Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 53 - 6/11/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 53 - 6/11/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello and welcome to episode 53 of the All Systems Go sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
0:34
Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena,
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guys. Another day where I'm missing
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Africa. Jambo Jambo Asante Sana.
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That's right. It's been a bit of a tough
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struggle and transition back to everyday life.
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But how can I complain? Because I work in a career that
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I love and I have a passion for, which is of course, sports
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betting. So still making that transition
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here, but now our second pod since I have returned from
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Africa. I posted a ton of videos and
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pictures from my Twitter account at Josh under Score Insights and
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you guys, they give me a lot of great feedback asking questions
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and getting my take on on everything.
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And I would just highly recommend you make a time in
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your life to visit Africa 'cause there's nothing like it.
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But again, questions about Kenya, Africa Safari, whatever
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it may be, I'm here for you. So aside from sports betting,
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any more Africa questions, I'm your guy.
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I'd be happy to help you. But anyway, let's turn the page.
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We do have a big Tuesday here today guys, on the 11th of June.
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I have a 5 pack of sweats for you.
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We're going to focus on Major League Baseball.
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Four MLB bets for you today, including a Juice Reel
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recommended bet from Robo Jackson, who did come through
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with a recommended bet last night, which which we overlapped
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on the Milwaukee Brewers, which was a winner last night.
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But we do have 4 bets in MLB. I got a dog who happens to be
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the best dog bet over the last two years.
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We're going to take some plus money with this team.
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I also have a a play on a couple favorites with line moves as
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well as a total. I want to start to maybe nibble
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at some totals here in Major League Baseball.
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This one caught my eye and I said I saw no reason not to take
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it. A lot of reasons to take it.
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So favorites, dogs, totals, we're going to hit on it all and
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Major League Baseball here for today.
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And then because there's no NBA and there's no NHL, there is
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some WNBA today. And I don't want to give up or
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forget or overlook. WNBAI know there's a big
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controversy right now, of course, with Caitlin Clark not
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making the Olympics. Olympics, which I get if you
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compare her to every player, maybe she isn't.
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Maybe there's no like snub or they're not a snub.
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Obviously, I feel like Clark should have made it.
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I'm not going to say that she's better than every other player
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and should have made it, but it's just a stupid move not to
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grow your sport by putting in the person who is generating the
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most clicks, revenues, eyeballs of all time.
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I just thought that was a complete oversight by the WNBA
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or by the Olympic Committee. But anyway, Speaking of WNBAI
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want to dabble in some WNBA. So I noticed a total today in
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the WNBA, which has a great rhythm, predictive edge, about a
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two or three-point edge here, which lines up with a great bet
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split as well. So we're talking MLBWNBA on a
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big episode 53 of the all systems Gopod powered by rhythm.
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Now, looking back toward yesterday, guys, wasn't the day
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I was hoping for as we returned one and 3 -, 2.1 units.
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I mentioned we got the Brewers, which was a nice dog to favour,
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pick them to fav line move and ended up beating the closing
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line pretty good there because we got Milwaukee.
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I want to say at what like -115 I think they closed like -120 so
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the Brewers came through. The frustrating ones were the
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Rays actually, I had a pretty good decent line move on Tampa
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Bay. They were tied up through much
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of the game, then imploded there with their bullpen late.
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The frustrating one too is the Royals because we beat the
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closing line pretty good on the Royals.
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Got the Royals yesterday. What was it plus 110 + 1?
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Yeah, around plus 110. They basically closed at even
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money, like plus 100 minus one O 5 S beat the closing line.
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But I guess the Yankees are just so good that they never lose.
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So couldn't get that one. And then the frustrating one,
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which would have made a two and two night in pretty much awash
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was Leon Dry Seidel over 2 1/2 shots on goal.
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He had no shots on goal in the first period.
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He had one in the second and then he had one in the third.
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So we're sitting on two only needed one more shot on goal to
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cash that over. And I distinctly remember, I
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want to say it was maybe like 5 minutes left in the game.
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I think they had pulled the goalie and Dry Seidel was kind
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of at the the the bottom dot. And there was a one timer where
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he got fed a pass. He roped A1 timer left-handed
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shot and it went like an inch wide and instead of being a shot
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on goal, it went wide and was not a shot on goal.
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So I was like, oh, if he doesn't get another shot on goal, that's
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going to be the one that loses it for us.
