Latest / Football Junkies podcast / Ep 2. Calm before the storm

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Ep 2. Calm before the storm · Football Junkies podcast

0:00
All right folks the draft is only three weeks away a lot of big moves have happened so far and
0:08
Stefan days goes to the Houston, Texas and Derry Brown resize for the Panthers
0:12
We're gonna talk about more all about this on the second episode of the footballs junkies podcast. I'm your host McCann. Let's go
0:20
All right, folks
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This is the part of free agency that nobody really likes because guess what not a lot of things happen
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You may hear this person might get signed that person might get signed this small player went to this team
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This team went to that team this person retires this person is you know unhappy with the team this person's in contract negotiation
0:40
Really slow don't like it me personally. I hate it. I really do
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It's not after that first week of free agency is just like yo what is going on like is
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Somebody gonna make a move now you may hear you know this person may say oh
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There's there's a rumor going around that you know this person might not be happy or there might be a big splash trade
1:01
It's about to happen soon, but it's like you really don't know because there's really no
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No breadcrumbs to really you know look at it same. Hmm. There might be something there, but
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This is the week where we've had a little bit of motion folks just
1:14
Enough just enough just enough for me to talk about
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Stefan digs got traded from the Buffalo Bills to the Texas now. Let's go over the I
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Can't believe I'm actually saying this is actually happened. I am so surprised so
1:32
In doing so with him getting trade to the Texas the Texas received Stefan digs and a
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2024 6th and a 2025 fifth round pick while the bills receive a 2025 second round pick now
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We're gonna have to decipher this
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Like a surgery so let's go into it
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So on one hand you have the bills who were at who are at a crossroads where they were just
1:59
done with Stefan digs as the person and the reason why I say that is because
2:06
When you have someone like a Stefan digs who multiple times have voice
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You know his displeasure about about the team and how things are going on and maybe how he's being utilized
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It puts you out of point to where?
2:23
You don't want to deal with the player
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Granted, you know he he may you know he may be the reason why you know more people are coming to the games or
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more of a reason why you guys are winning games, but it gets to a point where
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It's it's just time to go it's just time to go you know your separate ways and
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You know they were willing to now take on the biggest dead cap hit for a non quarterback in NFL history
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You're taking they are taking over a
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30-plus million dollar dead cap hit from this move now to some people you're probably wondering
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How are they gonna be able to manage this well?
3:01
There's a few ways that they can go about it
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They can either try to see if they can spread it out within the next few years
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Which will lower the dead cap even more or they can all just you know take it on the chin take it
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You know this year and then you know the next few years
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They really have to worry about it you have they there are so many different ways they can do about it and they probably will now on the other hand
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This affects Josh Allen even more simply because
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He doesn't have a receiver that he has chemistry in the room anymore
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He doesn't um
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They the bills went after and they signed Mack Hollins Curtis Samuel
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And probably two two or three other receivers that you know are probably going to compete for a roster spot
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Which honestly that's not good enough
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It's it's just not in the division in the conference that you play in you have to have a number one receiver
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If you don't have a number one receiver, you are not going to be successful
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you're just not and
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It doesn't help that you know Josh Allen
4:07
Since since the departure of Brian Dable
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He has sort of regressed a little bit and in doing so he's having to put his body out more
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Just to extend the play get a first down score touchdown
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Whatever the case may be which you know, he may not feel it right now
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But he's gonna feel it and maybe about two or three years and this is you know, this is something that I have argued
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You know with with my friends as well
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The bigger these bigger quarterbacks your Josh Allen's your big Ben's your Cam Newton's your Andrew Luxe
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Those those type of quarterbacks at first
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You know when when when they make these these great moves and great plays and whatnot, you know, it's great at first
4:53
But once they hit a certain threshold, they can't do those type of moves anymore because why they've been punished so much
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I'm gonna put it to you like this
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Andrew Luck
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You know a great quarterback, you know, he he he alone was was put into into a very bad situation
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and I say it because
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he was getting punished every single game every
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Every single game he was getting punished him big Ben
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Cam Newton they were getting punished because at that time the league wasn't the league rules for quarterbacks
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Wasn't as strong as it is now where you can't even breathe on a quarterback now
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Without getting good, you know without getting a roughing the pass or call back then you could basically close
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You could still you know hit a quarterback pretty good and you wouldn't get a call for it
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It's just you know, it's just football and so what what you saw was players like big Ben who you know
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Their career was cut short
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Andrew Lux career was over because he didn't want to take any more punishment. There were literally reports that were coming out
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I forgot exactly what what game it was, but I'll probably have to find it. There was literally games
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where Andrew Luck was so hurt that
