Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS | 6/03/25 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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MLB DFS | 6/03/25 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:09
  Speaker 1: All systems going clear, were lifting.
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: What is going on?
• 0:41
  Speaker 3: Shipping Nation YouTube station. We're back here Tuesday. Massive contest
• 0:45
  Speaker 3: tonight in the DraftKings Lobby. We got a one eleven,
• 0:49
  Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty k to first. We got a
• 0:51
  Speaker 3: nine to twenty live final qualifier. Tons of other massive
• 0:54
  Speaker 3: contests here, and we got a massive slate here and
• 0:57
  Speaker 3: kind of we're talking g rising headed.
• 1:00
  Speaker 4: I'm here.
• 1:00
  Speaker 3: This is probably the trickiest slate I've seen all season long.
• 1:04
  Speaker 3: Pitching is pretty spread out, hitting is is spread out.
• 1:09
  Speaker 3: It's a pretty wide open slate here. I think it's
• 1:11
  Speaker 3: gonna be a pretty low scoring slate overall. Personally, is
• 1:15
  Speaker 3: kind of how I see it. Obviously, things can change
• 1:18
  Speaker 3: in a hurry, right, Slay can get flipped on its
• 1:20
  Speaker 3: head in a hurry. There is a lot of high
• 1:22
  Speaker 3: powered offenses, right, the Yankees, the Phillies, You got the
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: d Backs on the slate, right, the Braves, I mean,
• 1:27
  Speaker 3: you got the Dodgers and the Mets late night hammer
• 1:29
  Speaker 3: out there. And then obviously you got that game in
• 1:32
  Speaker 3: Sacramento right with wind blown out, super warm there, Minor
• 1:35
  Speaker 3: League Ballpark, and that stadium just continues to produce runs.
• 1:40
  Speaker 4: We'll break it all down, we'll talk through it. Hit
• 1:42
  Speaker 4: that like button, hit that subscribe button.
• 1:43
  Speaker 3: Helps us out a ton gee rise and happy Tuesday, brother,
• 1:46
  Speaker 3: bring you in right away. You got your Tigers gear on.
• 1:48
  Speaker 3: I got my Brewers gear on here Tiger Brewers, eight
• 1:51
  Speaker 3: straight Tigers put a slacking on the white Sox last night.
• 1:54
  Speaker 3: You didn't have Kerry Bonds. It was closed the laptop
• 1:57
  Speaker 3: and move on, thirty trip. You gotta love to see that.
• 2:01
  Speaker 3: If you had him, if you faded him, like myself,
• 2:04
  Speaker 3: it didn't matter what you got right because you weren't.
• 2:06
  Speaker 3: You weren't making any money there. But what's going on?
• 2:08
  Speaker 4: Brother? Happy Tuesday.
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a nice day out here in Michigan. I
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: know where everybody else where you're at. But man, it's
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: like we used up one of our ten nice days
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: of the year here in Michigan. It's it's a beauty.
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: Yesterday was really nice too. Got to get out and
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: have a little fun golfing. But uh yeah, I mean
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: it's always fun breaking down some baseball. I've been seeing
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: all them ship at names up there in the uh
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: in the spotlight, which we like to see, you know.
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: I always like to look at that weekly tweet that
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: goes out.
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: That breaks down all our big winners and big one
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: thirty six k on top up there we had one
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: hundred k. I saw our main man. It was shunting
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: Shank or who I forgot what his name. I saw
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: him the discord at ten K last night. Congrats to you.
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: But uh, yeah, I mean, uh, great times, I mean
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: good times. We you know, got some golf.
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: I saw our man hoop. I mean, the dude just
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: keeps shipping fifty k. It's, you know, like it's his job.
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: But I guess it would be. I mean, I guess
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: if you want to look at it that way. Needs
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, hey, we got a good slate.
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: Like you said, it's kind of a tricky one. I
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: think today literally is play what you like and not
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: really be too concerned about any kind of uh ownership issues.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: I think really the only ownership we're gonna really see
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: is probably a Twins because they got that high team total,
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: as you said, win blown out Oakland, A's fucking bullpens sucks.
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: And then we got uh, we got a couple of
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: pitchers that'll probably get a little ron Do and Strider,
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: and uh, we'll probably see a little Hunter Green get
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: mixed in a little bit there. So I mean other
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: than that, I mean, I think it's pretty spread out.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: They're really uh I mean, we haven't seen this late
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: like this in a while without you know, where the
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: masses are going, so kind of interesting break it down.
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: I think we'll have some fun. But uh yeah, let's
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: see what happens here tonight. I think it's gonna be
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: a good one.
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: Like I said, I think today's the night that uh,
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: you know, I like to maybe mix up a few
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: extra teams and instead of one, just because I think
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: it's gonna it's so widespread tonight.
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: So it's gonna be a fun one.
• 4:06
  Speaker 3: Yeah, it's definitely kind of a more mm night for
• 4:09
  Speaker 3: me myself personally. Typically I play one of two teams.
• 4:13
  Speaker 3: I'm probably gonna play a couple of different teams tonight.
• 4:15
  Speaker 3: I think I have four or five tickets in that
• 4:18
  Speaker 3: one eleven tournament tonight that I won over the last
• 4:21
  Speaker 3: couple weeks and month or so, so looking forward to that.
• 4:25
  Speaker 3: Hopefully maybe I can get all the way up to
• 4:27
  Speaker 3: the top, right on our my own grand pops right
• 4:30
  Speaker 3: looking down on me, little little Guardian angel over the
• 4:33
  Speaker 3: shoulder here and see if I can't get all the
• 4:35
  Speaker 3: way home one hundred and fifty stacks up top. So
• 4:37
  Speaker 3: that's gonna be my main focus here, and you nailed
• 4:40
  Speaker 3: it right. Ownership on this slate pretty spread out. I mean,
• 4:43
  Speaker 3: Twins obviously in terms of bats, are gonna pick up
• 4:46
  Speaker 3: some steam, but it's not gonna be like a course field,
• 4:49
  Speaker 3: right with the padres and course field with a eight
• 4:51
  Speaker 3: implied run total and thirty forty fifty percent ownership. I
• 4:55
  Speaker 3: mean some of the Twins guys might might push twenty percent.
• 4:59
  Speaker 3: I don't even think they come in is popular. There's
• 5:01
  Speaker 3: what some of the Tigers were last night, personally myself,
• 5:04
  Speaker 3: with so many teams on the slate and so many
• 5:06
  Speaker 3: high implied run totals.
• 5:08
  Speaker 4: Right, we got Fenway with good weather there. Obviously we
• 5:11
  Speaker 4: got great.
• 5:11
  Speaker 3: American small park, two solid pitchers there, but it's still
• 5:14
  Speaker 3: almost a nine total in that one with Hunter Green
• 5:16
  Speaker 3: and Freddie Perulta on the mound. That just shows you
• 5:18
  Speaker 3: what the weather's like. It's it's hotter than balls outside
• 5:21
  Speaker 3: here in Wisconsin, so I'm sure it's that same way
• 5:23
  Speaker 3: there in Chicago. Right from what I'm seeing, I mean,
• 5:27
  Speaker 3: it's just humid, is can be. I know it's really
• 5:30
  Speaker 3: humid out there in Saint Louis with two pretty bad
• 5:33
  Speaker 3: pitchers overall there, and then obviously, yeah, massive total out
• 5:36
  Speaker 3: in Sacramento there.
• 5:37
  Speaker 4: We'll do our best to break it all down there
• 5:40
  Speaker 4: and we'll dive right in here.
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: Say hi to a couple of people, emm and Hollow
• 5:45
  Speaker 3: and chet Ricky Rose, Brian, Jake Swales, Camden Man, Big Eddie,
• 5:49
  Speaker 3: Jason Turner, everybody appreciate you guys tuning in and hit
• 5:52
  Speaker 3: that like Bud hit that subscribe button. And yeah, I
• 5:54
  Speaker 3: got to give a shout out to schwink Bob in
• 5:57
  Speaker 3: the discord.
• 5:57
  Speaker 2: Yeah it's chick Bob. I couldn't remember the other Yeah.
• 6:00
  Speaker 3: His his DraftKings handle is ruin Man. Fifteen dollars into
• 6:05
  Speaker 3: ten k. He threw three bullets used the slate plan.
• 6:09
  Speaker 3: Listened to me and title on the show yesterday. If
• 6:11
  Speaker 3: you listen to the show overall, it was pretty nails.
• 6:15
  Speaker 3: Slate plan was pretty nails as well, And uh yeah,
• 6:18
  Speaker 3: turn fifteen bucks into ten k. In the secondary five
• 6:21
  Speaker 3: dollars contest, not the main one that filled. He's jumped
• 6:24
  Speaker 3: in the secondary one, which was a little bit smaller
• 6:26
  Speaker 3: entry field I think there's nine thousand people or something
• 6:28
  Speaker 3: in that contest five bucks and turned fifteen bucks three
• 6:32
  Speaker 3: entries into ten k. So congrats to him, Congrats to
• 6:35
  Speaker 3: all the other winners. I've seen tons of screenshots all
• 6:38
  Speaker 3: throughout the night last night. I know Shloub had himself
• 6:40
  Speaker 3: a pretty solid night as well, had kind of a
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: late runout that costed him six figures. But outside of that,
• 6:48
  Speaker 3: looking forward to kind of rolling it over here tonight,
• 6:50
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna go ahead and pull our partner Saber Siam
• 6:53
  Speaker 3: up on the screen like we always do here too,
• 6:57
  Speaker 3: talk through pitching. I got the dry run, and I
• 7:00
  Speaker 3: got the drive run, and exposures here up on the screen,
• 7:03
  Speaker 3: filtered by projected score. So this is just straight projections,
• 7:06
  Speaker 3: no sabersim or no Saber score, nothing like that. Right,
• 7:10
  Speaker 3: They're proprietary metric there and you see it, right, Rodan Striider,
• 7:14
  Speaker 3: Hunter Green, everyone else besides that is kind of I mean,
• 7:18
  Speaker 3: play who you want right even with those three. I mean,
• 7:20
  Speaker 3: you filter this ownership here to even high stakes right
• 7:24
  Speaker 3: high stakes single entry stuff. I mean, some of these
• 7:26
  Speaker 3: guys aren't even pushing over thirty percent, right, Rodin Strider,
• 7:29
  Speaker 3: whether you want to believe it or not, I do
• 7:31
  Speaker 3: think they come in slightly higher than that.
• 7:32
  Speaker 4: But that just shows you that how spread out this
• 7:35
  Speaker 4: slate is going to be in terms of ownership.
• 7:37
  Speaker 3: So it is a slate play who you want, play
• 7:39
  Speaker 3: who you like, and I think it's definitely an intriguing
• 7:43
  Speaker 3: one for sure. So that takes me into pitching. Let's
• 7:47
  Speaker 3: go eight king above g Rising. You got Zach Gallon
• 7:49
  Speaker 3: down there at eight K. Pretty tough matchup, really hot
• 7:53
  Speaker 3: in Atlanta is well there, he's been brutal, his walks
• 7:57
  Speaker 3: have come tremendously up this year from what they currently are.
• 8:01
  Speaker 4: His strikeout stuff is down.
• 8:02
  Speaker 3: You got George Kirby in that pitcher's ballpark there against
• 8:06
  Speaker 3: that O's team, who have not been good all season long.
• 8:10
  Speaker 3: And then at the top right you got Rodon, You
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: got a Hunter Green, two guys that are gonna get played,
• 8:15
  Speaker 3: and then Spencer Strider right eighty five hundred. You think
• 8:18
  Speaker 3: back right we were paying I remember paying twelve five
• 8:22
  Speaker 3: thirteen K for Spencer Strider right. Obviously he's dealt with injuries,
• 8:25
  Speaker 3: He's got a pretty tough matchup overall with the d Backs.
• 8:27
  Speaker 3: But man, this could be the cheapest price point you
• 8:30
  Speaker 3: see Spencer Strider at ever in his career, so hit
• 8:34
  Speaker 3: on this on the slate.
• 8:36
  Speaker 4: I think it's a pretty loaded pitching slate overall.
• 8:38
  Speaker 3: There's a lot of guys in general, and if you
• 8:41
  Speaker 3: have a lean where you're going here at the top range.
• 8:44
  Speaker 4: Eight came above.
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: Yeah, we definitely got some loaded pitching, that's for sure.
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: I mean we got what six dudes over twenty twenty
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: four percent strikeout percentage run down Peralta, Green, Strider and Sanchez.
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: But starting from the bottom there at ak Zach Gellin,
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: he's broken or something.
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: I don't know what's going on with him.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: I'm not even gonna be too concerned that dude's just
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: been a mess all season. Looking at his game log,
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: he's just been just got.
