Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Michael Saylor Predicts $8M Bitcoin !? | EP 1013
Transcript
- 0:03It's all going to zero against Bitcoin.
- 0:06It's going up forever more. You're against Bitcoin.
- 0:16You're against freedom, yo welcome to the Bitcoin live,
- 0:26your number one source of the peaceful Bitcoin revolution
- 0:28cover. You can use culture matic
- 0:29warfare. We will be your guide through
- 0:31the separation of money in state.
- 0:34Ladies and gentlemen, it's going to be a crazy epic show.
- 0:38Michael Saylor dropping an $8 million prediction on the stage
- 0:43of BTC Prague. And I mean, it sounds completely
- 0:47absurd, $8 million Bitcoin, like let's just get to 100K first.
- 0:52But I did a little bit of research this morning.
- 0:54I spent about like an hour and a half prepping for the show.
- 0:57And I, I kind of went through the rabbit hole like, is it that
- 1:00absurd? Is it that crazy?
- 1:02Is this $8 million, you know, prediction?
- 1:05Is this $8 million anticipation of Bitcoin coming?
- 1:08Is it really that absurd? So we're going to ask that
- 1:11question today. We're going to go, we're going
- 1:13to go through all the data, all the facts and we'll, we'll,
- 1:17we'll get to it. Also, in other news as well,
- 1:20seems like US Representative Thomas Massie read Safedine's
- 1:24the Bitcoin standard and that led for him to propose on, on
- 1:29Congress floor to end the Federal Reserve, which is just,
- 1:35it's, it's fascinating. I mean, I would say we just got
- 1:38to give copies of the Bitcoin standard to everybody, or at
- 1:42least, you know, the, the Cliff Notes, because I think they
- 1:45would look at things very, very differently.
- 1:48I think if people understood what is money, I think if people
- 1:51fundamentally understood that the, that the scam of central
- 1:54banking, the scam of Fiat money, I think I think they would start
- 1:59to ask questions. And that really boils down to a
- 2:02lot of us Bitcoiners. We really got to push that
- 2:04message forward, really get people to ask the question not
- 2:07only what is money, but why should I be using a money that
- 2:11steals from me? Like the whole idea that money
- 2:14needs this magical 2% debasement in order to function is
- 2:20absolutely absurd. Wouldn't the world be a better
- 2:24place if everybody and it doesn't matter who you are,
- 2:27doesn't? No one gets a special privilege
- 2:29if they earn and money that not only does it maintain purchasing
- 2:34power, that purchasing power actually increases over time.
- 2:39I would like to believe that the world would be a much better
- 2:41place for it, in my opinion. And you know, and we, we just
- 2:45need to get that message out there.
- 2:47We need to get that that belief into the minds of everyone
- 2:52worldwide because I think the world would be a much better
- 2:55place. I think the world would be a
- 2:56much peaceful place. I think the world would be a
- 2:58much hopeful place if we got that out there.
- 3:01I think a lot of the divisions, a lot of the insanity that we
- 3:05see right now come from Fiat. It comes from broken money.
- 3:09And I think people inherently know in their bones that
- 3:12something is wrong with the system, but they continue to
- 3:16seek a political solution where this is not, there's not a
- 3:19political solution to this. It's not Donald Trump, it's not
- 3:22Joe Biden, it's not the candidates in your your party
- 3:25that are saying if you elect me into into power, we're going to
- 3:28fix all your problems. The problem is broken money.
- 3:32And if you fix the money, you fix the world.
- 3:34I truly believe that, and that's just because I know what it's
- 3:37done to my life. I know what it's done to El
- 3:40Salvador. I know what it's done to my
- 3:42friends and family who have adopted a Bitcoin standard.
- 3:44The more time that they're on a Bitcoin standard, the life just
- 3:48gets progressively better. All of a sudden, they have hope.
- 3:51They start caring about their health.
- 3:53They get more spiritual in a way, like it's crazy what
- 3:56happens when you adopt Bitcoin. So we're going to get to all
- 3:59that. It's going to be a bullish
- 4:01Monday episode for you guys. Of course, you know, start it
- 4:04off with some signal and we have a very special guest for you
- 4:07guys Today. I'm bringing up my legendary
- 4:09first to introduce them. Got Optimus feels in the house
- 4:11with a straight face. Opti.
- 4:13I don't know what it is about Monday bro but Monday is always
- 4:16rough to get started. How you doing dude?
- 4:19I'm doing good. You caught me in the middle of
- 4:21something. I, I forgot to put some tweets
- 4:23out, so you know I'm doing that right now anyways, anyways, man,
- 4:26it's it's hey, man, we're living the dream.
- 4:30Life's wonderful on the Bitcoin standard.
- 4:32And hey, we're early to the party.
- 4:33So here we are. We get to watch as the whole
- 4:36world adopts the best money in the world.
- 4:37Love to see it, love to be a part of it.
- 4:40And yeah, man, honestly, Mika, last week was a rough week for
- 4:43me. I'm not gonna lie.
- 4:44I was hurting. I like was almost kind of
- 4:46getting sick. This week I feel a lot better.
- 4:49So we'll see what happens. Hopefully I don't actually get
- 4:52sick here, but man life's good life's good.
- 4:55Let's let's bring in our guests. Let's get the show started.
- 4:57So today we got the one and only Justin Orkney on the show we're
- 5:02going to be he's been on a crusade recently about energy
- 5:06and Bitcoin mining. He's been dunking on solar
- 5:08powered and wind as well. So we're going to touch on that,
- 5:12but also Justin just made the move down to El Salvador, so
- 5:15we'll touch on that and what he's working on and then cool
- 5:18things that he's seeing. He's literally down there.
- 5:19It's raining. The whole city's shut down
- 5:21South. Anyways.
- 5:22Justin, how you doing today? Buenos Dias.
- 5:25I'm doing really well. Happy to be here, guys.
- 5:28I'm excited and sorry. Sorry.
- 5:31I missed, you know what? Two Thursdays ago I missed it.
- 5:36I didn't flake out. I had to change my flight from
- 5:39Thursday to Friday to get down here and so that was why Los
- 5:43Siento, but I'm here now. It's all good.
- 5:46It's all good. I'm just trolling you, bro.
- 5:48I'm just trolling you. Good.
- 5:50Yeah, man. Well, happy to have you on the
- 5:52show. Looking forward to talking to
- 5:54you about what are you, what are you going to explore in the
- 5:56culture segment, Opti. Bitcoin and energy and then also
- 6:00some some cool stuff that Justin's working on down in El
- 6:02Salvador. He just made the move, I don't
- 6:04know, like what this week basically.
- 6:06So I think we got a good show for you guys, absolutely.
- 6:09Man, well, I'm looking forward to it.
- 6:11It is Monday. We got to start off strong.
- 6:13But before we do that, I do want to give a very special shout out
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- 10:27At the time of recording, the Bitcoin price is 65,900 stats
- 10:33per dollar 1517 block height 848,361 blocks to having 200 and
- 10:421639 having estimate March 25th 2028 Total like network capacity
- 10:484800, Bitcoin capacity value $316 million realized monetary
- 10:53inflation 1.59% market capitalization 1.3 trillion
- 10:58Bitcoin verse gold market cap 8.13%.
- 11:03In the grand scheme of things, we are just getting started.
- 11:06All right everybody, this is the video that I wanted to show to
- 11:09you guys. This is crazy.
- 11:10This is what we mean about moving the Overton window.
- 11:13This is what we mean about breaking the Bitcoin echo
- 11:15chamber. This is what we mean.
- 11:17We need more of this. We need more representatives, We
- 11:21need more people. We need the mainstream
- 11:23consciousness reading Safa Dean's book, The Bitcoin
- 11:26Standard. We need more mainstream
- 11:28consciousness asking the fundamental question, what is
- 11:31money? We need more of mainstream
- 11:33asking the question, why do I need some money?
