Latest / The Financial Exchange Show / Why do so many Americans feel financially trapped?
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- 0:35Speaker 1: Exchange with Chuck Zada and Mike Armstrong, your exclusive look
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- 1:02Speaker 1: donation today. This is the Financial Exchange with Chuck Zada
- 1:06Speaker 1: and Mike Armstrong.
- 1:11Speaker 2: Chuck, Mike and Tucker with you, and we've got another
- 1:15Speaker 2: broad based rally taking place today, taking stocks to new
- 1:19Speaker 2: all time highs. On the S and P five hundred,
- 1:23Speaker 2: which currently sits at sixty five seventy seven, up another.
- 1:26Speaker 3: Forty five points today.
- 1:28Speaker 2: Uh. The NASDAK also finally notching another all time high.
- 1:32Speaker 2: It had been unable to even with the at least
- 1:35Speaker 2: on an intra day basis, it had been unable to
- 1:38Speaker 2: over the last couple of days, but finally has gotten
- 1:40Speaker 2: there now. And so the NASDAK up point six percent
- 1:44Speaker 2: one hundred and thirty one points. And last, but certainly
- 1:48Speaker 2: not least, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up five
- 1:51Speaker 2: hundred and thirty seven points about one point two percent.
- 1:53Speaker 2: So again all three major US indices moving on up
- 1:58Speaker 2: despite a hotter than antiseiy've paided headline inflation report and
- 2:01Speaker 2: inline core inflation data, you've actually got bonds moving down
- 2:07Speaker 2: for yield's day, the Tenure Treasury right now down one
- 2:09Speaker 2: point three basis points to four point h one nine percent.
- 2:13Speaker 2: This because we got a worse than expected weekly jobbless
- 2:17Speaker 2: claims report for initial jobbles claims, which moved up to
- 2:21Speaker 2: two hundred and sixty three thousand from two hundred and
- 2:25Speaker 2: thirty six thousand in the prior week, and so markets
- 2:29Speaker 2: acting a little bit nervous and skittish on that side
- 2:32Speaker 2: of things right now. When we take a look at commodities,
- 2:37Speaker 2: we've got oil down a dollar fifteen a barrel to
- 2:40Speaker 2: sixty two to fifty two, and we've got gold down
- 2:44Speaker 2: fourteen sixty one ounce to thirty six sixty seven. And
- 2:48Speaker 2: those are the major moves taking place inside US markets.
- 2:52Speaker 2: State Mike, anything you want to add there, I.
- 2:54Speaker 3: Just wanted to contextualize one thing that we've It's been
- 2:57Speaker 3: getting a fair bit of price press coverage, not price coverage,
- 3:02Speaker 3: which is where the S and P sits in terms
- 3:04Speaker 3: of its valuation, and it is true that from a
- 3:09Speaker 3: number of different metrics, it is the highest that it
- 3:13Speaker 3: has ever been. Specifically, the one that people have been
- 3:16Speaker 3: looking at is that price to sales ratio, which looks at, hey,
- 3:20Speaker 3: what is the price of the S and P five hundred
- 3:22Speaker 3: compared to the gross sales of the businesses that comprise it.
- 3:26Speaker 3: The piece that has not hit those same all times
- 3:29Speaker 3: highs is the price to earnings ratio that is still
- 3:32Speaker 3: pretty well below where we were in the peaks of
- 3:35Speaker 3: the dot com bubble and really speaks to one main
- 3:40Speaker 3: piece of information here, which is that the companies today
- 3:45Speaker 3: that are getting bid up are far more profitable than
- 3:47Speaker 3: they were than those that were during the dot com bubble.
- 3:50Speaker 3: It does not mean that there weren't companies that were.
- 3:54Speaker 3: There are plenty of companies that were very profitable back
- 3:56Speaker 3: in the late nineties that we're also seeing their stock
- 3:58Speaker 3: prices go high, but they were far larger number of
- 4:00Speaker 3: those that were very unprofitable, very little revenue that we're
- 4:03Speaker 3: seeing their stock prices being bid up, and so a
- 4:06Speaker 3: key difference there, but still worth noting that, Yeah, when
- 4:09Speaker 3: you look at the price you're paying for stocks compared
- 4:11Speaker 3: to the total revenue that those companies are generating, while
- 4:14Speaker 3: that revenue is far more profitable, it is an all
- 4:18Speaker 3: time high piece.
- 4:20Speaker 2: From market Watch. Incomes rose and poverty fell last year.
- 4:23Speaker 2: So why do so many Americans feel tapped out? This
- 4:27Speaker 2: on a new look from the Census bure They do
- 4:29Speaker 2: an annual study on Americans incomes each year. It usually
- 4:35Speaker 2: comes out right around this time. It's called Income in
- 4:37Speaker 2: the United States. I mean, great title obviously twenty twenty
- 4:41Speaker 2: four is the part that I left off there. But Mike,
- 4:45Speaker 2: when asking this question, I don't think it's very hard
- 4:50Speaker 2: to get there in terms of Okay, median income went up,
- 4:56Speaker 2: and I went through the whole report, which it's not
- 4:58Speaker 2: too long. It's fifty eight pay but it's not like
- 5:01Speaker 2: overly dense. There's a lot of charts and things like
- 5:03Speaker 2: that there. And I think that the things that I
- 5:07Speaker 2: take away on this, median income went up by one
- 5:10Speaker 2: point three percent, which is fine. The pace of inflation
- 5:16Speaker 2: was steep in the last not steep steep, but you
- 5:20Speaker 2: know again, inflation was running too and a half three
- 5:22Speaker 2: percent somewhere in that ballpark, and in particular for those
- 5:26Speaker 2: that are lower income earners. When you look at you know,
- 5:31Speaker 2: lower income households, Hey, if you were struggling before, it's
- 5:35Speaker 2: not like there was anything last year that suddenly gave
- 5:37Speaker 2: you a huge leg up. Right, you still are, you know,
- 5:40Speaker 2: struggling pretty significantly. And this is all assuming that we're
- 5:44Speaker 2: actually you know, getting accurate reads on inflation and things
- 5:48Speaker 2: like that, which does not affect every group the same way.
