Latest / Construcción Plural - Radio Trend Topic / Construcción Plural - Programa 1151
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- 0:01Plural construction, the renowned journalistic program of political analysis and current in its twentieth
- 0:07season, with the leadership of Fernando Mauri and a team of prestigious analysts listen
- 0:15to it on radio topic train, for example. You know how crazy the
- 0:24uki is going. President, it was Argentina Nation, Dr Rabbiero Mirey good
- 0:42chair hello everyone. There is no stabilization plan, not good, but the
- 0:48delay to change. There' s a foreign exchange problem here. It is
- 0:52impossible to achieve the zero deficit in the twenty- four thousand. Good.
- 0:56It' s very little speck. Raya is a lot of Ecuador, but
- 1:00you are not liberal. Taxes went up. What' s in the province?
- 1:06No, but if I add one plus three hundred sixty- five times
- 1:08and give me three sixty s I can' t dunia. If there'
- 1:11s no video and there' s no one who invited me to I'
- 1:15m fede your noodle cotuk. They want to know how the economy is going
- 1:18to grow, it' s going to go up like a diver' s
- 1:21fart, but there aren' t even anchored. Not good, because there
- 1:22' s no comprehensive plan. But you should set the path. This is
- 1:26not a liberal government because it did not release the drug. Not because there
- 1:30' s a changed appreciation. I have a changing appreciation, but expensive freedom.
- 1:34Not much of a piece, my friend, very, very good afternoon.
- 1:47Here we are opening a new week of plural gem building to tell you
- 1:51as every June. I must remember. The best month of the year came,
- 1:55the journalist' s day. Next Friday seven is the birthday of my
- 1:57big kitten, who is going to turn twenty- one. The twelfth day
- 2:00is the day of the father. A madman also for one everything to be
- 2:05and one is today and it' s my birthday. And that' s
- 2:07the end of the month. So good a great month. I also have
- 2:09a couple' s anniversary, so good a big month like June, just
- 2:14for a little bit of a year out. Well, here we are in
- 2:20a little while, we will be talking with Ignacio Lavaquí, the analyst,
- 2:23the political consultant, and also in the second half we advance the usual participation
- 2:29of Wednesdays of the Gustavos barrelly Walfanson to Tuesday today, because good were the
- 2:32elections in Mexico. We already talked a lot to him in the previous one
- 2:35and now we' re going to analyze it a little bit in the post.
- 2:37There' s news that has to do with Mexico, with the United
- 2:40States we' re also going to deal with Gustavo. Beyond the electoral issue,
- 2:44Bden, the US President reduces access to asylum to launch a political message
- 2:50against regular alignment. The country of Madrid says that the border with Mexico can
- 2:53be closed if the crossings of people without papers exceed two thousand five hundred a
- 2:59day for a week, as has happened in the last few days. So
- 3:01limitations to the immigration pass and are legal on the border Mexico United States well
- 3:08in terms of the national reality, as I say before saving a little bit,
- 3:14how it connects to the chumalaba here and then you go barran the Volfinson.
- 3:16I don' t know if there' s going to be time to
- 3:20listen to Alejandro Rosman and his regulars for economic programs that don' t make
- 3:23via the blues ou of thirty pesos. This is almost two and a half
- 3:23points. It' s a thousand two sixty- five. It had dawned
- 3:27strong. You know the operation starts around 11: 00 in the morning.
- 3:30That average had risen strong already the first morning, the since eleven o'
- 3:35clock. He counted with Lee, who had touched almost one thousand three hundred
- 3:38thirty. If I' m wrong, it' s in a thousand three
- 3:40hundred, which is almost unregarded. Yesterday, and he also went up with
- 3:45the cone. It' s in a thousand two sixty- nine. The
- 3:46free one is the lowest of all, but it rises thirty pesitos. And
- 3:51what' s worrying is the five percent hike. This international funding for Argentina.
- 3:54If one day he achieves it again in almost 1, 500, one
- 3:59thousand four hundred and eighty- five, the risk country at this moment has
- 4:05achieved the choir opposition and is debating the julatoria form, of aculatory mobility.
- 4:10Obviously, if this is translated, the deputy is most likely, it will
- 4:12be today to move to the Senate and with a majority here well, first
- 4:16minority here, or, but smart that nerist. We will see with the
- 4:18common interpretation what is Peronism, it is dominated by gennerism, journalism, it
- 4:21is gennerism, who I encourage is Peronism. We' ll see this is
- 4:27going to generate a law and that would generate the veto of my law that
- 4:29so much about your body and said anything more expense. I' m good
- 4:30at it. Costs are paid. No Christian Parnet also wore a retirement sum
- 4:33at the time. Political costs are paid. I have to see to what
- 4:38extent the different conditions in the dollar go up with the bonds ke and to
- 4:42the country three in order to touch the 1, 500 points. If you
- 4:44piss him off here averaging the afternoon for the show, the guy I don
- 4:47' t like in that sense, I can bench him to high consistency.
- 4:50I don' t know if there' s transparency and I' m clear
- 4:54about it, but it' s dedicated to the Jowe, the Reality and
- 4:57it' s recording Boy not then and sympho in its second kilo code scandalous
- 5:03jud audience between Grabois and it would work Leile Ayani for food. We'
- 5:03re on the whole thing. He gives him food, government roles, allegations
- 5:08of corruption, what there was, which he refused a lawless milay, desperate
- 5:11to defend his spiritual advisor and perhaps something else that is petobel. A huge
- 5:17queer woman is minister of one area and is minister of practically four areas.
- 5:21This is not just human development, but also educational work and so on.
- 5:27A caladrone and leaves people distorted. He recorded and depo Cuca thief because it
- 5:31is coming from this girl, comes this one who is defending for everything to
- 5:35petobelo everywhere, in the media, a better fact, in the addicted media,
- 5:39to mileism, to the level of the liberals, because comes the maciism,
- 5:45the quinnerism. Then Grabu threw Buca Thief at him and the other one
- 5:47answered him. Stop torshan relaxing, she answered him, stop distorting people or
- 5:50something. Eighty percent increase in the diet of national deputies. The ubo separate
- 5:56three together, the ridicule what the deputies were swearing. For me too,
- 5:59I believe that it is popular to tell you, as I said to you,
- 6:04that the position has achieved a change of heart. It was also on
- 6:05the edge of eleven o' clock and peak of the morning some soloists make
- 6:10to force the debate on retirement mobility and over there, then I go this
- 6:16way. With the present. I' m obviously saying what he' s
- 6:18saying. I do not subscribe entirely, because everyone has their eyes, but
- 6:21what has caught a poop, a little pepe not in that sense, Yes,
- 6:27how has it gone up not this, how has it gone up to
- 6:29poverty that my law is President. We' re at fifty- five percent,
- 6:32we' re in a neteo no, because this man won with fifty
- 6:34- six percent there by November. Well, if I' m not mistaken,
- 6:40it' s been seven months. It is going to be ten next
- 6:43Monday, six months of management millete, we make an interesting panorama of balance
- 6:46in economic matters, at a crossing between Monteverde that is defended Millay and pegru
- 6:51that criticized a lot. That was the last sign. I say fifty-
- 6:56six percent took millay In for trash thirty first round fifty and say Marlotal is
- 7:00not the president of the most vote in the history of his after Faye News,
- 7:02because of course it is even taken in terms of people and of course
- 7:06has grown how much the population grew that Perón was President, Bulli Goyen and
- 7:11I were his seventy percent and would tell them more someone that I do not
- 7:14like. Cristina Fernández took out fifty- four, not fifty- six.
