Latest / Toadstool Sports / Tuesday BEST BETS | Rest vs Rust | NBA Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/19/26

Transcript

Tuesday BEST BETS | Rest vs Rust | NBA Conference Finals & MLB & WNBA | 5/19/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:17
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: your chicks.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: Black coffee on the felt.
• 0:23
  Speaker 3: Man, you look like a mess.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head.
• 0:30
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like they made you
• 0:33
  Speaker 2: this man.
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Your name still means something on somebody for show. Put
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: the glass down, baby, look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: No, hold on, hold on nothing.
• 0:55
  Speaker 3: Nice now, hold on, hold on me, but it don't
• 1:12
  Speaker 3: get the crown. Hold on, hold on.
• 1:18
  Speaker 2: And stay with me. Now, what's up, everybody?
• 1:29
  Speaker 4: It's towed back with you toadstool Sports. It is Tuesday,
• 1:34
  Speaker 4: May nineteenth, two and zero on the show. Yesterday Red
• 1:38
  Speaker 4: Sox scored some runs later in the game. Was a
• 1:42
  Speaker 4: scoreless game. Pretty late into the game, the Red Sox
• 1:44
  Speaker 4: took a three to nothing lead and held on and
• 1:46
  Speaker 4: won three to one. So we got that right. We
• 1:49
  Speaker 4: got the Seattle Mariners correct as well. They wound up
• 1:53
  Speaker 4: winning six to one as they padded the lead late
• 1:56
  Speaker 4: as well.
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: It was they were up three to nothing and then
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: three to one.
• 2:00
  Speaker 4: We needed them to win by multiple runs to actually
• 2:03
  Speaker 4: cover the whole thing, though a one run.
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: Win would have been a push, but we're able to
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: do it. The run continues.
• 2:10
  Speaker 4: It's eighty five, thirty seven and five now over the
• 2:13
  Speaker 4: last forty four days. Hopefully I got that right. I
• 2:15
  Speaker 4: gotta look at yesterday make sure that did I update
• 2:19
  Speaker 4: the number of days? Maybe it's forty five? Actually, let
• 2:21
  Speaker 4: me look real quick. I don't know if I have
• 2:25
  Speaker 4: that upright, I can look. I think I can look
• 2:27
  Speaker 4: at yesterday's show, just to make sure. Or hang on,
• 2:33
  Speaker 4: I don't taking away too much time. I want to
• 2:34
  Speaker 4: get through this board today, man, I mean this is
• 2:37
  Speaker 4: it's mostly baseball. Of course, all my players that are
• 2:40
  Speaker 4: going to be baseball. I decided I did not want
• 2:42
  Speaker 4: to play the NBA game.
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: I just have some problems with it.
• 2:48
  Speaker 4: But you know, I thought I would give out a play,
• 2:51
  Speaker 4: but there are just some issues. Yes, there should be
• 2:56
  Speaker 4: forty five days. Now, let me fix that, all right.
• 3:00
  Speaker 4: I did not update the number of days. Man, All right,
• 3:03
  Speaker 4: there it is last forty five days. Okay, dirty sock,
• 3:09
  Speaker 4: what's up? But they started hanging out?
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: All right, Let's.
• 3:13
  Speaker 4: Just jump right into it, ma'am. We have an early
• 3:16
  Speaker 4: game Atlanta and Miami in baseball. Here I was correct
• 3:20
  Speaker 4: about Miami yesterday they won in a blowout, which is
• 3:24
  Speaker 4: not what I expected, but Max Meyer pitched well. I
• 3:27
  Speaker 4: don't know what happened to Atlanta, but twelve nothing win
• 3:30
  Speaker 4: for Miami could be a bounce back day for Atlanta.
• 3:33
  Speaker 4: I mean, they are the better team, but they're laying
• 3:36
  Speaker 4: a pretty big price on the road here in this one,
• 3:39
  Speaker 4: and maybe it's not totally deserved, but they should be in.
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: A bounce back spot. Possibly.
• 3:45
  Speaker 4: Atlanta used three relief pitchers yesterday. Miami used three as well.
• 3:49
  Speaker 4: Miami has a good bullpen. Atlanta's number one arranging this
• 3:53
  Speaker 4: by Whip, but Miami is three, so they're one of
• 3:56
  Speaker 4: the few bullpens that can match Atlanta's. Atlanta has the
• 3:59
  Speaker 4: way better offense, though they're ranked third Miami sixteen. Martin
• 4:04
  Speaker 4: Perez is getting the draw for Atlanta, and I don't
• 4:07
  Speaker 4: know what they're actually doing here. Uh he's got a
• 4:11
  Speaker 4: two point twenty five ERA point nine before Whip. He's
• 4:14
  Speaker 4: actually been good, but he's old. He's a junk pitcher.
• 4:18
  Speaker 4: He's a journeyman pitcher. He's not as good on the road.
• 4:21
  Speaker 4: Three point six y six Roady Ira. My main question though,
• 4:25
  Speaker 4: is is he an opener?
• 4:27
  Speaker 3: Now?
• 4:27
  Speaker 4: He went one inning apiece in his last two outings,
• 4:30
  Speaker 4: which are on the thirteenth and the sixteenth, So he's
• 4:33
  Speaker 4: not on a starter's schedule right now, so I don't
• 4:37
  Speaker 4: think he's gonna go a full starter's workload here. He's
• 4:40
  Speaker 4: been pretty good this month, but two to one inning
• 4:43
  Speaker 4: shutout appearances after one start that he made, which was
• 4:47
  Speaker 4: decent as well against Seattle. Nine to one strike out
• 4:50
  Speaker 4: walk ratio this month, so he's pitching well. But it
• 4:53
  Speaker 4: looks like Atlanta's going with some sort of bullpen game here,
• 4:56
  Speaker 4: like Perez may only pitch one inning, maybe a couple innings.
• 5:00
  Speaker 4: I don't I really don't know what's gonna happen with them. Overall,
• 5:03
  Speaker 4: his numbers are good. He has he's allowed very few hits,
• 5:06
  Speaker 4: hasn't allowed that many walks either. In His strikeout rate
• 5:09
  Speaker 4: is low, but that's what you expect with him. It's
• 5:12
  Speaker 4: not really that low really for a guy like him.
• 5:16
  Speaker 4: He might pitch okay in this game. His matchup numbers
• 5:18
  Speaker 4: against Miami I think are alright. Yeah, they only have
• 5:21
  Speaker 4: fifteen at bats against him, which seems kind of crazy
• 5:24
  Speaker 4: because he's been around forever, but he's mostly been in
• 5:26
  Speaker 4: the American League. I think one thirty three batting average
• 5:30
  Speaker 4: allowed for sixty seven ops against them in fifteen at bats.
• 5:35
  Speaker 2: That's pretty good.
• 5:36
  Speaker 4: Yeah, he was on Texas for the majority of his career.
• 5:40
  Speaker 4: Braxton Garrett is pitching for Miami. He did not have
• 5:44
  Speaker 4: a good outing. He's got a thirty three point seventy
• 5:46
  Speaker 4: five ERA six point seventy five whip that's in one start.
• 5:51
  Speaker 4: It was his only start of the season so far.
• 5:53
  Speaker 4: He's trying to come back from injuring. He looked pretty
• 5:56
  Speaker 4: good in the minors man in his rehab stuff, but
• 5:59
  Speaker 4: he was really bad against Minnesota on his one start,
• 6:02
  Speaker 4: went one of the third innings, alloted five walks, four hits,
• 6:06
  Speaker 4: five earned runs, three strikeouts. Is fine, but I don't
• 6:10
  Speaker 4: know how much we could really draw from that, Like obviously,
• 6:13
  Speaker 4: I don't think he's gonna be this bad again. Like
• 6:16
  Speaker 4: you couldn't possibly be worse than that, so he'll probably improve.
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: His career numbers.
• 6:21
  Speaker 4: Are actually pretty good, so they would suggest that he
• 6:24
  Speaker 4: will start pitching better than this. He missed all of
• 6:27
  Speaker 4: last year and most of the previous year with an injury.
• 6:30
  Speaker 4: Though his numbers against Atlanta are okay and fifty six
• 6:33
  Speaker 4: at bats two fourteen average a lot seven to seventy
• 6:36
  Speaker 4: ops is a little high though, thirteen strikeouts, nine walks,
• 6:39
  Speaker 4: that is too many walks.
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna pass on this game. I have no idea
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: what to expect out of this.
• 6:46
  Speaker 4: I think this is just too unpredictable of a game
• 6:49
  Speaker 4: on both sides. Really, Atlanta's laying about minus one thirty
• 6:53
  Speaker 4: something here minus one forty. The money is fading them
• 6:57
  Speaker 4: eighty three percent of ticket, sixty three percent of the
• 6:59
  Speaker 4: cash on it, Atlanta, I guess do with that information
• 7:03
  Speaker 4: what you want. The money's coming on in the under
• 7:05
  Speaker 4: as well. I just I don't even have a feel
• 7:07
  Speaker 4: for this game at all. Like the situation would seem
• 7:10
  Speaker 4: to support Atlanta a little bit. But you're gonna be
• 7:12
  Speaker 4: getting a bullpen game from them. Most likely their bullpen
• 7:15
  Speaker 4: is good though, Garrett just no clue. Like, yeah, I
• 7:20
  Speaker 4: don't have anything else to say about that game. It's
• 7:22
  Speaker 4: just insanely unpredictable. Baltimore at Tampa Bay. Tampa Bay won
• 7:27
  Speaker 4: in a blowout yesterday sixteen to six. They're the better team,
• 7:31
  Speaker 4: though Baltimore is not very good. But maybe it is
• 7:34
  Speaker 4: a bounce back for Baltimore here. I still don't think
• 7:36
  Speaker 4: Tampa's is good as their record looks. They're usually not
• 7:39
  Speaker 4: gonna put up sixteen runs. They used two relief pitchers yesterday,
• 7:43
  Speaker 4: Baltimore used three.
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: Tampa Bay.
• 7:48
  Speaker 4: Their bullpen hasn't been that good their fifteenth mid four's thera.
• 7:52
  Speaker 4: Baltimore even worse though at twenty first. I don't really
• 7:56
  Speaker 4: like either bullpen here. Tampa Bay is eighth in offense.
• 7:59
  Speaker 4: They have been the better offense, Baltimore seventeenth.
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: Baltimore.
• 8:04
  Speaker 4: To me, I believe they have the starting pitching edge here.
• 8:06
  Speaker 4: With Kyle Bradish pitching, he's not been that good though
• 8:10
  Speaker 4: four point two to one ERA, one point five to
• 8:12
  Speaker 4: three WHIP is really concerning. You can't put one and
• 8:15
  Speaker 4: a half guys on basin inning. He hasn't been good
• 8:18
  Speaker 4: on the road either, five point eight to nine roady ra.
• 8:21
  Speaker 4: But there are some positives here. His last two starts
• 8:25
  Speaker 4: were both really good against the A's and the Yankees,
• 8:28
  Speaker 4: although they were both at home. But he went thirteen innings,
• 8:31
  Speaker 4: allowing three combined runs, seventeen strikeouts, and four walks over
• 8:35
  Speaker 4: that span.
• 8:37
  Speaker 2: That's a decent sign against two good offenses.
• 8:40
  Speaker 4: So Bradish looks like he is at least currently in
• 8:43
  Speaker 4: good form. He's got a good strikeout rate on the
• 8:45
  Speaker 4: season over one per inning, He's allowed exactly one hit
• 8:49
  Speaker 4: per inning, which is fine.
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: The walk number is a bit high, though, he's walked way.
• 8:54
  Speaker 4: Too many guys actually, so that has been the real
• 8:57
  Speaker 4: problem with him.
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: Numbers against tamp they are pretty good.
• 9:00
  Speaker 4: They only four guys that have ever faced him, thirty
• 9:03
  Speaker 4: six at bats, two fifty average, six forty one ohps,
• 9:06
  Speaker 4: nine to three strikeout walk ratio. So I think Bradish
• 9:10
  Speaker 4: actually does draw a decent matchup here. His overall numbers
• 9:14
  Speaker 4: and his road numbers are concerned, but his current form
• 9:17
  Speaker 4: and his matchup look pretty good here. Griffin Jackson is
• 9:21
  Speaker 4: getting the start for the Rays, which pretty much means
• 9:24
  Speaker 4: they're going with a bullpen game here.
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: I don't think he's that good.
• 9:27
  Speaker 4: Three point nine to one e RA that's fine, but
• 9:30
  Speaker 4: one point four to eight whip is bad. He's been
• 9:33
  Speaker 4: better on better at home though, which is where he
• 9:35
  Speaker 4: is here, two point three to five homey RA. He
• 9:38
  Speaker 4: actually went five innings last time out, so he actually
• 9:41
  Speaker 4: made a start basically against Toronto and he shut them
• 9:44
  Speaker 4: out for five innings, but he had four walks and
• 9:47
  Speaker 4: one strikeout in that outing, so it wasn't all good.
• 9:50
  Speaker 4: He got a little bit lucky. You can't really walk
• 9:52
  Speaker 4: that many guys. Man six six strikeout walk ratio this month.
• 9:57
  Speaker 4: That's not really good overall. I mean, most of his
• 10:00
  Speaker 4: appearances have been relief appearances, but his strikeout walk rasue
• 10:04
  Speaker 4: over the course of the season is pretty glaring. Eighteen
• 10:07
  Speaker 4: to fourteen and twenty three innings. That's not good at all.
• 10:10
  Speaker 4: Only twenty hits allowed them jacks against. Baltimore doesn't have
• 10:14
  Speaker 4: good numbers nineteen at bats most of the hitters have
• 10:17
  Speaker 4: faced in before three sixteen batting average eight thirty ops,
• 10:22
  Speaker 4: two to three strikeout walk ratio. I'm gonna lean with
• 10:26
  Speaker 4: the actual starter who has the better match up here,
• 10:29
  Speaker 4: which is Bradish. I will lean Baltimore in this game.
• 10:33
  Speaker 4: I consider putting this one on my card. I just
• 10:36
  Speaker 4: still have some concerns with Bradish and whatever. The money
• 10:39
  Speaker 4: seems to agree with Baltimore here, sixty two percent of
• 10:42
  Speaker 4: tickets on Tampa eighty one percent of the cash on Baltimore.
• 10:46
  Speaker 4: The line has dropped on Tampa Bay all the way
• 10:48
  Speaker 4: down to the minus one twenty something range. You're gonna
• 10:51
  Speaker 4: get Baltimore as an underdog still, which when you have
• 10:54
  Speaker 4: a decent matchup and you're getting an underdog price, that's
• 10:57
  Speaker 4: pretty good. Which that's what I'm going to do with
• 11:00
  Speaker 4: my one side in baseball today. But this is not it.
• 11:03
  Speaker 4: But I lean Baltimore here. I think that's one of
• 11:06
  Speaker 4: the better opinions that I have on the day. Low
• 11:10
  Speaker 4: total in that game, by the way, seven and a half.
• 11:12
  Speaker 4: I don't know what to really think about the total though,
• 11:15
  Speaker 4: I don't have a good read on that. The total
• 11:18
  Speaker 4: in that other game that I talked about, the Miami game.
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: Was eight, by the way. Juice to the over all, right.
• 11:25
  Speaker 4: Next game up is a play for me. I think
• 11:34
  Speaker 4: I'm being selective here. So a lot of things line
• 11:36
  Speaker 4: up here, Like I'm just avoiding Bradish because bad home
• 11:40
  Speaker 4: road splits, although I know I did play on Sonny
• 11:43
  Speaker 4: Gray yesterday with the bad home road splits, Bradish bad
• 11:46
  Speaker 4: overall numbers to them. We're gonna go Cincinnati Reds first
• 11:51
  Speaker 4: five plus one oh five. That's the money line. They're
• 11:54
  Speaker 4: an underdog here. You can get a bigger underdog price
• 11:57
  Speaker 4: if you go full game on this, but I don't
• 11:59
  Speaker 4: want to do that because Cincinnati's bullpen is very bad.
• 12:03
  Speaker 4: So I'm gonna avoid Cincinnati's bullpen here, and I'm gonna
• 12:06
  Speaker 4: go with where I think we have a big edge here,
• 12:08
  Speaker 4: which is the starting pitching. Cincinnati used three relief pitchers yesterday.
