Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 268 - 4/30/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 268 - 4/30/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 268 of the All Systems Go sports
0:25
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:28
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:36
Happy Wednesday. Happy hump day.
0:39
That's right. Halfway through the work week,
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the final day of April. Tomorrow is May 1st.
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So believe it or not, guys, this is my last day on planet Earth
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as a 37 year old. That's right.
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Did you think I was young? Did you think I was older?
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Did you think I was maybe in my mid 30s?
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I guess I'm approaching my late 30s because tomorrow is my
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birthday. I turned 38 years old and
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wouldn't you know it, a little early Christmas gift or birthday
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gift, I should say. I pick up my new car tomorrow,
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so I probably might have heard. I gave you updates on my saga,
1:13
my issues, all my, you know, shopping for the best line,
1:16
shopping for the best car, playing dealerships off each
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other. Well, finally this exhausting
1:20
process has come to an end. My wife and I signed the
1:23
paperwork last night. We are now, we don't have it
1:26
yet, picking up tomorrow on my birthday, but it may even take
1:30
two days because I asked for a special Bruins license plate.
1:34
I'm a Boston Bruins guy, so give some money to charity and I want
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to be riding around in a new Outback 2025 with Bruins license
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plates. So I'm exhausted.
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My allergies are killing me, but it's it's my birthday tomorrow.
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The sun is shining even though all the flowers and bloom are
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killing me. It's it's good to be alive and
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it's exciting to have another day in the arena with you guys
1:57
as we finish up the month of April and steam into the month
2:01
of May. So let's get after it.
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With that being said, I do have a three pack of sweats excited
2:06
to share with you guys today. Two Major League Baseball plays
2:10
as well as one play in the NBA. So you guys know the drill.
2:13
If we got 3 bets, let's have realistic expectations.
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Let's grind, scratch and claw. Whatever it takes.
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Let's try to go 2 and 1. Eek out a winning night.
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Speaking of two in one and eking out at winning night, that's
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exactly what happened yesterday. 2 and 1 + 0.43 units.
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Had a couple winners there in baseball which were nice.
2:31
The Mariners and the Astros both coming through for the team.
2:34
I really like the the Reds as well, but that game got rained
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out. The only loser was the Clippers
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and boy was that frustrating because the Clippers were sharp
2:43
as a frickin tack dog to fave. Incredible bat split.
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They pretty much no show and get rolled by 16 points.
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So Clippers, you're dead to me again, Sometimes sharps are
2:54
going to lose a bet and you're going to say what the heck's
2:56
going on? How how on earth did they like
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the Clippers on the road? Denver Nuggets for the obvious
3:00
play, take the points. But that's one of those games
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where I'll bet it 10 times out of 10.
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Just, you know, sadly, you know, usually this spot is, you know,
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winning 6 out of 10 times. Unfortunately, last night didn't
3:11
come through for us. So the Clippers let us down.
3:13
But on the topic of the NBA, you might have noticed a little bump
3:17
in your sports betting account because last night, Stefan
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Castle, rookie of the year, that was a play that we talked about
3:25
a prop bet on the pod months and months ago.
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I distinctly remember Stefan Castle was plus 175.
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That's the number I got him at. I watched him play the Celtics
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and he lit it up and he was playing very well.
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And I said, you know what, this guy Castle could be legit.
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So there's a pretty good bet split, low bets, higher dollars
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of bet. MGMI saw him play, not in person
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but obviously on TV, and he impressed me and I said, you
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know what, there's a good bet split.
3:50
He looks like a pretty good guy, pretty good player.
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Why not take a shot here on a prop bet?
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And last night Stefan Castle cashed Rookie of the year plus
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175 or depending on whatever number you got.
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But that was a play to me that kind of offset that Clippers
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lost a little bit. Again, no show for the Clippers,
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which was frustrating. That's why I love futures.
4:12
Place the futures bet. Can you win them all?
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Of course you can't. But if you are able to have the
4:17
liquidity in your bankroll to not bet too much every single
4:20
day so you don't have enough leftover for other markets.
4:23
But if you can kind of have the patience in the bankroll to
4:27
places, place some futures bets. It's always nice when you bet
4:30
something and then you know, 3456 months later it cashes for
4:34
you and it gives you a rooting interest throughout the year.
