Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / NFL Week 11 with Scooch and Simon Hunter

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NFL Week 11 with Scooch and Simon Hunter · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Action Network.
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: I am Chad Millman. Oh my god. We have such
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: a huge show because the NFL continues to roll on UM.
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: Later on, Simon Hunter Professional Better is going to be
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: joining me. We're gonna talk about the picks we're gonna
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: make for the Westgates Super Contest. Not a great week
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: for me and Darren and our advisor, Simon. Uh. We're
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: gonna read some reviews. Remember last week I told people,
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: send me your reviews on iTunes and I will read
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: the best one and you will get a hoodie. There
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: were two amazing ones. Problem is, I don't know how
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: to get in touch with you guys, So I'm gonna
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: read them on the air, and I need you whoever
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: this is, to reach out to me directly. But first
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: we're gonna welcome in from New Orleans, representing all the
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: BOYD Gaming books in the state of Nevada throughout the country.
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: Bookmaker to the world, Mr Bob Scooci, Hey Scooch, how
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: are you? I'm good? How are you? I'm really good?
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: So remember last week I said to people, Hey, send
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: me some put your reviews in iTunes. You're gonna get
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: some swag. We got a boatload of reviews, which we appreciate.
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: Are you ready to hear two the best ones? I
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: loved it. Oh my god, they're so good. It's so fun. Ah.
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: Here we go. It's titled The Three Wise Man. It's
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: a five star review. It's by the Unit machine. The
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: unit a euphemism for so many things. As the holiday
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: season draws closer and closer, we will soon be digging
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: into our pockets, showing out dough for gifts, travel, food, drinks,
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: and of course, betting on the NFL. Most of us
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: around this time of year will be reminded of the
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: story of the Biblical Magi, the three men who traveled
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: hundreds of miles to bring gifts of gold, frankincense, and
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: myrrh to the newborn baby Jesus. I, however, will be
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: celebrating a different set of wise men this Christmas season,
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: those bearing one simple gift units. These wise men I
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: speak of are none other than Chad Simon and Darren
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: A k Mr. Public. Follow these men like the Magi
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: followed the Star of Bethlehem, and you two can witness
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: miracles this holiday season. Scooch, you are mentioned in that
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: one no, you're mad about that, we will hurt. You
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: might like this one better. Joe knows f f B
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: must be Fantasy football five stars, two thumbs up. Millmanisms
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: are the best. Then Scooch tells us where to invest.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: Darren tries to suggest, but income Simon to protest. It's
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: tons of fun, but I digress. The quest to win
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: the Super Bowl contest the Super contest. Right side is
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: the winning side. Kicking is for losers. Best Action PC around.
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: I guess that means podcast hands down. Action Network app
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: is the bomb. Don't that's a great review. Joe knows
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: Fantasy football you just want yourself a hoodie? Nice? Do
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: you like that one? Right? We have to coming in
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: through in some miminisms, some scoochi isms. I think what
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: you liked most about that is the fact that, um
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: you were mentioned that was much better? Yeah, I did
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: like that always Nice had mentioned happy for you. Have
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: you already talked some football? My friend? I am. We
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: had a crazy Monday night game last night. By the way,
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: follow everything I'm doing to fifty six or bust in
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: the Action Network gap. I went ten and three last night.
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: Um my record choosing every re single go game, literally
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: every single game in the NFL. I'm betting every single
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: game in the NFL. I am eighty six and sixty
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: two on the year. That is fifty eight point scooch.
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: That's pretty strong. That's that's professional betting, U batistics right there,
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: it is right. Yeah, it's pretty consistently, and you are
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: going to make some money, my friend. We know. The
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: thing is, I kind of feel like the reason I
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: even did this two fifty six project, as I've told people,
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: is I do this head to head with my buddy
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: Matt every year, and I was beating him so badly
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: and he said to me, you do so well picking
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: every single game. You can make a mint if you
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: picked every single game. So I just started. I said,
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: this year, let's do that. Let's put the money in together,
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: and let's pick every single game. And we're doing it.
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: And this is what I'm doing. And you went ten
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: and three last week that you said ten and three, Wow,
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: that's great. Yeah against the spread, that is great. I know,
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: it's amazing. I'm so good. Yeah, I'm sure, I'm sure
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: that's what I am. And last week was a tough week.
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: I know. Listen. I also went one, three and one
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: in the super contest, so like, clearly it's not it's
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: it's almost easier to pick sixteen games or thirteen games.
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: So in other words, your three laws that you went
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: ten and three and your three losses were three of
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: your best five bets. Unbelievable, Right, it's kind of amazing.
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: That's why money management is important to it really is.
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: You can go tendant, you can go tenant three and
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: lose money, right, yeah, I mean that's that's that's the
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: most amazing thing. Like because also here here's what's really interesting.
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: It says that I'm up fifteen units, are seventeen point
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: five units, and based on what I'm betting, like because
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: I'm betting bad numbers sometimes and the odds are off
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: and whatever the case may be, I'm betting mine sometimes
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: to get two and a half. And you know, I'm
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: just betting what's available. Um, it's not easy to do.
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: It's not easy to make money in this situation. It's
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: actually really hard, right, right. It's tough business. And that's
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: why there's very few really successful professional gamblers that that
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: do really really well. Listen, I want to get to
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: one more promo before we get into the odds which
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: is uh. As everybody knows. Last week with Points Bet,
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: we did a Fade Revel promo. You were getting boosted
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: odds on a game. Uh if you fade Darren Revel.
