Latest / The Fourcast / Over 50 MPs turn on Starmer, so who leads Labour next?
Transcript
- 0:00This is the wrong time for a leadership election.
- 0:02We are on the cluster recession. There's two wars being fought.
- 0:06We may run out of fuel supply at some point this summer.
- 0:10This is a really dangerous. Time, I don't think we'll be
- 0:12talking in terms of is has Andy got the right temperament or has
- 0:15Andy even got the right vision to deal with this?
- 0:19This is. Not a happy inheritance for
- 0:21anyone coming in. And the dangers, we just get
- 0:23into a cycle. We could end up like the Tories.
- 0:25I mean three prime ministers in one in one Parliament.
- 0:28We're not careful. You know Starmer better than
- 0:30most people. Do you think he actually needs
- 0:33to change himself or does he need to change the way people
- 0:36are thinking about him? Hello and welcome to the
- 0:42forecast. I'm in Westminster tonight
- 0:44because it's one of those days where things have been moving
- 0:48quickly. At the time of recording, more
- 0:50than 50 Labour MPs have come out and said they think Keir Starmer
- 0:55should stand down in an orderly way and have a a leadership
- 1:00transition in the autumn around the Labour Party conference.
- 1:03Catherine W, the previously little known Labour MP from
- 1:07north London, who had threatened to actually put down a
- 1:10leadership challenge, has instead got a letter together
- 1:13asking people to agree with her that he should go later on in
- 1:17the year. The Prime Minister gave a speech
- 1:19this morning saying he wasn't having any of it, he wasn't
- 1:23going anywhere. He came back with his vision of
- 1:26how he thinks things are going to change, how incremental
- 1:29change that he has been doing for the last couple of years
- 1:32isn't enough and his ideas for how he's going to make everybody
- 1:36feel a bit more hopeful. Well, joining us today, two
- 1:40people who have been talking about Keir Starmer and his
- 1:43future on the forecast for some time, The journalist and author
- 1:47Starmer, biographer Tom Baldwin and the journalist from The
- 1:53Guardian, Zoe Williams. Thank you both very much indeed
- 1:55for joining us, Tom. I mean, when you've got more
- 1:59than 50 Labour MPs calling for you to go is the game.
- 2:03Up. I think he's in certainly more
- 2:05vulnerable position than he ever has been before.
- 2:09I think that there is an assumption from a lot of
- 2:13ministers, cabinet ministers I speak to that he will be gone
- 2:18before the next election, that he seems adamant that he isn't
- 2:24going. And he does speak setting out
- 2:29parts of a future agenda today, which may be enough to buy some
- 2:36more months. And if you buy some more months,
- 2:38if you buy some more months, you know, I, I think politics is so
- 2:40febrile and unpredictable and volatile that making really
- 2:48expressing certainty about anything, even on a podcast
- 2:51called forecast is, is. What?
- 2:55What about the speech this morning?
- 2:56I mean, what did you make of this initial claim that he now
- 3:00realised that he needed to be more radical and deliver more
- 3:04change than he had thought in 2024, which was at a time,
- 3:09remember, when the Labour Party was saying Britain was broken,
- 3:12the Tories had made a mess of everything and that and that
- 3:15they were going to deliver change.
- 3:17That that was the promise, wasn't it in 2024, That the
- 3:19change was going to be radical and the change was going to be
- 3:22fast. And it almost immediately that
- 3:26they came into power, there was that kind of popping the bonnet
- 3:30moment where they said, actually, there's much less
- 3:32money than we thought. Now.
- 3:33The truth of it is they knew they that it was all public
- 3:37domain, how little money they were going to have before the
- 3:40election. So that felt like that didn't
- 3:43feel like, oh, come with us nation on this disaster that
- 3:48we've recently discovered. It felt like sleight of hand.
- 3:52And I think that's made it very, very difficult for him to come
- 3:55back and be the candidate of very fast, very radical change.
