Latest / Balance of Power / Xi’s First US Trip in Three Years
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Bloomberg Audio Studios.
- 0:04Speaker 2: Podcasts.
- 0:05Speaker 3: Radio.
- 0:06Speaker 4: News.
- 0:09Speaker 5: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch
- 0:12Speaker 5: us live weekdays at noon and 5 p.m. Eastern on
- 0:15Speaker 5: Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app.
- 0:19Speaker 5: Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts or watch
- 0:22Speaker 5: us live on YouTube.
- 0:25Speaker 6: You think street traffic is bad at U.N. General Assembly
- 0:28Speaker 6: week in New York? Why not just add a bunch
- 0:30Speaker 6: of headache at.
- 0:30Speaker 1: The airports on top of it? No, thank you.
- 0:32Speaker 6: A lot of dignitaries and their supporting staff are trying
- 0:35Speaker 6: to make their way to New York for the meetings
- 0:37Speaker 6: this week, and that could indeed be a bit of
- 0:40Speaker 6: a complicating factor. Of course, President Trump also is going
- 0:43Speaker 6: to be heading to New York this afternoon. He's got
- 0:45Speaker 6: a big week ahead of him, Joe. We expect he
- 0:47Speaker 6: could be meeting with leaders of the Gulf states, with
- 0:50Speaker 6: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky, but he's going to start— this week,
- 0:54Speaker 6: start today, meeting with the mayor of New York City,
- 0:56Speaker 6: Zoran Mamdani, of course, a member of the Democratic Socialists
- 0:59Speaker 6: of America. As the president has often criticized socialists and
- 1:03Speaker 6: communists as he says they are, he's going to be
- 1:05Speaker 6: sitting down with one at Gracie Mansion.
- 1:06Speaker 7: I wasn't sure they were still pals anymore, but the
- 1:09Speaker 7: optics will be interesting here, and we will likely see
- 1:11Speaker 7: it because of local news coverage not dependent upon the
- 1:14Speaker 7: White House press corps.
- 1:15Speaker 1: That'll be a little bit later on in the afternoon.
- 1:18Speaker 7: But look, to Kayleigh's point, This could be the most
- 1:21Speaker 7: important week, geopolitically speaking, of his second term. When you
- 1:24Speaker 7: think of the meetings he has, Macron today, on to Zelensky,
- 1:27Speaker 7: and back to Washington, where he's got the summit with
- 1:30Speaker 7: President Xi. A couple of themes, we'll be going straight
- 1:33Speaker 7: through them both.
- 1:34Speaker 1: Of course, the war with.
- 1:35Speaker 7: Iran, artificial intelligence is another one. And ahead of our conversation,
- 1:40Speaker 7: with our political panel and a bit later on this hour,
- 1:42Speaker 7: Congressman Don Beyer. Tyler Kendall is in New York, Bloomberg's
- 1:45Speaker 7: Washington correspondent charged with covering the president's trip to UNGA
- 1:49Speaker 7: and joins us live from world headquarters in New York.
- 1:52Speaker 1: Tyler, the speech is tomorrow, right? And we will see.
- 1:55Speaker 7: That because the UN will obviously have its own cameras
- 2:00Speaker 7: in the room there. But what's the president's goal at
- 2:03Speaker 7: this United Nations? He spoke last year more about the teleprompter.
- 2:08Speaker 7: and the escalator than, I think, in many cases, policy.
- 2:11Speaker 7: What's on the agenda?
- 2:12Speaker 8: Well, at this point, Joe, there are so many different
- 2:14Speaker 8: conflicts that we know President Trump is going to be
- 2:17Speaker 8: looking to make some sort of momentum or progress in.
- 2:20Speaker 8: Whether or not that happens remains to be seen. But
- 2:23Speaker 8: just look at the bilateral meetings that he has teed up.
- 2:26Speaker 8: As you mentioned, on the public schedule today, a closed
- 2:30Speaker 8: press meeting with the French President Emmanuel Macron as we
- 2:33Speaker 8: wait to see what sort of response we could get
- 2:36Speaker 8: from Europe in terms to of the ongoing conflict between
- 2:40Speaker 8: Ukraine and Russia. Zelensky himself says that he will have
- 2:43Speaker 8: some time with President Trump tomorrow. We're also expecting him
- 2:46Speaker 8: to meet with Middle East regional leaders, potentially even from
- 2:51Speaker 8: Saudi Arabia or Iran itself, as President Trump seemed to
- 2:54Speaker 8: suggest in an interview that he would be willing to
- 2:57Speaker 8: meet with the Iranian president after the U.S. took the
- 2:59Speaker 8: rare step of issuing visas to Iranian officials to come
- 3:05Speaker 8: to the UN this week to discuss dialogue. I'd also
- 3:08Speaker 8: point out that he's set to meet with the interim
- 3:10Speaker 8: Venezuelan president, Delce Rodriguez, who is also here. So it
- 3:14Speaker 8: is a jammed pack agenda, but perhaps looming over everything
- 3:17Speaker 8: is that we are getting closer and closer to those
- 3:19Speaker 8: talks on Thursday between President Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping.
- 3:23Speaker 8: And there's so many threads that we can pull on
- 3:24Speaker 8: that connect these all together, whether that be AI or
- 3:28Speaker 8: energy or the conflict in the Middle East.
- 3:31Speaker 6: Indeed. And of course, ahead of those talks on Thursday,
- 3:34Speaker 6: the Treasury Secretary Scott Besson had talks in New York
- 3:37Speaker 6: this past weekend with his Chinese counterpart. Tyler, do we
- 3:40Speaker 6: have a sense of what they accomplished or is this
- 3:42Speaker 6: another case of talking just to talk?
- 3:43Speaker 8: Well, it's interesting because it depends on which officials we're
- 3:46Speaker 8: listening to.
- 3:47Speaker 6: We got really positive remarks from the U.S.
- 3:50Speaker 8: Treasury Secretary Scott Besson, who said that they made progress
- 3:54Speaker 8: in these talks. We heard from Chinese state media saying
- 3:56Speaker 8: that they were constructive. And that they had agreed to
- 4:00Speaker 8: keep talking, that they were going to have this dialogue
- 4:02Speaker 8: on artificial intelligence as one example.
- 4:04Speaker 6: But then we had the U.S.
- 4:05Speaker 8: Trade representative, Jameson Greer, on Bloomberg television earlier today, and
- 4:10Speaker 8: he seemed to downplay the idea that there would be
- 4:12Speaker 8: significant progress this week. He said that the goal is stability,
- 4:16Speaker 8: but he added in part that it would be, quote,
- 4:18Speaker 8: naive to say U.S. and China are negotiators have full
- 4:21Speaker 8: trust in each other. He also downplayed the idea that
- 4:24Speaker 8: we will get an extension of the U.S.-China trade truce,
- 4:27Speaker 8: saying there's a lot of time between now and November
- 4:29Speaker 8: 10th when it's set to expire. So a lot of
- 4:31Speaker 8: different aspects here. But for now, they are talking. And
- 4:35Speaker 8: it seems that this weekend went well enough because we
- 4:37Speaker 8: finally got that confirmation from the Chinese government that Xi
- 4:40Speaker 8: Jinping will indeed come to Washington.
