Latest / Toadstool Sports / Monday BEST BETS | Miniscule Monday | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 6/15/26

Transcript

Monday BEST BETS | Miniscule Monday | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 6/15/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:17
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your chips.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: The black coffee on the felt. Man, you look like
• 0:24
  Speaker 2: a mess.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like they.
• 0:32
  Speaker 3: Made you this man.
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Your name steal means something on somebody for show. Put
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: the glass down, baby, look at me night, hold.
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: On, hold on nothing nice.
• 0:56
  Speaker 4: Now, hold on, hold on me.
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: But it'll get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on.
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: Stay with me. Now, what's up? Everybody?
• 1:28
  Speaker 5: It's towed back with you with Toadsol Sports for Monday,
• 1:33
  Speaker 5: June fifteenth. We went one and all on the show
• 1:36
  Speaker 5: yesterday Yankees Toronto over. The total was correct. It should
• 1:40
  Speaker 5: have been easier than it was.
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: Like.
• 1:42
  Speaker 5: We actually had to get runs from the Yankees late
• 1:45
  Speaker 5: in the game in the I think they had to
• 1:46
  Speaker 5: score in the ninth inning to get the thing over,
• 1:49
  Speaker 5: which they did. I'm not happy about the Yankees winning
• 1:52
  Speaker 5: or whatever, but you know, as long as I don't know,
• 1:55
  Speaker 5: I gotta do something with a stupid beard too.
• 1:57
  Speaker 3: What is going on here? I'm unkempt man.
• 2:01
  Speaker 5: Uh, that game should have been over a lot more
• 2:04
  Speaker 5: easily than it was if you saw what was going
• 2:05
  Speaker 5: on early in the game. But there were runners being
• 2:07
  Speaker 5: stranded on base everywhere in that game. It got to
• 2:10
  Speaker 5: a point where, I think four innings into the game,
• 2:12
  Speaker 5: the teams had to combine fifteen hits and they only
• 2:16
  Speaker 5: had scored a combined four runs.
• 2:18
  Speaker 3: At that point.
• 2:19
  Speaker 5: The game was two to two when one team had
• 2:21
  Speaker 5: eight hits and the other team had seven. So you
• 2:24
  Speaker 5: gotta be kidding me, dude, Like it should have. It
• 2:26
  Speaker 5: should have been over much more easily than the once.
• 2:28
  Speaker 5: Like up to that point there probably should have been
• 2:31
  Speaker 5: seven runs in the game or something like that.
• 2:35
  Speaker 3: We needed to go over eight and a half.
• 2:36
  Speaker 5: Although it did, it wound up eight three final Yankees.
• 2:40
  Speaker 5: Luckily we got some out of the bullpen. If the
• 2:42
  Speaker 5: game went as it was going, like, if some of
• 2:46
  Speaker 5: those runs had scored, those pitchers probably would have been
• 2:49
  Speaker 5: knocked out of the game earlier, which is kind of
• 2:50
  Speaker 5: what I expected. Neither pitcher really pitched that well, and
• 2:54
  Speaker 5: I expected some of those lesser bullpen arms to come
• 2:56
  Speaker 5: in and that didn't quite happen. But luckily enough offense
• 3:01
  Speaker 5: happened to get that thing done, and then the other
• 3:03
  Speaker 5: game was a rain out the under that I had
• 3:05
  Speaker 5: on Cleveland Detroit, so that game was not played, so
• 3:10
  Speaker 5: we only had one game yesterday.
• 3:12
  Speaker 3: There it is.
• 3:13
  Speaker 5: That's updated one fifteen sixty and seven run now over
• 3:17
  Speaker 5: the last seventy two days, over the last seventy two days.
• 3:21
  Speaker 3: Excuse me. Yeah, I don't know.
• 3:24
  Speaker 5: I don't have anything else to say about that, but
• 3:27
  Speaker 5: it is what it is. We're not on a great
• 3:29
  Speaker 5: run right now, obviously, but trying to come back. I'm
• 3:32
  Speaker 5: gonna have one play today, as you could probably assume
• 3:35
  Speaker 5: it is baseball. I have two other plays or two
• 3:39
  Speaker 5: other leans in baseball that are I think strong, and
• 3:42
  Speaker 5: I'm like, I was considering both of them, and I
• 3:45
  Speaker 5: think maybe I'm being too selective. I don't know, but
• 3:47
  Speaker 5: I picked what I think is the best one that
• 3:49
  Speaker 5: has the most situational advantage to it, the least concern
• 3:54
  Speaker 5: like surrounding the pitcher that we're going with whatever. So
• 3:58
  Speaker 5: that's what I'm going with here, and then I'll talk
• 4:01
  Speaker 5: about WNBA. I'm still WNBA. I just have not seen
• 4:05
  Speaker 5: a spot that I really love for quite a while.
• 4:07
  Speaker 5: And then World Cup, I don't have anything yet. Maybe
• 4:10
  Speaker 5: we'll start doing some World Cup once we get into
• 4:12
  Speaker 5: the teams playing their second matches and whatever, because you
• 4:16
  Speaker 5: can fade over reactions to what teams did in the
• 4:19
  Speaker 5: first match, you know what I mean, Like US had
• 4:22
  Speaker 5: a blowout win, Sweden had a blowout win yesterday and
• 4:26
  Speaker 5: what was expected to be more of a close match,
• 4:29
  Speaker 5: that type of thing. So we'll see Germany had a
• 4:31
  Speaker 5: blowout win, but that was expected, all right. And the
• 4:35
  Speaker 5: World Cup today, I think most of the favorites today
• 4:38
  Speaker 5: are pretty big.
• 4:39
  Speaker 3: One of them is one of them is quite big.
• 4:43
  Speaker 3: All right.
• 4:43
  Speaker 5: Let's get into baseball that we have like ten baseball
• 4:46
  Speaker 5: games here all in the evening Miami at Philadelphia.
• 4:50
  Speaker 3: A lot of teams are returning on from road trips.
• 4:52
  Speaker 5: So maybe surprising only one play today, but I like
• 4:55
  Speaker 5: to fade teams returning on from road trips. Philadelphia is
• 4:58
  Speaker 5: one of those teams. They went to Toronto and then Milwaukee.
• 5:02
  Speaker 5: They got shut out in two of the three games
• 5:04
  Speaker 5: at Milwaukee, though, including yesterday. A lot of times the
• 5:07
  Speaker 5: team that gets shut out will bounce back in the
• 5:09
  Speaker 5: next game, but in this case, I'd be more inclined
• 5:11
  Speaker 5: to think it's a negative spot because they're returning home
• 5:14
  Speaker 5: from the road. When that happens, teams have to get
• 5:16
  Speaker 5: back to home life then get distracted. Although Miami's not
• 5:20
  Speaker 5: that far behind Philadelphia right now and they're playing well,
• 5:23
  Speaker 5: but I think Miami is gonna be the team that
• 5:25
  Speaker 5: gets up for this game a little bit more because
• 5:27
  Speaker 5: Philadelphia seems to always be one of the better teams
• 5:30
  Speaker 5: in the division in Miami is not. Miami is hot
• 5:33
  Speaker 5: right now. They've won a lot of games recently. They've
• 5:36
  Speaker 5: won whatever this is. I think they've won seven of
• 5:38
  Speaker 5: the last eight games, something like that. And they just
• 5:41
  Speaker 5: beat Pittsburgh in the weekend series. So they're not traveling
• 5:45
  Speaker 5: very far. They're actually traveling less than Philly is here.
• 5:48
  Speaker 5: They're just going from Pittsburgh to Philly. So the situational
• 5:51
  Speaker 5: spot is definitely better for Miami here. Miami has the
• 5:56
  Speaker 5: somewhat better bullpend. They did use three.
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: Guys out of it yesterday.
• 6:00
  Speaker 5: They saw some usage over the weekend because they did
• 6:02
  Speaker 5: use a bullpen game on Saturday, Philadelphia used two guys
• 6:07
  Speaker 5: out of the bullpen. I arranged bullpen by Whip. Miami
• 6:11
  Speaker 5: is ranked eighth, Philadelphia's thirteenth. Neither bullpen is that bad,
• 6:15
  Speaker 5: though they're both fairly decent hitting wise, Philadelphia still continues
• 6:20
  Speaker 5: to struggle at twenty eighth. As I said, they got
• 6:23
  Speaker 5: shut out twice in that Milwaukee series. Milwaukee is a
• 6:26
  Speaker 5: good pitching team, though, and I believe yesterday's game that
• 6:30
  Speaker 5: I said was too obvious of an under that did
• 6:32
  Speaker 5: go way under. I did say Milwaukee was potentially a
• 6:37
  Speaker 5: way to look in that game, and they won. Kyle
• 6:39
  Speaker 5: Harrison was excellent in that game. Yet again, as I said,
• 6:43
  Speaker 5: I thought his previous game was a fluke, just a
• 6:46
  Speaker 5: bad pitching scenario for him. So there go in that
• 6:50
  Speaker 5: Las Vegas stadium, which I'll talk about that later in
• 6:54
  Speaker 5: the show as well.
• 6:55
  Speaker 3: But anyway, what was like, Oh I was talking about
• 6:57
  Speaker 3: the hitting.
• 6:58
  Speaker 5: Yeah, Miami is nineteenth an offense, so they were ranked
• 7:01
  Speaker 5: higher than Philadelphia. Ryan Gusto is pitching for Miami, and
• 7:05
  Speaker 5: this is where the problems start coming. And they're like, yeah,
• 7:08
  Speaker 5: Miami's in a good situational spot, but they're also at
• 7:10
  Speaker 5: a huge starting pitching disadvantage.
• 7:13
  Speaker 3: Gusto is not good.
• 7:14
  Speaker 5: He has a six ERA one point four to four
• 7:16
  Speaker 5: whip really bad on the road, thirteen point five.
• 7:20
  Speaker 3: Roady Ray.
• 7:21
  Speaker 5: I know it's a small sample size. He's only gone
• 7:23
  Speaker 5: nine innings so far, but that's also not good considering
• 7:26
  Speaker 5: he's got He's had four appearances so far. He hasn't
• 7:30
  Speaker 5: gone deep brilliant to any of them. His last one
• 7:32
  Speaker 5: was actually good, it was his best. He went four
• 7:34
  Speaker 5: shutout innings against Arizona. Arizona hasn't been hitting well recently.
• 7:39
  Speaker 5: I'm just not buying it. Though I know Philadelphia is
• 7:41
  Speaker 5: not hitting that well either, but I'm not buying what
• 7:43
  Speaker 5: I'm seeing here. Although he does have a nine to
• 7:45
  Speaker 5: two strikeout walk race year, that's fine, but I've seen
• 7:48
  Speaker 5: this guy pitch the last couple of years. He's definitely
• 7:51
  Speaker 5: not good, so I would not want to bank on
• 7:54
  Speaker 5: him in any way.
• 7:55
  Speaker 3: Although I believe Philly has never faced him.
• 7:57
  Speaker 5: Yeah, so I guess has an unfamiliarity edge here against
• 8:02
  Speaker 5: an offense that hasn't seen him. I'm still not convinced
• 8:06
  Speaker 5: that he's gonna pitch well here, and I would not
• 8:09
  Speaker 5: want to fade Zach Wheeler either.
• 8:11
  Speaker 3: Wheeler he's really good.
• 8:13
  Speaker 5: He's looking like he's right back and form from prior.
• 8:17
  Speaker 3: To his injury. He's he's definitely back.
• 8:19
  Speaker 5: He's got a two point two two ERA point eighty
• 8:22
  Speaker 5: five whip. His era is only slightly worse at home,
• 8:25
  Speaker 5: pretty insignificant there. Both of his starts this month have
• 8:29
  Speaker 5: been good. He's allowed more than three and runs only
• 8:31
  Speaker 5: once this season. He's got a good, pretty good strikeout
• 8:35
  Speaker 5: rate and it's not quite one per inning, really low
• 8:38
  Speaker 5: hit rate.
• 8:38
  Speaker 3: His walk rate is low as well.
• 8:40
  Speaker 5: His numbers across the board are strong and against Miami,
• 8:44
  Speaker 5: they've seen a decent amount of him, but they have
• 8:46
  Speaker 5: not succeeded against him really. Fifty eight at bats, nineteen strikeouts,
• 8:50
  Speaker 5: two walks, two twenty four batting average five ninety five ohps.
• 8:54
  Speaker 5: I do not want to fade Zach Wheeler here. You
• 8:57
  Speaker 5: do have to pay a huge price, though, if you
• 8:59
  Speaker 5: want Philadelphia, your laying minus two hundred here, maybe even
• 9:03
  Speaker 5: more than that. The money looks like it's slightly on
• 9:06
  Speaker 5: the Philadelphia side, although they're also the public side. Eighty
• 9:10
  Speaker 5: three percent of tickets, eighty five percent of the cash
• 9:12
  Speaker 5: on them. Like I said, the situation is definitely against
• 9:15
  Speaker 5: them here though. So I mean, if you wanted to
• 9:20
  Speaker 5: just you know, be crazy and take a shot with
• 9:22
  Speaker 5: Miami on the run line, I don't know, man, I mean,
• 9:26
  Speaker 5: I guess you could have at it but I would
• 9:28
  Speaker 5: not trust that at all. This pitching, the starting pitching
• 9:32
  Speaker 5: looks like way too much of a mismatch to me
• 9:34
  Speaker 5: to do anything with that. The total is interestingly low though,
• 9:38
  Speaker 5: at seven and a half. Philly does hit better at home,
• 9:40
  Speaker 5: by the way, so that kind of hurts the case
• 9:43
  Speaker 5: for Miami a little bit, or for Gusto. I would
• 9:46
  Speaker 5: not go for the Gusto here, but seven and a
• 9:49
  Speaker 5: half is such a low to total.
• 9:50
  Speaker 3: The odds makers are lining this like it's a.
• 9:53
  Speaker 5: Like it's basically an elite pitching tool, Like I don't know.
• 9:57
  Speaker 5: I don't know about that money looks like it is
• 9:59
  Speaker 5: coming in on over a little bit, which maybe makes sense.
• 10:02
  Speaker 5: I mean, I usually I am not gonna want to play
• 10:04
  Speaker 5: an over in a Wheeler game. One way that you
• 10:07
  Speaker 5: could play this, I mean, Philadelphia over their team total
• 10:11
  Speaker 5: makes some sense based on the matchup here and the
• 10:14
  Speaker 5: fact they hit better at home, but my issues with
• 10:17
  Speaker 5: that is that they're returning home from the road, so
• 10:19
  Speaker 5: that can lead to distracted hittings. So I don't really
• 10:21
  Speaker 5: like that angle either. So it's a tough game to handicap. Dude,
• 10:25
  Speaker 5: I don't want anything to do with it, all right,
• 10:28
  Speaker 5: dirty sock, Thanks for hanging out.
• 10:30
  Speaker 3: What's up next game?
• 10:33
  Speaker 5: The games that I like the best are all kind
• 10:35
  Speaker 5: of the later games though. Kansas City at Washington, I mean,
• 10:39
  Speaker 5: this feels like it's gonna be a series where over's
• 10:42
  Speaker 5: happened because you got two bad bullpens here. Washington's pitching
• 10:46
  Speaker 5: is notoriously bad at home, although Washington doesn't hit as
• 10:50
  Speaker 5: well at home. Washington did just beat Seattle over the weekend.
• 10:54
  Speaker 5: They've been playing okay. Recently, they're staying at home. Kansas
• 10:57
  Speaker 5: City has not been playing well, but they did just
• 10:59
  Speaker 5: end a losing streak yesterday. They had a four game
• 11:03
  Speaker 5: losing streak and they won yesterday four to not think
• 11:05
  Speaker 5: against Houston.
• 11:06
  Speaker 3: So they are starting a.
• 11:08
  Speaker 5: Road trip here with momentum, which usually is kind of
• 11:10
  Speaker 5: a positive spot. When you break losing momentum, that's usually
• 11:13
  Speaker 5: a positive starting a road trip, usually your focused. So
• 11:16
  Speaker 5: it's not a horrible spot for Kansas City here, not
• 11:20
  Speaker 5: really necessarily a bad spot for Washington either. I mean,
• 11:22
  Speaker 5: they're staying at home, but maybe they're kind of overconfident
• 11:26
  Speaker 5: after beating Seattle. Maybe not, though Washington's bullpen is bad,
• 11:30
  Speaker 5: but they've been pretty rested recently. They used two guys yesterday,
• 11:34
  Speaker 5: so that's not terrible for them. Kansas City's bullpen didn't
• 11:38
  Speaker 5: use too many guys yesterday either, they only used two.