- 4:00Again. It just looks like he promises
- 4:02change instrumentally when he needs to, and then it doesn't
- 4:07materialize. Now I feel for him in many ways
- 4:09because the because this is the sort of political culture that
- 4:14that has grown up would argue since Brexit that people come in
- 4:18and they say huge things like I'm going to level up and
- 4:22everybody goes, well, that sounds good, and then they don't
- 4:25level up. What's happened with Katherine
- 4:27West's, you know, announcement over the weekend where she was
- 4:30trying to push Labour into a quick decision that seems to
- 4:33favour W Streeting or Ed Miliband or Angela Rayner, any
- 4:37of the people who were in Parliament unable to, to
- 4:41challenge. But now it's gone right the
- 4:44other way. It's gone sort of, it's done a
- 4:45whole full 180 and the position of sort of delay until the
- 4:49autumn seems to favour Andy Burnham.
- 4:51And it it's looking a bit like an Andy Burnham stitch up, isn't
- 4:54it? Well, look, I mean the the
- 4:56problem is that Andy doesn't have a seat.
- 4:59And right now in the Rachel Manchester, if you look to the
- 5:02local council elections, it, it's not obvious that Labour,
- 5:06even Andy Burnham would, would necessarily win a seat.
- 5:10So I think there's quite a lot of work to be done before the
- 5:13NEC agrees to let him stand down as mayor, to let him fight a by
- 5:18election and indeed for him to win a by election.
- 5:21I do think that the mood has shifted slightly in down the
- 5:24street on this, that when this last came up, they thought, you
- 5:28know, this is just going to be a huge subtraction.
- 5:29Have Andy Burnham there and there'll be constant leadership
- 5:31speculation. And they didn't want that.
- 5:33And I I had sympathy with that. I think now you've got that
- 5:36leadership speculation any anyway.
- 5:38And if Keir Starmer can get some extra time, maybe the chance to
- 5:44turn things around, who knows, by allowing Andy Burnham to
- 5:49stand or not resisting him standing, then that might touch
- 5:53these sort of purposes of both the party, the government and
- 5:56the country. Because the other reason for
- 5:58delay isn't just about these sort of gains in Westminster.
- 6:01If this is the wrong time for a leadership election, you know,
- 6:04we are on the cusp of recession. There's two wars being fought.
- 6:09We may run out of fuel suppliers at some point this summer.
- 6:12This is a really dangerous time. I think the idea of Labour
- 6:15turning inwards into some sort of self indulgent pandering,
- 6:18posturing contest is the last thing this country needs.
- 6:22And in fact, I don't think a lot of voters will forgive the
- 6:25Labour if the result of that contest is that mortgages go up,
- 6:29their interest rates go up. You know, we, we, we, we have
- 6:32even more of that chaos and turmoil that we experience so
- 6:35often under the Tories. But isn't, isn't the point of
- 6:38what's happened today that that we're not going to have a
- 6:40contest, that it's going to be a coronation because it's going to
- 6:43look so likely that Andy Burnham will win if he's able to get
- 6:47back into Parliament and if the NEC allows him back in.
- 6:51And we should probably just unpick that a little bit as
- 6:53well. But you know who, who would
- 6:55stand against him? You know, given how popular he
- 6:58is in the, in the, in both in the parliamentary party and in
- 7:01the membership. Yes, you're right, he is the
- 7:03most popular figure Labour figure you know.
- 7:07Can't call him an MP because he isn't one, but he is the most
- 7:09popular Labour figure both in the party and in the wider
- 7:12public. But a number of different
- 7:14things. First, a lot of people do really
- 7:17do really resent and oppose what he's done to destabilize his
- 7:23leadership. And so the membership on a shoo
- 7:25in, I mean, I think, but they probably are issuing actually,
- 7:29but I think they'd be surprised if nobody stood against him.
- 7:33Secondly, it is by no means assured that he would win a by
- 7:37election in, in the Manchester area.
- 7:40I mean, people are talking today about them not being sure that
- 7:42anybody would stand aside for for him.
- 7:44And everybody who's who's floated to stand aside for him
- 7:48has since denied it. I don't think that's I don't
- 7:50think that's right. I I think there are definitely.
- 7:52Are you sure this is not being overstated?
- 7:54That there's no such thing as a single labour safe safe seat
- 7:58anymore, I mean. Well, I mean.
