Latest / SILVER / GOLD / $UFD Meme Coin Investing & Global Economics / Massive SILVER UPDATE! 🦍🦍You BEST Hear This NOW! (Bond Market Crisis, India and Gold Price)
Transcript
- 0:01We have some incredible massive stories that are going to have a
- 0:04big impact on the future price of silver and gold.
- 0:08We're going to talk about them all.
- 0:09Some of this information may be a bit startling.
- 0:13We're going through what could be one of the biggest crisis and
- 0:16we're just starting in one of the biggest markets in the
- 0:20world, and it will have a major impact on our silver and gold.
- 0:23Before we get to that, let's start with India though, because
- 0:27we have some interesting developments coming out of
- 0:29India. And remember, India is massive
- 0:33when it comes to gold and silver.
- 0:35So this is breaking news in the precious metal sector.
- 0:40This came from macro liquidity by I believe he's from India.
- 0:44Sunil Reddy said India just restricted silver bar imports.
- 0:50Silver bars under code blah blah blah, including 99.9% pure
- 0:55silver bars had moved from free to restrictive.
- 0:58The difference is huge. A duty hike only makes imports
- 1:01more costly. A restriction makes imports
- 1:05permission based. Why is this a big deal?
- 1:07Because we also had news like he referred to that India increase
- 1:12the import duties on silver and gold to 15%.
- 1:17OK, their Prime Minister last week, Mr. Modi went out and
- 1:22publicly told people not to buy gold and silver.
- 1:26Now think about this, right? What happens, what and when we
- 1:31got more data about India. But what happens when you tell
- 1:34people not to do something? In the United States, there was
- 1:37a thing called prohibition. I don't know, back in the 1920s
- 1:41what happened. People drank more than ever.
- 1:44OK, so why? And then the other question we
- 1:46need to ask is, why is India doing this?
- 1:49Because we're going to look at some data next that tells us
- 1:52India is the king of gold in particular.
- 1:56But will So then why would the country of India be saying this?
- 1:59No, Restricting imports, putting huge taxes on imports,
- 2:04effectively telling people not to do it?
- 2:06Well, that's because, right? They're trying to protect their
- 2:09Fiat currency. Indian people are smart.
- 2:12And trust me, they're going to find a way to get gold and
- 2:14silver. They smuggle it in.
- 2:16That's what happened the other times when they restricted the
- 2:19amount of silver they could. They would like, put it in their
- 2:21wigs. They would stick it in some
- 2:24undesirable places. And their body, they would go to
- 2:26no any length, I'm sorry, to get gold and silver into the
- 2:31country. Remember, silver and gold are
- 2:34worldwide markets, thousands of years.
- 2:37OK, there's a lot of weirdness going on right now.
- 2:40Let's go look at this about India.
- 2:42Then we're going to move on. One more interesting point about
- 2:46our friends in India, where we see that when combining central
- 2:52bank reserves and private citizen Holden Holdings, India
- 2:56is the undisputed world leader in gold.
- 2:59Households have about 27,000 metric tons and then when you
- 3:05add in the Reserve Bank of India, that's like 28,000 all
- 3:08together. Don't forget, right, the United
- 3:11States in total, in total, right?
- 3:14Because citizens own a minimal amount in grand total between
- 3:19our government and our citizens, they estimate we have 8100.
- 3:24OK. Now don't forget also that India
- 3:29recently when it comes to silver change their banking laws
- 3:32essentially monetizing silver on April 1st, allowing people to
- 3:37use silver as collateral to get, yeah, their Fiat rupees or
- 3:41whatever they call them over there.
- 3:43They also abandoned the LBMA pricing for their own internal
- 3:48precious metals markets. They said we're done with the
- 3:50LBMA, right? They're done with make believe
- 3:53fantasy island pricing for silver and gold.
- 3:57Also, they allowed they put out they'd some change some big laws
- 4:01that allow the big find some big financial products in India to
- 4:05actually invest in physical gold and silver.