• 11:41
  Speaker 3: Their bullpen is very bad.
• 11:43
  Speaker 5: Though Kansas City ranks twenty eighth in bullpen, Washington's not
• 11:48
  Speaker 5: much better at twenty fourth. Washington is the way better
• 11:51
  Speaker 5: offensive team, they're number four, although their offense is not.
• 11:54
  Speaker 3: As good at home Kansas City.
• 11:57
  Speaker 5: They're one of the worst offenses on the road, so
• 12:00
  Speaker 5: that also kind of goes against me thinking that this
• 12:03
  Speaker 5: like has.
• 12:03
  Speaker 3: The air of an over series.
• 12:05
  Speaker 5: But both these teams are in their worst offensive splits,
• 12:09
  Speaker 5: if that makes sense. Washington's worse at home on offense
• 12:12
  Speaker 5: and Kansas City is. I think Kansas City is still
• 12:15
  Speaker 5: the worst offensive road team. They're very offensive, though Kansas
• 12:21
  Speaker 5: City is twenty fifth in offense and I arranged that
• 12:24
  Speaker 5: by ops, so Washington does have a big offensive edge
• 12:27
  Speaker 5: Kansas City. I guess because they don't have any other option.
• 12:30
  Speaker 5: They're going with Mitch Spence, former Oakland A, former homeless a.
• 12:38
  Speaker 3: Making the start here. I guess.
• 12:40
  Speaker 5: He's made one start this season for Kansas City. It
• 12:43
  Speaker 5: was back in April. It did not go well, but
• 12:46
  Speaker 5: it was against the Yankees, so maybe you give him
• 12:48
  Speaker 5: a little bit of a pass for that. I don't
• 12:49
  Speaker 5: think he's a great pitcher though. If you look at
• 12:51
  Speaker 5: his career numbers, they're not good. So he has a
• 12:54
  Speaker 5: four point nine to one ERA since twenty twenty four,
• 12:58
  Speaker 5: pitched most of the entire season, is starter for Oakland
• 13:01
  Speaker 5: in that season, and then he was mostly making bullpen
• 13:04
  Speaker 5: appearances and some starts last year for the As. But
• 13:07
  Speaker 5: four point nine to one career RA one point four
• 13:09
  Speaker 5: to two WHIP. There's not a lot to like here.
• 13:11
  Speaker 5: Low strikeout rate, you know. I mean, I guess he
• 13:15
  Speaker 5: doesn't put too many guys on base though, but oh well,
• 13:18
  Speaker 5: actually no, I don't want to say that. His hit
• 13:20
  Speaker 5: rate is actually too high too, So there's not a
• 13:22
  Speaker 5: lot to like here throughout his career. But yeah, he
• 13:25
  Speaker 5: got bombed by the Yankees in the Bronx in April.
• 13:28
  Speaker 5: He gave up six runs on four hits and five
• 13:31
  Speaker 5: walks in four innings, so he kind of got lucky
• 13:34
  Speaker 5: he didn't allow more runs there and had three strikeouts.
• 13:37
  Speaker 5: I don't like what I'm seeing out of him, though,
• 13:39
  Speaker 5: I would not trust him here against Washington. I think
• 13:44
  Speaker 5: he has some experience against him, yet not much. Washington
• 13:50
  Speaker 5: has three bat ors so seeing him, they are zero
• 13:52
  Speaker 5: for four against him with two strikeouts. But I'm still
• 13:56
  Speaker 5: I'm not gonna trust Spence here at all. Andrew Alvarez
• 14:00
  Speaker 5: is pitching for Washington. I think he's the better pitcher.
• 14:03
  Speaker 5: I think he has a little bit more talent, although
• 14:05
  Speaker 5: he's not really that young anymore. His era is pretty
• 14:08
  Speaker 5: good three point seven. His whip is not very good though,
• 14:11
  Speaker 5: one point four to four, which does tell you that
• 14:13
  Speaker 5: his era should be worse than this. He's been a
• 14:16
  Speaker 5: little bit worse at home three point seven to nine.
• 14:18
  Speaker 3: Home.
• 14:18
  Speaker 5: He ra Washington's pitching, for whatever reason, tends to be
• 14:21
  Speaker 5: worse at home. Alvarez was actually pitching well for the
• 14:26
  Speaker 5: most part this season until his resent start.
• 14:28
  Speaker 3: He walked five guys against San Francisco. You can't do that.
• 14:31
  Speaker 3: That's not good.
• 14:32
  Speaker 5: But San Francisco they're a pathetic offense, and they only
• 14:36
  Speaker 5: scored two runs in that game, so Alvarez was able
• 14:39
  Speaker 5: to kind of escape that.
• 14:41
  Speaker 3: But that number of walks is concerning.
• 14:43
  Speaker 5: But he didn't walk more than two in any other
• 14:45
  Speaker 5: outing this season, and he's walked one or zero in
• 14:48
  Speaker 5: all but that outing in one other one. Although most
• 14:50
  Speaker 5: of these are short appearances from him, he hasn't gone
• 14:53
  Speaker 5: five innings yet in any of these outings. I don't
• 14:57
  Speaker 5: know if he's that trustworthy, but he's got a pretty
• 14:59
  Speaker 5: good strikeout rate, hit rate is average, and his walk
• 15:02
  Speaker 5: rate is a bit too high. So mostly because of
• 15:05
  Speaker 5: that one outing, though, I don't know what to do
• 15:08
  Speaker 5: with this guy, and I don't believe Kansas City has
• 15:10
  Speaker 5: ever faced some of though I could be wrong. I
• 15:11
  Speaker 5: could remember incorrectly here only Starling Marte has ever faced
• 15:16
  Speaker 5: him before. He's one for two with a strikeout in
• 15:18
  Speaker 5: a single. I would prefer Alvarez in this pitching matchup.
• 15:23
  Speaker 5: I don't like Spence at all. There might be some
• 15:26
  Speaker 5: arguments for an over here in this one. It looks
• 15:28
  Speaker 5: like the money is back in Washington. Seventy percent of tickets,
• 15:31
  Speaker 5: ninety four percent of the cash on them, they're around
• 15:34
  Speaker 5: minus one thirties. That range Washington makes some sense. I think,
• 15:39
  Speaker 5: you know, you could probably go Washington full game if
• 15:41
  Speaker 5: you do it. Kansas City's bullpen is just that horrendous.
• 15:45
  Speaker 5: But if you want to take the bullpens out, because
• 15:48
  Speaker 5: either one is liable to get blown up here first
• 15:51
  Speaker 5: five Washington makes some sense if you just want to
• 15:53
  Speaker 5: isolate the starting pitching matchup. You don't have to pay
• 15:56
  Speaker 5: a little bit more of a price if you do
• 15:57
  Speaker 5: it that way, though, and the money is come it
• 16:00
  Speaker 5: on the over here, So totals at nine. I wouldn't
• 16:04
  Speaker 5: really disagree with an over there. I don't know how
• 16:06
  Speaker 5: trustworthy either of these pictures really is. They're a bit
• 16:09
  Speaker 5: unfamiliar to the offenses, though, so I don't really want
• 16:12
  Speaker 5: to do it, but it kind of makes sense. Neither
• 16:14
  Speaker 5: pitcher is really that great, and both bullpens are pretty awful,
• 16:18
  Speaker 5: so an over does seem to make sense there. Mets
• 16:22
  Speaker 5: and Cincinnati. Cincinnati is staying at home. They did just
• 16:26
  Speaker 5: lose to Arizona over the weekend, so they might be
• 16:29
  Speaker 5: a little bit extra motivated here. The Mets are traveling
• 16:32
  Speaker 5: in from home and they might be in a letdown spot.
• 16:35
  Speaker 5: I know this is the start of a road trip
• 16:37
  Speaker 5: and a lot of times you are focused, but the
• 16:39
  Speaker 5: Mets just won a weekend series against the Braves. Man,
• 16:42
  Speaker 5: that's big. Mets are in last place in the NL East.
• 16:45
  Speaker 5: Braves have the best record in baseball. I think that
• 16:48
  Speaker 5: was a huge deal for the Mets to win that series,
• 16:51
  Speaker 5: so they could be in a letdown spot here. So
• 16:52
  Speaker 5: I don't love the spot for the Mets here. The
• 16:55
  Speaker 5: Mets do have the better bullpen significantly. They use four
• 16:59
  Speaker 5: guys out of the bullpen yesterday, though they used some
• 17:01
  Speaker 5: of the bullpen over the weekend because they had some
• 17:04
  Speaker 5: bullpen games and stuff like that going on. Cincinnati's bullpen
• 17:08
  Speaker 5: is still a train wreck, though, and they used four
• 17:10
  Speaker 5: guys out of their bullpen yesterday. Cincinnati is dead last
• 17:14
  Speaker 5: and bullpen Whip they're the third worst bullpen era really
• 17:17
  Speaker 5: really bad bullpen.
• 17:19
  Speaker 3: Mets are ranked third, so they are a strong bullpen.
• 17:23
  Speaker 5: Hitting wise, is neither team is good hitting really Cincinnati's
• 17:27
  Speaker 5: twentieth the Mets are twenty ninth. That might change a
• 17:32
  Speaker 5: little bit in this series at some point because this
• 17:34
  Speaker 5: is a more hitter friendly ballpark. I don't think it
• 17:36
  Speaker 5: will change in this game, though. I actually do like
• 17:39
  Speaker 5: both pitchers in this one. The Mets are going with
• 17:41
  Speaker 5: Tobias Myers. I think he's good. He's got a four
• 17:44
  Speaker 5: point zero five VRA, which isn't that good one point?
• 17:47
  Speaker 3: Oh wait, whip is good.
• 17:48
  Speaker 5: The thing about Myers is he has been a starter
• 17:52
  Speaker 5: in the past. He was a starter from Milwaukee two
• 17:54
  Speaker 5: years ago and he actually put up good numbers, So
• 17:56
  Speaker 5: I don't really know why they moved him to a bullpen.
• 18:01
  Speaker 5: They moved they moved him to the bullpen last year,
• 18:03
  Speaker 5: and now he's on the Mets this year. The Mets
• 18:06
  Speaker 5: have only started him twice, but he hasn't gone deep
• 18:08
  Speaker 5: into most of his outings, and he did pitch, Actually,
• 18:11
  Speaker 5: he hasn't pitched since the twenty ninth, so I'm kind
• 18:14
  Speaker 5: of wondering, like, are the Mets gonna put him in
• 18:16
  Speaker 5: the starting rotation, like for real?
• 18:18
  Speaker 3: Now? Like that's my question with this.
• 18:22
  Speaker 5: Because I kind of like to bias Myers, but if
• 18:24
  Speaker 5: the Mets are gonna go with a bullpen game and
• 18:26
  Speaker 5: he's only gonna go two winnings or something here, I
• 18:28
  Speaker 5: would like the Mets less than I would if he
• 18:31
  Speaker 5: was gonna pitch deeper into the game. So that's kind
• 18:34
  Speaker 5: of a question that we need an answer to, and
• 18:36
  Speaker 5: I don't really know what the answer is. He by
• 18:39
  Speaker 5: the way, he did face Cincinnati twice in late May
• 18:42
  Speaker 5: when these teams matched up back then. He wasn't great
• 18:45
  Speaker 5: in those period. He was good in one appearance and
• 18:48
  Speaker 5: not good.
• 18:48
  Speaker 3: In the other one.
• 18:50
  Speaker 5: But overall Myers, I mean, he's got a pretty low
• 18:52
  Speaker 5: hit rate, low walk rate for sure, and his strikeout
• 18:55
  Speaker 5: rate is not great, but he's not a strikeout pitcher.
• 18:58
  Speaker 5: But I think it remains to be seen what the
• 19:00
  Speaker 5: Mets are doing here. It looks like he was in
• 19:04
  Speaker 5: the minors, so they I think they just brought him
• 19:06
  Speaker 5: back up. I think that's why he hasn't started since
• 19:08
  Speaker 5: the twenty ninth, so I'm assuming he's pitched since then
• 19:11
  Speaker 5: in the miners. So I really have no idea what
• 19:13
  Speaker 5: they're gonna do with him here. The Mets. Maybe they
• 19:16
  Speaker 5: do figure they need another US starting pitching arm here
• 19:19
  Speaker 5: and maybe he is going to be that.
• 19:22
  Speaker 3: I think it's a wait and see approach on this game.
• 19:27
  Speaker 5: For Myers against Cincinnati, I believe he has pretty good
• 19:29
  Speaker 5: numbers though he does in thirty four at bats eleven strikeouts.
• 19:35
  Speaker 5: That's a high strikeout rate, two walks, one seventy six
• 19:38
  Speaker 5: average four to twenty eight ohps. So Myers does have
• 19:41
  Speaker 5: good numbers against Cincinnati. I believe he is a bit
• 19:45
  Speaker 5: more fly ball heavy, by the way, for what that's worth,
• 19:49
  Speaker 5: let me make sure of that. Uh yeah, He's been
• 19:51
  Speaker 5: pretty flyball heavy this year, so that might not play
• 19:54
  Speaker 5: that well in Cincinnati. But Cincinnati's offense hasn't been that
• 19:58
  Speaker 5: great either, So I generally I think Myers is going
• 20:00
  Speaker 5: to do well here, but it remains to be seeing
• 20:03
  Speaker 5: how many innings he's gonna actually get here. And he's
• 20:06
  Speaker 5: going up against Chase Burns, who is the much more
• 20:09
  Speaker 5: proven of these pitchers here. As far as like, we
• 20:12
  Speaker 5: know what he's gonna do pretty much like Burns is
• 20:14
  Speaker 5: going to give you a start that's likely gonna be good.
• 20:17
  Speaker 5: Burns as a two point one four ERA point nine
• 20:20
  Speaker 5: to nine whip.
• 20:21
  Speaker 3: You know that.
• 20:21
  Speaker 5: I've used him for multiple plays this year, and most
• 20:25
  Speaker 5: of them I think of one. He's only slightly worse
• 20:28
  Speaker 5: at home. His home road splits are not very significant.
• 20:31
  Speaker 5: He pitched well in his last outing, well enough that well,
• 20:34
  Speaker 5: not well enough actually, because we wound up with a
• 20:37
  Speaker 5: loss on that one. We had a first five run
• 20:40
  Speaker 5: line on that one, they had a two to nothing lead,
• 20:43
  Speaker 5: and he gave up two runs right when we needed
• 20:46
  Speaker 5: him to not do that. Those are the only runs
• 20:49
  Speaker 5: he gave up against San Diego. I'm not happy about that.
• 20:51
  Speaker 5: And then they won the game. Anyway, and extra innings.
• 20:54
  Speaker 5: Somehow their bullpen won that game. Whatever, But he pitched
• 20:57
  Speaker 5: pretty well in that game, not as well as he'd
• 21:00
  Speaker 5: in the previous game. But Burns has been good really
• 21:02
  Speaker 5: all season. He's allowed more than two hour and runs
• 21:05
  Speaker 5: only one time.
• 21:06
  Speaker 3: Low hit rate.
• 21:08
  Speaker 5: His walk rate's not great, but it's good enough given
• 21:11
  Speaker 5: all his other numbers. His strikeout rate is also really
• 21:13
  Speaker 5: high against who are we talking I forget what we're
• 21:17
  Speaker 5: talking about already. The Mets, Yeah, the one of the
• 21:20
  Speaker 5: weakest offenses. Burns does have good numbers against them, twenty
• 21:23
  Speaker 5: at bats. It's not a huge sample, but most of
• 21:26
  Speaker 5: their hitters have faced him before. Eight strikeouts, two walks,
• 21:29
  Speaker 5: two hundred average six seventy three ohps. I mean, I
• 21:33
  Speaker 5: think Burns is the more trustworthy of the starters here.
