Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Tuesday, 02/24/26
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: All system's going clear the left?
- 0:36Speaker 2: What's going on? Sean Michael Marquee anxious? Why? I said?
- 0:40Speaker 2: Jordan's Philly fan William Danegreen, Ricky mister Reichlan, Hope everybody
- 0:46Speaker 2: out there having a great day. I'm with my man Rio.
- 0:49Speaker 2: Eight games on tap, Fandel DraftKings one hour window from
- 0:53Speaker 2: the first game to the last game. I absolutely love that.
- 0:56Speaker 2: Uh yeah, Q Tag's like always it's late February, no
- 0:58Speaker 2: surprise there.
- 1:00Speaker 3: We don't need a real doing good. Yeah, excited about
- 1:03Speaker 3: some basketball tonight. Got the big qualifier twenty eight twenty
- 1:07Speaker 3: hundred dollars qualifier, sixty seven man tournament. Got two tickets
- 1:10Speaker 3: I earned earlier this season, so hopefully come away with
- 1:13Speaker 3: a live final seats tonight.
- 1:15Speaker 2: Let's go. How many is it like top three move
- 1:18Speaker 2: on or something like, there's no way it's just one?
- 1:20Speaker 4: No, I think it's top four, top four? Nice?
- 1:22Speaker 2: Yeah? Yeah, good look you've been what how many years
- 1:26Speaker 2: is a ped in a row that you've qualified?
- 1:28Speaker 4: Three? I believe?
- 1:29Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah that sounds right. Was the Denver the first one?
- 1:32Speaker 2: Was that three years ago? To this day? Yeah, or
- 1:35Speaker 2: to this day, but like to the year Yeah, I
- 1:37Speaker 2: think so. I did just get a memory not too
- 1:40Speaker 2: long ago on Snapchat. Sometimes it's like a random one.
- 1:43Speaker 2: But when we were in Denver, Yeah, a lot of fun. Yeah,
- 1:47Speaker 2: a lot of fun for sure, where I met Rio.
- 1:50Speaker 2: Appreciate that Ricky we got d in here. Yeah, I
- 1:53Speaker 2: think I said hi to everybody. Any broad slid obviously,
- 1:55Speaker 2: eight games, not too much time to waste Q tags
- 1:58Speaker 2: like emb first game. We're gonna have Q tags the
- 2:01Speaker 2: rest of the year like usual. Any tanking stuff you
- 2:04Speaker 2: want to talk about anything before we go game by game.
- 2:09Speaker 4: No, I don't think so. I guess.
- 2:12Speaker 3: Like the kind of sad news today, Vince Williams ended
- 2:15Speaker 3: up tearing his acl last night.
- 2:16Speaker 4: It's kind of a I don't know.
- 2:18Speaker 3: It looked like a little bit of a dirty play
- 2:19Speaker 3: by Tari Easton. I don't know if Tari is really
- 2:21Speaker 3: a dirty player, but just kind of like unneeded, unnecessary
- 2:25Speaker 3: contact on him on a breakaway play and then he
- 2:28Speaker 3: it's one who's landed really awkwardly, probably just destroyed every
- 2:31Speaker 3: single ligment in his knee.
- 2:33Speaker 4: So really tough to see.
- 2:34Speaker 3: Because I actually kind of like him as a player
- 2:36Speaker 3: for the Jazz the next couple of years, I can
- 2:39Speaker 3: help compete and help help the team win and like
- 2:41Speaker 3: him as a backup guard. Yeah, just just tough scene there,
- 2:45Speaker 3: But yeah, it's kind of there's a lot of press
- 2:48Speaker 3: Carmens this morning from Rick Carli.
- 2:49Speaker 4: He's basically just shitting on the NBA about the whole
- 2:51Speaker 4: time and stuff. Yeah, I love it.
- 2:53Speaker 3: I mean, it's just it's crazy that the NBA is
- 2:57Speaker 3: like choosing this season to of all, to really crack
- 3:00Speaker 3: down on the tanking. Went It's been happening in a
- 3:02Speaker 3: big way over the last like seven or eight seasons.
- 3:05Speaker 2: Would you say it's happened like it feels this year?
- 3:08Speaker 2: That definitely correct me if I'm wrong that it's happened
- 3:10Speaker 2: earlier this year than it really ever has though.
- 3:13Speaker 3: Yeah, probably, But I think a lot of that is
- 3:15Speaker 3: just because this draft is so strong and there's a
- 3:18Speaker 3: lot of these teams that are tanking, Like if they
- 3:21Speaker 3: fall out of a certain range of their pick, they
- 3:23Speaker 3: won't they won't have their pick anymore. So it's like, yeah,
- 3:26Speaker 3: it's like people are like, well, what are the Jew's
- 3:28Speaker 3: not trying to win? Well, if they give up the
- 3:30Speaker 3: top eight pick, if they lose their top eight pick,
- 3:32Speaker 3: then it's going to fucking okay, sees like, do you
- 3:34Speaker 3: want them to try to win and then have okay,
- 3:36Speaker 3: see get a stud player in this draft, or just
- 3:39Speaker 3: have Jazz be bad for another season and then pick
- 3:42Speaker 3: up a good player and actually be competitive. It's the
- 3:44Speaker 3: same for a lot of these teams like Pacers for sure.
- 3:47Speaker 3: Wizards are another team I believe that could give up
- 3:50Speaker 3: their pick. Yeah, so it's just kind of a it's
- 3:54Speaker 3: a weird, weird time of the NBA right now, for sure,
- 3:57Speaker 3: But it's not surprising that it's happening.
- 3:59Speaker 2: No, it's not. I mean that we talked about it
- 4:01Speaker 2: a couple of shows ago. We're not gonna go rehash
- 4:03Speaker 2: it again. But I mean the NBA, in my opinion,
- 4:05Speaker 2: has to do something. I don't know what the right
- 4:06Speaker 2: answer is. I'm not getting paid the big bucks to
- 4:09Speaker 2: do it, but I mean, yeah, we don't. You don't
- 4:11Speaker 2: want teams incentivized to lose this early, but I mean
- 4:14Speaker 2: that obviously makes sense for the teams to do so.
- 4:17Speaker 2: So I don't really know, but we play the hand
- 4:19Speaker 2: that's dealt. We kind of know the situations when we
- 4:22Speaker 2: go through, so we'll talk about taking situations or what
- 4:25Speaker 2: it may be. I mean, I'm seeing a couple of
- 4:27Speaker 2: good games out here, like calvs. Nick should be awesome,
- 4:29Speaker 2: Yesterday Spurs Pistons. It is this time of year when
- 4:32Speaker 2: you do get the right matchup. It's it's kind of
- 4:35Speaker 2: playoff basketball atmosphere, which can be fun and you can
- 4:37Speaker 2: turn on another game and it's completely opposite. So uh yeah,
- 4:42Speaker 2: I say we're going to go right into it. Oh yes,
- 4:44Speaker 2: excuse me. Like button and subscribe button helps us out
- 4:47Speaker 2: a ton. And if you do want to join us
- 4:49Speaker 2: at the nation ship a nation dot com, join the
- 4:52Speaker 2: nation and we can. You can get in as low
- 4:53Speaker 2: as nine dollars for the day. Get you Saber sim
- 4:57Speaker 2: for ten more dollars, I'll get you four extra days
- 4:59Speaker 2: and get you Discord, a huge piece of the product
- 5:02Speaker 2: over here at Schippination a great community. NBA Rio is
- 5:05Speaker 2: always in there grinding, helping people out. We also have
- 5:08Speaker 2: PGA coming up. We have MMA this week. We have
- 5:11Speaker 2: NHL that's going to be back, I believe in five days. Yeah,
- 5:15Speaker 2: shout out to USA, what a game that was, obviously,
- 5:18Speaker 2: but NASCAR going on. Shout out to Eric a lot
- 5:20Speaker 2: of sports even though it's not NFL. Next thing, you know,
- 5:23Speaker 2: MLB will be here. We'd love to have you at
- 5:25Speaker 2: the Nation again. As low as nine dollars you can
- 5:27Speaker 2: get in Happy Tuesday to you. Nate D. Speedy in here,
- 5:31Speaker 2: good to see you. First game of the night seven
- 5:34Speaker 2: pm Eastern. We got Philadelphia seventy six Ers and Indiana
- 5:37Speaker 2: Pacers nine and a half point favorites are the Sixers
- 5:40Speaker 2: two thirty three and a half total in this one.
- 5:42Speaker 2: Joel Embiid is questionable, that is it. Well, Paul George's
- 5:46Speaker 2: is suspended, So that is the news for Philly side.
- 5:49Speaker 2: As far as Indy, it's going to be a mess
- 5:50Speaker 2: all year. No, Nie Smith, no Zubach Siakam's doubtful, and
- 5:55Speaker 2: then TJ McConnell and Andrew Nemhart are questionable. So yeah,
- 5:58Speaker 2: one of the taking teams to start it off. And
- 6:00Speaker 2: then any lean on the un beat news. Oh hold on,
- 6:05Speaker 2: this is the legend. This is the mother you see
- 6:08Speaker 2: that in MMA?
- 6:09Speaker 3: Yeah, I did shout out to you Ian. That was
- 6:11Speaker 3: pretty pretty sick runout for you.
- 6:13Speaker 2: I mean, forty five bucks to like one hundred and
- 6:17Speaker 2: forty k to solo ship. MMA in general is absolutely
- 6:20Speaker 2: insane to dupe yourself three times and that's the only
- 6:23Speaker 2: teams you put in and split it all by yourself.
- 6:26Speaker 2: Absolutely legendary. I was on the phone with my brother
- 6:28Speaker 2: leading up to the last two fights and Ian texted
- 6:32Speaker 2: my brother again, good friend, I've met Ian, really really
- 6:34Speaker 2: nice guy, really happy for you. But I was gonna
- 6:37Speaker 2: say it on the MMA show. We got enough watching
- 6:40Speaker 2: he by. He texted my brother like, oh, I got
- 6:43Speaker 2: a pretty sick team. And I'm like, all right, let's
- 6:45Speaker 2: hear it, you know what I mean, Like people say
- 6:46Speaker 2: it all the time, and he's going like Jacoby Smith,
- 6:50Speaker 2: Coast Levitt, I forget what if it was Leal or
- 6:54Speaker 2: whatever it was, and then it's two left for Meticch
- 6:57Speaker 2: and Strickland. I'm like, damn, Like that's that's a that's
- 6:59Speaker 2: the num If manage and Strickland win, Like that's the
- 7:02Speaker 2: stone cold nuts. I didn't know what he all had
- 7:04Speaker 2: it in and yeah, sure as ship two underdogs in
- 7:07Speaker 2: a row, met it Starks some Strickland does it. And
- 7:09Speaker 2: he had him his one hundred dollars single entry too
- 7:12Speaker 2: plaid one team put it in there and just absolutely
- 7:15Speaker 2: shite did everything. So I like how he called titles that. Yeah,
- 7:20Speaker 2: I mean that is my name. At the end of
- 7:21Speaker 2: the day. I don't. I don't. I mean, people aren't
- 7:23Speaker 2: calling me title in the real world, and I want
- 7:26Speaker 2: to keep it that way. So shout out to you,
- 7:28Speaker 2: speedy slog aka Ian. All Right, take it away. Sorry
- 7:31Speaker 2: I had to interrupt. Very deserving from him.
- 7:33Speaker 4: Yeah, for sure, shout out to you. Ian.
- 7:35Speaker 3: Definitely curious to see what how much money that left
- 7:37Speaker 3: on the table had to be twelve hundred okay, not
- 7:40Speaker 3: too crazy, but he did.
- 7:41Speaker 2: Say like I was part of what he wanted. I mean,
- 7:43Speaker 2: he he does his own thing. You watch a ship
- 7:45Speaker 2: at shows and stuff occasionally, but he when you win,
- 7:47Speaker 2: how much do you win? He took that definitely the
- 7:50Speaker 2: hard He wanted to be different, So it was Soriano
- 7:52Speaker 2: dropping down to Levitt was the biggest thing right there
- 7:55Speaker 2: that got him the solo up top. So he had
- 7:57Speaker 2: six six stuff.
- 7:58Speaker 4: Yeah, great job.
- 8:00Speaker 3: But yeah, going into this one game has a close
- 8:03Speaker 3: enough spread where I think we should see full minutes
- 8:04Speaker 3: from the Philly guys. I feel like that's kind of
- 8:06Speaker 3: an indicator that the big questionable tags of like the
- 8:10Speaker 3: main NBA players that the indie guys have like nem
- 8:13Speaker 3: Hard and TJ, are probably playing. I would guess these
- 8:17Speaker 3: other questionable tags like the tail on Peters and whoever
- 8:21Speaker 3: else is questionable tail and Peter Quinn, Jackson and Ethan Thompson. Mainly,
- 8:25Speaker 3: that's just like the two way stuff. These guys are
- 8:27Speaker 3: running out of games, so I feel like they'll probably
- 8:29Speaker 3: end up using some of those games in more meaningful
- 8:33Speaker 3: games against tanking other tanking teams, Like this is one.
- 8:35Speaker 4: Where you can just play your main guys.
- 8:37Speaker 3: You're probably gonna end up losing anyways, so just play
- 8:40Speaker 3: your main guys as many minutes as they can play.
- 8:44Speaker 3: So yeah, that's kind of my outlook on the questionable
- 8:46Speaker 3: text think that those the main guys will be in tonight.
- 8:48Speaker 3: But yeah, over the last two weeks, Indy has actually
- 8:51Speaker 3: been okay on defense lately. I think a lot of
- 8:53Speaker 3: that's probably due to some of the opponents that they've played,
- 8:55Speaker 3: but their nineteenth in defense, the Sixers have been pretty
- 8:57Speaker 3: bad though, bottom three in the NBA over that stretch
- 9:00Speaker 3: is really just like five games because they obviously had
- 9:02Speaker 3: the All Star break but not playing great defense as
- 9:05Speaker 3: of a. Did have a big win against Minnesota the
- 9:07Speaker 3: other night, but Philly's bottom two and rebounding, bottom four
- 9:10Speaker 3: and rim defense and bottom ten and transition defense, and
- 9:14Speaker 3: the Pacers are a huge rim funnel bottom five and
- 9:16Speaker 3: rim defense and bottom four, so I have the mix up. Actually,
- 9:20Speaker 3: Indy is bottom two and rebounding, bottom four rim, bottom
- 9:23Speaker 3: ten transition, and then the Sixers are bottom five, room defense,
- 9:26Speaker 3: bottom four and pick and roll defense. Uh so, yeah,
- 9:29Speaker 3: MAXI should be in a pretty good spot regardless. Actually,
- 9:32Speaker 3: hold on, let me backtrack. I had it right the
- 9:34Speaker 3: first time, but I just had it written wrong in
- 9:36Speaker 3: my notes. So the yeah, Indy is bottom four and
- 9:41Speaker 3: pick and roll defense, bottom five room defense. Sorry, Yeah,
- 9:45Speaker 3: Maxie should be in a pretty good spot regardless of
- 9:47Speaker 3: MBID playing or not. Definitely like him against the style
- 9:50Speaker 3: of defense where they won't really be setting a ton
- 9:52Speaker 3: of help to guys like Andrew Demhard. He did go
- 9:55Speaker 3: for sixty three DK points against the Pacers earlier this
- 9:58Speaker 3: season was a lot more competitive then this game probably
- 10:01Speaker 3: will be.
