Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / Betrayal, Witchcraft & the Coaching Carousel | NFL Wild Card Weekend

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Betrayal, Witchcraft & the Coaching Carousel | NFL Wild Card Weekend · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, presented by Draft Kings. The Crown
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: is yours. Super wild Card Weekend is upon us. I'm
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: Brandon Kravitz, joined by the Favorites crew, the Prime Minister
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: of Degenerate Nation, Stucky, the Queen of the Pod, Miss
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: Kendra Middleton. On today's episode, we have got a loaded
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: edition of Action or Distraction. We've got our stat of
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: the Day coming up in moments, A two Kings and
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: a Queen parlay courtesy of DraftKings. See if we do
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: this the same way, six games to choose from, so
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: we can probably nominate to a piece. You'll find out
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: at the end of the episode. We've got a Sling
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: TV look ahead to Monday night football and breaking news
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: right before we hit record. ESPN sources Dolphins have fired
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: head coach Mike McDaniel. Dolphins owner Stephen Ross met with
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: McDaniel this week to discuss the season, and after that meeting,
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: which I guess did not go well and some reflection,
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: Stephen Ross decided to move on. I'm sure that the
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: John Harball dismissal in Baltimore had a little something to
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: do with it. Ross definitely has an affinity for the
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Harballs being a Michigan guy stuck you your initial reaction
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: to the Mike McDaniel dismissal.
• 1:30
  Speaker 2: I'm not surprised, but I think that he becomes a
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: very very attractive offensive coordinator higher for many teams, including
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: my Ravens. I would love for that to be the case.
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: So I'm curious to see where he goes. But I
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: think he would be an elite offensive coordinator. He's kind
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: of a little maybe he's just like a little too
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: quirky to be a head coach in some aspects. Maybe
• 2:04
  Speaker 2: he's just not cut out for that. There's a lot
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: of like really good coordinators that become head coaches that
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: shouldn't really be head coaches, and they just would thrive
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: as coordinators. But it's kind of there's a lot of
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: similarities to how corporate America works, right, Like I when
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: I used to work in finance, I was I got
• 2:24
  Speaker 2: to like a senior derivatives analyst, and then like the
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: natural next step to make more money is to go
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: become like a a big like leader of a team, right,
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: And but I that's not my that's not my passion.
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: I don't think that's my strength. So I was fine
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: where I'm at. But you a lot of people just
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: do that because it's the natural next step, But really
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: they might not be the best type of person or
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: leader to be a head coach or you know, a
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: certain type of executive in the corporate world, and then
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: you have people that just aren't in the right positions
• 3:03
  Speaker 2: for the wrong reason. So yeah, I mean, maybe he
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: will just try to go for another head coaching job
• 3:10
  Speaker 2: for the money, and I wouldn't blame him, but I
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: think that he would be and one of the best
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: offensive coordinators in the NFL. Would love for the Ravens
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: to get them.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with that. Vic Fangio is another good
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: example of that. There's countless examples of guys that just
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: work well as coordinators and not as head coaches. Daniels, Yeah,
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: Josh McDaniels is a phenomenal example and even more relevant
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: on the offensive end. Do you think it's his personality
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: that got him fired? Because he had swag during portions
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: of his tenure, But the last couple of months, listening
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: to this guy, I do a radio show in Florida,
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: we are a lot of his pieces of his press conference.
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: This does not sound like a confident individual. He stammers
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: over his words constantly. It just doesn't sound like a
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: leader of football is about more than that. But as
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: a head coach, sometimes it starts there. Do you think
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: it's his personality, the substitute teacher vibe that got him canned?
• 4:08
  Speaker 3: Ultimately, I don't.
• 4:10
  Speaker 4: I gotta be honest. If you watch his press conferences
• 4:13
  Speaker 4: from when he first became a head coach to now,
• 4:15
  Speaker 4: there's just such a complete difference in the vibe of
• 4:18
  Speaker 4: him and the vibe of the room. I hate to
• 4:20
  Speaker 4: say it because this sounds meaner than I mean it too,
• 4:24
  Speaker 4: but I genuinely think that this has a lot to
• 4:27
  Speaker 4: do with Tua, Like he had to change so much
• 4:30
  Speaker 4: of his style, scheme, offense, everything to cater to the
• 4:35
  Speaker 4: type of football that to a plays, and then eventually
• 4:37
  Speaker 4: trying to keep to a healthy and so I after
• 4:41
  Speaker 4: coaching through that would probably lose my confidence, my edge,
• 4:44
  Speaker 4: my swag, whatever you want to call it. There's so
• 4:46
  Speaker 4: many of these tight khaki pants, young swaggy guy like
• 4:49
  Speaker 4: look at Liam Cohen in the NFL. Very similar vibe,
• 4:52
  Speaker 4: like fighting with Robert Sala and the small market, like,
• 4:55
  Speaker 4: how does that feel like? Whatever? Very similar vibe. I
• 4:58
  Speaker 4: just if I was coach in a situation where my
• 5:01
  Speaker 4: entire life revolved around two a tongue of Iloa's abilities,
• 5:06
  Speaker 4: I would probably eventually be like just another day closer
• 5:10
  Speaker 4: to death.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: Well, and and not just his abilities are lack thereof.
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: I went through his seasons with the Miami Dolphins. He
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: had seven starting quarterbacks during his tenure with Miami. He
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: was starting Skyler Thompson, Teddy Bridgewater at points throughout his
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: time in Miami. It's hard to sustain success when that
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: is the case.
• 5:30
  Speaker 4: I don't think they really gave him the keys either,
• 5:32
  Speaker 4: you know, like they to A had like to A.
• 5:37
  Speaker 4: I'm gonna I hate I. I'm gonna blame a lot
• 5:39
  Speaker 4: of this on too. I'm trying to sit here and
• 5:41
  Speaker 4: think of other excuses. But like, the organization didn't help
• 5:44
  Speaker 4: him at all, and Tua just was not the answer.
• 5:46
  Speaker 4: And I think that them paying him and keeping him
• 5:49
  Speaker 4: around for as long as that contract is is just diabolical.
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: Oh yeah it was. There was Look, I'll spend thirty
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: more Stitzwalkar we super wowk A right, yeah, I'm not
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: gonna spend one we can't on the Dolphins. But the
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: organization failed miserably in building that team, drafting, trading, building
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: the offensive line. Yep, all of the moves they made.
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: The defense as a disaster, so he was just put
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: into a really tough spot. They need and this looks
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: like what they're doing they need a complete tear down
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: and rebuild.
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: That was some breaking news right before we hopped on here,
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: so I wanted to get that out there. But let's
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: kick things off the way that we usually do. On
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: the Thursday episode, Evan Abrams shrimply unbelievable stat of the week,
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: straight from the primer. This weekend, we have some first
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: time playoff quarterbacks in action, quarterbacks making their first playoff
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: start taking on quarterbacks who have playoff experience twenty thirty
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: nine and one ats. That's thirty four percent and twenty
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: and forty straight up since two thousand and two. When
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: those less experienced quarterbacks play at home, which are all
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: three this week, they are twelve and twenty one straight
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: up and against the spread. That is, Bryce, Young, Caleb Williams,
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: and Drake May all fit into that bucket. Kendro, was
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: that part of your analysis at all as you have
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: made your way towards the window this week?
• 7:18
  Speaker 4: Yeah, It's definitely something I've thought about. But I still
• 7:20
  Speaker 4: am sitting here in the struggle bus that we talked
• 7:24
  Speaker 4: about the other day where I love every single underdog
• 7:28
  Speaker 4: this week. So that's another thing that's playing into it.
• 7:31
  Speaker 4: It's like, you can look at all the stats, but
• 7:32
  Speaker 4: sometimes you have to weigh the stats about versus how
• 7:35
  Speaker 4: you actually feel and what's going on in this current season.
• 7:38
  Speaker 4: And I think that some of these guys are getting
• 7:40
  Speaker 4: really lucky with the matchups that they're getting stuck.
• 7:44
  Speaker 3: You or do you land on that being a major factor.