• 21:36
  Speaker 5: The money is coming in on the Mets here, though,
• 21:38
  Speaker 5: I don't know if I love that fifty nine percent
• 21:41
  Speaker 5: of tickets on Cincinnati, fifty five percent of the cash
• 21:43
  Speaker 5: on the Mets. Cincinnati's around a minus one forty favorite here,
• 21:48
  Speaker 5: you know. I mean that's because Burns is getting a
• 21:50
  Speaker 5: little bit. Burns is definitely being priced into the market there,
• 21:54
  Speaker 5: like he's the reason why Cincinnati's favored like that. I
• 21:57
  Speaker 5: do think the Mets are in a letdown spot though,
• 21:59
  Speaker 5: and I think Burns is still a bit better than Myers,
• 22:01
  Speaker 5: So you know, I think Cincinnati in the first five
• 22:05
  Speaker 5: makes some sense in this game. Uh, just focusing on
• 22:08
  Speaker 5: the starting pitching here. Obviously, you do not want the
• 22:11
  Speaker 5: bullpen if you want Cincinnati, There's no way if you're
• 22:14
  Speaker 5: gonna go Mets, you gotta go full game on this
• 22:16
  Speaker 5: because then you get a bullpen advantage here.
• 22:18
  Speaker 3: But I would not really want to do that.
• 22:20
  Speaker 5: It's just too much of a question what you're gonna
• 22:23
  Speaker 5: get out of Myers here. Yeah, it's a really really
• 22:26
  Speaker 5: difficult game to handicap.
• 22:28
  Speaker 3: Money looks like it is on the over totals at eight,
• 22:30
  Speaker 3: although the over is also public.
• 22:33
  Speaker 5: If Myers is going to give you like four innings
• 22:36
  Speaker 5: in this game, I think an under in the first
• 22:38
  Speaker 5: five looks correct in this game as well. I think
• 22:42
  Speaker 5: both starting pitchers might actually do okay here, So I
• 22:45
  Speaker 5: think a first five undermikes some amount of sense there,
• 22:48
  Speaker 5: except we just don't know how how long Myers is
• 22:51
  Speaker 5: going here. Stax, what's up second place on DraftKings?
• 22:56
  Speaker 3: What is that like?
• 22:58
  Speaker 5: What do you mean, do they have like they have
• 22:59
  Speaker 5: different games on draft. I don't even pay attention to
• 23:01
  Speaker 5: what their other games are. I'm always like, yeah, it's
• 23:04
  Speaker 5: like a gimmick. They just want me to give them money.
• 23:05
  Speaker 5: So I'm like, I just only make like traditional bets
• 23:09
  Speaker 5: pretty much. But good, you want some money, all right.
• 23:15
  Speaker 5: I was not watching it, by the way, the White
• 23:17
  Speaker 5: House UFC event whatever, I don't know. I heard that
• 23:21
  Speaker 5: it was entertaining, but I have no clue. All right,
• 23:24
  Speaker 5: it's probably all rigged anyway. San Diego at Saint Louis.
• 23:27
  Speaker 5: Saint Louis is another.
• 23:28
  Speaker 3: Team returning home from the road.
• 23:30
  Speaker 5: They went to New York to play the Mets, and
• 23:32
  Speaker 5: they went to Minnesota. Oh, the final leg of this
• 23:35
  Speaker 5: trip is not that bad returning home from Minnesota. San
• 23:39
  Speaker 5: Diego is having to travel here as well. They're coming
• 23:41
  Speaker 5: in from Baltimore. But they're in the middle of a
• 23:43
  Speaker 5: road trip. San Diego is playing a little bit better
• 23:46
  Speaker 5: again right now. They won the series against Baltimore. It
• 23:50
  Speaker 5: is a negative spot generally that Saint Louis is in
• 23:53
  Speaker 5: the return home spot. You know me, I do not
• 23:55
  Speaker 5: like I will definitely not play on a team in
• 23:58
  Speaker 5: a return home spot. The question is am I gonna
• 24:01
  Speaker 5: actually give out a play against them or not? Sometimes
• 24:03
  Speaker 5: I'll go with an under in a scenario like that
• 24:05
  Speaker 5: because I think it leads to distracted hitting. Saint Louis
• 24:09
  Speaker 5: used two guys out of their bullpen yesterday. San Diego
• 24:12
  Speaker 5: has the better bullpen. They did use four guys out
• 24:16
  Speaker 5: of it yesterday, although some of those guys are pretty rested,
• 24:19
  Speaker 5: so San Diego still got a bullpen advantage here, even
• 24:21
  Speaker 5: though they did use Miller yesterday. That sometimes they do
• 24:24
  Speaker 5: use them multiple days in a row, and he hasn't
• 24:27
  Speaker 5: He hadn't pitched for a while prior to yesterday. San
• 24:30
  Speaker 5: Diego's got the number four bullpen, but there I believe
• 24:33
  Speaker 5: tied in second with the Red Sox and Bullpenny ra
• 24:37
  Speaker 5: They're a very good bullpen. Saint Louis is pretty mediocre
• 24:41
  Speaker 5: at eighteenth. As far as the hitting, San Diego is
• 24:46
  Speaker 5: dead last. They're oftense still remains in. They just can't
• 24:51
  Speaker 5: do it. Man, I don't know what's going on. I
• 24:53
  Speaker 5: know they have a pitcher friendly ballpark, but still they're
• 24:56
  Speaker 5: not living up to their offensive potential at the very least.
• 25:00
  Speaker 5: Saint Louis is also a pitcher friendly ballpark. By the way,
• 25:03
  Speaker 5: Saint Louis has had the better offense, though they're thirteenth.
• 25:06
  Speaker 5: This pitching matchup doesn't look too great. It's a matchup
• 25:10
  Speaker 5: between two former Red Sox players. Lucas Giolito's pitcher for
• 25:15
  Speaker 5: San Diego. I do not like him. I don't think
• 25:17
  Speaker 5: he's good. His numbers this year four point three to
• 25:20
  Speaker 5: five ERA looks mediocre, but one point seventy four whip
• 25:24
  Speaker 5: is horrible. You cannot do something with that like that
• 25:28
  Speaker 5: is such a bad whip. He's putting almost two guys
• 25:31
  Speaker 5: on basin inning. He's been awful on the road six
• 25:34
  Speaker 5: point nine to four Roadie Ray. That's not gonna cut
• 25:37
  Speaker 5: it either, although this is a more pitcher friendly park.
• 25:40
  Speaker 5: Last time out, he held Cincinnati to won and run
• 25:43
  Speaker 5: in four innings, but he walked five guys.
• 25:46
  Speaker 3: I mean, there's nothing you could do with these numbers. Really,
• 25:48
  Speaker 3: he has way too many walks.
• 25:49
  Speaker 5: He's walking almost one guy an innings so far throughout
• 25:52
  Speaker 5: his five appearances. He's only made it five innings twice,
• 25:56
  Speaker 5: and he hasn't done that since late May.
• 25:58
  Speaker 3: His hit rate is fine, his strike out rates a
• 26:00
  Speaker 3: little low. He's not really a strikeout pitcher, but the
• 26:03
  Speaker 3: walk rate is insane. Like, yeah, I think the only
• 26:08
  Speaker 3: way that you could look at gi Alito is to
• 26:10
  Speaker 3: not want to deal with him. However, I think he
• 26:13
  Speaker 3: does actually have good numbers against Saint Louis. Yeah, only
• 26:16
  Speaker 3: fourteen at bats though five guys have faced him. They
• 26:19
  Speaker 3: only have one hit, which is a home run from
• 26:21
  Speaker 3: Nelson Velasquez. Three strikeouts, no walks, seventy one average, three
• 26:26
  Speaker 3: fifty seven ops. You know, maybe matchup dependent. Maybe Giledo
• 26:32
  Speaker 3: does do okay here. I don't think I would want
• 26:35
  Speaker 3: to bank on it, though.
• 26:35
  Speaker 5: This is not gonna be a spot running to fade
• 26:38
  Speaker 5: team in a return home spot.
• 26:39
  Speaker 3: Here.
• 26:40
  Speaker 5: Dustin May is pitching for Saint Louis. Unfortunately, he's he's
• 26:44
  Speaker 5: pitching pretty well this year. Unfortunately because the Red Sox
• 26:48
  Speaker 5: gave away TIBs for him, May sucked and then the
• 26:51
  Speaker 5: Red Sox got rid of May as well. I'm still
• 26:53
  Speaker 5: not sold that May is really this good, but he
• 26:55
  Speaker 5: has been pitching well for over a month now, four
• 26:59
  Speaker 5: point two to one, one point two to five whip.
• 27:02
  Speaker 5: I didn't really think he was gonna bounce back from
• 27:04
  Speaker 5: the injury issues that he had, but he is still
• 27:06
  Speaker 5: fairly young, so it's more likely that he can do that.
• 27:10
  Speaker 5: May has still not been good at home this year though,
• 27:12
  Speaker 5: four point eight five home e RA, But like I said,
• 27:15
  Speaker 5: since the beginning of May, pretty good stuff here. He's
• 27:18
  Speaker 5: allowed more than three or runs only once, hasn't allowed
• 27:21
  Speaker 5: more than four in any of his outings. That was
• 27:24
  Speaker 5: also against a pretty hard hitting Pittsburgh team. Had a
• 27:27
  Speaker 5: really good outing last time out, a six inning shutout,
• 27:30
  Speaker 5: but that was against the Mets in a return home
• 27:32
  Speaker 5: spot for the Mets, So I take that with a
• 27:35
  Speaker 5: little bit of a grain of salt, but still a
• 27:37
  Speaker 5: good start from him.
• 27:39
  Speaker 3: Overall.
• 27:39
  Speaker 5: His numbers, you know, his hit rate is fine, walk
• 27:42
  Speaker 5: rate is actually fine too, his strikeout rates a little low.
• 27:46
  Speaker 5: He's got decent numbers overall, and his numbers in the
• 27:49
  Speaker 5: last two outings this month pretty good fifteen to three
• 27:51
  Speaker 5: strikeout walk ratio, and those numbers have been that way
• 27:56
  Speaker 5: for a while now.
• 27:57
  Speaker 3: His command numbers have.
• 27:58
  Speaker 5: Been good for like five starts in a row, except
• 28:01
  Speaker 5: for that one start where you give up more run.
• 28:02
  Speaker 5: Even in that start, he actually struck out a lot
• 28:04
  Speaker 5: of guys and he's facing one of the weakest offenses
• 28:07
  Speaker 5: San Diego.
• 28:09
  Speaker 3: They haven't hit him that well.
• 28:10
  Speaker 5: Ninety three at bats nineteen strikeouts, eight walks is not great.
• 28:14
  Speaker 5: Two thirty seven batting average seven oh six ops. You'd
• 28:18
  Speaker 5: expect that ops to be a little bit lower than that,
• 28:20
  Speaker 5: but it's still not that high. So I think May
• 28:22
  Speaker 5: actually does have a decent matchup here, you know, I
• 28:27
  Speaker 5: mean I could, even though I don't like these pitchers really,
• 28:30
  Speaker 5: especially not Giledo, I can actually see the argument for
• 28:34
  Speaker 5: the under in this game. I know it sounds insane,
• 28:37
  Speaker 5: but you got I don't know. I mean, at least
• 28:39
  Speaker 5: one very weak offense here. Saint Louis's offense might be
• 28:43
  Speaker 5: in a little bit of a bad spot, their distracted
• 28:45
  Speaker 5: spot on the return home. The matchup looks okay for
• 28:49
  Speaker 5: both starting pitchers. Here, the money is actually playing the
• 28:51
  Speaker 5: under fifty six percent of tickets ninety percent of the
• 28:54
  Speaker 5: cash on the under. You have one elite bullpen and
• 28:58
  Speaker 5: one like mediocre bullpen.
• 28:59
  Speaker 3: Here.
• 29:01
  Speaker 5: I think an under does actually make some sense in
• 29:03
  Speaker 5: this one under the eight and a half. I would
• 29:06
  Speaker 5: not want to really do it, but if you forced
• 29:09
  Speaker 5: me to give out a play on that game, I.
• 29:11
  Speaker 3: Think that's probably what I would say.
• 29:12
  Speaker 5: But I would not feel that strongly about it. It
• 29:15
  Speaker 5: seems crazy, so maybe it's right. Uh, sixty one percent
• 29:18
  Speaker 5: of tickets and cash on Saint Louis. They're around a
• 29:21
  Speaker 5: minus one forty something favorite here.
• 29:23
  Speaker 3: Like I said, I.
• 29:24
  Speaker 5: Would the return home Spottel though you know, I mean
• 29:29
  Speaker 5: they have the better starting pitcher at least here. If
• 29:33
  Speaker 5: you do play Saint Louis, I would limit it to
• 29:35
  Speaker 5: first five. You do not want San Diego's bullpen to
• 29:37
  Speaker 5: come in and beat you. So that's what I would
• 29:39
  Speaker 5: say about the side there. Mac could do what's up
• 29:44
  Speaker 5: the Toad Gang? Yes, you won two K?
• 29:48
  Speaker 3: All right?
• 29:48
  Speaker 5: Hell yeah, you backed me with what I haven't been
• 29:50
  Speaker 5: doing that well with these plays though, I don't know
• 29:52
  Speaker 5: what you backed but all right, Uh, Mac could do it? Though?
• 29:56
  Speaker 3: Are you your year on two accounts? Of these? Both you?
• 29:59
  Speaker 3: What's I'm assuming those are both you, but maybe I'm wrong.
• 30:04
  Speaker 5: Mcado samp and mcado Ace the mcadow twins.
• 30:08
  Speaker 3: What's up man? What's up?
• 30:11
  Speaker 4: Man?
• 30:12
  Speaker 3: All right?
• 30:12
  Speaker 5: Colorado and Chicago the Cobs. In this case, I finally
• 30:16
  Speaker 5: get to talk about what Colorado did yesterday. The Cubs
• 30:19
  Speaker 5: are returning home from the road, and by the way,
• 30:21
  Speaker 5: they did face Colorado on that road trip and they
• 30:24
  Speaker 5: lost the series. So the Cubs are returning on from
• 30:28
  Speaker 5: the road now, which is a negative spot. They're traveling
• 30:30
  Speaker 5: across multiple time zones. They did just beat San Francisco
• 30:33
  Speaker 5: over the weekend here. They lost yesterday though, but the
• 30:37
  Speaker 5: return home spot, yes, it is a negative. That's just
• 30:40
  Speaker 5: the general rule. Teams tend to get distracted when they
• 30:42
  Speaker 5: return home. They might still be because Colorado is not
• 30:46
  Speaker 5: a good team, but maybe they will focus a little
• 30:49
  Speaker 5: bit because they know they did lose to Colorado two
• 30:52
  Speaker 5: series ago in Colorado, so maybe the Cubs will actually
• 30:55
  Speaker 5: take them a little bit more seriously for that reason.
• 30:58
  Speaker 5: And the other reason I don't really want Colorado here
• 31:01
  Speaker 5: is they scored twenty three runs yesterday in that Las
• 31:05
  Speaker 5: Vegas stadium there. Yeah, twenty Did that game go over
• 31:09
  Speaker 5: the total? I'm not sure you know. I was talking
• 31:13
  Speaker 5: about that Vegas stadium. The A's, by the way, are
• 31:16
  Speaker 5: not going to be in that stadium today or tonight.
• 31:18
  Speaker 5: But yeah, that was ridiculous what happened in that stadium.
• 31:22
  Speaker 3: Only two of the six.
• 31:23
  Speaker 5: Games in that stadium went over the total. Yesterday was
• 31:26
  Speaker 5: one of them. Colorado put up a franchise record twenty
• 31:30
  Speaker 5: three runs in the game, winning twenty three to nine.
• 31:35
  Speaker 5: Sugano gave up eight runs and he got the win
• 31:37
  Speaker 5: in the game. They just left him in absolutely ridiculous stuff.
• 31:41
  Speaker 5: But I think that's an outlier, man. So if you're
• 31:43
  Speaker 5: looking at that and trying to look at what you
• 31:46
  Speaker 5: know and try to use that to figure out what's
• 31:48
  Speaker 5: gonna happen in this game today, I would not do
• 31:51
  Speaker 5: that at all.
• 31:52
  Speaker 3: We're not in Las Vegas anymore. Man. What happens in
• 31:54
  Speaker 3: Vegas stays in Vegas.
• 31:56
  Speaker 5: Okay, this game is not going to have a team
• 31:58
  Speaker 5: score twenty three runs. I know I'm going I'm going
• 32:01
  Speaker 5: out on a limb saying that. In Colorado, maybe after
• 32:05
  Speaker 5: that barrage of offense, maybe they're a little bit overvalued
• 32:08
  Speaker 5: here too. Also, if you look at this game, the
• 32:10
  Speaker 5: starting pitching matchup clearly is a huge advantage to the
• 32:13
  Speaker 5: Cubs here. So there is also that Oops, I'm looking
• 32:17
  Speaker 5: at the White Sox. Never mind, the Rockies used two
• 32:20
  Speaker 5: guys out of the bullpen yesterday.