- 11:35Why do I need to use the money that steals from me?
- 11:37Why do I have to use the money that is that is constantly
- 11:41debasing? Don't I already pay income tax?
- 11:43Why do I have to pay this too? Those are all extreme, extremely
- 11:46important questions. And remember, the reason that
- 11:49they're so powerful is because they don't have a response.
- 11:53Like they don't know what to say.
- 11:55They don't know they don't have a good answer to this.
- 11:57Politicians are just going to gaslight, and gaslighting only
- 12:02works if the populace is not informed.
- 12:04So let's check out what Representative Thomas Massie has
- 12:07to say after reading the book The Bitcoin Standard solutions
- 12:11of this government. And I, and I was actually
- 12:14listening to an audio book by Saifa Dean Amuse called the
- 12:19Bitcoin Standard. And I'll, I'll warn anybody who
- 12:24wants to listen to that book, the 1st 80% of it, it's not
- 12:27about Bitcoin, it's about money and what is money, which I think
- 12:32is important to understanding Federal Reserve.
- 12:35And also, but he, he has to lay that down so he can explain what
- 12:39Bitcoin is, because you can't assume everybody knows what
- 12:42money was. And frankly, I learned some
- 12:44things or picked up some vocabulary that I didn't have
- 12:47about it there. And I'm was listening to that
- 12:50tape and I'm like, it is time, it is way past time to
- 12:53reintroduce a bill to end the Federal Reserve.
- 12:56And so I put it in the hopper and I thought, man, I may be the
- 13:00only one, Maybe I'll get two or three Co sponsors, but I don't
- 13:04care. This needs to be done.
- 13:06I got two dozen Co sponsors. So we, the number of Co sponsors
- 13:12of the bill to end the Federal Reserve in 10 years has gone up
- 13:1610X, which is remarkable. Yeah, that is NO10XI mean we're
- 13:23making progress everybody, but we're not quite there, right?
- 13:26And it's, again, it's a, it's a, it's a, it's two punches, right?
- 13:31Punch #1 is punch number one is Bitcoin, which gets people to
- 13:37ask the question, what is money? Why does why?
- 13:39Obviously this is better money and punch #2 is as more and more
- 13:43people ask what is Bitcoin, as more and more people come to the
- 13:47realization that central banking is inherently evil, all roads
- 13:52lead to Bitcoin. I think that's incredibly
- 13:53important to pull to point out. Anyways, here is Breedlove
- 13:57saying thanks in part to the work of Safedine.
- 14:00The question what is money will be regarded as the defining
- 14:03question of our life, of of our time in history.
- 14:07And just to kind of go through a bunch of things, right?
- 14:11Central banking enabled the war, the world wars, right?
- 14:15Central bank was established in 1913.
- 14:18Do you think it was a coincidence that the World War
- 14:20started 19/8 like a couple years later?
- 14:23I don't think that's a coincidence.
- 14:25Do you think that it happened the World War 2, the largest
- 14:27World War in human history happened with central banking.
- 14:30I don't think that's a coincidence.
- 14:32Why have the biggest financial crisis happened under central
- 14:35banking? Why was the thing?
- 14:37Why was the establishment of the federal income taxed established
- 14:41the same year as the Federal Reserve 1913?
- 14:45Why is that a thing? Like, why is people?
- 14:47And and then again, it comes to this idea of like, yeah, like
- 14:51we, we somehow like we need to and the SIOP is crazy, right?
- 14:58We need to pay a percentage of our income to Washington, DC in
- 15:03order for the for the country to, you know, run itself.
- 15:07Like that is absurd. And then not to mention the fact
- 15:10that they can't help but to spend more than they collect in
- 15:14tax revenue, which is, of course, is through currency
- 15:17debasement. And they don't talk about what
- 15:19the unintended consequences of that is, right?
- 15:23So these are all very important questions.
- 15:25Once you take the Bitcoin, once you take the orange pill, you
- 15:28inevitably will ask all these questions, what is money?
- 15:32Why do I need to use? Why are you forcing me to use
- 15:34this? Why is this stealing from me?
- 15:37And again, I don't think they have a good answer to that.
- 15:40I think that they've been riding on the fact that the populace is
- 15:43uninformed. They're riding on the fact that
- 15:46people weren't armed with the power of the Internet, which
- 15:50allows them to do their own research.
- 15:52It allows them to consume the media they want to consume.
- 15:55There's not just a handful of captured media sources anymore.
- 15:58So there's this great awakening that's happening, but we have to
- 16:02remain vigilant. You guys are the vanguard of
- 16:05this revolution. You guys have to keep in mind
- 16:08that it's not left versus right. It is green versus orange.
- 16:11We are at war with the party of orange.
- 16:14We are sorry, the party of green.
- 16:15We are at war with the party of Fiat, the party of slavery, the
- 16:20party of central banking, the party of central planning.
- 16:24And that's what we want to. That's what we want to take
- 16:25down. We want to take them down, but
- 16:27we don't. We want to do it peacefully.
- 16:29This is a peaceful revolution. After all.
- 16:31All we got to do is win over the hearts and minds of individuals
- 16:34and again ask get them to ask a very fundamental, but very basic
- 16:39question. What is money?
- 16:41That's it. That's all you got to do and
- 16:43then Bitcoin will do the rest Bitcoins incentives anyways.
- 16:46Opti, I mean, bro, we're we're making progress.
- 16:49Bitcoin more than 10 XS and then the amount of representatives
- 16:53that want to end the central bank is 10X ING as well.
- 16:56I mean, dude, if I was a central planner, if I was Christine
- 16:59Lagarde, dude, I would not be sleeping well.
- 17:03Yeah, I mean, look, I think Thomas Massey said something
- 17:07very important that I don't hear a lot coming out from
- 17:10politicians and probably not even from bitcoiners themselves.
- 17:13Is is the quote where he said like, we can't assume everyone
- 17:16knows what money is. And I, I try to explain this a
- 17:19lot of times on the show as well.
- 17:20It's like we are so far down the rabbit hole that we assume
- 17:23everyone knows what we know and we really got it.
- 17:26Always go back to the basics here and like explain the very
- 17:29simple things of like what is money?
- 17:31How does the banking system work?
- 17:33But do it in a way where like their eyes don't gloss over.
- 17:35So I'm glad that the Bitcoin standard is making rounds
- 17:39because I think once anyone reads it, they start to open up
- 17:42to a whole new vein, a whole new perspective on what is actually
- 17:45happening in the world. And to the point that you kind
- 17:48of stress and Thomas Massie said himself, you know, there's two
- 17:51dozen Co sponsors on on that bill, which I think it's very
- 17:55interesting that other politicians want to end the Fed
- 17:57as well, considering that most people would probably believe
- 18:02that the powers that be is like one monolithic entity and
- 18:06they're all in this together to steal from us.
- 18:09I think there's some hope that there are some politicians out
- 18:11there that that really do want to do good.
- 18:14And they're probably just like beholden to interests that are
- 18:18outside or rather in the background.
- 18:20You know, we we being nice outside of their control.
- 18:23But there's a lot of things going on in the world that are
- 18:26playing out in the background that we don't really see
- 18:29publicly. And it all has to go back to
- 18:31what we say here every single day on the show.
- 18:33Like it always goes back to the money.
- 18:35The money is broken. Hence why we always say that
- 18:37Bitcoin fixes this. And if you get to the root
- 18:39problem of the situation, which is the money, then you start to
- 18:43unravel the crazy stuff going on in the world.
- 18:45So I think it is hopeful that the Bitcoin message is
- 18:49spreading. And of course, it's becoming the
- 18:51defining conversation right now. And everyone and their mother
- 18:55will not be able to avoid this. So it is working.
