. Look, we want all the troops out
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: of Ukraine, we want all troops out of all these
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: other countries. We want nukes out of Belarus, we want
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: you know, war damages, free elections inside Russia, and you know,
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: we want Ukraine as a member of NATO. That would
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: be the opening gambit, that would be the beginning of negotiations.
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: Now you negotiate. Now you negotiate. And that's a good
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: negotiating stance. So good for the upans of finally getting it.
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: And shame on on the Trumpet administration for not I
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: see people have questions for me about I don't know
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: about the Middle East, in the in the in the chat,
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: I'm happy to answer them, happy to answer them. Just
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: ask them in the super chat. That's where they belong.
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: I don't ask the questions in the chat, but I'm
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: happy to answer the questions in the super chat.
• 29:51
  Speaker 2: Just give you a sense of.
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: How bad, how badly the US is taking the Russian
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: side and how how really It's behavior toward Ukraine is
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: portaline evil. Trumps stopped all all assistants to Ukraine, all
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: of it, including for power generation, so Ukraine's completely alone.
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: And as soon as Trump stopped helping Ukraine with power generation,
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: Russia attacks It's Ukraine's energy infrastructure in the coldest winters
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: of the month in the US.
• 30:21
  Speaker 2: Says nothing about it.
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: Marco Rubia just visited Oban and Fico, Hungary and Slovakia,
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: and Hungry and Slovakia stop diesel fuel shipments to Ukraine.
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: Doing Russia's bidding.
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: Just just unbelievable. I mean, Fico and Oban are Putin's
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: main allies in.
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: Europe. In you, by the way, you can ask.
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: Super check questions and I always answer them, and you
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: can write whatever you want in them, and I'll read
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: them allowed as written, and you can do it for
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: as little as two bucks. But if you want me
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: to answer a question from you, that's that's what I'm
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: asking I'm asking for a a two dollars or five
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: hundred dollars, whatever and anything in between. To do it.
• 31:19
  Speaker 2: Just go to the small effort of putting the question
• 31:21
  Speaker 2: into super Chat and I will answer it.
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: All right, let's see, Yeah, this one is a it's
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: just this kind of stuff that just is infuriating and
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: and I don't know, I'm curious what Trump supporters think
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: of this.
• 31:52
  Speaker 2: They probably think this is for d chess and something.
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: But you know, I'm a major potential conflict is you know,
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: the most really the most dangerous potential conflict in the
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: world today is the potential one between the United States
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: and Taiwan and China over a Chinese invasion or attempt
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: to invade Taiwan. And now the US could just set
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: it out and let it happen, but that would have
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: massive economic, geo, political, military, reputational, all kinds of effects
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: in the United States. Again, we get ninety plus percent
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: of the most advanced chips in the world come for Taiwan,
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: all the Nvidia chips, all the Apple chips, all the
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: chips the power our military. I mean some percentage of
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: them are made in the US, but the most advanced
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: chips come for Taiwan. So you really want that falling
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: into the Chinese hands? I really don't think so. So
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: one way to try to avoid war would China uh
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: is to make it very very, very expensive for China
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: invade Taiwan, and the best way to do that is
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: to armed Taiwan to the teeth. Now, I don't think
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: Taiwan spends anything close to what it should be spending
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: on military, on on building up its military and and
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: and protecting its military to protect itself from a Chinese invasion.
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: Taiwan should be spending a lot more money. Uh. But
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: in the US should be selling it whatever, whatever the
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: Taiwanese want. And indeed, the United States approved a big
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: lodge arms package for Taiwan. Uh. And these were weapons, uh,
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: you know, a significant weapons deal that you know, I
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: think it's what eleven billion dollars or something like that.
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: It's a it's a you know, it's not enough, and
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: it should be one hundred billion, but it's it's it's
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: the beginning.
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: It's something.
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: And the arms ready to ship, ready to ship. But
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: in a phone call earlier this month, she the dictator
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: of China, urged Trump not to sell weapons to Taiwan.
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: You know, if he didn't sell weapons, the one China
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: would be happier, China would be more friendly, China would
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: be whatever.
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: So Trump has.
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: Decided to put a pause on US arm sales on
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: the package of arms that was supposed to be delivered
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: to Taiwan.
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: It now has paused.
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: He doesn't want to antagonize the Chinese ahead of his visit.
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: He's he's supposed to go in the first week of April.
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: He's supposed to go to China. Way yippie. And of
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: course Trump keeps saying, you know, uh, you know, we
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: had a good conversation. Uh, you know, we have a
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: good relationship. I wouldn't be surprised if he goes to
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: China and comes back and say, yeah, maybe maybe Taiwan
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: should be Chinese.
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: Maybe maybe there's something to it. It is theirs. After all,
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: we'll have to work on that. Peace.
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: We should negotiate. Maybe we can kind of deal between
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: Taiwan and China. Maybe we can, we can transition something.
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: Would you be shocked if Trump did that? I wouldn't
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: be anyway, instead of going to China from position to strength. Yeah, well,
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: I mean the Taiwanese to the teeth sick sheep.
• 35:41
  Speaker 2: Stay away.
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: We can talk about trade, we can talk about other stuff.
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: Stay away from Taiwan. I don't give a shit if
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: you think it belongs to you. Stay away and we'll
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: get omnim to the teeth. So if you try, you're
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: gonna it's gonna cost you.
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: It's gonna cost you a lot to just stay away. Instead.
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: Let's appease, let's cowa, let's let's let's be weak. Peace
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: through strength was supposed to be the motto of this administration.
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: Maybe not, maybe not so much. Maybe the peace, but
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: not the strength and therefore not the peace. Uh So
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be it's gonna be interesting. I I you know,
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: hope Taiwan is buying weapon systems from other countries as well. Uh,
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: they've got a neighbor, North South Korea. God, I always
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: say North Korea.
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: I don't know why.
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: South Korea, which which has a very advanced weapons developed
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: some development program. They have weapons manufacturers that are that
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: are very good. Uh, Taiwan should be buying weapon system
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: but Israel. I really really hope Israel is selling them
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: to them. They've got a number of weapons systems that
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: would be very very useful for the Taiwanese and defending
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: themselves against China. I don't know if Israel's willing to
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: antagonize China by selling them. Israel wasn't willing to sell
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: the Ukrainians weapons systems, which is a disgrace, a disgrace.
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: I'm criticizing Israel.