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: Awful one point eight points, three point seven points his
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: last four starts. That's an easy pass for me.
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: George Kirby, I think he's broken again himself. I mean
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: he's getting beat up. As that last start he gave
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: him three home runs. He's given up eleven earned runs
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: since he's come back from an injury. I think it's
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: still kind of like his spring training basically. So Kirby
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: for me is I mean, if he was George Kirby
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: last year, i'd be interested in him at this price here,
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: but he's just not been the same. Matter of fact,
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: I think i'd rather go against George Kirby today till
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: he proves it that he can kind of somewhat straighten
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: it out. You got mcgil who we've been using quite
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: a bit in recent times. I don't mind mc gill,
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: but I mean his last two starts, he's at solid
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: twenty points, twenty five points. It's gone, has been, the
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: pitch has been there one hundred his last start out.
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: I do like that he's had six sixteen k's and
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: his last ten innings, So I don't mind some McGill,
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: but I mean that's a pretty tough matchup obviously with
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers, So that's that's that's a tough poll too.
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: And then you do have Strider.
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: I do like that his pitch count's been going up
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: LITTI at ninety at seventy five two starts to go.
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: He's got ninety his last start, which I do like.
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: He did have seven k's against a against the Philly team,
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: a good Philly team. So I mean Spencer Strider, as
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: you mentioned, I think he's kind of the wild card,
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: the mystery card here. I mean he's eighty five hundred.
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: I mean he could literally come out and nuke the slate.
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: I mean he was a guy last year you pretty
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: much had to have, you know, he was pretty much
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: gonna throw up a thirty burger, a fifty burger over
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: on FanDuel pretty much almost every time he started.
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: So I think he's he's an interesting one.
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: But hey again, he doesn't have the best matchup against
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: a d back team, so definitely a little concern there. Molly,
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: I think, I mean, you got you know, you got
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: warm weather down there in Tampa. I think, Molly, he'd
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: be out for me. I just I'm just not too
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: big of a fan there. Peralta against Cincinnati. I think
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: that's just way too risky. We don't like the park
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: down there. Peralta, I think could get beat up today.
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: It's possible. Lopez, I think is I think he's just
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: an average kind of block play. Did get beat up
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: last time out, only had three k's. The strikeouts haven't
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: really been there, I think Lopez, I mean he's interesting
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: because the A's haven't really been hitting. I think he's
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: just like a pivot to some of these guys here
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: up top. But I'm just I mean, I'm gonna stick
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: with Green and Redon. Really, I think Redon is probably
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: the safest play against the Cleveland team, whose strikeouts have
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: been creeping up. You know, from the past years here,
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: we've seen Cleveland doesn't really hit lefties.
• 11:49
  Speaker 2: All that well. So definitely Redon for me would be
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: the safest play, but you're gonna pay for him obviously.
• 11:55
  Speaker 2: Ten three. Hunter Green, I think is the one that's interesting.
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: He had a a couple bad starts two recent times,
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: but everything still seems to line up as velocity. Everything's there.
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: I do like me some Hunter Green today. I think
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: he would be my more of like a tournament play
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: for me. But I think the safest play is Redon.
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, you can't you can't overlook that the guy's
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: been pitching very well. I mean he said, what ten
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: k's eight kse five ks ten k's. I mean he's
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: been there one hundred and five hundred and five hundred
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: and two pitches. So everything lines up for Redon to
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: be the the sp one for me. But Hunter Green
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: is definitely one A in my opinion.
• 12:34
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I.
• 12:36
  Speaker 3: Echo a lot of what you said to some extent, right,
• 12:41
  Speaker 3: which is definitely fine, right. Obviously we all have our
• 12:43
  Speaker 3: own takes. You are very sharp in your own right.
• 12:47
  Speaker 3: I agree with you in Carlos Ordono number one, he's
• 12:50
  Speaker 3: my sp one on the slate. Looking at Cleveland, this
• 12:52
  Speaker 3: Cleveland team is not the same.
• 12:53
  Speaker 4: As last year.
• 12:54
  Speaker 3: Looking at the last thirty days versus left handed pitching,
• 12:56
  Speaker 3: this Cleveland team is a thirty two per k rate
• 12:59
  Speaker 3: against left d Rodin Ben Salid all year right around
• 13:03
  Speaker 3: twenty nine percent k rate to both sides of the
• 13:05
  Speaker 3: plate here. Should have run support there. It is pretty
• 13:08
  Speaker 3: hot and decent hitting conditions in Yankee Stadium, but it's
• 13:11
  Speaker 3: probably about seventh best on the slate in terms of
• 13:14
  Speaker 3: overall hitting conditions, which is absolutely wild to say, right
• 13:18
  Speaker 3: when when you're talking Yankee Stadium and you're talking June baseball,
• 13:22
  Speaker 3: typically that's going to be spot we want to go to.
• 13:24
  Speaker 3: But that just speaks volume to what these other spots
• 13:27
  Speaker 3: across the board here tonight are for hitting overall. So
• 13:31
  Speaker 3: I do like Carlos Roddon number one is my favorite
• 13:34
  Speaker 3: pitcher on the slate. I think Rodan and Strider is
• 13:37
  Speaker 3: going to be a really popular combo. When I ran
• 13:39
  Speaker 3: the dry run, it was given me about seventy five
• 13:41
  Speaker 3: percent Rodon, which makes sense for sure.
• 13:43
  Speaker 4: I'm kind of in line with that.
• 13:45
  Speaker 3: And then the secondary sp two option, it was going
• 13:48
  Speaker 3: to be Spencer Strider at that price point. I have
• 13:51
  Speaker 3: significant concern with Spencer Strider for a couple reasons. Number One,
• 13:55
  Speaker 3: Arizona over the last thirty days against right handed pitching
• 13:58
  Speaker 3: seventeen percent k rate, only two bats above twenty percent strikeouts,
• 14:02
  Speaker 3: and that's Alec Thomas and Pavin Smith. Both of those
• 14:05
  Speaker 3: guys have a lot of power against righty's overall. And
• 14:08
  Speaker 3: if you look at Spencer Strider between this year and
• 14:11
  Speaker 3: last year, twenty four percent k rate to lefties allows
• 14:14
  Speaker 3: a two seventeen IO and a forty percent fly ball
• 14:17
  Speaker 3: right here, and he's gonna see six left handed hitters
• 14:20
  Speaker 3: here with one of the most powerful offenses in all
• 14:23
  Speaker 3: of baseball in.
• 14:24
  Speaker 4: The d Backs. And it's mid eighties in Truest Park,
• 14:30
  Speaker 4: and you get full nine and at bats.
• 14:31
  Speaker 3: Here for for the d Backs. So I actually like
• 14:34
  Speaker 3: some d Backs bats against Strider here. I'm under on
• 14:37
  Speaker 3: Strider personally. I just I get it right his strikeout,
• 14:41
  Speaker 3: he has tons of striking upside. I just hate the
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: matchup for Spencer Strider, and that's gonna be the case
• 14:46
  Speaker 3: for a lot of these pitchers here that we see
• 14:47
  Speaker 3: here tonight, a lot of loaded arms typically that are
• 14:52
  Speaker 3: just in pretty tough matchups good weather. Obviously they could
• 14:55
  Speaker 3: get the better hand of that. So that's kind of
• 14:57
  Speaker 3: why I say this slate is pretty tricky here. I
• 14:59
  Speaker 3: see Luke came in the chat right saying a weak
• 15:01
  Speaker 3: pitching slate. I think it's weak number one for a
• 15:04
  Speaker 3: couple of reasons. It's not weak by name recognition and
• 15:07
  Speaker 3: name value in general. It's weak because of the matchups
• 15:10
  Speaker 3: in the weather. In my opinion, is kind of how
• 15:12
  Speaker 3: I look at it, And that's kind of where I
• 15:13
  Speaker 3: put Spencer Stroter in there. So I'm underround Spencer Striter.
• 15:18
  Speaker 3: Hunter Green I also want to talk about as well.
• 15:21
  Speaker 4: Number one.
• 15:21
  Speaker 3: The Bruers are a very streaky offense. It's not just
• 15:23
  Speaker 3: because I'm a Burs fan. They won eight straight here.
• 15:26
  Speaker 3: Hunter Green does have a ton of strikeout ability. But
• 15:28
  Speaker 3: what does Hunter Green do is he gives up fly balls. Right,
• 15:31
  Speaker 3: you got wind blown out in Great American small park.
• 15:33
  Speaker 3: It's hot and humid, temperatures in the eighties, there is
• 15:35
  Speaker 3: downside risk, and at ninety five hundred, he's also coming
• 15:39
  Speaker 3: off an injury. I do this is a spot where
• 15:42
  Speaker 3: I think I'm going to play both sides. I think
• 15:44
  Speaker 3: Hunter Green's a good play in tournaments. I also think
• 15:46
  Speaker 3: the Bruers bats after projected ownership are also a good play.
• 15:50
  Speaker 4: So I don't mind Hunter Green.
• 15:53
  Speaker 3: But as the second highest priced pitcher on the slate,
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: with the matchup, I think there's definitely some concern there.
• 16:00
  Speaker 3: Christopher Sanchez is semi interesting to me, not a great
• 16:04
  Speaker 3: matchup right. Toronto just doesn't strike out. There's not a
• 16:07
  Speaker 3: lot of cays throughout that lineup there, Sanchez ninety five hundred.
• 16:11
  Speaker 3: I'm much rather just play Hunter Green personally, so kind
• 16:14
  Speaker 3: of under on Sanchez there.
• 16:16
  Speaker 4: I don't really want to play Pablo Lopez. I get it.
• 16:18
  Speaker 3: Pablo Lopez does have strikeouts, especially at the back half
• 16:21
  Speaker 3: that A's lineup, but with the weather by far and
• 16:23
  Speaker 3: away the best hitting conditions. I talked about it in
• 16:25
  Speaker 3: depth yesterday with Joe Ryan. I think Joe Ryan's a
• 16:28
  Speaker 3: much better pitcher than Pablo Lopez. You saw what happened
• 16:31
  Speaker 3: to Joe Ryan yesterday obviously it's all slate dependent, right,
• 16:35
  Speaker 3: and we played daily fantasy sports here. But I just
• 16:37
  Speaker 3: don't think I need to pay ninety three hundred for
• 16:39
  Speaker 3: a guy Pablo Lopez in that ballpark.
• 16:42
  Speaker 4: I mean he has to be perfect.
• 16:44
  Speaker 3: I mean he literally has to be perfect when you
• 16:46
  Speaker 3: got a guy like Freddy Peralta who has a thirty
• 16:48
  Speaker 3: seven percent strikeout rate against the Cincinnati team obviously.
• 16:52
  Speaker 4: In division rivals. Right.
• 16:53
  Speaker 3: I get the weather, I get all of that, But
• 16:55
  Speaker 3: looking at the Cincinnati Reds team over the last thirty
• 16:58
  Speaker 3: days against right hand and pitching, they have about a
• 17:00
  Speaker 3: twenty five percent k rate.
• 17:01
  Speaker 4: That's enough for me.
• 17:02
  Speaker 3: Freddy Perlt's pitched pretty solid all year. I like Freddy
• 17:05
  Speaker 3: Peerlt quite a bit, especially at his projected ownership here.
• 17:07
  Speaker 3: Nobody's really going to go that. They're going to play
• 17:09
  Speaker 3: the other side of the game and go Hunter Green.
• 17:11
  Speaker 3: I like saving the five hundred dollars and playing a
• 17:13
  Speaker 3: sub five percent out Freddy Perolta, who has success, He's
• 17:16
  Speaker 3: seen this team a lot. I like the Brewers' bats
• 17:18
  Speaker 3: as well a little bit too, So I'm in on
• 17:21
  Speaker 3: Freddy Perolta.
• 17:22
  Speaker 4: I like him quite a bit.
• 17:23
  Speaker 3: At nine K there, I'm out on Malay talked about
• 17:26
  Speaker 3: Strider already pretty under on Strider Miguil, I actually have
• 17:29
  Speaker 3: interest in mcgil. It is a tough matchup here. I
• 17:33
  Speaker 3: do think he has upside, though at eighty three hundred,
• 17:35
  Speaker 3: he has strikeout upside. There is some strikeouts in the
• 17:38
  Speaker 3: back half of that Dodgers lineup that he can get
• 17:41
  Speaker 3: by in at eighty three hundred.
• 17:43
  Speaker 4: I'll take some chances.