- 4:09And again, to wrap it all up, they are the world's biggest.
- 4:12They are the undisputed king of gold in particular.
- 4:15I don't think they're the king of silver, but nonetheless,
- 4:18right, gold is the granddaddy of all precious metals.
- 4:21This is wild, guys. This tells us that there's a lot
- 4:24of weirdness going on in the world of central banking, paper
- 4:28money. All that, right, only makes us
- 4:31feel a little bit better, a little bit more secure, despite
- 4:34the recent trauma that we've had in the gold and silver markets
- 4:37about the fact that if you're like me, you've decided to
- 4:41protect some of your wealth with, with gold and silver and
- 4:44maybe some precious metal mining stocks.
- 4:47What about China, right? So we know what's going there.
- 4:49India, they're going to get their gold and silver.
- 4:51What about China, right with all this craziness, right?
- 4:54Trump went and went and had the big summit in China.
- 4:58And then interestingly enough, the gold and silver price
- 5:02immediately went down. Do you think Chinese people
- 5:05let's go on a little field trip together.
- 5:07You can see if Chinese people are still active in the gold and
- 5:12silver markets. This is from our friend David
- 5:15Lee, the man on the street highly respected within the gold
- 5:19and silver community. And I want to get this on full
- 5:22screen for you, see if we can get that.
- 5:26So I'll just send that and say I'll tell you where this is in
- 5:33one second. Look at all those people.
- 5:39OK, so that is the Shenzhen Shubai, I believe it is make it
- 5:44that, right. Shenzhen Shubai gold market,
- 5:47which we know because we researched this, is like the
- 5:50biggest public gold and silver market in all of China.
- 5:55So India, they aren't going anywhere when it comes to demand
- 5:59for gold and silver. China, they're not going
- 6:02anywhere. But what about in the West?
- 6:04This is interesting because we talked about this many times.
- 6:07The Western investor has essentially been gone from the
- 6:12silver market in particular. But there's something very
- 6:16interesting that's happened the last few days and we're going to
- 6:19look at that right now and talk about why this could be, right,
- 6:23a very, very good thing for the silver market and the silver
- 6:27price as we go forward. Here we go.
- 6:30This is a chart showing US ETF flows into SLV and total total
- 6:40ETF holdings. I apologize up there.
- 6:42As you can see way over here on the left, that's the 15th of
- 6:46May, which was Friday. The green right Western
- 6:50investors have been net adding to the their ETF holdings.
- 6:55Why that's a big deal because they've essentially been gone.
- 7:00We've yet to really experience the real way we got a taste of
- 7:04it back in January of this year. But guys, we've yet to really
- 7:09get like a taste of like a wave of people coming into.
- 7:13Now the other good thing about that is they've people have
- 7:17stopped selling, OK. And the reason why is, and we've
- 7:21talked about this like, and Rick Roll said it, I'll never forget.
- 7:24I think it's one of the coolest, smartest things that I've heard
- 7:27him say, he said. We don't need a silver investors
- 7:30to love our Western investors. We love silver.
- 7:33We don't need the general Western investors to love
- 7:36silver. We just need them to hate it a
- 7:38little bit less. And there's some indication that
- 7:43that might be happening. The reason why that's huge is
- 7:46because of just a tiny bit, an itsy bitsy bit of Western money
- 7:52comes into the silver investing sector because it is so small.
- 7:57We're like an elite. We're like the, you know, the
- 8:00Navy Seals, right? Are the Green Beret in the Army?
- 8:03We are like the elite core of investors in the United States.
- 8:06But we're small, right? And because we're so small, it
- 8:10just takes, we're one or two percent.
- 8:12It just takes another one or 2% to double the number of people
- 8:17in the sector. And on top of that, the cherry
- 8:20on top is it when those new people come in, that's all brand
- 8:25new money. That's all fresh dollars being
- 8:28converted from paper into physical.