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't say major, but it's definitely a consideration. I
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: think there's real actual that's actually a thing like I
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: just think about and you look back historically, there's been
• 8:00
  Speaker 2: some elite It's not just all rookie quarterbacks, even if
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: he removed like rookie quarterbacks, there's been some really good
• 8:06
  Speaker 2: quarterbacks who have struggled in their first playoff game when
• 8:09
  Speaker 2: they face a quarterback who has playoff experience. Lamar Jackson
• 8:13
  Speaker 2: was one Iron Rogers Golf, although that was probably outdoors.
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: I mean, Flacco really struggled in his first that So
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: there's been a couple. I mean, Darnold was a disaster.
• 8:30
  Speaker 2: So that was last year. I mean he was that
• 8:32
  Speaker 2: was a disaster against Stafford. So yeah, I think that
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: there's it's not just noise. I think that there's some
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: signal there. And you know, you could you could have nerves.
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: Even these quarterbacks at home like that. You just haven't
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: been on that stage yet, so you don't know how
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: they're going to perform. So I think it is valuable
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: to have that playoff experience in your back pocket against
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: a quarterback who doesn't. So looking at those three, you know,
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: I mean I don't have the Panthers this week, but
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: I could really see Bryce Young struggling. I do have
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: the Packers, and I think that that's certainly valuable in
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: this game. We don't know what we're gonna get from
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: Caleb Williams and the other game. What is the other one?
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: Good Bryce Young, Caleb Williams, Drake May.
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Drake, I mean I have the Chargers. You just
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: don't know what there's a chance at Drake May. The
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: other I mean, Drake May has never played in the
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: playoffs and he basically hasn't played a tough defense all year.
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: So there's, uh, there's a lot of uncertainty there with
• 9:33
  Speaker 2: how or perform going up against a defense that takes
• 9:36
  Speaker 2: away the explosive passing play. So yeah, now you can
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: argue that Herbert's been a disaster in playoff games.
• 9:43
  Speaker 4: Yeah you could.
• 9:44
  Speaker 3: Yeah, you could also catching three and a half.
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's also a tiny sample size.
• 9:49
  Speaker 4: But that night was the best night of my life.
• 9:52
  Speaker 4: I'm not even kidding. It was years ago, yesterday.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: I don't I don't deny that, but I think on
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: this show, we only have one between the three of
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: us on one of these first year in the playoff quarterbacks,
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: and it's my bet on the Sad Cats the Carolina Panthers.
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: But none of us are on the Bears. I know
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: Stucky's on the Packers. Kendrew, I don't have you taken
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: aside on that yet.
• 10:16
  Speaker 4: I have not, but I am so close to being
• 10:20
  Speaker 4: in on the Chargers the Patriots games at prison for me,
• 10:25
  Speaker 4: So that's why I haven't done it. But I really
• 10:26
  Speaker 4: like the Chargers.
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: We had the community bet on the Tuesday episode where
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: everybody was pretty much consensus on the Chargers.
• 10:33
  Speaker 3: I did throw that one in the.
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: App Stucky has as well, so there's definitely we are
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: as a podcast this is definitely some valuable information for us.
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: It's not everything that goes into the analysis of these games,
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: but the two of these three I'm not touching with
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: a ten foot pole that Caleb Williams and Drake Mayodly.
• 10:56
  Speaker 4: It's kind of a yuckiest. I want to call it
• 10:58
  Speaker 4: super wild Card weekend, but I think that that's going
• 11:00
  Speaker 4: to like show that I'm getting old, but like it's
• 11:03
  Speaker 4: a weird wild card weekend. Like usually I feel like
• 11:05
  Speaker 4: I have such a stronger stance on these games, but
• 11:08
  Speaker 4: these are kind of yucky from a betting perspective, Like,
• 11:11
  Speaker 4: I mean, I get a really boring weekend.
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: I think this weekend is going to be phenomenal, but
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: it goes to the unpredictability of the season. We just
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: feel like there's so many flaws with all these teams.
• 11:22
  Speaker 3: Stucky.
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: Anything else you want to add to this conversation before
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: we jump to the next thing.
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: Now, No, I'm looking forward to this weekend. I mean,
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: you have one double digit spread and the rest are
• 11:31
  Speaker 2: basically between a pick and three and a half, three
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: and a half, four and a half now with the Eagles,
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: so I think we're gonna get some competitive games. It's
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: wide open, like if you look at that Jags Bills
• 11:41
  Speaker 2: game winner or that, I think it's a really good
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: chance of going to the super Bowl.
• 11:45
  Speaker 4: I'll send you guys videos from the stands, please.
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I'm looking forward to all these games. And yeah,
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: I mean forty nine Ers, Eagles and Panthers Rams probably
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: the to least games that I'm looking forward to Steeler.
• 12:04
  Speaker 4: The Steelers game being on Monday night football pisses me off.
• 12:06
  Speaker 4: That's the one that I'm kind of like, why are
• 12:08
  Speaker 4: you doing this to us?
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: I think that'll be close, close, low scoring. We'll get
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: to that game later. But yeah, I'm looking forward to
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: all these games.
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: All right, stuck you Before we dig back into it,
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: what is your weird, bizarre, random question of the week.
• 12:23
  Speaker 2: Hey, this is a dumb question. Let me ask you
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: a personal question kind of question?
• 12:29
  Speaker 3: Is that is question?
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: Oh my gosh, I totally forgot pime up up on
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: something Dealer on the fly. All right, Uh, let's what
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: is the next segment? Can you give you the two
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: minutes to think about it?
• 12:43
  Speaker 3: Yeah, we're gonna do action or distraction. We could do that.
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: Did you prepare anything? This is distracted?
• 12:49
  Speaker 4: Distracted?
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: I'm not I want it on the action.
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: We'll make this one quick because I do want to
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: make this much more about the bets that we have
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: and the leans and all of that stuff.
• 13:03
  Speaker 3: But action or distraction.
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: On John Harball in the Ravens parting ways sending shock
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: waves across the NFL community, Kendra, action or distraction that
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: John Harball will have a job somewhere in the NFL
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: before the end of Wildcard weekend.
• 13:20
  Speaker 4: I don't know if we'll know about it, but I'm
• 13:22
  Speaker 4: sure that there will be contract something somewhere going on
• 13:26
  Speaker 4: through this weekend. But the only thing that we have
• 13:28
  Speaker 4: to keep an eye on is if the Bills lose,
• 13:31
  Speaker 4: McDermott has to be out. And that's the only question
• 13:34
  Speaker 4: mark I have are is he hanging on for the
• 13:37
  Speaker 4: potential of that team? Because for me, there's truly only
• 13:40
  Speaker 4: two destinations for him. It's one Buffalo if McDermott gets fired,
• 13:44
  Speaker 4: and to the New York Giants. Those are truly the
• 13:46
  Speaker 4: only two teams that I personally see that Does that
• 13:49
  Speaker 4: obviously mean that there's not another option? No, those are
• 13:52
  Speaker 4: just the two teams that make sense to me. So
• 13:55
  Speaker 4: do I think that there's conversations, Yes, but that Bill's
• 13:58
  Speaker 4: opening looming is a little bit of a question, but
• 14:02
  Speaker 4: I think it's the right choice for the Ravens. Like
• 14:05
  Speaker 4: I think, I said this on our show on Tuesday,
• 14:07
  Speaker 4: Like this feels very much like the Mike Rabel wrong situation,
• 14:13
  Speaker 4: right coach, like good coach, wrong situation. He's been given
• 14:17
  Speaker 4: every single thing to finally get over that hump, and
• 14:19
  Speaker 4: they basically had to choose between him and Lamar Jackson.
• 14:21
  Speaker 4: And I think that that fan base would have lit
• 14:24
  Speaker 4: that place on fire if they chose him over Lamar.
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: Stucky this this is your squad. Were you good with
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: it when you saw the news?