• 17:44
  Speaker 3: It's not incredible hitting conditions out there as well tonight
• 17:48
  Speaker 3: in Dodger Stadium temperatures in the low sixties. There's some
• 17:53
  Speaker 3: slight wind blown out there, but that's one of the
• 17:54
  Speaker 3: better pitching environments overall. I get the matchups as scary,
• 17:58
  Speaker 3: but you're not paying ten K paying upper nine case
• 18:01
  Speaker 3: for this year. You're paying sub or low eight case
• 18:04
  Speaker 3: for him. So I'm in on Miguel. George Kirby is
• 18:08
  Speaker 3: the wild card to me. Man, It's it's a tail
• 18:12
  Speaker 3: of two tapes, right. Kirby's looked absolutely atrocious to start
• 18:15
  Speaker 3: the year through his two starts coming back off the IL,
• 18:18
  Speaker 3: but this those team has also been really bad too,
• 18:20
  Speaker 3: So I can see a case where George Kirby has
• 18:24
  Speaker 3: a ton upside. I think a lot of people are
• 18:26
  Speaker 3: on your camp, right Gee, rising that you still think
• 18:29
  Speaker 3: Kirby's broken, He very well could be broken. I'm gonna
• 18:32
  Speaker 3: pay to find out here. I think the back half
• 18:35
  Speaker 3: of that lineup, if Mayo's in there, Kearsted's in there,
• 18:38
  Speaker 3: Carlson's in there, there's a lot of strikeouts there. I
• 18:42
  Speaker 3: think Kirby can regress back. He doesn't walk any guys,
• 18:46
  Speaker 3: so he should be fine for for the most part.
• 18:50
  Speaker 3: Is kind of how I'm I'm approaching it. I think
• 18:52
  Speaker 3: I'm in on Kirby. He's picking up some ownership, so
• 18:55
  Speaker 3: I definitely get the case right like you you talked
• 18:57
  Speaker 3: about that you're off of Kirby eighty two in this
• 19:01
  Speaker 3: Pitcher's ballpark, one of the best places on the slate,
• 19:03
  Speaker 3: probably behind right Giant Stadium for pitching. I think Kirby's
• 19:08
  Speaker 3: a solid play. So for me, up at the top,
• 19:10
  Speaker 3: it's Kirby, Miguel Peralta, Green, and Rodin pretty much out
• 19:17
  Speaker 3: on the rest of these guys, let's jump below Ak.
• 19:20
  Speaker 3: I do think there is a couple of names below
• 19:21
  Speaker 3: Ak that you can definitely play up at the top
• 19:23
  Speaker 3: tier or up at the top of the range. Drew
• 19:26
  Speaker 3: Rasmussen gonna get a little bit of ownership, but more
• 19:29
  Speaker 3: so at the bottom of this range is where people
• 19:31
  Speaker 3: are gonna go to guys like Brian Bellow. And you
• 19:34
  Speaker 3: see Kakuchi in that in that game in Fenway.
• 19:38
  Speaker 4: Both sides of that.
• 19:39
  Speaker 3: You want to play Boston against right handed pitching much
• 19:42
  Speaker 3: more than you do against left handed pitching. We always
• 19:44
  Speaker 3: know what happens with Kikuchi. He can give up three
• 19:47
  Speaker 3: home runs, but he can also go out there and
• 19:49
  Speaker 3: strike out seven eight dudes always has strikeout.
• 19:51
  Speaker 4: He is the definition of a GPP play.
• 19:53
  Speaker 3: So hit on those three guys in particular, and then
• 19:56
  Speaker 3: any of these other guys, guys like Pilante, lorenz In,
• 20:00
  Speaker 3: Bbe landed Roupe, she and Smith, any of these other
• 20:03
  Speaker 3: guys that you have interest in potentially here Toronto the
• 20:06
  Speaker 3: pitching pool.
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I see Rasmussen getting some love, which for me
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: is just tough. He's got a leash on him. I
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: mean he's only throwing mid seventy pitches. I mean he
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: doesn't get deep into games. You got a little bit
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: of weather concern there. I mean Texas does suck, But
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: I mean I think Rasmussen is a I mean it's
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: just kind of risky to me. I mean, I'd rather
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: play ras Musen than Kirby, to be honest with you.
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean Rasmussen seventy seven hundred. You know,
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: I guess I could stomach it if you really wanted
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: to go there. Definitely not using Smith against the Tigers,
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: that's not that's not gonna work out. I mean, you know,
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: talking down here too, I mean I can't play Kershaw,
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: I can't Kokuchi. I mean, Boston's just been really bad.
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you wanted to play Boston, I mean
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: Kokuchi against Boston, I guess I couldn't argue with you
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: on that one.
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: But that's I don't know.
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: I just think today there's a few good pictures that
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: you're gonna have to you know, there's like five or
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: six decent strikeout arms on this slate today.
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: I think you might have to be concerned about.
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: But on the other hand, Aids, I think of all
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: those good pictures that we were talking about, one of
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: them will probably get beat up, and that team who
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: beats them up will probably be on the winner tonight
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: because it'll be really low owned.
• 21:20
  Speaker 2: But either way, that's DFS for you.
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: But uh, yeah, I think there's some there's just really
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: not much down here, really, Blowakda. You mentioned the three
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: names I would even consider playing, and that would be
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: Rasmussen I'd consider. You know, you could probably consider Kukuchi
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: and then maybe maybe I could look at a Brian Bellow.
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: But man, that's tough too to even consider that. I
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's just I mean, you're stretching it at
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: this point if you want to get down that far.
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: So for me, I mean, I don't know, but Bello, Kukuchi,
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: Rasmussen probably be the only three I'd even consider down there.
• 21:57
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I tend to agree with you there. I will
• 22:00
  Speaker 3: throw out a couple other names, Land and Roop. The
• 22:03
  Speaker 3: reason being is I get it. The matchup is not good.
• 22:06
  Speaker 3: I don't think Roupe is the same type of pitcher, right,
• 22:09
  Speaker 3: I was in heavy last night on Logan Webb.
• 22:12
  Speaker 4: He's mysp one on the entire slate.
• 22:15
  Speaker 3: I just I mean the ballpark, right, there's so many
• 22:17
  Speaker 3: spots in this on this slate here tonight, where there's
• 22:20
  Speaker 3: really good weather. It's really tough matchups Land and Roupe
• 22:23
  Speaker 3: at that price point, I mean, if he can skate
• 22:27
  Speaker 3: by and like Michael said in the chat right. I
• 22:30
  Speaker 3: mean the dude his nails for four innings and then
• 22:34
  Speaker 3: the literally the breaks just fall off off. So if
• 22:37
  Speaker 3: he can I mean honde that in a little bit.
• 22:39
  Speaker 3: I mean he's gonna throw right around eighty five to
• 22:41
  Speaker 3: ninety pitches seventy four hundred. I think he's an okay play.
• 22:46
  Speaker 3: I don't love it, but again, you're not gonna love
• 22:48
  Speaker 3: much on the slate. And like Jake says in the chat,
• 22:51
  Speaker 3: especially in a slate like tonight, I mean, you're not
• 22:53
  Speaker 3: gonna feel safe about any of these guys for the
• 22:55
  Speaker 3: mouse part. I mean there's a case where Rodin goes
• 22:58
  Speaker 3: out there and gets beat up as well. There's not
• 23:00
  Speaker 3: a single picture on this entire slate that's projected over
• 23:03
  Speaker 3: twenty draftings points. There hasn't been very many slates, if any,
• 23:06
  Speaker 3: this year were that's been the case, especially twelve game
• 23:09
  Speaker 3: slates at that there's always at least one guy on
• 23:12
  Speaker 3: the slate that's projected over twenty.
• 23:13
  Speaker 4: That just shows you how the slate sets up.
• 23:15
  Speaker 3: So I'm more willing to take chances that guys like
• 23:19
  Speaker 3: a George Kirby, right, like I talked about at eighty
• 23:22
  Speaker 3: three hundred, I'm more willing or eighty two hundred.
• 23:24
  Speaker 4: Excuse me.
• 23:24
  Speaker 3: I'm more willing to take chances at a guy like
• 23:26
  Speaker 3: Drew Rasmussen at seventy seven hundred that could get some
• 23:29
  Speaker 3: strike ups in that Texas lineup. Who's been miserable all
• 23:31
  Speaker 3: season long. Shane Smith, I think is somewhat interesting. I
• 23:36
  Speaker 3: know you're not gonna like it, but again, he has
• 23:39
  Speaker 3: been the White Sox best player. I get it to
• 23:42
  Speaker 3: Tigers right, there's a lot of left. He's parka Metal's
• 23:44
  Speaker 3: coming back. Gives that team a big boost. If you
• 23:47
  Speaker 3: wanted to throw a shot at Shane Smith, I don't,
• 23:49
  Speaker 3: I don't hate it. I mean he's projected right awhile
• 23:52
  Speaker 3: twelve to thirteen points, which is right in line with
• 23:54
  Speaker 3: majority of these guys he's got. He's got a better
• 23:56
  Speaker 3: projection that I'm looking at than Zach Gallen has.
• 23:58
  Speaker 4: Right.
• 23:59
  Speaker 3: So that just shows you the nature of the slate here.
• 24:02
  Speaker 3: So for me, it's Kakuchi's my favorite guy down here.
• 24:06
  Speaker 3: Battlel Sugano in Rasmus san Landa roupe are some names
• 24:10
  Speaker 3: I'll throw out pretty much out on everyone else. I
• 24:12
  Speaker 3: see some talks about Oswaldobido starting for the Athletics that
• 24:17
  Speaker 3: doesn't really change any interest in terms of bats. Obviously,
• 24:19
  Speaker 3: we'll break that game down, and once we do get
• 24:21
  Speaker 3: to the hitters, it's one fly ball lefty for another flyball.
• 24:25
  Speaker 3: Alrighty Twins have a lot of lefties that can they
• 24:29
  Speaker 3: can throw in there. They didn't confirm any lineup rights yet.
• 24:33
  Speaker 3: They'll probably wait for for a long time until they
• 24:35
  Speaker 3: get as much certainty as they can for what the
• 24:40
  Speaker 3: Athletics are going to do with the pitching staff. So,
• 24:42
  Speaker 3: I mean, overall pitching, it's gross. I want to say
• 24:47
  Speaker 3: stick to the top range, but I mean none of
• 24:49
  Speaker 3: these guys even at the top range outside of Rodin
• 24:52
  Speaker 3: is by far and away my favorite, but even he's
• 24:55
  Speaker 3: not safe. So for me, I think it's Rodon, Freddie
• 25:00
  Speaker 3: Kirby are kind of my three favorite guys, and uh,
• 25:03
  Speaker 3: none of those feel safe. How many none of them
• 25:05
  Speaker 3: feel feel really good to me either. So it's a
• 25:08
  Speaker 3: pretty pretty unique slates overall g riser for pitching. You
• 25:11
  Speaker 3: want to sum up the pitching before we jump over
• 25:14
  Speaker 3: share the stone and go through hitting.
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: Yeah, like you said, I got Redona at the top.
• 25:19
  Speaker 2: I like Hunter Green a little more than you do.
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: I like Strider and then I'd probably look at me Gil,
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: and then maybe i'd look at Kakuchi or Bellow down
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: below if I wanted to save on some with some
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: salary on some bats.
• 25:34
  Speaker 2: But yeah, pitching is gonna be a little bit tough today.
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: But I do think Redon will be uh, he should
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: be in the thirty percentile range, I would assume. But
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: I still don't feel like I don't feel like you
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: need to worry about that because I think there'll be this.
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: The slate will be pretty spread out today, so I
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: wouldn't be too concerned with that one.
• 25:53
  Speaker 4: Yeah, ownership is not gonna matter on the slate, and
• 25:56
  Speaker 4: I'm with you on below too. I don't mind him.
• 25:58
  Speaker 4: I mean you could see.
• 25:59
  Speaker 3: I just feel by projection here, I'm sitting right around
• 26:02
  Speaker 3: fourteen and a half with an average of a couple
• 26:04
  Speaker 3: of different projection sources are Saber, Sims, et cetera.
• 26:09
  Speaker 4: Should be right around ninety pitches.
• 26:10
  Speaker 3: Angels went nuclear last night, Yeah, I think, I mean
• 26:15
  Speaker 3: sixty three hundred. Again, you're not paying to find out,
• 26:18
  Speaker 3: and it allows you to spend up for a lot
• 26:20
  Speaker 3: of the hitters on the slate, which is what most
• 26:23
  Speaker 3: people are gonna try to do for the for the
• 26:26
  Speaker 3: most part that I can see here. Let's jump over
• 26:29
  Speaker 3: share the stone here and talk hitting first game of
• 26:31
  Speaker 3: the slate Tanner Baby and Carlos Rodon. We're in Yankee
• 26:35
  Speaker 3: Stadium here, Yankees always have upside here, maybe nothing special.