- 8:00That just because of what happened to the local elections,
- 8:02you know, Burnham supporters would say the local elections
- 8:05was about Starmer, not about Andy Burnham in the Manchester I
- 8:08know area, you know, and, and there are seats maybe maybe
- 8:11nearer Merseyside than Manchester that that would that
- 8:16are safe. OK, but listen, I 2 two things
- 8:19on that one is when I interviewed Hannah Spencer just
- 8:22after she won Gorton and Denton and she said the the the anti
- 8:26labour mood is so people are so angry with labour.
- 8:30I mean, she would say. That.
- 8:32I know, but she's, she, she didn't, it didn't feel like
- 8:35flannel, you know, it felt like, it felt real.
- 8:38And as we've seen from the local election results, people, they
- 8:41were, you know, look at Salford Council, people love their
- 8:44Salford councillors. It's a successful council and it
- 8:47got completely obliterated. That wasn't about the
- 8:50councillors, that was about the Labour government.
- 8:53Tom I. Mean do do you think there's
- 8:54really still no, there was now no such thing as a safe Labour
- 8:58seat. I mean, that's.
- 9:00That's but there it's, it's, it's quite different proposition
- 9:03to say there's no such thing as a safe Labour seat anywhere in
- 9:06the country in a general election to there's no such
- 9:09thing as by election which you can be certain of winning.
- 9:12The only purpose of cause of calling that by election is to
- 9:16enable someone to take over as leader of a Labour Party and
- 9:18Prime Minister, which will put a lot of hackers up in, in any
- 9:21area. I think so.
- 9:22So it is difficult. I think there's a reason, good
- 9:25reason for delay in terms of the national interest at the moment,
- 9:29in terms of the government's interest, I think the party's
- 9:31interest, there's good reason for delay.
- 9:33There's also good reason to think that in that delay, it may
- 9:38actually be quite difficult for people to get what they want
- 9:41from that delay, or some people get what they want from that
- 9:44delay in getting Andy Burnham into Parliament.
- 9:46So we're in this sort of weird politics at the moment where
- 9:50certainties that you have one day then become doubts the next
- 9:54day and then there's another certainty the next day.
- 9:56I mean, I just go back to, I think a bigger thing about
- 10:00British politics now. Since David Cameron resigned the
- 10:03morning after that referendum in 2016, we've had by prime
- 10:09ministers, each of them has broken the previous ones record
- 10:15for being the most unpopular Prime Minister in British
- 10:17polling history. Now only thing there's something
- 10:19going on there which goes beyond the capability of a rational
- 10:22assessment of the capabilities of each Prime Minister.
- 10:24You've got this sort of outrage, you know, fury about everything
- 10:31and everyone, which makes it very, very difficult to govern
- 10:36calmly from the centre. I don't think that's necessarily
- 10:40solved by throwing another body out the window and putting a new
- 10:44one in. I think we do have to start
- 10:46thinking about some of the structural problems of our
- 10:48politics and our economy, our country.
- 10:50I mean, Zoe, if, if Andy Burnham is looking like the front runner
- 10:54today because of the way you know it's all going to be timed.
- 10:59A we have no idea what his platform is because this is one
- 11:03of those weird internal contests where because there's not
- 11:06actually a contest, nobody's laying out what change means to
- 11:09them. And and BI mean it's pretty easy
- 11:13to be popular when you're a mayor.
- 11:15And and as Tom says, we don't, we don't know whether that
- 11:17survives contact with actually being in charge of the country.
- 11:21The thing is on the he hasn't got a platform.
- 11:24He he he is actually publishing something this week which will
- 11:26lay out his stall. He's been he's been doing this
- 11:29work. He's he's he's clearly been
- 11:30preparing for this moment and it and it isn't unprepared for he
- 11:34does have an articulated vision. I haven't read it, but I know
- 11:37it's coming out. But on, on that kind of broader
- 11:41question of, you know, what's he going to be facing and what,
- 11:45what, what, what would lead people to believe that he could
- 11:49deal with it? The the truth is that things are
- 11:52going to get really ugly by the end of this year.
- 11:56It's going to the, the energy crisis isn't, hasn't hit yet
- 11:59because, you know, a lot of people are hedged.
