Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Tuesday, 08/25/26
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: All systems go. Clear for liftoff. What is going on,
- 0:41Speaker 1: Shipman Nation YouTube station? Back in the saddle with my guy, G. Rison.
- 0:47Speaker 1: Love doing shows with G.
- 0:49Speaker 2: Rison.
- 0:49Speaker 1: He just tells it how it is, right? He just
- 0:51Speaker 1: talks out of his ass, talks out both sides of
- 0:53Speaker 1: his mouth, has some laughs, has a good time, and
- 0:56Speaker 1: he knows baseball as well. So looking forward to breaking
- 0:58Speaker 1: down this 12-game monster slate on DraftKings. We got... One
- 1:04Speaker 1: clear-cut pitcher option for sure. A couple other guys as well.
- 1:07Speaker 1: We do have a top-tier loaded slate in terms of
- 1:10Speaker 1: pitching arms. There's some question marks with some of the guys.
- 1:13Speaker 1: Wouldn't be shocked if any of them have ceiling performances either.
- 1:17Speaker 1: And then we got some cheaper guys as well that
- 1:19Speaker 1: look pretty good for their matchups. Massive contest tonight on DraftKings,
- 1:24Speaker 1: the main event warm-up, 333, 200K up top. Hopefully we
- 1:27Speaker 1: see a Ship It Nation logo next to that. $ 200, 000 prize. G. Rosman.
- 1:33Speaker 1: Missed you in Vegas, brother, but I'll bring you in.
- 1:35Speaker 1: What's going on, man? Happy Tuesday.
- 1:38Speaker 2: Yeah, sounds like I missed a hell of a time
- 1:40Speaker 2: from what you were saying before we hopped on. But hey,
- 1:42Speaker 2: I'm glad you all got to go out there and
- 1:44Speaker 2: have a good time. and be with the fellas. I mean, hey,
- 1:47Speaker 2: wasn't the original plan supposed to come back to Michigan
- 1:49Speaker 2: and do the live fucking championship thing? And that, you know,
- 1:53Speaker 2: obviously went to crap. The live tour just basically just,
- 1:57Speaker 2: you know, went to shit real quick. But, I mean,
- 2:00Speaker 2: that was a good time when you all came here
- 2:02Speaker 2: too and got to hang out at the casinos and
- 2:05Speaker 2: bars and all that fun. It's always fun to hang
- 2:07Speaker 2: around the fellas. So, yeah, I do. I'm a little bummed. But, man,
- 2:11Speaker 2: I got so much shit going on, Nades. I told
- 2:13Speaker 2: you previously I'm going to Noelsman's house this weekend here.
- 2:16Speaker 2: First weekend of college football. He's having a big party
- 2:19Speaker 2: at his house. Florida State's playing at like 730, playing
- 2:22Speaker 2: some cupcakes. And then basically the weekend after that is
- 2:27Speaker 2: obviously Labor Day, and I'll be out at my campground
- 2:30Speaker 2: for about four or five days drowning my liver and
- 2:33Speaker 2: playing cornhole. And then the weekend after that, I got
- 2:36Speaker 2: a golf trip up north in Michigan. And then after that,
- 2:40Speaker 2: you know, basically it's football time, Nades. It's like, you know,
- 2:44Speaker 2: we're here at football time. We got college football on Saturdays,
- 2:47Speaker 2: and we got some pro on Sundays. And then, of course,
- 2:50Speaker 2: you know, you get the fun on Monday night. when
- 2:53Speaker 2: you get home from work. So we're coming in a
- 2:55Speaker 2: great time of year, man. I mean, baseball is kind
- 2:58Speaker 2: of winding down, you know, which, hey, I love me
- 3:01Speaker 2: some baseball. But, dude, the fall is awesome. Like when
- 3:03Speaker 2: you can put on some shorts and a sweatshirt and,
- 3:07Speaker 2: you know, be comfortable, that to me is the best weather.
- 3:09Speaker 2: Leaves are changing, going to change here soon. So, man, Nades,
- 3:14Speaker 2: I mean, we got it going on. We got it good.
- 3:17Speaker 2: But yeah, exciting to get down here to the nitty gritty.
- 3:21Speaker 2: I might have to find me a new team here
- 3:23Speaker 2: to adopt for the playoffs this year because my Tigers
- 3:25Speaker 2: sure the hell aren't getting there. I mean, I got
- 3:28Speaker 2: your brew crew because, you know, I want you all
- 3:30Speaker 2: to beat the Dodgers because I do not want Scooble
- 3:34Speaker 2: to win just because he's being such a little bitch
- 3:36Speaker 2: before he left. But either way, I'm going to have
- 3:39Speaker 2: to find me a new squad. The Brewers are on
- 3:41Speaker 2: my list. They're on my short list here. I'm going
- 3:44Speaker 2: to have to see how it's playing out. But the
- 3:47Speaker 2: American League is so damn weak, like Matt and I
- 3:49Speaker 2: were talking. Like, it's weak. Like, I've not seen such
- 3:52Speaker 2: an American League so weak. I don't even know who
- 3:54Speaker 2: the hell could come out of it. I mean, Tampa
- 3:56Speaker 2: looks like the best bet. But yeah, good times. Good
- 3:59Speaker 2: times coming around. Excited to talk about this. What do
- 4:03Speaker 2: we got? 12 whopping big games here tonight, which we
- 4:06Speaker 2: usually have big slates. Usually Tuesday, Fridays are the good
- 4:09Speaker 2: money slates. out there in DFS land. But yeah, I mean,
- 4:13Speaker 2: we got an interesting slate. Like we were saying, Nate,
- 4:15Speaker 2: we got some guys, some pitchers that you can kind
- 4:17Speaker 2: of poke holes in, but then we got a team
- 4:20Speaker 2: today who strikes out the most against right-handing pitcher against
- 4:23Speaker 2: Gavin Williams, who like you said, K props like fricking
- 4:27Speaker 2: eight and a half with juice on the over. That's
- 4:28Speaker 2: like fucking insane. And then you got Libitor going against
- 4:31Speaker 2: the Orioles, who also strike out the most against left-handed pitching.
- 4:35Speaker 2: So it's like, man, seems pretty easy to me. But
- 4:38Speaker 2: maybe there's some other guys we can talk about and
- 4:42Speaker 2: maybe see about throwing them into our pool here. But
- 4:46Speaker 2: interesting slate, Nades. That's for damn sure.
- 4:49Speaker 1: Yeah, should be a fun one here. Say hi to
- 4:51Speaker 1: a couple of people in chat. Philly Phantom, Michael W.,
- 4:54Speaker 1: Warren Tyler, Matty Ice, our guy Nguyen's in here, Speedy Slug.
- 4:59Speaker 1: Appreciate everyone tuning in. Our guy wins a lot. Saw
- 5:01Speaker 1: him down in Vegas. It was nice to see him
- 5:03Speaker 1: at D-Gen 75's event Friday night. I know I was
- 5:08Speaker 1: late showing up to that. Thanks to Delta out of Detroit.
- 5:10Speaker 1: Fuck that city. But yeah, we're back. We made it.
- 5:14Speaker 1: I made it to Vegas nine hours late. But don't worry.
- 5:17Speaker 1: Taito and I made up for it. Like I said
- 5:19Speaker 1: yesterday on the show, Taito went to bed when people
- 5:22Speaker 1: were coming out of the elevator and Ham was texting them.
- 5:25Speaker 1: to go play dice. And we were just laying our
- 5:28Speaker 1: head down on the pillow. So it was definitely a
- 5:31Speaker 1: fun night, fun weekend, but it'll be more fun if
- 5:34Speaker 1: we find 200 stacks here tonight in our contest. You
- 5:38Speaker 1: alluded to it. Gavin Williams is the clear cut SP
- 5:40Speaker 1: one on the slate, hard to argue outside of ownership.
- 5:44Speaker 1: His ownership is going to be high, but it's not
- 5:46Speaker 1: going to be like, he's going to be 80% owned.
- 5:48Speaker 1: I mean, the dude's going to be probably 40% in MME,
- 5:52Speaker 1: 60% to 70% in single entry, small field stuff, and
- 5:55Speaker 1: I just don't see how you get away from it,
- 5:57Speaker 1: to be honest. He's been almost a 42% strikeout rate
- 6:03Speaker 1: guy in the last eight starts or 10 starts, something
- 6:05Speaker 1: like that. He's a 30-plus percent strikeout guy on the season,
- 6:09Speaker 1: gets the best strikeout matchup in baseball against the Angels.
- 6:13Speaker 1: The only downside you can pull is it is a
- 6:16Speaker 1: decent hitter's park and decent weather. But you've got to
- 6:21Speaker 1: make contact with the baseball for it to matter. So
- 6:23Speaker 1: Gavin Williams looks like the clear-cut SP1. No shocker there.
- 6:27Speaker 1: At 10-5, you do have to pay for it. And
- 6:29Speaker 1: you have guys like Kyle Harrison, Jacob DeGrom, Paul Skeens
- 6:36Speaker 1: at $ 1, 500 to $ 1, 000 cheaper, right? So Gavin Williams is
- 6:39Speaker 1: going to have to post a score that is high enough, right, points-per-dollar-wise,
- 6:47Speaker 1: to outmatch some of those guys. I don't foresee him
- 6:50Speaker 1: not doing that. But in terms of pitching, take it
- 6:53Speaker 1: 8K all the way up to Gavin Williams. Talk about
- 6:55Speaker 1: Tyler Glass now coming back from the IL, making his
- 6:58Speaker 1: first start. He went 77 pitches in his rehab start.
- 7:01Speaker 1: You have to assume Dodgers are going to be super
- 7:03Speaker 1: careful with him. Kyle Harrison either strikes out 75 guys
- 7:09Speaker 1: or gets pulled after 60 pitches with no strikeouts. He's 9,500,
- 7:13Speaker 1: gets a really good pitcher's ballpark and matchup for strikeouts there.
- 7:17Speaker 1: Jacob DeGrom coming off a massive game after he got
- 7:21Speaker 1: pulled in the second inning for arm fatigue. We just
- 7:23Speaker 1: saw Kumar Rocker mow the same team down last night.
- 7:28Speaker 1: And then Paul Skeens, his velocity has been dropping. Maybe
- 7:31Speaker 1: Landon's probably throwing harder than them right now up there
- 7:34Speaker 1: in Detroit. Hoops boy. So I don't know what's going
- 7:36Speaker 1: on with Paul Skeens. And then any of these other guys,
- 7:38Speaker 1: these fringe guys down in the 8K range, Urena, Bradley, Kirby, King,
- 7:43Speaker 1: what are you doing in this top tier?
- 7:45Speaker 2: I mean, it's pretty simple. Gavin Williams' matchup is just
- 7:50Speaker 2: elite against the Angels, who we've been picking out all
- 7:54Speaker 2: damn year. And then we say, oh, you know, we
- 7:55Speaker 2: always like a good strikeout righty against the Angels. Well,
- 7:59Speaker 2: I mean, we got pretty much the pimp of strikeouts
- 8:02Speaker 2: so far this year up to this point. I mean,
- 8:05Speaker 2: and you know I've been talking about looking at their
- 8:07Speaker 2: latest numbers here in the last like 30 days as
- 8:11Speaker 2: we get later in the season. And Gavin Williams' strikeouts
- 8:14Speaker 2: have picked up. He's at almost 41.5% to the left side.
- 8:16Speaker 2: He's at 37.5%. to the right side so far, you know,
- 8:21Speaker 2: in the last 30 days, he's looked really good. He
- 8:24Speaker 2: has been giving up a little bit of power though. Um,
- 8:27Speaker 2: but I'm not really too concerned about this, uh, lineup
- 8:30Speaker 2: that the angels are thrown out there, but I mean,
- 8:33Speaker 2: eight and a half K prop. I don't think we've
- 8:35Speaker 2: seen that all year needs. So, uh, you know, that's
- 8:38Speaker 2: something to be said within itself. I've, you know, I mean, damn, that's,
- 8:43Speaker 2: that's a pretty high K prop. I mean, And you
- 8:46Speaker 2: want to move down. I mean, Williams is really high
- 8:48Speaker 2: up there. I can't poke too many holes in what
- 8:50Speaker 2: he's got other than he has been getting hit a
- 8:52Speaker 2: little bit. But I mean, the strikeout should be able
- 8:55Speaker 2: to cover that. I would expect him to have 10
- 8:57Speaker 2: K's tonight. I mean, I think that eight and a half.