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: Darren Revel last week had the Giants minus two and
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: a half. The boost at odds were on the Jets,
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: so instead of betting the Jets plus two and a
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: half minus one ten, you've got the Jets plus two
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: and a half plus one ten. Darren lost the bet
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: and he subsequently had to sing in his underwear as
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: the naked cowboy in Times Square, which you did yesterday
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: and you can see that video on Twitter. We're doing
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: it again this week. We're bringing Fade Rebel Fade Revel
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: back for another week because it was so popular. We're
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: gonna do the Pats and the Eagles this week. The
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: offer will be up soon on points bet dot com.
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: Go check it out, look for Fade Revel points bet
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: dot com. They are doing wonderful job with us. You're
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: gonna get boosted odds on the Pats and the Eagles.
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: Darren is gonna take the Pats. You're gonna get boosted
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: odds to take the Eagles. It's going to be a
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: blast Scooch. Yeah, we can't talk about Dallas in Detroit
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: because it feels like there's no posted number for that
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: game yet. Now we gotta we gotta wait until we
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: find out what's going on with Matt Stafford, I mean
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: with him in I mean, Dallas is going to be
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: probably about a three point favorite. But I mean this
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: line can go anywhere. You know, Dallas minus five and
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: a half, minus six, so world, we can be all
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: over the place on this one. I forgot about Pittsburgh
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: at Cleveland. So Pittsburgh visiting Cleveland, Uh, looking, they looked
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: really good, Pittsburgh defensively against the Rams. They the Rams
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: are a team by the way, we'll get to but
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: like we've been fading them all for a long time
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: because we have felt like they haven't looked the same.
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is visiting Cleveland. Cleveland is a very short home
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: favorite according to Orleans. Right now, you're at minus two
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: and a half minus one, so, um, I don't know
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: about that. It feels like, so you know, well, last
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: week we made we made the Browns a three point
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: favorite against the Bills, and everybody came in and said, well,
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: I don't understand, and you know, you've got a two
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: and six team that you made a favorite over in
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: the six and two team, and you know, try to
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: explain that the Browns are still I mean, we were
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: adjusting throughout the year. We we've already adjusted about as
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: much as we can do very little adjustments, you know,
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: moving forward at this point in the season. And uh,
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: so here we have basically the same type of situation
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: where you have, uh, you know, a good team like
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: the Steelers coming into Cleveland and Cleveland at home getting
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: the giving three points. The difference is, and like you
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: you said it earlier, is that the Steelers came up
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: a really good performance and uh and people do remember
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: what they've seen most recently, and both the public and
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: the sharp guys are both on the Steelers and this one.
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: So we opened three, we went for three even money
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: on the first couple of beds. They laid minus one
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: twenty with plus three out of Steelers, we went to
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: two and a half minus twenty. And they're still taking
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: the Steelers on this one. So I mean, both the
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: public are on them and the sharp guys are on
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: him in this one. So uh, there'll be another week
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: where we need the Browns Yeah, the Browns are getting
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: trickier and trickier, aren't they. Like I was on the
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: Browns last week, I didn't get the best of the
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: number because I got him at three. That line went
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: down to two and a half. Same thing this week.
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: It's like, if you're gonna want the Browns, you might
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: as well wait because you're probably gonna get a chance.
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: Do you think you'll get him at two? Yeah, it
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: looks like it's going that way because like if have
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: both the public, there's no resistance on this one yet,
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: So um, it's it's all just going one way. And um,
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: I mean we'll we'll wait a little bit. I mean
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: we're not going to get ahead of it, but it
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: looks like it's certainly trending that way. The New Orleans
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: Saints just got throttled as fourteen point favorites. It's your
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: favorite team Jesus against the Falcons. I the Saints were
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: one of the teams that I chose in the super contest.
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: I was convinced they were the right side. Just no
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: faith in the Falcons. Did not see any way coming
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: off abide they were going to be better than the
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: Saints the way they're playing. And yet the Saints now
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: go on the road. They're five and a half point
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: favorites against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. About eight of the
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: money early money coming in on the Saints se the tickets.
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: It feels like that's a combination of wise guy in
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: public there as well. Yeah, it is both and as
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: far as the public is because certain they feel like
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: they've gotten burned a couple of weeks in a row
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: on the Buccaneers, even though the Buccaneers look like the
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: right side both last week against the Cardinals and the
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: week before against the Seahawks, but still just not getting
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: the cover. The Saints have been just a obviously hugely
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: public team the entire year. Uh and even with the
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: trip up last week and just like you said, getting throttled. Um,
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: I expect the public to come in, uh with both
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: fisted and on this one. So I wouldn't I wouldn't
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: be surprised to see this line going up. So if
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: you want the Saints, get him, now, get the best
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: I think. I think Yeah, by game time they'll be
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: six six and half alright, Atlanta at Carolina. So Atlanta
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: goes on the road, throttles the Saints. Like we said, Carolina.
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: Tough loss at Green Bay, can't get it done at
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: the end of the game. Uh drive finishes at the
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: goal line and eighty nine yard drive that was aided
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: by multiple penalties. Store of the NFL. There's six point
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: favorites over Atlanta. Yeah, and you know, that's a weird
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: what's that? That's a weird one, it really is. And
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: and this we got more money on this game than
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: any game on the board, all on the Falcons. Uh
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: and just kind of an an indication of how quickly
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: things can turn. I mean, we've gotten no Falcons money
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: all year, and and suddenly both the sharp guys absolutely
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: love them in this one, so that it took six
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: and a half or taken six. I'm going to five
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: and a half right now as a matter of fact,
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: because we're pretty heavy even at plus six. And it's
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: not like we're going to get a ton of public
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: money on the Panthers. They're you know, they're not a
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: team like the Saints or the Cowboys where the public
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: just loves to bet on them. So it's if the
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: sharp guys are on the Falcons, um I I this
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: is one that I do want to move quickly to
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: the kind of ahead of it. Uh I can't see
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: the sharp guys coming in and lay in this number.
