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Bonus Cousin Vinny's Lock of the Week 1 · Nate's Daily Wager

• 0:06
  Welcome to Nate's daily wager. I ain't picking winners, but I
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  am making wagers. Time to put my money where my
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  mouth is. Yeah, it's called Vinny.
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  It's a 2025 NFL season and I'm back baby.
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  And for those of you who were around for last seasons run,
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  Cousin Vinny was on absolute heater going 12 and 6 on the
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  season, which is good for a 66% hit rate.
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  That's right. And to give you some context for
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  where that is that win, win rate, a break even against the
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  spread required about out of 52%.
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  And in your experience, skilled handicappers are about 55%, your
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  pros are about 58% and your Sal Ross teams of the world are 60%.
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  And now we can just add cousin Vinnie into the mix who's at
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  66%. That's right.
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  So we want to keep the momentum going from last season.
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  We want to start the season off with a W, which is a hard thing
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  to do. A hard thing to do in Week 1
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  given all the unknowns, all the new players, new places, all the
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  everyone's a year older, new coaches, you name it.
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  Lots of unknowns. So that being said, I'm going to
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  try and find some known quantity, some good data and
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  what do we know? We know Josh Allen's a good
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  quarterback. We know Lamar Jackson's a good
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  quarterback and they're playing on Sunday Night Football.
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  The Ravens are heading to Buffalo Bills Nation,
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  Everybody's fired up, big rematch from last year.
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  What do you think is going to happen?
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  Why? They just be a lot of points
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  scored and the betting public actually does not, does not
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  think there's going to be a lot of points scored.
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  In fact, sediment is well entrenched in the under of 50
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  1/2 points. 90% of the betting public loves the under.
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  So Cousin Vinny is going to completely zag and go the other
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  way and take the over over 50 1/2 points.
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  So what we need to do is take the over.
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  Enjoy the game. 2 quarterbacks that can both move the ball down
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  the field, can get first downs with their feet, have plenty of
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  weapons on each side. Enjoy the game knowing that the
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  over is going to hit and knowing that you're going to start the
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  season with AW and have some money to take to the bank.
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  So until next week, Cousin Vinny, with your lock of the
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  week. Don't forget to rate, review,
• 2:30
  subscribe, follow on Spotify, iTunes, or your favorite podcast
• 2:34
  application, and check out the show notes for some other great
• 2:37
  podcasts. Whether you're looking for
• 2:39
  general sports discussion, something team specific, or good
• 2:42
  old wrestling, you're sure to find something you'll love.
• 2:45
  Check them out and I'll see you tomorrow with another wager.