- 5:52Speaker 2: You have you know, lower income groups. Hey, we just
- 5:54Speaker 2: saw food prices take a jump last month, A bigger
- 5:57Speaker 2: portion of you know, lower income households spent and goes
- 6:00Speaker 2: to food than if you're making you know, one hundred
- 6:03Speaker 2: and fifty thousand dollars a year. And so I don't
- 6:05Speaker 2: think it's surprising that a lot of people are saying
- 6:08Speaker 2: they're tapped out, even though incomes did go up a
- 6:10Speaker 2: little bit last year.
- 6:11Speaker 3: Yeah, and it goes back to really a theme that
- 6:14Speaker 3: we've been covering now for a good three years, which
- 6:17Speaker 3: is those with high incomes and the typically own big assets,
- 6:22Speaker 3: whether it's their home, their four oh one K, or
- 6:25Speaker 3: you know, other types of similar assets, and those ASSEID
- 6:28Speaker 3: prices have gone way up over the course of the
- 6:31Speaker 3: last two and a half years. If you don't own assets,
- 6:36Speaker 3: if you rent, and you make below the median national income,
- 6:41Speaker 3: you're seeing prices you know, continue to go up, your
- 6:45Speaker 3: wages just barely covering the increases and not seeing any
- 6:49Speaker 3: of the benefit of home values in four oh one
- 6:52Speaker 3: K values going up. And so, yeah, I guess I'm
- 6:55Speaker 3: with you, Chuck. I'm not terribly surprised that when you
- 6:58Speaker 3: pull Americans about how they're feeling about things, it's not
- 7:00Speaker 3: overly optimistic.
- 7:02Speaker 2: Other things like if you look at groups that are
- 7:04Speaker 2: not doing well, and the Census Bureau does a great
- 7:07Speaker 2: job of breaking this out with the different demographic breakdowns
- 7:11Speaker 2: that they give here. So here's some different groups that
- 7:15Speaker 2: aren't doing well last year. And again these are I
- 7:18Speaker 2: just want to clarify, all of these are in inflation
- 7:21Speaker 2: adjusted terms. So's it's all in twenty twenty four dollars,
- 7:24Speaker 2: it's already been adjusted in terms of inflation. If you
- 7:28Speaker 2: look at households where a black household member is the
- 7:32Speaker 2: primary household member, their incomes last year fell by three
- 7:35Speaker 2: point three percent. Kind of hard to say that you're
- 7:38Speaker 2: doing well if that's the case.
- 7:39Speaker 3: Correct.
- 7:40Speaker 2: Yeah, If you look at households where the primary household
- 7:44Speaker 2: member is age fifty five to sixty four, which is
- 7:47Speaker 2: twenty three million households, their incomes fell by one point
- 7:51Speaker 2: five percent. If you look at households in the Midwest,
- 7:55Speaker 2: twenty eight million households, and look, there's overlap in this.
- 7:57Speaker 2: So I don't want you to think that this is
- 8:00Speaker 2: gonna end up being everyone, but Midwest saw incomes fall
- 8:04Speaker 2: by one point one percent. If you look at residences
- 8:09Speaker 2: that are outside metropolitan statistical areas, so rural residents, their
- 8:14Speaker 2: incomes fell by point six percent. If you look at
- 8:18Speaker 2: folks with no high school diploma, about nine to a
- 8:21Speaker 2: half million households have a head of household that fits
- 8:24Speaker 2: that category, their incomes fell by one point eight percent.
- 8:28Speaker 2: So you can very easily get to a point where
- 8:30Speaker 2: you say, hey, they're probably somewhere in the range when
- 8:34Speaker 2: you include overlap in this and that. Out of one
- 8:37Speaker 2: hundred and thirty two million households, there's probably a quarter
- 8:40Speaker 2: to a third of them that still saw their incomes
- 8:43Speaker 2: fall relative to the year prior. Right That's why a
- 8:47Speaker 2: lot like right there, like that group is saying, yeah,
- 8:50Speaker 2: things aren't good. There's another group that is in there saying, hey,
- 8:54Speaker 2: my income barely changed, and so they just they might
- 8:57Speaker 2: just feel worse because I made more, but it all
- 9:00Speaker 2: to paying for the same stuff anyways. And so I
- 9:03Speaker 2: don't think it's surprising that you get, you know, forty
- 9:06Speaker 2: to fifty percent of people saying, yeah, like this is
- 9:09Speaker 2: really hard right now.
- 9:10Speaker 3: It's because it is. Yeah. They again, these these numbers,
- 9:14Speaker 3: at least they used median here when looking at these details.
- 9:17Speaker 3: But even when you look at that, it is tough
- 9:21Speaker 3: for a large portion of people especially over the course
- 9:25Speaker 3: of you know, when you look at this over the
- 9:27Speaker 3: course of four years, with the disastrous inflation of twenty
- 9:31Speaker 3: twenty two, you put together a pretty compelling story of
- 9:35Speaker 3: American family struggling, which is all is especially concerning because
- 9:40Speaker 3: it's happening in a time with four point three percent unemployment.
- 9:43Speaker 3: You imagine where that goes if we're sitting at five
- 9:46Speaker 3: percent unemployment instead, and then you have a really tough
- 9:49Speaker 3: series of problems, which is why the FED is so
- 9:51Speaker 3: focused on it.
- 9:52Speaker 2: Correct exactly. So let's take a quick break here. When
- 9:57Speaker 2: we return, I want to touch on what is going
- 10:00Speaker 2: on in the housing market as mortgage rates have come down,
- 10:05Speaker 2: and we also do a little bit of trivia right
- 10:07Speaker 2: after this.
