Latest / The SME Stream / Is Neutron almost ready? Peter Beck interview
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: The information provided in this program is of a general
- 0:02Speaker 1: nature and is not intended to be personalized financial advice.
- 0:05Speaker 1: We encourage you to seek appropriate advice from a qualified
- 0:07Speaker 1: professional to suit your individual circumstances.
- 0:12Speaker 2: Hi Madison, Hi Aeron, Welcome to Rocket Lab. I'm not
- 0:14Speaker 2: going to touch anybod I promise.
- 0:16Speaker 1: I'm too terrified to touch anything.
- 0:19Speaker 2: This is insane. I want to hug it. I'm speechless.
- 0:24Speaker 2: I don't know what to say.
- 0:25Speaker 1: I'm standing on a rocket launching platform. So ALC two
- 0:30Speaker 1: is dedicated for Electron and HASTE missions. But from what
- 0:33Speaker 1: you've just shown me, Aaron is way too small for Neutron.
- 0:36Speaker 1: That baby's going to launch next door, right and AlSi three, can.
- 0:41Speaker 3: We go see it? Let's go.
- 0:43Speaker 1: Before we left for the United States, we came here
- 0:46Speaker 1: to Rocket Labs and Mission Control in Auckland, New Zealand,
- 0:49Speaker 1: where I spoke to Sir Peter Beck about the readiness
- 0:52Speaker 1: of Neutron and why some may be doubting him and
- 0:55Speaker 1: his company's execution.
- 0:57Speaker 4: I think there's a lot of suspicion within our industry,
- 1:00Speaker 4: and we always, you know, always, my CFO always reminds
- 1:04Speaker 4: me that we have the best house on the worst Street.
- 1:17Speaker 1: This is the engine that will fire rocket Lab's next rocket, Neutron.
- 1:22Speaker 1: The space company dropped this hot fire hype video last
- 1:25Speaker 1: month showing the Archimedes being tested at NASA's Stenna Space
- 1:29Speaker 1: Center in Mississippi, cooling down critics who suggested the company
- 1:34Speaker 1: had complications heading this critical development milestone. Rocket Lab revealed
- 1:39Speaker 1: its bold plan to build a bigger rocket in March
- 1:42Speaker 1: twenty twenty one.
- 1:43Speaker 4: The some things we said we'd never do, but we're
- 1:46Speaker 4: going to build a big rocket.
- 1:49Speaker 3: It's called Neutron.
- 1:50Speaker 1: The forty three meter high medium lift launch vehicle will
- 1:53Speaker 1: be twice the height of its existing Electron rocket and
- 1:57Speaker 1: almost six times its diameter, allowing Neutron to carry forty
- 2:02Speaker 1: three times more mass to lower orbit. Both rockets are
- 2:06Speaker 1: made of carbon composite, but the key difference between them
- 2:10Speaker 1: is reusability. While rocket Lab later added recovery to Electron,
- 2:14Speaker 1: Neutron will have it built in from the beginning, with
- 2:17Speaker 1: the ability to re enter Earth's atmosphere and land on
- 2:20Speaker 1: its launch.
- 2:21Speaker 2: Pad to be refueled and reflown.
- 2:24Speaker 1: Parts are already under construction, and a machine has been
- 2:27Speaker 1: built to automate the production of its carbon fiber components
- 2:31Speaker 1: in the United States, where.
- 2:33Speaker 2: Neutron will launch from. But the big question is when
- 2:38Speaker 2: launching twenty twenty four.
- 2:43Speaker 1: That timeline has now slipped slightly, with Serpeter Beck announcing
- 2:47Speaker 1: this year that Neutron will now launch in mid twenty
- 2:50Speaker 1: twenty five.
- 2:52Speaker 2: On that agenda, Neutron would still be.
- 2:54Speaker 1: The fastest ever commercially developed medium lift rocket.
- 2:58Speaker 4: Because at rocket Lab, when we say we are going
- 3:00Speaker 4: to do something, we do it.
- 3:07Speaker 2: But some still have their doubts.
- 3:09Speaker 1: Short interest in rocket Lab rose five percent in the
- 3:12Speaker 1: past month, according to market Beat, taking total short interest
- 3:16Speaker 1: in the company to nineteen point eight percent of its
- 3:19Speaker 1: float with less than a year ago to a launch.