• 12:12
  Speaker 4: Philadelphia used three as well. Philadelphia won the game yesterday.
• 12:17
  Speaker 4: I thought they were in a letdown spot. But I
• 12:19
  Speaker 4: kind of prefer the over in the game yesterday, and
• 12:22
  Speaker 4: I don't know if it actually got over or not.
• 12:24
  Speaker 2: It landed nine, five to four.
• 12:27
  Speaker 4: Philadelphia has won a bunch of games in a row,
• 12:29
  Speaker 4: five games in a row, but I think there is
• 12:32
  Speaker 4: a letdown coming at some point here, even though I
• 12:34
  Speaker 4: know Philadelphia is playing a lot better right now.
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: They're the better team.
• 12:37
  Speaker 4: I'm not gonna try to debate that, but I thought
• 12:40
  Speaker 4: they'd being a letdown off of the sweep of Pittsburgh.
• 12:43
  Speaker 4: They still got the win yesterday. Maybe there's a letdown
• 12:46
  Speaker 4: here though, And I like the starting pitching, which I'm
• 12:48
  Speaker 4: gonna talk about in a minute. We're avoiding the bullpen.
• 12:51
  Speaker 4: Cincinnati's bullpen is awful. They have an ERA in the fives.
• 12:55
  Speaker 4: They're twenty eighth. I don't want any part of that.
• 12:57
  Speaker 4: Philadelphia's bullpen is better than that teenth with an era
• 13:01
  Speaker 4: in the threes. So yeah, we'll avoid all that based
• 13:05
  Speaker 4: on ops. The offenses, Cincinnati has been hitting better again.
• 13:10
  Speaker 4: They're at eighteenth, Phillies twenty second, so Cincinnati has had
• 13:14
  Speaker 4: a slightly better offense, although I don't actually think they're
• 13:16
  Speaker 4: the better offense. But this is really entirely the starting
• 13:20
  Speaker 4: pitching matchup is what I'm going with here. You know
• 13:22
  Speaker 4: what I'm doing, man, I find myself on Chase Burns
• 13:28
  Speaker 4: quite a bit, and that's what we're doing here. Chase
• 13:30
  Speaker 4: Burns is pitching for the Reds. I think he's their
• 13:32
  Speaker 4: best starter. He's been really good one point eight to
• 13:35
  Speaker 4: seventy RA one whip. He's been good on the road
• 13:38
  Speaker 4: as well, one point four or five ROADYRA and he's
• 13:41
  Speaker 4: in good form this month.
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: He's been good.
• 13:44
  Speaker 4: Sixteen to six strikeout walk ratio. I mean, you'd like
• 13:46
  Speaker 4: to see the strike out rate a little bit higher.
• 13:48
  Speaker 4: Maybe the walk rate's a little high, but he's allowed
• 13:50
  Speaker 4: no more than one ear and run in any outing
• 13:52
  Speaker 4: this month, facing some good offenses too, Pittsburgh, Houston, and Washington.
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: So he's been good. He's in good form.
• 13:59
  Speaker 4: He's doing that against good offenses. He's allowed more than
• 14:02
  Speaker 4: two hour runs only once this season, which was a
• 14:06
  Speaker 4: home start against Anaheim and that hitter friendly ballpark there.
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: He's allowed way below.
• 14:11
  Speaker 4: One hit per inning on the season, more than one
• 14:14
  Speaker 4: strike up per inning on the season. His walk number
• 14:16
  Speaker 4: is not horrible, so his overall numbers are pretty excellent,
• 14:21
  Speaker 4: and he's got good numbers against Philly as well. They
• 14:24
  Speaker 4: only have twelve at bats against him, so they're not
• 14:26
  Speaker 4: that familiar with him either. Only Trey Turner has a
• 14:29
  Speaker 4: hit against him, a single. They have three walks against
• 14:32
  Speaker 4: them though five strike ups, but he's held them to
• 14:34
  Speaker 4: an eighty three average three point fifty ops.
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: So I like this we got.
• 14:39
  Speaker 4: I think the better pitcher, the more consistent pitcher, the
• 14:41
  Speaker 4: home road splits, he's less familiar and he has the
• 14:44
  Speaker 4: better matchup numbers. And then we look at Luzardo jesus
• 14:48
  Speaker 4: Lozardo pitching for the Phillies. He's still not been that
• 14:53
  Speaker 4: great this year. Five point zero seventy RRA, one point
• 14:55
  Speaker 4: three to three whip. He's been really bad at home
• 14:59
  Speaker 4: eight point three one home race, so we were fading
• 15:01
  Speaker 4: him where he is his worst at home. He is
• 15:05
  Speaker 4: coming off a good outing against the Red Sox, but
• 15:07
  Speaker 4: it is the Red Sox that was on the road.
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: His last couple outings that have been good of all
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: been on the road. He had one good outing at home.
• 15:14
  Speaker 4: Against San Francisco recently, but other than that, he's had
• 15:18
  Speaker 4: some disastrous home starts against Texas, who's not even good
• 15:22
  Speaker 4: at hitting, Arizona, who they're not really hitting that well either,
• 15:25
  Speaker 4: the Cubs, we know they're a good offense, and then
• 15:28
  Speaker 4: Colorado they're not a good offense on the road, and
• 15:30
  Speaker 4: that was his most recent home start. He was bad
• 15:33
  Speaker 4: in that one too, so he's pitching very poorly at home.
• 15:36
  Speaker 4: I don't really care that he had a good start
• 15:38
  Speaker 4: against the Red Sox. I know that indicates well, he
• 15:41
  Speaker 4: might be in good form, but the Red Sox are
• 15:43
  Speaker 4: a bad offense, dude, And I don't think the Red
• 15:45
  Speaker 4: Sox hit Lozardo particularly well either. He's got a twenty
• 15:49
  Speaker 4: to four strikeout walk ratier this month. I know that's good.
• 15:52
  Speaker 4: He has a really high strikeout rate and his walk
• 15:54
  Speaker 4: rate is actually low this year, so that's pretty good
• 15:57
  Speaker 4: as well.
• 15:58
  Speaker 2: His hit rate is high, though too many hits.
• 16:01
  Speaker 4: Sometimes it seems like he's tipping his pitches. Man especially
• 16:05
  Speaker 4: at home. For whatever reason, it seems like he becomes
• 16:08
  Speaker 4: really hittable at home. I do think that he's better
• 16:12
  Speaker 4: than his numbers. Look, I will give you that, like
• 16:14
  Speaker 4: I don't think he's as bad as his numbers. Look,
• 16:16
  Speaker 4: I talk about that quite a bit. I gave you
• 16:17
  Speaker 4: guys a play in a road start of his against
• 16:21
  Speaker 4: Miami back on May third. We got to win with
• 16:23
  Speaker 4: that one. But this is a completely different scenario. We're
• 16:26
  Speaker 4: in the way worse side of his home road splits.
• 16:29
  Speaker 4: While yes, I think that he was getting unlucky where
• 16:32
  Speaker 4: most of the guys reaching base against him, we're scoring
• 16:35
  Speaker 4: early on.
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: I just think this is.
• 16:36
  Speaker 4: A bad matchup for him here, and he doesn't pitch
• 16:40
  Speaker 4: well at home, as I keep saying.
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: But against the Reds, he does not have good numbers.
• 16:44
  Speaker 4: In twenty five at bats three twenty average allowed, eight
• 16:47
  Speaker 4: thirty three ohps.
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: So we will go with the starting pitching matchup here.
• 16:51
  Speaker 4: We will take Cincinnati money line underdog plus one oh
• 16:55
  Speaker 4: five in the first five innings. Don't include the Bullpens
• 16:59
  Speaker 4: Burns verse loz Ardo. That's my first play there. The
• 17:04
  Speaker 4: money seems like it agrees as well. Philly has fifty
• 17:07
  Speaker 4: tickets on them, seventy two of the cash on Cincinnati,
• 17:11
  Speaker 4: So that's what we got going on there. The money's
• 17:13
  Speaker 4: also indicating towards the under in this game. Totals at
• 17:18
  Speaker 4: eight and a half full game. I will tell you
• 17:20
  Speaker 4: if you go under, I don't think you want to
• 17:22
  Speaker 4: include the bullpens, though, I will tell you that if
• 17:24
  Speaker 4: you go under, I think you gotta go first five
• 17:26
  Speaker 4: on that and just go the starting pitchers because I
• 17:30
  Speaker 4: think the bullpens could maybe even both have some problems here. Uh,
• 17:34
  Speaker 4: Cleveland at Detroit. I was wrong about Detroit yesterday.
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: They did not do well.
• 17:39
  Speaker 4: They've lost a lot of recent games, dude, even though
• 17:41
  Speaker 4: I think Detroit should be playing Dude. They played better
• 17:45
  Speaker 4: at home, so they should be better than this at home,
• 17:47
  Speaker 4: but it just hasn't happened recently. I don't know what's
• 17:50
  Speaker 4: going on. I mean, I know they have injuries and stuff,
• 17:53
  Speaker 4: but Valdez on the mound yesterday seemed like it should
• 17:56
  Speaker 4: have been a win for them against Cleveland, and it
• 17:58
  Speaker 4: was certainly not. They lost like eight to two. Cincinnati
• 18:01
  Speaker 4: used two relief pitchers yesterday or season. Cleveland used two
• 18:05
  Speaker 4: relief pitchers yesterday. Detroit used three Cleveland has the better bullpen.
• 18:11
  Speaker 4: They're ninth right now in bullpen. That's pretty good. Detroit
• 18:14
  Speaker 4: is twentieth, not very good. Cleveland actually has had the
• 18:18
  Speaker 4: better offense over the course of the season now too, fourteenth,
• 18:22
  Speaker 4: Detroit twenty first. Though I'm not really sure that I'm
• 18:25
  Speaker 4: ready to say that Cleveland is really the better offense here,
• 18:28
  Speaker 4: but that has been the case during the season, and
• 18:31
  Speaker 4: Detroit's now gonna have to contend with basically Cleveland's ace now,
• 18:35
  Speaker 4: Parker Messik, He's definitely their best pitcher. He's got a
• 18:38
  Speaker 4: two point three five ERA point nine nine whip. He's
• 18:42
  Speaker 4: good on the road to two point zero four. Roady Ray,
• 18:45
  Speaker 4: he's been in pretty good for him. His last two starts.
• 18:48
  Speaker 4: He's given up two or fewer on runs. He's given
• 18:51
  Speaker 4: up no more than four in any outing this season,
• 18:53
  Speaker 4: and all but two of his outings.
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: He's allowed two or fewer.
• 18:57
  Speaker 4: He's got a twenty to four strike out walk great
• 19:00
  Speaker 4: year this month as well, that's really good. He's pitching
• 19:03
  Speaker 4: well other than you give up a bunch of home
• 19:05
  Speaker 4: runs in one start against the A's on the road
• 19:08
  Speaker 4: of course during this month, so that was just a
• 19:11
  Speaker 4: bad you know, stadium to pitch in whatever. He's still
• 19:14
  Speaker 4: pitched fairly well on that outing, really, you know, considering
• 19:18
  Speaker 4: that he gave up three home runs, he held them
• 19:20
  Speaker 4: to four runs. He's got a high strikeout rate, well over.
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: One per inning.
• 19:24
  Speaker 4: His walk rate is fairly low, and he's been pretty
• 19:27
  Speaker 4: unhittable as well this year, so he's good. His numbers
• 19:30
  Speaker 4: against Detroit, though, are actually not good. They have thirteen
• 19:34
  Speaker 4: at bats against him. It's not a big sample at all.
• 19:36
  Speaker 4: They have six exerusly five hitters who have faced him before,
• 19:40
  Speaker 4: five strikeouts, one walk, but they actually have three home
• 19:43
  Speaker 4: runs against him, a three zero eight batting average fourteen
• 19:47
  Speaker 4: to thirty four ohps. You should have weigh a small
• 19:50
  Speaker 4: sample size that heavily though, And this game was not
• 19:54
  Speaker 4: this year either, so Messic is obviously better this year.
• 19:58
  Speaker 4: I don't think those numbers matter that much, like I
• 20:01
  Speaker 4: don't think he's actually gonna pitch that poorly.
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 20:04
  Speaker 4: Keeter Montero is pitching four Detroit. He's having a good season,
• 20:08
  Speaker 4: three point six five ERA, point nine to nine whip.
• 20:12
  Speaker 4: He's been good at home as well, three point one
• 20:14
  Speaker 4: to four homey ray I tried to go with an
• 20:16
  Speaker 4: under I gave that out as a play the last
• 20:18
  Speaker 4: time he pitched, and he did not do well against
• 20:21
  Speaker 4: the Mets, very unfortunately. And the bullpen's hurt us in
• 20:25
  Speaker 4: that game as well, because Nolan McClain started out really
• 20:28
  Speaker 4: bad in that game and then he completely settled down.
• 20:31
  Speaker 4: It was great for the rest of the game, but
• 20:33
  Speaker 4: Montero did not help us out in that one.
• 20:36
  Speaker 2: Montero overall, his strike out.
• 20:37
  Speaker 4: Rates not very high, but he's putting very few guys
• 20:40
  Speaker 4: on base, his walk rates putting pretty low. His hit
• 20:43
  Speaker 4: rate is really low, and he hasn't a lot more
• 20:45
  Speaker 4: than four and runs in any outing this season, so
• 20:47
  Speaker 4: he's been pretty consistent. He's been pretty good. But he
• 20:50
  Speaker 4: has an eight to five strike out walk ratio this month.
• 20:54
  Speaker 4: It's really just it's a very low strikeout rain. Like
• 20:57
  Speaker 4: I like guys that strike more guys out than that.
• 21:00
  Speaker 4: Maybe I'm too old school, I don't know, but he
• 21:02
  Speaker 4: does have good numbers against Cleveland in twenty seven at
• 21:05
  Speaker 4: bats one eighty five average allowed five forty eight ohps six,
• 21:09
  Speaker 4: one strike out walk ray jam this game. I mean,
• 21:13
  Speaker 4: my instinct on this game is under That's what it
• 21:17
  Speaker 4: seems like to me. I kind of like both starting pitchers,
• 21:21
  Speaker 4: but I kind of lean Detroit as well. I think
• 21:23
  Speaker 4: Montero does have the better of the matchup numbers here.
• 21:26
  Speaker 4: Maybe Detroit is actually the better way to look in
• 21:29
  Speaker 4: this game, But I would go first five innings on that,
• 21:32
  Speaker 4: and it would really just be based off of a
• 21:35
  Speaker 4: small sample size of matchup numbers for Messek, Like, I'm
• 21:38
  Speaker 4: not really sure that he's actually gonna do bad here,
• 21:40
  Speaker 4: but sixty percent of tickets on Cleveland, sixty six percent
• 21:43
  Speaker 4: of the cash on Detroit. I think at the very least, though,
• 21:46
  Speaker 4: Montero could battle Messic through the first five innings here,
• 21:50
  Speaker 4: and you're getting Detroit probably as an underdog, maybe even
• 21:53
  Speaker 4: a bigger underdog over that span. So Detroit first five
• 21:58
  Speaker 4: innings makes sense to me. I wouldn't want to deal
• 21:59
  Speaker 4: with bullpen though money is coming in slightly towards the
• 22:03
  Speaker 4: under as well.
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: The totals at eight, I would go first.
• 22:07
  Speaker 4: Five under probably if I was gonna go under in
• 22:09
  Speaker 4: this game, that makes some sense to me as well,
• 22:11
  Speaker 4: But I'm staying away. I mean MESSI, it's like which
• 22:15
  Speaker 4: do you trust more, like what has he done this
• 22:17
  Speaker 4: year or the matchup numbers. I think I trust more
• 22:20
  Speaker 4: what he's done this year. In that case, though, because
• 22:23
  Speaker 4: the matchup numbers is such a small sample. All right,
• 22:26
  Speaker 4: we have Mets and Washington. The Mets scored sixteen runs yesterday.
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to say about that.
• 22:35
  Speaker 4: I mean, the Mets, they're still ranked the worst offensive
• 22:38
  Speaker 4: baseball even though they put up sixteen runs yesterday. But
• 22:41
  Speaker 4: we know Washington they're notorious for giving up a ton
• 22:44
  Speaker 4: of runs at home.
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: They're very, very bad at home.