- 4:45Speaker 3: Yes, indeed.
- 4:46Speaker 6: Tyler Kendall, live in New York for us this week
- 4:48Speaker 6: for the U.N. General Assembly. Tyler, thank you very much.
- 4:52Speaker 6: And now let's have an assembly of our own as
- 4:54Speaker 6: we assemble our political panel. Bloomberg Politics contributors Rick Davis
- 4:57Speaker 6: and Jeanne Shanzano are with us. Rick, of course, Stonecourt
- 4:59Speaker 6: Capital Partner and Republican strategist Jeanne, Democratic Analyst and Democracy
- 5:03Speaker 6: Visiting Fellow at Harvard Kennedy School's Ash Center. Rick, I'll
- 5:07Speaker 6: come to you first, as Joe characterized it, and perhaps
- 5:11Speaker 6: rightly so. This is a big week for President Trump.
- 5:13Speaker 6: Do you see it as potentially the biggest one of
- 5:16Speaker 6: his term? How much is riding on the next couple
- 5:18Speaker 6: of days?
- 5:19Speaker 2: Yeah, obviously, when you array the various people that he's
- 5:22Speaker 2: going to meet with, you would think, wow, what opportunity
- 5:26Speaker 2: is in front of us? But then when you think
- 5:27Speaker 2: about what's probably going to be the outcome, you think, oh,
- 5:30Speaker 2: this is going to be.
- 5:30Speaker 1: A flat week. We're going to be here Friday saying,
- 5:33Speaker 1: what happened?
- 5:33Speaker 9: Nothing.
- 5:33Speaker 10: Nothing.
- 5:35Speaker 2: So, yeah, I mean, not likely to get any kind
- 5:38Speaker 2: of an agreement out of the Iranians, you know, from
- 5:40Speaker 2: a chance meeting in New York. You're going to mix
- 5:43Speaker 2: the message with the with G. I mean, like Donald
- 5:47Speaker 2: Trump's been campaigning against communism since the day Mondani was elected.
- 5:53Speaker 2: And he's going to meet Mondani and they're going to
- 5:54Speaker 2: have a bromance. So, like, what is the Republican Party
- 5:58Speaker 2: supposed to do? Here we go to Dallas. We have
- 6:00Speaker 2: this big convention. It's all about, you know, not letting
- 6:03Speaker 2: the communists take over America. And here come the communists.
- 6:07Speaker 6: He also isn't a communist.
- 6:09Speaker 1: He's a socialist.
- 6:10Speaker 2: Republicans are, like, scratching their head going, like, what are
- 6:14Speaker 2: we supposed to be doing here?
- 6:15Speaker 7: So who's this good for, Jeannie? The mayor obviously might
- 6:18Speaker 7: get some points for this.
- 6:19Speaker 1: Or will he?
- 6:19Speaker 8: Yeah.
- 6:20Speaker 7: We've talked a lot about strange bedfellows. We knew at
- 6:23Speaker 7: one point they were pals. Do they both have something
- 6:26Speaker 7: to gain here?
- 6:28Speaker 3: I think so.
- 6:29Speaker 4: But I'll tell you, the local press here, much of
- 6:32Speaker 4: it is speculating that the bromance may be a little
- 6:36Speaker 4: chillier this visit.
- 6:37Speaker 3: Of course, that's speculation.
- 6:39Speaker 4: We don't know. But it may be chillier than it
- 6:42Speaker 4: has been in their last couple of meetings. You know, obviously,
- 6:47Speaker 4: this meeting is coming amidst the Jewish holidays as we
- 6:52Speaker 4: see Benjamin Netanyahu coming to speak at the U.N., not
- 6:56Speaker 4: expected to meet with President Trump. And yet Mayor Mamdani
- 7:00Speaker 4: famously argued that he would think about arresting and not
- 7:04Speaker 4: allowing Netanyahu in.
- 7:05Speaker 3: New York City.
- 7:06Speaker 1: He backed off of that.
- 7:08Speaker 4: So he's going to have a lot of pressure from
- 7:12Speaker 4: his side. Donald Trump, likewise, is going to have a
- 7:16Speaker 4: lot of pressure from his side. Somebody asked me, and
- 7:20Speaker 4: I think it's a great question, Hakeem Jeffries must be
- 7:23Speaker 4: pulling his hair out that Mayor Mamdani is allowed to
- 7:27Speaker 4: meet with the president multiple times. And yet he has
- 7:31Speaker 4: a private, quiet meeting with the president's son-in-law and the
- 7:35Speaker 4: left wing lambastes him.
- 7:38Speaker 3: So I'm not so.
- 7:39Speaker 4: Sure that this is going to be as warm and
- 7:42Speaker 4: cozy as it has been in the past. Of course,
- 7:44Speaker 4: it's a private meeting. We know it's being covered by
- 7:47Speaker 4: local press. Mildani is expected to come out and speak,
- 7:50Speaker 4: and I expect he will say it was as rosy
- 7:53Speaker 4: as possible. But you never know with Donald Trump. He's
- 7:56Speaker 4: not in a good mood, as we've seen.
- 7:58Speaker 1: And who knows?
- 7:59Speaker 4: Does he finally have enough of this communist, as he
- 8:02Speaker 4: likes to call him?
- 8:05Speaker 6: Well, that's if he can get to New York. I'm
- 8:06Speaker 6: not sure whether or not this will be applicable to
- 8:08Speaker 6: Air Force One's movements, but the FAA is now listing
- 8:11Speaker 6: ground stops to all major New York area airports. New York, JFK,
- 8:16Speaker 6: and LaGuardia, at least as it stands now at 1.11 p.m.
- 8:20Speaker 6: Eastern Time, a ground stop for all New York area airports.
- 8:23Speaker 11: In the middle. of U.N.
- 8:24Speaker 6: General Assembly week. We'll, of course, keep you updated on
- 8:27Speaker 6: that story as we consider what might be on the agenda, though,
- 8:30Speaker 6: for these talks between Trump and Mom Donnie. Let's just
- 8:32Speaker 6: remind ourselves how the president talked about the mayor and
- 8:36Speaker 6: what he hoped he might accomplish when he visited the
- 8:39Speaker 6: White House back in November.
- 8:41Speaker 1: I just want to congratulate. I think you're going to have, hopefully,
- 8:44Speaker 1: a really great mayor.
- 8:46Speaker 12: The better he.
- 8:47Speaker 1: Does, the happier I am, I will say. There's no
- 8:50Speaker 1: difference in party. There's no difference in anything.
- 8:52Speaker 9: And we're going to be helping him to make everybody's
- 8:56Speaker 9: dream come true, having a strong and very safe New York.
- 8:59Speaker 12: And congratulations, Mr.
- 9:00Speaker 8: Mayor.