- 3:22Speaker 1: We visited Beck in Auckland to ask for a development
- 3:25Speaker 1: update and how he thinks about investors' emotional ties to neutrons.
- 3:31Speaker 2: So, Peter Beck, good to see, good to be Beck.
- 3:33Speaker 3: Yeah, great to chat.
- 3:34Speaker 1: Thank you so much for doing this. I really appreciate it.
- 3:36Speaker 1: This is all about neutron readiness. So let's go back
- 3:39Speaker 1: to the beginning. You announced Neutron, and was it March
- 3:42Speaker 1: twenty twenty one? Around me, it would have been about
- 3:44Speaker 1: then yet, so that's now.
- 3:45Speaker 2: An end of twenty twenty four. It's roughly about four years.
- 3:48Speaker 1: Ago you thought that you were going to be launching
- 3:51Speaker 1: a rocket by now, obviously we're not there yet.
- 3:54Speaker 2: How would you rate the pace of the neutron program
- 3:57Speaker 2: so far?
- 3:58Speaker 3: Yeah, well, I mean it's a crazy pace. And although
- 4:01Speaker 3: you know we're.
- 4:02Speaker 4: Call it six months behind or you know, slightly more,
- 4:05Speaker 4: you should put that into context of a rocket program.
- 4:08Speaker 4: You know, a rocket program you measure in decades, not
- 4:11Speaker 4: in years. So it was an ambitious target and that's
- 4:14Speaker 4: the way we roll. But you know, the progress of
- 4:17Speaker 4: the team in the vehicle and the pad and the
- 4:18Speaker 4: infrastructure and all the stuff that goes along with it
- 4:22Speaker 4: has been pretty astounding.
- 4:23Speaker 2: We are going to talk about all of those details
- 4:25Speaker 2: you mentioned. An ambitious target.
- 4:27Speaker 1: Is twenty twenty five ambitious or is that realistic at
- 4:30Speaker 1: the stage?
- 4:30Speaker 4: Well, we know, I mean we always we always cavit
- 4:33Speaker 4: everything we say and with with it's a rocket program,
- 4:36Speaker 4: right and you know, the programs on track for that
- 4:38Speaker 4: for that launch date, and everything's good. But it only
- 4:42Speaker 4: takes one small element to you know, to to reset
- 4:45Speaker 4: those sorts of things. But as it stands today, no,
- 4:48Speaker 4: we're you know, we're feeling and looking good for that.
- 4:50Speaker 4: But like I say, kevit, it's a rocket program like
- 4:53Speaker 4: a bad dad. The office generally means you have no
- 4:55Speaker 4: office anymore. So you know, some of those some of
- 4:58Speaker 4: those things can conceive it back.
- 5:00Speaker 2: So tell us everything that has been done so far.
- 5:02Speaker 1: You have, oh my goodness, tested Archimedes, the whole fire,
- 5:06Speaker 1: You've built the pad for LC three, You've got the
- 5:10Speaker 1: water tower up, changed the skyline at Wallops, you're building
- 5:13Speaker 1: the new ICF.
- 5:15Speaker 3: What's yet to go.
- 5:16Speaker 4: There's like a lot of people think of a rocket
- 5:18Speaker 4: program and you know, it's just the rocket, but the
- 5:21Speaker 4: rocket is actually.
- 5:22Speaker 3: A relatively small element.
- 5:24Speaker 4: And you know that the pad infrastructure is just like
- 5:27Speaker 4: we take all of the concrete in the in the
- 5:29Speaker 4: you know, the larger region for days on end just
- 5:31Speaker 4: to do one thing. So these infrastructure projects are just
- 5:35Speaker 4: massive and the amount of capital and time that goes
- 5:37Speaker 4: into putting steel and concrete in the ground is enormous.
- 5:40Speaker 3: And then the factories itself.
- 5:41Speaker 4: You know, we bought the Virgin Orbit factory and just
- 5:43Speaker 4: converted that that one large factory that used to make
- 5:46Speaker 4: whole rockets. It just makes engines now for for Neutron
- 5:49Speaker 4: and Archimedes, so the same with the engine test cells,
- 5:52Speaker 4: and there's just so much infrastructure that goes in and
- 5:54Speaker 4: around actually putting something on the pad, the actual rocket itself,
- 5:58Speaker 4: you know, it's it's a relatively small or element.
