Latest / Uncensored Objection / [Podcast Episode] The Crime Myth: Why Immigrants Are Not to Blame for Crime in America
Transcript
- 0:00SPEAKER_00: Welcome to the deep dive.
- 0:01SPEAKER_00: You're here because,
- 0:03SPEAKER_00: well,
- 0:04SPEAKER_00: you want to get past the headlines,
- 0:05SPEAKER_00: understand what's really going on.
- 0:07SPEAKER_00: And that's what we try to do.
- 0:08SPEAKER_01: Exactly.
- 0:09Today,
- 0:09we're digging into a piece from attorney Mitch Jackson's
- 0:12uncensored objection substack.
- 0:14SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 0:14SPEAKER_00: And he's tackling a topic that's,
- 0:16SPEAKER_00: let's just say,
- 0:17SPEAKER_00: very much in the conversation right now,
- 0:19SPEAKER_00: especially with President Trump in office,
- 0:21SPEAKER_00: immigration and crime in America.
- 0:23SPEAKER_01: Yeah, and this isn't just opinion.
- 0:24SPEAKER_01: The article pulls together data from a whole range of sources,
- 0:28SPEAKER_01: FBI,
- 0:28SPEAKER_01: ICE,
- 0:29SPEAKER_01: Cato Institute,
- 0:30SPEAKER_01: American Immigration Council,
- 0:32SPEAKER_01: Reuters,
- 0:34SPEAKER_01: quite a few.
- 0:34SPEAKER_00: I'd really get at the core question right.
- 0:36SPEAKER_00: Looking back over, say, the last 20 years,
- 0:39SPEAKER_00: Who is actually committing crimes in the U.S.?
- 0:42SPEAKER_00: What's the data really show?
- 0:44SPEAKER_01: That's the mission.
- 0:44We want to see what the numbers say about native-born citizens
- 0:48compared to
- 0:49undocumented immigrants and documented immigrants across
- 0:52different types of crime.
- 0:53SPEAKER_00: Okay, so we'll look at the big picture overall crime, then zoom in a bit.
- 0:56Violent crime,
- 0:58property crime,
- 0:58drug stuff,
- 0:59even homicide,
- 1:01and incarceration rates,
- 1:02too.
- 1:02SPEAKER_01: Comparing those three groups across the board.
- 1:05SPEAKER_00: Let's start big then.
- 1:06SPEAKER_00: Total crime in America.
- 1:07SPEAKER_00: There's definitely a common narrative out there.
- 1:09SPEAKER_01: Oh, absolutely.
- 1:10SPEAKER_01: The idea that immigrants drive up crime rates is, well, it's persistent.
- 1:14SPEAKER_01: But let's look at the actual figures.
- 1:16We're talking about roughly 14 million crimes reported each
- 1:19year in the U.S.
- 1:21SPEAKER_00: 14 million.
- 1:22SPEAKER_00: OK.
- 1:22SPEAKER_00: And who's involved?
- 1:24SPEAKER_01: Well, the breakdown is pretty striking when you see it laid out.
- 1:28SPEAKER_01: Native-born citizens, they're involved in about 88% of those crimes.
- 1:33SPEAKER_00: 88%, okay.
- 1:34SPEAKER_00: What about immigrants?
- 1:35undocumented immigrants account for roughly 6% and documented
- 1:39immigrants also around 6%.
- 1:40SPEAKER_00: So immigrants together, that's 12% of crime involvement.
- 1:45SPEAKER_00: But wait, what percentage of the population are they?
- 1:47SPEAKER_00: About 13, 15%?
- 1:48SPEAKER_01: Exactly.
- 1:48SPEAKER_01: So if they're 14,
- 1:50SPEAKER_01: 15% of the population,
- 1:51SPEAKER_01: but only involved in 12% of crimes,
- 1:54SPEAKER_01: they're actually underrepresented in crime statistics.
- 1:56SPEAKER_00: Okay, let's unpack this.
- 1:58SPEAKER_00: That finding alone kind of challenges the common perception, doesn't it?
- 2:01SPEAKER_01: It really does.
- 2:02That initial look suggests the reality is quite different from
- 2:06the rhetoric we often hear.