- 7:16He scored two points down, but he pulled it out in the first round.
- 7:18No, no, with a good shot, Miley' s fifty-
- 7:21six. This was going to mess with the fifty- six percent that Argentina
- 7:26today has of the poor. Poverty was generated by law, no, no,
- 7:29but it grew long. We are talking about twenty- five million people
- 7:33and five million people added up these less than six months, a relevant data
- 7:40from May of Millay management. Half the people think they have hope. Thirty
- 7:45percent. They were very fanatical believers of what twenty- five expect. The
- 7:47other half of it is the 50% less that it has support, doubt,
- 7:50but it has hope. Okay. I think this sometimes nicono shows up
- 7:55John puts us up tohores. That' s also not as long as we
- 8:00' re obstructing them, so that they have the adjustments or the Argentines,
- 8:03after the debate and the disasters, generists and matrists, especially ignerists, want
- 8:07to believe and good, but these adjustment plans and then in general end up
- 8:11going wrong, as they come out in Argentina, as Milay says, the
- 8:15adjustment and greatest of all humanity. Well, that' s not meritorious,
- 8:16even if you see it like that and sell it like that. We are
- 8:20in the throes of cruelty in this government of twigs. With these petoelles there
- 8:24that everything is big. As I say, she is the spiritual advisor with
- 8:30a thousand functions that does not give explanations. They don' t explain,
- 8:33she didn' t leave an interview, they backed her around just as soon
- 8:35as Miley came back on the road. Before embarking on a new journey.
- 8:37She' s visiting, like someone ironed out on social media. My law
- 8:41is visiting Buenos Aires for a few days, you' re playing with hunger.
- 8:46Obviously if you already mind or the government, you lied with picket organizations,
- 8:50with workers and others welcome, either on the one hand and on the
- 8:54other you will be thrown away with everything, but then it is necessary that
- 8:56you have a clean tail and make yourself a perfect management. Well, it
- 9:01' s not what happens neither the clean tail nor has a laudable management in
- 9:05this human capital that will veil or human development, or whatever you want to
- 9:09call it a president of the defense outrage with these empty ponches that first that
- 9:15yes, that no, after they were for emergencies and then that was just
- 9:18yerba and blah, blah, blah? How was the relat changing account of
- 9:20someone who should, in a normal case, file his resignation. Let'
- 9:24s talk. It is not another bullet that clearly enters a thousand letters,
- 9:28the Gran Trck university march, perhaps also the issue of salary increases in executive
- 9:31positions, in the executive branch. We' ll see, we' ll
- 9:37see, and right now we' ll start analyzing it with Ignacio Lavaqui who
- 9:41' s gently already in the sum It' s online, Ignacio. Good
- 9:43afternoon, Fernando Salutes, how you are hello, how you are, how
- 9:48you are well, very well. Thank you for taking care of us first.
- 9:50No, please, a good pleasure to see. There' s so
- 9:54much to talk about. Let' s start from the outside. Let'
- 9:56s say when we vote and vote so overwhelmingly for the successor of López Obrador,
- 10:01the first woman President in Mexico, what we have to interpret that we
- 10:05continue to vote a little anti- system, that we vote for the hand
- 10:11of the state with a lot of subsidy, that it arrives, that we
- 10:16vote for the left, that we are opposing a right, that is gaining
- 10:22space with the ultra- right that I say there is just a lot of
- 10:24heterogeneity in the vote, focusing a little on Latin America, I say in
- 10:24the region rather or Central America. Downstairs, it seems to me that the
- 10:28case of Mexico is quite particular. No, first, it does not position
- 10:31him in an ultra- right position, nor anything the position in the establishment
- 10:37prior to Andrés Manuel López Obrador. Not exactly were the party of the Democratic
- 10:41Revolution there, which is a decision of the PRI. There was the PRI
- 10:46and there was the PAN, which has historically been the traditional rival of the
- 10:50PRI. Second, I think we need to look a little at the election
- 10:54of two thousand eighteen, precisely Amlo, a traditional politician who started his career
- 11:03in the PRI. From the PRI he went to the party of the Democratic
- 11:07Revolution and when, during the Peña grandchild government to break the Democratic Revolution,
- 11:11he signed an agreement on a series of public policies, together with the PAN
- 11:15and with the PRI, the ruler decided to break and create the national regeneration
- 11:20movement, not the Morena, and won in a overwhelming way. Two thousand
- 11:24and eighteen. What Amlo did good. He basically appealed to populist tactics.
- 11:28There is usually a confusion around outsider and populist can be used and said from
- 11:35outside the established party system and not to be populist, and you can be
- 11:39populist, pinning from the caste, to say in a way why am was
- 11:41governor of Tabasco and was also mayor of Mexico City, not then and had
- 11:46already been presidential candidate on two previous occasions, losing by very little margin in
- 11:52front of Caldero one tea one almost settled a little that was stolen. He
- 11:58did as an alternative government. What he installed, he lost by a very
- 12:01scarce margin in front of the cloth. It' s not clear now.
- 12:07The election of López Obrador was a tsunami, because I say he is the
- 12:13first president since Mexico has free elections that wins with more than fifty percent of
- 12:20the votes is taken to the party system that was structured around three parties until
- 12:24then. The pri in the positional center. We could say no, because
- 12:28it' s a center game. The PAN a little more to the right,
- 12:31but not without being ultra- right, is a traditional conservative party and
- 12:37the PRD is a democratic left center with some resabios of elements that had come
- 12:41out of the cousin and is not wearing it. And in general, the
- 12:46election of such leaders doesn' t matter if they come right by left,
- 12:50it ends up giving rise to a reconfiguration of the party system. They are
- 12:52the expression of a very strong discontent with the existing representation and motives. It
- 12:58has gone a long way in Mexico for that, but at the same time
- 13:05they leave the established party system in a sort of state and it seems to
- 13:13me that this has been the case. Not then, traditional parties have failed
- 13:16to recover. They had no innovative proposal on what was more than criticizing some
- 13:22attempts to move forward on the institutions, particularly on the judiciary and on the
- 13:30Council, of the National Electoral Institute. But then the amlo was in economic
- 13:37terms, in the macro, very orthodox. That is why, in the
- 13:43micro- economic sphere, not so much, and with a concentration of social
- 13:48assistance in the Presidency. So I say Mexico didn' t have as a
- 13:54staggering growth rate, but it did have a significant drop in the poor It
- 14:01' s the peak touched in the pandemic. And it seems to me that
- 14:03this is a president who in a region where there are few presidents who maintain
- 14:11high levels of popularity throughout the term. That was the case with Andrés Manuel
- 14:15López. I' m not trying to put on a woman figure of indigenous
- 14:22origin, but they continue. Most of all, it' s a post
- 14:26pandemic. The cost of sometimes locking up satisfaction with social and other measures to
- 14:31fight, to unite, to confront the pandemic, which is to create,
- 14:35is not paid. Officialisms have lost. This is not the case with Mexico.