- 10:01Speaker 4: So I don't know if he's going to need be needed.
- 10:03Speaker 3: For forty minutes like he was in that one, but
- 10:05Speaker 3: Pacers are a pretty big pick and roll final defense,
- 10:08Speaker 3: so should be set up for success whether or not
- 10:10Speaker 3: Andrew Nemhart is playing, and if he's guarding him or
- 10:13Speaker 3: if it will be somebody else. Nemhart's done a decent
- 10:15Speaker 3: job against him over the last few seasons, holding him
- 10:17Speaker 3: to sixteen point six points per seventy five. But even
- 10:21Speaker 3: if Nemhart does play, he might be on a soft
- 10:24Speaker 3: minutes restriction, like maybe like the twenty eight to thirty
- 10:26Speaker 3: range versus the thirty five thirty six we would normally
- 10:29Speaker 3: see from him in a close game. So definitely think
- 10:31Speaker 3: that it's a pretty good spot for Tyre s MAXI.
- 10:32Speaker 3: Obviously Embiid would be in a huge spot if you
- 10:35Speaker 3: were to play. This is just a terrible defense on
- 10:38Speaker 3: the other side, especially in the front court.
- 10:39Speaker 4: They don't really have guys.
- 10:41Speaker 3: That can match up with Embiid size wise and defensively,
- 10:44Speaker 3: and Embiid is obviously notorious for beating up against weaker
- 10:47Speaker 3: opponents like he has in the past, so I think
- 10:49Speaker 3: that he'd probably be on.
- 10:51Speaker 4: A minute's restriction.
- 10:52Speaker 3: He's been out for like like almost two weeks now,
- 10:54Speaker 3: so obviously it's a real injury that he's had with
- 10:57Speaker 3: the knee, so I wouldn't think that they want to
- 11:00Speaker 3: push him for like thirty plus in a meaningless game
- 11:02Speaker 3: against Indy that they could probably win without him. But yeah,
- 11:05Speaker 3: if he misses, then obviously Max he would look a
- 11:07Speaker 3: lot better. And then the only other guy I'm really
- 11:10Speaker 3: considering on Philly is VJ. Edgecumb has been playing a
- 11:12Speaker 3: ton of minutes lately, and this is the exact type
- 11:14Speaker 3: of matchup that I think that he could have success
- 11:16Speaker 3: in as a more like slashing guard.
- 11:19Speaker 4: That should be able to get to the rim with easier.
- 11:24Speaker 4: And then on the.
- 11:25Speaker 3: Pacers side, it's really just dictated by who's in or out.
- 11:27Speaker 3: Like I said, I think that nem Hard and TJ
- 11:29Speaker 3: are in, so that would kind of take off most
- 11:31Speaker 3: of the appeal for the guys you would have interested in,
- 11:34Speaker 3: like the Cam Joneses and Quentin Jackson. But I do
- 11:37Speaker 3: think that Kobe Brown is pretty interesting. He got talked
- 11:39Speaker 3: up a ton by Rick Carlisle over the weekend. I
- 11:43Speaker 3: think that he has a good chance to start here
- 11:44Speaker 3: as well, but if not, he should be playing a
- 11:46Speaker 3: good amount of minutes.
- 11:48Speaker 4: Has been pretty close to putting together some big games.
- 11:50Speaker 3: The last time he was out there only nineteen minutes
- 11:54Speaker 3: against Dallas, but put up only damn near twenty seven
- 11:57Speaker 3: DK points in that one. He's been kind of in
- 11:59Speaker 3: like the already minute range most nights, So if he
- 12:02Speaker 3: gets back up there, I think that he's got a
- 12:03Speaker 3: pretty good shot of paying off his price.
- 12:06Speaker 2: EG.
- 12:06Speaker 4: So he'd probably be a guy I'm looking to for value.
- 12:08Speaker 3: But do you think Jerris Walker is a guy that
- 12:11Speaker 3: deserves some praise for the increased role that we've seen
- 12:13Speaker 3: from him over this stretch of games where the Pacers
- 12:16Speaker 3: really tanking, they've kind of leaned into him as the
- 12:19Speaker 3: main playmaker and main offensive threat. Over the last five games,
- 12:22Speaker 3: he's seen his involvement percentage increase from twenty five percent
- 12:25Speaker 3: on the season to thirty seven percent. His on ball
- 12:28Speaker 3: percentage has increased from twelve to sixteen percent. Points are
- 12:31Speaker 3: up from seventeen points per game to seventeen two assists
- 12:34Speaker 3: to four point eight assists. Rebounds aer up four point
- 12:36Speaker 3: four to nine point two rebounds per game, and then
- 12:38Speaker 3: eight point four potential assists per game. So he's definitely
- 12:41Speaker 3: earned the increased price, But the more that the price
- 12:44Speaker 3: does increase, the less likely it is that he's going
- 12:46Speaker 3: to be needed even at six point seven K. Like,
- 12:50Speaker 3: I don't know if like the forty two forty three
- 12:53Speaker 3: er ship we'd get from him would be enough. I
- 12:55Speaker 3: think we kind of needed to get in like the
- 12:56Speaker 3: fifty point range, which is definitely possible against a team
- 12:59Speaker 3: like the Sixers that not really playing that great on defense.
- 13:01Speaker 3: So have a good amount of interest in him. I
- 13:03Speaker 3: feel like he might be better if you're expecting the
- 13:06Speaker 3: game to stay close. It's kind of how I view it,
- 13:10Speaker 3: and definitely for Andrew Nemhar, like, if they're playing him
- 13:12Speaker 3: full minutes, it's probably in a close game, so I
- 13:15Speaker 3: would I don't think you need to correlate him, but
- 13:17Speaker 3: it would consider doing something like them Hard plus EMBIID
- 13:19Speaker 3: or them Hard plus edge Comb something like that. And
- 13:23Speaker 3: then the front court minute should be pretty much fully
- 13:26Speaker 3: between Jay Huff and Michah Potter. I think Potter is
- 13:28Speaker 3: definitely gonna be the guy I would get some more
- 13:30Speaker 3: of tonight, much better position on eligibility, He's thirteen hundred
- 13:33Speaker 3: dollars cheaper, pretty similar upside, I would say. And then
- 13:36Speaker 3: if EMBID does play, I think that's better for Michael
- 13:39Speaker 3: Potter as well, because we know that mb can get
- 13:42Speaker 3: guys into faul trouble really quickly, and Jay Huff has
- 13:44Speaker 3: been a guy that has shown that he can commit
- 13:48Speaker 3: a ton of foulsand a lot in very short time.
- 13:50Speaker 3: So yeah, we'll see what happens with these questionable tags.
- 13:53Speaker 3: But to expect the Pacers guys to be in.
- 13:56Speaker 2: I do think, like Tyres Max he will be. I'm
- 14:00Speaker 2: one of the more popular plays. I mean, the Warriors
- 14:02Speaker 2: are the chalk and we get there, there's no doubt.
- 14:04Speaker 2: So excluding Warriors guys, like, there's just not spends on
- 14:07Speaker 2: the slate. There's one guy priced over ten K, which
- 14:10Speaker 2: is Jalen Johnson ten eight. He'll definitely be owned as well.
- 14:13Speaker 2: But MAXI at nine point eight K, like even if
- 14:15Speaker 2: EM beads in, if EM beats out, I mean, MAXI
- 14:17Speaker 2: very well might be top three highsts owned on the slates.
- 14:21Speaker 2: I'm curious when we do go to other spots, like
- 14:24Speaker 2: there's Donovan Mitchell, but then there's like Hard and Scottie
- 14:27Speaker 2: Barnes Lamello, it seems like the pivots are a little tougher.
- 14:30Speaker 2: So I do think Max, like eating that chalk, makes
- 14:34Speaker 2: more sense in this spot than when we talked about
- 14:36Speaker 2: last week. I remember when he was pretty chalky. But
- 14:38Speaker 2: I do think if EMB plays, I mean that's kind
- 14:40Speaker 2: of a pivot. Obviously different positions, similar price tags though,
- 14:44Speaker 2: but if you don't play Max and you go MB
- 14:46Speaker 2: that could definitely be a way to get different. I mean,
- 14:49Speaker 2: no one on the Pacers is stopping Embiid if he
- 14:51Speaker 2: does play. Besides I mean if they blow him out
- 14:54Speaker 2: in the lack of minutes or that. But I would
- 14:56Speaker 2: definitely have some interest in Embiid in tournaments. And yeah,
- 14:59Speaker 2: I was looking at the Walker stuff too. Man, that
- 15:02Speaker 2: price is big. He's been really really good. Does like
- 15:06Speaker 2: some of those games have been without like the Nemhart's,
- 15:09Speaker 2: the mcconnells of that stuff and that, right, So like
- 15:11Speaker 2: if he does, if all of them do play, does
- 15:13Speaker 2: that bump them down a little bit in terms of
- 15:15Speaker 2: his usage?
- 15:17Speaker 4: Not really, Some of those games have come with Nemhard.
- 15:21Speaker 3: I believe he played in that Dallas game and he
- 15:23Speaker 3: had a pretty solid role there, and then there was
- 15:26Speaker 3: another one mix in there might.
- 15:27Speaker 4: Have been well Washington game.
- 15:28Speaker 3: He only played twenty two minutes in that one, so
- 15:31Speaker 3: there's been some overlap for sure.
- 15:33Speaker 4: But obviously with those guys out, he would be much
- 15:35Speaker 4: much better.
- 15:36Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean it's a solid game. I don't think
- 15:39Speaker 2: it's one of the better games on this LID. I
- 15:41Speaker 2: think like if I had either em beat or Maxi
- 15:44Speaker 2: or Edgecombe and then like at most probably like Walker
- 15:48Speaker 2: Potter or something like that. Like three feels plenty in
- 15:51Speaker 2: this game, and if I only had one, I'd totally
- 15:52Speaker 2: be fine with that as well. All right, we'll keep
- 15:55Speaker 2: it rolling to a game I really don't have much
- 15:57Speaker 2: interest in terms and that by the way, that was
- 16:00Speaker 2: uh the only seven pm Eastern game, and I'm glad
- 16:02Speaker 2: it said seven because there's important Q tags in it
- 16:05Speaker 2: that we will obviously get the next game. Not my favorite.
- 16:08Speaker 2: One of my least favorites for DFS OKC Thunder Toronto
- 16:11Speaker 2: Raptors two and a half point favorites of the Raptors
- 16:13Speaker 2: two to fifteen and a half total, which is the lowest,
- 16:18Speaker 2: second lowest on the slate. Wait, I think there was
- 16:20Speaker 2: a yeah, two oh six and a half Boston and
- 16:25Speaker 2: the Suns and they're not even on the slate, So yeah,
- 16:27Speaker 2: this is the lowest total competitive game yaka pertl out
- 16:31Speaker 2: for Toronto. As far as OKC chet is questionable, as
- 16:35Speaker 2: well as Caruso. That is the only injury news there.
- 16:38Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, it kind of shows when I start
- 16:39Speaker 2: point per dollar only one guy above five x and
- 16:43Speaker 2: nowadays like five x late February isn't really even the
- 16:45Speaker 2: threshold you need to take down tournaments in terms of ownership.
- 16:49Speaker 2: One guy projecting over five percent, that's Hartenstein. No one's
- 16:54Speaker 2: playing this game. Do you have any sneaky plays?
- 16:56Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm kind of surprised. I mean feel like hard
- 17:00Speaker 3: sege should be a little bit higher on but that
- 17:02Speaker 3: makes sense just for the slate in general. But obviously
- 17:05Speaker 3: this game does feature the lowest total on the slate.
- 17:08Speaker 3: I believe you said two of the better defenses facing
- 17:11Speaker 3: off here. Raptors are eighth on the season, They're just
- 17:14Speaker 3: fifteenth in offensive rating, and then Okayc's first in defense
- 17:17Speaker 3: and fourth and offense obviously obviously an elite team. I
- 17:22Speaker 3: think with the spread being in favor of the Raptors,
- 17:25Speaker 3: that might indicate that chet Miss is here, because I
- 17:28Speaker 3: felt pretty strongly that a team, even this iteration of
- 17:32Speaker 3: the OKAC roster with Chet and Cruso, if those guys
- 17:34Speaker 3: were in, I feel like they win this game pretty easily.
- 17:37Speaker 3: Don't really feel that same way with Chet to be
- 17:39Speaker 3: out though, So chet Miss is that definitely changes a
- 17:43Speaker 3: lot of things here, and I don't know if this
- 17:46Speaker 3: is more like a maintenance SEC I think they played
- 17:47Speaker 3: tomorrow against Houston, so that's a little bit more of
- 17:50Speaker 3: an important game. But I'm just really not that big
- 17:53Speaker 3: of a believer in Toronto as a competitive team in
- 17:56Speaker 3: the East. I don't know exactly what the number is
- 17:58Speaker 3: but need to look at up, but I feel like
- 18:00Speaker 3: they have a pretty bad record against teams with winning records.
- 18:04Speaker 4: They're just not really capable of competing with the high
- 18:08Speaker 4: end teams in the NBA.
- 18:09Speaker 3: So that's kind of how I feel like if Chewer
- 18:11Speaker 3: to be in, I feel pretty strongly that Okay would
- 18:13Speaker 3: win the game, but that spread has me questioning things
- 18:16Speaker 3: a little bit. But I'll talk through Okay See as
- 18:18Speaker 3: if chet were to be in, they should have most
- 18:22Speaker 3: of the edge here on offense, their first and transition defense,
- 18:25Speaker 3: ninth and rim defense. The Raptors a little bit worse
- 18:29Speaker 3: with their rim offense. That's definitely where Okay so you
- 18:31Speaker 3: can get some points up for Okay See. They are
- 18:34Speaker 3: a decently big three point final, so it sets up
- 18:36Speaker 3: as a decent matchup for some of the guys on
- 18:38Speaker 3: the Raptors, mainly Manual Quickly, brandon Ingram and RJ. Barrett,
- 18:43Speaker 3: but the okay See offense is pretty balanced. They're going
- 18:45Speaker 3: to be looking to get out in transition. Toronto has
- 18:47Speaker 3: been pretty good at slowing games down and keeping things
- 18:49Speaker 3: in the half court, but still think okay Se should
- 18:51Speaker 3: be able to put up points there. It's a pretty
- 18:53Speaker 3: decent matchup for Cheeddon Hartstein as two of the main
- 18:55Speaker 3: guys that will be scoring around the basket. The Raptors
- 18:58Speaker 3: are pretty vulnerable down and even with pertl Out, I
- 19:02Speaker 3: think that they're pretty bad. Close spread would mean that
- 19:06Speaker 3: if it's if Chet does play, you're probably getting more
- 19:08Speaker 3: minutes then you would normally get from him in some
- 19:10Speaker 3: of the games we've seen in like the twenty six
- 19:11Speaker 3: minute range close game, probably getting like thirty two to
- 19:14Speaker 3: thirty four. He's at one point one to six Fantasy
- 19:17Speaker 3: points per minute with Jaylen Williams and Shaye Off the
- 19:19Speaker 3: court of the season, but it's actually Hardenstein that leads
- 19:22Speaker 3: a team in per minute numbers at one point three
- 19:24Speaker 3: to two, which makes him a really really strong option
- 19:27Speaker 3: in his price tag. He also has triple double upside
- 19:29Speaker 3: with he has a forty percent assist percentage and eighteen
- 19:32Speaker 3: percent rebounding rate, just really really strong numbers for Hartenstein.