- 9:00Speaker 2: I mean, they got to bump it up that high
- 9:01Speaker 2: because he's probably going to have a handful. He's been
- 9:03Speaker 2: looking good glass now. Man, I thought about Glass now,
- 9:09Speaker 2: to be honest with you. I mean, you're sitting here
- 9:11Speaker 2: looking at a guy who I looked up his last start,
- 9:15Speaker 2: rehab start. He got almost to 80 pitches. You know,
- 9:19Speaker 2: I mean, the Dodgers are notorious for yanking guys out
- 9:22Speaker 2: a little bit early. But, I mean, he's sitting at
- 9:25Speaker 2: a 6.5K prop. I mean, Glass now is just– he's
- 9:29Speaker 2: always been a guy that we've used chasing for strikeouts.
- 9:32Speaker 2: I mean, I get he's coming off the I.L., So
- 9:35Speaker 2: we don't know exactly what we're getting. The game does
- 9:38Speaker 2: have an eight and a half K prop, but I mean,
- 9:40Speaker 2: you got Olsen. I mean, I think there's some strikeouts.
- 9:43Speaker 2: I mean, Dubon's at 13% for strikeouts. Albies is at 18%.
- 9:48Speaker 2: Everybody else is 22% and higher. Well, Harris is 21%,
- 9:53Speaker 2: but Austin Riley, 32%, Murphy, 42%. So, I mean, there
- 9:57Speaker 2: are some strikeouts to be had there. So I think
- 9:59Speaker 2: glass now for me is like a tournament play that
- 10:02Speaker 2: I would leave in my pool I just feel like
- 10:05Speaker 2: he's a decent pivot off Williams I mean Williams isn't
- 10:08Speaker 2: you know isn't it's just not a lock like I
- 10:11Speaker 2: said he has been getting hit a little bit I
- 10:13Speaker 2: do think he's going to get pretty high ownership so
- 10:16Speaker 2: if you're looking to pivot off Williams I think glass
- 10:19Speaker 2: now would be a guy to look at. Harrison, you know,
- 10:23Speaker 2: like you said, what are we getting? 90 pitches one game,
- 10:26Speaker 2: 70 the next, 80 the next. I mean, he's kind
- 10:29Speaker 2: of like a boomer bust, but we get a matchup
- 10:32Speaker 2: against the Mets. We've been kind of picking on the Mets.
- 10:34Speaker 2: The Mets have been pretty good here, actually, the last month,
- 10:37Speaker 2: but we got a game total sitting at seven and
- 10:39Speaker 2: a half. I mean, you got Benj, Robert, Jared Young, Ewing.
- 10:45Speaker 2: So you got four bats that are over 24% for
- 10:49Speaker 2: strikeout rate. Lindor and Bichette and Torrens, they're not going
- 10:53Speaker 2: to get too much out of them. Actually, Kyle Harrison's
- 10:56Speaker 2: looked pretty good in his last 30 days. He's at
- 10:59Speaker 2: 41% strikeout rate to the left side. He's at 31%
- 11:03Speaker 2: strikeout rate to the right side. I mean, he's 8Ks, 3Ks, 10Ks, 2Ks.
- 11:10Speaker 2: So it seems like every other start, To me, that's
- 11:14Speaker 2: the definition of a tournament play. So I don't mind
- 11:17Speaker 2: Kyle Harrison either, but I do prefer Glasnow, I think,
- 11:21Speaker 2: over Harrison. And then we get to DeGrom. I think
- 11:24Speaker 2: DeGrom is interesting. I mean, you mentioned they yanked him
- 11:27Speaker 2: for arm fatigue. He did have another start where he
- 11:29Speaker 2: ended up coming out. He had the 10 Ks. They
- 11:32Speaker 2: let him get the 94 pitches. So with that being said,
- 11:36Speaker 2: and that matchup was against Washington, who... Man, Washington's been
- 11:40Speaker 2: smashing the shit out of the baseball around that time
- 11:43Speaker 2: when he came in. He's got a matchup against the
- 11:46Speaker 2: White Sox. I don't really like to mess with the
- 11:48Speaker 2: White Sox, to be truthful, but they do have some strikeouts.
- 11:51Speaker 2: Murakami's at 32%. Colson Montgomery's at 36%. Brenton Doyle, 34%.
- 11:57Speaker 2: You've got a handful of other guys that are in
- 12:00Speaker 2: the high teens. So I think DeGrom could get the
- 12:03Speaker 2: job done. His last 30 days, his strikeout percentages– have
- 12:08Speaker 2: gone up a few percentage points to the left side.
- 12:10Speaker 2: He's right about the same percentage points for the right
- 12:13Speaker 2: side so far. So, you know, I think DeGrom is
- 12:16Speaker 2: a guy, especially at his price that I could, I
- 12:19Speaker 2: could buy into. I do like DeGrom more in glass
- 12:21Speaker 2: now in Harrison. So I, I leave him there. I
- 12:24Speaker 2: just don't like the matchup against the White Sox. I
- 12:26Speaker 2: just feel like I need to get the whiskey bottle.
- 12:29Speaker 2: You know, it's like, it's just one of them things.
- 12:31Speaker 2: It's like, damn it. I been bitching about that all year.
- 12:33Speaker 2: I don't like the fuck with the White Sox. And
- 12:36Speaker 2: then you got Paul Skeens. That dude's already thinking about
- 12:39Speaker 2: what his wife's wearing when he's on the mound, when
- 12:42Speaker 2: he's getting home. Like, I think he done mailed it in. Like,
- 12:44Speaker 2: he not even, it don't even seem like he's home. Like,
- 12:48Speaker 2: I don't even know, man. I'm skipping Skeens. I don't
- 12:50Speaker 2: want nothing to do with Paul Skeens. Urania, I'm not
- 12:55Speaker 2: really interested in Urania either. I mean, it's just, I
- 12:59Speaker 2: can't do it. And then, you know, you start getting
- 13:02Speaker 2: down here with the Bradley, Kirby's, and King's. I think
- 13:06Speaker 2: there's a few guys down below, like we already mentioned, Libertor.
- 13:09Speaker 2: You know, I got a few guys up top that
- 13:11Speaker 2: I do think have some high strikeout ceilings today. And
- 13:15Speaker 2: I think these guys down here in this low 8K, high,
- 13:18Speaker 2: you know, middle 8K range, I just don't like the
- 13:20Speaker 2: upside I'm getting at all. I think today is a
- 13:23Speaker 2: day that I'm going to have to worry about the
- 13:24Speaker 2: high upside of pitching. So Gavin Williams with that matchup
- 13:28Speaker 2: could easily get 12Ks today. I mean, the K prop's
- 13:33Speaker 2: eight and a half. I mean, it's not like he's
- 13:34Speaker 2: going too much higher than that. So, I mean, to me,
- 13:38Speaker 2: I think pitching's a little scary. I'm getting worried about
- 13:41Speaker 2: these guys down below, the Kirby's, Bradley's, Urania's. I'd have
- 13:45Speaker 2: a hard time with that. But I do say moving
- 13:48Speaker 2: on up, I'd go Gavin Williams by far is the
- 13:51Speaker 2: best pitcher. Then I'd go DeGrom, Glasnow, and Harrison. And, man,
- 13:58Speaker 2: I got a gut feeling that Glasnow is going to
- 14:00Speaker 2: put up a pretty big game today. I mean, when
- 14:02Speaker 2: you're a guy like Glasnow and you're walking out there
- 14:04Speaker 2: and you just brought in a guy like Tarek Skubal,
- 14:07Speaker 2: if you don't think that these dudes are going to
- 14:09Speaker 2: feed off each other, I mean, come on, man. That
- 14:13Speaker 2: pitching staff's sick. So they're all sitting there looking at
- 14:15Speaker 2: each other like, man, I got to outdo this guy.
- 14:18Speaker 2: And Glasnow ain't going to get left out. That guy's
- 14:20Speaker 2: got a rocket for an arm. So I do like
- 14:23Speaker 2: glass now. I mean, I don't really love the matchup,
- 14:26Speaker 2: but I think on this slate, he's definitely interesting. I
- 14:28Speaker 2: think he'd be right there. Not too far below the
- 14:31Speaker 2: ground for me, but I don't like picking on the
- 14:33Speaker 2: white socks, man. Like I I'm kind of torn, but
- 14:35Speaker 2: you know, when the slate comes up, I might put
- 14:37Speaker 2: glass now ahead of the ground, but man, Gavin Williams
- 14:40Speaker 2: by far is the best pitcher on the slate.
- 14:44Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree with Gavin Williams. Number one, um, I
- 14:48Speaker 1: do have DeGrom number two. I know the matchup is
- 14:51Speaker 1: kind of scary picking on the White Sox there, but
- 14:53Speaker 1: DeGrom is a million times better than Kumar Rocker. Rocker just, yeah,
- 14:57Speaker 1: he gave up a home run or two. And even
- 15:00Speaker 1: if DeGrom gives up a home run or two, I
- 15:01Speaker 1: think he can match it with the strikeouts. Props would agree.
- 15:05Speaker 1: Six and a half K prop juice of the over there.
- 15:06Speaker 1: Third best in the slate behind glass now and Gavin Williams.
- 15:10Speaker 1: So I do have DeGrom too. I'm not playing Paul Skeens.
- 15:13Speaker 1: I think you can play him if you want to.
- 15:14Speaker 1: I just, The matchup, his velocity has consistently dropped since
- 15:18Speaker 1: last season, continues to go down. He gets one of
- 15:21Speaker 1: the worst strikeout matchups in baseball against the Padres, who
- 15:24Speaker 1: are hitting the ball right now. I know the ballpark's good,
- 15:27Speaker 1: but I just can't do it on a 12-game slate
- 15:29Speaker 1: with this good of pitching overall. So I'm out on
- 15:32Speaker 1: Paul Skeens. I do want to hit on Glassnow and Harrison.
- 15:35Speaker 1: I have Harrison slightly above Glassnow just because I don't
- 15:39Speaker 1: know what Glassnow's pitch count's going to look like. Now,
- 15:42Speaker 1: Glassnow has the better strikeout matchup. I get that. He
- 15:46Speaker 1: does mow down righties. He's going to see Acuna, Riley, Murphy,
- 15:52Speaker 1: and Dubon. Braves douche K, a decent amount, about 25%
- 15:56Speaker 1: over the last month against right-handed pitching. It's just there's
- 15:59Speaker 1: a lot of unknowns. So for the $ 500 savings, I
- 16:04Speaker 1: do slightly prefer Harrison just because, I mean, if Harrison
- 16:07Speaker 1: goes out there and gets his 90 pitches, which usually
- 16:10Speaker 1: is where he's been living, In this ballpark and city field,
- 16:13Speaker 1: I think he can post eight to ten strikeouts. So
- 16:16Speaker 1: I do like him. I think he's going to be
- 16:18Speaker 1: a little lower owned as well off of a guy
- 16:20Speaker 1: like DeGrom. So for me, I rank this top tier. Gavin,
- 16:24Speaker 1: number one, clear cut, then drop off a cliff down
- 16:27Speaker 1: to DeGrom, then Harrison, then Glass now. I'm out on skeins.
- 16:32Speaker 1: Out on Urena, not playing Kirby or King. I do
- 16:35Speaker 1: want to talk on Taj Bradley. I was all over
- 16:37Speaker 1: Zebby yesterday. I played a shit ton of Zebby Matthews yesterday.
- 16:40Speaker 1: Worked out well for me. The issue I have on
- 16:42Speaker 1: this slate with Taj Bradley in this ballpark is he's $ 2, 000
- 16:47Speaker 1: more expensive than guys like Brady Singer, Anthony K. We're
- 16:51Speaker 1: going to talk about Libertor. I don't know why I
- 16:55Speaker 1: need to play a guy in Taj Bradley who, in
- 16:59Speaker 1: terms of props, has worse props in Vegas than guys
- 17:03Speaker 1: who are $ 2, 000 cheaper than him on a slate where
- 17:06Speaker 1: we have 12 offenses to pay out for. We have
- 17:07Speaker 1: the Dodgers. We have the Yankees. We have, obviously, the
- 17:10Speaker 1: Twins and the A's. I think he's a good play
- 17:13Speaker 1: on a different slate. I just can't get there at 8,500.
