Latest / Bloomberg Law / NBA Gambling Scandal, Third Term & House Maps
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: This is Bloomberg Law with June Grossel from Bloomberg Radio.
- 0:09Speaker 2: I'm not tap of nine names, along with phone numbers
- 0:11Speaker 2: are some of the wealthiest and most famous people in
- 0:13Speaker 2: the world. I put the numbers in my phone and
- 0:16Speaker 2: composed a simple message, There'd be a game tomorrow night.
- 0:19Speaker 2: At the Cobra launch, there was a ten thousand dollars
- 0:21Speaker 2: buy in. Two weeks later, around two am, there was
- 0:24Speaker 2: a pot that was up to one point three million
- 0:26Speaker 2: pre flop with five players still in the game belonged
- 0:30Speaker 2: to Player X. People wanted to say they played with
- 0:32Speaker 2: them the same way they wanted to say they wrote
- 0:34Speaker 2: on air Force one.
- 0:36Speaker 3: Do you understand that you were charged in count twenty
- 0:39Speaker 3: with operating an illegal gambling business.
- 0:41Speaker 1: The indictment in the NBA gambling scandal sounds a lot
- 0:45Speaker 1: like the movie Molly's Game High Stakes Poker, where celebrities
- 0:50Speaker 1: called face cards draw in unsuspecting rich players called phish
- 0:56Speaker 1: who dropped big money in illegal private games by organized crime.
- 1:01Speaker 1: Federal prosecutors alleged that Portland Trailblazers head coach Chauncey Billups
- 1:07Speaker 1: and former player Damon Jones were the face cards who
- 1:11Speaker 1: were on the so called cheating team, luring big money
- 1:14Speaker 1: players into rig poker games where a sophisticated technology like
- 1:19Speaker 1: hidden cameras in poker chip trays, rigged card shuffling machines,
- 1:24Speaker 1: and even X ray equipment built into the tables helped
- 1:27Speaker 1: them cheat the fish out of millions of dollars. Almost
- 1:31Speaker 1: thirty other people are charged in the poker scheme, including
- 1:35Speaker 1: members of the Banano, Gambino, and Genevici crime families with
- 1:39Speaker 1: expected colorful nicknames like Flappy the Wrestler, black Tony, Big Bruce,
- 1:45Speaker 1: and Pooky. My guest is former federal prosecutor Joshua F. Talis,
- 1:51Speaker 1: a partner at Palace Partners. He prosecuted the real life
- 1:54Speaker 1: Molly Bloom and the others involved in that one hundred
- 1:57Speaker 1: million dollar gambling ring that was fixtionalized in the movie
- 2:01Speaker 1: Molly's Game. Josh, the high stakes poker games in this
- 2:05Speaker 1: indictment look a lot like those in Molly's Game and
- 2:08Speaker 1: even use the same terminology.
- 2:11Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, it's funny. When I was an associate
- 2:13Speaker 4: at Walktell Lefton, I did an independent investigation for the
- 2:17Speaker 4: NBA that cum it intid called the Pedowitz Report, which
- 2:20Speaker 4: is when a referee named Tim Donneghe was indicted in
- 2:22Speaker 4: the Eastern District for being part of a scheme with
- 2:26Speaker 4: LCN where the allegations were that he was throwing games
- 2:29Speaker 4: or betting on games. And then you fast forward to
- 2:32Speaker 4: Molly's Game, which is one of the first big cases
- 2:35Speaker 4: I worked on when I was a prosecutor, where they
- 2:37Speaker 4: are running illegal gambling businesses, including poker rooms, and you
- 2:40Speaker 4: sort of mushed the two together, and then you have
- 2:43Speaker 4: these new Eastern District indictments.
- 2:44Speaker 1: And tell us what the indictment says happened with these
- 2:47Speaker 1: poker games.
- 2:48Speaker 4: So there are two crimes being charged. The first one
- 2:51Speaker 4: is operating in illegal gambling business. So it's the business
- 2:56Speaker 4: aspect of it, which is generally that what's called the how,
- 2:59Speaker 4: so that people who are sponsoring the game are taking
- 3:02Speaker 4: a rake or percentage of the pot or the money
- 3:05Speaker 4: on the table. So that's where the sponsors or the
- 3:08Speaker 4: people running the game are profiting, regardless of what happens
- 3:12Speaker 4: with the cards. They're just taking a percentage of the money.
- 3:14Speaker 4: That's what makes it illegal in New York State at least.
- 3:17Speaker 1: So you can play in a poker game for money
- 3:20Speaker 1: and that's not illegal.
- 3:21Speaker 4: If the two of us ever had the pleasure of
- 3:23Speaker 4: sitting down to play poker with a couple other people,
- 3:25Speaker 4: that's totally okay.
- 3:27Speaker 1: But in this case, they're saying that the game was
- 3:29Speaker 1: rigged so that the so called fish would lose.
- 3:33Speaker 2: Right.
- 3:33Speaker 4: That's like the added layer of it. It's sort of
- 3:35Speaker 4: like a fraud piece, which is the game wasn't even fair.
- 3:38Speaker 4: The card shufflers were rigged. The tables had some camera
- 3:41Speaker 4: set up that allowed them to see the cards, the
- 3:44Speaker 4: cards were marked in some ways, people were wearing some
- 3:47Speaker 4: sort of contact lens or glasses. It wasn't a fair
- 3:49Speaker 4: game to begin with. In addition to being an illegal business.
- 3:53Speaker 1: Phillips and Jones were referred to as face cards. In
- 3:57Speaker 1: the indictment, it said that everyone at the table who
- 4:00Speaker 1: wasn't a target was in on the scam. They were
- 4:04Speaker 1: charged with wire fraud and money laundering conspiracy, but were
- 4:08Speaker 1: in charge with operating an illegal gambling business.