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But either way, guys, let's see if we can have a winning day
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here for today. Again, we're beating some
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closing lines. We're right there.
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Let's see if we can breakthrough with a winning day on episode
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53. So with that being said, let's
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get right into some Major League Baseball.
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Unlike yesterday where it was a pretty small slate only seven
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games overall. We have a full smorgasbord of
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games to choose from here, 15 games overall, and I want to
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start off with the earliest game of the night, 6:30 PM Eastern
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Time. Maybe a World Series matchup,
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who knows, Probably not, but maybe the Braves and the
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Baltimore Orioles. I notice a pretty good angle
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here, good line move and a great system match on Baltimore.
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I'm going with the OS here guys. I got Baltimore at around plus
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115 + 110. Again, you're probably shaking
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your head and scratch your head saying hey, Baltimore's plus
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money. Yes, they are because the
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because Atlanta, you would think has the pitching advantage today
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and obviously Atlanta's team to be reckoned with.
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But anyway, let's set the stage. I'll tell you why I like
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Baltimore Braves come into this 135 and 28.
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Remember Acunia tours ACL again, he's out for the year.
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But they just got swept by the nationals, which was a bit
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surprising. They're lost all three to the
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Nats fell in the series finale on Sunday, 8:00 to 5:00 as a -,
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230 Rd. favorite. Meanwhile, the OS 43 and 22,
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they just swept the Rays. I hope that wish they didn't
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sweep the Rays because I was on the Rays yesterday, but they won
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four straight. They won five to two yesterday
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as a -, 135 road favorite. So for tonight's interleague
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series opener, the Braves are going with lefty Max Freed six
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and two 2.93 ERA. The Orioles, meanwhile, are
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going with ready Albert Suarez, who's two and O with a 1.83 ERA.
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So big reason why I like Baltimore is that as soon as
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this line was available to bet as soon as it opened, all big
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money has sided with Baltimore. This game open with Atlanta -140
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Now Atlanta's down to -130 I see a couple shops closer to Atlanta
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like -125 S The line has gone away from Atlanta toward
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Baltimore. Baltimore opened getting around
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plus 120. Now they're down to plus 110.
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I may be able to shop around and find like a + 112 + 114 out
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there. Always have multiple outs so you
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can get the best number. We'll make it even.
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We'll call it a + 110 here. But the line's gone toward
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Baltimore as soon as it opened. Move toward the O's.
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The Orioles here are getting 70% of bets, but 80% of dollars.
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So basically public is agreeing with us saying, hey, which
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again, I never want to be with the public.
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And it's a little bit different when you talk baseball versus a
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sport like obviously the NFL. But 70% bets, 80% money on
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Baltimore public says, hey, O's are a good team getting plus
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money, why not take them? But here's the thing, I don't
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think you just want to blindly go contrarian every time.
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You want to not only bet against the public ideally, but be with
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more importantly, the sharp action, the smart money.
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So if there's a Wall Street trader out there who sees Warren
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Buffett buying a stock, that's smart money.
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You want to be on that same stock that Warren Buffett is
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buying. If Warren Buffett is dumping a
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stock, you want to dump that stock too.
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So anyway, being on the sharp side of every bet is what we
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always want to do. And the fact that this line's
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going toward Baltimore tells me smart money, not just the
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public, but wiseguy money, is also on the O's.
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Now I'm going to lean on Baltimore's offense.
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The O's are hitting 250 this year, 104 home runs, 336 runs
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scored. Atlanta is only hitting 244 with
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65 homers and 279 runs scored. Orioles, meanwhile, here's the
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the key stat here if you want to back Baltimore with me.
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Not just that, the Lions moving in their favor, but did you know
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the Orioles are 50 and 38, 57% with a 24% ROI as a dog since
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the start of last season. So that makes them the best dog
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team in Major League Baseball. If you're cashing 57% as a dog
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with all that plus money, you are really generating a good
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profit there. Home Rd. splits.
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Atlanta is dead even on the road, 16 and 16.
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Baltimore is 21 and 12 at home. They've been a really good home
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team. Orioles over the last 10 games
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are seven and three. They're hitting 274.
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Team ERA of 2.35 Braves last 10 games, they're four and six
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hitting only two O 9 with a 4.81 ERA.
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So if you're giving me Baltimore with a line move in their favor
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with better bats here playing better as of late and that
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Orioles as a dog system match, I got to take it.
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So I'm going to start my night here hopefully with the winner.
