Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 495 - 4/20/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 all systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now Hello and
- 0:14welcome to. Episode 495.
- 0:18Of the all systems. Go.
- 0:19Sports betting podcast powered by rhythm I am your.
- 0:23Host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
- 0:31Happy Monday. A new week begins, guys.
- 0:34And it is of. Course NFL Draft week.
- 0:36That's right, Thursday night. Get ready cuz we got the.
- 0:39Draft coming up. Only a few days away at this.
- 0:41Point guys, and I'm still still. Trying to be patient, I tell.
- 0:44You what I can. Fire on a lot of these NFL prop
- 0:47bets, but I again. Want to?
- 0:48Wait, wait, wait. I've got a lot.
- 0:50Of drafts and sometimes. You get a great number early and
- 0:52you're. Feeling great?
- 0:54You got a, you know, a. Plus +200.
- 0:56Now the guy's. -1. 50 to go. You know, top. 10 and then other
- 1:00times you. Bet a game too.
- 1:01Early and you kind of get yourself behind the 8.
- 1:03Ball, so I'm going. To try to continue to practice
- 1:06some. Patience here.
- 1:07Continue to wait it out. See where this late?
- 1:09Movement is breaking, but I will.
- 1:10Say we had a. Conversation last week about.
- 1:13Who would go second? Overall to The Jets.
- 1:15Would it be Arvel Reese of Ohio State?
- 1:17Would it be David Bailey? Of Texas Tech, the.
- 1:20You know, consensus. Number. 1A and B.
- 1:22Pass rushers here in the draft and it.
- 1:25Looks like you know last week it was basically a pick em.
- 1:28And at one point, Bailey was. Favored like -1. 50 Then it was
- 1:31about -115 both. Sides.
- 1:32Well, it looks like Arvel. Reese is pulling away.
- 1:35Because Arvel Reese A. Lot of these mock drafts who?
- 1:38Have them basically. Has the most upside.
- 1:40Like Bailey? Maybe is the most.
- 1:42NFL ready, but Reese. Has the most upside.
- 1:44He. Is now across the.
- 1:45Market and this does provide. Kind of a shop.
- 1:48For the best line opportunity. Arville Reese to go second
- 1:51overall. Again, this was a pick em last.
- 1:54Week if you jumped. On Reese, you're probably
- 1:56feeling pretty. Good right now, because he is.
- 1:58-300. At Bet MGM minus. 300 at
- 2:01Fanatics. Minus. 2:20 at the score -230 at
- 2:05Caesars -2. 60 at FanDuel and. Minus or sorry -260 at
- 2:09DraftKings and minus. 425 at. FanDuel to go second.
- 2:13Overall, So it's pretty clear that the money is breaking
- 2:16toward Reese. Again, if vandals minus. 425 and
- 2:19the score is only -220. I was kind of tempted A.
- 2:22Little bit. To jump on the score at minus.
- 2:24220 again, that becomes a. You know, personal decision.
- 2:28For you as a. Better, you know.
- 2:29Some would say. Hey, that number is is, you
- 2:31know, too big is the. Juice worth the squeeze, but if
- 2:34another book is you know. Almost double that.
- 2:37Maybe there is some value there to?
- 2:38Take that -220 at the. Score SO.
- 2:41If you're if you're. Leaving the station, the.
- 2:42Arvel Reese. 22 second. Overall bet here is.
- 2:46Leaving the station. Looks like the score -220.
- 2:49Does provide an edge? Because FanDuel is -425.
- 2:52But don't worry. We'll have some NFL draft.
- 2:54Bets coming up I'm. Going to continue to monitor.
- 2:56These see how. They break.
- 2:57Over the next couple. Days, but I want to turn our
- 2:59attention, of course, to you know.
- 3:01Starting our new week here. Because we do have.
- 3:03MLB locked and loaded. And today I do.
- 3:06Have a three pack for you, so 3 bets overall.
- 3:08Looking to. Try to go 2 and 1 eke out a.
- 3:11Winning day and all these bets are like pick em or extremely.
- 3:14Short. Favorite prices like minus. 110
- 3:17-. 115 - 1. 20 So if we could find a way to go 2 and one that
- 3:21would be, that would be pretty good because it would deliver us
- 3:23a good payout on the back. End but anyway.