- 17:16Speaker 1: I wouldn't be shocked if he posts a good game.
- 17:18Speaker 1: Same reason I was on Zebby yesterday. His props are good.
- 17:22Speaker 1: It's just compared to the price point and the cheaper
- 17:24Speaker 1: options we have on the slate. I just rather spend down.
- 17:29Speaker 1: I know you're going to get Bradley lower own, but again,
- 17:32Speaker 1: I just rather prefer upgrading my bats than playing Taj Bradley.
- 17:37Speaker 1: So that's kind of how I see the top tier.
- 17:39Speaker 1: It's really the four guys at the top for me. Headlined, obviously,
- 17:42Speaker 1: by Gavin Williams. Majority of my teams are going to
- 17:44Speaker 1: be anchored with Gavin Williams. And then one of the
- 17:46Speaker 1: cheaper options, if I can afford double spend-ups, then DeGrom
- 17:49Speaker 1: would be second, like I said. Harrison third, Glasnow four.
- 17:54Speaker 1: But ideally, it's going to be one of those top
- 17:55Speaker 1: guys and a cheaper arm on the slate. And I
- 17:58Speaker 1: think you can actually play two of these cheaper arms
- 18:00Speaker 1: that we'll talk about here. Let's drop down below 8K here, G. Rison. Obviously,
- 18:05Speaker 1: Libertor looks like the best points per dollar play on
- 18:07Speaker 1: the slate. Ownership's going to be Pretty decent, but you
- 18:11Speaker 1: do have Aaron Nola as well, who's going to command
- 18:13Speaker 1: a decent amount of ownership. He's coming off a good start.
- 18:18Speaker 1: He's better than a $ 6, 700 arm talent overall long term.
- 18:22Speaker 1: I know he's given up the most home runs in baseball.
- 18:24Speaker 1: He hasn't looked like himself. He's still pitching in Seattle.
- 18:28Speaker 1: I'm kind of calling last night an anomaly. Zach Wheeler
- 18:31Speaker 1: in Seattle. I don't care what happened last night. I
- 18:35Speaker 1: would not be shocked. to see both sides of this game.
- 18:38Speaker 1: I think Nola can have a good game and I
- 18:40Speaker 1: won't be shocked to see Seattle hit a couple of
- 18:41Speaker 1: home runs. But I do think Nola at $ 6, 700 does
- 18:45Speaker 1: have a lot of strikeout upside. I prefer Libertor straight
- 18:48Speaker 1: up over him. I think ownership is going to be
- 18:50Speaker 1: kind of split between those guys. So for me down here,
- 18:53Speaker 1: it is Libertor number one, Nola two. I think Brady
- 18:56Speaker 1: Singer is a little interesting. Anthony Kaye, I think is interesting.
- 19:00Speaker 1: And then Talk to me, any interest in a guy
- 19:03Speaker 1: like Adrian Hauser. He's familiar with Cincinnati, obviously when he's
- 19:07Speaker 1: pitched with Milwaukee. He gets this amazing matchup. I mean,
- 19:11Speaker 1: we just saw a shitty pitcher, Wisenhunt, just absolutely mow
- 19:14Speaker 1: this team down yesterday until he got injured. I mean,
- 19:18Speaker 1: can you stomach an Adrian Hauser at $ 5, 700 on this
- 19:21Speaker 1: slate and just flip the build completely? How do you
- 19:24Speaker 1: see the lower tier here?
- 19:28Speaker 2: Yeah, the lower tiers... got a lot of options for us.
- 19:31Speaker 2: And before I kind of get into that, I was
- 19:34Speaker 2: wanting to answer Metro boom here about King. King's going
- 19:39Speaker 2: to see like six lefties and his strikeout percentage is
- 19:42Speaker 2: pretty low. It's like 19% for the season. His last
- 19:45Speaker 2: 30 days has been down to 17%. So with the
- 19:48Speaker 2: options we have that we're going to talk about below here,
- 19:50Speaker 2: which I think we got like three or four, like
- 19:53Speaker 2: four good ones, like maybe five that we can look at.
- 19:56Speaker 2: And then like we said, with the upside that we
- 19:58Speaker 2: have on top, a guy like King, I just don't
- 20:01Speaker 2: see the upside in the ceiling. Like if we had
- 20:03Speaker 2: a six game slate, you know, like I'm looking for outs,
- 20:06Speaker 2: you know, King would be a guy I'd consider playing,
- 20:09Speaker 2: but When I got a strikeout upside kind of slate
- 20:12Speaker 2: here we got today, I do worry a little bit
- 20:14Speaker 2: about that. But, you know, you mentioned, you know, what
- 20:18Speaker 2: we're working with down below. I think for me, yeah,
- 20:22Speaker 2: Libertor for me is my favorite down below. Like we
- 20:25Speaker 2: said at the top of the show, I mean, the
- 20:26Speaker 2: Orioles strike out the most against left-handed pitching.
- 20:29Speaker 1: You do have a.
- 20:29Speaker 2: Strikeout or a fly ball type pitcher, though, in Libertor
- 20:33Speaker 2: against Baltimore today. But, you know, I think we're all
- 20:37Speaker 2: right there. I do like Libitor. His strikeout percentages look
- 20:40Speaker 2: pretty good. Nola, you mentioned Nola. Nola's been interesting. I mean,
- 20:46Speaker 2: his last three starts, he's had 8Ks, 9Ks, 8Ks, and
- 20:49Speaker 2: he's been basically 100 pitches, 97, and 97. He gets
- 20:53Speaker 2: a Seattle team that I don't really fear. We like
- 20:57Speaker 2: the park. It's a whiskey bottle type play. I mean,
- 21:02Speaker 2: that's for sure. I mean, what are we looking at here?
- 21:08Speaker 2: I mean, maybe the big dumper, Josh Naylor. I mean,
- 21:12Speaker 2: I'm not too concerned about it. Nola does give up
- 21:14Speaker 2: a lot of power. I mean, that's definitely something. It
- 21:18Speaker 2: has dropped, though, in the last 30 days. He went
- 21:21Speaker 2: from getting barreled up by lefties– From 9% to 4%,
- 21:26Speaker 2: he was at 10% down to 8.5%. So he hasn't
- 21:30Speaker 2: been getting hit as hard his last 30 days. And
- 21:33Speaker 2: I've been saying it the last couple weeks, like as
- 21:35Speaker 2: we get to the tail end of the season, especially pitching,
- 21:38Speaker 2: I'd put more into the last 30 days than I
- 21:42Speaker 2: do most things just because I feel like, you know,
- 21:44Speaker 2: are guys wearing out? Are they worn down? Have they
- 21:47Speaker 2: lost interest? And, you know, so forth. What did the
- 21:49Speaker 2: pitch counts look like? So I think that that matters.
- 21:52Speaker 2: And now we're going to start getting to that time
- 21:54Speaker 2: of year, too, where the rosters are going to expand. And,
- 21:57Speaker 2: you know, we're getting to that time where it's going
- 21:59Speaker 2: to get fuzzy. But either way, I mean, I think
- 22:03Speaker 2: Nola definitely has some strikeout potential. I think Singer is
- 22:06Speaker 2: another guy that we definitely got to look at playing.
- 22:10Speaker 2: I mean... Normally, Singer isn't a guy that I'm looking
- 22:14Speaker 2: for strikeouts, obviously. But, dude, that San Francisco AAA lineup
- 22:18Speaker 2: has just been god-awful. Singer's been over 100 pitches his last, shit,
- 22:24Speaker 2: five out of six starts. But, I mean, we're lucky
- 22:27Speaker 2: if we're going to get four or five Ks. But,
- 22:29Speaker 2: I mean, at 6,800, if you're looking for some outs
- 22:32Speaker 2: and you're looking for– You know, a guy that might
- 22:36Speaker 2: be able to get you a quality start. I think
- 22:38Speaker 2: Singer is somebody you're going to look at. I mean,
- 22:40Speaker 2: I do like him a little bit more on FanDuel
- 22:43Speaker 2: just because he's got so many quality starts here. But,
- 22:47Speaker 2: I mean, Singer is just somebody that I don't mind.
- 22:51Speaker 2: You mentioned Kay. He's just another guy that's got just–
- 22:57Speaker 2: I don't know. I just don't like the matchup, really,
- 22:59Speaker 2: that he's got. He's going to get, what, seven righties.
- 23:02Speaker 2: He's down at a 15% K rate against righties. That
- 23:06Speaker 2: does concern me a little bit. So I do have
- 23:08Speaker 2: K a little bit lower down in my low-end pool here.
- 23:14Speaker 2: But you mentioned Hauser. I think Hauser, I mean, he's actually,
- 23:19Speaker 2: if you look at his game log when you were
- 23:20Speaker 2: talking about him earlier, I mean, he gets a Cincinnati
- 23:24Speaker 2: team that does have some strikeouts. His last three games,
- 23:27Speaker 2: he's been at 17, 21, 17 points. I do like
- 23:30Speaker 2: where he's at here in recent times. I mean, we're
- 23:33Speaker 2: sitting here looking.
- 23:34Speaker 1: At the park.
- 23:35Speaker 2: I like the park.
- 23:37Speaker 1: I mean..
- 23:38Speaker 2: I don't mind the matchup, actually, at all. He hasn't
- 23:42Speaker 2: been getting hit hard very well in recent times. And
- 23:46Speaker 2: you look at the Reds, Ellie's at almost 28%, Stevenson 28%,
- 23:48Speaker 2: Eugenio 33%, McLean 30%, Myers 27%. The other three bats
- 23:51Speaker 2: are at mid-21% range. So there's definitely some strikeouts for
- 23:54Speaker 2: Hauser to be had. But, I mean, again, he's just
- 24:03Speaker 2: not a big strikeout arm either. So I'd have him
- 24:06Speaker 2: ranked a little bit below. But, man, down below, Nades,
- 24:09Speaker 2: I think I'd just kind of keep it tight. I'm
- 24:11Speaker 2: not playing Scherzer, Bassett, not playing Lugo. I ain't playing
- 24:15Speaker 2: none of them guys. Maybe Will Warren I'd maybe look at.
- 24:18Speaker 2: I don't love it. I mean, maybe if I had
- 24:21Speaker 2: a deep pool, I'd consider him in there. I don't
- 24:23Speaker 2: really like jump either. But Libertor, easy, number one for
- 24:27Speaker 2: me down below. And then I think I'd probably go Singer, Nola,
- 24:34Speaker 2: and then I'd probably go Hauser is probably where I'm looking.
- 24:38Speaker 2: But for me overall, salary included, ownership, I'd be going
- 24:43Speaker 2: Gavin Williams and Libertor on DK would be my favorite
- 24:46Speaker 2: pairing that I'd look at. And then if I wanted
- 24:49Speaker 2: to mix up and get away from Gavin Williams, I
- 24:52Speaker 2: think that's where I'd start to maybe keep in some
- 24:55Speaker 2: of my low-end guys, maybe not go double up pitching,
- 24:58Speaker 2: and maybe throw in a Harrison, a Glasnow, or a DeGrom,
- 25:01Speaker 2: and then still maybe use one of these lower-end guys.
- 25:04Speaker 2: But I do think there's some high-end pitching today that
- 25:07Speaker 2: we should be aware of and be a little bit
- 25:08Speaker 2: more concerned of, more so than we have on normal slates.
- 25:11Speaker 2: This is definitely a slate we could see some strikeout.
- 25:14Speaker 2: When we got a top guy with 8.5K prop nades,
- 25:18Speaker 2: that is definitely something we need to be concerned about.
- 25:21Speaker 1: Yeah, obviously Gavin Williams is the main decision point. It's
- 25:24Speaker 1: a pretty easy decision point for me. It's play him. But, again,
- 25:29Speaker 1: not a lock-button play. It's still baseball at the end
- 25:31Speaker 1: of the day. I do rank the lower tier a
- 25:33Speaker 1: little bit different than you. I do have Libertor number one.
- 25:35Speaker 1: I do have Aaron Nola two and then Hauser three.
- 25:40Speaker 1: I just think Anthony Kaye and Singer, the matchups for
- 25:44Speaker 1: those guys, I mean, you're hoping for– I mean, you're
- 25:48Speaker 1: hoping for 10 to 15. Is that enough on this slate?
