Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 12 Gambling Picks, Texans Are Back, Birds Are Real, Unders Make Money

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NFL Week 12 Gambling Picks, Texans Are Back, Birds Are Real, Unders Make Money · Three For The Money

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And they will have college basketball soon, so stay tuned for that.
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All right, now let's get to the show.
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MUSIC
1:04
OK, OK, OK.
1:06
Here we're back with the Reef for the Money new episode.
1:11
This is probably Friday.
1:14
And the second pod of the week.
1:17
Thanksgiving has passed, supposedly.
1:22
And we have won all of our bets from Thursday and later on today.
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Allegedly.
1:32
Allegedly.
1:33
But it is Monday.
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It is Monday while we are speaking right now.
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So some of these lines might be a little bit different by the time the game time is.
1:45
But you know what, we are going to rock with it because time is a precious thing.
1:55
I don't know where I was going with that.
1:57
Beautifully said.
1:59
Yeah, thanks.
2:02
So we're recording these early so we can get them out to the people because we are nothing without the people.
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Nothing.
2:11
But yeah, last week did not go great.
2:15
I think I can speak for all of us did not go great.
2:20
I think I went 2, 2, and 1.
2:25
Yeah, but on the show.
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But I actually got two my bets after the lines have already moved.
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So I ended up taking the Texans minus 6 instead of minus 5.
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And that lost.
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That was one of my losses.
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And then I took the Niners minus 13 and they only won by 13.
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So that was a push.
2:47
So in real life, I'm not doing great.
2:52
But on the show, I'm treading water because I also won my surefire pick.
2:58
Sean, what are you laughing at?
3:01
Just what you said is funny.
3:04
It's like I'm not doing great.
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It's funny.
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On the show, I'm fine.
3:12
But yeah, not doing great.
3:14
Maybe we better be brutal.
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We're all we're all there with you.
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Me and Chris alike are both sitting at maybe even a worse spot than you.
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Well, actually, probably a worse definitely.
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Definitely a worse spot than you.
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A joke.
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I'm trying to make light of the situation, but yeah.
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I guess I'll go.
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You'll do.
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Yeah, I guess I'll go into mine.
3:46
I actually went seven and seven somehow.
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Do you win your surefire?
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Well, my surefire was 49ers minus 11 and a half is what I got it at.
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And that's what I gave it out.
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And it won.
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Because the Niners won by 13.
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And unfortunately that line moved up to 13 and a half.
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So I hope you all got it when I did.
4:23
So that was I'm kind of up on the week, I suppose.
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But yeah, I lost by a hook on a couple of them, which it just it just brought me down
4:40
a lot this this week has brought me down.
4:43
Chris Spillett.
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I was terrible.
4:49
By far my worst NFL week of the year went three and seven.
4:55
So the chiefs must two and a half going right now.
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They are currently tied.
5:00
So I actually I don't really even I would like to have it.
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I don't need it.
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Like I'll go from three and seven to four and seven whooped the frickin do.
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But my surefire hit, which that was nice.
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One by the hook shout out Josh Dobbs, even though he played pretty poorly.
5:20
But good teams win great teams cover.
5:22
I just want to say this right now college basketball has been kicking me in the dick.
5:29
I've been so bad.
5:32
That's all I can think like I came over tonight and I was I was watching the Florida State
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game and it didn't my bet ended up winning.
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But I was sitting on the couch like I don't even care.
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Like what's the point?
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And now like that one and knock on wood games are keeping up with now.
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Most of them look all right.
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So maybe we'll turn the corner.
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Maybe not.
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Who knows.
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Can't take it with you.
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But yeah, you.
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Three and seven.
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That's how I'm doing.
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You came into the crib and you were like you're pretty quiet.
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So sad.
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You were I didn't really, you know, I asked what was going on.
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Like, you know, like a good friend does.
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But we were watching the Florida State game and about like a minute and a half left in
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the game.
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And then I was like, woohoo, that's the over.
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I'm one in four today.
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And I was like, oh, I get it.
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You know, you know, it's a good day when you win your first bet at 6 p.m.
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Even on Monday, even gambling since noon.
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Yeah.
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Yeah.
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Yeah.
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Yeah.
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I mean, that's the way it goes.
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It happens, but it does happen enough enough for this.
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I'm tired of this.
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All right.
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Shaking it off.
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Tired of this nonsense.
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Let's get into this.
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We're going to get some winners.
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Okay.
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It is week 12.
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Yep.
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Yeah.
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Unfortunately, Jesus, the time is the other.
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It's going by so fast.
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Shit, man.
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First game is the Jags at the Texans.
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The Texans are home dogs by a point and a half.
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Texans.
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It seems that CJ Stroud is in fact a human and had a bad half but was able to win the
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game last week.