- 18:58We are on the front lines. I don't want to say we're
- 19:01winning, but it feels like we're winning.
- 19:04Absolutely. Justin, what's your thoughts?
- 19:05Justin, what's your take on this?
- 19:08My take is it's raining and I went and got some of the rain.
- 19:11I love it. So yeah, guys, absolutely.
- 19:16I think I'd be really interested to know, you know, I went with
- 19:19Dennis Porter and Satoshi Action Fund to hand out books, the
- 19:23Bitcoin standard and a couple others 2 January's ago.
- 19:29And so I think like that I can't help but think that he didn't
- 19:34want to read the actual book when he got it on audio.
- 19:35His staff gave it to him on audio and that's perfect.
- 19:38And then he listened to it and like, that's how it goes.
- 19:40That's how it starts. But you're absolutely, I mean,
- 19:43Bitcoiners, we know this, it's the money.
- 19:46And I was on his faces. I just popped in because, you
- 19:49know, I'm down here, I'm new. I know the hostel staff, I know
- 19:52most of the security guards and those guys.
- 19:57I went on this basis because, you know, I'm sort of here and
- 20:00talk to people and it was about like Israel, Palestine.
- 20:04But then there's this guy, Truth Teller, and he was just going
- 20:06like. Back to the beginning of time
- 20:08and then all the way up to end the Federal Reserve and you
- 20:10know, Magna Carta and property rights and you know, again,
- 20:13Israel, Palestine, like confiscation of, of land and you
- 20:18know, whatever. And so then I went up and I
- 20:21said, you know, I and Maz, I was on her spaces a while ago and I
- 20:25said Bitcoin a couple times and she got frustrated and I went up
- 20:28and I said, all right, well, I won't, I won't use the words
- 20:30like no, go ahead. And I was like, no, I'm going to
- 20:32talk about it without using the word B, the B word and, and I
- 20:36did and you know, like a few 100 people in the space.
- 20:39And as like guys, money's a technology transfer value
- 20:43through space and time space with your, with other people
- 20:46solving the coincidence at once time with yourself for your
- 20:51future, your monetary energy, like Michael Saylor says.
- 20:53And you know, I just said some stuff for like, I don't know, 5
- 20:58minutes and then I went back down and they like, it's like I
- 21:02never existed. They just went right back to
- 21:05talking about religion and get the money changers out of the
- 21:08temple Guys. Hello.
- 21:11Who are the money changers? And it's, it's wild.
- 21:14Like I was trying to be as obvious as possible with the
- 21:19solution. Like Nico, you say, this guy,
- 21:22truth teller, he's very good at knowing all the problems.
- 21:25And we all know the problems. And at least I mean, that's the
- 21:27start, right? People are becoming aware of
- 21:29like, OK, well, what is inflation, right?
- 21:31It means I'm losing person power.
- 21:33But it's like, guys, there's a solution and it's not hard.
- 21:36And then there was this guy who's like, well, like, you
- 21:38know, he went a little wild and he said some stuff and everybody
- 21:41kind of freaked out about like violence.
- 21:43And then there was another thing I put, I was like, you guys,
- 21:46Bitcoin's a peaceful revolution. Like your shirts, that's a Noah.
- 21:49Where's he at? But yeah, they just, they told
- 21:53it's like no one was listening or they ha ha Bitcoin.
- 21:58It's wild. And so, you know, I think it's
- 22:01one of the reasons I'm so excited to be down here is
- 22:03because it's so different guys, because you can talk to about
- 22:09Bitcoin to anybody and a lot of people don't know and people
- 22:14might have thoughts about Buchelli and this and that and
- 22:17like, you know, government mandating.
- 22:20No, he didn't mandate anything like I can pay for my hotel room
- 22:23at this Hyatt Centric in San Salvador, but there's you can't
- 22:27use Bitcoin and almost all the gas stations all like people
- 22:31have the choice to not use it and they aren't, but they're
- 22:35willing to listen. And so I had asked the security
- 22:38guards for two minutes at a time and download WADA Satoshi and
- 22:40then I give them a tip for their service for my security and it's
- 22:46awesome. And so, yeah, I mean, it's it,
- 22:48it is not about red versus blue, it's about green versus orange.
- 22:51But it does matter who the leader is.
- 22:55And if we have two octogenarians, you know, like
- 22:58that's stupid. Get a leader's a little essay,
- 23:02you know, See what happens. Absolutely.
- 23:05All right everybody, before we move on to the new segment, I do
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- 23:43Larry Leopard, Breaston Pitch, the entire simply Bitcoin crew,
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- 23:49Adam O'Brien. It's going to be hosted in an
- 23:51amazing venue, a rustic automobile factory from 1910
- 23:55with brick walls and tons of proof of work atmosphere.
- 23:58The last Pleb Party in Miami was sold out eight days before.
- 24:02Over 1000 Bitcoin plebs are expected to attend.
- 24:05You definitely don't want to miss the Bitcoin Pleb Party
- 24:08hosted in Nashville, TN July 25th.
- 24:12See you guys there get your tickets quickly before the price
- 24:15goes up. I think there's only like 20-30
- 24:17tickets left at the $200.00 price point.
- 24:19The tickets sold out eight days before the event in Miami.
- 24:23You will not be able to get tickets at the door.
- 24:25Hope to see you guys at the Pleb Party in Nashville.
- 24:28Scan the QR code or check the link in the video description
- 24:31For more information on how to buy your tickets.
- 24:33All right everybody, let's head to news.
- 24:35Lots to talk about. The Daily News.
- 24:42I want to give a shout out to our sponsor Foundation Devices.
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- 25:29If you're thinking about getting your Bitcoin off exchange
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- 25:33Check out the passport link in the show notes below to learn
- 25:36more. All right everybody, I made
- 25:39incredibly easy for you guys to empower yourself with self
- 25:43custody. All you got to do is scan the QR
- 25:46code on your screen. It will take you directly to the
- 25:48foundation devices website where you guys can get yourself a
- 25:51passport hardware wallet, not your keys, not your cheese.
- 25:55You could pair this up with the Envoy app.
- 25:57It makes spending cold storage Bitcoin incredibly easy.
- 26:00So scan the QR code or check the link in the video description
- 26:04For more information. All right, everybody, let's talk
- 26:07about this man, the Chad sailor dropping absolute fire at the
- 26:12BTC Prague conference. And the name of his presentation
- 26:16was 21. Let me it was.
- 26:19It was. 21 lessons. Or 21 rules, 21 rules for for
- 26:24navigating Bitcoin. And he dropped a lot of stuff in
- 26:27this presentation. Now before I get to the absurd
- 26:32number, which is like this $8 million number, some were saying
- 26:37basically 70 million, which is fucking insane completely
- 26:42completely outside of the Overton window in the eyes of
- 26:45bitcoiners, right? The general like comment and
- 26:48thing that I always get is like, let's get to 100K first.
- 26:51And I completely agree. By the way, if you guys are
- 26:53enjoying the show so far, make sure to smash that like button
- 26:56help us break 100 likes on the live show within the first 30
- 27:01minutes really tells the YouTube algos to push it forward.
- 27:04If you're watching us on Rumble and on X also make sure to smash
- 27:07that like button, share the video, help us push the orange
- 27:11signal forward. Anyways, before I get to all
- 27:13that, we have to, if you want to take a look at what's going to
- 27:16happen in the future, it's probably a good idea to take a
- 27:18look at what happened in the past.
- 27:20So first I'm going to start off with this.
- 27:22This is Pete Russo, huge fan, works at Bitcoin magazine.
- 27:26I think he does some writing for Forbes and Kraken as well.
- 27:29He's the editor at large and he calls himself and I would agree
- 27:33with him. He is the Bitcoin historian.