- 6:01Speaker 3: The tanks and what's not a relatively small element.
- 6:03Speaker 4: So you know, these these projects are just massive infrastructure projects.
- 6:08Speaker 1: So if you look at everything that's still yet to
- 6:09Speaker 1: be done until you can actually assemble all the parts
- 6:11Speaker 1: for neutron, what is the most difficult and there's sort
- 6:14Speaker 1: of most precarious story.
- 6:16Speaker 4: Well, i'd say all the really big high risk items
- 6:19Speaker 4: we've kind of brought down. I mean, you can you
- 6:21Speaker 4: can break a rocket program into into kind of three things.
- 6:24Speaker 4: One one is infrastructure, which you talk about, one is propulsion,
- 6:27Speaker 4: and the other is structures or tanks. And you know,
- 6:31Speaker 4: propulsion were really we took a relatively different well we
- 6:36Speaker 4: did to quite a different path with propulsion. For example, Normally,
- 6:40Speaker 4: you develop elements of an engine and you put them
- 6:43Speaker 4: on an engine test stand and you test like a
- 6:46Speaker 4: thrust chamber or a commission chamber, and then you might
- 6:48Speaker 4: test elements of a pump, elements of a valve, and
- 6:51Speaker 4: then you know, years later you bring them together and
- 6:54Speaker 4: then years later than that you actually put it on
- 6:56Speaker 4: a production line and produce it. We didn't take that approach.
- 7:00Speaker 4: I mean, we built five and something engines. We kind
- 7:02Speaker 4: of know we're doing these days. So we built the
- 7:05Speaker 4: production line for that engine. Everything that you know, that
- 7:08Speaker 4: first engine that went on the stand there was just
- 7:11Speaker 4: no flight, you know, no no industrial articles on there.
- 7:14Speaker 4: It was all flight, whether it be you know, wirring loombs,
- 7:19Speaker 4: engine controllers, valves, you know, everything, pumps it. It was
- 7:24Speaker 4: built on a production line by production technicians, and that
- 7:27Speaker 4: is the engine that we intend to fly. And you
- 7:30Speaker 4: know that that that is an approach, you know, it's
- 7:34Speaker 4: just a little bit risky in the fact that if
- 7:35Speaker 4: that engine had a fundamental issure performed very badly, you know,
- 7:40Speaker 4: then the program would be behind. But on the flip
- 7:42Speaker 4: side to that, you know, now we're banging engines out
- 7:44Speaker 4: of a production line, so the program and unless on
- 7:47Speaker 4: the propulsion side, is now ahead. So you know, it's swing,
- 7:50Speaker 4: swings and roundabouts and that in that sense.
- 7:53Speaker 1: Everyone always talks about the timeline for neutron, but time
- 7:56Speaker 1: is obviously money. How much money have you spent on neutron?
- 8:00Speaker 1: And then how much of the expected total initial cost YEP.
- 8:04Speaker 4: So when we first came to came public, we kind
- 8:06Speaker 4: of said that, you know, Neutron was going to consume
- 8:08Speaker 4: somewhere between two and fifteenth roundred million USD and yeah,
- 8:12Speaker 4: we're we're on target for that. So you know, as
- 8:15Speaker 4: far as you know, holding to budget is pretty impressive.
- 8:18Speaker 4: But once again, you always have to put this into context.
- 8:20Speaker 4: I mean, you know Vulcan, the Vulcan launch vehicle from ULA,
- 8:26Speaker 4: I think Tory recently publicized it was somewhere between seven
- 8:29Speaker 4: and nine billion dollars to put that vehicle on the pad,
- 8:32Speaker 4: So you know, a f under a million dollars is
- 8:34Speaker 4: crazy small to do what we're going to do.
- 8:37Speaker 3: And then you know there's still more expenditure after that.
- 8:40Speaker 4: Of course, we as we scale because that gets us
- 8:43Speaker 4: a rocket on the pad at a particular rate. But
- 8:46Speaker 4: you know, we hope to have a pretty decent clip
- 8:48Speaker 4: on these vehicles. So you need to continue to invest
- 8:50Speaker 4: in the program as it goes through.
- 8:52Speaker 1: The reason I ask us because I was wondering if
- 8:53Speaker 1: you might need to raise capital to cenish it.
