Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 458 - 2/19/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

Transcript

Episode 458 - 2/19/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
• 0:14
  welcome to episode. 458. Of the All Systems Go sports
• 0:19
  betting podcast powered by rhythm, I am your host Josh
• 0:24
  Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:30
  Happy thirsty Thursday. Another day here in the arena,
• 0:34
  guys. And because it is Thursday, you
• 0:36
  know what that means. We have more college hoops to
• 0:38
  bet on tonight, but also it is another edition of the rhythm
• 0:41
  rundown. So tonight, as we've been doing
• 0:43
  every Thursday all year long, myself, my buddy Kate Harper,
• 0:47
  one of the sharpest guys I know, will be hosting the Rhythm
• 0:50
  Rundown stream live on Twitter. So TuneIn tonight, 6:00 PM
• 0:54
  Eastern Time, as always, we'll go Twitter live.
• 0:56
  You can click right on the profile icon.
• 0:59
  It should be a little, little, little pop up there or maybe on
• 1:01
  the right side of your, your, your X page as well.
• 1:04
  That'll give you that easy click and boom, you'll get right into
• 1:07
  the rundown. And really what we're focusing
• 1:09
  on is college basketball. So we'll be walking through how
• 1:12
  to use rhythm to your advantage. And what I always love to do is
• 1:15
  combining the market and the movement in the analysis.
• 1:17
  What we look for on the podcast, really looking at line, move,
• 1:20
  split system matches, what the sharps are doing, try to go
• 1:23
  against the public. But then also the cherry on top
• 1:26
  is if rhythm agrees, if rhythm is backing up what we're seeing
• 1:30
  across the market, that's just that extra, extra little, little
• 1:33
  juice, that cherry on top that helps us be more confident to
• 1:36
  fire on a bet. So if you've ever been
• 1:38
  interested in rhythm or have questions about rhythm or maybe
• 1:41
  you've downloaded rhythm, but you kind of don't know how to
• 1:43
  build a system or how to how to read the recommendations.
• 1:46
  Well, of course tonight, 6:00 PM Eastern Time, get right on
• 1:48
  Twitter. Kade and myself, we're going to
• 1:50
  go live and we'll break down all the college basketball sharp
• 1:53
  rhythm recommendations for tonight.
• 1:56
  Also, it's a Thursday, so Thursday is always my busiest
• 1:59
  day. I got my buddy Patrick Maher's
• 2:01
  show tonight, 9:00 PM Eastern Time, Visa live tonight on
• 2:05
  SiriusXM Mad Dog Radio. So I'm looking forward to talk
• 2:08
  to my buddy Patrick as well. So rhythm rundown at six Patrick
• 2:12
  show at 9. And of course, we got some some
• 2:14
  bets to talk about here for tonight.
• 2:16
  Now looking toward tonight guys, I got another 3 pack of college
• 2:19
  plays for you. So we're going to write right
• 2:21
  back to college hoops here. But unlike last night where we
• 2:24
  had some really big heavily backed games, ranked teams,
• 2:27
  tonight it's three, I would argue low bet, obscure sharp
• 2:30
  line moves, which is just just fine with me because even though
• 2:34
  it may not be, you know, a huge Duke or Kentucky or Arizona or
• 2:39
  or, you know, Houston or some big name team, you know what you
• 2:42
  bet on a small little school, they come through for you.
• 2:45
  You get paid the same cash you would if you bet on a big game.
• 2:48
  So we're going to look toward three money line short favorites
• 2:51
  here tonight. All of which happened to have
• 2:53
  some really good rhythm edges and sharp mush edges from our
• 2:55
  friends at Juice Reel. So a three pack.
• 2:58
  Let's try to go 2 and one each out.
• 2:59
  A winning night. Now.
• 3:01
  Looking for last night guys. Little bit frustrating. 1 and 2
• 3:04
  - 1 - 1 point O 9 units. We had a great hit with
• 3:08
  Missouri. You look at the box score and
• 3:10
  you're like, man, they won outright, 81 to 80.
