Latest / What's Your Problem? / From Desert Robots to Driverless Trucks
Transcript
- 0:15Speaker 1: Pushkin. In two thousand and three, Chris Armsen was a
- 0:22Speaker 1: grad student at Carnegie Mellon University and he was working
- 0:25Speaker 1: on a research project in Chile in the Ata Kama Desert.
- 0:29Speaker 2: Beautiful place, very desolate, the closest thing we have to
- 0:33Speaker 2: Mars in many ways on Earth, which is why you
- 0:36Speaker 2: were there. We were building a robot to go look
- 0:39Speaker 2: for signs of life, and I was developing the navigation
- 0:41Speaker 2: system for it, and my PhD advisor came down and said, Hey,
- 0:45Speaker 2: the Defense Departments has this competition. They want to build
- 0:47Speaker 2: a robot to drive fifty miles an hour across the
- 0:50Speaker 2: desert between Los Angeles Las Vegas. And I thought that
- 0:52Speaker 2: just sounded awesome. So we bought a Humvy and we
- 0:57Speaker 2: cut the top of it, put a big electronics box
- 0:59Speaker 2: in a lot of computers. All of the stuff that's
- 1:01Speaker 2: in a self driving car today. The high performs computing,
- 1:05Speaker 2: the lasers, the radars, the cameras, the hd map apps
- 1:09Speaker 2: were part of this. It's kind of the first time
- 1:11Speaker 2: when all this stuff came together into a vehicle, and
- 1:15Speaker 2: then we developed it for six or nine months, and
- 1:18Speaker 2: then we tried to compete with it. The first darper challenge.
- 1:22Speaker 2: The team I was a technical director for we actually
- 1:25Speaker 2: had the highest performing thing there. It was supposed to
- 1:28Speaker 2: go one hundred and twenty six miles across the desert.
- 1:31Speaker 2: It ended up going about seven when it got hung
- 1:35Speaker 2: up on a berm and almost literally burst into flames.
- 1:38Speaker 1: And you, I mean, nobody won. But if anybody won,
- 1:41Speaker 1: you won, right, that was more than nobody. That was
- 1:43Speaker 1: farther than Yeah. The key thing is nobody won.
- 1:46Speaker 2: If you imagine a marathon where you're supposed to go
- 1:48Speaker 2: twenty six miles and the best runner went too right,
- 1:51Speaker 2: it's yes.
- 1:52Speaker 1: Yes, fair, and then burst into flames and then burst
- 1:55Speaker 1: into flames.
- 1:56Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 2:03Speaker 1: I'm Jacob Goldstein, and this is What's your problem? The
- 2:05Speaker 1: show where I talk to people who are trying to
- 2:07Speaker 1: make technological progress. My guest today is Chris Ermson. He's
- 2:11Speaker 1: the co founder and CEO of Aurora, a company that's
- 2:14Speaker 1: trying to bring autonomous driving to commercial trucks. As you
- 2:18Speaker 1: just heard, Chris started working on autonomous vehicles more than
- 2:21Speaker 1: twenty years ago, and in fact, his career traces the
- 2:25Speaker 1: really the entire modern arc of self driving cars, from
- 2:29Speaker 1: that first DARPA challenge to a top job at Google's
- 2:33Speaker 1: self driving car project, the project that later became Waimo
- 2:36Speaker 1: to founding Aurora, the company where he works now. We
- 2:40Speaker 1: talked a lot about the problems Chris is trying to
- 2:42Speaker 1: solve in autonomous trucking, and we also talked about the
- 2:45Speaker 1: future of autonomous driving more generally. But before we got
- 2:49Speaker 1: to that, we talked about the earlier work he did,
- 2:52Speaker 1: work that really helped get the field, the broader field,
- 2:55Speaker 1: to where it is today. So we'll pick up the
- 2:57Speaker 1: interview back in two thousand and four at that moment
- 3:01Speaker 1: when his team's autonomous car had failed and almost burst
- 3:05Speaker 1: into flames.
- 3:06Speaker 2: It was crushing, yeah, right, Like, you know, on the
- 3:09Speaker 2: one hand, it was called a Grand challenge, right because
- 3:13Speaker 2: you know, a lot of people didn't think it could
- 3:14Speaker 2: be solved. It was impossible. Because on the one hand,
- 3:17Speaker 2: it's kind of like, okay, it was really hard. On
- 3:20Speaker 2: the other hand, you've you know, we're sleeping on the
- 3:23Speaker 2: floor in the lab, in the you know, in this
- 3:25Speaker 2: garage in the middle of the desert for weeks and
- 3:28Speaker 2: months trying to get this thing to go, and then
- 3:30Speaker 2: you launch it out there and you have this this
- 3:32Speaker 2: epic moment where you're watching this thing that you've built,
- 3:35Speaker 2: tear out across the desert and you can just see
- 3:37Speaker 2: the top of it, and these helicopters that the military
- 3:41Speaker 2: is using to track them as they're out in the
- 3:43Speaker 2: desert doing this, and then you hear you know, it's
- 3:47Speaker 2: supposed to one hundred and twenty miles, and they're like, oh,
- 3:48Speaker 2: it's stuck. And then you hear like billowing smoke and
- 3:52Speaker 2: broken and poor thing comes back looking very sad, and
- 3:56Speaker 2: you know, it was crushing. But at the same time,
- 4:00Speaker 2: we did set records. Right, if you look at the
- 4:02Speaker 2: kind of the product of the speed and the distance
- 4:04Speaker 2: it went, this was an order of magnitude better than
- 4:07Speaker 2: anyone had done before, and so it was a big step.
- 4:10Speaker 2: And I think that was partly what encouraged the Defense
- 4:12Speaker 2: Department to say, hey, come back again and try it
- 4:15Speaker 2: in a year.
- 4:17Speaker 1: And then you did, and then you did it again
- 4:19Speaker 1: and again. And what year do we go to? Is
- 4:21Speaker 1: it two thousand and seven? Is that at the next
- 4:23Speaker 1: big moment?
- 4:24Speaker 2: Yeah? Two thousand and five was another one of these
- 4:26Speaker 2: in the desert. Two thousand and seven they did what
- 4:30Speaker 2: they called the Urban Challenge. So two thousand and five
- 4:32Speaker 2: we're able to drive it around the desert not hit
- 4:34Speaker 2: things too much. Two thousand and seven, they say, okay,
- 4:37Speaker 2: that's great, but now let's stay on the right side
- 4:39Speaker 2: of the road. Let's move in kind of pseudo urban
- 4:41Speaker 2: environments and show that that can work. And that was
- 4:46Speaker 2: the last of Grand challenges, because that year we actually
- 4:49Speaker 2: accomplished it. We drove sixty miles around this air base
- 4:51Speaker 2: and interacted with traffic. They hired a bunch of stunt
- 4:54Speaker 2: drivers out of Hollywood to come and drive cars around
- 4:56Speaker 2: these robots to make traffic for them, and it was
- 5:00Speaker 2: a heck of a day. And then the Defense Department,
- 5:03Speaker 2: or at least darpas said, you know, effectively, problem solved.
- 5:07Speaker 2: We've got this close enough. Now hand it off to
- 5:09Speaker 2: industry or whoever to take it from here.
- 5:12Speaker 1: And how did how did your car do?
- 5:14Speaker 2: In two thousand and seven, we won, which was nice.
