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NFL Survivor Pool Week 15 Review | 2025 Strategy, Picks & Lessons Learned · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Mhm.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: All system's going clear.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: We're left on.
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: What is going on? Everyone?
• 0:42
  Speaker 3: This is sheets and we're gonna be recapping what happened
• 0:45
  Speaker 3: in week fifteen of the Survivor of the NFL season.
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: With respect to Survivor pulls.
• 0:53
  Speaker 3: We're gonna look at some of the biggest contests that
• 0:56
  Speaker 3: we're going on Splash, see what we're see what we're
• 0:59
  Speaker 3: down to. And we're gonna look at at a contest
• 1:05
  Speaker 3: that started last week that will hopefully give us some
• 1:10
  Speaker 3: insight into a tournament that I'm going to play this week,
• 1:14
  Speaker 3: which we'll talk about tomorrow. So again, we're not gonna
• 1:19
  Speaker 3: go over Circa, but Circa is down to ten people.
• 1:22
  Speaker 3: Good on them, hopefully they There are a couple of
• 1:26
  Speaker 3: DFS guys that are in there, a couple of poker
• 1:28
  Speaker 3: players in there, a couple of people sharing entries, and
• 1:31
  Speaker 3: that's a whole that's a whole other thing I don't
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: even want to get into. But let's start with the
• 1:37
  Speaker 3: Splash contest.
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: As you might know, very few teams did not advance
• 1:43
  Speaker 3: this past week, or I should say very few teams
• 1:45
  Speaker 3: did not win this past week.
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: That were favored.
• 1:48
  Speaker 3: So really, across all of these survivor pools. It was
• 1:52
  Speaker 3: more just kind of it wasn't even jockeying for position
• 1:56
  Speaker 3: at this point. It's really now just draw up your
• 2:00
  Speaker 3: you know, dropping your bombs, you know what I mean,
• 2:02
  Speaker 3: just just just putting your putting your puzzles in the
• 2:05
  Speaker 3: in the putting your pieces in the puzzle the way
• 2:08
  Speaker 3: you've set it up. At this point, I mean, there's
• 2:10
  Speaker 3: very little you can do at this point to plan
• 2:12
  Speaker 3: for the future in these tournaments that are going to
• 2:16
  Speaker 3: be ending in two weeks, So now you're just kind
• 2:19
  Speaker 3: of caching in on your pre preparation. Now with that said,
• 2:23
  Speaker 3: you know, for people that do have multiple options, it's
• 2:26
  Speaker 3: a good idea to you know, see what everybody else
• 2:29
  Speaker 3: is playing things like that. In any case, let's start
• 2:33
  Speaker 3: off with the ship at Nation two hundred and fifty K,
• 2:37
  Speaker 3: and the two people remaining are two very sharp players.
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: Pete tars Is.
• 2:42
  Speaker 3: I think he might be one of the players left
• 2:44
  Speaker 3: in the in the circa as well, and he got
• 2:47
  Speaker 3: through with Jacksonville and San Francisco with no stress. And
• 2:50
  Speaker 3: then Brandon Gressith, who's one of the better DFS players
• 2:54
  Speaker 3: in the world. He MAXs this thing out and it's
• 2:57
  Speaker 3: coming back to really suit him. He's a you got
• 3:00
  Speaker 3: through with Jacksonville and then Pittsburgh last night. Obviously that
• 3:04
  Speaker 3: was a tough one to have to take. But again,
• 3:06
  Speaker 3: at this point, you're just kind of dropping your dropping.
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: Your cards here.
• 3:12
  Speaker 3: Who either of these guys are gonna pick in Week sixteen?
• 3:15
  Speaker 3: It's it's it's gonna be a war. I can't even
• 3:19
  Speaker 3: imagine who they would have. San Francisco they're gone. It's
• 3:25
  Speaker 3: gonna be regressive. I guess San Francisco's gone. Buffalo is
• 3:30
  Speaker 3: gone from I mean gone, meaning they were to use them.
• 3:36
  Speaker 2: Who else this week?