- 8:55Speaker 4: Yeah, no, I mean you saw us do that convertible
- 8:58Speaker 4: note earlier in the year, and that was really to
- 8:59Speaker 4: put some powder in the barrels for acquisitions. As far
- 9:03Speaker 4: as far as Neutron goes, we don't need to raise
- 9:06Speaker 4: any capital for.
- 9:06Speaker 3: Their pre paid for Yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 9:08Speaker 4: I mean, and of course, you know, things start to
- 9:10Speaker 4: get much more interesting when you start flying customers payloads,
- 9:14Speaker 4: because you know, the balance sheet looks totally different because
- 9:17Speaker 4: it's a it's a fifty five million dollar launch at
- 9:20Speaker 4: that point, whereas right now it's all R and D.
- 9:22Speaker 3: So things things change pretty quickly.
- 9:25Speaker 1: You mentioned at the very beginning of this conversation how
- 9:28Speaker 1: rocket development timelines are typically measured in decades or years,
- 9:32Speaker 1: and delays of this scale or of even larger and
- 9:35Speaker 1: not indifferent in this industry. You only have to look
- 9:39Speaker 1: at Blue Origin and then New Glen, which has now
- 9:41Speaker 1: impacted your NASA Escapade mission, which you made some satellites for.
- 9:46Speaker 2: But how patient do you.
- 9:47Speaker 1: Think investors generally speaking are in watching and waiting for
- 9:53Speaker 1: developments in this industry.
- 9:54Speaker 3: Probably not as impatient as I am.
- 9:56Speaker 4: I mean, yeah, look, I think if you're if you're
- 9:59Speaker 4: in investing in a rocket company, and you've done your diligence,
- 10:02Speaker 4: then then then these things should should should should be
- 10:05Speaker 4: part part of course really but but at the end
- 10:08Speaker 4: of the day, I mean, we're we're a commercial enterteering
- 10:11Speaker 4: where we're trying to build a profitable company. So nobody
- 10:15Speaker 4: is more motivated than us to you know, to get
- 10:18Speaker 4: through that development and then and then through the scaling
- 10:20Speaker 4: and and all the rest of it. But you know,
- 10:23Speaker 4: if if, if, if you're if you're an investor, and
- 10:27Speaker 4: you know, I think anybody in the space industry has
- 10:30Speaker 4: to be a little bit patient for sure.
- 10:32Speaker 1: So why did you feel I need to drop in
- 10:34Speaker 1: Archimedes engine hot fire hype for the Oh.
- 10:37Speaker 3: Yeah, that was super funny.
- 10:39Speaker 4: Yeah, well, I mean I think I think one could
- 10:42Speaker 4: could make a direct correlation between the increasing value of
- 10:46Speaker 4: the company and the short interest and uh and and
- 10:50Speaker 4: you know, those kinds of things happen and in.
- 10:54Speaker 3: This you know, in this world.
- 10:55Speaker 4: So look, generally, we we just we just keep a
- 10:59Speaker 4: hisn and just do stuff. And you know, so we're
- 11:04Speaker 4: not we're not fixated on every hot fire, you know,
- 11:07Speaker 4: posting and all the rest of it.
- 11:08Speaker 3: But we're opportunities to have a little bit of fun
- 11:11Speaker 3: come along then not to.
- 11:13Speaker 1: Just to be clear that first hot fire did or
- 11:16Speaker 1: did not fail.
- 11:17Speaker 3: Of course it didn't fail.
- 11:19Speaker 4: Yeah, no, no, I mean there was no catastrophic explosion
- 11:23Speaker 4: or anything anything like that, not at all.
- 11:25Speaker 2: So we can dispell that Reddit room or run now.
- 11:27Speaker 3: Well, I think we already have.
- 11:28Speaker 4: I mean, if you watch the videos, you can see
- 11:29Speaker 4: serial number one engine running. So I think, yeah, I
- 11:34Speaker 4: think that's pretty pretty pretty straightforward.
- 11:36Speaker 1: Short interest when I checked was eighteen percent of the
- 11:39Speaker 1: total float, eleven percent of the total shares outstanding, if
- 11:42Speaker 1: you'd prefer that, Cigre, What do you make of that
- 11:45Speaker 1: increasing short interest.
- 11:46Speaker 2: In your company?