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- 10:48Speaker 4: All right, time for trivia. You're in the Financial Exchange
- 10:51Speaker 4: on this day. Back in nineteen seventy seven, the Atari
- 10:55Speaker 4: twenty six hundred was released in North America, revolutionizing video
- 11:00Speaker 4: game industry. Atari sold thirty million units of the twenty
- 11:05Speaker 4: six hundred, which was a record until the Nintendo Entertainment
- 11:10Speaker 4: System came onto the scene in the mid nineteen eighties.
- 11:14Speaker 4: So our trivia question today is simply, what is the
- 11:18Speaker 4: best selling video game system of all time? Once again?
- 11:23Speaker 4: What is the best selling video game system of all time?
- 11:28Speaker 3: Be the fourth.
- 11:29Speaker 4: Person today to text us at six one seven three
- 11:32Speaker 4: six to two thirteen eighty five with the correct answer
- 11:35Speaker 4: you do want a Financial Exchange Show T shirt?
- 11:38Speaker 3: Once again.
- 11:38Speaker 4: The fourth correct response to text us to the number
- 11:42Speaker 4: six one seven three six to two thirteen eighty five
- 11:45Speaker 4: will win that T shirt. C complete contest rules at
- 11:48Speaker 4: Financial Exchange Show dot com.
- 11:51Speaker 2: Mike, what we've seen in the last several weeks is
- 11:55Speaker 2: the national average for a thirty year fixed rate mortgage
- 11:59Speaker 2: has gone from you know, throughout most of August hanging
- 12:03Speaker 2: out around six point five six point six percent, now
- 12:06Speaker 2: down to around six and a quarter percent six point
- 12:09Speaker 2: twenty nine is where we currently stand today. And if
- 12:13Speaker 2: you go back just a little bit earlier in the summer,
- 12:16Speaker 2: you know, mortgage rates were kicking around, you know, anywhere
- 12:19Speaker 2: in the six seven to five range for much of
- 12:21Speaker 2: June July, and so you got you know, anywhere depending
- 12:24Speaker 2: on when you were looking, from a quarter percent to
- 12:26Speaker 2: a half percent improvement in mortgage rates. And so unsurprisingly,
- 12:32Speaker 2: what we saw yesterday was the NBA Mortgage Applications Index
- 12:38Speaker 2: was up nine point two percent for the week. Most
- 12:40Speaker 2: of this uh concentrated in refinance activity, but a jump
- 12:44Speaker 2: in purchases as well that we saw, and so I
- 12:49Speaker 2: think that when you look at this, it clearly is
- 12:52Speaker 2: having some impact on the margins here. The question is
- 12:56Speaker 2: is it big enough and where are those you know,
- 12:59Speaker 2: marginal sales and applications taking place, simply because we are
- 13:03Speaker 2: in an environment where home prices have been sliding over
- 13:07Speaker 2: the course of the summer, and does this do.
- 13:09Speaker 3: Enough to stem the tide?
- 13:10Speaker 2: There The other question for the you know, to continue
- 13:14Speaker 2: this incredibly long run on sentence is one of the
- 13:18Speaker 2: things we've seen in the last couple of weeks has
- 13:22Speaker 2: been a bunch of sellers pulling properties off market because
- 13:27Speaker 2: they can't get the prices that they want, rather than
- 13:29Speaker 2: moving through with price cuts. Do lower rates draw some
- 13:32Speaker 2: of that inventory back out, and does that extra inventory
- 13:35Speaker 2: then put more downward pressure on prices as it.
- 13:38Speaker 3: Returns to the market. Yeah, all interesting questions. I mean,
- 13:41Speaker 3: the refinance activity is going to be real, and I
- 13:45Speaker 3: believe that will trend upwards.
- 13:46Speaker 2: And it's good, it's great for the economy.
- 13:48Speaker 3: It's it's good for the economy. It's not. It's not
- 13:52Speaker 3: a purchase, right, Let's separate the two. Like, yes, it
- 13:56Speaker 3: frees up some cash flow for the homeowner. They can
- 14:00Speaker 3: can spend some of that discretionary income elsewhere. But obviously,
- 14:02Speaker 3: when you talk about somebody buying a new condo in Florida,
- 14:06Speaker 3: the amount of economic activity that occurs from something like
- 14:09Speaker 3: that compared to the refi are very different, and the
- 14:14Speaker 3: not a problem. But the problem with the timing here
- 14:16Speaker 3: really is we're heading into a very short housing season here. Basically,
- 14:22Speaker 3: if you don't have your home sold by Thanksgiving, then
- 14:25Speaker 3: it ain't gonna sell until next spring in a lot
- 14:27Speaker 3: of cases, and so you know, do we have time
- 14:30Speaker 3: to see any sort of uptick in sales new buyers
- 14:33Speaker 3: re entering the market with these mortgage rates. It is
- 14:36Speaker 3: a pretty serious drop in rates here, and you know,
- 14:39Speaker 3: increases buying power. But will it stick around until next spring?
- 14:44Speaker 3: That's if we're going to see an uptick in activity,
- 14:46Speaker 3: That's when I would expect it to come.
- 14:48Speaker 2: Yeah, So it's I think that ultimately it's can rates
- 14:54Speaker 2: stay in this range or can they get back to
- 14:58Speaker 2: this range you know, five six months from now right right?
- 15:01Speaker 2: Like that's that it doesn't really matter a ton If
- 15:05Speaker 2: interest rates are low Christmas week, no one buys a house,
- 15:11Speaker 2: then you know, it's like the volume of sales is
- 15:15Speaker 2: less than half of what it is during the peak
- 15:17Speaker 2: spring period. So can you get rates in this range
- 15:24Speaker 2: somewhere in you know, starting Super Bowl first week in February,
- 15:28Speaker 2: get them in this range first week in February through
- 15:31Speaker 2: July fourth, You got the potential to cook a little bit.