- 5:17Speaker 2: It was a good change.
- 5:18Speaker 1: So you know, we went and did it catch on fire?
- 5:22Speaker 2: No fire? This time, it just kind of worked. We
- 5:25Speaker 2: had a little bit of nerves at the very beginning,
- 5:29Speaker 2: because you know, our system was pretty reliable, robust, it
- 5:32Speaker 2: worked all the time. We go and bring it out
- 5:35Speaker 2: to the start line and we can't get it to
- 5:38Speaker 2: boot properly because it can't see this GPS satellites that
- 5:42Speaker 2: it needed, and we never had this problem before. We're like,
- 5:46Speaker 2: you know, frantically trying to figure out what's going on.
- 5:48Speaker 2: And then we look over and realized that for race
- 5:52Speaker 2: day they brought a JumboTron and they've set that up
- 5:56Speaker 2: right where the robots are at the starting place. And
- 5:59Speaker 2: it turns out they don't really check these mobile jumbotrons
- 6:02Speaker 2: for like how much interference they're generating, I guess. So
- 6:05Speaker 2: we had this panic moment we said, you know, can
- 6:07Speaker 2: you turn off the jumbo tron? And sure enough they
- 6:09Speaker 2: turn off that and suddenly everything works again. So you know,
- 6:13Speaker 2: it was it wasn't without its challenges, so so but it.
- 6:18Speaker 1: Works right, So it works, and it works in a
- 6:19Speaker 1: like quasi real environment, a pseudo real environment. So I
- 6:24Speaker 1: mean when you at that moment, when you were thinking
- 6:26Speaker 1: about the future, the future of self driving cars, how
- 6:31Speaker 1: did it look to you? What did you think?
- 6:33Speaker 2: Yeah, I think at that point was starting to believe
- 6:37Speaker 2: there was a thing that could happen here, right, and
- 6:40Speaker 2: probably you know, certainly naively thought oh yeah, we've got
- 6:44Speaker 2: this right.
- 6:46Speaker 1: This maybe everybody kind of thought that, right, Like.
- 6:50Speaker 2: Yeah, I think, And that's been part of what's made
- 6:53Speaker 2: the journey really fun for me. It's just there's just
- 6:56Speaker 2: so many things to learn, so many new problems to
- 6:59Speaker 2: overcome along the way of taking something from a it
- 7:03Speaker 2: worked on this day in a race, to hey, we
- 7:06Speaker 2: can go do something transformational that will save lives and
- 7:10Speaker 2: improve the economy and you know, do all these other
- 7:13Speaker 2: great things.
- 7:14Speaker 1: It seems like that the distance between it worked in
- 7:18Speaker 1: a race and we can do something transformational has been longer,
- 7:22Speaker 1: certainly than a lot of people thought. Then a lot
- 7:24Speaker 1: of like smart, well informed people.
- 7:26Speaker 2: Thought, yeah, me among them, right. And you know, it's
- 7:32Speaker 2: one of these things where I think anyone who sets
- 7:34Speaker 2: out and does something interest and exciting, often I think
- 7:38Speaker 2: if they understood how hard it was going to be
- 7:40Speaker 2: before they started, may not have actually taken the first step.
- 7:43Speaker 2: And so I feel a little lucky to have not
- 7:47Speaker 2: understood that, because it's caused me to kind of stick
- 7:49Speaker 2: with it and really enjoy the journey along the way.
- 7:52Speaker 1: I mean, entrepreneurs basically always say that thing that you
- 7:55Speaker 1: just said, but in the case of autonomous driving, I
- 7:58Speaker 1: really believe it. Right, It seems like extra true. Like
- 8:02Speaker 1: two thousand and seven was basically like the year the
- 8:04Speaker 1: iPhone came out, right, like, which is to say, in
- 8:08Speaker 1: technology long time ago, not to mention that there was
- 8:11Speaker 1: like no computer vision as we know it today, right,
- 8:14Speaker 1: which has become important, I mean so much.
- 8:18Speaker 2: No, it is. You know, the waves of technological evolution
- 8:23Speaker 2: that we've seen since then are profound, and we've been
- 8:26Speaker 2: able to kind of surf those as we've been building it.
- 8:28Speaker 2: And it's been Yeah, it is, it's been a long time.
- 8:39Speaker 1: So then you go to Google, right, you go to
- 8:41Speaker 1: Google a couple couple of years after that two thousand
- 8:43Speaker 1: and nine. So you're at Google from twenty nine to
- 8:46Speaker 1: twenty sixteen, Right, what do you and the team figure out?
- 8:50Speaker 1: And then yeah, when do you leave?
- 8:52Speaker 2: So we get there, and we originally want to show
- 8:58Speaker 2: that we could go from what we've shown at the
- 9:00Speaker 2: Darker Challenge to something actually worked on public roads, and
- 9:04Speaker 2: so we had this challenge of driving one hundred thousand
- 9:07Speaker 2: miles in public roads and miles of really interesting, challenging
- 9:10Speaker 2: roads in the Bay Area, things like driving down Highway
- 9:13Speaker 2: wand from San Francisco to La and across all the
- 9:16Speaker 2: Bay bridges and things like that, with the idea that
- 9:19Speaker 2: if we could prove we could do these things, then yeah,
- 9:22Speaker 2: this technology probably has legs. And it was kind of
- 9:25Speaker 2: a dread pirate Roberts setup right in that, you know,
- 9:29Speaker 2: we were told that you've got you know, two years
- 9:33Speaker 2: to do this, and you know then we'll probably fire
- 9:35Speaker 2: you the day after, right, and you kind of this
- 9:38Speaker 2: was kind of with us for the time. And so
- 9:41Speaker 2: we worked with urgency, and it turns out we did
- 9:44Speaker 2: in eighteen months, and through that we had some really
- 9:46Speaker 2: interesting technological evolution. You know, we started to see some
- 9:51Speaker 2: of the you know, early legs of deep learning started
- 9:55Speaker 2: to show up in that point.
- 9:56Speaker 1: During that time, so this is like two thousand and ten,
- 10:00Speaker 1: twenty eleven, yeah.
- 10:02Speaker 2: Exactly those times, yep.
- 10:03Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 10:04Speaker 2: And then but I think almost more importantly really started
- 10:10Speaker 2: we really started to understand what this would mean to people.
- 10:13Speaker 2: Right that we you know, as somebody who had worked
- 10:16Speaker 2: on this because the technology was cool and initially and
- 10:19Speaker 2: enjoyed the challenge of it, and seeing the benefit to
- 10:22Speaker 2: the military as we thought about you know, as we
- 10:24Speaker 2: started to get into the space and started to talk
- 10:26Speaker 2: to people in the public sector about the number of
- 10:30Speaker 2: lives lost on America's roads, you know, forty plus thousand
- 10:33Speaker 2: people every year. The challenge that people, whether because they
- 10:40Speaker 2: have physical limitation to prevent them from driving or because
- 10:44Speaker 2: they've aged out no longer feel comfortable driving, the implications
- 10:46Speaker 2: that has for the quality of life, and how we
- 10:50Speaker 2: can make that better for folks, you know, the accessibility
- 10:54Speaker 2: that we could bring to transportation that's kind of lost
- 10:57Speaker 2: with the public trans system we have in the US.