- 12:02A lot of a lot of the impact of Hormuz hasn't actually fed into
- 12:06the system, but by the time it does, we're probably going to be
- 12:09looking at something a bit like end of 22, beginning of 23,
- 12:14which is extremely painful and which a lot of people still
- 12:17haven't recovered from. And whether I think it's AII
- 12:23don't, I don't think we'll be talking in terms of is has Andy
- 12:27got the right temperament or has Andy even got the right vision
- 12:31to deal with this? I think it's going to be, you
- 12:34know, everybody clinging on to a kind of, to, to the, the
- 12:38politics of normalcy by their fingertips while they're
- 12:41buffeted around by external circumstances.
- 12:44So it sounds like you're saying this is no time for a novice.
- 12:47I was just going to say that. Well.
- 12:49Well, he's he's not a novice, is he?
- 12:51He's a more experienced politician than Keir Starmer.
- 12:54I think the experience of being Prime Minister is a very
- 12:58peculiar experience, which probably a few people have had.
- 13:01Look, look, I, I, I'm not sure. Look, you know, I'm, I'm, I like
- 13:04Andy Burnham. I'm actually a fan.
- 13:06I'm not sure it's actually in the interests of Andy Burnham to
- 13:09take over in those really terrible circumstances that
- 13:12you're describing. I think if you walk into a
- 13:14recession, walk into a fuel crisis, if you walk into this
- 13:17kind of complete mad politics we've got at the moment, it
- 13:21might have to be in the interest of whoever wants to replace Keir
- 13:24Starmer to leave him there and take some of these difficult
- 13:27decisions. Get some governing done with
- 13:30Labour's 165 seat working majority 3 years ago before a
- 13:33general election and then maybe talk about the leadership a bit
- 13:36later. I mean, Andy Burnham's mayor,
- 13:38mayor will turn runs out 2028. Maybe that's too late for a lot
- 13:42of people. Maybe they want to be in before.
- 13:44I'm just saying this is not a happy inheritance for anyone
- 13:47coming in and the dangers. We just get into a cycle.
- 13:50We could end up like the Tories. I mean, three prime ministers in
- 13:53one, in one parliament if we're not careful.
- 13:55And that, you know, we promised to end the chaos, not contribute
- 13:59to it. I know I, I, I, I utterly agree
- 14:02with the danger of ending up like the Tories.
- 14:04I think it does look a little already a little bit like that
- 14:07scenario. I absolutely agree that it's an
- 14:12unlovely package for anybody taking over and there's no
- 14:15guarantee that even the most skilled politician with the
- 14:17boldest vision could actually weather it and come out popular
- 14:21the other side. But I do think there's also the
- 14:24countervailing the threat of, of, of existential threat to the
- 14:28party, which is if, if Keir Starmer carries on as like a
- 14:33caretaker, you can't be caretaker Prime Minister for
- 14:36three years. But do you think, Zoe, I mean,
- 14:38you know, you're you're one of those people who who was a sort
- 14:40of a Labour supporter but who kind of left the party or felt
- 14:44the party left you perhaps, Yeah.
- 14:46And do you think if the soft left, the Burnham Rainer
- 14:51tendency and and Ed Miliband in there as well takes over the
- 14:56government, it would bring people like you back, people
- 14:59who've gone off to the Greens or to your party?
- 15:02Oh yeah. Or Oh yeah, I mean, I, I think
- 15:05it would definitely bring people like me back, but I just don't
- 15:07think we're the critical mass. I mean, you know, there, there
- 15:10isn't the, the politics politicians that the Prime
- 15:14Minister is not going to start to succeed unless he describes
- 15:17the world in terms that make sense.
- 15:19The, the chime with what people are experiencing.
- 15:22So politicians standing up and saying I'm going to deliver
- 15:25change and then not delivering it or saying I've actually made
- 15:27huge changes. It's your problem that you can't
- 15:30feel them or that none of that is going to work.
- 15:33But at the same time, being soft left isn't a panacea for
- 15:38problems which are becoming worse.
- 15:41You know, you can't you can't be well meaning.
- 15:44I mean, which I'm sure a lot of these people are, but you know,
- 15:48there there is no well meaning answer to the crises ahead.
- 15:51It's got, I think it's going to be quite painful.
- 15:53And do you think the soft left of Labour can bring anyone back
- 15:57from reform without completely changing their position on
- 16:02immigration? The.