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I thought it was probably coming. It was time
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: for change. There was rumors that the locker room was
• 14:37
  Speaker 2: splintered and the relationship between him and Lamar wasn't Nah
• 14:44
  Speaker 2: wasn't great this year, which I think was fairly obvious
• 14:51
  Speaker 2: that there were some issues there. So I think it
• 14:53
  Speaker 2: made sense. I think it was just time. I think
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: it all work out for both parties. I think the
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: organization needed to change, Harbor needed to change, And I'm
• 15:02
  Speaker 2: super curious to see who they break in. Hopefully not
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: Matt Naggi, but like I would love if they like
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: my dream would be like Mintor as the head coach
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: and uh Nicdaniel as the offensive coordinator. That would get
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: me excited.
• 15:22
  Speaker 4: I can't remember if I said this on this show
• 15:24
  Speaker 4: or a different show, but I think it's a great
• 15:27
  Speaker 4: time to need a head coach in the NFL because
• 15:29
  Speaker 4: so many of these young guys are coming in and
• 15:32
  Speaker 4: changing teams. Did I say this on this show about
• 15:34
  Speaker 4: how like these young guys are what's really turning teams
• 15:38
  Speaker 4: around for me, just because they're so much more relatable
• 15:40
  Speaker 4: to like the gen Z type of player.
• 15:44
  Speaker 3: I think it's a good time to eat on one
• 15:45
  Speaker 3: of your many Boston shows.
• 15:47
  Speaker 4: Yeah, well, then my whole point was just that I
• 15:50
  Speaker 4: think it's a really good time to need a head
• 15:52
  Speaker 4: coach because we keep seeing these young guys getting promoted
• 15:54
  Speaker 4: to head coaches. Look at Ben Johnson, look at Liam Cohen,
• 15:56
  Speaker 4: and just turning teams around. By taking a chance on
• 16:00
  Speaker 4: this younger guy who relates to your team more, it
• 16:02
  Speaker 4: absolutely has turned people around. I think that that's exactly
• 16:05
  Speaker 4: what the Ravens need, as someone who's younger and more relatable.
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: One thing that gets me excited is Nick Giffen's luck rankings,
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: and it points us in the direction of one game
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: in specific or specifically is a if we're talking sides
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: and that's the Packers plus one is the official play
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: that is on the app. Packers are now minus one
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: and a half at minus want to wait on DraftKings
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: Stucky action or distraction the Packers right side, especially considering
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: the way these first two matchups have gone.
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: Yeah, by the way, my dream would we saw how
• 16:41
  Speaker 2: coaches going fit to cap off that conversation, we saw
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: how much impact coaches can have. Speaking of the Bears,
• 16:48
  Speaker 2: Ben Johnson goes from Detroit to Chicago, turns them around.
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: Detroit misses the playoffs. Liam Cohen goes to Jacksonville, helps
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: turn them around. The Bucks don't make it exactly and
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: grizz they're they're often new offense coordinator to replace going
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: got fired today, So it can it can drastically change
• 17:10
  Speaker 2: my dream. Mintor head coach, McDaniel's coordinator, Flora's Flora as
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: a defensive coordinator. It's not that won't happen.
• 17:19
  Speaker 4: But it's a beautiful dream.
• 17:20
  Speaker 3: Stucky Laoria is probably going to get a head coaching job.
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I'm just giving you my my dream.
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: So no, I think that the Packers are the right side.
• 17:30
  Speaker 2: And I don't think that you can discount the luck
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: that the Bears had. I mean, they were plus had
• 17:37
  Speaker 2: a plus twenty two turnover margin. They led the league
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: in takeaways and giveaways. And it's not like capleer Williams
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: didn't put the ball in Harm's way. You know, you
• 17:45
  Speaker 2: didn't have a lot of picks, but his turnover worthy
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: plays were pretty high, so you might see some bounces
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: go green Bay's way. I mean, this was a defense.
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: The green Bay defense was thirtieth in turnover EPA. The
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: Bears were obviously number one. And then you can just
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: look at how these games played out for Chicago. They
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: were two plays away from going owen six in the division.
• 18:09
  Speaker 2: They needed a miracle on side kick recovery, and before
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: that they needed like a face mask, and Jordan Love
• 18:15
  Speaker 2: went down in that game. By the way, Jordan Love
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: destroyed the Bears when he was healthy, before he got
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: hurt the first game, and then before he got hurt
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: in the second game. And the Packers really should have
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: swept the Bears if not for all that fluky stuff
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: that happened late. So I mean, you look at the Bears,
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: they had that and then they had the long kick
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: return at the end against the Vikings. The usily could
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: have went owen six in the division. They finished two
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: and four, only the second team since nineteen eighty five
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: to win the division with a losing record. But you
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: go back to the Raiders game. They could have lost that.
• 18:42
  Speaker 2: They could have lost of the Commanders. They could have
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: lost to the Browns or the Bengals with Joe Flacco.
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: They could have lost of the Steelers with Mason Rudolph.
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: I mean, these are all bad teams that they arguably
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: should have lost agains if they'd needed to, Like last
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: second wins. They set an NFL record with six wins
• 19:00
  Speaker 2: when trailing under two minutes to go. The defense doesn't
• 19:04
  Speaker 2: do anything well outside of taking the ball away, which
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: is just not sustainable. Take away you know you remove
• 19:10
  Speaker 2: tournaments are thirtieth the EPA per play. This is not
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: a good defense. They do not get pressure. And Jordan
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: Love number one in the NFL this year in EPA
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: per play. With a clean pocket, I think he'll be
• 19:21
  Speaker 2: able to do whatever he wants. This offense, by the way,
• 19:24
  Speaker 2: got a bye last week, should come in healthier. The
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: wide receiver room is as healthy that's been all year.
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: They get Zack Tombak, their elite right tackle. Jacobs came
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: out and said he's as healthy as he's been all year.
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: That buy was super valuable last week because both the
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: Bears and the Packers had buys in Week five. Early
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: year buys you get worn down. Both teams had a
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: lot of injuries they were dealing with at the end
• 19:45
  Speaker 2: of the year, and Green Bay probably spent that entire week,
• 19:48
  Speaker 2: that extra week prepping for this game in Chicago. They
• 19:51
  Speaker 2: went all out trying to beat Detroit, thinking they needed
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: to win for the two seed. Turns out they didn't,
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: but that might hurt them. Here. The two things that
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: you know that the Packers defense has regressed and it's
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: fallen off as you know the pretty much since week eleven.
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: I mean, they've been a bottom five to ten unit.
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: They lost Wyde in week eleven, then Parsons has been
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: the huge loss. Should be a little healthier here, but
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: I do think the Bears will be able to run
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: the ball. I do think that the Packers will be
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: able to run the ball. To me, this comes down
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: to the Packers' ability to generate explosives and take away explosives.
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: The Bears are also of an explosive offense, but they're
• 20:24
  Speaker 2: bottom five and defending explosives, so I think the Packers
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: will just hit more explosive plays, which will be the
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: difference the two the only two things I really worry about.
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: And look, this will be a raucous crowd in Chicago.
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: It's our first home game since the double doink, but
• 20:37
  Speaker 2: it's a divisional game, so home field advantages is generally
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: less for that. And then there's gonna be weather that's
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: not going to bother Green day. The two things I
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: do worry about love coming back from an extended break
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: off of a concussion, could be you know, are there
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: any ill effects there is or any rust? Does he
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: come out a little slow? And then how bad is
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: the wind? Because if the wind is really bad, then
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: that's gonna favor Chicago, right because both teams are gonna
• 21:04
  Speaker 2: be able to run the ball. Chicago's an elite rushing offense,
• 21:07
  Speaker 2: and where I think Green Bay has one of the
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: advantages of their ability to connect on deep passes. If
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: the wind is too bad, that's going to hamper their
• 21:16
  Speaker 2: ability to take advantage of one of those primary strengths
• 21:19
  Speaker 2: in this particular matchup. But I do think that the
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: Packers are the right side and the Packers on They're
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: on the complete opposite end of the spectrum in terms
• 21:27
  Speaker 2: of luck. I mean, this is a team that went
• 21:29
  Speaker 2: oh to three when they didn't punt. The rest of
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: the NFL, it only happened eleven times the whole year.
• 21:34
  Speaker 2: The rest of the NFL went eight no, and there's
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: other eight instances. I think green Bay gets it done
• 21:38
  Speaker 2: here in the advance.