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I'm on Baltimore at plus 110 and also mention Juice reel.
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If you haven't done it yet, go sign up for Juice reel as I keep
8:35
mentioning each day, because Juice Reel is a partner of mine
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or I'm a partner of Juice real. However, however you want to
8:41
look at it, but it's an app that I think can help you win, not
8:44
only syncing your sports books to the app and tracking your
8:47
performance, learning about your strengths and weaknesses,
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arbitrage bets as well as sharp mush bets.
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The bets where basically you have a majority of wise guys and
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you're going against a majority of quote UN quote square
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bettors. But anyway, one of the two bets
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recommended from Robo Jackson today.
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One of them is Baltimore, so that overlaps with our line
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movement system match on the OS. So let's go OS plus 110.
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Keep on cruising. 7:10 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, Miami
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and the New York Mets, Marlins and Mets.
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I'm going to go with the Mets here.
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Give me the Mets. I'm laying it.
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I got the Mets at around -140 -, 145.
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Now setting the stage here, Marlins are 22 and 43.
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They have lost six of their last seven, though, just dropped two
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or three against the Guardians. They lost the finale on Sunday,
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6:00 to 3:00 as a plus one O 5 home dog.
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The flip side, the Mets still struggling a bit.
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They're 28 and 36. They have won six of their last
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nine. They split A2 game series over
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the pond in London. They won Sunday's finale six to
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five as a + 120 neutral sight dog pitching matchup tonight
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hopefully favors the Mets because the Marlins are going
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with lefty Jesus Lizardo, who's two and five with a 5.3 OERA.
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Meanwhile, the Mets are going with Tyler me Gill, the righty
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one and two with an ERA of three.
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Now this is just kind of a standard sharp move to the Mets.
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The Mets opened at around -130 now they're up to -140 -, 145.
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I see one, but closer to -150. So pretty much as soon as this
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line open, boom, it's been all Mets money causing this
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adjustment in favor of New York. Now the Mets are getting 84% of
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bets, 88% of dollars. So both a pro and Joe bets
10:20
split. Both the public and sharps seem
10:23
to be on the Mets here. Mets have the better offense.
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They're hitting 24269 bombs, 280 runs scored.
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Miami is hitting 234, 52 homers, 233 runs scored.
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And again, I always like to layer in a system match because
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it gives me more confidence in a bet.
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But system match here with the Mets would be both teams have
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the day off the previous day. Take the favorite.
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Very simple, but it's 490 and two 9962% with a 3% ROI since
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the start of 2020. So big sample size.
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Again, you're not a millionaire play in the system, but 3% ROI,
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you can't argue with that. That does match here with the
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Mets and Mets also have some correlative betting value.
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So I always joke about or talk about, you know, dog high total.
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Well, this is a favorite. Low total.
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Total in this one is 7 1/2. A little bit juiced under few
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amount of expected runs scored, more likely to come from quote
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UN quote the better team. So I'm going with the Mets.
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I got the Mets at home against Miami.
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I'm on the Metropolitans at -145 keep on cruising.
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I told you I wanted to layer in some totals here because I'm
11:22
kicking myself because whenever I write the sharp report for
11:24
vc.com, I'll always mention a total that catches my eye.
11:27
So like yesterday, I lost, of course, Tampa Bay with plus
11:31
money. But I kept mentioning, I
11:33
mentioned it in the sharper board and on the pod how that
11:35
under 7 1/2 was looking pretty good, pretty sharp.
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It actually ended up closing at 7.
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It landed on 7. If I jumped on the seven and a
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half under, I would have cashed. So I don't want to let some of
11:45
these opportunities pass us by. I want to incorporate it maybe a
11:47
total or two each day. But I'm going to look at this
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Pittsburgh, Saint Louis total, and I'm going under 7 1/2
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Pirates and the Cardinals, 7:45 PM Eastern Time, first pitch.
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Now cold reasons like this under First off is the fact that every
12:03
book you look at is what I like to call painted.
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It's a term that my buddy Patrick Maher at Beeson taught
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me. But painted means every book you
12:10
look at on your live odds page. So you have all these different
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books, all these different numbers side by side with the
12:14
current odds. They're all juiced up under,
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painted under. So they're all 7 1/2 under -115
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-, 120 SU, one book -125 S. The fact that every book is
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juicing up under tells us liabilities here to the under,
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maybe even falls down to seven. So I took the under 7 1/2.