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: Israel's disgraceful for not selling weapons and providing aid to
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: the Ukrainians. I think it's horrible, But uh, that is
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: it anyway? Uh, you know, let's see the uh yeah,
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: I mean there's all kinds of stuff going on in
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: the background about how much the United States is serious
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: about penalizing the Chinese and and helping the Taiwanese.
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: Difficult, all right, let's see.
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: Yeah. Remind you again that the way to ask me questions,
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: the way to get me to respond, or the way
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: to shape the show, shape the show, is to ask
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: me questions. I will answer whatever you ask, and I
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: have answers to almost everything you have to ask some
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: that might be surprising for you, So CpG FX seven
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: whatever ask it in the super chat, I'd be happy to.
• 38:21
  Speaker 2: Answer that question. Yeah, all right, all right.
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: It's also a way to support the show. I know
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: some of you don't want to support the show, but
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: you're gaining value. You're listening. Your behavior suggests that you
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: value the show, if only to get you mad and
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: disagree with.
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: Trade value for value.
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: All right, trade This is a funny story, so Trump,
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: whereas I had it here? Oh Trump this morning? No, no, yesterday,
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: sorry yesterday. All caps. The whole tweet is all caps.
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: Here's the tweet. The United States deficit in the United
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: States trade deficit has been reduced by seventy eight percent
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: because of the tariffs being charged to other companies and countries.
• 39:21
  Speaker 2: Suddenly it's the companies.
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure what companies he's talking about, but other
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: companies and countries. It will go into positive territory during
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: this year for the first time in many decades. Thank
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: you for your attention to this matter. Now, that is
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: an astounding claim. Astounding claim given that the numbers just
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: came out for the trade deficit in twenty twenty five
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: and the trade deficit in January of this year. And
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: the reality is that during twenty twenty five the trade
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: deficit went up by four point one percent versus twenty
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: twenty four up, the trade deficits higher, it didn't go
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: down by seventy eight percent. So he's basically making this up,
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: basically making this up. January again saw a dramatic increase
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: in the trade deficit. December is larger than expected trade
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: deficit I'm reading is a solid sign the US economy
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: was doing well, importing a lot of stuff and people
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: willing to say our dollars, but the Trumpe administration doesn't
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: know what to do with it.
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: Hey, this is the headline.
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: US trade deficit widens, capping one of the biggest since
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: nineteen sixty. The US trade deficit seventy point three billion
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: in December, pushing the four year gap to nine oh
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: one point five billion, among the largest since nineteen sixty.
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: Inputs rose three point six percent in December, while exports
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: fell one point seven percent. Economists who expected a fifty
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: five point five billion dollar deficit instead they got seventy.
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: The goods short for adjusted for inflation, expanded to ninety
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: seven point one billion. Trade flows were volatile throughout twenty
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: twenty five as the inports responded to shifting tariff announcements
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: from Donald Trump. Yeah, I mean, there's nothing about the
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: seventy eight percent decline that is even in the universe
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: of the truth knew. The latest data about imports suggests
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: that the effective tariff right over the entire year of
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty five, So the average of the entire year
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: of twenty twenty five, there was actually paid is about
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: seven point seven percent. This is the highest level since
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: nineteen forty seven, and a consequence of the new towers,
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: of course, and it's expected to rise the effective rate
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: in twenty twenty six, you know, unless the Supreme Court
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: ban forces Trunk to abanons some of his towers to
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: about ten percent, to about ten percent. But it's just
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: unbelievable that Trump would just say seventy eight percent. Just
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, one month showed a trade the episode declining
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: by seventy eight percent, but then it was up by
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: even more.
• 42:49
  Speaker 2: Look at a year.
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: So yeah, tariffs since nineteen forty seven pretty unbelievable. Again,
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: look at there's a New York Times store. US imports
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: grew in twenty twenty five, so inputs went up. Exports
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: went up as well, in spite of the declining dollar.
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: Everybody's afraid of the you know, actually declining dollar increases exports.
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: So the fact that the dollar declined increased exports made
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: American goods cheaper to other people with other currencies, and
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: imports became more expensive. In spite of that, we still
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: kept buying them, and inputs went up. So as predicted,
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: tariffs do not shrink the trade deficit, and the trade
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: deficit is not a problem to begin with. But they
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: don't shrink the trade deficits. It just economics just to getomics.
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: It's sad that so many people, so many people don't
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: know economics, including most of the people in economics positions
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: in this administration. Interestingly, in spite aluminum tariffs, and of course,
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: you know, the hope that more aluminum production will come
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: to the United States and we will be self sufficient
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: in aluminum or whatever.
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: There's now been idling.
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: A co op has still idled, as just idled, a
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: fifty four thousand ton per year production line and a
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: significant supplier. This is a significant supplier of high purity
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: aluminum used in aerospace and defense. Production has just shut down.
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: In spite of all the tariffs and everything, we're actually
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: losing capacity. The bottom line of all this is US
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: aluminum consumers are going to be paying high price for
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: their metal for the next few years. Uh and and
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: the reality is that in spite of this huge premium
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: that users of aluminum are going to be paying, this
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: one plant in Horsville.
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: They can't compete and they shut down.
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean there's just there's no way into
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: the bad news on the trade front, on the production front.
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: When it comes to the things that involved tariffs, they're
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: just causing bad stuff. The outcomes are bad. There's there's
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: is known positives. You know. Another one is, you know,
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: the Spreme Court is going to rule maybe tomorrow, probably.
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: Next week on the tariffs issue. Everybody's waiting.
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: An expectation is that they will rule against Trump and
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: eliminate his use of the emergency powers given to him
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: under the E A I E e p A Law
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: to impose tariffs, and that will eliminate a lot of
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: the tariffstudy is imposed. However, for example, that will not
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: be the case for things like small furniture and furniture
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: retailers you know have raised prices and seen a decline
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: in sales as a consequence of the tariffs on furniture.
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: The reality the furniture inputs face steep imports, import tariffs, right, cultures,
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: kitchen cabinets, vanities. But the funny thing is that these
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: were not done under their IEEPA. These were done out
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: of Section two thirty two of the Trade Expansion Act,
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: and that is the National Security Provision. So we have
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: tariffs on furniture because furniture needs to be protected for
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: for national security reasons. Furniture made in the US needs
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: to be protected.
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: It doesn't.
