Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Mt. Gox Crashing Bitcoin!🔥Crypto Market Still Bullish
Transcript
- 0:08Happy post fourth of July. A lot of things are happening right now in
- 0:11the crypto markets. Bitcoin selling off over the fourth and of course a ton
- 0:16more happening. Is this a little bit of an overreaction? There might be
- 0:21a silver lining in this one. You do not want to miss it.
- 0:24My name is Paul Barron. Welcome back into tech Path. As you guys
- 0:27can see today, I am out of the studio a little under the weather,
- 0:31but that does not matter. I am here for you. I want
- 0:33to make sure we cover a lot of what's happening in the news. There's
- 0:37a ton going on, and I want to break down a lot of different
- 0:41sectors and also potentials here, not only in crypto, but also in the
- 0:45traditional markets as well as well as a little bit of politics. So this
- 0:49is going to be a good one. Let's kind of jump over to this
- 0:51first tweet. Bitcoin of course extending its decline and enters bear market territory.
- 0:57Everybody calling this a bear market now twenty five percent recent all time high would
- 1:02look at this and maybe consider this could be the case. However, you
- 1:06think about what is happening right now in terms of the impact on the market,
- 1:11it is not necessarily the thing that everyone is expecting, because this is
- 1:15not retail selling off. This is in fact some of the biggest sellers out
- 1:19there in the market. The other things that are playing into this. And
- 1:23as I said, when you look at mount gox right now, and you
- 1:27can see something here, ninety nine percent of mount gox is eight point two
- 1:30billion bitcoin could be sold. This is kind of the number that everybody's been
- 1:34concerned about. Let's assume that's a number that everyone was selling versus what could
- 1:42be coming. In a couple of points in the article right here, bitcoin's
- 1:46been on the down trend for the entire month of June, logging nearly an
- 1:49eighteen percent loss. That of course now down understand this is very controversible.
- 1:53Based on the current and low demand, this will easily send bitcoin back into
- 1:57a harsh bear mark. This is coming from an analyst looking at what we
- 2:01could see as maybe that forty k number. All right, so I want
- 2:06to jump over to this tab right here just to give you guys an idea.
- 2:08There's the eight billion there, as you can see on mount gox.
- 2:13That's the thing that everybody is concerned about in terms of the exit. If
- 2:15you go further into the transactions. Let me zoom in on these really closely
- 2:21so you guys can see them. There's the eighty four million happening. This,
- 2:24of course, was thirteen hours ago. Continuation of that, another one
- 2:30thousand, et cetera. What we're seeing, and there's one hundred and fifty
- 2:34four million seventeen. OK. So you can see that it seems to be
- 2:39paced. And of course many people would say, all right, well,
- 2:43if it's being paced, that at least is a good sign for the markets.
- 2:46Maybe this isn't necessarily a complete and utter push to the bottom, even
- 2:52though I think a lot of these bigger holders might be in a position where
- 2:54they could have done maybe an over the counter trade to not even affect the
- 2:59markets themsels else. That's the thing that's kind of weird. This, of
- 3:01course, is a tweet right here, just kind of showing the biggest liquidation
- 3:06since the FTX collapse. So not necessarily normal in terms of market cycles,
- 3:12but it definitely is I think, still a very resilient position overall. I'll
- 3:19stay on the tabs here, and I want to go over to this topic
- 3:23right here, because this is bitcoins decline causes major share drop with cryptostocks,
- 3:29and of course we know who number one is right there, and that is
- 3:32micro Strategy. Shares plummeted six percent in pre market trading. Bitcoin mining firms
- 3:38like Riot, Marathon all suffered losses five, six and eight percent respectively,
- 3:45and then Coinbase also came down five percent. But that's not necessarily the story
- 3:51on all the s and P and that's why I think this may be a