- 4:12Speaker 4: I mean, generally the fraud and money laundering charges are
- 4:15Speaker 4: more serious than the gambling charges, or at least they
- 4:18Speaker 4: expose an individual to more jail time potentially.
- 4:21Speaker 1: Can you tell how strong the case is against them?
- 4:24Speaker 4: It's always hard to tell when you read an indictment.
- 4:26Speaker 4: An indictment, it makes it sound like it's obvious. It's
- 4:30Speaker 4: a great case. I mean, if true. You know, the
- 4:32Speaker 4: government always thinks it holds the best hand. That's why
- 4:34Speaker 4: they brought the case. I'm sure there's another side of
- 4:36Speaker 4: the story. Whether it holds up, I don't know.
- 4:38Speaker 1: Chauncey Billups attorney said, to believe that Chauncey Billups did
- 4:42Speaker 1: with the federal government is accusing him of as to
- 4:44Speaker 1: believe that he'd risk his Hall of Fame, legacy, his reputation,
- 4:48Speaker 1: and his freedom.
- 4:49Speaker 4: Well, that's exactly the point, which is, these guys make
- 4:51Speaker 4: a lot of money from their day job. Why are
- 4:53Speaker 4: would they risk it all here, which, by the way,
- 4:55Speaker 4: makes good sense and has so on a jury appeal.
- 4:58Speaker 1: If they actually took part in the game, what kind
- 5:01Speaker 1: of defenses could they raise.
- 5:03Speaker 4: It's always hard to tell from the diamy exactly what's
- 5:05Speaker 4: going on, but I think part of it may be. Listen,
- 5:08Speaker 4: just being there doesn't mean they were part of it, right.
- 5:10Speaker 4: They may be playing cards, they may be betting, they
- 5:12Speaker 4: may be doing whatever. That doesn't mean they're in on it,
- 5:15Speaker 4: which happens all the time, right, they may have been
- 5:17Speaker 4: participating in what was it otherwise the illegal game, and
- 5:21Speaker 4: the promoters may have been using that as a way
- 5:23Speaker 4: to draw people in, but that doesn't mean that they
- 5:25Speaker 4: were in on the whole scheme.
- 5:27Speaker 1: So the charge is that from April of twenty nineteen
- 5:31Speaker 1: to the present, the rick poker scheme caused losses to
- 5:34Speaker 1: the victims of seven million dollars. That doesn't seem a
- 5:38Speaker 1: lot over six years. And when the director of the
- 5:42Speaker 1: FBI said the fraud is mind boggling.
- 5:46Speaker 4: I mean, seven million dollars is still a lot. But
- 5:47Speaker 4: I agree with you. Given the amount of money that
- 5:49Speaker 4: flies around in these games, I wouldn't call it mind bottling.
- 5:52Speaker 4: I mean these high stakes poker games, there can be
- 5:54Speaker 4: millions of dollars changing hands at a night.
- 5:56Speaker 1: To establish the money laundering and wire fraud, what do
- 5:59Speaker 1: the prosecutors have to prove.
- 6:02Speaker 4: The way to think of frauds is when someone makes
- 6:04Speaker 4: a misrepresentation to someone to get them to turn over
- 6:08Speaker 4: money and they lose money as a result. You have
- 6:10Speaker 4: to make a misstatement to someone with the intent that
- 6:13Speaker 4: you're defrauding them. And then laundering money is either you
- 6:16Speaker 4: are moving money that was derived from a criminal scheme,
- 6:20Speaker 4: or you are out of the scheme, or you're moving
- 6:22Speaker 4: money in to promote the scheme. Those are like the
- 6:24Speaker 4: basic types of money laundering, but you have to have
- 6:26Speaker 4: the fraud to prove the money laundering. Generally, like the
- 6:29Speaker 4: fraud is sort of a prerequisite.
- 6:31Speaker 1: There are more than thirty defendants here. How do you
- 6:34Speaker 1: try a case like this? I assume separate trials, But
- 6:39Speaker 1: how is that decided?
- 6:40Speaker 4: You can't try thirty people at once. It's not permitted.
- 6:44Speaker 4: It's also just practically impossible. What generally happens in a
- 6:47Speaker 4: case like this where this many people charged is those
- 6:50Speaker 4: that sort of don't have much of a defense or
- 6:52Speaker 4: they're not charging with the very serious client, they may
- 6:53Speaker 4: just plead out and it could reduce into a smaller
- 6:57Speaker 4: group of people if they choose to go to trial.
- 6:59Speaker 4: That's what happened in the Mally's Game case. We indicted
- 7:01Speaker 4: I think thirty three people where there were three separate
- 7:04Speaker 4: racketeering schemes. In the end, we'd never had a trial
- 7:07Speaker 4: because everyone basically pled guilty.
- 7:09Speaker 1: And then came the book and the movie. Do you
- 7:11Speaker 1: think that the FBI pursued this investigation for so long
- 7:15Speaker 1: because of the alleged mafia connections.
- 7:19Speaker 4: I mean, when you have the mafia, when you have
- 7:21Speaker 4: sports betting, when you have the integrity of the game
- 7:24Speaker 4: at stake, obviously that interests a lot of parties. It's
- 7:27Speaker 4: not necessarily clear to me that the f I was
- 7:30Speaker 4: looking at this since twenty nineteen. It may be that
- 7:33Speaker 4: as the investigation went on they learned about conduct that
- 7:36Speaker 4: proceeded when they started the investigation. So that doesn't mean
- 7:39Speaker 4: that they couldn't charge it if they had started the
- 7:40Speaker 4: investigation twenty twenty four and then they learn Actually all
- 7:43Speaker 4: this is singing on from twenty nineteen.