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: It's just it's insane. It's absolutely insane. So even if
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: the Supreme Court eliminates the tariffs under the you know,
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: International Emergency Economic Powers Act, the tais on furniture will
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: now be eliminated because they're under a different provision, a
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: national security provision, which the courts are.
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: Not going to challenge asal security. They just leave to
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: the president.
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: Twenty five percent tariff on furniture on certain furniture imports,
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: and it's supposed to rise to fifty percent in January.
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: That's last month, but at the end of December the
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: plan was pushed back to twenty twenty seven, so it
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: will rise in twenty twenty seven. I guess the hope
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: is that by twenty twenty seven we'll start making more
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: furniture in the United States.
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: And this is a national security issue because.
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: Without making furniture in the United States, we can't fight
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: a war. It really is insane, crazy, stupid, and I'm
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: not making up this is I'm just telling you what's
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: going on in the world.
• 48:52
  Speaker 2: I couldn't make this stuff up.
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: It will take science fiction to write a book where
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: a president did that kind of stuff and people tolerate,
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: people just accepted it. Nationals is good. Yeah, absolutely, Phoenige
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: and Congress just said, yeah, that makes sense. We're not
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: gonna We're not gonna reign in the president. No, no,
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: God forbid, Nope, let him do it, Let him rock.
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, imagine how well the US economy would be
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: doing right now if not for two economically devastating things
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: the Trump administration is doing. One tariffs, two deputation. I
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: mean literally, the economy right now would be really you know,
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: his golden age. It would be doing great. But they
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: have no clue. Talk about economically ignorant. Talk about economically ignorant.
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: Zamandani and janveild is budget for New York City one
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: hundred and twenty seven billion dollars. New York City budget
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: is larger than the state budget of the state of Florida,
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: the entire state one hundred and twenty seven billion dollars.
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: There was a short fall of at least five billions,
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: somewhere between five to eleven billion.
• 50:16
  Speaker 2: They're not sure. There's some accounting issue.
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: As I told you last time, the State of New
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: York will give them one point five billion kind of
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: as a gift. But the rest he is proposing, mamdanis
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: if the state won't increasing income taxes on the very rich,
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: then he is proposing to raise property taxes in the
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: city by nine point five percent, which by the way,
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: would increase rents, which he is promised not to increase.
• 50:50
  Speaker 2: His fans are freaking out.
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: Affordability is not there, buses are not free yet, and
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: he's going to raise people's rents. You know, people are
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: really pissed off. Also upset at at at at mcdonnieu.
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: You know, the the the crazy left homeless advocates who
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: who oppose kind of the city going into homeless encampments
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: and and and you know, establishing some minimal order there
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: and everything. And mcdonniy had promised to stop the sweeps
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: into the homeless encampments and he caved, and now he
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: is allowing those sweeps because basically he you know, it
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: was a disaster.
• 51:40
  Speaker 2: For two months they didn't go in there.
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: The uh, you know, transit advocates, the people who wanted
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: the free, free bus rides, saying what the hell m'mdanni
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: only budgeted ninety six million dollars for transit programs for
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty seven.
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: That's that's about the same as it was last year.
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: He's not increasing the amount of money he's spending on transit.
• 52:05
  Speaker 2: He's up.
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: He's betraying the socialist idea. The Transit Advocacy Group expected
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: an expansion to at least one hundred and twenty five,
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: if not one hundred and fifty five million dollars. So
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: nobody's happy with him. Nobody's happy with Mom Danny. No,
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: he's not happy. As usual with socialists, nobody is happy
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: with him. New York City continues to spend more money
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: every single year while his population actually shrinks. It has
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: fewer people today than fifteen years ago, but spends a
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: lot more money than fifteen years ago, a lot more.
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: Its budget in twenty ten was just over sixty billion,
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: Now it's one hundred and twenty seven billion, more than double.
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: Its population peaked just before COVID and has been going
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: down since then. Now it's not you know, it was
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: misleading what.
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: I said earlier.
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: It's still a little higher than it was in twenty ten,
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: but not much, not much. Basically, same population, and yet
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: spending has doubled, so New Yorkers paid per capita double
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: what they paid back then, or spend per capita because
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: they're not actually being taxed to the whole amount. In addition,
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: in this budget, in order to try to close the gap,
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: mc donny is already announced that he is raining there.
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: He is raiding, raid, ding the Rainy Day Fund, He's
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: raiding the retiree health Benefits reserve in addition to increasing
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: property taxes. And of course governor employees are not happy.
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: That's the health benefit reserve, that's their money. Rainy day
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: fund is for emergencies. Yeah, socialists, what am I with that?
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: You say they run out of somebody else's you know,
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: everybody else's money. This is pretty amazing. This is a
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: chart that Matty Glass has put out per capita general
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: expenditures in the largest US cities. New York City spends
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: per capita fourteen thousand, five hundred and thirty three dollars
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: fourteen thousand, five hundred and thirty three dollars. That is
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: by far the most of any American city. Los Angeles
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: spends ten thousand, eight hundred, Chicago ten thousand, six hundred
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: and fifty nine, Philadelphia seven hundred and seventy seven, San
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: Diego eight nine hundred and eighty six, Dallas eight thousand,
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: Houston six thousand. Phoenix, God, Phoenix must be a dump.
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: The government doesn't spend any money in Phoenix, must be
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: a complete dump. Only four thousand, five hundred and seventy three,
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: so eight third, less than a third of what New
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: York spends on a capita basis.
• 55:18
  Speaker 2: And yet Phoenix strikes.
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: Me is clean up, more efficiently run, and a much
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: more pleasant place to live in New York City. But
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: you know, when the socialists get a hand of this,
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: there's just no end to it.
• 55:33
  Speaker 2: No end.
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: Spending has gone up for about nine thousand per person
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: in two thousand to fourteen thousand in this latest budget.
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: One thing politicians do not know and refuse to do,
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: is cut spending now Trump, Nobody except me, Late Milay
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: is the only politician I know who's actually really cut spending.
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: Like nobody else cut spending. They might slow the grade
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: of growth or something like that.
• 56:09
  Speaker 2: Cut spending. It's the one good thing you can do.
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: Idiots don't do it.
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: All right. Another reminder, ask questions, shape the show, Get
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: me to talk about what you want me to talk
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: about and trade with me value for value. We are
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: hitting the first hour, first hour, and we are still
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: quite short on the target for the first hour, so
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: please consider jumping in there with questions, stickers, or whatever.