- 11:47Speaker 4: Well, I mean when we did the convert, there's always
- 11:49Speaker 4: more shorts that come along with with the convert, and
- 11:52Speaker 4: it's not surprising at all. In fact's probably surprising is
- 11:56Speaker 4: that low given given the amount of failure the space industry.
- 12:00Speaker 4: I mean, you only you don't need to look far
- 12:03Speaker 4: to see just a large number of you know, space companies,
- 12:07Speaker 4: especially launch companies that really had no chance, promised the
- 12:10Speaker 4: Earth and then just absolutely you know, ran into a war.
- 12:14Speaker 3: So so, you.
- 12:15Speaker 4: Know, I think I think there's a lot of suspicion
- 12:17Speaker 4: within within our industry. And we always, you know, always,
- 12:21Speaker 4: you know, my CFO always reminds me that we have
- 12:23Speaker 4: the best house on the worst street. And you know
- 12:27Speaker 4: along with that comes comes these kinds of things.
- 12:30Speaker 2: Does that sick of them feel you to want to
- 12:32Speaker 2: prove them wrong?
- 12:35Speaker 3: I mean no, I'm not.
- 12:37Speaker 4: I don't wake up every morning and look at the
- 12:39Speaker 4: short interests and think, oh my goodness. I wake up
- 12:40Speaker 4: every morning thinking, right, we've got we've got a milestones
- 12:43Speaker 4: to head. How do we get here? And and you know,
- 12:45Speaker 4: I think you know, Mutron unlocks a number of things
- 12:49Speaker 4: for the company. Right, Look, it breaks apart what is
- 12:52Speaker 4: essentially a monopoly within within medium launch.
- 12:55Speaker 3: But the other thing it does for us is it gives.
- 12:56Speaker 4: Us multi ton capability to deploy our own air seats
- 12:59Speaker 4: on orbit. So you know that really opens up the
- 13:02Speaker 4: third leg of the stool for Rocket Labs. So Neutron
- 13:06Speaker 4: is important for two very different reasons.
- 13:09Speaker 1: I do want to talk more about the opportunity, especially
- 13:11Speaker 1: revenue wise, that Neutron brings to Rocket Lab. But just
- 13:14Speaker 1: still on this investor thesis and mindset at the moment,
- 13:17Speaker 1: it feels to me and seems to me like there's
- 13:19Speaker 1: a bit of a divide among investors. There's the doubts
- 13:23Speaker 1: who you've just spoken about. There and then there's the
- 13:25Speaker 1: loyal defenders. When you first announced Neutron, you said, quote,
- 13:30Speaker 1: when we say we're going to do something at Rocket Lab,
- 13:32Speaker 1: we do it time and time again.
- 13:35Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 13:35Speaker 2: Why do you think now there.
- 13:37Speaker 1: Seems to be increasing rumors and doubt that you and
- 13:41Speaker 1: this company may not execute on what you say you're
- 13:44Speaker 1: going to.
- 13:45Speaker 3: Wow?
- 13:46Speaker 4: I mean, look, I think I think that always, you know,
- 13:49Speaker 4: always be doubters. But I think you know, the majority
- 13:52Speaker 4: of people that we talk to and we interface with,
- 13:55Speaker 4: and I think you can see that judged in the
- 13:58Speaker 4: increase in performances of the company is that you know,
- 14:03Speaker 4: we do do what we said we were going to do.
- 14:05Speaker 4: You know, we said we were going to build some
- 14:07Speaker 4: Mars spacecraft and deliver them on time.
- 14:09Speaker 3: Guess what we did it?
- 14:11Speaker 4: And you know, and there's there's enough history there to
- 14:14Speaker 4: go back.
- 14:15Speaker 3: So look, I mean, if if people people.
- 14:18Speaker 4: Want to underestimate us, and you know, whatever, that that
- 14:22Speaker 4: that's that's their progative. But you know, a reputation stands
- 14:26Speaker 4: on its own its own feet.
- 14:28Speaker 1: If we put a reality ruler over Neutron and what
- 14:31Speaker 1: it means for this company and its future, two thirds
- 14:35Speaker 1: of this business today perhaps not on the future, we
- 14:37Speaker 1: will talk about how the revenue max may change with Neutron.
- 14:40Speaker 1: But today two thirds of this business as space systems,
- 14:43Speaker 1: makes up the majority of your revenue, right, so how
- 14:47Speaker 1: much or weight and emphasis should investors actually place on
- 14:50Speaker 1: Neutron for now?