- 14:39To see the anti- official obla started before the pandemic, so between
- 14:45April of two thousand nineteen in the election of Mario Abdo Benítez in Paraguay and
- 14:52open last year with the election of Santiago Peña, also in Paraguay. All
- 14:58the officialisms in democratic texts, that' s always important to highlight lost them.
- 15:03We' re talking about memories. I think it' s sixteen presidential
- 15:07elections. Basically there' s more, but they all lost. The first
- 15:13to cut the streak was to ship it illegally, I understand because I was
- 15:18not allowed to go for a new mandate. Re- election is prohibited under
- 15:22the Constitution. Even the Mochican didn' t get the right to re-
- 15:26election in the same way Fujimori did at the time, Ortega at the time,
- 15:31or the same moral evo, forcing it through a court ruling and then
- 15:37Avinader does in the Dominican Republic a few weeks ago, not on May 18th,
- 15:43which would indicate that the anti- government wave may be running out.
- 15:50We don' t know, but I think that if there was a choice
- 15:54that you thought you were singing, that you were going to cut off a
- 15:58streak of official defeats, it was for me the one of the most Mexico
- 16:02that preceded this. Which was Mexico chooses state governors in a sautéed manner.
- 16:07Not necessarily all coincide with last year' s presidential election or elections in the
- 16:11State of Mexico, which is the equivalent of our province of Buenos Aires,
- 16:17and won the Morena. In history it had been close in the year two
- 16:18thousand seventeen by a margin smaller than expected, something that some analysts confused a
- 16:25little bit. It was the election of Coahuila, where he won the opposition
- 16:33to amlo retained power. But I say the State of Mexico is the most
- 16:37populous state of the thirty- two Mexican states and I think the signal that
- 16:41the Morena won was quite eloquent. There was no doubt Now the truffle was
- 16:48even more soldier than expected. Even in Congress you may have more special degrees
- 16:52with allies in both chambers of the two- thirds you said amlo appealed to
- 16:56populist tradition. Let' s say what' s a little key to explaining.
- 17:00I think you' re going to share, because, well, if
- 17:02I don' t correct this devastating triumph, let' s say the candidate
- 17:06' s talking in a hamblo that' s going to theoretically pass a little
- 17:07winter barracks. Well, let' s see if he' s going to
- 17:11go to winter barracks in Mexico in the decade of tradition. Well, sure,
- 17:15the tradition with the PRI is that yes, but of course, this
- 17:18is not the first more Yes to see in the origins of the PRI.
- 17:22It is very common to say that in Mexico there has never been re-
- 17:27election from the Revolution onwards and that is not really so. One of the
- 17:30revolting presidents of the Revolution,Álvaro Obregón, realigned with a mandate in between.
- 17:33What year are we talking about? We' re talking in a thousand
- 17:37nines twenty- eight and he was killed a little before he assumed. After
- 17:41Obregón, Yes, after Obregón, there were six years that are known as
- 17:45the maximate years, where there were weak presidents. There were three presidents,
- 17:52in fact, and there was Plutarco Elias Calle, not who led the power
- 17:56of the shadows. He appointed his how he chose whoever was most in the
- 18:04rock thirty- four charge and the Cercanas sent him into exile very quickly.
- 18:07Not then should we see to whom the governors and deputies and senators of the
- 18:15Morena are to be loved or shan On. No. I' m not
- 18:18planning to have a conflict, but I' m saying if there' s
- 18:23a tradition that in the PRI there' s no re- election and when
- 18:30in the PRI' s time as a hegemonic party, there was no re
- 18:33- election for any elective office. No, now there' s re-
- 18:36election for anger charges. And that' s how that management between Claudia and
- 18:41Andres is going to be. Manuel. Andres Manuel and Claudius, let us
- 18:45say that then you doubt that he will withdraw altogether as he has said,
- 18:47for he has repeated it yesterday and so on. Not in politics, no
- 18:49one is to be played until the day he dies. Not good, but
- 18:52Mexico has. But we are talking about the particular case of Mexico, which
- 18:56you have far more knowledge than I do. No doubt, for everyone you
- 18:59' re commenting on. But I mean, there' s the prio system,
- 19:02there' s the idea that I' m saying the thing that'
- 19:04s loathsome or has now sold. We put it, obviously, to see
- 19:06in Duet. I want to hear you. Your opinion is that he grabs
- 19:08the suitcase and disappears. Let' s say that, you put it clearly.
- 19:11In doubt. Let' s say raw. What President Saliente wouldn'
- 19:18t say that. Not good, but we have the particular renter from Mexico.
- 19:22I didn' t understand Kindico that he was going to be for a
- 19:26literary coffee, he was out on the road and the PS. I'
- 19:30m talking about Mexico, where with the first thing that I know to see
- 19:33me, it makes history and very well. But I say, in the
- 19:34last fifty years, with the prisoner passed the outgoing President, choose your restorga
- 19:38wins, but yes, it does go and nothing an opinion, or anything
- 19:42north. But let us take the case of the last twenty years, not
- 19:48of democratic Mexico, Felipe Calderón, which is no longer part of the PAN
- 19:55today. He wanted to keep saying about Mexican politics. His wife was a
- 20:00presidential candidate, Margarita Zavala. This one was expelled from the PAN. Not
- 20:03said by the way, then it is not that a figure with as am
- 20:07what goes with eighty percent of the votes is not necessarily going to retire.
- 20:14I' d say we' ll have to see if if they' re
- 20:18four votes in the Senate to have a majority to reform the Constitution. If
- 20:21they don' t change the Constitution and re- election is not indefinite.
