Latest / Investor Exchange / How The Amova Singapore STI ETF Achieved A 24.92% Return In 2025
Transcript
- 0:02Time for another Investor Exchange podcast. Here are your hosts, Matt and Sally.
- 0:07Welcome to the Deep Dive. Today, we're really digging into an ETF that had,
- 0:12well, just a massive year.
- 0:13We've got the annual report for the Imova Singapore STI ETF,
- 0:17the one covering the financial year ending June 30, 2025.
- 0:21And our goal here for you, the listener, is pretty clear.
- 0:24We want to get past the headlines. We're going to pull out the real financial
- 0:27performance numbers, figure out why they were so big, and then look at,
- 0:30you know, what the fund actually holds and the risks involved.
- 0:33Right. And it's crucial to start with the basics. This fund,
- 0:36its whole purpose is just to copy the Straits Times Index, the STI,
- 0:41Simple Passive Replication.
- 0:42Oh, and a quick note on the name, you'll see a Mova Singapore STI ETF in the
- 0:47report. But it only changed that on September 1st, 2025.
- 0:50Before that, it was the Nikko AM
- 0:52Singapore STI ETF, fundamentally the same thing, just a rebrand. Got it.
- 0:57Okay, so let's hit that main number first, because the performance wasn't just
- 1:00decent. It was, frankly, stellar this year.
- 1:02What was that one-year raw return figure? Yeah, it was impressive.
- 1:05For the year ending June 2025, the ETF delivered 24.92%. 24.9%.
- 1:12In just 12 months, that's a really significant gain. Absolutely.
- 1:16It was a huge year for Singapore's big companies. And if you look at the performance
- 1:19table, that 24.92% is interesting because the benchmark itself,
- 1:24the STI, returned 25.46%. Ah, okay.
- 1:28So if the whole point is just to track the index being only about half a percent,
- 1:3254 basic points, below it, that sounds like they did their job pretty well. Exactly.
- 1:36Operationally, that's a success. They delivered what they promised.
- 1:39And that close tracking, it's consistent if you look back further, too.
- 1:43Since it started back in February 2009, the fund's annualized return is 9.03%.
- 1:48The STI itself did 9.71% annualized over that same period.
- 1:52So there's always a little bit of lag, that tracking error, but it's consistently
- 1:55small across all timeframes, three months, six months, one year,
- 1:5810 years. It shows the strategy works.
- 2:00Okay, so let's move from percentages to, well, this year's scale of money involved. Yeah.
- 2:04Because this is where you really see the market momentum, I think.
- 2:07We need to look at that total return for the financial year after income tax.
- 2:10What were those numbers for 2025 versus 2024?
- 2:13Uh-huh. And the growth in actual dollar terms is, well, it's huge.
- 2:17For 2025, the total return was S181.9 million dollars. Wow. Okay.
- 2:24S181.9 million dollars.
- 2:26How does that compare to the year before 2024? That's where it gets really stark.
- 2:31In 2024, the total return was $62.7 million.
- 2:35Wait, hold on. It's $181.9 million versus $62.7 million.
- 2:41That's, go in the math quickly, like 190% increase year over year in the total return.
- 2:45Approximately, yes. It's an enormous jump. That's way beyond just a good year.
- 2:50That suggests something major shifted in the market, right? Yeah.
- 2:52Sentiment, cycle, something.
- 2:54Definitely. And you see that reflected in the fund size, too.
- 2:56People notice those returns. The NEC assets, so the total money managed by the
- 3:00fund, grew significantly.
- 3:02It went from $736.8 million at the end of June 2024 up to $921.4 million by June 2025.
- 3:11Investors clearly liked what they saw and put more money in.
- 3:13Right. That makes sense. So that 190 percent increase in total return,
- 3:16that's the big question.
- 3:17Where did that massive surge actually come from?
- 3:19You look at the statement of total return, what's the main engine driving that
- 3:22S-181.9 million dollar figure?
- 3:25It's overwhelmingly from asset appreciation, not so much the regular income.
- 3:30The key line item is net gains on investments. That includes both realized gains
- 3:35profits from selling things and unrealized gains, meaning the stuff they still hold went up in value.
- 3:41And I'm guessing those numbers are pretty dramatic given the overall return.
- 3:44They really are the core of the story for this financial year.
- 3:46In 2025, these net gains hit 139,840,334 balls. OK, some $140 million roughly.