• 21:40
  Speaker 4: I agree, No, I don't think so. I am on
• 21:44
  Speaker 4: the opposite side of this. I don't have a bet
• 21:45
  Speaker 4: on it. I probably won't, but I'm going to drop
• 21:48
  Speaker 4: the L word. I don't. I don't like the Packers
• 21:52
  Speaker 4: this weekend. I lean the Bears here. The Packers have
• 21:54
  Speaker 4: sixteen guys on ir. If this were the beginning of
• 21:58
  Speaker 4: the season and everybody was healthy, I would absolutely take
• 22:00
  Speaker 4: the Packers here. But Bears at home. Bear is healthier.
• 22:04
  Speaker 4: I just it's hot, and you know, Jordan Love coming
• 22:07
  Speaker 4: back from that concussion like that also scares me. We
• 22:10
  Speaker 4: see We've talked about on their show time and time again.
• 22:12
  Speaker 4: Guys coming back from concussions feel like they need a
• 22:14
  Speaker 4: minute to establish themselves. Back into a game and it's
• 22:18
  Speaker 4: been a while since he got that concussion. But I
• 22:20
  Speaker 4: also think that that hurts him in this situation, and
• 22:22
  Speaker 4: god forbid, he's not one hundred percent or whatever. Leak
• 22:25
  Speaker 4: Willis is hurt and then Desmond ritters behind him. It's
• 22:28
  Speaker 4: just the fact that there's sixteen people on IR and
• 22:30
  Speaker 4: you pushed all your chips in on getting Michael Parsons
• 22:33
  Speaker 4: this season, and now he's not playing for you. He's
• 22:35
  Speaker 4: not making a difference. I think the Bears can keep
• 22:38
  Speaker 4: up with the Packers defense and score points. I'm worried
• 22:41
  Speaker 4: about the Packers being able to score thirty points and
• 22:45
  Speaker 4: be able to keep up with this Bears offense. That
• 22:47
  Speaker 4: is my concern here. It's genuinely just that there are
• 22:50
  Speaker 4: sixteen people on IR for the Packers. That is a
• 22:54
  Speaker 4: lot of people. You can't overcome that in these type
• 22:57
  Speaker 4: of situations.
• 22:57
  Speaker 5: In January, Jalie I will say, I will say that
• 23:01
  Speaker 5: the Packers just you know, a few weeks ago, went
• 23:05
  Speaker 5: to Chicago without Michael Parsons and an even more beat
• 23:08
  Speaker 5: up defense.
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: And the Bears had six points with three minutes to go.
• 23:15
  Speaker 2: So even without Parsons, they were in control of that game,
• 23:20
  Speaker 2: and there was a third and fifteen where Caleb got
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: sacked when they were down sixteen to six in the
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: fourth and there was a face mask and without that
• 23:29
  Speaker 2: face miss, the game is over. And then they needed
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: a field goal and then an onside kick, which is
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: like five percent chance, and then they needed to win
• 23:35
  Speaker 2: an overtime.
• 23:36
  Speaker 4: And this is before But you're the king of people
• 23:38
  Speaker 4: needing time to come back from concussions and worrying about that,
• 23:42
  Speaker 4: like you've talked about that on the show too. Does
• 23:44
  Speaker 4: that not worry you?
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I just said it. It's a concern of mine.
• 23:48
  Speaker 2: But their defense held their own against Chicago without Parsons
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: a few weeks ago in Chicago, so I and we
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: don't know how healthy Adonsay is. The Bears have some
• 24:00
  Speaker 2: other injuries on defense with you know, CJ. Gardner Johnson
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: that I mean, Kylo Gordon Kate. It might play, but
• 24:07
  Speaker 2: he's made of glass.
• 24:09
  Speaker 4: They need an early season Kyle Manungai game they.
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: Left tackle at Trapello, he's dealing with an injury. So
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: they have some injuries as well. The Green Bay offense
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: should be pretty healthier outside of Jenkins and Crafto obviously
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: aren't coming back, but I mean love in the five
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: quarters that he played the Bears, they did whatever they
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: wanted moving the ball.
• 24:30
  Speaker 4: Yeah, the Bears defense is awful, Like there's there's no
• 24:33
  Speaker 4: skipping that this. This has to be a shootout here,
• 24:35
  Speaker 4: There's there's no other what's the total in this game?
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: Yeah, there might be snow, depends on I'd like the over.
• 24:46
  Speaker 2: I the wins aren't too bad. I do think both
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: teams will move the ball. I mean, if you go
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: back to that game, that that last game that ended
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: twenty two sixteen in overtime, I mean you had the
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: Packers had here were their drives start the game, nine
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: plays forty six yards to start the game, they turned
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: it over, they didn't convert on a fourth and one
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: inside the ten. Their next drive fourteen plays seventy yards,
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: ended in a field goal. The next drive, sixteen plays
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: ninety one yards, ended in a field goal. So they
• 25:22
  Speaker 2: had three drives in the first half. Now they're probably
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: gonna be run heavy, so these drives might be long.
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: See once they if they all start ending in like
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: fourth down fails or at field goals, you're screwed. But
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: both teams were able to move the ball. The Bears
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: also had a ten plays seventy yard drive that ended
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: in a turnover on downs, so there was The Packers
• 25:41
  Speaker 2: then had in the third quarter their first drive, nine
• 25:43
  Speaker 2: plays sixty five yards fumble. So I mean they were
• 25:48
  Speaker 2: moving the ball with Willis or Love, but they just
• 25:50
  Speaker 2: couldn't convert into touchdowns. But as long as the wind
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: isn't too bad, and even if there's a little snow
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: on the ground, I agree. I like this over with
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: two great offensive minds that are very familiar with both
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: of these defenses at this point in.
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: The year, I'm gonna sit right in the middle between
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: the two of you. I have two bets on this game.
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: One is a prop. I'm gonna queue that one up
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: later potentially. The other is in the derivatives market thirteen
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: to one. This game goes to overtime, a one point spread,
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: a divisional game, third meeting. I think this game is
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: going to come down to the wire. I want no
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: part of either side because I could just see it now.
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: This game, hopefully in overtime because of the bet I've
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: placed scoop and score touchdown one of these two defenses.
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: This is just gonna be a weird game and I'm
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: out on that. We will get to your Etsy Witch
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: in a moment, Kendra, but first you're gonna tell us
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: about DraftKings.
• 26:50
  Speaker 6: The Favorites podcast has teamed up with Dropkings sportsbook, where
• 26:53
  Speaker 6: new customers can bet five dollars and get three hundred
• 26:55
  Speaker 6: dollars back in bonus bets if your bet wins. Staying
• 26:58
  Speaker 6: on the action and use bonus on DraftKings same game
• 27:01
  Speaker 6: parlays for a shot at an even bigger payout to
• 27:04
  Speaker 6: get started to use promo code of Favorites when signing
• 27:06
  Speaker 6: up with DraftKings. Again, use Code of Favorites when signing
• 27:09
  Speaker 6: up and bet five bucks to get three hundred back
• 27:11
  Speaker 6: in bonus bets. If your bet wins, the crown is yours?
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: All right, Stuck, You've given you time to think about it.
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: Do you have a question for us?
• 27:19
  Speaker 2: Hey, this is a dumb question. Let me ask you
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: a personal question kind of question?
• 27:25
  Speaker 3: Is that is question?
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: I just forgot. I forgot to think about it, but
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: I can. I can come with one quick. You gotta
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: be rambling about games and then I, uh.
• 27:36
  Speaker 3: Uh so that is technically my job.
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: I will say, what's one thing that you've bought? You've
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: purchased in your life that your biggest regret purchase, like
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: the dumbest thing that you bought. I'll start. I bought
• 27:53
  Speaker 2: want it for my basement. I have like a that's
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: why I watch games is a cool bar area and
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: it's kind of like a big man gave. But so
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: I bought this like cocktail type arcade table, and I
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: mean it was I don't know. I think I got
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: it for it was like three thousand dollars and like
• 28:16
  Speaker 2: you can like sit around it and then there's joysticks
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: and then the screen comes up and there's like five
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: thousand arcade games on it. I was like, oh, this
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: would be cool to have just for like when people.
