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Episode 116 - 9/10/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:18
Hello, and welcome to episode 116 of the All Systems Go Sports
0:24
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:27
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena.
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Guys got a couple days off from football.
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We have no games up until Thursday where we're looking at
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a big Thursday Night Football showdown.
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Buffalo and Miami did notice a little bit of movement toward
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Miami early. They're -1 up to -2 two and a
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half. So I do have some good internal
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numbers on Thursday Night Football.
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Home favorites, straight up. Historically, we've seen those
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favorites at home when about 75% of the time and a pretty good
1:02
bet split on Miami as well. So I'm maybe looking toward a
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Miami money line play, but it is a divisional match up.
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We're still a couple days away. So we'll kind of put a put a
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fork in that for now. That's kind of my early take,
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maybe an opportunity to buy low on Miami at home on Thursday.
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But between now and Thursday, we're going to continue to grind
1:21
in the sports betting arena. So today is going to be back to
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our roots. I know it's football season, but
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today we're getting back to Major League Baseball.
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I have a 5 pack of MLB sweats for you guys today, including
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what couple favorites here do have.
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What do I have, Two dogs or one dog with a good sharp reverse
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line move. And also going to kind of factor
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in not just line moves, betting system matches, bet splits, but
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also motivation because we're getting closer and closer to the
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end of the year. The Pennant races, the wild card
1:50
races are heating up. We even have some teams that are
1:52
close to cashing some win totals.
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I'm looking at you Arizona Diamondbacks.
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So I took over 83 1/2 wins. They're sitting at eighty wins
1:59
right now. So now is the time of year to
2:01
kind of put in all those different factors and see if we
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can finish up the MLB regular season strong as we have
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basically the rest of September before we get to October in the
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postseason. So A5 pack here for today.
2:13
Now looking back toward yesterday, we bounced back with
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a winning day 2 and 1 + 0.68 units.
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Had a nice win in Major League Baseball with the New York Mets.
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They're up pretty much all game. They blew it in the 7th but came
2:25
back and took the lead, then slammed the door and one three
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to two against the Blue Jays. So it was nice to get back on
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the horse for MLB and get a winner and then split our Monday
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Night Football plays. We had a great hit with Breece
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Hall over 28 1/2 receiving yards.
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Remember our friends at Rhythm were predicting 36.4 receiving
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yards and he landed on 39. So Rhythm was boom spot on with
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that prediction. Helped us catch that Reese haul
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over. Unfortunately, couldn't get The
2:52
Jets. And that one was frustrating
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because we got a really good number on The Jets.
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You know, got them plus 4 1/2 + 4, then end up closing 3 1/2.
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They're sharp as a tack. We even got some great injury
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news that Christian McCaffrey wasn't going to play.
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So it's like, boom, everything's lining up our way, let's go
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Jets. And then what happened, Soj?
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Same old Jets really couldn't stop a Nosebleed as the former
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Jet Bart Scott used to say about my Patriots, and really couldn't
3:17
muster anything on offense either.
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So Jets sadly couldn't come through for us.
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But we did get our rhythm player prop.
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We did get the New York Mets, so A2 in one night plus 0.68 units.
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And also just a comment on flat bedding, you know, I think if
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you're looking at last night's card, like you might have been
3:33
most excited about The Jets and the points.
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That was obviously the spread biggest game of the night.
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You know, maybe you're not a huge player prop person.
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Maybe you like the conventional sides side betting is your
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favorite. And maybe you said, hey, like
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priest Hall player prop. That's cute.
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You know, Mets on the money line.
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That's all right. But I really like The Jets.
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So I think one way that a lot of new betters get in trouble is
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that they just don't have discipline, bankroll management.
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Like if The Jets were your favorite play yesterday and they
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were my favorite play too. But here's the thing, just
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because they're your favorite play doesn't mean you want to
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put, you know, 3 units on The Jets and a unit on all the other
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plays. Or you know, a unit on The Jets
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and a quarter unit on the other plays.
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Just make it very simple on yourself, flat betting.
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You're betting to risk, not betting to win.
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You're risking one unit every single play.
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Now I was super excited to sweat The Jets, but I knew that hey,
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Jets were risking one unit just like my two other bets on the
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player prop and on the New York Mets.