- 19:35Speaker 3: The downside is that he's not playing a ton of
- 19:37Speaker 3: minutes here. Twenty five might be enough for him, and
- 19:40Speaker 3: I do think the matchup is pretty good, but he
- 19:42Speaker 3: would be a much stronger option, especially if Chet wore
- 19:44Speaker 3: to miss his game. And then if Chet does miss,
- 19:46Speaker 3: it's going to be one of Jalen Williams or Kenrich
- 19:49Speaker 3: Williams starting the starting lineup, depending on who they like
- 19:52Speaker 3: for the Scottie Barnes match up a little bit more.
- 19:53Speaker 3: I feel like Kenrich Williams might might match up a
- 19:57Speaker 3: little bit better there, but we'll see what they do.
- 19:59Speaker 3: Maybe they go weird and go with like Aaron Wiggins.
- 20:03Speaker 3: I don't think that the Okay see you guys are
- 20:05Speaker 3: much in play outside of those outside of the Chedd
- 20:07Speaker 3: and Harnstein guys. I think Isaiah Joe is okay, though
- 20:09Speaker 3: he's been playing great as of lad shooting fifty five
- 20:12Speaker 3: percent from three point range over his last six games.
- 20:14Speaker 3: Raptors are somewhat vulnerable at times around the three point line,
- 20:18Speaker 3: so okay spot for him, but his price is pretty
- 20:20Speaker 3: high up there. I'm not really banking on another five
- 20:24Speaker 3: steel first quarter performance from Isaiah Joe, so don't have
- 20:27Speaker 3: a ton of interest there, but I think he's okay.
- 20:29Speaker 3: As for the Raptors, though kind of an agreement. I
- 20:32Speaker 3: think that they should be loaned. All these guys are
- 20:34Speaker 3: priced appropriately, think quickly and Archie Baird are probably the
- 20:38Speaker 3: best from a matchup standpoint, but Ingram and Barnes definitely
- 20:42Speaker 3: have the most upside. I would like Barnes a lot
- 20:46Speaker 3: more of Chetwold to miss though, that would that would
- 20:48Speaker 3: definitely match Hm up with some weaker defenders in the
- 20:51Speaker 3: second unit, So I think Barnes has got to keep
- 20:53Speaker 3: an eye on if Chet does miss this game.
- 20:57Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, man, even like Center is still pretty
- 21:01Speaker 2: loaded on this late, like if you do go Hartenstein,
- 21:04Speaker 2: So you don't think that eleven percent holds true? Do
- 21:07Speaker 2: you think it'll be closer to like seventeen eighteen or
- 21:09Speaker 2: something like that. Obviously, if Chet miss is we're talking to,
- 21:12Speaker 2: we're talking that it probably elevates. But assuming chuts in,
- 21:16Speaker 2: uh no, I think that it feels fair all right, Yeah,
- 21:20Speaker 2: I mean a lot of people will go like cheap
- 21:22Speaker 2: at Center. We're gonna get to some like so even
- 21:24Speaker 2: going six point one, k Hartenstein and we talked about
- 21:27Speaker 2: MB last game, like you're kind of flipping the bill
- 21:29Speaker 2: getting different that way. Yeah, you like the OKAC side
- 21:33Speaker 2: a little more than me, but you are definitely the expert.
- 21:35Speaker 2: I like this next game quite a bit. Dallas both sides,
- 21:38Speaker 2: the Dallas Mavericks and the Brooklyn Nets one half point
- 21:41Speaker 2: favorites of the MAVs two twenty six and a half total,
- 21:43Speaker 2: and it's one on the Dallas side. No Cooper flag,
- 21:46Speaker 2: Daniel Gafford is questionable. On the Brooklyn side, I'm seeing
- 21:52Speaker 2: no injuries at all. K mid shout out Jordan. I
- 21:55Speaker 2: know Milwaukee guy there, man, he's uh, he's posting some
- 21:58Speaker 2: pretty good usage numbers. Obviously, shot the ball very efficiently
- 22:02Speaker 2: last game, absolutely smashed only five K. The Warriors when
- 22:06Speaker 2: we get to them, they're very cheap slash in the
- 22:08Speaker 2: mid tier. But Middleton still getting ownership. I think vagueley
- 22:12Speaker 2: we just talked about center is interesting, especially if gafferd
- 22:15Speaker 2: misses that ownership will skyrocket. I like PJ Washington a ton,
- 22:19Speaker 2: I mean, no Cooper flag opens up a lot for
- 22:21Speaker 2: this offense. And then yeah, as a somewhat contrarion span,
- 22:25Speaker 2: I'm not sure I necessarily believe five percent. Maybe that's
- 22:28Speaker 2: the case, but if this game's close, like Nikeah Porter
- 22:30Speaker 2: Junior down below, looks very interesting to me. Only one
- 22:33Speaker 2: in that point favorites again in this game are the MAVs.
- 22:37Speaker 2: Total is not great, but yeah, competitiveness means a little more,
- 22:40Speaker 2: and yeah, I think this is a game I want
- 22:42Speaker 2: to get to a little bit. What about you?
- 22:44Speaker 3: Yeah, for sure, I think it's hard not to like
- 22:46Speaker 3: the Dallas side, in particular with no Cooper flag and
- 22:49Speaker 3: all the guys that they trade a weigh at the deadline,
- 22:51Speaker 3: so a lot of opportunity for the guys that you mentioned.
- 22:55Speaker 3: Aji Marshall, PJ Washington, Chris Middleton are the three guys
- 22:58Speaker 3: I think that stand out the most here, and it's
- 23:01Speaker 3: a great matchup. Both these teams are pretty bad at
- 23:03Speaker 3: rim defense. Brooklyn is the second worst rim defense in
- 23:05Speaker 3: leaguing Dallas is eighth worst. Neither team gives up a
- 23:08Speaker 3: ton of three pointers, so somewhat of a negative matchup
- 23:11Speaker 3: for Michael Porter Junior, but it gets him when we
- 23:14Speaker 3: get to the nets stuff. But yeah, the pricing looks
- 23:17Speaker 3: really really strong for these Dallas guys. I think all
- 23:19Speaker 3: of those three that I mentioned, PJ Middleton and Nasei
- 23:22Speaker 3: are very strong plays It's gonna be tough to play
- 23:25Speaker 3: PJ and Middleton together because they're both only power forward eligible,
- 23:30Speaker 3: but I like those guys a Ton. I think that
- 23:32Speaker 3: Middleton makes a lot more sense though at just five K,
- 23:35Speaker 3: with a similar role, similar permitted upside not playing as
- 23:39Speaker 3: many minutes as PJ.
- 23:40Speaker 4: We saw. PJ was very limited.
- 23:42Speaker 3: Returning from a couple of different injuries this season, but
- 23:46Speaker 3: his minutes bounced back to last game. Our last two
- 23:48Speaker 3: games thirty six and thirty seven minutes in each of
- 23:50Speaker 3: his last two games, hosted back to back twenty percent
- 23:53Speaker 3: usage in those games as well, and then Middleton has
- 23:55Speaker 3: played thirty minutes in back to back games, is in
- 23:57Speaker 3: the last two above twenty percent usage in all of
- 24:00Speaker 3: his four games with Dallas this far. One of those
- 24:02Speaker 3: games was like nineteen point three, So just kind of
- 24:04Speaker 3: rounding up there. But I think Nause is an interesting
- 24:07Speaker 3: pivot off of PJ Washington if the ownership does get
- 24:12Speaker 3: a little bit out of hand. It looks like right
- 24:13Speaker 3: now Saber has PJ at like twenty seven percent and
- 24:16Speaker 3: NAUSE at one point five percent.
- 24:18Speaker 4: I doubt that's the case.
- 24:19Speaker 3: I feel like it's probably more eighteen twelve in favorite Washington,
- 24:23Speaker 3: you have anything.
- 24:25Speaker 2: Yeah, No, I mean it's it's definitely not one percent
- 24:28Speaker 2: for not or two percent or whatever. I mean, I
- 24:30Speaker 2: wouldn't be a surprised if PJ is like a loaded
- 24:34Speaker 2: mid twenties, but I don't.
- 24:35Speaker 4: Think Naji Marshall is two percent by any means.
- 24:38Speaker 3: Yeah, even if he does come in at like sub
- 24:40Speaker 3: ten percent projected ownership, I feel like that's a pretty
- 24:43Speaker 3: good spot to get overweight on.
- 24:44Speaker 2: I mean, look at I guess the projection sorry interrupt,
- 24:47Speaker 2: but I mean twenty eight versus thirty four, Like, I mean,
- 24:51Speaker 2: if that's the case when you look at the prices,
- 24:53Speaker 2: then yeah, it should be like twenty two to one.
- 24:55Speaker 2: But I don't I don't think that's how most people
- 24:57Speaker 2: have it.
- 24:58Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not sure that they should be the projection
- 25:00Speaker 3: should be that wide. I have them a little bit
- 25:02Speaker 3: closer personally, but yeah, I mean if the ownership is,
- 25:08Speaker 3: like if he's half the ownership or a third of
- 25:10Speaker 3: the ownership of PJ Washington, I feel like that's a
- 25:12Speaker 3: good spot to get overweight on nause tonight. Like I'd
- 25:16Speaker 3: probably prefer going with Nausea and Middleton over PJ and
- 25:20Speaker 3: nause or Sorry, Yeah, yeah, over PJ Nauj, I'd rather
- 25:24Speaker 3: do Nause and Middleton Personally, he's got dual eligibility shooting
- 25:27Speaker 3: guards small forward, and we're only like two weeks from
- 25:30Speaker 3: him two weeks removed from him being extremely chalky and
- 25:33Speaker 3: the same exact spot, so I don't really see what
- 25:36Speaker 3: has changed there. The role is going to be pretty
- 25:38Speaker 3: good for him. The minutes came down a little bit,
- 25:39Speaker 3: but we know they can get really hot, so I
- 25:41Speaker 3: do think Nause's a pretty good play here. And then
- 25:44Speaker 3: Marvin Baggley and Daniel Gafford are splitting the center minutes,
- 25:46Speaker 3: but Badley has been out playing him since he came
- 25:49Speaker 3: over from Washington. Definitely have a lot more interest in
- 25:51Speaker 3: Marvin Bagley here. They should be basically even, like twenty
- 25:54Speaker 3: four to twenty four. I would say, I think they're
- 25:56Speaker 3: gonna split all of the center minutes and then just
- 25:59Speaker 3: kind of hope that Badgley gets hot or maybe Gafford
- 26:01Speaker 3: picks up a mid game injury like he always does.
- 26:04Speaker 3: So definitely think i'd be leaning Marvin Bagley tonight. I
- 26:09Speaker 3: think that you could probably sprinkle in some Brandon Williams
- 26:12Speaker 3: as well, but price is pretty appropriate for him. And
- 26:14Speaker 3: we talked about him a lot, just doesn't ever see
- 26:16Speaker 3: a huge increase in minutes on the net side. Yeah,
- 26:20Speaker 3: I was kind of I was thinking the MPG his
- 26:22Speaker 3: minutes would be way down the second half of the season,
- 26:24Speaker 3: but thirty five and thirty eight minutes in the last
- 26:27Speaker 3: two games. Nets are kind of playing things straight up.
- 26:29Speaker 3: He's gotten ice cold from three point range over his
- 26:31Speaker 3: last six game, shooting just sixteen percent, But we know
- 26:35Speaker 3: that he's a much better shooter than the numbers have
- 26:36Speaker 3: shown lately. He's kind of around like a thirty eight
- 26:38Speaker 3: thirty nine three point shooter, So if those numbers regress,
- 26:42Speaker 3: the volume has still been really good for him. So
- 26:44Speaker 3: I think MPJ, like you said earlier, like he's a
- 26:46Speaker 3: pretty pretty.
- 26:47Speaker 4: Solid spin up option.
- 26:48Speaker 3: It makes sense if you're playing two to three dollars, guys,
- 26:51Speaker 3: I wouldn't mind getting Mike fort Junior mixed in there
- 26:53Speaker 3: as like a little correlated piece in a game that
- 26:55Speaker 3: should be closed throughout. That's probably it for me, though,
- 26:58Speaker 3: Saber's got a really strong projection. Noah Clowny' not sure
- 27:00Speaker 3: I agree with it. I think that Treori is probably
- 27:04Speaker 3: the second best option. He's had a really good role
- 27:06Speaker 3: since he's kind of slid into the starting lineup and
- 27:08Speaker 3: been playing more or his last six games much more usage,
- 27:12Speaker 3: a much bigger on ball roll, as averaging fourteen points, rebounds,
- 27:15Speaker 3: six point three assists per game in twelve and a
- 27:17Speaker 3: half potential assists per game, so some of those some
- 27:21Speaker 3: of those potentials assists start to get converted. He does
- 27:23Speaker 3: have a pretty good upside. I think he's got double
- 27:25Speaker 3: their website here in potential tournament winning ceilings. I like
- 27:28Speaker 3: him a good bit at four point nine.
- 27:29Speaker 2: K is like the Nets. I mean, how long do
- 27:34Speaker 2: you expect them to play it straight up? I mean
- 27:36Speaker 2: they're in content like they're in a they should be
- 27:38Speaker 2: a team that should be tanking at the end of
- 27:40Speaker 2: the day, like relative with all these other teams, Like
- 27:43Speaker 2: I like Michael Porter because they haven't shown it yet
- 27:45Speaker 2: in the minutes are there and but it like the
- 27:47Speaker 2: rug can be pulled out under us at any time. Hey,
- 27:49Speaker 2: or do you feel pretty confident that they're going to
- 27:52Speaker 2: keep playing it pretty straight up? No?
- 27:54Speaker 4: I definitely don't feel confident.
- 27:55Speaker 3: So I've kind of been a little a little under
- 27:57Speaker 3: a Michael Porter junior as of late, and I probably
- 27:59Speaker 3: willing to do that, but YE don't know.
- 28:02Speaker 2: It's so long in today and the spreads this close.
- 28:05Speaker 2: I mean obviously with coop out and stuff, but man,
- 28:08Speaker 2: it's it's tough with them like it can hit in
- 28:10Speaker 2: a big way. There's no doubt about that. If he
- 28:12Speaker 2: does play that many minutes, like mid to upper thirties
- 28:15Speaker 2: again him, he could easily be on the winner.
- 28:18Speaker 3: Trey already feels the safest because you know that he's
- 28:20Speaker 3: going to start, and he probably is pretty safe from
- 28:23Speaker 3: blow out as well. I think they just want to
- 28:24Speaker 3: kind of develop him more in the second half.
- 28:26Speaker 2: Yeah, Colin saying the same thing. Yeah, I mean that
- 28:30Speaker 2: the Dallas stuff looks really really good in this game though.
- 28:32Speaker 2: And I do think he made a good point with
- 28:33Speaker 2: the NAUSEI Marshall versus PJ stuff. And you said Max
- 28:36Speaker 2: one k Mid and PJ do them just having power
- 28:39Speaker 2: forward eligibility.
- 28:41Speaker 3: I don't know if I would set that rule, because
- 28:43Speaker 3: I think that there is a chance that they both
- 28:45Speaker 3: could put up good enough scores. It's just kind of
- 28:48Speaker 3: depending on how you want to construct your roster because
- 28:51Speaker 3: they're only power forward eligible. Yeah, but they're going to
- 28:54Speaker 3: start alongside of each other, so maybe it's more of
- 28:56Speaker 3: like a Max two of PJ. Nause and Middleton and
- 28:59Speaker 3: then ibviously Max one Gafford and Bagley.