• 32:22
  Speaker 3: Their bullpen is really bad though. The Cubs used four,
• 32:25
  Speaker 3: but they still have a better bullpen. Whoops.
• 32:28
  Speaker 5: The Cubs are ninth and bullpen here, Rockies are the
• 32:32
  Speaker 5: worst bullpen or an the second worst in bullpenny RA
• 32:36
  Speaker 5: behind Minnesota. Yay for Colorado. They're twenty sixth and whip
• 32:41
  Speaker 5: they're a really bad bullpen. The Rockies are all the
• 32:45
  Speaker 5: way up to ninth in offense just because of that
• 32:47
  Speaker 5: explosion yesterday, but they were like fifteenth probably before that,
• 32:51
  Speaker 5: so I would not put that much weight into them
• 32:53
  Speaker 5: being the ninth ranked offense. The Cubs are the fourteenth
• 32:56
  Speaker 5: ranked offense, and yes the Cubs have been struggling more
• 32:59
  Speaker 5: offense recently, I still want to put that much weight
• 33:02
  Speaker 5: into that. I think the Cobs probably are the somewhat
• 33:04
  Speaker 5: better offense here. I expect Colorado to not put as
• 33:08
  Speaker 5: much offense on the board in this series. Colorado's going
• 33:12
  Speaker 5: with Michael Lorenzen here. He is not a very good
• 33:14
  Speaker 5: pitcher seven point five four ERA, one point nine WHIP,
• 33:19
  Speaker 5: really really bad numbers there. He is better on the road,
• 33:23
  Speaker 5: although that means a six point six to eight ROADRA,
• 33:26
  Speaker 5: so he is better away from course field, which makes sense,
• 33:28
  Speaker 5: but still quite bad. He did just face the Cobs
• 33:32
  Speaker 5: in that course field series and he actually pitched well.
• 33:35
  Speaker 5: He went five innings, gave up one on run, two hits,
• 33:38
  Speaker 5: two walks, seven strikeouts. That's a good pitching line from him.
• 33:42
  Speaker 5: But do we really think he's gonna continue doing that.
• 33:45
  Speaker 5: I'm not so sure about that. Man, Like the Cubs
• 33:47
  Speaker 5: might just make adjustments here. Lorenzen is real, He's really
• 33:51
  Speaker 5: no mystery, and he's alloted a ton of hits. Like
• 33:54
  Speaker 5: I think he has the highest hit rate allowed in
• 33:56
  Speaker 5: Major League Baseball. He's got a low strikeout rate too.
• 34:01
  Speaker 5: His walk rate is not particularly good either. None of
• 34:04
  Speaker 5: these numbers are good. I think the Cubs might adjust
• 34:07
  Speaker 5: somewhat and hit him better this time. His numbers against
• 34:10
  Speaker 5: the Cubs are a little bit hard to read. Fifty
• 34:12
  Speaker 5: four at bats two twenty two average is low, but
• 34:15
  Speaker 5: seven sixty seven ohps is high. Sixteen strikeouts, eight walks,
• 34:20
  Speaker 5: so they have a lot of walks against him. They
• 34:21
  Speaker 5: have a lot of power hitting that they've done against them.
• 34:24
  Speaker 5: So I don't really think Lorenzen is really backable here.
• 34:29
  Speaker 3: I just don't.
• 34:30
  Speaker 5: He'll be going up against show to im Mi Naga,
• 34:32
  Speaker 5: who is good, and I think he's better than his
• 34:34
  Speaker 5: ra suggests.
• 34:36
  Speaker 3: He's hit a.
• 34:36
  Speaker 5: Little bit of a snag where it is possible that
• 34:40
  Speaker 5: you know, he was a little bit better earlier in
• 34:42
  Speaker 5: his major league career because he came over from Japan,
• 34:45
  Speaker 5: and you know, sometimes the Japanese pitchers don't adjust well
• 34:48
  Speaker 5: to the US. But also on the other hand, a
• 34:50
  Speaker 5: lot of the hitters they just don't know how to
• 34:52
  Speaker 5: hit the guy yet because they haven't seen him yet.
• 34:54
  Speaker 5: So sometimes these guys that come over, they start pitching
• 34:58
  Speaker 5: worse after, like after the league has seen them for
• 35:01
  Speaker 5: a couple of seasons, you know what I mean. Like
• 35:02
  Speaker 5: that happened to like Dice k Maatsuzaka, and you know
• 35:06
  Speaker 5: some of those guys like that. So I don't know,
• 35:08
  Speaker 5: it remains to be seen though Imnaga. I still don't
• 35:11
  Speaker 5: think he's bad though, Like his one point six whip
• 35:13
  Speaker 5: is good, indicating that his four point four to four
• 35:16
  Speaker 5: ERA should be better than that. He hasn't been good
• 35:19
  Speaker 5: at home though, five point one to three home ERA,
• 35:21
  Speaker 5: so that's not a good sign for this game. He
• 35:23
  Speaker 5: did pitch in that course Field series, and he pitched well.
• 35:26
  Speaker 5: He went five innings, shut Colorado out for that span,
• 35:30
  Speaker 5: two hits, two walks at seven strikeouts, so he did
• 35:34
  Speaker 5: pitch well there, which maybe means he is trending in
• 35:37
  Speaker 5: the right direction. I mean that's good because that's a
• 35:39
  Speaker 5: confidence boost because he'd had four bad starts in a
• 35:43
  Speaker 5: row and together to get a start like that in
• 35:46
  Speaker 5: a tough pitching environment, that's pretty good. So I think
• 35:49
  Speaker 5: he is kind of bound like I think he's rebounding.
• 35:51
  Speaker 5: I think he's on his way back into form here
• 35:54
  Speaker 5: and now he gets I know he's not as good
• 35:55
  Speaker 5: at home, but he's gonna be pitching in a familiar
• 35:58
  Speaker 5: venue at least where he pitched better than this last
• 36:00
  Speaker 5: year at home obviously, and he's going up against.
• 36:03
  Speaker 3: The Colorado team. It doesn't hit as well on the road.
• 36:05
  Speaker 5: Colorado might be in a little bit of a let
• 36:07
  Speaker 5: down after what they did yesterday, and Colorado has not
• 36:10
  Speaker 5: had really any success against him. They're two for thirty
• 36:14
  Speaker 5: one off him combined, eight strikeouts, two walks, no extra
• 36:18
  Speaker 5: base hits, sixty five average is what that is, one
• 36:21
  Speaker 5: to eighty six ops. So I think I Mi Naga
• 36:24
  Speaker 5: should pitch well here. The question is kind of gonna
• 36:28
  Speaker 5: be like the Chicago mental state here on the return
• 36:32
  Speaker 5: home spot. You know, that's what I don't like about it.
• 36:35
  Speaker 5: This is kind of similar in a way to that
• 36:36
  Speaker 5: Philly game. I kind of see those in a similar way,
• 36:39
  Speaker 5: where you have a big starting pitching advantage here based
• 36:42
  Speaker 5: on who the pitchers are, but it's also a situational.
• 36:45
  Speaker 3: Disadvantage for that team.
• 36:47
  Speaker 5: I think it is more of a situational disadvantage for
• 36:49
  Speaker 5: Colorado maybe, though though again Miami could be in a
• 36:52
  Speaker 5: letdown spot too, I think because they just beat Pittsburgh, right,
• 36:55
  Speaker 5: I think they didn't, I forget already. Anyway, Cubs are
• 37:00
  Speaker 5: around minus two hundred here, maybe a little bit pricier
• 37:03
  Speaker 5: than that. You're paying for Imanaga here, you're paying for
• 37:06
  Speaker 5: Fade in Colorado as well. Eighty three percent of tickets
• 37:09
  Speaker 5: eighty eight percent of the cash on the Cubs, So
• 37:13
  Speaker 5: the money looks to be slightly leaning that way and
• 37:15
  Speaker 5: slightly leaning towards an under the totals at nine, which
• 37:19
  Speaker 5: I think probably means the wind is just not that
• 37:21
  Speaker 5: much of a factor in this one, because Wrigley Field
• 37:24
  Speaker 5: has a lot of has a huge wind factor, and
• 37:28
  Speaker 5: you can tell what the wind is doing based on
• 37:30
  Speaker 5: the total, but in this one, it's kind of hard
• 37:32
  Speaker 5: to figure that out because you have one bad picture
• 37:35
  Speaker 5: and one good picture here, although that good picture has
• 37:38
  Speaker 5: an era that's misleadingly bad, so I don't know. So
• 37:41
  Speaker 5: I don't know if this indicates there's any wind or not.
• 37:44
  Speaker 5: You would think that with Lorenzen on the mound, though
• 37:46
  Speaker 5: maybe this total would be a little bit higher if
• 37:48
  Speaker 5: it was wind blowing out here. So my guess is
• 37:50
  Speaker 5: that it's kind of just not that windy in this
• 37:53
  Speaker 5: game in Wrigley today or tonight. But I could be
• 37:56
  Speaker 5: wrong about that. But money is backing the under a
• 38:00
  Speaker 5: little bit there. Total at nine for an im Naga game,
• 38:03
  Speaker 5: that does seem high though for total there, but you
• 38:06
  Speaker 5: have to kind of balance it between him and Lorenz
• 38:09
  Speaker 5: in here.
• 38:10
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 38:11
  Speaker 5: I don't see a great way to play that game though.
• 38:13
  Speaker 5: I wouldn't play Cubs over their team total either, because
• 38:15
  Speaker 5: they might have distracted hitting and Lorenzen actually has been
• 38:19
  Speaker 5: kind of okay ish against them, So I don't know
• 38:23
  Speaker 5: what I would do. I don't really have a good
• 38:24
  Speaker 5: opinion on this game at all. I just don't. I mean,
• 38:27
  Speaker 5: an under might actually make the most sense in this game,
• 38:31
  Speaker 5: maybe a first five under only because Colorado's bullpen is
• 38:34
  Speaker 5: so bad, But you might get enough out of both
• 38:37
  Speaker 5: starters to keep this thing under early in the game,
• 38:39
  Speaker 5: and then you're fading the Colorado offensive explosion from yesterday
• 38:44
  Speaker 5: at the very least. Or actually, the other way you
• 38:45
  Speaker 5: could do this is to go Colorado under their team total,
• 38:48
  Speaker 5: because the Cubs have a good starting pitcher on the
• 38:51
  Speaker 5: mound who's better than he looks.
• 38:53
  Speaker 3: He's got pretty.
• 38:53
  Speaker 5: Dominant numbers against him, and the Cubs have a good
• 38:55
  Speaker 5: bullpend too. That might actually be the way to do
• 38:58
  Speaker 5: it is to go Colorado on through their team total,
• 39:01
  Speaker 5: and you're probably looking at you're gonna need them to
• 39:04
  Speaker 5: probably score I don't even know, like you might need
• 39:06
  Speaker 5: them to be held to three or less, though, which is.
• 39:09
  Speaker 3: A little bit dicey. So I don't know.
• 39:12
  Speaker 5: Minnesota at Texas, this game is gonna be kind of
• 39:14
  Speaker 5: hard to handicap because minesella maybe not, but Minnesota has
• 39:17
  Speaker 5: not announced the starter.
• 39:19
  Speaker 3: Here.
• 39:20
  Speaker 5: Texas is returning home from the road. They went to
• 39:21
  Speaker 5: Kansas City and then Boston. They salvaged the night game
• 39:25
  Speaker 5: against Boston yesterday. The Scots that were in the crowd
• 39:28
  Speaker 5: did not help enough for the Red Sox there. I
• 39:31
  Speaker 5: don't know if you saw that, but the the dudes
• 39:33
  Speaker 5: who were in town for Scotland for the World Cup
• 39:37
  Speaker 5: here they're just their total lunatics, dude, in a good way.
• 39:42
  Speaker 5: They have like a schedule where they all meet up,
• 39:44
  Speaker 5: and they met up like somewhere in the Back Bay area,
• 39:47
  Speaker 5: and they all marched to Fenway Park last night and
• 39:51
  Speaker 5: they invaded the stadium.
• 39:52
  Speaker 3: I don't know.
• 39:53
  Speaker 5: They got five thousand people into the stadium. I don't
• 39:55
  Speaker 5: know how like a Red Sox Sunday night. Like you're
• 39:58
  Speaker 5: telling me, like, are the Red Sox not selling their
• 40:00
  Speaker 5: games out anymore? Like back in like the nineties the
• 40:03
  Speaker 5: two thousands, every game was pretty much a sellout for
• 40:06
  Speaker 5: the Red Sox. Like you might be able to go
• 40:08
  Speaker 5: on like a random week night and get like some
• 40:10
  Speaker 5: bleacher tickets that were still available, but and I did
• 40:14
  Speaker 5: that sometimes. But yeah, I don't know, man, it's a
• 40:17
  Speaker 5: different day, it's a different age. If the Scots came
• 40:20
  Speaker 5: over and they could just somehow get five thousand tickets,
• 40:24
  Speaker 5: I don't know what they did.
• 40:25
  Speaker 3: But they invaded Fenway.
• 40:26
  Speaker 5: They were all over the place, in the bleachers, in
• 40:29
  Speaker 5: the grand stands, in the box seats, they seem like
• 40:31
  Speaker 5: they were everywhere. And it's a really it's an indictment
• 40:35
  Speaker 5: of the Red Sox current fan base because it was
• 40:39
  Speaker 5: like the loudest crowd you'll ever see at Fenway, or
• 40:42
  Speaker 5: the loudest crowd that you've seen at Fenway probably since
• 40:44
  Speaker 5: like the mid two thousands or something like that. Like
• 40:47
  Speaker 5: we need to go back to that, dude, Like, you're
• 40:49
  Speaker 5: gonna let a bunch of Scottish people come in who
• 40:52
  Speaker 5: don't even know what baseball is and they're gonna be
• 40:54
  Speaker 5: better fans for the Red Sox than you are.
• 40:57
  Speaker 3: Like what the fuck, dude?
• 40:59
  Speaker 5: Something needs to change, man, because yeah, that was like
• 41:02
  Speaker 5: that was the best Red Sox crowd that I can
• 41:06
  Speaker 5: remember in quite some time thanks to the Scots. We
• 41:09
  Speaker 5: should keep them here. I want them to stay in
• 41:12
  Speaker 5: Boston and we can. We can get rid of some
• 41:14
  Speaker 5: of the other people from other from other countries that
• 41:17
  Speaker 5: are here. We'll replace them with the Scots. Okay, and Boston,
• 41:20
  Speaker 5: by the way, is about to be invaded by the
• 41:23
  Speaker 5: the Nords as well. The Norwegians are coming in. Maybe
• 41:28
  Speaker 5: they'll hate me because I'm a Swede, but I don't know.
• 41:30
  Speaker 5: I don't hate them though. So I think we got
• 41:32
  Speaker 5: a good draw with the World Cup here in Boston.
• 41:34
  Speaker 5: We get Scotland and Norway. I guess that's not bad.
• 41:39
  Speaker 5: I'll take it. I will see if the Norwegians are
• 41:41
  Speaker 5: probably not gonna be as crazy as the Scots though.
• 41:44
  Speaker 5: All right, anyway, Texas is returning home from the road.
• 41:47
  Speaker 5: They somehow won even in the face of the ridiculous
• 41:52
  Speaker 5: crowd that was at Fenway last night. They were returning
• 41:55
  Speaker 5: home from the road though, off of a night game.
• 41:57
  Speaker 5: And you know that's a bad spot. It's extra because
• 42:00
  Speaker 5: they have less time to travel because they were in
• 42:02
  Speaker 5: the night game. So luckily the Red Sox are off today.
• 42:06
  Speaker 5: But this is a bad spot for Texas returning home
• 42:08
  Speaker 5: from the road. By the way, Connolly early sucked.
• 42:11
  Speaker 3: In that game. I'm not happy about that at all.
• 42:13
  Speaker 5: Texas not a good offense anyway, bad spot for Texas
• 42:17
  Speaker 5: here returning home from the road, and they went to
• 42:19
  Speaker 5: Kansas City and Boston. They have less time to turn
• 42:22
  Speaker 5: around and play this game because they played last night.
• 42:25
  Speaker 5: Big time negative for Texas. The problem is, can we
• 42:28
  Speaker 5: really back a Minnesota bullpen game? I just I mean,
• 42:33
  Speaker 5: I don't really see a way that you can. Minnesota's
• 42:36
  Speaker 5: bullpen is terrible, so I don't want any part of that.