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So I just wanted to kind of mention that and solidify that
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because let's say you love The Jets and put 3 units on it and
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you only put a unit or a half unit on the Mets and the briefs
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Hall prop. Well, you actually had a losing
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night because you were not disciplined with your bankroll
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management. You let your bias seep in, make
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it easy on yourself flat betting.
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Every play is bet trust. First bet to win every play is
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risking 1 unit. That way even though maybe you
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are pulling for one bet over the other, they're all equal.
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That way you can go 2 and one and eke out a profit.
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So just wanted to mention that. But anyway guys as we get ready
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for another big week, I did write a sharp report for
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visen.com for some early college football games that were
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catching my eye. So if you ever want some early
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insight coming into this week, you know you can always check
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out my Twitter page at Josh under score Insights.
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I'll just give you a couple games real quick before we get
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to baseball. West Virginia and Pittsburgh
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heavily back game. Everyone's betting West
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Virginia, they open as high as like lane 4 1/2.
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It's now down to 2 1/2 toward Pittsburgh.
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So Pittsburgh in the points, I'm waiting for a three that caught
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my eye. LSU, South Carolina, everyone's
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betting LSU, but LSU open -7 F, it's down to seven.
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We're going to see if we can maybe get the hook again with
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South Carolina, but that would be in unranked dog versus ranked
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opponent as well as a conference dog.
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One that's really intriguing to me is Washington State,
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Washington, Publix all over Washington.
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That's a neutral site game at the Seahawks Stadium.
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But Washington, I believe open like -5 1/2, they're down to 4
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1/2 or five. So I'm looking at maybe holding
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my nose with Washington State in the points.
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And then another one that really caught my eye was Pittsburgh or,
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sorry, Purdue and Notre Dame. Because even though Notre Dame
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had that terrible loss against Northern Illinois, they're
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favored by 28. They lost outright.
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Public still is looking to lay the points with them on the road
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at Purdue. So they're getting around 60% of
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early bets, but they open -12 1/2 the lines down to 10.
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You know, if you can still find a hook on Purdue, 10 1/2
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contrarian unranked versus ranked off a by Purdue has a
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good rest advantage there. That could be another early play
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looking, looking at the points there.
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So just some early takes. But again, on Tuesdays, I'm
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always going to be writing the early college football sharp
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report, so you can always catch that for my Twitter page at Josh
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under score Insights. And then for NFLI mentioned
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Buffalo, Miami, I'll just mention this real quick.
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Week 2 is typically overreaction week in the NFL.
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So if you played poorly, public's going to want to fade
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you. You played well, they think
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you're great. We're going to try to look for
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some inequities in the market. And there are already couple
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games that are catching my eye, but I'll mention this one, the
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Rams in Arizona. I think Puka Naku is hurt.
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That was Rams opener -2 it's now flipped to Arizona -1 1/2 even
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though Publix on the Rams. So keep an eye on on these plays
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here. Another one is Cincy in Kansas
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City, KS City played great, or you know one obviously by the
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toe of likely, but Cincinnati looked terrible against the
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Pats. The early look ahead was Kansas
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City laying 3 1/2. Now it's up to six.
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So do you hold your nose and take since E + 6?
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These are the games that we're going to think through, but just
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keep in mind Week 2 is always overreaction week.
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We want to kind of go against your impulses of just playing a
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team who played great in week one or fading A-Team look bad in
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week one. We're going to look for some
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some market value here, so stay tuned for that.
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But anyway, as we were grinding all summer long, it was
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baseball, baseball, baseball. Now, it's like saying hello to
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an old friend looking at a baseball slate here for today.
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So first on the board for me. I got five overall.
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Let's try to go three and two and eke out a profit.
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First game on the board that caught my eye.
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This is an early matchup, 6:40 PM.
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Eastern Time game between the Miami Marlins and the Pittsburgh
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Pirates. Now, Marlins come in 54 and 90.
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The Marlins just took where they take or the opener was last
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night. Sorry.
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And you had Pittsburgh win three to two in that opener.
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Now, Pittsburgh comes in 68 and 76, so both teams below 500.