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: So if anything, it will go down and change. We've
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: got a line change, Caroline. I can see it right now,
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: five and a half point favorites against the Atlanta Falcons.
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: I'm tracking it all in real time. Action Network dot
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: Com Action Network app. You got a download of people
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: because then you can see what I'm seeing and you
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: can understand and you can set alerts to know when
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: to make the bets, to see the numbers that you want.
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: Get an alert for the number you want. Action Network
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: app downloading now. It's free. Can we talk about Jacksonville
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: and Indianapolis or do we not? I know you have
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: a number posted, but it feels like sort of a
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: middle of the road number is just going to Traine
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: dramatically if Jacoby procept place. What are you thinking here? Yeah,
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: this is gonna change regardless of So we've got Nick
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: Foles that's expected to get the start for for Jacksonville.
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: And then I mean the drop down between Jacobe Brosett
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: and Jeff Driscoll is about two and a half points.
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: Uh So I mean you mean Brian Hoyer, I'm I
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: mean Brian Brian Horror, I'm sorry, uh, and I expect
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: this to be. Uh. We're gonna put up three even money,
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: and we'll probably get Jackson Build money and we'll probably
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: go to two and a half. But I'd rather start
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: with three and let the money drive it down rather
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: than things go up. I want to draw a little
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: Jackson Build money on this out of the gate. So
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: I think the public is going to be on the
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: Colts regardless of who gets to start. So so I
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: know we're gonna get just a ton of money, a
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: ton of bets on the Colts. So I'd rather get
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: the sharp money early in the week and then let
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: the public kind of come back the other way rather
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: than rather than the other way around. Got it? What about?
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: That's a weird game for me. I can't really get
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: a handle on it yet. You know, I'm gonna get
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: Jacoby Prisett or Brian Hoyer, and I'm gonna get Nick
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: Foles playing for the first time in ten weeks to
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: it in this game right now? Huh No, no opinion? Well,
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: you gotta you gotta make a bed two fifty six
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: or bust. Well, I don't have to make it yet.
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: I can wait until Sunday morning. Well, then if you're
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: gonna wait, that means if you're going to bet Indianapolish,
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: you should wait. If you're gonna bet Indianapolis, and if
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: you're gonna bet Jacksonville, you should bet it at plus three.
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: That's my opinion. All right. Well, and I guess I'm
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: gonna have to bet Indianapolis because I'm gonna wait. Dever
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: Broncos on the road ten and a half point underdogs
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: against the living large new Man with the Minnesota Vikings.
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: Kirk Cousins plan lights out going on the road at Dallas,
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: come back when looking fantastic, playing like we all know
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: he can love in every minute of it. I'm not
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: taking the Vikings here. That's a big number. It's a
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: it's a huge number. And uh, we have been kind
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: of sneakily high on on Denver most of the year,
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: some games to our detriment, Uh, some games not. But
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: you know, we have them rated a little higher than
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: kind of the the public perception of them has been.
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: And h but this game is about as high as
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: we can make a line. I think there's a lot
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: of value on Denver, but boy, how many double digit
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: favorites have we seen this year? I you should look
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: into that see if it's uh, it's a record. It
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: has been amazing, right, But more importantly, and I will
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: check that. That's a great question. I'm going to ask
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: somebody that. Um, I'd also like to know double Like,
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: underdogs this year are winning. It's something like there's something
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: like eighty four. Like if I'm eighty two and whatever
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: I am, underdogs have won four more games than that. Yeah,
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: like what we're having me, Underdogs are winning at clip
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: this year and and it's reflective of our NFL season
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: to date right now. So the sports books are doing
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: really well. Knock on world. We haven't had one of
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: those real devastating weekends typically we do by this time
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: of year at the end of October the beginning of November,
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: especially when you have like six teams of them every week.
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: As anything, we have a real short schedule, all those
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: high profile teams like you know, the Patriots and the Saints.
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: It gets more concentrated, so you have less um margin
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: for error as a sports book. So you have two
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: or three really big games that determine your weekend. You
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: either win big or you lose big. And so far
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: we've we've won, we've won big and so I mean
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: we're having a pretty good year. And usually when a
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: lot of underdogs win, that's the case. Denver will be
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: the side there. And you know who's going to be
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: the side in this next game, the Washington Redskins hosting
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: the New York Jets. I don't know how you don't
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: take the Redskins here. I feel like you're begging me
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: to take the Redskins at minus one right now. Yeah,
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: it was fun before we came on the air, I
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: was actually going to go to one and a half.
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: But I think I'm going to go to one and
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: a half right now because why change? This was one
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: of the games we were debating that, you know, how
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: much credit are we going to give them Jets for
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: just one win against the Giants? And we said none really,
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: but I feel like the public might feel, uh like
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: there's a little bit of a uh, you know, a
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: play on the Jets. So we hong at one. But
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: I got a couple of small bets on the Redskins,
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: not big bets, but I can kind of see where
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: this is going. The public will still be on the
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: Jets slightly, but this is a perfect spot for the
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: sharp guy. So I don't want to give them too
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: much value on this. You gotta break up the Buffalo
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: bill and the Miami Dolphins. You gotta break them up.