• 3:13
  Remember everybody and their mother was on Vandy ranked team,
• 3:16
  short number, they open -4 1/2. They got down to 3 1/2 or 3 even
• 3:20
  touched as low as 2 1/2. So if you went to bed and didn't
• 3:23
  watch the game, you're like, wow, Mizzou, great win.
• 3:24
  And they did, they won, they covered, they went outright.
• 3:27
  But if you watch that game, they were up by like 20 points with
• 3:30
  like 8 minutes left and they barely, barely hung on.
• 3:34
  They I cannot imagine, I can't believe you know how many times
• 3:37
  they turned it over, couldn't inbound, they got pressured full
• 3:41
  court and it was just like, are they really going to lose this
• 3:43
  or not? What I was fearing is they're
• 3:45
  going to find a way to go to overtime and then, you know,
• 3:48
  lose by four more in overtime and we lose our 3 1/2.
• 3:51
  But thank the Lord. And if you saw the last play to
• 3:55
  the inbounder, Mark Mitchell used to play for Duke.
• 3:58
  He's pretty good player, but he made a terrible mistake.
• 4:00
  He he heaved it half court and Tanner, who's a really good
• 4:04
  player, he's kind of like a mini Steph Curry.
• 4:06
  He intercepted it and bombed 1/2 court pass and almost made the
• 4:10
  three. So again, Mizzou, that's like
• 4:13
  robbing the bank getting out alive.
• 4:14
  But Mizzou did come through. So thank you to the Tigers.
• 4:18
  Alabama, man, if you take away our bet, losing Alabama -4 1/2
• 4:22
  fade. The trendy dog public obviously
• 4:24
  got the last laugh there. They took Arkansas plus 4 1/2.
• 4:27
  Arkansas ended up losing by two, but if you watch that game, man,
• 4:31
  that was just an incredible game back and forth high scoring.
• 4:34
  The ESPN announcers were like instant classic there.
• 4:36
  So went to double overtime. Arkansas was short handed and
• 4:40
  they just kept getting guys fouled out and I'm like here we
• 4:43
  go. Bam was going to outlast them
• 4:44
  and win by 5. Unfortunately they only won by
• 4:47
  two. So again, public public got
• 4:49
  their Arkansas trendy dog there, which doesn't happen often, but
• 4:53
  they did we got to admit but a cuff he scored 49 points.
• 4:57
  That kid is an absolute baller. So Bama couldn't come through
• 5:01
  and neither could UNLV. They will lost 91 to 86 that a
• 5:05
  sharp move minus one 1 1/2 up to 2 1/2.
• 5:08
  But Colorado just could not miss.
• 5:10
  They shot 59% from the field felt like they make they made
• 5:14
  every shot. So unfortunately UNLV and Bama
• 5:16
  couldn't come through. Mizzou did come through, but as
• 5:19
  we're trying to grind 2 and ones it was a 1 and 2 -, 1 point O 9
• 5:23
  units. We're going to see if we can get
• 5:24
  it back tonight and start a get back to our winning ways, start
• 5:28
  a hot streak. With that being said, no more
• 5:30
  time to waste. I got 3 plays for you at 8:30, a
• 5:33
  nine and a 10:00. And as always, let's try to get
• 5:36
  2 out of these three and get back in the green.
• 5:39
  So first bit on the board for me.
• 5:40
  Let's talk an 830 match up here between Alabama A&M and Florida
• 5:44
  A&M. This is an added extra game.
• 5:46
  306-611-3066, one, two. So Alabama A&M comes in 15 and
• 5:52
  11 on the year. They've won three straight.
• 5:54
  They just beat Pine Bluff 82 to 70, covered as a 3 1/2 point
• 5:57
  home favorite. Meanwhile, Florida A&M, they've
• 6:00
  won two of their last three, just beat Alcorn State 86 to 78,
• 6:04
  covered as a 2 point Rd. favorite.