- 3:26Just quick mention that. You know what today is?
- 3:28If you're not in New England, if you're not in Boston or from
- 3:31Massachusetts, you probably. You know what?
- 3:33What is it? It's a Monday.
- 3:34It's a. Monday in in, you know, in
- 3:36April. It's marathon Monday.
- 3:38So I remember today very, very. You know, you know I'm not.
- 3:42I was. Going to say accurately.
- 3:43But I just remember completely these Mondays where?
- 3:46Again, the Red Sox. Game is always at. 11:00 AM But
- 3:49I. Used to work.
- 3:49At Jerry Remy's. Sports Bar and Grill after I
- 3:52graduated from from the University of Vermont.
- 3:55Me and my buddy. Lars moved to Boston.
- 3:57This was in two. 1009 and. Try to get jobs.
- 4:01The first job we had, we. Were snow shovelers.
- 4:03Because we moved in December. And then my buddy.
- 4:05Lars was a host. At an Italian restaurant, we
- 4:08were both. Caterers at MIT.
- 4:10And then I worked. At Jerry Remy's.
- 4:11Sports Bar and Grill, and I'll never forget the two years I
- 4:14worked there. The Marathon Mondays you got had
- 4:15to get. There like 5:00 AM.
- 4:17And it was just absolute mayhem. But those are the two days where
- 4:19I got my biggest tips. As a server I made like 500
- 4:23bucks each day and as a. As a 20.
- 4:25One year old. That was pretty awesome.
- 4:27Because back then, you know that.
- 4:28Could pay for. A full month's rent I.
- 4:30Remember my first apartment? In Brighton, which is an
- 4:33outskirts of Boston, we had a 2. Bedroom.
- 4:35It's kind of pretty small it. Was the third floor.
- 4:38Of a two of a. Big House or?
- 4:41Relatively, you know, medium. Sized house.
- 4:43We had the top floor and. Me and my buddy.
- 4:44Lars, it was 6. Hundred $600 a month, so it's
- 4:481200 bucks. For a 2 bedroom and.
- 4:50Now I don't think. You can get a.
- 4:52A one bedroom for 1200 anymore? So number one, I'm getting old
- 4:56and. #2 those. Are the good old days, but do
- 4:59want to. Shout out all the runners today.
- 5:01And of course, always. Remember.
- 5:02The terrible. Tragedy that happened in 2013
- 5:04with the Boston Marathon bombing.
- 5:06Because again, I'll, I'll, I can tell you, can tell you where I
- 5:09was. When that happened.
- 5:10As well, but just you know, an exciting day, proud day in
- 5:13Boston, but also I want to remember those those poor people
- 5:16who were injured and and we're have that had their lives taken
- 5:18away. Just absolutely tragic.
- 5:20But anyway. Guys on marathon Monday.
- 5:22See if we. Pick out a couple winners here,
- 5:23try to go 2 and 1, eek out a winning day.
- 5:26So without further ado, we got 3 bets for you A. 6:10 PM.
- 5:29Eastern Time game. A 6:40 PM.
- 5:32And a 740. PM So let's see if we can find
- 5:34some winners. So first one on the board for
- 5:36me. Let's look at the.
- 5:37Early match up here. 6:10 PM. We got the Houston Astros
- 5:40visiting the Cleveland Guardians.
- 5:42Now let's set the stage. Talk splits.
- 5:44Line movement system matches. I'll give you my play for this
- 5:47one. So Astros come in eight and. 15
- 5:50on the year. Bit of a disappointment they
- 5:52just got swept by the. Cardinals.
- 5:53Unbelievably lost yesterday's series.
- 5:56Finale 7 to 5 and extra innings. As a minus. 140 home favorite.
- 6:00Meanwhile, guardians up to their old tricks, low payroll, Ramirez
- 6:04and a bunch of. Nobodies, but they're above. 513
- 6:06and 10 just took three or four against.
- 6:08The O's. They won eight to. 4 yesterday.
- 6:11As a minus. 120 home favorite. So pitching match up here for
- 6:14tonight, we have the Astros going with the ready.
- 6:16Spencer Araghetti, he's. One and O with a one point.