- 3:53silver lining in disguise. So let's just continue on. We'll take a look
- 3:59further, all right. Another tweet I want to hit two is bitcoin miners
- 4:02break records in twenty twenty three and four as the top sellers. As twenty
- 4:06twenty four approach, the pace of transfers to exchanges intensified and impacted the excess
- 4:13supply in low demand in the spot market. This, of course is normal
- 4:17for what we've seen in the past in the market. Now remember you're still
- 4:20putting in governments, and of course the mount Ox recovered bitcoin into the play
- 4:26now, so it does change things up quite a bit. Germany is in
- 4:30a very interest to imagine jumping the hardest asset in the world for currency that
- 4:33is falling in value by design. Yes, that's Germany. And of course
- 4:39they're selling their bitcoin right now for euros. You can see it in a
- 4:42big way. There's a little bit of pushback on this when you look at
- 4:46nation states. Not necessarily are we going to be dealing with nation states that
- 4:50really understand bitcoin outside of what we've seen with El Salvador and some of the
- 4:56emerging markets. But at the same time, I think there are there are
- 5:00people rising in these governments that are starting to understand. And this is the
- 5:03argument I have a lot with many people looking at just digital assets as a
- 5:09whole is They argue that, you know, the markets aren't ready for it,
- 5:12legislation's not ready for it, all those kind of things. This is
- 5:15of course the German parliament member, her name is Joonah Kotar says the government
- 5:20selling bitcoin is ridiculous, not sensible, but urges everybody. Hey, let's
- 5:27kind of hold bitcoin as a strategy for our reserve currency. And there are
- 5:31some interesting opinions on that. Even if you think about what Trump is saying,
- 5:35all right, I want to jump over here to this. Of course,
- 5:39mister Peter Schiff comes as Ethereum is also breaking key support. It's trading
- 5:45below twenty nine hundred, down thirty percent from its March I think a crash
- 5:48to fifteen hundred is coming. And it looks like these buying ether rumors couldn't
- 5:54wait for the fact to sell. So this is the best fud I see
- 6:00is coming out, of course, mister Peter Schiff. And let's go into
- 6:03a little bit more positive news, and that of course is the Ethereum conference
- 6:08coming up July eighth. This is going to be a big deal. I
- 6:11think we're going to see some pretty interesting and amazing interesting too on July eighth.
- 6:16I mean this is very good timing because we could see the eighth launch.
- 6:19Also, remember next next week most likely will be at least a data
- 6:24assignment that's coming in from Bloomberg. I get it they've been wrong before,
- 6:29but the likelihood of seeing a July launch, I'm still very strong on that.
- 6:33So and when I say July launch for the ETF so this starts to
- 6:38point to things that are a little bit more positive. All right. So
- 6:41some of the things that are going on right now is we've got to consider
- 6:45the international situation. And when you look at the international situation, the UK
- 6:50is one of the most I think important categories in fact, did you know
- 6:56that the United Kingdom is the number two country in terms of viewership for this
- 7:00show. So you can kind of catch what's going on in the UK if
- 7:06you look at just this most recent result general election results in twenty twenty four,
- 7:14technonic plates are shifting. Let me kind of zoom in on this for
- 7:16you guys a little bit and I'll show you a few things within this.
- 7:19British politics have shifted after the Britain's resoundedly voted to put out an end to
- 7:25fourteen years of Conservative rule and deliver a landslide victory for the Labor Party.
- 7:31Now what does that mean a little different than what we've seen in the past.
- 7:33There's Sunnach versus what we've seen right here with the new potentials with Keir
- 7:40Starmer further down in here, look at this. This is twenty twenty four.
- 7:45The red is the Labor Party. This was nineteen and that was seventeen.
- 7:48So this is a potential long run for the Labor Party in the UK.