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But I'm going to go with a good sharp line move on the Pirates
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here because the Pirates open this game around -135 Pirates
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now up to -150 so about a 15 cent steam move in favor of
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Pittsburgh. Obviously, this is not the most
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heavily bet or sexiest game of the day.
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So if you got smart money, taking a position here tells me
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that wise guys really like the value of this number.
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With the Pirates, you would also think, hey, 2 bad teams, take
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the dog. But no, actually, there's a good
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system here. When two teams are below 500
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facing each other, take the favorite.
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It's 60% this season without with about a 2 1/2 percent ROI.
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Let's dig in first to the pitching matchup we have for the
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Marlins. Adam Aller going, he's a righty.
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He's one and two with a 4.15 ERA.
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He'll be opposed by the righty, Carmen Medinsky.
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Medinsky try to spell that one, but he is 2 and five 3.73 ERA.
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But again, big move here toward Pittsburgh.
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Pittsburgh currently is only getting around 65% of bets.
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It's not a hugely lopsided bet, but the lines been adjusted in
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their favor. Checking off a few boxes here at
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Pittsburgh. We just mentioned that 2 bad
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teams take the favorite but also non division favorite, lack of
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familiarity benefiting quote UN quote the better team which
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would be based upon the favorite designation.
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Now Ludinsky, I believe is the opener here, but he is, he's got
9:39
a 2.25 ERA in September. He's only giving up one run in
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four innings. And the last three games that he
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opened, they, the Bucco has won all those games.
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So maybe some good vibes here with Mudinsky on the bump.
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Now, I'm going to bank on the offense of Pittsburgh hopefully
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coming to play here tonight. They've hit 142 home runs.
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They've scored 610 runs versus Miami.
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They've scored 551 runs, only hit 133 homers.
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Now we do have Pittsburgh five and O head to head against
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Miami. They've had their number and
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they have good sharp steam in their favor here for tonight.
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And then little cherry on top, I popped open my juice Reel app
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and I looked at the sharp mush indicators here in terms of the
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everyone in the app who is bet on this game.
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You know, the good betters are basically all in Pittsburgh.
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It's a 14% sharp mush edge where the better betters are on
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Pittsburgh, the worse betters are on Miami.
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But once you notice that 15 cent steam move, boom, that got me
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thinking, hey, Pittsburgh could be the play.
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Dug a little deeper and it looks like the buckos here tonight
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could be worth it, worth a unit. So I'm gonna go Pittsburgh,
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guys, sharp steam -135 to -150 I'm on Pittsburgh at -150
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another early game here, 6:40 PM Eastern Time, the Colorado
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Rockies against the Detroit Tigers.
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Don't look now, but Detroit is only three games back of the
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final wild card spot. Now coming into it, we have the
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Colorado Rockies 54 and 90. They did, however, just take two
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of three at Milwaukee. Meanwhile, Detroit, 73 and 71,
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just took two of three at the Oakland A's.
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So pitching match up for tonight, we have Bradley
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Blaylock going for Colorado. He is 1 and 2 with a 5.4 O ERA.
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He'll be opposed by Kyder Montero, the righty going for
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the Tigers. On the year, he's four and six
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with a 5.47 ERA. What have we seen across the
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market here? Well, good.
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Steam in favor of Detroit. Detroit open this game around a
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-, 170. Home favorite.
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Now they're up to around -175 -, 180.
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And as I'm looking at my live odds page, I see one book that
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just went to -190 So gift and a curse.
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Good thing. Lines going to Detroit.
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That's my bet here, guys. I'm going Tigers.
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I got them at -175 Not a great thing if you haven't bet it yet,
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because you're gonna have to lay around a -, 180 at this point.
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But good sharp steam 10-15 cents.
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Now at this point, they're getting 85% of bets, nearly 90%
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of dollars. So a good low bets, higher
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dollars. Pro and Joe bet split.
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I have a system here. Both date, both had the day off
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the previous day. Take the favorite simple.
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But it's about 60% since 2020. So the cream rises to the top.
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When both teams have had a day off home Rd. splits favored
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Detroit. Now Detroit's only 35 and 34 at
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home, but Colorado is 22 and 53 on the road.
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I believe that's the second worst Rd. record in baseball.