- 6:19Five O ERA he'll be opposed by. The Guardians fellow ready Slade
- 6:23Sesony. Who's O and two with a 5 point
- 6:26O3 ERA so. Let me stand across the market
- 6:28here. Well, this game opened.
- 6:30With Cleveland, this it. Has a very short. -115 Home.
- 6:33Favorite Houston around a? -1 O.
- 6:35Five Rd. Dog and as always, you get to a
- 6:37really, really, you know, base basically pick on price.
- 6:40You can look at it one of two ways.
- 6:41One. That's a great price to take
- 6:43that favorite. Had a short number.
- 6:45Or. It's a coin flip.
- 6:47And why not take the the less juice?
- 6:49By taking the road. Team here.
- 6:51So again. Never going to about saying oh I
- 6:53got to go this way or that way, but.
- 6:54Let the market tell you where the smart money's leaning.
- 6:57Looks to me like it's leaning toward the Cleveland Guardians
- 7:00because we've seen the Guardians.
- 7:02Get. Bet up a little.
- 7:02Bit -115 up to -1. 20 Not a huge move, but the line is going.
- 7:07In their favor now, the splits look pretty good on the
- 7:10Guardians at DK 62. Percent bets, 67% dollars on the
- 7:15money line, and then over at Circa, this one really jumped.
- 7:17Out to me. In Vegas, where the wise.
- 7:19Guys like to get. Down 73% Money line bets over.
- 7:2390% money line. Dollars on the Guardians.
- 7:26So line move toward the guardians, low bets, higher
- 7:28dollars. At DraftKings and circa on the
- 7:31Guardians. Then we get into some system
- 7:33matches. One would.
- 7:34Be. Non division home favorite. -1.
- 7:3750 or less. Off a win.
- 7:39With line. Movement in your favorite that
- 7:41matches with Cleveland here and that system is 118 and 7860.
- 7:45Percent 7% ROI since 2020. 5. Cleveland also has that
- 7:49correlative betting value. Favorite in a low total game?
- 7:52So the total. In this game is 7 1/2.
- 7:54For your amount of. Expected run scored as always.
- 7:56More likely to come from quote UN quote that.
- 7:58Better team. And then just.
- 8:00The classic non division lack of familiarity also benefiting.
- 8:03Quote UN Quote The better team was expected.
- 8:05To win. Home Rd. doesn't hurt guardians
- 8:07pretty good at. Home 7:00 and 3:00.
- 8:09Astros. Just one.
- 8:10And nine on the road and then in.
- 8:12Addition to the line. Move the splits the.
- 8:13System matches. I noticed a 9% nothing.
- 8:17Crazy, but a nine? Percent sharp mush edge on the
- 8:19guardians from our friends. At Juice Reel so it.
- 8:21Tells me 9%. More of the winning.
- 8:23Betters. Like you out there?
- 8:24Listening who have synced. Up your books to Juice Reel.
- 8:27Your records are tracked. In the winning betters are
- 8:29gravitating toward Cleveland, so that's good.
- 8:31But then also two rhythm recommendations lighting up.
- 8:35On the Guardians as. Well, so the rhythm.
- 8:37AI models. Also like the guardians here.
- 8:39So it's a very. Short number -115 up to -120.
- 8:43I'm going Guardians. Here guys, I.
- 8:45Found Cleveland. -114 at. Bally bet but.
- 8:48Definitely shop around because a lot of books closer to minus.
- 8:51120 but. A short price.
- 8:53On Cleveland. Let's go Ramirez.
- 8:55And company next one for you. 6:40 PM Eastern.
- 8:59Time first pitch. Let's talk to.
- 9:00Cincinnati Red Legs visiting the Tampa Bay Rays.
- 9:04Now Reds come in. 14 and 8 having a great year under
- 9:06Francona. Just swept the twins.
- 9:08They won. 7 to 4 and extras yesterday as a + 100 Rd. dog.
- 9:12Meanwhile, the Rays. 12:00 and 9:00.
- 9:14Just dropped two or three, however.
- 9:16Against the Pirates they lost six to three yesterday as a -,
- 9:19110 Rd. Pick and play.
- 9:21So pitching match up here for tonight, we know for sure that
- 9:24the Reds are going to go with the ready Rhett louder.