- 20:26But if with an interval I talk and you can go back, you know
- 20:30a lot more than I do. Retro amlo could be re- introduced in
- 20:33six years, or it has no dice today. It' s a single
- 20:37mandate. There is no single mandate, nothing more very restrictive inheritance of the
- 20:40revolution is now well. One before, one even post- revolution, I
- 20:45say, the Mexican reution was made for that, not to stop the indefinite
- 20:48re- election of Don Porfirio Díaz Este. But I say, even after
- 20:56the 17th Constitution there was a President who managed to return to power, he
- 21:03was killed and then in the prigo a rotation agreement. Well, the PRI
- 21:07era as a hegemonic party is over. The PRI. I' d say
- 21:10he' s pretty liquidated. Let us hope that he will be reborn from
- 21:15his ashes, but I say, it depends a lot on amlo I say
- 21:22you can always, for example, Correa left and left him with a political
- 21:25commissioner. In Mexico different, we don' t have the Vice President elected,
- 21:30which is a problem in many countries, in many regimes If I don
- 21:33' t say it, I did the theory of that that Juan Links said,
- 21:37a well- known political scientist. But I say playing Correa and not
- 21:40having Vice President is a problem, that is, not having Vice President and
- 21:44will dignify for the history of the VI because of the conflicts. I say
- 21:47the story here, but I can think of it in case of complicative vice
- 21:52president, the vice president elected by popular vote on the presidential iron, can
- 21:59come up with a program for conflicts. Trainee and others look at what is
- 22:00happening in Ecuador now between Abbot and Daniel Noboa. Then I say that in
- 22:08Mexico is not there. But I say for Rea that he had left a
- 22:11political commissioner as Vice President and that led to a conflict with Lenin Moreno.
- 22:15Correa could have aspired to return. Yes, and Lady Moreno introduced a custidional
- 22:21reform so she can' t come back. Besides that, because Rea has
- 22:26quite a lot of problems with Ecuadorian justice. Not today, I mean,
- 22:29he can' t physically return to Ecuador. Then I' d say when
- 22:37someone has two- thirds in Congress or is close to tanning them, I
- 22:41wouldn' t underestimate anything. I can say that it can be reformed,
- 22:45it should not even be ruled out. Let' s put it into potential.
- 22:47It is not crazy that Amlo should be reformed so that he can return
- 22:51within six or twelve years, given Amlo' s age. I' d
- 22:53say six. Okay, well, in that case Claudia would have to give
- 22:57in and prove herself to be a Delfinda, no, because I say it
- 23:03has to be indefinite re- election. She has that non- consecutive re
- 23:06- election, that is, she raises work, she could not have the
- 23:11consecutive impression, p and then let one pass, as in Argentinas or Chile,
- 23:15a mandate. That mandate yes, ok ok well, well, I
- 23:22bring you a little interesting, a little more earthly and closer to Argentina.
- 23:27How you' d plot this situation. Nearly six months after Millay' s
- 23:32next Monday in office, some bullets begin to enter, one we saw with
- 23:36the march, but the supermassive university with this food issue. This is what
- 23:45people look like, or it' s the media that we' re in
- 23:48this and it gets to the ordinary citizen who sees that there can be inefficiency
- 23:52in management, corruption, etcetera, etcetera. I think if you hit the
- 23:57government, we' ll see in this month' s polls not what it
- 24:02was until May. Different measurements which show rather than my law, thanks to
- 24:07the issue of low inflation, remained high in some had a marginal broth.
- 24:14I think of the spop that in suudedness or if I look at the confidence
- 24:18index, the government bounces off this would even add improvements. For example,
- 24:23in the index the consumer who makes polyrchi publishes ditela. Not then. So
- 24:30far Miler has a lot of his second- round voters, but what'
- 24:36s your intuition about this in number of specialist separates so you don' t
- 24:40think it' s possible. What happens is that the issue is who capitalizes
- 24:41on this. Not then If you think about the fifty- six percent who
- 24:47voted for my law in the second round, you would say turn your head
- 24:52and say it' s okay. I' m disappointed. Where I'
- 24:56m going, to Cristina Kishner, Masa and Kislov I don' t think
- 25:04so, to Luton neither. For now it does not seem then to see
- 25:10the data of a survey that we did with Ani to go to the end
- 25:14of April beginning of May. What they showed was that I say if you
- 25:18ask people who they' re going to vote for next year, the candidate,
- 25:19the candidates of my law or the candidates to be put to my law.
- 25:25Thirty- three percent responded to candidates who put on Miley when you look
- 25:26at who has a good image of inside that thirty- three percent fish tank
- 25:30not Cristina k if it rains mass or is a hard core of Peronist vote,
- 25:40where is the biggest opposition within public opinion. My law in the Amba
- 25:48so logical, no, it is the area that suffers the most from adjustment.
- 25:53Sure, then where is it? So I think the demand for opposition
- 25:59exists, which is not very ordered from the supply and then I go back
- 26:04a second to Mexico. The election of a leader like Miley is no different
- 26:07than the election of a leader like Amlo. As much as Miles has been
- 26:11to someone who came out practically out of nowhere and in two years he came
- 26:14to the Presidency and Amlo was someone who had a long political trajectory. The
- 26:18populist method remains the same. Divide the field in two to say that,
- 26:22on one side is lelit and on the other side is the people and that
- 26:25they have betrayed the people. And that in general is the reflection of a
- 26:30crisis of party representation, product of several governments, of a different sign that
- 26:36leave a balance of discontent and that then appear these so- called messiahs that
- 26:45with this discourse it just starts up there is a context that previews that makes
- 26:48the discourse pledge and when they are elected, that usually results in a greater
- 26:56exacerbation of the crisis of representation existing. Then let' s look at what
- 27:00' s going on inside the pro. The pro is split, not where
- 27:03the stage goes to one side. The exit of the gents is on the
- 27:06one hand. But I' m not so convinced that the votes are going
- 27:10to accompany that leadership that wants to say that good people share economics, but
- 27:14that they want republicanism, etcetera, etcetera. In radicalism we see tensions and
- 27:21say that the voter of the pro goes, as in the Ballots, will
- 27:23go today, because I would do my law to see if I make a
- 27:29comparison between voters of Patricia Bulritz about who has the best image today, if
- 27:37Patricia Milay or Macry Macrot finishes third. And in radicalism, I think there
- 27:45' s something that graphs it very well. The day the repeal of the
- 27:49decree had to be voted on, it was urgent. On the seventy-
- 27:55three, President Luce bounced aside a couple of senators and the bulk of the
- 28:00bloc voted in favour of ratification. No yes, and in Peronism it seems
- 28:06to me that this is happening. But sotoboche perionism has a virtue. He
- 28:10' s known how to maintain unity. Yes, today Peronism, is the
- 28:14quisnerism that if you can lead them and renew them and remodel, leave Cristina
- 28:21behind without facing it. Let' s say, as it is always said,
- 28:25also that a government that its popularity is renewed, although it seems that
- 28:27it would have been years of erasing, but it will be six months old.