- 27:36So he kind of goes back in time and he shows you little things
- 27:40that have happened throughout Bitcoin's history.
- 27:42And it's really important to remember.
- 27:44Like if Michael Saylor came out of the blue and he just said
- 27:48this is going to happen with Bitcoin, you'd have to take a
- 27:52look at his track record for predicting these types of
- 27:56events. So first, here is a video of
- 28:00Michael Saylor explaining why Apple's iPhone was revolutionary
- 28:04exactly 11 years ago. So this was before we had this.
- 28:09This was like when the first iPhone was released and it was
- 28:15like kind of, you know, it was it did, it was, it had limited
- 28:19functionality, had limited thing.
- 28:21But Michael Saylor was a visionary to explain that it was
- 28:24going to completely change the world.
- 28:26Now, back then, if you guys remember, the BlackBerry was all
- 28:30the buzz, the BlackBerry with the keyboard.
- 28:32No one thought that a touchscreen phone that allowed
- 28:36you to browse the Internet, allowed you to go on YouTube,
- 28:39allowed you to use Google Maps in a seamless way and a human
- 28:42friendly way that was never going to take on like I, I
- 28:46remember, I remember that I was, I'm old enough to remember that
- 28:49type of stuff. So it's important.
- 28:51You have to look at his logic back then just to compare
- 28:56because essentially he's doing the same thing.
- 28:58He's prophesizing. He's predicting a lot of these
- 29:01things are going to happen with Bitcoin.
- 29:03He did the exact same thing with the iPhone and the smartphone
- 29:08revolution, which completely changed the world, right?
- 29:11Everyone's plugged in now. You know, this wasn't a thing 15
- 29:15years ago. You had BlackBerry, but that was
- 29:18like BlackBerry Messenger. That was the thing.
- 29:20Now your iPhone or your, your smartphone, your Android device,
- 29:23it literally does everything. You want food delivered to your
- 29:26house. You want an Uber to pick you up
- 29:28You want directions, You have a question ChatGPT it it also
- 29:32functions as a Bitcoin wallet. Everything and anything your
- 29:34smartphone does, it's like a computer in your hand right?
- 29:37So anyways, let's check out this video.
- 29:40Look, I mean, Apple Computer was like worth 3 billion twelve
- 29:43years ago and then went to 600 billion.
- 29:45If you ask me, Apple Computer's going to $2000 a share, right?
- 29:48I mean, I'd be very, very long in that company.
- 29:50Whoever's selling that stock must be a moron, right?
- 29:53I mean, this, this is a company that's going to actually have 4
- 29:56billion devices out there. If they roll them over once
- 29:59every four years, they're going to sell a billion devices a
- 30:01year. And, and the thing that people
- 30:03they don't get right, you either get it.
- 30:05You don't get it. I'm going to come back to your
- 30:07PC question. I don't know a lot about PCs.
- 30:09I bought 10,020 thousand PCs in my life.
- 30:12I got 3000 sitting underneath my desks.
- 30:15You put a Dell computer underneath the desk.
- 30:17You don't care that it's loud and and it's hot and it's a
- 30:22power hog and it's ugly and it's heavy and it's like an ugly
- 30:27beige cabinet with screws showing.
- 30:30You don't give a crap. You just want it to be $400.00
- 30:32or $500. OK?
- 30:34You put a phone in your pocket and you sleep on it or next to
- 30:37it. You care whether it's hot.
- 30:39You care what it looks like. You care the the battery life.
- 30:41You care about the radio. This is an iPhone 5.
- 30:44This runs 10 times faster than an iPhone 4.
- 30:47There's not an 8 year old on the planet that doesn't want an
- 30:49iPhone 5, right? Who wants to wait 42 seconds to
- 30:54watch something download instead of two seconds?
- 30:57Nobody, right? You don't have to be a genius to
- 30:59run Apple Computer. You just have to, every year and
- 31:02make the product a bit lighter, a bit more elegant, make it a
- 31:05better radio, make it a better battery.
- 31:07And then I sat with, you know, one of the 10 richest guys in
- 31:11the world for dinner three nights ago, five nights ago, and
- 31:16we had dinner for four hours and he didn't have to talk, you
- 31:18know, I didn't have to talking and at one.
- 31:21And he's much more successful than I am.
- 31:24I understand that, by the way. As I said, it's like it's, you
- 31:27know, sometimes you got to do other things than just have
- 31:29opinions to make money, right? There's a lot of execution
- 31:32involved in the rest. But I have opinions.
- 31:34So. So he said to me, you know,
- 31:39Apple Computer, can these guys hold their prices?
- 31:42You know, aren't, you know, aren't they going to follow the
- 31:44model of the PC industry? Aren't their prices going to
- 31:47taper down? Their 40% margins can become 30
- 31:49and 35 and 20. And it's another example of
- 31:51people just know enough to hurt themselves, right?
- 31:54If you're going to know a subject, you better know the
- 31:56subject because because being like a, you know, dilettante and
- 32:00knowing. So, OK, he got that absolutely
- 32:05right, completely right. Like the smartphone completely
- 32:09revolutionized everything. And specifically it was Apple.
- 32:13First time they announced the iPhone, Steve Jobs, that whole
- 32:17thing. I remember I did not buy the
- 32:20first iPhone. I think I bought like iPhone 5
- 32:24where I was like, OK, you know, this thing is awesome, right?
- 32:27And of course, you know, that led Android to be a competitor.
- 32:31Windows never got on the, you know, on the smartphone thing,
- 32:36and now everyone either has an iPhone or they have an Android.
- 32:39He nailed that, right? If you had money invested in
- 32:42Apple before they announced the iPhone, and then when they
- 32:46announced it or whatever, you would have made an absolute
- 32:48killing, right? So he nailed this.
- 32:51And this is the same man that's telling you what his thought
- 32:54lot, what his thought process is.
- 32:56So this leads me to the next thing, which is all your models
- 32:59will be destroyed. Sailor on stage predicted he
- 33:01believes a 24%. And when they're talking about
- 33:07cigars, CAGAR basically means like compound interest and for
- 33:12Bitcoin in the next 10 years is extremely conservative.
- 33:15That would be 600,000 by 2034 when Godzilla comes to the
- 33:19playground, your model of what wins the game are irrelevant.
- 33:24Now I know I know what a lot of you guys are thinking like you
- 33:27know, it seems seems kind of bearish 600,000 by 2034.
- 33:30I would agree. But anyways, that's the
- 33:33conservative part. Anyways, this goes on to say
- 33:37Sailor claims for digital capital has the potential to be
- 33:40half of everything in the world where we where we are yet to
- 33:44imagine. And the reason I played for you
- 33:47guys, this video in the beginning is kind of give you an
- 33:49idea of when he was making this prediction.
- 33:53You have to understand that the iPhone was not a thing, like it
- 33:57was not it was it like what you guys take for granted today on
- 34:02what your smartphone could do that wasn't even considered.
- 34:06That wasn't even a possibility, right?
- 34:09So it's important to remember that it's very hard to think
- 34:13into the of what the future would be like because
- 34:16essentially it's like trying to go back to the 1990s or the
- 34:19early 2000s and say, hey, you know what, in 20 years, we're
- 34:23all going to be talking simultaneously through to each
- 34:26other via Zoom or we're actually going to be making shows our
- 34:30self uploading them or like we're going to be the content
- 34:33creator yourself is not going to be, it's so inconceivable.
- 34:37So to think that in 10 years, again, it's going to be
- 34:39completely inconceivable of the things that Bitcoin is going to
- 34:42allow individuals all over the world to do anyways.
- 34:46He goes on to say he said this will drive up by 1000 percent,
- 34:501000 times, which is $70 million per Bitcoin in today's dollars.
- 34:55Now, sounds a little bit absurd, definitely outside the Overton
- 34:59window, overly bullish. So let's look at the short term.