- 8:31If you want to get your hands on some physical right now, look
- 8:34right there, right where my finger is first meant they are
- 8:37#1 they only make silver bullion products.
- 8:42They're a silver exclusive mint, right?
- 8:45That's their specialty. They're owned by First Majestic,
- 8:49who mines the silver in Mexico, ships to the Las Vegas, NV, to
- 8:53the First Mint facility, and then it goes directly to you.
- 8:57Let's go out and take a look at their website so you know where
- 9:00to go to check them out. OK, You can be like everybody
- 9:03else in the basement who's checked them out and really been
- 9:06happy with the products, service, prices, everything from
- 9:10First Mint. Here we are at First mint.com.
- 9:13That's their Las Vegas round. You're the horse round.
- 9:16Hail to the Chief Buffalo round, you're the Dragon round.
- 9:21Then there's their Liberty Bar where they currently have a
- 9:23$2.00 off special right now. Go check them out at First
- 9:27mint.com and, and let me know, right?
- 9:30Give us some feedback because we love to hear the positive
- 9:34feedback from all of you about your experience with First Mint.
- 9:38OK, Oh, OK, we talked about silver.
- 9:41Let's just look at gold and investor allocation into gold.
- 9:54OK, here we go. This is a chart from Incrementum
- 9:57price is shifting investor allocation and as you can see
- 10:02yet historically speaking people are under allocated to gold.
- 10:08So on this chart, what we're looking at is that right now,
- 10:12OK, this is gold allocation by private investors as a share of
- 10:19global equities and bonds going all the way back to 1971, as you
- 10:24can see, right at its peak. Got up to what about 8%, guys?
- 10:28We're still at only 2%. But what's important to remember
- 10:33about that is a lot of that increase right up to 2% because
- 10:38we were down, I don't know, like below 1 at a couple points.
- 10:43So this little increase that we've had, most of that is due
- 10:49to people that already held gold that but but because the price
- 10:53went up, so it made the percentage of total of the total
- 10:57go up again, just like silver. We've yet to really feel the
- 11:02wave of new people and when they wake up and it's going to happen
- 11:05because that inflation is coming and it's coming like nothing.
- 11:09Now let's go take a look at the silver chart.
- 11:12Rashad pointed out something very interesting.
- 11:16Yep, we had our silver breakout, but now silver has retraced all
- 11:20the way back to the apex of the triangle after the infamous
- 11:25breakout. Now, what's key here, right?
- 11:28And we're going to talk about our our community price down
- 11:32here, right? As you can see, we broke out and
- 11:35came right back. I'm going to remove that so you
- 11:37can see it more clearly. Right back to the apex of this
- 11:42wedge pattern. So what happens this week is
- 11:45going to be very, very important from a technical perspective, a
- 11:50psychological perspective and everything else for silver.
- 11:53We have said over and over that $72.50 is kind of the the line
- 12:01in the sand right now, the red line in our opinion, in my
- 12:04opinion, for silver. That's after looking at all the
- 12:08technical analysis, looking, considering the fundamentals,
- 12:11considering what the price action has been over the last 18
- 12:14months. Guys, these next few weeks will
- 12:17be critical. The question is, will we be OK
- 12:20if silver breaks below $72.50? Well, I've got some good news
- 12:25for you. Yes, we will be OK.
- 12:28The next key level will be around $66 per oz.
- 12:32I'm not saying that I think it's going to get there.
- 12:35I think that based on what's happened lately, the odds are a
- 12:38little bit more likely than what we would have talked about just
- 12:41a week ago. Last week was nuts.
- 12:43There is craziness going on out there right now and it all
- 12:48happened and it's everything is happening so much more quickly.
- 12:51So if we do breakdown, OK, If we do and we get down to 66,
- 12:56remember things are happening incredibly faster right now.
- 13:02We could see a recovery. We could see with what's
- 13:05happening in the bond market, money printing, and we're going
- 13:08to get to that here in a second. So quick.
