Latest / Earn Your Leisure / Cliff Notes: IS A STOCK MARKET PULLBACK COMING
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- 0:58Speaker 2: Can we go somewhere real quick?
- 1:00Speaker 3: Because it was doing You mentioned Amazon, and I don't
- 1:02Speaker 3: want anybody to breeze over that. You know, that's one
- 1:04Speaker 3: of the companies I'm heavily invested in Amazon and a
- 1:07Speaker 3: firm that that partnership. Right, But now you have a
- 1:12Speaker 3: payment planned company partnering with the largest retail company, well
- 1:15Speaker 3: will will be by the next year, the largest retail
- 1:17Speaker 3: company in the world.
- 1:19Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on that, guys?
- 1:20Speaker 4: Oh baby, you know I'm not gonna say anything else.
- 1:25Speaker 4: Like that movement of pay later or running credit applications
- 1:30Speaker 4: to select people to be able to pay your finance
- 1:33Speaker 4: later tied into the stickiness of the algorithm that Amazon has.
- 1:37Speaker 5: It'll probably that alone that gave give him.
- 1:40Speaker 4: A twenty or thirty percent bump over in stock price
- 1:42Speaker 4: over the next twenty four to thirty eight months, because
- 1:45Speaker 4: even if let's say the worst case scenario, it drives
- 1:49Speaker 4: eight percent more sales once Once you guys do the homework,
- 1:52Speaker 4: I know Pearson probably knows the answer. How much more
- 1:55Speaker 4: revenue with that bringing Amazon is just that partnership brought
- 1:58Speaker 4: an eight percent more revenue per year. That would that
- 2:01Speaker 4: would make a company's year that kind of growth as
- 2:06Speaker 4: it's a great partnership kind of like all us being
- 2:09Speaker 4: on stage and investments.
- 2:10Speaker 5: I'm working on my segways now that was no.
- 2:13Speaker 3: Hey, The interesting part is that before that PO we
- 2:16Speaker 3: had said a firm, a firm, a firm, affirm, we
- 2:18Speaker 3: got on our watchers. Put it on your watch list,
- 2:20Speaker 3: and now to see them to part with Amazon, with
- 2:22Speaker 3: which we obviously love crazy, it's amazing. And hey, you
- 2:26Speaker 3: know the the installment payment starts so low. It's not
- 2:29Speaker 3: like you have to have something that's four hundred dollars.
- 2:30Speaker 3: I think it starts if something is fifty dollars are
- 2:32Speaker 3: over you can have it installment payments on it.
- 2:36Speaker 2: Amazon's I mean, this is they just they're different now.
- 2:39Speaker 6: And also you got to ask yourself, this is what
- 2:41Speaker 6: I love about So Amazon is leader, like my favorite
- 2:43Speaker 6: company next to Chapolte. But what happens is what people
- 2:49Speaker 6: fail to realize too, is like Amazon Web Services their
- 2:53Speaker 6: bread one. So when you add paid, you know to
- 2:57Speaker 6: pay later to the retail part of it. Mm hmm,
- 3:00Speaker 6: it's an easy grant. Yeah, that's easy. Like that now,
- 3:05Speaker 6: Like man, that's that's sick, you know what I'm.
- 3:08Speaker 4: Saying, especially on the electronics side, and.
- 3:11Speaker 7: People don't like to pay not want to pay later anyway.
- 3:13Speaker 7: You just now.
- 3:14Speaker 6: Put on a pay later with the people have also
- 3:18Speaker 6: bought this.
- 3:19Speaker 7: It's over you.
- 3:21Speaker 4: With the retail stores that they also acquired, So now
- 3:25Speaker 4: you'll be able to pay later. Get a shipped to
- 3:27Speaker 4: you in a couple of hours to go pick it
- 3:28Speaker 4: up same day with and if you have a prime
- 3:31Speaker 4: and it'll be one click.
- 3:32Speaker 3: Nah.
- 3:32Speaker 6: Yeah, that's what we got to also look at as
- 3:35Speaker 6: I want us to realize how the game is evolved,
- 3:41Speaker 6: how every company is evolving technology, whether it's I talked
- 3:44Speaker 6: about software, I talked about you know, chip to plans,
- 3:48Speaker 6: but just look at how software is evolving, Like that's
- 3:51Speaker 6: what we got to look at when we talk about fintech.
- 3:53Speaker 6: That's another software, Like we look at that. You don't
- 3:56Speaker 6: got to chase the next nothing. The things that are
- 3:59Speaker 6: in front of us right now having peaked, they're still growing.