- 7:45Speaker 1: And tell us about the second indictment involving sports betting,
- 7:49Speaker 1: where Miami Heat guard Terry Rosier was charged.
- 7:53Speaker 4: Sure, I mean, I think that's the one that goes
- 7:55Speaker 4: the integrity of the game. I kind of view that
- 7:57Speaker 4: as the more serious of the indictments. It is that
- 8:01Speaker 4: the NBA has a code of conduct, and one of
- 8:03Speaker 4: the provisions of the code of conduct is that there's
- 8:06Speaker 4: confidential information or non public information, and in this case,
- 8:09Speaker 4: it would be which players are injured, who's going to
- 8:11Speaker 4: sit out, who may not play, and that information was
- 8:14Speaker 4: being leaked and then used by people to make prop bets,
- 8:17Speaker 4: and a prop bet is like a proposition bet, where
- 8:19Speaker 4: you can not necessarily even bet on who's going to
- 8:22Speaker 4: win the game, but how a particular player will perform.
- 8:25Speaker 4: And some of the bets were saying that someone would
- 8:28Speaker 4: play or not player score certain number of points, and
- 8:30Speaker 4: some of them were just bets on the outcome of
- 8:32Speaker 4: the game. But here it's a kin to insider trading.
- 8:34Speaker 4: But I don't want to suggest it is insider trading
- 8:36Speaker 4: because it's a wire fraud case. This isn't securities fraud.
- 8:39Speaker 4: But the gist is that there was non public information
- 8:41Speaker 4: about NBA players that was used to bet and that
- 8:44Speaker 4: violated the code of conduct.
- 8:46Speaker 5: Well.
- 8:46Speaker 1: In hyping up the indictment, the director of the FBI
- 8:50Speaker 1: cash Ptail called it the insider trading saga for the NBA.
- 8:56Speaker 1: One thing about Rosier, the NBA cleared him after an investigation,
- 9:00Speaker 1: didn't they.
- 9:01Speaker 4: I think the issue is the devil's in the details.
- 9:03Speaker 4: I mean my recollection of Rozier is that he may
- 9:07Speaker 4: have texted one of the other members of the scheme
- 9:09Speaker 4: saying that he was going to leave the game early,
- 9:12Speaker 4: and there was discussion about bets being placed, which doesn't
- 9:15Speaker 4: necessarily mean he wasn't hurt, But what it means is
- 9:17Speaker 4: that he was telling someone who wasn't supposed to know
- 9:20Speaker 4: that he was injured or that he wasn't going to
- 9:22Speaker 4: play the whole game. The NBA is very good at this,
- 9:25Speaker 4: at policing betting and the integrity the game. Adam Silvers
- 9:29Speaker 4: is amazing as the commissioner, and they take this seriously.
- 9:32Speaker 4: The question is, you know, did they have access to
- 9:34Speaker 4: everything that the FBI had access to. The NBA doesn't
- 9:38Speaker 4: have the powers of the FBI.
- 9:40Speaker 1: These are two separate indictments, separate schemes that involved thirty
- 9:45Speaker 1: four defendants, only three connected to the NBA. Yet it
- 9:49Speaker 1: was announced with such fanfare. About twenty people crowded on
- 9:53Speaker 1: the stage, including the director of the FBI and New
- 9:57Speaker 1: York City's police commissioner. The gations date back years, and
- 10:02Speaker 1: yet the announcements were made the opening week of the
- 10:06Speaker 1: NBA season. This seems like a lot of hype.
- 10:09Speaker 4: Oh sure, that's definitely what the government's doing. They want
- 10:11Speaker 4: to amplify the press impact of the indictments and the
- 10:15Speaker 4: extent that it confuses what the NBA employees players were doing.
- 10:21Speaker 4: It just makes it more pressworthy. Obviously, it matters if
- 10:25Speaker 4: someone is actually a playing for the NBA or working
- 10:27Speaker 4: as a coach at the time they do certain of
- 10:29Speaker 4: the conduct. That's why it would matter in terms of
- 10:32Speaker 4: leaking the information. And then to extend that these guys
- 10:35Speaker 4: were doing something on their own time involving poker, it's
- 10:38Speaker 4: kind of irrelevant. I don't think this is the type
- 10:40Speaker 4: of investigation that you needed to be announced on the
- 10:44Speaker 4: eve of you know, the timing was a little odd
- 10:47Speaker 4: when the FBI director shows up for an announcement of
- 10:49Speaker 4: an investigation like this. Again, criminal cases are serious, but
- 10:52Speaker 4: you know, this isn't like they broke the biggest insider
- 10:54Speaker 4: trading case ever, or this is a big terrorism case
- 10:58Speaker 4: where the FBI director may show up. It's a big
- 11:00Speaker 4: case and that it goes to the integrity of the game,
- 11:02Speaker 4: but it's kind of just a run of the no
- 11:04Speaker 4: gambling case in the poker world.
- 11:06Speaker 1: We'll see how many defendants are left when and if
- 11:09Speaker 1: this goes to trial. Thanks so much, josh that's former
- 11:13Speaker 1: federal prosecutor Joshua F. Talis of Palace Partners. President Donald
- 11:18Speaker 1: Trump has once again suggested he'd like to extend his
- 11:23Speaker 1: stay at sixteen hundred Pennsylvania Avenue for a third term.
- 11:27Speaker 2: I would love to do it. I have my best numbers.
- 11:30Speaker 6: Ever.
- 11:31Speaker 1: Trump has flirted with the idea of a third term before,
- 11:34Speaker 1: for example, in March, just a little over a month
- 11:38Speaker 1: into his second term.
- 11:39Speaker 5: They do say there's a way you can do it,
- 11:41Speaker 5: but I don't know about that.