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Only the White Sox are worse and if you had faded Colorado this
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year, you're 62% profitable overall based on the output this
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season. Also I'm going to look at the
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last 10 here pitching, but basically a big edge here for
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Detroit. Last 10 games they have a team
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ERA of 2.41. Colorado's team ERA 4 point O3.
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Also you'll get the bullpen. Colorado has the worst bullpen
12:50
in baseball, 5.38 ERA. Detroit has a 3.64 bullpen ERA
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that is the 6th best and Major League Baseball.
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And then also motivation. Colorado's out of it, got no
13:00
chance at a postseason berth. Detroit only three games back,
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as I mentioned of the final wild card spot.
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So this is a Detroit team where this means more to them and
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hopefully they that added motivation can really guide us
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to a win here tonight. But Long story short,
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interleague favorite, good sharp line move.
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I want to fade Colorado on the road.
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I want to back this motivated Detroit team.
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I'm on the Tigers. I got them at -175 again,
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they're creeping up closer to -190 at this point now some late
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night sweats. Next one up team that I am
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rooting for in terms of winning tonight and hope hopefully get
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us to our win total over 83 and half wins.
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That's the Arizona Snakes. They're 80 and 64.
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That means we only need four more wins to cash Arizona.
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And this is a bet that I had talked about way early in the
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spring prior to, I believe when this podcast dropped or maybe I
13:52
mentioned it. I'm not sure.
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But either way, I know I'm not alone.
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My buddy Darush and a couple others are on the snakes over.
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So let's see if we can get there.
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Anyway, for tonight, they're going to host the Texas Rangers
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9:40 PM Eastern Time. Coming into this one, the
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Rangers are 70 and 74. Just took three of four against
14:09
the Halos, you know, Arizona 80 and 64.
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They lost two or three against Houston, but avoided the sweep
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and won that series finale on Sunday. 12:00 to 6:00.
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Now, pitching match up here for tonight, we have Nathan Ivaldi,
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the righty going for Texas. He's 11 and seven, 3.55 ERA.
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He'll be opposed by the righty, Zach Gallon, 11 and six, 3.69
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ERA. What have we seen across the
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market here? Well, good sharp steam in favor
14:35
of the Snakes. This game open with Arizona as
14:38
low as a -, 135 -, 140 home favorite.
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Now Arizona is all the way up to -175 so a big, big steam move in
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favor of Arizona tells us a lot of smart money came in here on
14:50
the snakes. Now, couple things to like about
14:54
Arizona in this one. Want to be classic interleague
14:56
favorite, lack of familiarity benefiting quote UN quote the
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better team. You also have a very good
15:01
correlative betting. Favorite low total because we
15:03
have Arizona again -175 now. And the total in this one is 7
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1/2 and actually opened eight. So the lines moving toward the
15:11
under and toward Arizona, the favorite good correlative
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betting, more expect or fewer expected runs scored, more
15:17
likely to come from again, quote UN quote.
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That better team. I'm going to bank on the offense
15:22
of Arizona hopefully getting to Nathan Ivaldi tonight.
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They're hitting 262 on the year, 183 home runs as well as 782
15:32
runs scored. You look at the Texas Rangers
15:35
here for tonight. Texas Rangers are hitting only
15:40
239, 151 homers, 606 runs scored.
15:45
Also home Rd. splits Texas 29 and 40 on the road.
15:48
Arizona 39 and 31 at home. In addition, we have a good
15:54
advantage play here. Interleague home favorite who
15:56
made the postseason the previous year.
15:58
That system is 119 and 7063 percent, 4% ROI and also both
16:03
had the day off. Take the favorite mentioned that
16:05
a second ago with one of the other games you bet on, but that
16:08
would match with Arizona 60% since 2020.
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And also one of the better chalk teams in baseball this year is
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Arizona. They're 47 and 25 as a favorite
16:17
65%. That is the third best chalk
16:20
team in Major League Baseball. Also, you look at the starting
16:24
pitchers here, Nathan Vivaldi. I mean I have a soft spot for
16:27
this guy cuz as a Red Sox fan, he was great playing for the Sox
16:31
and I'll never forget that 18 inning game against the Dodgers
16:34
where he came out of the pen and pitched like a full game 9
16:36
innings. I end up losing that game, but
16:39
of ALDI really showed me something there.