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What?
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Jags.
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What?
7:49
What?
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What a bad first half.
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What a second half.
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Okay.
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I was going to say he had a great first half.
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Oh, yeah.
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Second half.
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I mean, yeah.
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Sorry.
8:01
Well, are you saying he had a bad first half or a bad second half?
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A bad first half because that's what I heard.
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No.
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No.
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He had a bad second half.
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Yes.
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They didn't.
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I don't think they scored in the second half.
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Actually, I know they didn't score because out of the over, they had like 30 points at
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the half and they didn't score the rest of the game.
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He had a fantastic first half.
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Yeah.
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Second half, he was not good.
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But yeah, first half, he was slinging it.
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All right.
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Whatever.
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Jags beat the shit out of the Titans.
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It's not really something to take home to but, you know, I guess divisional matchup.
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I guess you got to win those.
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Chris, what do you think?
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I'm going to take Texans straight up.
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I think they're better than Jacksonville, honestly.
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Like, yeah, Jacksonville whipped up on the Titans.
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Woohoo.
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So does like everyone who isn't the Falcons.
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That doesn't matter.
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The Jags have crumbled against every good team they've played this year.
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Little bit of a different scenario here because the Texans haven't really played.
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I guess, I mean, they played a couple of good teams, but the Texans just on fire right
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now.
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So I'm going to run off the hot hand.
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I'm almost CJ Straut potential, probably won't a potential MVP winner.
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Yeah.
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Texans money line.
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Let's ride.
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Sean, what do you got?
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I'm also going to take the Texans straight up.
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You can make an argument here that the Texans are the better team.
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They you can make an argument that they in fact are the better team here.
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The Jags last week were in week one form.
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Beat the shit out of the Titans, but they're terrible as a Titans fan.
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They're terrible.
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And CJ Straut is all but locked in as offensive rookie of the year.
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Yeah.
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And you know what?
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This may be the most important game in the NFL this week, standings wise.
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Since the Texans went into Jacksonville earlier this season and beat the shit out of the Jags
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on their own turf, they're only one game behind.
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So if they win this game, they're in first place to the AFC South and as a Titans fan,
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it pains me to say this.
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It pains me to say this, but if Titans can't win the South, I'd rather the Texans than
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the Jags lesser of two evils.
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It's fun to see a kid, you know, just kind of rise up through the ranks.
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But yeah, I am rooting for the Texans this weekend.
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Texans money line.
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Well, what you got?
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I also agree with Texans money line.
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Let's go.
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I mean, the Texans can definitely win this division.
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It's not, you know, I don't think it's too far fresh to say now, obviously, but yeah,
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this game would be the type breaker.
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And it's definitely, definitely can, can turn the tides and what's up?
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Oh, no, continue making your point.
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And I'll, I just have a question to ask.
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You're just about to say.
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Yeah, that's all I got.
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What is it, Chris?
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Oh, correct.
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Like, I may be out of the loop here.
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I might be missing something.
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Would this not pretty much seal the division for the Texans?
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Like I know they haven't played the Titans yet, but that will be to win.
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They will sweat if they win this game, they will have swept the Jags.
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I don't know.
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I don't really know what they're who they've already played in terms of division wise.
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I know they haven't played the Titans, but which they'll probably put the SIPP being
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honest.
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But like, I feel like a lot of people are like, Oh, well, the Texans could win the
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division if they won this game.
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I'm like, shouldn't they be kind of a lock if they win this?
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Um, I see what you're saying.
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I see what you're saying.
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I see what you're saying.
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I mean, I don't it's between the closer between it's between the Texans and the Jags.
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That's fact.
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But if they sweep, if they win this game and sweep the Jags, wouldn't that just be
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right?
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Or like almost to guarantee you that they have the unless they just crumble.
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Right.
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So it I so it's week 12.
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There's six more weeks after this.
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There's there's nobody's going to clinch a playoff spot in week 12.
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Well, I know they won't.
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I get what you're saying, but there's still like mathematically, there's still a probability
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of the Tex the Jags winning the day.
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I guess, but no, I, I completely agree with you.
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Like I think if the Texans win this game, it is almost a 99% chance that they will win
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the FC stuff.
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Okay.
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I mean, yeah, because I've just on ESPN and every other place they've just been saying
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well, the Texans, if they win this game, they they have a shot at winning division.
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I'm like, you got to put a little bit more respect on them than that.
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Like they'll have more than just a shot.
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I feel like they'd have damn near almost a guarantee because it's the NFL.
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But I mean, you're two and O against your only real competition.
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I feel like you should have it pretty much on lock.
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Right.
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So the Jags are three and one in their division and the Texans are only one in one.
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So they've only played the Colts and the Jags.
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They lost to the Colts.
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Oh my, I forgot about that.