- 14:53Speaker 4: Well, I mean, look, I mean, yes, two thirds of
- 14:56Speaker 4: our revenue is from space systems, but that's because we
- 14:58Speaker 4: have a launch vehicle that has an ASP of a
- 15:00Speaker 4: a half million dollars, so, you know, and it's it's
- 15:03Speaker 4: launch launching frequently that that's great.
- 15:05Speaker 3: But it's only an eight and a half million doll
- 15:07Speaker 3: a SP.
- 15:08Speaker 4: I mean, if you have Neutron at fifty five, then
- 15:11Speaker 4: it's then that the balance sort of moves again. And
- 15:14Speaker 4: we've always wanted to have a relatively heavy space systems
- 15:18Speaker 4: element to the business anyway, because launch is super lumpy
- 15:22Speaker 4: and whereas space system is very predictable and has a
- 15:25Speaker 4: much much greater smoothing effect. And you see that today
- 15:28Speaker 4: where you know, if a customer doesn't turn up to
- 15:30Speaker 4: the pad and we have to revise a number of
- 15:31Speaker 4: launches we're going to do in the quarter, it's irrelevant
- 15:33Speaker 4: to earnings. And I think that's that's you know, you know,
- 15:36Speaker 4: that's a good a good place to be. But you know,
- 15:40Speaker 4: I think I think neutron going forward, as we've talked
- 15:43Speaker 4: about it, it unlocks monopoly and it unlocks the third
- 15:47Speaker 4: stool to create some really significant value.
- 15:50Speaker 1: Let's do the maths in lifetime then eight and a
- 15:53Speaker 1: half mel to fly lectron, fifty five US meal to
- 15:56Speaker 1: fly neutron. You've told me previously that you target a
- 15:58Speaker 1: fifty percent margin on both. So say you take about
- 16:01Speaker 1: twenty seven mili per neutron launch. You've told me your
- 16:04Speaker 1: dream cadence is about twice a month. Obviously, wone get
- 16:07Speaker 1: there at the beginning of neutron, but that means you'll
- 16:09Speaker 1: be earning one.
- 16:10Speaker 3: It's not a dream cadence, that's just like a good.
- 16:12Speaker 2: Cadence, right, realistic cadence.
- 16:15Speaker 3: I like realism is realistic for that period in time.
- 16:17Speaker 1: But yes, so then if we take the realism and
- 16:20Speaker 1: those figures, with the fifty percent margin on neutron, you'd
- 16:23Speaker 1: be collecting and pocketing fifty mili fifty five mil per
- 16:27Speaker 1: month if you're doing two launches on neutron, and then
- 16:30Speaker 1: once you use that money to break even on the
- 16:32Speaker 1: max three hundred mil spend it's all upside from there.
- 16:36Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, the return on investment of a neutron
- 16:38Speaker 4: is very fast if you can do it for a
- 16:41Speaker 4: few hundred million dollars. Now if you've if you like
- 16:44Speaker 4: others have spent billions, then that ori is a is
- 16:47Speaker 4: a bit a bit longer. But yeah, I mean, and
- 16:50Speaker 4: that's all good business, and that's all all important. But
- 16:54Speaker 4: I think don't forget there's a three hundred and twenty
- 16:56Speaker 4: billion dollar opportunity sitting off to the right here that
- 16:59Speaker 4: is enabled by neutron. So yes, as a launch business
- 17:03Speaker 4: itself great, always going to be lumpy and always going
- 17:06Speaker 4: to be difficult, but it really is the enabler to something.
- 17:09Speaker 3: Much much larger interesting.
- 17:11Speaker 1: So once that breaks even, then what are you thinking
- 17:13Speaker 1: in terms of revenue addition for launch and then also
- 17:16Speaker 1: for everything else that will go on it.
- 17:18Speaker 4: Well, I mean, look, the grand vision here is to
- 17:22Speaker 4: build an end to end space company. So you launching
- 17:27Speaker 4: and breaking apart in the monopolis is great, and their
- 17:29Speaker 4: space system's business continues to grow. But I think, as
- 17:32Speaker 4: we've always said, the real opportunity here is to utilize
- 17:36Speaker 4: those things to build infrastructure in orbit, and that's where
- 17:40Speaker 4: you crack open this three hundred and twenty billion dollar
- 17:43Speaker 4: market in applications and services and everything from space. And
- 17:46Speaker 4: I think you only need to look as far as
- 17:48Speaker 4: Starlink to see what kind of kind of value creation
- 17:53Speaker 4: can be made in disruption to an industry when you
- 17:56Speaker 4: own the keys to space.