- 29:02Speaker 2: Yeah, and then I mean how popular does Bagley get
- 29:05Speaker 2: if there's no Gafford?
- 29:07Speaker 3: Oh, I mean he probably ends up being the highest
- 29:08Speaker 3: own player in the slate. I would think, yeah, like
- 29:11Speaker 3: six for good reason though, Yeah, I would. I'd definitely
- 29:15Speaker 3: be like he's I would lock him into like three max.
- 29:19Speaker 4: Stuff for sure if he's starting.
- 29:20Speaker 2: And then what about like a Dwight Powell at three
- 29:23Speaker 2: K does he come into play like a Max one
- 29:25Speaker 2: there and you can like get some leverage or pivot?
- 29:28Speaker 2: I mean, now they splitting the forty eight at center
- 29:32Speaker 2: something like a thirty How would you see that?
- 29:34Speaker 3: Or would he be in your player pull at all?
- 29:35Speaker 3: At mid price? That'd be one where I just kind
- 29:40Speaker 3: of trust the projection on him. It's never a guy
- 29:42Speaker 3: that I'm really looking to play much of because he
- 29:44Speaker 3: doesn't do anything out there. But yeah, I don't know,
- 29:48Speaker 3: I would probably I would just yeah, definitely Max one,
- 29:50Speaker 3: but I would kind of just trust projection and just
- 29:52Speaker 3: let it run.
- 29:53Speaker 2: Yeah, makes sense, all right, keep a roll. Next game
- 29:56Speaker 2: on the slate, Washington Wizards and the Atlanta Hawks. We
- 29:59Speaker 2: are looking that twelve and a half point favorites are
- 30:04Speaker 2: the Hawks? Two thirty five and a half total? Big
- 30:06Speaker 2: boy total in this game on the Atlanta side comingus questionable.
- 30:10Speaker 2: It doesn't really mean too much in my opinion. On
- 30:11Speaker 2: the Washington side, no new news here. Definitely a team
- 30:16Speaker 2: that's trying to lose. Looking at it, though, Jalen Johnson, like,
- 30:19Speaker 2: I don't believe this is fifteen percent by any means.
- 30:22Speaker 2: Maybe it's like twenty five. Maybe you do believe it.
- 30:25Speaker 2: I'm curious to hear your take, but I mean there
- 30:27Speaker 2: is concern. Big boy favorites are are that are the Hawks?
- 30:31Speaker 2: Maybe he doesn't get really fourth quarter run. I don't
- 30:33Speaker 2: know if he needs fourth quarter run. I think he
- 30:35Speaker 2: could smash in three quarters. And there's enough value on
- 30:38Speaker 2: this late, enough mid tier stuff on the slate. Like
- 30:41Speaker 2: I mentioned, there's not really too many spends. One person
- 30:44Speaker 2: above ten k, which is Jalen Johnson, then there's Tyreese Maxy,
- 30:47Speaker 2: and then from there there's Scottie Barnes, Harden mid d Mitch.
- 30:51Speaker 2: It's not that feels a little tougher to get to,
- 30:53Speaker 2: so definitely curious to hear your take on Jalen Johnson,
- 30:57Speaker 2: and I mean, yeah, Vuk is another hawk or excuse me,
- 30:59Speaker 2: a wizard, a senator that's gonna get a decent amount
- 31:02Speaker 2: of ownership. Yeah, curiously, your take on this one's twelve
- 31:05Speaker 2: and that point favorites.
- 31:08Speaker 3: I think the ownership is pretty fair. Fifty fifteen to
- 31:11Speaker 3: eighteen is probably where I would I would feel good
- 31:13Speaker 3: about his his ownership landing. Yet it's just a really
- 31:16Speaker 3: big price tag and not a ton of extremely cheap
- 31:21Speaker 3: value to get there.
- 31:21Speaker 4: I think that I haven't really run any teams yet obviously, but.
- 31:26Speaker 3: Yeah, that feels accurate. But I do think that the
- 31:28Speaker 3: kaminga stuff does matter a little bit. I mean, he's
- 31:32Speaker 3: a guy that does demand a pretty high usage and
- 31:34Speaker 3: will be a guy that can take our possessions. I
- 31:36Speaker 3: don't know exactly how he fits in, because when you
- 31:41Speaker 3: saw how he fit with the Warriors, like Jalen Johnson's
- 31:43Speaker 3: not a a three point three point threat.
- 31:47Speaker 4: It's just I don't know.
- 31:48Speaker 3: The floor could shrink a little bit playing Jalen Johnson
- 31:51Speaker 3: and coming alongside of each other.
- 31:52Speaker 4: But I do think that it won't really.
- 31:54Speaker 3: Matter too much here because they can just get out
- 31:56Speaker 3: and run against a team like Washington and probably get
- 31:58Speaker 3: anything that they want. But I would definitely see be
- 32:01Speaker 3: curious to see how that looks moving forward for the Hawks,
- 32:05Speaker 3: how much they want to overlap those two guys. Yeahky
- 32:09Speaker 3: Black did just sign a ten day I'm not sure.
- 32:11Speaker 3: They'll probably get him out there for a little bit,
- 32:13Speaker 3: but I'm not sure that it matters too much. He's
- 32:16Speaker 3: not in the player pool, I don't believe. Let me
- 32:19Speaker 3: double check though, Oh he is. He's in the player pool,
- 32:22Speaker 3: but three.
- 32:23Speaker 2: Four K, No, he's injection or anything right now.
- 32:26Speaker 4: Yeah, he's not somebody you want to play.
- 32:28Speaker 3: I remember him from North Carolina and even he played
- 32:31Speaker 3: a little bit with Charlotte Hornets. He's just a just
- 32:33Speaker 3: a defensive guy, Like he doesn't have really much of
- 32:35Speaker 3: an offensive game. So I wouldn't be playing him. But
- 32:39Speaker 3: obviously this is a really really strong matchup for the
- 32:42Speaker 3: Atlanta Hawks, favored by thirteen points at home, biggest bull
- 32:46Speaker 3: up potential on the slate. But we've seen the Hawks
- 32:49Speaker 3: really let some lesser teams hang around at times and
- 32:53Speaker 3: just really put up some really bad performances. Like I
- 32:55Speaker 3: think it's it's just a matter of how much effort
- 32:58Speaker 3: they're giving on defense at night if they're able to
- 33:02Speaker 3: blow his team out or let them hang around. But
- 33:05Speaker 3: I do think there's an out sid shot that we
- 33:06Speaker 3: do get full minutes from the Hawks guys tonight. So
- 33:10Speaker 3: I love that perspective for some of these guys. Obviously,
- 33:15Speaker 3: Wizards are towards the bottom of pretty much every category
- 33:18Speaker 3: of defense. Only to go into that too much, but
- 33:20Speaker 3: Atlanta is bottom three in riom defense and a below
- 33:22Speaker 3: average rebounding team, So a little bit of upside for
- 33:26Speaker 3: some of the front court guys in Washington. But nobody
- 33:28Speaker 3: above five k's and play for me in Washington tonight,
- 33:32Speaker 3: even Vushevik or Vuksevich. I would kind of add to
- 33:35Speaker 3: the grouping at five k's just because he's not playing
- 33:38Speaker 3: enough minutes. He's been elite as a permanent producer. I
- 33:43Speaker 3: just can't playin with the ton confidence, and I knowing
- 33:45Speaker 3: that the minutes is gonna be way down, Like I
- 33:47Speaker 3: know that Marvin Bagley's gonna be playing mid twenty five minutes,
- 33:50Speaker 3: and he's cheaper than him, so I probably just side there.
- 33:52Speaker 4: Like I even think that Anthony Gill might even be a.
- 33:55Speaker 3: Slightly better option at four point five K because his
- 33:57Speaker 3: minutes are much much better than Vukses. So that's kind
- 34:02Speaker 3: of my thoughts there. But I think you can make
- 34:04Speaker 3: a case for cool Bali. He's been playing to blow
- 34:06Speaker 3: out at times and maybe they just want to see
- 34:10Speaker 3: more from him in the stchup against Jalen Johnson. But
- 34:13Speaker 3: the guy that I have the most interesting is Alandas Williams,
- 34:15Speaker 3: and he's coming with some ownership, but he's playing a
- 34:17Speaker 3: lot right now in twenty eight plus minus in each
- 34:19Speaker 3: of his last three games, showing to be a guy
- 34:21Speaker 3: that can filter the stat sheet with a double double
- 34:22Speaker 3: against Indy and then three or more assists in each
- 34:24Speaker 3: of his three games with the With the Wizards, I
- 34:28Speaker 3: think people might be chasing it a little bit because
- 34:30Speaker 3: he does have that fifty DK point outing in his
- 34:32Speaker 3: game log, but the usage has not been that great
- 34:36Speaker 3: for him so far with the Wizards. It's just a
- 34:38Speaker 3: matter of whether or not he's gonna be rebounding and
- 34:41Speaker 3: maybe getting mixed into some playmaking stats as well. But
- 34:44Speaker 3: I do think that he's for sure and play at
- 34:46Speaker 3: four point three K, and then I would say the
- 34:47Speaker 3: same for Sharief Cooper at four point two K, playing
- 34:49Speaker 3: more minutes should play in a blowout, So those two
- 34:51Speaker 3: guys are probably the two I would be getting around
- 34:55Speaker 3: or over the field.
- 34:56Speaker 2: On was there someone out in that indie game? I
- 34:59Speaker 2: mean you said Spike to twenty one percent? Obviously he
- 35:02Speaker 2: was nine for eleven like he was a fish and
- 35:04Speaker 2: making shot, so that has something to do with it.
- 35:06Speaker 2: But was anyone out or was it just a normal squad?
- 35:09Speaker 4: I pretty sure it was pretty much what they have
- 35:11Speaker 4: right now.
- 35:11Speaker 3: Yeah, they started with Champagnee, Tree, Johnson, Carrington, Koolabali and Vuksovich,
- 35:16Speaker 3: So same situation. They even played I think it's eleven guys,
- 35:19Speaker 3: went to three, four, five, six.
- 35:21Speaker 2: He was just good, So they got feeding the hot
- 35:23Speaker 2: hang end a little bit. And I mean when you
- 35:24Speaker 2: go nine for eleven, I guess it's hard to have
- 35:26Speaker 2: a bad game, yep.
- 35:28Speaker 3: I mean he could close the last sixteen minutes of
- 35:31Speaker 3: the game too, So it looks.
- 35:34Speaker 2: Like Sabers way low on his minutes at like twenty three.
- 35:38Speaker 3: Yeah, I would probably say he's closer to like twenty
- 35:40Speaker 3: six to twenty eight tonight, all.
- 35:42Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, he hasn't played less than twenty seven, so yeah,
- 35:45Speaker 2: I definitely would bump that up a bit.
- 35:48Speaker 3: Yeah, pretty bummed about that about him going off the
- 35:51Speaker 3: night because me and Matt were pretty high on him,
- 35:54Speaker 3: and I think it was Cadari Richmond and they both
- 35:57Speaker 3: had pretty good games that that night.
- 35:59Speaker 4: I don't know I could even with the team anymore.
- 36:01Speaker 3: Looks like he got released, but was definitely a I
- 36:04Speaker 3: saw the guy that in the main lineup had both
- 36:06Speaker 3: Cadari and Alandas Williams. Wasn't even the perfect lineup, but
- 36:09Speaker 3: he just kind of routed everybody beyond the Hawks. Obviously,
- 36:14Speaker 3: Jayleen Johnson gonna be the guy who looked to at
- 36:16Speaker 3: ten point eight K. I think that there are some
- 36:19Speaker 3: whole so poke in his upside, though Coolibali has done
- 36:21Speaker 3: a really good job over against Jillen Johnson over the
- 36:24Speaker 3: last few seasons. I don't know how much I want
- 36:27Speaker 3: to read into this, but esavaging just two points per
- 36:29Speaker 3: seventy five possessions in seventy five possessions in their head
- 36:33Speaker 3: to head matchups over the last couple of seasons. That's
- 36:35Speaker 3: really really bad. And I was looking at some of
- 36:37Speaker 3: the clips more so he was just missing his shots,
- 36:40Speaker 3: but he was defending him really well, So not sure
- 36:44Speaker 3: I'm when reading said too much. He did go for
- 36:46Speaker 3: seventy one against the Wizards earlier this season. This is
- 36:48Speaker 3: the exact type of matchup that I love playing Jalen
- 36:51Speaker 3: Johnson in those uptempo games against teams with weak transition
- 36:55Speaker 3: defense and weak rim defense, which is exactly what we
- 36:57Speaker 3: have here against Washington. So really really fine with Jiden
- 37:00Speaker 3: Johnson here. And then do you think na A, cong Wu,
- 37:04Speaker 3: Dison CJ are definitely a play here? I think Dyson
- 37:09Speaker 3: is the guy I'm looking to, and that feels tough
- 37:11Speaker 3: to say because he just can do sometimes nothing on offense.
- 37:15Speaker 3: But against a team like with the Wizards, who are
- 37:18Speaker 3: very young and gonna be really turnover prone, I wouldn't
- 37:22Speaker 3: be surprised to see this be the game where we
- 37:23Speaker 3: get like four to six steals from him, a lot
- 37:25Speaker 3: of easy buckets and transition easy points around the basket.
- 37:28Speaker 3: And he's been pretty close to some big games lately.
- 37:30Speaker 3: I think he had a double double last time out
- 37:32Speaker 3: with rebounds and fell a couple shy of the triple
- 37:35Speaker 3: double with the assist. Yeah, he had ten rebounds, eight assists,
- 37:39Speaker 3: only seven points in that game, so needed a couple
- 37:41Speaker 3: more things to fall his way to really get there.
- 37:43Speaker 3: But do you think that this is a good spot
- 37:45Speaker 3: for Dyson to reach the ceiling? And then I think CJ,
- 37:49Speaker 3: now that he's it looks like he's gonna be starting
- 37:51Speaker 3: moving forward. He started over ree Shay last game, so probably,
- 37:57Speaker 3: I mean the min it's gonna be really strong for him.
- 37:58Speaker 3: This is a team that's kind of looking at him
- 38:00Speaker 3: make some moves in the standing, so I think that
- 38:02Speaker 3: he gives them the best.
- 38:02Speaker 4: Chance to win.
- 38:03Speaker 3: So totally fine with multiple of these Atlanta Hawks guys,
- 38:06Speaker 3: but it's gonna be tough to play Jalen with anybody
- 38:10Speaker 3: else really, because you're eating up a ton of salary
- 38:12Speaker 3: and probably limiting upside a little bit.
- 38:15Speaker 2: Did I hear that right? You said?
- 38:17Speaker 4: Yeah? Well no, I said, I said, CJ started over Reche.
- 38:21Speaker 2: All right, all right, but I remember last week when
- 38:24Speaker 2: I was checking the winner was on was on the
- 38:27Speaker 2: winner that one day?
- 38:28Speaker 4: Do you remember?
- 38:29Speaker 2: Yeah? He was two percent? He had like twenty four
- 38:31Speaker 2: or something. It made things work. But he's not on
- 38:34Speaker 2: the winner often. But I definitely h I definitely remember
- 38:38Speaker 2: that one.
- 38:38Speaker 4: That was a game against Philly.
- 38:39Speaker 2: I believe right it was when I did he have
- 38:42Speaker 2: like twenty Let me see.