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So that is going to hurt them a little bit.
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Also you have to look at conference, AFC matchups, you know, Jags are five and two, Texans are
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three and two.
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So it is possible that the Jags can overcome like a divisional standing, a divisional record
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and a conference record at the same time.
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And that would secure their one or that would secure their divisional championship, I guess.
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So I do agree that like, I think it if they win this game, it's over.
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It is.
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Yeah.
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Cool.
14:52
Okay.
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Next game.
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Another divisional matchup.
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Chiefs Raiders.
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Raiders home dogs by nine and a half.
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Hmm.
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Interesting.
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What do you think, Sean?
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Well, I'm going to take a little play out of your Willie Unders playbook here with a
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little interesting stat.
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The under interesting stats.
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The under in Raiders home games this season is five and oh, the under in chiefs away games
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are three and one, the one being Sunday night football against the Jets and only going over
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by two.
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That being said, it is very easy for me to take this under.
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I'm probably not even going to watch this game if I'm being honest.
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So this is a perfect spot.
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Thread under.
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I'm not going to watch it and the stats back it up under 44.
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Lock it in.
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Will, what do you think?
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I didn't know those stats.
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And I might add that.
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But for now, I just have the Raiders plus nine and a half here.
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I think that's I mean, divisional matchup.
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I mean, chiefs when they're favored by more than like three is not a very good record against
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the spread.
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I know the Raiders don't really have a good roster, but I mean, Antonio Pierce has got
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these boys playing.
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They they held the dolphins to only like 20 points.
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And I know that's not, you know, a world beating shit, but dolphins put up 70 on on the Broncos
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and the Broncos are pretty good right now.
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I don't know what's going on in Denver, but but yeah, I'm rolling with nine and a half
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here.
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Antonio Pierce is going to have the boys playing Chris.
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I agree with you, Raiders plus nine and a half.
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Antonio Pierce, I feel like last week, especially, I know they lost, but they put up a hell of
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a fight against a much more talented dolphins team.
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Antonio Pierce should be a head coach in this league.
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He should be a head coach for the Las Vegas Raiders.
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They probably won't make him the head coach next year because Mark Davis is an idiot,
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but he's still the head coach now.
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So Raiders plus nine and a half.
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Chrissy Stats is back courtesy of the Trend Center app since 2020 home dogs of more than
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three and a half are 121 95 and five against the spread.
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If you bet $100 on every one of those, you are up about almost $1,700 last 10, 8, 1 and
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1.
18:00
So what are we doing?
18:01
Raiders plus nine and a half.
18:02
Like you said, well, chiefs are not really good against, let me phrase that, they're
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not good at covering these big numbers.
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They tend to kind of play with their food a little bit.
18:15
The Raiders can hang around in this game and they're playing lights out lately.
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Well, ain't no conalism, but the rest of the team is.
18:24
I like the Raiders to mess around and keep this one close.
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So Raiders plus nine and a half.
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Hell, I'm my double dip.
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If it's that low, like if it's that low, then that usually favors the dog, especially when
18:44
the spread is that big.
18:46
Yeah.
18:47
Well, the total is 44.
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I don't think that's low.
18:50
I guess that's not that low.
18:52
When you bet the under, it usually.
18:54
Yeah, yeah, yeah.
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Spread is nine and a half.
18:57
No, for sure.
18:59
Yeah, I might double dip into this one.
19:02
Go for it.
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Go get a little naughty.
19:04
All right.
19:05
What's that under Sean?
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44.
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I'll double dip.
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There we go.
19:15
I'll add that under.
19:18
Okay.
19:19
Well, next game, Bill's Eagles should be good.
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However, the bills looking pretty mid this year.
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We'll see what the Eagles look like at the other half of this Monday night football game.
19:35
So what's that score?
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Still seven all with about a second quarter just started about 12 minutes left in the second
19:43
quarter.
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Okay.
19:45
Okay.
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Eagles are home favorites by three and a half.
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As of right now, this line will probably change depending on how this game goes.
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Chris, what do you think?
20:03
This line makes no sense to me.
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The Eagles are far and away.
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The superior team.
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I don't get why it's only three and a half.
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I get as of now, the Eagles are still playing a football game.
20:16
So I guess like once it ends, the line will probably adjust.
20:21
I'm not sold on the bills.
20:23
Congratulations.
20:24
You beat the shit out of the Jets.
20:28
Cool.
20:32
The Eagles are far superior.
20:35
I still just have no faith in the Buffalo Bills to really string together multiple like
20:42
confidence boosting.
20:47
Statement wins.
20:48
Thank you.
20:49
I was looking for the word.
20:51
So yeah, I'm going to take Eagles minus three and a half.
20:54
I feel like that's suspiciously easy.