• 26:40
  Speaker 4: The Cleveland bullpen is pretty solid, Rodin.
• 26:43
  Speaker 3: I mean, I don't think this is a spot you
• 26:44
  Speaker 3: want to even try and leverage because again, right we
• 26:47
  Speaker 3: talk about ownership, ownership is pretty non existent in terms
• 26:50
  Speaker 3: of quote unquote chalk from the pitcher standpoint. I think
• 26:52
  Speaker 3: the Guardians are a clear cross off for me. Yankees
• 26:55
  Speaker 3: always have upside. I don't love them, but I mean
• 26:58
  Speaker 3: five implied run total, they're gonn to be pretty low owned.
• 27:01
  Speaker 3: They kind of fall in the same category as what
• 27:03
  Speaker 3: the Dodgers fell in last night. Right, They're expensive. Not
• 27:07
  Speaker 3: many people are on them in Okay, matchup, what do
• 27:10
  Speaker 3: you what are you gonna do here with the Yankees
• 27:13
  Speaker 3: and the Guardians in Yankee Stadium.
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think the Yankees make my top stacks,
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: but they're definitely interesting against Bobby.
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: Bobby struggled a little bit.
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's only got an eighteen percent strikeout rate
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: to righty he's been walking too many guys from the
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: right side. The wOBA three point thirty three to left,
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: three twenty eight to the right. Fly ball percentage been up.
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: I mean Yankees generally tear up some righties, especially. You
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: look at some of these Yankees woba's against righty. He
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: got Grisham at four twenty three, Ben Rice three ninety two,
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: Judge Is at four to ninety.
• 27:45
  Speaker 3: You know.
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, this lineup is is loaded, But I think
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: there's some teams in some better spots. If I was
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: playing five teams, I might get to a Yankee stack.
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: Yankees are expensive, so you can't jam in any of
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: them high priced pitchers. But uh yeah, I think the
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: Yankees are interesting. I'd have him outside my top five and.
• 28:04
  Speaker 3: Any Indians, Yeah, yeah, I want to hit on Andre Martinez.
• 28:08
  Speaker 3: I was talking with Shaloub in the discord on this too.
• 28:13
  Speaker 3: Fifty five hundred I think. I mean, this dude's been
• 28:15
  Speaker 3: a bullpen arm. He hasn't thrown over fifty one pitches
• 28:17
  Speaker 3: in any of his appearances.
• 28:18
  Speaker 4: He's gone one inning out of the bullpen.
• 28:21
  Speaker 3: He's getting the start I'm looking at this is more
• 28:23
  Speaker 3: of a bullpen game. I don't expect him to throw
• 28:25
  Speaker 3: a long To be honest, the dude's a flyball pitcher anyways,
• 28:29
  Speaker 3: doesn't have a lot of strikeout stuff. I just I
• 28:32
  Speaker 3: don't think you can play him personally, don't. I don't
• 28:36
  Speaker 3: foresee him going longer than three innings at max personally.
• 28:40
  Speaker 3: I could be wrong, but he didn't even crack any
• 28:43
  Speaker 3: interest personally myself. I did want to mention that because
• 28:46
  Speaker 3: I know some people are probably looking at that for
• 28:48
  Speaker 3: salary savings with how weak the overall pitching slate is.
• 28:51
  Speaker 3: Right when they go in and start looking at these guys,
• 28:53
  Speaker 3: and you can pull Coles in almost all of them,
• 28:55
  Speaker 3: right that we alluded to there, So I did want
• 28:57
  Speaker 3: to bring that up because I do think it's a
• 28:59
  Speaker 3: pretty trusting take for sure. As far as this game
• 29:03
  Speaker 3: from the hitting side, it would just be the Yankees
• 29:05
  Speaker 3: lefties for me, and then there Judge obviously, Uh, you
• 29:08
  Speaker 3: can play him any slates, right.
• 29:10
  Speaker 4: Uh.
• 29:10
  Speaker 3: The Yankees did load this lineup for the most part
• 29:12
  Speaker 3: with lefties, right, Grisham Jazz is in there, Ben Rice Bellinger,
• 29:17
  Speaker 3: Escara a cheap catcher that that you have in there,
• 29:20
  Speaker 3: which is always nice.
• 29:21
  Speaker 4: Three K.
• 29:22
  Speaker 3: You see all of these iOS, I mean, the team
• 29:24
  Speaker 3: ISO is sitting at a two seventy at home against
• 29:26
  Speaker 3: right hand and pitching here, there's some upside here. I
• 29:30
  Speaker 3: think the Yankees are pretty interesting, pretty good in the
• 29:32
  Speaker 3: hitter rankings, not one guy above one hundred overall. Golchmit's
• 29:36
  Speaker 3: the the worst rated guy. Much of these guys are
• 29:40
  Speaker 3: ranked fiftieth or below for US. I think the Yankees
• 29:43
  Speaker 3: are actually pretty interesting here. I didn't look at them
• 29:46
  Speaker 3: too much in in depth. Here bbe As pitched good
• 29:50
  Speaker 3: against this Yankees team in his career, but again, I
• 29:54
  Speaker 3: only take that to the surface value, right, There's so
• 29:56
  Speaker 3: many matchup things and and uh whether and all of
• 30:01
  Speaker 3: everything that goes into two matchups. Overall, I do think
• 30:03
  Speaker 3: the Yankees lefties definitely have some upside here, and they're
• 30:07
  Speaker 3: gonna be pretty low owned, So definitely a team that
• 30:10
  Speaker 3: I might go in on on on one of my
• 30:13
  Speaker 3: four teams here tonight, especially at this projected ownership here.
• 30:16
  Speaker 3: I think they have quite a bit upside, pretty decent
• 30:19
  Speaker 3: hitting conditions as well. Like I said in Yankee Stadium
• 30:22
  Speaker 3: about temperatures in the in the seventies, some win kind
• 30:25
  Speaker 3: of blowing across the field, So I don't don't mind
• 30:29
  Speaker 3: the Yankee side of that game. Next game of the Slates,
• 30:33
  Speaker 3: we're going up to Rogers Center up in Toronto, Phillies
• 30:38
  Speaker 3: coming to town to face voting Francis here and that
• 30:40
  Speaker 3: Blue Jays bullpen, who have been actually really good over
• 30:44
  Speaker 3: the last month or so. Phillies, though, I mean, Francis
• 30:48
  Speaker 3: is not any good, And if they get to Francis early,
• 30:51
  Speaker 3: you're gonna see the back half of that bullpen, the
• 30:54
  Speaker 3: the lesser arms, which is pretty standard across the MLB,
• 30:58
  Speaker 3: the the back half of every teams bullpen is not
• 31:01
  Speaker 3: very good in general, unless you're the Dodgers, right, and
• 31:03
  Speaker 3: you can just buy the entire and buy the entire world.
• 31:08
  Speaker 4: What are you gonna do here? Phillies are pretty interesting
• 31:10
  Speaker 4: to me. Nobody's gonna go to the Phillies. I like
• 31:13
  Speaker 4: these lefties quite a bit.
• 31:14
  Speaker 3: Francis is atrocious against leftist Scott Harper, Schwarber, Max Kepler,
• 31:19
  Speaker 3: Brandon Marsh. You got some good lefties, pretty solid lefties
• 31:22
  Speaker 3: with a lot of power here. Pretty solid, pretty solid
• 31:26
  Speaker 3: spot I think for some of these Phillies at their
• 31:29
  Speaker 3: projected ownerships overall, What are you gonna do here?
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: Yeah? I just looking at this game here, I really
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: like this one. Toronto has been hot. Now, normally I
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: don't like to play Toronto. I'm not playing them against Sanchez,
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: but in the last week or two, Toronto has been
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: one of the hotter teams in all of baseball. But
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: on the other side of that game, the Phillies. Yeah,
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: you mentioned the lefties. I'm all over these lefties. I mean,
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: when you look at Bowden Francis, his wOBA to lefties
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: is four h six is ISOs three thirty three. He's
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: not He's got a eight eighteen percent strikeout right he's
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: walking double what he is to the lefties. To the
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: right side, I think fly ball percentage that, like I mentioned,
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: thirty three percent. I mean, to me, this gout Schwarber
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: written all over it.
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: I think he's gonna hit. That guy's gonna hit a
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: home run. Well, probably is first that bad.
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: I'm guessing Schwarber's just been absolutely tearing up left handed
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: pitching all year. We've we've mentioned a few times so
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: far this year, but I really like the lefties. As
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: you mentioned, I think the lefties of Philly would be
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: in my top three, probably of my favorite stacks today.
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: So Philly for me.
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: I mean Harper Stott, Schwarber, Max Kepler, as you mentioned,
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: so I think there's plenty of power to be had here.
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: I think Philadelphia is one of my favorite stacks. And
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: you know what I'll just say, Now Schwarber or Kerry
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: Carpenter are both going to hit a home run today,
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: I might just parlay them two together, Nates.
• 32:53
  Speaker 3: There you go, little parlay, a little betting action for
• 32:55
  Speaker 3: a guy gie rozen when he gives out these old
• 32:58
  Speaker 3: home run calls. He's been He's been pretty damn hot,
• 33:00
  Speaker 3: so you might want to might want to pay a
• 33:02
  Speaker 3: little attention to that. And I just pulling up the
• 33:05
  Speaker 3: Toronto bullpen usage. They're pretty tax in general. I mean
• 33:09
  Speaker 3: four guys had a throw on Sunday. Obviously they were
• 33:11
  Speaker 3: off yesterday. I mean Fisher's throwing thirty five in the
• 33:16
  Speaker 3: last three, Hoffman's throwing thirty, Rodriguez is throwing twenty two.
• 33:20
  Speaker 3: I mean Fluerty is throwing twenty. I mean a lot
• 33:23
  Speaker 3: of They're not super tax by any means, but again,
• 33:27
  Speaker 3: there are a pretty tax pen Phillies left He should
• 33:30
  Speaker 3: smash Francis a fly ball guy.
• 33:32
  Speaker 4: Allows a ton of power to lefties.
• 33:34
  Speaker 3: I think you can five man stack the Phillies, probably
• 33:36
  Speaker 3: preferring more as a mini stack. Like Jake says in
• 33:39
  Speaker 3: the chat, I do think they are five stack viable though,
• 33:42
  Speaker 3: and then you can always add in a Trey Turner
• 33:44
  Speaker 3: who always puts the ball in play. I always has
• 33:45
  Speaker 3: stolen base upside. Alec Bohm's been playing really really good.
• 33:49
  Speaker 3: You can play him at third base.
• 33:50
  Speaker 4: I do not.
• 33:52
  Speaker 3: I do not recommend playing Alec Bohm at first base.
• 33:55
  Speaker 3: First base is just loaded, and much rather just play
• 33:57
  Speaker 3: Bryce Harper there and play Bom at a shitty third
• 33:59
  Speaker 3: base position at thirty seven hundred. So I do like
• 34:02
  Speaker 3: the stack quite a bit there.
• 34:03
  Speaker 4: I'm with you. I love the Phillies here tonight.
• 34:05
  Speaker 3: And then on the Blue Jay side, I don't really
• 34:08
  Speaker 3: want to pick on Christopher Sanchez, but Vlad's been good,
• 34:10
  Speaker 3: Springer has been good, This team has been good in general.
• 34:13
  Speaker 3: I mean, you got some cheap guys that back after
• 34:15
  Speaker 3: that lineup, some switch hitters. I mean, I'd much prefer
• 34:20
  Speaker 3: the Philly side. I think more one offs on the
• 34:23
  Speaker 3: Blue Jays. Vlad Bow, Addison, Barser has been really good.
• 34:27
  Speaker 3: Springer I would stick to the top kind of four
• 34:29
  Speaker 3: guys or five guys, Kirk is always going to get
• 34:31
  Speaker 3: played at thirty three hundred at a catcher position. A
• 34:33
  Speaker 3: lot of people just like punting that off. But I
• 34:36
  Speaker 3: do like this game pretty pretty pretty much overall in general.
• 34:41
  Speaker 3: Here real quick, I looked it up.
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: Toronto has five guys in the top sixteen of ops
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: in the last week, leading with Ernie Clement.
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: Good old Ernie.
• 34:53
  Speaker 3: Ernie's been smashing Ernie. Well, yeah, absolutely gotta say hi,
• 34:59
  Speaker 3: my guy, hof Bra, Man, I haven't seen this dude
• 35:01
  Speaker 3: in forever. I mean the German Afro. I mean, you've
• 35:06
  Speaker 3: definitely seen his his avatar flying across both sides FanDuel
• 35:10
  Speaker 3: and DraftKings. Shout out to Hofbro tuning in. What's up, brother,
• 35:14
  Speaker 3: Hopefully you've been good. Hopefully everything's going good with you
• 35:17
  Speaker 3: and the and the fam. Good to see you back
• 35:19
  Speaker 3: in here. Appreciate you tuning in. Next team on the.