• 6:06
  So what you've seen across the market?
• 6:07
  Here. Well, this movement's been
• 6:09
  interesting because we opened with Florida A&M listed around a
• 6:12
  1 1/2 point home favorite, and we've seen this line creep
• 6:16
  pretty consistently, although there has been buyback, but it's
• 6:19
  been in favor of Alabama A&M. So got to make sure when you're
• 6:23
  betting this game, be your A&M, right?
• 6:25
  But Florida A&M open -1 1/2 and earlier today when I wrote the
• 6:29
  sharp report for visen.com, when I put my best bet in, I love the
• 6:32
  dog to fave line move in favor of Alabama A&M.
• 6:35
  So Alabama A&M went from plus 1 1/2 on the road to -1 1/2 on the
• 6:39
  road. And again, it is a low bed
• 6:42
  obscure game. So again, I don't know who woke
• 6:44
  up on a Thursday said I got to bet Bama in Florida A&M, not
• 6:48
  Alabama Crimson Tide, the Alabama A&M, what are they, the
• 6:51
  Bulldogs? So obscure sharp move.
• 6:53
  I do like the splits in particular here on Alabama A&M.
• 6:58
  45% bets but 61% dollars at DK. Now since Alabama A&M got to -1
• 7:04
  1/2, there's still two books at -1 1/2, DraftKings and FanDuel.
• 7:08
  But there are a couple books that are back down to a pick.
• 7:11
  And there is one book I believe with Bet MGM that's gone back to
• 7:14
  Florida. A and M -. 1 1/2.
• 7:16
  So basically if you go off the opener to the current, the line
• 7:20
  is either stay the same or move toward Alabama A&M.
• 7:22
  We do have good splits on Alabama A&M even though there
• 7:26
  has been some buyback here. Alabama A&M on the money line,
• 7:29
  53% bet, 75% dollars in their favor from DK.
• 7:34
  Alabama A&M does have a few advantages here that stuck out
• 7:37
  to me. Better offensive efficiency.
• 7:39
  300th in the country versus 300 and 44th for Florida A and M1 of
• 7:43
  the worst. Better free throw shooting,
• 7:45
  106th versus 300 and 16th. Alabama A&M holds their
• 7:49
  opponents to a better effective field goal percentage. 190th
• 7:52
  versus 242nd for Florida A&M and Alabama A&M does a better job of
• 7:58
  not turning it over. They rank 188th in turnovers
• 8:01
  versus 360th for Florida A&M. So I money lined Alabama A&M at
• 8:06
  -118. Again, you can get them as low
• 8:08
  as like -110 right now. If you did want to pay some
• 8:11
  juice, I think you can get Alabama A and M + 1 1/2 -, 120
• 8:16
  -, 125. So it's up to you whether you
• 8:18
  want to take the point F or go money line, but I would give you
• 8:22
  a little piece of Intel here. Rhythm is still bullish on
• 8:25
  Alabama A&M. Rhythm has Alabama A and M -,
• 8:28
  1.3 or -2.1, and there is a Green Star recommended official
• 8:34
  smart signal play from Rhythm on the Alabama A&M money line.
• 8:39
  So I went Bama money line, Alabama A&M money line -118
• 8:44
  again, up to you if you want to get a cheap money line price or
• 8:46
  you want to get the 1 1/2 off chance they lose by 1, you
• 8:49
  cover. If you're forcing me to bet it
• 8:51
  right now, I might take that plus 1 1/2 at -120 you know, cuz
• 8:55
  I'm holding a -, 118. So for two more cents of juice,
• 8:58
  I could, you know, lose by 1 and still cover the bet.
• 9:01
  But if you want to get a better money line price as low as you
• 9:03
  know -110 let's make it easy though on everybody.
• 9:06
  How about Alabama A&M wins the game outright, but I am sticking
• 9:10
  with album A&M money line. I got -118 next one for you, 9 O
• 9:16
  clock Eastern Time. Let's go out West.
