Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / CFB DFS - WEEK 13 | November 23, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:14Speaker 1: Week thirteen and ready to get back at it. I
- 0:17Speaker 1: don't know if you played college football at all this week,
- 0:20Speaker 1: but Wednesday Maction you could have been a dead last
- 0:23Speaker 1: at halftime and by the end of the game you
- 0:27Speaker 1: were winning contest. But that's why we love maction. It
- 0:30Speaker 1: doesn't matter what point of the game it is, you're
- 0:33Speaker 1: always in it, no matter. Like I said, no matter what.
- 0:36Speaker 1: Welcome to the Ship at Nation College Football Show. My
- 0:38Speaker 1: name is Bill, put a dollar in front of it.
- 0:40Speaker 1: You'll find me on Twitter and Discord, and we're here
- 0:43Speaker 1: for another week at college football. Last week not so
- 0:46Speaker 1: great with the injuries and it'll just flat out lack
- 0:50Speaker 1: of usage for some guys. However, the Night Slate was
- 0:53Speaker 1: a lot nicer to your boy than the main Slate was,
- 0:56Speaker 1: so we'll call it a break even day. But we're
- 1:00Speaker 1: back at it for week thirteen and we're excited for it.
- 1:02Speaker 1: It's been a great week in the Ship of Nation
- 1:04Speaker 1: community here on YouTube. If you could hit that subscribe
- 1:07Speaker 1: if you're not already subscribe to your channel. I think
- 1:09Speaker 1: we're about twelve hundred away from ten thousand, and once
- 1:12Speaker 1: we get to ten thousand subscribers. We got some pretty
- 1:14Speaker 1: good giveaways plan. It's definitely something you're going to want
- 1:16Speaker 1: to be a part of. So you know, we bring
- 1:19Speaker 1: you these shows free. We never want our shows to
- 1:21Speaker 1: be behind a paywall. So the like the subscribe also
- 1:26Speaker 1: free for you. That's you know, that's the trade that
- 1:29Speaker 1: we hope for and we hope that you can give us.
- 1:33Speaker 1: Give us that and it makes it worth it for us,
- 1:35Speaker 1: like that. It gives us what we need here on YouTube,
- 1:38Speaker 1: just a simple like and subscribe and then we got
- 1:40Speaker 1: some giveaways. Once we get to ten k, we're so close.
- 1:43Speaker 1: You can be the one to help us get there.
- 1:45Speaker 1: But we're gonna jump right into this week thirteen slate.
- 1:48Speaker 1: It's really tight pricing this week, so it's gonna be
- 1:51Speaker 1: a little bit tougher to build those lineups. You know,
- 1:53Speaker 1: you want to get those studs in, you want to
- 1:55Speaker 1: get those workhorses in, those target machines, those you know,
- 1:58Speaker 1: air raid quarterbacks that put a big numbers. But you're
- 2:01Speaker 1: gonna have to take some stands this week. Let's get
- 2:03Speaker 1: right into it with Old Miss at Florida. The spread
- 2:06Speaker 1: has moved to eleven I had seen ten earlier in
- 2:08Speaker 1: the week, and some nine and a half seven. I think,
- 2:11Speaker 1: but it's moving the way of old miss and that's
- 2:12Speaker 1: because they're healthy. You know. Trey Harris, Antwine Wells, Jackson
- 2:16Speaker 1: Dar Jordan Watkins all showed up on the injury report
- 2:18Speaker 1: earlier this week. They were upgraded from probable to active
- 2:21Speaker 1: or at least you know, according to the SEC Student Availability Report,
- 2:24Speaker 1: and then Logan digs LSU transfer. He might actually be
- 2:27Speaker 1: active this game. He said he was close and this
- 2:30Speaker 1: is the most he's done in practice all season, so
- 2:33Speaker 1: we can see him get a little bit of action.
- 2:35Speaker 1: But really it's you know, it's the Jackson Dart Show.
- 2:37Speaker 1: He's got his full core of wide receivers. Trey Harris,
- 2:41Speaker 1: his favorite target, is looking like he's finally going to
- 2:43Speaker 1: be back. You know, we played that cat and mouse
- 2:46Speaker 1: game with Lane Kiffin for a few weeks. There is
- 2:48Speaker 1: he going to play? Is he not? He's dressed, he's
- 2:50Speaker 1: in sweats, looks like he's going to be good to go,
- 2:53Speaker 1: and we know that he is a target machine. But
- 2:56Speaker 1: you got to pay for it. That's the thing, is
- 2:58Speaker 1: that where you want to spend your money. That the
- 3:00Speaker 1: decision you have to make this week. You're probably gonna
- 3:02Speaker 1: hear me say that a lot. It's just the way
- 3:04Speaker 1: of the way of the slate for week thirteen is
- 3:07Speaker 1: that you just got to figure out where you want
- 3:09Speaker 1: to spend your money if you do want to discount
- 3:11Speaker 1: cad and Lee, Jordan Watkins, Antwine Wells all on the field,
- 3:13Speaker 1: always got the tight ends there pre scoring and right,
- 3:17Speaker 1: all of them really solid options. You know, with Harris
- 3:22Speaker 1: being in the nine k's, if everybody's back, you know,
- 3:25Speaker 1: it's it's tough to say. It's all subjective at this point.
- 3:27Speaker 1: Do we have we seen Harris with this fully healthy
- 3:31Speaker 1: corp receivers since what week one? Week two? Maybe it'll
- 3:35Speaker 1: be interesting to see this will be the first time
- 3:38Speaker 1: they're all healthy without Henry Parrish, maybe with Logan Digs.
- 3:41Speaker 1: So there's a lot of different ways that could go.
- 3:44Speaker 1: And you know, you got chief guys in the backfield.
- 3:46Speaker 1: If Bentley's going to get the bulk of the carries,
- 3:48Speaker 1: forty two hundred is a very good price for him.
- 3:51Speaker 1: On the Florida side, home dogs. You know, college football
- 3:56Speaker 1: has been weird this year. I wouldn't put it past
- 3:57Speaker 1: them to win this game, not that I'm predicting it,
- 4:00Speaker 1: but they're one win away from being Bowl eligible, so
- 4:03Speaker 1: they they're definitely gonna be coming to play. I mean,
- 4:05Speaker 1: they do play Florida State next week, so you know,
- 4:07Speaker 1: take that for what you will. That's a big rivalry though,
- 4:09Speaker 1: so you never want to go into a rivalry game,
- 4:11Speaker 1: you know, needing to win to make a Bowl. But
- 4:14Speaker 1: Lagway five k, he did not run very much last week.
- 4:17Speaker 1: That was very, very noticeable. He's got that hamstring injury
- 4:21Speaker 1: that must you know, still probably lingering a little bitter
- 4:23Speaker 1: at the very least. He doesn't want to reaggravate it,
- 4:25Speaker 1: and so you're gonna have to rely on him getting
- 4:27Speaker 1: there through the air, which he can do. I just
- 4:29Speaker 1: don't know if he can against this ole miss defense.
- 4:32Speaker 1: Bo is still the top runner even with Johnson back
- 4:35Speaker 1: bog At the bulk of the carries, and then it
- 4:37Speaker 1: was Jackson before Johnson. You know, we could see that
- 4:40Speaker 1: level out a little bit more. But you know, bo
- 4:43Speaker 1: is clearly the best runner in that backfield last week.
- 4:46Speaker 1: And then Elijah Badger ten ten targets and his you know,
- 4:49Speaker 1: after he missed a game, he was back right away
- 4:51Speaker 1: ten targets from Lagway, so you know they're cheap, but
- 4:56Speaker 1: Badger is still the clear number one there. Really mostly
- 4:58Speaker 1: looking at the ole miss side for this game, unless
- 5:00Speaker 1: you're getting some real gross game stacks and one offs.
- 5:04Speaker 1: Much better game to look at North Carolina and Boston College.
- 5:07Speaker 1: Tighter spread, decent total actually about the same total as
- 5:10Speaker 1: the last game, I think, but a tighter, more competitive
- 5:12Speaker 1: game always has a chance to go off. We had
- 5:16Speaker 1: Jacoby Criswell at quarterback. He's kind of in that seven
- 5:19Speaker 1: thousand dollars price range. I'd like, that's right in the
- 5:22Speaker 1: range this week where you feel like you want to
- 5:23Speaker 1: go up to get somebody or go down to save money.
