Latest / Best of Business / Jamie Mackay: The Country host on whether the Government will put The Country on the chopping block
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: You're listening to a podcast from news Talk zed Be
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- 0:16Speaker 2: Jamie Mackay from the Countries with Us, Jamie, will the
- 0:19Speaker 2: government look to put Land Corp up on the chopping block?
- 0:23Speaker 2: I mean, well, I guess this is the question. Is
- 0:26Speaker 2: the government going to look at selling land Corp? And
- 0:29Speaker 2: if they do, is that a good idea? How will
- 0:31Speaker 2: that go down with farmers? Jamie Giday gid a Ryan,
- 0:36Speaker 2: thanks for being with me. So land Corp. It's one
- 0:39Speaker 2: of the ones they're talking about putting it on the
- 0:40Speaker 2: chopping block. What do you reckon? Good idea, bad idea?
- 0:43Speaker 3: Well, it depends whether you're into selling state assets. I
- 0:46Speaker 3: guess if you, Brian, if you are going to sell one,
- 0:48Speaker 3: you would have to think seriously about selling the nation's farm.
- 0:52Speaker 3: It's not performing very well at all and it's worth
- 0:56Speaker 3: quite a bit of money. I had a guy on
- 0:58Speaker 3: the show today on my show The Country called Will Wilson.
- 1:02Speaker 3: He's a long standing agricultural consultant. He takes he's involved
- 1:07Speaker 3: in several high profile governance roles in the primary sector
- 1:10Speaker 3: and he was doing the sums on the performance of
- 1:13Speaker 3: all of our leading ag companies, and he was almost
- 1:15Speaker 3: quite scathing about Pamu. The artist formerly known as Landcorpy said, Look,
- 1:20Speaker 3: it's it's got poor business strategy, poor governance and management,
- 1:24Speaker 3: and it's a poor performing company. But the kicker is Ryan.
- 1:28Speaker 3: If you take its assets less its liabilities, it's still
- 1:31Speaker 3: worth about one point six billion dollars. We could do
- 1:35Speaker 3: a lot with that. And the other interesting thing is
- 1:38Speaker 3: it's worth about, according to Will anyhow, about one hundred
- 1:42Speaker 3: and fifty billion less than it was a year ago.
- 1:45Speaker 3: So maybe we're throwing good money after bad with Palmu.
- 1:50Speaker 3: But if we sell it, who do we sell it too?
- 1:52Speaker 3: It's a huge farm, it's New Zealand's biggers farm. Would
- 1:55Speaker 3: it flood the rural market? And then it plays other
- 1:59Speaker 3: roles in agriculture as well, such as research on behalf
- 2:03Speaker 3: of the wider agricultural industry and also training young people
- 2:07Speaker 3: onto the land. And so it's a bit of a
- 2:09Speaker 3: vex question, but you would have to say, as it
- 2:12Speaker 3: stands at the moment, it ain't a great investment.
- 2:14Speaker 2: No, and it's I think it's sort of top of
- 2:16Speaker 2: the list for the government when you know, because farmers
- 2:19Speaker 2: run their farms much better than the government runs its farm, right,
- 2:23Speaker 2: so why not let them have it?
- 2:24Speaker 1: Yeah?
- 2:25Speaker 3: Well, and there's also an argument because in the old
- 2:27Speaker 3: days Land Corp used to be lands and surveys and
- 2:30Speaker 3: they would have ballot blocks and they would put young
- 2:33Speaker 3: farmers in and produce the or increase the productivity of
- 2:37Speaker 3: the country. There is argument that maybe Land Corp should
- 2:40Speaker 3: become a bank and for instance, with its dairy farms,
- 2:43Speaker 3: and they've got some lovely dairy farms, put fifty to
- 2:46Speaker 3: fifty share milkers in there, give them some skin in
- 2:49Speaker 3: the game and really start to generate some money. But
- 2:52Speaker 3: it would be fair to say that financially the performance
- 2:54Speaker 3: of land Corp hasn't been that flash. Last year, Ryan,
- 2:57Speaker 3: they lost, off the top of my head, something like
- 3:00Speaker 3: twenty six million dollars, Yes it was, yeah, twenty six
- 3:05Speaker 3: million dollars. And when you consider that they got thirty
- 3:08Speaker 3: eight million from a windfall or windfalls from carbon credits.