- 13:10Just be ready, be emotionally prepared.
- 13:13We could shoot up again. We, we volatility goes both
- 13:16ways. Be emotionally prepared for
- 13:19anything that they're sending at us because at the end of the
- 13:22day, hold on one second. At the end of the day, we're
- 13:28going to remember this, OK? Right now in the world, the
- 13:33silver market is based on paper claims in the West, and that's
- 13:37changing. Some estimates put the broader
- 13:40paper to physical silver ratio around 356 to 1 when including
- 13:49futures, OTC swaps, forwards and unallocated exposure.
- 13:53Even if the exact number is debated, the message is clear,
- 13:57right? There's a lot more paper make
- 14:00believe silver out there than there is actual physical silver.
- 14:04And now right to what's going on, warning, right, suddenly all
- 14:09heck is broken loose in the world.
- 14:12We know what happened Thursday and Friday and silver and gold
- 14:15markets and on Friday suddenly feels like out of nowhere,
- 14:20although we know it's not out of nowhere.
- 14:21But now everybody's paying attention to the fact that we've
- 14:24got a bond market crisis. OK, Kitco puts this out.
- 14:34Rising real yields crush precious metals momentum because
- 14:39the bond market is in a state of utter turmoil suddenly, right,
- 14:45yields are going up. So everybody's saying, oh,
- 14:47that's bad for gold, that's bad for silver.
- 14:49No, no, no. Because while the think about
- 14:52this is key to remember, while the excuse me, while the, while
- 15:01the bond market, we get data in real time.
- 15:04The other key thing to remember is inflation, right?
- 15:07And we don't get except for our own experiences at the gas pump
- 15:12in the grocery store and when we get, have you gotten your
- 15:14homeowners insurance bill yet? Your homeowners insurance bill,
- 15:18right? We, we kind of get that on a day
- 15:20by day, but the markets don't get all the markets see is the
- 15:23bond market getting reported right on a minute by minute
- 15:27basis. The bond market's the biggest
- 15:28market in the world, right? Prices are crashing.
- 15:31All this drama going on now, but what's key take a step back for
- 15:36gold and silver investors is the other side of that equation,
- 15:40which is inflation. And we don't get that data.
- 15:43There's not like a like a like a minute by minute inflation
- 15:46tracker. And even if there were, we know
- 15:49there probably wouldn't be accurate anyway because the
- 15:52government data that they put out is a suspect at best.
- 15:57So as we navigate now what's going on, all this big drama and
- 16:02it's weird, right? Like everything was hunky Dory
- 16:05up until Friday. I'm telling you, things are
- 16:08happening much more quickly now. But as we as we follow this
- 16:12crisis that's going on, don't forget there is another critical
- 16:16side to the equation and that is inflation.
- 16:19And in the end, that's what's going to drive the boat.
- 16:22That's what's going to make the difference.
- 16:23Bond prices are are crashing throughout the world.
- 16:27OK, we're going to look at some more data here one second.
- 16:29And I said, right, that's because everyone in the world is
- 16:34suddenly realizing that everyone's money is just a bunch
- 16:40of debt, right? There's all this debt is all the
- 16:44money is all a bunch of debt, which is backed up by even more
- 16:48debt. OK.
- 16:50It's all a bunch of paper make believe that people think they
- 16:54own owe each other. It's the exact opposite of
- 16:57silver and gold. And it's really came to a
- 16:59crescendo. Is that the right word?
- 17:01I don't know, an apex, whatever. And I think people, it's
- 17:05strange, guys. I'm worried about what's going
- 17:08on right now with what went on with this great, awesome,
- 17:12incredible summit that the President Trump had with like 20
- 17:17of the US big executives. And then we come home and
- 17:20suddenly the next day, everything falls apart.
- 17:24I mean, put the pieces together. I don't know.