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But anyway, his home Rd. splits 3.11 ERA at home, 4.24 on the
16:46
road this year. So he's been worse on the road.
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Obviously he's on the road at Arizona tonight.
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And then Zach Gallon, the Arizona Snakes are seven and two
16:54
in his last nine starts. And a little cherry on top for
16:57
Arizona Robo Jackson, our little friend, our AI bot, the hardest
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work in AI bot that we know at Juice Real who puts out two best
17:05
bets that are AI driven best bet picks each day.
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Well, guess what? One of the two today is Arizona
17:11
on the money line. So add it all up, guys.
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Interleague favorite, good sharp steam move.
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Hopefully we get one win closer to our win total.
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I'm going Arizona at -175 two more bets to finish up tonight.
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These are some late night sweats.
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Next one, Seattle, the Mariners hosting the San Diego Padres
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late game here, 9:40 PM Eastern Time.
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Now, this one's interesting for a couple reasons.
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Let's set the stage first though, the San Diego Padres are
17:37
81 and 64. The Padres, however, just just
17:40
lost two or three at San Francisco.
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You know, all the Mariners, they are 73 and 71, just took two of
17:46
three against Saint Louis. So pitching match up for
17:48
tonight, we have you Darvish, the righty going for San Diego.
17:51
He's four and three, 3.51 ERA. He'll be opposed by George
17:55
Kirby, fellow ready. He is 11 and ten. 3.61 ERA.
17:59
What have we seen across the market here?
18:02
Well, really sharp reverse line move in favor of Seattle.
18:05
This game actually opened with the Padres listed around a -,
18:09
115 road favorite. Now we flipped to Seattle -115
18:14
even some shops Seattle -120 so this line is completely flipped.
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Dog to fave. You guys know what that means.
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Woo woo, dog to fave. Smart money move, you went from
18:24
basically Seattle minus one O 5 dog or almost even money dog to
18:28
now laying around -120 tells us a lot of smart money came in on
18:32
Seattle to flip that number. And that's notable because the
18:35
Seattle Mariners are only getting around 40% of bets.
18:38
So Publix on Padres, why this line flip towards Seattle?
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I smell a rat here guys. I'm going to play Seattle.
18:44
There will be an interleague favorite system match.
18:46
You have a curl to betting favorite low total as the total
18:49
in this one is 7 with the line moving toward now Seattle at
18:53
this point as the favorite. Both had the day off.
18:55
Take the favorite that also matches with Seattle 60% Since
18:59
2020, George Kirby has been much better at home than on the road.
19:03
On the road 4.1 O ERA at home 2.94 He's at home here tonight.
19:08
Seattle as a home favorite is 34 and 22 on the year 61% nearly a
19:14
5% ROI. Seattle is 2 and O head to head
19:17
against San Diego this season. Hopefully that continues and
19:20
last 10 games, Seattle's hitting 257 with a 3.69 ERA.
19:25
San Diego's hitting 251 with a 4.45 ERA.
19:29
So it seems obvious take San Diego, better record, much
19:32
better offense. Yet we got something fishy going
19:35
on the signs flipping towards Seattle.
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So I'm going to hold my nose, cross my fingers.
19:39
I got to go with the sharp reverse line move guys dog to
19:41
fave. Give me the Mariners shop round.
19:44
I got Seattle at -115 last bit of the night, another very fishy
19:50
line move. Let's go to the West Coast.
19:52
I guess we're already in Seattle or Arizona now.
19:55
Let's go a little bit north here or I guess South of Seattle, if
19:58
I can remember my elementary school geography.
20:01
But anyway, San Francisco is what I meant to say.
20:03
Let's go to San Francisco or the Giants at 9:45 PM Eastern Time
20:08
tonight. This game's on ESPN Plus are
20:11
hosting the Milwaukee Brew Crew. Now, Milwaukee comes in 82 and
20:15
61, however, they have lost four of their last five, just lost
20:19
two or three against Colorado. You know, San Fran 71 and 73.
20:23
They've won three of their last four, just took two of three
20:25
against San Diego. So pitching match up here for
20:28
tonight. We have Aaron Savalley, the
20:31
righty going for Milwaukee. He's five and eight, 4.62 ERA.