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Because I'll admit, guys, every time the Spurs played, I
4:39
wouldn't really pay unless I bet on the game.
4:41
I wouldn't pay attention to it, but I would always look the next
4:43
morning at the box score and see how Stefan Castle did.
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So shout out to rookie of the year, Stefan Castle a juicy plus
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175. We'll take it and we'll reinvest
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that those winnings into into our upcoming bets.
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So that being said, three pack overall, let's see if we can go
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2 and 1 eek out a winning night. So first bit on the board for
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me, let's talk some Major League Baseball.
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First one that jumped out to me, let's go to Camden Yards, the
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New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles.
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Let's set the stage, talk the pitching match up and I'll give
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you my play for this one. So going into it, we have the
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rubber match of a three-game series.
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If you remember the Orioles who are 11 and 18 have struggled so
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far this year. They won the opener four to
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three, catching as a + 115 home dog.
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The Yankees roared back 18 and 12 on the year with a big 15 to
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three win yesterday, easily cashed as a -. 175 Rd. favorite.
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So pitch a match up here for tonight in the series finale
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again 635 early start. I think it is even on Amazon
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prime or apple or one of those streaming apps.
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So here's my my every other day annoyance of trying to figure
5:51
out how I can watch this one. But anyway, Yankees are going to
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send out Carlos Carrasco the the old veteran two in one 5.26 ERA.
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Meanwhile, the OS are going to go with the lefty Cade Povich
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who's one and two with a 5 point O 4 ERA.
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So what do we see across the market in this one?
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Well, Yankees open as a very short -120 Rd. favorite.
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Baltimore around a plus one O 5 home dog.
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And the public says Yankees -120 all day.
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The public is hammering the Bronx Bombers to win tonight at
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Camden Yards and have a series win.
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However, even though 84% of money line bets at DraftKings
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are taking the Yankees, the line isn't up to Yankees -130 -, 140.
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No, no, no, no, no. The line is completely gone the
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other way and it's flipped now to Baltimore -115 So if
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everyone's playing the Yankees, 84%, that's pretty lopsided at a
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obviously massive market setting.
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Not market setting, but public book with one of the most
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heavily backed games of the night.
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You know, if the Yankees are -120 now, why are the odds
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makers giving you Yankees plus one O 5?
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Like, think of it that way, you know, Yankees could roll.
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Anything can happen. This is a play I'll make every
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time on the Orioles. I know it's fishy.
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It's gross. Orioles aren't playing that
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well. Yankees are now getting plus
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money. Take the plus money.
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But I got to respect this sharp line move here on Baltimore.
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Going from getting plus one O 5 to now laying -115 so great dog
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to fave line move, reverse line move because again, you're
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looking at the Orioles only getting 14% bets, yet the line
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flipped in their favor. Now if you look at Circa, only
7:26
18% of bets are going Baltimore, but they're taking into account
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54% of the money. So that's a pretty good low
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bets, higher dollars bet split telling me that even though they
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aren't popular, the wagers that are on Baltimore out in the
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desert are big money wagers. We do have quite a few system
7:43
matches on Baltimore. Now that they are officially the
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favorite in this game, we can look at the OS as a home
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favorite. Those teams are 195 and 9867%
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with a 9% ROI this season, favorites off a loss, 118 and
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6465%, nine percent ROI, Favorites with line movement in
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their direction, 193 and one O 465% with a 7% ROI and favorites
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who made the playoffs the previous year, 144 and 7965%
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with a 5% ROI. Also, it's just a very fishy
8:15
play that makes no sense. And if you've been betting long
8:18
enough, you kind of learned to love these ones.
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When I was new to betting, I wouldn't understand it and I
8:23
would hammer double triple down on the Yankees.
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But in this case, having seen this line move so many times in
8:29
the past, again, it won't win every time, but I'll argue maybe
8:32
upwards of 60% of the time it does win.
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So I'm going to Baltimore again that ultimate fish fishy buy low
8:39
value as an unpopular home favorite with a losing record
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against. They sell high trendy Rd. dog
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with a winning record. And to make it a little bit even
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more juicy and appealing, I popped open my Juice Reel app
8:51
and I noticed a 37% sharp mush edge on the O's.