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: I've never played it once. It's never been used. So
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: I had one friend who used it who was over
• 28:36
  Speaker 2: and was like playing something on there. It was cool.
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: I mean I've actually looked went and looked at it
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: and look and there was like every game you could
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: ever think of arcade game. So it sounded cool in theory,
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: and it's cool that it's there, like it looks cool,
• 28:49
  Speaker 2: but I've never used it, and I regret purchasing that.
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: I guess I could like resell it, but I haven't.
• 28:56
  Speaker 2: Maybe maybe my kid will enjoy it one day.
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: There you go, there is still time to get use
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: out of this thing. My answer to this is easy.
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: This one still haunts me. I worked a summer job
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: when I first got to college, and they didn't pay you.
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: It was like a maintenance thing, which is hilarious because
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know how to fix anything. I don't know
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: how I got this job, but I worked the summer
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: and then they gave you, which I'm sure hourly breakdown.
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: I was vastly underpaid, but they gave me, at eighteen
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: years old, a one thousand dollars check. I'd never gotten
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: that much money at once in my life, so I
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: went immediately to the fanciest mall in town. I went
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: into the Burberry store and I bought an expensive wallet.
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: Two hundred and fifty dollars. I dropped on a wallet.
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: Mind you, I probably had. I mean, that was all
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: the money I had in my account, was that thousand
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: dollars that they gave me.
• 29:43
  Speaker 3: But I felt so good about myself.
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: And then a week later I go to the gym,
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: I leave the wallet in my cup holder and it
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: gets stolen. So I have not paid more than eight
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: dollars for a wallet. Since that moment in my life.
• 29:57
  Speaker 4: Lesson learned mine's going to be my my last car
• 30:00
  Speaker 4: that I had. I bought a BMW three thirty five.
• 30:03
  Speaker 4: I tricked out lower tented whole bit. I live in
• 30:08
  Speaker 4: fucking Massachusetts and it snows like crazy. I had zero
• 30:13
  Speaker 4: business driving a lowered car. I had it for a year.
• 30:17
  Speaker 4: Drove to work in the snow. One time, thought I
• 30:19
  Speaker 4: was going to die, and I was like, this bitch
• 30:20
  Speaker 4: has gotta go.
• 30:22
  Speaker 3: That was it. That was a low key flex right
• 30:23
  Speaker 3: there by the way.
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: So I feel pretty confident in saying that this is
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: the best sports week of the year so far, unless,
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: of course, you're a Kentucky basketball fan zero and two
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: in Conference WOOLF.
• 30:35
  Speaker 3: But if you if you like ish stakes football, this
• 30:39
  Speaker 3: week is for you.
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: Thursday and Friday, we've got college football playoffs semifinals in
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: this weekend. Well, you know what's going on in the NFL,
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: and when you think of big football games, you.
• 30:50
  Speaker 3: Need to be thinking about Sling TV.
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: Sling TV offers flexible package options one, three and seven
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: day passes for access to thirty plus live channels, which
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: includes ESPN and tnt SO you're covered for the semi
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: final games, the National Championship and for Monday Night Football.
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: And since this is an NFL show and we're talking
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: Monday Night football, let's fit in a little Texans Steelers
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: will give out one pick a piece for the Monday
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: Night Football action. Kendra get Us started.
• 31:23
  Speaker 4: So Stucky has something that I have later on in
• 31:27
  Speaker 4: the show to discuss. So I'm gonna go with Pat
• 31:31
  Speaker 4: Fryarmouth for in anytime plus three to ninety, like the
• 31:35
  Speaker 4: tight end matchup here. He's been getting a lot of
• 31:37
  Speaker 4: love recently. I don't know if you guys saw that
• 31:39
  Speaker 4: video of him after the game after the kick on Sunday.
• 31:44
  Speaker 4: He just he is their go to guy and clutch moments.
• 31:47
  Speaker 4: Most of his catches wind up in the end zone. Somehow,
• 31:50
  Speaker 4: it seems I'm gonna go Pat Fryarmouth in a big moment.
• 31:53
  Speaker 4: I think the obvious answer he would probably be to
• 31:54
  Speaker 4: b DK Metcalf, But I like the Friarermuth value at
• 31:57
  Speaker 4: plus three ninety on DraftKings right now.
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: But I think DK bet jail for what he did
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: and getting himself suspended at the end of the year,
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: and he should give his game check to Tyler Loop.
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: I like the look at Pat Fryarmouth. Rogers loves those
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: tight ends.
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: What about you, Stucky, Let's go Steelers money line. I
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: think this is an obvious money line dog this week.
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: It's a low total. I think this will be a
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: low scoring game. Points are at a premium, so higher variance.
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: And the Steelers, as long as they're in this game,
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: you know they Riders is bad under pressure at this
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: point in his career, but they like to get rid
• 32:35
  Speaker 2: of the ball as quick as you'll ever see a
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: team with short passes throw to their backs their tight ends.
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: You know, maybe a quick slant to DK hopefully he
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: breaks one. So that kind of can neutralize the Texans
• 32:47
  Speaker 2: pass rush a bit. Now where the Steelers are going
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: to get in trouble. It's very difficult to do that
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: consistently against one of the best defenses in the NFL,
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: because if you don't have success on first and second down,
• 32:57
  Speaker 2: and then you're in third and long, and then you
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: got to go up against Texans pass rush where Rodgers
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: probably isn't going to be able to do much. So
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: that's where they're probably going to get into trouble. But
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: I could say the same thing for the Steelers defense,
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: which is vulnerable against the run. But Texans aren't really
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: an efficient rushing attack. So on these known passing situations
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: for the Texans the Steelers, they're going to blitz a lot.
• 33:18
  Speaker 2: Their defensive line is now healthy and Stroud has been
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: bad against the blitz and this is not a great
• 33:23
  Speaker 2: offensive line, so I could see the Steelers causing some
• 33:26
  Speaker 2: havoc and chaos as well. This could come down to
• 33:29
  Speaker 2: just which defensive line on a passing down makes forces
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: the other quarterback into a mistake. And we know that
• 33:35
  Speaker 2: Rogers generally, it's one of the best in NFL history
• 33:37
  Speaker 2: at avoiding those mistakes. So this will be like a
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: field position game. And don't forget this is a dome
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: team traveling outdoors in freezing temperatures. I think the teams
• 33:47
  Speaker 2: in that spot are one to fourteen in the past
• 33:49
  Speaker 2: fifteen instances that's occurred in the postseason. So yeah, I
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: think this will be a low scoring game where the
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: Steeers will have a shot to win it. You might
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: have the voodoo on your side as well, with you know,
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: just a couple deflections or flat forced fumbles that go
• 34:04
  Speaker 2: your way, and that might be all it takes, so yeah,
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: let's go Steelers money line to get it done on Monday.
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: One of these streaks has to end, either the steep
• 34:12
  Speaker 2: the Steers finally have to win a playoff game, or
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: their Monday Night streak. The last thing. I think it's
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: thirty three years now they haven't lost on Monday Night football,
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: So we'll see.
• 34:22
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I was like ninety three or something, which is crazy.
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: We'll just end up reframing that to regular season Monday
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: Night football games come next year if they lose. But
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: I have We're all in the Steelers here. I have
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: a correlation to the Steelers. Look, if they are able
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: to move the ball down the field against this Houston defense,
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: it's going to be because of the quick passing game
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: to Kenneth Gainwell. I like him over five and a
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: half receptions at plus one h nine. Rogers has to
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: get the ball out of his hands quickly to mitigate
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: this pass rush, and he has been doing that quite well.
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: They have the quickest snap to throw average in the NFL.
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: That bodes well for this stat a lot of easy
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: dumpoffs to gain well. The Texans rank above league average
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: in terms of receptions allowed to the running back position,
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: so screen game on full effect. We've got Pat Fryarmouth
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: anytime touchdown Stealer's money line, both of those at plus odds,
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: including Kenneth Gainwell, who's also at plus money, which means
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: your three legs. Sling TV parlay comes in at twenty
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: to one.
• 35:27
  Speaker 3: Let's go Stealers.
