Latest / Radio Baloney - The Richie Baloney Show! / BREAKING- Conservatives Beating Liberals In New Polls
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: This is a polls for Canada. So things are not
- 0:05Speaker 1: looking as rosie. Seems like the honeymoon is over for
- 0:09Speaker 1: Mark Karney. Things are starting to change a little bit.
- 0:12Speaker 1: So Warren Kinsela posted this party is over. So what's
- 0:16Speaker 1: he talking about? We have some new poll data here.
- 0:19Speaker 1: This is posted by Philip J. Forty a of three
- 0:23Speaker 1: thirty eight Canada and federal voting intentions from Angus Reids.
- 0:29Speaker 1: So this is the second poll that we've had now
- 0:31Speaker 1: recently that has the Conservatives actually retaking the lead from
- 0:36Speaker 1: the Liberals. We see the Conservative Party of Canada forty percent,
- 0:41Speaker 1: Liberal Party of Canada thirty eight percent, NDP ten percent,
- 0:46Speaker 1: Block eight percent. They're up a couple of points. What's
- 0:50Speaker 1: really noticeable here is the what's really notable here is
- 0:53Speaker 1: the ten percent for the NDP. So they collapsed by
- 0:57Speaker 1: about ten points in the last election. They the NDP
- 1:01Speaker 1: was always the Union Party, the working class union party
- 1:05Speaker 1: in Canada, and they became the I guess, gender and
- 1:11Speaker 1: race communist Party of Canada and they ended up collapsing
- 1:14Speaker 1: down to six percent because if they weren't representing you know,
- 1:18Speaker 1: Union's working class anymore, and they're just woke. Well, Liberal
- 1:22Speaker 1: Party is as radically progressive as anybody could want. So
- 1:26Speaker 1: why not just vote strategic strategically for the Liberals and
- 1:30Speaker 1: you can block the CPC the Conservatives from taking power
- 1:34Speaker 1: and being and running the country like adults. Yes, So
- 1:38Speaker 1: NDP up four points in this poll from Angus Reid
- 1:43Speaker 1: Liberal Party thirty eight. So let's take a look at
- 1:46Speaker 1: what happened in the election. With the final results in
- 1:49Speaker 1: the election, can I here we go? Let's make that
- 1:52Speaker 1: a little bigger. Okay, So the Liberals ended up with
- 1:55Speaker 1: forty three point eight percent, the NDP with six point
- 1:58Speaker 1: three percent. So you take four points almost four points
- 2:03Speaker 1: an add it to the NDP and you see the
- 2:06Speaker 1: Liberals going down. Well, that would make them at thirty
- 2:09Speaker 1: nine point eight percent if you take ten four percent
- 2:12Speaker 1: off and well thirty eight percent. So clearly you've got
- 2:16Speaker 1: some of those NDP voters who abandoned the party going
- 2:20Speaker 1: and went to the Liberals going back to the NDP. Now,
- 2:24Speaker 1: I think that would have I think that will have
- 2:26Speaker 1: a lot to do with the Carni mandate for the
- 2:31Speaker 1: Air Canada workers to go back to work, right mandating
- 2:35Speaker 1: them to basically strike, breaking them. That would have felt
- 2:38Speaker 1: like a betrayal by some of the former NDP voters.
- 2:42Speaker 1: If the NDP can get back up to fifteen sixteen
- 2:46Speaker 1: percent again in the next selection, it's Conservatives. I don't
- 2:51Speaker 1: really see how that doesn't happen because the Conservatives have
- 2:55Speaker 1: really kept there. You know. Again the final results, CONSERVAI
- 3:00Speaker 1: has had forty one point three percent, forty percent. Right now,
- 3:04Speaker 1: they're right around. They're the Conservative support is held steady.
- 3:08Speaker 1: They don't really need to gain more. They just need
- 3:12Speaker 1: indpeers to abandon the Liberal Party and go back home
- 3:15Speaker 1: to the NDP again. Now, let's see, there was another
- 3:19Speaker 1: pole that had come out hold on August twenty second,
- 3:24Speaker 1: so a couple of weeks ago. Uh, the Conservatives marginally
- 3:28Speaker 1: ahead of the Liberals for the first time since March.
- 3:30Speaker 1: Two poles that should now that show the Conservatives with
- 3:34Speaker 1: a lead, with a small lead. But it looks like
- 3:36Speaker 1: the honeymoon period is over and will we see a
- 3:41Speaker 1: no confidence vote. You need to have the NDP on board,
- 3:45Speaker 1: You need to have the block on board. Obviously, if
- 3:49Speaker 1: the NDP gets a competent leader, now my prediction has
- 3:53Speaker 1: always been they're going to The new leader of the
- 3:57Speaker 1: NDP will either be a tree with a face painted
- 3:59Speaker 1: on it, or a picture of a cloud that looks
- 4:02Speaker 1: vaguely like Credit Tunberg. But if they can actually get
- 4:07Speaker 1: a competent leader, and again in their own rules, with
- 4:11Speaker 1: the NDP rules right now, nobody can have more than
- 4:16Speaker 1: you know, in their internal selection process, nobody can have
- 4:20Speaker 1: more than fifty percent CIS men voting for them, So
- 4:28Speaker 1: you might be guaranteeing maybe that tree with a face
- 4:31Speaker 1: painted on it or cloud that looks like Credit Tunberg.
- 4:35Speaker 1: But if they could be sane and get a real leader,
- 4:39Speaker 1: uh well yeah, I mean it certainly would look good
- 4:43Speaker 1: for the Conservatives of the next selection, and then they
- 4:46Speaker 1: would also be more likely to you know, vote for
- 4:49Speaker 1: a no confidence vote if it looks like they can
- 4:51Speaker 1: gain a bunch of seats. We shall have to see anyway.
- 4:57Speaker 1: That's all I'm going to say about that. Please like
- 4:59Speaker 1: share in someubscribe subscribing really helps me out. I thank
- 5:02Speaker 1: you for that. I will see you next time.