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So 37% more of the sharper winning betters who have
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downloaded Juice Reel and synced up their sports books are
9:02
playing the Orioles as opposed to a larger share of losing
9:05
betters who are going with the Yankees.
9:07
So Baltimore sharp as a tack dog to fave line move makes no
9:11
sense. But we're going to play it.
9:12
Or at least I am. And you're welcome to tail fade
9:14
or do whatever you like, but I'm going Orioles here, guys.
9:16
I got them at -115 at Bet MGM next bit for you.
9:21
Little bit of a late evolving play for me.
9:24
I'm going to focus on the Mets game tonight.
9:26
Mets at home against the Arizona Diamondbacks now going in it 710
9:32
first pitch on MLB Network. By the way, if you have you guys
9:35
seen the MLB Network like split screens?
9:37
It's almost like you know the the NFL, what do they call it
9:42
the the red zone? But they'll give you like 4
9:44
different games and sometimes they'll have plays on like
9:45
multiple ones. It's kind of crazy.
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It's it's fun to see sometimes. But anyway, we have the
9:50
Diamondbacks coming in 15 and 14, the Mets 21 and 9.
9:54
We did see the Mets have a big win yesterday in the series
9:57
opener. They won that game 8:00 to 3:00
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and they won that game as a what was the line there?
10:02
Mets around -125 S start start off here with the pitching match
10:07
up. We have the Diamondbacks going
10:09
with the ready Corbin Burns. He's O 114 point O 5 ERA.
10:13
He'll be opposed by Waskar Brazoban, who's actually been
10:17
really good one and O 1.56 ERA. I believe Brazaban I was looking
10:21
at his game log. I think he's the opener usually
10:23
only goes like one or two innings.
10:25
Hopefully we can, you know, kind of hold him down in the 1st and
10:28
give some opportunity here for the bats of the Mets to come
10:31
alive. Now let's set the stage for this
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one. We open this game with the
10:36
Arizona D backs around a -, 115 Rd. favorite and the line is
10:42
basically down to a pick em. So we've gone Arizona -115 down
10:46
to -110 we've gone from the Mets around, you know, plus one O 5
10:51
even money now to -110 So basically we're looking at a dog
10:56
to pick them or almost the dog to fave line because some books
11:00
are maybe hinting at hopping the fence and officially becoming
11:02
the Mets as a favorite. So I like this line move on the
11:04
Mets. That really jumped out to me.
11:07
Couple things I also like about the Mets.
11:08
They're 13 and one at home this year.
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They have the better bullpen, 3 point O 5 ERA.
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That's six best in baseball. Arizona 4.46 ERA Mets are
11:17
hitting 258 at home this year, 13th best in baseball.
11:20
And if you look at Corbin Burns, he's been worse on the road than
11:24
at home. At home 3.18 ERA on the road 4.7
11:28
O. So to me this is a little bit of
11:30
a sharp play because you have again line moving toward the
11:34
Mets opening as a dog, becoming a pick em and maybe even a
11:37
favorite. But really, it's also a value
11:39
play, a good team who's 13 and one at home, basically at a coin
11:42
flip price. I'm going to take a shot here on
11:44
the Metropolitan, so shop around.
11:46
I got the Mets at -1 O 4 at FanDuel.
11:50
Again, other books are closer to -110 So we got the OS, we got
11:54
the Mets. Can we get at least one of
11:56
those? We can get both.
11:57
That would be even better. Now.
12:00
Last bed of the night. Even though the Clippers annoyed
12:03
me, it was nice to get that Stefan Castle futures bet.
12:06
But I'm going to focus on a game tonight, 7:30 PM Eastern Time,
12:10
the Golden State Warriors and the Houston Rockets.
12:13
Now for this one here. If you haven't been paying
12:15
attention, this is a close out spot for the Golden State
12:19
Warriors. They're up three one in the
12:20
series. So if they win tonight, they get
12:23
rid of the Rockets. Rockets would be dead, Warriors
12:25
would advance. If you noticed in that last
12:28
game, Houston did win or sorry, Golden State 11 O one O 9 to one
12:34
O 6. Think they covered actually the
12:37
Rockets, the plus 3 1/2 there. But we did have a series that
12:40
was 1 to 1 and then we had the Warriors win the last two.