- 5:27Speaker 1: So that's a tough price to click, you know, if
- 5:29Speaker 1: you're stacking this game. Maybe the one thing I will
- 5:32Speaker 1: say though, Omri and Hampton, he's kind of starting to
- 5:35Speaker 1: get in that Ashton G ANDT category where it doesn't
- 5:37Speaker 1: matter how much he costs. You're going to look at
- 5:39Speaker 1: him and you're probably gonna pay for him. You know.
- 5:41Speaker 1: He's set for thirty plus rushes, two billion yards on
- 5:44Speaker 1: the ground. He even had five targets last game. So here's
- 5:46Speaker 1: the thing. UNC has been running. That's all they've been
- 5:51Speaker 1: doing the last two games. One hundred and eight rushing
- 5:52Speaker 1: attempts in thirty nine passing attempts and in the last game,
- 5:56Speaker 1: Mario Hampton was the target leader. He's tied with Kobe
- 5:59Speaker 1: Pasor with five targets on the day. So this everything
- 6:02Speaker 1: is going through Hampton right now, and it like ninety
- 6:07Speaker 1: six hundred probably still isn't enough for the use that
- 6:09Speaker 1: she's gonna get. Like I said, pay Sword led the
- 6:13Speaker 1: team in targets last week against Wake. Bryson Nesbit is
- 6:16Speaker 1: out for has been out since Week seven though, and
- 6:18Speaker 1: he's still second on the team in targets. So that
- 6:19Speaker 1: kind of tells you what you need to know about
- 6:21Speaker 1: these these wide receivers. And then Boston College that I mean,
- 6:26Speaker 1: that team's just kind of a mess. Outside of a
- 6:29Speaker 1: couple of games, has been more advantageous to throw on
- 6:32Speaker 1: North Carolina, but that's not what Boston College has been doing.
- 6:36Speaker 1: Over the last couple of games, Robushots had twenty one
- 6:38Speaker 1: and twenty eight carries. Trayshawn Ward has just kind of disappeared.
- 6:42Speaker 1: You know, He's been on the field but in a
- 6:44Speaker 1: limited capacity over the last two games, four total rushing attempts,
- 6:48Speaker 1: one total target. Jordan McDonald has kind of been taking
- 6:52Speaker 1: over as the second running back that's in the rotation
- 6:56Speaker 1: and then Turbo Richard. We don't know if he's going
- 6:59Speaker 1: to be back. He could definitely see the field if
- 7:01Speaker 1: he does. The running volume is kind of cat Grayce
- 7:03Speaker 1: and James a little bit, even though he's cheap and
- 7:05Speaker 1: it's it's okay matchup if they do let him lose
- 7:08Speaker 1: sixty four hundreds and the okay price if you want
- 7:10Speaker 1: to if you want to get some game stacks going,
- 7:12Speaker 1: and but most of us going to Lewis Bond. It's
- 7:16Speaker 1: it's a tough wide receiver room right now. Harris, Morales
- 7:19Speaker 1: and Franklin all tight ends. Uh, but that's really what
- 7:22Speaker 1: it has been. Skeet's been out, he's going to be
- 7:25Speaker 1: out again. Bradley's been out, he's questionable. This week. Dino
- 7:28Speaker 1: Tomlin returned. He had twenty seven snaps but one target,
- 7:31Speaker 1: and that's only a second target of the season. So
- 7:34Speaker 1: you're getting gross with the Boston College wide receivers. But
- 7:36Speaker 1: if you know, like Dino Tomlin, if he could randomly
- 7:39Speaker 1: have a six target, five reception and two touchdown, like
- 7:41Speaker 1: it's probably not gonna happen. But he is an experienced
- 7:45Speaker 1: wide receiver. He did play last year and you know
- 7:48Speaker 1: he's just missed. He's missed a few weeks, so if
- 7:52Speaker 1: he's back and healthy. But like I said, it's it's
- 7:54Speaker 1: really Hampton and maybe Robshaw, and then you're moving on
- 7:57Speaker 1: probably big wake Forest at Miami. Miami winning in winning
- 8:05Speaker 1: into the ACC Championship, they still got that shot at
- 8:07Speaker 1: the playoff, so they're gonna be playing tough. The one
- 8:11Speaker 1: thing is is like Miami hasn't really been able to
- 8:14Speaker 1: put teams away this year. If you just just look
- 8:16Speaker 1: at their schedule, they've beaten teams, and they've beaten some
- 8:19Speaker 1: teams pretty handily. But like Florida State, for example, they
- 8:21Speaker 1: won by double digits. I think it was maybe even
- 8:23Speaker 1: three scores, but that game was close at halftime. It
- 8:26Speaker 1: was a tough game. The scores, the score is a
- 8:28Speaker 1: lot closer than the like the scoreboard showed. And I
- 8:33Speaker 1: mean even so, even if they do low teams out,
- 8:35Speaker 1: they're still giving up a lot of points. You know,
- 8:37Speaker 1: guys have had big games against Miami. Samir Haggins for
- 8:40Speaker 1: Duke had nine for one thirty nine and one. Jacorey
- 8:42Speaker 1: Brooks for Louisville had six for one oh seven and two.
- 8:45Speaker 1: Even Sean Atkins at South Florida had eleven for one
- 8:48Speaker 1: to twenty five. So you look at this wide receiver
- 8:50Speaker 1: room for Wake Forest and you're like, well, there's you know,
- 8:52Speaker 1: somebody's got to be either. They were pretty cheap. Donovan
- 8:55Speaker 1: Green had eight targets last game. It seems like he's
- 8:57Speaker 1: starting to elevate back to that wide receiver one after
- 9:00Speaker 1: he missed some time. So forty seven hundred is a
- 9:02Speaker 1: really fair price for him, you know. And that kind
- 9:05Speaker 1: of puts hanging Bachmeyern to the conversation too. I don't
- 9:08Speaker 1: love him necessarily, but at sixty three hundred, if this
- 9:12Speaker 1: is going to be a track meet, it could be
- 9:13Speaker 1: like a fifty two to thirty five game, and then
- 9:15Speaker 1: somebody from Wake Forrest is definitely going to get there.
- 9:17Speaker 1: And Bachmeyer at sixty three hundred doesn't need a whole lot.
- 9:20Speaker 1: But then Demon Claiborne is just a usage monster. If
- 9:23Speaker 1: you can't get up to all of those stud wide
- 9:25Speaker 1: running backs in the eight and nine k range, I mean,
- 9:28Speaker 1: Demon Claiborne is not the worst. It's more of a
- 9:31Speaker 1: volume play. And I mean, like Miami's given up almost
- 9:33Speaker 1: five yards of carry and three of the last like
- 9:36Speaker 1: three of the last four games, and I included four
- 9:37Speaker 1: to state. Claiborne's had twenty carries and four straight games,
- 9:41Speaker 1: three catches and three of those games, So it's just
- 9:43Speaker 1: the usage thing for him. And then on the Miami side,
- 9:45Speaker 1: just look at those prices kind of tells you all
- 9:47Speaker 1: you need to know. Cam Ward, you know what he is,
- 9:49Speaker 1: but he's expensive. Ristrepo, you know what he is, but
- 9:51Speaker 1: he's expensive. Horton is priced up. Really, if you want
- 9:55Speaker 1: to stack cam Ward, it's tough if you want to
- 9:57Speaker 1: get those good running backs into So why not look
- 10:00Speaker 1: at a guy like Sam Brown. He's in the three
- 10:02Speaker 1: k's on the highest team total on slate, and he's
- 10:07Speaker 1: averaging five targets per game. He had six targets last
- 10:10Speaker 1: time out, and it just provides that salary relief that
- 10:13Speaker 1: you're going to be looking for. So I don't mind him.
- 10:15Speaker 1: Arroyo had the big touchdown last week, but you know
- 10:18Speaker 1: that's kind of all he did in that game. And
- 10:20Speaker 1: then this running back room. I did lean a little
- 10:22Speaker 1: bit more Damian Martinez last game, but it had been
- 10:24Speaker 1: a fifty to fifty split before that, so it's tough
- 10:26Speaker 1: to really say if that's because of what the game
- 10:28Speaker 1: script was with Georgia Tech, you know, getting the upset.