- 25:51Speaker 1: I don't know. The props on Hauser are better than
- 25:55Speaker 1: both of those guys for cheaper. I mean, he's got
- 25:58Speaker 1: a three and a half K prop. Yeah. Those other
- 26:00Speaker 1: guys have a four and a half K prop, but
- 26:01Speaker 1: Hauser's minus one 58 on the other, on the over.
- 26:05Speaker 1: And those guys singer and Anthony K are juice to
- 26:10Speaker 1: the under. So you kind of meet in the middle
- 26:12Speaker 1: and just give me the thousand dollar savings right off
- 26:15Speaker 1: of that in terms pitching against Cincinnati, who we've been
- 26:19Speaker 1: streamlining pitchers against. He knows this team. I just, I
- 26:23Speaker 1: think it's a really good spot for a dirt cheap guy. Um,
- 26:26Speaker 1: but ideally it's Nola or Libertor if I can get there. Um, I,
- 26:31Speaker 1: when we talk on Seattle bats, I do like some
- 26:32Speaker 1: Seattle bats as well against Nola, but this is a
- 26:35Speaker 1: clear cut sign of he's cheaper or he's too cheap
- 26:38Speaker 1: for six, uh, for his talent at $ 6, 700 pitching in
- 26:42Speaker 1: Seattle basically is what it comes down to. And If
- 26:45Speaker 1: he gives up a home run or two to guys
- 26:47Speaker 1: like a Rosarena or Ken's own. Sure. I mean, you're
- 26:52Speaker 1: still fine. You can get away with it. So that's
- 26:53Speaker 1: kind of how I see the pitching pool. It's Gavin Williams, Libertor, Nola,
- 26:58Speaker 1: the three main headliners, then DeGrom, then probably Harrison, then Hauser,
- 27:03Speaker 1: and then glass. Now it's kind of how I see
- 27:05Speaker 1: it overall. Any, any final, final takes.
- 27:10Speaker 2: I mean, we've got a lot of options for pitching. I,
- 27:12Speaker 2: I mean, I, Yeah, there's going to be a couple
- 27:15Speaker 2: of clear-cut favorites, but I think we've got a lot
- 27:18Speaker 2: of different options. It seems like in the last few
- 27:20Speaker 2: weeks we've been struggling to find some good pitching, so
- 27:23Speaker 2: it's kind of nice to see at least we've got
- 27:26Speaker 2: some options on the board.
- 27:28Speaker 1: Yeah, 100%. All right, jump over to bats. First game
- 27:31Speaker 1: on the slate, we are in Yankee Stadium. It is
- 27:34Speaker 1: a good place to hit here tonight, as it typically is,
- 27:36Speaker 1: especially for left-handed power. You've got wind blowing out towards Yankee.
- 27:40Speaker 1: The short porch in right field as well, around 10
- 27:43Speaker 1: miles an hour. You know how bad that Houston bullpen
- 27:46Speaker 1: is outside of the back half, right? If you get
- 27:48Speaker 1: in the back arms like a hater, those guys. But
- 27:52Speaker 1: you have to assume the Yanks jump on this cat
- 27:56Speaker 1: here early. Ethan Pecco, just horrible control, not good against lefties.
- 28:02Speaker 1: He's going to see the Yankees' best lineup that is
- 28:06Speaker 1: available right now. Grisham looks great to me. Garcia looks great. Jones, Wells, Rice, Jazz, Bellinger.
- 28:12Speaker 1: You want all the lefties. Don't forget about Lombard, though, either,
- 28:15Speaker 1: or Caballero. Both of those guys, I prefer Lombard, but Caballero,
- 28:19Speaker 1: all it takes is a walk for him. He can
- 28:22Speaker 1: steal any time he's on. He's going to steal one
- 28:25Speaker 1: through nine. Yankees, my top overall stack on the slate,
- 28:28Speaker 1: even ahead of teams like the Dodgers and the Twins.
- 28:31Speaker 1: They're going to be held in check as well in
- 28:32Speaker 1: terms of ownership, which Typically is the case on a
- 28:35Speaker 1: 12-game slate, but the Twins are going to soak up
- 28:37Speaker 1: any sort of ownership that you have to worry about. Anyways,
- 28:41Speaker 1: love me some Yankees here tonight. I think they're awesome plays.
- 28:45Speaker 1: I'm going to be loading the wagon on New York
- 28:47Speaker 1: here to kick off the slate. How do you see
- 28:49Speaker 1: this one?
- 28:51Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, it almost seems a little bit too easy,
- 28:53Speaker 2: don't it? I mean, you got a guy who's– he's
- 28:58Speaker 2: ahead to one– One start, he went 90 pitches, gave
- 29:02Speaker 2: up a bunch of fly balls. I mean, they're just
- 29:06Speaker 2: asking for the trouble today. They're going to be throwing out, what,
- 29:09Speaker 2: seven lefties at him? I mean, and every one of
- 29:12Speaker 2: them's got home run power. Grisham Rice, Garcia, Bellinger, Jones, Jazz, Wells.
- 29:18Speaker 2: I mean, they're going to– he's got his work cut
- 29:20Speaker 2: out for him, as you mentioned. That bullpen sucks too,
- 29:22Speaker 2: so that's another bonus that we're going to want to
- 29:25Speaker 2: chase after. So– Yeah. I mean, I got the Yankees
- 29:29Speaker 2: in my top three today. That's for damn sure. I
- 29:32Speaker 2: don't know if I got them number one, but I
- 29:35Speaker 2: definitely have them up there in my top three. They're
- 29:38Speaker 2: definitely up there. I just think that..
- 29:40Speaker 1: Uh.
- 29:42Speaker 2: That bullpen is just bad man like i gotta have
- 29:44Speaker 2: a piece of the yankees today like i've been chasing
- 29:46Speaker 2: bad bullpens and them and the a's are the bullpens
- 29:49Speaker 2: i've been going after and i'm gonna expect to be
- 29:51Speaker 2: doing the same today.
- 29:54Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you there. I love the Yankees at
- 29:57Speaker 1: their ownership. I mean, all these guys are projected to
- 29:59Speaker 1: be under 5%, 10% owned as a stack. Sign me
- 30:02Speaker 1: up for that. I mean, you're talking five guys projected
- 30:05Speaker 1: to be right around 40% owned for the five-man stack
- 30:08Speaker 1: against Ethan Pecco, who has fly ball issues and command issues,
- 30:12Speaker 1: and then a bad bullpen with the wind blowing out
- 30:14Speaker 1: in a short porch. Yeah, it's only 70 degrees. But, yeah,
- 30:18Speaker 1: I'll take my chances. I love the Yankees here overall.
- 30:22Speaker 1: No Astros interest for me against Will Warren. If you
- 30:24Speaker 1: wanted to, the lefties are where you're going. So right
- 30:28Speaker 1: away that jumps out to Jordan. His price is way
- 30:30Speaker 1: up there. I think Taylor Trammell is actually kind of interesting.
- 30:33Speaker 1: He's actually put together a pretty good season and he's cheap.
- 30:37Speaker 1: So I think like a little Trammell, Jordan, a little contrarian,
- 30:40Speaker 1: a little mini stack, something like that to target that
- 30:42Speaker 1: left-handed power where Will Warren is susceptible. But I'm not
- 30:46Speaker 1: full stacking the Astros here. Yankees do have a pretty
- 30:48Speaker 1: good bullpen. as well. And Will Warren is still a
- 30:51Speaker 1: pretty serviceable arm. Jordan's obviously in play anytime he's on
- 30:54Speaker 1: the slate. You got two other cheap guys in there,
- 30:57Speaker 1: Wade and Varshow. There's some pinch hit risk there. But
- 31:00Speaker 1: if you wanted a contrarian Astro stack that has the
- 31:02Speaker 1: full netting at bats, it'd be the lefties for me.
- 31:05Speaker 1: I just can't play everyone on the slate. So I
- 31:06Speaker 1: much prefer the Yankee side of that game. Next spot,
- 31:11Speaker 1: Blue Jays and the Royals. This team's Probably going to
- 31:14Speaker 1: pick up a decent amount of ownership, at least. That's
- 31:16Speaker 1: what projections would say when I ran the dry run
- 31:18Speaker 1: in terms of the Blue Jays. I just hate picking
- 31:21Speaker 1: on Seth Lugo. I mean, this dude doesn't have any
- 31:23Speaker 1: upside for a DFS arm. He occasionally will spike a
- 31:27Speaker 1: high upside performance, but typically he just goes up there
- 31:30Speaker 1: and throws, kind of navigates the lineup, just does his thing.
- 31:33Speaker 1: You always have that horrendous bullpen behind him, so I
- 31:36Speaker 1: wouldn't be shocked to see Toronto get there. I'm not
- 31:39Speaker 1: playing Toronto on a 12-game slate. Royals... How fitting. They
- 31:44Speaker 1: won their first slate, and it was at the live
- 31:45Speaker 1: final for $ 1 million. Haven't won a slate since 1912.
- 31:48Speaker 1: Titanic hit the iceberg, and here you go. For $ 1 million,
- 31:52Speaker 1: 100-man field, the Royals ship everything on a Sunday. Surprise, surprise, right?
- 31:56Speaker 1: Crazy shit happens on Sunday. I'm not signing up to
- 31:59Speaker 1: play the Royals here either. This game, for bats' perspective,
- 32:01Speaker 1: is not a game that I'm really looking to target
- 32:04Speaker 1: too much on either side. Yeah, if you wanted to
- 32:06Speaker 1: pick off individual guys, John Rave, if you want to
- 32:09Speaker 1: chase his two stolen bases in the 8th, something like that.
- 32:12Speaker 1: Carter Jensen, I don't mind it against Max Serger, the
- 32:17Speaker 1: corpse of Max Serger. You want lefties against him, if anything,
- 32:21Speaker 1: so Michael Massey, Vinny P, Rave, Jensen, those guys I
- 32:24Speaker 1: think are fine, but not in this ballpark, not on
- 32:27Speaker 1: the 12-game slate for me. How do you see it, though?
- 32:30Speaker 2: Yeah, picking on Max has been a lot of fun
- 32:33Speaker 2: here in recent times. His last start, he gave up
- 32:35Speaker 2: seven earned runs. He hasn't been good. I know I
- 32:37Speaker 2: picked on him that night, but I don't generally, as
- 32:41Speaker 2: we all know, I don't generally like using the Royals,
- 32:45Speaker 2: especially on a big type slate. But I mean, maybe
- 32:48Speaker 2: if you wanted just to look like for Caglione, Bobby Witt,
- 32:51Speaker 2: you could look at maybe some Vinny P. I just
- 32:55Speaker 2: wouldn't get overly excited on it. That Toronto bullpen hasn't
- 32:58Speaker 2: looked good either, but. I'd have the Royals maybe just
- 33:03Speaker 2: outside my top five today. I mean, I bump them down.
- 33:06Speaker 2: I just don't like using them as a full stack
- 33:09Speaker 2: because I just don't feel like they have enough power overall.
- 33:11Speaker 2: They really get the job done. As you said, it's
- 33:13Speaker 2: kind of been a while since they've won a slate. But, man,
- 33:17Speaker 2: I like picking on Max. You know, I've always thought
- 33:19Speaker 2: about Max too, Nades. Like how many people name their
- 33:21Speaker 2: dog Max because they got two different colored eyes, like
- 33:24Speaker 2: a blue and a brown one? I think we all
- 33:28Speaker 2: kind of know. It seems like we know somebody. I
- 33:30Speaker 2: know two people named their dog Max because they got
- 33:32Speaker 2: a blue eye and a brown. I mean, I did
- 33:34Speaker 2: know he did pitch in Detroit, so it probably makes
- 33:36Speaker 2: it a little bit more relevant. But, yeah, I always
- 33:39Speaker 2: laugh when I say it. I'm like, oh, baseball fan?
- 33:42Speaker 2: I always say that.
- 33:44Speaker 1: Yeah, no, I get it. I mean, I can see
- 33:48Speaker 1: the case for sure. But the issue is Toronto bullpen, yeah,
- 33:51Speaker 1: it hasn't been as good. As it started the year,
- 33:53Speaker 1: it's about 14th right now, kind of middle of the
- 33:55Speaker 1: pack in terms of XFIP over the last two months.