• 35:22
  Speaker 4: Slate, we're heading to Fenway. Brian Bellow, Kakuchi.
• 35:25
  Speaker 3: We talked about both of these pictures, but man, I
• 35:27
  Speaker 3: mean neither of these pictures is bulletproof. Kind of the
• 35:30
  Speaker 3: nature of the slate right in general, and you talk
• 35:33
  Speaker 3: about good hitting environments. We saw this game go nuclear
• 35:35
  Speaker 3: last night on the Angel side, right, I think they
• 35:39
  Speaker 3: had what three home runs or four home runs in
• 35:40
  Speaker 3: the first inning. Joe Adele hit two home runs, Mike
• 35:43
  Speaker 3: Charlotte hit a bomb. I mean, it's pretty good hitting
• 35:48
  Speaker 3: conditions again here tonight. Overall in a good hitting park.
• 35:52
  Speaker 3: Temperatures in the kind of mid sixties, some slight wins,
• 35:56
  Speaker 3: not too much.
• 35:57
  Speaker 4: To worry about.
• 35:58
  Speaker 3: It's kind of blown across the field, maybe a little
• 36:00
  Speaker 3: bit out to that Green Monster and left. Not the
• 36:03
  Speaker 3: best hitting environment on slate, but it's above average and
• 36:05
  Speaker 3: above average park. Two guys. I think you can play
• 36:09
  Speaker 3: both sides of this game. Probably prefer the pitching a
• 36:12
  Speaker 3: little bit more than I do the hitters. But what
• 36:15
  Speaker 3: are you gonna do here with the Red Sox and
• 36:17
  Speaker 3: the Angels.
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean I think both pitchers are kind of
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: in the same bucket. I mean, they walk too many guys.
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: You know, they do get blown up from time to time,
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: but they can.
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: Go out and throw you.
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: You know, They're like the Robbie Ray kind of scenario.
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: But I mean, Bellow is a heavy ground ball pitcher,
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: mid fifty percent. So I would prefer if we were
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: gonna attack anybody, I'd probably want to attack Kukuchi just
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: because he's got a little bit higher fly ball percentage
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: than Bellow does not as many ground balls. So but
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: you know, I mean with the Red Sox, I mean,
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: you look at some of the lefties. You know, I
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: wouldn't be afraid to play during or Devers. But you know,
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: the middle of part of that lineup Reschneider Gonzales Toro story,
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: you're gonna see a bunch of writings on there at
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: the bottom.
• 37:06
  Speaker 2: I think there's a little.
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: Bit of probably some pinch hit risk two a little
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: bit though with with Reschneider.
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: But I mean, I think it's interesting.
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: I think if I had maybe twenty teams, i'd look
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: at this game's got a hike total nine and a half.
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: I think it does have some blow up spots, but
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: both pitchers definitely can hunker down and throw a decent game.
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: And we could see this game be a low scoring game,
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: or this one could be a softball game. I mean
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: really on both sides. But I think if I was
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: gonna tack anybody, I'd probably go after Kakuchi more so
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: than i'd go after Bello.
• 37:39
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, going after Kakuchi, you always get the
• 37:41
  Speaker 3: added the added bonus of that absolutely atrocious bullpen.
• 37:46
  Speaker 4: And who's tax at that?
• 37:47
  Speaker 3: I see our guy talking about, right, La, bullpen tax
• 37:51
  Speaker 3: makes me fade Kakuci I'll give you a counter argument
• 37:54
  Speaker 3: to that. It kinda there's It could definitely be a case, right,
• 37:58
  Speaker 3: but you could also see the flip and reverse happen.
• 38:01
  Speaker 3: Right If Kakuchi gets in a little trouble, they know
• 38:03
  Speaker 3: their bullpen sucks number one, they know it's tax number two,
• 38:08
  Speaker 3: it could increases Kakuchi's leash a little bit more too.
• 38:12
  Speaker 3: So with a tax bullpen, typically managers will like to
• 38:17
  Speaker 3: lean on their starters a little bit more than usual there,
• 38:21
  Speaker 3: So it goes both ways there, La Penn is dog shit.
• 38:25
  Speaker 3: I prefer to play Boston hitters more against right handed
• 38:28
  Speaker 3: pitching personally myself than I do against left handed pitching,
• 38:31
  Speaker 3: but they definitely have upside. If I were to pick
• 38:33
  Speaker 3: out anyone, it would probably be ref Schneider and Trevor's story.
• 38:37
  Speaker 3: But again ref Schneider's coming out as soon as the
• 38:39
  Speaker 3: ridy comes in in that ballgame, so obviously, I mean,
• 38:43
  Speaker 3: he's a platoon tons of power against left handed pitching
• 38:47
  Speaker 3: in general, so always has upside there, I just don't
• 38:51
  Speaker 3: love this game from hitting in general. If I were
• 38:53
  Speaker 3: to play any of the Angels, it would be the
• 38:55
  Speaker 3: flyball guys in particular to counteract right Bellow's ground ball,
• 38:58
  Speaker 3: and that's trout. War Lord Nato are kind of the
• 39:01
  Speaker 3: three main guys I would look at there, but more
• 39:04
  Speaker 3: mini stacks. I'm not gonna full stack any of these guys,
• 39:07
  Speaker 3: I don't think in this spot personally myself. Next team
• 39:11
  Speaker 3: on the slate, it's my Milwaukee Brewers heading into Great
• 39:13
  Speaker 3: American Small Park to face Hunter Green Freddie Peralta on
• 39:16
  Speaker 3: the other end. Two aces for both of these teams
• 39:19
  Speaker 3: going here tonight. You talked about good hitting weather. It
• 39:22
  Speaker 3: is really good hitting weather here in Cincinnati tonight, one
• 39:26
  Speaker 3: of the better parks in all of baseball for hitting.
• 39:28
  Speaker 3: Temperatures in the eighties, pretty humid, No rint really to
• 39:32
  Speaker 3: worry about some slight wind. I mean you're looking at
• 39:34
  Speaker 3: about five mile hour wind or sell, which really doesn't
• 39:37
  Speaker 3: matter too much. Brewers one of the hottest teams, if
• 39:39
  Speaker 3: not the hottest team in all of baseball right one
• 39:41
  Speaker 3: eighth straight here swept the Phillies over the weekend. Here,
• 39:44
  Speaker 3: took the game yesterday, not quite the same spot. Hunter
• 39:48
  Speaker 3: Green does allow flyballs, though I prefer more mini stacks
• 39:51
  Speaker 3: picking out power to leverage some of the Hunter Green.
• 39:54
  Speaker 3: Obviously he's got a ton of strikeout upside there. I
• 39:58
  Speaker 3: would like some of the lefty fly ball power. Yelich
• 40:01
  Speaker 3: has been one of the hottest hitters in all of baseball.
• 40:03
  Speaker 3: Hit another home run last night, raked all all weekend.
• 40:07
  Speaker 3: You do have stolen base upside as well.
• 40:09
  Speaker 4: With the Brewers.
• 40:10
  Speaker 3: You can definitely run on Hunter Green, which gives the
• 40:13
  Speaker 3: Brewers added bonus, and on a slate where I think
• 40:16
  Speaker 3: it's gonna be lower scoring from a bats perspective, I'm
• 40:19
  Speaker 3: gonna give a slight in extra boost personally to myself.
• 40:23
  Speaker 3: Or two stolen bases in general. Brewers do have eighty
• 40:25
  Speaker 3: one stolen bases on the year, second in all of baseball.
• 40:28
  Speaker 3: And then on the red side you can always pick
• 40:30
  Speaker 3: off a home run or two gives Freddy Peralta just
• 40:33
  Speaker 3: not a guy I love to attack. But again, I
• 40:37
  Speaker 3: he's not throwing his off speed stuff as much, so
• 40:41
  Speaker 3: he's gonna do. These hitters are gonna see fastballs. It's
• 40:44
  Speaker 3: just a matter of if they can connect or not.
• 40:46
  Speaker 3: What are you doing here? In Cincinnati.
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: Yeah, fastball Freddy. I like to call mister Freddy Perota,
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: But I mean you did mention. The one thing I
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: think with Hunter Green is interesting, is I mean he
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: you want to pick on him with the lefties, like
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: you said, his isoda lefties is two seventeen to one
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: twenty eight to right ees. I mean fly ball percentage
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: just ten points higher forty two percent the lefties compared
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: to righties. You know, Hunter Green has got beat up
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: his last few starts. But you know what I I'm
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: you know, like I said, I I'd rather play Hunter
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: Green than go against them today. But I will say
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: if there's two teams needs in all my years that
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: I've played DFS that when they play in Cincinnati, I
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: love the game stack. So at some point in this
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: series I will probaby game stack this whole game, because hey,
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: they always steal bags. Almost every time you look at
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: one of these series, one of them games goes up.
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: It's like a thing that I just have said in
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: my all years, when Cincinnati and Milwaukee get together, I'm
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: gonna generally game stack it up because it just generally
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: seems to have all kinds of fireworks between these two teams.
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: As a matter of fact, I've been so strong on
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: that over the years. I actually live finaled one time
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: game stack the brew Crew in Cincinnati ended up finishing
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: in the mid twenties or whatever. It started out really well,
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: just kind of faded out. But man, this is just
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: a series. Like over the years, I've always just liked
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: to just always seem to gravitate toward the Milwaukee Cincinnati
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: in Cincinnati game. So you know, it's just we don't
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: have the two right pitchers today for it. As soon
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: as I saw that, you know, they were in Cincinnati,
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: I was thinking, all right, cool, I'm gonna definitely be
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: game stacking one of these games here. As you mentioned,
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, Milwaukee's been stealing all kinds of bags. We
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: know Cincinnati steals bags too, so definitely's gonna be there.
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: I just don't think today's the day for it for me.
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: But if I was to go after anything on the side,
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: I probably would pick on Hunter Green With the lefties.
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: You mentioned, Yelich is one of the hotter hitters and
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: all of baseball, So don't mind him. He was on
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: my cusp with me almost adding him into that parlay.
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: I said with Schwarber and Carpenter. But yeah, I think
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: I think this one's definitely interesting. You know, like I said,
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: I think the winner tonight, you know that Big K
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: Tournament is gonna be the one ballsy enough to stack
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: up against one of these better pitchers and it's gonna
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: end up going off. So I think, you know, hey,
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: I think the Brewers would be in play for me
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: to have that. As you mentioned, I think you can
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: go both sides of that one. Hunter Green could go
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: out and have himself a spectacular game, but then again,
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: he's been getting beat up a little bit there.
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: I mean, you could definitely look at some of them
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: fly ball hitters from the Brewers.
• 43:26
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, you talk about bullpens, Neither of these
• 43:28
  Speaker 4: teams has a good bullpen.
• 43:29
  Speaker 3: Milwaukee's eighth worst in terms of RARA, Cincinnati is twelfth worst,
• 43:33
  Speaker 3: and teams in terms of ERRA. Milwaukee's whip is one
• 43:36
  Speaker 3: point three five Cincinnati's is one point twenty seven.
• 43:40
  Speaker 4: Both have allowed quite a bit of home runs.
• 43:41
  Speaker 3: Milwaukee's allowed twenty five home runs out of the pen,
• 43:44
  Speaker 3: Cincinnati's allowed thirty home runs out of the pen. We
• 43:46
  Speaker 3: know you can pick off home runs against Hunter Green.
• 43:49
  Speaker 3: I will definitely have some Brewers in one of at
• 43:52
  Speaker 3: least one of my teams, not just because I'm a homer.
• 43:54
  Speaker 3: I just think the upside is there right hitting conditions,
• 43:57
  Speaker 3: good ballpark, good weather. He could definitely strike out eight Brewers,
• 44:02
  Speaker 3: but he could also give up two or three home runs.
• 44:04
  Speaker 4: And picking off those home runs, it is definitely gonna
• 44:07
  Speaker 4: be viable there.
• 44:08
  Speaker 3: So I like me the lefties in particular, but Turio
• 44:10
  Speaker 3: has been a beast, and both these teams are top
• 44:14
  Speaker 3: six in all of baseball in stolen bases. You can
• 44:16
  Speaker 3: steal on both these pitchers, Freddy and Hunter Green allows
• 44:19
  Speaker 3: stolen bases for sure.