- 4:03Speaker 6: There's so much growth in the companies that were looking
- 4:05Speaker 6: at right now, like you don't got to go chase
- 4:07Speaker 6: the next nothing, people like Amazon, people like Facebook, Like
- 4:10Speaker 6: no one is acquiet more businesses, more businesses than Facebook
- 4:13Speaker 6: over the last three years, nobody, you know what I'm saying,
- 4:16Speaker 6: Like they're the companies that are right in our face
- 4:19Speaker 6: are growing at a tremendous radio like go like look at.
- 4:23Speaker 2: That, look at that focused, Look you got to go try.
- 4:28Speaker 7: To chase the next nothing that they are looking at
- 4:30Speaker 7: right Like we're.
- 4:31Speaker 6: In that phase of the world where we're this is
- 4:34Speaker 6: the first phase of that evolution, you know what I'm saying,
- 4:37Speaker 6: This is the first.
- 4:38Speaker 7: Like we're not deep into it. We're still at the
- 4:40Speaker 7: grass roofs part of that evolution.
- 4:42Speaker 5: This is like ninety nine for fintech credit exactly, be
- 4:46Speaker 5: right there.
- 4:46Speaker 6: You don't got to look for the next nothing. The
- 4:48Speaker 6: new things are still like Amazon is just getting the
- 4:51Speaker 6: ball ruling, you know what I'm saying, Like they just
- 4:53Speaker 6: getting it, PayPal just getting Square, just getting these people
- 4:56Speaker 6: are just getting the ball rolling.
- 4:58Speaker 7: You don't have to go look for.
- 4:59Speaker 4: The next yeah, saying the music industry people like who's
- 5:02Speaker 4: the new Drake? I'm like Aubrey.
- 5:05Speaker 2: If I love it boy, if I love a boy and.
- 5:08Speaker 4: Enjoy, please do not do it Amazon, twenty nine eighty
- 5:13Speaker 4: three h seven. It's a good price, Red Panded family,
- 5:16Speaker 4: if you up from the price that I gave you
- 5:18Speaker 4: a couple of months ago, put Red Panda in chat
- 5:20Speaker 4: and earners. I want you to kill this twenty nine
- 5:23Speaker 4: eighty three oh seven.
- 5:24Speaker 5: Amazon.
- 5:26Speaker 4: There are a lot of pregnant emojis he had on
- 5:28Speaker 4: that album. You have to have your money. But oh
- 5:32Speaker 4: did y'all make that many investments babies. Let me know,
- 5:34Speaker 4: let's do a check up report and see was y'all
- 5:37Speaker 4: good or bad?
- 5:42Speaker 5: Yeah?
- 5:42Speaker 3: Yeah, Donna just came just came out yesterday. So I
- 5:44Speaker 3: got both of them up today. I got I got Drake,
- 5:47Speaker 3: and I got Yeah.
- 5:48Speaker 2: I see. Listen to the blessings to both our brothers.
- 5:51Speaker 2: Both our brothers.
- 5:52Speaker 7: Shout out to Okay, so let's talk about this uh
- 5:59Speaker 7: ten percent pull back in the market.
- 6:01Speaker 6: Is that something that you know, we think could potentially
- 6:05Speaker 6: come soon?
- 6:06Speaker 3: So hey, trap before you start, I just want to
- 6:10Speaker 3: be I wanted everybody because everybody on this in here
- 6:13Speaker 3: right now, and that's for it for sure.
- 6:15Speaker 2: We remember this time last year. We remember this time
- 6:21Speaker 2: last year. I'll never forget it.
- 6:23Speaker 3: It was like yo, we was like, man, this is
- 6:24Speaker 3: going great. And then August thirtieth through September second happened
- 6:29Speaker 3: and it was a night.
- 6:30Speaker 4: Man, I knew tech was gonna pull it back.
- 6:37Speaker 2: I'm like, I was like, damn, Shotty, you want that
- 6:41Speaker 2: energy out there?
- 6:42Speaker 5: Yeah, I was like.
- 6:44Speaker 6: Man like the crazy part then he hadn't been saying
- 6:47Speaker 6: that like two weeks.
- 6:49Speaker 4: She don't feel right, got to be good, man, Like,
- 6:54Speaker 4: she don't feel what I get to text what you
- 6:56Speaker 4: think about I'm like, bro, I promise you right there
- 7:00Speaker 4: and drop a check off if it don't work, like
- 7:03Speaker 4: you got to ride the store.