- 11:43Speaker 1: I'm just telling you I have had more people say
- 11:47Speaker 1: please run again, but this time. There is also those
- 11:51Speaker 1: Trump twenty twenty eight red baseball caps that set on
- 11:55Speaker 1: his desk during a meeting with congressional leaders this month.
- 11:59Speaker 1: There's the thing tank called Third Term Project. And there's
- 12:03Speaker 1: even a Justice Department lawyer in six circuit oral arguments
- 12:07Speaker 1: referring to a new administration quote three years in the
- 12:11Speaker 1: future or seven years in the future. And of course
- 12:15Speaker 1: Trump has not explicitly ruled out a third term. Joining
- 12:20Speaker 1: me is constitutional law expert David super, a professor at
- 12:24Speaker 1: Georgetown Law. So, David, I reread the twenty second Amendment.
- 12:28Speaker 1: It plainly states that no one can be elected president
- 12:31Speaker 1: more than twice. I mean, how plain is it? How
- 12:34Speaker 1: clear is it?
- 12:36Speaker 6: It could not be clearer, and it could not be plainer.
- 12:39Speaker 6: It's short it's sweet. It's to the point not allowing
- 12:43Speaker 6: anyone to run for a third term.
- 12:46Speaker 1: Now, there are different kinds of scenarios out there that
- 12:51Speaker 1: Trump allies have put forward. One of the arguments is
- 12:54Speaker 1: that the twenty second Amendment only explicitly bars a person
- 12:58Speaker 1: from being elected more than two presidential terms, but doesn't
- 13:02Speaker 1: say anything about serving a third term. So the theory
- 13:07Speaker 1: is that Trump could run as vice president and then
- 13:11Speaker 1: have whatever lucky candidate for president it is resign and
- 13:15Speaker 1: then Trump takes the White House.
- 13:17Speaker 6: That doesn't work either, because of the twelfth Amendment, which
- 13:20Speaker 6: says that any candidate for vice president must be constitutionally
- 13:25Speaker 6: qualified to serve as president, which mister Trump isn't.
- 13:30Speaker 1: In fact, Trump himself sort of dismissed that. He said,
- 13:34Speaker 1: I'd be allowed to do that, but I think people
- 13:37Speaker 1: wouldn't like that. It's too cute. Also, didn't Vladimir Putin
- 13:42Speaker 1: sort of do something like that years ago where he
- 13:45Speaker 1: put a deputy in to serve in his place for
- 13:48Speaker 1: one term and then he took over.
- 13:51Speaker 6: It's disappointing that this country is taking its political lessons
- 13:54Speaker 6: from Russia these days, But yes, what Putin did was
- 13:59Speaker 6: stepped down from being president for one term and let
- 14:04Speaker 6: a trusted ally of his serve as a figurehead president
- 14:10Speaker 6: while Putin ran things as Prime minister, then came back
- 14:14Speaker 6: and became president again. A few problems with that. One
- 14:17Speaker 6: is it's too cute. Two is we don't have prime
- 14:21Speaker 6: ministerships here, so there's no obvious alternate role for Trump
- 14:26Speaker 6: to go into to serve it. Three, Russia's limit is
- 14:29Speaker 6: on consecutive terms. The twenty second Amendment is a limit
- 14:33Speaker 6: on total terms. And four, why are we taking our
- 14:36Speaker 6: political lessons from Russia?
- 14:38Speaker 1: And just explain to get rid of the twenty second Amendment?
- 14:41Speaker 1: What would it take?
- 14:42Speaker 6: Repealing the twenty second Amendment would take a two thirds
- 14:45Speaker 6: vote from both chambers of Congress and ratification by three
- 14:51Speaker 6: quarters of the states, which is thirty eight states. So
- 14:54Speaker 6: you would need ratification from states like Connecticut and Massachusetts. Somehow,
- 15:00Speaker 6: I don't think those states are going to be working
- 15:02Speaker 6: very hard to get mister Trump a third term.
- 15:05Speaker 1: Yeah, even how Speaker Mike Johnson dismissed repealing the twenty
- 15:09Speaker 1: second Amendment.
- 15:10Speaker 6: I don't see a way to amend the constitution because
- 15:13Speaker 6: it takes about ten years to do that.
- 15:15Speaker 1: Speaking about the Speaker of the House. Yet another theory
- 15:19Speaker 1: is that Trump could become the Speaker of the House,
- 15:21Speaker 1: which apparently posits that it's easy to be elected Speaker
- 15:25Speaker 1: of the House, and then if both the president and
- 15:28Speaker 1: vice president, who would have to be Trump Ally's, resign
- 15:33Speaker 1: he could take over.
- 15:34Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 15:34Speaker 6: I keep sending in my resume to be Speaker of
- 15:37Speaker 6: the House and nothing ever happens. I'm not sure what
- 15:39Speaker 6: the problem is in eery that could be said to
- 15:44Speaker 6: be valid. The Speaker of the House is elected, and
- 15:49Speaker 6: if the purpose of electing mister Trumps speaker is to
- 15:53Speaker 6: make him president, I think there's an argument that that
- 15:56Speaker 6: would also violate the twenty second Amendment of the Constitution,
- 16:01Speaker 6: But it certainly puts a thumb in the eye of
- 16:04Speaker 6: popular intent. We had had a four term president, President Roosevelt.
- 16:09Speaker 6: The country across all political lines concluded that that was
- 16:13Speaker 6: too much power for any individual to have, that it
- 16:17Speaker 6: resembled authoritarian countries too much, and we decided we didn't
- 16:21Speaker 6: want to do that anymore. And this is yet again
- 16:25Speaker 6: mister Trump and his allies disregarding the people's choice through
- 16:31Speaker 6: their constitution.