- 15:35Speaker 2: There still is a lot of inventory that needs to
- 15:37Speaker 2: burn off, and there could be more that comes on
- 15:39Speaker 2: next year as well. So these are things that you know,
- 15:43Speaker 2: just just that I think about as we look at
- 15:45Speaker 2: where the housing market could be. But lower rates obviously
- 15:49Speaker 2: going to provide some support to home prices and so
- 15:52Speaker 2: potentially good news for sellers and buyers to being able
- 15:55Speaker 2: to match up a little bit more easily. Then yeah, yeah,
- 15:59Speaker 2: let's see we want to talk about reverse stock splits,
- 16:02Speaker 2: not particularly do you, No, let's skip that one. Do
- 16:06Speaker 2: We want to think about how many people think retirement
- 16:08Speaker 2: will take a miracle.
- 16:11Speaker 3: Fewer apparently think that will take a marri miracle. So
- 16:16Speaker 3: is this the least surprising story of twenty twenty five? Hey,
- 16:18Speaker 3: stock market's an all time high, Therefore fewer people think
- 16:21Speaker 3: they're going to be devastated in retirement.
- 16:23Speaker 2: Yes, stocks have done north of twenty percent the last
- 16:26Speaker 2: two years and more than you know, north of ten
- 16:29Speaker 2: percent so far this year, and so yeah, it's not
- 16:34Speaker 2: surprising that if you have a few good years of returns,
- 16:37Speaker 2: people are gonna feel more optimistic about their ability to retire.
- 16:41Speaker 3: That said, the interesting thing that you mentioned earlier, Chuck,
- 16:44Speaker 3: during the last segment on the labor market that what
- 16:47Speaker 3: did you say, fifty five to sixty four cohort in
- 16:49Speaker 3: terms of their incomes moving downwards. Yeah, that's well, one
- 16:54Speaker 3: something that I think everyone has seen and experienced, right,
- 16:58Speaker 3: how many people know somebody, a family, men member, a
- 17:00Speaker 3: friend who has lost their job at that stage of
- 17:04Speaker 3: the game, and I had had a very difficult time
- 17:06Speaker 3: finding new employment because of agism like that. That is
- 17:11Speaker 3: something that I see very very frequently, So not entirely surprising,
- 17:17Speaker 3: but I guess effect it would certainly affect my comfortability
- 17:22Speaker 3: with retirement going well, if I lost my job at
- 17:24Speaker 3: fifty seven years old and had been planning on several
- 17:27Speaker 3: more years of employment.
- 17:28Speaker 2: Sure, especially because it's two sided coin there. It's you
- 17:32Speaker 2: lose the income, but you also have more expenses because
- 17:34Speaker 2: now you've got to cover things like health insurance.
- 17:36Speaker 3: And stuff like that while you're out of work.
- 17:38Speaker 2: So it's yeah, these are some of the things that
- 17:41Speaker 2: are challenging, you know, kind of as you look at
- 17:46Speaker 2: at that question, there other things, just other pieces from
- 17:49Speaker 2: this survey from the Texas Americans overall expect to retire
- 17:53Speaker 2: at sixty four. Was there a survey that we covered
- 17:55Speaker 2: a couple of weeks ago that said Americans thought they
- 17:57Speaker 2: could retire at sixty two or am I making that up?
- 18:00Speaker 3: I think the survey was that most said they wanted
- 18:04Speaker 3: to retire at sixty two, not that they thought they
- 18:06Speaker 3: would be able to financially retire at sixty two. Got it.
- 18:10Speaker 2: Baby boomers who have not yet retired but plan to
- 18:13Speaker 2: do so at seventy. I'm just looking at the demo
- 18:18Speaker 2: for baby boomers and the oldest ones I'm sorry, the
- 18:22Speaker 2: youngest ones I believe go through nineteen sixty four, which
- 18:26Speaker 2: means they're sixty one right now. And so basically the
- 18:31Speaker 2: ones that are left or you know, the average age
- 18:33Speaker 2: is probably sixty five, sixty six, you know below, they're
- 18:36Speaker 2: not retired. And so yeah, they're basically saying like, yeah,
- 18:40Speaker 2: three four more years on average. Kind of gets you,
- 18:43Speaker 2: you know, into that range that that clicks, and that
- 18:45Speaker 2: kind of meshes with what we're seeing. Overall, all generations
- 18:49Speaker 2: expect their retirement to last an average of twenty two years.
- 18:53Speaker 2: So retire at sixty four, lived to eighty six. Life
- 18:57Speaker 2: expectancies aren't quite that good, No, they are not. Even
- 19:01Speaker 2: though I wonder what life expectancy at age sixty four is.
- 19:07Speaker 2: I'm pulling it up right now because remember it changes.
- 19:11Speaker 3: In the US.
- 19:12Speaker 2: It looks like men can live on average eighteen point
- 19:15Speaker 2: two more years women twenty point seven, So twenty two
- 19:19Speaker 2: is not too far off. Actually, yeah, that's not crazy
- 19:22Speaker 2: when you look at it. Just take a quick break.
- 19:24Speaker 2: When we return, we've got the trivia answer, We've got
- 19:30Speaker 2: Wall Street Watch, and we're talking bond yields.
- 19:40Speaker 1: Bringing the latest financial news straight to your radio every day.
- 19:44Speaker 1: It's the Financial Exchange on the Financial Exchange Radio Network.
- 19:50Speaker 1: Time now for Wall Street Watch, a complete look and
- 19:53Speaker 1: what's moving market so far today right here on the
- 19:57Speaker 1: Financial Exchange Radio Network.