- 35:05Here's Fred Krueger, huge fan of the Bitcoin power law.
- 35:09We had Giovanni on the show the other day and he had some
- 35:13thoughts in relation to Michael Saylor talking about his $8
- 35:16million prediction. We played you guys the video.
- 35:19It's kind of like a like a cut up produced video of a part of
- 35:23his speech where he mentions the $8 million per Bitcoin.
- 35:27And here's Fred Krueger and he says you can definitely model
- 35:29Godzilla. He has been stomping around for
- 35:3115 years. Bitcoin will grow at 24%.
- 35:35Compound increase is in fact a rough model.
- 35:38The actual data says the following.
- 35:40The compound growth is closer to 44%.
- 35:44The compound growth is on the path to to decrease 34% to to
- 35:4834% within decade and 24% within 2.
- 35:52The volatility is about .3 in log space.
- 35:56So I did some of that math. Let's start off with $65,000
- 36:01Bitcoin. This is a compound interest
- 36:03calculator by the way. Let's add the six years until
- 36:07the end of the decade. Let's introduce the estimated
- 36:11interest rate according to Mr. Krueger.
- 36:16And if you do the calculation that gives you a half $1,000,000
- 36:20Bitcoin by the end of 2030, which is online with a with a
- 36:24lot of people are predicting. Now here's where things get
- 36:27absolutely crazy. This is where things get
- 36:30absolutely insane. And I think this is the power of
- 36:32of compounding. So let's talk about the next
- 36:35decade like the 2030, right? So Fred Krueger here estimates
- 36:40that after the end of the decade, the model is going to
- 36:43decrease to 34%. OK, so let's start off with
- 36:47let's assume that Bitcoin will be 582,000 by the end of the
- 36:51decade. Now let's add the next decade,
- 36:54the next 10 years. So 2030 till 2040.
- 36:57Let's estimate the interest rate.
- 37:00Let's add a very variance rate of 10, which will allow us to
- 37:04incorporate the decrease to 24%. And let's do the math and it
- 37:12leaves us with a $10 million Bitcoin 10 point ten 10,800,000
- 37:19by 2040. Now let's do the year the, the
- 37:24decade after, like he said, and 24% within two decades.
- 37:30So let's make the next assumption.
- 37:32But let's take a conservative approach, right?
- 37:35Because it's important to be conservative of all this.
- 37:38Let's just say that it actually wasn't a 34% increase.
- 37:42Let's just say it was just a 5 million percent increase, right?
- 37:46And now let's introduce the 24 percent expected compound
- 37:51interest rate for Bitcoin in two decades.
- 37:53So the year 2020, two 25 years basically, so 20/20/50.
- 38:01And let's have that conversation.
- 38:04So let's assume that it's $5,000,000 per Bitcoin.
- 38:08Let's do an inch, let's do a length of time of another 10
- 38:10years. Let's do an estimated interest
- 38:13rate of 24. And if we do the math, this is
- 38:16where things get absolutely nuts, right?
- 38:19So when he, when we're hearing these types of things, the $70
- 38:23million mark and you actually run the numbers with the most
- 38:27conservative estimates, doesn't sound so fucking crazy anymore.
- 38:32It just takes a lot of time, right?
- 38:35So I mean, it's absolutely crazy.
- 38:37It's absolutely insane. And by the way, I would say that
- 38:40this is in today's dollars, which is absolutely incredibly
- 38:44bullish. Anyways, Opti, what's your take
- 38:46on all this brother? Yeah, well, first and foremost,
- 38:50I just love seeing Sailor being absolutely stupidly bullish on
- 38:54Apple as well. You just love to see it.
- 38:56It's just like in his nature, it's like we're we're we're the
- 39:00same people. I love it.
- 39:01I absolutely love it. And also like one thing that
- 39:04that kind of hit me while you were saying that, like it's
- 39:07crazy how long the iPhone has been like a part of modern life.
- 39:12And it's really like a short time frame when you really look
- 39:15backwards and how inseparable it is with like the modern world.
- 39:18You know, I know there's like a movement right now of everyone
- 39:21trying to go to like, like flip flops because of all the
- 39:24surveillance and the iPhone, it's like they're, you know,
- 39:27they're tracking all of our data and we're all like, man, maybe
- 39:30we got to go move back from smartphones.
- 39:32But remember, we have a supercomputer in our pockets.
- 39:35And for better or worse, like I love the iPhone.
- 39:37It worked. It does everything I need to do.
- 39:39It's beautiful. You know, I watch videos, I
- 39:41communicate with my family. Like it's great.
- 39:43I absolutely love having a supercomputer in my pocket.
- 39:46And this is where Bitcoin is going like right now, probably.
- 39:50I'm sure if you can, for the people out there, if you map out
- 39:55how long the iPhone was out and how long the Apple stock was
- 39:59out, I'm sure you can find some connections and correlations in
- 40:01this. And like, Bitcoin's still early.
- 40:04We're still so early. And there was one thing that
- 40:06Sailor said I really enjoyed in that clip.
- 40:08It was the meme of like. Most people know enough to hurt
- 40:11themselves. And I think that's a perfect, a
- 40:13perfect meme or a perfect example of, of people's quote UN
- 40:16quote understanding of Bitcoin because most people think they
- 40:19know what Bitcoin is. You know, it's a speculation.
- 40:22You're just gambling like you're in it for the Fiat, bro.
- 40:24And then once they really dive into the the weeds of Bitcoin
- 40:28and what it does, they start to realize how big Bitcoin actually
- 40:32is. And it kind of reverts back to
- 40:33what Thomas Massie was saying in that first clip where once he
- 40:36understood the Bitcoin standard, he's like, oh, wow, this is this
- 40:40is huge. This Bitcoin thing is huge.
- 40:41Like someone said in the chat, like, I don't know if you know,
- 40:43but this Bitcoin thing is kind of a big deal.
- 40:46And this is where we're going. Bitcoin's going to fundamentally
- 40:49change the fabric of society and we're all here for it.
- 40:52So I absolutely love it. And then on the 8 million price
- 40:56prediction, like I just love the 8 million price prediction with
- 40:59no time frame. Like that's a legit speculation.
- 41:01Like I absolutely love it. But wait, hold on a second.
- 41:05Hold your thought. No, no, no.
- 41:07So, OK, so according to this by the end of 2040.
- 41:12OK, OK, OK, OK. By the.
- 41:14End of 2040, if Bitcoin does a 24% compound growth, it's about
- 41:205 million at the end of 2040. By 2040, if it does a 34%
- 41:26compound growth, it's a 10,800,000.
- 41:29Okay, love it. Okay, so there was a time frame.
- 41:31I absolutely love it, so I take that back, but I'm a simple man.
- 41:34I still revert back to how Finney's bullish prediction of
- 41:3710 Mail and I'm glad we've got some maths there.
- 41:40Of course, no one knows where the price of Bitcoin is going.
- 41:43Infinity divided by 21 million. All we know is that the price is
- 41:47going to go up. It's going to continue to go up.
- 41:50And but we're human and of course we like models.
- 41:52We like to map out where this is going.
- 41:55So I always think that this stuff is probably good for
- 41:57people to wrap their head around how big of a deal Bitcoin
- 42:01actually is. But hey, all I know is I'm
- 42:04stacking Bitcoin. Yeah, exactly.
- 42:06And then, and then I'll say this, right, because I know what
- 42:08a lot of you guys are going to be in the chat.
- 42:10And it's important to remember, remember, right, that this we
- 42:13have to look at the past just like we looked at what was
- 42:16happening with Michael Saylor to take it to have an idea of what
- 42:19is going to happen in the future, right?
- 42:22So you have two videos that I played for you guys.
- 42:25This is the guy making the $8 million prediction.