• 22:48
  Speaker 4: The Mets, they basically probably had scored sixteen runs throughout
• 22:51
  Speaker 4: the entire season, and then they put up sixteen yesterday.
• 22:54
  Speaker 4: And the Mets do have their best starting pitcher pitching
• 22:57
  Speaker 4: today as well, so the Mets may very well win
• 22:59
  Speaker 4: another game here. The Mets us a ton of relief
• 23:03
  Speaker 4: pitchers yesterday. I think they went with a bullpen game,
• 23:06
  Speaker 4: but that's not good for their bullpens set up coming
• 23:08
  Speaker 4: into this one.
• 23:09
  Speaker 2: They use six relief pitchers yesterday. That's bad. Washington used five,
• 23:14
  Speaker 2: also bad.
• 23:15
  Speaker 4: Washington's bullpen is also bad, twenty fourth with an ERA
• 23:19
  Speaker 4: over five. Mets bullpen is decent twelveth, but they use
• 23:23
  Speaker 4: a lot of guys, so I think you want to
• 23:25
  Speaker 4: avoid both bullpens in this game. The Mets, like I said,
• 23:28
  Speaker 4: they're still dead last in offense thirtieth despite having sixteen runs,
• 23:33
  Speaker 4: but on the board yesterday, Washington is fifth in offense.
• 23:38
  Speaker 2: I think they actually moved up because they did put.
• 23:41
  Speaker 4: Up seven runs in that game yesterday and still lost
• 23:44
  Speaker 4: by nine. But they put up a good offensive performance yesterday.
• 23:47
  Speaker 4: Nolan McLain is pitching for the Mets. As I alluded to,
• 23:51
  Speaker 4: he's really good. He's their best pitcher. Two point nine
• 23:54
  Speaker 4: two ERA, point nine to six whip. He's been good
• 23:56
  Speaker 4: on the road as well, two point four to two.
• 23:59
  Speaker 4: Roady Ira good.
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: Form this month.
• 24:02
  Speaker 4: Nineteen to five, strikeout walk ratio three or four or
• 24:05
  Speaker 4: earned runs allowed in every start over the course of
• 24:07
  Speaker 4: the entire season.
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: A lot of strikeouts, way over one per inning, way
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: below one hit, a loud per inning. Walk rate is
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: fine as well.
• 24:15
  Speaker 4: All of his numbers look good. The Mets offense has
• 24:18
  Speaker 4: let him down a lot this year. He's got good
• 24:21
  Speaker 4: numbers against Washington. It's a small sample. They have five
• 24:24
  Speaker 4: hitters who have faced him. They only have one hit,
• 24:26
  Speaker 4: which is a single from Brady House, only.
• 24:32
  Speaker 2: Eleven at bats.
• 24:32
  Speaker 4: Like I said, three strikeouts, two walks against them, ninety
• 24:37
  Speaker 4: one average against them in three twenty two ops. McClain
• 24:40
  Speaker 4: pretty unfamiliar to them, still good numbers against them when
• 24:43
  Speaker 4: he has faced them, and he's really good, so I
• 24:46
  Speaker 4: think it sets up for him to have a good
• 24:47
  Speaker 4: start here. Obviously, Foster Griffman is pitching for the Nationals.
• 24:51
  Speaker 4: He's been a surprise this year.
• 24:52
  Speaker 2: He's been good.
• 24:53
  Speaker 4: Three point five to three ERA, one point one for Whip.
• 24:57
  Speaker 4: He's been really good at home two point one two home.
• 25:00
  Speaker 3: Me.
• 25:00
  Speaker 2: I ray, he let us down his last time out.
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: I believe I did I give out a play on
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: this on the under first five. I think I did.
• 25:08
  Speaker 4: In that game against Cincinnati, he got absolutely wrecked, but
• 25:12
  Speaker 4: that was on the road, it was in a hitter
• 25:13
  Speaker 4: friendly ballpark.
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: Maybe that was an outlier. I don't know.
• 25:17
  Speaker 4: I mean, I've been thinking Griffin is gonna regress though,
• 25:20
  Speaker 4: because if you look at his career number, he just
• 25:23
  Speaker 4: he really hadn't pitched in the majors much at all,
• 25:25
  Speaker 4: and now he's thirty, and all of a sudden, you
• 25:27
  Speaker 4: expect him to be this like good pitcher for the
• 25:29
  Speaker 4: course of an entire season.
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: I'm not so sure about that, but.
• 25:34
  Speaker 4: Maybe that last start was an outlier, because his numbers
• 25:36
  Speaker 4: overall do still look pretty good. He's done pretty well
• 25:39
  Speaker 4: against some good offenses.
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: This year too.
• 25:42
  Speaker 4: He's allowed more than three or runs only twice this season.
• 25:46
  Speaker 4: He's got a decent strikeout rate, almost one per inning.
• 25:49
  Speaker 4: His walk rate is not that high, and his hit
• 25:53
  Speaker 4: rate is low as well, so he's been pretty good still.
• 25:57
  Speaker 4: And the Mets have never faced him, so he does
• 25:59
  Speaker 4: have that advantage where he's unfamiliar to the Mets.
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: So I'm leaning towards him bouncing back here.
• 26:05
  Speaker 4: But you don't have to worry about him going out
• 26:07
  Speaker 4: a form or whatever if you want to play the Mets.
• 26:09
  Speaker 2: I mean, this is hilarious.
• 26:11
  Speaker 4: The Mets are laying like minus one fifty on the
• 26:15
  Speaker 4: road here, minus one forty something of them. That's just
• 26:18
  Speaker 4: it's hilarious to me. But the Mets are playing better
• 26:20
  Speaker 4: baseball right now. They have the better pitcher starting here
• 26:23
  Speaker 4: as well, But I still don't know if they deserve
• 26:25
  Speaker 4: to be a minus one forty something minus one fifty
• 26:28
  Speaker 4: road favorite here. I would not want to lay that
• 26:31
  Speaker 4: price with the Mets, really, even though I like McClain
• 26:33
  Speaker 4: a lot, I think the Mets have the better pitching
• 26:35
  Speaker 4: throughout this game too, So I do still think they're
• 26:37
  Speaker 4: gonna probably win sixty eight percent of tickets and cash
• 26:41
  Speaker 4: on the Mets, But I.
• 26:43
  Speaker 2: Think the approach here is to go first five.
• 26:45
  Speaker 4: Inning under, though the full game is nine on the
• 26:49
  Speaker 4: total money coming in in the over, fifty percent of
• 26:52
  Speaker 4: tickets fifty six percent of the cash on the over.
• 26:55
  Speaker 4: I mean, these bullpens, they both got totally used up yesterday,
• 26:58
  Speaker 4: and Washington is a bad bullpen. But I think both
• 27:02
  Speaker 4: starting pitchers might pitch well here, So I would not
• 27:05
  Speaker 4: really want to go over full game because when I
• 27:08
  Speaker 4: go over, I want to starting pitching to also be bad,
• 27:10
  Speaker 4: you know, which I don't think is going to be
• 27:12
  Speaker 4: the case here. So I think a first five under
• 27:15
  Speaker 4: makes some sense here, and you're probably looking at about
• 27:17
  Speaker 4: a five on that. So that's probably the way I
• 27:21
  Speaker 4: would look at that game. Not going to be a
• 27:23
  Speaker 4: play for me. This next game TBS Toronto and the Yankees.
• 27:27
  Speaker 4: This almost made my card. I like Toronto in this game,
• 27:32
  Speaker 4: and you're getting them at an underdog price here. Now,
• 27:35
  Speaker 4: the thing about the Yankees that I've forgotten to mention
• 27:37
  Speaker 4: is I've mentioned that the highest scoring home team in
• 27:41
  Speaker 4: Major League Baseball this year, which is true, but they
• 27:44
  Speaker 4: also have the biggest gap between what they do offensively
• 27:49
  Speaker 4: at home and on the road. They score like two
• 27:52
  Speaker 4: fewer runs per game on the road, which is the
• 27:54
  Speaker 4: biggest gap in all the Major League Baseball. Though part
• 27:57
  Speaker 4: of that is because they have the most run scored
• 27:59
  Speaker 4: at home, but still they have a huge offensive drop
• 28:02
  Speaker 4: off on the road. So that's something to keep in
• 28:04
  Speaker 4: mind with the Yankees. But they're at home here, obviously.
• 28:07
  Speaker 4: The other thing I forgot to mention with yesterday's game
• 28:10
  Speaker 4: is because I liked the Yankees first five and I
• 28:13
  Speaker 4: think they did not win that bet, but they won
• 28:16
  Speaker 4: full game because they scored four runs in the seventh inning,
• 28:19
  Speaker 4: so they won seven to six.
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: But one thing I forgot to.
• 28:22
  Speaker 4: Mention is that obviously the Yankees team total over was
• 28:25
  Speaker 4: an option in that game yesterday. Maybe that should have
• 28:28
  Speaker 4: been the better option and just you know, take maybe
• 28:31
  Speaker 4: the sums take the question mark that was Ryan Weathers
• 28:35
  Speaker 4: out of the equation. Maybe that could have been an
• 28:37
  Speaker 4: approach to go Yankees over their team total yesterday. But
• 28:40
  Speaker 4: we got to talk about today's game here. Man, this
• 28:42
  Speaker 4: could be a bounce back spot for Toronto here although
• 28:46
  Speaker 4: I know Toronto they they lost.
• 28:48
  Speaker 2: It was a big game for them. Yesterday.
• 28:50
  Speaker 4: They had the Yankees on the ropes and they blew
• 28:52
  Speaker 4: the game. So that's not a great way to lose,
• 28:55
  Speaker 4: you know, that could hang you over into the next game.
• 28:57
  Speaker 4: But Toronto might still show up here. I mean, they're
• 28:59
  Speaker 4: gonna try to beat the Yankees. Yankees, though, I think
• 29:03
  Speaker 4: they're a little bit motivated in this series because I
• 29:05
  Speaker 4: believe Toronto knocked the Yankees out of the playoffs last year,
• 29:08
  Speaker 4: right playoffs, and I think this is the first time
• 29:11
  Speaker 4: they're playing each other this year. Am I right about that?
• 29:14
  Speaker 4: Let me say, yeah, So this is a revenge series
• 29:19
  Speaker 4: for the Yankees, so that is something to keep in
• 29:21
  Speaker 4: mind as well that I completely forgot about yesterday because
• 29:24
  Speaker 4: Toronto eliminated them from the playoffs last year. Anyway, Blue
• 29:29
  Speaker 4: Jays used four relief pitchers yesterday. I don't like their bullpen.
• 29:33
  Speaker 4: Yankees used three, but they did use their closer bed Gar.
• 29:37
  Speaker 4: I'm pretty sure as they're closer right now. Yankees have
• 29:40
  Speaker 4: had a decent bullpen. They're tenth right now. Toronto not
• 29:43
  Speaker 4: as good at fourteenth, but not horrible, so there's not
• 29:47
  Speaker 4: a huge gap with these bullpens. The bigger gap here
• 29:49
  Speaker 4: is the offense. Obviously, the Yankees are number two, Toronto
• 29:53
  Speaker 4: twenty fifth. Yankees have a way better offense, But I
• 29:56
  Speaker 4: think the starting pitching is a pretty big edge for
• 29:59
  Speaker 4: Toronto here. They got Dylan C's pitching. He's proven me wrong. Man,
• 30:03
  Speaker 4: He's got his walk right way down. He's having a
• 30:05
  Speaker 4: really good season. Two point four to one ERA, one
• 30:08
  Speaker 4: point one eight whip. You know, I I didn't like
• 30:13
  Speaker 4: the move because he was he was going from a
• 30:15
  Speaker 4: pitcher friendly UH Stadium and UH Division in the in
• 30:20
  Speaker 4: the NL West to a very hitter hit her friendly
• 30:25
  Speaker 4: division in the AL East. I was thinking it was
• 30:29
  Speaker 4: not gonna serve him well.
• 30:30
  Speaker 2: And I'm wrong.
• 30:31
  Speaker 4: At least for now, he's pitching way better. Maybe just
• 30:34
  Speaker 4: maybe he just needed a change of environment. I don't know,
• 30:38
  Speaker 4: but yeah, I mean he's been good. He's been pretty
• 30:40
  Speaker 4: good on the road, although not as good as he
• 30:42
  Speaker 4: is at home. But on the road he still has
• 30:43
  Speaker 4: a two point eight two ERA, which is good. Like
• 30:46
  Speaker 4: I said, I think I don't know if he set
• 30:48
  Speaker 4: his full numbers, but two point four to one ERA,
• 30:51
  Speaker 4: one point one eight whip on the season, I'm all
• 30:54
  Speaker 4: over the place I apologize.
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: Morning brain Man. This month, he's been really good.
• 31:00
  Speaker 4: He's got twenty six strikeouts and four walks this month,
• 31:04
  Speaker 4: really really crazy ratio. He's allowed one run over his
• 31:08
  Speaker 4: last fourteen innings over his last two starts. Toronto's won
• 31:11
  Speaker 4: all three of his starts this month, and he's gone
• 31:14
  Speaker 4: seven innings in all of them, and he's allowed no
• 31:16
  Speaker 4: more than three earned runs in all of them.
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: He's only allowed more than two earned runs twice this
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: entire season.
• 31:22
  Speaker 4: He's got an extremely high strikeout rate, one of the
• 31:24
  Speaker 4: highest in baseball, way way higher than one per inning.
• 31:29
  Speaker 4: Walk rate is still high, but you know, I mean
• 31:32
  Speaker 4: he's overcoming it with the rest of his numbers, and
• 31:34
  Speaker 4: his walk rate has actually gone a little bit down recently.
• 31:37
  Speaker 4: And he's very unhittable as well, or pretty unhittable, well
• 31:41
  Speaker 4: below one hit per inning. And his numbers against the
• 31:43
  Speaker 4: Yankees are pretty good. In eighty four at bats two
• 31:47
  Speaker 4: fifty average, allowed seven to forty two oh ps.
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: Twenty to eleven strike out walk ratio.
• 31:52
  Speaker 4: Again, it's a lot of walks there, but I think
• 31:54
  Speaker 4: he sets up to pitch pretty well here, and he
• 31:57
  Speaker 4: is going against Will Warren, who is having a pretty
• 32:00
  Speaker 4: good season for the Yankees three point four two ERA,
• 32:03
  Speaker 4: one point one to six whip. I don't think he's
• 32:05
  Speaker 4: as good as don't cease, though, and he's actually been
• 32:08
  Speaker 4: worse at home this year, even though he was actually
• 32:10
  Speaker 4: worse on the road last year. So I don't know
• 32:13
  Speaker 4: what's gonna happen with him. You know, maybe it's just
• 32:15
  Speaker 4: because it's a small sample size, but last year he
• 32:18
  Speaker 4: was better at home, So I don't know what's going on.
• 32:20
  Speaker 4: But he's got a three point seven to three home
• 32:22
  Speaker 4: HERA this year, which still isn't that bad. He had
• 32:25
  Speaker 4: one bad start this month, which was at home against Texas,
• 32:29
  Speaker 4: which is not a great sign because they're not a
• 32:30
  Speaker 4: good hitting team. But this month he still has a
• 32:33
  Speaker 4: twenty two to five strikeout walk ratio, which is good
• 32:36
  Speaker 4: in sixteen innings, so he's had a high strikeout rate,
• 32:39
  Speaker 4: good ratio there hasn't allowed that many hits, so he
• 32:42
  Speaker 4: is still in pretty good form right now.
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: He's got a good strikeout rate.
• 32:46
  Speaker 4: Over one per inning, fewer than one hit a lout
• 32:48
  Speaker 4: per inning in his walk rate is fine as well,
• 32:51
  Speaker 4: so he's been good this season. He's a lot more
• 32:53
  Speaker 4: than tour in runs only once, but his numbers against
• 32:56
  Speaker 4: Toronto are not good. In thirty four at bats four
• 33:00
  Speaker 4: to twelve batting average, thirteen forty two ops, five home
• 33:04
  Speaker 4: runs allowed, six to three strike out walk ratio. So
• 33:08
  Speaker 4: Toronto has handled Will Warren so based on the matchup cease,
• 33:13
  Speaker 4: I think as a big matchup edge just based on
• 33:15
  Speaker 4: the matchup numbers, So I like Toronto. I would go
• 33:18
  Speaker 4: first five because I don't want to deal with their bullpen.