- 20:01Speaker 4: Well, markets are in rally mode as Walls Creed digests
- 20:06Speaker 4: a key inflation measure posted earlier this morning with a
- 20:08Speaker 4: consumer price index increase two point nine percent on an
- 20:12Speaker 4: annual basis, in line with expectations, yet hotter than July's
- 20:16Speaker 4: gain of two point seven percent. Jobless claims also came
- 20:20Speaker 4: in slightly above estimates. At the moment, the Dow is
- 20:26Speaker 4: up by one point three percent, or five hundred and
- 20:31Speaker 4: ninety two points, SMP five hundred is jumping eight tenths
- 20:35Speaker 4: of one percent higher of fifty three points, and the
- 20:37Speaker 4: Nasdaq is up seven tenths of one percent to one
- 20:40Speaker 4: hundred and fifty points higher. Russell two thousand is also
- 20:43Speaker 4: up one point three percent. Ten year Treasure reeled down
- 20:46Speaker 4: one basis point and is now at four point zero
- 20:49Speaker 4: one seven percent. In crude oil down nearly two percent,
- 20:52Speaker 4: lower training as sixty two dollars in fifty five cents
- 20:56Speaker 4: a barrel, well after its best day since nineteen ninety
- 20:59Speaker 4: two on the heels of its optimistic AI revenue projections.
- 21:02Speaker 4: Oracle shares are slightly retreating from yesterday's thirty six percent surge,
- 21:07Speaker 4: down just over two percent today. Separately, Wall Street Journal
- 21:11Speaker 4: reported is struck a three hundred billion dollar cloud deal
- 21:14Speaker 4: with open Ai. Meanwhile, recent memestock open Door is now
- 21:18Speaker 4: soaring sixty four percent after the online housing platform named
- 21:22Speaker 4: a top Shopify executive as its next CEO. Elsewhere after
- 21:27Speaker 4: its three percent pullback yesterday following its underwhelming product event.
- 21:31Speaker 4: Apple shares are up about eight tenths of one percent
- 21:35Speaker 4: today after a successful IPO yesterday where shares jumped fourteen
- 21:40Speaker 4: percent in its debut. Shares in buy now, pay later
- 21:43Speaker 4: platform Klarna are now down about half a percent today.
- 21:48Speaker 4: Kroger up about two percent after the grocery store chain
- 21:51Speaker 4: posted mixed quarterly results where it beat earnings expectations but
- 21:55Speaker 4: fell short of revenue estimates and Chewy up two percent
- 21:58Speaker 4: today following its sixteen percent plunge yesterday after the online
- 22:03Speaker 4: pet products retailer reported a steep year over year drop
- 22:07Speaker 4: in earnings. Deutsche Bank, however, upgraded the stock, saying the
- 22:11Speaker 4: company continues to drive meaningful industry share gains and season
- 22:15Speaker 4: acceleration in revenue growth next year. I'm Tucker Silva and
- 22:19Speaker 4: that is Wall Street Watch. And in the previous segment,
- 22:21Speaker 4: we asked you the trivia question, what is the best
- 22:24Speaker 4: selling video game system of all time? That would be
- 22:27Speaker 4: PlayStation two. Sony sold over one hundred and sixty million
- 22:32Speaker 4: PS twos, a record that stands twenty five years later.
- 22:36Speaker 4: Mark from Haveral Mass is our winner today, taking home
- 22:40Speaker 4: a Financial Exchange Show T shirt. Congrats to Mark, and
- 22:43Speaker 4: we played trivia every day here on the Financial Exchange.
- 22:46Speaker 4: See complete contest rules at Financial Exchange Show dot com.
- 22:49Speaker 3: I had to look up what that thing looked like.
- 22:51Speaker 3: I remember owning one. I remember that. Yeah.
- 22:53Speaker 2: I had to go exactly what it looks like and
- 22:55Speaker 2: I didn't even own one. Yeah, yeah, Okay, do you
- 22:58Speaker 2: know what the best selling game for the PS two was?
- 23:01Speaker 4: I would have to guess a resident Evil or Metal
- 23:06Speaker 4: Gift Solid something like that.
- 23:07Speaker 3: Mental Gear Solid two is number four one of the
- 23:11Speaker 3: Grand theft Autos correct any idea which one? Vice? City No?
- 23:16Speaker 2: Three three four San Andreas, San Andreas, San Andres seventeen
- 23:21Speaker 2: point three three million units sold of that for the
- 23:24Speaker 2: PS two. The next two are going to surprise you,
- 23:27Speaker 2: quite honestly, just because this isn't the world we live
- 23:30Speaker 2: in anymore. The next two biggest selling games for the
- 23:35Speaker 2: PS two were Grand Tarismo three and four.
- 23:38Speaker 4: Oh those are sneaky big for Sony.
- 23:40Speaker 3: Yeah they were.
- 23:41Speaker 2: But when's the last time a racing game has been
- 23:43Speaker 2: that big?
- 23:44Speaker 3: Yeah?
- 23:44Speaker 2: Like it feels like it's it's been a while, right, Yeah,
- 23:48Speaker 2: so that's beyond interesting.
- 23:50Speaker 3: We're all a decade removed from the gaming systems lifestyle,
- 23:54Speaker 3: so I don't know what's cool. I miss it dearly.
- 24:00Speaker 2: It might be nice, honestly, the last the last gaming
- 24:04Speaker 2: console I bought was in college, So like we're talking
- 24:06Speaker 2: like twenty five years. Yeah, you know, it's it's it's
- 24:09Speaker 2: been a while. Yeah, but what are you gonna do? Yeah,
- 24:12Speaker 2: time March is on quarter century. You mean, don't say that.
- 24:17Speaker 2: I like measuring things that way. Don't say that let's
- 24:20Speaker 2: talk a little bit about this piece from Barons. Bond
- 24:23Speaker 2: yields are falling where retirees can still find five percent yields,
- 24:26Speaker 2: And then it's got a picture of a suitcase with
- 24:28Speaker 2: a whole bunch of international stickers on at Michael, So.