- 42:29He was completely right about Apple.
- 42:31And when you hear these absolutely absurd numbers that
- 42:34are just completely unbelievable, it's important to
- 42:38look at the past. If you knew that Bitcoin was
- 42:42going to go to 71,072 thousand, you know, a decade later when
- 42:48the price of Bitcoin was $100, what would you would have done?
- 42:52What would you would have done? You would have you would have
- 42:54done everything in your power to stack as much Bitcoin as
- 42:58possible. So here's one of the early
- 43:00videos of a Bitcoiners celebrating Bitcoin passing
- 43:05$100. History be made.
- 43:09Bitcoin is now up to $111. It's an all time high and it's
- 43:16continuing to rise. I've seen it break three times
- 43:19today, went up to 110, and this is the highest that it's been.
- 43:22It's ridiculous. Last trade 189 Bitcoin for $111.
- 43:32You hear that? That is crazy, dude.
- 43:36That is crazy. So it's important you you should
- 43:40look at the past if you want to take a look at what's going to
- 43:42happen in the future. Sailor has a great he has a
- 43:46great, great track record. And so does, you know, take a
- 43:52look at this video. And I'm positive that this is
- 43:55going to happen in the future. People are going to take a look
- 43:57like, dude, remember when Bitcoin was at 70K when this
- 44:01thing is at a couple $1,000,000 a coin and you'll be like, dude,
- 44:04I had an opportunity to buy AT70K, but I thought it was too
- 44:07much. So anyways, that's where I'm
- 44:09going to start Monday just to kind of give you guys something
- 44:12to think about, give you guys a little bit of hope.
- 44:16Seems like our friend over here interested.
- 44:19What are you doing? He's a little bit busy.
- 44:21So we're going to move on to the culture segment.
- 44:23Hey, whoa. Whoa, whoa, where'd you guys go?
- 44:27What's your thoughts on this bro?
- 44:30Yeah, I can't remember Go. So we're gonna move on to the
- 44:34segment. I do want to, I do want to give
- 44:37a shout out to, of of course, our friends over at Orange
- 44:40Palap. Guys, this is the Bitcoin social
- 44:43layer Stack friends who stack stats join the 10,826 Bitcoiners
- 44:49that are currently on the app. It's a great resource for you to
- 44:53connect with Bitcoiners if you're currently travelling, if
- 44:56you're on the move and you don't know any bitcoiners near you,
- 44:59the Orange Palaf has a really cool geographical feature that
- 45:02it will show you the bitcoiners that are near you.
- 45:06Also has a very clever filtration system.
- 45:08So you only find like minded, fellow minded people that are on
- 45:13the app and it's one of the best ways to reach me directly.
- 45:16This is the best way to send me Adm and I take the time to
- 45:20answer back each and every one of you guys.
- 45:22So get started download the Orange Pill app today, scan the
- 45:26QR code or check the link in the video slash podcast description.
- 45:29All right, everybody, let's hit the culture.
- 45:31Let's do this. The daily culture I just.
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- 46:31description. Opti.
- 46:33Yeah, let's go. All right, Justin, let me let me
- 46:37get this going. All right, so you've been on a
- 46:38crusade recently on Twitter. You, well, I forget what your
- 46:43official, what you've been doing at Bitcoin mining, senior or
- 46:46strategic Bitcoin mining. And I know the last couple of
- 46:49weeks you've been going really hard on solar and wind and
- 46:52batteries and really emphasizing the use of nuclear power.
- 46:57So let's just tee you up there, bro.
- 46:59What's what? What do you want to get off your
- 47:01chest in regards to solar, wind and green Bitcoin mining?
- 47:06Yeah, All right. Plebs supporting plebs, guys,
- 47:09it's important, it's fun, and it's worth your time.
- 47:17Oh, OK, yeah, so shit coins. And yeah, I've been going at it
- 47:23two weeks. No, I've been going at it for 17
- 47:27years and solar, wind and battery are shit coins, just
- 47:34like Cardano, Ethereum and blah, blah, blah.
- 47:38And you don't have to take my word for it, you should, but you
- 47:41don't have to. Take a look around California,
- 47:44largest state, second largest state in solar capacity.
- 47:50What's going to happen, guys? They're going to have probably
- 47:53rolling blackouts or there's going to be a threat of rolling
- 47:56blackouts. And the governor and the
- 47:57utilities are going to tell people not to turn on their air
- 47:59conditioning, not to charge their electric vehicles that
- 48:02they were told to buy when it's 120° out.
- 48:06Like just wait, it's going to be one of those two headlines.
- 48:08Either they don't have the blackouts because people didn't
- 48:11use their air conditioning or, and they have blackouts.
- 48:14And then, you know, Texas is number one and they're only
- 48:17saved because of Bitcoin mining. And they've been building out
- 48:22some gas too. So the point is, take a look
- 48:25around. We've been fixated emotionally
- 48:27on solar. The engineers have not been in
- 48:30charge. And I'll just wrap it up here.
- 48:32Energy scarcity, gulag, that's ESG, wind, solar, battery,
- 48:38create energy scarcity events. When people need energy the
- 48:41most, that's critical weather events, heat waves or polar
- 48:46vortexes. There's no capacity from solar,
- 48:50wind and battery. After 20 years of fixating on
- 48:54it, we've added zero capacity to the system.
- 48:56And again, don't take my word for it.
- 48:59Ask the Bitcoin miners that are trying to plug in.
- 49:01What do they hear from utilities?
- 49:04I talked to utility executives. They hear every utility's
- 49:07capacity constrained. They don't have capacity.
- 49:11That's why Amazon's going to like Amazon, Facebook, Apple,
- 49:13Microsoft, Google, hopefully Hulu, all those companies, Fab
- 49:177, they're going to be the ones to break us out of this hypnosis
- 49:21because they're done. They can't.
- 49:23They want to build data centers. They're going to have to do it,
- 49:27but there's no capacity. So they're going to have to do
- 49:29it themselves. And that's great.
- 49:31That's fine. Good, good.
- 49:33Because the regulation, the cantillion effect, the bullshit
- 49:37with solar, wind and battery, it's not.
- 49:39I don't know if it's going to get broken another way.
- 49:41That's why I'm here in El Salvador, because I don't have
- 49:43to deal with that bullshit anymore.
- 49:44I don't want to live that life of having to fight Elon Musk.
- 49:50Can I say Elon Musk? You know, I don't have to fight
- 49:52Elon Musk anymore with this crap.
- 49:53Solar, wind and battery. We're going to build nuclear,
- 49:57geothermal, and then we're going to balance the grid with Bitcoin
- 49:59mining. It's a resource, an electric
- 50:04resource. It's just the technology.
- 50:06Bitcoin mining is just like Bitcoin as a monetary system is
- 50:10a technology. Mining is a piece of It's going
- 50:14to be a piece of infrastructure on the grid.
- 50:16OK, And you want to listen to my spaces?
- 50:18I'll go into it more deeply, but I want to talk about singing
- 50:21karaoke. I've been doing it every night.
- 50:24I'm going to be in a band. It's awesome and I'm going to
- 50:26do. All right, man, it seems like we
- 50:28lost our guest. But dude, I, I did want to get
- 50:32to, I did want to get to an article actually to kind of go
- 50:36to going back to what I was saying during the during the
- 50:41news segment, which is kind of like this idea of like, I think
- 50:44a lot of us feel this way. And this is like a constant
- 50:46theme that I keep hearing, right, which is I'm too late to
- 50:50Bitcoin. These numbers are absolutely
- 50:52insane. You know, $65,989, I'm too late.
- 50:57And I think it's important to just connect the pieces.