- 9:03Speaker 6: The better he does, the happier I am.
- 9:05Speaker 1: Just hearing that back.
- 9:06Speaker 6: Rick, it's pretty remarkable. I wonder if you expect, to
- 9:09Speaker 6: Jeannie's point, that if things have cooled off, that the
- 9:11Speaker 6: rhetoric may not quite match that today.
- 9:13Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I think it probably will.
- 9:15Speaker 2: I mean, like, I think it's a bromance in the
- 9:18Speaker 2: sense that Mondani needs him.
- 9:20Speaker 1: He is a big purse, right?
- 9:22Speaker 2: And Mondani needs federal dollars to do what he wants
- 9:25Speaker 2: to do in the city.
- 9:26Speaker 1: And Donald Trump legitimately loves New York, right?
- 9:29Speaker 2: I mean, his entire life is built around this New York—
- 9:33Speaker 2: you know, mythos that he has that, you know, he's
- 9:36Speaker 2: done more for New York City than anybody else. And
- 9:38Speaker 2: I wouldn't be surprised if they announced some big infrastructure
- 9:41Speaker 2: project that they'll work on together with federal funds. And,
- 9:45Speaker 2: you know, it's exactly the kind of thing Donald Trump
- 9:46Speaker 2: loves to do. And it will leave a lot of
- 9:50Speaker 2: political observers scratching their head because they're wondering, why are
- 9:53Speaker 2: we boosting the efforts of a democratic socialist at a
- 9:58Speaker 2: time when we're knee-deep into a midterm election?
- 10:02Speaker 7: Well, we're going to be spending some time a little
- 10:04Speaker 7: bit later this hour talking more about the situation in
- 10:08Speaker 7: Iran with Heather Conley from the American Enterprise Institute. I'm
- 10:12Speaker 7: curious to ask you all about this post today about AI,
- 10:15Speaker 7: because the president's going to be talking to President Xi here.
- 10:17Speaker 7: And you know that in all of the bilaterals at UNGA,
- 10:20Speaker 7: this is going to come up. On Truth Social, short
- 10:23Speaker 7: time ago, the same people that said we'll all be
- 10:25Speaker 7: dead in 12 years because of global warming, a name
- 10:28Speaker 7: since reborn to climate change. let me read down here,
- 10:31Speaker 7: are now telling us that AI is going to kill us,
- 10:34Speaker 7: robots are going to attack us, and everything is a disaster.
- 10:37Speaker 1: He calls it a hoax again.
- 10:39Speaker 7: More of a hoax than Russia, Russia, Russia, Ukraine, Ukraine, Ukraine, Ukraine,
- 10:45Speaker 7: and climate change. Rick Davis, should we expect anything on
- 10:49Speaker 7: AI when the president sits down with President Xi that
- 10:53Speaker 7: might include a security agreement? a framework of some sort
- 10:57Speaker 7: that they could carry on to another day?
- 10:59Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't imagine that the president would want to
- 11:01Speaker 2: cut a deal that he's not willing to cut with Xi,
- 11:04Speaker 2: with what he's willing to cut with his own domestic industry, right?
- 11:08Speaker 2: He's basically said unbridled growth, knock yourselves out, keep moving.
- 11:14Speaker 2: It's a missed opportunity if it doesn't happen because We
- 11:16Speaker 2: need to start putting some communication channels together with the
- 11:20Speaker 2: other country in the world that's got this kind of
- 11:23Speaker 2: unbridled development in AI space. And certainly, even if you
- 11:28Speaker 2: wrapped it around cyber attacks and said, well, we can't
- 11:31Speaker 2: allow these cyber attacks on either side to keep going
- 11:35Speaker 2: because now it is supercharged.
- 11:38Speaker 8: Right.
- 11:38Speaker 2: With AI enabling could really cause a lot of damage.
- 11:41Speaker 2: So you'd hope that something could come out of there.
- 11:44Speaker 2: But I don't get the impression, based especially on the
- 11:48Speaker 2: conversations that the team around Trump have had with the Chinese,
- 11:52Speaker 2: that they're prepping for any kind of notable agreement around AI.
- 11:58Speaker 6: Well, and as we consider where the president's coming from
- 12:00Speaker 6: on the AI issue and wanting to compete with China
- 12:03Speaker 6: on it or coordinate in some way, the latter half
- 12:07Speaker 6: of after the hoax part of this true social post,
- 12:09Speaker 6: Jeannie says, I'm not going to stifle growth of something
- 12:12Speaker 6: that will be bigger than the industrial revolution or the
- 12:15Speaker 6: internet itself. How much of this in Trump's mind is
- 12:19Speaker 6: just as much a question of economics and of a
- 12:22Speaker 6: CapEx boom and a construction boom that he wants to
- 12:25Speaker 6: see in this country than it is about having the
- 12:27Speaker 6: actual security initiative, the security edge on China.
- 12:34Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, it's hard to tell.
- 12:35Speaker 4: I think based on his past, we would think that
- 12:38Speaker 4: it is the economic, the growth.
- 12:40Speaker 12: Aspect of things.
- 12:42Speaker 4: But, you know, you look at this truth social and
- 12:44Speaker 4: the president is comparing AI to the climate change hoax.
- 12:50Speaker 1: Well, climate change is not a hoax.
- 12:52Speaker 4: So if his argument is that AI is equivalent to that,
- 12:56Speaker 4: we better all be very, very worried about what he
- 12:59Speaker 4: is thinking and doing. I mean, this is where we
- 13:02Speaker 4: are today. Climate change is not a hoax. It is
- 13:06Speaker 4: an existential threat to.
- 13:07Speaker 3: The entire world.
- 13:09Speaker 4: We can see it day in and day out, as
- 13:11Speaker 4: much as he wants to get out of the Paris
- 13:13Speaker 4: Accords and otherwise. And if AI is, in his mind,
- 13:17Speaker 4: the same thing, we are all in very, very big trouble.
- 13:21Speaker 4: And this is the problem with what the president is saying.
- 13:24Speaker 4: He cannot get his message right. He is the president.
- 13:28Speaker 4: He should be able to tell us that we can
- 13:31Speaker 4: have growth, we can have security, and we can do
- 13:35Speaker 4: that all in a safe way that doesn't challenge the
- 13:38Speaker 4: basic existence of human beings going forward. And yet, what
- 13:41Speaker 4: does he tell us? It's a hoax like something else
- 13:45Speaker 4: that is actually not a hoax. Somebody's got to get
- 13:47Speaker 4: his messaging straight.
- 13:49Speaker 1: It is not working.
- 13:51Speaker 7: What's this in our remaining minute then, Rick Davis? What's
- 13:54Speaker 7: this AI force thing? This is something he's comparing to
- 13:58Speaker 7: Space Force. Would this be to accelerate AI or control it?
- 14:02Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that the way the president seems to
- 14:04Speaker 2: like to platform these various police agencies, if you want
- 14:08Speaker 2: to call it that, is to create an entity that
- 14:11Speaker 2: he can build this kind of image around.