- 17:26Hopefully nothing happens this coming week, but I'm concerned
- 17:30about what we may see. On top of that, I want to
- 17:33mention the stock market's not much better.
- 17:35Remember, the bond market is the biggest market in the world.
- 17:39The bond market is actually much more important than the stock
- 17:42market, but the stock market is in the situation.
- 17:45We're gonna look at some data later.
- 17:46Bubbly situation, but the stock market's like based on Fantasy
- 17:51Island projections and values and it's priced in U.S. dollars,
- 17:58which is like a paper fantasy currency.
- 18:00I don't know, it's getting crazy.
- 18:02All right, let's run out. Let me run through a few more
- 18:05what other people are saying. You've heard enough from me.
- 18:08This came from Luke Roman said this and it was shared by in
- 18:15gold we trust, Luke Roman said. I think the recognition that not
- 18:19only are Western sovereigns concerned by their debt, but
- 18:23that it's in the US interest in particular to net settle more
- 18:27trade in gold at a floating price as a means of revaluing
- 18:31gold higher using trade and thereby rebalancing global trade
- 18:36and giving Western sovereigns the ability to use significantly
- 18:40higher gold prices to re collateralize, re collateralize
- 18:45or pay down their sovereign debt to sustain levels.
- 18:48They're talking about the world losing faith in paper money.
- 18:53It's not just the US dollars. There he said it.
- 18:58That's the key. Western sovereigns are cornered
- 19:02by their debt, right? We've got, we've come to a
- 19:04position of what's called fiscal dominance.
- 19:08And when you hear that term fiscal dominance, it sounds like
- 19:11yes, we're strong, we're dominating.
- 19:13No, what fiscal dominance actually means, and it makes
- 19:17sense when you think about it, is that the fiscal situation of
- 19:22the United States and a lot of other countries that have racked
- 19:25up incredible amounts of debt that are that now the, the, the
- 19:29fiscal situation is dominating what the governments can do to
- 19:35deal with economic problems, to do with monetary problems.
- 19:38We are in like a wild, wild, wild new world, right?
- 19:43Where like, and the best example is that our, our US Federal
- 19:47Reserve, everybody's like, oh, rates are going up.
- 19:50Rates are going up. The 30 year treasury is at 3
- 19:53five point 1%, which yes, is crazy high, OK.
- 19:58And it's because inflation and the feds going to have to raise
- 20:01rates. The Fed can't raise rates,
- 20:04right? the Fed, the, the Fed is in a
- 20:07position like our government of fiscal dominance, right?
- 20:12There's so much debt and we talked about this a multitude of
- 20:16times that our government, the only thing the feds going to be
- 20:19able to do get ready because it's good news is print, is
- 20:23monetize the debt. That's the only way that they're
- 20:26going to be able to keep rates under control.
- 20:29The opposite of people, they're going to raise rates, really to
- 20:32raise rates, right? Not in real terms, right?
- 20:35The feds got to monetize the debt.
- 20:38That's the only thing they're going to be able to do.
- 20:40And when they monetize the debt, that means they print more money
- 20:44to buy the debt to keep the interest rates under control.
- 20:49I do not envy Mr. Walsh, who's taking over or has taken over, I
- 20:54guess, officially at the Federal Reserve.
- 20:56It's crazy. OK, Now let's go see what more
- 21:00people are saying about what we're dealing with right now.
- 21:03This is from the Kabasi letter. They said the bond market crisis
- 21:08is intensifying. And then the last thing they say
- 21:13inflation is back and higher rates are coming.
- 21:18I don't agree with that. OK, not in real terms.
- 21:21Yeah, sure, maybe they raise rates if they have to buy a half
- 21:23percentage point or whatever the case may be.
- 21:26But the rates aren't going to be able to keep up with inflation.
- 21:29And inflation is the is the is the is the master at this point.
- 21:35Everything else truly is the servant.