- 51:00And then I have this article to kind of put the cherry on the on
- 51:02on top. So the first thing is you have
- 51:07Michael Saylor, his track record of correctly predicting these
- 51:10things. You have the examples of looking
- 51:12back to the OG Bitcoiners Opti. I don't know if you saw that one
- 51:15where it's like this guy that's like, I just it's too expensive
- 51:19to buy Bitcoin at $1.42. And there was like Dieter Bob
- 51:22that responded, is this guy alive?
- 51:24And then the guy's like, I'm alive but dead inside.
- 51:27So it's important to kind of look back in the past if you
- 51:30kind of have want an idea of what things are going to be in
- 51:34the future. So there's this article called
- 51:36Tom by Tom Hosnik says the game theory behind trillion dollar
- 51:41bitcoins before 20-30, which I think again is a little is a is
- 51:45a lot, but I loved his theory. So, he says, every passing
- 51:48moment contains unaccountable moving parts.
- 51:51Physical objects interacting with one one another in space,
- 51:55down to atoms and molecules bumping into one another
- 51:58influence the weather and landscape of our environment in
- 52:02complex ways that we've never been able to fully predict and
- 52:05and with certainty. On top of that, living creatures
- 52:07like us humans roam the earth, further altering our environment
- 52:11by acting upon decisions we've made.
- 52:13These decisions are produced by a brain with billions of neurons
- 52:16and by preferences of a mind of a mind built with years of
- 52:20memories and experiences. All this considered, it seems
- 52:22impossible to predict the future.
- 52:25Yet in order to live our lives, we must constantly make attempts
- 52:28to predict the future. We do so oftenly, successfully,
- 52:32by applying a framework of rules and assumptions.
- 52:35You predict that if you go to the grocery store, you will be
- 52:38able to trade for the food you desire.
- 52:40You predict that if you travel there in a car, it'd be more
- 52:42efficient than walking. You predict that if you sit in
- 52:45the driver's seat, you will be able to start your car's motor.
- 52:49You stop driving at red lights because you predict that there
- 52:51will there could be severe consequences if you don't, and
- 52:54because you predict that if you wait long enough, the light will
- 52:57turn green anyways. The more that a framework can be
- 53:00restricted by rules and reasonable assumptions, the less
- 53:03variables will exist with the possibility of surprising you,
- 53:06and the stronger you can make your predictions.
- 53:09So it goes on to say if you know you're about to win.
- 53:13Unless of course, a meteorks is down through the roof and
- 53:16destroys the dining table and any number of other unlikely
- 53:20events occur that didn't make sense to account for exchange by
- 53:23surprise. This is the manner in which I
- 53:26make the following claim. Quote This decade a trillion
- 53:29dollars will be unable to buy Bitcoin.
- 53:32I don't have a crystal ball and I can't predict the future with
- 53:34100% certainty, but I can make a confident prediction within the
- 53:39framework. So what are those rules?
- 53:41Rules of the game. One, humans engage in purposeful
- 53:44behavior. Choosing means that they believe
- 53:47are best employed to satisfy their most preferred ends. 2A.
- 53:51Persistently popular end is to save the value of one's
- 53:55production for future purposes. Three, people who want to save
- 53:59value for future purposes will choose means that they believe
- 54:02are best employed to do this. Four bitcoins properties make it
- 54:06the most useful means of saving value for future purposes.
- 54:10Five people who want to save value for future purposes will
- 54:14increasingly choose Bitcoin. It goes on to say, who's
- 54:17interested in saving value for future purposes?
- 54:20The answer is nearly all individuals and all groups.
- 54:23Basically everyone. Because of Bitcoin supply of 21
- 54:26million coins, everyone will end up competing with one another
- 54:29for a portion of the scarcest savings tool in existence.
- 54:34It goes on to say names out. What are those players, the
- 54:36individual adopters, the individual deniers, the
- 54:40individual ignorers, and the companies and NGOs?
- 54:43And they're all competing A game of musical, musical chairs,
- 54:48sovereign states, states without a national currency.
- 54:52Now that we've discussed the covered, the game structure, the
- 54:54players, and some potential strategies, let's discuss the
- 54:57manner in which I expect it to end.
- 54:59Will it be a gradual process of people casually taking seats in
- 55:03the circle of Bitcoin chairs? Will the music slowly get
- 55:06quieter over the course of years or even decades, allowing for
- 55:10older generations who don't understand Bitcoin to be
- 55:12replaced by younger generations who grew up in it?
- 55:15Let's call this theory A. Or will it end with sheer panic?
- 55:19The music suddenly stops, reality setting in and everyone
- 55:22is sent scrambling, rushing and tripping over each other to put
- 55:26ass to chair. This shall be theory B.
- 55:30However, I believe theory A is is flawed.
- 55:32Theory B prevailed. The mistake being made by
- 55:35proponents of theory A is that they are failing to assign the
- 55:38correct level of importance to the different player game.
- 55:41Player game groups, specifically the individual ignores and
- 55:45individual deniers, are basically irrelevant to the game
- 55:48when compared to the sovereign states if the head of state in
- 55:51Washington, Beijing Moscow, began to aggressively seat
- 55:55themselves among the remaining chairs.
- 55:57Bitcoin isn't going to wait for you to catch up, nor your
- 56:00grandma, nor the charming old fellow a few doors down who
- 56:04calls you for help to with operating his television.
- 56:08Therefore, I believe the music stops as soon as a
- 56:11geographically politically significant state begins
- 56:15deploying such tactics. The impetus could be as simple
- 56:18as a major oil producer demanding Bitcoin as payment for
- 56:21access to its petroleum reserves rather than Fiat currencies hot
- 56:25off the printing press. A fair trade, after all.
- 56:28Scarcity for scarcity. The veil will be lifted, the
- 56:30charade concluded, and that which has been seen cannot be
- 56:34unseen. Quote No one wants your pieces
- 56:36of paper. Sorry, The only rational
- 56:38response. Oh crap, I don't have enough
- 56:40Bitcoin. The ensuring chaos could be
- 56:42frightening, perhaps amusing in retrospect.
- 56:45The weakest Fiat currencies will be the first to fall at the
- 56:48hands of magic Internet money, followed quickly by the stronger
- 56:51Fiat currencies of governments assumed by nearly impotent
- 56:56omnipotent. It's important to remember that
- 56:59none of this is Bitcoins fault. Bitcoin itself won't be the root
- 57:02cause of the chaos, it is merely it.
- 57:04It will merely be exposing the root cause.
- 57:07The underlying problem is that society has been scrapped, has
- 57:10been scammed by decades by states issuing bad money.
- 57:14Meanwhile, the situation surrounding Fiat currencies has
- 57:16only grown more precarious. The US dollar, representing the
- 57:19strong of Fiat currencies, has seen its M2 money supply double
- 57:23in line with no one's expectations other than the
- 57:26bankers who control it. US Federal Reserve has tripled.
- 57:29The federal deficit has more than quadrupled.
- 57:32It's not a fair fight, and the results reflected the value of
- 57:35Bitcoin has surged 7500% as measured by the value of the
- 57:39dollar. With each passing moment, the
- 57:41likelihood of the music stopping increases.
- 57:44While some Bitcoin advocates throw out predictions like
- 57:4710/15/20 plus more years until Bitcoin is the dominant means of
- 57:51savings value in the world, I find such suggestions nearly
- 57:55inconceivable. I wouldn't be surprised if the
- 57:57music stops this year, this month, this week, tomorrow,
- 58:00today. I find myself sharing the music
- 58:03concern of Cowits or Kraftwits. None of the big, none of my
- 58:08fears in writing about Bitcoin is that my predictions will come
- 58:12true before I could pub them. It seems that we're only one
- 58:15small catalyst away from the world tumbling into a Bitcoin
- 58:19standard. I find it difficult to imagine
- 58:21it failing to occur before the end of the decade.
- 58:24There are a number of theories from which we why which we saw
- 58:28poor performance, which I don't get into it.