- 16:04Truth is that your Labour have been losing many more votes to,
- 16:10you know, Greens, Liberal Democrats, Clyde Cummer in
- 16:12Wales, the SNP in Scotland that has been losing to reform.
- 16:17Reform won a lot of seats in English council elections last
- 16:21week actually, precisely because previous Labour voters were
- 16:24voting Green. And you know, it it, it just
- 16:28lets it just lets the right in. So there are lots of
- 16:30calculations we had in this rather rickety, weird first past
- 16:34the post voting system we've got, which is not suited to this
- 16:38new five party politics. Labour's losing votes on to, you
- 16:42know, in five different ways to find different parties at the
- 16:45moment. And there isn't a single
- 16:48solution. And, you know, I think that
- 16:50Labour should, you know, I think any government should say that,
- 16:53you know, we, we, we protect our borders.
- 16:56I think you do need to have a rational debate about
- 16:59immigration and what sorts of numbers and what sort of skills
- 17:01we need to have coming in. I do think some of the debate
- 17:05about immigration has got irrational.
- 17:06And I do think sometimes, rather than trying to contextualise or
- 17:11contest some of the, you know, the, the, the positions that are
- 17:15that the populist right take, we've actually conceded and
- 17:20confirmed those positions. And I don't think that's clever
- 17:23politics. I think all that does is says to
- 17:26voters, you know, Nigel Farage's right, please don't vote for
- 17:28him. But I just go back to the
- 17:29fundamental point. There's a, there's a study
- 17:32published by UCL Policy Lab last week which said that only 1% of
- 17:36current reform voters would consider voting Labour.
- 17:39The issue is not how do we claw back reform voters.
- 17:42The issue is how do we stop more voters leaving Labour?
- 17:46And how do we stop and, and bring back some of the voters
- 17:48on, particularly on the progressive flank, do I think
- 17:50want to vote Labour? But they want to hear a
- 17:52recognizable Labour story. That I mean that that does mean
- 17:55moving Labour's policy offer to the left does.
- 18:00That Tom, not necessarily. It means telling a story in
- 18:03Labour terms. So you don't look often copy
- 18:06reform and copy some of the stuff that Zach Polensky say.
- 18:09I think you need to show that you show that you're serious
- 18:11about social justice. You know, just show that you're
- 18:13serious about you're taking long term decisions which you know
- 18:16about investment in this country and the defence of this country.
- 18:19So you're serious intellect, not wacky centre left.
- 18:22I think you'll you'll bring a lot of people back.
- 18:24So don't don't don't run after Greens, don't run after reform.
- 18:28Just be Labour. You you mentioned the electoral
- 18:31system and, and multi party politics.
- 18:34Again, a lot of people have been pointing out that, you know,
- 18:37first past the post in multi party systems can produce very
- 18:41unrepresentative outcomes. You know, you, you can get big,
- 18:45big majorities in a parliament with a very small percentage of
- 18:49the vote. Now Labour could just do this,
- 18:52couldn't it? It's got a massive majority.
- 18:54It could just change the voting system and do something quite
- 18:58big and radical. Interestingly, David Blunkett at
- 19:01the weekend warned against doing that.
- 19:03Do you think he's right? I, I I just don't think it's
- 19:06going to happen, but it does need to happen, yes.
- 19:08The, the, The thing is, I mean, Tom's completely right.
- 19:11You, you can't suddenly say I'm going to go 1st, I'm going to go
- 19:14for proportional representation. And it hasn't been in your
- 19:17manifesto and it's not part of your offer.
- 19:20And really the only figure within Labour, and again, I use
- 19:24that, I use that kind of slightly Milky language because
- 19:26he's not an MP who supports PR, is Andy Burnham.
- 19:30And that's what most, most Labour M PS are kind of
- 19:33constitutionally distrustful of it because like any very big
- 19:39historic political party, they think the way they win is the
- 19:43way is the only way they're ever going to win.
- 19:46And historically, first past the post has suited them.
- 19:50Now it it, it will take somebody kind of just, you know, jump
- 19:56jumping off the high wire and seeing if they fly to, to make
- 20:00that change or at least offer that change to the electorate.
- 20:03But yeah, I mean, and I think that's what makes it so crazy
- 20:06because apparently the the Greens are already saying they
- 20:09will fight any by election that Andy Burnham does stand in that
- 20:13to with, you know, tooth and nail.