- 10:32Speaker 1: Could they be back to similar you know, that fifty
- 10:34Speaker 1: to fifty split that we were used to. It's tough
- 10:36Speaker 1: to say. So for me, that's kind of a stay away,
- 10:39Speaker 1: especially if there's going to be a blowout and we
- 10:40Speaker 1: can see more of those you know, third and four
- 10:42Speaker 1: string guys too. I don't know, it's just tough. I
- 10:47Speaker 1: want to play these Miami guys, but pricing is just
- 10:49Speaker 1: really hard. I would imagine you're going to be different
- 10:51Speaker 1: if you can find stacks that work. Another game that
- 10:57Speaker 1: is catching my eye because of the total and the
- 11:00Speaker 1: potential shootout SMU at Virginia. It is a nine and
- 11:03Speaker 1: a half point spread. But SMU's defense again not not bad,
- 11:09Speaker 1: but they're not as good as they were earlier in
- 11:10Speaker 1: the year. They've had they've shown a few leaks. We'll
- 11:13Speaker 1: start with the SMU side. They're win out and they're in.
- 11:16Speaker 1: They're in the ACC Championship, just kind of like Miami,
- 11:19Speaker 1: so they're gonna be playing tough. But and then last
- 11:22Speaker 1: game wide receiver usage might be as condensed as it's
- 11:25Speaker 1: ever been for SMU, and by that I mean only
- 11:28Speaker 1: four guys had five targets. It was Hudson had a
- 11:33Speaker 1: big game, it was Daniels, Keishawn Smith, and then Matthew Hibner.
- 11:40Speaker 1: He played a ton, but he didn't really do anything
- 11:44Speaker 1: last week, and then Romelo Brinson. He could be back
- 11:49Speaker 1: this week. He's missed a few weeks, so it could
- 11:51Speaker 1: muddle down that wide receiver room a little bit more.
- 11:52Speaker 1: But look at the pricing again, you're looking for cheap
- 11:54Speaker 1: wide receivers this week. You could go Hudson, Daniels, Smith, Dixon.
- 11:59Speaker 1: I mean, they're they're all on the table, but the
- 12:01Speaker 1: usage has really been going to Breshard Smith. We're not
- 12:03Speaker 1: used to seeing a running back workhorse at SMU, and
- 12:06Speaker 1: Bershard Smith is still getting it. He's got five targets
- 12:09Speaker 1: in each of the last two games on top of
- 12:10Speaker 1: his upper teams to lower twenty rushing attempts. And then
- 12:14Speaker 1: Kevin Jennings. He's a dual threat quarterback, but he's been
- 12:16Speaker 1: getting there with his arm lately. He hasn't even need
- 12:18Speaker 1: to use his legs. You can't get to Virginia through
- 12:21Speaker 1: the air, so I'm not sure he's gonna need that running,
- 12:23Speaker 1: but the upside is there if he does need to
- 12:26Speaker 1: use his legs. He can, So this SMU side is
- 12:28Speaker 1: in a great spot, especially if you can if you
- 12:32Speaker 1: can get the wide receiver right, and maybe it's two
- 12:34Speaker 1: wide receivers this week. Virginia side Anthony Calandria, he coach said,
- 12:39Speaker 1: he's going to start. Not I don't think he's hurt
- 12:42Speaker 1: or anything. He just hasn't been playing very well. We
- 12:44Speaker 1: saw Tony Musket come in last game, so I don't
- 12:47Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. We know Klandria can run,
- 12:49Speaker 1: will he? This is just tough. Like I said, SMU
- 12:53Speaker 1: has shown a few leaks in their defense, are given up.
- 12:55Speaker 1: You know, they've given up twenty five or more points
- 12:57Speaker 1: in three straight games. But I want to be able
- 13:00Speaker 1: to take a chance on Calandria, But I just don't
- 13:02Speaker 1: know how invested he's going to be, especially after what happened,
- 13:06Speaker 1: you know, very like it could just be a low
- 13:09Speaker 1: and dart that you know, maybe for some reason he
- 13:11Speaker 1: gets motivated. It's a home game for Virginia, so you
- 13:13Speaker 1: never know. Xavier Brown's basically been in a fifty to
- 13:16Speaker 1: fifty split with Kobe Pace for the last couple of
- 13:19Speaker 1: games and then outsnapped him last game, and then he
- 13:23Speaker 1: had more usage for then Kobe Pace, so Brown's kind
- 13:28Speaker 1: of he hasn't really taken over. I wouldn't call it
- 13:30Speaker 1: that he's just getting a little more of the lean
- 13:32Speaker 1: and then Malchi fields price down in the six case.
- 13:35Speaker 1: His ceiling has been pretty much non existent since that
- 13:37Speaker 1: Louisville game, especially now with Chris Tyrieback that's throwing more
- 13:40Speaker 1: into the mix. Neville, you know, he'd gotten a few
- 13:44Speaker 1: more looks and a little bit more production than Tyree. Sme.
- 13:47Speaker 1: Like I said, Seb's defense is solid. So I mean,
- 13:50Speaker 1: I don't want to say that they're going to give
- 13:52Speaker 1: up twenty five points again to Virginia or more, but
- 13:55Speaker 1: you know the pathways there. Jayden Gibson, he's the guy
- 13:59Speaker 1: who hasn't done much, but he had a hamstring injury
- 14:03Speaker 1: in practice, so that could condense this wide receiver usage
- 14:05Speaker 1: just you know a little bit more to where you
- 14:08Speaker 1: might see another target for fields Neville and Tyree or
- 14:11Speaker 1: you know, even j R. Wilson or something. But mostly
- 14:13Speaker 1: looking at the SMU side. Another potentially gross stack at
- 14:16Speaker 1: Virginia comes to play. But SMU is where I'm at
- 14:21Speaker 1: this game. I mean, Indiana went out and in Ohio
- 14:25Speaker 1: state went out and in it's you know, maybe there's
- 14:29Speaker 1: a three way ties scenario that would make it weird,
- 14:31Speaker 1: but I'm not going to look into that too hard yet.
- 14:34Speaker 1: It's probably more fun real life game than it is
- 14:36Speaker 1: DFS game. You know, tough to play any of these
- 14:40Speaker 1: Indiana guys on the road at the Horseshoe. You know,
- 14:43Speaker 1: Miles Price is hurt lot it got hurt, so you know,
- 14:47Speaker 1: it seems like he's going to play. Maybe he's not
- 14:49Speaker 1: one hundred percent, but it kind of throws you know,
- 14:51Speaker 1: it spreads out the usage a little bit more in
- 14:53Speaker 1: the wide receiver room. I mean, Sirot played almost every
- 14:55Speaker 1: snap last time out against Michigan, so I don't he's
- 14:59Speaker 1: definitely still the number one guy priced. Okay, he's probably
- 15:05Speaker 1: too cheap for his production, but maybe a little expensive
- 15:09Speaker 1: for the slate. And you'll understand as you start building lineups,
- 15:12Speaker 1: I don't know if you can afford a five point
- 15:14Speaker 1: two k wide receiver. You know, maybe we'll get some
- 15:17Speaker 1: value that opens up before kickoff that'll help us, you know,
- 15:20Speaker 1: navigate roster construction a little bit better. But that's kind
- 15:23Speaker 1: of where I'm at right now. This backfield's gotten a
- 15:25Speaker 1: little weird too. Loton actually out snapped Allison against Michigan,
- 15:29Speaker 1: so that makes it more difficult. I mean, the matchup's
- 15:32Speaker 1: already there too. And then Curtis Rourke again kind of
- 15:35Speaker 1: in that middle seven to seven point five range that
- 15:38Speaker 1: hard to pull the trigger. And Ohio State, you know,
- 15:42Speaker 1: the clear favorite, good team total, but these guys are
- 15:44Speaker 1: expensive and Indiana's defense is no slouch. They got a
- 15:47Speaker 1: stud defensive tackle that you know it. I was already
- 15:51Speaker 1: concerned about the running game for Ohio State a little bit,
- 15:54Speaker 1: but even more so now that Seth McLaughlin, the's center,
- 15:56Speaker 1: tours Achilles, he's going to be out. They were already
- 15:58Speaker 1: down to left tackle and had shuffled their line around
- 16:00Speaker 1: a little bit and they're finally starting to get some chemistry.