• 44:21
  Speaker 4: Next game of the slate, this is one of my
• 44:23
  Speaker 4: favorite games. We're heading out to Atlanta. Hot Atlanta is.
• 44:26
  Speaker 4: I like to say, it's gonna be hot there tonight. Humid.
• 44:30
  Speaker 3: Zach Gallon's broken, I think here, so I definitely like Braves.
• 44:34
  Speaker 3: This Braves offense looks rejuvenated. No surprise, right when Ronald
• 44:38
  Speaker 3: Lacuna comes back that your offense starts to play a
• 44:42
  Speaker 3: little bit better in rally around him. Zach Gallon, you
• 44:45
  Speaker 3: want lefties in particular against him, but Acunya can murder
• 44:48
  Speaker 3: right handed pitching. Always has stolen based upside too. He's
• 44:51
  Speaker 3: been on a tear. I think he's what hit three
• 44:53
  Speaker 3: or four home runs since he's been back. And then
• 44:55
  Speaker 3: Spencer Streider I talked about it right. He gives up
• 44:58
  Speaker 3: a ton of fly balls and a lot of power
• 45:00
  Speaker 3: to lefties. A lot of people are gonna play him.
• 45:03
  Speaker 3: I think his ownership is going to creep up throughout
• 45:06
  Speaker 3: leading up to lock right because of his k prop
• 45:08
  Speaker 3: number one and his price number two and the way
• 45:11
  Speaker 3: the pitching slate sets up in general, I think the
• 45:14
  Speaker 3: d Backs lefties are pretty damn sneaky here. Marte Carrol
• 45:17
  Speaker 3: Perdomo has been a beast all year. Naylor, I mean
• 45:21
  Speaker 3: those are kind of the gut main guys I would
• 45:23
  Speaker 3: look at. I don't love the back half of the
• 45:24
  Speaker 3: line up a ton Pavin Smith has pinchhit concerns for sure.
• 45:28
  Speaker 3: I like the top four guys quite a bit here
• 45:30
  Speaker 3: for the d Backs more mini stacks, but you get
• 45:33
  Speaker 3: a pretty bad bullpen from the Braves as well behind Strider.
• 45:36
  Speaker 4: What are you doing here in Hotlanta?
• 45:39
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the Braves are interesting.
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: You mentioned Acuna comes back, makes that lineup obviously a
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: hell of a lot stronger. I mean, I and you
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: look at Gallon, he's just he is, like you mentioned,
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: he's not been good. He's walking too many, dude. Twelve
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: percent from the left side, nine percent to the right
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: side is Wolba three forty the lefties is fly ball
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: percentage thirty five percent the lefties. Uh, you know, so Olsen.
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: Olsen's looking like a pretty decent play. I think all
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: the Braves are decent. I think that lineup got obviously
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: a little longer ed Nakunya, So I definitely like, uh,
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: definitely like some braves. You know. I think if you're
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: gonna look for any kind of any kind of leverage tonight,
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: if you if you wanted to, I mean, I agree
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: with you on the uh on the Dbacks lefties, it's
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: just Spencer Stryder if he's right, I don't give a
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: shit what team he's facing. Spencer Strider is somebody I'd
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: be wanting. We're just not sure about Spencer Strider. Yeah,
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: we got a couple of those situations on this slate tonight,
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: Kirby Stryder. I mean, the Strider's price is priced right
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: to where I think, you know, that's why everybody's going
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: to gravitate to.
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: I think everyone was nine k or ninety two hundred.
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: I think everybody, probably most people, he wouldn't be as
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: popular as he is, but at the price he's at,
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: I think he's definitely going to get some love tonight.
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: So if you wanted a little bit of leverage, I
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: think you could definitely look at you know, the Corbyn
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: Carrols of the world. You know, the Martes Perdomo Naylor.
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, as you mentioned, he's gonna see five lefties
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: out of that top half of that lineup, so definitely.
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: Don't mind that.
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: I think it's risky. But again, as I've said twice already,
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: I think the guy who gets ballsy enough to stack
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: up against one of these top pitchers could is probably
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: gonna end up being the winner. I'm I can almost almost,
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: I can just feel it in my gut. So I
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: mean yeah, I mean we could pick on you know,
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: like we mentioned with the Brewers, you know, we could
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: pick on a chalkier pitcher. I think here's another spot
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: you could today, but Arizona Diamondbacks lefties.
• 47:34
  Speaker 2: I don't mind it. I think it is a little
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: bit riskier.
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: We got a game total sitting at nine but uh, yeah,
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: I think between the Brewers and d Backs, which one
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: would you rather go? Naate's I mean, I think I
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: think i'd probably lean Brewers just because they've been hitting
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: so well. But in Strider I think is a little
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: bit better pitcher than Hunter Green. So I mean, to me,
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: I guess, I guess i'd probably lean Brewers. Though if
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: I put these two in the same bucket.
• 47:59
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean they're both.
• 48:00
  Speaker 3: It's much better hitting environment personally myself that I can
• 48:03
  Speaker 3: see in Cincinnati, better park in general. Two, you got
• 48:07
  Speaker 3: some eight to ten mile an hour winds blown in
• 48:10
  Speaker 3: in Atlanta, temperatures are pretty equal, upper seventies, low eighties.
• 48:16
  Speaker 3: But again, I mean, Striider is a great pitcher. But
• 48:19
  Speaker 3: where I said, I mean I talked about his weakness.
• 48:22
  Speaker 3: His weaknesses are against lefties. You're gonna see six lefties here.
• 48:25
  Speaker 3: Braves bullpen has been actually really good over the last
• 48:28
  Speaker 3: thirty days. I mean, I'm looking second best in baseball
• 48:32
  Speaker 3: over the last month or so. On the flip side,
• 48:34
  Speaker 3: the Dbacks pen has been atrocious over the last month.
• 48:38
  Speaker 3: They haven't been great all season long, So I definitely
• 48:41
  Speaker 3: love the Braves. Braves are one of my favorite stacks
• 48:43
  Speaker 3: on the entire slate. Drake Baldwin's been good forty three
• 48:46
  Speaker 3: hundred for a catcher. I like him hitting second right
• 48:48
  Speaker 3: behind Acuna. And then you got Austin Riley who always
• 48:51
  Speaker 3: has a ton of power regardless of the handedness. Matt
• 48:53
  Speaker 3: Olsen one of the better plays on the slate. A
• 48:56
  Speaker 3: Zuno smashes right handed pitching. And then you got cheap
• 48:59
  Speaker 3: guys like Michael Harris where you can wrap it around.
• 49:01
  Speaker 3: I know our guy Ham if he's out there listening right,
• 49:04
  Speaker 3: he hates Alex Verdugo there. But if you want to
• 49:06
  Speaker 3: play a thirty six hundred Verdugo who really doesn't strike
• 49:09
  Speaker 3: out this season against righty's, you can put him into
• 49:12
  Speaker 3: play in Zach Allen's walkin dudes right with a bad
• 49:14
  Speaker 3: bullpen behind him. I love the Braves here tonight, and
• 49:18
  Speaker 3: I think the d Backs, like I said, those lefties
• 49:20
  Speaker 3: the main the top four is what I would stick
• 49:22
  Speaker 3: to for the d Backs side. Not going to full
• 49:24
  Speaker 3: stack him, but a Carol A. Marte, Perdomo and Naylor.
• 49:28
  Speaker 3: I think those guys are all good. Perdomo and Naylor
• 49:30
  Speaker 3: have really good price points as well. Marte, you can
• 49:33
  Speaker 3: pay up and flip the slate on his head. Everybody
• 49:36
  Speaker 3: likes to save at second base and third base, So
• 49:39
  Speaker 3: playing the top end right like a Kenl Marte at
• 49:41
  Speaker 3: second base when people are saving and punting, I think
• 49:44
  Speaker 3: is an interesting way to go as well.
• 49:46
  Speaker 4: Next game in the slate Rangers and the Rays.
• 49:48
  Speaker 3: Rasmussen malay Man Tyler Maley's been He's pitched pretty good
• 49:54
  Speaker 3: all year.
• 49:54
  Speaker 4: I mean, you try to stack against him, it just
• 49:56
  Speaker 4: doesn't really work out.
• 49:58
  Speaker 3: He's not going to have the upside that you really
• 50:00
  Speaker 3: want personally that I can see to play him in DFS.
• 50:03
  Speaker 4: It's just not a guy you really want to stack against.
• 50:06
  Speaker 3: It is hot in Tampa, but the winds blown in
• 50:08
  Speaker 3: and I think this stadium all season is going to
• 50:11
  Speaker 3: play better when the wind is blown out. Right, by
• 50:14
  Speaker 3: no surprise, Minor league stadiums don't have the stands in
• 50:18
  Speaker 3: the seating and everything built up around the stadium to
• 50:21
  Speaker 3: kind of minimize some of that wind effect.
• 50:24
  Speaker 4: You do have nine to twelve mine hour winds blown
• 50:26
  Speaker 4: into this game. Temperatures in the seventies.
• 50:27
  Speaker 3: It's not in the nineties in upper eighties like we've
• 50:31
  Speaker 3: seen throughout the course of the year. This is a
• 50:32
  Speaker 3: game that I just don't have much interest in. The
• 50:34
  Speaker 3: Rays do have a ton of upside. When you're talking
• 50:36
  Speaker 3: stolen bases, They're right up there with the Brewers and
• 50:39
  Speaker 3: the Reds in terms of stolen bases. I think they
• 50:41
  Speaker 3: actually have the most stolen bases in all of baseball.
• 50:44
  Speaker 3: Helps when you have guys like Magnum who are going
• 50:47
  Speaker 3: to run all the time. Right, Just Low coming back
• 50:50
  Speaker 3: helped this lineup two, but not a spot that I
• 50:52
  Speaker 3: love for hitting one offs more so, but don't love it.
• 50:57
  Speaker 3: Jonathan Randa is probably my favorite play. He's been a
• 50:59
  Speaker 3: beast season forty seven hundred, right there in that kind
• 51:02
  Speaker 3: of mid tier for a first basement.
• 51:04
  Speaker 4: I think he's solid. But what are you gonna do
• 51:06
  Speaker 4: here with the Tampa and Texas pads.
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm just gonna skip on by game total seven
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: and a half. I mean, if I was to play
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: a one off, Junior Camanio be a guy. I mean,
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: the dudes smashing the shit out of the baseball. He's
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: nine for twenty one with four bombs, thirteen RBIs, and
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: then last week he's got a one to five, nine
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: to eight ops, which is uh, I mean, that's uh,
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: that's Aaron judges kind of shit, so Junior would be
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: about the only guy to look at. But man, we
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: got to get seven and a half total twelve games.
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: We got better spots to go, and uh, we're we
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: got like seven minutes till we're at the top of
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: the hour, so we got to skip on by a
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: few of these shit games, so we might as.
• 51:43
  Speaker 3: Well just keep on going. Hey, we're going in depth, right,
• 51:46
  Speaker 3: there's a big contest out there. We got we got
• 51:49
  Speaker 3: two hours for lock. I mean, people are sticking around.
• 51:51
  Speaker 3: They like the uh the old baseball takes here. I
• 51:53
  Speaker 3: just think there's much better games personally. Moley just doesn't
• 51:56
  Speaker 3: allow a ton of power at all, a ton of
• 51:58
  Speaker 3: hard contacts, so much better games on the slate.
• 52:01
  Speaker 4: And we're having one here, right.
• 52:02
  Speaker 3: You got your Tigers gear on, you're flying your Tigers
• 52:05
  Speaker 3: Tiger's flag, and man, they got the job done, scoring
• 52:09
  Speaker 3: thirteen yesterday. You got the White Sox best starter quote
• 52:14
  Speaker 3: unquote best right, But I mean that's not saying much
• 52:17
  Speaker 3: when you have Chicago's team in general. However, this team
• 52:22
  Speaker 3: does have guys right that are trying to get the
• 52:24
  Speaker 3: hell out of Chicago, right, I mean, talkman's been good
• 52:30
  Speaker 3: in terms of the hit air. What are you gonna
• 52:33
  Speaker 3: do here with the Tigers bats? They're not gonna be
• 52:36
  Speaker 3: as chalky as they were last night, by no surprise. Right,
• 52:38
  Speaker 3: You double the amount of games and you put a
• 52:40
  Speaker 3: bunch of other high implied totals on the slate, that's just,
• 52:44
  Speaker 3: by no surprise, gonna happen. This team is still super cheap.
• 52:47
  Speaker 3: I think they still have a ton of upside here.