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: With so many great, great games still to come, sling
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: TV is your solution to instant access to live TV,
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: starting as low as four ninety nine. There is not
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: a better time to acquaint yourself with the one to
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: three and seven day passes from Sling TV offer applies
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: to Orange one day pass restrictions apply. It is time
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: for the reason you all came here today. Two kings
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: and a queen get nominated right here, right now, Stucky,
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: get us going.
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: All right, I'm gonna go. I already mentioned I would
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: have my plant. The Flag game is JAG's first half
• 36:16
  Speaker 2: money line, which I still love. But we'll give two
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: other looks here. I'm gonna go with the Packers money line.
• 36:24
  Speaker 2: I think I rambled enough about that game earlier and
• 36:29
  Speaker 2: the let's go the Chargers plus three and a half
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: talked about that game a bit earlier. Look the Patriots
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: have the highest explosive play right in the league, even
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: though they faced the easiest schedule of defenses and the
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: easiest schedule of opposing quarterbacks. I mean, think about it.
• 36:48
  Speaker 2: The only they beat Josh Allen once they split and
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: that's about it. The rest of the quarterbacks they faced.
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: The next best quarterback, it's Baker Mayfield. I mean, Lamar
• 36:59
  Speaker 2: Jackson was roasting them before he got hurt, and then
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: it was Tyler Huntley the rest of the game. But
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: I think this defense that who has some injuries, is vulnerable.
• 37:08
  Speaker 2: And the biggest concern I have is with the Chargers
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: offensive line. I mean they're bad. I mean since we
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: you know, the second half of the year, they're thirty
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: first in pressure rate allowed. But the Patriots in the
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: second half of the year without blitzing and you don't
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: want to blitz Herbert, are thirty first in pressure rate
• 37:25
  Speaker 2: without blitzing, twenty seventh and adjusted pressure rate for the year.
• 37:29
  Speaker 2: So this is not a defensive line that's going to
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: get gobs of pressure and ruin this game for Herbert,
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: as we've seen quite a few times in the past.
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: Maybe it still happens, but the numbers I think Herbert
• 37:40
  Speaker 2: will have a chance here to move the ball, and
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: that Patriots offense that hits so many explosives is going
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: up against the defense that excels in that department. And
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: the red zone will be huge here because what the
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: Chargers are gonna have a huge emphasis on taking away
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: those explosives forced the Patriots to move the ball down
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: the field and then execute in the red zone. Well,
• 38:00
  Speaker 2: the Charters have an elite red zone defense under Minter.
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: They did last year forty five percent touchdown rate forty
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: five percent touchdown rate this year, both top five in
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: the NFL. Patriots have struggled some in the red zone
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: and then on the other side of the ball, the Chargers.
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: They don't have a great red zone offense, but the
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: Patriots are thirtieth in the NFL and red zone defense
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: in terms of touchdown rate allowed, and they've played nothing
• 38:23
  Speaker 2: but backup quarterbacks the entire year. So this might be
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: a chance for Herbert and company to actually finish off
• 38:29
  Speaker 2: drives with touchdowns. And the Matriots have been pretty lucky
• 38:33
  Speaker 2: this year, not only with their schedule, but May's gotten
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: away with some throws. I could see him throwing a
• 38:38
  Speaker 2: pick or two against this mintor defense. They've been lucky
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: with fumbles and especially on fourth downs on both sides
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: of the ball, so he might get a few bounces
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: here for the Chargers, but I think that they keep
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: this close. I think this line should be no higher
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: than three. So give me the Chargers plus three and
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: a half. So my two choices are Packers money line
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: and Chargers plus three and a half.
• 39:00
  Speaker 3: For me, I already bet it. I like the Chargers
• 39:02
  Speaker 3: plus three and a half.
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: Stucky continues to try and recruit Jesse Minter to his
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: football team. Kendra, I imagine America.
• 39:09
  Speaker 3: This one easy, Yeah, Chargers.
• 39:12
  Speaker 4: The best part is if the Pats lose and the
• 39:14
  Speaker 4: Jags win, I could be packing to go home for
• 39:17
  Speaker 4: three days or I could be packing to go home
• 39:18
  Speaker 4: for three weeks.
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: I really don't know, Evan, where would you be voting
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: on this? So that was one of the easiest votes
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: we've had all.
• 39:25
  Speaker 4: Year, Chargers the easiest.
• 39:27
  Speaker 3: Thank Yeah, Wow, Get Kendrick.
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: Do you want me to piss you off first or
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: after you make your selections this week?
• 39:36
  Speaker 4: You're the host to your world. We just live in it,
• 39:39
  Speaker 4: all right.
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: Let's just get this out of the way. You gotta
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: rip the bandaid off. Here my two nominees are a
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: prop and a side.
• 39:48
  Speaker 4: Can I just say, can I just preface this with
• 39:51
  Speaker 4: I filled out our notes at nine forty five this morning,
• 39:54
  Speaker 4: and when I logged on at ten thirty, Kravits had
• 39:56
  Speaker 4: completely flipped the script.
• 39:58
  Speaker 3: Yep, I had. I had not bet this game yet.
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: As of the prep that I was doing this morning,
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: I was fully I've been fully convinced all week that
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: I've I was going to bet the Jacksonville Jaguars. And
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: the more I dug into this game, the more it
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: became obvious to me that I've got to bet the Bills.
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: So my nominees are Colston Lovelin over three and a
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: half receptions against the Packers or the Bills minus one here.
• 40:29
  Speaker 3: Here?
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: Which one are you shaking your head out more stucky?
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: The the prop or the or the Bills?
• 40:34
  Speaker 2: The Bills? I mean, I like the Jags, and uh
• 40:39
  Speaker 2: like you're just basically betting on them. I think, like, oh,
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: Josh Allen is going to get it done. I'm not
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: even sure Josh Allen is fully healthy. But and then
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: you just changed like you're going to try to convince
• 40:49
  Speaker 2: this and you just changed your earlier in the day,
• 40:52
  Speaker 2: you were thinking Jags. Now, so you're going to try
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: to convince the Bills.
• 40:54
  Speaker 4: Yeah, can you couple the knife out of my back
• 40:56
  Speaker 4: really quick?
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: We're have been the Jags podcast all year. But you know,
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: I like the jack. The Jags offensive researchers is real.
• 41:04
  Speaker 2: Since they got Myers, they put Cole van Land in
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: that tackle. Parker Washington has emerged. B TJ's gotten healthier,
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: Breton Strange came back. The Liam Cohen effect has just
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: magnified as they started throwing the ball down the field.
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: The defense has real improvement. They're a lead against the run.
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: I mean the Antonio Johnson has emerged at safety, mon
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: Terrek Brown is playing better. And this defense, this Bill's
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: defense is terrible. So Josh Allen could lead them to
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: a win. And they're they're going to play a ton
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: of zone. There'll be opportunities there. But I would not
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: bet against this Jags team in this spot.
• 41:42
  Speaker 3: And Witch, So I do want to get to the
• 41:47
  Speaker 3: Etsy Witch. But here's what I noticed.
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: We'll get to the second went. My vote is I
• 41:50
  Speaker 2: guess Loveland because I'm not same.
• 41:52
  Speaker 4: I don't can I ask you why? I mean, like,
• 41:55
  Speaker 4: here's The thing am I nervous about this game? Absolutely?
• 41:58
  Speaker 4: Do I think that the Bills can come into Jacksonville
• 41:59
  Speaker 4: and win game. Absolutely, But the Bills strength is their
• 42:03
  Speaker 4: run game, and the Jags have such a good run defense,
• 42:07
  Speaker 4: and I don't under And the thing is that the
• 42:11
  Speaker 4: Jags will run the ball down their throats. I don't
• 42:13
  Speaker 4: understand other than the Josh Allen angle. What you're what
• 42:16
  Speaker 4: you're looking at here?
• 42:17
  Speaker 3: Well, yeah, believe me, this was.
• 42:20
  Speaker 4: We had the real Josh Allen.