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: They've won two in a row, they're trending, they're hot,
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: their defense looks fear. Ryan Fitzpatrick pulls magic out of
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: his helmet. The Buffalo Bills are visiting the Dolphins. There
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: five and a half point favorites. Give me the Dolphins. Yeah,
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: we've been saying that every week. What they cover four
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: or five in a row? Now, Yeah, they got to
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: two straight up wins. One of them is a huge underdog.
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: Talk about double digit uh, underdog winning the game straight up.
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: Then they get the win again last week. Uh. And
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: now they're at home, going up against the Buffalo team
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: that they already played once this year. But it's still
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: a tough number. Of the sharp guys are The sharp
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: guys have already taken the Dolphins in this one. They
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: took plus six and I actually moved this game to
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: five and a half before we came on the air.
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: I know some places opened as high as six and
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: a half, but certainly the public got burned on Buffalo
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: last week depending on what numbers they got, so they
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: just didn't cash to pack. But uh, I expect him
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: to come back on this one. The public will be
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: on Buffalo, the Shark guys will be on Miami, right,
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: but do you expect Buffalo to cover this game? I don't,
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: I I don't. I. I mean, like I said, the
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: Dolphins five and a row covers two straight up winds
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: and now they're at home. This is a play when
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: you when you're getting this many points at home, and
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: even with a bad team. The only one team I
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: just think I would never touch again Cincinnati. But well,
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: we'll get to that game. But this one looks like
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: you gotta you gotta take Miami. Oh Man on the
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati Bengals. The next game might be the best game
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: that is on the board. Houston visiting Baltimore. Deshaun Watson
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson to the most exciting young quarterbacks in the NFL. Um, Well,
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: Lamar Jackson is doing is really scintillating. I have thought
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: Deshaun Watson was one of the most interesting people, like
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: interesting players coming out of the raft in a long time.
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: He has proven to be just phenomenal Like these guys
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: like Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson. Like the a
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: f C is set for a generation of great football
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: with these three quarterbacks you got. The Baltimore Ravens is
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: four and a half point favorites against the Houston Texans.
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: That feels like the right number to me. You know,
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: it's funny you should say that, because I was gonna
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: say we couldn't have gotten a more solid number that
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: the action is dead two way action. Uh slightly more
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: tickets on the Ravens, but the money is I mean,
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: they're we're not heavy one way or the other on
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: this one. And the Sharp guys it's like they don't
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: know what to do with this one yet. I think
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: you'll probably see the Sharp guys if they had to
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: bet it, they'll take Houston plus the points, only because
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: they figured to be kind of a knockdown, drag out game,
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: something similar to maybe last night's UH San Francisco's Seahawks game.
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: UH and four and a half points could be valuable,
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: especially when there's some fours out there. We want them
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: to be slightly heavier on the Ravens. The Ravens just
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: quickly become one of those public teams you know as
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: soon as they beat the Patriots. Uh, it was like,
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: you can't bet against this team. So we know the
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: public is going to be on the on the Ravens
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: in this one. I don't know which way to lean here.
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: This feels like a field goal game to me. That's
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: why I said it it's gonna be closed. So if
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: there's gonna be a field goal game and makes sense
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: to take the four and a half points, I think
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: that's what I'm gonna have to do. And they also
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: feel like, look like you just said, the public is
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: going to be all over the Ravens. If anything, this
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: number is gonna move up, it's not gonna move down. Um,
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: come Sunday, So I might going to wait a little
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: bit before I cash in here. I'm thinking, uh, all right,
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: this game is a great game to bet, This is
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: a great game to bed. Whoa whoa, whoa Scooch. We're
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: about to talk about the Cardinals in the Niners. I'm
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: about to say that thirteen and a half is way
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: too big, which is what you have it at. And
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: you got to go all in on the Cardinals here,
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: and you just moved the number line change. I went
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: to eleven and a half on this song. You turned
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: it down to eleven and a half. You skipped thirteen,
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: you skipped twelve and a half, you skipped twelve, you
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: went right down to eleven and a half. What just
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: happened to me to do that? Uh? Well, we took
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: a couple of pretty big bets on Arizona number one,
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: but it was too high. And before we came on
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: the year, we were talking some of the guys in
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: the hub because we just put this line up early
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: this morning. We were waiting to see kind of any
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: injuries coming out of last night's game with the Seahawks,
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: and so so we always hold off on two teams
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: that play Monday night, we put them up Tuesday morning.
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: So we're talking about this game quite a bit, and
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: we're looking at the action from the sharp guys and
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: the and the sharp guys have been on Arizona every
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: single week, I mean just every week, doesn't matter what
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: the points are there on Arizona. So in this situation,
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: it just seemed like way too many points. And we
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: know the public is going to come in on this one.
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: They have all week and and the forty niners, even
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: with last night's lost, they're gonna be coming in on
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: San Francisco and this one. But it's just there was
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: basically no adjustment from either team this weekend. And like
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: I said, you get to this point in the season
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: and it's hard to adjust either team too much unless
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: there's some major personnel changes. So, uh, we just know
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: that both We just know that the sharp guys are
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: going to see a lot of value on that number. Yeah, well,
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: the moments certainly are. Yeah. So well, I'll let you
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: know if in the now that I moved it down
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: quite a bit, I'll see if if anyone comes back
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: on the Niners. And That's what I'll do often during
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: the beginning of the week, I'll kind of test the
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: waters one way or another. Sometimes it is too big
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: of a line move and other times it's, uh, it's
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: not big enough. So you kind of play with it
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: earlier in the week until you get where you feel
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: like the number is really solid. New England Patriots visiting
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: the Philadelphia Eagles. Don't forget Darren revel Fade Revel at
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: points bet dot com. If you want to bet the
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: Eagles at boosted odds. If you want to bet the
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: Eagles at a better number, then you can get anywhere
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: else in the world. You gotta fade revel. Who's betting
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: the Patriots. That's three and a half point favorites in
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: this game. Listen, I'm going to fade revel. I'm going
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: with the Eagles in this game. I think the Patriots
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: a win. But I like the way the Eagles have
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: been playing. Fly Eagles Fly. They gotta spread their wings.