• 33:20
  Speaker 4: You're gonna get Toronto as an underdog still, although the
• 33:23
  Speaker 4: Yankees are like minus one thirty five for the full game,
• 33:27
  Speaker 4: They're gonna be lower than that in the first five,
• 33:29
  Speaker 4: but you'll still probably get Toronto as an underdog in
• 33:32
  Speaker 4: the first five.
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: That would be my opinion.
• 33:34
  Speaker 4: Fifty three percent of ticket sixty three percent of the
• 33:36
  Speaker 4: cash on Toronto. I'm gonna lean that way first five.
• 33:40
  Speaker 4: Only money is coming in on the under I would
• 33:44
  Speaker 4: go first five if I went under, and I don't
• 33:46
  Speaker 4: really disagree, like both of these pitchers have had good seasons,
• 33:50
  Speaker 4: but I'm gonna weigh the matchup numbers a little bit
• 33:53
  Speaker 4: more heavily in this game because the sample size is
• 33:55
  Speaker 4: big enough that I think it's deserved so I prefer
• 33:59
  Speaker 4: to first five in the game, but under first five
• 34:02
  Speaker 4: makes some sense to me in the game as well.
• 34:06
  Speaker 4: The full game total is nine, but some of that
• 34:08
  Speaker 4: is because the bullpens are just kind of, you know,
• 34:12
  Speaker 4: not that rested, and they're not terrific bullpens. So those
• 34:16
  Speaker 4: are my thoughts on that game. I guess you could
• 34:20
  Speaker 4: make the argument, I guess for Toronto full game, but
• 34:22
  Speaker 4: I think their bullpen is at least at a slight disadvantage. Tyson,
• 34:26
  Speaker 4: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. Next game up is
• 34:30
  Speaker 4: Boston Kansas City. We got that game right last night
• 34:33
  Speaker 4: with the Red Sox Red Sox with a three to
• 34:35
  Speaker 4: one win. Red Sox continue to be a good pitching
• 34:38
  Speaker 4: team and a bad hitting team. Red Sox used Chapman
• 34:42
  Speaker 4: because it was a save situation and the use three
• 34:45
  Speaker 4: relief pitchers. They've both been still pretty good, though better
• 34:48
  Speaker 4: than Kansas City's. Kansas City used three relief pitchers yesterday.
• 34:53
  Speaker 4: Red Sox are ranked fourth in bullpen very good bullpen
• 34:56
  Speaker 4: this year actually Kansas City twenty six. There is a
• 35:00
  Speaker 4: pretty big bullpen edge for the Red Sox here. Like
• 35:03
  Speaker 4: I mentioned in the handicap yesterday, but Kansas City has
• 35:06
  Speaker 4: the better offense. They're twentieth, though, which isn't great. Red
• 35:10
  Speaker 4: Sox twenty eighth, so that factored into me thinking it
• 35:15
  Speaker 4: was gonna be a low scoring game yesterday. Red Sox
• 35:17
  Speaker 4: have Ron Jr. Suarez pitching today. He's been good two
• 35:21
  Speaker 4: point four to four ERA, point nine to five whip.
• 35:25
  Speaker 4: He's been good on the road one point nine to
• 35:27
  Speaker 4: six roadyra. He's given up no runs in his last
• 35:30
  Speaker 4: three outings. One of them he only lasted four innings.
• 35:33
  Speaker 4: I think he got injured in that one. Yeah. I
• 35:36
  Speaker 4: think he like tweaked his hamstring or something. So he
• 35:39
  Speaker 4: was out for eleven days. But he bounced back with
• 35:42
  Speaker 4: another good start against his former team Philadelphia and gave
• 35:46
  Speaker 4: up no runs in that outing as well, although he
• 35:49
  Speaker 4: didn't go that deep. He only went five and a
• 35:50
  Speaker 4: third innings. They pulled him at seventy six pitches, and
• 35:53
  Speaker 4: I think he wanted to stay in the game, so
• 35:57
  Speaker 4: but I think they were, you know, worried about his
• 35:59
  Speaker 4: injury or whatever. They limited his pitch count. But he's
• 36:02
  Speaker 4: that's a good sign that he pitched well coming back
• 36:04
  Speaker 4: from that hamstring thing. So he looks like he's fine.
• 36:07
  Speaker 4: He's in pretty good form generally right now and over
• 36:11
  Speaker 4: the course of the season, he's been good. He's allowed
• 36:13
  Speaker 4: well below one hit per inning. His walk rate is
• 36:16
  Speaker 4: not excellent but fine, and strikeout rate. He's not really
• 36:19
  Speaker 4: a huge strikeout guy, but his strikeout rate is decent
• 36:22
  Speaker 4: as well.
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: Numbers against Kansas City are okay.
• 36:26
  Speaker 4: In seventy seven at bats, two eighty six average allowed
• 36:29
  Speaker 4: is pretty high, but he's held him to a six
• 36:31
  Speaker 4: ninety eight OHPS, so they don't have a lot of
• 36:33
  Speaker 4: power hitting going on against him. Twelve strikeouts, four walks.
• 36:38
  Speaker 4: I still think he's probably gonna pitch okay. Here, Bailey
• 36:41
  Speaker 4: Falter is getting the start for the Royals, and he's
• 36:44
  Speaker 4: been faltering. He's actually been pitching out of the bullpen.
• 36:48
  Speaker 4: I don't know what's going on here.
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 36:49
  Speaker 4: They traded for him. They got him from Pittsburgh last year.
• 36:52
  Speaker 4: He actually pitched well for Pittsburgh last year. But if
• 36:54
  Speaker 4: he'll get his career numbers, he hasn't really been that
• 36:57
  Speaker 4: good and after the Royals got him, he wasn't that
• 36:59
  Speaker 4: good for them last year. This year he's got a
• 37:02
  Speaker 4: ten point one to three ERA, two point six to
• 37:05
  Speaker 4: three whip.
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: That's not good. Stuff.
• 37:06
  Speaker 4: His His ra at home is eighty one, but that's
• 37:10
  Speaker 4: because he's pitched a third of an inning there and
• 37:12
  Speaker 4: he got blasted by Minnesota. He actually I think he
• 37:16
  Speaker 4: was injured because he didn't pitch basically for a month
• 37:20
  Speaker 4: and a half, and then he came back and he
• 37:22
  Speaker 4: made a two winning appearance three days ago. So he's
• 37:25
  Speaker 4: not gonna have a full starter's workload here. He'll probably
• 37:28
  Speaker 4: go a couple innings here. So basically you're getting like
• 37:30
  Speaker 4: a Kansas City bullpen game, and that really doesn't look.
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: That good to me.
• 37:35
  Speaker 4: You know, if you're only gonna get a couple innings
• 37:37
  Speaker 4: out of him, Kansas City's bullpen is not really good,
• 37:41
  Speaker 4: like I showed him. Falter has been good against the
• 37:43
  Speaker 4: Red Sox in the past twenty three at bats one
• 37:46
  Speaker 4: thirty average four to twenty eight ops, but I don't
• 37:48
  Speaker 4: know how much that really matters when he's only gonna
• 37:51
  Speaker 4: be out there for a couple innings. Yeah, maybe the
• 37:54
  Speaker 4: Red Sox will be held off the board early, but
• 37:57
  Speaker 4: Suarez is going to go longer in this game than
• 37:59
  Speaker 4: Fall is most likely. I would assume that'll be the case,
• 38:02
  Speaker 4: and then the Red Sox do have a bullpen edge,
• 38:05
  Speaker 4: and you're kind of getting a bullpen game. It looks
• 38:07
  Speaker 4: like from KC here, I think I would lean to
• 38:10
  Speaker 4: the Red Sox in this one, but the money's disagreeing
• 38:12
  Speaker 4: with me, which you know doesn't make a whole lot
• 38:15
  Speaker 4: of sense. I don't really want to do it, but
• 38:17
  Speaker 4: seventy three percent of tickets on the Red Sox fifty
• 38:20
  Speaker 4: five percent of the cash on Kansas City Red Sox
• 38:22
  Speaker 4: are in the minus one twenty something range. Here, the
• 38:25
  Speaker 4: oddsmakers are telling you, like I said yesterday, by lining
• 38:29
  Speaker 4: the Red Sox as a favorite, they're telling you the
• 38:31
  Speaker 4: Red Sox are actually the better team and or have
• 38:33
  Speaker 4: the better of the match up here, even though the
• 38:36
  Speaker 4: record's not good. So the oddsmakers are telling you something
• 38:39
  Speaker 4: with that line. Slight lean to me for me to
• 38:42
  Speaker 4: the Red Sox, I mean, I prefer a decent, actual
• 38:45
  Speaker 4: starting pitcher over over a bullpen game from a team
• 38:49
  Speaker 4: that doesn't have a very good bullpen.
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: Houston and Minnesota.
• 38:52
  Speaker 4: I said this looked like it was gonna be an
• 38:54
  Speaker 4: over series, But yesterday's game looked like it was going
• 38:57
  Speaker 4: to be an over and I believe it landed right
• 38:59
  Speaker 4: on the nom of nine. So I did not give
• 39:02
  Speaker 4: that out as a player or anything, but whatever. Emi,
• 39:07
  Speaker 4: by the way, the Japanese pitcher for Houston, I don't know.
• 39:11
  Speaker 4: I was listening to a Tokyo Brandon uh of Wager
• 39:15
  Speaker 4: Talk who he's a baseball handicapping expert in a former
• 39:20
  Speaker 4: baseball scout, and he knows the Japanese leagues really well
• 39:23
  Speaker 4: as well, hence his name. He actually lives over there.
• 39:27
  Speaker 4: He basically said that Emi is a an extremely cocky
• 39:32
  Speaker 4: pitcher who doesn't have the stuff to back up his cockiness.
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: So that's what he thinks about Emi.
• 39:38
  Speaker 4: But he's not pitching today and Lance McCullers is, which
• 39:41
  Speaker 4: is probably not any better. Houston used two relief pitchers yesterday.
• 39:46
  Speaker 4: Their bullpen is an absolute disaster. Minnesota used five and
• 39:50
  Speaker 4: their bullpen is also really bad. These are the two
• 39:54
  Speaker 4: worst bullpens in baseball, I believe, I think right now.
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: Well, actually, Minnesota's is the.
• 40:00
  Speaker 4: Third worst in ERA, second worst in WHIP, and Houston's
• 40:04
  Speaker 4: is the worst in both. But yes, they are ranked
• 40:06
  Speaker 4: twenty ninth and thirtieth based on WHIP.
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: Two horrible bullpens.
• 40:10
  Speaker 4: Houston has ranked sixth in offense, Minnesota eleventh, so That's
• 40:14
  Speaker 4: why I said this looks like an over series because
• 40:16
  Speaker 4: you have two terrible bullpens, two teams that can hit.
• 40:20
  Speaker 2: I don't think I really want an over in this game. Though. LANCEMANC.
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: Colors is picchally for Houston.
• 40:25
  Speaker 4: He's really just he's been struggling for pretty much the
• 40:28
  Speaker 4: entire time since he's tried to come back from injury.
• 40:31
  Speaker 4: It's just not going well. He's got a six point
• 40:33
  Speaker 4: eight six ERA and one point five to three WHIP.
• 40:36
  Speaker 4: That's not good. He's been worse on the road seven
• 40:39
  Speaker 4: point five to three. Roady Ira pitch well in his
• 40:41
  Speaker 4: last start against Seattle, so I don't know. Is that
• 40:45
  Speaker 4: a sign that maybe he's coming into form.
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 40:47
  Speaker 4: He pitched okay two starts prior to that against Baltimore
• 40:51
  Speaker 4: as well. He's had some really bad starts in here
• 40:53
  Speaker 4: as well. He's been kind of all over the place.
• 40:55
  Speaker 4: His strikeout rate is actually good though over one per inning,
• 40:59
  Speaker 4: he's allowed few than one hit per inning, so that's
• 41:01
  Speaker 4: all good.
• 41:01
  Speaker 2: So really his problem is the walks.
• 41:03
  Speaker 4: He's alloted a ton of walks and this month it's
• 41:07
  Speaker 4: still happening. Ten strikeouts, five walks, so he's striking guys out,
• 41:11
  Speaker 4: but he's walking a lot of guys and he is
• 41:13
  Speaker 4: also still a little bit too hittable. He's got to
• 41:16
  Speaker 4: figure something out, man, if he's gonna try to bounce back.
• 41:18
  Speaker 4: And his numbers against the Twins are kind of ridiculous.
• 41:21
  Speaker 4: They only have seven at bats against him between Buxton
• 41:24
  Speaker 4: and Larnock, but they have absolutely annihilated him. They have
• 41:28
  Speaker 4: a seven to fourteen average against him in nineteen twenty
• 41:31
  Speaker 4: one ops, but it's only seven at.
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: Bats, So, like, what do you do with that information?
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 41:36
  Speaker 4: They have one strike gun in two walks against him
• 41:38
  Speaker 4: as well, but I'm leaning towards the mccullars probably not
• 41:41
  Speaker 4: pitching that well here. That would be what I think
• 41:44
  Speaker 4: he is going to be going up against Zebulon Zebbie Matthews,
• 41:49
  Speaker 4: who has a zero EIRA so far in point seven
• 41:53
  Speaker 4: to one whip. He made one start and it was good.
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: He shut out Miami for seven innings.
• 41:58
  Speaker 4: He was efficient with his pitches as well, eighty three pitches.
• 42:01
  Speaker 4: He held him to four hits, one walk, five strikeouts. Zebby
• 42:05
  Speaker 4: with a really good start there was against Miami. They're
• 42:07
  Speaker 4: not a good offense. Houston is a better offense than that,
• 42:10
  Speaker 4: but he might be able to pitch well here, man.
• 42:12
  Speaker 4: I mean that's a good sign that he pitched well.
• 42:15
  Speaker 2: I mean, he is a.
• 42:17
  Speaker 4: Fairly highly considered prospect in the Twins organization. Here they
• 42:23
  Speaker 4: did bring him up by the last two seasons he
• 42:25
  Speaker 4: did pitch, and he didn't pitch well though in the
• 42:28
  Speaker 4: majors for Minnesota. So I don't know how much stock
• 42:30
  Speaker 4: we can put into one start. But he's twenty five,
• 42:33
  Speaker 4: so it's certainly possible that he's finally like taking off
• 42:37
  Speaker 4: career wise. I just think we don't know yet. And
• 42:39
  Speaker 4: Houston has never faced him before, but I like that
• 42:42
  Speaker 4: because he looks like he's in good form right now
• 42:44
  Speaker 4: and he's going up against a team that's never seen
• 42:46
  Speaker 4: him before.
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: So I actually think I prefer Zebby in this one.
• 42:51
  Speaker 4: And this might be the only situation that you can
• 42:53
  Speaker 4: get where Minnesota is actually the less bad bullpen. However,
• 42:57
  Speaker 4: they are less rested, so I do still work about
• 43:00
  Speaker 4: their bullpend here. I think i'd probably limit it to
• 43:03
  Speaker 4: first five, but I lean Minnesota first five.
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: Here they're favored by quite a bit though on the
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: full game.
• 43:09
  Speaker 4: Their minus one forty or so, which seems insane, like,
• 43:13
  Speaker 4: I don't think Minnesota really deserves to be that much
• 43:16
  Speaker 4: of a favorite almost against anybody, unless maybe it's Joe
• 43:20
  Speaker 4: Ryan on the mound for them.
• 43:21
  Speaker 2: He is pitching tomorrow.
• 43:22
  Speaker 4: I'm pretty sure the money's coming in against Minnesota though,
• 43:26
  Speaker 4: sixty two percent of tickets fifty six percent of the
• 43:28
  Speaker 4: cash on them, So the money's indicating on Houston, but
• 43:32
  Speaker 4: I do not want to do that. The money's also
• 43:35
  Speaker 4: coming in on the over. If you go over, obviously
• 43:38
  Speaker 4: you're going full game with that. You want to take
• 43:40
  Speaker 4: advantage of how bad the bullpens are. The totals at
• 43:43
  Speaker 4: eight and a half. I mean, it certainly could happen,
• 43:45
  Speaker 4: but I don't want to do it in this game.