- 7:56And if they get a long run, imagine the kind of impact that
- 8:01they can make. Some of the impact that they've already started to move on
- 8:05are things like this where you're seeing the UK, obviously the election could see
- 8:09a focus on real world asset tokenizations and CBDC development. Now don't necessarily like
- 8:15CBDCs, but the idea is that we would see more blockchain integrated technology from
- 8:22a G seven country, and I think that's an important move in the right
- 8:26direction. Another big move is this right here, and that is the Finance
- 8:30Minister. What I'm showing here is a PDF of of course, Rachel Reeves,
- 8:35who has just been put into this pitch position in fact, just as
- 8:39of today. Now what this means. There's a couple of points I want
- 8:43to hit to down here on page nineteen of this long report, and that
- 8:48is this section right here, make the UK a global hub for securities,
- 8:52and let's zoom in on that right there. Guys, Embracing tokenization could increase
- 8:58liquidity, provide access to new asset classes and fractionalized assets, and strength and
- 9:03rees risk in management. Simply put, we could have a complete new strategy
- 9:09around what the UK is doing. Here. I want to go to a
- 9:11clip real quick, and this next clip is the UK Prime Minister talking a
- 9:16little bit more about the situation. Take a look apologizing to his party for
- 9:20the scale of the loss. Kirstamara, a leader of the center left Labor,
- 9:26will now become the country's next prime minister, with the opportunity after fourteen
- 9:31years, to get its future back. So tell us what this all means.
- 9:37What this means is that Kissed Armor is perhaps the most powerful prime minister
- 9:41since Tony Blair in nineteen ninety seven. He's got a massive majority. He
- 9:46can do what he wants, so basically what he wants to pass will happen.
- 9:50I interviewed Jamie Diamond in London a few weeks ago and he just met
- 9:54with both leaders and headline from that he said both of them are pro business.
- 9:56There's also the possibility to take the UK a bit closer to the EU
- 10:01again. The renegotiation is next year. It comes early in his parliament,
- 10:07so he doesn't have to worry about facing an election immediately after it and what
- 10:11that might do. I think the interesting business similarity is inflation. Inflation is
- 10:15kryptonite for whoever's in power, and the difference you have here in the US
- 10:18is at least the rest of the economy has been going well and it offsets
- 10:20the damage that inflation does, at least partially. I always struck that you
- 10:24said both the Conservatives and Labor are both pro business. Rachel Reeves expected to
- 10:31be announced as the first female chancellor that check. We've had female prime ministers,
- 10:35of course, but the first female finance minister. Today he gets to
- 10:39pick his cabinets, so we don't know for sure what it is, but
- 10:41almost certain she'll be Finance min She's very clearly pro business. So there you
- 10:48see it. I mean, this is a big shift in global politics,
- 10:52and that's the thing that is going to make I think a very intriguing landscape
- 10:58among G seven country because they're going to be watching what's happening here. You
- 11:01also have major elections shifting in France. This could be one of the most
- 11:07volatile times in terms of political leadership that we've seen in our lifetime, as
- 11:11they mentioned there on the Labor Party first time in forty years. I want
- 11:15to go to this next clip because this gets into of course, our own
- 11:18President Biden and his position as to whether or not he's even going to be
- 11:22the candidate. This is a clip on what happens today. Is it his
- 11:26last stance? Take a look, the donor class is abandoning him. The
- 11:31members of Congress are afraid. The governors are afraid. I talk to them
- 11:37and they're trying to figure out what the hell we can do. What is
- 11:39he going to have to say tonight? And if he puts on a good
- 11:43performances that changed the dynamic. He can't say I had a bad night.
- 11:48He can't say he's going to have to say had a bad night. If
- 11:50he doesn't say out a bad night, then what's he going to say?
- 11:52I didn't do what I wanted to do. I didn't say what I wanted
- 11:56to say. That's what happened. And you think that that ant you said
- 12:00not to use the I had a bad night. No, you don't use
- 12:03the words I had a bad knight. But you have to be able to
- 12:05explain it away. But you don't think that he and Joe Biden are going
- 12:09to ultimately have to anoint somebody. I don't believe he's going to go.
- 12:15If he waffles, then they will push him out. I'm going to be
- 12:18direct. God help me, you may nobody wants to knock out an African
- 12:24American woman to be held responsible for that. And here's the issue. Her
- 12:28favorability is still She's the most unpopular vice president since Dan Quail. All of
- 12:35them would do a better job than she would because they get the public.