- 20:15I think that's absolutely nuts on their part because their best
- 20:18bet for maximizing their in their, their, their surge is to
- 20:23have somebody in in charge of Labour who kind of believes in
- 20:27PR and by implication also believes in cooperation and, you
- 20:33know, progressive alliances. And to cut off the only person
- 20:37who actually does believe in that seems absolutely nuts to
- 20:39me. So there's quite a lot of people
- 20:41in the Labour who, who believe in electoral form.
- 20:43And you know, I, I, when I was working for Ed Miliband, he
- 20:46actually campaigned for AV in the, in, in that, in the
- 20:50referendum. I forgot about AAV, sorry.
- 20:52I did forget about that I think. It's quite true.
- 20:54Andy Burnham is a totally lone voice on this.
- 20:57I think the old argument about, you know, how first past the
- 21:00post guarantees that, you know, you keep the extremes out of
- 21:04politics and and keep politics moderate and very British, even
- 21:09though it's a bit unfair sometimes.
- 21:10I don't think it really carries anymore, not as it not only is
- 21:13our first part supposed unfair in five party politics is going
- 21:18to produce weird and dangerous outcomes.
- 21:20You know, you could have Nigel Farage going to down the street
- 21:23on 2324% per vote. That should concentrate a few
- 21:26minds. You know it is, it is not fit
- 21:29for purpose anymore if we have five party politics.
- 21:31As you say that Tom, I, it does. It is concentrating minds and
- 21:35everybody's mind is concentrated.
- 21:37But I feel like we're all really, what we're reacting with
- 21:40is a kind of petrification rather than concentration.
- 21:44You know, there's like a lot of people reacting to the spectre
- 21:48of a reformed government, even the spectre of of of kind of a
- 21:52very strong reform presence in local government.
- 21:55It's created a kind of panic that I'm not sure is is leading
- 22:00to very good strategic decision making.
- 22:03Tom, just to come back to today again and, and the, and the
- 22:06speech, you know, you, you know Starmer better than most people
- 22:11when he says, you know, he need, you know, he accepts
- 22:13responsibility, he needs to change.
- 22:15I mean, and you know, people do blame him to some degree.
- 22:18Do you think he actually needs to change himself or, or, or
- 22:24does he need to change the way people are thinking about him?
- 22:27You know, is he capable of, you know, of, of completely changing
- 22:30his personality and being a different person than being the,
- 22:32the kind of charismatic politician that people are now
- 22:35wishing he was, even though they quite like the fact that he was
- 22:38a bit grey and, you know, and, and, and dull a few years ago?
- 22:42Or, or does he actually need a different argument?
- 22:45You know, that's we need to stop thinking like that.
- 22:48And and do you think that's possible?
- 22:51I think, I think what's strange about the last 22 months for a
- 22:53lot of people who know and like Kier Starmer is he actually
- 22:57hasn't been the steady, decent, sensible grown up that he is.
- 23:06And we wanted him to be in Downing Street.
- 23:09But not too much of what we've seen from this government has
- 23:12actually been the kind of Westminster transactional, who's
- 23:16up, who's down, What's this advisor doing?
- 23:18Can we get rid of this advisor? You know, who's, what's this
- 23:20appointment about And not actually about the people in
- 23:22this country. Now I know I'm absolutely, 100%
- 23:26confident that that is not what Keir Starmer wanted to be
- 23:29defined by. It is his fault because I think
- 23:32he's subcontracted that to others for far too long, that
- 23:34he's buried up to his neck in that kind of politics.
- 23:37I think the peculiar kind of agony he is in is he now thinks
- 23:42that almost his place in history and his legacy is going to be
- 23:46defined by things which were uncharacteristic of him as a
- 23:51person but all too typical of this government.
- 23:55That's why I think he is trying to use his speech today to
- 23:59actually say, look, I want to do something.
- 24:01I want to do something bolder. I want to take a clearer
- 24:04direction about where we're headed so we're not just
- 24:06wandering around, you know, in this sort of terrible
- 24:10Westminster bubble talking about things which mean nothing to
- 24:13most people. He wants to back towards what it
- 24:17should be doing, which is dealing with the British
- 24:19people's concerns and British people's lives, real lives,
- 24:22rather than this. Very weird, hyperbolic
- 24:26Westminster environment which he loathes.