- 3:55And 2024. In 2024, that same line was $29,943,535.
- 4:02So just under S30 million dollars. Wow. From $30 million in gains one year to
- 4:07S140 million dollars the next.
- 4:09That capital appreciation component, it basically increased by nearly five times. That's incredible.
- 4:14It's like you said, it wasn't the rent who was selling the house for a huge
- 4:16profit. Precisely. The market prices moving up drove the vast majority of that total return.
- 4:21Now, we shouldn't ignore the income side completely. Dividends were also up quite a bit.
- 4:24Okay, what did those look like? Dividends received went from S35 million dollars
- 4:28in 2024 to nearly S45 million dollars, S44.97 million dollars in 2025.
- 4:34So the underlying companies are paying out more cash, which is healthy.
- 4:38But yeah, the defining factor for the year was definitely the stock price surge.
- 4:41And I suppose managing more money and getting these huge returns comes with slightly higher costs.
- 4:46Looking at expenses, management fees went up a bit.
- 4:49S1.37 million dollars to S1.67 million dollars.
- 4:52Transaction costs almost doubled. But I guess when you're talking about S140
- 4:55million dollars in capital gains, those operational cost increases are pretty small in comparison.
- 5:00Yeah, relatively minor, which actually leads into operational efficiency.
- 5:03It's interesting because even though assets grew and transaction costs rose,
- 5:07the overall total expense ratio, the TER, actually went down slightly. Oh, really?
- 5:12How much? It dropped from 0.26% in 2024 to 0.24% in 2025.
- 5:16They managed to keep relative costs in check. And remember, the manager had
- 5:19actually reduced the cap on the expense ratio to 0.25% back in December 2023.
- 5:24So they came in under their own lower cap.
- 5:26Okay, that's efficient. But here's
- 5:28a number that really jumped out at me talking about activity levels.
- 5:31The portfolio turnover ratio, the PTR.
- 5:34This measures how much trading they did relative to the fund's size, right? That's right.
- 5:38Value of trades versus average assets. Well, in 2024, it was just 13.38%. Pretty low.
- 5:44Seems normal for passive. But in 2025, it shot up to 32.74%.
- 5:50Yeah, that's a significant jump. Nearly tripled the activity level.
- 5:54So what does that imply? For a fund that's just supposed to mirror an index,
- 5:59why would trading activity nearly triple in one year?
- 6:02That's the key question, isn't it? Normally, you'd expect turnover in a passive
- 6:06fund mainly from index rebalancing companies entering or leaving the STI or
- 6:11maybe large flows of money in or out from investors. Right. Routine adjustments.
- 6:15But activity on the scale of 32.74 percent, it suggests something more dynamic was happening.
- 6:20Maybe the index changes were unusually large that year or perhaps the manager
- 6:23was being more, let's say, proactive in positioning around those changes or handling flows.
- 6:29More active trading to capture that market momentum we saw. could that be linked
- 6:32to the five-fold jump in capital gains?
- 6:35It certainly implies a strong connection.
- 6:37That level of activity suggests the manager wasn't just passively sitting back.
- 6:41They were likely making tactical moves, perhaps related to index reconstitutions
- 6:45or significant market shifts that paid off massively in terms of realized or unrealized gains.
- 6:51Whatever the specific reasons, that heightened activity clearly coincided with
- 6:56exceptional performance.
- 6:57Okay, so let's look inside the portfolio then.
- 7:00Where was all this capital and all this activity focused? What does the fund
- 7:04actually hold? Well, no surprises. It reflects the STI structure very closely.
- 7:08Geographically, it's overwhelmingly Singapore, about 83.7%. There's a small
- 7:13slice in Hong Kong SAR, around 5.8%, and tiny bit, less than 1% in Thailand.
- 7:19But it's basically a Singapore fund. And industry-wise, what dominates?
- 7:22Banks and finance massively.
- 7:24It accounts for 57.44% of the fund's
- 7:28net assets. Wow, nearly 60% in just financials. That's concentrated.
- 7:31Extremely. It really reflects the Singapore market structure.
- 7:34If Singapore's economy leans heavily on finance, this ETF does too.
- 7:38And the top holdings must reflect that banking dominance directly, I imagine?
- 7:42They absolutely do. You really can't overstate the concentration here.
- 7:45The top three holdings alone make up over half the fund.