• 52:49
  Speaker 3: The White Sox pan his cheeks behind Shane Smith. Even
• 52:52
  Speaker 3: if Shane Smith goes five to six innings, right, you
• 52:55
  Speaker 3: still get three full innings of bad relievers coming in
• 52:59
  Speaker 3: that are taxed. Is well for these Tigers here. I
• 53:02
  Speaker 3: think the Tigers are a really good stack in general.
• 53:05
  Speaker 3: I'm sure you're gonna be in the same camp.
• 53:06
  Speaker 4: I want the lefties.
• 53:08
  Speaker 3: Carpenter, Green Meadows, carry bonds rights Cole Keith Dingler hit
• 53:13
  Speaker 3: a bomb last night. I think Tigers are gonna load
• 53:16
  Speaker 3: this worth with lefties to approach those splits of Shane Smith.
• 53:20
  Speaker 3: What are you gonna do here, White Sox and the Tigers?
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll put the Tiger I even though I'm a
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: homer and we both sound like homers. You're over there
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: cheering up the Brewers, I'm cheering up the Tigers. But hey,
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: we got some good teams that we get to watch.
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: But I mean, the Tigers fourth most runs in baseball,
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: the most wins in baseball. They're smashing the shit out
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: of the ball they like to hit out there in
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: the White Sox. That that park sucks too. By the way,
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: I was there last year. I still can't believe I
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: was there. Ma's I was looking on I'm like, man,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: where's all the fans. The game gotta start in an hour.
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: My wife's like it starts in five minutes. I was like, man,
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: they got a lot of fans out here. I could
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: walk around the whole stadium and smoke a joint. Nobody
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: smell it. But either way, but nay, these lefties for
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: the Tigers are definitely in play today. You know, you
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: look at his fly ball percentage at being Smith up
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: to thirty percent.
• 54:08
  Speaker 2: Last game.
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: He walked five dudes. He's always been in the middle,
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: you know, eighty some pitches. I mean, he his strikeout
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: percentages down eighteen percent compared to twenty six percent to
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: the righties. I just think the lefties here Parker medals
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: coming back. I mean Parker Metals is sneaky, probably one
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: of the best players on the Tigers if you ask me.
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: I mean, the dude is absolutely a stud. Not only
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: defensively comes out last night, rips a double, rips a triple.
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: He brings some speed to the lineup. He's gonna steal
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: some bags. And I think them taking Carpenter out of
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: that leadoff spot took a little bit of pressure off him.
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: I think he was trying to look at and see
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: too many pitches, and we know Carrie Bond is just
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: gonna wrap back them to just go all out and
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: just swing for the fences every time. I think he
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: hits a home run again today, So give me, give me.
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: Some of these lefties. McKinstry has been hitting the ball
• 54:59
  Speaker 2: fairly well.
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: Like I said, you add Metals back to that team
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: and you got Medals, Carpenter and Green three out of
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: the four top four up there. I mean, even if
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: you wanted to wrap it around with like a went
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: so so Perez sitting there at eight, I don't mind
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: the power he brings to the table either. So White
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: Sox Bullpen's not good. As you mentioned, it's starting to
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: get to that time of year. I mean guys on Colorado,
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: guys on the White Sox. I mean, how does it
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: go to work every day just getting your ass kick
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: and just knowing it just would suck? Would I mean,
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: you're still in the majors, I get it, but still, man,
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: you got to be competitive. But yeah, I think the
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: Tigers for me, I'll put them in my top three today,
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: especially the lefties. To be honest, I'd rather play them
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: over the Twins, you know, because when I'm playing the Twins,
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: I hate the damn Twins. I mean they're a division
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: rival of the Tigers. They got the highest team total,
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: that being the Twins. I understand, but I and you
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: got the weather blown out. They're playing in that shit
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: park out in Sacramento. Had all lines up for the Twins.
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: I get it, But I think I think I'd rather
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: pivot to the Tigers and have them as my most
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: my more the stack i'd play the most today would
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: definitely be the Tigers.
• 56:05
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, shalute, but I'm seeing Meadows is pretty chalky.
• 56:09
  Speaker 3: I mean, if you want to say chalk, I mean
• 56:11
  Speaker 3: he's gonna come in fifteen, maybe twenty percent. It's just
• 56:14
  Speaker 3: a twelve game slate where so many solid spots. The
• 56:17
  Speaker 3: Twins are gonna be higher owner than Tigers for sure.
• 56:19
  Speaker 3: So you got guys in the bottom, guys like Trevor Laarnock, right,
• 56:24
  Speaker 3: guys like Carlos Correa, Matt Walloner, some of those guys
• 56:27
  Speaker 3: that are gonna contend with some of these Tigers lefties
• 56:31
  Speaker 3: in terms of ownership there. So again, I'm gonna play
• 56:35
  Speaker 3: who I want, not really worry about ownership personally, is
• 56:37
  Speaker 3: how I'm kind of approaching this. And it's a good,
• 56:40
  Speaker 3: definitely good spot for the Tigers for sure. So I
• 56:43
  Speaker 3: echo everything what you said on the White Sox size talkman.
• 56:48
  Speaker 3: Ben Attendi would be kind of the main guys that
• 56:50
  Speaker 3: I would look at if you want to. But I
• 56:52
  Speaker 3: don't think you need to really play White Sox on
• 56:55
  Speaker 3: a twelve game slate. So we can move on and
• 56:57
  Speaker 3: we can go out to Bush Stadium here with another
• 57:00
  Speaker 3: good at hitting environment, not a good ballpark in general,
• 57:03
  Speaker 3: but super hot, wind blown out here in Saint Louis.
• 57:06
  Speaker 3: You got a ground ball guy in Polante, but you
• 57:08
  Speaker 3: can steal bases on Polante. He's the best stolen based
• 57:12
  Speaker 3: target on the slate from what I looked at. Royals
• 57:14
  Speaker 3: or twelfth in baseball. In stolen bases here, India will
• 57:18
  Speaker 3: swipe Bobby Witt and Mical Garcia. I think that Wit
• 57:21
  Speaker 3: and Garcia, I think is a really really good two
• 57:23
  Speaker 3: man stack there, and then you got the best prospect
• 57:26
  Speaker 3: in baseball, Royal's top prospect for sure, one of the
• 57:30
  Speaker 3: best prospects in all baseball. Jack in the six hole,
• 57:34
  Speaker 3: right behind Salvey Perez first base, Alfield eligisboth thirty five
• 57:38
  Speaker 3: hundred lefty. What are you gonna do here? Cardinals and
• 57:41
  Speaker 3: the Royals. I like this game more so on the
• 57:43
  Speaker 3: Cardinals side to attack Lorenzo and I don't think Lorenz
• 57:46
  Speaker 3: is any good. But what's your take here in terms
• 57:49
  Speaker 3: of hitters?
• 57:51
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I can't play the Royals. We know I feel
• 57:53
  Speaker 2: about the Royals.
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: Maybe the rookie kid, would you know, maybe we could
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: look at the rookie for his cheap price that he
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: but on a twelve games slate, I'm definitely not stacking
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: the Royals.
• 58:03
  Speaker 2: As far as Saint.
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: Louis goes a little bit interest, especially maybe some of
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: the righties against Lorenzen. Lorenzen's flyball percentage just pretty high
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: thirty seven percent to the rightish. He's striking out and
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: he's not above the twenty two. He's at twenty percent,
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: seventeen percent. The lefties, he does get some ground ball
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: a little heavier to the to the left side. But
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: you know, I do like some of the righties for
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis. I wouldn't put him up there in my
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: top five, but i'd have him just outside the top five.
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: I you know, I don't know. I can't play the
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: Royals though, but I do like that rookie kid. That
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: rookie kid. I mean, they they talk about him. Here
• 58:42
  Speaker 2: we go, mister Gator. I thought he was a Gator.
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: But yeah, so.
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: Definitely, Uh wouldn't that dude like I remember for some
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: reason him in the World College World Series or something
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: like a couple of years ago.
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: For some reason, I just remember that name.
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: But uh yeah, definitely interested in some of those cards.
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: I mean we got a game total, was it nine aids?
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: So don't mind that one as far as the Cardinals go.
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: But I'd have him outside my top five.
• 59:08
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I Mean, the dude is just raking right. He's
• 59:11
  Speaker 3: hitting three twenty two in the minors. He has fifteen
• 59:14
  Speaker 3: home runs. I mean, he's got a ton of power.
• 59:17
  Speaker 3: The price is too cheap. It's good full dining in
• 59:19
  Speaker 3: at bats.
• 59:20
  Speaker 4: I get it.
• 59:20
  Speaker 3: He's facing the ground ball guy, But I mean Cardinals
• 59:23
  Speaker 3: bullpen's not good. Behind Polante, it's really good weather. I
• 59:28
  Speaker 3: think Royal's minis are are intriguing. I do like the
• 59:31
  Speaker 3: Cardinals quite a bit. I saw a guy Discard was
• 59:33
  Speaker 3: asking Cardinals in the slate plan. Right, I did the
• 59:36
  Speaker 3: slate plan. I have interest in the Cardinals.
• 59:39
  Speaker 4: Right.
• 59:39
  Speaker 3: Cardinals have sneakily been a good offense all here long.
• 59:42
  Speaker 3: They've kind of slept a little bit as a late here,
• 59:45
  Speaker 3: but I don't think Lorenzin's any good. I like this
• 59:47
  Speaker 3: Cardinals offense. I think they're an interesting stack. Nobody's gonna
• 59:51
  Speaker 3: play them on a slate where I think offense is
• 59:54
  Speaker 3: pretty weak in general overall, and I'll go in on
• 59:57
  Speaker 3: teams that I think have upside here. So I definitely
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 3: like some of the Cardinals for sure, as stacks, five
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 3: man stacks, mini stacks. I'm in on the Saint Louis
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 3: side of that game for sure. Next game, Orioles and
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 3: the Mariners. This park sucks in general. Sugano's not not
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 3: any good. I think some of the lefties for the
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 3: Mariners makes some sense, George Kirby.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 4: I'm in on Kirby. I know you're out on Kirby.
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 4: I'm going to pay to find out here.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 3: Personally myself, I just think this Oriole's lineup is trash,
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 3: especially the back half. Tons of strikeouts there. If there's
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 3: a spot for Kirby to get right, it's here. Walpark
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 3: sucks for hitting. I'm off the hitters in this one,
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 3: outside of maybe some of the lefties on the Mariner side.
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 4: What are you doing here?
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: I mean, I think Kirby's broke.
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: If I was playing a handful of TEA twenty teams,
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: I'd probably put in an Oriole stack, just because I
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: think Kirby's a little bit broken. I don't like the park,
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: as you mentioned, but that'd be the only reason until
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: Kirby can show me that he's he's you know, back
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: where he should you know should be. But he's just
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: been looking like absolute shit his first two starts, I mean,
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: mid seventy pitches. He's given up eleven earned runs.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 2: In eight innings. He has not looked good at all.
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: He's been walking, guys, actually hasn't been walking too many.
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: He had three walks, but I mean, Aaron runs have
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: been there. I just I don't know, I'd like concerned
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: he is in a good spot. The Oriole has been
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: sucking ass lately. I mean, talk about a team who
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: had like just prospect after prospect and all of a sudden,
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: it's like they missed their window. But uh yeah, I
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: mean I think the Orioles would be sneaky for me
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: just because of Kirby. But I mean, nothing else lines
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: up for it. Park sucks, the over undersucks. But I'm
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: just basing it off of Kirby's past two starts that
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: he's just looked awful. So maybe, you know, you talk
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: about Kirby getting right, maybe it's this is where the
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: Orioles get right.
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: But I think it. I mean it's risky, but hey,
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: on a twelve games slate, no bet, you know. I
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 2: just I think that it'd be an interesting low on
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 2: stack for me today. The Orioles.
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'd probably play the Seattle side person myself. I mean,
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 3: you look at the two matchups for Kirby that he
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 3: start he placed. He played Houston in Houston when Houston
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 3: was streaking, and then he plays played Washington in Seattle
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 3: when Washington threw nine lefties at him. I get it,
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 3: there's a lot of lefties in this Orioles lineup, but again,
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 3: tons of strikeouts twenty six percent k rate on the
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 3: current season for the Orioles against right handed pitching.
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 4: I think he has strike out upside there, So for me,
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 4: it's the lefties.
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 3: Polanco Raleigh being my two favorite guys tells is a
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 3: nice cheap twenty eight hundred dollars first basement.
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 4: If you want to flip the build when most people
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 4: are spending up at first base, flip the build and
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 4: go out. Rowdy always has a ton of power there
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 4: to hit it out of that park.
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 3: And then yeah, big dumper Gardiard, there's always a chance
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 3: to bet on cal Raley, one of the best hitters
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 3: in all of baseball.