• 9:18
  We got Montana State visiting Weber State.
• 9:21
  Montana State comes in 15 and 11 on the year.
• 9:23
  They've won two of their last three.
• 9:25
  Just took down Montana 82 to 71. They won that game outright as a
• 9:29
  2 1/2 point Rd. dog. Meanwhile Weber 13 and 14 on the
• 9:33
  year just saw their two game win streak come to an end.
• 9:35
  They lost to Eastern Washington 84 to 66.
• 9:38
  Did not cover as a 3 1/2 point Rd. dog.
• 9:41
  So what is it across the market here?
• 9:43
  Well, this came open with basically a pick em right down
• 9:46
  the middle, a spread of 0. So probably tells you a neutral
• 9:49
  court. Montana State might be a little
• 9:50
  bit better. Weber State's got the homecourt.
• 9:53
  But a game open at a pick. It's always important to me.
• 9:56
  You open at a pick. Where does the line go?
• 9:58
  You know, do the odds makers, you know, set a perfect number?
• 10:01
  Sharps got a pick as well. Therefore, they're not going to
• 10:03
  bet it. There's no, you know, advantage
• 10:05
  one way or the other. Or do they say, hey, you know, a
• 10:08
  pick is a good number because we have this team favored.
• 10:10
  Well, looks like the ladder here because we've seen this line
• 10:12
  move toward the Wildcats. Weber State.
• 10:15
  Weber State went from a pick em to -1 -, 1 1/2.
• 10:19
  So that little indication, not a huge move, but it tells us that
• 10:22
  smart money went with Weber at home.
• 10:24
  I also like it cuz it's kind of fishy.
• 10:26
  They have a slightly losing record versus Montana State with
• 10:28
  a winning record on Montana State just coming off an upset
• 10:31
  win, getting points against Montana.
• 10:34
  So Weber State with a line move. You know me, I ain't laying A1
• 10:38
  or 1 1/2 with Weber State. So I went money line -115 very
• 10:42
  short number here. I like the splits at both DK and
• 10:45
  Circa on the Weber State money line because at we at
• 10:48
  DraftKings, Weber State 51% money line bets, 76% money line
• 10:53
  dollars. At Circa only 33% money line
• 10:56
  bets, but 70% money line dollars.
• 10:59
  So we're able to marry the line move with low bets, higher
• 11:03
  dollars at both DraftKings and Circa on the Weber State money
• 11:05
  line. Now Weber State has the better
• 11:07
  offensive efficiency, 144th in the country versus 153rd for
• 11:12
  Montana State. They have a better offensive
• 11:14
  rebound percentage, so extra, you know, opportunities, more
• 11:17
  possessions. It's always demoralizing when
• 11:19
  you, you know, a team grabs an offensive board and scores on
• 11:22
  you. They rank 139th in the country
• 11:25
  versus Montana State, 277th. Weber State forces more
• 11:29
  turnovers on defense, 182nd versus 200 and 28th.
• 11:33
  And they limit their opponents to fewer offensive rebounds.
• 11:35
  63rd versus 103rd Weber State home home Rd. hopefully to their
• 11:40
  advantage. They're nine and five at home.
• 11:42
  So they're losing record overall, but they're nine and
• 11:44
  five at home. Montana State winning record
• 11:46
  overall, but they're only 5 and 9 on the road.
• 11:49
  So for that's an advantage to Weber.
• 11:51
  Also revenge play. Weber State lost to Montana
• 11:54
  State on the road back in late January, 91 to 88.
• 11:58
  So close game on the road, lost by three.
• 12:01
  Let's see if they can get a win here for tonight.
• 12:03
  So you have a pick em to a favorite with Weber State.
• 12:06
  We got good splits, home Rd. revenge angle, But then, oh, by
• 12:09
  the way, Rhythm has Weber State -2.3 and -2.5.