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: This is their shot. They can take over the NFC East.
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: That division is wide open. They can run through the playoffs.
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: Meet the Patriots back in the Super Bowl, a little
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: bit of a rematch. What do you say, Scot, I
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: say the Patriots in this one, we are just we
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: I this is the most lopsided game on the board.
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: Everyone has betting the Patriots. UM, not quite big bets
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: on the ship from the sharp guy. So so the
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: there's a couple of sharp betters that have that have
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: laid the number with the Patriots, but it's not enough
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: to make me convinced that there. You know, it's a
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: it's a big play for them on this talk about
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: testing the waters, I am going to test the waters
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: with this one, and I'm and I'm gonna go to
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to minus four on this one change
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: and I want to see. I want to see what
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: they do with it. It'll be a good indication because
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: if they don't take the Eagles plus four right away
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: right now, then I know I can stay at minus
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: four throughout the week because the ticket count it's about
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: eight to one Patriots to two Eagles right now, and
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: that's huge. And so being that this is one of
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: the later games on Sunday means that the parlay liability
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: is going to be one of the biggest parlay games
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: of the day. So if I can be at minus
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: four throughout the week, and it just gives us a
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: little bit of an edge. And so I'll let you
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: know in the next few minutes on this one if
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: I get any bites on Eagles plus four, Oh my god,
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: that's so exciting. We're going to find out exactly what happened.
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: I've seen the line change. It's changed. You're at minus four.
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: Anyone can out there, anyone out there who's fishing can
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: grab it right now. You put the bait in the water,
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: will you find will you find a king salmon? That's
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: what I'm wondering. We got the Corner TV game coming
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: up Bengals at Raiders Raiders all of a sudden, best
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: team in the NFL, the ten and a half point favorites.
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: Come on, come on, how do you not take the
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: Raiders in this game? Like, I don't know else to do?
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: You mean take the Raiders or the Bengals. Well, I
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: gotta take the way because the Bengals are barely playing
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: anybody there. It's like they might have well be playing
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: ten guys with no quarterback. Yeah, this is one where
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: you know, the look aheadline would have been about eight
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: eight and a half, and this is one of the
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: bigger adjustments. And I thought ten the number we hung
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: with minus ten, and I thought that that would be
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: high enough. And we took not a lot. It took
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: a couple of thousand dollars here and there on the Raiders,
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: but it was enough to just say, let me go
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: to ten and a half. We went to Tenantingham early
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: this morning and still no bets on the Raiders. So
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: I mean no bets on the Bengals. Like you said,
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: there's no reason to bet the Bengals anymore. And we've
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: needed them so many games this year and they're just
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: not even competitive. They're less competitive now than we said
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: the Dolphins were at the beginning of the year when
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: they were unloading players and kind of how things have turned.
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: And uh, they're just they're just never in the game.
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: And uh and like you said that, the Raiders have
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: been playing pretty well. You know, they're you know, sneaky
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: five and four team right now. So, um, we were
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: about six to one heavy tickets on the on the
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: Raiders to the Bagels. So you expect that to continue
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: all week, you know what the next game. There's nothing
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: to say about the Bengals and the Raiders. The Bears
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: in the Rams, however, are fraught with just interesting challenges
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: right now. Seven is a huge number. You've got that
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: game at seven, That is a huge number. Um, but
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: it's like, what the freak you know, seven with the
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: Bears and the Rams who can't block anybody, and the
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: Bears have a good pass rush. I guess I'm convincing myself.
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: I'm on the Bears. I think the value here has
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: got to be on the on the Bears at plug seven.
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: I know this line is gonna fluctuate six and a
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: half and seven, So depending on who you like, I guess, uh,
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: it will determine whether you want to bet this one
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: early in the week or late. But um, both teams
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: that started out so much higher, and I keep waiting
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: for the Rams team to show up that I'm just
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: convinced that they're not going to. I thought that there
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: was a turning point where they had a couple of
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: good games where I thought that the last half of
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: the season that we'd get that same Rams team that
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: made it to the super Bowl last year. Um, just
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: not happening. Uh and uh, it was kind of high
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: on them last week against Pittsburgh and that was one
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: of the games. We kind of took it on the
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: chin on that one. So I don't want to get
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: burned again. But I think seven is probably a little
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: highware at seven even money, So we want people that
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: are going to take the Bears to lay a dollar
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: twenties ten laying a dollar ten. So but yeah, this
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: is a tough one and the public doesn't really seem
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: to know what to do with the number on this
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: one either. It's not a heavily bad game, you know,
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: I would have expected a lot more money on this
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: game so far this week. I just haven't gotten it yet.
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know where I'm gonna go. I guess, Like
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: I said, I guess ones with the Bears. Let's guess
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: where I'm gonna lean right now. But I could just
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: easily see the Rams be emboldened by sort of the
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: opportunity to be back at home. No, they need to
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: make a run because they're fading in their division, let
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: alone the conference. Uh. And the Bears are just not
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: very good like the Bears. Mr Bisky, as we've discussed,
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: he's terrible. He really is. Yeah, you know what I'm
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: going with the Bears. I'm going with the Bears. Wow,
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: Kansas City visiting the l A Chargers, there are three
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorites. Feels like a steel to me.