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: By the way, This is the been the thought process
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: all week is I like the Jaguars better as as
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: a team, and I like Josh Allen better as the
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: quarterback that I trust the most in this matchup. And
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna bet a single quarterback over an entire
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: team that I like better. I think that the hot
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: streak the Jags have been on has some phony written
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: into it, and I can't unsee it. Since they're loss
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: to the Texans. Trevor Lawrence has been the hottest quarterback
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: in the NFL. He has played so many bad teams.
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: Six of his final eight matchups were against the Titans twice,
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: the Cold twice, the Jets, and the Cardinals. The average
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: e p a per pass for those teams on defense
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: is twenty second in the NFL.
• 43:08
  Speaker 3: It's no wonder the Chargers and Abscos.
• 43:15
  Speaker 2: Yeah, defenses destroyed both, which I think puts merit to it.
• 43:22
  Speaker 2: Like literally, they went into Denver.
• 43:24
  Speaker 3: The Chargers could.
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: They're at the Chargers.
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: That was the bottom of the barrel for this bad
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: offensive line for the.
• 43:34
  Speaker 2: Talking about what they did to the Chargers defense.
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: Well, yeah, it's a lot easier to score when you're
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: the opposing offense can't move the football.
• 43:42
  Speaker 3: And we have decided the.
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: Denver Denver are quite possibly the most overrated number one
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: seed in NFL history.
• 43:51
  Speaker 2: Their defense, I'm not going to throw which defense in
• 43:55
  Speaker 2: the NFL is good the Charge, the Charges and Broncos
• 43:58
  Speaker 2: defenses aren't good. Which defense which.
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: I'm not saying they're not good, I'm saying that the
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: that is two of the last eight matchups have been impressive.
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: I'm not selling Jacksonville as a team and telling you
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: that they're bad or that it's all overrated in terms
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: of what they've done for the last couple of months.
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: But against this team, I think it is.
• 44:24
  Speaker 2: If if Bills are a bad defense, they're going to
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: play another bad defense here.
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: So the Bills defense this year has held quarterbacks to
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: a seventy nine rating. They're number one in yards per
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: game allowed to quarterbacks. The red zone defense hasn't been great,
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: their fourth best in terms of allowing opposing offenses to
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: get to the red zone in the first place. I
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: just worry that if the Jags offense gets stuck in
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: the mud, bad Trevor shows up, And if bad Trevor
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: shows up, They've got no chance in winning this game.
• 44:50
  Speaker 3: They're not beating Josh Allen in a playoff game.
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: And I think it is awfully telling that you bet
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: the Jags in the first half and wanted no of
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: the full game when.
• 45:02
  Speaker 3: We talked about this the other day. If we're talking
• 45:04
  Speaker 3: we have this.
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: Com I mean I would take the Jacks for the
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: full game. I just prefer the first taxt I think
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: their script's gonna better. I think the Bills run it
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: too much early. The numbers bear that out. I mean,
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: the Bills offense first half or second half is drastic,
• 45:17
  Speaker 2: and the same with the Jags first half, first second
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: half offense. But I mean I could say the Bills
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: like you you mentioned their defense, I mean their defense
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: I think is twentieth and DVA. They cannot defend the
• 45:27
  Speaker 2: run you mentioned, like the quarterback. I mean, you can
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: make the same case for the Bills who they face
• 45:31
  Speaker 2: this year. I mean, look at the quarterbacks they face
• 45:33
  Speaker 2: down the stretch, the Chador Sanders who they almost lost to, that.
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: Was in Cleveland, which is one of the toughest places
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: to play in the NFL. Their last defense the last
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: month plus we're talking about. What I'm mentioning here is
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: the cupcake schedule overall that the Jags played in the
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: last two months. I think that with them playing the
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: schedule that they played down the stretch, if you look
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: season long, they actually had a tougher strength of scheduled
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: than Buffalo. But down the stretch the Bills went to Pittsburgh,
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: to New England, to Houston, to Cleveland and played the
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles that is battle tested down the stretch and
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: they're rolling in As one.
• 46:16
  Speaker 2: Point, they lost to Davis Mills, and I mean they
• 46:19
  Speaker 2: lost to the Eagles at home with the Eagles not
• 46:22
  Speaker 2: completing a pass in the second half. Like those aren't
• 46:25
  Speaker 2: the greatest data points. Like the Eagles offense and the
• 46:29
  Speaker 2: Texans offense with Davis Mills and losing.
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: The bottom line is I think if this game was
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: played in Week fourteen in this exact setting, the Bills
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: would be two and a half point favorites. Their point
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: favorites here, I think they're the right side. Kendre, What
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: have you done in terms of witchery for me to
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: lose this bet?
• 46:54
  Speaker 4: So I hired an Etsy witch yesterday to curse the Bills,
• 46:59
  Speaker 4: but I made to add in my notes that I
• 47:01
  Speaker 4: don't want anybody to get hurt. That was like the
• 47:03
  Speaker 4: big thing. I was like, I just want a good
• 47:05
  Speaker 4: old fashioned ass kicking. I don't want anybody to get hurt.
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: My wife did that for before the Ravens Chiefs Safty
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: Championship game. She hired a witch on EPSCY and wanted
• 47:18
  Speaker 2: she wanted Patrick Mahomes. This is literally what she paid
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: for Patrick Mahomes to shit his pants during the game.
• 47:26
  Speaker 2: Didn't happen.
• 47:27
  Speaker 4: Oh that's amazing. I get my money back in thirty
• 47:29
  Speaker 4: days if it doesn't happen.
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: So wow, how much do you mind me asking how
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: much this runs?
• 47:35
  Speaker 3: You'll whopping?
• 47:37
  Speaker 4: Twelve dollars was the most expensive one. It was the
• 47:40
  Speaker 4: most expensive one I could get all the other ones
• 47:42
  Speaker 4: were like a dollar and she's supposed to send me
• 47:44
  Speaker 4: a video of like her doing the spell. But all
• 47:47
  Speaker 4: of the weird Southern Baptists on Twitter have gotten really
• 47:50
  Speaker 4: strange about this. But they can ligma because me and
• 47:53
  Speaker 4: my edsy witch are going to hold hand to the
• 47:54
  Speaker 4: AFC Championship game.
• 47:56
  Speaker 3: All right, So nobody's voting for the Bills.
• 48:00
  Speaker 4: Wait, Evan, where would you have gone with this.
• 48:04
  Speaker 2: Jaguars?
• 48:05
  Speaker 7: The stats that I like that's kind of on the
• 48:07
  Speaker 7: field here, which would be that the Jaguars this year
• 48:10
  Speaker 7: faced four teams who allow four plus yards per rush
• 48:13
  Speaker 7: on the ground. Jacksonville is not only four and oh
• 48:15
  Speaker 7: straight up and against spreading those games, but they've covered
• 48:17
  Speaker 7: by nineteen points per game. Throw it out the window
• 48:20
  Speaker 7: if you'd like. But they Jacksonville is not the best
• 48:22
  Speaker 7: running team. They should be able to run the ball
• 48:24
  Speaker 7: here and if that's possible, everything else will come into place.
• 48:27
  Speaker 2: And I like Jacksonville.
• 48:28
  Speaker 3: Yeah.
• 48:28
  Speaker 2: The second most wins over playoff teams. We talk about
• 48:31
  Speaker 2: people's team schedules. The only team with more playoff win
• 48:33
  Speaker 2: team wins over playoff teams is the Seahawks.
• 48:36
  Speaker 7: I like the Meyers edition. Jaya Parker White, like everyone
• 48:39
  Speaker 7: is kind of coming into play. You start to look
• 48:41
  Speaker 7: at Bill's pass catchers, It's like, who the heck is
• 48:44
  Speaker 7: going to make a play in this game If it's
• 48:45
  Speaker 7: not Josh, and I think that's the problem.
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: I'm just going to say, if it's not Josh and
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: throw that out like he is.
• 48:53
  Speaker 3: He is right now.
• 48:56
  Speaker 7: So Brandon Cooks is going to have to have a
• 48:57
  Speaker 7: pass on his helmet, like for fifty yards. I feel
• 49:00
  Speaker 7: like maybe magic happens.