- 16:32Speaker 1: Have you heard any other theories of how he could
- 16:35Speaker 1: become president for a third.
- 16:36Speaker 6: Term and then the other one. I guess it's very straightforward.
- 16:39Speaker 6: Just do it and see if anyone stops you. And
- 16:43Speaker 6: this Supreme Court has been willing to avoid a number
- 16:49Speaker 6: of constitutional violations and most obviously declining to consider or
- 16:57Speaker 6: allow anyone else to consider whether mister Trump was disqualified
- 17:02Speaker 6: under the insurrection clause of the fourteenth Amendment. He may
- 17:06Speaker 6: just take the position that he can run, he can
- 17:09Speaker 6: do it, and he doesn't think anyone will stop him.
- 17:12Speaker 1: Is this speculation hopeful in a way because Trump is
- 17:15Speaker 1: still talking about legal ways to stay in office and
- 17:20Speaker 1: not suggesting that he would just refuse to leave.
- 17:23Speaker 6: Well, there has been talk in the past that he
- 17:28Speaker 6: might do something like what you're suggesting. He made some
- 17:33Speaker 6: comments about that in twenty twenty, which I hope were
- 17:38Speaker 6: not taken very seriously. Certainly didn't deserve to be taken
- 17:41Speaker 6: very seriously. But some of his supporters have suggested that
- 17:46Speaker 6: he could somehow declare some kind of a state of
- 17:49Speaker 6: emergency someone called it a sovereignty crisis and suspend elections
- 17:54Speaker 6: on that basis. There's no authority whatsoever in the constitution
- 17:59Speaker 6: for that. If he were to do that, he would
- 18:01Speaker 6: effectively be repudiating the Constitution.
- 18:05Speaker 1: And you think that the Supreme Court might not even
- 18:07Speaker 1: step in if he decides to run for a third term.
- 18:12Speaker 6: No, I think they would. I think this Court is
- 18:16Speaker 6: hoping against hope that he won't force their hand by
- 18:20Speaker 6: doing something completely delegitimizing. But I don't believe that there
- 18:25Speaker 6: are five justices who have so totally lost faith in
- 18:29Speaker 6: the country that they would put up with that.
- 18:31Speaker 1: I mean, it could be he's trolling the Democrats, he's
- 18:34Speaker 1: entertaining his base, or he doesn't want to look like
- 18:38Speaker 1: a lame duck.
- 18:39Speaker 6: Yes, I think so. Presidents have often had a lot
- 18:42Speaker 6: of trouble in their second terms in office. President Reagan
- 18:48Speaker 6: was unstoppable in his first term and stumbled quite badly
- 18:52Speaker 6: in his second. President Bush was very strong in his
- 18:57Speaker 6: first and got the Great Recession and Hurricane Katrina in
- 19:01Speaker 6: the second. President Obama lost all kinds of esteem by
- 19:05Speaker 6: his second term. And I think President Trump doesn't want
- 19:08Speaker 6: to follow that example.
- 19:10Speaker 1: And was it President Reagan who suggested getting rid of
- 19:13Speaker 1: the twenty second Amendment.
- 19:15Speaker 6: He did, I'm not sure how seriously. A number of
- 19:19Speaker 6: presidents get fond of the job and start thinking that
- 19:23Speaker 6: the twenty second Amendment is a bad idea, but I
- 19:26Speaker 6: don't think anyone took him very seriously or move very
- 19:29Speaker 6: far with it, in part because President Reagan was already
- 19:33Speaker 6: quite a fanst age. Of course, President Trump is much older.
- 19:37Speaker 1: And Trump would be the oldest president in history by
- 19:41Speaker 1: the time he leaves office. David. In the last nine months,
- 19:44Speaker 1: Trump has already done so much to expand his presidential authority,
- 19:51Speaker 1: and he's used the specter of national emergencies over and
- 19:55Speaker 1: over again, for example, to impose tariffs, to send troops
- 20:00Speaker 1: into democratic led cities, to crack down on illegal immigration,
- 20:06Speaker 1: and on and on. He declared eight national emergencies in
- 20:10Speaker 1: his first hundred days. Has any other president during peacetime
- 20:16Speaker 1: exercised such.
- 20:17Speaker 6: Power now, there's nothing remotely close to this. Richard Dixon
- 20:22Speaker 6: was accused, with some justification of trying to build an
- 20:25Speaker 6: imperial presidency. But I can't think of anything that mister
- 20:29Speaker 6: Nixon tried to do that mister Trump hasn't done much
- 20:33Speaker 6: more of. And I can think of many things that
- 20:35Speaker 6: mister Trump has done that mister Nixon never dreamed of doing.
- 20:39Speaker 6: President Lincoln used a great many powers during the Civil War,
- 20:44Speaker 6: some of which may have exceeded his constitutional authority, not
- 20:49Speaker 6: on the level of what we're seeing here.
- 20:52Speaker 1: Of the Supreme Court cases coming up that are going
- 20:55Speaker 1: to test presidential authority, is the Tariff's case the most
- 20:59Speaker 1: signif again, or is there another one that's more significant.
- 21:03Speaker 6: The CAF's case is extremely significant because the Supreme Court
- 21:09Speaker 6: is filled with self defined textualists, and it's almost impossible
- 21:16Speaker 6: to find anything like the powers the President is claiming
- 21:21Speaker 6: in the text of the statute he is citing. So
- 21:24Speaker 6: the Court is going to have to either abandon any
- 21:28Speaker 6: pretense of textualism or limit the president's authority very dramatically.
- 21:35Speaker 5: There.