• 12:14
  There's a 50% sharp mush edge from friends at Juice Reel on
• 12:18
  the Weber State money line, and Rhythm also has a smart signal
• 12:23
  on the Weber State money line. So the market and Rhythm and
• 12:26
  Juice Reel are all lining up nicely on Weber State.
• 12:29
  So I'm money lined. Weber State win the damn game.
• 12:32
  Let's go out Weber -115 last bit of the night, late night UC
• 12:38
  Davis, Cal State Fullerton 10:00 PM tip.
• 12:41
  We have UC Davis coming in 16 and 10 on the year.
• 12:44
  They've won four. Their last five just beat Long
• 12:46
  Beach State 71 to 50. 4 cruised. Easily covered as a 4 1/2 point
• 12:51
  home favorite. Meanwhile, Cal State Fullerton,
• 12:53
  13 and 14 on the year, just saw their three-game win streak come
• 12:57
  to an end. Though they got beat up by Cal
• 12:59
  Irvine 86 to 65. Didn't cover as an 8 point Rd.
• 13:02
  dog. So what do we see across the
• 13:04
  market here? Well, this came open with Cal
• 13:06
  State Fullerton listed as a one point home favorite.
• 13:09
  Very short number. And even though it's a late game
• 13:11
  low back game, we've seen this line move toward Cal State
• 13:14
  Fullerton -1 up to -1 1/2. Now Ken Palm does have Cal State
• 13:19
  Fullerton winning the game, but only by 1.79 to 78.
• 13:23
  So you know where I'm going with this one.
• 13:25
  This is a money line play for me.
• 13:26
  I got Cal State Fullerton on the money line at caesar's -115.
• 13:30
  Shop around. Some books the size -120 but I
• 13:33
  like that at DK Cal State Fullerton only 43% money line
• 13:37
  bets but 90% of money line dollars.
• 13:40
  So a really good low bets higher dollar split in favor of the Cal
• 13:43
  State money line to win at home on their homecourt.
• 13:47
  Cal State Fullerton one big advantage I noticed is they
• 13:50
  don't turn it over nearly as much as UC Davis.
• 13:54
  Cal State Fullerton ranks 82nd and turnovers per game 283rd for
• 13:59
  UC Davis. Lastly, home Rd.
• 14:02
  Cal State Fullerton, kind of similar to Weber, losing record
• 14:05
  overall, but they're eight and three at home.
• 14:07
  UC Davis winning record overall with their only four and seven
• 14:10
  on the road. And once again a revenge play.
• 14:13
  Cal State Fullerton went to UC Davis back in mid January, lost
• 14:17
  74 to 69. So let's see if they can repay
• 14:20
  the favor here and get a win for us tonight.
• 14:22
  So -1 up to -1 1/2, we got good splits.
• 14:25
  Home Rd. Revenge.
• 14:27
  Oh, by the way, Rhythm has Cal State Fullerton -2 and -2.6, and
• 14:32
  there's also a money line smart signal on Cal State Fullerton as
• 14:36
  well from our friends at Rhythm. So I'm going Cal State
• 14:39
  Fullerton, the Titans on the money line at -115 so Alabama
• 14:44
  A&M, Weber State, Cal State Fullerton, all three short money
• 14:48
  line favorites. See if we can scratch and claw.
• 14:50
  Find a way to get two out of three.
• 14:52
  That is the goal. So that about does it for
• 14:54
  episode 458 of the All Systems Go sports Betting podcast
• 14:58
  powered by rhythm. This is the part of the pod
• 15:00
  where we wrap things up. And I always start first by
• 15:03
  saying thank you. Thank you for listening, Thank
• 15:05
  you for tuning in. Thank you for taking the time
• 15:07
  out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
• 15:10
  the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
• 15:12
  with me. If you do enjoy the pod, you
• 15:15
  value the insights. Hopefully win, lose or draw, you
• 15:17
  feel like you're getting good in for information to help you make
• 15:20
  a smart bet. Well, if that's the case, please
• 15:22
  could you do me a favor? Just give this podcast a five
• 15:25
  star review on Spotify or iTunes.
