Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 5 Gambling Picks, Potential Big Brain Alert, Titans Finally Win

Transcript

NFL Week 5 Gambling Picks, Potential Big Brain Alert, Titans Finally Win · Three For The Money

• 0:00
  3 for the Money is brought to you by the Trend Center app. This is the best tool for sports
• 0:05
  betting research. The Trend Center app, you can test betting systems from the past 20 years,
• 0:11
  explore thousands of existing trends and systems from top betting experts,
• 0:15
  choose from hundreds of filters to test different systems for each sport.
• 0:19
  Save these trends and get notified when their systems have games. Download the app and use our
• 0:24
  code TFTM for 15% off at premium membership after a two-day free trial.
• 0:40
  Okay, okay, okay, here, back, it's free for the money. In episodes every Thursday,
• 0:54
  per usual, brought to you by the Trend Center app, the greatest tool for sports bettors on the planet.
• 1:03
  And we're back. It's NFL, it's going to be week five, week four is over. I did a hell of a lot
• 1:09
  better this week than I did last week. So I am ready to get into some picks, but I'm going to
• 1:16
  throw it to Chris. How did you do last week? I did pretty well too. I think I went,
• 1:22
  so I know I went six and four, but I'm trying to think, did I go six and four two weeks ago too?
• 1:28
  That is not a me question. I think I did. So I think I'm six and four. I'm back to back weeks,
• 1:33
  which we'll take it. Not bad. Raven's minus two and a half easiest money ever made. That was never
• 1:41
  a doubt. But yeah, it was Monday night. Double went or went to an O. Thanks for the Titans,
• 1:52
  I guess. It was ugly, but dubs a dub. But yeah, six and four, and betting some baseball,
• 1:58
  some playoff baseball doing pretty well in that so far, knock on wood. So yeah, things are doing
• 2:03
  going well for old Chris. Hell yeah. John. Yeah. Week four started out real rough.
• 2:16
  I went one, two, three, four, five, one, five and one on Sunday. No, one, five, one, two, six,
• 2:32
  and one on Sunday. And then Monday night, hit my surefire. Lions minus three and a half. Easy.
• 2:42
  Titans plus two and a half and Titans money line. So that did bring me to five, six and one,
• 2:47
  which I am up because of the Titans and my surefire hitting. So, but I'm looking to have a better
• 2:56
  week than last week to be real. Yes, I think we all are. Who can't, who isn't about improving? Who
• 3:06
  isn't about that? I'd like to meet someone who is. Have a mind. Anyway. Okay, let's get into it. I
• 3:17
  also only, I went five and one on college or something. I went eight and one, five and one,
• 3:22
  something like that. I only lost one bed in college on Saturday. So that was tremendous for me and
• 3:30
  my mental health. My mental health is hinging on college football like most people in the South.
• 3:38
  Been there, yeah. That's not a fun place to be. Yeah. But let's get into week five. Week five,
• 3:50
  first London game of this NFL season. Should be a doocy. Let's get into it. It's the Jets
• 3:59
  at quotations. The Vikings, the Vikings are favored by two and a half. And I am going to let Chris
• 4:08
  lead this one off because I think he has, he has some, some things he wants to say.
• 4:13
  I mean, this is my second favorite football team, like in the NFL right now. It's the Vikings
• 4:20
  minus two and a half. I, people said they were a square last week, they were a square pick last
• 4:26
  week. Just dominated that game. Got a little dicey at the end, but it was fine. Dominated overall.
• 4:33
  I'm betting the Vikings until they gave me a reason not to bet on them. So it is the Vikings
• 4:37
  minus two and a half in London. Weird shit happens in London. So even if they lose, I don't
• 4:42
  think it should really count. So yes, it's Vikings minus two and a half all day. I'm day, wake up,
• 4:48
  start the day with a winner.
• 4:50
  Let's go. Okay. I'm also on the Vikings minus two and a half. They're hot right now. They're hot as
• 5:02
  something is really hot. And the Jets struggled to put up points against the Broncos who are not
• 5:10
  good on both sides of the ball. Did they lose that game? Yeah. Yeah. They lost to the Broncos.
• 5:17
  Whoever their kicker is, miss that, miss the last second field goal. Yeah. So fuck the Jets.
• 5:23
  They're not going to be able to fly over seas. So taking the Vikings over in Europe,
• 5:30
  where the Vikings are from, you know, from the past. Anyway, Sean, what do you think?
• 5:40
  Yep. I'm on you. I'm on the Vikings. I faded them last week. I shouldn't have done that after
• 5:46
  they cashed a home dog spread against the Titans, biggest op, the Texans. And I want to apologize
• 5:53
  for that. I didn't believe in the Minnesota Vikings against the 49ers, but I'm willing to hop on this
• 6:01
  wagon. And it's the league's best QB versus Aaron Rodgers. So it doesn't get any better than this.
• 6:10
  It is also worthy to note that Minnesota has a three and O international record versus Aaron
• 6:15
  Rodgers, oh, and one record. Oh, all right. All right. I didn't write down the over under.
• 6:26
  I may end up double dipping with the under just because it is the London game.
• 6:32
  Stay tuned for the Twitter for that. Okay, next game, Bill's Texans. All right, Texans are home dogs
• 6:42
  by one. Texans barely beat. Wait, who did they play last week?