- 14:14Speaker 8: Uh-uh.
- 14:15Speaker 2: Before he's actually thought through, like, what is it they're
- 14:17Speaker 2: supposed to do? I mean, the Space Force has turned
- 14:19Speaker 2: into a real thing.
- 14:20Speaker 1: You know, there's no criticism of that. I mean, it
- 14:22Speaker 1: was in time coming.
- 14:24Speaker 2: ICE has turned into something that I'm not sure we
- 14:26Speaker 2: want to get into right now.
- 14:27Speaker 1: But suffice it to say, he likes.
- 14:29Speaker 2: These kinds of entities to build a concept around to
- 14:33Speaker 2: be determined in the future what they actually do.
- 14:36Speaker 7: Rick Davis, Jeanne Shanzano, thank you both for great analysis.
- 14:40Speaker 7: With the redhead on the terminal, FAA listing ground stops
- 14:43Speaker 7: now to all major New York area airports.
- 14:47Speaker 1: Take your pick. Stay with us on Balance of Power.
- 14:50Speaker 1: We'll have much more coming up after this.
- 14:55Speaker 5: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch
- 14:58Speaker 5: us live weekdays at noon and 5 p.m. Eastern on
- 15:02Speaker 5: Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app.
- 15:05Speaker 5: You can also listen live on Amazon Alexa from our
- 15:08Speaker 5: flagship New York station.
- 15:10Speaker 1: Just say Alexa, play Bloomberg 1130.
- 15:12Speaker 6: That huge Hollywood merger apparently can go ahead. as a
- 15:19Speaker 6: number of state attorneys general who, of course, brought suit
- 15:21Speaker 6: against Paramount's guidance for its acquisition of Warner Brothers Discovery,
- 15:25Speaker 6: is settling with the companies, per our reporting here at Bloomberg.
- 15:29Speaker 6: This will include a number of things, Joe, including a
- 15:32Speaker 6: mandatory number of film releases each year and some other
- 15:36Speaker 6: conditions that the settlement is based on. But this essentially
- 15:39Speaker 6: guarantees that it won't be a prolonged court battle that
- 15:42Speaker 6: risks having Paramount spend a bunch and bunch of money
- 15:45Speaker 6: over delayed finalization of this merger.
- 15:47Speaker 7: Investors are certainly keying off of this, as Charlie mentioned.
- 15:50Speaker 7: Both stocks are moving higher. Geetha Ranganatham is the Bloomberg
- 15:55Speaker 7: Intelligence Media Analyst and covering this story for us with
- 15:59Speaker 7: the very latest. Geetha, thanks for coming along here on
- 16:01Speaker 7: Balance of Power. Is this done effectively or are there
- 16:04Speaker 7: more approvals to take place?
- 16:08Speaker 11: Yeah, I think, Joe, we're pretty much at the end
- 16:11Speaker 11: of the road here. So this has been a really
- 16:13Speaker 11: long saga, starting with this whole Paramount Netflix battle for
- 16:16Speaker 11: Warner Brothers Discovery. And then, of course, Paramount kind of
- 16:19Speaker 11: putting in the winning bid. And then we've seen about
- 16:21Speaker 11: almost five months now of all this litigation. I think
- 16:24Speaker 11: the big thing here, Joe, was really whether, you know,
- 16:27Speaker 11: Paramount would have to go in for some huge structural
- 16:30Speaker 11: remedies that.
- 16:30Speaker 3: Would ultimately help alter the economics of the transaction.
- 16:35Speaker 11: Because remember, we are banking on $ 6 billion in synergies.
- 16:39Speaker 11: And had they kind of had to negotiate any big
- 16:44Speaker 11: cable network divestiture, it would have directly affected the realization
- 16:51Speaker 11: of those synergies. But it looks like the The concessions
- 16:55Speaker 11: are really very, very reasonable.
- 16:56Speaker 3: I mean, they have to.
- 16:57Speaker 11: Agree to 30 films by both studios. There's a certain
- 17:02Speaker 11: amount of investment, a $ 1. 5 billion investment in California production.
- 17:06Speaker 11: They're keeping the two studio operations separate.
- 17:09Speaker 3: But all in all, very, very manageable.
- 17:13Speaker 6: Well, and keeping in mind that the attorney general who
- 17:17Speaker 6: was really leading the way on this was the California
- 17:19Speaker 6: AG Rob Bonta. He was just on Bloomberg TV last
- 17:22Speaker 6: week talking about how a sale of intellectual property could
- 17:25Speaker 6: be a component of this. Is that not what we're
- 17:27Speaker 6: looking at and how how important is that?
- 17:31Speaker 11: Yeah, and that was, you know, his whole commentary, Kayleigh, around,
- 17:35Speaker 11: you know, not really favoring behavioral remedies and wanting structural remedies.
- 17:40Speaker 3: And you just pointed to that as sale of IP.
- 17:42Speaker 11: And so, you know, I think investors were kind of
- 17:44Speaker 11: thinking whether they would have to let go of some
- 17:47Speaker 11: of the Warner titles, like a DC Comics, like a
- 17:49Speaker 11: Harry Potter, like a Dune, you know, which would then
- 17:51Speaker 11: really affect, I think, the whole point of the transaction.
- 17:55Speaker 3: But it looks like they've gotten away without that. It's
- 17:58Speaker 3: just the promise.
- 17:59Speaker 11: And of course, it's not just a promise, but also
- 18:01Speaker 11: a penalty in case they fail to get to those
- 18:04Speaker 11: 30 theatrical releases. But remember, we're already at 30 theatrical releases,
- 18:10Speaker 11: you know, for both of the studios. So again, doesn't
- 18:13Speaker 11: seem anything that is too onerous here.
- 18:17Speaker 7: All right.
- 18:17Speaker 6: Geetha Ranganathan from Bloomberg Intelligence. Thank you so much. And
- 18:20Speaker 6: I would point out that the aforementioned California Attorney General
- 18:24Speaker 6: Rob Bonta just began a press conference in Los Angeles
- 18:27Speaker 6: announcing that, yes, the states have reached a settlement on
- 18:30Speaker 6: the paramount Warner Brothers deal. Any further detail we get
- 18:34Speaker 6: from him beyond what Bloomberg has already reported, of course,
- 18:36Speaker 6: we'll bring to you here on Bloomberg TV and radio.
- 18:39Speaker 6: And as we track that story domestically and the crossover
- 18:43Speaker 6: in policy and business, we're of course tracking a number
- 18:46Speaker 6: of other stories geopolitically as well, especially as the UN
- 18:49Speaker 6: General Assembly gets underway in New York with a number
- 18:52Speaker 6: of key meetings we understand President Trump has on the books,
- 18:55Speaker 6: including a meeting with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and an
- 18:58Speaker 6: expected meeting with the heads of Gulf.
- 18:59Speaker 1: States as well, Joe. Yeah, that's going to be an
- 19:01Speaker 1: interesting moment.