• 3:38
  Speaker 3: Houston is gone, Kansas City they were saving for this
• 3:44
  Speaker 3: week and now they've lost Mahomes. But you know what,
• 3:48
  Speaker 3: they're probably still the best play. So I don't know,
• 3:50
  Speaker 3: maybe that's one of his plays. I can't even imagine
• 3:54
  Speaker 3: who else he'd want to play this week. It's gonna
• 3:58
  Speaker 3: be it's just gonna be tough. You have Detroit available now,
• 4:01
  Speaker 3: I guess not. Oh, I know who that both these
• 4:04
  Speaker 3: guys are gonna play. We'll talk about this tomorrow, but
• 4:07
  Speaker 3: it looks like they're both gonna probably end up playing
• 4:09
  Speaker 3: New Orleans. But they're gonna be four and a half
• 4:12
  Speaker 3: point favorites, and there's just nothing left I don't think
• 4:15
  Speaker 3: for these guys, unless again I just am missing something here,
• 4:18
  Speaker 3: like this guy of Buffalo. Somehow it's possible you could
• 4:22
  Speaker 3: have saved Buffalo, But no, I guess not this guy
• 4:25
  Speaker 3: Detroit available, I really doubt it. No, So it's they're
• 4:29
  Speaker 3: either gonna chop, honestly, I think at this point, or
• 4:32
  Speaker 3: they're just gonna play. They're both playing New Orleans and somebody. Well,
• 4:36
  Speaker 3: we'll get into more of that tomorrow, all right. So
• 4:38
  Speaker 3: that's the ship a Nation one. This one is the
• 4:43
  Speaker 3: big splash. This one is now down to eighteen and
• 4:49
  Speaker 3: another one with Petar's in it. Very very good for him.
• 4:53
  Speaker 3: Let's see Paradigm. We know from the discords he's doing
• 4:56
  Speaker 3: well here. This is my hero from last week, the
• 4:58
  Speaker 3: plastic dub who plays maid New Orleans and Tennessee, the
• 5:01
  Speaker 3: two big underdogs in week fourteen.
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: He went through with Chicago Jacksonville. Good for him.
• 5:06
  Speaker 3: He's obviously the person I'm rooting for because of this
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  Speaker 3: this amazing play here, and Kay Dubbs has multiple entries
• 5:16
  Speaker 3: going through. So again, basically everybody just kind of just
• 5:21
  Speaker 3: shucked and jibed you know what I mean, just basically
• 5:23
  Speaker 3: drop not even they're just dropping their their best plays
• 5:26
  Speaker 3: at this point. So I can't really go through all this,
• 5:29
  Speaker 3: all these teams and figure out who they should have,
• 5:31
  Speaker 3: but it shouldn't be very difficult. I will say that
• 5:35
  Speaker 3: I imagine that the big play in this and all contests
• 5:40
  Speaker 3: where you have doubles like this, is going to be
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: New Orleans.
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  Speaker 2: I mean, They're going to be just crammed.
• 5:47
  Speaker 3: So I guess that my hero, mister plastic Dub is
• 5:53
  Speaker 3: going to be playing New Orleans' opponent, that being the Jets.
• 6:01
  Speaker 3: And that's probably not the worst idea in the world,
• 6:04
  Speaker 3: but we'll whistle. We'll talk about that tomorrow when we
• 6:06
  Speaker 3: go through all this. But New Orleans is going to
• 6:08
  Speaker 3: be the main leverage point I believe in all of
• 6:11
  Speaker 3: these pools with the doubles, unless you know, obviously people
• 6:16
  Speaker 3: save Buffalo, and some of them did, like one of
• 6:19
  Speaker 3: the guys that's in the Big Circa tournament actually saved
• 6:22
  Speaker 3: Buffalo and he's using them, I mean obviously, and you
• 6:28
  Speaker 3: can look through this and see, for example, may we
• 6:31
  Speaker 3: should wait till tomorrow on this, but now we'll take
• 6:33
  Speaker 3: a look like who has like Buffalo available here?
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: How many?
• 6:40
  Speaker 3: Yeah, nobody? Oh my god. One person has Detroit. That
• 6:45
  Speaker 3: is just the Stone Nuts. So whoever's got Detroit, they're
• 6:50
  Speaker 3: playing them. The Niners. Whoever's got them or playing them?
• 6:56
  Speaker 3: Then probably the four Chiefs are going to play them.
• 6:59
  Speaker 3: Oh I got six Houston's. Oh so that's the other one.
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: I'm sorry.
• 7:03
  Speaker 3: So so the people that have Houston left will end
• 7:06
  Speaker 3: up playing them. Maybe I should go back to that
• 7:08
  Speaker 3: ship and Nation thing just for a second. Well, go
• 7:12
  Speaker 3: back to that one for just a second and go
• 7:14
  Speaker 3: back to where it was this ship in Nation. I
• 7:17
  Speaker 3: want to see if either of these guys have Houston available,
• 7:19
  Speaker 3: because that's going to be the play.
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: I totally forgot that. Oh so Key Tars is Houston.
• 7:24
  Speaker 3: Available, He's going to be playing Houston one.
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: And then who's his other team?
• 7:34
  Speaker 3: I guess New Orleans and Gris Sith is going to
• 7:38
  Speaker 3: play New Orleans and somebody who knows. Okay, Uh, here
• 7:46
  Speaker 3: are two tournaments, all right, So this one is the
• 7:50
  Speaker 3: Extra Bloody, which had required you to play four entries.