20:35
He'll be opposed by Landon Roop, who's O&O with a 3.41 ER, and it
20:39
looks like Roop is going to be the opener here.
20:43
What have we seen across the market?
20:45
Well, everyone and their mother is on Milwaukee.
20:47
Far better record. They open as a very short -130
20:50
Rd. favorite. However, despite nearly 75% of
20:54
bets going on Milwaukee, Milwaukee's money line price
20:58
here is dropping open -130 they're down to -120 So why?
21:02
If you got to take a step back, why if everyone's betting
21:05
Milwaukee -130 are the odds makers dropping Milwaukee to now
21:09
-120 saying, hey, you like Milwaukee?
21:12
Let's let's give you a better number here to play Milwaukee.
21:15
A lot of you know, average Joe betters would double down in
21:17
this spot of Milwaukee. But as data-driven betters, this
21:20
tells us we got smart money coming in on San Francisco.
21:23
So I'm going to take a shot here on the dog guys.
21:25
We've opened San Francisco getting around plus one.
21:29
Let's see, plus 1/15 and they're now down to plus one O 5.
21:33
So you can get a little bit of plus money here on San Fran, but
21:36
that is a really sharp reverse line move against Milwaukee in
21:39
favor of San Francisco. Now Aaron Cavalli, I want to bet
21:43
against him on the road at home, he's been good, 3.3 O ERA on the
21:46
road, 6.63. And also Landon Roop or Ralph,
21:50
who is the opener here, he's been pretty good.
21:53
He's only given up 1 earned run in 15.1 innings pitched.
21:56
But again, on paper, Milwaukee's better team, better record, yet
22:01
San Fran is seeing this line move in their favor.
22:03
So it's not often you get kind of a home dog with a little bit
22:06
of plus money with such great reverse line movement, even
22:09
though they're only getting around 25% of money line bets.
22:13
So I'm going to take a shot here, guys on San Francisco.
22:16
Let's go G men. It'd be nice to catch a plus one
22:19
O 5. I'm on giants plus one O 5 S
22:22
Giants, Seattle Mariners, Arizona snakes, Detroit Tigers
22:27
and Pittsburgh Pirates. Can we get three out of five and
22:30
go three and two and eke out a winning day?
22:32
That is the goal. So without further ado, another
22:35
pod here in the books, guys. But this is the part of the pod
22:37
where we wrap things up and I begin wrapping it up by asking a
22:41
favor of you. If you're listening to my voice,
22:43
If you enjoy this podcast, could you please help me to grow this
22:46
pod? Easiest thing you can do is give
22:49
it a five star review. If you're listening on Spotify
22:51
or iTunes, click that five star review.
22:54
If there's an option to leave some nice words or click the
22:57
follow button, you can do that as well by clicking the follow
23:01
button. You'll get alerted as soon as it
23:02
drops each day. Also, if you haven't done it yet
23:07
and you want to recommend it to a friend, always great word of
23:10
mouth. But again, A5 Star review would
23:12
really be beneficial. Help the pod to continue to grow
23:15
and I appreciate you guys. It means a lot that you listen
23:18
each day. Win, lose or draw, we're here
23:20
for the analysis. We're just a bunch of wise guys
23:23
and wise gals getting together trying to beat the market and
23:27
not crush the books. As contrarians, we like we know
23:29
we're in favor of the books, but trying to read the market and
23:32
make sharp bets to me, it's the daily challenge that I get
23:35
excited about. South Five Star review would go
23:37
a long way. I appreciate you guys.
23:39
Secondly, if you enjoy this style of betting, you're maybe
23:43
fascinated by it. Maybe you're intrigued by it.
23:45
Maybe you never thought about betting based on what the
23:48
markets telling you. You're more based on your
23:50
favoritism and bias. Well, now you're learning, hey,
23:53
there's a method to the madness. Looking at how a line opened,
23:56
how it moved, how to read line movement, how to go contrarian,
23:59
how to place a bet in person or online, how to locate sharp
24:02
action. If this is intriguing to you,
24:04
then you can do me another favor.
24:05
Go buy my book. All you got to do is go to
24:07
Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to Sports
24:10
Betting. Pick up a copy for you or for a
24:12
friend. But as I mentioned, it's
24:14
basically the Sharp Contrarian Bible.