- 3:12Speaker 3: Putting that aside, the actual meat and taties of the
- 3:16Speaker 3: farming business ain't going that well.
- 3:18Speaker 2: Let's talk about something that is going well. Then dairy
- 3:20Speaker 2: price is off to a very strong start. The Global
- 3:23Speaker 2: Dairy Trade oction, the first two of them for the end.
- 3:25Speaker 3: Yeah, Well, the first one was down and the second
- 3:27Speaker 3: one was up, wasn't it.
- 3:29Speaker 2: Yes, Yes, it was down one point four then up
- 3:31Speaker 2: one point four.
- 3:32Speaker 3: Yeah, and that sort of equalized one another out there.
- 3:37Speaker 3: But the big one was in the last one Ryan
- 3:39Speaker 3: one point four was GDT across the board. But the
- 3:42Speaker 3: really important one we have a look at is whole
- 3:45Speaker 3: milk powder price, as they went up five percent and
- 3:48Speaker 3: this is the highest price on the platform since June
- 3:53Speaker 3: twenty twenty two. And this has I guess convinced ASB
- 3:58Speaker 3: they've led the charge. They're saying that their milk futures
- 4:02Speaker 3: or the future milk price forecast price for this season.
- 4:05Speaker 3: They're saying ten dollars twenty five, remembering that everyone else
- 4:09Speaker 3: in the market, including Fonterra, is pretty much ten bucks.
- 4:12Speaker 3: Ten dollars twenty five would obviously be a record price,
- 4:15Speaker 3: maybe not an inflation adjusted terms, but a very good
- 4:19Speaker 3: one for all that. Now, their chief economist, a guy
- 4:22Speaker 3: by the name of Chris Tennant Brown. You would have
- 4:24Speaker 3: seen him on the tally. He's saying, look, this isn't
- 4:28Speaker 3: a dundelle. This four months left in the season. Prices
- 4:31Speaker 3: could still move the season to date is up production
- 4:34Speaker 3: wise three point seven percent, but we're well pass the
- 4:39Speaker 3: midpoint of the Bell curve in terms of production. Typically
- 4:43Speaker 3: only about a third of the production comes from here
- 4:46Speaker 3: on and so a lot of that production and sales
- 4:49Speaker 3: have been locked in. But there are a few other
- 4:51Speaker 3: things to consider. Kneewers, soil moisture deficit charts have been
- 4:55Speaker 3: showing a lot of the country could do with the drink.
- 4:58Speaker 3: We've also got the exchange rate. Goodness knows what happens
- 5:01Speaker 3: there with Donald Trump in charge. And we've also got
- 5:04Speaker 3: a couple of other issues in Europe which has forced
- 5:07Speaker 3: them back into the market a wee bit, the threat
- 5:09Speaker 3: of foot and mouth in Germany and the ongoing presence
- 5:13Speaker 3: of blue tongue virus. There's a lot of things that
- 5:15Speaker 3: play here, Ryan, but generally in terms of New Zealand industries,
- 5:19Speaker 3: New Zealand, the New Zealand airy industries is looking is
- 5:22Speaker 3: looking as good as anything.
- 5:23Speaker 2: And thank goodness, we've got them. Gosh, don't we need
- 5:25Speaker 2: a bit of that at the moment. Jamie, thank you
- 5:28Speaker 2: very much.
- 5:29Speaker 3: Cheers, Ryan, always good to chat.
- 5:30Speaker 2: Cheers Jamie. It's Jamie McKay from the Country
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