- 9:26Who is 2 and? One with a three. .52 era.
- 9:29But we don't. Totally know who's going to
- 9:31pitch for. Tampa I was reading on Twitter
- 9:34and Mark. Tompkin is a famous.
- 9:35Rays Writer. He was saying how either Jesse
- 9:39Sholton's their righty, who's one and.
- 9:40O ERA of 0. He's either going to.
- 9:42Start the game. Or he's going to be the bulk
- 9:44guy. So they'll start someone.
- 9:46Else but then. He'll pitch, you know, innings 2
- 9:48through 4, two through 5. South either.
- 9:51Sholton starting or bulk, we don't know.
- 9:53Exactly like if you go on ESPN, it might say you know.
- 9:56Yet to be determined. TBD but looks like.
- 9:58It's either going to be bulk or opener with.
- 10:00Sholton's. What I like about this play
- 10:02toward. Tampa.
- 10:03Is first they open -1. 15 at home.
- 10:06Since he a -, 1 O. Five Rd.
- 10:07Dog so very similar. Number to that.
- 10:09Cleveland Guardians game. I like the fact that this line
- 10:12is. Moved toward Tampa even though
- 10:14you kind. Of don't have exact clarity on
- 10:16who's going to start this game so that.
- 10:18Tells me whether Sholton. Starts or not or.
- 10:20If it's even someone. Else.
- 10:22You know, wise guys don't. It's not that they don't care,
- 10:24it's just that they still. Find an edge on.
- 10:26Tampa despite having a. Little bit of an.
- 10:28Open-ended question on who's going to start the game, and
- 10:32again we have. Seen Tampa move up -115 up to
- 10:35minus. 120 splits. Look really good at the rate for
- 10:38the raise at circa. 60. 7% money line bets Over 90% of money line
- 10:43dollars are on the raise. So a nice.
- 10:44Low bets, higher dollar split, especially from the sharps out
- 10:48there in. Vegas, another system match.
- 10:50Here we have home. Favorites -145 or less awful
- 10:53loss. And the opening game of a new
- 10:55series. So.
- 10:55Kind of a you. Know at home got.
- 10:57The crowd last at bat. You're expected to win.
- 10:59You're not laying. A huge number.
- 11:01You're starting a new series. Trying to get.
- 11:02Back on track off a loss. Matching with the rays here,
- 11:06that system is. 10:00 and 5:00 this.
- 11:08Season 67%. With a 19.
- 11:10Percent ROI. Next we have that.
- 11:13Correlative betting value, interleague favorite low total
- 11:16game, so lack of familiarity. Benefiting the better team.
- 11:19Few amount of expected run score more likely.
- 11:20To come from. That team was favored to win.
- 11:23And then also, you know, hopefully.
- 11:24Sholton's pitch as well, but really hoping that.
- 11:26Tampa, Knock on. Wood their bats can get.
- 11:29To louder because Tampa's. Got the better offense.
- 11:31This year 13259 as a team. 100 and three runs.
- 11:35Scored 330. One on base percentage.
- 11:37Since he only is hitting 2O2 as a team. 78 runs.
- 11:41Scored in a. 297. On base percentage.
- 11:44So we got the. Line move.
- 11:46We got the unknown. Pitcher, yet Sharp still seem to
- 11:48like Tampa. So.
- 11:49That's kind of a. Fishy, you know, positive.
- 11:52In their direction. Great bat split.
- 11:54System matches better offense. But then also. 25% sharp mush.
- 11:58Edge on the Raise It juice reel. And then you go to rhythm.
- 12:01I have all three. Of my rhythm recommendations
- 12:04lighting up on Tampa. Two of them are.
- 12:06A green star and the third one is a green star.
- 12:09Lightning bolt smart signal. So that tells me that the AI
- 12:13model. Definitely likes Tampa Bay here
- 12:15tonight. So short number, see if the Rays
- 12:18can get a winner for us guys. Razor pretty much -120
- 12:21everywhere. That's the number I.
- 12:22Got Let's Go Tampa -120. Last night.
- 12:26Of the Night 7. 40 PM Eastern. Time first pitch.