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That
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He was basically pissing out blood
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That's not good
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I'm not a doctor never been a doctor and everyone to medical school or anything
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But anytime you have a quarterback who is pissing out blood
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That is not good. That means you are taking a tremendous amount of punishment and he was basically taking this punishment
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You know season after season after season and mind you he was doing this on a team where they didn't have a whole lot of weapons
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Let alone. They didn't have adequate protection
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And so I say all that to say this with Josh Allen
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you have to make sure that he is gonna be okay because
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Unless you guys are about to do something, you know crazy within the draft, you know, you guys might try to
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trade up and maybe try to get a receiver or
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You know try to make another big splash plate
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You're gonna have to do something for Josh Allen because what you have right now in the offense is not going to win you games
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Let alone get you a Super Bowl, which that's a whole another topic in itself. I
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Mean sure you could rely on, you know Dalton Kincaid and Dawson Knox and
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You know and this sub par to mediocre run game that you guys have which you really don't have but that's another
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Topic for another day, but that's not gonna win you games
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What's gonna win you games is Josh Allen risking his body once again game after game season as season after season
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To keep you close in the game and that's not gonna that's not gonna last long
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It's just not on top of that. You also have to factor in that the bills did not and have not done a great job
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In trying to retool and replace adequate talent on the team
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May I remind you folks that this offseason alone?
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The bill had to let go a lot of their key players
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Simply because that they were over the cap
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Just over the cap not because of age not because of where they are in their career
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None of that just because they were over the cap
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Later Floyd walked a Davis walk both of their savings both of their safety's walk and even today these white walked
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That's not good. And so you don't and so what what what you're seeing now is
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The team itself has regressed
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tremendously
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Are they still a playoff team? Possibly, you know, if they probably you know hit on the draft and
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Maybe probably, you know do something, you know before before they get deep into the season possibly yes
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But to say that, you know, they are this bona fide team that could potentially go to the Super Bowl
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I don't see it. I simply don't see it simply because they still have too many holes on both sides of the ball and
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they they just
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They just wasn't prepared for this moment. They tried to do what the Rams tried to do
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But the problem was you did it the wrong way
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This is the same bills team who literally paid
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Von Miller this huge deal for no reason and in doing so when with you paying him that large deal
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You are basically handcuffing yourself to him for a very long time
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Even though that you have restructured that's still not good enough because guess what you haven't replaced
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Tremaine admins you haven't replaced both your safeties. You haven't replaced today. We as white you don't have replacements for any of those players
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And then let's not even talk about the offense. You don't even have a run game
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You don't have a run game. That's not good enough in the AFC
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If you're a AFC team, you have to have a run game
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You have to have a run game now. I'm not saying your run game has to be top five
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You know the best or you know top ten or whatever
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But it has to be a decent run game where you know it can get you a pivotal first down
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It can get you close into the red zone. Hell, it can even get you a touchdown
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You have to have that and if you don't have that well, then guess what you're just not gonna win games. You're just not I'm sorry
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Um now for the Texans, this is great for them because why this adds another tool for CJ Stroud
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Folks, I'm gonna say this right now
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Texans is a very dangerous team
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They are very dangerous team simply because they have a lot of firepower on both sides of the ball and
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They have a very high draft pick
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I'm telling you right now
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If they go for a defensive player, which I possibly think they probably would because they do have more holes on
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The defense and they do in the offense. I'm telling you
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Right now. They are the best team in their division
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I could probably make a strong case that they are top five in the AFC right now
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I could simply say that simply because of how well that they have structured this team and
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and
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Not to mention they have
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With this trade they have voided the last three years of Stefan Diggs's trade
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I mean of his contract which would basically make him a
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Free agent once the season is over while at the same time moving
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Excuse me 3.5 million that he would have gotten in next year to this year, which then would boost up his guarantee money
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to 22.2
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52 million dollars, which I mean, you know, it's still a great payday
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But at the same time this basically puts him in a situation where okay
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You know once the season is over with either you could stay with the Texans or you can try free agency again
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And you don't see what happens who knows?