- 7:48Just three stocks. Which ones? DBS Group Holdings is the biggest at 25.22%,
- 7:54then OCBC at 14.78%, and UOB at 12.40%.
- 7:59So DBS, OCDC, UOB, yeah, that adds up to over 52% right there. Exactly.
- 8:05Those three banks are the core of this ETF.
- 8:08We did see some slight growth in other sectors, like technology nudged up from
- 8:12about 2.1% to 3.2%, and telecom services grew a bit to 6.7% to 7.6%.
- 8:18But honestly, the story is still the overwhelming weight of the financial sector.
- 8:22Which brings us squarely to risk and the outlook, doesn't it?
- 8:25With that kind of concentration, what's the main risk identified in the report?
- 8:29Well, given its objective, the primary risk is simply market risk,
- 8:32specifically price risk. That's laid out in Node 8a.
- 8:35Because it's designed to track the STI, its performance is fundamentally tied
- 8:39to the ups and downs of the index itself.
- 8:41Whatever the STI does, the fund will pretty much follow. And they even put a
- 8:44number on that sensitivity, right? They do. They provide a sensitivity analysis.
- 8:48They state that what they consider a reasonable possible shift in the index,
- 8:53they use 14% up or down, as the example light, would likely cause a corresponding
- 8:5814% change in the fund's net assets.
- 9:00So almost perfect correlation, which is good for tracking, but it means you're
- 9:04fully exposed to any big swings in the index, positive or negative. Precisely.
- 9:09And this ties directly into diversification risk.
- 9:12When you have 57.44% concentrated in banks and finance, it means the fund's
- 9:18future isn't just about the overall Singapore market, it's incredibly dependent
- 9:23on the health of that specific sector.
- 9:25Think about factors like interest rates, regulations, the regional economic
- 9:28climate impacting banks.
- 9:30All those things will disproportionately affect the CTS performance.
- 9:33The outlook for the fund is basically the outlook for Singapore's big banks.
- 9:37Makes sense. What about operational risks? Like, can they handle investors wanting
- 9:40their money back quickly?
- 9:41Liquidity. They address that. The report mentions they manage liquidity risk
- 9:45by holding a buffer of cash and ensuring their investments are primarily readily
- 9:50sellable securities listed on major stock exchanges.
- 9:54The idea is to be able to meet redemption requests from unit holders smoothly,
- 9:57even if many come in at once.
- 10:00That's standard, but crucial for an ETF.
- 10:02Okay. And from a sort of governance standpoint, everything above board. Seems so.
- 10:07Both the trustee and the manager state in the report that they followed all
- 10:10the investment rules set out in the fund's governing documents, the trust deed.
- 10:14Plus, the external auditors gave a clean opinion, no major issues found.
- 10:19That suggests operational stability and compliance even during that very active
- 10:23high growth year. Right. So let's try and pull this all together.
- 10:26Key takeaways from digging into this 2025 report for the Amova Singapore STI ETF.
- 10:32It was clearly a year of phenomenal growth and returns, almost entirely fueled
- 10:36by that huge surge, nearly five times in capital gains.
- 10:39And underpinning that performance was a much more active portfolio than the previous year.
- 10:43Remember that triple turnover ratio and it all relies very, very heavily on
- 10:46Singapore's big banks. Exactly.
- 10:48So for you, the learner, what does it boil down to? The fund absolutely did
- 10:52what it's supposed to do. It mirrored the STI very effectively.
- 10:55It's a pure index tracker in that sense.
- 10:58But, and it's a big but, that heavy concentration in financials is a double-edged sword.
- 11:04When banks are flying high, like they apparently were in this period,
- 11:08the fund captures that upside brilliantly.
- 11:10However, if sentiment turns or that sector faces headwinds, the downside risk
- 11:15is equally concentrated.
- 11:17Its fate is tied to those heavyweights. And that leads perfectly into a final
- 11:20thought for you to chew on, connecting those two points, activity and gains.
- 11:25We saw the portfolio turnover nearly triple in the exact same year the capital
- 11:29gains exploded to S-140 million dollars. So the question is,
- 11:33what does that aggressive ramp up in trading within a supposedly passive fund
- 11:37tell us about how the manager might have been trying to capture those gains?
- 11:40And maybe more importantly, how sustainable is that level of active intervention
- 11:44for generating such outsized capital gains in the future? Something to think about.