- 7:07Speaker 7: I knew it. I just knew it.
- 7:08Speaker 5: Yeah, knew it.
- 7:10Speaker 3: Hey, we still have the text messages and I was like, look, man,
- 7:13Speaker 3: i'll see bells.
- 7:14Speaker 2: Gotta be on it.
- 7:16Speaker 3: Shout out, shout to Bam.
- 7:20Speaker 2: That he almost lost it, but we got him back.
- 7:23Speaker 2: But it was interesting time.
- 7:25Speaker 3: So like, I'm very, I'm very I'm more aware now
- 7:28Speaker 3: of watching these things because I feel like we fell
- 7:30Speaker 3: asleep at the whale a little bit. I'll be honest,
- 7:32Speaker 3: we fell sleep at.
- 7:32Speaker 2: The little whel a little bit.
- 7:35Speaker 3: We stopped watching the things, the indicators that would have
- 7:38Speaker 3: told us that this was coming.
- 7:40Speaker 4: Text me man and Crystal Ball glowing an other charge
- 7:44Speaker 4: in Atlanta. I mean, a ten percent pullback could come.
- 7:48Speaker 4: But the thing I want to tell you guys right now,
- 7:50Speaker 4: set your marker for everything that you like and put
- 7:53Speaker 4: an alert when it does drop ten percent, And that
- 7:56Speaker 4: could be a potential by area. This is the issue
- 7:58Speaker 4: I always said about focusing on a big short more
- 8:01Speaker 4: than Jesus Christ. I ain't gonna say it with a
- 8:04Speaker 4: shot right. I want you guys to focus on the pullbacks,
- 8:08Speaker 4: opportunity and opposed to thinking about crashes is fear because
- 8:12Speaker 4: look where the market went from September tewod last year
- 8:16Speaker 4: to now. And I'll set this that investments when most
- 8:20Speaker 4: people are terrified when the market drops. I'm like, you're
- 8:23Speaker 4: heavenly father of Nazareth. I appreciate you so much for
- 8:26Speaker 4: this blessing you're about to bestow upon me. You have
- 8:30Speaker 4: to learn when winter is coming that pretty soon you're
- 8:34Speaker 4: going to be able to shine and things are going
- 8:36Speaker 4: to spring and blossom.
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- 11:30Speaker 4: Invest at the apex the summer, and when things cool down,
- 11:33Speaker 4: you're like, damn, I messed up. Please stop buying at
- 11:36Speaker 4: highs and when these crashes happen, you have to be
- 11:39Speaker 4: incredibly happy.
- 11:40Speaker 3: Yeah, I think you know what, it was a lot
- 11:42Speaker 3: of people. I mean, obviously it was the pandemic. So
- 11:44Speaker 3: we got a lot of new investors and so that
- 11:46Speaker 3: they had had that ride going all the way up
- 11:48Speaker 3: and it was the first time that they experienced something
- 11:50Speaker 3: like that, and so a lot of people got nervous,
- 11:53Speaker 3: They got appearances, a lot.
- 11:54Speaker 2: Of fair crept in.
- 11:55Speaker 3: But like you said, if you had stayed patient, I
- 11:58Speaker 3: think that's one of the biggest lessons.
- 12:01Speaker 2: That I've learned and had to learn right even prior
- 12:03Speaker 2: to this.
- 12:04Speaker 3: But patience is the key, like fearlessness, Patience is the
- 12:09Speaker 3: key because if we had just just stayed the course,
- 12:13Speaker 3: stayed patients, stick to the script. Like you said, look
- 12:16Speaker 3: where it's at from last September.
- 12:18Speaker 5: Right now now.
- 12:21Speaker 4: Triple Network and the drop, what a trap is at
- 12:30Speaker 4: it to my.
- 12:30Speaker 5: Rare Bander family.
- 12:32Speaker 4: And the thing is too, when you're over leveraged in
- 12:35Speaker 4: trade to paul A post a long term investing, you're
- 12:38Speaker 4: going to get hurt a lot more. I know, the
- 12:41Speaker 4: long term investing thing is not sexy. You know what
- 12:44Speaker 4: happens when you invest in long term? It's the same
- 12:45Speaker 4: thing with Mayweather. He fights boring. He doesn't have any knockouts.