- 21:35Speaker 6: The other case that I'm watching very closely is the
- 21:38Speaker 6: case involving doctor Cook in the Federal Reserve, because the
- 21:42Speaker 6: Supreme Court basically told President Trump, you can fire anyone
- 21:47Speaker 6: except a Federal Reserve governor, and he turned around and
- 21:50Speaker 6: fired a Federal Reserve governor. If the Supreme Court is
- 21:54Speaker 6: willing to let him do that, then they are effectively
- 21:57Speaker 6: allowing themselves to be humiliated by the President, and we
- 22:01Speaker 6: can't really expect much of them going forward.
- 22:04Speaker 1: What do you think of Trump saying he's going to
- 22:06Speaker 1: attend the Supreme Court oral arguments on the tariffs.
- 22:10Speaker 6: I think oral arguments are fascinating and you think for
- 22:13Speaker 6: a good time. I think with most courts, when a
- 22:18Speaker 6: party speeaks to pressure them, the court feels considerable pressure
- 22:23Speaker 6: to demonstrate its independence. If I were a lawyer at
- 22:27Speaker 6: the White House or Justice Department, I would beg him
- 22:30Speaker 6: not to do that.
- 22:31Speaker 1: Well, we'll find out next Wednesday if Trump is in
- 22:34Speaker 1: the audience for the oral arguments or not. So he's
- 22:38Speaker 1: great to talk to you, David, Thanks so much. That's
- 22:41Speaker 1: Professor David Super of Georgetown Law. Coming up next on
- 22:45Speaker 1: the Bloomberg Law Show. The latest salvo in the national
- 22:48Speaker 1: redistricting fight is coming from New York City. I'm June
- 22:52Speaker 1: Grosso and you're listening to Bloomberg. President Donald Trump's push
- 22:58Speaker 1: for Republicans to redraw US House districts ahead of next
- 23:02Speaker 1: year's midterm elections has triggered unprecedented mid decade gerrymandering, starting
- 23:08Speaker 1: with the states of Texas, Missouri, North Carolina, and Ohio,
- 23:13Speaker 1: where Republicans have already drawn nine new GOP leaning House seats,
- 23:18Speaker 1: but Democratic states led by California are fighting back or
- 23:22Speaker 1: trying to as gerrymandering in many blue states is hampered
- 23:27Speaker 1: by independent redistricting commissions or bans on mid decade redistricting.
- 23:33Speaker 1: House Minority Leader Hakim Jeffreys was in Illinois this week
- 23:36Speaker 1: to try to convince Democrats there to redraw the state's maps.
- 23:41Speaker 3: Donald Trump and Republicans have decided that they were going
- 23:44Speaker 3: to try to jerrymander congressional maps all across the country
- 23:48Speaker 3: as part of their effort to rig the midterm elections
- 23:51Speaker 3: and deny the American people the ability to decide who
- 23:56Speaker 3: should hold the gavels in the aftermath of the elections
- 24:00Speaker 3: that will take place in November of twenty twenty six.
- 24:03Speaker 3: Democrats have made claire that we are going to.
- 24:06Speaker 1: Respond, and the latest Democratic response comes from New York
- 24:11Speaker 1: City in a lawsuit by a group of voters claiming
- 24:15Speaker 1: that the congressional district held by the city's only Republican
- 24:19Speaker 1: representative is impermissibly drawn to shut out black and Latino voters.
- 24:25Speaker 1: My guest is Jeffrey Weiss, a professor at New York
- 24:28Speaker 1: Law School who directs the school's New York Elections, Census
- 24:32Speaker 1: and Redistricting Institute. Jeff tell us about this lawsuit that's
- 24:37Speaker 1: challenging New York's eleventh Congressional district.
- 24:41Speaker 5: Well, we have a new lawsuit filed earlier this week
- 24:44Speaker 5: by a group of New York voters who are arguing
- 24:48Speaker 5: that the current congressional district that includes Staten Island and
- 24:54Speaker 5: parts of Brooklyn teluts pnority voting strength, that the black
- 24:58Speaker 5: and Hispanic voters power is diminished by the way the
- 25:03Speaker 5: district is drawn now, and that they would have a
- 25:06Speaker 5: much more effective voice in the ability to elect a
- 25:09Speaker 5: preferred candidate if parts of Manhattan were appended to the
- 25:13Speaker 5: district instead of Brooklyn.
- 25:16Speaker 1: Is this an unusual lawsuit.
- 25:18Speaker 5: It's unusual in the sense that's being brought mid decade. Obviously,
- 25:22Speaker 5: it's got political connotations that it would change the dynamic
- 25:26Speaker 5: of who's running for re election in New York, that
- 25:29Speaker 5: current Republican congress Member Nicole Meliotacus would find herself no
- 25:34Speaker 5: longer in conservative white areas in Brooklyn, but rather parts
- 25:38Speaker 5: of Lower Manhattan. That it would be a district where
- 25:41Speaker 5: the Democrats are expected to do a lot better. It's
- 25:44Speaker 5: also a district where Dan Goldman, who is the incumbent
- 25:48Speaker 5: now in a district that includes Manhattan and Brooklyn would
- 25:52Speaker 5: probably find himself in better territory and also probably stave
- 25:57Speaker 5: off a primary challenge within the Demo Credit Party from
- 26:01Speaker 5: several Brooklyn elected officials who have indicated their intent to
- 26:05Speaker 5: run against him in a primary.
- 26:07Speaker 1: Is this lawsuit different because it's based on the New
- 26:11Speaker 1: York State Constitution rather than the US Constitution? So well,
- 26:16Speaker 1: test how protective the state constitution is of minority voting rights.