- 11:00Speaker 2: All of this was like, oh wow, there is not
- 11:02Speaker 2: just it's not just a cool, interesting technology. It's not
- 11:05Speaker 2: that I get to work with good people. It's not
- 11:07Speaker 2: just that you know, this could be valuable. It's that, like,
- 11:10Speaker 2: this is socially really important to do as well. And then,
- 11:14Speaker 2: you know, the course of the program, we got to
- 11:18Speaker 2: the point where we launched for the first time a
- 11:20Speaker 2: vehicle operating on public roads with nobody in it, well,
- 11:24Speaker 2: actually with somebody at it, with Steve Mahon, who is
- 11:27Speaker 2: a blind gentleman who'd worked with us on some of
- 11:29Speaker 2: the early kind of concepts and understanding of this, and
- 11:31Speaker 2: he took a road to Austin, Texas by himself and
- 11:35Speaker 2: seeing the emotional impact that had on him of you know,
- 11:41Speaker 2: once again having the freedom to get from me to
- 11:44Speaker 2: be without having asked somebody else. It was just like, wow,
- 11:47Speaker 2: this this actually matters. So that was very cool.
- 11:52Speaker 1: So so you mentioned the machine learning piece starting to
- 11:56Speaker 1: come in. It's I think I was looking back at
- 11:59Speaker 1: I think it's twenty twelve that alex net comes along, right,
- 12:02Speaker 1: the first thing. I think that's right, kind of big
- 12:04Speaker 1: computer vision breakthrough. And so it is interesting. I mean
- 12:08Speaker 1: when I I think as a sort of lay person
- 12:11Speaker 1: about autonomous cars, now, I think of computer vision as
- 12:13Speaker 1: like central like, how could you even do it without
- 12:17Speaker 1: that right, without computers being able to quote unquote understand
- 12:20Speaker 1: what they see. But this is actually emerging just as
- 12:23Speaker 1: you're building this car, right, this system, So how like
- 12:27Speaker 1: tell me about that? Tell me sort of building in
- 12:29Speaker 1: parallel with this technological enabling wave.
- 12:33Speaker 2: Yeah, there was a bunch of these things. So Moore's
- 12:36Speaker 2: law was continued in a march along and the amount
- 12:39Speaker 2: of computation we had in the vehicles improving the cell
- 12:42Speaker 2: phone was, believe it or not, was a big boon
- 12:46Speaker 2: to us because it drove the performance of cameras.
- 12:50Speaker 1: So, oh, interesting thing about like all those selfies everybody
- 12:54Speaker 1: just wanting to make better cheaper cameras and the processing
- 12:57Speaker 1: for images, yeah.
- 12:58Speaker 2: One hundred, but even just the physical imager itself, right,
- 13:02Speaker 2: went from you know, a one megapixel three twenty two
- 13:05Speaker 2: forty camera, which is what if you bought a top
- 13:07Speaker 2: the line you know, Kodak digital camera back in the day,
- 13:11Speaker 2: was now my iPhone's got forty eight megapixel, right, and so,
- 13:17Speaker 2: and the quality and color performance and everything that's improved dramatically.
- 13:23Speaker 2: And then light ar is another thing that has really
- 13:27Speaker 2: evolved over the course of the last twenty years, going
- 13:31Speaker 2: from things where we could get a single point along
- 13:34Speaker 2: the line to now full three D fields of view
- 13:39Speaker 2: and allows us to combine the camera data with the
- 13:43Speaker 2: light our data with the computation. And then the final
- 13:46Speaker 2: big thing that's moved forward is in the sensing side
- 13:49Speaker 2: is radar and the automotive radar. The quality that you
- 13:54Speaker 2: can get out of that, the price point that comes
- 13:56Speaker 2: in at now, you know, when you combine that set
- 13:59Speaker 2: of advances, there's orders of magnitude improvement in both the
- 14:03Speaker 2: quality of data we can consume and the amount of
- 14:06Speaker 2: data that we can perform computation over that really is
- 14:09Speaker 2: unlocked our ability to understand the world around these vehicles.
- 14:14Speaker 1: So you leave in twenty sixteen, like, are people getting
- 14:21Speaker 1: rides in wherever?
- 14:21Speaker 2: It was?
- 14:22Speaker 1: Chandler, Arizona yet at that time? Like, is that is
- 14:25Speaker 1: it out in the world yet when you leave?
- 14:26Speaker 2: Okay, No, we've been doing demos and we were doing development.
- 14:29Speaker 2: I think we had vehicles in Chandler at that time,
- 14:32Speaker 2: and we're starting to operate, but they were still with
- 14:35Speaker 2: a person behind the steering wheel, and we were still
- 14:38Speaker 2: we were building towards what ultimately became the initial channel launch.
- 14:44Speaker 1: Why'd you leave?
- 14:46Speaker 2: It was time? You know, I had been there. I
- 14:49Speaker 2: really valued and left the experience, but at some point
- 14:54Speaker 2: I kind of lost confidence that we were going to
- 14:56Speaker 2: make the decisions that we needed to make to be successful.
- 14:59Speaker 2: And as a person leading the organization that you know,
- 15:03Speaker 2: Google had been incredibly generous to me, give me this
- 15:06Speaker 2: incredible opportunity, and if I just didn't believe it, it
- 15:09Speaker 2: wasn't my place to lead the team. And and so
- 15:12Speaker 2: you know, I'm a big believer that in business, you
- 15:15Speaker 2: you know, kind of you have three options. You if
- 15:17Speaker 2: you see something you don't like, you try and fix it.
- 15:19Speaker 2: If you can't fix it, you get in line. And
- 15:22Speaker 2: if you can't get in line, you get out of
- 15:23Speaker 2: the way, and you know, I did what I could
- 15:26Speaker 2: to try and you know, kind of move things away
- 15:28Speaker 2: that I thought they needed to go, and ultimately said,
- 15:30Speaker 2: you know, this company's been incredibly galous to me. Let
- 15:33Speaker 2: me get out of the way and let it gets
- 15:36Speaker 2: on its own path.
- 15:38Speaker 1: When you say you lost confidence that they were going
- 15:42Speaker 1: to make the decisions they needed to make, I mean,
- 15:46Speaker 1: obviously we should evaluate decisions based on the information available
- 15:49Speaker 1: at the time, but it is the case that you know,
- 15:53Speaker 1: you can get in Awai Mo in San Francisco in
- 15:55Speaker 1: one minute and have a beautiful ride right now, Like,
- 15:59Speaker 1: were you wrong?
- 16:00Speaker 2: I apparently yes, right, Like you know, like you think,
- 16:05Speaker 2: there's no way to judge it other than they they've
- 16:07Speaker 2: ultimately been successful. You know, maybe would have taken a different,
- 16:12Speaker 2: shorter path, but you know, I think I think it's
- 16:16Speaker 2: it's yeah. I don't know if you're a parent, but
- 16:18Speaker 2: one of the things you hope as a parent is
- 16:19Speaker 2: that you you you embody your kids with things and
- 16:25Speaker 2: then they go off from the world and succeed. And
- 16:27Speaker 2: the same is true when you lead teams or build something,
- 16:30Speaker 2: is that you know you do your part and you
- 16:31Speaker 2: hope it outlives you and that you know, outperforms what
- 16:34Speaker 2: you might have hoped for it. And I think it's
- 16:37Speaker 2: been awesome to see way most succeed.