- 28:30But I say it' s the opposition, after a very hard blow
- 28:33and especially with Stausiyder, it' s going to regenerate, it' s
- 28:37going to start pulling its head out when the government does bad, when the
- 28:41unpopularity or a certain greater impoglanity comes in than it rules, let' s
- 28:48say, or when you have ex how or when Gobin succeeds, not good,
- 28:49but there the position will not bear fruit. I say that the octoposition
- 28:52has a frightening chance, because precisely we are thinking about what happened in the
- 28:561990s I would not say good, men in religion, no, but until
- 29:00it was consolidated stability, the agenda could not be opened, other issues were
- 29:06not opened at the time that stability, which was conquered the issues of a
- 29:11long time. Well, he had a lot of time to achieve that as
- 29:15well as hegemony, no. But I say what I' m going to
- 29:19is failure. Yeah, you have to see who benefits, if it benefits
- 29:23the same thing as always. If we enter one more circle to the Peruvian,
- 29:26visual circle, no, no, no well, that part of the
- 29:29discussion, or what I was asking you to say if this Peronism can regenerate
- 29:33with up to how much, in quotation marks a new vizilfo can appear emerging
- 29:38even facing postkisnerism, because one, effectively sees difficult that sees difficult. Let
- 29:41' s say the opposition where it can get on track or be moderately attractive
- 29:48again with everything we talk about radicalism and that the property over. Well,
- 29:52you' d have to see what opposition there is. No, because Peronism
- 29:53and Peronism itself is one thing. I believe the Peronism of the interior is
- 29:59not the only thing that is not the Peronism of the center of the country
- 30:03that the Peronism of the Patagonia of the Noa or the Peronism of the province
- 30:08of Buenos Aires. But if you' re trying to make alliances, take
- 30:11the picture with Nacho Torre, with Thumbing, that is, posing, as
- 30:17we' re potentially flying legitimate. But I say something different, something open,
- 30:19something front, etcetera, something kind of people, etcetera, etcetera.
- 30:22But that' s, that' s gathering leaders for the photo I'
- 30:29m not sure that those votes together, or that he' s a potant,
- 30:34someone who votes against him who doesn' t like my law like that,
- 30:41doesn' t like quislerism, not like that or public policy. Why
- 30:42would I vote for Kizilov? I say because he gets together and takes a
- 30:48photo with Puyar and a h of Nacho Torres, and that' s how
- 30:55he articulates down in the territory. No, because there' s the problem
- 30:56that people, for those who are with those in the province of Chubut or
- 31:02in the province of Santa Fe, how they do for, for example,
- 31:06well, Santa Fe doesn' t have re- election, but Chubut does.
- 31:08When light years come, we' re talking. Not the public policies
- 31:12that Puyaro and Nacho Thors support are the same as those that they support here.
- 31:18I am not talking about economics, for example in the area of security.
- 31:22Yeah, yeah, yeah, perfect. I think it is a good
- 31:26thing that there is a picture and that there is dialogue, because there is
- 31:32politics. Yes, he' s an enemy friend, I prefer the word
- 31:37rival, but I say competitor, but because something the enemy is a war.
- 31:45Yeah, but I think it' s normal that I' ve already
- 31:49said something between governors and I know a picture. Now that that' s
- 31:52what we' re looking for in votes, especially in public policies, in
- 31:56a public policy agent, because if we don' t see the example of
- 32:05Mexico, the question of leaders it led to didn' t have much impact
- 32:12to put together the PRD labels of the prior for you to Miley beyond the
- 32:17disruptive you see it as someone different you see it as not part of politics
- 32:22or this pragmatic millay in recent months you prepare parliaments, guillermos, francos,
- 32:27ministers, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera. A story repeated. Some
- 32:30link this process with that of Martínez Dios for putting a hate case, or
- 32:35you can think that my law ends up being more of the same. I
- 32:39don' t think I looked at being different in Argentine politics. You would
- 32:43not link him to any point of view Martínez Dios, for the fifth reason
- 32:45that Martínez Dios was the Minister of Economy of several authoritarian governments. No,
- 32:52but as far as politics is concerned, in a few economic plans and the
- 32:55same thing they said about horse at the time, don' t say milate
- 33:01isn' t there. If I return Martinez God during the Martínez period.
- 33:06There was a phenomenal process of indebtedness of Argentina from the private sector that was
- 33:10later also the public sector, but the private sector that was later liquefied and
- 33:15with a history that we already know. So I think that history debt because
- 33:21you can' t, basically it' s not. I don' t
- 33:23know if I would look at you, but I say we should see the
- 33:30Martinez results. He spent four years at the head of the Ministry of Economy,
- 33:32but I don' t think that' s comparable to any of this
- 33:37government. Yeah, obviously, one can say good. There are people within
- 33:39the government, my law that makes a claim of figures of the dictatorship and
- 33:44everything you want, but I don' t think it' s comparable.
- 33:46Ah, but economics, a financial model of everything touches point down, they
- 33:52cut full of economists that has to do with finance, not with the productive.
- 33:54From the same country we mentioned Ramiro Marra or so many others. It
- 33:59' s all a lot of snooping. Yes, indeed, there are a
- 34:02lot of finance people. But I say for the Martínez Dios case we came
- 34:07to that world, it came no more from the world of the real economy,
- 34:15more linked to if you want to or to the Argentine rural city or
- 34:20to the company in the past riglo electricity. Then I don' t think
- 34:28I' d go for a comparison with Martinez God. I' ve seen
- 34:30her at other times, too. It' s like a little horse always
- 34:34comparing any government in sight with Martinez de Dios. I think it' s
- 34:37better to handle criticism. On the other hand, but I believe that in
- 34:39a thousand is a typical case that we have already seen in Argentina, in
- 34:45other Latin American countries also of the political populist leader, but with economy we
- 34:52will put it promarket. I believe in Miley is more anti- state than
- 34:57pro- market, but good. But let' s see the classic neo
- 35:00liberalism label. It' s not very different from what Bolsonaro was with Paulo
- 35:07Guedes. Nothing more than Mira could be the two people together for being populist
- 35:10leader and at the same time the liberal economist. To what I may have
- 35:15been the alliance between Fujimori and liberal economists. For Fujimori he was an authoritarian
- 35:21leader rather than a coup State. But I say it' s not new
- 35:28to see this board between pro- state economic policy and this populism. It
- 35:36' s more like something that' s quite studied. It' s from
- 35:38the' 90s. What is different that Argentina had been quite immune to the
- 35:44case of the populist outsider. I didn' t go to pop. Yes,
- 35:47because I believe that both Menem in style, will campaign, especially the
- 35:51first election and especially Cristina Fernández Kigner were cases of populism in political terms.
- 35:59It is not leadership that has a pleistic bond its followers, in the case
- 36:02of Christian, especially that it has a refoundational mandate. I think that makes
- 36:08it more like Cristina. My law we hadn' t seen before. But
- 36:14not the outsider, the outsider who falls as a paratrooper for the Presidency.