- 24:32Speaker 3: Are they saying buy Brazilian bonds? To do that? Carry
- 24:36Speaker 3: cash into suitcase?
- 24:38Speaker 2: I don't like. What what does one do when you
- 24:41Speaker 2: can't find five percent yields anymore?
- 24:43Speaker 3: Yeah? Well, I'll tell you historically what people do, and
- 24:50Speaker 3: sometimes to somewhat disastrous results, is they tend to go
- 24:54Speaker 3: down the credit scale when searching for higher yields in
- 24:58Speaker 3: a lower interest rate environment. For a lot of the
- 25:00Speaker 3: twenty tens, I haven't seen as much of it recently,
- 25:04Speaker 3: but I distinctly remember meeting with somebody, don't remember exactly
- 25:09Speaker 3: what year, but somewhere in the twenty tens, and they
- 25:12Speaker 3: were kind of unaware that the entirety of their portfolio
- 25:15Speaker 3: was invested in junk rated individual bonds and what sort
- 25:20Speaker 3: of risks those actually represented to them. But that is
- 25:24Speaker 3: very often times when you see narrowing spreads and the
- 25:28Speaker 3: inability to go get that four or five percent CD anymore.
- 25:32Speaker 3: A lot of folks do start searching around in terms
- 25:35Speaker 3: of what those alternatives are, and very often, at least
- 25:37Speaker 3: in my experience, owning things without fully understanding what it
- 25:42Speaker 3: is that they are owning.
- 25:43Speaker 2: Yeah, even things that might seem you know, stable. You
- 25:47Speaker 2: might be like, oh, like I found a bond for
- 25:50Speaker 2: my local utility company, but you don't realize that the
- 25:54Speaker 2: covenants have it being tied to you know, a certain
- 25:56Speaker 2: plant being open and that plant is in the process
- 25:59Speaker 2: of closing, or.
- 26:00Speaker 3: Very frequently you know those same bonds being callable by
- 26:05Speaker 3: the company or the municipality or the government agency if
- 26:08Speaker 3: interest rates moved down, and that there's a lot of
- 26:10Speaker 3: that that's happened recently too. You go get this six
- 26:13Speaker 3: percent bond and then three months later they call it
- 26:15Speaker 3: back from you, and you're in a pretty rough spot.
- 26:19Speaker 3: The more complicated stuff that I see, though, Chuck, like
- 26:23Speaker 3: what I get worried about. They've covered how there are
- 26:25Speaker 3: now more ETFs than individual stocks out there. There are many, many,
- 26:30Speaker 3: many different types of funds that are purely dedicated to
- 26:34Speaker 3: generating a very high not necessarily interest rate, but dividend
- 26:39Speaker 3: or interest rate, and they oftentimes employ very complex strategies
- 26:45Speaker 3: sometimes using leverage and options that I hate to say,
- 26:50Speaker 3: you have to do your homework and actually read the
- 26:53Speaker 3: disclosure packets that they send on these things. But you
- 26:56Speaker 3: do have to do that if you're going to try
- 26:58Speaker 3: and search around for this type of thing. So yeah,
- 27:01Speaker 3: just word of warning. If we do see rates come
- 27:05Speaker 3: down and people start shopping around for those other types
- 27:07Speaker 3: of things, they are complicated.
- 27:11Speaker 4: Hey, this fall, why just watch the leaves change when
- 27:14Speaker 4: you could be watching the sunset over turquoise waters. Well,
- 27:18Speaker 4: the US Virgin Islands are your perfect fall escape. Set
- 27:21Speaker 4: sail on the sparkling blue sea, snorkel colorful reefs, kayak
- 27:26Speaker 4: through calm lagoons, or try to blain the Big One
- 27:28Speaker 4: with world class sport fishing. Then explore the Charlotte Morley,
- 27:32Speaker 4: the capital of Saint Thomas, with its historic streets and
- 27:35Speaker 4: duty free shopping, ferry over to Saint John's Virgin Islands
- 27:38Speaker 4: National Park for hiking and secluded beaches, and finally experience
- 27:43Speaker 4: the culture, festivals and rum of Saint Croix. Three incredible islands,
- 27:47Speaker 4: countless experiences and something for everyone to enjoy. With easy
- 27:52Speaker 4: travel from New England, no passport required for US citizens
- 27:55Speaker 4: and no money to exchange. Paradise is closer than you think,
- 27:59Speaker 4: so why way, this can be the season you fall
- 28:02Speaker 4: naturally in rhythm with the heartbeat of the islands in
- 28:06Speaker 4: America's Caribbean, the US Virgin Islands playing your getaway now
- 28:10Speaker 4: at visit USVII dot com. That's visit USVI dot com, Mike.
- 28:15Speaker 2: We also got a little bit of breaking news. The
- 28:19Speaker 2: FTC announced a probe into OpenAI, alphabet, Meta Xai, and
- 28:27Speaker 2: Snap to understand how their AI chatbots potentially negatively affect
- 28:32Speaker 2: children and teenagers. This comes on the back of a
- 28:34Speaker 2: couple of stories that we've covered about the lax controls
- 28:37Speaker 2: and rules for what kind of content AI chatbots can
- 28:42Speaker 2: provide to children, and so this is something that I think,
- 28:49Speaker 2: quite honestly is it's tough to say long overdue, because
- 28:52Speaker 2: like these platforms haven't been around for that long, but
- 28:55Speaker 2: I think it is good to see the FTC taking
- 28:58Speaker 2: an interest in Gee, you know, meta chatbots be having
- 29:03Speaker 2: sexually explicit conversations with thirteen year olds. No, they shouldn't,
- 29:07Speaker 2: and maybe we should look into this al.