- 58:30And of course, he's referencing the last last pull cycle.
- 58:34If we use this historically bad result as a conservative
- 58:37baseline for the next adoption fever, we would be looking at a
- 58:41$300,000 Bitcoin and a total market cap of something like 7
- 58:44trillion, more than the double, more than double the value of
- 58:47Apple Microsoft. The point is, as Bitcoin grows,
- 58:51it becomes harder to ignore, and the company, States and other
- 58:54institutions that have haven't yet acknowledged the game will
- 58:57be forced to do so. Some of these wealthy players
- 59:00will panic and start taking their seats just in case.
- 59:03If things don't spiral out of control in the next wave of
- 59:06adoption, it's likely that we will see at least one more wave
- 59:09this decade. Whether whether due to the 2028
- 59:12having a secondary adoption fever of 20X would show us a
- 59:17price tag of millions of dollars per Bitcoin.
- 59:19Obviously the game would be over by then.
- 59:21There is no rational scenario where the price of Bitcoin
- 59:24casually hangs out at a 7 several $1,000,000.
- 59:27The world will have caught on to the rules of the game at that
- 59:30point. And when the price of Bitcoin
- 59:32hits such all striking numbers, it would only be because it's
- 59:35temporarily passing through them on its one way ticket to
- 59:39Infinity. I mean dude, this article is
- 59:41absolutely amazing. It talks about the, the, the
- 59:45musical chairs that is Bitcoin. I think that's something that
- 59:48people forget to understand, right?
- 59:50There's it's Infinity divided by 21 million.
- 59:53It's just a matter of time before people, people wake up to
- 59:56the reality of Fiat is a scam holding Fiat, holding bonds.
- 1:00:02It's a total scam. And I think it's just a matter
- 1:00:05of time before larger institutions, more nation states
- 1:00:10wake up to this reality. And again, it's a it causes a
- 1:00:13domino effect. And the game theory is in place
- 1:00:16and you're already starting to see that.
- 1:00:18And I'll give you a couple of examples, guys.
- 1:00:20So first, you have Donald Trump making making this part of his
- 1:00:25campaign slogan over the weekend.
- 1:00:27We'll get it to, we'll get to it.
- 1:00:29During tomorrow's episode, you had President Biden and the
- 1:00:32Biden administration trying to change tune and basically
- 1:00:36signaling that, hey, they wanted to be part of the discussions as
- 1:00:40it relates to Bitcoin, right? This is the game theory taking
- 1:00:43place. You had a China do a 180 and
- 1:00:46basically say, you know what, the US has an ETF.
- 1:00:49We're going to use Hong Kong in order for us to launch an ETF.
- 1:00:54You have the the so-called hash wars, the the thing that Max
- 1:00:58Kaiser termed, right, which is you're going to have nation
- 1:01:00states competing for the hash rate.
- 1:01:03You had Donald Trump making it part of his campaign process.
- 1:01:05And we want all the Bitcoin to be mined in the US.
- 1:01:08You have the Kingdom of Bhutan, you have El Salvador, you have
- 1:01:11Paraguay. You have all these states all
- 1:01:13over the world saying we want to mine Bitcoin, right?
- 1:01:17And then of course, you had another publicly traded company,
- 1:01:19Selmer might Scientific following in the footsteps of
- 1:01:22Michael Saylor realizing holy crap, that infinite money
- 1:01:25glitch. We can use that in order to pump
- 1:01:29our stock. We have Michael Saylor proving
- 1:01:32that his Bitcoin strategy completely destroys everything
- 1:01:36else, right? You have El Salvador making
- 1:01:38Bitcoin legal tender. So my question to you is, what
- 1:01:41do you think is going to happen? And I think that's essentially
- 1:01:43what this article is making the case for, right?
- 1:01:46You need one catalyst. What do you think is going to
- 1:01:48happen if Apple or Facebook or one of these big tech companies
- 1:01:52say, you know what, let's put some of our money into Bitcoin.
- 1:01:56Now all of a sudden they have a competitive advantage versus
- 1:01:59everyone else. And like that article pointed
- 1:02:01out, it's a game of musical chairs because there's only 21
- 1:02:04million Bitcoin and you can't inflate the supply.
- 1:02:07So it creates the situation where there's not enough Bitcoin
- 1:02:11to go around. And we've had multiple days over
- 1:02:14the last couple of months where the amount of Bitcoin being
- 1:02:17bought by the ETFs is like three or four times higher than the
- 1:02:22amount of Bitcoin being produced on a daily basis.
- 1:02:25So you're creating a perfect storm of supply shock, a perfect
- 1:02:30situation where there will be a supply shock.
- 1:02:33And what the fuck do you think is going to happen, man?
- 1:02:35So I do, I spent so much time thinking about this over the
- 1:02:38weekend, Opti, and it just made me so incredibly bullish because
- 1:02:42I think it's so obvious, man. Like this is so obvious.
- 1:02:45It's just a matter of like people kind of waking up and
- 1:02:48realizing this, you know? Yeah, I mean 100%.
- 1:02:51Look, I think what is most important to talk about is 8
- 1:02:56billion people on planet Earth all have the same problem.
- 1:02:58We have nothing to save our money in and all the quote UN
- 1:03:01quote, you know, risk free assets, risk free investment
- 1:03:05aren't as risk free as people would lead you on to believe.
- 1:03:08Hence why we always say it is a gang game of hungry hippo.
- 1:03:12You want to accumulate as much Bitcoin as possible because you
- 1:03:14understand what's going on in the world.
- 1:03:16If you understand that the money is broken, then there's no going
- 1:03:19back to the Fiat system. And it kind of really goes back
- 1:03:21to the very beginning of the show where we were talking,
- 1:03:25talking about Thomas Massey listening to Bitcoin standard
- 1:03:28and finally waking up to the problem of what is going on with
- 1:03:32the money, what is actually happening in the world.
- 1:03:34And once you realize that the money is broken, then you
- 1:03:38understand that the game maybe is not just rigged against you,
- 1:03:42but is just fundamentally broken at its core.
- 1:03:46And maybe we need to play a new game.
- 1:03:47Hence why you want to stack as much Bitcoin as possible.
- 1:03:50You want to understand what's going on.
- 1:03:52Explain to people that, hey, it might not be a ticking time or
- 1:03:56it's a ticking time bomb that might not blow up tomorrow, but
- 1:04:00it at some point there will be a transition.
- 1:04:03There will be another financial crisis and you want to protect
- 1:04:05yourself. You are on the Titanic right now
- 1:04:08and Bitcoin is that escape. It is the safety belt.
- 1:04:11And This is why we show up and do what we do so that we can
- 1:04:14explain this to as many people as possible because we all have
- 1:04:17the same problem. Our money is broken and you need
- 1:04:19to find something to protect yourself with.
- 1:04:21And of course, that is Bitcoin. Absolutely Amen to that.
- 1:04:25All right everybody, that was the June 17th 2024 show.
- 1:04:29Hopefully we can get our guest on just in a in a less shaky
- 1:04:34environment with better connection.
- 1:04:36But anyways, guys, if you enjoyed the show, you know what
- 1:04:38to do Smash the like button. Consider subscribing if you feel
- 1:04:41like we provided you value. We'll be back tomorrow for the
- 1:04:44Tuesday show of simply Bitcoin live.
- 1:04:46I'm your host Nico. It's my legendary Co host
- 1:04:48Optimus Fields. We're simply Bitcoin live, and
- 1:04:50we'll be back tomorrow. Also, stay tuned for Ruston's
- 1:04:53originals dropping in hot. All right everybody, love you
- 1:04:56all. See you on the next one.
- 1:04:59Episode was brought to you by bitcoinwell.com on a mission to
- 1:05:03enable independence.