20:56
It's making me a little nervous how much I love it.
20:59
But yeah, we're going to rock with it.
21:01
So Eagles minus three and a half.
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Will, what do you want?
21:05
I am on the same Christopher.
21:07
Let's go.
21:10
Just this, I mean, same reasoning.
21:12
Like, I mean, obviously, like I said, this line is probably going to change by the time
21:17
that, you know, this game is over.
21:21
But I mean, as of right now, four points against the Bills.
21:27
Like the Bills can't put it together.
21:29
I don't know.
21:30
I don't know what's up with them.
21:32
But the Eagles minus three and a half.
21:35
Sean, what do you think?
21:38
Well, boys, we are in a grance once again.
21:43
Eagles minus three and a half.
21:45
This is so like, I mean, I'm scared because we're recording this at the time of Monday
21:53
night football.
21:55
So I'm scared of what this line will be after this game.
22:00
Hopefully it doesn't change too much in the Chiefs win by three.
22:05
Hopefully.
22:06
That would be phenomenal.
22:07
That would be phenomenal.
22:10
But the Bills just faced the Jets yesterday at the time of recording and it made you
22:17
think, was it Ken Dorsey?
22:21
Or do the Jets just fucking suck?
22:25
Yes.
22:26
The Jets just fucking suck.
22:31
You know who doesn't suck?
22:34
The Eagles.
22:35
The Eagles.
22:38
Billy's defense is top notch and Josh Allen is addicted to throw in the ball to the other
22:47
team with a league leading 12 interceptions.
22:55
That's almost one for every week.
22:57
Yeah.
22:58
I think that's a going into week 12.
23:01
Yeah.
23:02
It's more than it's a surplus.
23:04
Yeah.
23:05
Yeah, almost.
23:08
This showdown last year would have had my head in a Retzl.
23:14
But this one is, this one's easy.
23:16
It's Eagles minus three and a half.
23:21
What would you, like what would be the number where you would like, okay, I'm not taking
23:26
the Eagles anymore?
23:27
Like what would it have to get up to?
23:30
I think it'd be, I think seven and a half would be a bit much.
23:37
More than a touchdown would be, yeah, let's, let's pump the brakes.
23:42
This doesn't make any sense.
23:45
I was thinking, oh God, what?
23:49
What if it was like six?
23:51
I would lay, I would lay a touchdown.
23:55
I would lay a touchdown, but I wouldn't lay more than a touchdown.
23:58
If it was seven and a half, I'd be like, perhaps not.
24:01
So you still take six?
24:03
I would probably take six.
24:07
Six would probably be like my line is like, if it gets to six and a half, I wouldn't take
24:13
it, but six I would take it.
24:15
Okay.
24:16
See you later, Deuce.
24:18
I just like, that's, the bills aren't, I mean, they're not playing well, but they're
24:22
not like awful.
24:23
Well, like, I mean, I know we just kind of ran them down, but they're not the worst team
24:30
in the world.
24:31
Right.
24:32
And six and a half, like that's a lot of points.
24:34
I would play six.
24:35
That would be my like, okay, even then I wouldn't love it, but I'd still, I play it.
24:41
Well, to me, um, six and six and a half, there is a difference.
24:47
But to me, there's as a, as a winner mentality, there's not much of a difference because you're
24:56
either going to, you're either going to cover and push, which is not a loss, but not a win,
25:03
or you're just going to lose or win.
25:07
So I'd rather lay this six and a half than the six.
25:12
It's just the way my brain works, but I get it.
25:15
I get it.
25:16
I'm not in this business to push.
25:17
So if it gets, I'll probably bet it as soon as we're done recording just to get a little
25:21
insurance.
25:22
It's, it's already been that if it got up to six and a half, I bet it.
25:28
Screw it.
25:29
Why not?
25:30
Probably not the best philosophy, but responsibly, response.
25:35
My home, my home's just doing an interception in the end zone.
25:39
So that's fantastic.
25:40
Okay.
25:41
Okay.
25:42
Well, all right.
25:43
Well, next game, uh, Sunday night football Ravens Chargers Chargers or home dogs by four.
25:51
This game kind of had my brain in a pretzel, but I'll see if I can talk this through.
25:57
Maybe you'll guys just think I'm an idiot, but, uh, I'm, I'm thinking Chargers here.
26:04
It's, it's stinky.
26:07
It's stinky.
26:08
I know it stinks.
26:09
I know it's like, Oh, well, why would you do that?
26:13
You're going to lose.
26:14
I don't know.
26:15
All of these games that the Chargers lose are under a possession.
26:21
Like they're, they're like the, the reverse Vikings last year.
26:27
Like the Vikings kept winning these one score games and that's what made them frauds.
26:30
Uh, but the Chargers are losing these one score games.