- 2:07SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 2:08SPEAKER_00: Let's move to something that gets a lot of airtime.
- 2:10SPEAKER_00: Violent crime.
- 2:12SPEAKER_00: The political talk often links immigrants,
- 2:15SPEAKER_00: especially undocumented immigrants,
- 2:17SPEAKER_00: to surges in violence.
- 2:19SPEAKER_01: Yes, that linkage is made frequently.
- 2:21SPEAKER_01: But again, the data paints a very different picture.
- 2:23SPEAKER_01: We see about 1.2 million violent crimes reported annually.
- 2:28SPEAKER_00: And the breakdown for violent crime.
- 2:29SPEAKER_01: Over 90 percent.
- 2:31SPEAKER_01: More than 9 out of 10 are committed by native-born individuals.
- 2:34SPEAKER_00: Wow, over 90 percent.
- 2:36SPEAKER_01: Undocumented immigrants, around 5 percent.
- 2:39SPEAKER_01: Documented immigrants, about 4 percent.
- 2:41SPEAKER_00: So these claims about immigrants causing big spikes in violent crime,
- 2:46SPEAKER_00: they just don't seem to hold up when you look at the numbers.
- 2:48SPEAKER_01: The data simply doesn't support it.
- 2:50What's fascinating here is the stark contrast between that
- 2:53perception and the
- 2:54SPEAKER_01: reality shown in the stats.
- 2:55SPEAKER_00: Okay, what about property crime?
- 2:57SPEAKER_00: Things like theft, burglary, arson.
- 2:59SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 3:00SPEAKER_00: That's the majority of a reported crime, right?
- 3:02SPEAKER_00: Over 6.5 million incidents a year.
- 3:04SPEAKER_01: That's right.
- 3:04SPEAKER_01: It's the largest category by volume.
- 3:06SPEAKER_01: And do we see a different pattern here?
- 3:08SPEAKER_00: Well, do we?
- 3:09SPEAKER_01: Not really, no.
- 3:10SPEAKER_01: Native-born citizens are involved in about 89% of those.
- 3:14SPEAKER_01: Undocumented immigrants, roughly 6%.
- 3:16SPEAKER_01: Undocumented immigrants, around 5%.
- 3:20SPEAKER_00: So again, the vast majority is attributed to native-born citizens.
- 3:24The idea that immigrants are driving property crime doesn't
- 3:27seem to fit the facts either.
- 3:28SPEAKER_01: the data consistently points away from that conclusion.
- 3:31SPEAKER_00: Okay, now drug offenses.
- 3:33This is sometimes highlighted as an area with higher immigrant involvement,
- 3:37SPEAKER_00: particularly concerning the border.
- 3:38SPEAKER_00: What do the stats show here?
- 3:39SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 3:40SPEAKER_01: This is an area where critics sometimes focus.
- 3:42SPEAKER_01: There are about 1.2 million drug arrests annually.
- 3:46SPEAKER_00: And the breakdown.
- 3:47SPEAKER_01: Native-born Americans account for 84% of those arrests.
- 3:51SPEAKER_01: Undocumented immigrants, it's about 10%.
- 3:53SPEAKER_01: Undocumented immigrants, 6%.
- 3:56So that 10% for undocumented immigrants is slightly higher than
- 4:00their share in
- 4:01SPEAKER_00: violent or property crime.
- 4:02SPEAKER_01: It is, yeah.
- 4:03SPEAKER_01: But still, native-born individuals make up the overwhelming majority 84%.
- 4:06SPEAKER_01: It's important to keep that context.
- 4:09SPEAKER_00: Here's where it gets really interesting, though.
- 4:11SPEAKER_00: The article you mentioned from Mitch Jackson,
- 4:14SPEAKER_00: it digs into what kind of drug arrests these often are for immigrants,
- 4:17SPEAKER_00: right?
- 4:17SPEAKER_01: Yes, that's a crucial point he raises.
- 4:19SPEAKER_01: A lot of these arrests involving immigrants,
- 4:21SPEAKER_01: particularly near the border,
- 4:23SPEAKER_01: are reportedly for possession,
- 4:25SPEAKER_01: not necessarily large scale trafficking operations.