- 19:02Speaker 7: The Gulf Cooperation Council, that's Saudi, UAE, Qatar, Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman,
- 19:07Speaker 7: unclear exactly what it might generate, but they will be
- 19:10Speaker 7: in a room with President Trump for the first time
- 19:14Speaker 7: in some time since this initial invasion took place or
- 19:18Speaker 7: the strikes began, I should say. The agenda will be
- 19:21Speaker 7: the post-war outlook, Kayleigh. And for many, that seems a
- 19:26Speaker 7: long way off.
- 19:27Speaker 6: Considering we're still in the war, at least at some
- 19:30Speaker 6: low intensity level of it as we speak. So for more,
- 19:33Speaker 6: we turn to Heather Conley, who's joining us from the
- 19:35Speaker 6: American Enterprise Institute, where she's a senior fellow. She's also
- 19:37Speaker 6: former Deputy Assistant Secretary of State in the Bureau of
- 19:41Speaker 6: Eurasian and European Affairs in the George W. Bush administration.
- 19:44Speaker 6: And she's back with us in our Washington, DC studio. Heather,
- 19:48Speaker 6: always good to have you. As Joe talks about this
- 19:51Speaker 6: group looking at what the post-war Middle East is going
- 19:54Speaker 6: to look like, how long is it even going to
- 19:55Speaker 6: be until we can get to that post-war stage?
- 19:57Speaker 10: Yeah, I think we are in this at least through
- 19:59Speaker 10: the midterm election. I think the Iranians particularly believe and
- 20:02Speaker 10: have clear conviction that they want to endure the pain
- 20:07Speaker 10: to maximize our pain and the president's pain until the election. Joe,
- 20:12Speaker 10: you mentioned the meeting of the Gulf states. I would
- 20:16Speaker 10: have said two weeks ago, it was starting to look
- 20:18Speaker 10: like the Gulf states were formulating a way forward, a
- 20:23Speaker 10: negotiating way forward that perhaps the president would accept, but
- 20:27Speaker 10: even that fell apart. And the Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia...
- 20:31Speaker 10: have really put, I think, the war and the regional
- 20:34Speaker 10: war into a new context.
- 20:36Speaker 7: I want to ask you about the New York Times
- 20:38Speaker 7: reporting today about the president's decision to not attack the
- 20:42Speaker 7: Houthis with a phone call From MBS, that resulted in
- 20:49Speaker 7: the president acknowledging the issue and agreeing to take action here,
- 20:54Speaker 7: to take advantage of this moment and pound the Houthi rebels,
- 20:58Speaker 7: much like the administration already had done. By midday Sunday,
- 21:03Speaker 7: the Times writes, the president appeared to have reversed himself again.
- 21:07Speaker 7: Does this give us a sense of the lack of
- 21:09Speaker 7: long-term planning behind this effort?
- 21:12Speaker 10: So I think we know now the president likes to
- 21:15Speaker 10: crowdsource information, getting lots of different perspectives. That may be
- 21:20Speaker 10: fantastic for domestic policy. I think it has its clear
- 21:23Speaker 10: limits in foreign and national security policy. You have to
- 21:27Speaker 10: have a clear-eyed approach of what is in U.S. national
- 21:30Speaker 10: security interest, who are your allies, who are your adversaries,
- 21:33Speaker 10: and you have to have credible, consistent policy approaches to
- 21:38Speaker 10: The fact that there has been really no meaningful defense
- 21:42Speaker 10: of Saudi Arabia against these attacks, and these attacks are
- 21:45Speaker 10: getting more serious close to Mecca. The attack on the
- 21:48Speaker 10: Riyadh airport, this is really striking at the heart of
- 21:52Speaker 10: Saudi's security and economy.
- 21:54Speaker 7: They were loading bombs onto planes when he changed his mind.
- 21:58Speaker 10: This is what I mean. You have to be clear,
- 22:01Speaker 10: you have to make the call, and you have to
- 22:03Speaker 10: carry it through. And so allies can't support us because
- 22:07Speaker 10: they don't know when we're going to U-turn, and adversaries
- 22:09Speaker 10: are going to take advantage of the ambiguity, the weakness,
- 22:14Speaker 10: and will continue to probe as the Houthis have done.
- 22:16Speaker 10: So the Saudis really have an enormous challenge. If the
- 22:19Speaker 10: US is not going to step forward, They had developed
- 22:22Speaker 10: a Mecca defense agreement with Pakistan and Turkey, but that
- 22:26Speaker 10: is something that's not appropriate to pre-existing conditions, which sounds
- 22:29Speaker 10: like a health issue.
- 22:30Speaker 1: But it's the.
- 22:32Speaker 10: Conflict with Houthis, and they haven't come forward. So the
- 22:34Speaker 10: Saudis really feel like they are alone right now, and
- 22:37Speaker 10: it's unclear if they are able to stop these attacks.
- 22:42Speaker 6: Well, it's unclear if Russia is going to be able
- 22:44Speaker 6: to stop Ukrainian attacks against its energy infrastructure as well,
- 22:48Speaker 6: as we saw a really intense, perhaps the most intense
- 22:51Speaker 6: of the year in terms of Ukraine sending drones into
- 22:54Speaker 6: Russian territory and damaging refineries in particular. President Trump posted
- 22:59Speaker 6: on True Social this morning, Russia has unfortunately lost control
- 23:02Speaker 6: of its diesel oil industry due to its war with Ukraine.
- 23:07Speaker 6: He notes a large number of their diesel refineries have
- 23:09Speaker 6: been blown up and are at least temporarily out of commission. This,
- 23:11Speaker 6: of course, is creating some headache for the president at home,
- 23:14Speaker 6: as we see diesel at about $ 6. 50 a gallon. But
- 23:18Speaker 6: is he right that Russia is starting to lose control
- 23:21Speaker 6: in some way, Heather?
- 23:22Speaker 10: Well, certainly Russia has lost an enormous amount of refining
- 23:25Speaker 10: capacity because of Ukrainian targets against Russian refineries to stop
- 23:32Speaker 10: them from fueling the Russian war against Ukraine. And it's
- 23:36Speaker 10: unfortunate that the president described it as unfortunately. Ukraine is
- 23:39Speaker 10: doing this because Russia has launched a full-scale invasion for
- 23:44Speaker 10: four and a half years. Certainly, it's exacerbating the global
- 23:48Speaker 10: diesel problem. But again, this is not the only explanation.
- 23:51Speaker 10: You have to put this square on the Strait of Hormuz,
- 23:55Speaker 10: the Iran conflict.
- 23:57Speaker 1: But you're right, Kelly.
- 23:59Speaker 10: We really need to understand that the Russia-Ukraine war has
- 24:02Speaker 10: intensified on both sides. The Ukrainians were sending a clear
- 24:05Speaker 10: message on the last day of voting, put that in quotes,
- 24:08Speaker 10: and the Russia Duma elections, they were signaling that this
- 24:11Speaker 10: war is coming to Russia. And the Russians have just
- 24:14Speaker 10: incredible evisceration of Kiev, Odessa. They nearly hit a train
- 24:19Speaker 10: with European dignitaries. They're increasing their kinetic activity in Russia.