- 16:40Speaker 1: So you started in twenty seventeen, right, uh, And as
- 16:46Speaker 1: I understand it, you didn't start focused on trucks, Like,
- 16:49Speaker 1: tell me about what you're thinking when you start the company?
- 16:51Speaker 2: Yeah, how you get to trucks? So you know, I
- 16:54Speaker 2: didn't leave Google to start the company. I left Goog
- 16:57Speaker 2: because it was time, and I then spent some time
- 16:58Speaker 2: trying to figure out what to do and kind of
- 17:00Speaker 2: came to the conclusion that, you know, it was worth
- 17:03Speaker 2: taking another shot at this and trying to build something.
- 17:06Speaker 2: And so found two great co founders in Sterling and True,
- 17:09Speaker 2: and we wanted to build a driver and we wanted
- 17:12Speaker 2: to apply that driver and passenger cars and trucks and
- 17:15Speaker 2: wherever it could go. And we thought at the time,
- 17:18Speaker 2: we didn't see how it's going to be possible to
- 17:20Speaker 2: do trucking because based on the experience I had and
- 17:23Speaker 2: others had, we looked at how far you had to
- 17:25Speaker 2: see down the road to do that safely, and we
- 17:27Speaker 2: came to the conclusion you just couldn't do that with
- 17:30Speaker 2: the technology that exists all the time, and you have.
- 17:32Speaker 1: To see farther just because it takes longer for a
- 17:34Speaker 1: big truck to stop.
- 17:35Speaker 2: This is physics. There's just way more kinetic energy. Right,
- 17:40Speaker 2: They're heavier, and they're moving at seventy miles an hour
- 17:42Speaker 2: instead of in a city you're moving at fifteen miles
- 17:44Speaker 2: an hour. So the combination of the speed and the
- 17:46Speaker 2: way it means that it just takes longer to stop
- 17:49Speaker 2: farther distance down the road. And then you add to that,
- 17:54Speaker 2: it's much easier drive around a light vehicle than a
- 17:56Speaker 2: big truck, so you don't need a special license. They're
- 18:00Speaker 2: much smaller, you don't need special thing maintenance programs and whatnot.
- 18:04Speaker 2: And so we're like, okay, let's focus on light vehicles.
- 18:07Speaker 2: We see there's a real opportunity there. If we can
- 18:10Speaker 2: crack the can you see far enough problem, then trucking
- 18:16Speaker 2: to be a great application to go to. Yeah. Yeah uh.
- 18:18Speaker 2: And so part of what I spent my time doing
- 18:20Speaker 2: during the first couple of years of the company was looking,
- 18:22Speaker 2: you know, basically turning over every rock we could with
- 18:25Speaker 2: with Bart, one of our early team members, to find
- 18:28Speaker 2: a technology that would allow us to see for far
- 18:30Speaker 2: enough that we could actually do trucking. And ultimately we
- 18:35Speaker 2: found that in this little company in Montana called Blackmore
- 18:39Speaker 2: that had built this really special kind of laser range
- 18:42Speaker 2: finder that because of the way it did measurements and
- 18:46Speaker 2: what's called frequency modulated continuous wave it it could see
- 18:53Speaker 2: basically twice as far as the rest of the light
- 18:55Speaker 2: our stuff could see. Uh, And so we're like, huh,
- 18:59Speaker 2: we now we we have some really interesting driving capability.
- 19:02Speaker 2: We've now got this pseudomagical light our sensor that can
- 19:06Speaker 2: see far enough trucking for like a really great application
- 19:10Speaker 2: to go take on.
- 19:12Speaker 1: Let's talk about a few of the things you had
- 19:13Speaker 1: to figure out. So you decide you're going to do trucking. Yeah,
- 19:15Speaker 1: and presumably by trucking, Like I mean, I know where
- 19:19Speaker 1: you are now, Like, so presumably by trucking. You don't
- 19:22Speaker 1: mean like the bread truck that goes to the little
- 19:26Speaker 1: market by my house. You mean the great, big truck
- 19:28Speaker 1: that goes on the freeway.
- 19:30Speaker 2: Yeah, that's where we thought there was the biggest opportunity
- 19:33Speaker 2: was working what we call class eight tractor trailers, big
- 19:36Speaker 2: you know, semi trucks. You know, they drive a lot
- 19:40Speaker 2: of miles. We don't have enough people who want to
- 19:43Speaker 2: do that job, and yet it's absolutely essential to American
- 19:47Speaker 2: and worldwide way of life, and there's a real need.
- 19:53Speaker 2: Right as we've dug into it, we realized that there's
- 19:55Speaker 2: five thousand people killed every year in heavy truck accidents,
- 19:58Speaker 2: five hundred thousand people injured. And then we can move
- 20:01Speaker 2: goods more efficiently, which you know is important, particularly in
- 20:05Speaker 2: the you know, this age of e commerce where people
- 20:07Speaker 2: expect things next day or you know, be able to
- 20:11Speaker 2: move those goods efficiently the customers is really valuable.
- 20:17Speaker 1: Okay, this April, if I've got my dates right, you
- 20:21Speaker 1: actually have a truck drive for real stuff on the
- 20:26Speaker 1: freeway without someone behind the wheel, right.
- 20:28Speaker 2: That's exactly right. It was awesome, right. We've as a
- 20:31Speaker 2: company been building towards that for almost eight and a
- 20:34Speaker 2: half years, eight and fourty years, and you know, we
- 20:38Speaker 2: take doing these things safely, very seriously, and really a
- 20:42Speaker 2: lot of the last couple of years has been making
- 20:44Speaker 2: sure we could have confidence that when we let the
- 20:48Speaker 2: thing go, that it was actually going to be safe.
- 20:51Speaker 2: And then we got to a point where we're like, yeah,
- 20:52Speaker 2: this is safe. We can go send this out in
- 20:54Speaker 2: the daylight and dry weather and have it drive back
- 20:57Speaker 2: and forth between Dallas and Houston. And I had the
- 21:00Speaker 2: privilege of right along in the back seat. And it
- 21:05Speaker 2: was awesome right in that it worked. Incredibly boring, right,
- 21:10Speaker 2: It turns out it's like it's.
- 21:11Speaker 1: Wanted to be so boring. You wanted to be very boring.
- 21:14Speaker 2: But but it just kind of worked. And I went
- 21:18Speaker 2: down and back that day in the truck and were.
- 21:21Speaker 1: You hauling stuff at that point? Was it was it?
- 21:23Speaker 2: We were? We were all the histories.
- 21:25Speaker 1: Yeah, oh pastries, Okay, pastries both ways, that would be
- 21:31Speaker 1: a bit. There's some pastries. It just that they want
- 21:34Speaker 1: to know.
- 21:34Speaker 2: I think there is a pastry imbalance. I think we
- 21:37Speaker 2: for the first trip, I think we may have actually
- 21:39Speaker 2: been empty. But on the way back, I'm pretty sure
- 21:41Speaker 2: from for whatever reasons, the pastries diffused from Houston to Dallas.
- 21:47Speaker 1: So then what happens in May and may you put
- 21:50Speaker 1: a person back behind the wheel, right? Tell me about that.