• 43:47
  Speaker 4: I think again, I prefer Minnesota first five, although you'd
• 43:50
  Speaker 4: probably have to lay the run line on that, and
• 43:53
  Speaker 4: they need to be winning, probably by a run to
• 43:56
  Speaker 4: cash that bet at the end of five innings. I
• 43:58
  Speaker 4: think it's possible though. That's the way I would play it,
• 44:01
  Speaker 4: but I'm not playing the game. Next game up, Brewers
• 44:04
  Speaker 4: and Cubs. I am going to give out a play
• 44:06
  Speaker 4: on this game. We're gonna do the opposite of what
• 44:15
  Speaker 4: I recommended yesterday. I was correct with yesterday's game. It
• 44:17
  Speaker 4: was a wind blowing out situation at Wrigley Field.
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: Yesterday.
• 44:21
  Speaker 4: The total was ten and a half, I believe, which
• 44:24
  Speaker 4: would indicate that the wind is blowing out. The total
• 44:26
  Speaker 4: today is eight, so that indicates the wind is either.
• 44:31
  Speaker 4: I think it doesn't indicate that it's blowing in. I
• 44:33
  Speaker 4: think it just indicates that there's not a lot of
• 44:36
  Speaker 4: wind at all. But I'm fine with that. We are
• 44:38
  Speaker 4: going to go under in this one. Milwaukee Chicago under
• 44:42
  Speaker 4: eight minus one thirteen or so is where I found
• 44:45
  Speaker 4: it out there, you know, minus one fifteen, whatever you
• 44:48
  Speaker 4: find it, I think it's fine. I like the under
• 44:51
  Speaker 4: this time, especially after yesterday's game went over, which I
• 44:55
  Speaker 4: was correct about.
• 44:57
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee won nine to three yesterday.
• 44:59
  Speaker 4: I told you, dude, Chautey Minaga, he's a great pitcher,
• 45:03
  Speaker 4: but he has real problems against Milwaukee specifically, and I
• 45:06
  Speaker 4: do not know why, but Milwaukee just gets to him
• 45:10
  Speaker 4: every single time, and they did again yesterday, and that
• 45:13
  Speaker 4: was really what happened in that game. The game went
• 45:15
  Speaker 4: over the total like I thought that it would. Today,
• 45:18
  Speaker 4: I think a lot differently about this game today. We
• 45:21
  Speaker 4: are gonna go with another under with miz on the mound.
• 45:24
  Speaker 4: By the way, I also like both bullpens. Milwaukee only
• 45:27
  Speaker 4: used one guy out of the bullpen yesterday, so their
• 45:29
  Speaker 4: bullpen is pretty clean right now, and their bullpen's pretty decent.
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: Cubs bullpen's good as well.
• 45:34
  Speaker 4: They use two relief pitchers yesterday, they didn't use any
• 45:37
  Speaker 4: of their better relievers. Although it looks like the Cubs
• 45:40
  Speaker 4: might dip into their bullpen a little bit earlier in
• 45:42
  Speaker 4: this game. We'll see it depends on how long they're
• 45:44
  Speaker 4: gonna let Brown go here. But I still like the
• 45:47
  Speaker 4: under in this game. Hitting wise, yes, the Cubs are
• 45:50
  Speaker 4: a good offense. They're fourth, but I think good pitching
• 45:53
  Speaker 4: encounter that. Of course, Milwaukee hasn't really been that great offensively.
• 45:58
  Speaker 4: They're moving up slightly though they're nineteenth, but again I
• 46:01
  Speaker 4: think good pitching overcomes good hitting. The bullpens are good,
• 46:05
  Speaker 4: like I said, Chicago's ranked eighth. Milwaukee is all the
• 46:07
  Speaker 4: way up to eleventh, and their ERA is really good.
• 46:10
  Speaker 4: So we have two bullpens that I like. Jacob Mazerowski,
• 46:15
  Speaker 4: like I said, he's pitching for Milwaukee. He's been really good.
• 46:18
  Speaker 4: Two point one two ERA point nine whip. The only
• 46:21
  Speaker 4: thing you gotta worry about with him is that they're
• 46:23
  Speaker 4: gonna wreck his arm because he's thrown hard so often
• 46:27
  Speaker 4: out there.
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: He's been good on the road.
• 46:29
  Speaker 4: As well, two point three roadyrra and he's given up
• 46:32
  Speaker 4: no runs this month and eighteen to third innings with
• 46:35
  Speaker 4: twenty nine strikeouts, four.
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: Walks and only six hits allowed.
• 46:39
  Speaker 4: And he did that against Washington on the road, Yankees
• 46:42
  Speaker 4: at home, and then San Diego at home. San Diego
• 46:44
  Speaker 4: is not a good offense, but those other two teams are.
• 46:47
  Speaker 4: He's allowed no more than three on runs in any
• 46:49
  Speaker 4: outing this season. He's got an unbelievably high strikeout rate.
• 46:53
  Speaker 4: It's got to be the highest in baseball. He has
• 46:57
  Speaker 4: almost thirty more strikeouts than innings pitched right now. Walk
• 47:00
  Speaker 4: rate is relatively low as well, and then he's also
• 47:03
  Speaker 4: been unhittable. He has one of the lowest hit rates
• 47:07
  Speaker 4: in baseball as well. So he's been very, very good.
• 47:10
  Speaker 4: And his numbers against the Cubs are good as well.
• 47:12
  Speaker 4: We have a fifty one at bat sample size here.
• 47:15
  Speaker 4: They only have two extra base hits against them, a
• 47:17
  Speaker 4: double from Bush and a home run from Suzuki. He's
• 47:21
  Speaker 4: got nineteen strikeouts, five walks, against them one fifty seven
• 47:25
  Speaker 4: average allowed four to sixty seven ops, so in a
• 47:28
  Speaker 4: pretty good sample size to work with. Miss has been
• 47:31
  Speaker 4: good against the Cobs. He will be going up against
• 47:35
  Speaker 4: Ben Brown and Ben Brown. You know, if you've watched
• 47:38
  Speaker 4: my show and heard me talk about him, I've always
• 47:40
  Speaker 4: been of the opinion that he has good stuff, and
• 47:43
  Speaker 4: then it just hadn't really come to fruition.
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: He's mostly worked out of the bullpen.
• 47:47
  Speaker 4: This year, so I get that his numbers are good,
• 47:49
  Speaker 4: but most of it out of the bullpen.
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: One point sixty ra point eighty six whip. That's good.
• 47:55
  Speaker 4: He's been basically the same home and away. It doesn't
• 47:57
  Speaker 4: really matter. He's made two four four inning appearances in
• 48:02
  Speaker 4: his last two outings now, one at Texas, which is
• 48:04
  Speaker 4: very pitcher friendly, so not much you could draw from that.
• 48:07
  Speaker 4: But then he did the same thing against Atlanta. He
• 48:09
  Speaker 4: went four innings and shut them out on the road,
• 48:12
  Speaker 4: which is a very good sign. So he went eight
• 48:14
  Speaker 4: shutout innings over his last two outings along on only
• 48:17
  Speaker 4: one hit, with ten strikeouts and two walks. That's a
• 48:21
  Speaker 4: good sign, especially the fact that he did that against Atlanta. Now,
• 48:24
  Speaker 4: I don't know how many innings. He's gonna go here,
• 48:26
  Speaker 4: and that's kind of the question. By the way, the
• 48:29
  Speaker 4: Cubs have won all five of his last five appearances.
• 48:33
  Speaker 4: The Cubs have won all of them, and nine of
• 48:36
  Speaker 4: his last ten appearances have been wins for the Cubs.
• 48:39
  Speaker 4: But we're not looking at the side here anyway. He's
• 48:43
  Speaker 4: got twelve strikeouts, three walks this month. Now the question
• 48:46
  Speaker 4: is is he gonna go longer than four innings today?
• 48:49
  Speaker 4: He might because it looks like they're kind of ramping
• 48:51
  Speaker 4: his pitch count up a little bit, So it would
• 48:52
  Speaker 4: it surprise me if he went like five innings here,
• 48:55
  Speaker 4: But I'm still okay with the Cubs bullpen coming in
• 48:58
  Speaker 4: and backing them up. He's been good this year, though
• 49:02
  Speaker 4: he's got way below one hit per inning allowed. His
• 49:05
  Speaker 4: walk rate is slightly high but not horrible, and decent
• 49:09
  Speaker 4: strikeout right over one per inning.
• 49:11
  Speaker 2: I like Brown here, and his.
• 49:13
  Speaker 4: Numbers against the Brewers are also really good and fifty
• 49:15
  Speaker 4: three at bats one fifty one average allowed, four point
• 49:18
  Speaker 4: thirty two ops, eighteen to.
• 49:20
  Speaker 2: Five strike out walk ratio.
• 49:22
  Speaker 4: So we have two starting pitchers that I actually like here,
• 49:25
  Speaker 4: and they both have good matchup numbers, and I like
• 49:27
  Speaker 4: the bullpens as well, and the bullpen rest scenario is
• 49:30
  Speaker 4: not really a problem either. The wind shouldn't be a
• 49:33
  Speaker 4: problem either, So that all lines lines up for me
• 49:37
  Speaker 4: under eight Brewers Cubs, and that is my only other
• 49:40
  Speaker 4: play of the day. So we're being selective again here, man.
• 49:44
  Speaker 4: And as far as what the market looks like on
• 49:46
  Speaker 4: that game, the money is kind of indicating towards the
• 49:50
  Speaker 4: under eighty eight percent of tickets on the under, ninety
• 49:52
  Speaker 4: two percent of the cash on the under. It is
• 49:55
  Speaker 4: on the move. It looks like it's headed towards seven
• 49:57
  Speaker 4: and a half. Seven is seven more of the key number, though,
• 50:01
  Speaker 4: so you know, act accordingly, I suppose, but make sure
• 50:05
  Speaker 4: you at least get under seven and a half on that.
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: First five.
• 50:09
  Speaker 4: I wouldn't really disagree with either, you know, going under three,
• 50:12
  Speaker 4: three and a half.
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: Whatever. The money is coming in towards Milwaukee as well.
• 50:16
  Speaker 4: It's fifty to fifty on the tickets, sixty two percent
• 50:19
  Speaker 4: of the cash on Milwaukee. I'm not so sure that
• 50:21
  Speaker 4: I love that, because I think Brown might be under
• 50:24
  Speaker 4: the radar here and the Cubs are in a bounce
• 50:26
  Speaker 4: back spot after yesterday's bad performance, You know what I mean? Mizierowski.
• 50:31
  Speaker 4: Everybody knows who he is now, so I think you
• 50:33
  Speaker 4: have to pay a little bit of a tax on him.
• 50:36
  Speaker 4: Milwaukee's a road favorite, and I'm wondering if really they
• 50:40
  Speaker 4: should be, because I think the Cubs can match up
• 50:42
  Speaker 4: against them in this game. So I would probably slightly
• 50:45
  Speaker 4: lean towards the Cubs in the game.
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: But I like the under better. JC.
• 50:51
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I saw that. I'm I am not excited about that.
• 50:55
  Speaker 4: I think it's all bullshit. I need I need the
• 50:58
  Speaker 4: Knicks to lose, and the best shot that is for
• 51:00
  Speaker 4: them to have to face Oklahoma City.
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: Uh, the Spurs.
• 51:04
  Speaker 4: They're not experienced enough, dude, this is all just fucking bullshit.
• 51:08
  Speaker 4: Chet Holmward is a fucking pussy who can't match up
• 51:11
  Speaker 4: against when min Yama.
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: Like they need to change that matchup or something. I
• 51:16
  Speaker 2: don't know what the.
• 51:17
  Speaker 4: Fuck the deal is, but I still think Oklahoma City
• 51:19
  Speaker 4: is still gonna win that series.
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: Though they should have won the game last night.
• 51:24
  Speaker 4: They came back, they had chances to win the game,
• 51:26
  Speaker 4: and every time they got right back in the game,
• 51:29
  Speaker 4: they had a foul called on them. Every single fucking
• 51:32
  Speaker 4: time they handled the Spurs in and won, Like right
• 51:35
  Speaker 4: back it was unbelievably frustrating. Uh I'm I'm really, really
• 51:40
  Speaker 4: fucking pissed about it. Yeah, I do not want to
• 51:44
  Speaker 4: see the Spurs. I don't because if the Spurs get
• 51:47
  Speaker 4: into the final, the Knicks are gonna win the championship.
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna tell you that right now.
• 51:51
  Speaker 4: The Knicks experience is gonna win out against the Spurs,
• 51:56
  Speaker 4: all right, And that is not what I want to
• 51:59
  Speaker 4: see happen.
• 51:59
  Speaker 2: Fuck New York. Pittsburgh and Saint Louis.
• 52:03
  Speaker 4: Saint Louis lost a three game win streak by losing
• 52:07
  Speaker 4: to Kansas City.
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: That was two days ago, so they have a day off.
• 52:10
  Speaker 4: They're staying at home. Both these teams have a day off.
• 52:12
  Speaker 4: They were the only teams that didn't play yesterday. Pittsburgh
• 52:16
  Speaker 4: just got swept by Philadelphia at home and got shut
• 52:19
  Speaker 4: out twice, so they should be a bounce back spot.
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: For Pittsburgh here.
• 52:23
  Speaker 4: They're also three and a half games behind Saint Louis,
• 52:25
  Speaker 4: but I don't even think they're worse. I think Pittsburgh
• 52:28
  Speaker 4: is probably the better team over Saint Louis. That's something
• 52:31
  Speaker 4: to keep in mind here. So I think you have
• 52:32
  Speaker 4: the better team. People don't realize that because their record
• 52:36
  Speaker 4: is worse and they're in a bounce back spot leaving
• 52:39
  Speaker 4: home coming off of an ugly series sweep.
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: At the hands of Philadelphia.
• 52:43
  Speaker 4: I think that's a good spot for Pittsburgh to just
• 52:45
  Speaker 4: get out of there.
• 52:46
  Speaker 2: Focus on baseball here. Both bullpen's arrested.
• 52:50
  Speaker 4: The offenses might be a little bit cooled off by
• 52:53
  Speaker 4: the fact that both teams didn't play yesterday. Saint Louis
• 52:56
  Speaker 4: has a bad bullpen. They are where are they at?
• 52:58
  Speaker 4: I'm looking at hitting stake. Saint Louis is where are
• 53:03
  Speaker 4: they twenty second? Pittsburgh not that much better though, at nineteenth.
• 53:07
  Speaker 4: But I do think they are the better bullpen. Their
• 53:10
  Speaker 4: era is like point three runs better. Pittsburgh has been
• 53:15
  Speaker 4: good offensively tenth, Saint Louis is twelfth, so both teams
• 53:19
  Speaker 4: have hit pretty well. I like Pittsburgh starting pitcher better though.
• 53:23
  Speaker 4: They got Mitch Keller pitching. He's pitching well man and
• 53:26
  Speaker 4: he just always goes under the radar because he's not
• 53:29
  Speaker 4: really a strikeout pitch or whatever. He's not flashy. He's
• 53:32
  Speaker 4: got a three point five to ninety r ray one
• 53:34
  Speaker 4: point eight whip that's pretty good. He's been better on
• 53:36
  Speaker 4: the road this year two point six to five Roady Ray.
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: That's good, and.
• 53:41
  Speaker 4: He's gonna be going to a pitcher friendly ballpark here.
• 53:44
  Speaker 4: He didn't do well last time out against Colorado. You
• 53:47
  Speaker 4: gave up six runs, but he only allowed seven hits
• 53:50
  Speaker 4: in one walk, so he got a little bit unlucky
• 53:52
  Speaker 4: where most of the base runners that reach scored against him.
• 53:55
  Speaker 4: His overall numbers are still good. He's a lot more
• 53:57
  Speaker 4: than three in runs twice this season. His strike out
• 54:00
  Speaker 4: rates not high, but he has allowed way below one
• 54:03
  Speaker 4: hit per inning. His walk rate's not really that high either,
• 54:06
  Speaker 4: so his.
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: Overall numbers are good.
• 54:08
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna give him a pass for that Colorado game
• 54:10
  Speaker 4: and think that it's a little bit of an outlier.
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: For now.
• 54:14
  Speaker 4: Against the Cardinals, he's got decent numbers, though not great.
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: In one hundred and twenty two at.
