Latest / WiseKracks / How to Bet Super Bowl LX - Seahawks vs. Patriots | RANDY LEE McKAY

Transcript

How to Bet Super Bowl LX - Seahawks vs. Patriots | RANDY LEE McKAY · WiseKracks

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: All right, guys, we brought in a guy in the bullpen,
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: Lefty Randy McKay. Pretty hard to follow Vegas, Paulie seeing
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: uh Randy, super.
• 0:09
  Speaker 2: Bowl coming up. Well, first of all, you got something.
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: Here from me.
• 0:12
  Speaker 2: Uh, very nice to you.
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: You got this is what Vegas Golden Knights. Yeah, wait
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: a minute, William hillas William Hill on the shoulder.
• 0:24
  Speaker 3: Well, just h it's good.
• 0:25
  Speaker 2: I knew it was a freebie. I just figured it came.
• 0:28
  Speaker 3: It's a nice freeby.
• 0:30
  Speaker 4: Though it's a it's a Golden nce hitty to you,
• 0:37
  Speaker 4: or a jacket to you.
• 0:38
  Speaker 2: It's a William Hill jacket. To him, Caesar is a
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: non starter.
• 0:43
  Speaker 3: Always escape.
• 0:44
  Speaker 4: The tape over the firewood to him is to start.
• 0:48
  Speaker 2: A thank you.
• 0:50
  Speaker 3: They you know, I shouldn't be eblen have told you.
• 0:52
  Speaker 3: I should have just let you wear. And then somebody came.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Up to I just opened I see the first thing
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: I assuen was though. Yeah, I knew it was a freebie.
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: I just didn't know. I thought it came from all right,
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: very nice to you, very nice.
• 1:03
  Speaker 3: Yet Plus I gave you a mister wolves jacket.
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: If it's dead wood, Oh yeah, yes, yes, I love
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: life dead stuff yes, Randy, let's look at the super Bowl.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I know it's early tonight, is there? Are you gonna
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: be here for the prop line.
• 1:16
  Speaker 3: By playing a common or maybe.
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: Last year I had you bet in a couple for.
• 1:20
  Speaker 3: Me, maybe dinner again a Benny Hannah?
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: Okay, all right, we could do it. Seattle, New England.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: It's four and a half to four and a half
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: minus fifteen is a couple fives on there's three fives
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: on the screen spread.
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: Yeah, plus five minus.
• 1:34
  Speaker 5: Dollars twelve of two places, there's a couple fives and
• 1:38
  Speaker 5: some of the slower moving square moving shops, I should
• 1:41
  Speaker 5: say too, But one of the sharp shops there, Pinnacles,
• 1:44
  Speaker 5: got plus five minus twelve.
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: So any opinion? Is it too early or is it
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: I shouldn't say too early? Is the line too efficient
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: for a side or a total?
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: Here? It is?
• 1:54
  Speaker 6: But my early lean here is Seattle money line, which
• 1:59
  Speaker 6: I think will go down from the two twenty price
• 2:02
  Speaker 6: that we're kind of seeing there.
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: Yeah you think.
• 2:06
  Speaker 3: Ten.
• 2:07
  Speaker 6: I think that'll get down maybe in the one eighty
• 2:09
  Speaker 6: ish maybe.
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: Wow, you think it's gonna be dog money coming in?
• 2:12
  Speaker 3: Well, that's how they bet the super Bowl nowadays.
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah, money line, though.
• 2:16
  Speaker 3: They bet the money line dog.
• 2:17
  Speaker 6: They want that return, so you usually see an influx
• 2:20
  Speaker 6: of money in Vegas here if you like, if you
• 2:23
  Speaker 6: like Seattle that way, which I do on the money
• 2:25
  Speaker 6: line rather than lay in the points. I think they're
• 2:28
  Speaker 6: the stronger team here, even though New England does have
• 2:31
  Speaker 6: the luck factor of course in their ball camp as
• 2:35
  Speaker 6: we know. And I also laid in the under, and
• 2:37
  Speaker 6: there's no rush to bet that as well, because that
• 2:40
  Speaker 6: has dropped and I think that'll go back up.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: So under forty six forty six is available here. You
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: don't think I'll reach forty seven. That's a that's a number,
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: that's a key, probably one of the key numbers on
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: NFL totals.
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: Have you look at that guy azillion money there?
• 2:57
  Speaker 4: We got here.
• 3:00
  Speaker 3: Today's the day we.