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: Madani is also now appointed a former care Care c
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: ai R, which is the Council of American Islamic Relations.
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: This is a pro Islamist, pro Haramas, you know, horrible
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: organization that is spread all over the United States, supported uh,
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: terrorist organizations around the world. Uh, the in Uh you know,
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: Texas and Florida have designated care fun terrorist organization. I
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: think the US government should have done that a long
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: time ago. And uh he is just appointed a former
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: care staffer as New York City's chief immigration officer. I mean,
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: the quality of the people that Mamdani is appointing is
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: just off the charts. And as I said, his fans
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: are not happy. Uh. He's won promises. He promised free busses,
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: free food, lower rent is gone. Now he's going to
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: raise property taxes. Rent is going to go up, and
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: you know, draining the Rainy Day Fund.
• 57:49
  Speaker 2: This is horrible. He's terrible.
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: This is the Panics just to give you a little
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: bit of sense of of the kind of stuff that
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: Mamdani is funding, who is getting money and.
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: What is agenda? Is all about.
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: Five point six million dollars for the Office of Racial Equality,
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: four point six million dollars for the Commission for Racial Equality.
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: There's an office and then there's a commission cool and
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: then eight hundred and thirty five thousand for the Commission
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: on Gender Equality. I don't know why the gender equality
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: gets so much less than the racial equality. I mean,
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: there's a real inequality going on there. Two hundred and
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: sixty thousand for the Department of Education Chief Diversity Officer.
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: That's a salary, three hundred and one thousand plus for
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: civil chief diversity inclusion officers, one hundred and eighteen thousand
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: plus for the Chief Diversity Inclusion Officer for the FD
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: And why anyway, bad stuff. He's not defunding the police
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: at least that is going to be flat. But yeah,
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: he's running out of other people's money. One other example,
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: one other example from Mamdani's New York This is not
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: just Mumdani but New York generally. Right, New York City
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: spends forty two hundred dollars put pupil a year. Only
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: fifty two percent of high school grads are colleges ready.
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: Based on English and mascots, The New York City Catholic
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: High School cost thirteen five hundred dollars a year and
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: has ninety eight percent graduation rate with most grads going
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: to college.
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: Why not stop all.
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: Goverment schools and all government schools and use the money
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: that you say forty two two hundred dollars pupil.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 2: Send that money.
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: To the parents of those pupils to be used to
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: pay for private education. I mean, you don't have to
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: send forty two thousand, because that's a lot, but send half.
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: You save half for taxpayers, and you give and they
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: can afford to send their kid to a New York
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: City Catholic school or any other private school. Plus have
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: some leftover for like tutoring, and maybe maybe you can
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: save the money for college. All right, let's see. So
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: here's a completely different story. This is anthropic, you know,
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: and topic claude. Claude is like the AI that's taking
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: over programming, and it's it's it's a it's a it's
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: a big deal. Claude is like leading in many of
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: the areas Claude is A is A is a leader.
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: Anthropic is the parent of Claude. It is the startup
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: that creates created Claude. It is raised in the in
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: the in the last in its latest fundraising round, it
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: raised thirty billion dollars.
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 2: And it is the It was the only AI A.
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: Company that is integrated into the Pentagon through its integration
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: with what's the name of the company, god Uh Palenteer
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: with its integration and Palenting. Indeed, Uh, there's evidence to
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: suggest that Claude was you used by the Pentagon in
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: its operation in Venezuela. I don't know how it was used,
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: but it was used anyway. Pallanteer and Anthropic have a
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: partnership and through that it is it is basically being
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: worked on by the Pentagon. The Pentagon wants to be
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: able to use Nthropic another AI tools for what they
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: call all lawful purposes, lawful as defined by the Pentagon.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 2: I see. Anthropic doesn't want it's technology.
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: Used for operations including domestic surveillance and autonomous lethal activities.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: And what is meant by autonomous thethal activities is when
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: AI gets to make the decision about when to press
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: the button, say AI autonomy on a lethal mission. So
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: a Topic is insisting on placing limitations and how its
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: software is used completely within their right against domestic surveillance
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: as am I and against autonomous lethal activity. They're worried about,
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: you know that the AI might not quite be ready
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: for that. Now, suppose the rivals open AI, Google and
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: Xai have agreed to have their models deployed in quote
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: any lawful use cases based on Pentagon's priority. But the
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: reality is that Anthropic is the only one that's currently
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: integrated into the Pentagon, and the only one that is
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 1: as far as I know, is working with Palatin. So
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: there is a conflict between the Pentagon and Anthropic, between
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: the Defense Department and the Topic, and they've been at
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: odds for weeks over the contractual terms under which this
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: software will be used. And now you know, it was
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: being negotiated in back rooms, but now it's spilled over
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: into public view and Hegseth is now labeling them woke.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: You know, Heckseth's whole goal that the Pentagon is to
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: get rid of woke. Anybody who doesn't agree completely with
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: the administration's priority is to find as woke.
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 2: And if one needs to get out.
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: Of He's already purged the military leadership for many for
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: many people, kick them out, generals and others who he
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: deemed as woke, and he is now wanting to get
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: the technology companies to come in line with their priorities.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 2: They are now, So the Pentagon is considering.
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: Designating Anthropic as a supply chain risk, which would make
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: it impossible for any vendor who works for the Pentagon
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: to use Anthropic, So it would be a massive rebuke
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: to US company. Usually supply chain risk designation is for
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: fon companies.
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 2: And the risk of.
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: Technology falling into the wrong hands and topic spoken said quote.
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: This is from the Wall Street Journal. The company is
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: committed to using FRONTIERAI and support of US national security.
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: That's why we're the first FRONTIERAI company to put our
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: models on classified networks and the first to provide customized
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: models for national security customers. He continues that the Thropic
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 1: is having productive conversation and good faith with the Pentagon
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: on how to continue that work, but the Pentagon is
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: having none of it and there is a real, real
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: dispute between them, and it could be that Anthropic is
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: kicked out, which would hurt its valuations. By the way,
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: when it was raising money, it approached seventeen eighty nine Capital,
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: which is a pro Trump venture firm, which is run
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: by one of President Trump's sons. I guess one of
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: the sons is a part and it's not run by them.
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: They then ended up turning it down because they didn't
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: deem it.