26:34
Yeah.
26:35
Oh wait, they're, they're in these one score games, but they're all losses.
26:42
And so I see four and I'm like, I see value there and Chargers, you know, they can't
26:49
stop shit, but I don't know.
26:54
I just see four and I'm like, I feel like the Chargers can keep up enough to cover
27:00
four.
27:01
I don't know.
27:02
Am I crazy?
27:03
Am I taking crazy pills?
27:05
John?
27:07
Um, well, let's, let's talk this out because I'd love to talk this out.
27:15
Um, I've, uh, Ravens are one of the two teams this week that has like a decent week of rest.
27:23
They've got 10 days after playing Thursday night football last week.
27:30
Um, now they just lost Mark Andrews for the season.
27:35
Oh yeah.
27:36
I forgot about that.
27:39
Yeah.
27:40
Um, sorry, I had the thing come up.
27:44
Yeah.
27:45
And I want to say that this break could benefit them after losing Andrews.
27:56
They have a week of time to readjust and to get right.
28:03
This team is eight and two.
28:05
Ravens are eight and two.
28:07
They're a good team.
28:08
I think, am I wrong?
28:11
I think you're correct.
28:12
No, they're, they're eight and three.
28:14
Excuse me.
28:15
Um, but, you know, the chargers just struggle so much against top defenses and the Ravens
28:26
definitely have a top defense.
28:27
Their defense is really good.
28:32
And I don't think the under would be a bad play here.
28:37
It's 47, a bit high.
28:40
It is a prime time game.
28:41
It is a prime time game.
28:43
Um, yeah, it's a little bit under, you know, but also at the same time as we move closer
28:53
to the end of the season, as I mentioned with the Texans, Jags game, um, you have to be,
28:59
you have to consider these matchups across the league.
29:03
Um, and their current standings, Ravens are eight and three rounds or seven and three
29:09
with just one game behind them, uh, while being tied in division and conference records.
29:18
Um, I kind of like the Ravens minus four here.
29:26
Just because they need to like win out big on Sunday night football after, you know,
29:33
winning such an injury and losing such a valuable player, um, to me, I'm calling, I'm kind of
29:40
going back and forth between the under and the Ravens minus four.
29:44
Um, but I would love to hear what Chris had to say.
29:47
Well, I have Ravens minus four written down, but the more will was talking, I was like,
29:56
the chargers, yeah, it's like, I could see them losing this game by a field goal.
30:01
But that feels like I'm getting a little too cute.
30:06
So I'm going to take Ravens minus four just because I feel like banking on the chargers
30:11
because I think the Ravens are going to win this game.
30:13
So I feel like banking on the chargers to lose by field goal or less, I guess is getting
30:18
a little, getting a little too cute.
30:21
So I'll take Ravens minus four if they went by three, you know what?
30:27
My tip of the cap to you chargers, you know, you've done me dirty.
30:30
So I get what you guys are saying.
30:32
This is a, I thought this was going to be easy.
30:35
Honestly, when I wrote down Ravens minus four, I was like, Oh, they're far and away better.
30:39
But there's the more y'all were talking.
30:42
No, I mean, I was, I was going, I was going through the research today and I was like,
30:48
I don't know, like this, this isn't really going to be as simple as this line says it
30:55
is.
30:56
I think I will.
30:57
Where is this memory?
30:59
I think it's in LA, in Los Angeles.
31:02
Hate that.
31:03
Okay.
31:04
I'm just going to say Ravens minus four.
31:06
Just don't overthink it.
31:07
Yeah.
31:08
I'm going to do the same.
31:09
I'm going to get two in my own head here.
31:11
So Ravens minus four.
31:13
I'm probably going to double dip and also take the under.
31:16
I will also be taking the under.
31:18
Yep.
31:19
There it is.
31:20
I'm just going to continue.
31:21
I'm just going to consider that a win.
31:22
You know what?
31:24
I need some easy ones this week.
31:26
So yeah, under.
31:27
Oh, we, are we both double dip?
31:29
I need some wins, man.
31:30
I don't care if it's low hanging fruit.
31:32
I need some fucking wins.
31:34
Three and seven.
31:36
Yeah.
31:37
Yeah.
31:38
So yeah, Ravens minus four in the under.
31:42
Okay.
31:43
Now that our main slate is done, we're going to go into our surefire double unit plays.
31:49
My surefire double unit play of the week is the stillers at the bangles in Cincinnati.
31:56
Under 35 and a hundred 34 and a half.
31:59
Excuse me.
32:00
The Steelers.
32:01
It is impossible for them to put up any sort of points.
32:04
It is like pulling teeth with them over the bangles.
32:08
Joe Burrow, he's out for the season.
32:11
They cannot put up points.
32:13
I don't even know who's starting for them on Sunday.