• 6:50
  God, there's been so much foot. Jags. Yeah, they barely beat the kind of barely beat that they beat
• 6:54
  the Jags not covered. Yeah. So home dogs, bills got the shit beat out of them on on a Sunday night
• 7:05
  football. I didn't see that coming. But other folks did. But that's okay. I want some other bets
• 7:12
  that that that day. So that's all right. Okay. I think there's going to be a lot of points.
• 7:20
  I think there's going to be a lot of points. I'm taking the over over 47 and a half.
• 7:25
  I think Bill's defense can't hang. I feel like if the Texans can can let up 20 something points
• 7:33
  against Trevor Lawrence and the Jacksonville Jaguars, I feel like they don't have a prayer for
• 7:38
  stopping Josh Allen and the Josh Allen's. That's what I'm calling them. The Buffalo Josh Allen's.
• 7:46
  And then the Texans can also put up points to I don't think the bills D is anything to write home
• 7:50
  about. I'm taking over 47 and a half. Sean, what do you think?
• 7:57
  Let me pull up something real quick. I just want to fact check myself.
• 8:01
  Okay, yes. I'm on the bills money line.
• 8:09
  God, my notes keep there we go. Okay. But I kind of hate it. I do kind of hate this pig.
• 8:17
  But the Texans have yet to cover a spread. They barely sneak out wins against the Colts,
• 8:26
  the Bears, the Jags and get blown out by the the wagon of the bikes. So I do like the bills
• 8:34
  revenge after you know that that lost to Baltimore. I mean, this is a tight AFC race and
• 8:43
  somehow the Texans are three in one. I just don't see it. Houston has a terrible run game and it's
• 8:49
  probably because they're always down to their opponents. So they're just forced to throw the
• 8:53
  ball. Texas just haven't played anybody worth a damn. So I think Buffalo could take this one pretty
• 8:59
  easy. But it being at home does kind of scare me for the Texans. But I'm going to rock with it.
• 9:07
  Bill's money line. Yeah, is it my turn? Okay. Yeah, it's your turn. Sorry.
• 9:18
  I completely agree with everything you said. It's Bill's money line. The only thing I disagree
• 9:23
  is I love this play. I think this is a get right game. The bill's defense is bad. Like in the middle,
• 9:31
  like they don't have good interior linemen. The linebackers are all hurt. The Texans can't take
• 9:38
  advantage of it like the Ravens did because I have written down the Houston cannot run the ball as
• 9:43
  well. And most as do Joe Mixon is hurt or he's questionable for this game. Hasn't played the
• 9:47
  last two. They got cam makers who surprised he's still playing professional football if I'm being
• 9:54
  honest. And like, yeah, I don't think the Texans are very good. Like you said, they're just squeaking
• 10:00
  out teams against other not very good teams. And then yeah, the one time the one good team they
• 10:05
  played they got boat raced. So I think this one could get ugly if I'm be I think the bills could
• 10:11
  womp them. So yeah, it's bill's money line. I would love that. I mean, just as a Titans fan, I would love a good Mollie Wab
• 10:19
  on the Texans. I wonder if we'll be able to watch this since the Titans aren't playing on Sunday.
• 10:24
  Just sit back and watch the bills run up the run up the score. That'd be nice. Maybe because the Falcons
• 10:31
  play Thursday. So yeah, we might get this game. That would be very fun. I would like that.
• 10:39
  Yeah, we don't pay for Sunday ticket because it's a scam.
• 10:44
  I'm not fucking Rockefeller. Yeah.
• 10:53
  Yeah. You only use it like 16 weeks. That's it. I would use it like twice. And it's like
• 11:03
  Titans are on by and the Titans play not on Sunday. That's the only time I would really
• 11:09
  because other than that I watch the Titans and then I'm usually fine with whatever the game of the week is.
• 11:13
  It's usually pretty good. So I'm
• 11:17
  I'm content with the way things are. Yeah, I'm not going to spend an ass ton of money
• 11:24
  to just watch it really two days a week or two days, two weeks a year. There we go.
• 11:30
  Yeah. Okay. Moving on. The Ravens going to Cincinnati to play the Cincinnati Bengals
• 11:40
  in an AFC North matchup. Sean, what do you think about this game? The Bengals are home dogs by two and a half.
• 11:48
  What are you thinking? I'm going to roll with the hot hand. Ravens minus two and a half.
• 11:53
  Yeah. Since these defense is a major problem, they stink and it's a big part in why they're losing so many games.
• 12:04
  They're going to have a problem defending the rush against Derek and Lamar.
• 12:07
  I see this being another run heavy game for the Ravens and it's part of that. I think they're just starting
• 12:27
  just as how they use Lamar, but they, them two dominated the bills on the rush and I think they
• 12:34
  can just keep doing that moving forward. I'm also going to double dip in this game because I really
• 12:41
  like this over. It's the highest total of the week, but the Ravens like to take their foot off
• 12:48
  of the gas at the end of demanding leads and they just kind of let teams score to get the ball back
• 12:53
  and eat clock. So yeah, jot me down for over 50 and a half as well. Will, what you got? So I am
• 13:05
  attempting a big brain play here. Oh, shit. I'm taking the Bengals. You should have gone first.
• 13:12
  Well, I went first the last game. But if you have a big brain play, you have to go first.
• 13:17
  New show rule. Big brain plays go first. All right. I will, I'll make a note of that next time.
• 13:30
  Attempting a big brain play could explode in my face. I'm taking the Bengals plus two and a half.
• 13:37
  Divisional dog at home. I kind of hate it, but it seems kind of like a trap to take the Ravens.