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 2: Pro Trump enough, pro Trump enough anyway, you know, this
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: is what happened.
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: You know, this is this is expectation, is that the
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: Silicon Valley will embrace not just defense, not just developing
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: stuff that can be used to defend America way, embrace
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: whatever the Pentagon wants to do. Embrace giving the Pentagon
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: a free hand with technology, which is very dangerous and
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: I'm really glad that.
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: That. You know, some tech companies are saying no.
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: And again the Pentagon is threatening to basically blacklist Anthropic
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: if if they don't bend the knee, they don't bend
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: the knee. But it's also you know, if you think
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: about it, Claude is the most used AI in business
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: by far. They're likely to go with XAI because I'm
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: sure a lone Musk will give them.
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 2: Free rein do whatever you want.
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: Okay, talk about AI as Trump has. One of his
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: better things that Trump has done is is basically not
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: regulated at I giving them a free reign. UH encouraged
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: investment in AI, UH and UH and and supported the
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: development of AI. At the same time, there's a real
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: grassroots effort within MEGA against AI, UH and UH.
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: People are scared.
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: I voted for this administration and didn't really think about
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: AI until it started to affect me. This is Lisa Garrett,
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: who lives besides the site of a rapidly green lid
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: six point six billion, four hundred acre data center. I
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: have grandchildren. It does consume me that they're being drawn
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: into a world that isn't real. It's not real, it's AI,
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: it's make believe. Generally, MEGA believes AI is dangerous. It
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: will destroy jobs, it will UH, it will power to
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: Silicon Valley, it is it could end the world, and.
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 2: There is a real risk.
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: A lot of commentators are saying that a Democrat who
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: built a message around protecting American jobs, protecting us from AI,
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: protecting the world from artificial intelligence, could win a lot
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: of these voters off of the Republican push right now
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: to embrace AI. But four fifths of voters in Republicans
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: supporting states worried about the effects of social media and
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: AI on children. And there's a huge backlash against tech
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: within MEGA and within Republicans in red states. And Trump
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: doesn't seem to be willing to budget, which is good,
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: but it is gonna but he can't really offend AI
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: to his own MEGA base. And you know, you build
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: a you build a campaign around MEGA, you're you're gonna suffer.
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: Ron de Santas right on the SATUS in Florida, UH
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: is trying to pivot from Trump, differentiate himself to Trump
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: by being anti AI.
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 2: There's a great.
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: Position for a Republican to have, right UH, And he's
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: he's criticizing Trump.
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 2: UH, and UH by the fact that Trump is letting
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 2: AI go unregulated. So has UH.
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: Sarah Hackabee, who is the governor of Arkansas, and Utah's governor,
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: Spencer Cox.
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: They all want to be able to at the state
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: level regulate AI.
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: The Trump administration is resisting, so it's gonna be It's
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: going to be interesting. You can just imagine the conspiracy
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: theories they're gonna swirl around AI.
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 2: AI is so.
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: Perfect for conspiracy theories because these people don't understand what
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: AI is.
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 2: And it's powerful. It knows stuff.
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: When you use it, it feels like there's a human
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: being there. Yeah, a lot of a lot of MEGA
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: influenced people. Slow down, We need to regularly to slow down.
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: It's happening too fast. Why is it happening so quickly? Anyway,
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: big conflict between MEGA and President Trump around AI.
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: We'll see what happens from there, all right.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: Finally, when else that Wednesday, you read you some quotes
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: from Dugan. He keeps getting better, So he's on a
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: he's on a real push to to go after the
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: West and to make himself very explicit. And so I
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: thought i'd read you some more of Alexandra Dugan to
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: end the show.
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 2: This is Dugan.
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: I think the West as a whole after the Epstein files,
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: has nothing left but to wipe its nose. We've always
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: said that you and your system are just scum, lies
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: and satanism. Now this is confirmed by irrefutable facts.
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 2: All that remains is.
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: To destroy the West.
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 2: It deserves it.
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: This is direct quote from Putin's brain.
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: That's what he goes by. Putin's brain, That's how he's
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 2: referred to. What else do we have here?
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Dugan says, Epstein is the very essence of the
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: modern world.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 2: He is the modernity.
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: He has the modernity itself, the Enlightenment, the liberalism, the
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: free market economy, Ein rand Ai, the Singularity, the pallanteer,
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: the black Rock, Babbos, Trilateral, the bioweapon, the harvesting of organs,
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: the COVID. So he's on a rant about Ein Rand.
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: I appreciate the marketing. I appreciate the mention. You know,
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: a number of people will probably read him and say,
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: what's up with who's this sign rand things?
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 2: And maybe go read her. You know, of course Epstein.
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: Epstein's politics were anti modernity, anti enlightenment, pro actually Duganism
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: much more than anything. But he's using Epstein as the
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: model for the West, as the model for the modern world.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 2: And you know, just lumping all this stuff together.
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: Enlightenment liberalism that's good, free market economy, that's good, I
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: Rand Yeah, that lumps together Ai. Singularity is sci fi,
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: a palanteer.
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 2: What does that have to do? The blackrock?
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: Blackrock Google, that sounds scary, blackrock finance, Trilateral commission. So
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: throwing a few conspiracy theories. The guy is nuts and
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: evil here's what he has to say about the one
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: Ukraine kind of scary stuff. We have no other way out.
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: So Dugan is sane enough to realize that Russia's not
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: doing well in Ukraine. It's not going anywhere in Ukraine,
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: and this is just dragging on. Nothing positive is actually
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: being achieved.
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 2: So this is what he writes.
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: We have no other way out of this situation but victory.
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: We must achieve this at any cost. We would raise
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: the issue of mobilization again. Mobilization means a draft, a
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: draft in Russia, which there is no draft today, so
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: we need more soldiers. In other words, I would raise
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: the mobilization again, possibly also the use of some special
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: kind of weapon nukes. Maybe if it doesn't work this way,
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: let's do it differently. But let's not fall behind, he continues. Unfortunately,
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: we will fall behind a little. Let's act in advance
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: proactively in some way. Even if we make a mistake,
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: if everything happens quickly, we will correct it. We will
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: make it in time. Now we must pin down the enemy,
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: for example, kidnaps Zelenski or maybe someone else, along with
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: a series of simultaneous strikes on a headquarters from technical
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: nuclear weapons supply, he says, tactical nukes to Iran and
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: the Hooties. Imagine if Russia did death and present an
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: unimaginable ultimatum to the European Union with blackmail involving the
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: use of strategic nuclear weapons and the demand to publish
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: the next three million Epstein files. He can't. He's obsessed
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: with Epstein, he says, I think we already have copies
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: of them. We might also kidnap someone else and declare
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: that their country's economy is now ours. In other words,
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: we just need to be a minor reflection of Trump.