32:17
I don't even care.
32:19
Bangles defense is better than the Bangles.
32:22
Bangles defense is better than it was last year, I guess.
32:26
But that's not really what I'm worried about.
32:29
So far, so much as the defense is stopping them as much as the offense is putting up points.
32:33
So that is my reasoning for under 34 and a half.
32:38
I should have looked up on trend center.
32:41
If there was any trends about AFC North unders.
32:45
But I didn't, but I'm pretty sure there is somewhere.
32:53
I don't know.
32:54
But that's what we're rocking with.
32:56
That is my double unit surefire play of the week.
32:59
Chris, what is your double unit surefire play of the week?
33:04
I am so glad you asked.
33:06
Well, and I'm also going to join you on taking it out on the show.
33:10
I'm so glad you asked. Well, and I'm also going to join you on taking it under this game stinks to high hell.
33:20
That is the Browns and the Broncos under 35 and a half.
33:26
The Browns have like one of the best defenses I've ever seen.
33:31
They're incredible.
33:33
And their offense.
33:35
I mean, I know they got a kid back there slinging it, but I mean, they're not very.
33:39
He's not very good.
33:40
Their offense can't move the ball Broncos.
33:42
The events has been much better as of late.
33:45
This is a game I look at.
33:47
It's like I don't see more than five touchdowns being scored.
33:51
So under 35 and a half.
33:53
It's that simple.
33:55
Let's cash yet another surefire bet.
33:59
And yeah, let's go.
34:01
Sean, what do you got?
34:03
Well, touched on it a little bit in the show.
34:08
But it's Eagles minus three and a half.
34:11
Listen, I am so confident in this game.
34:17
This might not even be a double unit play.
34:21
This might be a triple unit play for myself.
34:26
Oh, the first triple unit of the year we had.
34:28
We had a couple last year.
34:31
Um, but God, I this line makes no sense to me.
34:39
And did you know that when the Eagles are favored by three and a half points,
34:46
they are undefeated against the spread?
34:51
No, I didn't know that.
34:52
Well, they are.
34:54
Now you do.
34:55
Oh, interest.
34:57
And guess what? They're about to add another W to that column.
35:02
Is God, I love this line.
35:06
I love this.
35:07
No, this is a trip.
35:09
All right.
35:10
The trip.
35:11
I love this line.
35:14
I love this line.
35:16
And God, I hope this line doesn't move by the time this episode is released.
35:21
I pray to God that the chiefs win by three so that this line stays the same.
35:29
Because this is the, it's just the best line of the week.
35:36
It has to be.
35:38
There's no other reasoning behind it.
35:40
I went into it on the show.
35:42
I really don't have any more else to say.
35:45
I gave you that interesting stat.
35:47
Lock it in.
35:49
While you can.
35:52
Oh, and if it does, if it does go up, down, sideways, whatever.
35:59
See if, see if your book can get a boost, boost it, trip unit on it, parlay it with
36:06
something else you're confident with.
36:08
Just make sure it is in your best slip.
36:11
That's all I'm asking.
36:13
All I'm asking because this is going to win.
36:18
You want to play.
36:20
All right.
36:22
Well, that's our fire picks.
36:24
What you might be interested to know Sean.
36:27
Can see chiefs just scored a touchdown.
36:30
So it is 14 seven was about a minute left in the half.
36:34
Oh, was it Kelsey?
36:36
Yes, it was.
36:38
Let's go.
36:40
Let's go all day.
36:42
Okay.
36:44
I am playing will in fantasy football this week.
36:50
And we'll see.
36:55
We'll see.
36:57
I just bet on the score.
36:59
We'll see what happens.
37:01
I didn't want to bet on his only player left to score.
37:06
So that's fair.
37:08
I guess I guess I get that.
37:10
Yep.
37:12
Well, that's our surefire picks.
37:14
Let's go into the rest of our cards.
37:18
Sean, you just got.
37:20
I would like to start off.
37:21
Okay, well, Sean, you know, I would like to start off.
37:23
All right.
37:24
Because I think this, the stat that I have.
37:28
Benefits both of your surefire picks.
37:31
All right.
37:33
So you had.
37:35
Unders of less than 37.
37:40
Correct.
37:42
Correct.
37:44
Yes.
37:46
Did you know that totals of 37 or less are 19, four and one since
37:53
2020?
37:55
No, I didn't know that.
37:57
I didn't.
37:58
Let's go.
37:59
Did you know, did you know that there are four games this week
38:03
that have.
38:05
Those exact circumstances.
38:07
No.
38:09
I'm going to take all of them except for one, which I'll get into
38:13
in a sec.
38:15
Steelers, Bengals under 34 and a half.
38:18
Browns Broncos under 35 and a half.