• 13:47
  Ravens just beat the shit out of the bills and you're giving them two and a half on the road.
• 13:54
  That's an easy pick. And that's why it's an easy pick because it's a trap. And we're taking the
• 14:00
  Bengals plus two and a half. Bengals look like shit. They barely beat the Panthers. Why is it only,
• 14:08
  why is it only barely a three point spread? I'm, I'm attempting a big brain play here.
• 14:15
  Could be a big old dummy dumb play, but I'm taking the Bengals plus two and a half.
• 14:20
  And the home dogs, home divisional dogs normally have a pretty good against the spread
• 14:30
  rake. And so I'm doing that. Chris, what do you think?
• 14:35
  Going against Sean. I'm taking this. I'm taking the under. I don't really see how I,
• 14:42
  don't y'all on me. I like, I mean, you did make a good point about the Ravens are going to be up
• 14:49
  big and they're just going to kind of let the Bengals do whatever they want. That makes me a
• 14:53
  little nervous. I just don't think since now he's good. I mean, their offense is bad. Like, yay,
• 15:03
  they put up some numbers against like scoring wise, at least they put up numbers against the
• 15:08
  commanders and the Panthers. Both those defenses are ass. I just, I don't think they're even if
• 15:16
  Baltimore is like, yeah, we'll let you score. I don't think they're going to be able to really
• 15:19
  do it. Like they'll probably get a garbage time touchdown, but I don't think it's going to be like
• 15:24
  they score three touchdowns on the fourth quarter or anything. I just, I see this, I look at the
• 15:30
  line. I'm like, why the hell is a Ravens game the highest total of the week? I did that with that,
• 15:38
  with their elite defense. I don't get it. I got it at 50. I saw other places. It's moved down to 49.
• 15:44
  So I'm glad I got it at 50 because since 2021, oh shit, wrong stat. Hold on. Let me find it.
• 15:52
  Can't read my handwriting. Yeah, no, that was right. Since 2021, regular season games to the
• 15:59
  total of 50 plus, the under is 30 and 11 hitting an 11 straight. So that's the beautiful people at
• 16:07
  Transcenter under 50. They are beautiful. Moving on next game. I do have a stat for,
• 16:18
  but I'm going to let Chris go first. It's the Cardinals at the 49ers,
• 16:22
  Niners home favorites by seven and a half. Chris, what do you think?
• 16:26
  I hate this. Yes. I'm taking the Cardinals plus seven and a half. Yes. I hate it so much. It's
• 16:38
  more than a touchdown divisional game. That's too much. I think, I mean, the Cardinals offense,
• 16:46
  their defense is very bad. Their offense is good enough, I think, where they keep it within a
• 16:50
  touchdown. Yeah, I hate it. I have some stats too, but I'm going to let you go so I don't hog
• 16:58
  them all. I got a few. I just have one. Okay, I got a few so I can go, we can circle back to me at
• 17:03
  the end then, but yeah. Pretty much just, I'm betting the number, not the team. This spread
• 17:09
  is too high for a divisional game. So, especially the Cardinals are good. Like they have a good
• 17:14
  offense. It's just their defense can't stop the fucking anyone. So, Cardinals plus seven and a
• 17:19
  half. Yes. So, my one stat is away teams who fail to cover the week prior at home by more than 30
• 17:29
  are 50, 23 and six against the spread the next week. I'm taking the Cardinals plus seven and a
• 17:36
  half. Also, the Niners are still banged up. I think George Kittle caught a touchdown last week
• 17:44
  and then immediately got, he didn't get carded off, but he, he, oh, did I didn't watch that game?
• 17:50
  I didn't know he got hurt. Yeah, he caught a touchdown and then had to bounce because he
• 17:56
  got hurt. Damn. So, I'm taking the Cardinals. What are the rest of your stats, Chris? Well,
• 18:02
  let's let Sean go and then we'll come back. I don't, because he might have some stats. I don't
• 18:06
  know. I did have one stat that I saw from Trent Center, but I think it's the one Will just said
• 18:13
  the NFL spread system. Yes. Yes. So, I did have that one, but that's okay. I am also on the Cardinals
• 18:20
  plus seven and a half. Do hate it, but I'm just going to trust the system. That's, that's pretty
• 18:27
  much it. I'm also, yeah, we'll get to it later. We'll come back to this. All right. I got, I got
• 18:36
  another pick, but we'll come back to it. Sounds good. All right. You want my stats? Yeah. Okay. I
• 18:44
  got three. So first one, this is the, the simplest. Kyler Murray is a dog in his career, 26, 16 and two
• 18:51
  against the spread. Now we're getting into the weeds here. Teams who lost by 17 plus points
• 18:57
  is the weak prior versus a team who won by 17 plus points the week prior. The underdog is 113,
• 19:05
  70 and 77 against the spread over the last 20 years, that's 60%. And then teams who lost by 28
• 19:14
  points plus who are four point or more dogs the next week, 115 and 72 against the spread over the
• 19:21
  last 20 years, 62% cover rate. So really trusting the numbers on this one. Give me the Cardinals
• 19:30
  plus seven. Give us all the Cardinals plus seven. Yes. Numbers don't fail me now. Next game, Cowboys
• 19:39
  at Steelers Sunday night football in the Berg Steelers minus two and a half at home.
• 19:51
  I guess I'll go first. I think this game is going to stink. Simple as that. It's Sunday night football.