- 12:29Philadelphia Phillies. Visiting the Chicago Cubs now I
- 12:34want to mention. Because it's always important.
- 12:37You know that we have. This pod and hopefully.
- 12:38Every pod we do, we hand out some.
- 12:40Winners, but the whole point of the pod is to.
- 12:41Teach you the data. Driven approach.
- 12:43That you can make smart. Bets on your own.
- 12:45And actually a couple people. Send me a direct message.
- 12:48About the Atlanta Braves last night because we opened that
- 12:51game. Phillies like minus. 115 - 1. 20
- 12:54and it. Flipped Sunday.
- 12:55Night baseball to Braves. -115 - 1. 20 So that was a dog to fave
- 13:00line move and the Braves came through.
- 13:02So it goes to show you all. The things we talked about.
- 13:05You know what's the old adage? Don't teach them it.
- 13:07Don't give a man. A fish to eat tonight?
- 13:09Teach them how to fish. He'll eat forever well.
- 13:12Again, hopefully through this pod you can recognize those
- 13:15situations on your own. I was busy making.
- 13:18Dinner and dinner for the. Team and holding my baby and.
- 13:21And watching the. Bruins unfortunately collapse
- 13:23with A2 nothing lead in hockey but I had a few guys DM me say
- 13:27oh Braves and you guys. Are right about that.
- 13:29Anyway, let's look at AI say that because let's look at the.
- 13:32Phillies same. Team from last night, that line
- 13:35move was against them, came through the.
- 13:36Atlanta, now the Phills 740. PM Eastern Time at.
- 13:40Wrigley Face the Chicago Cubbies.
- 13:43So Phil's come. In 8 and 13 on the year.
- 13:45Again, just got swept. By the Braves lost. 4 to 2
- 13:48yesterday. As a minus. 105 home dog.
- 13:50You know, the cubbies. 12:00 and 9:00 just swept the Mets.
- 13:53They won. 2 to 1 and extras yesterday as a minus. 140 home
- 13:57favorite. So pitching match up here for
- 13:59tonight, we got the Phil. 'S going with the righty Aaron
- 14:01Nola. He's one in one with.
- 14:03An ERA of 4.0. Three Cubs, meanwhile.
- 14:05Going with the righty. Colin Ray.
- 14:07Who's 2 and O with a 3.63 ERA so.
- 14:10What do we see across the? Market here.
- 14:12Well, I don't. Know what it?
- 14:13Is but the name. Of the game today, tonight guys
- 14:15are the short. Home favorites.
- 14:16Becoming more of a favorite because.
- 14:18We saw the Cubs, I guess this. Is kind of a dog to fave when
- 14:20you think about. It but we started.
- 14:22This game opening. With actually.
- 14:25Believe it or not, Philly. Listed around a minus. 115 road
- 14:29favorite. Chicago A -, 105 Home.
- 14:31Dog. And this line has moved away
- 14:33from Philly toward Chicago. So we've seen.
- 14:35Chicago Go. From a -, 1. 05 home dog to a -.
- 14:38110 home pick em and now some shops are going to a -, 115.
- 14:42Official home favorite So. Officially hopping the fence.
- 14:45To go to Chicago. As a favorite in this match up.
- 14:48So whether it was pick them to fave?
- 14:50You know, sorry. Dog to pick them or dog to fave?
- 14:54Either way. This line is.
- 14:55Moving toward the cubbies. So that's the first.
- 14:57Indicator here that Chicago looks.
- 14:59To be the sharp. Bet.
- 15:00Chicago at Circa. 79% bets, 99% money line dollars, so great
- 15:06little bets, higher dollar split here.
- 15:08Coming in on the. The cubbies as my wife calls me
- 15:12because she. She had a break.
- 15:13From the baby. So she went to go get a massage.
- 15:15She'd probably call me, tell me she's coming home.
- 15:18But anyway, you know what? Let me pause the pod.
- 15:20When when you're a father. A husband you.
- 15:23Can't just pause the. You can't just.
- 15:24You know, ignore her and keep going with the pod.
- 15:26I need to pause the pod and talk to her, so hold on one second.
- 15:30All right, I'm back. So where was I at?
- 15:33Here. Now I'm all mixed up.