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Right now it's looking very dangerous for the Texans
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because
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Now they have a receiving core where you have John Mitchie the third Noah Brown, Tane Dell, Stefan Diggs and
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Nico Collin and you traded for Joe Mixon. That's dangerous
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That's that is a high that is a high caliber high fire a firepower
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Office that you won't be able to stop in on top of that you got CJ Stral
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So not trying to gaslight CJ Stral not trying to hype him up or anything
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But on paper, this is a very dangerous offense a very dangerous offense in a division where the division written that strong
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Where you can easily steamroll the Titans because they're still rebuilding
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you
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You can sort of you're sort of gonna be at odds with the Colts and possibly the Jaguars
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But not as much as what people think it is
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So we'll probably well, you know, we'll see how the season goes and then we'll just go from there now
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Fast forward to the breaking news that just broke before before we recorded this episode
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Derek Brown defensive tackle for the Carolina Panthers has signed a four-year
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$96 million deal with 63.1 million guaranteed
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Which makes which rounds about
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Mm-hmm, question the numbers 24 million a year
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That's about the average which makes him the fifth highest paid defensive tackle in NFL right now
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I'm gonna try to be as
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Humble as I possibly can with this very quick read
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Why in the world are the Panthers paying Derek Brown all this money?
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But they didn't but but but they wasn't able to try to pay
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Brian Burns some money
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Now granted I understand, you know
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GM's value certain positions more than others. I get that that's perfectly fine
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But Brian burns
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If I'm not mistaken has been a very very very very very effective player
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Compared to what Derek Brown has been
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I'm gonna read you the stats for Derek Brown. Okay this season and then
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Probably the last few season that Derek Brown has played in the 2023 season
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Derek Brown had two sacks 57 solo tackles one interception. Okay
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Now when you look at it since he's gotten into the league in 2020
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The most sacks that he's had is three
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The most, you know total tackles that he's had which was this past season, which was 103. Okay, cool perfectly fine
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Going over to Brian Burns. Okay, Brian Burns in 2023 had 32 solo tackles eight sacks one force fumble. Okay, cool in
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2019 his first year his rookie year. He had seven and a half sacks in
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2022 he had 12 and a half sacks in 2020 and 2021 he had nine sacks
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What are we talking about here folks? That is it's
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It shows how dysfunctional and how and how the team does not value someone like a Brian Burns
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And I say that because instead of you at least trading him away because
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During last season the Rams were you know, they had a trade package
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Available, you know, and they really wanted Brian Burns, but the Panther said no
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So when the news broke, you know, I was definitely thinking oh, okay
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The Panthers are gonna try to you know, do right by Brian Burns and they're gonna pay him. No, they didn't it didn't pay them and
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Instead what they did was they basically traded him to the Giants
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The Giants New York Giants and they paid him
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so
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It's not like the Panthers are in a situation where you know, they have all these big contracts and you know
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They got to take care of this person and that person and all and you know, you know
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These three players and and this and that no, they don't they don't have any big contracts. They don't
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So why in the world? Couldn't you lock? Couldn't you try to lock up both Brian Burns and Derek Brown?
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Brian Burns should have been the priority first. He should have been
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Derek Brown
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Hey, you getting where you fit in kid. It's it's it's I'm trying to find the words
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I'm trying to stay positive in this situation
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But again, this goes back to what I said in the first episode
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Pay the player who was the most who who who has the most presence on the field
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if Brian Burns is creating the most is you know, creating the most pressure and
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You know offenses are targeting him more
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Then that is the person that you need to take care of
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Simple as that now. It's one thing if Brian Burns said, you know, I want to be making, you know, 30 30 million a year or
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You know, I want to be making 40 million year, you know a crazy number. Okay, then it's like, okay
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You're bugging right now. We'll just let you walk and let somebody else try to pay you that
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But I guarantee you if you probably had a simple conversation with him
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You could probably he'll probably say I didn't want a whole lot of money. I just want to get paid
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I just want to get paid for what I did on the field and the panthers run were unable to do so and this
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Continues to show why the Panthers are a very dysfunctional organization from the front office
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To ownership to coaching to every single level you could possibly think of is a very dysfunctional organization
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And it will continue to be a very dysfunctional organization
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But I'm done talking about the Panthers because the Panthers are trash. Let's talk about mock drafts
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Let's talk about the draft because that's what we really care about, right?