- 38:43Speaker 3: He had twenty six point seven against Charlotte game he
- 38:46Speaker 3: had twenty nine.
- 38:47Speaker 4: It's probably the Philly game.
- 38:49Speaker 2: I think it probably was. It sabered like it was
- 38:51Speaker 2: really hot on him. He was like the top point
- 38:53Speaker 2: per dollar and you're like, I'm never playing Riche, which
- 38:55Speaker 2: you make a lot more money not playing him than
- 38:57Speaker 2: you do.
- 38:57Speaker 3: But I actually did end up playing more than that
- 39:00Speaker 3: night because I think that was that might have been
- 39:02Speaker 3: like a four or three games slate and it was
- 39:05Speaker 3: the Sixers and hawksam that was just kind of out
- 39:07Speaker 3: projecting every game on the slate. So I was like,
- 39:09Speaker 3: I need at least three to four of this game,
- 39:12Speaker 3: and he ended up being. Him and Jialen were the
- 39:14Speaker 3: guys that ended up in a lot of my lineups.
- 39:17Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, Jalen's been playing jail in this year.
- 39:19Speaker 2: Has been very profitable for sure, but the price is
- 39:21Speaker 2: definitely caught up. All right, we'll keep it rolling too.
- 39:25Speaker 2: Definitely my opinion, the best real life game on the slate.
- 39:27Speaker 2: Excited for this one. New York Knicks and the Cleveland
- 39:30Speaker 2: Cavaliers four and n half point favorites of the Caves
- 39:32Speaker 2: two thirty one and a half total in this one.
- 39:35Speaker 2: No injuries on the Knicks to note no injuries on
- 39:37Speaker 2: the Caves. To note, Yeah, this feels like a playoff
- 39:40Speaker 2: basketball atmosphere. Two great teams, but that doesn't always translate
- 39:45Speaker 2: for DFS. Like now that James Harden's in town, I'm
- 39:48Speaker 2: definitely team Donovan Mitchell over James Harden. In terms of DFS,
- 39:51Speaker 2: the usage just been much better. I think the ceiling
- 39:54Speaker 2: is much higher. Yeah, really curious here to take on
- 39:57Speaker 2: the on the d Mitch stuff. And yeah, I mean
- 40:00Speaker 2: for the Knicks, Brunson's price is lower than you're usually expect.
- 40:03Speaker 2: Talent's price is lower than usually expect. I don't know
- 40:06Speaker 2: necessarily if I believe the ownership on Cat, but yeah,
- 40:11Speaker 2: I mean it's it's a great real life game in
- 40:13Speaker 2: terms of DFS.
- 40:14Speaker 4: That what are you seeing?
- 40:16Speaker 3: Yeah, I pretty much agree with everything you said. I
- 40:19Speaker 3: do worry that the game could be a little bit
- 40:22Speaker 3: just more exciting for real life then it will be
- 40:25Speaker 3: for DFS. But I mean, if there were a game
- 40:27Speaker 3: that stand out, stands out above the rest in terms
- 40:30Speaker 3: of star power, it's for sure this one. You have
- 40:32Speaker 3: two studs on each side, Brunton and Cat, and then
- 40:35Speaker 3: Donovan Mitchell and James Harden obviously, and then the secondary
- 40:38Speaker 3: guys for each team are pretty solid, like O. G.
- 40:40Speaker 4: Hard McHale are all interesting to me.
- 40:42Speaker 3: And then I don't really think that Mobile is too
- 40:45Speaker 3: much in play, but I think you could make the
- 40:46Speaker 3: case for Jared Allen for sure because he's just been
- 40:48Speaker 3: so good playing alongside James Harden, just because James Harden
- 40:52Speaker 3: is known to unlock some of these centers. But as
- 40:56Speaker 3: for how these teams have, these teams match up, the
- 40:59Speaker 3: Caps are four and over the last five games with
- 41:01Speaker 3: James Harden, They've posted one hundred and twenty two offensive rating,
- 41:04Speaker 3: which is second in the NBA over that stretch of games,
- 41:06Speaker 3: one hundred and ten to zero point seven defensive rating,
- 41:08Speaker 3: which is top ten, so really really strong numbers for them.
- 41:12Speaker 3: And then the Knicks are twelfth in defense, third and
- 41:14Speaker 3: offense on the year, but seven and three this month.
- 41:16Speaker 3: So both these teams are playing really really good basketball.
- 41:19Speaker 3: So definitely excited from this game. From a viewer's standpoint,
- 41:21Speaker 3: I definitely have my eyes on this one. But yeah,
- 41:26Speaker 3: I think that it does have fantasy pill just for
- 41:28Speaker 3: the simple effect that these are two high powered offenses
- 41:30Speaker 3: and two teams with studs that we can pay it
- 41:32Speaker 3: for that are pretty fairly priced. Defensively, both these teams
- 41:36Speaker 3: are pretty vulnerable at defending the three point line. Calves
- 41:39Speaker 3: may have a little bit of the edge there because
- 41:41Speaker 3: the Knicks are bottom four and three point defense. Both
- 41:43Speaker 3: the Cavs are a subpart rim defense and below average
- 41:46Speaker 3: rebounding team. Knicks are the seventh best rebounding team, so
- 41:49Speaker 3: guys like Kat, Mitch rob Hart, and even Og I
- 41:52Speaker 3: think matchup pretty well there. Cleveland's also given up some
- 41:56Speaker 3: transition scoring, so it sets another another plus for Ash,
- 42:00Speaker 3: har Og and mckal bridges. I think that the Calves
- 42:03Speaker 3: will start with Dean Wade on Jalen Brunson. Brunston has
- 42:07Speaker 3: been pretty bad against the Calves over the last couple
- 42:11Speaker 3: of seasons. He's failed the top forty DK points in
- 42:14Speaker 3: all but two of his eleven matches versus the Calves
- 42:17Speaker 3: over the last three seasons. I think I might be
- 42:19Speaker 3: looking to Kat a little bit more as an option
- 42:21Speaker 3: here tonight, just because he's cheaper and has been rebounding
- 42:24Speaker 3: the ball really well. But even he has not done
- 42:26Speaker 3: great against the Calves either. As a member of the
- 42:29Speaker 3: next He's averaging just thirty seven DK points per game,
- 42:32Speaker 3: So choosing between one of those two guys, I would
- 42:35Speaker 3: probably lean Kat, but I guess I'm okay with Brunson,
- 42:37Speaker 3: just kind of hope that he writes a ship here.
- 42:39Speaker 3: But I think that the secondary options, the O. G.
- 42:42Speaker 3: Harden Bridges grouping is the guys I'm gonna be focusing
- 42:45Speaker 3: in on more Hard and McHale should see the weaker
- 42:49Speaker 3: defenders on the calves. I think both those guys will
- 42:51Speaker 3: be guarded by James Harden and Donovan Mitchell. Not sure
- 42:55Speaker 3: who's gonna be on OG. I think there's a chance
- 42:57Speaker 3: they put Hard on OG. But either way, Oji's done
- 43:00Speaker 3: great against the Cavs. Over the last couple of matchups.
- 43:02Speaker 3: He's averaging forty two DK points per game. I think
- 43:05Speaker 3: that him and Josh Hard are probably the best options
- 43:07Speaker 3: on the next night. In my opinion, I would be
- 43:12Speaker 3: a little bit worried about the Michel Bridges minutes, just
- 43:14Speaker 3: because we've seen Landry Shammitt and Jose Rodo kind of
- 43:18Speaker 3: even to him. As of late, we're not really seeing
- 43:21Speaker 3: like the thirty eight to forty minutes we were earlier
- 43:23Speaker 3: this season and even last season, so a little bit
- 43:25Speaker 3: lower on him, but I'm pretty high on OG and
- 43:26Speaker 3: Josh Hart. Tonight on the Cavs pretty much just Mitchell
- 43:30Speaker 3: and James Harden. I think that it's going to be
- 43:31Speaker 3: a spy tonight. He's done really good against the Knicks
- 43:34Speaker 3: over last three seasons, averaging just over forty six d
- 43:36Speaker 3: K points per game. Should be guarded by Michael Bridges.
- 43:40Speaker 3: He's done pretty well against him twenty point two points
- 43:42Speaker 3: for seventy five, but just a forty five percent true
- 43:44Speaker 3: shooting percentage. So if those numbers trend more along his
- 43:48Speaker 3: career average, he should be in a pretty good spot here.
- 43:51Speaker 3: I think James Harden's going to get the OG and
- 43:53Speaker 3: an Obi assignment, which is a pretty easy stay away
- 43:55Speaker 3: from me. OJ has done a great job against against
- 43:57Speaker 3: James Harden in their head to head matchups. I think
- 44:00Speaker 3: it's just Donovan for me on the Cavs, but I'd
- 44:02Speaker 3: be okay getting to a little bit of Jared Allenes
- 44:04Speaker 3: just because he's shown really strong numbers alongside James Harden.
- 44:08Speaker 3: If you're playing Donovan Mitchell, are you gonna force like
- 44:10Speaker 3: any Nick? I don't think you necessarily have to personally,
- 44:14Speaker 3: But what are your thoughts on that?
- 44:17Speaker 4: No, I don't think so.
- 44:17Speaker 3: I would definitely be more inclined to get him with
- 44:20Speaker 3: probably Josh Hard or og.
- 44:22Speaker 2: Yeah, and then I guess vice versa. If you're playing
- 44:25Speaker 2: a Brunston or a Cat, are you more likely to
- 44:27Speaker 2: try and play The problem is for the caves, like
- 44:29Speaker 2: it really only feels like D Mitch and then maybe
- 44:32Speaker 2: Jared Allen like you said, but both are pretty expensive.
- 44:34Speaker 2: So I take it you're maybe more inclined to but
- 44:37Speaker 2: definitely not making a rule.
- 44:39Speaker 3: I would be less inclined to do it with the
- 44:41Speaker 3: Knicks because it's a little bit harder to correlate Brunston
- 44:45Speaker 3: and Cat with like the secondary options on the calves.
- 44:49Speaker 2: Yeah, I think D Mitch is definitely my favorite play
- 44:51Speaker 2: in this game, if if picking them, I mean, we
- 44:53Speaker 2: just saw what Kate did to these Knicks not too
- 44:55Speaker 2: long ago at low ownership. I mean, I I assume
- 45:00Speaker 2: you prefer Tyres to D Minch and a vacuum, but
- 45:04Speaker 2: there's gonna be an ownership discount on D Mitch.
- 45:09Speaker 3: Yeah, I think that's probably a fair assessment to make.
- 45:13Speaker 3: I don't know, though, I mean, Donovan Mitchell at one
- 45:16Speaker 3: point four to one fantasy once a minute while playing
- 45:19Speaker 3: alongside James Harden. That's pretty strong for him. So I
- 45:22Speaker 3: know my side with.
- 45:23Speaker 2: Donovan here all right, and you'll you'll get an ownership discount,
- 45:27Speaker 2: so that's that's definitely interesting. That means one of the
- 45:30Speaker 2: best spend ups on the slate. You were a little
- 45:31Speaker 2: hesitant on. Jalen Johnson, d Mitch your favorite in this game.
- 45:35Speaker 2: There's not too many other spends, so I like it.
- 45:38Speaker 2: Before we do get to the next game, just want
- 45:40Speaker 2: to show we got three hundred and ninety people watch
- 45:41Speaker 2: and definitely appreciate the support. February twenty fourth, NBA one
- 45:45Speaker 2: of the only sports in town, and yeah, the show
- 45:47Speaker 2: people are definitely showing up for prizes are still big,
- 45:50Speaker 2: which you love to see.
- 45:52Speaker 4: Uh.
- 45:52Speaker 2: If you do want to join us at the nation
- 45:54Speaker 2: ship a nation dot com, this is the screen you
- 45:56Speaker 2: will see Join the nation right here in the bottom
- 45:58Speaker 2: left and you can see multiple for packages as low
- 46:01Speaker 2: as nine dollars. You can get in with Sabersim all
- 46:03Speaker 2: of the sports above. I recommend for ten extra dollars,
- 46:07Speaker 2: you get four more days, you get Discord, you get
- 46:10Speaker 2: saber Sim and then Golf on Thursday, Golf's massive best
- 46:13Speaker 2: team around No. Doubt about that, so you get PGA content,
- 46:16Speaker 2: of course, NBA content. NHL will be back in I
- 46:20Speaker 2: believe like four days, NASCAR on Sunday, MMA on Saturday.
- 46:24Speaker 2: Prizes are massive in both of those sports. Yeah, a
- 46:27Speaker 2: great time of year. Obviously, I'm very sad without the
- 46:30Speaker 2: NFL always, but I love the prize in NBA still,
- 46:33Speaker 2: and NASCAR has been a lot of fun MMA, of course,
- 46:35Speaker 2: and PGA is really fun. So we'd love to have you.
- 46:39Speaker 2: Shout out again to Rio two weeks ago taking on
- 46:41Speaker 2: twelve point five K in the golf streets, you g'd
- 46:45Speaker 2: be back in the golf streets this week.
- 46:46Speaker 4: Real, I doubt it.
- 46:50Speaker 2: Definitely a worse event in terms of star power, but
- 46:52Speaker 2: that doesn't mean that it's bad for the prizes are
- 46:55Speaker 2: so good. Our team continues to grind. Yeah, check it out.
- 46:59Speaker 2: Shout out to Lee Aldrich. Everyone knows Matt, everyone knows
- 47:02Speaker 2: Tambo and Hoop, but Lee definitely does a great job
- 47:05Speaker 2: with the value report and the course fit rankings. We'll
- 47:08Speaker 2: keep her rolling. Next game on the slates eight pm
- 47:11Speaker 2: Eastern Charlotte Hornets and at the Chicago Bulls. We are
- 47:14Speaker 2: looking at eight and n that point favorites for the Hornets
- 47:16Speaker 2: two thirty two and a half total in this one.
- 47:18Speaker 2: No injury news on the Charlotte side as far as
- 47:21Speaker 2: the Bulls, no Jalen Smith, no Anthony Simons, no Jaden Ivy.
- 47:28Speaker 2: The jad and Ivy stuff really interesting. Was that a
- 47:30Speaker 2: real tweet that I saw that, Like, he's just not
- 47:32Speaker 2: like he said, he ain't the same as he used
- 47:33Speaker 2: to be.
- 47:34Speaker 4: Yeah, it was from an interview.
- 47:37Speaker 2: That's I mean, that's sad. I mean that it takes
- 47:39Speaker 2: like a lot of recognition and stuff to admit that
- 47:43Speaker 2: about yourself. But obviously Yeah, definitely a little sad there.
- 47:46Speaker 2: But I mean he's out. It means nothing in terms
- 47:48Speaker 2: of DFS, but a pretty solid total. And yeah, LaMelo
- 47:52Speaker 2: had quite the game just the other nights coming go
- 47:55Speaker 2: back to Lamelow, so did con. I mean, I'll love
- 47:57Speaker 2: watching these Hornets. Brandon Miller is a hooper. They got
- 48:00Speaker 2: bridges when Lamellow is hitting his stuff. Yeah, it seems fun.