- 15:34Yeah, good bet Split on the cubbies. 79% bets, 99% money
- 15:38line dollars I'm. Going to.
- 15:39Make on the Cubs bats, hopefully.
- 15:41Showing up here tonight. Anyone see Nico Horner?
- 15:43Guys off to a great start, but. They're hitting 251 as a team.
- 15:47112 runs scored, 341 on base percentage.
- 15:50Phillies. Only hitting 222 as a team. 75
- 15:53runs scored. A3O2 on base percentage.
- 15:56Aaron Nola in particular. On the road last.
- 15:59Year he was O and six. With a 6.97 ERA.
- 16:02So hopefully. That continues Fade him.
- 16:04On the road tonight. And then also.
- 16:05The Cubs. Three and one and race four
- 16:07starts. This year, so they've pretty.
- 16:09Played pretty well behind. Him little little night.
- 16:12Game action here. Cubs 5 and.
- 16:14Three at night again, they don't play.
- 16:15A lot of night games at Wrigley, but play well.
- 16:18In general. Philly is only four and eight.
- 16:20In night games. And then also a little bit of a
- 16:22rest. First tired advantage because.
- 16:24Yes, both teams played yesterday.
- 16:26But the Cubs? Are on a home stand, so they
- 16:28don't. Have to travel at all?
- 16:29Play today game. Look at the Phillies.
- 16:32They played the. Sunday night baseball game.
- 16:34And if you've been, you know, grinding baseball with me for
- 16:36years and years. You remember that one of our
- 16:38favorite systems? Is fading a team.
- 16:40On a. Monday, who played on.
- 16:42Sunday Night Baseball because it's a late.
- 16:43Game. Again, if you got, you know a.
- 16:46Short turn around here. Now you have to travel.
- 16:48Not like you're going, you know, cross country, you know, Boston
- 16:51to LA, but you're going. Philly to Chicago so.
- 16:54A late game travel. Versus the Cubs, who?
- 16:58Got done early and don't have to travel at all so.
- 17:00Hopefully that's an advantage. Toward Chicago.
- 17:02Chicago. But then also 6.
- 17:04Percent sharp mush. Edge on the cubbies.
- 17:07For our friends at Juice Reel, So some sharps at Juice Reel
- 17:10also like the Cubs and then I also have two.
- 17:13Rhythm Green Star recommended. Plays both lighting up on the
- 17:16Cubs as well. So you got all up here, guys?
- 17:19You know Cubs. Open as a short pick.
- 17:21Now. Short dog I should.
- 17:23Say now it's. A pic or even a favorite?
- 17:25With some good bet splits. Rest first, tired and some green
- 17:28rhythm. And juice real edges here in
- 17:31favor. Of the Cubs.
- 17:32So I got Chicago. -110 at Fanatics.
- 17:35Shop around a lot of books -1. 15 So Cleveland.
- 17:39Tampa Bay, Chicago Cubs Let's try to get 2 out of 3.
- 17:42Eek out a winning night to start our week.
- 17:45So that about does it for episode. 495.
- 17:48Of the all systems go sports betting.
- 17:49Podcast powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
- 17:52where. We wrap things up and I always
- 17:54start first by. Saying thank you.
- 17:56Thank you for listening. Thank you for tuning.
- 17:58In Thank you for. Grinding in the arena with me
- 18:00every single. Day through the UPS and the
- 18:02downs, the good and the bad, the great.
- 18:04Wins the terrible bad. Beats We love sports betting,
- 18:07though. Why?
- 18:07Because it's a challenge. If it was easy.
- 18:10You know, in a way it's like, oh, it'd be.
- 18:11Easy, we'll make money. And we all be millionaires.
- 18:13Yeah, that's great. But sports betting to me.
- 18:16You love the challenge, You love the.
- 18:19Trying to piece together. The puzzle of making.
- 18:20A sharp bet. You love.
- 18:22My. Favorite part is spending all
- 18:23day trying to. Figure out who.
- 18:24To take. Based on the numbers and then
- 18:26hey, game starts. You get to sit back.
- 18:29Hold my my one. Month old baby she.
- 18:31Turns one month old. Tomorrow.
- 18:32Unbelievably, actually. You know when I first had.