• 42:39
  Speaker 5: Minnesota used three guys out of the bullpen yesterday, Texas
• 42:43
  Speaker 5: used two. Texas has a very good bullpen. They're ranked
• 42:46
  Speaker 5: fifth right now. Minnesota, as I said, is dead last
• 42:49
  Speaker 5: in ERA and they're twenty ninth out of thirty of
• 42:52
  Speaker 5: the whip. Actually they're tied and last and whipped too
• 42:54
  Speaker 5: with Cincinnati, So Minnesota is the worst bullpen based on
• 42:58
  Speaker 5: those metrics. Hitting wise, Minnesota is a little bit better
• 43:02
  Speaker 5: than Texas. They're sixteenth, Texas is twenty third. That might
• 43:06
  Speaker 5: not be enough. I like pitching over hitting. Again, my
• 43:10
  Speaker 5: guess is Minnesota is going with a bullpen game because
• 43:12
  Speaker 5: I went back five games to look and it was
• 43:14
  Speaker 5: a pure bullpen game from Minnesota on that one, So
• 43:17
  Speaker 5: I think that's what they're doing here.
• 43:20
  Speaker 3: I just can't back that.
• 43:21
  Speaker 5: Going up against Mackenzie Gore for Texas, who I think
• 43:25
  Speaker 5: is an okay pitcher, but he seems to be really
• 43:27
  Speaker 5: kind of location and matchup dependent. He's got a four
• 43:30
  Speaker 5: point one eighty ARRA one point three to five whip
• 43:33
  Speaker 5: is definitely too high. He's too wild, but he is
• 43:36
  Speaker 5: good at home. He's been much better at home for
• 43:39
  Speaker 5: Texas two point oh eight. Homie Ray quite good, which
• 43:42
  Speaker 5: makes sense because Texas is a very picture friendly environment here,
• 43:46
  Speaker 5: he's just walking too many guys. That's been his problem
• 43:50
  Speaker 5: throughout his career. Really, He's got a low a pretty
• 43:52
  Speaker 5: low hit rate, which is decent. Strike got rate is
• 43:55
  Speaker 5: good more than one per inning. Solid walk rate way
• 43:58
  Speaker 5: too high. He's got to get that under control. But
• 44:00
  Speaker 5: he might actually pitch better in this outing because he
• 44:03
  Speaker 5: is at home where he does pitch much better, and
• 44:06
  Speaker 5: Minnesota does not have good numbers against him at all.
• 44:09
  Speaker 5: In twenty seven at bats, five strikeouts, one walk, no
• 44:13
  Speaker 5: one extra base hit excuse me, a double from Arcia
• 44:16
  Speaker 5: which is his only hit in fourteen at bats against
• 44:19
  Speaker 5: him seventy four or average two eighteen ops. So yeah,
• 44:23
  Speaker 5: Mackenzie Gore does match up well here. So that's another
• 44:25
  Speaker 5: reason why I will not be fading Texas in this one.
• 44:29
  Speaker 5: Texas clearly has a pitching advantage in this game, so
• 44:33
  Speaker 5: you can do with what you want with that. The
• 44:35
  Speaker 5: money is back in Minnesota, I don't. I mean, I
• 44:38
  Speaker 5: guess I know why. It's because of the situation, but
• 44:40
  Speaker 5: I would not want to do that. Eighty percent of
• 44:43
  Speaker 5: tickets on Texas, eighty eight percent of the cash on Minnesota,
• 44:48
  Speaker 5: Texas around the minus one seventy favorite I guess maybe
• 44:50
  Speaker 5: the thought is that Texas is just too heavily favored here.
• 44:55
  Speaker 5: Maybe I don't know, man, I mean, this does look
• 44:58
  Speaker 5: like kind of a pitching mismatch, though in favor of Texas.
• 45:00
  Speaker 5: Here money is also backing the over the totals at eight.
• 45:04
  Speaker 5: I'm not gonna be playing too many overs in Texas
• 45:08
  Speaker 5: home games. You know, this does not seem to be
• 45:10
  Speaker 5: one where I would want to do that. You know, Yeah,
• 45:14
  Speaker 5: I don't know. It's just a horrible spot for Texas.
• 45:16
  Speaker 3: Though.
• 45:17
  Speaker 5: It might be another one of those games where maybe
• 45:19
  Speaker 5: you could go Minnesota under their team total and just
• 45:21
  Speaker 5: bank on Texas's pitching to hold Minnesota down. It makes
• 45:25
  Speaker 5: some sense because Texas has allowed some of the fewest
• 45:28
  Speaker 5: runs at home in all Major League Baseball, so they
• 45:31
  Speaker 5: have really good pitching at home, and they're hitting sucks
• 45:34
  Speaker 5: at home.
• 45:35
  Speaker 3: So do with that info what you want.
• 45:38
  Speaker 5: But Minnesota under team total maybe is what makes the
• 45:41
  Speaker 5: most sense in that game.
• 45:42
  Speaker 3: All right.
• 45:43
  Speaker 5: The next four games, I actually kind of like all
• 45:45
  Speaker 5: of them in some capacity. I like three of them
• 45:48
  Speaker 5: better than the Pittsburgh and as one. I like the
• 45:51
  Speaker 5: other three better. The next one is my actual play
• 45:53
  Speaker 5: because I think there's an added advantage here, So this
• 45:56
  Speaker 5: is my only play of the day.
• 45:57
  Speaker 3: Maybe I'm being too selective, though.
• 46:02
  Speaker 5: I'm gonna go with the Detroit Tigers money line here
• 46:05
  Speaker 5: plus one fourteen against Houston. I think we have multiple
• 46:09
  Speaker 5: things that line up here. As far as the situation Houston,
• 46:12
  Speaker 5: as you know what I'm gonna say, they're returning home
• 46:14
  Speaker 5: from the road. They went to Anaheims, they're out on
• 46:17
  Speaker 5: the Pacific coast, and then they.
• 46:18
  Speaker 3: Went to Kansas City.
• 46:19
  Speaker 5: They did lose in a shutout yesterday, but I don't
• 46:21
  Speaker 5: know that that's enough to motivate them here. Detroit hasn't
• 46:24
  Speaker 5: really been playing well either, but Houston is not playing
• 46:27
  Speaker 5: that well either. Return home spot, it's a negative spot.
• 46:31
  Speaker 5: I know Kansas City, they're in the same time zone whatever,
• 46:34
  Speaker 5: that's not that bad. But still they've been away for
• 46:37
  Speaker 5: a week, so I think it is a distraction spot.
• 46:39
  Speaker 3: Return home spot.
• 46:41
  Speaker 5: And in addition to that, what did I talk about
• 46:43
  Speaker 5: at the top of the show today about my play
• 46:45
  Speaker 5: yesterday that didn't happen between Detroit and Cleveland. Yeah, Detroit
• 46:50
  Speaker 5: and Cleveland wound up not playing yesterday. So Detroit is
• 46:53
  Speaker 5: the only team playing today that didn't play yesterday because
• 46:57
  Speaker 5: they had a rain out. So Detroit has a rest
• 46:59
  Speaker 5: advantage because they didn't play yesterday and they were on
• 47:01
  Speaker 5: the version getting swept in that series. So I think
• 47:05
  Speaker 5: that's gonna help. That could help them bust that losing momentum.
• 47:08
  Speaker 5: They get an extra day to rest here. They're not
• 47:11
  Speaker 5: traveling that far either, really from Cleveland, that's not that bad.
• 47:14
  Speaker 5: Plus again, they had that extra day once they found
• 47:17
  Speaker 5: out that game was postponed, I think they probably started
• 47:19
  Speaker 5: getting ready for this game. So I think Detroit has
• 47:22
  Speaker 5: an advantage here Houston. They didn't play a night game
• 47:25
  Speaker 5: yesterday though, because every game is in the afternoon on
• 47:28
  Speaker 5: Sunday except for the night game. But still big advantage
• 47:31
  Speaker 5: to Detroit here in that they're they're off of a
• 47:35
  Speaker 5: couple of bad performances. They get to break that momentum.
• 47:39
  Speaker 5: They're the rested team here and Houston's returning home from
• 47:42
  Speaker 5: the road. Houston also has a bad bullpen, and they
• 47:45
  Speaker 5: did do some of their bullpen yesterday. Two guys out
• 47:48
  Speaker 5: of the bullpen, and yes, they have been pitching better recently.
• 47:51
  Speaker 5: They're up to twenty two in bullpen. Still not a
• 47:54
  Speaker 5: good bullpen though. Detroit's twentieth. Their era is like points zero.
• 48:00
  Speaker 5: Evan runs better, so Detroit is still the better bullpen.
• 48:03
  Speaker 5: Plus they're completely rested, so I will go full game
• 48:06
  Speaker 5: with this, even though again Houston's bullpen has n't better recently,
• 48:10
  Speaker 5: Detroit's hasn't been that bad recently, So we'll go with
• 48:14
  Speaker 5: the full game here. Given everything involved in this game hitting, yes,
• 48:18
  Speaker 5: Houston is the better team their tenth Detroit hasn't been
• 48:21
  Speaker 5: very good at twentieth.
• 48:22
  Speaker 3: They're tied with the Reds right now. But still.
• 48:27
  Speaker 5: I think Houston's offense might take a little bit of
• 48:29
  Speaker 5: a step back in this game because of the returning
• 48:31
  Speaker 5: home and we're gonna back Troy Melton again. And I
• 48:34
  Speaker 5: know he he melted down and let us down in
• 48:38
  Speaker 5: his last game, but I think he's still a good pitcher.
• 48:41
  Speaker 5: Two point eight to one RRA, one point h one whip,
• 48:44
  Speaker 5: those are still good numbers.
• 48:46
  Speaker 3: He's young, he's twenty five.
• 48:48
  Speaker 5: You look at his career, made four starts last year,
• 48:51
  Speaker 5: twelve relief appearances. His numbers were pretty much almost exactly
• 48:56
  Speaker 5: what they are this year is what he did last year,
• 48:58
  Speaker 5: So he's been pretty con assistant.
• 49:00
  Speaker 3: He's not a strikeout pitcher.
• 49:02
  Speaker 5: So I don't necessarily love that that he doesn't strike
• 49:05
  Speaker 5: guys out, but the rest of his numbers are strong,
• 49:07
  Speaker 5: Like he doesn't allow that many hits, he doesn't allow
• 49:09
  Speaker 5: that many walks, so I'm fairly good with that. He'd
• 49:13
  Speaker 5: given up two or fewer earned runs in his first
• 49:16
  Speaker 5: three starts this year. He went five and two thirds
• 49:18
  Speaker 5: and more in all of them until that start where
• 49:20
  Speaker 5: he tried to go under against Minnesota, And he gave
• 49:23
  Speaker 5: up four home runs against Minnesota, but he'd only given
• 49:26
  Speaker 5: up one in the prior three starts, so he have
• 49:30
  Speaker 5: to gauge like, is that a trend, is he trending
• 49:32
  Speaker 5: in the wrong direction, or is he still good? Well,
• 49:35
  Speaker 5: he had five strikeouts and no walks in that outing,
• 49:37
  Speaker 5: so I think his command was still there, So I
• 49:39
  Speaker 5: think that was a little bit more fluky. So I
• 49:42
  Speaker 5: think he should bounce back here and pitch well. And
• 49:45
  Speaker 5: against Houston, I don't think they have much experience against him.
• 49:48
  Speaker 3: They do not.
• 49:49
  Speaker 5: Only three of their hitters have faced them. They're zero
• 49:51
  Speaker 5: for two with a strikeout and a walk, so he's
• 49:53
  Speaker 5: pretty unfamiliar to them. So even though he's not a
• 49:55
  Speaker 5: guy that has like blow you away type of stuff.
• 49:59
  Speaker 5: He's still that hitters have not really had success against.
• 50:02
  Speaker 5: So I think he can pitch well here and we're
• 50:04
  Speaker 5: gonna fade Kaiwei Tang here, who I don't really think
• 50:08
  Speaker 5: is that good. His numbers are okay this year three
• 50:11
  Speaker 5: point seven to one ERA, one point twenty seven whip
• 50:13
  Speaker 5: for Houston.
• 50:14
  Speaker 3: He was pitching well for a.
• 50:15
  Speaker 5: While, but a lot of these numbers were out of
• 50:17
  Speaker 5: the bullpen, and since he's been a starter, there are
• 50:20
  Speaker 5: some question marks there. He's been a little bit better
• 50:23
  Speaker 5: at home three point four to six home the IRA.
• 50:26
  Speaker 5: I'm not gonna put that much weight into that, but
• 50:28
  Speaker 5: you look at his recent outings.
• 50:29
  Speaker 3: His walk number has been pretty bad.
• 50:32
  Speaker 5: If you go back to when he started actually being
• 50:34
  Speaker 5: like a full time starter and going pretty much five
• 50:37
  Speaker 5: innings in every one of his starts, he hasn't been
• 50:40
  Speaker 5: that good.
• 50:40
  Speaker 3: He's walked three.
• 50:41
  Speaker 5: Or more in all but one of those outings, and
• 50:43
  Speaker 5: the one that he didn't he only had one strikeout.
• 50:45
  Speaker 5: These numbers are just not very good. He's allowed nine
• 50:48
  Speaker 5: runs over his two starts this month and nine innings
• 50:51
  Speaker 5: in addition to aligned fourteen hits, and with six strikeouts
• 50:54
  Speaker 5: and five walks.
• 50:56
  Speaker 3: This is not good.
• 50:57
  Speaker 5: Stuff here, he's too wild, too many guys on base.
• 51:01
  Speaker 5: There are some big time questions here his overall numbers.
• 51:04
  Speaker 5: He does have a low hit rate, but a lot
• 51:06
  Speaker 5: of that was coming out of the bullpen. Strike out
• 51:08
  Speaker 5: rate is okay. His walk rate clearly too high, so
• 51:11
  Speaker 5: we're gonna fade him. I mean, I think he's the
• 51:14
  Speaker 5: more questionable pitcher here man and going up against Detroit.
• 51:17
  Speaker 5: We have a small sample size here, well, we have
• 51:19
  Speaker 5: no sample size actually my mistake, so he is unfamiliar
• 51:24
  Speaker 5: to them. But I'm not sure that that's gonna be
• 51:25
  Speaker 5: enough here in this one. Given that I think the
• 51:27
  Speaker 5: situation is really good for Detroit. I think we have
• 51:30
  Speaker 5: the more I don't know what to say, Like he's
• 51:35
  Speaker 5: we have the less wild starter on the mound, so
• 51:38
  Speaker 5: I think he's the less variant starter on the mount
• 51:41
  Speaker 5: here with Melton. So we're gonna go with him to
• 51:43
  Speaker 5: bounce back fade Houston in the spot here. The money
• 51:47
  Speaker 5: seems to agree with this. Sixty eight percent of tickets
• 51:50
  Speaker 5: around Houston, they're around minus one thirty or so here.
• 51:53
  Speaker 5: Fifty two percent of the cash though on Detroit, so
• 51:56
  Speaker 5: the money's backing Detroit here. The money is also backing
• 51:59
  Speaker 5: the over the totals at eight and a half. I
• 52:02
  Speaker 5: don't have a great read on the total here because
• 52:04
  Speaker 5: I think both starting pitchers, you know, could potentially.
• 52:08
  Speaker 3: Do all right here.
• 52:11
  Speaker 5: You know, if you're going over a full game makes
• 52:13
  Speaker 5: some sense because you want to kind of fade potentially
• 52:16
  Speaker 5: fade both bullpens here. But I'm going full game with
• 52:21
  Speaker 5: Detroit here. I'm gonna roll with their bullpen, which I
• 52:23
  Speaker 5: think is I think their bullpen has enough of an
• 52:26
  Speaker 5: advantage against Houston's bullpen, plus the situation, plus the starting
• 52:30
  Speaker 5: pitching edge that I think we have. I think we
• 52:31
  Speaker 5: have the edge throughout the game pitching wise here, plus
• 52:35
  Speaker 5: the situation. So Detroit is my one play of the
• 52:38
  Speaker 5: day there the next game up. I do kind of
• 52:41
  Speaker 5: like though Anaheim and Arizona. Hear Arizona's returning on from
• 52:45
  Speaker 5: the road. They went to Miami and Cincinnati, so they
• 52:48
  Speaker 5: went all the way east and then they were in
• 52:51
  Speaker 5: the central part of the country. Now they're coming back
• 52:53
  Speaker 5: to Arizona, so this is a bit of a trip
• 52:55
  Speaker 5: for them.