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That was the first indicator to me that this could be a smart
12:33
plate to take the under. Then I looked at the bet splits
12:37
from DraftKings and it is a really good bet split to the
12:39
under. Only 42% of bets are taking this
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Pirates Cardinals under, but it accounts for 67% of the money.
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So that is a huge 25% discrepancy.
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Low bets, higher dollars, as I like to call it, telling us that
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even though less than half the tickets are on the under, 2/3 of
12:56
the money is on the under. So tells me smart money here is
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going under pitching matchup. Paul Skeens, the rookie phenom
13:02
here, 3 and OERE of three. He'll be opposed by miles
13:05
Michaelis 4 and 6 ERA of 5.32. But I believe Michaelis is
13:09
giving up three-year runs or less than his last three.
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So hopefully pitches well tonight and we get a three to
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two game, A2 nothing game, a four to one game, something like
13:16
that, a five to two game. I'll take that.
13:18
But also the fact that these are two of your, you know, I don't
13:21
want to jinx them, but two of your lesser performing offenses
13:24
on the year, Saint Louis is hitting 235, Pittsburgh is
13:28
hitting 231. So Saint Louis is 18th.
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And batting average, Pittsburgh is 23rd.
13:33
Also, both teams were off yesterday.
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So the fact that they were off means that they had an extra day
13:37
of rest, which is important because if you go to the
13:39
bullpen, hopefully your better arms are rested and ready to go.
13:43
But juiced up under, great bet split, decent pitching matchup,
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light bats, hopefully rested. Both were off yesterday.
13:49
I'm going to take a shot on Pittsburgh, Saint Louis under 7
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1/2 and I got that at -115 last bet of the night here in Major
13:57
League Baseball. Let's go to the West Coast,
13:59
Oakland visiting San Diego now. I'm going to go with San Diego
14:04
here. I got the Padres at around -155
14:07
-, 160. But I'll tell you why I like the
14:08
San Diego Padres tonight. First off, pods dead even now,
14:12
35 and 35. They won last night's opener six
14:14
to one as a -, 230 home favorite.
14:17
Tonight's rematch, the A's, who are 26 and 42, they're going to
14:20
go with JP Sears, the lefty. He's four and five with a 3.93
14:24
ERA. Padres meanwhile are going with
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Randy Vasquez, who's one and three with a 5.4 OE, right.
14:30
But similar to the Mets move, same thing here with San Diego.
14:33
Home favorite with a little with a little bit of steam.
14:35
That's what I like about San Diego.
14:37
San Diego actually open this game around -150 now they're up
14:40
to around -160 some books even. I see a -, 165 out there.
14:44
So pretty one sided movement in favor of San Diego.
14:47
Padres. Meanwhile, getting around 80% of
14:49
bets in dollars. So majority of both public and
14:51
sharp support in their favor. We like to call pro and Joe bet
14:54
split. We have majority of bets and
14:56
dollars on the same side that again, the important thing is
14:58
not just same side, but they coincide with the direction of
15:01
the line move. So pro and Joe San Diego and the
15:03
move is toward San Diego. But anyway, once again, better
15:07
offense here hopefully comes through San Diego.
15:10
They're hitting 262. They've scored 316 runs.
15:14
The Athletics are hitting 2/19 with only 243 runs scored.
15:18
System match for San Diego would be an interleague home favorite
15:21
off a win. Interleague play, lack of
15:23
familiarity, benefits quote UN quote the better team.
15:25
But interleague favorite at home off a win in particular like the
15:28
Padres here, those teams are 51 and 3063% with a 6% ROI this
15:33
season. San Diego more some more
15:36
correlative betting just like that.
15:37
Mets favorite low total. Same thing here.
15:39
Total in this game is 8. Low totals are less than 8 1/2.
15:43
High totals are more than 8 1/2. But anyway, fair amount of
15:46
expected run scored more likely to come from quote UN quote, the
15:48
better team was expected to win. JP Sears has been worse on the
15:52
road than at home. At home, 3.31 ERA.
15:55
On the road, 4.43 Vasquez has given up three and runs or less
15:59
and three straight starts. Oakland meanwhile, just 11 and
16:02
22 on the road. That's the fourth worst Rd. team
16:05
in baseball. And San Diego meanwhile, plus 24
16:08
run differential. Oakland is -80 so hopefully San
16:11
Diego can post another win here tonight.