- 18:35My baby I had. People DM me like.
- 18:37Yeah, my my son is 18. My daughter is.
- 18:40You know 25 and they're like, you don't know how.
- 18:42Fast the. Time goes, I'm like damn, where
- 18:44the hell did a month go? I already have a month year.
- 18:46Old or a month old I should, I should say.
- 18:49But either way, now that I can, you know.
- 18:52Spend all day. Breaking on the games and hold
- 18:54my daughter and sweat the game together.
- 18:56That's kind of my new favorite thing to do in the world.
- 18:58I'll be the way. Guys if you do enjoy this pod.
- 19:00You value the insights hopefully please.
- 19:03Do a couple things help me. Grow this.
- 19:04Podcast give it a five star review on Spotify or.
- 19:07ITunes leave a nice. Comment under the rate and
- 19:10review. Recommend the pod to a friend.
- 19:12Click the Follow button. Or if you also feel so.
- 19:15Inclined retweet the pod. When I put it out on Twitter.
- 19:18Each day at Josh under Score Insights.
- 19:21Next if you enjoy. This style of betting breakdown
- 19:23data-driven, sharp contrarian betting.
- 19:25Focusing on. Line movement bet split.
- 19:27System matches. Taking a contrarian.
- 19:29Approach consulting our. AI models and algorithms.
- 19:32With juice, real and rhythm. Well, if.
- 19:33This style of betting. Has appealed to you.
- 19:35You want to learn more? About data-driven betting.
- 19:38Or maybe you have, you know. Your dad's birthday coming up
- 19:41or? You know someone.
- 19:42'S graduation. Gift or who knows?
- 19:44Something's going on. And you would like to get them
- 19:47something other. Than.
- 19:48You know, a card and a $20 bill. You should go to.
- 19:51Amazon.com. And type in the.
- 19:53NFL sharp betting playbook. Or the everything.
- 19:56Guide to sports betting. Those are the two books that
- 19:58I've written. Very proud of both, but you can
- 20:00pick up one or both. Of them from Amazon and then
- 20:02bring them to the sports book I'll sign them for.
- 20:05You I'll buy you a beer. Or ginger.
- 20:06Ale sweat some games together. Next.
- 20:10Have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Reel yet?
- 20:12My two favorite sports. Betting apps.
- 20:14Because they're a great addition to your.
- 20:15Sports betting Toolkit. One you got rhythm, AI backed
- 20:19models and predictions for game bets and player.
- 20:21Props, you got juice Reel? Where you can sync.
- 20:23Up your sports. Books get a running.
- 20:24Report card of your action you can also.
- 20:26Get of. Course the Robo.
- 20:27Jackson best bet picks. The sharp mush indicators, the
- 20:30arbitrage. Plays the shop for the best line
- 20:32futures and if you also want to support.
- 20:34The pod because this pod is free.
- 20:36If you value the insights you want to.
- 20:37Let me know you appreciate the insights you.
- 20:39Know what you can do? You can sign up to get the all.
- 20:41Systems go. Best bet picks exclusively.
- 20:44On juice. Real it costs. $4.90.
- 20:47Nine cents a week. 5 bucks. To support the.
- 20:49Pot and get those plays early, hopefully beat some closing
- 20:51lines. But of course, download rhythm
- 20:54download juice real. Give them both.
- 20:56A five star review in the app. Store next you.
- 20:59Have a live odds page. Well, if you.
- 21:00Don't have one? You need one.
- 21:02It's. Such a critical tool.
- 21:03If you want to be a. Data-driven better even if you
- 21:05have a different style of betting.
- 21:07But you need. You know, accurate live.
- 21:09Lines when the game gets going on.
- 21:12Pull out your tablet, your computer.
- 21:13You want to see? OK, what's the live?
- 21:15Line, you know. Is is the.
- 21:17Are the Dodgers a -? 200 favorite.
- 21:19And they get down. 3 Nothing. And now you're getting them plus
- 21:22one. 20 to come back on the money.
- 21:23Line, you know again, these are the OR.
- 21:26I'll give you a terrible example that.
- 21:27Broke my heart yesterday my. Bruins are up to nothing against
- 21:30the Sabres. Sabres are a huge live line dog.