• 3:02
  Speaker 2: Got calm here anyway, so maybe forty six and a half.
• 3:07
  Speaker 3: Could go to forty seven forty seven.
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I lean to the underall sell so I do
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: lean to the Underallso unfortunately I didn't.
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: I got forty six and a half. I thought I
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: was stealing it.
• 3:17
  Speaker 6: I don't know if the sharp guys this week, and
• 3:19
  Speaker 6: of course you said they had the rams last week
• 3:22
  Speaker 6: of what their model is is on this week, but
• 3:25
  Speaker 6: we'll have to see if they have anything usually did
• 3:28
  Speaker 6: Sometimes they're do in super Bowls all day. You know
• 3:30
  Speaker 6: Billy Walters famously, he's had some sides where he's hit
• 3:34
  Speaker 6: the Super Bowl as.
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: Well, Giant Giant. I have a buddy of mine that
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: made a very large bet. Now I look at it,
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: I kind of like it. Of course I would. He
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: bought it the six New England Patriots plus six minus
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: twenty three.
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: Bet a lot of money on it. Yeah, so I
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: just showed you his ticket.
• 3:51
  Speaker 6: Didn't even have to lay the big juice and super
• 3:53
  Speaker 6: juice on it.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: Yeah, twenty three plus six for a very very healthy
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: amount of money. However, now let's talk about props a
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: little bit. Now, I haven't really done too much with props.
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: I bet two player props. I've really done too too much.
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: I put one up on wager Talk. I put one
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: up something up. I actually really like a wager talk.
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: So you guys will join us there WT slash crack Man.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: That one's up and that one is still available, widely available.
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: So but let.
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: Me ask you, do you have any player props that
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: you bet early? Do you bet your overs early? And
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: you're unders more towards game time because the public comes in.
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: Even though they've been a little bit sharper over the years,
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: I still think the unders are played more at game time.
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: Would you say that Friday Saturday is the day to
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: bet player props if you like your unders?
• 4:42
  Speaker 6: Yeah, this is definitely where you bet the player props you.
• 4:45
  Speaker 3: Like over now early and then you know later on.
• 4:49
  Speaker 6: Any closer to kick you look for those under ones
• 4:52
  Speaker 6: which I don't know. I text you last year I
• 4:54
  Speaker 6: found a bunch of good ones.
• 4:55
  Speaker 2: You did.
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: They have the game Downtown the games they have the
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: game Downtown running aund will you'll be doing that this year?
• 5:01
  Speaker 3: I'll be doing that this year.
• 5:02
  Speaker 6: I'm in the circuit party again, so I'll be doing
• 5:06
  Speaker 6: that as well.
• 5:07
  Speaker 3: So I plan on being around here. But uh, that's
• 5:10
  Speaker 3: what I plan on.
• 5:10
  Speaker 6: And you know, if you if you targets like some
• 5:13
  Speaker 6: of these, you know, player overs, you want to bet
• 5:16
  Speaker 6: them early because you might get five ten points where
• 5:19
  Speaker 6: they move the other way and then you can decide
• 5:22
  Speaker 6: if you like.
• 5:22
  Speaker 3: To bet the other way under.
• 5:23
  Speaker 6: But you know, you can decide throughout the week whether
• 5:28
  Speaker 6: is that enough for you to play both sides? You know,
• 5:32
  Speaker 6: sometimes not, but I know people that do that, but
• 5:35
  Speaker 6: I probably won't, but if I have a really good bet,
• 5:38
  Speaker 6: but sure, I definitely look to.
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: Play them over any props you like earlier and not
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: thinking of anything you can give out to the public.
• 5:45
  Speaker 3: Nothing really is some I'm gonna look at tonight.
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: I'm want to have at least ten of them for
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: their guys at waiters. I'll just to let you guys
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: don't have a whole package full of them. But nothing
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: really yet, nothing, you.
• 5:55
  Speaker 3: Know, Like I said, the way I watched the games
• 5:57
  Speaker 3: last week was to look for some props, you know worse.
• 6:00
  Speaker 6: You know, Drake, Drake may over rushing yards might be
• 6:03
  Speaker 6: something they put out low that a guy could hit
• 6:07
  Speaker 6: and then that I think that'll go on.
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: Isn't a little scarier what you're hearing out of the
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: camp that Drake may a little shoulder problem or so,
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's what I hear over his shoulder arm something.
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: I think this is He's gonna put it all out
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: there though, I'm sure and uh in play. So maybe
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: maybe you'll get an adjusted number because of that, because
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: of the hype and the media hype I'm talking about him,
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: and so maybe Drake may over rushing yards.