- 33:58Speaker 1: The issue is that they're all rested. They had a
- 34:00Speaker 1: day off yesterday. So nobody's going back to back. And
- 34:04Speaker 1: the most taxed arm is at like 20 pitches in
- 34:07Speaker 1: the last three days with a day off yesterday. So
- 34:10Speaker 1: the issue I see then is, I mean, you need
- 34:13Speaker 1: kind of the nut run out, right? They're not going
- 34:15Speaker 1: to leave Max out there to dry, at least I
- 34:17Speaker 1: would hope not. Um, overall, I get the reason I
- 34:20Speaker 1: would love to pick on max. If the bullpen was
- 34:22Speaker 1: more taxed, I'd make a better case for it, I think. Um,
- 34:26Speaker 1: and I wouldn't be shocked to see it. You definitely
- 34:28Speaker 1: want the lefties. Yeah. I mean, you can play Carter Jensen,
- 34:30Speaker 1: Vinny P Bobby whip Perez, those guys at any time
- 34:34Speaker 1: they're on the slate. Um, but I won't go crazy
- 34:36Speaker 1: overboard here. I will say Michael Massey is a pretty
- 34:38Speaker 1: cheap second baseman. Second baseman is a second base is
- 34:42Speaker 1: a pretty weak position. So I don't, I don't hate that.
- 34:44Speaker 1: But overall, I'm not super excited there. I do get
- 34:47Speaker 1: the reasoning and the points there. However, next spot, Brewers, Mets,
- 34:52Speaker 1: Citi Field. I told myself I'd never stack in this
- 34:55Speaker 1: ballpark again. That includes here tonight. Wouldn't be shocked to
- 34:59Speaker 1: see the Brewers put up a big score. I'm just
- 35:01Speaker 1: not going to be chasing it. I mean, Zach Thornton's
- 35:03Speaker 1: not any good, in my opinion, especially against righties. Churria
- 35:06Speaker 1: looks like a great spend up. Vaughn, Gary Sanchez, William Contreras,
- 35:10Speaker 1: who's been red hot as of late. Joey Ortiz as
- 35:13Speaker 1: well against lefties I think he could play I just
- 35:16Speaker 1: I hate this ballpark I don't I mean I just
- 35:19Speaker 1: I don't know I I hate this ballpark I don't
- 35:22Speaker 1: really want to play it on a 12 game slate
- 35:24Speaker 1: doesn't really change here seven and a half game total
- 35:26Speaker 1: as well talk to me how do you see this one.
- 35:30Speaker 2: I'm having the big one I'm having the big one
- 35:33Speaker 2: Nate you mean to tell me I like the Brewers
- 35:35Speaker 2: more than you What in the damn world are we
- 35:38Speaker 2: living in, son? Like, seriously. No, you look at Thornton
- 35:41Speaker 2: on the other hand, man. That dude's not good against righties.
- 35:44Speaker 2: He's got a low ground ball percentage, which... That's what
- 35:47Speaker 2: we need against the Brewers. He's got 36% ground ball
- 35:50Speaker 2: rate compared to a 51% ground ball rate to the
- 35:54Speaker 2: left side. But, I mean, he's only going to get, what, two?
- 35:57Speaker 2: Terang and Mitchell, probably the only two left he's going
- 36:00Speaker 2: to see. The last 30 days, Nades, he's been getting
- 36:03Speaker 2: smoked by righties. 380 WOBA. He's got a 232 ISO.
- 36:08Speaker 2: He's got a 15% K rate and a 10% barrel
- 36:12Speaker 2: rate against righties. Now, I get you don't like the park.
- 36:17Speaker 2: Normally the Brewers ain't a team banging a bunch of
- 36:19Speaker 2: homers anyway. They do everything else. Like they're stealing bags,
- 36:23Speaker 2: taking extra bags, getting the hit. They're putting the ball
- 36:25Speaker 2: in play. So I think the Brewers are a team
- 36:29Speaker 2: that I would have in my, we'll call them my
- 36:32Speaker 2: sneaky bucket. Like, don't discount the Brewers here. Like, I
- 36:36Speaker 2: still think, and the Brewers are the ones that once
- 36:38Speaker 2: in a while put up game totals that, you know,
- 36:41Speaker 2: makes you like, damn, like they put up them 22
- 36:44Speaker 2: runs a week ago. I mean, I get it. It's
- 36:46Speaker 2: a game total sitting here looking at seven and a half.
- 36:49Speaker 2: I generally don't like offenses in games that got a
- 36:52Speaker 2: seven and a half total. I just don't think Thornton's
- 36:55Speaker 2: that good. I do prefer the Brewers against the righty. But,
- 36:58Speaker 2: I mean, we got a lefty here that's just not
- 37:01Speaker 2: keeping the ball on the ground. He's been getting hit hard.
- 37:04Speaker 2: I mean, you got a team in the Brewers that
- 37:07Speaker 2: we know are going to score some runs. And I
- 37:11Speaker 2: definitely think the Brew crew, we can't discount the Brew crew, Nate.
- 37:15Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I can't discount it, but the issue
- 37:17Speaker 1: is Thornton is pretty hard to steal on anyways. He's
- 37:20Speaker 1: only allowed three stolen bases in 50 innings pitched, and
- 37:25Speaker 1: the ballpark sucks. I mean, it's just horrible. I would
- 37:28Speaker 1: not be shocked to see them have upside, right? Talked
- 37:30Speaker 1: about Churrio. Contreras, who's had a great month. Joey Ortiz
- 37:34Speaker 1: has been probably one of the best players sneakily on
- 37:36Speaker 1: this entire team over the last two months if you
- 37:38Speaker 1: look at his stats overall, so I get it. Cooper
- 37:41Speaker 1: Pratt being back in that lineup. It makes a lot
- 37:43Speaker 1: of sense, right? They have a lot better lineup against
- 37:45Speaker 1: left-handed pitching. Now that also adds in pinch hit risk, right?
- 37:49Speaker 1: Guys like Jake Bowers aren't in there. He's going to
- 37:51Speaker 1: come off the bench. Yelich isn't in there. He could
- 37:53Speaker 1: come off the bench. So I just see a lot
- 37:56Speaker 1: more downside. I would not be shocked in tournament, like
- 37:59Speaker 1: 20 max stuff. I think they're a great play when
- 38:02Speaker 1: you're eating chalk, your arms, right? If you're going like
- 38:04Speaker 1: a liberator, Gavin Williams, like everyone else, Don't play the Twins.
- 38:08Speaker 1: Play the Brewers, something like that. In those larger field contests,
- 38:11Speaker 1: I can definitely see it. But I do have some
- 38:13Speaker 1: other sneaky stacks on the slate that I like more.
- 38:16Speaker 1: I know it's shocking. I know it's breathtaking. It probably
- 38:20Speaker 1: means the Brewers are going to score 15 tonight because
- 38:22Speaker 1: I'm off of them. But hopefully you guys tail and
- 38:26Speaker 1: you win all the money then, G. Rison. I would
- 38:29Speaker 1: like to.
- 38:29Speaker 2: Go on board and send you a screenshot with the
- 38:32Speaker 2: Brew Crew stack.
- 38:33Speaker 1: That I won and you didn't win on. You know
- 38:37Speaker 1: my golden rule. I always have them in MME, so
- 38:39Speaker 1: hopefully that team gets all the way there. But in
- 38:42Speaker 1: my MME stuff, I just– That would.
- 38:45Speaker 2: Help them get to the top of my new list
- 38:46Speaker 2: for a new playoff team I'm looking for. That's for sure.
- 38:50Speaker 1: I would love it as a fan, but, yeah. Next spot, Dodgers, Braves,
- 38:55Speaker 1: Bryce Elder on the mound, Tyler Glass now making his
- 38:57Speaker 1: first start back after an injury. Dodgers, good implied run
- 39:02Speaker 1: total right up there with teams like the Braves. Dodgers
- 39:05Speaker 1: going to get some ownership on this team. They probably
- 39:07Speaker 1: are on the slate. They probably come in second behind
- 39:09Speaker 1: the twins. Full not locked in for nine innings here.
- 39:13Speaker 1: Truist Park, it's going to be like 90 degrees, super
- 39:16Speaker 1: hot and humid out there in Atlanta. Some slight wind
- 39:20Speaker 1: blowing out as well is going to play above average
- 39:22Speaker 1: here for hitting in this park. Issue for me is
- 39:25Speaker 1: the Braves bullpen is just straight nails. It is still
- 39:28Speaker 1: the Dodgers at the end of the day. I think
- 39:30Speaker 1: they're a good place. They're up there. They're one of
- 39:32Speaker 1: the top stacks. I do have the Twins and the
- 39:35Speaker 1: Yankees both over them, but I do think they have
- 39:38Speaker 1: to be in your top five here. Elder historically struggles
- 39:41Speaker 1: against left-handed hitters, and you're going to see some really
- 39:44Speaker 1: good ones here. Otani, Freeman, Muncie, Edmund, Tucker, Thomas, Alec Thomas,
- 39:49Speaker 1: my guy back in there, he's always got a soft
- 39:51Speaker 1: spot for me. I love that dude. He's a big
- 39:54Speaker 1: pinch hit risk, but, I mean, he's 2,400, and Alex
- 39:57Speaker 1: Call is making the start. So that's one of the
- 39:59Speaker 1: guys that if a lefty came in, they would probably
- 40:01Speaker 1: pinch hit Alex Call in there. I think this is
- 40:04Speaker 1: a really good spot on paper, and I definitely see it,
- 40:07Speaker 1: and I will definitely have them in my top five.
- 40:09Speaker 1: I do have a couple other swads above them, though.
- 40:11Speaker 1: Talk to me here. How do you see this one?
- 40:14Speaker 2: Yeah, I got the– Dodgers a little bit probably below
- 40:19Speaker 2: than you do. I mean, I probably have him around five,
- 40:23Speaker 2: to be honest with you. The thing that worries me is, yeah,
- 40:26Speaker 2: Elder can get beat up. I mean, he hasn't been good,
- 40:28Speaker 2: but I mean, he wasn't good two starts ago. The
- 40:33Speaker 2: seven out of eight starts before that, he gave up
- 40:35Speaker 2: three earned runs or less. He doesn't have a high
- 40:38Speaker 2: strikeout percentage. His walk rate in his last 30 days
- 40:41Speaker 2: has been pretty high to the left side. I get it.
- 40:45Speaker 2: The Dodgers got a bunch of lefties, but you mentioned
- 40:47Speaker 2: that Brace bullpen is tough. And I'm pretty certain they
- 40:51Speaker 2: got about four lefties sitting down there that are pretty
- 40:53Speaker 2: mean too. So there is a lot of pinch hit
- 40:56Speaker 2: risk down there below with Tucker. It seems like they're
- 41:00Speaker 2: getting mad at Tucker. And then Alec Thomas. I think
- 41:04Speaker 2: all those guys down at the bottom are definitely pinch
- 41:07Speaker 2: hit risk. You probably end up seeing Kiki, do you
- 41:10Speaker 2: love me? Come in at some point. But I think
- 41:14Speaker 2: that's what worries me. I think it's that bullpen and
- 41:17Speaker 2: the lefties that are going to be able to roll out.
- 41:19Speaker 2: I think it's what's scaring me. But I mean, they
- 41:22Speaker 2: definitely could get to Elder and get the job done.
- 41:24Speaker 2: I think that game's going to have to have some
- 41:26Speaker 2: runs at the beginning half because the back half of
- 41:28Speaker 2: that game, it's going to get pretty tight. But yeah,
- 41:31Speaker 2: I think they're in play. It's just, I mean, if
- 41:35Speaker 2: they were going to be the highest zone team, it'd
- 41:37Speaker 2: be an easy fade for me just because I'd be
- 41:39Speaker 2: afraid of the bullpen. But, yeah, I mean, I probably
- 41:42Speaker 2: have them around my– I got a few teams I
- 41:44Speaker 2: like a little bit more in them, but they're definitely
- 41:46Speaker 2: in play for me. But I am concerned about the
- 41:48Speaker 2: bullpen and the lefties I got.
- 41:50Speaker 1: Yeah, I just– I hate stacking against Atlanta, regardless of
- 41:54Speaker 1: who it is, because of that bullpen. That bullpen's really good.
- 41:56Speaker 1: It's rested. They had a day off yesterday. So they're
- 41:59Speaker 1: going to have– they're good guys. Suter's probably going to
- 42:02Speaker 1: be available. He's a lefty. So the biggest pinch hit
- 42:06Speaker 1: are the catcher, Hunter F, I'll call him, because– I'm
- 42:09Speaker 1: terrible at pronunciations. And then Alec Thomas is your next guy.