- 16:03Speaker 1: But now they lose their starting center, and I mean
- 16:06Speaker 1: the backup center for Ohio State is good like so
- 16:11Speaker 1: it like, but it's just gonna throw chemistry a wrench
- 16:15Speaker 1: into the chemistry with that old line, and we don't
- 16:17Speaker 1: know what we're gonna get. Maybe it's not a big deal,
- 16:19Speaker 1: It honestly might not be. But if you're looking at
- 16:22Speaker 1: the Ohio State side, well, Howard's just again expensive. Judkins
- 16:27Speaker 1: and Henderson are gonna split. It's tough to pay those prices,
- 16:31Speaker 1: especially you can you want to try to find more
- 16:33Speaker 1: for those big studs, or you know, go down for value.
- 16:35Speaker 1: Jeremi Smith's the guy I'm looking at. It just continues
- 16:38Speaker 1: to produce every single week. But like even Carnel Tait
- 16:41Speaker 1: is priced up in the mid five. K's gee Scott
- 16:45Speaker 1: was injured. He left the last game, so I don't
- 16:46Speaker 1: know if he's gonna play. Kac Marik is still questionable,
- 16:50Speaker 1: probably not gonna play, so I don't know what this
- 16:53Speaker 1: wide receiver rotation is gonna look like behind Smith and
- 16:57Speaker 1: Buka and Tates. So those guys are expensive. It just
- 17:00Speaker 1: makes it tough. I'll enjoy watching this football game. I
- 17:02Speaker 1: don't know that I'm going to be taking too many
- 17:04Speaker 1: pieces from it. For DFS. Kentucky at Texas. Kentucky's a
- 17:10Speaker 1: twenty point dog on the road, So that basically tells
- 17:14Speaker 1: y'all that you need to know. They don't have any
- 17:16Speaker 1: offensive players on the at least skilled players on the
- 17:18Speaker 1: injury report, so that's good. But actually Gavin Wimsatt, I
- 17:22Speaker 1: don't know if he's heard or not, but we have
- 17:24Speaker 1: seen some cutter Bowlie play quarterback for Kentucky. You know,
- 17:28Speaker 1: they played Murray State last time out, so you got
- 17:30Speaker 1: to take that with a grain of salt. They might
- 17:32Speaker 1: have just been resting band of Griff. They didn't need him.
- 17:35Speaker 1: This running back room is healthy. You know, Trey and
- 17:38Speaker 1: and Willcox Sumo, all of these guys could see significant time.
- 17:44Speaker 1: And then you know Dane Key has the upside again.
- 17:46Speaker 1: Barry and Brown miss last game, but again Murray State.
- 17:50Speaker 1: So it these guys are cheap if you find a
- 17:54Speaker 1: touchdown or you know, like a six catch for fifty
- 17:57Speaker 1: yards and a touchdown at these prices. Okay, but I
- 18:00Speaker 1: don't know if that's a risk you want to take.
- 18:02Speaker 1: On the Texas side, quinn Ewers back down to Earth,
- 18:05Speaker 1: I guess, I mean just the same old quin years
- 18:08Speaker 1: are used to seeing. Eighty two hundred might be as
- 18:11Speaker 1: cheap as we've seen in this year, but still probably
- 18:14Speaker 1: not cheap. And Kentucky's defense is solid. I mean they
- 18:17Speaker 1: give up less than two hundred yards passing per game.
- 18:19Speaker 1: They do allow one hundred and thirty rushing yards per game,
- 18:22Speaker 1: which in college football isn't necessarily a ton, and it's
- 18:25Speaker 1: skewed by one game against Auburn where they gave up
- 18:27Speaker 1: three twenty. So I don't know that I want to
- 18:29Speaker 1: attack this defense. You know, Texas is one of those
- 18:32Speaker 1: teams that might be able to penetrate it, but I'm
- 18:36Speaker 1: not really considering yours at that price. The running back
- 18:39Speaker 1: room is still a nightmare to me. Gibson went from
- 18:41Speaker 1: being the highest producing back to barely seeing the field.
- 18:44Speaker 1: I mean, Blue and Wisner are still involved in the
- 18:46Speaker 1: pass game too, so you could look there their healthy.
- 18:49Speaker 1: Helm is priced up in the four k's finally, but
- 18:52Speaker 1: he's still, you know, really the target guy. He's still
- 18:54Speaker 1: getting the most targets, so maybe you look at him.
- 18:57Speaker 1: Matthew Golden has been on a t D streak touchdown machine.
- 19:01Speaker 1: You know, He's only got eleven targets over the last
- 19:03Speaker 1: three games, but five of those targets have ended in touchdowns.
- 19:05Speaker 1: So that's one thing you can look at. And one
- 19:07Speaker 1: thing I'm really looking at, probably the most in this game,
- 19:10Speaker 1: is that DeAndre Morris. Questionably, he showed up on the
- 19:12Speaker 1: report and you know, last game, Silas Bolden moved into
- 19:16Speaker 1: the slot and had his best, you know, maybe his
- 19:19Speaker 1: best game of the season. You know, he had I
- 19:22Speaker 1: think five targets and you know three receptions, which if
- 19:26Speaker 1: he can find the box three three catches and twenty
- 19:29Speaker 1: five yards in a touchdown. We need, like I said,
- 19:31Speaker 1: we need to find value on the slate. So at
- 19:33Speaker 1: thirty two hundred, if we get news that Moore's going
- 19:35Speaker 1: to sit, and or if we get news that Bolden
- 19:37Speaker 1: is starting, either one of those things would would help
- 19:40Speaker 1: me get to Silas Bolden a little bit. Moving on
- 19:44Speaker 1: Colorado at Kansas another big game. Texas is winning into
- 19:49Speaker 1: in case you guys didn't know that. But Colorado win
- 19:52Speaker 1: both games and they're in. If they lose one of them,
- 19:55Speaker 1: they'd need some help, so they're I mean, teams are
- 19:58Speaker 1: going to want to win. But there's just a little
- 19:59Speaker 1: bit more at State here. They are two and a
- 20:01Speaker 1: half point in favorites on the road at Kansas who
- 20:03Speaker 1: just upset BYU and put Colorado in better positions. So
- 20:06Speaker 1: Colorado might thank them before the game. But everyone's kind
- 20:09Speaker 1: of priced up a little bit. Augusta's in the four k's.
- 20:11Speaker 1: I mean, Schadur is still kind kind of in that
- 20:14Speaker 1: okay range. We've definitely seen him higher than that. Hunter Again,
- 20:19Speaker 1: he's not priced up, but nine K is still expensive.
- 20:22Speaker 1: Western's one of those guys is priced up. Shepherd is
- 20:24Speaker 1: finally priced up. Jimmy Horn is probable to play, so
- 20:27Speaker 1: you know, if we do see him, go at forty
- 20:30Speaker 1: two hundred again a cheap option. Jreylon Miller is he
- 20:35Speaker 1: had a big game. I mean, Timmin's out snapped him
- 20:37Speaker 1: last game, but Miller had had the better game overall.
- 20:40Speaker 1: And you know, Amaro Miller shouldn't be there. I don't
- 20:43Speaker 1: know why he's still there. He's out, but that's neither
- 20:45Speaker 1: here nor there. Kansas side, Jalen Daniels sub seven K.
- 20:50Speaker 1: Jalen Daniels has still taking a shot on him. He
- 20:53Speaker 1: has looked pretty good recently. His price is fair, and
- 20:56Speaker 1: you're gonna need a cheap quarterback in all likelihood at
- 20:58Speaker 1: least one, so Daniels is on my radar for sure.
- 21:01Speaker 1: Even with the high shot back, Devin Neil is still
- 21:03Speaker 1: getting a fair amount of usage, So seventy five hundred
- 21:06Speaker 1: is a fair price for him. Again in that range
- 21:08Speaker 1: where if you can't get up to those eight to
- 21:10Speaker 1: nine K running backs at all three spots, if you
- 21:13Speaker 1: do need to save a thousand or two bucks, go
- 21:16Speaker 1: to Devin Neil and then in this wide receiver room,
- 21:18Speaker 1: Lawrence Arnold is questionable right now, but he left the
- 21:22Speaker 1: last game and is now considered highly questionable, which at whatever,
- 21:26Speaker 1: that probably just means he's doubtful. But they're going to
- 21:30Speaker 1: look to guys like a Million and Wilson to fill
- 21:33Speaker 1: that void. But to me, what that says is it
- 21:35Speaker 1: probably just means more running for Daniels and Neil, more
- 21:38Speaker 1: pass catching for Luke Grim and Quentin Skinner. That usage
- 21:41Speaker 1: is probably just going to start to funnel. So those
- 21:45Speaker 1: are the guys you're probably looking at the Kansas side.