• 19:57
  Everyone's going to want some things to happen. They're not going to happen. Steelers are going
• 20:06
  to have a get right game here. They're at home. The towels are going to be flying. And the Cowboys,
• 20:14
  there's just something off about them. They're not, they just don't gel. They're not
• 20:18
  gelling right now. They can't really find a groove. And the Steelers defense is elite.
• 20:29
  Like it always is. Anyway, Sean, what do you think?
• 20:36
  Let's go Chris. Let's have Chris go next. I am torn on this game. I would like to hear both
• 20:42
  of y'all's picks before newer. Yeah, let's just, my brain isn't a pretzel on this.
• 20:50
  All right. I'll go then. I don't know how much I'll help you with this because I don't love this
• 20:56
  pick. It feels like a trap. Taking Steelers and I was two and a half. The Cowboys don't look
• 21:04
  right. Their offense just doesn't look like it's clicking. Their offensive line is very young.
• 21:12
  So I think they're coming together as a unit. And I think TJ Watt may be able to get after them.
• 21:17
  And I think Dak might be running for his life. I just, and they're, yeah, everyone, I feel like
• 21:23
  everybody who's worth a damn on their, on the Cowboys defense is hurt. Parsons, Lawrence, and
• 21:30
  who's that other guy? The guy who got all those pick sixes last week or last year.
• 21:35
  I wrote it down. Blaine, Daron Blaine, he's on IR. I just don't,
• 21:39
  I don't think the Cowboys are that good. So I'm, I think the Steelers offense has shown their
• 21:47
  competent this year. So I think they can cover a field goal at home. So Steelers minus two and a
• 21:53
  half. Sean, did that help anything? That's what I had written down with Steelers minus two and a
• 21:59
  half. I do think it's a trap. But if you're riding with it, I'll ride with it. All right.
• 22:05
  I will, I will probably also double dip and go under in this game and Steelers on prime time.
• 22:12
  Seems like free money. So I guess that's my official pick, but I will rock with Steelers
• 22:19
  minus two and a half. Just cause. Okay. Next game, Monday night football saints at the chiefs,
• 22:28
  chiefs favored by five and a half. Chris, what do you think?
• 22:33
  Oh, go to Sean first. I'm looking, I'm looking up something about the Steelers on Sunday night
• 22:37
  football. Okay. Gotcha. Sean, what do you think? I'm going to go saints plus five and a half. Chiefs
• 22:47
  may be four or no, but they have yet to win a game by more than a possession. They're super
• 22:54
  hurt missing a lot of key pieces. This game could be gross. So I like the, I like the,
• 23:04
  I like the saints to kind of hang in there. That's my pick. Will, what you got?
• 23:10
  Honestly, I cannot bet on either of these teams. It feels like every time that I've picked the saints
• 23:19
  to do anything, it just doesn't work. And I feel the same way about the chiefs. I feel like every
• 23:25
  time it's like the chiefs can cover this number or the chiefs can win this game or the chiefs can
• 23:32
  get this over. It just, they're just disappointing and they're super banged up right now. I'm,
• 23:39
  I'm taking the under surprise, surprise. I'm taking a prime time under. It's, I'm just keeping it
• 23:45
  simple. This game is probably going to suck just because of, I mean, they're missing a ton of pieces
• 23:52
  on offense right now at the chiefs. And I mean, their defense is pretty good. I think Trent Mcduffy
• 23:58
  is at their, that one of their, their star corner. Yeah. He's, he's great. He can cover Shahid. Is
• 24:06
  that their number one? No, it's a LaVe. LaVe is number one, but she's too. Yeah. Yeah. I think,
• 24:12
  I think their defense can hang. Their defense isn't banged up, but their offense is. So that's where,
• 24:18
  that's where I think this is really going to the under is going to be a play here.
• 24:24
  And I really don't pay attention to the Saints all that much. So I'm taking you under. Chris.
• 24:29
  All right. First of all, I couldn't find that Steelers Sunday Night Football. I thought I saw
• 24:33
  something like last year or two years ago that said like the Steelers at home were like dominant
• 24:39
  on Sunday Night Football. I could be wrong. I could be thinking like Monday night or just
• 24:43
  something totally different. I don't know. But anyway, I agree. Well, under 43 and a half.
• 24:50
  Yeah. The both offenses kind of just struggling right now. The chiefs being that they're banged
• 24:57
  up. The Saints being that they're just not very good. Yeah. I just, I think it's going to take
• 25:03
  this Saints or sorry, the chiefs, maybe a half or so to kind of get things going without Rashida
• 25:08
  Rice. Obviously, Chaco's hurt. Travis Kelsey has been kind of a non factor so far this season.
• 25:14
  And the Saints just aren't very good. So yes, under 43 and a half. This game is probably going to stink.
• 25:21
  Yes. This game will stink.
• 25:26
  Yeah. Okay. That's it for the main slate. Let's give our surefire picks of the week.
• 25:32
  Double unit guaranteed not to lose picks. Chris, now you go first. I will. I have hit
• 25:41
  two of these in a row. I believe I am now two and two on my surefire picks this season.
• 25:47
  And we are going to go with the Green Bay Packers minus three and a half.
• 25:54
  Jordan Love second half looked pretty good. First half bad. Second half look pretty good.