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So I've been looking at a lot of a lot of mock drafts lately
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Which a lot of them are starting to be more consistent
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Some of them are a little bit are still a little bit more outlanders than others
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Don't really care about those we care about the the main ones from you know, the main insiders. So a
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Lot of them, you know, of course all of them are going to have Kayla Williams going number one
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Which we all universally knows Kayla Williams is going to be drafted by the Chicago Bears now
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When it gets to the second and third and fourth picks
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That's where things get a little bit rocky because you you know, there's a little bit of inconsistent
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inconsistency there
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I've seen some mock drafts having you know, Jaden Daniels get drafted
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To the commanders. I've seen Drake may go to the commanders. I've seen Jaden Daniels
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Drop, you know, drop down a little bit. I've seen Drake may go up a little bit
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I'm I've even started to see JJ McCarthy
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Recently starting to climb up a little bit more in that top five range and the only reason why I say that is because I
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Think teams are starting to value
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What JJ McCarthy can bring to a team
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JJ McCarthy is a true leader
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He's a leader. He his skill set is very, you know, it's very intact. There's not a lot of red flags to his game
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And I think he's someone that you can you know, you can instantly start him week one
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And you can probably you know really see something you can really see some flashes with him compared to
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Someone like a Drake may someone like a Jaden Daniels one not the problem is with a lot of these quarterbacks
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Is and this is this will probably be an episode
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Then I'll probably have to really get into is that a lot of the expectation for a lot of these players is
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They have to be instant starters. They have to be instant stars
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Overnight and it doesn't work like that. Some of them may take a little bit longer than others
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and so
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the problem the problem with the
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With the top five picks is they can go anyway
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Because of course, you know, they're always going to say, you know, we're open to trading down, you know for the right price
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You know just throwing out a whole bunch of smoke screens while at the same time entertaining and seeing okay
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Who was going to be who would be willing to give up the most?
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You know just to get this spot because whether we want to admit or not the top five range is a very lucrative
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You know position four teams that might be lower in the draft who have a very bigger need
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Than what the teams in the top five have so for instance the Arizona Cardinals, right?
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the Arizona Cardinals they have a top five pick but
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What they could do and what they should do as I'm putting on my GM hat once again
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They should trade down they should trade down a little bit more and I say that because from a roster standpoint
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They're not in a position right now where they can
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Be competitive within their own division and that they have so many holes on both sides of the team
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That at this point the rebuild that they're going through, you know, right now
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It's gonna take them about two or three draft cycles to really get things going
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So why not start the process now by just trading down?
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Because most likely you'll get another first round pick for next year
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and
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Then you'll probably get some more picks as well
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And I would just maybe if if teams aren't you know more willing to do so keep trading down and I and I say that because
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When you're a team that is you know really going through
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Through what the Cardinals are going through and they really don't have a whole lot and there's a and they have a lot of needs
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Sometimes it's just best to just you know entertain see what happens if nobody is really giving you what you're really looking for work
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Then okay make a pick and just go on from there, but that's just me personally
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You have other teams like the Chargers who?
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Yes, they have a high pick and yes, you know, they have a few needs
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But at the same time they could probably entertain the idea of also trading down as well
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So the draft honestly speaking is going to get it's gonna be crazy
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It is because you have a team like the Vikings who?