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 4: It doesn't matter the ballpark that dude's hitting in.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 3: Clearly, if he played in Yankee Stadium all one hundred
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 3: and sixty or all eighty two home games, right if
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 3: he was on the Yankees, I think this dude would
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 3: hit sixty home runs for sure. I mean, he's a stud,
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 3: so definitely have.
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 4: Some interest there.
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 3: Next Slate Padres, Giants, two really good bullpens, two pitchers
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 3: we didn't talk about a ton.
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 4: I have a little bit of interest in landing.
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 3: Roope against the Padres, just due to the price in
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 3: the overall the ballpark, I'm not playing any of these offenses.
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 3: If I've were to pick a side, it'd be some
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 3: of these Giants guys. It's I hate picking on bullpen games.
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 4: Berger.
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 3: It's not gonna go more than three innings at most,
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 3: and Padre's got a nails bullpen. Giants got a nails
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 3: bullpen cross off game. For me personally, yeah, yeah, I'd agree.
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 2: I agree with that one.
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 3: All right, two games left to talk about, and we
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 3: made it. We made it to the best game on
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 3: the slate in my opinion. On one side, I know
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 3: people are gonna contest. Tigers can definitely contest with the Twins.
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 3: I'm a ballpark guy, I'm a weather guy. This game
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 3: went off for what fourteen runs last night against better pitchers.
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 3: Lopez has some upside, not as good a pitcher as
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 3: Joe Ryan. Joe Ryan got tagged up a little bit
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 3: last night. Beto's gonna be on the hill for athletics.
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 3: Allows a ton of fly balls here. I like the
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 3: Twins a ton here tonight. Everybody's gonna like the Twins.
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 3: But again I say it all the time. Play the
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 3: back half of the lineup seven eight, nine hitters. Never
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 3: as high owned is the one, two, three, four, five.
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 3: I love all nine Twins, whoever is in that lineup.
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 3: If some of the lefties do crack it, there is
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 3: some pitch hit concerns in that lineup with guys like
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 3: a Trevor Larnock right might get a little pinch hit
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 3: concerns there.
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 4: I love the Twins here tonight. I mean you're talking
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 4: temperatures in the eighties.
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 3: Fifteen to twenty nine hour wins blown out in this
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 3: ballpark yields the most runs in all of baseball at night.
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 4: It's a good spot here, and the Athletics.
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 3: Pen is absolutely dog shit behind him, worse than all
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 3: of baseball. This is a spot. I mean, Twins did
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 3: it last night. I think they keep it rolling here tonight.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 3: Call me chalk donkey to call me what you want.
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 3: But again, there's enough other spots where it's gonna hold
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 3: their ownership somewhat in check. None of these guys are
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 3: projected to be anywhere close to twenty percent. I mean
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 3: fifteen to twenty percent max I think is kind of
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 3: the cap on a lot of these hitters. So I'm
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 3: playing who I want. I'm in on the Twin athletic side.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 3: I would prefer some of the lefties, the flyball guys.
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 3: Larry Butler hit a bomb last night. I think he
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 3: can go right back to him, Tyler Schradastrom. I'd prefer
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 3: the lefties more so than the righties against Lopez.
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 4: What are you doing here?
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean we got the highest game total this
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: park is. You know, we talked about it at the beginning.
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's been yielding up all kinds of runs.
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: Seems like every one of these games out there seems
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: like it's a softball game for some reason. But yeah,
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: I mean the Twins for me, you know, I think
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: it's I don't like it as much as I did
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: when Lopez was pitching with Beato now, but I mean
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: Buckston up at the top, Korea has been hitting the
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: ball well, Jeffers Royce Lewis. I mean, I'd rather have
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: the top half of this lineup. When it gets down
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: to the bottom, it just kind of gets ugly for me,
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: even though Castro has been hitting the ball pretty well
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: recent times. But yeah, I mean I think I know
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: you like the Twins. I think I'm just gonna be
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: a little different. I think if I'm gonna fade something
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: on this slate, it's gonna be the Twins. I think
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: I'd just rather fade the Twins today and probably play
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: some other other spots that we like today, the Philadelphias,
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: the Tigers, the Atlantas, the Dodgers. I think I'll be
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: kind of living there and kind of maybe just take
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: a stand and fade the Twins tonight.
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 2: But uh, I mean, I think it's risky.
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: I think the Twins definitely could put up some big numbers,
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: but I think I'm just gonna go elsewhere, and I
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: think I'm just gonna fade the Twins just probably because
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: of just home Homer bias, because I just can't stand
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: the Twins.
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 2: But yeah, i think I'm just gonna fade the Twins.
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 3: To be asked with you, yeah, I mean you want
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 3: to play the Twins unique, just leave Carlos Korea out
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 3: of your stack. He's gonna be the highest own player
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 3: on the slate. There's much other There's many other shorts ups.
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 3: You can play right in his same range, or you
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 3: can flip the build and go all the way up
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 3: the top.
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 4: I think Trey Sweeney is a good pivot.
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 3: Trevor Story, Boba, Schett, Mason Wynn to name something and
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 3: then go all the way up.
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 4: To the top.
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 3: Guys like Bobby with Ellie Day, La Cruz, Corey, Seeger
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 3: zach Natto. You leave koreata your Twins stack. You're naturally
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 3: different right there. Everybody's gonna play Korea thirty seven hundred
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 3: for all the reasons you will alluded to. That's one
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 3: way to be different right there. You don't play Korea, well,
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 3: you're different than majority of the people that did five
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 3: man stack the Twins.
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 4: So it doesn't take Rocks scientists to be a little different.
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 3: In baseball, again, most of these guys fail seven out
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 3: of ten times, if not more. Some of these guys
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 3: fail eight out of ten times. Right, So leaving a
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 3: Krea feels scary. Right He's probably gonna hit third, fourth, fifth,
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 3: somewhere in that that lineup projected hit fourth. Right now,
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 3: you leave him out play anyone else. I think that's
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 3: naturally a way to be different, right there. Last game
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 3: of the slate Miguil Clinton, Kershaw, Dodgers and the Matt's
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 3: two powerhouse teams in general in all of baseball, Kershaw
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 3: has looked terrible. Metts have some upside here again, probably
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 3: gonna be more so of a bullpen game for the Dodgers,
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 3: which that Dodgers' bullpen is really good. Talked about it earlier.
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 3: Metts always have upside. Francisco Lindor had another leadoff home
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 3: run last night. I think that's what his fifth leadoff
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 3: home run or something like that to the season and
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 3: so far. Dodgers side though against McGill. You want to
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 3: play the Dodgers when they're unowned. I mean you're seeing
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 3: o'tani coming around ten percent. I mean, the dude always
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 3: picks up ownership regardless of who he's going against. But
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 3: a lot of time, I mean, this dude's been sixty
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 3: seventy percent owned on some big game, big slates before.
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 4: What are you gonna do here with the Dodgers' side
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 4: and the Mets side here to rent up the slate?
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I wanted to like the Dodgers a little more
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: than I than I do. I mean, I like the
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: Dodgers tonight, especially getting my man Mookie back. Who doesn't
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: like who doesn't like Mookie? But I mean McGill's I mean,
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: he's he's pretty good. I mean, but he gets in
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: trouble with some walks at times. He's got fifteen percent
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: walk right the left, he's eight percent to righties.
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 2: I mean, that can get him in trouble really quick.
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: Uh but low fly ball percentage kind of a mid
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: ground ball more so to the righties. But I mean,
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: we know this Dodger lineup has loaded up and down.
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: Like you mentioned, you're gonna get O'taniki and all these
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: guys really low owned today. So with that being said,
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: I do like the Dodgers, but I mean, hey, we
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: we know the Dodgers can throw up some runs. We
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: saw what they did to the other New York game,
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: the Yankees when they rolled in.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: They put up with sixteen or seventeen runs on them
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: that one game.
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean you always can like the Dodgers.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: I think the Dodgers are in that in that spot.
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: It's a little risk here today. Mcguil is a really
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: good pitcher. He's, you know, got everything you'd want. I
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: kind of liked migud I think you could play both
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: sides of that fence here today, but I wouldn't put
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: the do I put the Dodgers up there in my
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: top of my stacks just because how low owned you're
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: gonna get them. You're not gonna get too many slates
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: needs that. We're gonna get the Dodgers probably as low
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: as we're gonna get him today.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 3: And the Mets used a bunch of bullpen arms yesterday.
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 3: Obviously Blackburn started that game, but I mean you're talking
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 3: majority of their arms in the bullpen threw at least
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 3: fifteen pitches yesterday.
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 4: The only one who did it was Jose Budo, right,
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 4: he threw seven pitches.
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 3: All these other guys through upwards of twenty pitches, right,
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 3: So you do have a tax bullpen. And I mean
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 3: the Dodgers lineup is just a gauntlet, right, So I
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 3: do have the Dodgers' interest up there a decent amount.
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 3: Nobody's going to click them. I don't really love picking
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 3: on mcguil. I probably prefer the Yankees if picking between
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 3: the two, just because of the ballpark number one, and
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 3: I think the matchups a little bit better for the
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 3: Yankees in general. But Dodgers are definitely pretty sneaky in
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 3: general overall, especially at this ownership.
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 4: I mean, not too many slates.
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 3: Do you get the Dodgers sub five percent owned honestly
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 3: against the tax bullpen? I get it, Mets have, Mets
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 3: are a solid team in general, pretty solid bullpen overall.
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 3: But when those arms get tired, they start leaving pitches
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 3: over the heart of the plate more and things can
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 3: go south in a hurry. Gee, Rising, we talked, and
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 3: now we're in twelve minutes breaking.
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 4: Down the slates. It was a monster one.
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 3: Let's round it out with you already gave some home
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 3: run calls, but give one of your two favorite pitchers,
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 3: your favorite stack, a cheaper like a sneakier stack, and then.
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 4: I'll home run a call er too.
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 2: Yeah, Jeff Herby is pitching. But if I said Kirby
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: against the Dodgers whatever, who else? Probably in a brain fart.
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: But either way, I mean favorite pitchers, you know, Like
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: I said, I think Redona is up there. I think
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: he's definitely somebody that I'm gonna want to play. I
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: think Strider is a little interesting here tonight. Yeah. I
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: think pitching is tough. I mean it's really tough today.
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: But I think I got green redon Strider, and then
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 1: I'd look at like a bellow Kakuchi. I don't mind
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: McGill either. Rasmussen, I'd probably have down a little bit further,
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: but uh yeah, I think pitching is definitely interesting. But
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: Radone for me is probably about the only safegud look
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: as far as stacks, I do have the Tigers number one.
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: I like the Tigers lefties first. As I said, I
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: the Twins great out, very good, highest team total. I'm
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: just gonna make take a stand today and fade it.
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: But I do think the Phillies lefties are definitely interesting
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: here tonight. I like the Yankees a little bit here tonight.
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I think the Dodgers are interesting. But for me,
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: I did I think the Tigers and Phillies or what
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna probably be looking at here tonight. But you know,
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: like I said, we got a few good pictures that
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: have some bad matchups, and I got a feeling one
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: of them good pitchers is gonna get beat up and
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: probably might may lead to the winner, just because they'll
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: be pretty low owned.
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I agree with a lot of what you said.
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 4: Talked about pitching earlier.
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 3: I think Freddie Perltz is a really good play at
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 3: the projected ownership. I really like Rodan at the top.
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 3: Those are two guys that I that I like quite
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 3: a bit. I like Kakuchi and and Bellow in that
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 3: same game there as well. My home run call, I'm
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 3: going against Hunter Green. I'm playing the other side. I'm
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 3: going to do one of the hottest hitters in all baseball,
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 3: Yellich hitting third here tonight. I think he keeps the
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 3: hot streak going. I like the lefty power against Hunter Green.
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 3: I like the Brewers in general stolen base upside as well.
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 3: Yellish will run for sure. I think Christian Yellis keeps
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 3: it rolling. My favorite stack on the slate is gonna
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 3: be the Twins. I like the Braves quite a bit
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 3: as as well. I'm with you on the Tigers and
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 3: the Yankees too, And then the Cards are another team
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 3: that I'm looking at that not many people I think
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 3: at all, are going to any of the Cardinals.
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 4: I'm with you on the Phillies too, So that's gonna
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 4: do it for this show. I appreciate everyone tuning in.
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 3: It is a big slate, big as slate is our guy,
• 1:13:22
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• 1:13:25
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• 1:13:29
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• 1:13:33
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• 1:14:01
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• 1:14:22
  Speaker 4: So that's gonna do it.
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: Though.
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• 1:14:30
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• 1:14:33
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• 1:14:36
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• 1:15:00
  Speaker 4: I'm none mister, no unnn, misteps,