- 24:24Speaker 10: This is getting extremely serious on both sides. And so
- 24:28Speaker 10: we have to pay great attention. You have a European
- 24:31Speaker 10: intelligence agency's warning that they do not like the signaling
- 24:34Speaker 10: that's coming from from Russia and potentially challenging NATO sovereignty.
- 24:40Speaker 10: So I think this is something we have to watch.
- 24:42Speaker 10: The diesel is important, but the acceleration and intensification of
- 24:46Speaker 10: this have broader concerns for Europe.
- 24:48Speaker 7: Bloomberg is reporting that Ukrainians are preparing for their worst
- 24:50Speaker 7: wartime winter yet. To think that Russia claims it downed
- 24:55Speaker 7: 1,000 Ukrainian drones at the Moscow refinery. This was the
- 25:00Speaker 7: biggest collection of drones ever. and saw a similar swarm
- 25:03Speaker 7: in Crimea. Will that be the case in advance of
- 25:06Speaker 7: this winter as they try to.
- 25:07Speaker 1: Move the needle?
- 25:08Speaker 10: I think they're both sides are going to really try
- 25:11Speaker 10: to cripple the other's economy. And the Russians have now
- 25:15Speaker 10: been targeting Ukrainian gas stations, supermarkets, I mean, anything, their
- 25:20Speaker 10: mining capability, their steel capability, anything. And that's going to
- 25:23Speaker 10: place a burden on Europe to continue to fund that.
- 25:26Speaker 10: And Ukrainian advances on their long-range drones, they are hitting
- 25:30Speaker 10: Arctic refineries, which also caught the attention of the administration
- 25:34Speaker 10: because the Arctic LNG is actually a growth area for Russia.
- 25:38Speaker 10: So this is what I mean. This is going to be,
- 25:40Speaker 10: and Zelensky's right, this is going to be an incredibly
- 25:43Speaker 10: intense era. And don't forget, the Russians helped the Iranians,
- 25:46Speaker 10: the Iranians helped the Russians. So those two theaters are...
- 25:49Speaker 10: are interacting very closely right now.
- 25:51Speaker 7: Incredible the capabilities that they did not possess at the
- 25:54Speaker 7: beginning of this war that they're now using. Heather, it's
- 25:56Speaker 7: great to have you back. Heather Connolly, American Enterprise Institute,
- 25:59Speaker 7: live in Washington. Congressman Don Beyer, the Democrat from Virginia,
- 26:03Speaker 7: is up next.
- 26:04Speaker 1: Stay with us on Balance of Power. We'll have much
- 26:07Speaker 1: more coming up after this.
- 26:12Speaker 5: You're listening to the Bloomberg Balance of Power podcast. Catch
- 26:16Speaker 5: us live weekdays at noon and 5 p.m. Eastern on
- 26:19Speaker 5: Apple CarPlay and Android Auto with the Bloomberg Business app.
- 26:22Speaker 5: Listen on demand wherever you get your podcasts or watch
- 26:26Speaker 5: us live on YouTube.
- 26:28Speaker 6: We're continuing to follow the ground stop at all of
- 26:31Speaker 6: the major New York area airports, JFK, LaGuardia. Newark and
- 26:37Speaker 6: even Teterboro, the private jet airport, all being affected right
- 26:40Speaker 6: now because of an outage in an air traffic control
- 26:43Speaker 6: facility in Philadelphia. So let's get more on this as
- 26:46Speaker 6: we turn to Sid Phillip, Bloomberg News chief correspondent for
- 26:49Speaker 6: Global Aviation. Sid, refresh my memory here. Is this not
- 26:52Speaker 6: the same Philadelphia facility that was causing issues last year?
- 26:57Speaker 6: Is it facility specific or is this just a wider
- 27:00Speaker 6: issue that we have across the country with air traffic control?
- 27:03Speaker 13: So this is a wider issue across the country, but
- 27:06Speaker 13: this is the same facility that had that issue last year.
- 27:09Speaker 13: So this is a facility that previously had those outages
- 27:13Speaker 13: that led to multiple disruptions last year, and the FAA
- 27:18Speaker 13: says that this outage is because a primary circuit to
- 27:22Speaker 13: the facility failed and the backup circuit was not available
- 27:28Speaker 13: because it was cut.
- 27:32Speaker 7: This is why they installed a waterfall at LaGuardia. We
- 27:35Speaker 7: all need therapy while we're waiting around in these endless
- 27:39Speaker 7: delays here. Sid, I don't know what this means in
- 27:42Speaker 7: terms of a financial impact for the airlines, but the
- 27:46Speaker 7: carriers are at the mercy of an air traffic control
- 27:49Speaker 7: system that we were promised would be upgraded months and
- 27:52Speaker 7: months ago.
- 27:52Speaker 1: What's the status?
- 27:53Speaker 13: So they've been talking about how they've begun the process
- 27:57Speaker 13: of installing brand new air traffic control systems. They've been upgrading...
- 28:01Speaker 13: old technology but given that these things take time it
- 28:05Speaker 13: will be some years before any of these systems are
- 28:09Speaker 13: sort of up and running across the country they just
- 28:13Speaker 13: sort of coincidentally introduced a new ai powered system in
- 28:17Speaker 13: the dc area so we remains to be seen whether
- 28:21Speaker 13: or not these upgrades will improve and increase resilience in
- 28:26Speaker 13: the air traffic control system.
- 28:29Speaker 6: Well, as you mentioned, the D.C. area, President Trump is
- 28:31Speaker 6: expected to depart on Air Force One later this afternoon,
- 28:35Speaker 6: making his way to the U.N. General Assembly in New York. Sid,
- 28:39Speaker 6: do ground stops typically apply to the president's travel? I
- 28:43Speaker 6: don't know if you know the answer to that question,
- 28:45Speaker 6: but would it be universal across all aircraft?
- 28:48Speaker 13: It will be universal across all aircraft, but the FAA
- 28:52Speaker 13: could put some sort of exception for the president. But
- 28:56Speaker 13: in terms of if you're a regular Joe flying— At
- 28:59Speaker 13: the moment, you're kind of grounded.
- 29:00Speaker 1: I don't think that's good for me. Sid, thank you.
- 29:05Speaker 7: We appreciate your coming in. Sid Phillip with us live
- 29:07Speaker 7: from New York. We'll let you know if this resolves.
- 29:10Speaker 7: This has suddenly become part of our rolling coverage here.
- 29:12Speaker 7: And yes, to Kaylee's point, this will play into... whether
- 29:16Speaker 7: President Trump gets to New York or it'll certainly be
- 29:19Speaker 7: something that we're talking about as he arrives. He's set
- 29:21Speaker 7: to depart a couple of hours from now. I'm going
- 29:24Speaker 7: to refer to something else that Kayleigh Lyons mentioned in
- 29:27Speaker 7: the newsroom, as this was all perking a little while ago.