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: Just be a minor reflection of Trump.
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 2: From this from from Dugan. All right, just to show
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 2: you the Dugan is not alone out there in the world.
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: Here is a statement from the Students for Justice in
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: Palestine at Columbia University.
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 2: This is what they write.
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: We are Westerners fighting for the total eradication of Western civilization,
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: total eradication of westernivilization. We stand in full solidarity with
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: every movement for liberation in the global South. Oh Itafada
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: is an international one. We are fighting for nothing less
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: than the liberation of all people. We reject every genocidal,
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: eugenic regime that seeks to undermine the personhood of the colonized.
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: As the fascism ingrained in the American consciousness becomes even
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 1: more explicit and interfutable, we seek community and instruction for
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: militants in the global South. You have been on the
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: front lines of the fight against tyranny and domination which
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: undergrid the imperialistic world order. This is what they were
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: always about. This is what all those demonstrations on the
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: university campuses were always about. The total eradication of Western civilization.
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 2: That's the world in which we live.
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: That's what they're being studied taught at our universities. Your kids,
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: send them to universities. That's what they're going to get.
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 2: All right.
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: That is the news for this Thursday, February nineteenth.
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 2: Thank you for joining me. We will switch now to.
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: The super Chat questions, of which we are way behind.
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: So I'm just going to mention that one hundred and
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: thirty eight people watching, we should be doing better, so
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: way behind. Remember value for value and ask questions. People
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: ask questions the chat, but not need to put two
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: dollars behind the question. They're not serious. That's not a
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: serious person, right, two dollars at a minimum. We need
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: a bunch of twenty dollars questions, maybe fifty dollars. A
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: few stickers do we do good would go a long
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: way to getting us to I mean closer to our target.
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: Closer to our target would be good. All right, let
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: me remind you I am doing events in London February
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: twenty eighth on capitalism, small group, intimate conversation.
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 2: It should be a lot of fun.
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: Registration prices go up on this coming Sunday, so you've
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: got two days to register, so please do it. You
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 1: can find information your on bookshow dot com and scroll
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: down to the events and find the events in London.
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: Click on the link there and you can register. It's
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: an ever bright page. So register by Saturday, please buy Saturday.
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: If if not enough people registered by Saturday, I will
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: I will cancel the event.
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 2: So if you intend to come, don't wait the last minute.
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 2: Do it now.
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: All a reminder about some of our sponsors, the Ironman Institute.
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: We have our confidence in Porto Porto, Portugal coming up
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: in April. You can you can sign up at Iran
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: dot org slash start here, start here one word.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: You can also get a.
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 1: Discount coupon by putting in the code discount code twenty
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: six YBS ten twenty six YBS ten if if you
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: were under the age of thirty four, you can get
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: a scholarship to attend by filling out a form. If
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: you go to Iran dot org slash start here, you'll
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: get the form and you can apply for scholarship. Defenders
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: of Capitalism Defenders of Capitalism dot com program that Michael
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: Williams and myself primarily Michael, but I've helped have developed
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: Defensive Capitalism. Check out the website, sign up to receive
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: information from them. They might be in the future all
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: kinds of programs where this is presented, seminars and other programs.
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 2: Right now it's part of leadership.
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: It is delivered at Leadership program in the Rockies, but
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: hopefully it will be expanded beyond that. Alex Epstein Epstein,
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: I said Jeffrey Epstein. Alex Epstein Alex Epstein is the
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: leading think on energy fossil fuels, a huge critic of
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: alternative slash unreliable energy sources like solar and wind, a
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: huge proponent of nuclear. You'll learn about all these topics
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: if he signed up for his substack for his regular substack.
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: You'll become so much better, You'll know so much more
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: about what's going on in the world. Alex Epstein dot
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: substack dot com. Alex Epstein dot substick dot com. All right,
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: let's jump in with some of Oh reminded, you can
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: become a monthly support of the show, which is great
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: and a monthly supporter really of everything that I do.
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: To do that, you go to Patreon dot com put
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: in your on book show and you can do a
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: monthly support at two dollars. Although we after one thousand,
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: it would be amazing to get some new one hundred
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: dollars two hundred and fifty dollars a month. Five hundred
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: dollars month support is incredibly valuable, but of course two dollars,
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: ten dollars, twenty five is greatly appreciated. At ten dollars
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: you get ten dollars and above you get add.
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 2: Free podcast stream.
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: At twenty five dollars and above, you get to participate
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: in the panel on the AMA for example this coming Saturday.
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: And at two hundred and fifty dollars you get a
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: one on one with me once every three months. At
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: fifty dollars you get a one on one with me
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: once a month, So check it out.
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 2: Check it out.
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: All right, let's see Michael fifty dollars question. Thank you, Michael.
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: When Marxists like Mamdani discussed exploitation under capitalism, they really
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: think they should be the ones exploiting you through state parasitism.
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: You shouldn't be exploited for selfish business, you should be
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: exploited for the altruistic state. Yeah, but they would argue
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: that that's not exploitation.
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 2: The state.
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: The altruistic state is benefiting everybody. It is your moral duty,
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: mal duty to support those who cannot support themselves, to
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: help others, to help establish the egalitarian utopia. So it's
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: just helping you fulfill your moral duties. It's just helping
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: you be a better person, just helping you be more
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: consistent with your own moral beliefs, you.
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 2: Know, preventing you from evading.
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: Evading your own your own morality. So it's completely against
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: the stem with altruism. You can't escape that, and that's
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: why they're so successful. Socialism will not die. Statism will
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: not die as long as altruism is alive. What needs
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: to be killed forever, once and for all, is the
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: morality of Altruism is the idea that you have a
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: duty to serve others, you have a duty to live fathers,
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: you have a duty to sacrifice fathers. That underlies every
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: evil political idea that exists out there. All right, Michael,
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: more people were killed in Iran in one week than
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: in the entire two and a half year Gaza campaign.
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 2: Probably not true, Probably not true.