• 6:28
  Speaker 6: Yeah, and then you know a couple of the receivers there,
• 6:31
  Speaker 6: that one that he has that hute that you know
• 6:35
  Speaker 6: he catches some long catches.
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: Hi, that could be an over one.
• 6:38
  Speaker 6: And then that guy for Seattle, that ship he right,
• 6:41
  Speaker 6: you know, he makes big plays when he catches. So
• 6:43
  Speaker 6: you know, maybe some receptions over even their stats over
• 6:47
  Speaker 6: could be could be a way to go all right.
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: Lastly, would you like to sing this song with me
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: to John.
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: Orlando Willian Ellison's turn Out the Liots the parties? I
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: mean sing All you Want is a really Nelson song, John,
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: you continue to bury everybody.
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: Wait a minute, hold on, hold on, I don't.
• 7:09
  Speaker 3: Remember that song more from Remember don Murder. Wait a minute,
• 7:18
  Speaker 3: hold on.
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: Time you're at the super Bowl. They're dying the know.
• 7:22
  Speaker 4: First of all, let's just back out for a minute.
• 7:25
  Speaker 4: Had you bet Bronco's money line every single week throughout
• 7:29
  Speaker 4: this football season, you'd have done very well.
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: It's a very unusual year. But you didn't tell them
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: want to do that? You told me, but the point
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: wanted to happen.
• 7:36
  Speaker 4: Well, the point is I said, Broncos win the Super Bowl.
• 7:39
  Speaker 4: So common sense would tell you you should bet the
• 7:40
  Speaker 4: Broncos because that means they're going to win every week
• 7:43
  Speaker 4: pretty much.
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: You know, come on, come on, what Vegas here?
• 7:48
  Speaker 3: Let me let me.
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: I got Randy m I got two things.
• 7:51
  Speaker 3: Broncos got us the money.
• 7:53
  Speaker 4: Broncos got you the money, and they covered by the way.
• 7:55
  Speaker 4: But okay, first of all, if they would have just
• 7:57
  Speaker 4: kicked the field goal like you should, I didn't take
• 8:00
  Speaker 4: a ten to nothing lead.
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: I didn't like that call. He's right that I didn't
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: like that play call.
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: I think he's actually regrets it now, but it's easy
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: to regret it looking back at it.
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: I forgion that was that the first quarter was the
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: first quarter.
• 8:11
  Speaker 6: For actually, analytics said, which surprised me when I heard
• 8:14
  Speaker 6: this after the game. I didn't even I thought it
• 8:16
  Speaker 6: was the right call during the game because I'm an
• 8:18
  Speaker 6: go forward, fourth and one type guy. But analytics said,
• 8:22
  Speaker 6: actually to kick the field goal there. I don't know
• 8:24
  Speaker 6: if they had factored in that it was still on
• 8:27
  Speaker 6: a quarterback or what they Yeah, yeah, you had they
• 8:31
  Speaker 6: known the weather report all the weather.
• 8:33
  Speaker 3: It makes a lot of sense.
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: How can they not know the weather? Yeah, we didn't know.
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: We didn't. We didn't know two things.
• 8:41
  Speaker 4: Completely uninterested in the Super Bowl. I don't even really
• 8:43
  Speaker 4: have a pick at this point.
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: I meant watch it.
• 8:48
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I think I'm rooting for the Patriots, which is weird.
• 8:53
  Speaker 3: Whatever.
• 8:54
  Speaker 4: I don't know, but I do want to say this.
• 8:56
  Speaker 4: I was trying to find it on my thought his
• 8:57
  Speaker 4: wife you in the comments, don't I wasn't not paying attention.
• 9:00
  Speaker 4: I was in my phone just now. I was trying
• 9:02
  Speaker 4: to find because I screenshot it, can't find it. Wanted
• 9:04
  Speaker 4: to give you props, crack, because I know you won't
• 9:06
  Speaker 4: bragg about yourself. I want to say, wager Talk posted
• 9:10
  Speaker 4: you were sixty six percent in the last month.
• 9:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah, props. We've been killing the whole season.
• 9:17
  Speaker 4: That is insane.
• 9:18
  Speaker 2: I feel bad you're deservering John. He's just n listen
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: right now.
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: What I'm not putting no money up for any bullshit poker.
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: I'm not bettering you. I am not bettering you up.
• 9:29
  Speaker 3: That was a legit. I saw that a world series.