16:12
I'm going with the line move. Give me the pods into league
16:15
home favorite off a win. I got San Diego, we'll call it a
16:18
-, 160. So San Diego, Baltimore, the
16:21
Mets and hopefully a Pittsburgh, Saint Louis low scoring game
16:24
under 7 1/2. Now over to the WNBA because I
16:29
was looking at the games here for today.
16:30
I knew we had no NBA or NHL Stanley Cup finals.
16:33
So I said, hey, am I going to just go baseball today?
16:36
I don't have a problem with that.
16:36
Or hey, let's look at WNBA, see what we got.
16:40
And I found a good system match overlap that combines both the
16:43
way we approach the market from a data data-driven perspective
16:45
and combines with a great predicted result and projection
16:50
here from Rhythm who If you haven't done it yet, you better
16:52
go sign up for that Rhythm app. Rhythm is the balls.
16:55
Rhythm is fantastic where they compile and look at all the kind
17:01
of the box scores and results and then create AI backed driven
17:05
models and systems and predictions.
17:07
You can either follow theirs or create your own, whether it's
17:09
player props or game predictions.
17:11
I love rhythm and I hope you do too because rhythm will help you
17:14
win some bets here. But rhythm coincides with this
17:18
Mystics dream game that I'm looking at so Mystic stream.
17:22
This is probably not the sexiest game of the night because did
17:24
you know the Washington Mystics are O and 12?
17:27
Didn't they have Della Don back in the day?
17:29
Does she still play? Is she hurt?
17:30
I don't even know, but here's the point about Dave being a
17:33
dated room better. You don't need to know the
17:34
players names and again you're looking at how the market is
17:37
reacting. But anyway, Mystics and Dream,
17:40
now the dream are five and four Mystics are O and 12:00.
17:45
So seems like an easy dream when dream are favored by like 7
17:47
points. But I'm going to focus on the
17:49
total because something jumped out to me.
17:51
The first thing I notice is that this total has gone up.
17:54
This total for Mystics and Dream opened at 155 1/2.
17:57
Now it's up to 156 1/2. So it's gone up a point.
18:02
I even see a couple of shops at 156 1/2 over -112 minus, you
18:07
know -110 -, 112. Nothing huge here, but does it
18:10
get to 157? That's something to monitor.
18:12
Anyway, the total's gone up. Then I look at the at the bet
18:15
splits for this Washington, Atlanta total.
18:18
Currently only 4040% of bets, but 54% of the money is on the
18:23
over. So I'll be what we call a
18:25
contrarian over. That's when the public is
18:26
actually betting the under 60% of bets on the under.
18:29
Yet this total rose only 40% bets, but 54% money set is a +
18:34
14% smart money discrepancy toward the over.
18:37
So we're starting to piece together a puzzle.
18:39
The total went up good contrarian low bets, higher
18:41
dollars bet split the Mystics. If you're looking for a kind of
18:44
a a game plan here or hopefully you know kind of game script how
18:48
this might play out. The Mystics they're O 112, but
18:51
they are really bad defensively. They're going up the fourth most
18:54
points in the WNBA, giving up nearly 85 points per game.
18:57
It's also a little fishy because game one these teams met back at
19:01
the end of May and the dream 173 to 67.
19:05
So that was just a total of 140. So if the game one was a 140,
19:09
why do they open this one so much higher?
19:11
And why did it rise like you would think just on the, you
19:15
know, kind of the, you know, 30,000 foot view.
19:18
If two teams played to a 140 and this opens 155 1/2, wouldn't you
19:22
know, you think to say, hey, let's take the under because,
19:24
you know, game script, they went way under last time.
19:27
But no, even though it went under that number, this one's
19:29
actually risen. So I kind of like that fishy
19:31
kind of like, you know, opposite kind of, you know, kind of
19:35
looking for some regression, I guess in a positive offensive
19:38
degree. But also here is the kicker.
19:41
Rhythm again, who does a great job powering this pod.
19:44
If you haven't done it yet, go sign up for that 7 day free
19:46
trial of Rhythm, which is located in the bio description
19:49
of this podcast. But Rhythm is predicting a final
19:53
total of 159 1/2 or sorry, 159.1.
19:59
So if we're going over 156 1/2. Rhythm is projecting 159.
20:04
That means if we land 157, we win 158, we win 159.