• 7:56
  Speaker 2: Four teams started last week and I did not make
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: it through. We played four.
• 8:00
  Speaker 3: But what I wanted to I want to show you
• 8:03
  Speaker 3: what the breakdown was as far as the ownerships, it's
• 8:07
  Speaker 3: a little bit interesting.
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: I just want to see.
• 8:09
  Speaker 3: So teams like the Niners and the Seahawks, they were
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: sixty percent. Like the teams that I played, I thought
• 8:17
  Speaker 3: my players were really good. They ended up losing, but
• 8:21
  Speaker 3: I thought the Giants were really good play. Look, Carolina
• 8:24
  Speaker 3: was a really good player. I thought that's what you
• 8:25
  Speaker 3: were supposed to do or play these guys, but nobody did.
• 8:28
  Speaker 3: Everybody just took the biggest favorites. And so to me,
• 8:33
  Speaker 3: I mean that sets up for again, if you want
• 8:35
  Speaker 3: to play these extra bloody things where you have to
• 8:38
  Speaker 3: play three, four or five teams, you could play it
• 8:41
  Speaker 3: this week or again. It's just good lessons for future
• 8:46
  Speaker 3: tournaments like this. The people really are just jamming the
• 8:50
  Speaker 3: highest favorites in these types of tournaments, and I don't
• 8:53
  Speaker 3: think that's that's correct. All right, let's look at the
• 8:59
  Speaker 3: other one, which was the Now this is the extra
• 9:02
  Speaker 3: bloody that required three.
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: Only three selections. This one's down to eighty nine.
• 9:08
  Speaker 3: I just want to again to see what people tell Again,
• 9:12
  Speaker 3: I mean, it's really just the top rated rated teams.
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: Okay, So.
• 9:18
  Speaker 3: I think that if you want to get ahead of
• 9:19
  Speaker 3: the field on these things. You can be pretty aggressive
• 9:22
  Speaker 3: and really get paid off. And we're going to talk
• 9:24
  Speaker 3: about that. Maybe it doesn't apply as much this time
• 9:27
  Speaker 3: because they're only three weeks left, so it's five and
• 9:30
  Speaker 3: five and five.
• 9:30
  Speaker 2: You want to play that tournament, but I think.
• 9:32
  Speaker 3: It's worth going through these to learn from them.
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: And then there's this tournament which is really interesting.
• 9:40
  Speaker 3: This is the one that I talked about last week,
• 9:44
  Speaker 3: and I am playing this, but this is is a
• 9:47
  Speaker 3: again it's a nice hybrid of single picks, double picks, and.
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: Playoffs.
• 9:57
  Speaker 3: So what this one required us to do is make
• 10:00
  Speaker 3: one pick every week for the rest of the season,
• 10:03
  Speaker 3: and then with one kind of caveat, similar to CIRCA,
• 10:08
  Speaker 3: you had to make. You have to make one pick
• 10:10
  Speaker 3: of the three Christmas Day Christmas games UH, that being Detroit, Minnesota, Washington, Dallas,
• 10:17
  Speaker 3: and now the unfortunate Kansas City against Denver. And then
• 10:21
  Speaker 3: when you get to the playoffs, you have to pick
• 10:23
  Speaker 3: one team in each of the rounds UH Wildcard round,
• 10:27
  Speaker 3: Divisional round, and Championship Round and the Super Bowl. And
• 10:32
  Speaker 3: what that does is it requires you not only to
• 10:35
  Speaker 3: save teams that you think are gonna be a playoffs.
• 10:37
  Speaker 2: But then once you get into the playoffs, you have
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: to make.
• 10:39
  Speaker 3: Sure the brackets work out so you don'd up don't
• 10:42
  Speaker 3: end up getting blocked out of making any picks. So
• 10:45
  Speaker 3: it's a very very difficult contest which we've kind of
• 10:48
  Speaker 3: taken on here. And I advanced with two entries here.
• 10:51
  Speaker 3: I played the Bears in one and I played the
• 10:55
  Speaker 3: Ravens in the other. And we're gonna see how the
• 11:00
  Speaker 3: development to look at the ownership by the way of
• 11:03
  Speaker 3: a tournament like that.
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: Again, we're gonna take a look and that one again.
• 11:10
  Speaker 2: They everybody just took the biggest favorites.
• 11:13
  Speaker 3: I mean, the Bears I knew were gonna be somewhat popular,
• 11:15
  Speaker 3: but I mean, this is kind of crazy.
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: The Jaguars are so useful.