- 12:50Speaker 4: Every time anyone who's invested in the things that I've
- 12:53Speaker 4: told them to over the last couple of years, you're like,
- 12:57Speaker 4: what drop in September, I'm up three hundred percent. That's
- 13:01Speaker 4: why when I was like, yo oh, if I made
- 13:03Speaker 4: your money go like I can feel it in my chest,
- 13:06Speaker 4: Like I love y'all who were there in attendance, Like
- 13:08Speaker 4: you have to begin to look to put ninety percent
- 13:11Speaker 4: of your money long term, ten percent of the trades,
- 13:14Speaker 4: and it's an equations that will work forever for you.
- 13:16Speaker 6: It's crazy you say that because that's literally mine. It's
- 13:18Speaker 6: eighty five fifteen. It's eighty five fifteen. And the due
- 13:24Speaker 6: part is so he's coming. So August and September always
- 13:28Speaker 6: the worst two months in the market. Yep, August and
- 13:31Speaker 6: September the worst two months. So if we know that,
- 13:33Speaker 6: we understand what they probably didn't know it. But if
- 13:35Speaker 6: we know that, then you already like, okay, let me
- 13:37Speaker 6: load the clip up.
- 13:38Speaker 2: That's not tell.
- 13:41Speaker 5: And I'll say the worse for who people that invest
- 13:44Speaker 5: in wrong.
- 13:45Speaker 4: This is my birthday right right right, I'm like this
- 13:48Speaker 4: is a present for me cherry.
- 13:50Speaker 2: Yeah, and trap can you tell them why?
- 13:53Speaker 3: Can you tell them why that September is the worst
- 13:55Speaker 3: month traditionally, the worst month historically, So they have.
- 13:58Speaker 7: A few things going on in timber.
- 14:00Speaker 6: Whereas first, first, I think that people still have I
- 14:05Speaker 6: think nine elevens also plays a part of that too.
- 14:08Speaker 7: Let me say that I think that.
- 14:10Speaker 2: Also psychological thing.
- 14:11Speaker 6: Yeahychological thing too. But also you have a lot of
- 14:13Speaker 6: things that expire in that moment. You have the last
- 14:17Speaker 6: quarter is coming into the year, We have a lot
- 14:19Speaker 6: of regulations go on that turn around that most We
- 14:21Speaker 6: have a few things that's going on in that moment
- 14:23Speaker 6: and make retail failure and make big institutions back up. Also,
- 14:27Speaker 6: we got to look at rebalancing that's happening now. Balancing
- 14:31Speaker 6: start to happen. When institutional rebalancing starting to happen, that's
- 14:34Speaker 6: going to make the market swing heavy, right, And so
- 14:38Speaker 6: we look at that. We can look into something called the.
- 14:42Speaker 7: The hedge from vip lits.
- 14:44Speaker 6: Right, So if you look at the hedge from vip list,
- 14:47Speaker 6: it'll give you the top fifty, the top fifty most
- 14:51Speaker 6: heavily invested stocks of that quarter. Bullmensacks put it out
- 14:55Speaker 6: every month, I mean every quarter. If you typically look
- 14:59Speaker 6: at before for September, those companies, those would be hit
- 15:02Speaker 6: the hardest. Those would be hit the hardest. You could
- 15:05Speaker 6: take that being do what you won't do with it?
- 15:07Speaker 5: Right?
- 15:08Speaker 6: If you can look at that hedge from vip list,
- 15:10Speaker 6: those he feel mean the top fifteen, they gonna be
- 15:15Speaker 6: hit the hardest. Why because that's where every balancing come from. Also,
- 15:18Speaker 6: we gotta understand this, like if we look at the
- 15:21Speaker 6: biggest companies that hedge funds are in, all they're gonna
- 15:25Speaker 6: do is take their money, sit on the sideline, and
- 15:27Speaker 6: then re into again.
- 15:30Speaker 5: It's all going on.
- 15:31Speaker 7: So while you're.
- 15:32Speaker 6: Panicking like you should be just doubling out, you can
- 15:35Speaker 6: look at you one hundred and fifte hundred and twenty
- 15:37Speaker 6: day moving average.
- 15:38Speaker 7: You can look at that.
- 15:39Speaker 6: That can be an indicator you used that's gonna give
- 15:41Speaker 6: you ten percent out of the gate. If it gets
- 15:43Speaker 6: the little at it's a toime of lick. You can
- 15:45Speaker 6: look at that two hundred dead they get below that,
- 15:47Speaker 6: you can really load the boat.
- 15:49Speaker 5: Right.
- 15:49Speaker 7: Those are two.
- 15:49Speaker 6: Things you can definitely look at on on your journey,
- 15:53Speaker 6: and those keep you from panicky y'all.
- 15:55Speaker 2: Yeah, and I know what quadruple witching is.