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: Give it to me Chargers No Chiefs. Wow. Really, well,
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: you're getting value because we opened So we thought the
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: same thing on this one. So we opened what we
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: thought was going to be a pretty high number. We
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: opened four and a half, and right out of the gate,
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: they took the four and a half. F we went
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: to four, they took the four, we went to three
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: and a half. So at three and a half, Uh,
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: we're pretty heavy on the Chiefs and public is going
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: to be on the Chiefs too. It looks like the
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: tickets are about three to one right now, Chiefs to Chargers.
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: But we've already taken a ton of money out in
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: the Charges from from the sharp guys. So they think
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: they think the Chargers is to play here, this game
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: being played in Mexico City. Uh so you know, no,
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: no home, it's not a home dog. But they certainly
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: feel like there's some value on the points with the Chargers. No,
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs are gonna win this game. That's uh, that's
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: a no brainer. They're probably gonna win by at least
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: two touchdowns. There's no way they're coming off a loss
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: to the Titans against a Chargers team they really can't
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: get out of their own way playing in Mexico City, scooched.
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the wise guys are thinking, but
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: they're not thinking like a moment right now, I'll tell
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: you that much. They are not. No, let's play some
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: Scooch roulette, all right, Scooch, tell me who do we have?
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: Last week? I forgot already had ever do again. I
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: had the I think I had the Lions. That's no good.
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: I had the Lions before Matthew Stafford was announced it
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: was announced he was out I don't think that shouldn't count.
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: Let's take that one. You know what, I'm changing My
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: scoocher left from last week to the Steelers. So since
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: I won last week, UM, I get to go first.
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: If you want to give you if you want to
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: get rich, you gotta bed bad teams. So they say,
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: you know what, give me the real quick, real quick.
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: I gotta go back to three and a half on
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: the Patriots. We just took We just took quite a
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: bit on on the Eagles. As we speak here change
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: in real time. Okay, sorry about that interrupt Listen if
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: there's breaking news, there's breaking news. We're in the journalism
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: business Capital j They were they were sneaky too. They
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: got into to U two tenths to nine thousand dollar
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: bet and eight thousand dollar bet and you didn't notice them.
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: They came in at the simultaneously at the same time,
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: and you guys at the counter or they came in
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: Did they come through the counter? Did they come through?
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: So one came in on the one came in on
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: the counter, and one came in on the on the
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: mobile app. What do think happened? Do you think two
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: seconds apart? Do you think a guy was at the
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: book saw the number and immediately ran up. Or do
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: you think the guy like lives two minutes away, jumped
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: in his car went to bet the number at the counter. No,
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: there had to be somebody in the book that it
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: was already kind of hanging out for the day, wait
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: for certain certain moves, because there's no way they would
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: have enough time to actually drive down. So it's only
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: been five minutes. Takes five minutes to walk from the
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: door to the book at the Orleans Scooch, I am
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: gonna go with the Arizona Cardinals as double digit dogs
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: against the San Francisco forty niners. I like it, I do.
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: I'm with you. I'll take the Redskins minus minus one
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: against the Jets. Actually I'm not one and a half now,
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: so I gotta lay the bad number. I will tell
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: you that was gonna be my second choice. So I
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: don't think. I don't think it's bad, all right, Scooch, Listen,
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: this is it, man, this is the end of your
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: portion of your podcast. Don't forget, By the way, don't
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: forget uh rate review, subscribe the podcast, don't listen. Simon
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: Hunters coming up next, we're talking about the Westgate Super Contest,
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: but I don't want Uh, Joe knows fantasy football. He's listening.
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: He's got to reach out to me. He's got to
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: find me. He's got a d M me on Twitter
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: or something. Because you have won yourself a hoodie because
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: Scooch loves that. Not that we don't love the Union Machine.
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: He did a wonderful review, and I appreciate his effort.
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: But Joe knows fantasy football. He's won a hoodie today, Scooch.
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: Until next week, Good luck to you, my friend, Thanks
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: Jeb to anybody. All right, we're you are back with
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: Simon Hunter. Darren is unavailable to join us, but that's
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: okay because we went four oh and one without there,
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: and two weeks ago one three and one with Darren.
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: This past week, Simon Hunter is on the phone Professional
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: Better from New Jersey. Simon and I were just discussing
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: how against the spread in the thirteen games which we
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: both bet all thirteen, uh, we each went ten and
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: three and in the contest we were won three and one,
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: which means that the three games we lost happened to
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: be the three games that we were most confident about
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: that we put them into the contest. How crazy is that, Simon?
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: And now a word from a wise guy with Simon
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: Hunter brutal. But it's it's definitely a good lesson where
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: as a gambler, never go in betting big on your
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: favorite bets. Always always try to bet pretty even across
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: the board because a lot of times the ones you
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: like the most can go sideways the quickest. So that's
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: that's kind of a good good lesson for gambling right there.
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: That week, Well, look, they an immediately like the three
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: games that that we had in there, um, at least
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: three of the games that I was sort of most
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: confident about. Saints minus fourteen against Atlanta crushed from the beginning, Baltimore, Uh,
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati plus ten and a half against Baltimore crushed from
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: the beginning. Um, and then we had San Francisco last night. Um,
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: so it's like that was a tough one. Yeah, that's same.