- 48:04Speaker 3: So can we get there in DFS? Yeah, I mean
- 48:07Speaker 3: this is obviously a great matchup. Bowl's still one of
- 48:10Speaker 3: the worst overall defenses in the NBA, but really really
- 48:13Speaker 3: bad with the rint protection this season. The rebound, he
- 48:16Speaker 3: has been not so great. Pick and roll is not
- 48:18Speaker 3: great either, So I definitely think that all of the
- 48:20Speaker 3: Hornets top five guys are in play. They will be
- 48:22Speaker 3: getting Kobe White tonight. He'll be making his debut, so
- 48:26Speaker 3: we'll see what that looks like for him. I don't
- 48:29Speaker 3: think it's gonna be like a situation where he's eating
- 48:32Speaker 3: into any of LaMelo Miller con of their role, because
- 48:36Speaker 3: those are like the three kind of guard wing options
- 48:38Speaker 3: that they have right now. I just think that he's
- 48:40Speaker 3: probably taken over like the trade man and Josh Green
- 48:43Speaker 3: or whoever else was seeing some backup minutes. He's probably
- 48:46Speaker 3: gonna be really really limited in his first game too,
- 48:48Speaker 3: because he had the calf injury that he was kind
- 48:51Speaker 3: of playing through in Chicago this season.
- 48:52Speaker 4: So definitely don't think they.
- 48:53Speaker 3: Want to push him too much early on. But yeah,
- 48:56Speaker 3: this will be the first time we get to see
- 48:58Speaker 3: their full ross are pretty much playing together. They get
- 49:01Speaker 3: da Botte and Miles Bridges back for this. One comes
- 49:03Speaker 3: at a pretty good time. They were kind of trening
- 49:05Speaker 3: down a little bit on defense as of late. They
- 49:07Speaker 3: split their last four games two and two at one
- 49:10Speaker 3: hundred and seventeen defensive rating, which is bottom eight over
- 49:12Speaker 3: that stretch. Definitely good, good time to get bridges in
- 49:15Speaker 3: da Bote back. The only real area of weakness for
- 49:20Speaker 3: the Hornets at times can be the rim defense, but
- 49:22Speaker 3: they've been a really good three point defense and they
- 49:23Speaker 3: are the best rebounding team in the NBA. So really
- 49:26Speaker 3: good numbers for Charlotte this season. Definitely think we should
- 49:29Speaker 3: have interest in all these guys tonight. They have the
- 49:31Speaker 3: second highest team total on the slate and are only
- 49:33Speaker 3: favored by eight and a half, so there's a good
- 49:35Speaker 3: chance that these guys are playing full minutes tonight.
- 49:37Speaker 2: I think LaMelo might be priced out for me.
- 49:41Speaker 3: Don't think that he's the guy that you're xing out
- 49:43Speaker 3: just because we just saw him get there last game
- 49:45Speaker 3: twenty seven minutes but made ten threes, had like sixty
- 49:49Speaker 3: four draftings points or whatever was. So definitely think that
- 49:52Speaker 3: he's a guy you should keep in your player pool.
- 49:53Speaker 3: But I'd be lower on him and higher on Brandon
- 49:57Speaker 3: Miller of the guys that I'm spending up four on
- 49:59Speaker 3: the Hornets. I just think he's the better option from
- 50:01Speaker 3: a minute standpoint, and probably the matchup is a little
- 50:04Speaker 3: bit better for him as well. LaMelo can be guarded
- 50:06Speaker 3: by Is Crowe. I don't really view as like a
- 50:08Speaker 3: lockdown defender, but Brandon Miller with see Montas buzzellis who
- 50:12Speaker 3: can give it up at times. He's a really good
- 50:14Speaker 3: shot blocker, but I don't know, he's so young and
- 50:17Speaker 3: kind of learning the ropes defensively. Brandon Miller is averaging
- 50:20Speaker 3: twenty two point three points per game, five point three rebounds,
- 50:23Speaker 3: three assists, and forty DK points per game against the
- 50:26Speaker 3: Bulls this season, so definitely think that I like him
- 50:29Speaker 3: a little bit more than Lamelas and I do think
- 50:32Speaker 3: Con is also in play at seven point four K
- 50:34Speaker 3: just playing great. I also think that if you can
- 50:37Speaker 3: get a bet down on him to win the Rookie
- 50:39Speaker 3: of the Year, it's got to be pretty solid because
- 50:41Speaker 3: I don't know when Cooper Flag is going to return,
- 50:45Speaker 3: to what degree of minutes he's going to be playing
- 50:47Speaker 3: when he does return, and the Mavericks are really they're
- 50:50Speaker 3: playing to lose, Hornets are playing to make the playoffs.
- 50:52Speaker 3: I just feel like CON's got the edge there, but
- 50:55Speaker 3: the audits do favorite Cooper Flag.
- 50:57Speaker 2: But yeah, seventy man, I remember talking. I don't know,
- 51:01Speaker 2: a week or two weeks and he was plus fifteen hundred. Yeah,
- 51:05Speaker 2: Coop's minus four hundred, man, Yeah, do you have any
- 51:09Speaker 2: you have any thoughts there? I mean, wow, Yeah, I
- 51:12Speaker 2: mean what you said makes a ton of sense. Yeah,
- 51:15Speaker 2: plus two seventy still looks like some value. What's just
- 51:19Speaker 2: going down every day?
- 51:20Speaker 4: Yeah?
- 51:21Speaker 2: The MVP, I saw someone made it good. Do you
- 51:23Speaker 2: remember what like that guy had the tweet that blew
- 51:26Speaker 2: up about Kate Cunningham and stuff. Do you remember what
- 51:28Speaker 2: books had Kate at before that tweet? I assume it
- 51:31Speaker 2: had to have gone the other direction.
- 51:33Speaker 4: All I know is that he was at like plus
- 51:35Speaker 4: five hundred ish yesterday, still plus five hundred today.
- 51:38Speaker 2: Yeah, I know the tweet was earlier, So I don't
- 51:40Speaker 2: know if like earlier in the day yesterday or the
- 51:43Speaker 2: day before. I can't remember, but I have a feeling
- 51:45Speaker 2: I had to have moved. I mean, they got so
- 51:47Speaker 2: much traction, and so many people talked about how good
- 51:49Speaker 2: of a case it was, so I don't know what
- 51:51Speaker 2: it was.
- 51:52Speaker 3: Before I was listening to a lot of a lot
- 51:54Speaker 3: of stuff about the MVP race, like the wind Horse
- 51:57Speaker 3: podcast and some of these other like the Ringer podcasts, and.
- 52:01Speaker 4: The Ringer guys.
- 52:02Speaker 3: They seem to think that kid is not really MVP candidate.
- 52:05Speaker 3: They said that he's like the not a top twelve
- 52:07Speaker 3: player in the NBA, which was insane to me. I
- 52:10Speaker 3: don't I'm trying to think of like who I'm ranking
- 52:12Speaker 3: above him, and I got to like five guys.
- 52:15Speaker 2: Yeah, I'd have to think, but I mean those guys
- 52:16Speaker 2: are irrelevant in terms of like if he actually wins
- 52:19Speaker 2: or not, right, Like, yeah, I think he's I mean
- 52:22Speaker 2: he's number three. He clearly is in play.
- 52:25Speaker 3: Yeah, they're saying like it's going to be like an
- 52:26Speaker 3: asterisk type MVP because the only way that they believe
- 52:29Speaker 3: that he wins is if Yo Kich misses one more game,
- 52:32Speaker 3: he won't be eligible. I think Shay has like seven
- 52:35Speaker 3: or six more games, and then Luca is at like like.
- 52:40Speaker 4: Seven or eight more games. Something like that.
- 52:42Speaker 2: Castle was on his ass for sure, though, Kaid was.
- 52:44Speaker 2: I mean that, yeah, he was real real bad. Spurs
- 52:47Speaker 2: are so tough, man, They're so tough.
- 52:50Speaker 3: Yeah, they looked really good last night and Wemby even
- 52:52Speaker 3: had a poor first half.
- 52:53Speaker 4: Like they have a really complete team. I like them
- 52:56Speaker 4: this year.
- 52:57Speaker 3: I think that they could take down Okay, see if
- 52:59Speaker 3: in a seven game series, hopefully they meet up in
- 53:01Speaker 3: the Western Cons finals, I think they'll be a fun
- 53:02Speaker 3: matchup for sure. Yeah, I do think I think Kate
- 53:06Speaker 3: should be close to I do think that he if
- 53:11Speaker 3: if Shade does miss more games, I feel like he's
- 53:12Speaker 3: the front runner for sure. But I don't think Wemby's
- 53:15Speaker 3: up there too. He has like four more games to miss.
- 53:17Speaker 3: He looks pretty healthy right now, so I wouldn't I
- 53:20Speaker 3: wouldn't dismiss him.
- 53:23Speaker 4: Get back to this one.
- 53:24Speaker 3: I think that Bridges and Diabat are probably my favorite
- 53:27Speaker 3: options on the on the Hornets to night. Just from
- 53:29Speaker 3: a salary standpoint, they're pretty enterprised. Only six k for
- 53:35Speaker 3: Bridges five point two for Diabalate. Both have really good
- 53:37Speaker 3: matchups to wing defense for the Bolls non existent there.
- 53:41Speaker 3: They've been getting killed by centers all season long, so
- 53:43Speaker 3: really good match up for diabaatee. Both should have fresh
- 53:45Speaker 3: legs been off for basically two weeks with the four
- 53:48Speaker 3: game suspension, and then Chicago's gonna be without Jalen Smith tonight,
- 53:52Speaker 3: which means they'll have an underside, undersized gershon Yabuseli and
- 53:55Speaker 3: starting lineup, and then a really bad defender, Nick Richards
- 53:58Speaker 3: in the second unit starting at It was a really
- 54:00Speaker 3: good spot for Davata here like him a ton. I
- 54:04Speaker 3: think that's it on the Hornet side. Bull's side, this
- 54:06Speaker 3: gonna be a headache to try to break down because
- 54:12Speaker 3: they still have so many guards. Even with Ivy and
- 54:15Speaker 3: Andthrey Simon's out, they still have Giddy, Trey Jones, Sexton, Isaacaccorro,
- 54:20Speaker 3: and Rob dealing Ham.
- 54:21Speaker 4: So that's five guards right there.
- 54:23Speaker 3: I think that they are just way too thin in
- 54:26Speaker 3: the front court for me to want to play these
- 54:28Speaker 3: guys at really high clips. I think Yabu is probably
- 54:31Speaker 3: the best at four point nine K. He's two games
- 54:34Speaker 3: removed from a near triple double and they got a
- 54:36Speaker 3: double double last game, probably starting tonight, and I guess
- 54:41Speaker 3: if there was like a weakness for the bo for
- 54:43Speaker 3: the Hornets, it would be on the interior. Yabu does
- 54:45Speaker 3: have some floor space and capability as well, so a
- 54:49Speaker 3: couple of different ways that he could get there. But
- 54:51Speaker 3: I think that he's the guy I'm looking to on
- 54:52Speaker 3: the Bulls tonight. And then I would say Nick Richards
- 54:54Speaker 3: is definitely played at three point nine K because he'll
- 54:57Speaker 3: probably be playing like low twenties minutes. I think I
- 55:00Speaker 3: would say a max one of Yabu and Nick Richards tonight,
- 55:03Speaker 3: and then I would be a max two of Pat
- 55:06Speaker 3: Will Matas and.
- 55:09Speaker 2: Yabu as well. I think Matas.
- 55:12Speaker 3: Definitely worth worth some consideration as well, shown really good upside,
- 55:16Speaker 3: but it's just not confidence in his minute confident in
- 55:18Speaker 3: his minutes right now and then after the front core
- 55:21Speaker 3: guys think I'm looking to calling Sexton and Rob Dilingham
- 55:24Speaker 3: because we know that Josh Kitty's going to be really limited.
- 55:26Speaker 4: I think Trade Jones is still pretty limited as well.
- 55:29Speaker 3: Sex and the minutes were really bad lately, but then
- 55:32Speaker 3: with Simon's out, he's probably going to be ticked back up.
- 55:34Speaker 3: And then dilling hamm's be getting toalked up a little
- 55:36Speaker 3: bit by Billy Donovan. I think they want to get
- 55:37Speaker 3: a longer look at him. Should be in like the
- 55:39Speaker 3: low twenties, and he's only three point eight k. So
- 55:42Speaker 3: I think that dealing Ham is probably the second best
- 55:45Speaker 3: option on the bulls and I need to hear your
- 55:46Speaker 3: thoughts on the Bulls though, because I had this is
- 55:48Speaker 3: really tough to break down.
- 55:50Speaker 2: It's definitely tough, but at the prices, like, it feels
- 55:52Speaker 2: like having a bowl and a lot of lineups is good.
- 55:55Speaker 2: Now we're going to get to these warriors that are
- 55:57Speaker 2: also really cheap, but I think we're going to be
- 55:59Speaker 2: a decent bit higher own. But it feels like, yeah,
- 56:01Speaker 2: at these prices that, I mean, it's it's not hard
- 56:05Speaker 2: for at least one of them to get there. I
- 56:06Speaker 2: really Richard seems really strong, but he is just center eligible.
- 56:10Speaker 2: Dillingham would probably be my favorite. What did you say
- 56:13Speaker 2: about Matas? Just the minutes range is really wide, man.
- 56:19Speaker 2: I think I'm more likely to be playing like a
- 56:23Speaker 2: Matas when I am playing a con A LaMelo at
- 56:25Speaker 2: Brandon Miller and something like that, Whereas if I'm not
- 56:28Speaker 2: really playing any of those hornets guys, and I'm more
- 56:30Speaker 2: likely to just punt and play like a Dillingham, a
- 56:32Speaker 2: Yabu or something like that. You can obviously play Yabu
- 56:35Speaker 2: and stuff with when you are playing Miller con in that,
- 56:38Speaker 2: but I'm more likely to play Matas for sure when
- 56:41Speaker 2: I am playing one of those those hornets. But I mean,
- 56:44Speaker 2: the total is pretty solid and the prices are so good.
- 56:48Speaker 2: I guess the problem is there's really not too many
- 56:50Speaker 2: spins on this late only one player above ten k.
- 56:52Speaker 2: But if you are trying to play a a mb
- 56:55Speaker 2: D Mitch Jalen Johnson, MAXI something like that, it's not
- 56:58Speaker 2: a spot you can ignore. But I assume I guess
- 57:01Speaker 2: like Quinn Poster, Nick Richards, who would you prefer there?
- 57:05Speaker 3: Yeah, I was looking at that Post was projecting really well.
- 57:07Speaker 3: I'm not sure I'm agree with that too much, but
- 57:14Speaker 3: I guess Post.
- 57:16Speaker 2: Okay, And then like Yabaseli versus Moody versus Santos. Obviously
- 57:22Speaker 2: those guys are a little more expensive, but you're talking
- 57:24Speaker 2: about a forward position. Do you have a thing?
- 57:27Speaker 4: I mean, I like Yabu over Moody, but probably not
- 57:29Speaker 4: less than Santos.
- 57:31Speaker 2: Okay, I mean that's still ad ownership. That's pretty bullish
- 57:33Speaker 2: on these on these bulls guys, So I think it's
- 57:35Speaker 2: pretty strong now, playing three of them seems tough on
- 57:39Speaker 2: this late. Do you agree?
- 57:40Speaker 4: Yeah? I was.
- 57:41Speaker 3: I think that you could, but I think too probably
- 57:45Speaker 3: feels better. Like, Yeah, I mean, it's gonna be Max
- 57:48Speaker 3: one of the like the point guards, Max one, Giddy, Dillingham,
- 57:51Speaker 3: Trade Jones.
- 57:52Speaker 4: You're probably not playing Giddy or Trade Jones.