- 21:46Speaker 1: This isn't a bad game to game stack again, it's
- 21:48Speaker 1: just going to be a little bit more expensive than
- 21:50Speaker 1: you probably want to do on this slate again, another
- 21:54Speaker 1: one high team like sixty three point total, three point spread.
- 21:58Speaker 1: It's just about where you want to spend your money.
- 22:00Speaker 1: Do you want to spend it on Dylan Rizzick at
- 22:02Speaker 1: six K in this game environment? I mean, this is
- 22:05Speaker 1: the sort of thing where Dylan Rizzick a few dump
- 22:09Speaker 1: offs to r J Harvey and r J Harvey can
- 22:12Speaker 1: do the work to get Rizik there. It's one of
- 22:15Speaker 1: those situations because we know that r J Harvey is
- 22:17Speaker 1: a dude. Even at ninety eight hundred, He's in a
- 22:19Speaker 1: prime matchup here. You can throw the ball on West Virginia.
- 22:25Speaker 1: You've been able to do that all season. But Baylor
- 22:27Speaker 1: shows you could run on them too. So whatever UCF
- 22:30Speaker 1: wants to do, they're probably going to be able to
- 22:32Speaker 1: do at a fairly decent rate. The one thing I
- 22:34Speaker 1: will say is that UCF isn't throwing the ball a ton.
- 22:37Speaker 1: They're definitely running more. They threw the ball thirty four
- 22:40Speaker 1: times last game. Twenty two of those targets went to
- 22:43Speaker 1: two guys in the wide receiver room, Jacoby Jones and
- 22:45Speaker 1: Kobe Hudson, so you know where the usage is going
- 22:48Speaker 1: in the wide receiver room. They're fair in the low
- 22:50Speaker 1: five case. So I don't hate that. If you're stacking
- 22:53Speaker 1: UCF other than Harvey, it is a very cheap stack.
- 22:56Speaker 1: Same with the West Virginia side. I mean, Garrett Green
- 22:59Speaker 1: just absolutely exploded last week and it kept West Virginia
- 23:02Speaker 1: in contention. There's actually a scenario that if West Virginia
- 23:05Speaker 1: wins out, they need a three way tie with TCU
- 23:08Speaker 1: in Colorado, and they'd get in based on conference record,
- 23:12Speaker 1: conference opponent record, or something. I don't know common conference
- 23:15Speaker 1: opponent record, it doesn't matter any like West Virginia style
- 23:19Speaker 1: has a shot, so they're still playing hard. And Gary
- 23:22Speaker 1: Green kind of showed it last week, so he's he's
- 23:25Speaker 1: got the dual threat. We all witnessed it. He could
- 23:28Speaker 1: have not played a snap in the second half and
- 23:30Speaker 1: still got there. I think Jem White CJ. Donaldson still
- 23:33Speaker 1: splitting Jahem White was just a lot more productive. I
- 23:37Speaker 1: mean White out White out snapped him or no, actually,
- 23:40Speaker 1: Donaldson out snapped White last week fifty six to forty three.
- 23:44Speaker 1: White just got double the attempts. So the usage is
- 23:47Speaker 1: there for White even though Donaldson's on the field a
- 23:49Speaker 1: little bit more. And then in this wide receiver room
- 23:52Speaker 1: trailing and raise out for the year, so we could
- 23:54Speaker 1: see a little bit more. Justin Robinson, we were expecting
- 23:57Speaker 1: maybe Jayden Braid to come back, but he had a
- 23:58Speaker 1: step back in practice. To me, this really means it
- 24:01Speaker 1: gives h Hudson Clement an opportunity to become the alpha,
- 24:04Speaker 1: like the true alpha. It always seems like he's kind
- 24:06Speaker 1: of been teetering there, but this is a shot to
- 24:10Speaker 1: show it. This is a great game to game stack
- 24:13Speaker 1: if you can if you can find a way to
- 24:14Speaker 1: do it with you know, two cheap quarterbacks. There is
- 24:17Speaker 1: one expensive wide receiver, but everybody else is like, there's
- 24:20Speaker 1: salary savings in this game. Texas Tech at Oklahoma State.
- 24:26Speaker 1: If you didn't like the last total, this one's even higher.
- 24:29Speaker 1: And believe it or not, Texas tex still has a
- 24:31Speaker 1: chance to make the Big Twelve Championship. It's chaotic. I
- 24:34Speaker 1: don't know how to explain all of it, but basically,
- 24:37Speaker 1: what Texas Tech needs is a six way tie for first,
- 24:39Speaker 1: and then they need certain teams to win and lose
- 24:41Speaker 1: to get the tiebreaker leverage over the next couple of weeks,
- 24:44Speaker 1: so the chance is still there. My favorite scenario is
- 24:48Speaker 1: at Texas Tech and TCU end up in the Big
- 24:50Speaker 1: Twelve Championship. Was apparently somehow still possible, but that's what
- 24:53Speaker 1: I'm rooting for anyway. On the Texas Tech side, I
- 24:56Speaker 1: love seeing a sixty five hundred dollars Baron Morton with
- 24:58Speaker 1: the team total is thirty. You know you're gonna need
- 25:01Speaker 1: the salary savings, so he's definitely on my radar. TODs
- 25:04Speaker 1: Brooks is Tosbrooks, Oklahoma says real bad against the run.
- 25:07Speaker 1: They give up five point nine to carry one hundred
- 25:10Speaker 1: and seventy five yards to TCU. Was their first sub
- 25:13Speaker 1: two hundred game, two hundred yard game allowed on the
- 25:15Speaker 1: ground since Tulsa in Week three, and that's because TCU
- 25:18Speaker 1: only ran a twenty eight times. So that's I mean,
- 25:21Speaker 1: TODs Brooks is set up for a prime day. But
- 25:24Speaker 1: Texas Tech can throw the ball if they want to to.
- 25:27Speaker 1: You know, Oklahoma States faced mostly running teams, but they
- 25:29Speaker 1: gave up two ninety three through the air to TCU.
- 25:31Speaker 1: They gave up three or four to Arizona State through
- 25:33Speaker 1: the air. Basically, any way you want to get to
- 25:35Speaker 1: this Cowboys defense, you can. Josh Kelly has had double
- 25:38Speaker 1: digit targets in seven games this season, including eleven and
- 25:41Speaker 1: eighteen over the last two He's got one hundred yards
- 25:44Speaker 1: or more and two straight games kill Douglas. You know,
- 25:47Speaker 1: you get the salary savings. He's still viable, but he's
- 25:49Speaker 1: kind of fallen off a little bit lately, only six
- 25:53Speaker 1: and seven targets, the last two fifty one yards combined
- 25:56Speaker 1: in those two games. You know, Koye Cans still out there.
- 25:58Speaker 1: He's kind of mid with target. Jalen Knyors is interesting
- 26:02Speaker 1: because Mason Tharp went down last game, so Jalen Conyor's
- 26:05Speaker 1: got a lot more snaps and ran a lot more
- 26:07Speaker 1: routes and he had two touchdowns, so the upside is there.
- 26:11Speaker 1: He is questionable, though, so you know, if he can
- 26:14Speaker 1: go thirty six hundred is great. If he can't, we're
- 26:17Speaker 1: probably going to see John Carlos Miller. So I don't know,
- 26:20Speaker 1: you want a piece of this team, you know, if
- 26:23Speaker 1: you can stack it, even with TODJ. Brooks in one
- 26:26Speaker 1: of these pass catchers in a quarterback again, you're looking
- 26:28Speaker 1: for cheap options in Texas Tech outside of Kelly has
- 26:31Speaker 1: him on the Oklahoma State side, Allen Bowman is still
- 26:34Speaker 1: starting and I don't I really don't know why. It
- 26:39Speaker 1: doesn't really matter why he's playing quarterback against Texas Tech,
- 26:42Speaker 1: So we got to at least look at him. Two
- 26:45Speaker 1: hundred and ninety one years passing or more in three
- 26:47Speaker 1: straight games. They had that five hundred and six yard
- 26:49Speaker 1: game to Aveline Christian earlier in the year. I feel
- 26:51Speaker 1: like I bring that up every time Tech is on
- 26:52Speaker 1: the slate because it's relevant. They haven't gotten that much
- 26:55Speaker 1: better if they have it all The one thing I
- 26:58Speaker 1: will say is that Maya Luwaukee has seen some time
- 27:02Speaker 1: over the last game or two. Honest, I don't see
- 27:06Speaker 1: why he wouldn't get time in this like this is
- 27:08Speaker 1: the first irrelevant game Oklahoma States played in since two
- 27:11Speaker 1: thousand and five, which basically means every game since two
- 27:14Speaker 1: thousand and five they have been alive for the postseason.