- 21:54Speaker 2: Yeah. We so as a company, we've really focused on
- 21:57Speaker 2: do what we do best, and what we do best
- 21:59Speaker 2: is building a safe, capable driving system. The oral driver
- 22:03Speaker 2: and we worked with other companies like Peterbilt at Pacar
- 22:06Speaker 2: and Volvo Trucks, and our partners at peter Bolt called
- 22:12Speaker 2: up and said, hey, we'd like you to have an
- 22:14Speaker 2: observer in the seat because there's some prototype parts in
- 22:18Speaker 2: our truck and it matters to us that you put
- 22:21Speaker 2: an observer in. And so we said, okay, uh, you know,
- 22:25Speaker 2: we had a conversation. We respect them, and we ultimately
- 22:28Speaker 2: put the observer in the seat, and we have a
- 22:30Speaker 2: person sat on board who is sat in the driver's seat,
- 22:33Speaker 2: but they're an observer and they're really just there because
- 22:36Speaker 2: our partner asked them to put them there.
- 22:38Speaker 1: The VIHA presumably they are a license to drive an
- 22:41Speaker 1: eighteen year It's not just some n week watching them.
- 22:43Speaker 1: What's going on. That's the truck driver.
- 22:45Speaker 2: You know. We we we don't want to put anyone
- 22:47Speaker 2: in place where you know, the high control has to
- 22:49Speaker 2: debate whether you know, it's just like, okay, let's just
- 22:51Speaker 2: put a truck driver there. They sit there. If you
- 22:54Speaker 2: go to YouTube dot com slash or row driver, you
- 22:58Speaker 2: can see a live video between eight and five o'clock
- 23:01Speaker 2: every day of our trucks drive down the road and
- 23:04Speaker 2: you can see that you know, this person sat there
- 23:07Speaker 2: and sometimes they're twiddling their sums, sometimes they're eating Fredo's,
- 23:11Speaker 2: you know, just observing.
- 23:14Speaker 1: I mean, at least from a narrative standpoint, it's a
- 23:19Speaker 1: bummer to have to put the person back behind the wheel.
- 23:21Speaker 2: Surely, absolutely, from a narrative standpoint, it's a bummer, right,
- 23:24Speaker 2: And it creates a nuance that is, you know, certainly
- 23:28Speaker 2: in today's.
- 23:29Speaker 1: You don't want a person buy the wheel. It's the
- 23:31Speaker 1: whole point. It's the whole point. It's you don't want
- 23:33Speaker 1: a person buy the wheel, right.
- 23:34Speaker 2: Totally agree. But in terms of the development and delivery
- 23:38Speaker 2: of what we're building, it just doesn't matter, right, it's
- 23:40Speaker 2: a complete nothing.
- 23:41Speaker 1: Well, I mean that's some margin. It matters at some point,
- 23:44Speaker 1: it matters, right. The whole premise is you can do
- 23:46Speaker 1: it without a person there, and so like at some point,
- 23:49Speaker 1: like relatively soon, I would imagine you need to do
- 23:53Speaker 1: it without a person there.
- 23:54Speaker 2: That's right, and uh, look forward to doing that soon.
- 24:00Speaker 3: We'll be back in just a minute.
- 24:14Speaker 1: Yeah, So where are you now, Like, give me where
- 24:16Speaker 1: we're basically to the present now after our twenty year journey,
- 24:21Speaker 1: Like what's like, are you are people paying you to
- 24:24Speaker 1: haul stuff.
- 24:25Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, So to like today is an incredibly exciting moment.
- 24:30Speaker 2: So we have a technology that can drive a truck.
- 24:32Speaker 2: It has the skills necessary to drive on the freeway
- 24:36Speaker 2: and drive to sites off the freeway in these industrial
- 24:40Speaker 2: park areas, and it does that safely. And then internally
- 24:44Speaker 2: we've got the capability say, okay, what are the new
- 24:47Speaker 2: features we need to make this more useful for our customers.
- 24:51Speaker 2: And so we launched in April. About three months later
- 24:55Speaker 2: we were able to show, you know, be able to
- 24:57Speaker 2: launch the next version that now doesn't just operate day
- 25:00Speaker 2: in the daytime, but operates at night as well. And
- 25:04Speaker 2: of the course the rest of this year, it's really
- 25:06Speaker 2: about taking and building the you know, in enhancing the
- 25:09Speaker 2: skills that it has to add the few new skills
- 25:11Speaker 2: it needs to be able to drive between Fort Worth
- 25:14Speaker 2: and Phoenix and El Paso. And so at that point, just.
- 25:17Speaker 1: To be clear, the route you have now is Houston Dallas,
- 25:20Speaker 1: Is that right?
- 25:20Speaker 2: That's right? I'm sorry, We drive tween thousand Houston and
- 25:23Speaker 2: by the end of the year we expect to be
- 25:24Speaker 2: driving between Fort Worth and Phoenix. And what's exciting about
- 25:29Speaker 2: and fort Worth and El Paso and El Paso and Phoenix.
- 25:33Speaker 2: And what's exciting about that is fort worth of Phoenix
- 25:37Speaker 2: is a thousand miles and a person is not able
- 25:40Speaker 2: to legally drive that in a day, And so we'll
- 25:45Speaker 2: be able to start doing things that are superhuman in
- 25:49Speaker 2: more and more dimensions.
- 25:50Speaker 1: Presumably the value preposition is really long drives, right, Like
- 25:55Speaker 1: it makes absolutely no sense for whatever one hundred miles
- 25:58Speaker 1: or something. And the longer it gets, the more the
- 26:00Speaker 1: economics makes sense.
- 26:01Speaker 2: Is that right? I mean, that's think it makes sense
- 26:04Speaker 2: across all different kinds of scales smiles. But I think
- 26:07Speaker 2: we're the biggest impact we'll ultimately is on these long
- 26:09Speaker 2: call trips.
- 26:11Speaker 1: And like, I get the freeway part in Broadway, How
- 26:17Speaker 1: does the not on the freeway part work? How constrained
- 26:20Speaker 1: are you as to where you can go when you're
- 26:22Speaker 1: not on the freeway.
- 26:23Speaker 2: Yeah, So the capability we're building is to be able
- 26:26Speaker 2: to drive everywhere. Sure, but like now, so today we
- 26:32Speaker 2: drive from a place that's off the freeway onto the freeway,
- 26:37Speaker 2: and then when we get in at the Dallas end
- 26:39Speaker 2: of the route, and then at the Houston end, we
- 26:41Speaker 2: drive about five miles from where we get off the
- 26:44Speaker 2: freeway to our terminal side, and along the way we
- 26:48Speaker 2: drive past customer locations. So we're making the choice today
- 26:51Speaker 2: to go to our terminals, but it's relatively straightforward to
- 26:57Speaker 2: stop and go to a different terminal instead or a
- 26:59Speaker 2: different See.
- 27:01Speaker 1: Like, how hard is that off the freeway part, the
- 27:05Speaker 1: sort of marginal you know, mile when not on the freeway?
- 27:11Speaker 2: Not, right, would be the short answer. Right, it's you know,
- 27:16Speaker 2: we've put a lot of for for a lot of time,
- 27:18Speaker 2: the primary focus what we're building was the freeway part, because,
- 27:22Speaker 2: as you pointed out, that's where the most kinetic energy is.
- 27:26Speaker 2: That's where you know, that's where the bad things could happen. Yeah.
- 27:30Speaker 1: I mean it's also simpler in certain ways, right, Like
- 27:34Speaker 1: it seems like turning a big truck around or just
- 27:37Speaker 1: getting a truck around. Like I live in New York
- 27:38Speaker 1: City and I see eighteen wheelers in New York City,
- 27:41Speaker 1: and I don't know, maybe that's maybe that's not that
- 27:44Speaker 1: hard to engineer for autonomy. You tell me it seems hard.