- 21:38Let's go here. This another one from the Kabesi
- 21:43letter breaking the United. Oh this is interesting. the
- 21:47United Kingdom's 30 year government bond yield surges to
- 21:50almost 6%, its highest level since March of 1998.
- 21:57Guys, that was before Google existed, or at least the same
- 22:05year the the Google was created. Global bond markets are bracing
- 22:10for severe inflation. And then Peter Schiff throws in
- 22:14his three cents. He says the yield on a 30 year
- 22:18treasury is now 5.1%, the highest since 2720 years.
- 22:24The 10 year 4.55, the highest since Liberation Day.
- 22:28Sell off, he says in green. This may set off a major bond
- 22:31market collapse that will send yields soaring unless the Fed
- 22:36sends inflation soaring instead. And exactly what he means by
- 22:41that is if the either either rates go way up or the Fed does
- 22:48the only thing that they know to do and think about what it what
- 22:51have they done over the last 30-40 years?
- 22:53Print money to monetize the debt like we just talked about, which
- 22:57will send inflation soaring even higher as well.
- 23:02All of this while the stock market is absolutely in bubble
- 23:06territory. Coindesk shares with us.
- 23:10U.S. stock valuations are approaching.com bubble territory
- 23:14with the Shiller PE now hitting 42, just below the 44 peak scene
- 23:20in 1999 before the S&P 500 crashed 50%.
- 23:25And a little more scary news for you from the man, the myth, the
- 23:30legend himself, Jim Rogers. OK, one of the most respected
- 23:35investors in the last 50 years. He sells all his US stocks and
- 23:40warns the end will probably come soon as national debt hits 39
- 23:47trillion, he said. Now this is this is for us gold
- 23:50and silver investors. As long as I've been alive and
- 23:56hundreds of years longer, gold and silver have retained value.
- 24:01I own both. I hope my children own my gold
- 24:05and silver someday. Everybody should have some gold
- 24:08in the closet and everybody should have some silver under
- 24:13the bed. So guys, look, when we wrap it
- 24:16all together right now, there is insanity.
- 24:19The bond market. Remember, we don't get taught
- 24:22this in school, but the bond market is infinitely more
- 24:26important. Exponentially, sorry, better
- 24:29word more important than the stock market.
- 24:33This coming week we're going to have the gold and silver futures
- 24:35open here in a few hours. But this coming week, what
- 24:38happens? We could be we could be at that
- 24:41moment right where where the Jenga tower falls down right
- 24:46where it's that one thing. And the bond market is the
- 24:49powerhouse of the world. But remember, the bond market
- 24:54will also be a slave to inflation.
- 24:57And remember, right, there's nothing that creates more value,
- 25:04right? More, more, higher price, higher
- 25:07protection, however you want to say it, for precious metals than
- 25:11inflation. That will be the driver if we
- 25:14take all these complicated things that we can talk about
- 25:17and distill them down to one sentence.
- 25:20One, one key component that we want to remember that is that as
- 25:24we move into this next decade, inflation is really all that we
- 25:30have to focus on. All that we have to worry about
- 25:33because everything else, right, will be a servant to inflation,
- 25:37right In the king of inflation are gold and silver.
- 25:41Hey, you're the king. You're the queen for joining me
- 25:44down here in the basement on behalf of myself and upstairs,
- 25:47Susie, thank you for being here. OK?
- 25:49It's going to be a wild week. We'll navigate it together.
- 25:53Everything will be OK. Remember, please try to try to
- 25:57take a step back. I know it's hard.
- 25:59Red days are no fun. Green days are a lot of fun.
- 26:02But try to strip that emotion out of the underlying
- 26:05fundamental reasons why we love gold and silver.
- 26:09We are basement dwellers. We love gold and silver because
- 26:13we understand history and we understand basic mathematics.
- 26:17Please subscribe to the channel. Love to have you back down here
- 26:21in the basement again. Take care and I'll see you soon.
- 26:24Bye.