- 4:28So could that be tied to like enforcement patterns near the
- 4:32border itself?
- 4:33SPEAKER_00: Maybe catching more lower level stuff?
- 4:35SPEAKER_01: That's a very plausible interpretation raised in the analysis.
- 4:39Enforcement concentration in border zones could inflate
- 4:42possession arrests there,
- 4:43which might not reflect the broader picture of drug
- 4:46distribution networks across
- 4:47SPEAKER_01: the country.
- 4:48SPEAKER_00: Okay, that adds important nuance.
- 4:50SPEAKER_00: Let's turn to the most serious category, homicide.
- 4:53SPEAKER_00: Around 20,000 homicides annually in the U.S.
- 4:56SPEAKER_00: What does the data say here?
- 4:59SPEAKER_01: The numbers here are maybe the starkest.
- 5:00SPEAKER_01: Native-born citizens account for 93% of homicide.
- 5:03SPEAKER_00: 93%.
- 5:04SPEAKER_01: Undocumented immigrants, about 4%.
- 5:07SPEAKER_01: Documented immigrants, around 3%.
- 5:08SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 5:09SPEAKER_00: So the idea that immigrants are driving a murder wave,
- 5:12SPEAKER_00: I mean,
- 5:13SPEAKER_00: 93% committed by native-born individuals.
- 5:17SPEAKER_00: It just doesn't align with the evidence at all.
- 5:19SPEAKER_01: Not remotely.
- 5:20SPEAKER_01: The data is incredibly clear on this point.
- 5:23SPEAKER_00: OK, let's shift gears slightly.
- 5:25SPEAKER_00: Instead of crimes committed, let's look at who is actually incarcerated.
- 5:29SPEAKER_00: We have about two million people in jails and prisons.
- 5:32SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 5:32SPEAKER_01: And who makes up that population?
- 5:34SPEAKER_01: Again, overwhelmingly native-born citizens, about 90 percent.
- 5:39SPEAKER_01: 90 percent.
- 5:40SPEAKER_01: And immigrants.
- 5:41Undocumented immigrants make up somewhere between five and six
- 5:43percent of the
- 5:44SPEAKER_01: incarcerated population.
- 5:46SPEAKER_01: Documented immigrants, it's even lower, around three to four percent.
- 5:49SPEAKER_00: So this reinforces the earlier point, doesn't it?
- 5:52SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 5:52SPEAKER_00: Not only lower crime involvement,
- 5:53but immigrants are also less likely to end up incarcerated
- 5:56compared to native born Americans.
- 5:58And precisely,
- 5:59which really makes you step back and question the narratives we
- 6:02hear so often.
- 6:03SPEAKER_01: This raises an important question about those narratives, doesn't it?
- 6:06SPEAKER_00: It absolutely does.
- 6:07SPEAKER_00: Let's try to put this in like a real world perspective.
- 6:09SPEAKER_00: What does this mean on an individual level?
- 6:11SPEAKER_01: Well,
- 6:12SPEAKER_01: if you look at it per capita,
- 6:13SPEAKER_01: for every 100 immigrants living in the U.S.,
- 6:16SPEAKER_01: maybe two or three are involved in a crime in a given year.
- 6:19SPEAKER_00: Two or three out of 100.
- 6:20SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 6:21SPEAKER_00: And for native-born Americans?
- 6:22SPEAKER_01: It's slightly higher.
- 6:24Roughly 3.3 out of every 100 native-born Americans are involved
- 6:28in a crime annually.
- 6:30SPEAKER_00: So statistically speaking,
- 6:32you're actually a bit more likely to be victimized by someone
- 6:35born in the U.S.
- 6:36SPEAKER_00: than by an immigrant.
- 6:37Based purely on these crime rate statistics,
- 6:39yes,
- 6:40that's what the numbers suggest.
- 6:41SPEAKER_00: So what does this all mean?
- 6:43SPEAKER_00: If the data points so clearly in one direction,
- 6:45why does this myth about immigrants and high crime rates
- 6:48persist so strongly?
- 6:50SPEAKER_00: Mitch Jackson's article touches on potential reasons, right?