- 26:22Speaker 5: Well, this claim is based on the state constitutional protections
- 26:26Speaker 5: that redistricting maps have to honor minority voting strain that
- 26:30Speaker 5: you cannot dilute minority voters from their ability to elect
- 26:35Speaker 5: preferred candidates, and the state constitution uses very similar language
- 26:40Speaker 5: to the Federal Voting Rights Act, which happens to be
- 26:44Speaker 5: subject to a challenge now from the Louisiana Congressional redistricting
- 26:48Speaker 5: before the US Supreme Court. The validity the future of
- 26:52Speaker 5: the Federal Voting Rights Act was heard in a case
- 26:55Speaker 5: two weeks ago, and we expect any time from the
- 26:58Speaker 5: end of this year, but more likely by the end
- 27:00Speaker 5: of June, for the Supreme Court to hand down a
- 27:03Speaker 5: decision where most of us think they're going to do
- 27:06Speaker 5: something to change the dynamic of the Voting Rights Act,
- 27:09Speaker 5: but not eliminated entirely. But that's reading the tea leaves
- 27:13Speaker 5: too much.
- 27:14Speaker 1: Well, your prediction there fits in with the predictions of
- 27:18Speaker 1: other election law experts. So let's say the Supreme Court
- 27:22Speaker 1: does change the Voting Rights Act in some way. Will
- 27:26Speaker 1: that affect the New York Constitution.
- 27:29Speaker 5: Well, it could affect the state Constitution to the extent
- 27:32Speaker 5: of what the Supreme Court might limit. Right now, the
- 27:36Speaker 5: gold standard in vote dilution is Section two of the
- 27:41Speaker 5: Voting Rights Act, and the Supreme Court adopted a test
- 27:45Speaker 5: in the mid nineteen eighties in a North Carolina case
- 27:48Speaker 5: called Thornberg versus Jingles, where a challenging minority group has
- 27:53Speaker 5: to demonstrate to a court that, if it claims it
- 27:56Speaker 5: should have an effective minority district, you've got to have
- 28:00Speaker 5: fifty percent or more of a district being comprised of
- 28:04Speaker 5: minority voters. Second, you have to show that the minority
- 28:08Speaker 5: voters vote cohesively pretty much the same way for similar candidates.
- 28:12Speaker 5: And third, most importantly, you've got to show that there
- 28:16Speaker 5: is a high level of racially polarized voting, where white
- 28:20Speaker 5: voters constantly outvote minority voters' abilities to elect preferred candidates
- 28:26Speaker 5: in primaries or general elections. So if you meet those
- 28:29Speaker 5: three prongs, size, cohesiveness, and polarized voting, then you have
- 28:35Speaker 5: a Voting Rights Act violation situation. And the Supreme Court
- 28:38Speaker 5: is now being asked whether that test is still a
- 28:42Speaker 5: cogent one to use now in the twenty first century.
- 28:45Speaker 1: So, in this case, black and Latino voters constitute nearly
- 28:50Speaker 1: a quarter of the voting population in that congressional district.
- 28:55Speaker 1: Is that enough then?
- 28:57Speaker 5: Well, what the plaintiffs are doing here. They're challenging the
- 29:00Speaker 5: map based on the state Constitution, but they're trying to
- 29:03Speaker 5: incoperate the New York State Voting Rights Act, which was
- 29:06Speaker 5: enacted by the legislature in twenty twenty two. The State
- 29:10Speaker 5: Voting Rights Act does not apply to congressional districts, but
- 29:14Speaker 5: it does lay out different kinds of criteria and standards
- 29:18Speaker 5: that courts should look to when looking at vote dilution
- 29:22Speaker 5: claims in counties, towns, cities, and villages. So they're saying
- 29:27Speaker 5: that there is similar preamble language in both the state
- 29:30Speaker 5: Constitution and the State Voting Rights Act that it makes
- 29:34Speaker 5: a lot of sense to also incorporate the State statue
- 29:38Speaker 5: standards into the state constitutional situation, and that will probably
- 29:44Speaker 5: be one of the first arguments that I think intervening
- 29:46Speaker 5: Republicans will make to dismiss this case is that the
- 29:49Speaker 5: State Voting Rights Act doesn't apply. What the plaintiffs are
- 29:53Speaker 5: doing here is using these state Voting Rights ac criteria that,
- 29:57Speaker 5: unlike federal law, where you need to have a district
- 29:59Speaker 5: of a at least fifty percent plus minority voter population,
- 30:04Speaker 5: the federal Voting Right Stack requires the fifty percent pretty
- 30:07Speaker 5: much of one racial group, be the black or Hispanic orasion.
- 30:11Speaker 5: But the state law permits you to aggregate or put
- 30:14Speaker 5: together smaller communities of what's the black and Hispanic populations
- 30:19Speaker 5: that you can combine voters, and that, in essence is
- 30:23Speaker 5: what they're looking to do by adding a part of
- 30:26Speaker 5: Manhattan to the Staten Island based district.
- 30:30Speaker 1: Would doing this create one of those odd looking shape
- 30:34Speaker 1: districts on the map.
- 30:36Speaker 5: The Hispanic population in Lower Manhattan is not adjacent to
- 30:41Speaker 5: South Ferry right the foot of Manhattan Island by the
- 30:44Speaker 5: New York Harbor. It's considerably north there, so you'd have
- 30:48Speaker 5: to take Staten Island, take the Staten Island Ferry over
- 30:52Speaker 5: to Manhattan and drive up aways basically up to the
- 30:56Speaker 5: Brooklyn Bridge, where you have an Hispanic population in the
- 30:59Speaker 5: lower east side, up to by fourteenth Street. And that
- 31:02Speaker 5: raises the question of whether race is the predominant factor
- 31:06Speaker 5: in creating this district, because that runs against what the
- 31:09Speaker 5: Supreme Court has said about racial garry mandering, which is
- 31:13Speaker 5: subject to strict scrutiny and has to be narrowly tailored
- 31:17Speaker 5: to remedy specific problem. So the plaintiffs are going to
- 31:21Speaker 5: have to demonstrate to the court why a district that
- 31:24Speaker 5: constitutes Staten Island and parts of Old Manhattan makes sense,
- 31:28Speaker 5: as if a lot.