- 24:28I know. I think many voters live and.
- 24:30And in your heart, did you find it convincing?
- 24:33I am convinced that he wants to do something different.
- 24:37I think this speech, if it's a step in a new direction, is
- 24:42great. I'm if it's just there on its
- 24:45own. I think there, you know, is not
- 24:48enough substance there to say I got new approaches yet, a new
- 24:53plan. But some of the stuff he's
- 24:56saying on Europe, some of the stuff he's saying about
- 24:58opportunity, some of the stuff he's saying about, you know,
- 25:00need to take some really big decisions about defence for this
- 25:03country. I think that that that is the
- 25:06right direction. Those are some of the big, big
- 25:08challenges facing Britain. And too often we've been talking
- 25:11about, you know, who's got what desk and who's got what pay rise
- 25:14in down history. And that is irrelevant.
- 25:18And you know, Labour needs to get its head out of that kind of
- 25:21politics and back into the country.
- 25:22But. But The thing is, Tom, you you
- 25:25talk as though what derailed kiss the period in office has
- 25:29derailed it in terms of like it. It's just because he was too
- 25:33Beltway. He was too into who's up, who's
- 25:35down. Actually, what happened was that
- 25:38you had a situation that like a large part of the first year was
- 25:44he defined it as it was bringing back party unity, but it was
- 25:48actually about ejecting one wing of the party.
- 25:51It wasn't that he was too into Beltway politics.
- 25:55He wasn't trying to do West Wing.
- 25:57He was actually, I, I think you're right.
- 25:59It was subcontracted, but the people he subcontracted it to
- 26:03were trying to refashion the party as something other than
- 26:06what it was. So, you know, OK, maybe people,
- 26:09maybe that does annoy you to talk about.
- 26:12Maybe it does annoy people on the doorstep, but actually it
- 26:15was, it was a real, it was a real political thing that was
- 26:18going on, and I contend an extremely damaging one, because
- 26:23all the people who actually cared about Labour values as
- 26:26they understood them found themselves either no longer
- 26:29welcome in the party or it completely got gob smacked by
- 26:35the by the values the party was espousing.
- 26:38Just finally, Tom, I mean, we we've got The King's Speech on
- 26:41Wednesday. Isn't that also slightly absurd
- 26:45when we don't know how long it's going to be before the King's
- 26:49back to do another one? I think it's absurd that Labour
- 26:52is considering a leadership contest in these circumstances.
- 26:54I've said that earlier, I'll say it again.
- 26:57This is not the time to do it. This is the time to get on with
- 27:01governing with that big majority 3 years ago before a general
- 27:04election. This is the time to end that
- 27:09era. And I agree with what so he's
- 27:12just said to some extent. I think there were some silly,
- 27:15inward looking factional battles being fought by some of the
- 27:17people around Keir Starmer done in his name.
- 27:22And yeah, I've said before he sometimes appeared like the sort
- 27:24of vegetarian manager of a butcher shop.
- 27:27And, you know, I don't think it's the core of who he is.
- 27:34And my great regret about the last 22 months is, I thought
- 27:38that he hasn't emerged as some charismatic, visionary leader.
- 27:42My great regret is he hasn't been.
- 27:44We haven't seen enough of the sensible, serious, grown up
- 27:48Prime Minister who can stabilize the turmoil and chaos we've had
- 27:56ever since Brexit. The answer to Keir Starmer's
- 28:00problems to me have always been be more like Keir Starmer.
- 28:04Don't pretend to be someone else.
- 28:06And I don't know whether he's still got time to do that, but
- 28:11in whatever time he does have in Dynasty, I think it's very
- 28:13important that expresses his values, shows who he is, rather
- 28:17than, you know, tries to ape someone like other people's idea
- 28:23of what an ideal Prime Minister should be.
- 28:25Well, we, we must leave it there.
- 28:27I, I, I didn't expect there to be quite so much agreement
- 28:31between Zoe Williams and Tom Baldwin, and perhaps that tells
- 28:34us something about where we are in the cycle of this story.
- 28:38But thank you both very much indeed.
- 28:40That's the forecast for today. We'll see you soon.