- 29:09Speaker 3: Yeah, it seems like one that we can universally agree upon.
- 29:11Speaker 3: There Chuck to me. This though, does come back to like,
- 29:14Speaker 3: I would very much welcome some rules and regulations for
- 29:18Speaker 3: AI and how it interacts with children. To me, this
- 29:23Speaker 3: all falls into one big question which goes back to
- 29:27Speaker 3: the same What is the regulation that Facebook, Google, all
- 29:31Speaker 3: these companies have relied upon in terms of protecting themselves
- 29:35Speaker 3: from lawsuits. It's do you have any idea what I'm
- 29:40Speaker 3: referring to the it's the piece that basically provides them
- 29:43Speaker 3: indemnity from somebody posts Section two thirty two. Yeah, Section
- 29:46Speaker 3: two thirty two, which effectively makes them not responsible for me.
- 29:50Speaker 3: Realize you were looking for a legislation.
- 29:51Speaker 2: I thought you were just gonna say, like, oh, they're
- 29:53Speaker 2: big and they throw their weight around.
- 29:54Speaker 3: Now the section two thirty two specifically, I'm curious does
- 29:58Speaker 3: that apply to AI?
- 29:59Speaker 2: Actually thirty two that's a section related to tariffs. Hang on,
- 30:03Speaker 2: it's it's something. I mean, I'll keep talking, I'll find it.
- 30:06Speaker 2: There's a lot of sections out there.
- 30:08Speaker 3: So effectively, what it provides, though, is if somebody posts
- 30:11Speaker 3: something vile and dangerous on Facebook, Facebook's not responsible for
- 30:16Speaker 3: policing it. They oftentimes do because they want to not
- 30:20Speaker 3: freak people out, and you know, make section two thirty
- 30:22Speaker 3: section thirty two. Thank you, but they're not legally liable
- 30:26Speaker 3: for it. My question is does the same thing apply
- 30:29Speaker 3: to an AI chatbot that you create. Uh, the answer
- 30:32Speaker 3: should be no, it should be, but they're certainly behaving
- 30:36Speaker 3: as though it does.
- 30:37Speaker 2: And if it isn't, no, then the law needs to
- 30:39Speaker 2: be amended because like someone created, you can't just be like, oh,
- 30:44Speaker 2: like it's it's this chatbot.
- 30:46Speaker 3: Well who built the chatbot? Well, we did. Who hosts
- 30:48Speaker 3: the chatbot? We did? Then who's responsible? Not us? Yeah?
- 30:51Speaker 3: That that is my question. And they will make the
- 30:53Speaker 3: argument that, well, the content was created by the user.
- 30:58Speaker 3: We just created the device that they can use to
- 31:00Speaker 3: create the content. It's no different than somebody. But that
- 31:03Speaker 3: to me is an incredibly important important question to answer
- 31:06Speaker 3: it and I would agree with you if if it
- 31:08Speaker 3: is not adequate to find them liable for this sort
- 31:10Speaker 3: of thing, that it needs to be changed because this
- 31:12Speaker 3: is not the same as Facebook's, you know, lack of
- 31:17Speaker 3: liability for something else.
- 31:19Speaker 2: Just take a quick break here. When we return, we'll
- 31:21Speaker 2: do a little bit of stack root left.
- 31:24Speaker 1: The Financial Exchange is now available every day from eleven
- 31:27Speaker 1: to noon. Non serious XMS Business Radio channel one thirty two.
- 31:30Speaker 1: Stay informed about the latest from Wall Street, fiscal policy,
- 31:34Speaker 1: and breaking business news every day. The Financial Exchange is
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- 31:52Speaker 1: Face is the Financial Exchange Radio Network.
- 31:59Speaker 4: This year's d V five k's less than three months
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- 32:29Speaker 4: Go to DAV five k dot Boston and register today.
- 32:33Speaker 3: Mike, what do you got for me for stack Roulette
- 32:36Speaker 3: online travel platforms? Getting afraid of artificial intelligence? And this
- 32:40Speaker 3: one doesn't make a ton of sense to me, But
- 32:42Speaker 3: I think maybe I use these platforms differently than other
- 32:45Speaker 3: people do. Here's the concern Booking, dot Com, Expeedy, Kayak,
- 32:51Speaker 3: all of these companies that are probably all owned by
- 32:53Speaker 3: the same company, I'm guessing, but they all rely upon
- 32:57Speaker 3: you searching on their platforms in order to generate effectively
- 33:02Speaker 3: commissions from the airlines and hotel companies when you book
- 33:06Speaker 3: through their sites. Sure, if you can quickly tap into
- 33:10Speaker 3: chat GPT that you want flights on these specific dates
- 33:13Speaker 3: and a hotel on these specific dates as well, and
- 33:16Speaker 3: it pulls it all up and makes it easy for
- 33:19Speaker 3: you to click through and book directly, then they're worried
- 33:21Speaker 3: about their business model. I don't know that that's how
- 33:25Speaker 3: younger generations book their traveled though. I mean for me personally,
- 33:28Speaker 3: I don't know how you do it, Chuck. I will
- 33:31Speaker 3: go search the flight on something like Google Flights, and
- 33:34Speaker 3: then I will oftentimes try to book it on something
- 33:37Speaker 3: like Expedia because they provide rewards points that I can
- 33:41Speaker 3: then use on other things. But otherwise I don't use
- 33:45Speaker 3: any of these third party places to begin with as
- 33:49Speaker 3: a starting point for my search. I suppose on hotels
- 33:51Speaker 3: it's a little bit different. I do use it there,
- 33:55Speaker 3: but I'm just not I guess I'm not convinced that
- 33:58Speaker 3: AI agents are agen you in threat to this business
- 34:01Speaker 3: model entirely, but maybe everybody else is using it differently
- 34:03Speaker 3: than me.