• 54:19
  Speaker 4: Bats, big sample, thirty four to six, strike out walk
• 54:22
  Speaker 4: ratio is good two fifty four batting average seven thirty
• 54:26
  Speaker 4: seven ops. So that's still below that seven point fifty
• 54:29
  Speaker 4: threshold there. So I still think Keller has decent enough
• 54:34
  Speaker 4: numbers that I expect him to pitch pretty well here.
• 54:36
  Speaker 4: He is going to be going up against Matthew liber Torre,
• 54:39
  Speaker 4: who I don't think is really that good. He's got
• 54:41
  Speaker 4: a four point four e RA, which is mediocre, but
• 54:44
  Speaker 4: a one point five to one whip is pretty bad.
• 54:47
  Speaker 4: You can't put one and a half guys on basin
• 54:49
  Speaker 4: inning man four point six y' eight homey.
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: Ray, so he hasn't been good at home.
• 54:54
  Speaker 4: Really wasn't that good in his last outing, but it
• 54:57
  Speaker 4: was at the A's, so maybe you give him a
• 54:59
  Speaker 4: pass for that that he was shaky in that bad
• 55:03
  Speaker 4: pitching stadium. Overall this month, though, he's got way too
• 55:07
  Speaker 4: many walks fifteen to seven strike out walk ratio. You
• 55:10
  Speaker 4: can't walk that many guys, man, and over the course
• 55:13
  Speaker 4: of the season the walks have been a bit of
• 55:14
  Speaker 4: an issue. He's got kind of a low strikeout rate.
• 55:17
  Speaker 4: He doesn't strike out a lot of guys. He's allowed
• 55:19
  Speaker 4: more than one hit per inning by a bit, which
• 55:21
  Speaker 4: is not good, and his walk rates not very good either.
• 55:25
  Speaker 2: So I don't love Libratrre.
• 55:27
  Speaker 4: Here he will be facing Pittsburgh. His numbers against Pittsburgh
• 55:32
  Speaker 4: are not great. In forty two at bats, twelve to
• 55:35
  Speaker 4: three strike out walk ratio is good, but two sixty two.
• 55:38
  Speaker 2: Batting average allowed. I mean, that's fine, but eight thirty five.
• 55:41
  Speaker 4: Ohps starts to get a little bit on the higher side,
• 55:44
  Speaker 4: so I think he has at least a slightly worse
• 55:46
  Speaker 4: matchup numbers here. I like the spot better for Pittsburgh.
• 55:50
  Speaker 4: I think Pittsburgh probably does have the better offense and
• 55:52
  Speaker 4: bullpen slightly, and the better pitching starting pitching slightly. So
• 55:57
  Speaker 4: I like Pittsburgh in this game. The money's disagreeing with me,
• 56:00
  Speaker 4: but you're getting Pittsburgh as an underdog, and I think
• 56:03
  Speaker 4: they have the slight edge in.
• 56:04
  Speaker 2: Every phase of the game.
• 56:05
  Speaker 4: Sixty one percent of tickets on Pittsburgh, seventy four percent
• 56:08
  Speaker 4: of the cash on Saint Louis.
• 56:10
  Speaker 2: I don't love seeing.
• 56:11
  Speaker 4: That, but I like Pittsburgh. Saint Louis is about a
• 56:14
  Speaker 4: minus one fifteen favorite minus won ten whatever.
• 56:18
  Speaker 2: Basically it picked the winner. Dude. Again, I still think
• 56:21
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh is the.
• 56:22
  Speaker 4: Better team and in the better spot, So aileen Pittsburgh
• 56:26
  Speaker 4: in that one, all right. Usually I take a break
• 56:31
  Speaker 4: with five games left, and I'm actually going a little
• 56:33
  Speaker 4: bit faster here.
• 56:34
  Speaker 2: Texas at Colorado. Colorado won the game seven to six. Yesterday.
• 56:38
  Speaker 4: I told you I liked Colorado first five in the game,
• 56:41
  Speaker 4: and they were I believe, winning the game six to
• 56:43
  Speaker 4: two at the end of five, so they held on
• 56:46
  Speaker 4: for a win full game. But first five was the
• 56:49
  Speaker 4: better option with Colorado yesterday. I don't think playing Colorado
• 56:54
  Speaker 4: in today's game is a good option though Colorado used
• 56:57
  Speaker 4: four relief pitchers yesterday Texas used five five. But Texas
• 57:01
  Speaker 4: is the better bullpen significantly they I think they have
• 57:04
  Speaker 4: the best bullpen e Ray. They're ranked seventh in WHIP.
• 57:09
  Speaker 4: Colorado's bullpend not as good. They are sixteenth. Hitting wise,
• 57:14
  Speaker 4: Texas is not very good. They're twenty sixth. Colorado is fourteenth,
• 57:19
  Speaker 4: and Colorado does hit better at home. Kumar Rockers pitching
• 57:23
  Speaker 4: for a Texas. He hasn't been that good though, four
• 57:26
  Speaker 4: point three four ERA, one point five WHIP Again, you
• 57:29
  Speaker 4: can't put them one and a half guys on basin
• 57:31
  Speaker 4: inning man, and he's been really bad on the road
• 57:34
  Speaker 4: seven point seven to one road ERA. I mean, it
• 57:36
  Speaker 4: makes sense because Texas is a pitcher friendly ballpark, but
• 57:40
  Speaker 4: being that much worse on the road is definitely a problem.
• 57:43
  Speaker 4: Rocker is not an extreme fly ball pitcher though, and
• 57:46
  Speaker 4: in fact he actually has induced more ground balls this season,
• 57:49
  Speaker 4: so his pitching style is actually not that bad.
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: For corse Field. I don't know if he pitched a
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: course field last year or not. Let me say no,
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: what about the year before that?
• 58:02
  Speaker 4: No, So he's never pitched a coorps though, so that
• 58:04
  Speaker 4: might be a bit of an issue for him. He
• 58:06
  Speaker 4: is coming off a shutout of Arizona, but he had
• 58:09
  Speaker 4: four walks.
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: In that outing that's not good.
• 58:13
  Speaker 4: Overall this month he has an eight to seven strikeout
• 58:15
  Speaker 4: walk ratio that's not good and a six point seven
• 58:18
  Speaker 4: five yard race, So he's not pitching well right now.
• 58:22
  Speaker 4: And it's not really that great that those last two
• 58:23
  Speaker 4: starts with all those walks were at home. He wasn't
• 58:26
  Speaker 4: even really pitching that while at home. His strikeout rate
• 58:30
  Speaker 4: is low, like I thought he was more of a
• 58:31
  Speaker 4: strikeout pitcher than this, but he's got significantly below one
• 58:34
  Speaker 4: strikeout per inning, which is not great. His walk rate
• 58:37
  Speaker 4: is definitely too high, and he's allowed more than one
• 58:39
  Speaker 4: hit per inning, so I don't like any of that.
• 58:42
  Speaker 4: He's putting too many guys on base. I don't think
• 58:44
  Speaker 4: I could trust Rocker, even though Rocker versus the Rockies,
• 58:48
  Speaker 4: the Rockies have never faced him before, so he does
• 58:50
  Speaker 4: have that advantage of unfamiliarity. But I just don't see
• 58:54
  Speaker 4: a whole lot that I like about Rocker right now.
• 58:57
  Speaker 4: And Colorado is going with Sammy Parola, who is a
• 59:01
  Speaker 4: converted reliever. He hasn't pitched at all this season. He's
• 59:05
  Speaker 4: pitched very, very briefly in each of the last three seasons.
• 59:10
  Speaker 4: He's made no starts, and his overall numbers five point
• 59:14
  Speaker 4: one two eram one point seven to one WHIP and
• 59:17
  Speaker 4: he's twenty eight years old. Now that's not a good sign, dude.
• 59:20
  Speaker 4: He's pitching the majors a little bit in relief appearances only,
• 59:23
  Speaker 4: and he has bad numbers. I'm not expecting him to
• 59:26
  Speaker 4: pitch well here. Texas Josh Young has faced him before,
• 59:32
  Speaker 4: or Jung and he's oh for one against him. But
• 59:35
  Speaker 4: I'm not expecting much out of Paralta here. Both pitchers
• 59:38
  Speaker 4: are unfamiliar to the opposing lives. Parolta might not even
• 59:41
  Speaker 4: go that deep here. He might be an opener. Like,
• 59:43
  Speaker 4: I don't really know what Colorado is doing necessarily here,
• 59:48
  Speaker 4: although let me see, we can go back to five
• 59:51
  Speaker 4: games to go to see, you know, to try to
• 59:52
  Speaker 4: kind of figure out what they're trying to do here,
• 59:55
  Speaker 4: so that would be it looks like Dollander is actually
• 59:59
  Speaker 4: gon pitch here, so I think it's gonna be Peralta
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 4: as an opener, and then Dollander is gonna come in
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 4: after that, so I think that's what they're doing. Oh no,
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 4: Donander is hurt. It looks like so it's not gonna
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 4: be Donander. They have been putting an opener in front
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 4: of him, but this would be his spot in the rotation,
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 4: and he was pitching okay, although he didn't pitch well
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 4: in his last outing, but he got hurt as well.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 4: So unfortunate for Colorado because that would actually I think
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 4: that would improve their chances quite a bit if Dollander
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 4: is gonna pitch here. But he's not, so it does
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 4: not look good to me. I think an over maybe
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 4: is worth considering in this game. I mean, of course,
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 4: anytime you're looking at course field, that's worth considering. Ten
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 4: and a half is the number here. Eighty seven percent
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 4: of tickets, eighty eight percent of the cash on the over.
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 4: Texas bullpen is good, but they're unrested right now. Colorado's
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 4: bullpen's not that good. Neither starters, particularly trustworthy. So that's
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 4: probably the way I lean money is coming into Colorado. Again,
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 4: I don't think I would want to do that. Fifty
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 4: eight percent of tickets on Texas ninety four percent of
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 4: the cash on Colorado. Texas is a slight road favorite here,
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 4: but in this case they might deserve to be. I mean,
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 4: you have an actual starter at least pitching for Texas,
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 4: and still Texas has the better bullpen up against what
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 4: I think is a pretty bad pitching setup for Colorado.
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 4: So I don't really agree with Colorado here. Texas might
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 4: bounce back. I'd lean Texas, but over might make a
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 4: little bit more sense than that one. All right, I'm
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 4: gonna be right back and then I'll come back and
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 4: finish off of the rest of this. And I'm not
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 4: going to play the NBA game. I thought I might,
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 4: but I'm not going to. So you've already got both
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 4: of my plays for today. But I'll be back in
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 4: a sex.
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 2: All right. I don't know what's going on with my
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 2: screen here, and there we go.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 4: Okay, next game up is A's and Anaheim.
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 2: Anaheim won the game.
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 4: But if you saw what happened in that game, JT
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 4: gin I got the dude, this always happens. I got
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 4: the enounce on the ESPN app JT gin no hitter
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 4: into the ninth inning, so then you turn it on
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 4: and then.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 2: What does he do? Oh, yeah, he gives up a hit, and.
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 4: Then he gives up a home run right after that,
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 4: and then yeah, the A's lost the game. Gin no
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 4: hitter into the ninth inning and then they lose. Both
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 4: pitchers actually did well in that game, which is interesting,
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 4: I guess, but that's kind of a brutal way for
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 4: the A's to lose. I would maybe look to fade
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 4: gin in his next start, because when a pitcher is
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 4: that close to history and having a no hitter and
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 4: they blow it like that, a lot of times they
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 4: don't do well in the next start.
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: We'll see.
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 4: If he's at home, I'm probably definitely gonna be looking
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 4: to fade him, but we'll see. I don't know what
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 4: the setup is gonna look like.
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 2: But that was a brutal way for the A's to lose.
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 4: It's good for Anaheim because they ended a six game
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 4: losing streak with a win, so sometimes that will carry
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 4: over into the next game when you break a losing
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 4: streak like that, So decent spot for Anaheim coming into
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 4: this one. The bullpens, though Anaheim's willpen is very bad.
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 4: They only use three relief pitchers yesterday, but still bad bullpen.
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 4: The A's bullpen didn't use anybody. It looks like Gin.
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 4: They might have just let Gen finished the game off.
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 4: Well they did, actually yeah, because he gave up a
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 4: walk off home run in the ninth inning, So yeah,
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 4: Gin pitching the entire game. So the A's bullpen is
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 4: completely rested. And they're not a good bullpen, but they're
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 4: better than Anaheim's. The A's are twenty fifth, Anaheims twenty seventh,
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 4: but Anaheim has the second worst bullpen ERA and it's
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 4: almost a run worse than the A's, so the A's
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 4: bullpen is better.
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: A's offense is also.
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 4: Better ninth, the ranked ninth Angels are all the way
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 4: down at twenty fourth now. Jacob Lopez is pitching for
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 4: the A's though, which may not be a good thing.
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 4: He has not been good. Five point eighty RA one
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 4: point seven to one whip not good.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 2: He's been only slightly better.
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 4: Away from that horrible A's stadium five point six to
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 4: six ROADRA still not good. He's got at least five
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 4: innings in his last few outings and allowed to horn
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 4: runs only in each of his last two. But he's
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 4: still not pitching well. He's got a twelve to six
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 4: strikeout walk ratier this month. It's too many walks, which
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 4: has been the case over the course of the season.
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 4: His strikeout rate is down. He's not a hard thrower,
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 4: but last year he was getting a lot of strikeouts
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 4: with his curveball. That's not the case this year. His
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 4: strikeout rates low. He's had way too many walks. His
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 4: walk rate is way, way, way too high, and he's
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 4: allowed more than one hit per inning as well, so
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 4: he's putting way too many guys on base. One advantage
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 4: he may have here is somehow, even though he's in
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 4: their division, he's never faced Anaheim. I don't know how
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 4: that's the case, but maybe that's a little bit of
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 4: an edge for him because Anaheim's unfamiliar with him. Reed
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 4: Debt Meers is getting the draw for Anaheim, and he's
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 4: definitely the better of these two pitchers here, at least
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 4: right now. He's got a four point three to eighty
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 4: r one point two to six whip better numbers over
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 4: the season. I should say Dettmers has been slightly worse
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 4: at home foroyd six three ERA, but not by much.
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 4: He's been okay this month with a four point six ERA,
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 4: seventeen strikeouts but eight walks. It's too many walks, but
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 4: most of them came in one start against Toronto, and
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 4: he was decent in the other starts, so maybe give
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 4: him a pass for that. He's been fairly consistent this season.
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 4: He hasn't really had any complete implosions this year. His
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 4: worst start was at home against Atlanta. Overall, he's got
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 4: a high strikeout rate more than one per inning, his
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 4: walk rates not too bad, and he's allowed fewer than
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 4: one hit per inning, so I actually do kind of
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 4: like his numbers overall. His numbers against the A's are
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 4: fairly solid as well. In thirty two at bats, two
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 4: point fifty batting average allowed six forty six ops, ten
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 4: to four strikeout walk ratio is not great, but the
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 4: rest of these numbers look pretty good. He's actually pitched
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 4: pretty well against the A's, So I think my opinion
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 4: in this game would be Anaheim maybe first five. Only
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 4: the A's getting the public attention here. Seventy one percent
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 4: of tickets seventy percent of the cash on them. Of course,
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 4: the A's are going to be public basically just because
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 4: they're the better hitting team. Anaheim has been awful recently,
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 4: but you do not want a public underdog man. There's
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 4: a reason why Anaheim's favored here at around minus one
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 4: twenty something or so. Full game maybe makes sense in
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 4: a way because Anaheim is in like the new new
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 4: positive momentum spot, if you want to call it that.
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 4: But I don't like Anaheim's bullpen at all. I think
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 4: first five with Anaheim probably the money line, I guess,
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 4: does make some sense here. I think they have a
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 4: decent starting pitching edge there. That's probably what I would do.
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 4: White Sox at Seattle. We got Seattle right last night,
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 4: so they ended up losing streaks, so that might give
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 4: them some positive momentum here moving forward. They also have
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 4: Colt Emerson, not to be confused with Emerson Handcock, who's
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 4: also on the Mariners. Colt Emerson Handcock Colt Emerson one
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 4: of their hitting prospects. They brought up hit a three
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 4: run home run in that game last night, so that's
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 4: good for Seattle. I think that's what extended the lead
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 4: to six to one. Seattle's the better team, as I
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 4: said yesterday, even though you look at their records, you
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 4: wouldn't think so, because the White Sox have the better record,
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 4: but Seattle does.