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They are very desperate in finding a quarterback even though they say even though they they sign
23:27
Sam Darno that doesn't instantly mean that okay. He's the quarterback. No
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They want their quarterback for the future and they believe that their quarterback who I you know
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I also believe with them as well is either going to be Michael Pinnick's or J. J. McCarthy one of the two
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One of those two quarterbacks is going to fall to the Vikings one of those two
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and even then I've even started to see
23:57
Some mock drafts where Michael Pinnick doesn't get drafted in the first round. He actually falls out the first round
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And I've seen somewhere he's get where he gets drafted in the second round
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I've seen somewhere. He's even gotten drafted in the third round
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This is what I'll say
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Michael Pinnick's is a is a great quarterback prospect, you know, he ran a good 40 time in everything
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However, I think what what's making teams very, you know
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Weary about possibly drafting him high in the first round is because his extensive history
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his extensive injury history when he was in Indiana as well as
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Just you know his performance in the national championship because let's let let's call it for what is had Michael Pinnick's one the national
24:49
national championship against Michigan
24:52
We would be talking about him more and
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And you know in a much positive light than what people are talking about him right now and
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so
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teams, you know teams are valuing okay, is it because of the situation that he was in or is it because of
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You know x y and z so you just have to factor in a lot of those different things now me personally
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Do I think Michael Pinnick's?
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Potentially is the first round pick. I don't know I
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Don't know I think he is a player where he has to be put into the right situation
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I really do he has he Michael Pinnick has to be drafted by offensive coach. He has to
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He has to be drafted by an offensive coach and I only say that because the problem with defensive coaches is
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They don't that of course they're not going to value
25:49
You know offensive pieces as much and sometimes they may neglect
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The quarterback and and sometimes when they do the quarterback regresses now, of course, you're gonna have you know your outliers
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You know your Tom Brady's your Ben Roffels burgers your Russell Wilson's and whatnot
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But even then at some point in their careers there was a point where they didn't
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They may they may were unable to get you know certain weapons or
26:22
You know, they're often started to regress a little bit more and in doing so their play regress
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So there's so many different things that you have to factor in with someone like a Michael Pinnick's and I think I think we also
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Have to tack on and I briefly talked about it his injury history. I think the injury history
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Alone is making a lot of people very wary
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Just you know just about him simply because
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He's he's been hurt a lot. He is he's been hurt a lot
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And I think that makes team a little bit concerned to the point where you know, they may not be
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Open to wanting to go after him, but you know, we'll see what happens. Well, we'll definitely see what happens
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I'm very optimistic
27:09
For Michael Pinnick's and honestly all the quarterbacks the top quarterbacks not all the quarterbacks
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But for the top quarterbacks, I'm very optimistic for them except for Kaylee Williams
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but that's gonna be another episode that we'll have to talk about because I
27:24
I just don't see it. I don't see it with with Kayla Williams. I don't know what I'm talking about
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I just don't see it. I really do not see it with Kayla Williams
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All right, folks. Well, I
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Decided to do something a little bit different and I'm probably gonna do this
27:42
For the for the you know up until the draft. I'm gonna try to you know pick pick a different team. So
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Comment down below what's your favorite team and I'll do a mock draft simulator for them
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So I decided to do of course Pittsburgh Steelers because why I'm a Pittsburgh Steelers fan
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And so I did two different versions
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I did a traditional one and I did one where I was you know, I was making a couple trades
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So with the traditional one the 20th pick first round pick. I chose Nate Wiggins
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The second pick I chose offensive tackle offensive tackle not tackle tackle
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Roger
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Rosenstein tackle from Washington third pick. I chose Xavier Leggett wide receiver, South Carolina
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Then with the fourth pick I chose Kyrie Jackson corner from Oregon
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I chose Jada Hicks safety Washington State
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Tory Taylor punner Iowa Joe Milton the third quarterback and
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Finished it off with a center Kingsley
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Yukon from Florida now
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This is what I the the reason why I decided to do this experiment is because I
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Wanted to see exactly how would the draft play out if the Steelers were to
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Not to make any trades and not try to trade up in the draft to try to acquire somebody and it actually worked
29:07
However, the problem was when I decided to do this
29:14
Once it got time for me to draft
29:17
There are all the good tackles all the other good right tackles were gone
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They had all been drafted and so what you were stuck with
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Really wasn't it was sort of the second tier
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Right tackles, which even then you know, they're still good as well
29:32
But it's those it's those those first tier right tackles the tallowee's foo wagas the JC Latham's
29:40
That are just like I mean you you you want those guys those guys
29:45
Those guys are movers those guys are mallers because they're there's so much uncertainty with Ryan Ramchex's knee
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That I think the Saints can't they they can't take that risk. So I think they'll just draft one
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And you know, that's perfectly fine, but if your team like the Pittsburgh Steelers, um, you're gonna need to trade up
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You're gonna need to you're gonna need to trade up and you're gonna need it
30:09
You're gonna need to get a right tackle. You have to you have to get a right tackle because if you don't and if you wait
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Later into the draft, you're gonna have you're gonna be in a situation where you're not gonna have a right tackle
30:24
Who you could just plug and play you're not you're gonna have a right tackle who?