24:15
I'm very proud of it. I wrote it, I believe now five
24:18
years ago at this point. Boy does time fly.
24:20
But it's got everything I've learned in the industry.
24:22
And if you want to gift it to a friend or maybe send them to the
24:26
chapter #2 bankroll management, that would be great as well.
24:29
But if you want to pick one up, I would be very honored.
24:32
And when you bring it to the book and I meet you at the book,
24:34
I'll sign it for you and I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale.
24:38
Next, if you haven't done it yet, go sign up for Juice Reel
24:41
and Rhythm, my two favorite sports betting apps because they
24:44
are based on data and betting based on numbers, AI advanced
24:49
models, not based on bias and favoritism.
24:52
Not what I think or want or hope will happen what the data is
24:54
telling me. Like Breece Hall last night, the
24:57
Rhythm guys and gals predicted a what was it 36.4 receiving
25:01
yards. The market was 28 1/2.
25:03
He landed 39. So if you haven't done it yet,
25:06
go sign up for Rhythm with their AI backed game bets and
25:09
predictions as well as player props.
25:11
And also go sign up for Juice. Real great job if you just want
25:15
to tail the Robo Jackson best bet picks each day that come out
25:18
at noon, you got to sign up for juice reel.
25:21
So you can also link up your sports books, sync them and then
25:24
you'll get a running record of your performance and learn about
25:27
yourself as a better. You'll also be able to get the
25:29
arbitrage plays, the sharp mush indicators all included, as well
25:33
as game breakdowns with the juice reel app.
25:36
So in order to sign up for juice reel and rhythm, get that 7 day
25:39
free trial tested out. I know there's some coupons and
25:42
discounts available if you want to go month to month, but you
25:44
got to do it by clicking the custom links that are located in
25:47
the bio description of this podcast.
25:49
If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, it'll give you the
25:52
rundown or the description of today's pod.
25:54
Just go beyond where I say, hey, we got, you know, 5 pack MLB
25:57
sweats tonight. Scroll down.
25:58
Boom. There'll be some links for juice
26:00
Reel and Rhythm. Click those, get right in Juice
26:03
reel and rhythm help me win. I know they can help you win.
26:06
Of course, that about does it for today's podcast.
26:08
Whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
26:12
Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
26:14
Sun down in Connecticut, at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge
26:17
Park Casino or MGM Springfield. In my neck of the woods in
26:20
Massachusetts. Or out in the desert where the
26:22
true grinders get down or Billy Walter sends his number runners
26:25
where the lowest use possible is found, the South Point or Sweat
26:28
and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming
26:30
pool. When you cash a big ticket at
26:32
Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
26:35
You're going to show me a Mets MLB ticket, nice little come
26:38
back there late and also you're going to show me a brief hall
26:41
over 28 and half receiving yards.
26:43
You love to see it. That Jets ticket beat the
26:46
closing line sharpest attack. Unfortunately Soj same old Jets.
26:50
But overall guys, a winning night flashing one of those
26:52
tickets. First one's on me, next one's on
26:54
you. We'll post about the book
26:55
sweatshop contrarian plays all night long.
26:58
So wish the best luck, everyone. Have a fantastic Tuesday night.
27:02
Of course, I'll leave you with this.
27:03
Stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet against the public, place
27:06
yourself on the side of the house.
27:08
Always be with the smart money, never against it.
27:10
Will smart money win every time? Of course not.
27:13
Smart money was Jets last night. They didn't show up for us.
27:16
But here's the thing. You can be heartbroken and have
27:18
a a losing pick. You know, here and there by
27:20
following smart money. It's going to happen.
27:22
Betting is difficult, it's hard, it's unpredictable, but if you
27:25
consistently belt with your head and not your heart, follow the
27:28
model against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat
27:31
bet, avoid parlays, get that closing line value.
27:33
If we can do that long term, we're going to be successful
27:36
sports betters. So have a great Tuesday night,
27:38
everyone. Let's try to get three out of
27:40
these five MLB bets and then we'll be back at it tomorrow for
27:43
episode 117 of the All Systems Go sports Betting podcast
27:47
powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody, have a
27:50
great Tuesday night.