- 17:58Speaker 1: You've spoken to me twice now you've mentioned it again today,
- 18:01Speaker 1: and we spoke about this last time as well, that
- 18:02Speaker 1: neutron breaks up that monopoly that a competitor has.
- 18:06Speaker 2: I'm assuming you're talking about SpaceX.
- 18:08Speaker 1: You've mentioned Starlink there, and you're not only going to
- 18:10Speaker 1: go after SpaceX's launch business, but.
- 18:13Speaker 2: You're also going to go after Starlink directly.
- 18:15Speaker 4: Well, we don't talk about what application we're going after
- 18:18Speaker 4: because it's just too early, you know, and it's kind
- 18:20Speaker 4: of irrelevant. I'm a very kind of methodical person. I
- 18:23Speaker 4: like to finish one thing before I start the next.
- 18:25Speaker 4: And there's no point about, you know, really digging into
- 18:28Speaker 4: applications until neutrons flying.
- 18:31Speaker 3: That it's it's it's just irrelevant.
- 18:34Speaker 4: But looks you have a whole spectrum of things you
- 18:38Speaker 4: do in space, and you know, the broadband space vertical
- 18:45Speaker 4: is one one shaft of light and a giant spectrum.
- 18:48Speaker 4: So I think there's a lot of things to a
- 18:50Speaker 4: lot of a lot of opportunities to go after there.
- 18:52Speaker 2: When it is flying just quickly on cadence.
- 18:55Speaker 1: What licenses if that's the correct term, it may not
- 18:57Speaker 1: be in NASA terms, but what sort of approval do
- 19:00Speaker 1: you have to be able to fly at its first
- 19:02Speaker 1: and second year?
- 19:03Speaker 2: Do you need to renew any off?
- 19:05Speaker 4: It's no different too to an electron. So you know,
- 19:07Speaker 4: every license is launched, every launches is licensed. Now it
- 19:12Speaker 4: is slight peculiarity or slight difference from electrons its launched
- 19:15Speaker 4: out of the US, So you know, we don't need
- 19:17Speaker 4: New Zealand government launch license approval. But you know every
- 19:20Speaker 4: vehicle has it's it's required, you know, licenses, and and
- 19:23Speaker 4: then of course you have all of the all of
- 19:25Speaker 4: the other kind of reglatory things that go go along
- 19:28Speaker 4: with with launch vehicles.
- 19:30Speaker 1: So if we go back to those maths equations, once
- 19:34Speaker 1: it is revenue additional, when neutron is, when could investors
- 19:39Speaker 1: see a dividend?
- 19:41Speaker 4: Well, I mean, look, I don't think we're where we've
- 19:44Speaker 4: we've publicly spoken about that. I mean right now, as
- 19:47Speaker 4: a as a kid, saying like it's it's it's all
- 19:49Speaker 4: hands to the pump to get to get you know, neutron,
- 19:52Speaker 4: neutron to the pad. But you know, the business changes
- 19:55Speaker 4: pretty significantly, you know, once we start, once we start
- 19:58Speaker 4: flying that vehicle. And you know, if you if you
- 20:02Speaker 4: just minus out neutron investment today, then you know the
- 20:06Speaker 4: company looks looks very profitable. But you know, we've taken
- 20:08Speaker 4: made a conscious decision to to to heavily invest in
- 20:11Speaker 4: that product.
- 20:12Speaker 1: And in the meantime, you're also going to Mars to
- 20:15Speaker 1: retrieve some samples for scientific purposes. Just casually on the side, let's.
- 20:20Speaker 4: Be clear here where we are. We are we are
- 20:23Speaker 4: studying whether or not we can put together an architecture
- 20:28Speaker 4: that NASA thinks is sufficiently viable to to to then
- 20:32Speaker 4: go and do so. Where we're we're you know, we're
- 20:35Speaker 4: at the early stages of of you know, of that program.