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: Yet all the people who protested over the make believe
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: genocide in Gaza silent about actual genocide in Neuron. Well, again,
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: it's not a genocide in Neuron. Words that meaning, it's
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: not a genocide in Neuron, it is mass murder of it.
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: It's not a genocide. Genocide is the purposal eradication of
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: a people with the intent of eradicating a whole people.
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: It's not happening in Iran. It didn't happen in Gaza.
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: And it's not true that more people who killed in
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: Iran in one week that were killed in Gaza. More
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: people were killed in Gaza than in Iran. Doesn't change anything.
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: It doesn't change the fact that it wasn't genocide and
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: it was the right thing to do. In a Iuron,
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: it's the wrong thing to do. One is an act
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: of self defense, and the other is an act of
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 1: premeditated murder. And that is a difference to emphasize. It's
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: not the number of people that died in the comparison,
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: it's the cause. It's why they died. One was they
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: were the victims of Tramas. They were killed by the
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: Israeli in an attempt of Israel to defend itself. The
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: other was an act of aggression. They were killed as
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: an act of aggression by their own government. And that's
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: where the focus should be. Thank you, Michael, Robert. A
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: public service message from Robert and Amy at five minutes
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: with Robert Naso, it's time to take over the Euron
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: book show.
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 2: With your super chats.
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: Bring them on. Yeah, even Robert, Even Robert says, come on,
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: step up with stickers, superchats. I mean you can do
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: a Enrik did four dollars sticker. If enough of you
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: do four dollars stickers, we make a lot of progress. Greg,
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: thank you for a sticker, Gary, thank you, Coupon, thank you, Barry,
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: thank you, Mary, Eleen, thank you, Silvanos, thank you, thank
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: you guys for the stickers. Really really appreciate it. Oh,
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: here's Hunter. Hunter gracious with a one hundred dollars question.
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 2: Thank you.
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: That helps a lot. And here is Dale with a
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: twenty dollars stick. I thank you, Dale, really really appreciate it,
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: all right, Hunter, I know nothing about software engineering. I
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: finished the full shell of a novel app over the
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: past weekend using mostly cloud code. My coworkers have been
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: modeling since I showed them yesterday with something else. It
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: should be app store ready. That's amazing. That's amazing. See's
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: somebody with no background in software engineering creating a new app,
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: a new app that might make it to the app
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: store basically using AI using cloud cloud is an amazing
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: piece of software cloud code. And how is that that
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: not potential massive improvement to human life? Now, Yes, it's
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: a re juggling of the workforce, and programmers and coders
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: better get better change. They're going to become much more
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: productive because they'll be able to create much more, many
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: more lines of code, many more apps per hour worked
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: than they could in the past. Productivity should accelerate dramatically. Indeed,
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 1: I think that's what like the Trump administration is secretly hoping,
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: is that they can run these massive government deficits because
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: productivity is going to increase so much. The GDP is
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 1: going to go up so much that that is what's
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: going to cure the deficits. Sadly, morally and economically, I
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: think long term, the only way the only proper way
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: to deal with government is to get government spending. The
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: only proper way to deal with the deficits is to
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 1: cut governments spending dramatically. Not because there's a deficit, but
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: because government is spending a lot of money for things
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: that it should shouldn't be doing. Government needs to shrink
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: its activities. It should go back to being limited, limited
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: to the protection of individual rights. Linda, thank you for
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: the sticker. Really appreciate it. Thank you Hunter that you
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: saved the day with that one hundred dollars question. You
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: change the dynamics of the superchat. We crossed the threshold
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: for the first hour, and now we've got one hundred
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: and eighty four to raise for the second hour. Much
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: more doable, much more doable. Christian, This was some yesterday
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: it came in or Wednesday. It came in kind of
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: just after I finished the show. Do you endorse Crown
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: Prince whoever palhave as the leader for the transition period?
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: If you want after the fall of the Mulas, he says,
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: I do. I'm not endorsing anybody, you know. The point is,
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: it doesn't matter what I endorse, it what I don't endorse.
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: The point is that the Iranian people have to endorse him.
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: That is, I'm for anybody who will transition Iran into
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: a liberal democracy. That is, I want the Mulla's gone.
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 1: The worst case scenario is that the Trumpet administration cuts
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: a deal with some quote moderate Mulas, moderate Islamists, and
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: that doesn't solve anything. What needs to happen is a
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: complete regime change in Iran. And if it turns out
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: that the conference is the best option for that regime change,
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: go for it.
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 2: He seems like a good guy. I'm on for it.
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: If it turns out that hostility towards the Shah is
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: such that the Iranian people would reject him, then no,
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: then have somebody else. The key is a complete replacement
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 1: of this regime and move towards freedom. That's what matters.
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: Reminder like the show before you leave, and don't forget
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: to share, share and like Sharon like sharing. And if
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: you're not a subscriber, please subscribe.
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 2: Subscribe to the show.
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: Nate, do you think it's hypothetical for an objectivist to
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: work in a unionized profession? Isn't it one self interest
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: to stay unionized in order to get better pay and benefits?
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 2: Love the show things.
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: No, it's not in your self interest to violate rights.
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: It's not a self interest to support the violation of
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: rights that will only come back to harm you. But look,
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: the reality is that there are unions and in some
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: professions it's it's impossible to work unless you're unionized. So yeah,
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: I mean you could, you could join a union, but
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: recognizing that you're anti the course of that unions take.
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: And objectivism is not anti union. It's anti union being
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: allowed to use course of measures. It's anti unions being
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: able to use the government for their own benefit. Iman
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: is not from maximizing your benefits in the short run
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: at the expense of your integrity. But you also have
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 1: to recognize the reality that if you're in a particular
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: industry and this is the work you love doing, you
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: have no option but to join a union.
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 2: That shouldn't stop you. That shouldn't stop you.
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: Rue. I don't mean to attack to attach logic to
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: this administration, but what's the benefit of announcing when we're
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: going to attack. Well, I don't think they're going to announce.
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: I think right now they're hoping, irrationally, hoping that the
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: show of force will make the Iranians change their mind.
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: But look, the United States can't move all the military
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: assets it needs or thinks it needs.
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 2: Into the area.
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: Without attracting attention without the Iranians knowing it. So they're
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: not going to announce the date, but they're clearly announcing
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: the retention and that if you want to move the
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: quantity of assets that we have right now, then you're
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: going to be announcing it no matter what. There's no
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: way to avoid it.