• 15:28
  Definitely go a long way to helping us get to continue to
• 15:31
  grow the pod rise up the charts. If you want to leave a nice
• 15:34
  comment under the review section, hit the follow button.
• 15:36
  Though you get a pop up on your phone when I drop the pod each
• 15:39
  afternoon or you want to recommend the pod to a friend or
• 15:42
  retweet the pod when I put it out on Twitter each afternoon.
• 15:45
  That would also be very much appreciated.
• 15:47
  Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
• 15:51
  sharp contrarian bedding, focusing on line movement bets,
• 15:54
  split system matches focusing on the numbers, not the teams,
• 15:57
  betting with their head and not our heart.
• 15:59
  If this style of betting has appealed to you, you've seen the
• 16:02
  value in it. You want to learn more about
• 16:04
  data-driven betting. Or maybe you have someone in
• 16:05
  your life who could use some data-driven tips.
• 16:07
  Maybe they just bet with their heart, they love betting but
• 16:10
  they lose a lot. Or maybe they want to get into
• 16:12
  betting and don't know how to start.
• 16:14
  Well, if any of that is the case, I would highly recommend
• 16:16
  that you go to Amazon.com and make my day by purchasing one of
• 16:21
  my two books. Just type in Amazon.com into the
• 16:25
  search bar at the top, type in the NFL sharp Betting Playbook
• 16:28
  or the everything Guide to Sports betting and grab a copy
• 16:31
  of one or both and make my day. You get some good insights and
• 16:34
  also makes a great, you know, stocking stuff.
• 16:36
  I know we're a ways away from the holidays, but somebody's
• 16:39
  birthday, you got your uncle's, you know, Father's Day when
• 16:41
  that's going to come around. Or you just want to put on your
• 16:44
  bookshelf with your your sports betting material, but grab one
• 16:48
  or the other or both and bring them to the sports book.
• 16:50
  I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
• 16:53
  ale will sweat some games together next.
• 16:55
  Have you downloaded rhythm and Juice Reel yet?
• 16:57
  My two favorite sports betting apps.
• 16:59
  They help me win. They're going to help you win.
• 17:01
  So rhythm great for their AI backed models and predictions
• 17:04
  for game bets and player props. Reminder rhythm rundown tonight
• 17:07
  6:00 PM Eastern Time live on Twitter.
• 17:09
  And then also you can download juice reel, another great sports
• 17:13
  betting app that helps me win. It's going to help you win so
• 17:16
  you can get the Robo Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush
• 17:19
  indicators, the arbitrage plays, the shop for the best sign
• 17:22
  futures, or I'm going to pass the hat.
• 17:25
  If you want to drop in a $5.00 bill, you can get the ASG best
• 17:28
  bet picks exclusively and only on Juice Reel by signing up for
• 17:32
  the $4.99 a week best bets. As soon as I bet them I got my
• 17:36
  book synced up. It'll go right to the Juice Reel
• 17:38
  app. You can tail fade, do whatever
• 17:40
  you like, but I consider it a tip jar.
• 17:42
  This pot is free if you want to help help grow the pot.
• 17:45
  Or let me know you appreciate the insights to a week or two of
• 17:48
  the best bets. For 5 bucks a week you would
• 17:50
  make my day. But download Rhythm, download
• 17:52
  Drewsreel, give both a five star review in the App Store.
• 17:56
  Next you have a live odds page. If you don't have one, you need
• 17:59
  one. I always mention it because it
• 18:00
  is a fantastic tool. If you're going to bet on
• 18:03
  sports, you got to be able to track the market in real time.
• 18:06
  You got to know very basic things to start.
• 18:08
  Wake up in the morning OK, what sports are in action?
• 18:11
  What games can I bet on? I need start times.