- 36:20Not because one thinks good macria some ive findsiger, like all those who once
- 36:22dedicated themselves to politics, one day they dedicated something else and discrimination, but
- 36:27macrison a more own political career. If one wants from the left in Latin
- 36:30America, which is to build territorial power, first follow the pig and arrive
- 36:36and law landed as paratroopers. It came from nothing, not from the plain,
- 36:40but from the House of Deputies to the Presidency. That' s the
- 36:47novel thing and in a system that, in theory, has several antibodies for
- 36:51that, because the choice of Argentina is a choice that with primaris is a
- 36:53three- round lesson. Several campaigns must be financed, but the collapse of
- 37:00the previous Government and the fact that three administrations followed that ended worse than they
- 37:07started, prepared the ground for this to happen. Sure. In conclusion you
- 37:14see it as with its solid popularity, I do not know how to see
- 37:20this issue of foods that I have. We are in these hours that we
- 37:22will see how much your very closed defense of the Minister petovelo expands nothing the
- 37:29change of some break in the markets or even if the inflation stabilizes by four
- 37:32or five, but that it takes the leap in some month. I do
- 37:35not say any major setback, but I say the limits also a little bit
- 37:40of the model may have a relatively significant popular loss. I take it we
- 37:44' re half and half not, but, well, let' s just
- 37:46say. I don' t believe in that answer they give you fifty-
- 37:47eight. Fifty- eight. Definitely not from Jeacobe or Gustavo Córdoba who gives
- 37:52him I don' t know forty- five. It seems to me little,
- 37:55but well, on the other hand, not to make names for them
- 38:00says no soras. I already do, I already speak the names go from
- 38:01yours, that are mine no matter what for us we see that as the
- 38:05extremes and let' s say that that marks the minimum and the maximum of
- 38:07the range. It' s not right. Yeah, yeah, not one
- 38:10thing or the other, or that half goes less. Let' s say
- 38:15we put it this way. But I think the interesting point is this,
- 38:17which is that popularity fluctuates. Yes, and as a resource of power,
- 38:27it' s a double- edged weapon. Yes, because one day you
- 38:30put in a gobir This is a government very tied to public opinion, obviously
- 38:31because of all the institutional weakness that we already know, so, at least
- 38:36until October next year, I say, it is a very vulnerable situation,
- 38:43because I say, it is clear that there must be twenty- five to
- 38:47thirty percent of the electorate that loyal to Miley here licanto yes. That'
- 38:55s just what I think it' s not enough. Here it goes through
- 39:00the institutional, having what is called the legislative shield, which is a third
- 39:05of a House. Why a third party in a Chamber. Because with one
- 39:07third of a House one holds back an insistence on a legislative veto and with
- 39:14one third a House, one holds back something much more relevant, which is
- 39:19a request for political judgment or one of the two chambers or water. The
- 39:22objective is clear, the Pollio trial continues in the House of Deputies. The
- 39:27legislative insistence has to be the two chambers, by two thirds of those present.
- 39:31With a third one slows down on that. Mile is close to the
- 39:35third with the pro is close to the third, but I can' t
- 39:37reach him. If I had a majority House I would have the yes,
- 39:45the absolute majority in a single Chamber. Already with that it would reach him
- 39:47to erase by emergency decrees except four tax issues, penal in law of political
- 39:52parties and electoral laws, that would make the difference, not that it could
- 39:59be credited, in fact, on all issues, except this four. And
- 40:01that with that a House bequeaths that if until so long Congress did not modify
- 40:06the current regulation of neuque did Cristina for something she did and the senator to
- 40:09her husband was the President. If Congress modifies it and says well, for
- 40:15one neuque to stand, the two cameras have to say yes in a peremptory
- 40:17term, well. There' s another song. But for now, with
- 40:22this regulation of neu similate. He had a House except for those four issues,
- 40:29he can rule by derogatory urgency. But that is what you are talking
- 40:32about now in terms of governance or as an objective after the legislative ones will
- 40:37be committed to bribability, because a minority government could also between bribability. Logic
- 40:42or the simplest way, and I think what we see with the basic law
- 40:45shows it is the simplest way to form a coalition, a collision that gives
- 40:50you a majority, so he hasn' t wanted it. So you want
- 40:53to go by law by law, by law, by time and resources and
- 41:01here we are seven months. Yeah, yeah, yeah, so I mean
- 41:07in that sense, you were saying very vulnerable situations. I don' t
- 41:12know what we call the situation or if you can specify a little more.
- 41:15It' s clear you do. Take a non- comparative example of someone
- 41:22who followed the same formula of governance melo color in Brazil thirty years ago.
- 41:28Then one is very vulnerable. There was a very good phrase by Gemingway about
- 41:34a character in the novel Fiesta. They ask you and you how you went
- 41:37bankrupt in two ways, first bit by bit and then quickly, then suddenly
- 41:42not. Then how you lose popularity. Well, first it gives little and
- 41:46then it can be lost suddenly no. Many governments have lost it quickly in
- 41:50Latin America. Petro is an example. But how could family happen, how
- 41:54could this happen to Millay Ignacio? Yeah, we say there' s your
- 42:00biggest handicap part of your big capitals has an opposition in fol Let' s
- 42:02call it ideas, put pungent porma. There are countries where all politics is
- 42:07unpopular. I say wrongly that it generates rejection to me that does not imply
- 42:15that I have to generate mengano approval. In Peru all politics is highly unpopular,
- 42:21which opens up spaces for good events such as the election of Pedro Castillote,
- 42:30who with nineteen percent of the votes, ended up in the second round
- 42:34winning a balotaj between someone who takes out nineteen percent and thirteen percent. There
- 42:37is a long way to go for Argentina' s presidential election, but I
- 42:43say popularity can plummet. I believe that much of the President' s ability
- 42:45is communication policy, which did not sell little goldfish hope the day it is
- 42:52a medium. He said blood, sweat and tears are coming. If you
- 42:57don' t take drastic measures, worse things are going to happen. And
- 43:01with that and I think the context also gave him an advantage. The crisis
- 43:05exposed Macrin had that advantage. All those people who criticize him for macriple not
- 43:10being honest with the inheritance. I think they say stupid things. I don
- 43:13' t have a problem saying it like that and a little brutal. I
- 43:15think they say stupid things. It is because if I perceive that the situation,
- 43:20as it would go to Guido Casca, is wrong, but it is
- 43:22wrong if I am told this is dramatic. I' m not creating it.
- 43:25And that it' s dramatic and it needs drastic measures, I don
- 43:29' t believe it. And on two thousand and fifteen December, two thousand
- 43:30and fifteen, you didn' t see that. One can say good.
- 43:34The one I knew said good here. There are several problems, several bombs.