• 26:01
  I think he finally he's getting back out from his injury. I think he's going to be playing
• 26:06
  really good football. The Rams. I mean, everybody on that team that's kind of like worth a damn is
• 26:12
  her cup in the cooler both on IR. So it's pretty much just Matt Stafford and Kyron Williams and
• 26:20
  Tujo Atwell, I guess. I think the Packers going to shut down Kyron Williams. They have the 11th ranked
• 26:26
  Russia Rush defense in the National Football League. Yeah, I think they have they kind of
• 26:34
  smush them, honestly. And it wouldn't be a surefire pick from Chrissy Stats without some stats,
• 26:42
  both of these from the great people at Trent Center, the NFC North versus fellow NFC teams
• 26:50
  over the last, where is it? Last two seasons. Here we go. 23, 5 and 1 against the spread.
• 26:59
  The Packers kind of been running like, oh, they don't run it because they're not in that division.
• 27:05
  They've been dominating the NFC West 9 and 1 against the spread against that division
• 27:12
  in their last 10. So yes, the Packers minus three and a half to make it three straight surefire
• 27:18
  guaranteed not to lose plays of the week from Chris. Sean, what do you got? Well, I teased it
• 27:25
  earlier when we were talking about the Cardinals Ravens game or Cardinals 49ers game, excuse me.
• 27:32
  But it's under 49 and a half. I have never wanted to hammer an under faster in my life.
• 27:41
  This is just one of those games where you have a feeling about it, you know, like it's like the
• 27:47
  Cardinals past four weeks, they might as well put no one out there on defense because all they do is
• 27:53
  give up touchdowns. But and that was very apparent for the Bills Rams and the Manders game. But the
• 28:00
  49ers have been struggling heavily on offense, especially without CMC. I mean, Brandon I you
• 28:07
  is getting two catches in two games. You just paid him $87 million. He's not getting the ball. I think
• 28:17
  this is a trap for overbetters. And I do think this will be sweaty. But divisional matchup 49ers
• 28:27
  two and two on the under over Cardinals one and three. Don't overthink it. Just trust your gut.
• 28:33
  Lay the under will. What you got. So my surefire pick. I mentioned it earlier. It is
• 28:47
  the Cowboys Steelers under 44. This game is going to stink. Or it'll be exciting if you really like
• 28:55
  defense. Either way. That's I mean, that's it. Like Sunday Night Football has just been horrendous
• 29:03
  this year from my recent memory of two days of three days ago. So I'm I love the Steelers
• 29:13
  unders. Even though this the last Steelers under did not hit. And it made me incredibly sad. It almost hit. So yay.
• 29:27
  It's like it'll work this time. And that's why it's my double unit play. It's the it's the Steelers
• 29:35
  boys under. I'm I feel like this is just going to be a strong showing. I feel like I feel like
• 29:42
  maybe the Cowboys could try and do a push somewhere in the middle and then they just play Renegade.
• 29:49
  And it'll be electric for the people in the in the in the stadium in the Berg. So I'm taking the
• 29:58
  Steelers under 44. Prime time under. There we go. What's the Cowboys record right now? They won in
• 30:06
  three. They're two and two. Two and two. Okay. Because it'd be the Browns. Oh yeah, they'd be the
• 30:15
  Giants. Forgot about that. Yeah. Moving on. We are done with the Surefire picks. Double unit plays
• 30:23
  guaranteed to win. Now we'll do the extra plays extra plays extra plays. I'm going to go first
• 30:31
  because I think Chris probably has a lot because I only have two. No, no, I'm just used to it.
• 30:38
  Anyway, I'm also on the Packers. Jordan Love last week had a game very similar to Brett Farth
• 30:49
  through for three touchdowns through for three picks. I don't know over 300 yards.
• 30:56
  I don't know. But I think the Rams just absolutely suck right now. They got they can they can't really
• 31:03
  get anything going. I'm taking the Packers the Packers they they got to string some wins together.
• 31:08
  So so they don't have to go back to Malik. Anyway, one with Malik to two and two and two. Yeah,
• 31:18
  that's right. So I'm taking the Rams and then I'm taking a stinky stinky
• 31:25
  stinky stinky pick. Raiders Broncos under 36. Give that to me all day. Devante Adams,
• 31:35
  probably not going to play this game might get traded. We will see. If he gets traded to one of
• 31:42
  these teams that we've already talked about, might change the pick might not. We will see
• 31:48
  under 36 Raiders Broncos that game is going to stink. Give me that all day. And those are my picks.
• 32:01
  Sean, what do you got? I've got a couple more. These are all brought to you by the
• 32:07
  Trent Center since I am in Colorado. And I did not have time to research a lot. But
• 32:13
  these are proven by science. I do have one that isn't from Trent Center and that's the Jags minus
• 32:19
  three. I don't know what it is, but I'm pretty sure Indy hasn't won in Jacksonville since like
• 32:26
  2014. So I'm going to take them to cover here. Just keep this streak rolling. I love it. And the
• 32:33
  rest of the plays from the Trent Center. There's a play for two plays for Dolphins plus one, but
• 32:39
  I'm just going to take a money line. Taking the Browns plus three and a half. Raiders plus two
• 32:45
  and a half. That game will be gross. That will be a literal two point victory from either team.
• 32:52
  And then Packers Rams over 48 and a half. Love that over. Chris, what else you got?
• 33:01
  All right. I've only got three. So suck it, Will. No, I just, well, we talked about six games. I feel
• 33:09
  like nine bets in a day is normal. No, you're right. I just figured you would have more.