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: Frame one was actually by far the most painful one
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: because I really did think, I mean, we were up
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: tend nothing. I was just like here we go, we
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: get another good drive here and then everything just flipped
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: with that clown and strip. So that that was a
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: that was a tough wed in that weekend, but lucky
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: for us, everyone else had a really rough run here
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: in the contest. So I think we're still just five
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: back with the leads heading here until WEEKO leven, which
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: is pretty insane. I love that you keep telling us
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: that and updating us, because, um, I haven't checked once. Yeah,
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: I think I think the dude leading is um. I
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: think the Bud Fox from Wolf of Wall Street. Um,
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: we're not. Is that. I think a Sevie, But yeah,
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: the guy Bud Fox's pretty pretty good. He does. He's
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: been doing a lot of same stuff we do where
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: he's stayed in the public, so he had he had
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: some good picks. Last week we got huge, huge wins
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: with us were the Vikings and the Titans winning out,
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: winning those games because everybody that's why they want to
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: take Kansas City, because I knew everyone was gonna take
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: on that one. They lost that right, So that was
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: a good stay away from us. So hopefully this week
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: we can avoid those easy, easy stair aways. Darren is
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: texting me he can't be on he had to do
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: another call and so he's texting me right now saying
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: listen eat crow for the Falcons. So for everybody there,
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: everybody listening. I'm ashamed that I was so adamant about
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: the Saints and Darren was spot on about the Falcons.
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: But despite my loss, you will not get me singing
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: in Times Square in my underwear. Yeah, I mean that
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: was bounding the back. But I told him about three
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: times on this show that the Jets were the right side.
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: He kept trying to guess for the Giants and thank
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: god we didn't do that. But yeah, we'll definitely miss
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: Darren this week. Am I crazy to think that the
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: teams that I love this week are the Cardinals, the Dolphins,
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: the red Skins, the Broncos. What is happening there? This
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: is what I I definitely love a couple of them. Um,
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: we're people should reminder we're twelve hours out of the
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: money night games, so a lot of these lines still
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: aren't hunging like hung up there yet. So the Cardinals
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: one was funny where it opened up fourteen and they
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: took it down as soon as that that game ended
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: last night. Is the sharps were just pounding it. So
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: it's reopened a lot of places at eleven and a
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: half eleven. So for the contest, the best days above ten.
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: I'd take Arizona Divisional game. UM. Another another good one. UM,
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: And it's a good one in the sense that it's
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: a smart line. Is the Denver Minnesota where a lot
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: of sharp guys are gonna take that ten and a
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: half of the hook. But I like Minnesota usually does
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: choke in the spots, but I like Minnesota in the
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: spot getting they'll they'll probably kill Denver and then going
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: to the bye week. So it's a good spot where
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: Minnesota is not gonna let up because they have a
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: bye week coming up. So people are gonna say they're
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: looking at it by we got thinking themselves, we just
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: gotta kill these guys and get into the bye week.
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: So I'd stay away from Denver. Interesting, all right, that's fair.
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: What do you think of the Redskins. I loved it
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: until I saw Chef who tweeted that I think yesterday
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: they're they're starting Haskins. It makes me a little nervous
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: where um Haskins. I've I've watched a decent amount because
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: I've had a decent amount of money against them, Like
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: I think their last game might have been the Bills game, UM,
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: where I I was really big on the Bills and
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: Haskins already. But the kid doesn't throw, it doesn't look downfield.
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: So that's one of those where it's a funny line
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: where like as a pro, I'm gonna that's that because
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: but like this is a this is a bad line,
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: Like this should be Washington minus three. But I wouldn't
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: do in the contest. I wouldn't take Washington. The contest
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: too risk I just think, yeah, it's too risky in
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: the sense that, um, I really have I don't trust
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: Haskins enough to be back. I'm like, I can't believe
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: because we we talked about it in a million times
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: that we're never putting the Bangals and somehow we did it.
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: That's It's the same thing where it's like I just
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: don't want to be ten minutes into a game and
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: being like what what were we doing? Because like the
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: Browns and the Bengals last week took about five years
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: off my life. So it's true, It's totally true. All right,
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: then let me ask you this, what about the Dolphins.
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: I love it. I love I love that line that
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: it's still a feeling out processed by Vegas here because
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: I got them at seven and a half for the
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: look at So going to that game, I had a
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: good feel about doing the Colts and uh, obviously I
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: didn't know they were going to destroy him like that,
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: like they completely put their will on them. So coming
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: home here against the Buffalo team that they really Buffalo,
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: they surely beat them by three points at home only
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: a couple of weeks ago. So it's one of those
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: I do like this number of last think we're getting five,
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: five and a half of Miami. That's a really good number. Alright,
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: So we got two games here, we got the Dolphins
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: and we got the Cardinals, both dogs and relatively at
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: dantageous spots. Who am I missing? We've got three other
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: three other spots to fill. We got plenty of games.
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's I like the Dallas coming into this spot,
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: but now they've taken the line down because we don't
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: know what deals with Stafford, so that that line might
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: reopen A Cowboys mind is seven. So I mean I
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: still wouldn't hate that line, but I don't know how
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: great I feel about that. Um, how are you feeling
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: about Houston going into Baltimore. I think I'm getting about
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: a point and a half of value on the Texas
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: right now. I love the Texans in this spot, love
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: it right. I feel like this is kind of game
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: where they're they're getting they're giving them too many points
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: because Baltimore is look so dominant. I agree. I think
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: this is a field goal game, so we can definitely
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: put another another really sharp spot. But I know Darren
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: is gonna absolutely hate it would be the Eagles three
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: and a half. But I could see everyone's reasoning because
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: New England off to buy after a loss, so we
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: can stay away from the Eagles. Well, we have to
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: stay away from it because fade Ravel this week with
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: points bet is going to be He's on the Patriots
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: and people are getting boosted odds to bet the Eagles. So, um,
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: I feel like I can't put Darren in this torturous
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: position that yeah, I completely agree, that makes sense. Um,
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: that's so funny he wouldn't pick the Patriots. Uh, it's true.