• 18:13
  I need live scoring when the game gets going.
• 18:15
  I need live in game wagering odds when the game gets started.
• 18:19
  Also, you need to be able to track the market.
• 18:22
  What are the line open at? You have an opening column that
• 18:24
  never moves all the current odds to the right.
• 18:26
  You can see which direction the line is moved.
• 18:28
  You can pull up the line history.
• 18:29
  You can shop for the best price, find that book giving you the
• 18:32
  best number. It's all available when you sign
• 18:34
  up for odds logic, the best live odds page around.
• 18:38
  And if you use this special link, you're going to get a 7
• 18:40
  day free trial to make sure you like it and then you're going to
• 18:42
  get 50% off your first month. That special link is
• 18:46
  odslogic.com/josh 123. Make sure you do the slash Josh
• 18:51
  one 2-3 at the end because that's what's going to give you
• 18:54
  the 50% off in the seven day trial.
• 18:57
  So that about dozen guys. Another pod here in the books,
• 18:59
  Episode 458. As always, two final thoughts,
• 19:02
  whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
• 19:06
  Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
• 19:09
  Sun, down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, Plain Ridge
• 19:12
  Park Casino, MGM Springfield, the Nash in my neck of the woods
• 19:16
  on the border of Massachusetts in Nashua, NH.
• 19:19
  Or out in the desert where the true grinders get down.
• 19:21
  Or Billy Walter sends his number runners where the lowest juice
• 19:24
  possible is found at the South Point.
• 19:26
  Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
• 19:29
  swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
• 19:30
  Circa, you're going to show me a Mizzou ticket again.
• 19:34
  Here's the other thing. When Mizzou won that game, you
• 19:36
  know, a lot of times you'd see the, you know, the fans storm
• 19:39
  the court because technically you were a dog.
• 19:41
  You're unranked. You'd be the ranked team, no
• 19:43
  storming of the court because they barely hung on.
• 19:45
  Maybe should have lost that game, but hey, they covered.
• 19:48
  So show me a Mizzou ticket, Bama.
• 19:51
  Man, I thought we might have gotten Bama there at the end.
• 19:53
  UNLV RIP them up, recycle them. But either way, guys, we're
• 19:56
  going to get right back to it tonight.
• 19:58
  Try to produce a two and one winning night.
• 20:00
  So as always, going one and two or two and one O and three or
• 20:03
  three and OA. Hot streak, a cold streak, a
• 20:06
  good day, a bad day, whether we're sharp as attacking, can't
• 20:09
  miss, or, you know, we're ice cold and can't hit the broadside
• 20:11
  of a barn. That's life.
• 20:13
  Sometimes you have good days, you have bad days, sometimes you
• 20:15
  have a great week, a terrible week.
• 20:17
  We just got to stick with it. Never get too high, never get
• 20:19
  too low. Don't get down on yourself when
• 20:21
  you're losing, don't get arrogant and cocky when you're
• 20:24
  winning. We just got to stay the course.
• 20:26
  Find the games that fit our model, games that have no red
• 20:29
  flags. Let's bypass those and let's get
• 20:31
  down on the games that have green flags.
• 20:34
  And those games are the ones that are against the public,
• 20:36
  with the house, with the pros. Flat bet, avoid parlays and get
• 20:39
  that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
• 20:41
  to come out on top of the end. So have a great Thursday night,
• 20:44
  everybody. I will see you at the rhythm
• 20:46
  rundown stream live on Twitter tonight, 6:00 PM.
• 20:49
  If you don't already follow me, you can give me a follow at Josh
• 20:51
  under score insights on X. I'll see you at Patrick Show at
• 20:54
  9:00 PM and then we'll be right back at it tomorrow.
• 20:57
  That'll be finishing up the work week.
• 20:58
  A big Friday edition. That'll be episode 459 of the
• 21:02
  All systems Go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
• 21:05
  Good luck everybody, and have a great Thirsty Thursday.