- 27:47Speaker 1: It looks hard.
- 27:48Speaker 2: Yeah, I think New York City is hard, right, And
- 27:51Speaker 2: I think there'll be a time where we get to
- 27:53Speaker 2: that where I'm really focused and we're really focused on
- 27:56Speaker 2: in the near term is how do we get to
- 27:58Speaker 2: the place where most freight moves right, And a lot
- 28:02Speaker 2: of that will go to these industrial parks in regions
- 28:06Speaker 2: of a city. And the reason why it's hard to
- 28:10Speaker 2: drive a truck in New York City right, and it's slow.
- 28:14Speaker 2: And so if you're trying to build a distribution center
- 28:16Speaker 2: for these Class eight tractors and trailers, you put them
- 28:18Speaker 2: in places where it's convenient because you're trying to run
- 28:21Speaker 2: a business, not build a technology showcase.
- 28:25Speaker 1: So what can you not do now ya?
- 28:30Speaker 2: So today we can't drive in the rain. Well, in fact,
- 28:34Speaker 2: that's not actually true. So today we drive in the
- 28:36Speaker 2: rain really well, but we haven't validated that fully for
- 28:42Speaker 2: driverless operations. And this is really an important idea, right,
- 28:45Speaker 2: is if you came down to Texas and got a
- 28:47Speaker 2: ride in one of our trucks and it was raining out,
- 28:50Speaker 2: it would work, and you would go, huh, why if
- 28:54Speaker 2: you guys not launched this, and we would say, yeah,
- 28:56Speaker 2: it basically works. But that's not good enough. It's not
- 29:00Speaker 2: good enough that it feels like it works. What we
- 29:02Speaker 2: want to have done is.
- 29:03Speaker 1: All basically it makes me nervous with a ten roil truck.
- 29:07Speaker 2: Exactly and it should right, And so we put a
- 29:10Speaker 2: lot of effort into making sure that it doesn't just
- 29:13Speaker 2: seem like it works, but we have conviction that it
- 29:15Speaker 2: will work right. And you know, as an example, two
- 29:21Speaker 2: of the last things that we we got checked off
- 29:24Speaker 2: when we launch, where it's one really high speed motorbikes
- 29:31Speaker 2: running red lights in the city. So we had done
- 29:35Speaker 2: a bunch of testing, I think up to let me say,
- 29:38Speaker 2: I'm gonna say some numbers here. These are probably not
- 29:39Speaker 2: quite right, but I'll use some numbers, you know, at
- 29:43Speaker 2: ninety miles an hour, because we figure, you know, ninety
- 29:45Speaker 2: miles an hour in a surface road, nobody.
- 29:48Speaker 1: Need the motorcycles going ninety.
- 29:50Speaker 2: Motorcycles going ninety miles an hour and they're going to
- 29:53Speaker 2: run a red light in front of us, and we
- 29:55Speaker 2: want the truck to not hit that motorbike. And then
- 29:57Speaker 2: we're on the freeway and we see a motorbike doing
- 29:59Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty miles an hour, and we're like, okay,
- 30:03Speaker 2: that is let's go make sure that that works right,
- 30:07Speaker 2: because you know, at some point we just want to
- 30:10Speaker 2: have comps. And so we went through and we found
- 30:12Speaker 2: out that when motorbike's going that extremely fast. First, we
- 30:18Speaker 2: found that our simulation wasn't quite up to snuff to
- 30:20Speaker 2: deal with that, so we had to go fix that.
- 30:23Speaker 2: And then we found that our perception system wasn't able
- 30:26Speaker 2: to quite track it as well as we'd want, so
- 30:28Speaker 2: we had some things to fix there, and so ultimately
- 30:31Speaker 2: we got to the point where if you're a motorbike,
- 30:33Speaker 2: please don't go test this run in a red light
- 30:36Speaker 2: at one hundred and fifty miles an hour. We're going
- 30:38Speaker 2: to see you and assuming you know, we can actually
- 30:41Speaker 2: see you, because there's not a building in the way,
- 30:43Speaker 2: we're going to stop and you know, not have an
- 30:46Speaker 2: event with you.
- 30:47Speaker 1: So is the rain analog of that, like more rain
- 30:50Speaker 1: than I can imagine and flooding and it's dark or something.
- 30:54Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, maybe frozen frozen also.
- 30:58Speaker 2: And so this is this is the answers. We we
- 31:01Speaker 2: have some good ideas of what these challenges are, and
- 31:04Speaker 2: so we're in the process of putting place the last
- 31:06Speaker 2: of the tests that we need to say yeah, across
- 31:08Speaker 2: the things that might be a problem, we actually handle
- 31:12Speaker 2: those in a way that's safe.
- 31:14Speaker 1: Once you got rain, are you good? I mean, I
- 31:16Speaker 1: guess you have the whole southern US without snow and ice? Right, Well,
- 31:20Speaker 1: think it not freezes in Texas? Right? Does it freeze in?
- 31:23Speaker 2: Does we get we get snow in Texas? And but
- 31:27Speaker 2: the good news is, like the reason why a lot
- 31:29Speaker 2: of freight moves wrong the sun belt is because trucks
- 31:33Speaker 2: don't like driving in snow. Right, It's just, you know,
- 31:36Speaker 2: much like people in general don't like driving in snow.
- 31:39Speaker 2: But there is snow. But if you've ever been in
- 31:40Speaker 2: Texas when there's a snowstorm, it basically shuts down.
- 31:43Speaker 1: Yeah, so you don't you don't have to solve snow.
- 31:46Speaker 1: You don't have to solve snow for now.
- 31:48Speaker 2: For now. But we will solve snow, right because all
- 31:50Speaker 2: of the stuff that works for rain mostly works for snow.
- 31:52Speaker 1: To me, all of these problems we can stipulate will
- 31:55Speaker 1: be solved by somebody, right, Yeah, plausibly by you, if
- 31:58Speaker 1: not you, by somebody else. But like I feel like
- 32:01Speaker 1: there's some sense of urgency. Like I'll say so interestingly,
- 32:04Speaker 1: just purely coincidentally, I talked to uh Worris softman?
- 32:10Speaker 2: Is it softman? Yeah?
- 32:10Speaker 1: Have his name is Med and so he said, and
- 32:13Speaker 1: we were not talking about you. This was not a
- 32:16Speaker 1: dig on you. It was more talking about why he's
- 32:18Speaker 1: doing what he's doing. He said, I don't think Open
- 32:21Speaker 1: Road Autonomy is a startup game. Uh. And he basically
- 32:25Speaker 1: you probably know he thinks, I mean, he basically thinks
- 32:28Speaker 1: it's too expensive.
- 32:29Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 32:29Speaker 1: In short, too expensive and too hard in that way
- 32:33Speaker 1: for a company that is capital constrained, for a company
- 32:35Speaker 1: that you know doesn't have a monopoly on search.
- 32:37Speaker 2: Let's see.
- 32:39Speaker 1: And so I do feel like in talking to you
- 32:40Speaker 1: like I, you plausibly may solve them. But there must
- 32:44Speaker 1: be some clock for you, right, You must have to
- 32:46Speaker 1: get to a point where you're making money relatively soon.