- 43:37Let' s get him to deactivate them. It' s complicated,
- 43:40and someone said," Well, it' s better not to be honest
- 43:43with the inheritance" If you' d been honest with him, nothing would
- 43:45have changed the day you arrived at the tariff adjustments. In that context it
- 43:50would have been a bucket of cold water the same. Okay, here.
- 43:52They prepared the ground and I think there was some awareness of some things.
- 43:57And I' m fed up with the above. Not then that sale and
- 44:01I get fed up with the harshness of the just. Now how can you
- 44:06play patience in expectation. Well, the question of the millions is what the
- 44:12limit is, but, well, I don' t think anyone' s
- 44:17going through anything to see it Let' s just assume that I' m
- 44:23telling you that the gas increased me four times or you say impressive. Not
- 44:23what, just like I told you I was paying two thousand five hundred pesos
- 44:27and I went on to pay ten zero going in one yes, that is,
- 44:34in the highest residential. I think a person might go to a neighborhood
- 44:39pizzeria and have a beer and spend more than a thousand pesos a big pizza
- 44:44is fine someone very hungry. So, in that case, obviously high-
- 44:52income household levels. I' m telling you the worker who paid, that
- 44:57we agree with one of the great mistakes that we hurt for all matters of
- 45:00public service. The disaster subsides the expensive pool that lives in Martinez and has
- 45:02the heated pool. But the worker who used to pay chauch and sticks in
- 45:07transport, what represents him is to travel today add to that yes, in
- 45:13light, gas, etcetera, etcetera, etcetera. A MEDIA class or BS
- 45:17one that is in this session, but the preparation that I paid for I
- 45:22don' t know a fifth and now I say let' s add up
- 45:24situations. No, no, no, no, no, no, no,
- 45:27no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
- 45:27no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
- 45:27no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
- 45:27no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
- 45:27no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
- 45:27no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
- 45:27no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
- 45:27no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
- 45:27no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
- 45:27no, no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
- 45:27no, no, no, no, no, no, no,
- 45:27no, no, no, no, no, no. It' s
- 45:29not very recent data. That' s data we did with Annie Parray Rendinamis
- 45:36in late April. But that' s what Namis Dinamis is called. Well,
- 45:43that' s where it was. We basically ask him how long he
- 45:47is willing to wait until economic policy is successful. Yeah, well, there
- 45:52' s twenty- six percent that says he' s not gonna expect anything.
- 45:55Yes, it doesn' t It' s not about what happens to
- 45:59Miley enton of the Universe, not the whole Universe. Ok ok we already
- 46:02know one look and cross fact with whom they voted. I think there'
- 46:08s 20 percent that says three to six months later. Yeah, yeah,
- 46:14there' s, like, 23 for two. The insistence pardons, the
- 46:17existence of the interruption since you did the survey, since from the government to
- 46:21my law all three or not. This is it. The survey was last
- 46:23month, but it' s three or six more months, let' s
- 46:28say no, since it took off in December. No. No, three
- 46:29or six more months. It' s okay, okay, okay, sorry.
- 46:31If others say one or two years and there is one there is twenty
- 46:37- three percent that group it. No, why to simplify what this one
- 46:40says with his martiso the presidential term or what it takes? What you need
- 46:44will be four or five points. The Po poundsa no yes, yes,
- 46:47there you see the hard core. To me what I think is remarkable is
- 46:51that about half the population is between one and two years and the whole mandate.
- 46:59This can change. Or I think it' s enough. I don
- 47:01' t think it' s hard for you. I don' t think
- 47:05so much, because it' s theoretically said. Then we saw him.
- 47:07That' s the perception of the moment, or of course, of course
- 47:08now. I think we have to take it this way. The President doesn
- 47:13' t like to talk about Moses very much. We have to go to
- 47:17the Bible. What the Bible says about Moses, that Moses freed the Jews
- 47:22from Egypt, what happened next. The Bible speaks of forty pre- angel
- 47:27years of truth. We know that it was forty years for us if it
- 47:29is reason that people barely lived forty years, I didn' t see twenty
- 47:31- five was much. I think they' ve been in the desert for
- 47:35a long time. I don' t know if it' s historical or
- 47:37if it' s simply a story, but the point is that at several
- 47:42moments in the Bible it' s read that the Jews said well, we
- 47:45were better in slavery with the Egyptites. The Egyptians and Moses, with the
- 47:49help of the force of the sky, beat his staff and drew water from
- 47:53the rock. The presidential cane doesn' t do that kind of magic.
- 47:58No, I mean what I mean by this. Probably if you' re
- 48:01told we' re gonna be four years of sweaty blood and tears. Or
- 48:05Avellaneda' s phrase about Argentina' s credit. You even have to pay
- 48:09for the hunger and make the Argentines. It was very good for the vellaneda
- 48:14times that I voted, if I voted and with which I put I voted
- 48:16one percent of the population not this one. But I say there is something
- 48:22we call the honeymoon and with good communication one can take advantage of it more.
- 48:27I didn' t know how to take advantage of it, too.
- 48:29But I say Macrino lost by adjusting the rates, because he had adjusted them
- 48:34and won and won the five main provinces of legislative election. He lost the
- 48:37election. In any case, because when it seemed that the worst had already
- 48:40happened, it returned the worst with the volatility would change from this April,
- 48:46which started in April of two thousand eighteen and that did not end until the
- 48:50end of his term. No and that and that led him to be back
- 48:52inside the FM and so on. Not then, for now, based on
- 49:00political narrative of frustration towards others, the thing endures how long it will endure.
- 49:07Well, I' d say you have to look at three things.
- 49:10One. The expectation of the arrival of the promised land is not eternal.
- 49:15Not if your bow' s running all the time. That' s like
- 49:17the donkeys who put the carrot up front so they keep walking. I think
- 49:21there' s going to be at some point, there' s going to
- 49:24be some of the public opinion that you' re supporting today, which you
- 49:28' re going to say no. I don' t like it. No.
- 49:29I don' t support anymore, I don' t have anywhere to
- 49:35go, maybe, but I say we have to go monitoring. The Government
- 49:37is also not insensitive. It' s not not silly, not because I
- 49:39say don' t introduce you s clearly puts justs realize that bets all the
- 49:46time realize that there is a certain political sensitivity, how much you can pull
- 49:52the priora has told her my law has said forgive me Ignacio. We lost
- 49:55the most to the pedicusual and all good wing the framework of cruelty, but
- 49:59I say to not let go a little bit. He puts the photo that
- 50:02warned him in quotation marks, an admission, but he has manifested it,
- 50:07not explicit. Then the government knows these things, I mean, they have,
- 50:13they have polls, they see it and then they will know how to
- 50:17manage it not now. I' m not saying that this is a guarantee
- 50:20of success, since when one fills one' s mouth with the caste and
- 50:27suddenly something shows that one is caste just like the rest and maybe there'
- 50:35s a missile in the flotation line going in and when they build up.