- 27:18Speaker 1: They're not. They're not this week the first time in
- 27:21Speaker 1: almost twenty years. But they're probably still gonna run bowman
- 27:25Speaker 1: out there. At least we know what we have a bowman.
- 27:29Speaker 1: He's not good at football anymore, but he's playing Texas Tech.
- 27:33Speaker 1: Oli Gordon has been getting better at football. We're starting
- 27:35Speaker 1: to see a little bit more of the old Oli Gordon.
- 27:37Speaker 1: A couple one hundred yard games. He had thirty six
- 27:39Speaker 1: DK a few weeks ago. So you can find success
- 27:42Speaker 1: against Tech on the ground, you know, maybe he catches
- 27:45Speaker 1: a couple of passes and gets a long screen or
- 27:47Speaker 1: something like that. And then this wide receiver room it's
- 27:50Speaker 1: tightened up a little bit because Taylor Schtron's out. It
- 27:52Speaker 1: seems like it's just funneled more to Presley and stribbling.
- 27:55Speaker 1: Owens has kind of fallen off a little bit lately,
- 27:57Speaker 1: so you know, he is a little bit cheaper. I know,
- 28:00Speaker 1: without Chettron, the show to Mike King guy has seen
- 28:03Speaker 1: a little bit more run again, a thirty three hundred
- 28:06Speaker 1: guy and a thirty one point team total. Maybe you
- 28:09Speaker 1: want to get gross because I mean, Owens didn't get
- 28:12Speaker 1: a single target on twenty seven rounds last game, so
- 28:14Speaker 1: it's tough to say exactly what's going on there. But
- 28:17Speaker 1: with this total, you want pieces of this game. This
- 28:19Speaker 1: game is going to be all gas, no break. There's
- 28:21Speaker 1: no defense on either of these teams, So find your pieces.
- 28:26Speaker 1: You know, Brooks is obviously the stud of all studs.
- 28:31Speaker 1: Just got to find that salary relief BYU at Arizona State.
- 28:36Speaker 1: BYU went out and in if they lose, they need
- 28:39Speaker 1: help Arizona State. They also need to win. There is
- 28:42Speaker 1: a random scenario that Arizona State could win out and
- 28:45Speaker 1: still miss the Big Twelve Championship. But I mean these
- 28:48Speaker 1: these teams both basically have to win out and win
- 28:52Speaker 1: the Big Twelve Championship if they want to get that
- 28:54Speaker 1: automatic qualifier. Because the Mountain West and AAC are currently
- 28:59Speaker 1: ranked higher at the with Army in two lanes, so
- 29:03Speaker 1: Big twelve might not even get the AQ, But for now,
- 29:06Speaker 1: we're looking at a tight spread in a game that
- 29:09Speaker 1: is a lower total. But you know, we've seen these
- 29:11Speaker 1: tighter spread, low total games. A couple of touchdowns and
- 29:13Speaker 1: all of a sudden it's one of the higher games
- 29:15Speaker 1: on the slave as far as point totals go. Jake
- 29:18Speaker 1: Rhetz Laugh is fine. He's probably a little bit too expensive,
- 29:20Speaker 1: as has been better against the pass on the run.
- 29:22Speaker 1: So if retets Laft can use his legs, maybe the
- 29:24Speaker 1: upside there a little bit. LJ. Martin's been leading the backfield,
- 29:27Speaker 1: but you know, we're Potty's still involved and ra Patty
- 29:30Speaker 1: had a leading receiving touchdown last week. We also saw
- 29:32Speaker 1: a little bit of MOA, so I don't know if
- 29:33Speaker 1: I can pay seven K for l J. Martin. And
- 29:36Speaker 1: then in the wide receiver room, it's basically Roberts and Lassiter.
- 29:39Speaker 1: Lassitter actually has more targets, but Roberts has more receptions,
- 29:43Speaker 1: so we're probably looking at Roberts a little bit more
- 29:45Speaker 1: at six, you know, two hundred dollars savings to boot.
- 29:48Speaker 1: And then Kilan Maryon is one guy I'm looking at
- 29:50Speaker 1: is he's had five targets last game. It was his
- 29:52Speaker 1: most of the season, and he's starting to get some
- 29:53Speaker 1: more carries out of the backfield. You forty three hundred
- 29:56Speaker 1: maybe a little bit too steep for him. Cody Epps,
- 29:59Speaker 1: who he had a significant role on this team previously,
- 30:03Speaker 1: you know, tried coming back from injury last game, only
- 30:05Speaker 1: played one snap and he couldn't, you know, couldn't keep going.
- 30:08Speaker 1: So maybe we'll see him back. A value play from
- 30:11Speaker 1: this game if you want a piece of BYU on
- 30:13Speaker 1: the Arizona State side, Sam Levitt, I mean he's been
- 30:17Speaker 1: it's been on a heater, but he's seventy five hundred,
- 30:20Speaker 1: and I don't know if I honestly don't know if
- 30:21Speaker 1: you can afford to seventy five hundred dollars, Sam Levitt.
- 30:24Speaker 1: You know, if I was going to pay seventy five
- 30:26Speaker 1: hundred for a quarterback, he might be my top option though,
- 30:29Speaker 1: just because of how well he's been playing. You know,
- 30:32Speaker 1: twenty seven and two of the last three and twenty
- 30:35Speaker 1: in the other game for DraftKings points, So you know,
- 30:37Speaker 1: I don't mind it. Scatabo was back after missing a game.
- 30:41Speaker 1: He's right back to it too. He had twenty five
- 30:43Speaker 1: rushing attempts. He wasn't super efficient with it. You know,
- 30:47Speaker 1: he had four catches as well, but still didn't really
- 30:50Speaker 1: hit what we need for DFS purposes. If he had
- 30:52Speaker 1: found the end zone, he would have been fine. But
- 30:54Speaker 1: like even like BYU is considered to be a really
- 30:57Speaker 1: good team and a sloggy team maybe slows down the
- 31:00Speaker 1: but Oklahoma State, Utah and UCF, we're all able to
- 31:02Speaker 1: run the ball on him. And was Scatable being involved
- 31:04Speaker 1: in the past game too. You know, you can look
- 31:07Speaker 1: at him ninety four hundred. I don't know if you
- 31:08Speaker 1: can take him over some of those eight k guys,
- 31:10Speaker 1: but you know, well we'll see. And then Jordan Tyson.
- 31:14Speaker 1: The reason I cast on the nightth Light last week
- 31:16Speaker 1: maybe solely because of Jordan Tyson. I mean, when they
- 31:18Speaker 1: do throw the ball, he's he's it, like Mattair had
- 31:21Speaker 1: a touchdown last week. But you know, when they Jordan
- 31:24Speaker 1: Tyson is by far the number one and the first
- 31:28Speaker 1: option on almost every single passing play, it seems like,
- 31:30Speaker 1: So you know, Tyson and Scatable, I don't mind, Levitt,
- 31:34Speaker 1: I don't mind. There's a lot of guys that don't
- 31:35Speaker 1: mind from this game, like Roberts at Lasted. It's just
- 31:37Speaker 1: it's weird pricing in a lower total game, so it's
- 31:40Speaker 1: it might just be a little bit tougher to get
- 31:41Speaker 1: there for some of them. Another low total, big spread
- 31:46Speaker 1: Penn State at Minnesota. Penn State needs to keep winning there.