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 2: It doesn't. It only matters up to a point.
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: Right, the Ranians can only do so much to protect themselves.
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: At the end of the day, the US has overwhelming
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: power over them if.
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: They choose to use it.
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: Michael Trump's disastrous policies are killing the GOP. But why
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: do just twenty seven percent of Americans the record low
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: identify as Democrats? Well, because the Democrats were a disaster
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: and our disaster. Who wants to identify with woke? Who
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: wants to identify with Mum Donnie and with AOC. I
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 1: mean the reality is that the Americans are primarily identifying
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 1: as independence They they don't want identify as Democrats. They
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: don't want to identify as Republicans. Why would anybody identify
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 1: as democrats. I certainly don't. I hate Trump, I denounce
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: everything he does, but I'm not going to identify as
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: a Democrat, and I think most Americans don't want that identification.
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 2: This is the sad reality.
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: Both the Democrats and Republicans have shown the need that
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: neither has deserves to lead this country. Roman should more
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: countries own yukes? Yes, I think good guys should own yuks.
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 1: I think South Area should have nukes. Japan should have nukes.
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: Poland should have nukes. Ukraine should have nukes. The world
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: would look differently if the good guys had nukes. No
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: more bad guys haveing nukes, but the good guys yes?
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 3: Uh.
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 2: Roman.
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: The UN is dysfunctional, the border piece a private club.
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: What would it need for liberal democracies to build freedom alliance?
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but to say the UN is dysfunctional
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: is the understatement of the I mean the UN as
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: an immol a disgusting, horrific organization and was from the
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: day it was founded. The United States should have never
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 1: engaged with the UN. It's certainly not housed it in
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 1: New York City. It is a disgusting, despicable, immoral institution.
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: The border piece is just stupid. Also disgusting, imol but stupid.
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 1: What the what America needs? It's a freedom alliance, But
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: that would require an intellectual backbone. That would require a
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: recognition of what makes the West unique and why it's
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: special and why it's good. That would require a recognition
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 1: of the value of freedom. I don't know if that
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: can happen and when that would happen. Oh, somebody says,
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: tight one, Yeah, tight one? Should didn't I say that?
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: I think I said to one of a nuke? If not,
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: I'm into.
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 2: Oops.
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: Equal to reality, says Margaret Thatcher. The problem with socialism
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: is that you have eventually run out of other people's money.
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's true.
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: Not the only problem, and not even the main problem,
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: not the major problem, but a problem is you run
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: out of other people's money.
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 2: No question a roman. Should I be allowed to own nukes? No?
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: You should not be allowed to own any weapon that
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: is offensive and can do vast damage.
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 2: You should only be allowed weapon that.
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: You can use the self defense in the context of
• 1:37:06
  Speaker 1: your life and the context of the environment in which
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: you live. Andrew. When people talk of the FCC Equal
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 1: Time regulation, there's no discussion of whether it's a rights
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: violation or if the government should own the airwaves and
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: dictate vi permitting. Government powers are treated like the metaphysical given.
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 2: Yes, I mean the airwaves should be sold.
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: I think I said that on Wednesday, and the government
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: should step out of its role controlling them and controlling
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: the content on them. And it's stupid broadcasts And there's
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: nothing special about broadcasting. Now that we have all these
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: other cable or what used to be called cable networks,
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: there's nothing special about broadcasting. So why are we regulating
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: at all. Why isn't it just one more source from
• 1:37:57
  Speaker 1: out of all the different information sources that people have.
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: You have an Internet, you have cable, you have an
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: endless number of sources for news and entertainment. So yes,
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: the broadcast the airwaves generally should be sold put to
• 1:38:15
  Speaker 1: better uses. Do we even need broadcasters? Maybe you don't
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 1: even need broadcasters. I mean, I think Congress passed a
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: law that auto companies have to include AM radio in
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: their cars, talk about primitive and backward looking, and.
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 2: The whole thing is ridiculous. Why not just have.
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: Internet radio in your car? Why have any FM or AM?
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: Why not sell those those bands, those raid waves to
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: the highest bidder. Maybe they'd be used for something more productive.
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: This is how you know Goumman Hamper's innovation. It's why Yeah,
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: that's why I took FM so long to get to
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 1: get broadcast, Why color took a long time. It's because
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 1: the government dabbles and all these things in a incompetent,
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: unsurprising way. Michael, political discourse has devolved to a level
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 1: of cruelty that we haven't seen before.
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 2: That's true.
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 1: I mean Trump is uniquely cool and that that culture
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: has spread beyond just Trump. Coupon didn't realize that and
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: ask my question, what do you think of the ten
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: billion dollar Trump said the US would contribute to the
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: boarder piece. Yeah, I mean I wonder where that is
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: in the allocation of funds that Congress has put has approved. Like,
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 1: the President doesn't get to do stuff like that. That's
• 1:39:51
  Speaker 1: something that has to go through Congress. The Constitution is
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: very clear that Congress has to makes the decisions about
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: to spend money, so it's unconstitutional. Beyond that, it is
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 1: what is the boat of piece going to do that?
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 1: It needs ten billion dollars for what's its function? And
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 1: I remember Trump has veto power and will have veto
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: power and complete control over the boat of Piece even
• 1:40:21
  Speaker 1: when he's out of office. And the United States is
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: going to give a ten billion, basically more than all
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: the savings the Doge put together. Trump is just basically
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: given away. It's just absolutely ridiculous, absolutely ridiculous.
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 2: But this is Trump. He's just a win worshiper.
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: He just comes up with ideas and he does whatever
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: he feels like he and he assumes that his powers
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: in Congress will accept anything and everything that he does.
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: All right, guys, thank you. I appreciate all the super chatters,
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: all the stickers, everybody in particular. Let me name Michael,
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 1: who asked a lot of questions. So if you add
• 1:41:13
  Speaker 1: up all the money, it's a significant contribution. And Hunter
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: who came in with one hundred dollars which got us
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 1: over the target at least for the first hour.
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 2: So thank you guys.
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: All right, I will see you guys tomorrow, same time,
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: same place. And yeah, I have questions. You see, the
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: shows are shorter when you have a few questions. If
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 1: you have lots of questions, the shows are longer. I
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 1: prefer longer shows than shorter shows financially and more ideas,
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 1: more interaction. All right, guys, see tomorrow.
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 2: Bye,