• 11:19
  Speaker 3: In Week eighteen, not to mention that they have a
• 11:23
  Speaker 3: pretty decent seed going into the playoffs. I wouldn't have
• 11:26
  Speaker 3: done this. So I really like my other ideas here.
• 11:30
  Speaker 3: I thought the Bucks were okay. Again, I thought the
• 11:32
  Speaker 3: Giants were a really good play. I thought the Panthers
• 11:34
  Speaker 3: were like almost elite. Actually, I thought the Giants were
• 11:37
  Speaker 3: like an extraordinary good play.
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: It just lost. That's the way it goes. So Anyway, I.
• 11:43
  Speaker 3: Thought Pittsburgh was a good play, all right. The last
• 11:48
  Speaker 3: one that I want to look at, it's got to
• 11:51
  Speaker 3: be somewhere.
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: Let me go back to those where those go. Oh.
• 11:59
  Speaker 3: The other one was this another one kind of like
• 12:03
  Speaker 3: a a what was I gonna say, kind of a
• 12:10
  Speaker 3: hybrid playoff one where last week it had to pick
• 12:13
  Speaker 3: two teams and then you have to take two teams
• 12:18
  Speaker 3: in week sixteen, two teams a week seventeen, two teams
• 12:21
  Speaker 3: a week eighteen, and then two teams in the wildcard
• 12:25
  Speaker 3: round and then one one one can be very difficult
• 12:28
  Speaker 3: to navigate through that. I played Baltimore and Pittsburgh together.
• 12:33
  Speaker 3: They both won, which is good because the good thing
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: is only one of them is gonna make the playoffs, okay,
• 12:40
  Speaker 3: and they're gonna.
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: Be a four seed.
• 12:41
  Speaker 3: So and then I already planning on playing these teams tomorrow.
• 12:45
  Speaker 3: But there's actually one I might consider instead of New
• 12:48
  Speaker 3: Orleans or maybe with Houston, which we'll.
• 12:50
  Speaker 2: Talk about tomorrow. And that's pretty much it. I mean,
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: we we've we are again.
• 13:01
  Speaker 3: This is all a big learning plot process and each
• 13:04
  Speaker 3: week we learn a little more about how people behave
• 13:06
  Speaker 3: because the tool that we have that the predicts ownership.
• 13:09
  Speaker 3: It's not it's not useful right now because that original
• 13:13
  Speaker 3: tool it pulled like the entire survivor industry, and that
• 13:17
  Speaker 3: doesn't exist anymore because pretty much everybody's out, and now
• 13:20
  Speaker 3: you have all of these kind of hybrid you know,
• 13:24
  Speaker 3: esoteric pools which are still paying a fortune. So we're
• 13:28
  Speaker 3: going to continue to pile onto these things and keep
• 13:31
  Speaker 3: walking through these.
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: And the final one, which we're going to.
• 13:34
  Speaker 3: Go over at some point, probably tomorrow again, is this one.
• 13:40
  Speaker 3: This is a college football playoff, the c CFB Playoff Survivor,
• 13:46
  Speaker 3: and the rules on that one it's very simple. Double
• 13:50
  Speaker 3: picks in the first round and in the quarterfinals, and
• 13:58
  Speaker 3: you just have to map this out, only use each
• 14:00
  Speaker 3: team once and you have to get through this entire bracket.
• 14:06
  Speaker 3: Going to be very difficult to do, and we're gonna
• 14:09
  Speaker 3: we're gonna do our best. And then there's another again
• 14:13
  Speaker 3: playoff pool that that if you didn't get in last weeks,
• 14:16
  Speaker 3: you can get into this week's And again this one
• 14:19
  Speaker 3: is going to require doubles, you know, doubles pretty much
• 14:22
  Speaker 3: the first first cup of last three weeks of the season,
• 14:27
  Speaker 3: followed by wildcard round and we're going to attack that tomorrow.
• 14:30
  Speaker 3: So a lot to learn, a lot of money to
• 14:33
  Speaker 3: be made, and we are going to try to get
• 14:37
  Speaker 3: as much of it as possible. That is going to
• 14:41
  Speaker 3: do it, I think, with the exception that against the
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: spread pool thing, which we can talk about also.
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: So there is a lot of stuff to talk about tomorrow.
• 14:47
  Speaker 2: And I hope that all your premium members show up
• 14:50
  Speaker 2: and I will see you. Then good luck everybody.
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: Still Mother and Buns.
• 15:22
  Speaker 4: And still Mother and busts and still still has most
• 15:41
  Speaker 4: and man still mother with b monst and Mons mother
• 15:50
  Speaker 4: and Mons has had a step mother and step.
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: And then
• 16:04
  Speaker 4: Back