• 33:17
  No, I've only got three and they all stink. Raiders Broncos under 36 and also Dolphins
• 33:24
  Pats under 36 and a half. In my notes, I just have written next to both of them. Both offenses suck.
• 33:32
  So bet the under and both. I was surprised. Honestly, it feels weird to say this about 36 and a half.
• 33:39
  I was surprised the Dolphins Patriots total was so high. I thought it would be like 32.
• 33:44
  What is it? 36 and a half. Okay.
• 33:49
  You're telling me five touchdowns are going to be scoring this game? I don't see it. No.
• 33:55
  And then also, yes, Jags minus three. I forgot about that stat that I don't think the Colts
• 34:02
  of one in Jacksonville since the Obama administration. That's my card.
• 34:09
  And also, I have written down just why the hell
• 34:18
  is Jacksonville a three point favorite against anybody, but against anybody right now.
• 34:24
  Exactly. It makes no sense. So yeah, it's three stinky plays for the rest of them, but that's the card.
• 34:33
  Maybe it's the Joe Flacco effect. That will change. If he's, is Anthony Richardson going to play?
• 34:41
  I doubt it. I don't know. See, that makes me nervous. Flacco, man. He had them boys rolling last week.
• 34:52
  He ruined that under for me. Yeah, he did. I didn't bet on a Joe Flacco under. I bet on Anthony
• 34:57
  Richardson under. Tony needs to get his ass out of there. We're back out there. Did you see?
• 35:05
  We weren't, I wasn't watching. I guess we weren't as a show watching that game closer.
• 35:12
  We shot Red Zone going. Apparently he went out like earlier in the game and he came back in.
• 35:20
  First play was a designed run. Yeah, like, I mean, that's stupid. That's so stupid. Like,
• 35:27
  you get hurt and you sit out for two plays, you come back in and you rush the QV. Like,
• 35:35
  you expect him to not get hurt again? Yeah, they were asking for it. Yeah. That was like, that was
• 35:44
  mean. That was very mean. I can't believe they did to him like that. That's, uh,
• 35:53
  whatever. Yeah, whatever. Okay. Are there any other things that have happened in
• 36:05
  since last week? I mean, we as Titans fans need to ask the question,
• 36:12
  will Levus or Mason Rudolph? I mean, it's, it will be will.
• 36:18
  Yeah, it's kind of like, what do you, what do you gain when you get Rudolph?
• 36:28
  That's what I was thinking. Like, where do you want to be at the end of the season?
• 36:33
  If you want to win games, I think will Levus is probably better as long as he figures out not
• 36:39
  to throw a game away. But if you also want to lose games, have will Levus throw the game away?
• 36:46
  I don't know. Seems kind of like a win-win unless they go 500, which would be awful.
• 36:54
  But I just, um, sorry, Kat ran in here startled me.
• 37:02
  I just, the scene, we're not going to do anything special this year.
• 37:07
  Let Levus try to figure it out. I feel like with Rudolph, we win seven games.
• 37:16
  I feel like that's kind of seven to eight, which like, okay, cool. We get like the 15th pick.
• 37:23
  I'd say you just let Levus go back out there, try to figure it out. If he doesn't, okay,
• 37:29
  we're a top five-ish pick. Maybe we should get another quarterback. I don't know. I,
• 37:34
  I don't really see it like, I mean, Rudolph, yes, he played well last or on Monday. I mean,
• 37:42
  he didn't really, like, he's not anything special. If he was, he would not have been a third-string
• 37:46
  quarterback going into training camp this year. I just don't, I think, let, I'm, this isn't even
• 37:54
  like a, I'm a will-levus guy now. This isn't like a, hey, we can still make the playoffs with him.
• 38:00
  It's like, no, let him try to figure it out. If anything, it'll just be comically entertaining
• 38:06
  because we'll have us as the most entertaining football player in the world right now.
• 38:10
  He's on a four-week meme streak. He's on a generational run.
• 38:14
  He, like, say what you will. Love him or hate him, you watched.
• 38:18
  Yeah. Every, every week. I didn't think that there'd be another one of him just
• 38:29
  in the stank phase. He looked like he was pooping his pants in that, in that the picture doesn't do
• 38:37
  justice. It's the video that's like, you're, you're taking a shit in your pants.
• 38:43
  You're pooping your pants. And it's like, I don't want to be mean because he was making that face
• 38:46
  because he was like in pain, but like, text in our group chat when he did that. I said,
• 38:52
  stop making goofy ass faces. Like, suck if you want to suck. That's, I mean, whatever.
• 38:59
  But just stop doing the hands on the head and stop being weird. Just be bad. If you're,
• 39:09
  if you're going to be bad, just be bad. Don't be bad and a goofball.
• 39:13
  Right. I mean, yeah, I mean, I don't really know who I want. It's, I mean, it's, it's going to be
• 39:25
  Will if he's healthy. And that's just it. And I think, yeah, just try and figure it out, I guess.
• 39:34
  I mean, you're, you should have had this figured out a while ago, but keep trying, bud. I'm rooting
• 39:40
  for you. I am. I don't want to see you fail, but yeah, I want to see him win. Yeah, I want to see
• 39:46
  you win. But like, my man, you've got to figure it out fast. I also just feel it's way too early to
• 39:53
  just give up on him. Yeah, I know. You are giving up on him and I mean, I played a full season.
• 39:59
  That's, I don't care who it is. If you haven't played a full season, that's ridiculous.