- 31:29Speaker 1: Of these new districts make sense. So Melia Takis said,
- 31:34Speaker 1: it's a frivolous lawsuit trying to upband our congressional district.
- 31:38Speaker 1: And she noted that the current map was approved by
- 31:41Speaker 1: New York's Democratic controlled state legislature and Democratic governor. Does
- 31:47Speaker 1: she have the advantage here? In other words, is this
- 31:50Speaker 1: an uphill battle for the Democrats?
- 31:53Speaker 5: Yeah, the clock is ticking. The State Supreme Court only
- 31:57Speaker 5: has two months to render a decision, which we take
- 32:00Speaker 5: us to mid to late December. Petitioning for the twenty
- 32:03Speaker 5: twenty six election cycle right now gets underway in late February,
- 32:08Speaker 5: so that leaves very little time for New York's mid
- 32:11Speaker 5: level appeals court, the Appellate Division, and then finally the
- 32:15Speaker 5: State Court of Appeals and already to hear this case.
- 32:18Speaker 5: And you can pretty much be sure that whoever objects
- 32:21Speaker 5: to this case, and I'm anticipating Republican interveners will strenuously
- 32:26Speaker 5: try to slow this case down and prevent it from
- 32:29Speaker 5: impacting the twenty twenty six elections.
- 32:31Speaker 1: Jeff. There was litigation around the New York maps for years,
- 32:35Speaker 1: and the Democrats control both houses and the governor's office.
- 32:40Speaker 1: Now they're suing over their own maps. Tell us how
- 32:42Speaker 1: we got.
- 32:43Speaker 5: Here, well, I think by twenty twenty four, after a
- 32:46Speaker 5: failed process in twenty twenty two where a state commission
- 32:49Speaker 5: that was proved by the voters twenty fourteen basically imploded
- 32:53Speaker 5: and subject to a court order, went back to work
- 32:56Speaker 5: and finished the job by January twenty twenty four, the
- 33:00Speaker 5: legislature wanted to end this process have a new map
- 33:03Speaker 5: for twenty twenty four, actually a bipartisan map with Republican support.
- 33:08Speaker 5: So the map that was agreed to took some strenuous
- 33:11Speaker 5: effort early last year, and the case that's been brought
- 33:14Speaker 5: now you can consider somewhat democrats challenging democrats.
- 33:18Speaker 1: Is there any other effort underway in New York State to.
- 33:21Speaker 5: Redistrict Well, there is another approach. Earlier in the summer,
- 33:25Speaker 5: the Senate Deputy majority Leader and a member of the
- 33:28Speaker 5: Assembly introduced a resolution in the legislature that would permit
- 33:34Speaker 5: New York to redraw the district lines mid decade, if
- 33:38Speaker 5: and only after any other state does the same thing
- 33:42Speaker 5: in mid decades. So since Texas already went ahead and
- 33:47Speaker 5: mid decade redistricted, this amendment would let New York also
- 33:50Speaker 5: redistrict mid decade. The state constitution right now prohibits that.
- 33:55Speaker 5: But the barrier to that is that, since the state
- 33:57Speaker 5: constitution now currently does are mid decade redistricting, you have
- 34:02Speaker 5: to change the constitution, and to do that you need
- 34:05Speaker 5: to have an amendment go through two separately elected legislatures.
- 34:09Speaker 5: So the plan now is to pass something, whether it's
- 34:13Speaker 5: the amendment that was introduced earlier this summer or possibly
- 34:17Speaker 5: a more expansive amendment, but to do that next year,
- 34:20Speaker 5: then pass it again with the new legislature in twenty
- 34:24Speaker 5: twenty seven, so that the voters can then approve the
- 34:27Speaker 5: question and then enable the legislature to redraw a new
- 34:31Speaker 5: map for twenty twenty eight. This is similar to the
- 34:34Speaker 5: process that's getting underway this week in Virginia. The New
- 34:37Speaker 5: York situation is complicated in that we've got politics, personalities,
- 34:42Speaker 5: competing lawsuits, and the calendar all running against each other
- 34:46Speaker 5: at the same time.
- 34:48Speaker 1: With all these states redistricting, what are the maps going
- 34:52Speaker 1: to look like after the midterms? All Republican House seats
- 34:56Speaker 1: in one state, all Democratic House seats in another.
- 34:59Speaker 5: That's why I think this will continue till twenty twenty eight,
- 35:02Speaker 5: and then we have twenty thirty ahead of us, where
- 35:04Speaker 5: the White House is already trying to manipulate the way
- 35:07Speaker 5: the census is conducted to base the numbers on citizens
- 35:12Speaker 5: and not on the whole number of persons as the
- 35:14Speaker 5: Constitution requires. So this is a multifaceted battle.
- 35:19Speaker 1: Multifaceted and seemingly never ending. Thanks for an interesting conversation, Jeff.
- 35:24Speaker 1: That's Professor Jeffrey Weiss of New York Law School. And
- 35:28Speaker 1: that's it for this edition of the Bloomberg Law Show.
- 35:30Speaker 1: Remember you can always get the latest legal news on
- 35:33Speaker 1: our Bloomberg Law Podcast. You can find them on Apple Podcasts, Spotify,
- 35:37Speaker 1: and at www dot bloomberg dot com slash podcast, slash Law,
- 35:42Speaker 1: and remember to tune into The Bloomberg Law Show every
- 35:45Speaker 1: weeknight at ten pm Wall Street Time. I'm June Grosso
- 35:49Speaker 1: and you're listening to Bloomberg