- 32:50Speaker 2: Is that right? Yeah, Well we've been at the game
- 32:52Speaker 2: for a while. You know, we went into an eyes
- 32:55Speaker 2: open right and looked at the you know, having spent
- 32:58Speaker 2: the time with Waymo, having the history I have, I
- 33:00Speaker 2: was like, this is not one hundred million dollar problem
- 33:02Speaker 2: or a ten million dollar problem. This is a multi
- 33:04Speaker 2: billion dollar problem. And so as we've built Aurora, it's
- 33:08Speaker 2: been Okay, we need to set ourselves up with the staff,
- 33:11Speaker 2: we need to set ourselves up with the capital partners,
- 33:13Speaker 2: we need to set ourselves up with the technology partners
- 33:18Speaker 2: that allow us to take that run. And I think
- 33:20Speaker 2: we've been very careful about how we've done that, and
- 33:23Speaker 2: we've put ourselves in a position to succeed. And I
- 33:25Speaker 2: agree with with Boris this is you know, I hear
- 33:28Speaker 2: people throwing out, oh, we're gonna, you know, spend one
- 33:30Speaker 2: hundred million dollars to do this. I think, you know,
- 33:32Speaker 2: you haven't even met the ante, right, And so for us,
- 33:39Speaker 2: we look at say, driving in the rain, we expect
- 33:41Speaker 2: to be solving that by the end of this year, right,
- 33:44Speaker 2: And at that point, as you point out, we've basically
- 33:47Speaker 2: unlocked the Southern freight belt. The amount of truck travel
- 33:51Speaker 2: that's there is gigantic, and so you know, from now
- 33:56Speaker 2: where we have a small number of trucks in the road,
- 33:59Speaker 2: by the end of next year, end of twenty six,
- 34:01Speaker 2: we expect to have a few hundred trucks on the road,
- 34:05Speaker 2: and then the year after that we expect to have
- 34:06Speaker 2: one thousand plus trucks on the road, and then we'll
- 34:09Speaker 2: built from there. And so it's you know, the conviction
- 34:14Speaker 2: we're starting to build internally, like yeah, this is just
- 34:16Speaker 2: just turn over the kind of the way we want it,
- 34:17Speaker 2: and we expect it is happening now and so it's
- 34:20Speaker 2: not a hypothetical. It some day we'll solve it. It's like, no,
- 34:22Speaker 2: we're you know, four or five months kind of time frame. So, well,
- 34:27Speaker 2: three four months timeframe.
- 34:28Speaker 1: What's the business model?
- 34:31Speaker 2: Yeah, so our business model is to work with the
- 34:34Speaker 2: ecosystem that's there today. So today, if you're a truck
- 34:37Speaker 2: and company, you buy a truck and then you pay
- 34:39Speaker 2: somebody to drive that truck for you. Uh, and so
- 34:42Speaker 2: that's what our company's going to do. You'll if you're
- 34:45Speaker 2: a company and wants some Automas truck, you're gonna go
- 34:48Speaker 2: to pac r and peter Bilt, or you're going to
- 34:50Speaker 2: go in Evolve and say I want to buy a truck,
- 34:52Speaker 2: and they buy the truck stuff and then it'll roll
- 34:57Speaker 2: off the line from our partner and it'll have the
- 34:59Speaker 2: row driver installed on it and you'll pay a subscription
- 35:02Speaker 2: to Aurora to drive that truck for you.
- 35:04Speaker 1: I see. Okay, So so you guys get paid by
- 35:08Speaker 1: the by the mile or by the by the hall
- 35:12Speaker 1: or something like that.
- 35:13Speaker 2: Yeah, that's exactly right. You know, it's at the risk
- 35:16Speaker 2: of at a service as a services you know, it's
- 35:19Speaker 2: driver as a service. That's the way we were thinking
- 35:21Speaker 2: about the business.
- 35:23Speaker 1: And the trucking company is buying the truck, So that's
- 35:25Speaker 1: good for you. You don't have to When you say
- 35:26Speaker 1: you'll have a thousand trucks out there, you don't mean
- 35:28Speaker 1: you're going to own a thousand trucks. You mean you'll
- 35:30Speaker 1: have essentially a thousand autonomous drivers in trucks that other
- 35:33Speaker 1: people own.
- 35:34Speaker 2: That's right, And this is because that's what our customers
- 35:36Speaker 2: want right that there Also it.
- 35:39Speaker 1: Seems easier as a business, and I still not have
- 35:42Speaker 1: to get into the trucking business.
- 35:44Speaker 2: I agreed again back to the philosophy of we think
- 35:47Speaker 2: we're really good at building the driver. And I look
- 35:50Speaker 2: at our partners, whether it's Werner or Hirshbock or Federal Express,
- 35:55Speaker 2: they know what they're doing. Why don't we help them
- 35:57Speaker 2: make their business a bit better and work together?
- 36:03Speaker 1: Can we talk about autonomy a little bit more broadly,
- 36:06Speaker 1: just since you're at it so long and I'm curious
- 36:08Speaker 1: what you think, So, like, what do you think are
- 36:12Speaker 1: the important constraints on autonomous vehicles right now? Sort of
- 36:17Speaker 1: broadly technologically, you know, in terms of policy.
- 36:21Speaker 2: I think it's primarily technological right now. Okay, right, And
- 36:25Speaker 2: I've said that. You know, people for for the better
- 36:28Speaker 2: part of a decade have been you know, when when
- 36:30Speaker 2: it's convenient hiding behind you know, regulation or policy. And
- 36:35Speaker 2: you know, the US policy of regulatory environment is permissive.
- 36:38Speaker 2: It's one of the things that's allowed innovation to flourish
- 36:40Speaker 2: in this country, certainly in the automotive space.
- 36:44Speaker 1: So what are the what are the important technological constraints
- 36:47Speaker 1: right now? Like, I mean, obviously WEIMO is thriving where
- 36:52Speaker 1: it's living, but like, also there are no autonomous cars
- 36:55Speaker 1: where I live and people aren't buying them, and so
- 36:58Speaker 1: like what's the what's what are the important bottlenecks right now?
- 37:01Speaker 2: Uh? Execution madwidth? Right? Like, So so at least where
- 37:06Speaker 2: I sit at a roar today, I don't out and see,
- 37:10Speaker 2: Oh my gosh, I don't know how we're going to
- 37:12Speaker 2: solve that. It's hey, we have this many people, we
- 37:16Speaker 2: have this much leadership band with we just need to
- 37:18Speaker 2: go execute right.
- 37:19Speaker 1: Like thinking industry wide and not to be like petty
- 37:24Speaker 1: or something, but like why aren't autonomous cars everywhere?
- 37:26Speaker 2: Right? Yeah? Because it's really hard, right, And I think
- 37:29Speaker 2: the right metaphor for this is commercial aviation, like the
- 37:34Speaker 2: physics are really in grasp and like you can both
- 37:36Speaker 2: things together. And yet you know, we basically have two
- 37:42Speaker 2: commercial aviation manufacturers globally, right, we have Boeing and Airbus.
- 37:47Speaker 1: Because it's hard to build big jet aircraft.
- 37:50Speaker 2: It's hard to build them, it's hard to have conviction
- 37:53Speaker 2: they're going to be safe, it's hard to produce them right.