- 31:50Speaker 1: I mean, even if they keep winning, the likelihood that
- 31:51Speaker 1: they get into the Big Ten Championship isn't great. But
- 31:53Speaker 1: they're still live for the College Football playoffs. So they
- 31:56Speaker 1: just need to keep winning, and they took care of
- 31:58Speaker 1: business that predue last week. Penn State is one of
- 32:00Speaker 1: those teams that you feel like they're gonna let you
- 32:02Speaker 1: down at some point. But what they do. They handle
- 32:04Speaker 1: unranked teams, and they let you down against teams that
- 32:06Speaker 1: are ranked like eighteenth or something like that. Drew Eiler
- 32:10Speaker 1: again in that price range where I don't know if
- 32:12Speaker 1: I can get there. He's coming off of a huge
- 32:14Speaker 1: game against Purdue, but who couldn't have a huge game
- 32:17Speaker 1: against Purdue. The one thing I will say is at
- 32:19Speaker 1: Rutgers through for two hundred and forty yards of Minnesota,
- 32:21Speaker 1: which might as well be three to fifty for most teams.
- 32:23Speaker 1: So the opportunity is there, especially when you have a
- 32:25Speaker 1: guy like Tyler Warren who is able to make things
- 32:28Speaker 1: happen in all aspects of the game. You can run
- 32:30Speaker 1: the ball, wouldn't be surprised if he could throw the
- 32:33Speaker 1: ball better than ail or two at this point. But
- 32:36Speaker 1: Minnesota has struggled with big body receivers. We saw that
- 32:38Speaker 1: in the Rutgers game. We saw it in the Illinois
- 32:41Speaker 1: game before Pat Bryant went down a Za Kari Franklin
- 32:44Speaker 1: ended up doing the same thing. So Warren, even at
- 32:47Speaker 1: seventy seven hundred, I know, I don't probably want to
- 32:49Speaker 1: pay up too much at wide receiver, but Warren is
- 32:51Speaker 1: one of those guys that he might as well be
- 32:53Speaker 1: a running back too at this point. Speaking of running backs,
- 32:57Speaker 1: Singleton was back and healthy looking. K Tron Allen Chalk
- 33:01Speaker 1: of the Week last week, well, one of the chot guys.
- 33:03Speaker 1: I guess the only reason Kateron Allen got there is
- 33:07Speaker 1: because he found the end zone, which which is fine.
- 33:09Speaker 1: I mean, that's going to happen sometimes, but now he's
- 33:12Speaker 1: priced up a little bit, uh, and then the backfield's
- 33:15Speaker 1: just kind of muddled, you know. Allen had twenty six
- 33:17Speaker 1: snaps of Singleton sixteen last week. I don't know Corey Smith,
- 33:21Speaker 1: a four star freshman, saw some time. Maybe it was
- 33:23Speaker 1: just because of blowout, but you know, we could see
- 33:25Speaker 1: him in the mix a little bit, so I don't
- 33:28Speaker 1: know that I can touch his backfield. Uh. And then
- 33:30Speaker 1: Harrison Wallace is a cheap wide receiver option. He's put
- 33:34Speaker 1: a few nice games together recently. If he's gonna if
- 33:36Speaker 1: he can consistently do that, I'll take thirteen points from
- 33:39Speaker 1: a forty one hundred dollars wide receiver, especially in the
- 33:41Speaker 1: cash streets, just to help me get those running back
- 33:43Speaker 1: studs on the Minnesota side, Max Burrows Mury's fifty five hundred.
- 33:48Speaker 1: I don't like the matchup, but at fifty five hundred,
- 33:51Speaker 1: I might almost might have to at least give him
- 33:54Speaker 1: a look. You know, if if it's a situation where
- 33:58Speaker 1: Minnesota keeps it close and it's the fourth quarter, Brozmer
- 34:01Speaker 1: has had a tendency to be able to leave the
- 34:03Speaker 1: team down the field, so he might get a few
- 34:05Speaker 1: guard like not garbage time points, but late points. And again,
- 34:08Speaker 1: what do you needs sixteen points from him? But I
- 34:10Speaker 1: don't love it. Terrus Taylor's kind of matchup proof because
- 34:12Speaker 1: of his involvement in the passing game. I don't know
- 34:14Speaker 1: that I could pay eighty five hundred for him. When
- 34:16Speaker 1: you have tos Brooks and you know Omari and Hampton
- 34:19Speaker 1: on your radar two, it's going to be tough to
- 34:21Speaker 1: get somebody like Taylor at that price. But like I said,
- 34:23Speaker 1: this is the type of game where he could see
- 34:25Speaker 1: nine to ten receptions on dumpoffs. And then Daniel Jackson
- 34:28Speaker 1: is who you're looking at in the wide receiver room.
- 34:30Speaker 1: You know, Jamison Gears has had increased usage lately. He
- 34:33Speaker 1: had nine targets against Rutgers, So maybe some short routes
- 34:36Speaker 1: to Gears. Maybe. Like I said, thirty six hundred dollars
- 34:40Speaker 1: is the only reason I'm even talking about him. But
- 34:44Speaker 1: Jackson's really the guy in this wide receiver room. But
- 34:46Speaker 1: mostly looking at Warren on the Penn State side and
- 34:48Speaker 1: maybe Wallace and then sprinkling Jackson ers Gears or something.
- 34:53Speaker 1: It is not a great game environment, but you know,
- 34:55Speaker 1: Warren is one of those guys that you look at
- 34:57Speaker 1: regardless of the slate of the game environment. And Pittsburgh
- 35:01Speaker 1: at Louisville the last late afternoon hammer Pittsburgh with a
- 35:05Speaker 1: twenty five point team total and eight point dog on
- 35:07Speaker 1: the road both of these teams are out, so they're
- 35:09Speaker 1: just playing for whatever bowl they're going to go into.
- 35:13Speaker 1: Nay Arnel probably still gonna start. Eli Halstein hasn't been
- 35:16Speaker 1: medically cleared yet. Okay, Desmond Reid, there's nobody left. There's
- 35:22Speaker 1: just nobody left in the backfield. Daniel Carter broke his leg.
- 35:24Speaker 1: Rodney Hammond's probably not going to play because of the
- 35:27Speaker 1: red shirt issue. Derek Davis didn't play much even after
- 35:30Speaker 1: Carter went down. Jay Nabuku, maybe you'll see a few snaps,
- 35:34Speaker 1: but we saw last week it was the red show
- 35:36Speaker 1: once Carter went down. Ninety five is a pretty steep
- 35:39Speaker 1: price considering the other running backs we've already talked about
- 35:43Speaker 1: since your Lee went down with an injury last week.
- 35:46Speaker 1: So that gave DATAE. Reynolds an opportunity. If you need
- 35:48Speaker 1: a thirty five hundred dollars wide receiver, he's not the
- 35:51Speaker 1: worst option. Mumfield is priced up where it's it's tough.
- 35:54Speaker 1: Williams is on the field a lot. You know, he
- 35:57Speaker 1: does get a lot of snaps. It's still Mumfield and
- 35:58Speaker 1: Williams two and Williams saw fourteen targets last week, so
- 36:02Speaker 1: forty two hundred is a pretty fair price on him.
- 36:05Speaker 1: Bartholomew had a sweet touchdown last week. Love my tight
- 36:07Speaker 1: ends get a touchdown and then you know Johnson's the
- 36:10Speaker 1: spike guy on the Louisville side. Tyler Shuck probably just
- 36:13Speaker 1: too expensive on this slate. I know he's in a
- 36:15Speaker 1: good spot, it's just hard price to pay. Isaac Brown
- 36:21Speaker 1: status is up in the air. I would venture to
- 36:22Speaker 1: guess he doesn't play. Brown didn't sound super optimistic. Duke
- 36:26Speaker 1: Watson field in nicely one hundred and seventeen and three
- 36:28Speaker 1: last week, Keywan Brown, Donald Chane, he could still get
- 36:32Speaker 1: a few looks to. One thing it's interesting is that
- 36:34Speaker 1: Maurice hurt. Maurice Turner is a guy who's missed quite
- 36:38Speaker 1: quite a bit of time. But it seemed like he
- 36:40Speaker 1: was probably healthy enough to play last week, but he didn't. Well. Now,
- 36:45Speaker 1: since he's only played in two games this season, there's
- 36:46Speaker 1: only two games left in the regular season. He can
- 36:48Speaker 1: play in the last two games and still keep his
- 36:50Speaker 1: red shirt status. So we could see a little bit
- 36:54Speaker 1: of Maurice Turner worked in again. And I mean, if
- 36:56Speaker 1: that's the case, Duke Watson at six K, like if
- 36:59Speaker 1: he's going to RB one. Fine, but then the rest
- 37:01Speaker 1: of these guys are just gonna be muddled down, especially
- 37:03Speaker 1: if Turner plays. Jacorey Brooks still the top option eighty
- 37:07Speaker 1: two hundred, twelve targets, and he had his three hundred
- 37:10Speaker 1: yard game of the season, her third thirde hundred yard
- 37:15Speaker 1: game of the last four not even just of the season,
- 37:18Speaker 1: so he's been on a tear recently. Eighty two hundreds
- 37:20Speaker 1: is tough. Chris Bell had his first double digit target
- 37:23Speaker 1: game of the season as well, but it was a shootout.