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It's gonna take them a while to you know to be pushed into the starting lineup
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Which you don't want because you need an instant starter for right tackle right now
30:38
Right now as we speak
30:40
So there's that and then for the second mock drafts, which
30:48
It was a little
30:50
It was a little weird a little weird, but we'll go over it. So with again first round pick JC Latham
30:58
Second pick I chose center
31:00
Cedric van Prian from Georgia third pick. I chose Jalen McMillan receiver from Washington
31:07
With the fourth pick I chose Carvijac in again
31:12
Cornerback from Oregon and with the final pick. I chose Tiki Smith safety
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From Georgia now even with this one
31:21
I like this one a little bit more than the first one and the reason why I say that is because you're addressing
31:28
Your three most
31:30
Poor important needs in the first three rounds. You're getting your instant. You're starting right tackle
31:36
You're getting your center who you know, he could start but at the same time
31:42
It'll be best if you just maybe sit under a starting center, you know, hopefully praying praying the guy that we sign one
31:49
But who knows that that's another another story for another day, but we're not gonna get into it
31:54
I'm not gonna ran about my Steelers
31:57
So you address both both offensive line needs, which is great
32:02
Awesome amazing while at the same time you're also drafting a receiver because let's be real here
32:07
We have been hitting our receivers
32:09
And if you don't believe me check the history books
32:12
Check the history books folks. Yes, I'm saying it check the history books, you know, it's person Antonio Brown 84
32:19
You know what I mean?
32:21
But I'm
32:26
And then you also draft Kari Jackson who is a bigger bigger body corner, which you know, that's what you need
32:33
And then you also draft
32:35
A taiki Smith who is a dog a dog of a safety you want to talk you want to talk about somebody who has a dog mentality
32:44
He has a dog mentality
32:46
He wants to go and make up either he wants to hit you
32:52
Tackle you stop you whatever the case may be
32:55
Once he got his eyes locked on you. He's going in for the kill folks. That's who he is
33:00
And so I say all that to say this just because you know, you may look at a mock draft and the mock draft
33:08
You know might have something crazy or be like oh
33:13
Michael Pennix might might get drafted to
33:16
Raiders or oh
33:19
You know the first round there won't be any right tackles taken or whatever the case may be don't believe it
33:25
don't
33:26
half of half of the teams between the
33:29
10 to 20 ish
33:33
Point of the draft they all need an offensive lineman at some point now
33:38
It doesn't necessarily all have to be right tackles
33:41
But they do need you know could be a guard could be a center could be left tackle could be right tackle
33:46
Whatever the case may be they all need offensive lineman. You can never have
33:51
Enough offensive lineman. You just can't I don't care what anyone said. I don't care what any
33:56
Analyst says foreign players is you can never have offensive lineman simply because you know
34:03
they can go down in the instant and it's not like a receiver or
34:08
You know or or a running back where you know they can they can still play through certain injuries that are often some linemen
34:15
You know suffers they may not be able to play through or it might be you know season-endering or you might be in a situation
34:21
like a Ryan Ramcheck who he suffers a major injury and
34:27
You know, he may not be able to play anymore. So you always have to value in those type of things, but I'm gonna end the episode right here
34:35
Thank you guys as always
34:38
The podcast is now available on Spotify Apple podcast and all the major places where you can listen to podcast to all you have to type in is
34:47
football junkies podcast
34:49
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34:54
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34:59
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35:06
Underscore junkies pot. There's a link tree on there for all the other links of where you might be able to find us
35:12
I think you guys so much
35:15
We're gonna probably do more more draft drafting type
35:22
Episodes leading up to the draft and then we're gonna try to try to do something special on the night of the draft can't tell you guys yet
35:29
Because I'm not ruined the surprise. We might have a special guest for the next episode. Who knows can't won't reveal it right now
35:37
But who knows stay tuned. Love you guys