• 52:56
  Speaker 3: They just won the weekend series against the Reds.
• 52:58
  Speaker 5: Returning home could be a little bit difficult, man, And
• 53:01
  Speaker 5: are they really gonna be that focused on an American
• 53:04
  Speaker 5: League team that's not that good.
• 53:06
  Speaker 3: Probably not.
• 53:07
  Speaker 5: So I think this is a return home distraction spot
• 53:09
  Speaker 5: that Arizona is in. So I think it's a bad spot.
• 53:12
  Speaker 5: Anaheim is in a better spot here because they're staying
• 53:15
  Speaker 5: in the Anaheim area, right. Oh, no, excuse me, They're
• 53:18
  Speaker 5: going to Arizona. My mistake.
• 53:19
  Speaker 3: But I was thinking of the Dodgers. I'll talk about them.
• 53:22
  Speaker 5: Wait was I No? I was thinking of Tampa Bay.
• 53:25
  Speaker 5: Who's playing against the dog I forget. Yeah, I think
• 53:28
  Speaker 5: it's Tampa Bay, which I'm gonna talk about at the
• 53:30
  Speaker 5: end of the baseball segment here.
• 53:31
  Speaker 3: I'm getting all confused.
• 53:33
  Speaker 5: But Anaheim is only traveling from Anaheim to Arizona here,
• 53:36
  Speaker 5: so that's not that bad either. They have a much
• 53:38
  Speaker 5: shorter trip here. But they did just lose a win streak.
• 53:41
  Speaker 5: They'd won four games in a row. Sometimes when you
• 53:43
  Speaker 5: do that and then you lose a win streak, sometimes
• 53:45
  Speaker 5: it will hang you over into the next games. That's
• 53:48
  Speaker 5: one slight concern with Anaheim here. Although I like Anaheim
• 53:52
  Speaker 5: in this game, I think Arizona is still in the
• 53:53
  Speaker 5: worst spot, the return home spot, and.
• 53:56
  Speaker 3: We're gonna you know, if you do go with.
• 53:58
  Speaker 5: The Anaheim here, you get to fade Nelson, and you
• 54:01
  Speaker 5: know I tend to like to do that. Arizona used
• 54:04
  Speaker 5: three bullpen arms yesterday. Anaheim's bullpen stinks though, and they
• 54:08
  Speaker 5: use five, so I would not want to include Anaheim's bullpen.
• 54:12
  Speaker 5: And what I do here the rank twenty seventh and
• 54:14
  Speaker 5: bullpen they're really bad. Arizona's seventh. They're not quite as
• 54:19
  Speaker 5: good as that, but they're not bad. So Arizona does
• 54:22
  Speaker 5: have the better bullpen here. Anaheim's eighteenth. In offense, Diamondbacks
• 54:26
  Speaker 5: are twenty sixth, so they have really been struggling offensively recently,
• 54:30
  Speaker 5: so that could factor into this equation as well. The
• 54:33
  Speaker 5: Diamondbacks may may continue to struggle offensively in this potentially
• 54:38
  Speaker 5: unfocused spot here. And if you're gonna back Anaheim, you
• 54:41
  Speaker 5: get Walbert Urina here. I think he's actually good, but
• 54:45
  Speaker 5: there are still some question marks with him. He's a
• 54:47
  Speaker 5: really young guy, he's twenty two, but I think he's
• 54:49
  Speaker 5: got some talent, man like looking at what he's done
• 54:51
  Speaker 5: so far.
• 54:52
  Speaker 3: Two point four to four.
• 54:53
  Speaker 5: Era is obviously really good. His whip is not that
• 54:56
  Speaker 5: good though, one point three six. That does indicate that
• 54:59
  Speaker 5: he's should be higher than that, but his stuff is
• 55:02
  Speaker 5: so good that he's like getting out of these jams
• 55:04
  Speaker 5: that he's getting himself in. He's not as good on
• 55:07
  Speaker 5: the road though, three point eighty six Roady Ray, So
• 55:09
  Speaker 5: if you do want Anaheim here, you're going against his
• 55:12
  Speaker 5: home road splits.
• 55:13
  Speaker 3: But his Roady Ray is still decent.
• 55:16
  Speaker 5: Uh. The problem with him is the walks though. That's
• 55:18
  Speaker 5: that would be kind of my main concern. I mean,
• 55:20
  Speaker 5: that is my main concern with him. Like, he's allowed
• 55:22
  Speaker 5: very few runs. He's only allowed more than tour in
• 55:25
  Speaker 5: runs twice this season, hasn't allowed more than four in
• 55:29
  Speaker 5: any outing, and he's allowed more.
• 55:30
  Speaker 3: Than he's allowed yeah.
• 55:33
  Speaker 5: Yeah, more than two only twice. He's got a really
• 55:35
  Speaker 5: low hit rate. His walk rate is way too high though,
• 55:38
  Speaker 5: that's the problem. His strikeout rate is decent, and he's
• 55:41
  Speaker 5: got a good ground ball rate too, But again, the
• 55:44
  Speaker 5: walks are the.
• 55:44
  Speaker 3: Main issue with him.
• 55:46
  Speaker 5: If he can get that, if he can get those
• 55:48
  Speaker 5: numbers down, I think he's gonna be a really good pitcher.
• 55:51
  Speaker 5: And I do still like him in this game, but
• 55:53
  Speaker 5: there are just a few question marks with it where
• 55:55
  Speaker 5: I'm leaving it off my card for those reasons. But
• 55:58
  Speaker 5: I do kind of like I like an tim first
• 56:00
  Speaker 5: five in this game. And Urine has never been seen
• 56:03
  Speaker 5: before by Arizona, so he has an extra advantage of
• 56:06
  Speaker 5: being unfamiliar to Arizona, so that does help him, I
• 56:09
  Speaker 5: think in this game. And if you're gonna go with
• 56:12
  Speaker 5: the Anaheim here, you're gonna be fading Ryan Nelson, who
• 56:15
  Speaker 5: is not pitching that well again here. He was pitching
• 56:18
  Speaker 5: well for a while, but I still don't think he's good,
• 56:22
  Speaker 5: and he hasn't been that good in his recent outings.
• 56:24
  Speaker 5: He's got a five point one to nine ERA one
• 56:26
  Speaker 5: point two to three whip is not that bad, though
• 56:28
  Speaker 5: that does indicate that his RA should be lower than that.
• 56:32
  Speaker 5: But he hasn't really been good at home. Five point
• 56:34
  Speaker 5: three to five home ERA, that's not good. He got
• 56:36
  Speaker 5: bombed by Miami in the last game. Gave up seven
• 56:39
  Speaker 5: runs in four innings at Miami with only two strikeouts
• 56:44
  Speaker 5: and four innings and one walk.
• 56:46
  Speaker 3: That's not a great sign.
• 56:47
  Speaker 5: He give up eight hits as well against a Miami
• 56:50
  Speaker 5: offense that's not that good in Miami's pitcher friendly park.
• 56:53
  Speaker 5: That's not a great sign. Nelson looks like He's kind
• 56:56
  Speaker 5: of alternating good and bad starts recently, which would mean
• 57:00
  Speaker 5: this start would be a good one, though I'm not
• 57:02
  Speaker 5: sure that it will be. He does have a decent
• 57:05
  Speaker 5: hit rate here, his walk rate's not that bad either.
• 57:08
  Speaker 5: Strike out rate is pretty low, so his overall numbers
• 57:10
  Speaker 5: really aren't too bad.
• 57:12
  Speaker 3: Still, don't really like him though he's going up against Anaheim.
• 57:16
  Speaker 5: They have a very small sample size against him, five
• 57:18
  Speaker 5: hitters with twelve at bats against him, but they've hit
• 57:21
  Speaker 5: him around four to seventeen batting average, thirteen to twelve OPS,
• 57:25
  Speaker 5: three to four strike out walk ratio, so you don't
• 57:28
  Speaker 5: want to read that much into a small sample size.
• 57:30
  Speaker 5: But the guys that have faced him have definitely done
• 57:33
  Speaker 5: damage against him. So I like focusing on the starting
• 57:37
  Speaker 5: pitching here, plus the situation really just because I would
• 57:40
  Speaker 5: want to leave Anaheim's bullpen out of this. But I
• 57:42
  Speaker 5: would go Anaheim first five and this one. Arizona is
• 57:46
  Speaker 5: a favorite in the full game, and around minus one
• 57:48
  Speaker 5: thirty or so here sixty one percent of tickets on Arizona,
• 57:52
  Speaker 5: fifty seven percent of the cash on Anaheim, so the
• 57:54
  Speaker 5: money is backing Anaheim here. I agree with that the
• 57:58
  Speaker 5: money's also backing the over which is which would be
• 58:01
  Speaker 5: over nine. Don't have a great read on the total here.
• 58:05
  Speaker 5: I mean, both bullpens may be fadable. Anaheim's definitely is,
• 58:09
  Speaker 5: but I would not really want to I don't really
• 58:13
  Speaker 5: have a good feeling for the side here. Excuse me
• 58:16
  Speaker 5: for the total here. I like the side in this game, obviously.
• 58:19
  Speaker 5: I like Anaheim first five. I think it's a pretty
• 58:22
  Speaker 5: strong play. It's not on my card just because I
• 58:25
  Speaker 5: think Urania does have his walk issues here.
• 58:28
  Speaker 3: He's not as good on the road. You know.
• 58:30
  Speaker 5: Those are kind of my only real concerns though. But yeah,
• 58:34
  Speaker 5: I like Anaheim in the first five there. I don't
• 58:36
  Speaker 5: know what type of line you can get on that,
• 58:38
  Speaker 5: but you'll probably still get them as an underdog if
• 58:40
  Speaker 5: you do that.
• 58:42
  Speaker 3: Pittsburgh at the A's now.
• 58:44
  Speaker 5: The A's are back in Sacramento now, so this is
• 58:46
  Speaker 5: not in Las Vegas anymore. So that means the A's
• 58:49
  Speaker 5: are in a return home spot, and they've been away
• 58:52
  Speaker 5: from home for four series. So that's a longer road
• 58:55
  Speaker 5: trip than you usually will see in Major League Baseball
• 58:58
  Speaker 5: because they're trying out the Las Vegas thing and getting
• 59:01
  Speaker 5: them used to Las Vegas, getting the crowd used to
• 59:03
  Speaker 5: it whatever, even though they're playing in you know, they
• 59:06
  Speaker 5: were playing in some stadium that they won't be in
• 59:08
  Speaker 5: once they actually moved to Las Vegas.
• 59:10
  Speaker 3: But this is a negative spot for the A's. It
• 59:13
  Speaker 3: looks like they're staying at home, but.
• 59:14
  Speaker 5: They're not because they're coming back from Vegas. I know,
• 59:16
  Speaker 5: the last lega that is quick Vegas up to the
• 59:20
  Speaker 5: Bay or up to Sacramento now, but still being away
• 59:24
  Speaker 5: from home for that long, that's still a negative. You
• 59:27
  Speaker 5: were returning home after being away for like two weeks,
• 59:30
  Speaker 5: basically pretty unheard of in Major League Baseball.
• 59:33
  Speaker 3: So I think that is a big negative for the
• 59:35
  Speaker 3: A's here.
• 59:38
  Speaker 5: So but they maybe they'll show up because they're playing
• 59:40
  Speaker 5: Pittsburgh and Pittsburgh has been a hyped team this year.
• 59:43
  Speaker 5: But I don't know, man, I think the A's are
• 59:45
  Speaker 5: just in a bad spot here. They did lose a
• 59:47
  Speaker 5: four game win streak yesterday as well, but they did
• 59:50
  Speaker 5: get embarrassed giving up twenty three runs, so maybe they
• 59:53
  Speaker 5: will want to bounce back from that, at least pitching wise.
• 59:57
  Speaker 5: Now Pittsburgh, they do have some negatives here. Pittsburgh's not
• 59:59
  Speaker 5: a good road team.
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 3: Really.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 5: Also, really, they're only five hundred on the season. I
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 5: didn't realize that.
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 3: But they're a little bit worse on the road.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 5: The A's are bad at home, though, so that's something
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 5: to consider. The A's basically have no home field advantage,
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 5: and in fact, pretty much all their pitchers do worse
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 5: at home, which makes sense because the A's are a
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 5: hitter friendly ballpark. Man, maybe not as hitter friendly as
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 5: that Vegas stadium, but we're still looking at a hitter
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 5: friendly ballpark here Pittsburgh. They're in a positive and a
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 5: negative spot here. It's positive because they're starting a road
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 5: trip and it might be good to just get out
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 5: of town after they lost to Miami over the weekend.
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 5: Forget about it, go on the road, focus on baseball.
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 5: That might be a good thing. The problem is they're
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 5: traveling cross country here, and they're gonna have to adjust
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 5: to the time zone. So Pittsburgh going from I believe
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 5: the Eastern time zone right all the way yeah, definitely,
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 5: all the way out to the Pacific time zone to
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 5: play a late night game.
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 3: You know me, I don't like.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 5: That as far as like a team's biological clock. That
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 5: first game when you're traveling from east to west coast.
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 5: I don't like that it can fuck with your biological clocks.
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 5: So I'm not a huge fan of Pittsburgh in this
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 5: game either. I think both teams are kind of in
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 5: negative ish spots here. The A's spot is definitely worse though,
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 5: so something to consider here. The A's bullpen got lit
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 5: up yesterday. They were really bad in that game yesterday.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 5: They only use three guys out of the bullpen, but
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 5: their bullpen is not that good. Pittsburgh's bullpen isn't really
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 5: good either, though they use three guys out of their bullpen.
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 5: The A's are twenty third in bullpen after that barrage yesterday.
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 5: They weren't really that good anyway, but that's not good.
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 5: Pittsburgh is twenty first, so they're not really that much better.
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 5: Both teams have been good offensively. The A's are third,
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 5: even though they were not the primary score or in
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 5: that game yesterday. Pittsburgh is tied in six with the
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 5: White Sox, so we have two capable offenses here. But
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 5: both pitchers are actually not that bad here. Jared Jones,
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 5: especially for Pittsburgh, he just came back from injury not
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 5: that long ago and he missed all of last year.
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 5: He was pretty good in twenty twenty four. Hasn't been
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 5: that good yet this year. Four point seven to three,
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 5: one point four to three whip. But if you look
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 5: at what he's done so far, he got bombed in
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 5: his first outing, and I apologize we lost on an
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 5: under in that game, first five, I think. But he
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 5: pitched better in his next start, shutting out Houston for
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 5: five innings, and then he pitched okay in his last
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 5: start against the Dodgers, and then they took him out
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 5: after four innings. They're still keeping keeping him on a
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 5: pitch count. It looks like they're letting him go pretty
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 5: much seventy five pitches and then they're taking him out,
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 5: which I'm fine with that. I mean, you don't want
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 5: to injure the guy again and whatever. But he pitched
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 5: okay in those last two outings, so I think he
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 5: does look like he could pitch okay here. But he's
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 5: gonna have to pitch in this A's stadium, which might
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 5: be a little bit of a concern because Jones is
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 5: a little bit more of a fly ball pitcher, so
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 5: that's not great. If you look at his numbers in
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 5: twenty twenty four, that is the case, So maybe that's
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 5: not great in this stadium the A's. I don't think
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 5: i've really seen him though. Yeah, only Jeff McNeil has
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 5: ever faced him zero for two with a strikeout. I
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 5: think Joe Ownes is good though, Like generally, I think
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 5: he could pitch okay here, but I do worry about
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 5: the environment that he's gonna be pitching in here.
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 3: So there are definitely some question marks here.
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 5: If you want to fade the A's in that return
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 5: home spot, I think we definitely have some questions here.
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 3: JT Ginn is pitching for the A's. He's actually got.
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 5: Good numbers here three point one five ERA, one point
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 5: one to five WHIP, but he's way worse at home
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 5: four point seven home ERA. He does not pitch well
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 5: in the A's stadium, man, so he is definitely fade
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 5: him when he's at home, which is kind of interesting
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 5: because he's not a heavy fly ball pitcher, so I
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 5: don't know why he pitches this badly in this stadium.
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 3: He has not allowed that many home.
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 5: Runs, but he's for whatever reason, he's still been more
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 5: hittable here at home.