- 42:12Speaker 1: You're probably talking like a 50-50 chance that the catcher
- 42:16Speaker 1: gets pinch hit for there. So there is some risk
- 42:18Speaker 1: there overall. I get the reasoning, but that's why I
- 42:21Speaker 1: have teams like the Yankees, the Twins, some of those
- 42:26Speaker 1: squads over the Dodgers here tonight when you add in
- 42:29Speaker 1: the bullpen for me. Next spot, White Sox Rangers, Jacob DeGrom,
- 42:33Speaker 1: Anthony Kaye in the mound. Kaye, not good against righties.
- 42:36Speaker 1: I think Wyatt Langford, Zeke Durin. Jake Berger make a
- 42:40Speaker 1: lot of sense here. Berger hit a bomb yesterday. Duren
- 42:42Speaker 1: Langford had good games. They almost helped me pretty much
- 42:46Speaker 1: take down everything at like 2% ownership. Shout out to
- 42:48Speaker 1: my guy Bellman for getting me on some Rangers yesterday.
- 42:51Speaker 1: And the White Sox had to use a shit ton
- 42:55Speaker 1: of their bullpen yesterday. We know the bullpen sucks. You
- 42:59Speaker 1: want to talk about a sneaky spot here. I mean,
- 43:02Speaker 1: you're going to get the Rangers unowned on a slate
- 43:04Speaker 1: where we just saw them put up almost 10, 10
- 43:07Speaker 1: runs yesterday. And now they got even a more tax
- 43:10Speaker 1: bullpen against a guy who, yeah, is decent against lefties,
- 43:14Speaker 1: but is horrible against righties. I think the Rangers are
- 43:18Speaker 1: super sneaky on the slate. Nobody's going to play them.
- 43:20Speaker 1: They got the job done for me yesterday. I'm going
- 43:22Speaker 1: to go right back to the well. I prefer the
- 43:24Speaker 1: righties overall, but Corey Seager is one of the best
- 43:27Speaker 1: lefty lefty hitters in the game. Talk to me here.
- 43:29Speaker 1: How do you see this one?
- 43:32Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I don't mind picking on K here.
- 43:34Speaker 2: I mean, he's got a 14% K percentage to the
- 43:37Speaker 2: right side. 15% on the year, 14% in the last
- 43:41Speaker 2: 30 days. He gets barreled up by righties. So, yeah,
- 43:45Speaker 2: I don't mind it at all. I mean, especially with
- 43:48Speaker 2: a guy– he does have a mid-ground ball lean, though.
- 43:51Speaker 2: I mean, he's been getting more ground balls the last
- 43:53Speaker 2: 30 days than he did at the beginning part of
- 43:55Speaker 2: the season. He's at 63% to lefties, 46% to righties. So,
- 44:00Speaker 2: I mean, obviously, with that being said, we're going to
- 44:03Speaker 2: want some of these guys that hit fly balls– Corey Seager,
- 44:06Speaker 2: as you mentioned, 28%. Lankford, almost 30%. Hoppe, 35%. Berger, 30%.
- 44:14Speaker 1: Duran, 27%.
- 44:14Speaker 2: I mean, they got some guys that can get the
- 44:16Speaker 2: ball up in the air. Even Jansen down there at
- 44:19Speaker 2: the bottom of the lineup. So I do like it.
- 44:21Speaker 2: I think it's definitely in play. I wouldn't have it
- 44:25Speaker 2: too high up my rank. It ain't in my top
- 44:27Speaker 2: five or nothing. But as far as picking on DeGrom...
- 44:31Speaker 2: I mean, maybe if you wanted to power hunt, if
- 44:33Speaker 2: you wanted to maybe do that. I mean, he has
- 44:35Speaker 2: been getting barreled up by lefties so far this year.
- 44:37Speaker 2: His ground ball percentage is low. DeGrom, 27%, 36% fly
- 44:43Speaker 2: ball rate. So, I mean, Murakami gets the ball up
- 44:46Speaker 2: in the air quite a bit, 40%. That's pretty high.
- 44:49Speaker 2: So is Colson Montgomery. They do have some strikeouts there,
- 44:52Speaker 2: but I feel like you're going to get a strikeout.
- 44:54Speaker 2: Or a fly ball hit in the air against the ground. So,
- 44:57Speaker 2: I mean, if you wanted to maybe get a little leverage,
- 45:00Speaker 2: I think you're going to get some ownership on the ground.
- 45:02Speaker 2: I wouldn't say he's going to be the top end pitcher.
- 45:04Speaker 2: I could see him probably, you know, maybe in the
- 45:06Speaker 2: teens or so. But yeah, I mean, maybe you wanted
- 45:09Speaker 2: to one off one of the White Sox. I don't
- 45:10Speaker 2: hate it. I don't hate it. You definitely know that
- 45:13Speaker 2: they got some power there. Um, but yeah, I think
- 45:16Speaker 2: I'd look at that, but the Rangers, I think are interesting.
- 45:19Speaker 2: I think the more you talk about it, um, I
- 45:22Speaker 2: think you're, you're selling me a little bit more on it,
- 45:24Speaker 2: but I don't mind picking on K.
- 45:27Speaker 1: Yeah. I mean, I just, when you add in the bullpen,
- 45:30Speaker 1: how bad it is and you're talking 87 pitches, 87 pitches,
- 45:33Speaker 1: those guys are both, those are long guys, but they're
- 45:35Speaker 1: both unavailable. Brazza band through 21 yesterday. He's at 47.
- 45:40Speaker 1: He's going to be unavailable. And then the next guys
- 45:43Speaker 1: that they have left new come through. 38 pitches on Sunday.
- 45:46Speaker 1: He's going to be fatigued. Taylor, 30 pitches. Smith, 25.
- 45:50Speaker 1: I mean, so you're talking about their back end guys
- 45:54Speaker 1: are the guys available. And I mean, one of them
- 45:57Speaker 1: is already a lefty, too. So the Rangers might see
- 46:01Speaker 1: a bunch of lefties in this lineup. So you're talking
- 46:04Speaker 1: pinch hit risk a little bit lower, too, for this squad.
- 46:07Speaker 1: It's a decent place to hit 70 some degrees in
- 46:10Speaker 1: Chicago with some slight wind kind of shifting around the
- 46:13Speaker 1: field as well. and they're unowned. So I personally, myself,
- 46:17Speaker 1: I do have the Rangers ranked ahead of the Royals
- 46:19Speaker 1: just because I like the spot a little bit more
- 46:21Speaker 1: in the ballpark more. And it's a much worse bullpen
- 46:25Speaker 1: and it's tax. So everything kind of checks out to
- 46:27Speaker 1: me would not be shocked to see the Rangers get
- 46:30Speaker 1: the job done and they're dirt cheap, honestly. And maybe
- 46:33Speaker 1: that's how you flip the bill G rising. You go,
- 46:36Speaker 1: we definitely have to spend up arms to play on
- 46:38Speaker 1: the slate. Maybe you pair up Jacob to ground with
- 46:39Speaker 1: the Rangers and then play Gavin Williams alongside of them
- 46:43Speaker 1: and just go double spend and flip the build completely.
- 46:46Speaker 1: I think that's an interesting route to go. On the
- 46:48Speaker 1: White Sox, I didn't want to call it one guy.
- 46:50Speaker 1: My guy, Tristan Peters, this dude is red hot at
- 46:52Speaker 1: the plate right now. DraftKings refuses to raise his price.
- 46:55Speaker 1: He will steal bases. He's hit a home run in what,
- 46:57Speaker 1: two out of the last three games or three straight,
- 46:59Speaker 1: something like that. He's 2,800 at outfield against a fly
- 47:02Speaker 1: ball guy in DeGrom giving up a ton of power.
- 47:04Speaker 1: Peters has not struck out at all in the last month.
- 47:08Speaker 1: 246 ISO, 341 WOBA. He looks like a great value
- 47:12Speaker 1: play that nobody's going to play in the slate. Murakami
- 47:14Speaker 1: obviously can always get there. It's either a home run
- 47:16Speaker 1: or a fly or a strikeout it seems for, for,
- 47:19Speaker 1: for him. So I'd just rather save the $ 3, 000 at
- 47:21Speaker 1: an outfield spot where it's not a single opportunity cost
- 47:25Speaker 1: of first base, right? Where you can only play one.
- 47:28Speaker 1: Give me some Tristan Peters. I think he's a really
- 47:29Speaker 1: good play on the slate as well as a one-off
- 47:33Speaker 1: next spot. Cardinals, Orioles, Bassett, Libertor. Um, you're going to
- 47:37Speaker 1: get some leverage against Libertor. Um, Encarnacion Strand would be
- 47:40Speaker 1: the guy I'd look at. I think Libertor is one
- 47:43Speaker 1: of my favorite pitchers on the slate. He is a
- 47:45Speaker 1: fly ball guy, but Busch Stadium does mitigate that somewhat.
- 47:50Speaker 1: These Cardinals pitchers, I don't know. These guys are magicians.
- 47:52Speaker 1: I do think Libertor is like their best one that
- 47:54Speaker 1: they have. So I'm more in on Libertor than any
- 47:57Speaker 1: of these O's. I would not be shocked to see
- 47:58Speaker 1: a guy like Kobe Mayo, Encarnacion Strand, Pete Alonzo, like
- 48:01Speaker 1: I said, tag one there. But overall, as a stack,
- 48:04Speaker 1: I'm not on the O's. Cardinals, I think Weatherholt Burleson.
- 48:09Speaker 1: Chris Bassett, the corpse of him, he's horrible against lefties.
- 48:12Speaker 1: So you got Nolan Gorman as well, a cheap third
- 48:15Speaker 1: baseman with a ton of power. He came back up
- 48:17Speaker 1: from AAA. I think Weatherholt, Burleson, Nolan Gorman make a
- 48:20Speaker 1: lot of sense on this slate. Pick two of those
- 48:23Speaker 1: three or play all three of them. They're all cheap.
- 48:25Speaker 1: They're all reasonably priced. And Bassett is still trotting out
- 48:29Speaker 1: there making starts. He can't get lefties out. So it
- 48:31Speaker 1: makes a lot of sense to me too. So I
- 48:33Speaker 1: see some one-offs, two-man stacks here, not full five-mans for me. Personally,
- 48:37Speaker 1: how do you see this one?
- 48:39Speaker 2: I mean, Bassett has been pretty good against righties. I mean,
- 48:45Speaker 2: you can't do that. I mean, he's not been good
- 48:48Speaker 2: against lefties. What, 13% K rate? I mean, he's got
- 48:52Speaker 2: a pretty good ground ball rate as well to the
- 48:56Speaker 2: right side. So we got a mid-ground ball lane pitcher
- 48:59Speaker 2: that can't strike anybody out. you know, you're going to
- 49:04Speaker 2: want some lefties if you want anything against them. I mean,
- 49:07Speaker 2: I guess I would look for, for Burleson if I,
- 49:10Speaker 2: you know, if you wanted to go that route. I just,
- 49:14Speaker 2: I don't like it. I just, I wouldn't get there
- 49:16Speaker 2: and I'm not interested in picking on Libitor with the O's. I,
- 49:20Speaker 2: I think the only one, if you wanted to go there,
- 49:21Speaker 2: maybe Strand, like you mentioned, Colby Mayo, Lonzo, maybe that
- 49:26Speaker 2: part of the lineup. But after that, I got no interest.
- 49:30Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. That's the first six early games. So
- 49:33Speaker 1: another clear cut slate where you have six early, six late.
- 49:37Speaker 1: Makes for a lot of sense in terms of late swapping.
- 49:39Speaker 1: If you're playing DeGrom, DeGrom kind of shits on his head.
- 49:42Speaker 1: Harrison doesn't do good. Any of those guys, right, and
- 49:46Speaker 1: you're back loaded with a chalky twin stack, something like that,
- 49:50Speaker 1: definitely make sure you're around to late swap your teams
- 49:53Speaker 1: with these six Nike slate games and kind of let
- 49:57Speaker 1: Saberson do its power in terms of the live ownership
- 50:00Speaker 1: that it has, right? The more information you have, the
- 50:03Speaker 1: better overall you can make in terms of your lineup adjustments.