- 12:43So this is a pickle for the Democrats. They have a you know,
- 12:48they have a president that is in position of power, but unfortunately may not
- 12:52even be making the calls here. And I think this is the thing that
- 12:56will challenge the Dems. Do they let this run out out and just know
- 13:01that there's a cabinet behind President Biden so that you know, because if they
- 13:05say he's not willing to continue the race, maybe they are concerned that he's
- 13:09not willing to serve as president. That would be a huge hit to the
- 13:13market if he stepped aside and Vice President Harris came onto the scene. That's
- 13:20the one thing I don't think anybody in the markets would like. So this
- 13:24tweet is from Eleanor Tarot over at Fox Business and she's talking about a couple
- 13:28of things Rokana's crypto roundtable. Obviously this would be in roads to the White
- 13:33House and the Dems. And remember we've got Mark Cuban in on this.
- 13:37It is I would agree it's the worst kept secret out there. We've talked
- 13:41about him many times. But there's a couple of points that I think are
- 13:43important with this. You have to remember that this was done prior to the
- 13:48debate debacle, and maybe at that time it was being looked at as a
- 13:54way to win the crypto vote. Maybe now it is a way for someone
- 14:00like a Rocanna or a Mark Cuban to simply say, Okay, listen,
- 14:03you got to call the dogs off Chevron. Defference is flipped. We've got
- 14:07to get the s CFTC and the SEC about the over these overreach and digital
- 14:11assets. I think Cuban will definitely make that point. And could this make
- 14:16Biden look coherent enough to make these kinds of decisions and make these kinds of
- 14:22conversations into a position where he could campaign and possibly stay in the race or
- 14:28even have a position of potentially winning against Donald Trump if his position flips a
- 14:35little bit on crypto. I know it's a reach, but I want you
- 14:37guys to think about this is a very pivotal meeting for both Joe Biden and
- 14:41the Democrats, maybe bigger than any of the other ones, Maybe bigger than
- 14:45this interview tonight, because I think this is the interview is all show that's
- 14:48going to be just something that, yes, if he shows up, which
- 14:52is going to be well scripted, well edited. Sure, maybe people would
- 14:56change their mind a little bit, but I think a real action is different,
- 15:00and this meeting could be that for sure. All Right, So I
- 15:03want to jump over to the Tesla short sellers. They lost three and a
- 15:07half billion in two days of trading after the deliveries report, which Elin of
- 15:11course smashed it on deliveries. And this is very bullish for the markets.
- 15:16It's good for Tesla, it's good for Nvidia, it's good for the SMP
- 15:20five hundred as a whole. Why are we not seeing these kind of moves
- 15:24of course here in the risk markets? And I think this is still one
- 15:28of those things that is preceding potential runs when you see games like this happening
- 15:33both in Nvidia, Tesla Meta. You can go down the list pretty significant.
- 15:39I'll stay on a couple of tweets here, This one right here,
- 15:41just showing in Nvidia just broke a three trillion dollar market cap one hundred and
- 15:46fifty percent since Natalie Pelosi bought up five million of a call option back in
- 15:52November. Man, what a trade. Another tweet right here. Applestock has
- 15:56also started to record a bit of a so a little bit of move on
- 16:00Apple. You have to consider the S and P. Five hundred as a
- 16:04whole is really just in a good position, all right. Last up here
- 16:10is the Financial Services Committee hearing. This is hearing entitled the Federal Reserve Semi
- 16:15Annual Monetary Policy Report. This is where Palell is going to be speaking.
- 16:19It'll be interesting to see the outcome of this how it affects monetary policy in
- 16:25general. Because we haven't talked about interest rates in general. I think we're
- 16:29still months out before we do see a cut. A couple of points I
- 16:33want to hit on. Of course, Bitcoin right here as it starts to
- 16:36bottom out, even though that is right there was the fifty three six.
- 16:41One thing you guys will notice about this chart is this has a new indicator
- 16:44in it. This is our live MSI now, which is our Market Sentiment
- 16:48Index, is now layered in on all charts. I'll be doing a lot
- 16:52more of these kinds of analysis. We'll break down these, get a little
- 16:56bit more in the trenches with these in the future, not in on the
- 17:00diamond circle. That's places where you're going to get those kind of videos,
- 17:03additional content. And of course it's also where you can now be part of
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- 17:19that. It's just app Paul Baron. We'll catch you next time right here
- 17:22on tech Path