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: But if you play we've been watching how long have
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: you been watching the NFL guys? How long have these quarterbacks,
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: the Mahomes at least now the world, been throwing the
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: ball to these below average wide receivers in the postseason
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: and getting by. I just don't worry that much about
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: it when you're talking about a player of his caliber.
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: I'm not betting the Bills simply because of Josh Allen.
• 49:24
  Speaker 2: But of course is the big well you mentioned Mahomes.
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: The last couple of years of our receivers, the defense,
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: their defense has carried them in the playoffs. This Bill's
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: defense is not good. Their linebackers are old and watched,
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: their safeties aren't great. The corner rock room isn't great.
• 49:40
  Speaker 2: Like they can get some pressure, but they can't defend
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: the run. I mean, you mentioned how many playoff teams
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: does the Bills beat this year too? I guess three
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: with the Panthers.
• 49:51
  Speaker 4: Do we think Gabe Davis has over eight and a
• 49:54
  Speaker 4: half receiving yards in this game? Because I feel like
• 49:56
  Speaker 4: this might be the Gabe Davis revenge game. And I'm
• 49:58
  Speaker 4: sitting here and it's staring at me like the gob mask, our.
• 50:00
  Speaker 7: Producers telling us to kind of move on here. But
• 50:03
  Speaker 7: I think we should retee it up. You want to go,
• 50:04
  Speaker 7: let's do this whole thing again, Jaguars Bills. No, I'm kidding, all.
• 50:08
  Speaker 3: Right, let's go all right?
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: So, yeah, you couldn't even go on a side or
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: total Loveland. I have no opinion.
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: I mean I could get so I did come prepared
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: for a non prop.
• 50:20
  Speaker 3: I just thought i'd throw one in there.
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: I do like the Chargers Panthers under or I'm sorry,
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: the Rams Panthers under forty six and a half, Chargers
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: Patriots under forty six and a half, or the forty
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: nine Ers Eagles under forty four.
• 50:32
  Speaker 3: And a half.
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: I love the stat that Evan put in the primer
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: all six wild Card games are being played in outdoor stadium.
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: Since two thousand and four, outdoor wild Card games sixty
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: eight percent to the under. I think the Texans Steelers
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: number is too.
• 50:46
  Speaker 3: Low for my blood.
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: The Packers and the Bears are probably going to put
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: up points on each other. There could be a million
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: points scored in the Jags Bills game. So those are
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: the three unders that I like. I'd be happy to
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: add any one of those as my nominee if we
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: don't like the.
• 51:03
  Speaker 2: Pro Rams Panthers under. Personally, there was a bunch of
• 51:07
  Speaker 2: fluky scoring in the first meeting battle on that Yeah,
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: I like that under a lot. I think the Panthers
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: went super slow the lowest passway to over expectation game
• 51:18
  Speaker 2: of the season. The Rams only round fifty two plays
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: twenty percent less than and they had to pick six
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: and their season long average. Quentin Lake should be back
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: the Rams. You know, Dotson might not be healthy, and
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: you got to remember in that game the Panthers didn't
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: have their best corner, their best safety, a bunch of linebackers,
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: So I think that they'll be some I don't see
• 51:37
  Speaker 2: the Panthers offense doing much. I think it's going to
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: be some long drives in here. And ever Row disguis's coverages.
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: That's one of the blemishes on If you look at
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: Stafford and what he struggles against, it's when teams disguise
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: covered his postam. Panthers do that more than any team
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: in the league. And Everro's had success against the Shanahan
• 51:57
  Speaker 2: McVeigh trees. I mean, look this year, Purty struggled against Carolina,
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: Jordan Love lost to Carolina at home. Stafford all those
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: turnovers against Carolina, and Stafford against his old coordinators Raheem Morris, Everrow,
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: He's throned four eleven picks in four meetings. So I
• 52:14
  Speaker 2: think the Panthers can do enough women explosives, and I
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: think this will stay under forty six and a half.
• 52:20
  Speaker 2: Might have some impactful cross winds too.
• 52:22
  Speaker 3: So that's what I'm good with that.
• 52:26
  Speaker 4: N Okay, I brought the Steelers plus three. I know
• 52:31
  Speaker 4: that we might have to double down on something that
• 52:33
  Speaker 4: we already gave in a parlay earlier. And then I'm
• 52:35
  Speaker 4: gonna throw the Eagles money line in here, just because
• 52:37
  Speaker 4: it's a parlay. We're getting value other places. We've talked
• 52:40
  Speaker 4: enough about both of these games, so hopefully this is
• 52:42
  Speaker 4: an easy decision for you guys.
• 52:45
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I would love to throw the Eagles in here.
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: That way, I could perhaps mitigate my losses with the
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: horrible forty nine ers plus three bet that I'm sitting
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: on right now.
• 52:52
  Speaker 3: So I'm biased. I would like to get out of that, Okay,
• 52:57
  Speaker 3: that'll be.
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: Yeah. It's just hard for me to see San Francisco
• 53:03
  Speaker 2: moving the ball consistently on Philadelphia, especially with their injuries,
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: and their defense is just so bad that even with
• 53:11
  Speaker 2: the Eagles offensive was they should be able to do enough.
• 53:15
  Speaker 2: I'm okay with either. I mean, I would like to
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: if we could. I would buy the hook since it's
• 53:21
  Speaker 2: a parlay on Pittsburgh's so super valuable here with a
• 53:24
  Speaker 2: low scoring game like get debt to three and a half.
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: So I'm okay with either. Evan, I'll let you. I'm
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: curious your thoughts here. Eagles money line would be mine.
• 53:35
  Speaker 7: I'm actually a Texan stan, so I disagreed with kind
• 53:38
  Speaker 7: of a lot of the things you discussed are in
• 53:39
  Speaker 7: that segment, but I could be biased as well. I
• 53:41
  Speaker 7: just I'm a big fan of the AFC South. I
• 53:43
  Speaker 7: put it in our bets. I like them to win
• 53:46
  Speaker 7: the Super Bowl at six to one. I put both
• 53:48
  Speaker 7: teams together, so I would lean Philly. I agree, I
• 53:52
  Speaker 7: don't even see Like Shanahan's done some amazing things this
• 53:55
  Speaker 7: year to win games. He shouldn't have that Rams game,
• 53:57
  Speaker 7: like all sorts of different things. It is completely possible
• 54:00
  Speaker 7: two to zero in the wildcard round, like he just
• 54:01
  Speaker 7: figures it out.
• 54:02
  Speaker 2: But I'll take Philly. Yeah, and Fangio's own Shanahan and
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: their meetings. Defense has kind of built the tack and
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: the Eagles are number one against tight ends, should contain Kittle.
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: They're number one in the NFL again short passes, and
• 54:15
  Speaker 2: like that's what san fran has to do here. Pierceall
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: not being one hundred percent, he could have been big
• 54:19
  Speaker 2: in this matchup. That's kind of where they're when their
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: offense exploded. They also feasted on some bad beat up defenses,
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: but when they stepped up in class, it wasn't pretty
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: so and you gotta remember they're traveling across country after
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: a war and the Eagles basically rested. Everyone should be
• 54:34
  Speaker 2: healthier or how to buy week, So I think this
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: is the end of the road for the forty nine ers. Yeah,
• 54:40
  Speaker 2: I mean, even their backup linebackers are now all hurt.
• 54:43
  Speaker 2: So yeah, let's go with the Eagles money line, Rams,
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: Panthers under and Chargers plus three and a half.
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: You can get that over on DraftKings at plus four
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: seventeen where the Crown is yours. We'll cut off today's
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: episode so the Gifford Gould and David Payne don't turn
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: our streams off forever the Favorites we'll return. We might
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: have an episode on Sunday night. Keep it locked on
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: the Action Network YouTube page. We'll have something for you.
• 55:12
  Speaker 1: If not then, then definitely by Tuesday, and we'll be
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: breaking down the divisional round in the NFL Playoffs. You
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: can catch it all right here on the Action Network
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: YouTube page or wherever you download your favorite podcast. Thanks
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: for hanging out. We'll see you next time here on
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: the Favorites podcast. Have fun at the game, Kendra.
• 55:30
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• 55:33
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• 55:45
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