- 50:08Speaker 1: First game of the night window here. Guardians, Angels, Urena
- 50:11Speaker 1: on the mound. Gavin Williams, this is a clear-cut cross-off
- 50:14Speaker 1: spot for me. Urena has been good. I'm not playing
- 50:15Speaker 1: any Guardians. Gavin Williams, I'm not playing any Angels against him.
- 50:19Speaker 1: I mean, if you wanted to play Mike Trout, sure,
- 50:21Speaker 1: you can play him. But this is a clear-cut stay-away
- 50:24Speaker 1: spot for me from a bats perspective. Gavin Williams, best
- 50:26Speaker 1: arm on the slate. Urena has been good enough real life.
- 50:29Speaker 1: Don't really love his price and his upside at the
- 50:31Speaker 1: price tag. But I'm not playing bats against him either.
- 50:35Speaker 2: You mentioned it. I think Trout would be the only
- 50:37Speaker 2: guy I'd even consider playing as a one-off against Williams.
- 50:41Speaker 2: If you wanted some leverage, he has been getting barreled
- 50:44Speaker 2: against righties 16% in the last 30 days, almost 12%
- 50:48Speaker 2: on the year. I did mention he gives up some power,
- 50:50Speaker 2: so I don't mind Trout. I don't mind him at all, actually.
- 50:55Speaker 2: I think he'd be definitely maybe even some netto. You
- 51:00Speaker 2: could go there. They both have decent fly ball rates.
- 51:03Speaker 2: So I'm not overly concerned, and I'm not picking on
- 51:06Speaker 2: Urena either. He's a notorious ground ball pitcher. I don't
- 51:10Speaker 2: want anything to do with that at all. I can't
- 51:14Speaker 2: play Cleveland in a normal spot, let alone a ground
- 51:16Speaker 2: ball pitcher, so I'll just pass.
- 51:19Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure. Next spot on the docket, we do
- 51:22Speaker 1: have the Cubs and the D-backs. Brandon Fodd on the mound,
- 51:26Speaker 1: Clay Holmes on the mound. I don't think Clay Holmes
- 51:29Speaker 1: is very good. I mean, Lars Neupahr, Carroll– Perdomo, some
- 51:33Speaker 1: of those lefties look pretty good to me. You've got
- 51:34Speaker 1: a cheap Kepler. Tim Tawa just continues to hit for
- 51:38Speaker 1: this team, but I just can't play Tim Tawa at
- 51:40Speaker 1: first base over a bunch of these other first basemen.
- 51:43Speaker 1: Cubs have been red hot. Outside of PCA fucking smoking
- 51:47Speaker 1: my lineup last night, $ 7, 000 zero. That was nice, but
- 51:51Speaker 1: the hell of a season he's putting on. He's all
- 51:54Speaker 1: the way up at $ 6, 900. You have to pay for it,
- 51:57Speaker 1: but the rest of this lineup is pretty affordable. Michael
- 52:00Speaker 1: Bush looks really good to me, Ian Happ. Pedro Ramirez
- 52:03Speaker 1: is red hot right now. He's 4K at second base.
- 52:05Speaker 1: I think he's interesting. Conforto hit a bomb last night.
- 52:07Speaker 1: So did Kelly. I think he could get to this
- 52:09Speaker 1: Cubs lineup, but Fott's just a decent enough pitcher. I
- 52:12Speaker 1: think he's actually better than what people give him credit for.
- 52:15Speaker 1: So this is really not a spot that I love
- 52:17Speaker 1: the Cubs. I would not be shocked to see the
- 52:19Speaker 1: Cubs do their thing. I actually might give a slight
- 52:21Speaker 1: lean to the Arizona lefties at the top of that
- 52:24Speaker 1: lineup overall. But again, not a spot where I really
- 52:27Speaker 1: love offense too much in retrospect to some of the
- 52:30Speaker 1: other teams we already talked about. How do you see
- 52:32Speaker 1: this one?
- 52:33Speaker 2: I mean, the only reason I'd even play the Cubs
- 52:36Speaker 2: is if you were a Cubs fan and you just,
- 52:38Speaker 2: or you just want to play a team that's been
- 52:40Speaker 2: just hitting well. Cause I mean, Fats like 13 games
- 52:44Speaker 2: in a row before his last one had like literally
- 52:46Speaker 2: two earned runs or less. Like the dude just don't
- 52:49Speaker 2: get hit hard at all. So I think that's definitely concerning.
- 52:54Speaker 2: He did give up three homers though, his last start.
- 52:56Speaker 2: But that's totally an anomaly because I don't think he
- 52:59Speaker 2: gave up a home run from like since like June 30th.
- 53:03Speaker 2: He didn't give a home run. So it was like
- 53:04Speaker 2: two months. He didn't give up a homer. So then
- 53:07Speaker 2: he gave up three last time. So I'm just a
- 53:09Speaker 2: little concerned about that matchup with with with fat, fat, fat,
- 53:13Speaker 2: whatever his name is. But I mean, yeah, you mentioned PCA,
- 53:17Speaker 2: but I just I don't like to mess with pitchers
- 53:20Speaker 2: that seem to be. pitching well his his controls good
- 53:24Speaker 2: he just doesn't have the upside as far as K's
- 53:26Speaker 2: that we're looking for we definitely don't want to pick
- 53:28Speaker 2: on the Cubbies as far as using Brandon Fott but
- 53:33Speaker 2: I'm not interested in uh in using the Cubs I
- 53:36Speaker 2: mean like I said if you wanted to go there
- 53:37Speaker 2: just because they've been you know one of the better
- 53:40Speaker 2: offense in baseball and PCA and ride that chain then
- 53:43Speaker 2: then go for it but I mean other than that
- 53:45Speaker 2: it just doesn't it the numbers don't line up for me.
- 53:48Speaker 1: Yeah I agree. I do think the Arizona sides are
- 53:51Speaker 1: kind of sneaky overall, though, against Clay Holmes, who I'm
- 53:55Speaker 1: not a believer in. Next spot on the slate, Pirates, Padres,
- 54:00Speaker 1: Paul Skeens, Michael King. This is a game that I'm
- 54:02Speaker 1: just pretending doesn't exist. I know Skeens has not been good.
- 54:05Speaker 1: Padres could do their thing. Jackson Merrill, I think, is
- 54:07Speaker 1: a good one-off. Fernando Tatis, but I'm not playing 6K
- 54:11Speaker 1: for Tatis against Skeens in this matchup. Skeens still does
- 54:15Speaker 1: have the strikeouts. he does give up some runs, so
- 54:18Speaker 1: I'd not be shocked. I'm just not playing San Diego's
- 54:21Speaker 1: Park on a 12-game slate against Paul Skeens and that
- 54:24Speaker 1: bullpen who, obviously, like I said yesterday, made a bunch
- 54:29Speaker 1: of additions at the trade deadline to beef it up,
- 54:32Speaker 1: and then obviously we know how good San Diego's bullpen is.
- 54:35Speaker 1: It's a game I'm just pretending doesn't exist from bats,
- 54:37Speaker 1: and I hope it's 3-1, something like that, and Skeens
- 54:40Speaker 1: just doesn't post a ceiling game where you have to
- 54:42Speaker 1: have it. How do you see it?
- 54:45Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't want to pick on schemes. I mean,
- 54:46Speaker 2: game total sitting at seven and a half. We don't
- 54:48Speaker 2: like the park. So isn't really unnecessary, you know, for
- 54:53Speaker 2: us to try to jam it. I just I don't
- 54:55Speaker 2: like it. I mean, if you wanted if it was
- 54:57Speaker 2: in a different park, I'd maybe be interested in some
- 54:59Speaker 2: of the lefties for the Pirates against King, who hasn't
- 55:02Speaker 2: looked good at all against lefties in recent times. But
- 55:06Speaker 2: I just I don't like the park. I think there's
- 55:08Speaker 2: too many way better spots and it's just not worth it.
- 55:12Speaker 1: I agree. Takes us to the most important game, Sutter Health.
- 55:16Speaker 1: 90-some degrees here, wind blowing out. Surprise, surprise, rinse and
- 55:21Speaker 1: repeat of yesterday. Twins did some damage yesterday, but again,
- 55:25Speaker 1: I prefer them more as mini stacks. The mini stack
- 55:27Speaker 1: got there as well. Again, yesterday, another spot where I'd
- 55:33Speaker 1: not be shocked to see them. I do think Gage
- 55:35Speaker 1: Jump is a much better talent, arm talent, than Jeffrey
- 55:39Speaker 1: Springs is. So I think the twins are still interesting
- 55:43Speaker 1: as like many stacks Clemens, even lefty lefty. I think
- 55:46Speaker 1: he's going to be one of the lower own guys.
- 55:47Speaker 1: I think he's interesting. Culpepper Royce Lewis. I like that
- 55:50Speaker 1: combo at four, six in the lineup that that got
- 55:52Speaker 1: a big bump. I'm still going to completely, I'm still
- 55:55Speaker 1: going to fade Byron Buxton. Maybe he gets back on
- 55:58Speaker 1: the horse after he hit a double yesterday. I just,
- 56:00Speaker 1: I haven't liked what I saw from him and he's
- 56:02Speaker 1: going to be one of the highest on bats on
- 56:04Speaker 1: the slate and is expensive. So for me, I ranked
- 56:06Speaker 1: the twins. I go Lewis, Culpepper, Jeffers, Clemens, those kind
- 56:11Speaker 1: of four. I don't love this squad again here as
- 56:14Speaker 1: a full stack. I like the Dodgers more. I like
- 56:16Speaker 1: the Yankees more. I like a team we're going to
- 56:18Speaker 1: talk about more. I like some of the other squads
- 56:20Speaker 1: we already talked about. Texas, I mean, add ownership on
- 56:23Speaker 1: a 12-game slate. I'm not just fading them because they're over-owned.
- 56:28Speaker 1: I get it, right? Jump has not been good at home.
- 56:30Speaker 1: 6 ERA, has command issues. I can see the upside.
- 56:35Speaker 1: I think he's a good enough arm talent long-term. that
- 56:38Speaker 1: kind of takes me off the twins and if the
- 56:40Speaker 1: twins go out there and get you six runs that
- 56:42Speaker 1: might not be enough at their salaries they're super expensive
- 56:44Speaker 1: here talk to me how do you see this one.
- 56:48Speaker 2: Yeah you mentioned jumps been bad at home we talked
- 56:51Speaker 2: about it when I think Matt and I talked about
- 56:53Speaker 2: it when he was on the road it may have
- 56:55Speaker 2: been you but like he how much better he is
- 56:57Speaker 2: because we feel like he he feel like he's got
- 56:59Speaker 2: to throw the perfect pitch all the time at home
- 57:01Speaker 2: and that cracker jack Parkey's playing out there in Sacramento,
- 57:05Speaker 2: but dude, like he's got a 20% walk rate against
- 57:06Speaker 2: lefties his last 30 days, 14 against the right side.
- 57:11Speaker 2: That game ain't going to get you anywhere. It's Woba's
- 57:14Speaker 2: 367 against the righties. So, you know, he definitely could
- 57:18Speaker 2: get beat up. I could see where it could happen.
- 57:21Speaker 2: I mean, you look at the twins. I mean, shit,
- 57:23Speaker 2: you got Culpepper. That dude's going to be pretty popular
- 57:26Speaker 2: at shortstop, really cheap shortstop. And then you got some righties, Lewis, Jeffers, Buxton.
- 57:31Speaker 2: I think they're all definitely going to be in play. Jeffers,
- 57:34Speaker 2: I think, is one that I like. I mean, I
- 57:37Speaker 2: definitely got the twins in my top three picks. But
- 57:40Speaker 2: I think they got, you know, some pretty cheap pieces.
- 57:42Speaker 2: They always fill out different spots in the infield that
- 57:46Speaker 2: are generally tough. But, yeah, I like some twins here.
- 57:49Speaker 2: And we know that that A's bullpen absolutely sucks. So
- 57:52Speaker 2: that's another thing that I definitely like chasing. So, yeah,
- 57:56Speaker 2: give me some of them twins. I got them ranked
- 57:58Speaker 2: pretty high.