- 34:04Speaker 2: No, And I guess even on the agent side of things,
- 34:10Speaker 2: would you really enable it to go and say yes,
- 34:13Speaker 2: I just wanted to like go and book stuff or
- 34:16Speaker 2: does it kind of do the legwork that you did,
- 34:17Speaker 2: which is, hey, find me, you know, selections because I
- 34:21Speaker 2: want to do X, Y and Z and fly to
- 34:22Speaker 2: this place and stay you know for this many days
- 34:25Speaker 2: in this location, and then you go and you book
- 34:28Speaker 2: the stuff yourself.
- 34:29Speaker 3: Anyways, right, But I guess here here's where it does
- 34:34Speaker 3: dramatically reshape their businesses. If it does point you directly
- 34:38Speaker 3: to the airline and directly to the hotel instead, then yeah,
- 34:42Speaker 3: those business models are those business models are out and they're
- 34:45Speaker 3: gonna have to find something else that makes it compelling
- 34:46Speaker 3: for me. Again, I have a credit card through one
- 34:49Speaker 3: of these companies. I get rewards points. I what's the
- 34:52Speaker 3: credit card number? Yeah, hold on, I'll give me my
- 34:54Speaker 3: Social two six.
- 34:55Speaker 4: When does it expire.
- 34:58Speaker 3: On the back here' zip code? Please, Mike? But yeah,
- 35:02Speaker 3: I mean if it does cut through that, then just
- 35:05Speaker 3: like search it is a genuine threat to the business.
- 35:08Speaker 3: I'm just I don't know, I'm a little bit uncertain
- 35:11Speaker 3: that that's going to be the case. And by the way,
- 35:13Speaker 3: using having used AI to plan parts of my most
- 35:17Speaker 3: recent vacation, made a lot of mistakes, especially when trying
- 35:21Speaker 3: to suggest hiking ideas. Where did it want to hike? Well,
- 35:26Speaker 3: we were doing hikes, but it just kind of invented
- 35:30Speaker 3: trails that didn't really exist, Like, oh, you can get
- 35:32Speaker 3: from here to here, but if you actually go, you know,
- 35:35Speaker 3: take a look at that, like, oh, yeah, they just
- 35:37Speaker 3: want me to ascend over a mountain that doesn't have
- 35:40Speaker 3: a trail, So that's probably not going to work terribly.
- 35:42Speaker 2: Well, you didn't bring your crampons and ice picks.
- 35:45Speaker 3: No, we did not pack our ice picks. Sorry to
- 35:49Speaker 3: hear that. Yeah, what kind of vacation was this? Yeah, yeah,
- 35:52Speaker 3: slacker vacation.
- 35:54Speaker 2: Seriously, I want to talk about SEPTA good because if
- 36:00Speaker 2: you're not familiar with them.
- 36:01Speaker 3: It's not actually related.
- 36:03Speaker 2: Doesn't step to sound like it should be like the
- 36:05Speaker 2: sewer agency for a city.
- 36:07Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 36:09Speaker 2: In fact, it is the Southern Pennsylvania Transportation Authority, the
- 36:13Speaker 2: fifth largest transit agency in the US.
- 36:15Speaker 3: It is basically.
- 36:16Speaker 2: Phillis version of you know whatever your city runs for buses, trains,
- 36:23Speaker 2: and subways. And apparently they had a funding crunch and
- 36:26Speaker 2: so they cut one of the lines that goes to
- 36:28Speaker 2: the Eagles stadium. FanDuel stepped in and said, Hey, we're
- 36:31Speaker 2: gonna pay eighty thousand dollars to restore service on game
- 36:36Speaker 2: days so Eagles fans can get to and from the
- 36:38Speaker 2: stadium using public.
- 36:39Speaker 3: Transit seems like some cheap advertising. It sure does.
- 36:45Speaker 2: And I'm trying to think of the different ways that
- 36:51Speaker 2: this is problematic.
- 36:54Speaker 3: Oh, this is to me the least problematic thing that
- 36:56Speaker 3: gambling companies are doing these days.
- 36:58Speaker 2: No, it is, but it's like, it's the idea that, hey,
- 37:01Speaker 2: we've so devalued public transportation now that the only way
- 37:04Speaker 2: to run the lines we want are for a gambling
- 37:09Speaker 2: company that is sucking money away from the people on
- 37:13Speaker 2: that train on a daily basis that they come in
- 37:17Speaker 2: and they fund the thing.
- 37:19Speaker 3: So I know that this is a different scale, chuck,
- 37:20Speaker 3: But that's been the premise of the Massachusetts state lottery
- 37:24Speaker 3: and every other state lottery for forty some odd years now,
- 37:28Speaker 3: and this is just and we can talk about the
- 37:31Speaker 3: problems that you have with those too. Yeah. I mean
- 37:34Speaker 3: Massachusetts has the worst or the highest average lottery money
- 37:42Speaker 3: spent for any state in the country. We got to
- 37:44Speaker 3: spend money to make money, which is problem. Not what
- 37:47Speaker 3: that means, but yeah, I just see this as a
- 37:51Speaker 3: continuation of that. But I would agree with you that
- 37:54Speaker 3: it is a much bigger problem than it was thirty
- 37:56Speaker 3: years ago. You know.
- 37:56Speaker 2: And I'm not saying that you need to have like
- 37:58Speaker 2: the only like advertise think you should allow our sponsorships
- 38:01Speaker 2: to be like wholesome, like with all of our things.
- 38:03Speaker 2: But it's just like, man, the only reason this line
- 38:06Speaker 2: is running is because we allow for you to place
- 38:09Speaker 2: a bunch of bets on your phone. Now, yep, I
- 38:13Speaker 2: felt better about things in my life. Let's take a
- 38:16Speaker 2: quick break here for the entire rest of the day.
- 38:18Speaker 2: Back at tomorrow to finish up the week.