38:21
And Patriots Giants under 33 and a half.
38:24
The only one that I'm not taking is Panthers Titans over 37.
38:29
It hits it right at the threshold.
38:32
And me and the boys are going to be boots on the ground for that
38:34
game.
38:35
And I can't bet it under when I'm boots on the ground over 37.
38:38
But the Titans Panthers.
38:40
And the last play I have.
38:43
Saints money line against the Falcons.
38:46
What are we doing?
38:48
Falcons.
38:50
Stank.
38:51
Stank.
38:53
They stank.
38:54
They're bad.
38:55
They're bad.
38:57
Oh, I know.
38:59
Saints are what they're, I think they're five and five.
39:02
Something like that.
39:04
Yes.
39:05
I think they're both, aren't they both?
39:08
I don't know.
39:11
I thought they were.
39:13
See, hold on.
39:15
I know the Falcons were on the by last week.
39:18
Closed out.
39:22
I don't know.
39:26
No, Falcons are four and six.
39:28
So they're a little worse.
39:31
Saints are currently leading.
39:34
They're leading this division.
39:37
Because this division stinks.
39:40
I, I saw a stat.
39:43
I didn't write it down because I didn't think it was really that
39:46
important, but it was heavily in favor of the Saints.
39:51
Saints own the Falcons.
39:53
Just plain and simple.
39:55
If you can get this at plus money, take it because they're going
39:59
to win.
40:00
They're going to win this game.
40:02
Saints money line.
40:03
And that's the card.
40:05
Will.
40:07
Go on.
40:08
Okay.
40:09
The rest of my card, I only have two more plays.
40:12
They are both unders actually.
40:15
I have the under in the Browns Broncos.
40:19
Right in Christmas pick.
40:21
And then to go along with Sean's.
40:26
Saints pick.
40:28
Yes, the Falcons stink.
40:31
But also the Saints stink.
40:34
I will be taking under 42 and a half in this game.
40:40
I don't know why, but whenever I think of a game that the Saints
40:45
are in, that's a division game.
40:48
It's it goes under.
40:50
Maybe that's just because the past two years that they've played
40:53
the Bucks.
40:55
It's, it's always like two to three.
40:58
Two to three.
41:01
Something just or.
41:08
Or maybe it's because both of these teams fucking stink.
41:11
Yeah.
41:12
But I will be taking the under 42 is.
41:15
Way too high.
41:17
So I'll be taking that under and that's my card Chris.
41:20
What is the rest of your card?
41:22
All right, we will start off with an easy one.
41:26
And the capaz sead at half a table.
41:28
You know the hosted posts.
41:30
Like an okay dog.
41:32
Man, they point out minus three and a half against the bears.
41:36
Joshua dobs. I know they didn't win this week.
41:38
Still undefeated against a spread as a Viking.
41:41
And the bear stink. So minus three and a half, easy peasy.
41:43
I don't believe in the Cults whatsoever.
41:43
Bucking nears.
41:45
Plus two.
41:45
I don't think I know the Bucks are also very mid,
41:47
Or yeah, two and a half. Excuse me against the Indian!
41:48
but.
41:49
very mid but I back the let me back the bake show one time let's go back into form um I just
41:58
I don't trust the cults whatsoever to win against anyone um I did not know that stat that you had
42:04
Sean so um I will also I will be taking I already have one of those unders I'll be taking the other
42:11
two because like you said we're boots on the ground like for Titans and I'm not betting
42:16
an under at a game I'm going to so what is it it's past giants under 33 and a half and what was
42:22
the other one the stillers 30 what was it was it also 33 and a half 34 34 love it even better
42:31
love it even more and then close it out Saints Moneyline there we go you guys
42:39
David Carr at least as of this morning or Derek Martin David Carr was his brother
42:46
yes he's not dead
42:51
Derek Carr is in concussion protocol still
42:55
you know that means it's James time some hill might be James time
43:00
I mean Jim is an actual quarterback yeah that's true so what are we talking about
43:11
I'm sorry I'm sorry it's Taysom Hill not a quarterback when he said he's a five foot nine
43:20
tight end oh he's a five foot nine quarterback so is Bryce young yeah look how that's going
43:28
yeah um no I agree the under is probably the smart play but if if James plays I cannot
43:39
bet that under because you don't know what the hell is gonna happen
43:43
he could throw five touchdowns or five pick sixes or both he's he's nothing but consistent
43:50
yeah yeah nothing but consistent you don't know what the hell is gonna happen
44:00
okay I'm just saying five for five five touchdowns five interceptions
44:04
consistency okay I get what you're saying yeah uh yeah see how many guys are in the 30 the 30 30 club
44:12
30 touchdowns 30 picks in one season I think it's just him I hope he was the founding father of that
44:18
I think it's just him I pray to god I'll look that up after this but yeah saints money line
44:25
and that's the card we need we need a bounce back week I need it bad everything is going poorly
44:34
right now you know I also need a bounce back week um I put my heart and soul into these picks
44:45
I did extensive research it is Thanksgiving week um I'm obviously not super busy with work at the
44:57