- 29:30Speaker 7: Imagine an air traffic control situation at DCA, Reagan National Airport.
- 29:37Speaker 1: At the same time, the drones are swarming. out of
- 29:40Speaker 1: the arch.
- 29:41Speaker 7: That's what President Trump is proposing, that the triumphal arch
- 29:44Speaker 7: that would go outside Arlington National Cemetery, and yes, in
- 29:48Speaker 7: the flight path for landings at National Airport at 250
- 29:53Speaker 7: feet tall, he now says will be a military installation
- 29:57Speaker 7: complete with an armory to support a sniper's nest and
- 30:01Speaker 7: a drone port in this massive structure. Someone has been
- 30:07Speaker 7: looking at this for weeks now and has been talking
- 30:10Speaker 7: about it, and that's the congressman from the neighboring district
- 30:15Speaker 7: in Virginia. Don Beyer, the Democrat from Virginia's 8th District
- 30:19Speaker 7: and a member of the House Ways and Means Committee,
- 30:21Speaker 7: is with us right now on Balance of Power. It's
- 30:23Speaker 7: been a long time, Congressman, and it's great to have
- 30:25Speaker 7: you back on Bloomberg TV and radio. This piece of
- 30:29Speaker 7: land is actually, as I understand it, in the District
- 30:32Speaker 7: of Columbia.
- 30:33Speaker 1: Can you stop it from being built?
- 30:35Speaker 12: We're going to try, Joe.
- 30:36Speaker 9: And there are major lawsuits. primarily from the veterans groups,
- 30:42Speaker 9: people who have relatives buried there, as my grandparents, my mother,
- 30:46Speaker 9: my father, my sister are all buried there.
- 30:48Speaker 12: That's probably the best way of stopping it.
- 30:50Speaker 9: And I think the president knows he's going to lose
- 30:53Speaker 9: the lawsuit, which is why he's come up with this
- 30:56Speaker 9: harebrained idea to put drones and ammunition and snipers all
- 31:01Speaker 9: right in the middle of the flight path of the
- 31:03Speaker 9: most dangerous commercial airport in America.
- 31:07Speaker 6: Well, so as we consider that proposed plan, if making
- 31:11Speaker 6: it a quasi-military complex is the way to get around
- 31:14Speaker 6: legal issues, what impact do you expect it would actually
- 31:17Speaker 6: have on your district? On, for example, as we were
- 31:19Speaker 6: discussing air traffic in and out of DCA. I just
- 31:23Speaker 6: wonder what you're hearing about this as you are consulted.
- 31:26Speaker 8: Yeah.
- 31:27Speaker 9: Yeah, well, Kayleigh, already this thing would be half the
- 31:31Speaker 9: height of the Washington Monument, two and a half times
- 31:33Speaker 9: the size of the Lincoln Memorial. I spent last week
- 31:37Speaker 9: a morning in the air traffic control tower at Reagan
- 31:40Speaker 9: National Airport. None of the air traffic controllers want this.
- 31:43Speaker 9: They point out it's already very difficult to come.
- 31:47Speaker 12: In from the north.
- 31:48Speaker 9: You put a swarm of drones, it becomes impossible. And
- 31:51Speaker 9: then there was the whole idea of.
- 31:52Speaker 12: Making an armory.
- 31:55Speaker 9: I'm amused when the French Revolution started when they stormed
- 31:57Speaker 9: the Bastille, not because there were political prisoners there, because
- 32:01Speaker 9: that's where all the ammunition was. You're just telegraphing to
- 32:05Speaker 9: our enemies around the world.
- 32:07Speaker 12: You want to make a difference? Hit that arch.
- 32:10Speaker 7: Originally, there were going to be staircases. People could climb
- 32:13Speaker 7: the arch to an observation deck. I'm guessing that's been
- 32:17Speaker 7: taken out of the plan, Congressman. Does making this a
- 32:20Speaker 7: military facility change the dynamic legally when it comes to
- 32:23Speaker 7: building this?
- 32:25Speaker 12: I think that's what Trump wants.
- 32:27Speaker 9: I keep trying to imagine tourists coming up there and
- 32:29Speaker 9: standing side by side with the.
- 32:30Speaker 12: Snipers on the top.
- 32:32Speaker 9: And by the way, the only place you could shoot
- 32:34Speaker 9: from up there would be people traveling on the parkway
- 32:37Speaker 9: at high speed or going across the bridge. It's a
- 32:40Speaker 9: silly place to put a sniper. But I think Justice Trump,
- 32:43Speaker 9: he won a Supreme Court decision on the ballroom by
- 32:48Speaker 9: saying that it was going to be part of his
- 32:50Speaker 9: national security.
- 32:51Speaker 12: So I guess he's trying to follow up on that.
- 32:55Speaker 6: Yeah, of course, as these legal battles continue to play out,
- 32:58Speaker 6: there's other ones going on as well. Congressman, I'm sure
- 33:01Speaker 6: you saw that three news organizations, CNN, MSNOW, and Politico,
- 33:05Speaker 6: all of which were banned from the White House by
- 33:07Speaker 6: the president on Friday, have now filed suit in federal
- 33:10Speaker 6: court saying that this is in violation of the First
- 33:13Speaker 6: Amendment right to free speech. Is there anything Congress— can
- 33:18Speaker 6: do here when it comes to the issue of the
- 33:22Speaker 6: president deciding which outlets he is willing to allow into
- 33:25Speaker 6: the Oval Office to cover him? Or is this an
- 33:27Speaker 6: issue that is best left for the judicial branch to decide?
- 33:33Speaker 9: Well, Kayleigh, we can't do anything between now and the election.
- 33:36Speaker 9: I mean, Mike Johnson has us all home for seven weeks.
- 33:39Speaker 9: If Democrats take back the House, we will certainly try
- 33:42Speaker 9: to do it. However, we shouldn't need to. I mean,
- 33:45Speaker 9: the Constitution is very clear. This First Amendment right to
- 33:49Speaker 9: free press, freedom of press. And we point out that
- 33:52Speaker 9: this is what dictators and autocrats do whenever they seize
- 33:55Speaker 9: power around the world.
- 33:56Speaker 12: The first thing they do is shut down the press.
- 33:58Speaker 9: And I've been very heartened that the other major news
- 34:01Speaker 9: organizations have said that they will come together and refuse
- 34:04Speaker 9: to participate in the presidential pools.
- 34:08Speaker 7: Congressman, you know a lot about the price of gasoline
- 34:12Speaker 7: and its impact on the economy, its impact on consumers
- 34:15Speaker 7: as a longtime auto dealer. And I'm curious your thoughts
- 34:18Speaker 7: on what is a new record today for diesel at 651.
- 34:22Speaker 7: I think we're at 447 for a gallon of regular gas.
- 34:26Speaker 7: For those of us who are driving cars here, 447 gallons.
- 34:30Speaker 7: In your state of Virginia, we're at $ 4.
- 34:32Speaker 1: 18.