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 2: They are actually the better team.
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 4: I thought it was a letdown spot for the White
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 4: Sox yesterday coming up those big wins against the Cubs,
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 4: and yeah, I mean, I think we got that one right.
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 4: I think my handicap was right on that game. I mean,
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 4: we got the win on it. The White Sox used
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 4: three relief pitchers yesterday. Another part of the handicap was
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 4: Seattle has the better bullpen. Seattle used three relief pitchers
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 4: as well, but Seattle's bullpen is better. White Sox are
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 4: ranked twenty third Seattle eighteenth, but they have one of
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 4: the best bullpeny RRAs, I think second best only to Texas,
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 4: so they got their bullpen is actually pretty good. Hitting wise,
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 4: White Sox have been better. They're seventh and off and
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 4: Seattle is twenty third. But I like good pitching to
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 4: counter good hitting. Anthony Kaye is pitching for the White Sox.
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't know about that.
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 4: He's got a four point six' oney ra one point
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 4: five to four whip not good numbers here.
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: He's not been good on the road either.
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 4: Five point six y eight roady ra although he's pitching
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 4: in a pitcher friendly Seattle ballpark here, he just saw
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 4: Seattle and he three hit them and didn't allow any
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 4: earned runs one unearned run at home against Seattle two
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 4: starts ago. Did well in that start, five strikeouts, two walks,
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 4: but maybe because Seattle just saw him, maybe they'll do
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 4: better against him this time. But Kay has actually been
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 4: good this month, dude. Fourteen to five strike out walk
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 4: ratio is not too bad. He's allowed two or fewer
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 4: earned runs and all of his starts this month, and
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 4: he's got at least five innings in all of them,
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 4: so he's not pitching poorly right now. His numbers over
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 4: the course of the season aren't really that exciting. I mean,
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 4: his strikeout rates low, he's allowed more than one hit
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 4: per inning, his walk rates too.
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 2: High, So I still don't think I trust k like.
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 4: His overall numbers aren't good, but he is pitching better
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 4: right now, and his numbers against Seattle are good. But
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 4: it's mostly that last start that he had seventeen at
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 4: bats two thirty five batting average allowed six' ten. Ops
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 4: those are good, numbers three to two strikeout walk. Ratio
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 4: he might actually pitch okay. Here, again there's definitely a
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 4: possibility of. THAT i Think Bryce miller is clearly the better, pitcher,
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 4: though and the more established. Pitcher miller starting for The.
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 4: Mariners this is only going to be his second start
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 4: of the season because he's had some major injury.
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: Issues over the last couple of.
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 4: Years he's got a three point three EIGHTY r but
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 4: a one point six to nine whip is obviously very.
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 2: Bad but, again it's only one, start and it was
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: on the.
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 4: Road it was Against, houston who are a pretty decent hitting.
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 4: Team his start wasn't really that, bad although he allowed
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 4: too many. Hits he went five and a third, innings eight,
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 4: hits allowed two, runs three, strikeouts one. Walk the hits were,
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 4: bad but the rest of the numbers there weren't really that.
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 4: Bad maybe he was a little bit, shaky you, know
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 4: getting back into.
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 2: Rhythm.
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 4: WHATEVER i don't really think he's gonna pitch poorly. Here
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 4: The White sox are pretty unfamiliar with. Him they only
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 4: have three Hitters i've ever faced him. Before Only ben
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 4: And tendy has any hits against. Him they're two for
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 4: ten off, him with one, strikeout no, walks two hundred,
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 4: average five hundred ohps ben And tendy has one extra
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 4: base hit against him eight. Double SO i Think miller
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 4: may pitch well. Here the money's coming in Towards. Seattle
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 4: they're at minus one fifty or so. HERE i don't
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 4: really disagree Because seattle does have the better. BULLPEN i
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 4: think they're the better, team LIKE i, said even though
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 4: you wouldn't think so based on The wreckers with there's
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 4: a reason their. FAVORITE i Think miller's the more established.
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 4: Pitcher the question mark with him is is he actually,
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 4: Back like he, said too many injury problems. Recently he
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 4: was good before all, that SO i don't. Know at some,
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 4: point maybe he will return to. Form maybe he is
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 4: already about.
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: TO i don't, know SO i. Wouldn't i'm not.
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 4: Gonna disagree With seattle here, though LIKE i, do tend
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 4: to lean Towards miller pitching pretty well. Here sixty percent of,
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 4: ticket seventy percent of the cash On seattle total for
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 4: the full game is seven and a, half AND i
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 4: think an under first FIVE i think makes more sense
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 4: to me here BECAUSE i don't want anything to do
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 4: with The White sox. Bullpen BUT i could see the
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 4: game going under first. FIVE i know the full game
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 4: last night. WENT i think it just landed. Under if
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 4: the total was seven and a half last, night it
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 4: might have been, seven Though i'm not sure the game
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 4: landed seven.
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 3: This.
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 4: Game, YEAH i think first five under makes some. Sense
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 4: LIKE i think it's kind of an under the radar
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 4: matchup where both pitchers might actually pitch, okay but, Okay
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 4: BUT i just don't trust K. MAN i THINK i
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 4: Trust miller a little more, so probably Lean. Seattle but
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 4: it's a tough game for me to really figure Out
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 4: tyson two. Plays why you're gonna leave, now, man even
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 4: Though i'm to talk about THE nba And i'm gonna
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 4: talk about this huge match up here between The dodgers
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 4: and The. Padres padres won one nothing yesterday that surprised.
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 4: ME i, MEAN i guess it didn't surprise me that
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 4: much that it became a pitching, duel BUT i thought
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 4: that that it was a decent shot at an over
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 4: in that game because both starting, pitchers while they were both,
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 4: good they had bad matchup. Numbers but the talent level
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 4: of the pitchers won out. Yesterday, man it was a
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 4: one Nothing San diego. Win POSSIBLY la is gonna bounce back,
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 4: here because it's not likely that you Hold LA's offense
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 4: completely off the, board you. Know and by the, way
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 4: The dodgers are the best offensive team on the road this.
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 4: Season they have the most runs per games scored on
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 4: the road this season out of any.
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: Team but this is a pitcher friendly ballpark.
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 4: Here oh, yes, sir hopefully we get these wins man
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 4: all right for The dodgers, Here both of these bull
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 4: a pretty good this. Year dodgers only used one pitcher
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 4: hurt for six, pitches so their bullpen is pretty much entirely.
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 4: Available San diego had to Use Mason miller last, night
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 4: so they used him And adam Or A dom so
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 4: they did use.
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 2: A couple of their better.
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 4: Relievers there's still a really good, bullpen Though San diego's ranked.
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 4: Six dodgers ranked second in bullpen right. NOW i Think
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 4: San diego is elite, though But Mason miller are probably
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 4: not gonna be usable. Today though still both they're both good.
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 4: Bullpens dodgers have a huge offensive. Edge they're still ranked
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 4: number one, offensively even after getting shut out last. NIGHT
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 4: i mean In San diego's second, last twenty, ninth big
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 4: offensive edge For.
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 2: Anaheim excuse For, anaheim For la.
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 4: Excuse me for The, Dodgers AND i think The dodgers
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 4: have a huge starting pitching edge here as. Well Emmett
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 4: sheen is pitching for The. Dodgers his numbers don't look
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 4: that good four point five FOUR, era one point.
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 2: Two to five, whip but he is.
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 4: Good he's been worse on the road, though five point
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 4: eighty Seven Roady, ray But San diego is a pitcher
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 4: friendly park, man so that might counter that a little.
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 2: Bit he's pitching really well this.
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 4: Month he's got a twenty one to three strikeout walk
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 4: race here this, month so he is in good form right.
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 4: Now though, granted his best start and the only one
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 4: where he went more than five innings was or went
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 4: even five innings at, all Was San, francisco not a good.
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 4: Offense but, overall his numbers overall are. Good he's got
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 4: over one strike up per inning by quite a, bit
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 4: less than one hit per inning. Allowed his walk rate
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 4: is fine as. WELL i like. HIM i think he's.
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 4: Good his numbers Against San diego are good as. Well
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 4: it's a fifteen at bat sample, size so it's a small.
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 4: Sample they only have one extra base hit off, him
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 4: a double From, castellanos two hundred batting average, allowed four
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 4: to sixty seven. Ops these are, good good numbers from
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 4: she and Against San, diego and he's going up Against Griffin,
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 4: canning WHO i JUST i Think canning is pretty, awful,
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 4: dude not just because his numbers this year are. Bad
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 4: ten point six forty E r two point one to eight.
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 4: Whip it doesn't get much worse than. That canning has
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 4: been better at home, though six point six point seventy.
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 2: FIVE era, great really. Good he's only made three, starts so.
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 2: Fear in his first.
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 4: Start was actually good against The White, sox which was at,
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 4: home but then he got blasted at home By Saint,
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 4: louis blasted even worse on the road At.
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee he's been, bad.
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 4: Dude he doesn't have fourteen strikeouts and eleven, innings which is,
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 4: good but he's walked nine and allowed fifteen hits and
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 4: more than one run per inning as. WELL i don't,
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 4: YEAH i don't see how you could Trust canning at.
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 4: All and he's going up against any elite offense in The,
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 4: dodgers although he actually doesn't have horrible numbers against them
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 4: ninety one at, bats twenty, walks twelve or twenty strikeouts
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 4: excusually twelve walks that is too many, walks two forty
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 4: two batting average, allowed seven seventy. Ops the ops is
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 4: a bit. High the average is not really that, high
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 4: but STILL i Think shean has a huge edge Over canning.
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 4: HERE i think it's a bounce back spot for The dodgers.
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 4: HERE i like The, dodgers but you, KNOW i, mean
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 4: you're looking at your having to probably lay a run line.
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 4: Here if you go with The, dodgers they are about
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 4: minus one fifty five minus one sixty. Here the money
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 4: is also disagreeing eighty nine percent of, tickets only eighty
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 4: four percent of the cash on The, dodgers so the
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 4: money is fading them. HERE i don't see how you
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 4: could fade them here though one, Approach by the, way
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 4: you could just Go dodgers over their team, total though
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 4: then you.
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 2: Don't have to lay a price like.
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 4: That, LIKE i think it is probably likely The dodgers
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 4: are going to be able to tee off On canning,
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 4: Here SO i would think The dodgers should score some runs,
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 4: here But San diego still has a good. Bullpen it
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 4: is still a picture friendly ballpark. HERE i THINK i
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 4: prefer The dodgers side still because then you get the
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 4: advantage Of shean involved as. Well maybe you could do
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 4: a split bet run line money, LINE i, guess and
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 4: make them make a minus one run. Line, basically that's
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 4: probably WHAT i would.
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 2: Do, ACTUALLY i like The dodgers in that.
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 4: GAME i don't like the parlay, Idea, dude parlaning it's,
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 4: negative Ev i'm telling, you, like if you want to
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 4: try to win long, term the parlaying, is especially doing
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 4: a parlay that's more than two, legs there's absolutely no.
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 4: Advantage the books want you to do that because they
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 4: know they have the. Advantage they don't give you good
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 4: enough odds on, it SO i. WOULDN'T i would never do.
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 4: THAT i recommend playing all of these is just straight. Bets,
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 4: william what's up? Man what The mariners won? Yesterday and
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 4: we got that as a win on the show yesterday as.
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 4: Well all, right last game in baseball Is San francisco And.
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 2: Arizona arizona won the.
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 4: Game yesterday twelve to two blowout win For arizona, yesterday
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 4: WHICH i don't remember what my lean was in that.
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 2: Game DID i have an over opinion and? THING i don't.
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 4: REMEMBER i don't remember WHAT i. THOUGHT i might have
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 4: to go back and listen to see IF i was
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 4: right about the game or. Not San francisco used two relief.
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 4: PITCHERS i still think their bullpen is better Than. Arizona's
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 4: arizona used. Three arizona's still ranked in the top five in,
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 4: bullpen but that's based ON whip their. Fifth but THE
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 4: era is mid fourst, dude SO i still don't like this.
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 4: Bullpen giants have a much BETTER era a run lower than,
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 4: that even though the rank seventeenth IN.
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 2: Whip BUT i think The giants have the better bullpen.
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 2: Hitting they do Not.
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 4: Diamondbacks after that explosion last, Night i've gone all the
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 4: way back up to twelfth, Offensively giants twenty, seventh pretty.
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 4: Bad So arizona does have the better offense here looking
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 4: at the starting. Pitching you know WHAT i think about these,
• 1:19:43
  Speaker 4: Pitchers roup Versus. NELSON i Like roup Over. Nelson, no,
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 4: dude don't do, it, Dude it's it's going to cost
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 4: you money long.
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 2: Term it's. Stupid do not do.
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 4: It the only parlays that profession is even recommended either,
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 4: correlated when it's like a total or a side that are,
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 4: correlated or if you want to get a price down
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 4: on two, favorites you can parlay those two favorites that
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 4: are like in you, know minus two hundred minus three hundred,
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 4: range parlay bolting them to. Win but even THAT i
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 4: don't like because those are not even correlated outcomes that
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 4: the books want you to, parlay because they do not
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 4: give you good enough odds on the on. Them they
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 4: know that they're screwing you on the. Parlays my advice
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 4: is never due to. Parlay land And raupe is pitching
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 4: for The giants. Here it's just Gonna you're gonna lose long.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 4: Term it's it's impossible to win long term by. Parlaying
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 4: it's Not i'm telling you it's not. Possible land And
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 4: raup has a three point four to NINE era one
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 4: point one four whip good numbers on the. Season you
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 4: can see Why i've had a lot of plays on
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 4: unders In roupe games this. Year he's good on the
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 4: road as. Well two point nine to Three roady ra
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 4: Although arizona is a hitter friendly. Ballpark Raup uh struggled
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 4: a bit and last outing against The, dodgers but it
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 4: is The. Dodgers it was on the.
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 2: ROAD i don't.
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 4: KNOW i, mean The dodgers are a difficult lineup to take.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 4: On but he had a lot of. Strikeouts, still his
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 4: strikeout rate this month is, crazy twenty one strikeouts in
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 4: thirteen and two thirds. Innings but he's had seven walks
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 4: at seventeen, hits so he's been too hittable and walk
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 4: too many guys this. Month so roup is worrying me
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 4: a little. Bit he's not in the greatest form. Here
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 4: his team has lost his last three three starts and
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 4: he's only made it five innings, once so he's just
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 4: not in the greatest of form right, now, Man so
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 4: that does worry. Me five point nine to THREE era this. Month,
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 4: OVERALL i still like his.
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 2: Numbers.
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 4: Overall his strikeout rate is, high which is really crazy
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 4: because he's not like a hard, thrower but his curveball
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 4: is like his breaking stuff is just so insane that
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 4: hitters still swing and miss at. It he's got fifty
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 4: eight strikeouts on the course of the, season way over
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 4: one per, inning well below one hittle out per inning as,
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 4: well but his walk rate is too. High so that's
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 4: the problem with him is the walks Against. Arizona he
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 4: does not have good numbers in twenty at bats four fifty,
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 4: average eleven twenty two. Ops it's a small sample size,
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 4: though three to three strike out walk, ratio so needless to,
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 4: SAYING i do not really want any part of route
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 4: in this. One Ryan, nelson, though you, KNOW i don't
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 4: Like Ryan. Nelson he's got a five point FOUR, era
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 4: one point one six. Whip his whip is actually, good,
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 4: though so his whip is indicating that HIS era should
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 4: be better than. THAT i, Mean nelson was pretty good
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 4: for most of the season last, year AND i don't
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 4: know how he did. That he's been really bad at
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 4: home this year, though nine point one to Eight HOMIE,
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 4: ra so OBVIOUSLY i don't like. That he's been really
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 4: good this month. Though he's gone at least five to
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 4: two thirds innings and all of his, starts even though
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 4: his team has lost all three of.
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 2: Them most of it was because he didn't get any run.
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 4: Support he only has allowed ten hits in nineteen and
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 4: a third innings this, month nineteen, strikeouts three.
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 2: Walks that's all really.
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 4: Good and he'slled three or fower earned runs and all
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 4: three of those, outings but two of them are against
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 4: The mets In, texas and those are not good. Offenses
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 4: but he did pitch pretty well against The cobs as.