- 50:39I' d say the damage starts to feel. I do not say then
- 50:46that we must be very attentive this month, especially when we are going to
- 50:51feel the issue of, for example, the weak gas administration. Clearly,
- 50:54the subject of Petohlo always the incoming government is a bit like the joke of
- 51:00two letters. Not that an outgoing official leaves him a successor and tells him
- 51:04how many two letters and you say when he has the first problem. Now
- 51:07the first letter passes the months. The first problem is the guy in the
- 51:10letter that says the letter blames me. He blames me. If the months
- 51:15pass the second problem comes. Open the second letter and it says write two
- 51:19letters sorry and no longer you told me to look at three things. The
- 51:24expectation of arrival that I am taking a promised land public opinion, governance towards
- 51:30Congress and market reaction. If those three vertices align well, the market looks
- 51:37basically or focuses. I believe in the market is not a unified actor,
- 51:43but what it focuses on if it looks and fulfills the super habeit theme and
- 51:47fulfills the accumulation of reserves, because without those two things Argentine bonds are hardly
- 51:52paid. Look back at the other two issues, governance and social tolerance.
- 52:00Not social tolerance as you look at and fulfill something that I think is central,
- 52:04which is basically inflation. After all this is not achieved, but great
- 52:10the benefit of the doubt for now reaches at some point it will have to
- 52:14be seen not going on with unemployment. Maybe so, but I say let
- 52:20' s think about this, I' m going to make an analogy with
- 52:22what happened after two thousand one, not after two thousand one. From the
- 52:25year two thousand five we had the two thousand two that had inflation of forty
- 52:30percent, but that, compared to what was the assessment of the weight,
- 52:31was quite low. Not the pastru called was low. If the plot can
- 52:36be one to four and you alone is a devaluation of seventy- five percent
- 52:39and inflation was forty percent in two thousand two. Now, by two thousand
- 52:45and four, inflation was at extremely low levels. I mean, six percent
- 52:50a year had been put in two. With two thousand five you start to
- 52:52give these one. I was hoping inflation would eat political capital from the quinerism
- 52:57that ruled and the truth that we had 25 percent, 30 percent infestations and
- 53:01nothing happened. I believe that after two thousand one, the great trauma of
- 53:07associating unemployment more than inflation and while there was employment, there was tolerance for
- 53:13inflation. It is not also true that, in general, he was embarrassed
- 53:17at the expense of certain things, but he was embarrassed, perhaps I do
- 53:23not say that it is the reality, but society was traumatized by inflation.
- 53:28We have seen that we come from inflations that since the end of Cristina'
- 53:34s second government has practically doubled. Not the level of each government ends with
- 53:37higher inflammations. Magna ended up with forty peaks and my memory does not fail
- 53:43me this or psychoetypic. He had two years above, up forty and Torrino,
- 53:47fifty and Alberto Fernández, except for the year of the pandemic due to
- 53:51a gross economic pressure that lasted thirty- five percent. They' ve always
- 53:54doubled or more. The level of inflation. Not this year is going to
- 54:00be higher, but there what you have to look at is like the monthly
- 54:02December number, which is what you' re going to say. I say
- 54:05the high inviolations, because you corrected the relative price. Then it' s
- 54:07enough. That will make it necessary to see whether the trauma, no more
- 54:12than unemployment, did not become inflation. Ignacio. Thank you very much,
- 54:16uh, no, please, thank you for a great greeting Ignatius. Lavaqui
- 54:20here in plural construction. We leave quickly to the pause and after them we
- 54:23are presenting the audio of Alejandro Rosman. Agamina we' re going to have
- 54:28to leave Alejandro' s audio first Alejandro rock Ante this week. I don
- 54:30' t know what happened to Gustavo Ferrari, so we' ll clear it
- 54:32up tomorrow. It' s a poego with us here on the air Quick
- 54:36pause and we say goodbye to Rofa. Okay. I' ll say goodbye.
- 54:37I' ll say goodbye. Juan you hit Rockman after the batch and
- 54:39I' ll meet you here tomorrow morning at 4: 00 p m.
- 54:43Thank you so much. Surely tomorrow, as I say, will be repairing
- 54:45today' s non- exit that I don' t know what happened.
- 54:46You all like it for the tree. Thank you, Juan Bye Bye.
- 54:52We remind you that you can find us on social networks, on our website,
- 55:00where we extend our journalistic work. We find ourselves on Twitter under the
- 55:04Nick Arroba, approaches on Instagram fer m two thousand twenty- two. Fermen
- 55:09de Fermourie two thousand twenty- two and as always where we upload audios from
- 55:15the program analysis of specialist columnists. Our website manages triple approaches blogs or the
- 55:25Institute for the Promotion of Vaccination Meat Argentina in general, Villegas, province of
- 55:30Buenos Aires. How to measure the quality of meat by field. Wednesday,
- 55:35July 3. Establishments in Eduardo Ruta thirty- three km, four hundred twenty
- 55:40free entry of limited curupos. Brasford Association Argentina collaborates. Participates the inta reports
- 55:46in enrollment in Triple w PCBA com ar at eleven forty- four, fifteen,
- 55:52eighty- one, eighty- nine. Good morning, on a cold
- 55:57day Monday to make good in- depth analysis of current trends, in terms
- 56:06of large economic and social aggregates and short- term and lifelong prospects. It
- 56:13' s a good time to do it. We are in the middle of
- 56:17the first year of the graduate government in Millay and I find it valuable to
- 56:23make a capituland network from where we stand and where we are going. When
- 56:28it was installed, the Government stated that it would develop dynamic action with regard
- 56:36to the structural factors hindering the economic and social development of contemporary Argentina, and
- 56:44it is a good time to see the results. It has been, as
- 56:47I said before, six months and it can be very useful to mark the
- 56:54actolic development. We have data until April, or close to May. Of
- 57:00course, but December, January, February, March and April would already have
- 57:06to mark a definite trend. The most interesting fact is that of the evolution
- 57:15of the level of economic activity. It arises from information provided by a highly
- 57:23acrederated consulting company in the local financial square, which writes every matrix of intent,
- 57:30political skill and tells us that economic activity in the first quarter of January
- 57:35fell six comma three percent choose in the first four months. That is the
- 57:43retreat of the Argentine economy, a very high level. It certainly contrasts with
- 57:49what is happening in all the other countries of Latin America. In opening that
- 57:54retreat it was three percent, not because there has been a singular expansion.
- 58:01Compared to March, which was ten the warmest, but because information about the
- 58:06evolution of the agricultural sector began to be felt. Last year it was heavily
- 58:13affected by the fierce drought and then compensated for the collapse of the other indicators.
- 58:22Thus it is stated that in the field of livestock agriculture it scored in
- 58:30April the sixty- seven percent increase and in the plural construction led by Fernando
- 58:40Mauri by Radio trainó Pic