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, for I'm trying to think like a good
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: chalk pick for us. Um, like, do do we want
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: to back the Chiefs on Monday night in Mexico? I
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: was just looking at that game and I absolutely do.
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna kill him? We do, right, Yeah, okay,
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: because that's a nice spot where we can take the
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: Chiefs here. They're gonna if they hopefully cover for us,
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: they gotta buy a weekend and come back. You know,
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: Andy reached that off of bye, so we should get
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: a nice little run here of the Chiefs. I'm able
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: to put the Chiefs in minus four. Yeah, and I
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: feel like, look, if this was at home for the Chargers,
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: it might be a little bit different. I might feel
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: a little bit like that three and a half is
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: a number that's worth betting. But it's games in freaking Mexico, Okay,
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: And like the Chargers just aren't that good. Like they
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: are not They are not showing the will that they
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: normally have shown when they start the season owing five
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: and then Rally and the Titan. The Chiefs coming off
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: that Titans loss. Um Mahomes was still dominant. He still
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: through for four dred and forty yards. It's just they
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: had some really bad breaks against the Titans, who just
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: kept pushing the ball. Um. Yeah, that was that was
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: a class I mean, that was just not that I'm
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: saying that New Orleans State game was a flute. But
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: Falcons came to the game against the Staints of six stacks.
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: They had seven sacks in that game, So I think
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: that came of the city. Tennessee game is one of
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: those where there are glaring issues on the Chiefs that
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: you saw from that game, where they can't they still
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: can't stop the run. But I think it was a
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: bunch of flup situations, like they should have just won
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: that game, and they just did a bunch of stupid
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: little things at the end there to give enough life
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: to Tennessee that Tennessee came back and won it. So
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: I definitely do like the Chiefs in the spot. All right,
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: right now, we got the Cardinals, Dolphins, Texans, and Chiefs.
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: We need one more game. And here's the problem. Dallas,
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: Detroit off the board, Jacksonville, Indy off the board. We
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: don't like Minnesota, we don't like Washington, UM, we can't
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: choose New England Philly. We're avoiding the Bengals like the plague.
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: So we're limiting ourselves to like Rams Bears and uh Falcons,
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: Panthers and New Orleans Tampa Bay. And it is like,
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: I I would love New Orleans in that spot. But
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: the fact that Lattimore is out going against the receivers
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: of the books, like the Bucks is going to be
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: the smart side, but I can't. I cannot put Winston
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: in the super contest again. So what do we do?
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: Do we choose? Do we choose the Bears or do
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: we choose the Panthers. See, I think a lot of people, Um,
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: a lot of people are gonna be just like, yeah,
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: they're gonna like the Bears in the spot. But I
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: still do not like what I'm seeing from Mitch. I
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: know the Rams just layed a huge egg and everything
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: like that, but this is such a great get right
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: spot for the Rams. Um, I'm seeing Rams six and
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: a half's out there. Uh So obviously the public and
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: Sharps are pound in Chicago. Um, so we can stay
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: away because I like the Rams in side. I mean
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: we can put in for now, um Carolina, and when
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: these lines comes out, because they actually really do. If
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: if it's gonna Nick Foles coming back and it's gonna
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: be whole again for the Colts, I would probably pick
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: the Jacks, all right. So here's what we're gonna do.
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: Because they have no weapons left, the Colts. They literally
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: down to practice squad receivers. So why don't we do this.
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: I could go with the Rams in this spot. I
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: don't love the Bears. I'm I'm wishy washing And the
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: first part of the podcast, I convinced myself it was
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: the Bears, then convinced myself with the Rams. They went
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: back to the Bears. So why don't we do Rams
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: and Jags at the end and see how the lines
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: come out and we can make our choice off of
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: those two. Yeah, I like that all right, So simon,
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: we got Cardinals, Dolphins, Texans, Chiefs. We are locked in.
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: Then we got the Jags and the Rams as are
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: alternates depending on how the lines come out. Yeah, and
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: I think it's one of those where these lines are
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: obviously gonna shoot around a little bit here because Biggest
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: is just like all of us are waiting for these
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: injury reports because a lot of guys, a lot of
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: guys are moving parts right now. I mean it's week eleven.
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: So I definitely like that we have a bunch of
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: mers or of them. I know, Darren's me happy that
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: we're flying to the Dolphins again. So yes, exactly seven,
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: we gotta get back to our winning ways because we
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: got a chance to make some cash money. Yeah, buddy,
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: we're almost there. We're through eleven weeks. We're definitely doing
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: way better than I expect from the season. Not putting
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: us down, but I just thought we were gonna overthink it.
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: So I'm really really excited the way we're going right now.
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: No one's ever accused me of overthinking my friend. Alright, brother,
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: until next time, Wishing us both well. This has been
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: the Favorites from the Action Network. Download rate, review, subscribe, listen,
• 50:38
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• 50:41
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• 50:45
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• 50:47
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• 50:53
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• 50:58
  Speaker 1: Listen to Scooch and I Sunday afternoon, twelve to one
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: before the game's Radio dot Com. You better you bet
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: search for us. They're great show. It's basically mad money
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: for betting. It's unbelievable all the line changes happening in
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: real time, thousand dollars in play. You can't believe what's happening.
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: Talk to you guys next week. I love you.