• 40:05
  And then really the reality of the NFL now, like you quarterbacks don't get
• 40:12
  very long chains anymore. Like they don't get, they don't get what Marcus Mario to got. He got
• 40:21
  five years. Didn't work out. Still never moved on from him. But now it's like, oh, two years.
• 40:29
  No, you're just not cutting it. It's like, you don't get, you don't get that five, four, three, four,
• 40:34
  five years anymore. It's, I mean, they know what you are. I mean, if we, like if he comes back
• 40:41
  and he's healthy and he plays the full season and he's like week seven or week 18, he's still doing
• 40:47
  this mean shit every game, then yeah, maybe we move on. But like, I think just to do that in week,
• 40:54
  whatever week five of his second season when he didn't play at all, or didn't play the first half
• 41:01
  of the season last year, I think it's just way too soon to be like, all right, yeah, this guy sucks.
• 41:04
  Let's move on. Yeah, it's all when he did show flashes last year of being a good quarterback.
• 41:11
  It's not like he's been asked the entire time. I know. Yeah, that's, that's what is such a bummer.
• 41:17
  Willis, which I guess that didn't age well. Yeah, fuck us, right? It's also like, you don't really
• 41:26
  want to put another new quarterback behind this line until we fix it. Like, it's like, I don't know.
• 41:37
  What if Will Levis had like, time to like, think? I don't know. He needs it. Just he needs it. He
• 41:48
  clearly needs it. And I mean, like, I mean, when I don't have time in college football 25,
• 41:54
  I throw picks all the time. I am Will Levis. Are the exact same, yes.
• 42:01
  Kind of.
• 42:08
  I think he has a massive hog. And mine is fine.
• 42:17
  Anyway, yep.
• 42:24
  What are we talking about? Other things. Devonte Adams might be traded.
• 42:28
  Shocker. Jets. Jets or?
• 42:34
  And Garrett Wilson's gonna be pissed. He goes to the Jets. He's already like kind of pissed off
• 42:42
  because he doesn't get any targets. But yeah, Garrett Wilson would be pissed.
• 42:47
  I'd really like for Garrett Wilson to be targeted more because I do have that future of him
• 42:53
  hitting over a thousand yards again or 1100. As a Garrett Wilson fantasy owner,
• 43:00
  I would also like for him to do more because he hasn't done Dick all all season.
• 43:09
  Yeah, that would be a Jared Goff has more touchdowns,
• 43:13
  receiving touchdowns than Garrett Wilson. He hasn't caught one yet. I thought he had one.
• 43:18
  I don't think so. I'll check. I mean, that wouldn't be shocking if he didn't.
• 43:25
  Yeah. I feel like the NFL is forcing us to watch the Jets a lot this year.
• 43:29
  Well, yeah. And Rod, they forced us to watch it. Watch them last year.
• 43:35
  Yeah. Nobody was on that team. I have a feeling that he hasn't caught one. He's got one.
• 43:42
  Okay. Well, him and Jared Goff are tied for receiving touchdowns.
• 43:49
  And that just doesn't really sit right with me.
• 43:52
  There was a list, though, that I saw about who has more or who has less receiving touchdowns than
• 44:00
  it was Jared Goff. Travis Kelsey. Yeah. Kelsey, Ayuk, LaPorta.
• 44:06
  Yeah. A couple other guys. Garrett has one, so obviously he wouldn't be on that list.
• 44:13
  A couple other guys that who were like big names. I was like, oh, God, we're going into week five,
• 44:19
  guys. Like, damn. Quarter of the season's over. I don't say that. Sorry. What's wrong with you?
• 44:30
  Sorry. I got caught up in it. My glass of milk is half full.
• 44:41
  Or tap into. Yeah, we're already on week five, man. The season's pretty much over.
• 44:47
  All right, cool. Let's see other things. Hockey starts next week.
• 44:55
  Oh, there it starts. Friday. Yeah, Friday. Oh, sorry. The international games.
• 45:07
  What? They count? Yeah, I guess. Yeah, they count. Rangers Islanders.
• 45:14
  Or no, sorry. It's a devil's sabers. I don't even know. Pretty sure it's a sabers and someone
• 45:23
  thought it was a devil's. Yeah, devil's sabers. Starts next week for the predators, brother.
• 45:32
  Sir, predators. October 9th or eight. We better be a wagon, man. Yeah, that'd be a 10th.
• 45:41
  That'd be great. Oh, we played the stars game one. That's like kind of our biggest opponent
• 45:48
  right now other than the abs. So come out hot. I know you guys aren't keeping up with the preseason,
• 45:55
  but they just can't stop scoring goals. There we go. And it's awesome.
• 46:01
  Well, we're in the cup. I'm sold. I mean, I have this delusion in my head that we will,
• 46:08
  but at the same time, it's not really delusion. It could very much happen.
• 46:14
  I just want to be like, I mean, it's possible. Yeah, it's definitely possible.
• 46:22
  I just want to make like a playoff run. That's yeah. If that doesn't happen, then yeah,
• 46:27
  this has been a huge waste. I want to relive the summer of 2016.
• 46:34
  I'm chasing that dragon ever since. Well, I guess ever since the Titans went to the SC championship.
• 46:40
  I mean, the the Preds run lasted a lot longer. So it was more of like a high like every week.
• 46:53
  Yeah, they played like that. It wasn't such a good mood. They played for like three months.
• 46:58
  And I was just in such a good mood unless they lost. And then I was not okay.
• 47:03
  I was going to say there are a couple of games where I was not in a good mood.