20:09
If Rhythm is right on, you know, right on the button there, we
20:11
win. But whole point being is that
20:14
the market is moving up. The percentages look great and
20:18
Rhythm has a predicted final total of 159.1.
20:21
So I'm going to go over here. I'm going over 156 1/2 Mystics
20:24
and dream. One other angle hopefully that
20:26
will benefit us is that both teams are pretty good rested
20:29
here. If you look at the Washington
20:32
Mystics, they last played on Sunday and the dream last played
20:37
on Saturday. So they've had a couple days
20:38
off. It's not like it's a
20:39
back-to-back. So if we got good legs in your
20:41
in your hitting your shots here. So I'm going Mystics and dream
20:44
with a market move percentage bet as well as a rhythm
20:47
predicted edge here. I'm going Mystic stream over 156
20:51
1/2. Now that about does it for
20:54
episode 53 of the all systems go sports betting podcast powered
20:57
by rhythm. But reminder, if you enjoy this
21:00
podcast, did you miss it? Well, I was tracking elephants
21:03
and rhinos and lions in Africa. Were you missing the pod?
21:06
The breakdowns, you know, the community aspect of looking at
21:09
games through a data-driven perspective.
21:12
If any of that is the case, you missed the pod.
21:14
You liked the pod, then guess what?
21:16
Can you do something for me? Can you help me grow this pod
21:18
organically? Could you please give this
21:20
podcast a 5 star review on Spotify or on iTunes?
21:25
I'd love to grow organically. And you know, again, the more
21:27
likes, the more eyes get opened. And if you want to recommend
21:30
this pod to a friend, that's also great.
21:33
But also we are available on a couple other platforms.
21:35
I just added YouTube before I left for Africa.
21:37
But if you want to give it five stars, seriously, I would
21:39
really, really make my day and I'd really appreciate it.
21:42
Secondly, if you enjoy the breakdowns and you want to learn
21:44
more about how to be a successful data-driven better,
21:48
and guess what, I have a resource for you to take
21:50
advantage of. It's a book.
21:52
Do people still read books today?
21:53
I hope they do. But anyway, I wrote a book
21:56
called the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
21:57
So if you want to go to Amazon.com and type in the
22:00
Everything Guide to Sports Betting, pick up a copy for you
22:03
or for a friend. It's got everything I've learned
22:04
in the industry. How lines open, how and why they
22:07
move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp action, how
22:10
to go contrarian, how to place a bet in person or online, how to
22:12
shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll management
22:15
plan, chapters on all the major sports, all included in the
22:18
Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
22:19
So it makes a great Father's Day gift, I must say, as Father's
22:23
Day isn't far off. But again, pick one up and I
22:26
will sign it for you and I'll buy you a beer.
22:28
And if you don't drink, I'll buy you a ginger ale at the book
22:31
next time I see you. But anyway, guys, that about
22:33
does it. Another episode here down the
22:36
Hatch reminder, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic
22:39
City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook of New
22:41
Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the
22:44
Encore in Boston or Plainridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield
22:48
in my neck of the woods in New England.
22:49
Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
22:52
down, where Billy Walters sends his number runners, where the
22:54
lowest choose possible is not at the South Point.
22:56
Sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swim pool
22:59
at Circa wherever it may be. You're going to walk up to me.
23:02
You're going to show me a Brewers winner from last night.
23:05
I wish we could have gotten the the Royals there dry side all
23:08
over. But guess what?
23:08
First one's on me, next one's on you.
23:10
We're going to post about the book sweat sharp contrarian
23:12
plays all night long. So wish you the best of luck
23:15
everyone have a fantastic Tuesday.
23:17
My parting words, as always, stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet
23:21
against the public, place yourself on the side of the
23:23
house. Always be with the smart money,
23:24
never against it. Well, smart money won every
23:26
time. Of course not.
23:28
Smart money was royal as we beat the closing line.
23:30
They didn't come through for us. But here's the thing, you got to
23:32
have thick skin, can't get too high or too low.
23:35
We can consistently read the market, get some closing line
23:38
value, be contrarian against the public with the house, with the
23:41
pros. Flat bet, avoid parlays and get
23:43
some CLV. Long term, if we can do that,
23:45
we're going to be successful sports bettors.
23:47
So enjoy the sweats everyone. Have a great Tuesday.
23:50
We'll be back at it tomorrow on a big Wednesday for episode 54
23:54
of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by
23:57
Rhythm. Have a great night everybody,
23:59
good luck.