- 57:55Speaker 3: I'll be Max one of achorro Sex and I think
- 57:57Speaker 3: that you could probably play each of those guys, but
- 58:00Speaker 3: obviously always lower on a Koro than not. And then yeah,
- 58:05Speaker 3: Max one of Yabu, Richards, Max two Pa Will Matas
- 58:08Speaker 3: and Yabu, so you can get the three, but I
- 58:10Speaker 3: think two is probably safer.
- 58:14Speaker 2: For the Charlotte stuff. Would you be fine playing like
- 58:17Speaker 2: two of Miller and Khan and LaMelo or is it
- 58:21Speaker 2: does it feel like too much? Like if you're playing them,
- 58:25Speaker 2: like I probably want like at least a Mata or
- 58:27Speaker 2: something on the other side that I think one guy
- 58:29Speaker 2: is smashing there. I don't know if it's just Yabu
- 58:32Speaker 2: Sally Dillingham, like if those are the guys that are
- 58:34Speaker 2: making this game competitive where you do get full minutes
- 58:37Speaker 2: for the hornets. So what are your thoughts there, like
- 58:39Speaker 2: can you play too? And if you do, what are
- 58:40Speaker 2: you doing on the bulls?
- 58:42Speaker 3: I think you can play too, And I don't think
- 58:43Speaker 3: you need to correlate it. And the reason being is
- 58:45Speaker 3: just because they there's been times a season where they
- 58:48Speaker 3: just put up a ton of points.
- 58:49Speaker 4: Like if you if you set that rule where you
- 58:51Speaker 4: said if I have.
- 58:52Speaker 3: Two of LaMelo Miller Khan last game against Washington. I'm
- 58:57Speaker 3: not sure you were getting anybody that you needed on
- 58:59Speaker 3: the wash inside because I don't even know if, like
- 59:01Speaker 3: what the DK scores look like for them. But I
- 59:03Speaker 3: wouldn't want to force that rule because I think there
- 59:05Speaker 3: are situations where they go for like one hundred and
- 59:08Speaker 3: twenty points in the first like with like eight minutes
- 59:12Speaker 3: left in the fourth court, and then they pull their
- 59:13Speaker 3: guys and you still get like fifty from LaMelo, fifty
- 59:16Speaker 3: from Miller, fifty from con like fifty from two of
- 59:18Speaker 3: those guys.
- 59:19Speaker 4: I think that's within within the range of outcomes.
- 59:21Speaker 2: I like it. That makes a lot of sense. All right,
- 59:24Speaker 2: Two games left, Golden State Warriors and the New Orleans Pelicans.
- 59:27Speaker 2: Definitely a very important game for DFS. We are looking
- 59:30Speaker 2: at Warriors one and a half point favorites two twenty
- 59:34Speaker 2: seven and a half total in this one. Why the
- 59:36Speaker 2: Warriors are so popular. No Chris STAPs and no Horford
- 59:39Speaker 2: for the Warriors. As far as the Pelican side, Trey
- 59:43Speaker 2: Murphy's out. I love Trey Murphy, what a hooper he is,
- 59:46Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean you just sort in terms of
- 59:49Speaker 2: salary in this game, the highest guy on the Warriors
- 59:52Speaker 2: pods at six point two k and you get five
- 59:55Speaker 2: point ak five six five five like their favorite by
- 59:58Speaker 2: one and a half points. Pelicans aren't any good and
- 1:00:01Speaker 2: the prices are just absolutely crazy. And then the Pelicans side,
- 1:00:04Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, Zion seven to seven, Sadik Bay six
- 1:00:07Speaker 2: y four. I think Sadik Bay is one of the
- 1:00:09Speaker 2: more one of the more surprising guys in the NBA
- 1:00:12Speaker 2: this year too, absolutely filling it up. But I mean
- 1:00:14Speaker 2: on both sides in a competitive game where the defenses
- 1:00:18Speaker 2: aren't too great, like these guys don't need to do
- 1:00:20Speaker 2: too too much to smash. I mean, this game's not
- 1:00:22Speaker 2: sneaking by anyone. So I'm curious to hear like your
- 1:00:25Speaker 2: take on like how many is too many? Or like
- 1:00:28Speaker 2: when you are playing a lot of this game, you're
- 1:00:30Speaker 2: eating into a lot of ownership. So I would definitely
- 1:00:32Speaker 2: try and find pivots. But I mean, yeah, definitely a
- 1:00:34Speaker 2: game you can't ignore. If you had no Warriors, I
- 1:00:37Speaker 2: think you're making a mistake. And yeah, I mean you
- 1:00:40Speaker 2: can play no Pelicans, I guess, but they still seem
- 1:00:42Speaker 2: pretty strong.
- 1:00:43Speaker 3: Yeah, I would agree with that. Both these teams playing
- 1:00:47Speaker 3: to win, and that's a close spread. Both the seams
- 1:00:49Speaker 3: have been playing pretty bad defensively, so I definitely think
- 1:00:51Speaker 3: you want to get into this game in most of
- 1:00:54Speaker 3: your lineups tonight, Like I would be surprised if I
- 1:00:57Speaker 3: had any lineups that did not feature at least one
- 1:00:59Speaker 3: person from this game, if not too. But you forgot
- 1:01:03Speaker 3: to mention my guy, Dejoonty Murray making his season debut
- 1:01:06Speaker 3: tonight after the Achilles stare.
- 1:01:08Speaker 2: Damn, yeah, I mean I slipped right past me. Yeah,
- 1:01:12Speaker 2: I mean, because he's not DFS relevant at all, But okay,
- 1:01:14Speaker 2: I mean that makes it a little more difficult on
- 1:01:17Speaker 2: whoever he's guarding. Dejonte's an absolute menas on defense. I
- 1:01:22Speaker 2: don't know how fi minutes you expect them to be
- 1:01:23Speaker 2: playing fifteen or something or did they come out and
- 1:01:25Speaker 2: say a number.
- 1:01:26Speaker 4: I haven't seen anything just yet.
- 1:01:28Speaker 3: I don't think to look, but I feel like he's
- 1:01:29Speaker 3: probably at like twenty it's usually kind of worth and
- 1:01:32Speaker 3: then eventually get inched up to like upper twenties. But
- 1:01:36Speaker 3: I mean, I think that's huge for the Pelicans because
- 1:01:38Speaker 3: they've been so bad on offense, Like they I don't
- 1:01:41Speaker 3: even know what their play style is an offense because
- 1:01:44Speaker 3: they kind of just like we'll give the ball to
- 1:01:47Speaker 3: Zion and just let him play ISO for a little bit,
- 1:01:49Speaker 3: and then Derrek Queen will get the ball on another
- 1:01:51Speaker 3: possession where he's just at the top of the key
- 1:01:53Speaker 3: and kind of like running dribble handoffs. Like there's no
- 1:01:55Speaker 3: rhyme or rhythm to their offense at all. And I
- 1:01:58Speaker 3: feel like Dejonte could really help there because he's like
- 1:02:00Speaker 3: a true point guard and he's a guy that can
- 1:02:03Speaker 3: facilitate and kind of get their team set up into
- 1:02:06Speaker 3: offensive into offensive sets if they even have any offensive sets.
- 1:02:11Speaker 4: But I definitely think that.
- 1:02:11Speaker 3: It's going to help their overall offensive ton just curious
- 1:02:14Speaker 3: to see what that does for the upside of Derrek
- 1:02:18Speaker 3: Queen and Jeremiah Fears and who that kicks out of
- 1:02:20Speaker 3: the rotation. I feel like Jordan Poole is probably gone now,
- 1:02:23Speaker 3: but maybe it's just Bryce McGowan's I don't know. They
- 1:02:25Speaker 3: just signed McGowan's to a three year deal, so I
- 1:02:27Speaker 3: feel like they want to play him, But I would
- 1:02:28Speaker 3: imagine Fears in pool their roles do get diminished just
- 1:02:33Speaker 3: a little bit. Yeah, Like I said, both these teams
- 1:02:35Speaker 3: are really bad defense as of late bottom four and
- 1:02:38Speaker 3: bottom five over the last two weeks, and they've both
- 1:02:40Speaker 3: been pretty solid on offense. Fourteenth on offense for New Orleans,
- 1:02:43Speaker 3: eleventh for the Warriors. So definitely think there should be
- 1:02:46Speaker 3: a plenty of points scored here. I feel like the
- 1:02:48Speaker 3: game total maybe is a little bit underprojected two twenty
- 1:02:51Speaker 3: seven if it probably deserves to be in like the
- 1:02:53Speaker 3: two thirtiest range, but definitely have a lot of interesting
- 1:02:57Speaker 3: teams offensively up. The Pelicans continue to give a ton
- 1:03:00Speaker 3: of points all over the place, but especially with their
- 1:03:02Speaker 3: three point defense. They're the worst three point defense in
- 1:03:05Speaker 3: the NBA, and the Warriors are much worse rim defense
- 1:03:08Speaker 3: this month, but they're also bottom seven and turnerer percentage.
- 1:03:10Speaker 3: Pelicans are third worst in rebounding, and then the Warriors
- 1:03:15Speaker 3: are bottom three and transition defense, So kind of a
- 1:03:16Speaker 3: lot a lot going on here. I think for the Warriors,
- 1:03:19Speaker 3: Pods looks like one of the better midsier options on
- 1:03:22Speaker 3: the entire slate, whether or not he starts. I don't
- 1:03:23Speaker 3: think he's been starting, but should see a fairly big
- 1:03:27Speaker 3: usage increase coming off of a near triple double last
- 1:03:30Speaker 3: time out, and with the current injuries for the Warriors.
- 1:03:32Speaker 3: He's a one point one to five Fantasy points for
- 1:03:34Speaker 3: a minute. Really good spot for pods here, like him
- 1:03:37Speaker 3: a ton. I think the next guy looking to would
- 1:03:40Speaker 3: be De Santo's. He's been playing really well as of late,
- 1:03:44Speaker 3: thirty plus minutes in four of his last six games,
- 1:03:46Speaker 3: averaging thirty three point three DK points for games over
- 1:03:49Speaker 3: that stretch. He's also being used much more on offense
- 1:03:51Speaker 3: to facilitate as well as an increase involvement percentage and
- 1:03:55Speaker 3: on ball roll seven point five potential assists per game.
- 1:03:57Speaker 3: Really solid numbers for Gis Santos, So like him a
- 1:03:59Speaker 3: good bit. Second best guy in the words.
- 1:04:01Speaker 2: For me.
- 1:04:03Speaker 3: Under on Draymond. For me, just I don't know, I'm
- 1:04:06Speaker 3: not I don't. I don't see myself getting there much.
- 1:04:09Speaker 3: Five point five K coming.
- 1:04:11Speaker 2: Up rarely nowadays, I mean rarely rarely.
- 1:04:15Speaker 3: It feels like, yeah, I mean, he got thirty minutes
- 1:04:17Speaker 3: against the Spurs, did really well, the next game, gets
- 1:04:22Speaker 3: injured in the the game after that is scratched, I believe,
- 1:04:25Speaker 3: like right after tip so just like thirty minutes is
- 1:04:28Speaker 3: the most his body can handle this point.
- 1:04:30Speaker 4: He's just old and kind of beat up.
- 1:04:31Speaker 3: So I just don't really think I need to go
- 1:04:33Speaker 3: out there at ownership, would much rather just play g
- 1:04:35Speaker 3: Santo's for one hundred dollars more, would much rather play
- 1:04:38Speaker 3: Most mood for one hundred dollars or less. At five
- 1:04:40Speaker 3: point four K. Do feel like Moody's range is a
- 1:04:42Speaker 3: little bit wider, though, but he has a really really
- 1:04:45Speaker 3: appealing minute ceiling for sure. Don't really know what to
- 1:04:48Speaker 3: make of the pet Spencer stuff with melting back. Five
- 1:04:51Speaker 3: point a k for Melton seems like a little bit
- 1:04:53Speaker 3: too much as well. But I do think Quinn Po's
- 1:04:55Speaker 3: pretty good at three point ak he should be not
- 1:05:00Speaker 3: sure what the minutes look like for him. I think
- 1:05:01Speaker 3: it's probably like twenty to twenty two would be the
- 1:05:04Speaker 3: range I have him at. Yeah, he's okay there and
- 1:05:07Speaker 3: then on the Warriors or on the Pelicans.
- 1:05:09Speaker 4: Excuse me?
- 1:05:11Speaker 3: Do you have interest in Zion? Zion and de John
- 1:05:14Speaker 3: Say Murray played one hundred and eight minutes alongside of
- 1:05:16Speaker 3: each other last season, and the results were really really strong.
- 1:05:19Speaker 4: For Zion.
- 1:05:20Speaker 3: He averaged twenty three point eight points per game, seven
- 1:05:22Speaker 3: point eight rebounds, five point two assist, forty six point
- 1:05:25Speaker 3: two d K points per game, and one point sixty
- 1:05:26Speaker 3: five fantasy points per minute.
- 1:05:28Speaker 4: He's been a lot.
- 1:05:29Speaker 3: Worse as a permitted producer this season, like the worst
- 1:05:31Speaker 3: that he's been pretty much since he's coming to the NBA.
- 1:05:34Speaker 3: But I do like this matchup for him with the
- 1:05:35Speaker 3: Warriors training down defensively around the basket, and he kind
- 1:05:39Speaker 3: of There's been times where he's been really close to
- 1:05:41Speaker 3: putting a full game together. Last game was one of
- 1:05:44Speaker 3: those games. Twenty one points. He's been getting to the
- 1:05:46Speaker 3: line a ton, but eight assists, six rebounds. I just
- 1:05:49Speaker 3: really think that the de Johntay Murray stepping into the
- 1:05:52Speaker 3: point guard role is really gonna help this offense. I
- 1:05:54Speaker 3: feel like Zion isn't a pretty good spot here at
- 1:05:56Speaker 3: seven point seven K pretty easy to stack him up
- 1:05:58Speaker 3: with one or two Warriors pieces as well.
- 1:06:02Speaker 4: I don't know who it's.
- 1:06:03Speaker 3: Going to be that's guarding him, but I would be
- 1:06:04Speaker 3: a little bit worried if it's Gi Santo's from a
- 1:06:07Speaker 3: floubris standpoint, Becausigon's just gonna be barreling into the basket
- 1:06:10Speaker 3: pretty much every time he touches the ball after him.
- 1:06:13Speaker 3: I do agree with you on Bay, He's been really
- 1:06:15Speaker 3: really strong this season. I think his role is gonna
- 1:06:17Speaker 3: be pretty much unchanged kind of the filling in a
- 1:06:20Speaker 3: little bit as the Trey Murphy guys like the floor
- 1:06:23Speaker 3: stretcher and can do a little bit dribbling as well,
- 1:06:25Speaker 3: So I think that he's pretty solid at six point
- 1:06:27Speaker 3: four K. I don't think I'm two into Queen right now,
- 1:06:31Speaker 3: just the minutes range is too wide, and it's just
- 1:06:35Speaker 3: if he's playing, if he's not showing any effort on defense,
- 1:06:37Speaker 3: he's gonna get yanked. And I think Draymond, as long
- 1:06:40Speaker 3: as their matchup against each other, I think Draymond's gonna
- 1:06:42Speaker 3: be able to kind of shut him down. So a
- 1:06:44Speaker 3: little bit off of Queen Herb Jones. Fine, it's four
- 1:06:47Speaker 3: point seven K, but that's probably it. I think that
- 1:06:49Speaker 3: I want to wait to see what the role looks
- 1:06:51Speaker 3: like for Fears, Murray and Pool in particular.