- 37:26Speaker 1: You know they can you can throw on pit. I
- 37:29Speaker 1: mean it's fine. Mark Redmond consistent four to six target
- 37:32Speaker 1: tight end. The one thing that's interesting from here is
- 37:35Speaker 1: that Kataurus Hicks got thirty three snaps and four targets.
- 37:38Speaker 1: He outproduced Amari Huggins Bruce So again a cheap wide
- 37:42Speaker 1: receiver option that it's gross, very gross, but you might
- 37:45Speaker 1: need it this week. So yeah, it's tough the wide receivers.
- 37:51Speaker 1: There's not the clear, clear three K options this week.
- 37:54Speaker 1: There's a few that are like, it's not so bad.
- 37:56Speaker 1: It that wouldn't feel good on most slates, but with
- 37:59Speaker 1: the pricing on these guys, you're gonna like I said,
- 38:02Speaker 1: you're gonna have to make some decisions this week, and
- 38:04Speaker 1: that's just fun. Everybody's gonna have to so it evens
- 38:07Speaker 1: out the playing field. This is the Stone as you
- 38:11Speaker 1: can see up here, it's called the Stone College Football Saturday.
- 38:14Speaker 1: This is what the Stone looks like for a ship
- 38:15Speaker 1: of Nation members. We color everything so you know who's
- 38:18Speaker 1: a cash play, who's high upside, not cash play, cash consideration,
- 38:22Speaker 1: Like nobody can one hundred percent be a cash play.
- 38:24Speaker 1: They can just be in cash consideration. And then we
- 38:26Speaker 1: have everything you need to know. What's the pass and
- 38:28Speaker 1: run defense? Look like what is the run pass ratio?
- 38:31Speaker 1: How many targets is a guy getting? How many rushes
- 38:33Speaker 1: is a guy getting it? Just like even what time
- 38:36Speaker 1: is the game starting. That's underrated to have like front
- 38:39Speaker 1: and center with everything else that you need, because it
- 38:43Speaker 1: does make a difference when you're building your line, so
- 38:44Speaker 1: you can have a late swap plan, you know speaking,
- 38:47Speaker 1: a late swap plan. That is something we discuss in
- 38:50Speaker 1: the discord. Is ship at Nation, which is where you
- 38:52Speaker 1: can also get the stone. And right now is the
- 38:54Speaker 1: time to join. I think, like calendar speaking, we're about
- 38:59Speaker 1: halfway through through the football season, So there's still plenty
- 39:02Speaker 1: of football left. We're just getting like we're still getting
- 39:04Speaker 1: into NBA, NHL. MMA is still going strong. Honestly, MMA
- 39:07Speaker 1: ships every week. I say it on the video all
- 39:09Speaker 1: the time, but it just keeps happening. We've had some
- 39:11Speaker 1: NBA shippers here the past few weeks. We've had some
- 39:14Speaker 1: you know, College Football World Championship qualifiers, a lot of
- 39:17Speaker 1: big weeks in the NFL. I mean, everybody's winning. It's
- 39:21Speaker 1: it's not just limited to the people you see on
- 39:24Speaker 1: these YouTube videos. It's the entire community having success. And
- 39:28Speaker 1: the price is just something you can't beat. We want
- 39:29Speaker 1: you to pay for your contests, not your contents over
- 39:31Speaker 1: the entire year of All Access All Sports, six hundred
- 39:34Speaker 1: and ninety nine bucks. That's just comparatively speaking. Just look
- 39:40Speaker 1: at the look at you know, the competition that we have.
- 39:42Speaker 1: It's we keep our prices low for a reason, and
- 39:44Speaker 1: it's so that you can you don't have to break
- 39:46Speaker 1: your bank to find ways to get better at DFS.
- 39:49Speaker 1: And that's one thing too, is that you know, my
- 39:51Speaker 1: picks aren't any better than your picks at college football.
- 39:54Speaker 1: We want to teach you process, We want to educate
- 39:56Speaker 1: you so that you can get better see education courses.
- 39:58Speaker 1: Right here said give the monthly or better and you
- 40:02Speaker 1: get into the discord community, which is, you know, like
- 40:05Speaker 1: one of the best discord communities I've ever been a
- 40:06Speaker 1: part of, if not the best. If you do only
- 40:08Speaker 1: want to do a single sport, say you're just a
- 40:10Speaker 1: big football fan, you get college football and the NFL,
- 40:12Speaker 1: and we discounted the rate for the rest of the season,
- 40:14Speaker 1: so you can just get you know, for the rest
- 40:17Speaker 1: of the season for ninety nine bucks, or if you
- 40:19Speaker 1: want the ship Tomizer or optimizer with it, you can
- 40:21Speaker 1: do it for one hundred and twenty nine. And the
- 40:22Speaker 1: nice thing is if that includes the Super Bowl, that
- 40:24Speaker 1: means it includes all of college football bowl season too,
- 40:28Speaker 1: so it's it's a huge value. We cut the price
- 40:31Speaker 1: in half I think before the halfway point technically the
- 40:33Speaker 1: season and right now football look at next week. We
- 40:35Speaker 1: have Thanksgiving, so massive, massive slates on Thanksgiving Day, including
- 40:39Speaker 1: a million maker Black Friday's big in the college football world.
- 40:42Speaker 1: We have the third Thanksgiving a Hangover I think it's
- 40:45Speaker 1: called in college football. It's a really really good contest
- 40:47Speaker 1: coming up next week. So it's a perfect time to
- 40:49Speaker 1: join even if you're just doing the football and just
- 40:52Speaker 1: look at the success for having you know, Title with
- 40:55Speaker 1: the big win last week, Jay Bannock with another big wins.
- 40:58Speaker 1: I mean, that guy does it. Look at there's Djens
- 41:00Speaker 1: tventy five with a big win, Marley with a big win.
- 41:02Speaker 1: And you know, all of our members, like I said,
- 41:04Speaker 1: we do have some of our creators up here, but
- 41:06Speaker 1: all of our members are having success a lot of
- 41:08Speaker 1: first places. You know, the small, big black numbers and
- 41:11Speaker 1: the big green numbers. That's exactly what we want to see. So,
- 41:17Speaker 1: like I said, join, have fun in the discord, educate,
- 41:21Speaker 1: you know, talk process with everybody. Like I said, that's
- 41:24Speaker 1: what we want to teach is the process. And I
- 41:26Speaker 1: want to give a shout out to the college football team.
- 41:28Speaker 1: We've been having success all year. You know, the guys
- 41:31Speaker 1: that you know make it possible for us to do
- 41:33Speaker 1: what we do. A ship at Nation, I'm Robin's Hamhawks Smarty.
- 41:37Speaker 1: Of course, we have Monday and the editor behind the scenes.
- 41:40Speaker 1: And you know the big guy, Degenerate seventy five, you
- 41:43Speaker 1: know who's been leading the charge. He's been working on
- 41:45Speaker 1: swing season in golf, so he's been busy lately too.
- 41:49Speaker 1: While we keep the college streets college streets busy and successful,
- 41:54Speaker 1: but always remember rule number one, college football is fun.
- 41:58Speaker 1: Enjoy the process. Enjoy building your lineups. Enjoy watching college football,
- 42:03Speaker 1: even if your lineups aren't great. Just, you know, feel
- 42:07Speaker 1: good that we have the opportunity to play college dfs
- 42:09Speaker 1: and watch them. Good college football. And you know what,
- 42:12Speaker 1: hopefully your skyrocketing to the top of those leader boards,
- 42:15Speaker 1: and even more so, hopefully I see you there. We'll
- 42:18Speaker 1: see you next time. Enjoy this outro. I'm so I'm
- 42:27Speaker 1: so