- 34:33Speaker 7: There's a big question about whether anything can be done
- 34:36Speaker 7: short of ending the war with Iran to deal with
- 34:40Speaker 7: particularly distillates like diesel and gas. Considering calls now from
- 34:46Speaker 7: the likes of everyone from Chuck Grassley to Jeff Landry,
- 34:51Speaker 7: would you support a diesel export ban if it meant
- 34:55Speaker 7: bringing prices lower?
- 34:57Speaker 9: Maybe that might be exactly the right thing. You know,
- 35:00Speaker 9: the sad part, Joe, is that these diesel prices affect
- 35:03Speaker 9: Trump voters more than anything else. You know, people who
- 35:06Speaker 9: in good faith across the country, you know, the working
- 35:08Speaker 9: men and women who are plumbing and electricians and carpenters,
- 35:12Speaker 9: and they're the ones really getting hurt by $ 6. 50 diesel.
- 35:16Speaker 9: In the meantime, all of us are paying so much
- 35:18Speaker 9: more for gas because of the foolish, poorly thought out
- 35:22Speaker 9: war in Iran, which seems to.
- 35:24Speaker 12: Have no end.
- 35:26Speaker 6: Well, if a diesel ban may be the right thing,
- 35:29Speaker 6: are you worried about the longer term impacts of an
- 35:33Speaker 6: export ban like that, Congressman? Could it not end up
- 35:35Speaker 6: actually raising prices after the short term impact and perhaps
- 35:41Speaker 6: bringing them down is over?
- 35:43Speaker 9: Yeah, Kayleigh, you're right to worry about that. It's like
- 35:46Speaker 9: the problem with the tariffs. You know, in the short run,
- 35:48Speaker 9: it gets a little extra revenue. In the long run,
- 35:50Speaker 9: you destroy the international trading system. You alienate all our
- 35:54Speaker 9: friends and partners, especially Canada. And the long term, it
- 35:57Speaker 9: just pushes prices up. You know, we've basically almost emptied
- 36:02Speaker 9: out or brought down.
- 36:03Speaker 12: To the lowest plausible level our oil reserve.
- 36:08Speaker 9: And because we started this war, the most important thing
- 36:12Speaker 9: right now would be to find a plausible peace with
- 36:15Speaker 9: the Iranians, open up the Strait of Hormuz, do something
- 36:18Speaker 9: with the Houthis, and maybe they'll back off.
- 36:21Speaker 12: We need to get the things moving again. In the meantime.
- 36:24Speaker 9: Trump took away all the incentives for solar and for
- 36:27Speaker 9: wind and for electric vehicles. We need those back, too.
- 36:31Speaker 7: Well, I was going to ask you that. Does a
- 36:34Speaker 7: persistently high price of gas... Send people back to EVs
- 36:39Speaker 7: because we saw, obviously, quite a rollover there. Some embrace
- 36:44Speaker 7: of hybrids, but people going back to the old-fashioned ICE
- 36:46Speaker 7: vehicle in this Trump administration. Does this reignite demand for
- 36:50Speaker 7: electric vehicles?
- 36:51Speaker 12: Very much so.
- 36:52Speaker 9: And in the family business that I'm no longer part of,
- 36:55Speaker 9: they're selling every electric vehicle they can get in. Very
- 36:59Speaker 9: strong market for used EVs. We're also seeing a stickiness
- 37:03Speaker 9: that once you're in an EV, you don't move back
- 37:06Speaker 9: to an internal combustion engine car. The big challenge has
- 37:09Speaker 9: been range anxiety, especially for people living in more rural areas.
- 37:13Speaker 12: But the cars are getting longer ranges every year.
- 37:16Speaker 9: And the electrification is coming, and it was foolish to
- 37:19Speaker 9: have walked away from it.
- 37:22Speaker 6: Well, of course, that's one area of technological development. There's
- 37:25Speaker 6: a whole other technological revolution perhaps happening in artificial intelligence. Congressman,
- 37:29Speaker 6: you obviously know this well, having gone back to school
- 37:32Speaker 6: for computer learning. When we consider this AI issue, knowing
- 37:36Speaker 6: President Trump is likely to talk about this with China,
- 37:38Speaker 6: Xi Jinping this week, and President Trump has framed this
- 37:41Speaker 6: as being a race, a competition with China. that the U.S.
- 37:44Speaker 6: needs to win? Where is the line between doing enough
- 37:47Speaker 6: to establish guardrails and making sure this technology is safe
- 37:50Speaker 6: while also not falling behind an adversary?
- 37:53Speaker 9: Well, the old but China argument, I think, is relatively thin.
- 37:58Speaker 9: I'm glad he's talking to Xi about it. But China
- 38:01Speaker 9: has been in a very different place. First of all,
- 38:04Speaker 9: all of their AI companies are owned by the Chinese government.
- 38:07Speaker 9: So they have a lot of control, a lot of
- 38:09Speaker 9: regulation already, far more regulation than we have. They also
- 38:13Speaker 9: have open weight, open source models. Ours are tightly controlled
- 38:17Speaker 9: by private companies like Anthropic and Google. Theirs are open.
- 38:22Speaker 12: And so you can see what's in it.
- 38:23Speaker 9: They're sharing them with nations and companies all over the world.
- 38:28Speaker 9: We do have to cooperate with them, but we've got
- 38:31Speaker 9: to make sure that we have our own guardrails in place, too.
- 38:36Speaker 7: Well, Congressman, it's good to have you. I know that
- 38:38Speaker 7: you're not going to be back in Washington for some time.
- 38:41Speaker 7: But just before you leave, we know the government is
- 38:43Speaker 7: funded until December 11th. Will there be a solution in
- 38:47Speaker 7: the lame duck to continue funding after that and avoid
- 38:49Speaker 7: a shutdown?
- 38:51Speaker 12: Joe, I'm very confident that there will be.
- 38:53Speaker 9: It's likely, based on all I'm reading from my appropriate friends,
- 38:57Speaker 9: to be another continuing resolution, but likely a short one,
- 39:01Speaker 9: something that will get us to the first week of January.
- 39:03Speaker 12: And I do know neither party is going to want
- 39:05Speaker 12: to shut down the government.
- 39:07Speaker 9: If Democrats take back one or both houses, we're going
- 39:10Speaker 9: to want to make sure that we put a good
- 39:12Speaker 9: budget on the president's.
- 39:13Speaker 12: Desk as soon as possible.
- 39:15Speaker 3: All right.
- 39:15Speaker 6: Democratic Congressman Don Beyer of Virginia. Thanks so much for
- 39:19Speaker 6: joining us.
- 39:22Speaker 7: Thanks for listening to the Balance of Power podcast. Make
- 39:25Speaker 7: sure to subscribe if you haven't already. at Apple, Spotify,
- 39:28Speaker 7: or wherever you get your podcasts. And you can find
- 39:30Speaker 7: us live every weekday from Washington, D.C. at noontime Eastern
- 39:34Speaker 7: at Bloomberg.com.