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 4: Well his overall numbers this, season you, KNOW i have
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 4: to admit they're not. Bad his strikeout rate is almost
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 4: at one per, inning significantly below one hit per, inning
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 4: walk rate slightly. High, YEAH i, MEAN i have to
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 4: admit he's not pitching too. Borley his numbers against The
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 4: giants are not great, though in fifty one at bats
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 4: to seventy five, average seven to seventy nine ohps eight
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 4: to one strike out WALK raci is pretty.
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 2: Good But, NELSON i, mean.
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 4: He's got not the greatest matchup numbers, Here he's not
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 4: good at, Home roup has ugly matchup numbers, here and
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 4: isn't in good form right. Now Even nelson is in good.
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 4: Form but you, KNOW i don't love you, Know arizona's
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 4: BULLPEN i think is definitely a. Concern San francisco's is all,
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 4: right BUT i don't. KNOW i think there were more
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 4: indicators for me on an over in this game than anything,
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 4: else SO i would lean over. Here, uh the totals
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 4: at eight and a, half which is not that. High
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 4: it's a hitter friendly ballpark as. Well fifty seven percent
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 4: of tickets seventy two percent of the cash on the,
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 4: over so the money is agreeing with that on the,
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 4: over and the money is also Backing San francisco here
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 4: in what might be a bounce back. Spot and GENERALLY
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 4: i do like route Over, nelson BUT i just showed
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 4: you in the matchup, NUMBERS i don't like it really as.
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 4: Much I'll i'll Give San francisco a bultpen. Edge LIKE i,
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 4: said sixty three percent of tickets On, arizona sixty one
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 4: percent of the cash On San, Francisco so the money's
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 4: Playing San. Francisco arizona is at around minus one twenty
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 4: or so is a favorite. Here do with that information
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 4: what you, want BUT i think my preference is. Over
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 4: we have ONE wnba. GAME i don't want.
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 2: IT i.
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 4: KNOW i haven't had A wnba play in a while,
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 4: NOW i, Know But i'm being. Selective, Man we'll. SEE
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 4: i mean there are gonna be more to. Come, Uh
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 4: toronto At phoenix is the only game. Today toronto looks
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 4: like they're gonna Letdown. Spot so that's kind of WHERE
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 4: i started this. Ndicap you, know they're an expansion. Team
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 4: they're sitting at two and, two AND i Believe phoenix
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 4: is two and two as. Well But phoenix is is
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 4: definitely the better team. Here like you might look at
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 4: these records and, think, Oh phoenix is laying you, know
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 4: eight points. Here they shouldn't be laying eight points when
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 4: both teams are two and. TWO i don't think that's.
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 4: True you, Know phoenix is the better. Team toronto's coming
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 4: off a nice road upset OF, la so they're coming
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 4: out of a really nice. PERFORMANCE i tend to like
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 4: to fade teams when they're coming off of an. Upset
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 4: they do Have minnesota, next which maybe they considered it
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 4: to be a bigger game than Playing phoenix Because phoenix
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 4: has just been kind of under the. Radar but then, Again,
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 4: PHOENIX i believe they made the. Conference they made the
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 4: final last, year So phoenix might not be a team
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 4: teams are really gonna. Overlook phoenix has played a way
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 4: more difficult schedule. Though they Played, Vegas Golden, State, MINNESOTA
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 4: i know Without collier, though And, chicago.
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 2: Like none of those teams are.
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 4: Bad So phoenix has had a very very difficult schedule
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 4: so far and they're staying at. Home they're coming off
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 4: a win Over, chicago which is a decent. Win But
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 4: phoenix is definitely the better. Team they're more battle tested right.
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 4: Now toronto could be in a bit of a letdown.
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 2: SPOT i Like.
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 4: Phoenix in this. Game the money seems to. Agree it
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 4: looks Like toronto is a public underdog. Here sixty three
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 4: percent of, tickets fifty seven percent of the cash on.
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 4: Them you do not want to play in a public, underdog.
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 4: MAN i will tell you that the total is, WELL
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 4: i don't have A i don't know WHAT i was
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 4: gonna say about the.
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 2: TOTAL i don't have a good read ON wnba.
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 4: Totals really the line On phoenix is minus, eight BUT
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 4: i would lay.
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 2: It that's WHAT i would do in that game IF
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 2: i was gonna play.
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 4: It and then we have THE nba, game The Eastern
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 4: Conference final starting here ON.
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: Espn and the first thing that we know.
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 4: Here this Is cleveland and The, knicks is that The
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 4: knicks have A they have a ton of rest. Here
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 4: they haven't played Since, sunday so they've had eight days
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 4: off and they've won five excuse they won seven games
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 4: in a. Row they won the last three games Against
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 4: atlanta and then Swept, philadelphia Which i'm not impressed. By,
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 4: now The knicks aren't really battle tested. Yet cleveland is
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 4: more battle tested in the playoffs so. Far, LIKE i
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 4: think The knicks got it pretty. Easy they didn't even
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 4: really play that well Against atlanta in some of that.
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 4: Series and Then, PHILADELPHIA i, think just lie down at
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 4: the end of. It philadelphia is not very. Good The
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 4: celtics just imploded against.
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 2: Them.
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 4: ANYWAY i have been of the opinion that teams that
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 4: are off a long layoff like this it can be
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 4: a momentum, disruptor and that it's not good because when
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 4: you have a huge like when you're, winning you want
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 4: to keep, playing you.
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 2: Know SO i think that it's actually a.
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 4: Negative But i'm worried because the.
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 2: The stats don't bear that.
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 4: Out LIKE i believe teams that are off of a
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 4: week plus rest in THE nba playoffs are like twenty
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 4: three and fourteen against the.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 2: Spread they're on that type of.
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 4: Run so that does and the fact That cleveland's been
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 4: bad on the road and the playoffs also worries, me
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 4: and The knicks are good home, teams so that worries
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 4: me as. Well SO i might just wait until we
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 4: find some like zig zag spots that get set up
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 4: in this.
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 2: Series, here you. Know SO i was Leaning cleveland in
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 4: Though, cleveland but they're coming off two straight seven game,
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 4: series and that's not good For cleveland long term because
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 4: teams that have had to go seven games in the
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 4: first two series of THE Nba playoffs and they're playing
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 4: a team that did. Not those teams are only one
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 4: in four in that. Series So cleveland is up against history.
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 2: There.
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 4: Now, cleveland they had to Win game, seven but it
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 4: was kind of an easy, win so they didn't have
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 4: to exert a lot of a lot of, effort so.
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 2: That's good For.
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 4: Cleveland the last two games were both, blowouts so they
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 4: weren't really like huge effort, games you. Know the fact
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 4: That cleveland did play, recently to, ME i think it
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 4: helps them because they just, played so it's like your
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 4: momentum can. Continue but they're playing a third game in five,
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 4: days all in different, cities whereas The knicks have been
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 4: off that entire.
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 2: Time so that does worry.
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 4: Me BUT i think if you're gonna Play cleveland in this,
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 4: GAME i think a first quarter or first five inning or.
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 2: First five, inning first.
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 4: Half excuse first five. Inning i'm, Dude i'm in baseball
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 4: mode all the.
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 2: TIME i just don't do first. Half excuse.
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 4: Me, Yeah, LIKE i could see The knicks coming out
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 4: slow here because of all the, rest but maybe they'll
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 4: turn it around late in the, game and that that
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 4: would be my worry, that, like once they get used to,
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 4: it they're gonna be better in the second. Half, so
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 4: LIKE i said with The spurs, yesterday even though they
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 4: did win and cover the full game as, well but
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 4: they were they also did it in the first half
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 4: and first. QUARTER i THINK i would Lean cleveland first
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 4: quarter in first half IF i was gonna do, that
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 4: because The knicks might be slow to, Start so that
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 4: might be WHAT i would. Do worried About cleveland on the,
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 4: Road LIKE i, said, now The knicks are the better.
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 2: Team they're gonna win this.
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 4: Series LIKE i don't really have much of a doubt,
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 4: There but The knicks have been really good at. Home
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 4: LIKE i, Said cleveland has not been good on the
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 4: road in the, playoffs even though they did win their
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 4: last two road. Games in the playoffs Now. Cleveland the
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 4: regular season series does actually look good For, cleveland, though
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 4: even though The knicks won two out of the three. Games,
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 4: well one was In october and The knicks only one
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 4: by eight at. Home one another game In New york On,
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 4: christmas The knicks only one by. Two but those two,
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 4: Games cleveland did not Have James.
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 2: Harden that was before the.
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 4: Trade the only game that they played With James harden
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 4: in the lineup For, Cleveland cleveland won the game At
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 4: cleveland by, Fifteen so that's a decent sign For cleveland at,
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 4: least and The knicks when they played at home the
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 4: read seven and a half, year The knicks only won
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 4: their two home games Against harden Less cleveland by eight
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 4: and by, Two so that's not great for The. Knicks But,
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 4: CLEVELAND i think their defense gets a big downgrade With
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 4: harden out there.
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 2: Though that's the.
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 4: Problem like they picked up hard and their offense it's got,
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 4: better but the depfense got. Worse so The knicks have
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 4: the better deepfense in the. Series BUT i, KNOW i
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 4: don't like laying points with the better. DEPFENSE i like
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 4: taking points with the better. Defense and you, know once
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 4: we get to the games In cleveland during this.
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 2: Series cleveland is.
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 4: Probably still gonna be about a one point underdog at
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 4: home in these, games so we'll see what.
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 2: Happens but it's a tough game for me to figure. Out.
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 4: MAN i thought THAT i was gonna play the rust
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 4: angle and play On. CLEVELAND i lean that, way But
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 4: i'm not gonna do. IT i, know you, KNOW i just.
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 4: Said these teams that have rest have good numbers. Here
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 4: but what we've seen in the market is interesting because
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 4: The knicks started out as a six to six.
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 2: And a half point, favorite actually five and a.
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 4: Half the number went all the way up to, seven
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 4: but it looks like it's seven to.
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 2: Seven and a. Half all the money's coming back On cleveland.
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 4: Now SO i think the original move was a fake,
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 4: out AND i think the actual money is Playing cleveland.
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 4: Here sixty two percent of ticket sixty seven percent of
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 4: the cash On. CLEVELAND i agree with taking the points With.
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 4: CLEVELAND i would at least get seven on. THAT i
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 4: think you'd still find it out, there you, know if the,
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 4: PUBLIC i would think the public would come in on
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 4: The knicks, though though that's not what we're seeing with
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 4: the market. Percentages, Here but The, KNICKS i, mean look
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 4: at how they finished their. Series THOUGH i, know you,
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 4: Know cleveland looked pretty good more recently Against, detroit but
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 4: The knicks won their last game by thirty Against, philadelphia
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 4: and they've looked basically. Unstoppable SO i really thought The
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 4: knicks would be the public play in this game. Here
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 4: but we'll see. It but, YES i don't like The
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 4: cleveland is having to go From cleveland To detroit and
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 4: now To New, york you, know and in a span
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 4: of five.
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 2: Days that's not exactly.
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 4: Great and as far as the total the money's coming
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 4: in towards the, under fifty six percent of tickets on
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 4: the over sixty percent of the cash on the under
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 4: totals at to, eighteen which does actually seem a bit
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 4: high for a playoff. GAME a lot of that is
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 4: Because cleveland's a good offense and they don't play good enough.
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 2: Defense that's kind of the.
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 4: Problem BUT i think if The knicks to, ME i
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 4: think The knicks want to slow this game. Down, THOUGH
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 4: i think The knicks want to play defense. Here but then,
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 4: AGAIN i, mean there are some maybe arguments for an
• 1:33:06
  Speaker 4: over here WHERE i Think cleveland doesn't defend the. Three,
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 4: well so The knicks might be able to make some threes.
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 4: Here like The, knicks you, know like they're big men
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 4: still like shoot threes and stuff like, that believe it or,
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 4: not towns and.
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 2: Whatever you.
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 4: KNOW i don't Think anonoby's really a big, man but
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 4: he also takes a lot of. Threes so The knicks
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 4: do take a decent amount of, threes which might help
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 4: The knicks Against. Cleveland the Way cleveland plays, Defense cleveland's
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 4: gonna try to stuff.
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 2: The interior With allen And, mobile you know.
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 4: WHICH i Think cleveland's big men probably are better than
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 4: the knicks big, men but we'll. See but, YEAH i
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 4: think my best opinion would still be to take the
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 4: points With.
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 2: Cleveland.
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 4: Here the, TOTAL i don't have a good feel for.
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 4: IT i can see arguments for both.
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 2: The under and the. Over the argument for the under.
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 4: Would basically, be this is the, playoffs, now you know
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 4: WHAT i, Mean and The knicks might come out slow
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 4: offensively with so much time. Off defense usually gets more
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 4: intense in the, playoffs so that would kind of be
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 4: the argument.
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 2: There that's gonna do. It i'm being really selective.
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 4: HERE i know the players today Are Cincinnati red's first
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 4: five money line and under full game In Brewers.
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 2: Cobs that's gonna do. It under the eight is what that.
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 4: Is learn It toad On. Twitter you can subscribe to me.
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 4: There that helps me. Out learn It tod On, Instagram
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 4: learn It. Toad my link tree is up there as
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 4: well with all the, links like and subscribe to this show, here,
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 4: man it helps me. Out we're on a nice run,
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 4: here as you can, see we're, hot. Dude you know
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 4: another nice day. Yesterday we're ON i don't even know
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 4: what it is, now something like maybe a twenty one and,
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 4: three twenty two and three run over eleven days or
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 4: something like that as. Well the run that's on the
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 4: board there's correct, though Because i'm updating that. Daily so
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 4: eighty five thirty seven to five run last forty five days,
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 4: now which's.
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 2: Gonna make you a decent amount of. Money, man if
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 2: that keeps.
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 4: UP i keep saying this run can't continue, Though, like
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 4: just be aware there are gonna be down swings. Here
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 4: that's just what happens in this. Arena so but hopefully
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 4: we can. Continue baseball has really really been good this,
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 4: season so hopefully we can continue with. That AS Nba,
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 4: playoffs which are usually one of my. SPECIALTIES nba playoffs
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 4: hasn't been that good for. Me we're around five hundred,
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 4: there so hockey playoffs.
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: Have been good.
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 4: Though that's uh, YEAH i think that's WHAT i have
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 4: to say about. That but, yes like and subscribe, here
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 4: tell people about. It let's get it. Going listen on, Audio, Apple, Spotify,
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 4: spreaker give me reviews over. There that all helps me
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 4: out as. Well covered in you because my yuke channel on.
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 4: YouTube you can check that Out, patreon dot comference and
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 4: bonus yuke.
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 2: STUFF i did do a show last night.
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 4: HERE i did MY nfl season preview WHERE i don't
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 4: THINK i have a good gauge on what's gonna happen
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 4: in THE, nfl, MAN i really, don't BUT i gave
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 4: out my three favorite season win totals and a couple
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 4: other ones THAT i still kind of like as. WELL
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 4: i went three and zero with those last, year so
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 4: hopefully those are good. Information. Again can go watch. THAT
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 4: i filled out the win TOTALS espn game with. IT
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 4: i might change some of them depending on if the
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 4: market moves or, not but we'll. See MAYBE i did
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 4: that show too early, on but we'll. See and THEN
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 4: i did my picks in their other new stupid game
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 4: that they have where you pick the order that the
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 4: teams will finish in the division and who's gonna get
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 4: the wild.
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 2: Cards but, Whatever.
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 4: Patreon dot com slash and learn To toad for some
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 4: bonus yuke. Stuff Loser cast will be back to. That
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 4: i'm not sure WHO i want to pick as a loser.
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: And is that?
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 4: It Oh giants G spot podcast as, well so, yeah
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 4: THAT'LL i think we'll continue doing that at some. Point
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 4: but that's gonna do. IT i appreciate, it. Everybody let's
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 4: have a Good.
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 2: Tuesday. Peace but don't you go.
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 1: Quiet don't you fade from the. Flow your name steal
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: mean something to somebody for a. Show put the glass.
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 2: Down, baby look at.
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 3: Men hold, on hold on.
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 2: Nothing nice, now hold, on.
• 1:37:14
  Speaker 3: Hold. On let me pull that block by, hard but
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 3: it don't get the. Crown hold, on hold on and
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 3: stay with me now