- 57:59Speaker 1: Yeah, I definitely get the case for sure. It's a
- 58:03Speaker 1: great spot on paper. I didn't want to talk about
- 58:05Speaker 1: the A's. I'm not going to really be on the
- 58:07Speaker 1: A's here. Bradley's a good enough arm. He does give
- 58:09Speaker 1: up fly balls to lefties. The issue is that the
- 58:12Speaker 1: A's lineup is atrocious. If you wanted to mess with
- 58:15Speaker 1: Walton or Butler or something like that, I think that's interesting.
- 58:19Speaker 1: I'm not a believer in Jeff McNeil, so if you
- 58:21Speaker 1: wanted to ride his kind of decent last month, you
- 58:23Speaker 1: could do that. He typically is not a power guy.
- 58:26Speaker 1: He's a slap it around the ballpark kind of guy.
- 58:28Speaker 1: On a 12-game slate, that's not the upside I'm looking for.
- 58:32Speaker 1: Cortez does have some power. Issue is, is he gets
- 58:35Speaker 1: pinch hit for 100% pretty much. Anytime a lefty comes in,
- 58:39Speaker 1: he's getting the hook there. So it'd just be Butler
- 58:41Speaker 1: and Walton. But overall, I'm a little lower on this
- 58:44Speaker 1: game compared to what the field's going to be. I mean,
- 58:46Speaker 1: I'm seeing like 120% combined ownership for the Twins five-man stack.
- 58:51Speaker 1: When I ran the dry run, I got like 90-some
- 58:53Speaker 1: percent of this team. I mean, I'll take the field
- 58:55Speaker 1: against the Twins on a 12-game slate with big contest
- 58:58Speaker 1: and top-heavy prize pools. So I'm going to use the
- 59:02Speaker 1: twins more as position fillers as two-man kind of stacks
- 59:05Speaker 1: and get a differentiating five-man lower own stack and take
- 59:09Speaker 1: my chances that way is kind of how I'm approaching
- 59:11Speaker 1: the slate. Two games left to talk about. Next one, Phillies, Mariners,
- 59:15Speaker 1: George Kirby, Aaron Nola. I think this game's kind of
- 59:18Speaker 1: sneaky here for offense, G-Roz, and it doesn't feel good
- 59:21Speaker 1: to say in this ballpark here, but Kirby has been
- 59:24Speaker 1: atrocious over the last month, both sides of the plate.
- 59:27Speaker 1: Nobody's going to play Philly, and Harper and Schwarber don't
- 59:29Speaker 1: give a fuck what part they're hitting at. I'll tell
- 59:32Speaker 1: you that right now. They're going to be unknown. Brandon Marsh,
- 59:35Speaker 1: Trey Turner has turned it around in the second half here.
- 59:38Speaker 1: Real Moodle hit a bomb last night. He's got good
- 59:40Speaker 1: power against righties. You look at Kirby over the last month,
- 59:43Speaker 1: I know he's better at home, but a 7% strikeout
- 59:46Speaker 1: rate against right-handed hitters, 15% against lefties, 267 iso allowed
- 59:52Speaker 1: to both sides of the plate, Wobba above 400. I mean,
- 59:56Speaker 1: I think this is a pretty sneaky spot for the Phillies.
- 59:58Speaker 1: And then we talked about Nola. I think Nola has
- 1:00:01Speaker 1: a lot of upside, but what does he do? He
- 1:00:02Speaker 1: gives up home runs. So guys like Canzone hitting second,
- 1:00:05Speaker 1: I think he makes a lot of sense. Rosarena, I
- 1:00:08Speaker 1: think he's interesting. J-Rod, I'm not chasing the three home
- 1:00:11Speaker 1: runs from Cal Raleigh. Last night, I saw a thing
- 1:00:14Speaker 1: on Twitter. PCA gave him a smack on the ass
- 1:00:17Speaker 1: as he walked up for his first at-bat, proceeded to
- 1:00:19Speaker 1: go 0-4. And so maybe PCA passed the torch over to,
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: to Cal Raleigh last night after he smacked his ass
- 1:00:28Speaker 1: and PCA forgot to hit last night. So maybe that's something,
- 1:00:32Speaker 1: but I'm not putting too much stock into that. It'd
- 1:00:34Speaker 1: be Canzone or Rosarena. J-Rod is kind of my three
- 1:00:36Speaker 1: guys I'd look at there. Outside of that, I much
- 1:00:40Speaker 1: prefer the Philly side for bats overall, which seems crazy
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: to say.
- 1:00:45Speaker 2: It's really not crazy, man. Kirby sucks. As you said,
- 1:00:48Speaker 2: I mean, he's been bad. I mean, his Wobo to
- 1:00:51Speaker 2: the left side the last 30 days, 475, 350 to
- 1:00:55Speaker 2: the right side. Ground ball percentages are low. Fly ball
- 1:00:58Speaker 2: percentages are high to the right side. He's been getting
- 1:01:01Speaker 2: barreled up by righties. I mean, he's just not been good.
- 1:01:04Speaker 2: Not good at all. So, you know, I could see it.
- 1:01:09Speaker 2: Like you said, Schwarberg and a homer anywhere. Harper... So
- 1:01:13Speaker 2: I don't mind it. I think it's a stack that'd
- 1:01:15Speaker 2: be outside my top five, but I see why you'd
- 1:01:17Speaker 2: want to pick on Kirby. He's just not been good.
- 1:01:20Speaker 2: We definitely like the power. Anytime you can get a
- 1:01:22Speaker 2: really powerful lineup in a spot, maybe against a bad
- 1:01:25Speaker 2: pitcher that isn't getting any kind of love, I think
- 1:01:29Speaker 2: it's definitely worth considering. As far as Nola, Nola does
- 1:01:33Speaker 2: give up a lot of power, as we know. I
- 1:01:35Speaker 2: think I'd just rather have some lefties, Canzone, maybe Naylor, Lerner,
- 1:01:40Speaker 2: maybe Kyle Riley. I don't generally like chasing, you know,
- 1:01:43Speaker 2: the home runs, but maybe, Hey, I mean, he did
- 1:01:46Speaker 2: it's what 50, some 60 last year. So maybe you'll
- 1:01:49Speaker 2: get on a little mini stretch here and not make
- 1:01:51Speaker 2: the season look as bad as it's been for him.
- 1:01:53Speaker 2: But yeah, I think I'd rather prefer to play Nola
- 1:01:57Speaker 2: to tell you the truth, just cause he's been so
- 1:01:58Speaker 2: good with his strikeouts. But yeah, I think the Phillies
- 1:02:02Speaker 2: are definitely interesting. I just, I don't like the park,
- 1:02:04Speaker 2: but I think they're interesting. Yeah.
- 1:02:06Speaker 1: I don't like the park either, but outside of one park,
- 1:02:09Speaker 1: there's really not that many great I mean, Yankee Stadium, sure,
- 1:02:12Speaker 1: you can say that, and then obviously Sutter Health. But
- 1:02:14Speaker 1: outside of that, I mean, we don't have Coors Field.
- 1:02:16Speaker 1: We don't have a Wrigley win game. We don't have
- 1:02:18Speaker 1: Kauffman Stadium with the wind blowing out. We don't have
- 1:02:20Speaker 1: a lot of the best parks on this slate. And
- 1:02:22Speaker 1: you look at the Mariners' bullpen, I know it's been decent,
- 1:02:24Speaker 1: but three arms yesterday, three on Sunday, three on Saturday,
- 1:02:27Speaker 1: 47-45-39 from their top guys, Dominguez, Rucker, and Vargas. I mean,
- 1:02:34Speaker 1: I think it's pretty interesting. An unknown Phillies team with
- 1:02:37Speaker 1: a ton of power. I think it makes a lot
- 1:02:39Speaker 1: of sense here. They got to what's-his-face yesterday a little
- 1:02:43Speaker 1: bit as well, and I think Kirby's much shittier overall long-term.
- 1:02:48Speaker 1: Last game on the slate out in San Fran here.
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: Giants and the Reds to end the state. Two pitchers
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: we talked about here. I'm not getting to anyone in
- 1:02:58Speaker 1: this game, really. I do want to say Devers' price
- 1:03:01Speaker 1: is super cheap, but it's still Brady Singer. He has
- 1:03:05Speaker 1: shown some power issues at times to lefties. And he's
- 1:03:08Speaker 1: going to see seven lefties here. I mean, Gilbert and
- 1:03:11Speaker 1: Devers hit bombs last night. Jungho Lee's been actually sneakily
- 1:03:14Speaker 1: really good. So that top three I don't think is
- 1:03:17Speaker 1: the craziest play in the world because you do have
- 1:03:19Speaker 1: a really, really horrible bullpen behind them as well. But
- 1:03:22Speaker 1: I'm much more lean pitching in this one. I do
- 1:03:24Speaker 1: think Devers at third base in particular, 4,100, is a
- 1:03:27Speaker 1: nice pivot off of some of these other guys like
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: Brooks Lee for $ 200 less at a fraction of the ownership.
- 1:03:35Speaker 1: How do you see this last game, though?
- 1:03:37Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I'd just power hunt if I was
- 1:03:39Speaker 2: looking for anything. I wouldn't get overly excited about it.
- 1:03:41Speaker 2: I mean, if you're looking to go against Hauser, you
- 1:03:44Speaker 2: definitely want some lefties, so De La Cruz, maybe Bleday.
- 1:03:47Speaker 2: And then, as you mentioned, maybe against Singer, you could
- 1:03:50Speaker 2: go Devers. I just, I don't really like it other
- 1:03:54Speaker 2: than that. So, other than that, I just, I don't
- 1:03:56Speaker 2: like the park. We obviously know San Francisco, San Diego,
- 1:04:00Speaker 2: those parks are ones we don't generally play, so I'll
- 1:04:03Speaker 2: just leave it at that. But, Yeah, I think definitely
- 1:04:06Speaker 2: an interesting slate for some bats. We got some decent pitching. So, yeah,
- 1:04:10Speaker 2: I'm kind of interested to see how this one works
- 1:04:13Speaker 2: out at the end.
- 1:04:14Speaker 1: Yeah, I agree. G. Rising, your top three stacks, your
- 1:04:17Speaker 1: top three pitchers, and a home run call if you
- 1:04:18Speaker 1: have one to round us out. I'll do the same,
- 1:04:20Speaker 1: and we'll get out of here and build our teams.
- 1:04:22Speaker 2: Top three stacks. I'm going to go Yankees. I'll go Twins.
- 1:04:29Speaker 2: And you know what? I think I'm actually just going
- 1:04:32Speaker 2: to say Brewers just because. And then my pitchers, Gavin
- 1:04:37Speaker 2: Williams by far. Libitor, I think, is in there. And
- 1:04:39Speaker 2: then maybe between Harrison and Glass now is what I'd
- 1:04:44Speaker 2: switch out with Gavin Williams. Just a little concerned about
- 1:04:48Speaker 2: his recent form and how he's getting been hit hard,
- 1:04:50Speaker 2: but the strikeouts are definitely there. And as far as
- 1:04:55Speaker 2: a home run call goes here today, you know what,
- 1:04:59Speaker 2: I think– I'm just going to go with the Yankees.
- 1:05:04Speaker 2: I'm going to say I'm going Lewis Garcia is going
- 1:05:07Speaker 2: to hit a home run off Pecco.
- 1:05:10Speaker 1: I like that. For me, Gavin Williams, number one. Libertor,
- 1:05:13Speaker 1: number two. I'll go Adrian Hauser, three, as an unowned
- 1:05:16Speaker 1: super cheap guy to afford some of those spend-up bats.
- 1:05:20Speaker 1: For me, Yankees, number one. I will go Dodgers, number two.
- 1:05:28Speaker 1: And then I will say Rangers three. I like the
- 1:05:32Speaker 1: sneaky on own Rangers on this slate. Home run call.
- 1:05:36Speaker 1: I'm going to give two. I'm going to go to
- 1:05:37Speaker 1: the Yankees as well. I'm going to go to the
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: six hole 3,100 Spencer Jones. And then my second one
- 1:05:44Speaker 1: is going to go back to the white socks here
- 1:05:46Speaker 1: against the Grom to the seven spot, a little six,
- 1:05:49Speaker 1: seven action, Tristan Peters, right in the hot hand there
- 1:05:53Speaker 1: as another value, 2,800 bat. For G-Ryzen, I'm Nades. Good
- 1:05:57Speaker 1: luck tonight in those contests. We hope to see those
- 1:06:00Speaker 1: Shipping Nation logos at the top. We'll see you guys tomorrow. Peace.