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: World series is that in four months, I'll put them
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: in a Super Seniors if he's all going, Yeah, a
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: lot of money coming in now.
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: I'm looking this.
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: That's a big move for that sportsbook to go from
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: four and a half minus a eight to four and
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: a half minus sixteen.
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: They control some of the markets, not that that's a
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: but I'm sure they took a big bet on Seattle.
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: So yeah, New England plus the six would be a
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: great you know, people are asking me if you could
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: buy it the six, but now it's minus a dollar thirty.
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: I'm willing to lay a dollar thirty on a super
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: Bowl that could be a blowout. But I want to
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: have a ton of good props, have a I have
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: a really good play on a total here.
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: And we're gonna have some props.
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: And next week you're gonna be on us. Maybe you'll
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: have some better A week goes by, well maybe you
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: have a couple of props that we're gonna bet here tonight.
• 10:18
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'll start filling out my portfolio.
• 10:21
  Speaker 6: And you know, most of like nine of what I
• 10:24
  Speaker 6: bet usually is the last you know, Saturday.
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: Sunday, Okay, day before the game.
• 10:28
  Speaker 6: On a side note, I am rooting a little bit
• 10:31
  Speaker 6: for Seattle. They have to North Dakota State offensive linemen
• 10:35
  Speaker 6: starting at left guard and at center.
• 10:38
  Speaker 3: They're starting game pretty amazing.
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: Koda State.
• 10:41
  Speaker 6: I have two guys from the FCS that are starting,
• 10:44
  Speaker 6: and of course I'm I love the fcs.
• 10:46
  Speaker 3: I love small college hills, so I'm real, real hard
• 10:51
  Speaker 3: for Seattle to get get them guys the title.
• 10:53
  Speaker 4: I have a question for you guys. I'm getting a
• 10:56
  Speaker 4: lot of people asking because of sure they know I
• 10:58
  Speaker 4: know you.
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: Guys are who do I bet?
• 11:00
  Speaker 3: Who do I bet?
• 11:01
  Speaker 4: And they're wanting to make the bet now. I'm not
• 11:03
  Speaker 4: gonna mention any of the names of my friends about
• 11:05
  Speaker 4: my buddy Greg at BET's Apparel keeps hounding me.
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: Who do I bet?
• 11:10
  Speaker 4: Who do I bet? What is the play to make?
• 11:13
  Speaker 3: Is it? Wait?
• 11:14
  Speaker 6: Right now?
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: What is time strategy? At this time?
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: The only thing I would tell in the bet maybe
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: the under and there there's forty six is bet MGM
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: circa all over town. There is in forty six is
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: if you if you're forced to bet something? Okay, you
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: know I am not going to at this time have
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: something like that.
• 11:31
  Speaker 4: But as far as picking a side right now, you'd
• 11:34
  Speaker 4: you'd wait?
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: Would you both wait?
• 11:36
  Speaker 3: Wait?
• 11:36
  Speaker 6: Like I said, wait, I like the money line, so
• 11:38
  Speaker 6: I'm gonna wait till now.
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: Would Randy Sam?
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: People don't know Historically in this town money line is
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: much lower in Las Vegas than the sharp sports books offshore.
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: You can get a better money line because the public
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: love's betting one hundred and two hundred three hundred on
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: the dog money line historically, Yeah, and there's been so
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: many years it's pure scalps day day of the game.
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: So day of the game, Seattle might be a if
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: you're in this town, a really good money. Like he says,
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: if he can goes down to one eighty, that would
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: be unbelievable. One ninety would be great. Down to two
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: ten right now.
• 12:08
  Speaker 6: So biggest loss on a Super Bowl was what I
• 12:11
  Speaker 6: thought I had a great great bet was the year
• 12:14
  Speaker 6: in New England should have went undefeated, and I was
• 12:18
  Speaker 6: laying three point fifty and four dollars on the money
• 12:21
  Speaker 6: line with a eleven and a half twelve point favorite,
• 12:24
  Speaker 6: which is a huge advantage. And unfortunately that was my
• 12:29
  Speaker 6: worst loss in the Super Bowl. I'm still ahead on
• 12:31
  Speaker 6: Super Bowls even though I took that, you know, biggest hit,
• 12:34
  Speaker 6: one of the bigger hits in my gambling career.
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: Wow.
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: Wow, All right, guys, we'll see you next week on Wisecracks.
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: Appreciate your likes, subscribes, your comments.
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: We'll talk to you there