• 47:07
  Yeah. Towards the end there, I was not having fun, but whatever.
• 47:14
  Yeah. I can't wait. Can't wait. Hockey's back.
• 47:20
  Preds should be more of a wagon than last year. Definitely.
• 47:27
  So it's a high bar. Yeah.
• 47:29
  Yeah. We got the coach. We got the picks. We got...
• 47:36
  We don't really have a lot of cap space, but we can make it. We actually spend all of our money.
• 47:41
  Yeah. We can make that shit happen. Get the Johansson contract out of here.
• 47:49
  Finally. Which might might be happening. I don't know.
• 47:52
  Probably. That's a tricky situation. NHL followed agree events for it.
• 48:00
  That the Flyers will probably have to pay it.
• 48:05
  Which means that he's owed the other part of his contract as well, which comes from us.
• 48:11
  So I doubt that we're getting that back on them. On the cap.
• 48:17
  He didn't show up.
• 48:18
  Why is he getting money for not showing up?
• 48:27
  I don't know. Maybe I read it wrong. Because that doesn't sound right then.
• 48:33
  I mean, that's what happened at the end of last year anyway.
• 48:38
  Okay. Are we done?
• 48:40
  I suppose.
• 48:44
  Is there anything else? I feel like I'm missing something.
• 48:46
  Oh, RIP Pete Rose and the Can Bay Mutombo.
• 48:53
  And what a day.
• 48:55
  Yeah. That was rough.
• 48:56
  What a day that was.
• 49:00
  So is he going to go in the Hall of Fame now?
• 49:05
  Part of me kind of just hopes not because it's kind of a dick move to just do it immediately
• 49:13
  after he dies. Like you're going to do it maybe wait a couple years to kind of like
• 49:18
  won't be as big a dick. I just think to leave him out honestly.
• 49:22
  Like we're not really accomplishing anything. Everyone knows he should be in.
• 49:27
  Like it's not going to really going to validate anything at this point.
• 49:31
  Kind of like Bonds?
• 49:33
  Yeah. Well, Bonds isn't dead. So that's the only thing.
• 49:37
  Bonds getting it was still being something awesome. I mean, it would be huge for the steroid guys,
• 49:41
  but also like, I don't know. I feel like just if they haven't done it already, just don't do it
• 49:49
  with Pete. It's just.
• 49:53
  Yeah. And I think he said like what he was asked like, do you like after you died,
• 49:58
  you think you'll get in? I think he said he didn't want to.
• 50:01
  Because like if he's not alive to like experience it, what's the point?
• 50:06
  And I kind of get that. Yeah. Hell makes sense. I mean.
• 50:17
  One of the all time great gambler. Maybe not great. All time gambler. So
• 50:24
  I feel like as a gambling podcast, we'd be remissed if we didn't mention that.
• 50:29
  Yeah. He was a big fan. He was a big fan of the show.
• 50:34
  I'm sure. Yeah. Okay. All right. I'm going to wrap it up then. Okay. Thank you so much for this
• 50:45
  thing of watching. We really appreciate it. Check out the Trend Center, link in the bio,
• 50:50
  the greatest tool for sports betters of all time. Analyze your bets with trends based on science,
• 50:58
  numbers, and history. You can follow those trends in an upward motion and make some money.
• 51:09
  It's helped me with my bankroll. I'll tell you that much. And also check out our other socials.
• 51:16
  Link is in the bio for that. Bandit hit is Thursday night pick last week.
• 51:23
  Disgusting. One time I fade them. Yeah.
• 51:25
  Yeah. Disgusting manner. That was that was brutal. He's doing one on the spread.
• 51:34
  I hate the people who have been betting for like a year who go on Twitter after a game like that.
• 51:40
  And like, oh, the NFL is obviously rigged for that shit like that. But there was part of me
• 51:45
  when he missed that kick. Yeah, I mean, that was fucking rigged. I mean, he has never missed a 50
• 51:53
  plus kick. And that's the game he misses it on just to cover. I'm like, bro, you've got to be
• 52:00
  shitting me. Yeah, like, obviously, it's not rigged. But like, when it happened, I was like,
• 52:08
  the shit's fucking rigged. Sometimes those bad beats, they'll get you thinking like that.
• 52:15
  Yeah, they'll get you with your tinfoil hat on. And they'll get you thinking.
• 52:20
  Sometimes my dick right now.
• 52:26
  That's exactly what I said. Yes.
• 52:30
  How do they know, man? Anyway,
• 52:34
  Ben, it's two and one against the spread past three weeks. Check that out.
• 52:41
  He probably doesn't have a parlay out this week. He's a
• 52:46
  He's had to go into hiding because he hasn't got one right. Yeah, yeah, that's it. Yeah.
• 52:54
  I started that. He's safe, though. I've been talking with you.
• 53:02
  Yeah, make it very clear. He's not in any action. He's at a safe house. He's good.
• 53:07
  Yeah, he's fine. He hasn't been paying his bucky.
• 53:10
  He's a lay low for a week.
• 53:17
  I started that sentence without knowing where to go. Anyway, check that shit out. Link is in the bio.
• 53:26
  Yeah, thanks for listening and watching. Please like, comment, subscribe really helps out our
• 53:29
  reach. We'll see you next time. There's three of us. Now let's make some money.
• 53:42
  What the hell is that?
• 53:44
  And I've done it.
• 53:52
  Bring a little player to the end.
• 53:56
  Damn it.