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 3: He actually has a really low hit rate on the season,
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 3: though that's good. His walk rate is too.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 5: High, so his whip is good because his hit rate
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 5: is so low. But he's got to get his walk
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 5: number down a bit. And his strike gout rate is okay. Overall,
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 5: I think gin is alright, though he's been okay in
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 5: his two starts this month. He wasn't really that good
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 5: against Milwaukee last time out. He did walk three guys,
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 5: but Milwaukee, it's a tough draw. I mean, that's a
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 5: tough offense. And remember that was in that Vegas stadium,
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 5: So I think we can kind of overlook that out
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 5: in a little bit because that was a tough draw,
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 5: both in an opponent and stadium. And I think he
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 5: actually got a win in that game. Yeah he did. Uh,
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 5: So there was that Against Pittsburgh. They do not have
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 5: much experience against him. Three of the hitters to face them,
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 5: they're two for five off him. Brandon Low does have
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 5: a home run against him. They have a four hundred
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 5: average obviously fourteen hundred oh ps against him, no strikeouts.
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 3: No walks.
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 5: So this game, I mean, I'm leaving this game on
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 5: the shelf. Obviously, fading the a's makes some sense in
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 5: this game. Although the money looks like it's on the
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 5: A's here sixty six percent of tickets seventy two percent
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 5: of the cash on the A's, They're around minus one
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 5: twenty here. I would not want to back them in
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 5: this like mega return home spot though totals.
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 3: Ten and a half.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 5: I mean it's an A's home game, so that kind
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 5: of makes sense. The money is backing the over here,
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 5: I'm not so sure about that. If you go over
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 5: I think you should go full game on it, because
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 5: then you get advantage of you get the advantage of
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 5: having both pretty bad bullpens involved, So that would be
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 5: what you want if you're gonna go over here. I
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 5: don't think I want to do it, though, I mean,
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 5: both pitchers could pitch well here, though I think I'm
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 5: leading towards Jones having the better draw here. Though Jones
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 5: has more unfamiliarity Gin. His matchup numbers in that limited
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 5: sample size weren't really that good. Gen has really struggled
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 5: in this park, So Varne Jones, we just don't know
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 5: how good he's gonna be or not. So I still
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 5: like Pittsburgh in this game, maybe first five, so you
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 5: don't have to deal with the bullpen of the I
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 5: mean Pittsburgh full game and their bullpend is still the
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 5: better of the two. If you wanted to do it
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 5: that way, it makes some sense too, But Pittsburgh first
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 5: five might make a little more sense, and you get
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 5: them as an underdog there. I think that would be
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 5: the way I would play that game. And then we
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 5: have Tampa and the Dodgers. This is what I was
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 5: talking about. The Dodgers are returning home from the road.
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 5: They went to Pittsburgh and Chicago and they lost that
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 5: series to the White Sox.
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 3: Believe it or not. White Sox. Yeah, I mean they're
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 3: not bad.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 5: LA returning home from all that, so it's a negative
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 5: spot for LA returning home across multiple time zones might
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 5: not pay that much attention to Tampa Bay. They got
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 5: to get back to home life. You know, it's a
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 5: distracted spot. Tampa Bay is in a much better spot
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 5: because they did just salvage yesterday's game against Anaheim.
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 3: They're the team that I was thinking of.
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 5: They're only going up the road from Anaheim to LA here,
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 5: so much much better spot for Tampa Bay. Way less travel.
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 5: They're already adjusted to the time zone. That's a pretty big.
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 3: Advantage to Tampa Bay here.
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 5: So if you can't tell I like Tampa Bay in
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 5: this game, maybe some question marks with it. I think
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 5: this is maybe the second best player of the day, though,
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 5: is this one? And this game is actually on ESPN,
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 5: so this game is televised. The only other game it's
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 5: on TV besides the MLB TV all over. This is
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 5: ESPN unlimited with Kansas City and Washington.
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 3: They're catering to Zach.
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 5: I guess as far as the bullpens are concerned, Dodgers
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 5: do have the better bullpen. These three guys out of
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 5: the bullpen yesterday, Tampa used five. I would not want
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 5: to trust Tampa's bullpen here. Dodgers' bullpen has not been
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 5: as good recently, but there's still sixth on the season.
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 5: Maybe they'll start turning it around again. Tampa Bay has
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 5: not been good though they're nineteenth, their bullpen has not
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 5: been good. They're one of the worst bullpen e ras
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 5: like bottom several, so that's not good. Dodgers are number
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 5: one on offense, that has been the case for quite
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 5: a while most of the season.
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 3: Tampa Bay number fifteen in offense.
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 5: They've actually dropped off a little bit offensively but giving
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 5: up bad the spot is for the Dodgers. Then you
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 5: look at the starting pitching matchup here. I think this
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 5: is definitely a spot where you could fade the Dodgers
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 5: with this starting pitching matchup Tampa Bay. As Nick Martinez going,
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 5: he's been good two point four to three ERA, one
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 5: point one to six WHIP. He's been good on the
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 5: road one point seven to five ROADYRA, so you're playing
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 5: into his the better of his splits. He bounced back
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 5: from a bad start against Detroit with a good start
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 5: against Boston. Although I know it's Boston, their offense isn't good,
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 5: but uh, He's allowed no more than a three earned
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 5: runs in any start except for that one against Detroit
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 5: the one before that. That's the only time he's allowed
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 5: more than three earned runs all season, and he's allowed
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 5: more than two ear and runs only twice. But it
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 5: does happen to be his most recent two outings, so
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 5: maybe that is a little bit of a concern. He
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 5: only had three strikeouts in those eleven innings, fifteen hits
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 5: allowed in one walk, so he's he is a little
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 5: bit out of form right now, so that is a concern.
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 3: But his overall numbers.
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 5: I mean, he has a really really low strikeout rate
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 5: though he's not a strikeout pitcher, but he has a
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 5: low walk rate.
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 3: His hit rate is pretty average. Do we trust him?
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 3: I don't know. I mean I don't.
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 5: I don't think he's as good as his record looks.
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 5: He's in kind of bad form right now. His numbers
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 5: against the Dodgers I don't think are good enough to
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 5: actually back him here though eighty five at bats thirteen,
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 5: twelve strike out walker ratio is definitely not good. To
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 5: seventy one, although he doesn't strike out guys though, to
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 5: seventy one batting average allowed, seven eighty four ohps. Those
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 5: numbers are not horrible, but they're not good enough. The
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 5: Dodgers do have an offensive edge against them, so that
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 5: would concern me a little bit too much here. But
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 5: Eric Lauer is pitching for the Dodgers, and I think
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 5: he's their most fatable starting pitcher man. I mean, they
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 5: basically picked him up off the scrap heap after he
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 5: was sucking for Toronto. Though he pitched well for Toronto
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 5: last year, but this year not really at all. But
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 5: the Dodgers needed an arm because they have too many injuries,
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 5: so they grabbed him. He hasn't been that good though,
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 5: five point four to seventy RA, one point two to
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 5: nine WHIP.
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 3: That includes his numbers with Toronto, though, but.
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 5: He's got a five point eight to eight homy RA
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 5: that also includes Toronto, but still not good. He's been
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 5: a little bit better with the Dodgers. He's had three
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 5: starts with them. Good start against Colorado at home, then
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 5: he wasn't that good on the road against Arizona. Bounced
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 5: back with a decent start last time out at Pittsburgh's.
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 5: That is a decent sign that he pitched pretty well
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 5: in that game they want up. The Dodgers wound up
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 5: winning easily. That's because they unloaded on Pittsburgh's bullpen when
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 5: Lauer left the game.
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 3: I think it was a two to two tie.
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 5: But he he dueled Paul Skins in that game though,
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 5: so there is that. So he is pitching a little
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 5: bit better with the Dodgers, so you do have to
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 5: give them that, but I still don't trust him. And
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 5: his numbers against Tampa Bay are very bad. Remember he
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 5: was on Toronto, so Tampa Bay has seen a lot
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 5: of them. They have fifty seven at bats not as
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 5: much as you would think, but that's still a pretty
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 5: big sample. Nine strikeouts, three walks, three thirty three average
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 5: nine eight ops. So the ops in that biggest sample
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 5: size is almost one thousand a grand.
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 3: That's not good. So yeah, I like Tampa Bay first
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 3: five here.
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 5: I wouldn't want to deal with them full game, but
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 5: the money seems to agree with this one. Dodgers around
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 5: minus one sixty something here on the money line, you
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 5: know you're always gonna pay probably a bit too much
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 5: of a price for the Dodgers, even with Eric Lawer
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 5: on the mound. But eighty four percent of tickets around
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 5: the Dodgers sixty nine percent of the cash. Like I said,
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 5: I think it's a bad spot for the Dodgers. I
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 5: think you could argue that Tampa Bay has the starting
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 5: pitching advantage here plus the situation, So.
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 3: That's the way I would lean.
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 5: I don't think Tampa Bay has the bullpen advantage though,
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 5: so again I would I would cut that out of
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 5: the equation. I would go Tampa Bay first five. You
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 5: might be able to go plus a half run on that.
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 5: That's not a bad idea, right because then if Tampa
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 5: Bay is tied at the end of five, you actually
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 5: would win the bet, so that's that's not too bad.
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 3: If you do that, I.
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 5: Might sprinkle a little bit on the money line and
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 5: kind of turn it into like a spread bet there,
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 5: you know what I mean, first five only, I mean
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 5: do a little bit on the first five, spread a
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 5: little bit of on the first five money line, if
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 5: that makes sense. The money, by the way, is also
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 5: backing the over here. I do agree with that. The
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 5: total is nine. You got a struggling Dodgers' bullpen right now,
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 5: a bad Tampa Bay bullpen, and both starters have pretty
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 5: bad matchup numbers really.
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 3: So an over does make sense in this one.
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 5: Although I usually don't like overs when a team's returning
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 5: home from the road and the Dodgers actually hit a
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 5: little bit better on the road, But whatever, I still
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 5: think it over is worth consideration in this game. But
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 5: my preference in this game is still Tampa Bay plus
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 5: a half run at whatever price you can get on
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 5: that in the first five. I think that makes the
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 5: most sense there. All right, I'm gonna be right back
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 5: and then talk about the rest of the sports here.
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 3: Which is just WNBA.
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 5: Congratulations Garrett, by the way, for Carolina the Canes. But yes,
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 5: we'll talk about WNBA and World cop and when I
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 5: come back. Don't have really much to say about it though,
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 5: but I'll be right back.
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 3: H alright, WNBA.
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 5: This is more WNBA Cup play here, Las Vegas and
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 5: Dallas is the first game up. These games don't start
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 5: until eight, but nobody's watching them anyway, even though they're
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 5: on TV, because they're really trying to force you to
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 5: watch this WNBA. But of course you can just not
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 5: go to that channel USA network. This is a competitive
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 5: matchup though, Vegas and Dallas.
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 3: Dallas, you know up and coming team. They're not bad.
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 5: They're probably gonna make the playoffs this year. Dallas did
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 5: just lose pretty ugly to Portland as a road favorite.
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 3: There.
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 5: Dallas could be in a bounce back spot, potentially possible
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 5: they got caught looking ahead here to a big game
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 5: against Vegas, because Vegas is one of the best teams
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 5: in the league and the returning champs. So I think
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 5: Dallas maybe yeah, got caught a little bit there. Looks
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 5: like a bounce back spot for them to me here,
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 5: Vegas coming into this with I think the best record
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 5: in the league right now.
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 3: It's close with Minnesota. But they just beat Minnesota.
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 5: That was a huge win for Vegas, so I think
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 5: they're in a little bit of a letdown spot here
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 5: all of that massive win.
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 3: So that's uh something to look at here.
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 5: Vegas, though they did lose last time they were here
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 5: in Dallas, so that might keep them a little bit focused.
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 5: And that's really kind of my concern with this because
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 5: I like Dallas in this game based off the fact
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 5: that Vegas is coming off a huge win against possibly
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 5: their biggest competition in the league this year, although it
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 5: was without call here, she's still not back from Minnesota.
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 5: But yeah, so it could be a letdown spot for
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 5: Vegas here, although they're on a six game win streak.
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 5: Nice role here. Dallas looks like they're in a bounce
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 5: back spot off of that bad game that they just played.
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 5: They're returning home Dallas is but from only a single
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 5: game road trip though, and people might also look and
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 5: see that, oh, Vegas just went into Portland and beat
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 5: them by sixteen points, so Vegas should clearly beat Dallas here, right,
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 5: Because Portland beat Dallas, right, So people are gonna do
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 5: that transitive thing. So I think there are there are
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 5: more reasons to like Dallas here than to like Vegas.
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 5: But Vegas did come here back in late May, and
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 5: they lost the game by eight. So you gotta dig
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 5: into the box score and see what happened in this game. Well,
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 5: the biggest outlier was kind of Dallas shooting forty five
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 5: percent from three. Well, actually it was the free throws.
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 5: Dallas hit twelve more free throws in the game. They
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 5: went to the free throw line ten more times, and
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 5: Vegas's free throw shooting was awful.
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 3: In the game.
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 5: So that is the biggest outlier here, and that would
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 5: indicate looking towards Vegas in the game today because it's like, well,
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 5: why did Vegas lose this game by eight? Well, one
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 5: of the main reasons they did is this free throw
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 5: disparity here. Dallas did not rebound them though, which is
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 5: a bit of a concern. But yeah, Dallas also could
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 5: regress from three point range from this game because they
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 5: did shoot forty five percent in that game, and in fact,
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 5: Vegas had way more field goal attempts in the game,
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 5: so Vegas did have more possessions here. It looks like
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 5: although a lot of their possessions just didn't result in
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 5: free throw attempts. Vegas was leading more than half the
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 5: game too, and had the larger lead in the game,
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 5: so the final result was actually misleading. Vegas was winning
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 5: throughout the entire first half and then they had a
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 5: horrible second and a half. That's what happened in this game.
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 5: So you can do with that info what you want.
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 5: But I see too many conflicting factors here. Like the
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 5: immediate situation, I think definitely favors Dallas here, and that's
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 5: the way that I would wind up leaning in this game.
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 5: But looking at the previous matchup, that has some indicators
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 5: towards Vegas in this game, so the money is actually
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 5: backing Vegas here, although they're public ninety one percent of
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 5: tickets ninety four percent of the cash on them, they're
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 5: minus two and a half, and by the way, they
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 5: were minus five and a half the last time they
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 5: played at Dallas, and I think now just what we've
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 5: seen since then has caused the oddsmakers to adjust this
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 5: line by three points, so I think that is a
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 5: little bit of an over adjustment. So that's kind of
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 5: an indicator towards Vegas as well. Money looks like it
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 5: is backing Vegas. It minus two and a half. But
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 5: I still I would lean Dallas still in this game
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 5: though plus two and a half. But you can see
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 5: why I'm conflicted here. There's too many conflicting factors in
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 5: that game. Portland at Minnesota.
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 3: I think this is a more straightforward handicap here. I'm
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 3: is coming off a huge game.
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 5: Like I said, against Vegas, they lost a long win streak,
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 5: they didn't win eight games in a row, and then
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 5: they played the returning champs and lost.
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 3: You know what that means, hangover spot.
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 5: When a team loses a long win streak like that,
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 5: a lot of times they get hung over. If they
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 5: play a huge game and they lose, that results in
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 5: a hangover a lot. And if you look at what
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 5: happened in this game, Minnesota made a huge comeback in
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 5: this game. They were losing this game by double digits.
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 5: Throughout this game, Vegas was winning almost the whole game,
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 5: and then Minnesota made this late surge and tied the game,
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 5: only to still lose. That's kind of brutal, man, That
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 5: is a brutal way to lose a game, and to
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 5: come off of that game huge effort. So I think
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 5: Minnesota is in a hangover or not a hangover spot here, Like,
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 5: I just don't see how they really get back up
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 5: after that to play Portland and expansion team. Well, Portland
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 5: has not played in Vegas yet. Vegas hasn't been good
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 5: at home though, But my issue with Portland is they
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 5: are coming up a big win over Dallas, but I
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 5: think they'll still be focused on Minnesota here. And they
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 5: did just end a four game losing streaks, so that
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 5: should give them some momentum. Right. It's kind of the
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 5: opposite of what Minnesota did. Minnesota just lost a huge
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 5: win streak, which I think is a hangover spot. Portland
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 5: just ended a losing streaks. That should give them some
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 5: confidence coming into this game, and I think they will
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 5: focus on this game here.
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 3: You know, I'm considering this one. I like Portland in
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 3: this one.