- 1:06:54Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean I just playing Bay or Zion alone, like,
- 1:06:57Speaker 2: I mean, they're gonna have a little ownership, but it's
- 1:06:59Speaker 2: not crazy. Definitely my favorite ways to get or get
- 1:07:02Speaker 2: a piece of the Pelican stuff because you're almost I
- 1:07:04Speaker 2: mean you're probably not. You don't need to make them
- 1:07:07Speaker 2: in one golden state. I mean, if you're using an optimizer,
- 1:07:09Speaker 2: it's almost guaranteed to show up. Is there too, like
- 1:07:12Speaker 2: a a number where you have too many warriors like
- 1:07:15Speaker 2: four does feel a little tough at all these prices,
- 1:07:18Speaker 2: especially when you have Bulls and like Pacers and some
- 1:07:22Speaker 2: other teams and similar price ranges. Do you agree with that? Is,
- 1:07:25Speaker 2: would you sell like a three max or what are
- 1:07:28Speaker 2: your thoughts on just that?
- 1:07:29Speaker 4: Yeah?
- 1:07:30Speaker 3: I think three is good for this slate. I don't
- 1:07:32Speaker 3: really know what to do with like the groupings on
- 1:07:34Speaker 3: the words just because they don't really have a set rotations,
- 1:07:38Speaker 3: just kind of whatever. Steve Kurr is feeling like you
- 1:07:40Speaker 3: look at the when these guys check in and out
- 1:07:42Speaker 3: and there's just no, it's not game to game like
- 1:07:46Speaker 3: it would be for like Stephan Draymond, but for like
- 1:07:48Speaker 3: Pods and like Moody and these other guys. It's just
- 1:07:51Speaker 3: if they're playing well, they're going to see a longer rotation.
- 1:07:53Speaker 3: If they're not, they'll get pulled.
- 1:07:54Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, let's take it to the last game
- 1:07:57Speaker 2: of the night. Appreciate everyone hanging out over four hundre
- 1:08:00Speaker 2: watching again. All we ask is like button and subscribe,
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- 1:08:13Speaker 2: Matt went live yesterday, so that's what it was the
- 1:08:15Speaker 2: first look. But shows on this channel Monday through Friday,
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- 1:08:37Speaker 2: to have you last game of the night for the
- 1:08:40Speaker 2: main slates on both DraftKings and FanDuel, Miami Heat and
- 1:08:43Speaker 2: the Milwaukee Bucks six and that point favorites of the
- 1:08:45Speaker 2: Heat two twenty eight and a half total in this one.
- 1:08:48Speaker 2: No injury news to note on the Well, no Djovich
- 1:08:51Speaker 2: doesn't mean too much. On Miami. The Bucks still without Yiannis.
- 1:08:55Speaker 2: Nothing has changed there, but we have not talked at
- 1:08:58Speaker 2: least on a Buck slate since they went out. Got
- 1:09:00Speaker 2: Cam Thomas, which I've been saying on this show for
- 1:09:02Speaker 2: two weeks. I mean the Bucks that were in so
- 1:09:03Speaker 2: much trouble, you might as well get a guy that
- 1:09:06Speaker 2: is absolute hooper. You can be an absolute bucket getter,
- 1:09:10Speaker 2: and that does not translate to winning basketball. We've seen
- 1:09:13Speaker 2: that with the Nets sometimes it definitely didn't work. But
- 1:09:16Speaker 2: the Bucks needed something and he has most definitely created
- 1:09:18Speaker 2: a spark. It's been fun to see. I'm excited for
- 1:09:21Speaker 2: Giannis to come back. I mean, KPJ. Cam Thomas backcourt
- 1:09:25Speaker 2: can fill it up one on one any day of
- 1:09:27Speaker 2: the week, which is always fun. The ball movement maybe
- 1:09:30Speaker 2: not so much, but yeah, they needed to change something.
- 1:09:32Speaker 2: I've loved what I've seen. I'm not sure for DFS
- 1:09:35Speaker 2: what you see in this one, but yeah, just any
- 1:09:37Speaker 2: thoughts on the cam Thomas stuff.
- 1:09:39Speaker 3: No, I think he made a ton of sense to
- 1:09:41Speaker 3: go to the Bucks. Honestly, been pretty solid. They've won
- 1:09:45Speaker 3: three of their last four games against Orlando and OKC
- 1:09:48Speaker 3: beat the Pelicans, which they should have. But yeah, I'm
- 1:09:51Speaker 3: just not really believing that they're going to be even
- 1:09:54Speaker 3: good when Giannis comes back personally, but I do think
- 1:09:56Speaker 3: that the camp.
- 1:09:57Speaker 4: Thomas move did make sense.
- 1:09:59Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, So for for DFS, KPJ. Rollins, Cam
- 1:10:03Speaker 2: Thomas like Thomas here hurts them a little bit. I
- 1:10:05Speaker 2: mean they're still projecting at least pretty solid and we
- 1:10:10Speaker 2: have enough value. So yeah, what are your thoughts?
- 1:10:12Speaker 3: Uh, you want to go straight to the Bucks or
- 1:10:13Speaker 3: talk to the Heat real quick because there's not a
- 1:10:16Speaker 3: ton on the Heat.
- 1:10:17Speaker 2: Yeah, you can go Heat. I didn't even mention them
- 1:10:18Speaker 2: because I don't know who I'd be playing on the Heat,
- 1:10:20Speaker 2: but yeah, you can. They're quicker.
- 1:10:22Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 1:10:23Speaker 3: Well, first of all, I think Miami cruises to a
- 1:10:25Speaker 3: win here. They've been the best defense in this in
- 1:10:27Speaker 3: the month of February.
- 1:10:29Speaker 4: Even on the road.
- 1:10:29Speaker 3: I think they're gonna be really good. They're first and
- 1:10:31Speaker 3: defense this month. Bucks are bottom ten. They should be
- 1:10:35Speaker 3: able to get a ton of threes here against a
- 1:10:36Speaker 3: Bucks team that is bottom five or three point defense.
- 1:10:39Speaker 3: Miami's bottom ten there, but Bucks only have a lot
- 1:10:42Speaker 3: of snipers like Miami does. It's been the case for
- 1:10:45Speaker 3: Miami most season when they're fully healthy. They're really tough
- 1:10:47Speaker 3: to get to in DFS, and these guys are all
- 1:10:49Speaker 3: priced pretty appropriately. If I knew that either of Norm
- 1:10:53Speaker 3: Powell or Ty here we're playing like thirty four plus
- 1:10:55Speaker 3: minutes to night, I would want to get to one
- 1:10:57Speaker 3: of them because I think it's a great matchup for
- 1:10:58Speaker 3: both those guys, home coome game for Tyler Hero. He's
- 1:11:01Speaker 3: generally done really well playing against the Bucks at I
- 1:11:05Speaker 3: guess on the road for him, but a home home
- 1:11:07Speaker 3: game or homecoming game for him. He went for sixty
- 1:11:09Speaker 3: seven DK points the last time they faced off. But
- 1:11:11Speaker 3: it's just really hard to believe that he has a
- 1:11:14Speaker 3: type of upside with the role that we've seen from
- 1:11:15Speaker 3: him this season. If you want to go down the
- 1:11:17Speaker 3: narrative street, he'd be the guy to look to. But
- 1:11:20Speaker 3: I think Norman is probably in the best spot here.
- 1:11:22Speaker 3: Don't want to think I'm getting too much bam at
- 1:11:23Speaker 3: eight point ak, but yeah, you said it. On the Bucks,
- 1:11:26Speaker 3: it's KPJ, Rowlins and Cam Thomas as the guys that
- 1:11:28Speaker 3: you should be getting interest in. Over the last seven games,
- 1:11:31Speaker 3: KPJ has had the best role seven point six minutes
- 1:11:33Speaker 3: a touch time, which is I believe third in the
- 1:11:35Speaker 3: NBA over that stretch fourteen point six potential assists per game.
- 1:11:40Speaker 3: I think the matchup is a little bit worse for
- 1:11:41Speaker 3: him because he's not much of a three point threat,
- 1:11:43Speaker 3: shooting like eleven percent from three point range over the
- 1:11:46Speaker 3: last six games six or seven games.
- 1:11:48Speaker 4: But he's showing trible double upside of points this season.
- 1:11:50Speaker 3: I think that with Portis and Turner back, the rebounding
- 1:11:53Speaker 3: rate will take a little bit of a hit, But
- 1:11:56Speaker 3: I mean, he's still a guy that can do a
- 1:11:58Speaker 3: lot because he has the ball in his hands so much,
- 1:12:00Speaker 3: so you have a lot of fantasy scoring opportunity when
- 1:12:03Speaker 3: you just have the ball in your hands that much.
- 1:12:05Speaker 4: Rawlins is a little bit more reliant on.
- 1:12:07Speaker 3: Reaching ceiling with his socks, which seems less likely to
- 1:12:10Speaker 3: happen here because Miami just doesn't turn the ball over
- 1:12:12Speaker 3: that much.
- 1:12:13Speaker 4: But he's also the much better.
- 1:12:14Speaker 3: Three point shoot between him and Kevin Porter Junior's shooting
- 1:12:16Speaker 3: fifty three percent from three point range this month, so
- 1:12:19Speaker 3: I think the matchup is slightly better for Rawlins, but
- 1:12:22Speaker 3: not super confident that he's going to get like the
- 1:12:24Speaker 3: three to four stocks game, So I think that'll probably
- 1:12:29Speaker 3: lean Kevin Porter Junior to think the floor is a
- 1:12:30Speaker 3: little bit better for him. I think Cam Thomas isn't
- 1:12:33Speaker 3: played four point a k. It's really just a matter
- 1:12:36Speaker 3: of what ornot he's making shots, and if.
- 1:12:38Speaker 4: He gets hot, he's a really good usage roll off
- 1:12:40Speaker 4: the bench.
- 1:12:40Speaker 3: The ball touches his hands. It's probably not leaving his hands,
- 1:12:43Speaker 3: but he's worth taking some swings on for sure.
- 1:12:46Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, if he's really going to be four
- 1:12:47Speaker 2: percent on he's forty eight hundred bucks, like he's in
- 1:12:50Speaker 2: that Warriors got like price range with all those guys,
- 1:12:53Speaker 2: he's gonna be a fraction of the ownership. And yeah,
- 1:12:55Speaker 2: if he gets hot, he's gonna see his minutes increase
- 1:12:58Speaker 2: and he can definitely get there. So I think Tom
- 1:13:00Speaker 2: is very interesting, whereas KPJ. For all the points you made,
- 1:13:03Speaker 2: but I mean, he's not gonna sneak by anyone. He's
- 1:13:05Speaker 2: not Mega chalk, but he's definitely gonna come with some ownership.
- 1:13:09Speaker 2: I don't know necessarily if Rollins is gonna be that
- 1:13:12Speaker 2: high owned. You have thoughts like that feels a little
- 1:13:13Speaker 2: too close. And for an ownership with kping J.
- 1:13:16Speaker 3: And Rollins, Yeah, Kevin Portune is gonna be muchhigher own
- 1:13:20Speaker 3: just because he does have shooting guard eligibility as well.
- 1:13:23Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I don't know the hero stuff I was
- 1:13:26Speaker 2: trying to think. I mean, at the end of the day,
- 1:13:30Speaker 2: the heat like with Spolster, and so he just he's
- 1:13:32Speaker 2: not gonna be allowed to just like go absolutely like
- 1:13:35Speaker 2: g ball and stuff and go like outside of his
- 1:13:37Speaker 2: act his role. I mean, he's gonna have to be efficient.
- 1:13:39Speaker 2: Maybe he shoots a couple more jumpers this and that
- 1:13:42Speaker 2: played right down the road, But I don't know if
- 1:13:44Speaker 2: it's enough on this slate, like kind of like you
- 1:13:46Speaker 2: were saying.
- 1:13:47Speaker 3: Yeah, the minutes are just so flat for Miami right now,
- 1:13:49Speaker 3: it's tough to It's really tough to get to these guys.
- 1:13:54Speaker 2: That's all eight games again, that's fandual and DraftKings. There
- 1:13:57Speaker 2: is a night slate. I haven't mentioned showdown content yet,
- 1:13:59Speaker 2: but little nobody better and I don't actually know if
- 1:14:02Speaker 2: any site or anywhere does, and yeah show it on content,
- 1:14:05Speaker 2: I do not believe. So Monday through Friday, Little Neck
- 1:14:07Speaker 2: gets his towers up there. You can see that in
- 1:14:09Speaker 2: the slate plan. Very very awesome stuff, very detailed. He's
- 1:14:13Speaker 2: also in the discord. If you ever have a main
- 1:14:14Speaker 2: slate question whatever, he is happy to answer, very sharp.
- 1:14:18Speaker 2: In a lot of sports, when we get to NFL preseason,
- 1:14:21Speaker 2: we don't offer it for paid, but Little Necks in
- 1:14:24Speaker 2: there grinding for sure. Any Yeah, hope everyone gets the
- 1:14:29Speaker 2: luck that our man Ian speedy slug gets and someone
- 1:14:32Speaker 2: is at the top of the leader boards. It's been
- 1:14:34Speaker 2: a lot of great screenshots in the NBA discord for
- 1:14:37Speaker 2: many members. Again, if you do want to get in,
- 1:14:39Speaker 2: you can get in as low as nine dollars. I
- 1:14:41Speaker 2: will pull that up again when Rio has his final thoughts.
- 1:14:45Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't really have much to talk about.
- 1:14:49Speaker 3: You got to get out if you're pretty quickly and
- 1:14:50Speaker 3: get the slate plan up run a little bit later today.
- 1:14:52Speaker 3: But yeah, I appreciate everybody watching today. Really good turn
- 1:14:55Speaker 3: out with NBA kind of being center stage right now.
- 1:14:58Speaker 3: But yeah, I think that's a fun slate Hopefully we
- 1:15:01Speaker 3: keep it hot and yeah, fingers crossed I can get
- 1:15:04Speaker 3: a live final seat tonight.
- 1:15:06Speaker 2: Yeah, good luck to you for sure. And I didn't
- 1:15:08Speaker 2: mention I don't know. I meant to multiple times, but
- 1:15:10Speaker 2: I love it. Loving the hat, very very smooth over there.
- 1:15:14Speaker 2: But yeah, again, if you want to join us, you
- 1:15:15Speaker 2: want NBA, you want Rio slate plan, you want Little
- 1:15:18Speaker 2: Necks slate plan for the showdown. Matt Ballman a high
- 1:15:22Speaker 2: stakes player, very sharp as well. He's in the discord,
- 1:15:24Speaker 2: My cash report, Everything you need, DVP rankings last two
- 1:15:28Speaker 2: weeks and months, heaven over Shippingnation, Dot com nine dollars
- 1:15:31Speaker 2: for the day with Sabersim. Ten more dollars get you
- 1:15:33Speaker 2: five days Sabersim and Discord. If you know you do
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- 1:15:42Speaker 2: just NBA can also find us there as well. Single
- 1:15:46Speaker 2: Sport NBA Monthly twenty nine dollars. Good stuff, Rio, We
- 1:15:51Speaker 2: will see everybody in the discord. Good luck. Tonight be
- 1:15:54Speaker 2: safe for Rio.
- 1:15:55Speaker 5: Untitled ton Beast, hers.
- 1:16:14Speaker 2: As lost, her names, havens
- 1:16:23Speaker 4: Lost and dast