- 15:58Speaker 3: Also in September, so like right in the middle of
- 16:00Speaker 3: the month, you got a lot of contracts expired in
- 16:03Speaker 3: the options market.
- 16:03Speaker 4: So because if you have a quarter, like you have
- 16:06Speaker 4: two types of students, the ones who do their homework
- 16:09Speaker 4: in the beginning of the school year and the ones
- 16:11Speaker 4: who cram the last three weeks. Now, when I was
- 16:14Speaker 4: getting on punishment and my dad was whooking me for
- 16:16Speaker 4: me not do my homework early on, I was cramming
- 16:19Speaker 4: at the end, right, So why would you want to
- 16:21Speaker 4: buy in September when there was a fresh quarter October, November, December.
- 16:26Speaker 5: That's what the rebalancing is.
- 16:27Speaker 4: I'm not going to add any positions because by the
- 16:30Speaker 4: time you get to that last month, you should be
- 16:32Speaker 4: up already. If you're waiting to the fourth quarter and
- 16:36Speaker 4: going to like, well I'm gonna turn it on and
- 16:38Speaker 4: playoff mode, you're going to get knocked out. Yeah, that
- 16:41Speaker 4: does not exist. Wait for October and use August and
- 16:44Speaker 4: September to begin to put in some positions, and then
- 16:46Speaker 4: October you have the Christmas rally. In December, yep, January boom,
- 16:51Speaker 4: never fly back in February bye, and then go look
- 16:54Speaker 4: at the report to see what normally happens in terms
- 16:58Speaker 4: of the FED in the March, and the market usually
- 17:00Speaker 4: booms in March.
- 17:02Speaker 7: You'll be good in every quird winch and you're gonna
- 17:05Speaker 7: see that.
- 17:06Speaker 6: So that third week of September, like you could just
- 17:09Speaker 6: be ready and those five to seven days after that
- 17:12Speaker 6: be ready like those opportunities. The one thing we do
- 17:15Speaker 6: know about the market is it's gonna keep doing the
- 17:17Speaker 6: same thing over and like I said that investor re rocking,
- 17:20Speaker 6: re rock, re rocking, re rocking, re rock right, it's
- 17:24Speaker 6: gonna keep doing the same things. What happens is when
- 17:27Speaker 6: the new people get in the game, they've never seen
- 17:29Speaker 6: the old things happening.
- 17:32Speaker 5: You know what I'm saying.
- 17:33Speaker 6: People don't see it already. Oh you said it, like, oh,
- 17:36Speaker 6: what's that time again? It is like we're sitting back
- 17:38Speaker 6: waiting for the first and fifteen, like I know.
- 17:42Speaker 4: And that's what experience comes in. And that's why I
- 17:44Speaker 4: say mastering one move or two moves over and over again.
- 17:47Speaker 4: And that's why I asks like you guys have to
- 17:51Speaker 4: realize even in the show and the theatrics that we'll
- 17:54Speaker 4: do for entertainment. We're all conservative investors. So if you see,
- 17:59Speaker 4: if you master one or two moves, you can be
- 18:02Speaker 4: And I say this to everybody in Dreaming Team all
- 18:04Speaker 4: the time.
- 18:04Speaker 5: I beat a lot of people just by not being overactive.
- 18:08Speaker 4: Some of you take too many trades where you're like, well,
- 18:10Speaker 4: I did twenty eight ops in trades, but I got
- 18:13Speaker 4: two shares of it. I'm like, why, Well, I thought
- 18:15Speaker 4: I was gonna get nine hundred percent on all of
- 18:17Speaker 4: them and never have to invest. I'm like, bro, if
- 18:19Speaker 4: it was that easy elon Mark Cuban, everybody will do that.
- 18:24Speaker 5: It does not work. It does not work.
- 18:26Speaker 4: And despite the work you see everybody here put in
- 18:29Speaker 4: and everyone moving around, you gotta remember he's still an advisor.
- 18:32Speaker 4: There's a reason that hedge funds and don't go so
- 18:35Speaker 4: heavy in one asset class and they balance things out.
- 18:38Speaker 4: But your edge is going to be the few trades
- 18:40Speaker 4: that you take and a few companies that you invest
- 18:43Speaker 4: in and let the program work for you. Don't try
- 18:46Speaker 4: and reinvent the wheel when the wheels are already excellent, as.
- 18:49Speaker 6: Is my graduates from my school being forced back drop
- 18:56Speaker 6: b drop, Mike, drop back drop.
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