- 37:56Speaker 2: And when I look at automated driving, I think it's
- 37:58Speaker 2: in a very similar space in that a lot of
- 38:01Speaker 2: things have to work well. You have to have the
- 38:03Speaker 2: discipline to be able to work across all of them,
- 38:06Speaker 2: make sure they all fit together, and then you have
- 38:08Speaker 2: to have the processes. And process in Silicon Valley is
- 38:12Speaker 2: often kind of a four letter word, like you know,
- 38:14Speaker 2: you've got to move past and break things, but when
- 38:16Speaker 2: you're building something safety critical, you actually have to get
- 38:19Speaker 2: that stuff right, and the art is getting it right,
- 38:22Speaker 2: we'll also be able to do it quickly.
- 38:25Speaker 1: So so when you think about the spread of autonomy
- 38:30Speaker 1: from here, again not just within your company, but sort
- 38:33Speaker 1: of more broadly, like how do you think it'll play out?
- 38:37Speaker 2: I think it's going to usher incredible new age all right,
- 38:40Speaker 2: that we should be able to dramatically reduce traffic fatalities.
- 38:48Speaker 2: The fact that you know, it had been a decade
- 38:51Speaker 2: without a fatality on civil aviation, and yet we had
- 38:55Speaker 2: forty thousand people killed on the road every year in
- 38:58Speaker 2: the US. Like, we can bring a technology to bear
- 39:01Speaker 2: to help solve this, right, and I think that's profound.
- 39:03Speaker 2: I think we can have a huge sustainability impact all
- 39:06Speaker 2: while actually kind of power up the US economy. And
- 39:12Speaker 2: so for us, you know, we've got this mission right
- 39:14Speaker 2: now that's focused on trucking, but what we're really building
- 39:17Speaker 2: is this capability to release safety critical software and systems
- 39:22Speaker 2: and this ability to understand the world. And so you
- 39:25Speaker 2: combine those two things, the places we can go with
- 39:27Speaker 2: that are profound, right, whether it is you know, last
- 39:30Speaker 2: mile delivery or ride hailing applications, or mining or farming
- 39:35Speaker 2: or aviation. Like there's it's just going to be a
- 39:37Speaker 2: lot of fun over the next decade. So yeah, I'm
- 39:40Speaker 2: psyched for it.
- 39:41Speaker 1: Next decade sounds fast given the pace so far. I
- 39:45Speaker 1: was surprised when you said next decade at the end there.
- 39:48Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that like anything, there's a point where
- 39:52Speaker 2: you have built a foundational base and then suddenly you're like, oh,
- 39:58Speaker 2: now I have this power. Now I have the superpower
- 40:00Speaker 2: to go do these things.
- 40:01Speaker 1: It's basically the package of hardware plus software at a
- 40:04Speaker 1: reductive level, and you can sort of put it on
- 40:07Speaker 1: other things and it'll more or less work.
- 40:09Speaker 2: More importantly the process and the data and again does
- 40:12Speaker 2: not sound sexy.
- 40:14Speaker 1: But the data sounds sexy, Like the more you talk
- 40:17Speaker 1: to machine learning people, the more sexy data sounds. Right.
- 40:20Speaker 2: Yeah, And you know, and we joke internally, you know,
- 40:23Speaker 2: if you if we have three kind of big artifacts,
- 40:26Speaker 2: being our software, our data, and our process, if you
- 40:30Speaker 2: held my gun in my head and said delete one
- 40:31Speaker 2: of them, I'd say delete the software, right, Please do
- 40:37Speaker 2: not delete our software.
- 40:40Speaker 1: Yeah, that's really interesting. Yeah, we'll be back in a
- 40:46Speaker 1: minute with the life around. We're gonna finish with the
- 40:59Speaker 1: lightning round. I appreciate your time, and we were almost done.
- 41:02Speaker 2: Cool. Thanks for the conversation.
- 41:05Speaker 1: So right that your father was a prison warden he was,
- 41:08Speaker 1: in fact, Yeah, did you learn any management and were
- 41:11Speaker 1: parenting tips from him?
- 41:14Speaker 2: Lock them up? Uh? No, absolutely not. You know. One
- 41:19Speaker 2: of the things that that stuck with me is, you know,
- 41:22Speaker 2: it's it's a difficult job being a prison warden because
- 41:26Speaker 2: you have the staff and then you have the inmates
- 41:29Speaker 2: and right, and and they're often at odds. And one
- 41:34Speaker 2: of the things he said was, you know, make sure
- 41:36Speaker 2: you treat everyone with respect. Right that he would, you know,
- 41:39Speaker 2: these are people who had made a mistake in life,
- 41:42Speaker 2: you know, and you treat them with respect. Uh. And
- 41:46Speaker 2: you know, I think that's really powerful and important.
- 41:49Speaker 1: What's one thing you learned working at Google?
- 41:53Speaker 2: I think big, right, I think I think that was,
- 41:58Speaker 2: you know, Larry and Sergey never lacked for vision, and
- 42:01Speaker 2: I think you can often find yourself constrained by kind
- 42:04Speaker 2: of your own kind of sense of what's a limit,
- 42:07Speaker 2: and they just thinking like, no, what, why can't you
- 42:10Speaker 2: do that? Why can't you do that? Yeah?
- 42:13Speaker 1: I remember, just as a consumer, just as a as
- 42:16Speaker 1: an ordinary person in the world, when they started what
- 42:20Speaker 1: became Google street View, I was like, yeah, surely you
- 42:23Speaker 1: can't take a picture of every bit of every road
- 42:27Speaker 1: in America, and actually you can and they did.
- 42:31Speaker 2: Yeah. Right. Like I think that that sense of like
- 42:34Speaker 2: you don't need to be intimidated by this, like you
- 42:36Speaker 2: need to think rationally, you need to figure it out.
- 42:39Speaker 2: But you know, I think it's a power one of
- 42:41Speaker 2: my professors at Carnegie Mellon said, dream like an amateur,
- 42:46Speaker 2: execute like professional, right, And I think that's just a
- 42:49Speaker 2: really kind of profound sentiment.
- 42:52Speaker 1: What's one thing your time at Google taught you not
- 42:54Speaker 1: to do?
- 42:55Speaker 2: Oh? What it teged me not to do?
- 43:02Speaker 1: Uh?
- 43:03Speaker 2: Maybe kind of adjacent that. Like, so when I went
- 43:06Speaker 2: to Google, I thought I was a pretty good programmer,
- 43:08Speaker 2: you know, I was, Yeah, Carnie Melon, I'm just good
- 43:10Speaker 2: at what I did, and I'm not a bad programmer.
- 43:15Speaker 2: But like, there are truly exceptional people out in the world, right,
- 43:18Speaker 2: And so I think, you know, maybe don't overestimate yourself
- 43:23Speaker 2: and kind of again kind of think, kind of think big,
- 43:27Speaker 2: don't underestimate what's out there.
- 43:34Speaker 1: Chris Sumson is the co founder and CEO of Aurora.
- 43:38Speaker 1: Please email us at problem at pushkin dot fm. We
- 43:41Speaker 1: are always looking for new guests for the show. Today's
- 43:45Speaker 1: show was produced by Trinamnino and Gabriel Hunter Chang. It
- 43:49Speaker 1: was edited by Alexander Garretson and engineered by Sarah Burgher.
- 43:53Speaker 1: I'm Jacob Goldstein and we'll be back next week with
- 43:56Speaker 1: another episode of What's Your Problem.