- 20:38Speaker 4: So yes, we've been awarded to study contract from from
- 20:40Speaker 4: NASA to to retrieve the samples that are sitting on
- 20:44Speaker 4: the on the surface of Mars right now and bring
- 20:46Speaker 4: them back home to Earth. And you know, I think
- 20:50Speaker 4: I think we're uniquely placed for that because if you
- 20:52Speaker 4: if you asked around the industry, who's the best of
- 20:55Speaker 4: the world of building a super small rockets for launching
- 20:58Speaker 4: off planets, it's US. And then there's only two commercial
- 21:02Speaker 4: companies that have re entered a capsule and landed it.
- 21:04Speaker 3: Safely back on Earth, and one of them is US.
- 21:07Speaker 4: So these are like two core elements like launching off
- 21:10Speaker 4: another planet with a little rocket and bringing a little
- 21:12Speaker 4: thing home and landing it safely. Let alone, you know
- 21:15Speaker 4: some of some of the other technologies. And you know
- 21:18Speaker 4: who's building mass spacecraft right now.
- 21:20Speaker 2: You bought You actually built two of them.
- 21:22Speaker 3: Yep.
- 21:22Speaker 2: So although there yet to be following you, we're gonna
- 21:24Speaker 2: have to wait a year for that.
- 21:25Speaker 4: But well yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah yeah. But but the point,
- 21:28Speaker 4: the point being is like we have really critical key
- 21:31Speaker 4: elements that that that enable that mission.
- 21:35Speaker 3: So you know, we think whatever, we're going to.
- 21:37Speaker 4: Have a good crack at seeing if if we can
- 21:39Speaker 4: put something together and make that happen.
- 21:41Speaker 1: After this conversation, I don't think you would go and
- 21:43Speaker 1: have a crack at something if you didn't think you
- 21:45Speaker 1: could execute on it.
- 21:46Speaker 3: Well, absolutely not. No, No, I don't know.
- 21:49Speaker 4: No, I think I think, yeah, I think I think
- 21:51Speaker 4: we'll put something together that that will work. You know
- 21:54Speaker 4: that The question is, you know, this big political question
- 21:57Speaker 4: about who ends up doing it.
- 21:59Speaker 1: This kind of speaks to you call the desegregation. We
- 22:03Speaker 1: were talking before about government contracts now going to increasingly
- 22:07Speaker 1: private operators, especially in space.
- 22:09Speaker 2: It's a real trend, isn't that.
- 22:11Speaker 3: Yeah, well, I think it's funny.
- 22:13Speaker 4: When I first started the company, everybody was talking about
- 22:15Speaker 4: the democratization of space, and then now we find ourselves
- 22:19Speaker 4: like right in the middle of it, and it's super
- 22:21Speaker 4: cool to be a part of that. I mean, you know,
- 22:23Speaker 4: governments no longer really apartment sls really invest in launch vehicles,
- 22:28Speaker 4: and you know, the space station is retiring in twenty
- 22:31Speaker 4: thirty and the replacement for that is commercial. Now we've
- 22:34Speaker 4: got commercial science missions and even the Escapade mission. You know,
- 22:38Speaker 4: although it's a government mission, it was a commercial entity
- 22:40Speaker 4: that built those two spacecraft. So so yeah, the democratization
- 22:44Speaker 4: of space is truly happening.
- 22:47Speaker 1: Would rocket Land build or apply to build the next
- 22:50Speaker 1: International Space Station?
- 22:53Speaker 3: Look, that's currently not not on our roadmap.
- 22:56Speaker 1: If it ever happens, please give me a call. So
- 22:59Speaker 1: feb thank you so much for your time.
- 23:01Speaker 3: Appreciate it now.
- 23:02Speaker 1: Stay, there's gonna ask a few more questions just about
- 23:04Speaker 1: the wallets facility.
- 23:06Speaker 2: What are we going to see? How efflick is it?
- 23:08Speaker 4: Well, I mean there's a there's a lot, So there's
- 23:11Speaker 4: a it's kind of like an iceberg. For whatever concrete
- 23:14Speaker 4: you see sticking in the ground, there's like two thirds
- 23:16Speaker 4: of that below the ground. So you're going to see,
- 23:19Speaker 4: you know, a lot of concrete, a lot of steel,
- 23:22Speaker 4: you know, and a lot of a busy site, you know,
- 23:25Speaker 4: working together to get that get that pad or operational.
- 23:28Speaker 1: Stay tuned for part two.