- 6:53SPEAKER_01: It does.
- 6:54SPEAKER_01: It suggests that, well, fear can be politically useful.
- 6:57SPEAKER_01: Scary headlines grab attention, maybe rally support.
- 7:00SPEAKER_00: And it's perhaps easier to blame an outside group.
- 7:02SPEAKER_01: Exactly.
- 7:03Blaming immigrants can seem like a simpler explanation than
- 7:06tackling really complex,
- 7:08SPEAKER_01: deep-rooted social issues that contribute to crime.
- 7:11SPEAKER_01: Things like poverty,
- 7:12SPEAKER_01: lack of opportunity,
- 7:14SPEAKER_01: mental health crises,
- 7:15SPEAKER_01: failing education systems,
- 7:17SPEAKER_01: inequality.
- 7:18SPEAKER_00: It simplifies a complicated reality.
- 7:21And the article also hints that maybe creating division that us
- 7:24versus them feeling
- 7:26can distract from addressing those underlying problems within
- 7:29society itself.
- 7:30SPEAKER_01: It's suggested that this kind of rhetoric,
- 7:32SPEAKER_01: which figures like Donald Trump have utilized,
- 7:35SPEAKER_01: as noted in the article's context,
- 7:36SPEAKER_01: can serve to divert attention from more fundamental issues.
- 7:40So wrapping this section up,
- 7:41the conclusion from the data seems pretty clear.
- 7:44SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 7:44SPEAKER_01: Immigrants are not the primary cause of America's crime problems.
- 7:48The data consistently shows they are often less likely to
- 7:50commit crimes than
- 7:52SPEAKER_01: native-born citizens.
- 7:53SPEAKER_00: Which means, if we actually want to reduce crime effectively.
- 7:57SPEAKER_01: Our resources and focus should probably be elsewhere.
- 8:00As the article implies,
- 8:01investing in things we know can make a difference.
- 8:03SPEAKER_01: Mental health support,
- 8:05SPEAKER_01: better education,
- 8:06SPEAKER_01: economic opportunities,
- 8:08SPEAKER_01: community-based prevention programs.
- 8:10SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 8:10SPEAKER_00: Wasting energy and resources,
- 8:12chasing false narratives based on fear rather than facts
- 8:15doesn't actually make
- 8:16SPEAKER_00: anyone safer.
- 8:17SPEAKER_01: It likely just diverts from solutions that could genuinely work.
- 8:20SPEAKER_00: OK,
- 8:20SPEAKER_00: so to just quickly summarize our deep dive here,
- 8:23SPEAKER_00: looking at this data explored in Mitch Jackson's article,
- 8:27SPEAKER_00: the evidence is pretty compelling.
- 8:29SPEAKER_00: Immigrants are not driving crime in the U.S.,
- 8:32SPEAKER_01: Across the board,
- 8:33SPEAKER_01: overall crime,
- 8:34SPEAKER_01: violent crime,
- 8:35SPEAKER_01: property crime,
- 8:36SPEAKER_01: even homicide and incarceration rates the data points to lower levels of
- 8:40SPEAKER_01: involvement for immigrants compared to native-born citizens.
- 8:44Which leaves us,
- 8:45and you,
- 8:46the listener,
- 8:47with maybe a final thought to chew on.
- 8:49Why do these myths hang around so stubbornly when the evidence
- 8:53says otherwise?
- 8:54SPEAKER_00: What are the real costs of believing them?
- 8:56SPEAKER_01: And maybe what other assumptions are we all making,
- 8:58SPEAKER_01: perhaps without really checking the facts first?
- 9:01This whole discussion was scurred by that insightful article on
- 9:03breaking political
- 9:04SPEAKER_00: news from attorney Mitch Jackson's Uncensored Objection Substack.
- 9:08SPEAKER_01: Yeah, and we really encourage you to check it out.
- 9:10SPEAKER_01: Go visit Mitch Jackson's Substack.
- 9:11SPEAKER_01: You can subscribe.
- 9:12SPEAKER_01: You can share the articles.
- 9:13SPEAKER_01: Jump into the comments section.
- 9:14SPEAKER_01: It's a great place to keep exploring these kinds of important topics.