- 21:33You could have again. Broke my heart because the
- 21:36Bruins blew it. But.
- 21:37You could a live. Line Buffalo at a way better.
- 21:38Number and cashed cashed Bigley unfortunately or fortunately, I
- 21:43guess if you. Took them unfortunately.
- 21:45For me as a Bruins fan, But this is the point guys, you.
- 21:47Want a live line? You need.
- 21:49Odds logic. Live odds.
- 21:50Page it gives you. All the books.
- 21:52Up to date numbers. Preflop and of course live lines
- 21:55once the game gets going. But shopping for the best?
- 21:57Number identifying steam. Odds get.
- 21:59Lit up in red, pulling up the line history and always finding.
- 22:02The best price you can do it all with.
- 22:04Odds logic, so. If you want to give.
- 22:06Odds. Logic a shot.
- 22:07I have a link for you, it'll give you a 7.
- 22:09Day free trial and. 50% off your first month.
- 22:11Just go to. Oddslogic.com.
- 22:14Slash Josh. 123 that'll again give you a 7 day free trial. 50%
- 22:19off your first. Month next.
- 22:21Have you heard about Profit X? Well, if you haven't, that's OK.
- 22:24But profit X. PROPHET.
- 22:26Like a biblical. Profit.
- 22:28Not like profit. Like you make money?
- 22:30Although with profit. X You can make more money.
- 22:32Because you're getting better. Juice prices.
- 22:34Instead of laying -115 -, 120. At a standard.
- 22:37Sports book you're getting. -1 O 2.
- 22:39Plus one O 3. Plus one O 5. -1 O 4.
- 22:42Because you're in an. Exchange against other betters.
- 22:45Not the book. And when you win, you're not
- 22:47going to get booted. So if you'd.
- 22:48Like to give. It a shot even if you just want
- 22:50to. Have another book to.
- 22:51Shop for the best line, download Profit X and use the promo code.
- 22:54Josh and. They're going to tack.
- 22:56On another 20% deposit match. So that about.
- 22:59Does it for episode 495 of the ASG.
- 23:01Pod on a big. Monday of NFL Draft week on a
- 23:04marathon. Monday, but as always.
- 23:06Guys, two final thoughts. 1. Whether I see you at the
- 23:09Borgata? In Atlantic City, Twin River in
- 23:11Rhode Island, the Brook of New. Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan.
- 23:14Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston.
- 23:16Plain Ridge Park Casino. MGM Springfield or the Nash?
- 23:20And my neck of the. Woods on the border of.
- 23:21Massachusetts in New Hampshire. We're out in the desert.
- 23:24Where the true grinders? Get Down or Billy Walters sends.
- 23:27His number runners where? The lowest use possible is found
- 23:29at. The South point or sweat and
- 23:31sharp contrarian plays. Jumping in the stadium.
- 23:33Swim pool when he cashed a big ticket.
- 23:35At circa. Wherever it may be.
- 23:36You're going to. Walk up to me.
- 23:38Hopefully show me. A Guardians.
- 23:39A raise. A Cubs ticket.
- 23:41Let's get 2 out of three if we can and start our week off on
- 23:44the right foot. But as always, guys coming off a
- 23:47winning. Weekend losing, weekend a hot.
- 23:48Streak a cold streak. Again, whether we're.
- 23:51Red hot stacking units or ice cold and can't.
- 23:53Catch a break? Just like in life.
- 23:55There's good days, bad days, but if we got.
- 23:56If we can stay even keeled, not get.
- 23:58Too high when things are going good.
- 24:00Not get. Too low when things are not.
- 24:01Going our way. If we stick.
- 24:03To the model. Stick to the blueprint, avoid
- 24:05the games. With red flags and get down on
- 24:07the games. That check off our.
- 24:08Boxes against the public. With the house.
- 24:11With the pros flat bat, avoid parlays.
- 24:13And get that COV, if we can do that, we're going to be.
- 24:16Successful sports betters. So if everyone has a great.
- 24:19Monday night guys be. Right back at it.
- 24:21Tomorrow that'll be episode. 496.
- 24:23Of the All Systems Go sports betting podcast.
- 24:26Powered by rhythm. Good luck everybody and enjoy
- 24:29the sweats.