moment so this is what I chose to do with my time at work um and god I hope it pays off
45:08
but I feel very confident in this week the Thanksgiving picks that we gave out I feel
45:14
very confident in all three of our picks every single one of them and you know again for a
45:22
second straight week we are not going really against each other yeah except for the chargers
45:31
I have the chargers y'all have the Ravens oh you took the chargers yeah I'm gonna take the chargers
45:36
oh you I don't think you really said that I'm taking the charge did you I'm taking the charge
45:44
right now all right well you were like convince me otherwise and then we we did and then you just
45:56
come out and then you're like oh I'm taking the chargers convince me otherwise okay well here's
46:01
why you should take the ravens nah chargers well no I gave you my reasons to for what I'm taking
46:10
the chargers and I was like am I taking crazy pills for thinking this and y'all were like I'm doing
46:15
this I said well I didn't say anything um yeah you didn't that's what I mean like you didn't say
46:22
anything I didn't say anything uh then what are we talking about but I'm taking the chargers
46:30
are you also taking that under for sure okay then well then then we're fine yeah that's it
46:38
that's I'm counting that as a win already yeah that's that's that's fine yeah we're good and
46:44
I'm rolling the dice for the chargers last Chris and I will win and then all three of us will win on
46:49
the under it's all good let's go okay we'll see I know last week we also didn't really go against
46:58
each other but y'all did like all right and I was terrible I need to go back and check the tape what
47:07
the hell happened it's like we didn't go we didn't yeah is we didn't go against each other I hit less
47:15
than Sean now it's a competition yeah I'm just saying it's it's it's weird it's like how we didn't
47:25
go against each other but I still managed to thread that needle and just torpedo myself
47:34
check the tape if you want to that's why I gotta go back no I burnt the tape from last week just
47:39
badly yeah we gotta bury we take it off yeah we we burnt it already um we're already on to week
47:46
12 even though week 11 is still actively going on as we speak pretty crazy yeah so
47:56
time works it's like we're in the future yeah it's crazy um okay well I'm gonna wrap it up
48:07
all right thank you so much for listening and watching uh we we really really appreciate it
48:12
um check out the trend center app on the app store and also the link in our bio uh once you sign up
48:18
you get a free two-week free trial on the premium version um it's super great for all your betting
48:25
research it's amazing um help me triple my bankroll over the summer betting on baseball uh should
48:31
have college basketball soon um but we are still waiting for that um yeah link is in the bio uh
48:39
also follow us on everything links in the bio um I'm not sure if bandit will have a pick
48:47
this week just because Thursday night football is so different um but we'll see yeah well we we
48:52
talked about the the prime game which is usually Thursday night football um I don't really see him
49:00
having a pick this week unless he picks some dog shit team like some dog shit match it yeah
49:12
this bandit likes dogs and shit he does like shit yeah okay well I'm gonna wrap it up thank you so
49:23
much for listening watching like comment subscribe um hey what trying to get your attention I got another
49:30
you mentioned the trend center app it reminded me of a juicy little nugget that I took advantage of
49:37
on Sunday night football um the Broncos since acquiring Russell Wilson when they're favored
49:43
are now one and 12 against the spread they're minus two and a half against the Browns so
49:49
I'm going back I'm I'm double dipping I'm obviously keeping my Browns Broncos under a surefire but I'm
49:55
adding Browns plus two and a half I'm adding it yep adding it okay mission trend center and I was
50:03
like oh I took one of their bets literally like 12 hours ago or 24 hours do we do we lay the points
50:10
or do we lay the line I'm taking two and a half just because last night I was the brand yeah okay
50:17
and I lay the two and a half just to be just to be careful and it worked out well let's let's talk
50:24
about this for a second um I know we're trying to get out of here but so Browncos are the hottest team
50:30
in NFL weirdly enough actually one four straight one one four straight Browns have won three in a row
50:40
hot matchup this is probably the second most important game in terms of like playoff
50:50
standings and stuff like that yeah um especially with the AFC um yeah it's wide open it fucking sucks
50:59
uh god man yeah we should prepare for this um I you know what I'll just I'll just lay the
51:12
points on the Browns I'm taking yeah two and a half stick with the system two and a half yeah
51:17
stick with the system love it okay so I just had to throw that in there it's okay no I love it
51:26
but it was important by our the great folks at trend center folks yes um okay cool uh
51:35
uh I already said all the shit I needed to say uh all right there's three of us now let's make some fun
52:05
uh