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 5: Oh wait, I was thinking I said Vegas right I
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 5: met Minnesota and never mind, I was thinking Vegas.
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 3: Vegas is really bad at home.
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 5: Minnesota is not Minnesota's five and two. But yeah, this
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 5: looks like a Portland spot to me. I still don't
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 5: really know if I quite want to do this though.
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 5: Hold On, Minnesota is returning home from Vegas. They are
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 5: returning home from the road, although it was a single
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 5: game on the road. Let me see what the market
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 5: is doing here. The market is definitely agreeing with Portland.
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 5: Seventy three percent of tickets on Minnesota, sixty four percent
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 5: of the cash on Portland. You'd be getting plus fourteen
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 5: and a half in this one. The total is the
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 5: lowest of the three games at one sixty nine and
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 5: a half, so it's not too high though. Really all
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 5: three of the totals today are pretty high, though, But
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 5: I like, you know, I like playing huge underdogs more
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 5: so when there's a lower total.
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 3: But this is the lowest total on the board here.
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 3: This is close.
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 5: Man, I'm considering it. Should I do it? Should we
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 5: add to play on Portland here? I mean, one consideration though,
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 5: is that this travel spot is kind of ugly for
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 5: Portland to have to go on the road to face Minnesota.
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 5: You know what, I would be over the top on this.
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 5: I would play it if Collier was coming back, like
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 5: I was hoping she was, because then you can do
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 5: the reverse injured player spot where I think when she
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 5: comes back, Minnesota is gonna have like some chemistry.
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 3: Adjustments to making whatever. But she's still out.
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 5: She was initially projected to come back earlier this month,
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 5: then she was projected to come back today, but she's
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 5: still out. So yeah, like I would definitely want to
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 5: fade Minnesota whenever she comes back.
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 3: Either way, I do like Portland in this game, though.
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 5: It's a tough call, you know what I think, Let's
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 5: just do it whatever, Let's get back into some WNBA action.
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 5: I haven't found a WNBA game that I like as
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 5: much as this in a while. And I don't know,
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 5: am I being too selective here? Maybe let me see
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 5: here we can get fourteen and a half on this.
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 5: Hopefully we can get back to some WNBA here, man,
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 5: Because I'm I was five and oh to start the
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 5: WNBA season.
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 3: Now I'm five and two. I would put a little.
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 5: Bit of this on the money line, by the way,
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 5: But yes, let's do fourteen and a half here, all right?
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 3: There you go.
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 5: We're adding a WNBA play. Let's go two plays on
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 5: a Monday, all right. The money seems like it agrees
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 5: with it well enough, so that's what we're gonna do.
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 5: And then LA and Golden State on Peacock and NBC
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 5: Sports here the Battle of California, where I think both
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 5: teams are gonna be up for this game. You know
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 5: what I mean, Because LA is one of the original
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 5: WNBA teams with Lisa Leslie and whatever back in the day.
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 5: Golden State is a new team as of a couple
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 5: of years ago to this up and commerce. So LA
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 5: probably thinks we got to beat this team down because
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 5: they can't become the best team in California. And in fact,
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 5: Golden State is one game ahead of them right now.
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 5: Golden State obviously is thinking we want to be the
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 5: California team.
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 3: Now.
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 5: Golden State's coming off a close win against Seattle, so
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 5: they're coming off a win over a bad team where
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 5: they barely got by. So usually I like a spot
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 5: like that. When a team's coming off a game where
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 5: they barely scraped by, I think it's a better spot
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 5: for them. In the next game. They tend to play
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 5: with a bit more intensity, and again I think they're
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 5: gonna get up for this game, but I think LA
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 5: will too. Golden State is returning home from Seattle, but
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 5: it was only a single game road trip there, so
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 5: not really a road trip return or anything. LA is
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 5: coming up of an overtime game and they're actually returning
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 5: at least to the State of California here.
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 3: They went to Seattle.
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 5: They barely won that game, so both teams just recently
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 5: barely won at Seattle. They went to Phoenix won and overtime,
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 5: so they did have an overtime game two days ago
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 5: on Saturday. So the rest is a disadvantage for LA
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 5: here and the returning home. And they do have Minnesota next,
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 5: which is a pretty big game of I don't think
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 5: they're gonna overlook Golden State here. This is the first
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 5: time these teams are playing against each other this year,
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 5: but I would prefer Golden State here because they just
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 5: they're coming off that game where they just got buy Seattle,
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 5: whereas LA is coming up an overtime win against Phoenix.
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 5: Phoenix is better than people think they are at least,
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 5: so the money is coming in on LA, though I
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 5: kind of disagree.
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I somewhat disagree with that.
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 5: Golden State fifty three percent of ticket, seventy one percent
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 5: of the cash on LA though at the plus five
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 5: five and a half here, I think I disagree with
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 5: that money though. I think I would lean Golden State
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 5: in this one. And let me see, Golden State has
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 5: extra rest too, don't they? Because LA played on Saturday. Yeah,
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 5: Golden State has had an extra day of rest. They
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 5: haven't played since Friday, so they have some advantages here.
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 5: Lean Golden State for me there, but Portland is the
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 5: best play in my opinion there, and the best one
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 5: that I've seen in the WNBA for days. All right,
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 5: and then we have World cop I gotta make sure
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 5: that we don't have any midnight games because I apologize
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 5: I missed the other I haven't really gone, you know,
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 5: in depth with any of these handicaps though, but I
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 5: missed the midnight game that happened between Australia and Turkey
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 5: because it wasn't on the board. I blame ESPN for that, though,
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 5: but I wouldn't have been right on it though. I'm
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 5: pretty surprised Australia won that game, although nobody in that
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 5: group is really that bad, but nobody in it is
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 5: that good.
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 3: Speaking of bad, Cape.
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 5: Veraday is playing against Spain here. At least Cape Veraday
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 5: is actually a country unlike Curasyle, but Spain is a
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 5: mass favorite here minus sixteen hundred. Do I think they're
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 5: gonna win seven to one or whatever like Germany did?
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 5: Probably not, but Spain obviously should win this game. I
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 5: would be shocked if they didn't. I don't know if
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 5: there's a way to really play this game. I mean,
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 5: if you wanted to play like a Spain spread or
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 5: something maybe because win margin does matter. I was talking
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 5: about that yesterday. I'm like, wait, does it matter? Yes,
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 5: it does obviously, because in group play you only play
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 5: like three games, right, three matches, excuse me, So there
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 5: can be a lot of ties with the amount of points, right,
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 5: because it's three for a win, one for a draw,
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 5: zero for a loss. Teams can wind up tied all
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 5: over the place. So the goal difference is the tiebreaker
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 5: in the World Cup. So winning by margin does matter.
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 5: But of course for Germany, now they have such a
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 5: huge goal differential already. Now Germany might be a team
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 5: that'll like start just taking it easy, you know what
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 5: I mean, because they're already you know, they're already through
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 5: the group stage, you know, So that's where you start
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 5: finding like advantages in play, like some of these big underdogs,
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 5: right like Germany, in whatever, like their next game or
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 5: maybe two games from now, they'll just you know, not
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 5: even give a shit about the match at that point,
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 5: you know what I mean, because they already know they're
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 5: gonna be in the knockout stage, so that type of thing.
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 5: But yeah, Spain should win this game. But I expect
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 5: Spain will come out with effort in the first game
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 5: because you do want to try to build up that
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 5: win differential a little bit. That is in Atlanta, Georgia.
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 5: Way too many locations in this World Cup. I think
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 5: they are, like there might be twelve. I think every
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 5: group might be in a different location.
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 3: I don't know, no to state.
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 5: What's up man, Yeah, the Titan Army they are. They're
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 5: honorary Bostonians, man, dude. They're so similar to the Irish
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 5: that we already have here. Like they like to drink
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 5: and sing and play bagpipes. Like Boston is like that
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 5: anyway with the Irish here. But it's like turned up
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 5: to eleven here. It's fun, man.
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 3: I like it.
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 5: They were coming into my neighborhood over here too, even
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 5: though I'm not in the city. All right, Belgium and Egypt.
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 5: Belgium is the favorite here at minus one seventy five.
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 5: This is in Seattle at the Seattle Seahawks Stadium here
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 5: that Atlanta one, by the ways, in they're all in
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 5: NFL stadiums pretty much that Atlanta one was in the
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 5: US ones are at least that Atlanta one was in
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 5: the Falcon Stadium, all right, Yeah, this one is in
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 5: the Seahawks stadium. Here, Belgium is the better team. I
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 5: don't really have too much of a gauge on this though.
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 5: I mean, you know, maybe Belgium is a little bit
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 5: too heavily favored. But like to me, it seems like
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 5: the perception is like Egypt really, like are they any
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 5: good at soccer? I have no idea, Like a lot
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 5: of the North African countries are deceptively pretty good though,
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 5: But I don't know. I mean, my guess would be
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 5: Belgium probably does win this one, and they are favored.
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 3: Their favored for a reason.
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 5: But I don't know if there's really an approach to
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 5: this game necessarily, that's what they are on the three
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 5: way line there, So I don't know. I guess do
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 5: with that info what you want. UH, don't really have
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 5: a lien on that game. Saudi Arabia and Uruguay in Miami.
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 3: All these games are on.
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 5: Fox UH and Peacock or Fox Sports one in Peacock.
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 5: By the way, the Uruguay Saudi Arabia game in Miami.
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 5: By the way, you gotta think Uruguay probably has more
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 5: fans showing up for that. I would guess, like the
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 5: South Americans, it seems like, you know, they're are probably
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 5: some amount of them in U in the Miami area there,
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 5: so I would guess Uruguay probably has a bit more
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 5: fans support there. They're a pretty good team usually, they
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 5: just kind of, you know, they take a little bit
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 5: of a backseat to Argentina usually, which probably pisses them off.
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 5: But Uruguay's minus two twenty. You have a good day
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 5: as well, Scott. Thank you for hanging out man, all right, Yeah,
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 5: so yeah, Uruguay, I mean, I would imagine they should
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 5: win this game. I don't think Saudi Arabia is that good,
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 5: but everybody probably has that same perception of this game though.
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 3: Uruguay minus two twenty. But yeah, I don't really.
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 5: See any angles here for these games, man. And then
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 5: really weird one in Englewood, California, where we did already
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 5: have a match between It was the US that played there,
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 5: US and Paraguay.
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 3: So I don't know how.
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 5: They're doing it, but they're splitting up the groups. I
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 5: thought each group played in the same location. But that's
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 5: not right because it seems like Norway and Scotland both
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 5: have games in the Boston area, so and they're not
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 5: in the same group.
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 3: I don't think so. I don't know. Maybe they are.
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 3: I don't know. Maybe I'm getting that wrong.
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 5: But Iran and New Zealand are not in the same
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 5: group as the US because of course they wouldn't put Australia.
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 3: In the same group as New Zealand.
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 5: Anyway, It's pretty odd, though, to see Iran in the
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 5: World Cup when like, isn't Israel bombing them right now?
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 5: The US and Israel they're bombing Iran, so well, Russia
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 5: they're banned from the World Cup, but Iran, Yeah, let
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 5: them man, Yeah, that makes sense, all right. I don't know, FIFA,
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 5: it's all politics, man, It's all some fucking bullshit.
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 3: I think basically, because the US and Israel.
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 5: Have regime changed Iran, they're like, nope, they're you know,
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 5: or they're in the process of doing it. Nope, they're
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 5: they're regime that's friendly. Now let them in. I don't
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 5: want to get this channel nuked though, oh shit. Anyway,
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 5: Iran is a is a favorite here at minus one
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 5: twenty five. I don't know if that has to do
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 5: with maybe some of it is maybe their soccer is
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 5: actually decent, like they have a decent sized population Iran does.
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 5: I don't know much about their soccer. Man New Zealand
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 5: seems like they're like kind of always in and around
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 5: the World Cup, I think, but they never really do
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 5: that well.
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 3: I don't know, man, I mean, this is a weird one,
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 3: hard to figure out.
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 5: I think the perception of both teams is that neither
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 5: neither of them are that good.
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 3: So I don't know.
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 5: But Iran is the favorite on the three way line,
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 5: which means that the ozmakers consider them to be a
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 5: decent favorite here.
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 3: So I don't know.
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 5: Do it that if what you want, but I don't
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 5: have a good angle on any of these games so
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 5: or matches. Do whatever you want with that, but that's
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 5: gonna do it. The two plays today are Detroit Tiger's
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 5: money line. Like I said, I do like Anaheim in
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 5: baseball first five money line, and I like Tampa Bay
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 5: first five money line as well, but I had some
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 5: issues with both of them, so I left them both
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 5: off and then we're gonna go back to the WNBA.
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 3: Hopefully we can get back on track.
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 5: Hopefully I don't get screwed with these late additional plays
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 5: that I keep adding here. Well, I haven't done it
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 5: for a while, but sometimes I do. Maybe my record
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 5: is not that good. Maybe my thought process about how
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 5: strong things are is usually good.
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 3: But we're gonna go with Portland.
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 5: We're gonna go with the Fire plus fourteen and a
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 5: half year. It seems like the WNBA teams all have
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 5: like singular team names for the most part, like way
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 5: more than in the NBA, Like the NBA has like
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 5: the Jazz, and I don't know how many other teams
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 5: does the NBA have that are like the Magic, I
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 5: don't know whatever. WNBA, it's like more than half the
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 5: teams have names like that, the Dream, the Sky, the Fire,
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 5: the Tempo, the Liberty. It's like all the teams pretty much,
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 5: most of them. The Fire, I already said that whatever,
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 5: the Mercury, whatever, All right, that's gonna do it.
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 3: I probably miss some by the way, Oh the Fever.
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 3: Caitlyn Clark.
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 5: By the way, Caitlin Clark, I don't know if you
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 5: saw that, but she got decked by Britney Griner in
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 5: that game. The other Day against Where's I forget where
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 5: grind I think Grinder's on. Is she on Connecticut? She
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 5: on Connecticut? I don't know, because Connecticut is the worst
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 5: team in the league. That might be where she is.
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 5: She's on some bad team.
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 3: I forget what it is.
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 5: But she just totally decked Caitlyn Clark. Grinder should not
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 5: be in the lead, dude. I mean, I think she
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 5: is legitimately not a woman, so there is that, but
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 5: there's no excuse for that kind of behavior. But yeah,
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 5: it should result in a band or something. She should
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 5: have been gone long ago.
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 3: Everybody in the league has it out for Kaitlyn Clark. Dude.
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 5: It's a ridiculous situation. It makes you want to root
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 5: for Kaitlyn Clark. So that's gonna do it. Learn it
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 5: tone on Twitter, Learn it tone on Instagram, Like subscribe
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 5: to the show here, listen on audio, Apple, Spotify, Spreaker
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 5: Covered in yuca is my yuke channel on YouTube.
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 3: You can check that out. Yuke Covers. Got to get
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 3: back to it.
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 5: I've been you know, I've had a sickness or the
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 5: remnants of it for like a It started last Sunday night,
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 5: so and then I thought I was pretty much over it,
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 5: which I was in the middle of the week, but
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 5: the lingering effects are just ridiculous. So got to get
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 5: back to the car to karaoke to the yuke. At
• 1:33:38
  Speaker 5: some point, I think I might start doing some karaoke
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 5: videos on that channel too, just as I like to sing.
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 5: I don't know, maybe my voice is not good right now,
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 5: though what else Patreon dot com slash learn to toe
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 5: you want to support me there, but the yuke stuff
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 5: is I'm not keeping up with it right now, but
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 5: I will get back to it and cast. We're gonna
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 5: actually have an extra episode tonight. I think we're doing
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 5: two episodes tonight and tomorrow, so go subscribe over there
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 5: look for it. We have Jeremy Kaufman joining the show tonight,
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 5: which is why we're doing an extra episode because he
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 5: couldn't do it on Tuesday, so he will join us
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 5: for Shenanigans or whatever tonight. Check that out. And the
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 5: Giants g Spot podcast is still a thing. I think
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 5: that's gonna do it. I appreciate everybody, peace, but don't you.
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: Go quiet, don't you fade from the flow. Your name
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: still means something to somebody for show. Put the glass
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: down baby, look at me.
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 4: No hold on, hold on.
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 2: Notating.
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 4: No hold on, hold on.
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 3: Me.
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 5: PU.
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 4: That bites hard, but it don't.
• 1:35:05
  Speaker 2: Get the crown.
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on, Stay with me now,