12:44
But can the Rockets stave off elimination and stay alive?
12:48
I'm thinking that they can't. I hope they will because I'm
12:51
playing Rockets on the money line to win this damn game.
12:55
Now, a couple reasons like the Rockets here.
12:57
One, always start with a line move.
12:59
Lines have been moving toward the Rockets.
13:01
They open as low as -3 1/2. They're now up to -4 throughout
13:06
the day. Some books even touch 4 1/2.
13:08
So it's been really all movement liability in favor of the
13:10
Rockets. I like the bet split on Houston.
13:14
One thing that really excites me about the Rockets tonight is
13:17
just how unpopular they are. So this is kind of a classic
13:20
fade the trendy dog reverse line move.
13:22
Because at DraftKings only 36% of spread bets are on Houston,
13:27
but they're taking into account 78% of spread dollars.
13:32
So basically only 1/3 of tickets, but three out of $4.00
13:35
are lighting up here on the Rockets.
13:37
So it tells me even though the public likes Warriors and the
13:39
points, the line is kind of moved in favor of Houston.
13:42
So that's an indicator here that sharps are liking the Rockets.
13:46
Then we look at some system matches.
13:47
Favorites this year in the postseason.
13:49
Nothing crazy. 22 and 20 ATS, 52% playoff line moves.
13:54
Just as long as the line moves in your direction. 21 and 18
13:57
ATS, 54% playoff favorites off a loss.
14:01
It's been great. It's lost the last two.
14:03
Don't get me started with the Pistons game.
14:06
I'll never get over that one. Should have called a foul.
14:08
And then of course, Clippers let us down last night.
14:10
But that system is still seven and two ATS this postseason, 78
14:14
percent, 60% Eighty and 54 ATS since 2020.
14:20
Playoff favorites. Just winning these games
14:21
straight up. You know the cream has risen to
14:23
the top if you're expected to win.
14:26
Those teams have gone 30 and 12 this postseason. 71% Also, I
14:31
noticed that we do have Houston with some good rhythm edges
14:37
here. I have three models on this game
14:39
and one has Houston -3.21 has Houston -3.91 has Houston -4 so
14:46
it's not really a clear edge in terms of laying the points and
14:49
going spread. Obviously you'd love to lay a
14:51
four. They win by 5 or more.
14:53
You got -110 Juice, you're happy about that.
14:55
But how many times have we seen a short favorite win the game
14:59
but not cover? So I'm going to money line the
15:01
short favorite, which is what I like to do.
15:04
Yes, I'm paying more juice, but I think you're paying a premium
15:07
for a reason, for the exact situation of the Rockets winning
15:10
by one, 2-3 or four in which you lay a four, you lose your bet or
15:14
push your bet. If you pay a little more juice,
15:17
you win that bet. I must say, the sweat is much
15:19
more enjoyable when you're up to, you're feeling good but
15:22
nervous. When you're up to and you're
15:24
laying four, you're getting antsy.
15:26
So I do like to money line short favorites in the spot.
15:31
I did notice the sharp mush edge on Houston in particular the
15:35
money line 21%. So in the juicer lap, 21% more
15:39
of the sharper winning players are going on the money line as
15:42
opposed to the the profit deficient betters, shall we say
15:46
who are leaning more on Rockets to win the game or Rockets in
15:49
the points. Lastly, always want to shop for
15:52
the best line, find the best price.
15:54
I was able to find Houston at -170 that's my money line play.
15:58
I got them at ESPN bet. Make sure you shop around
16:01
because other books are closer to -175 or -180 but Long story
16:05
short, we open Rockets as a favorite.
16:08
They become more of a favorite. Everyone's playing warriors at
16:11
the lines. Going to the Rockets rhythm is
16:13
basically saying they should win by three or four and we are only
16:17
interested in the Rockets winning by one or more as money
16:21
line betters so good sharp mush edge, a great bet split.
16:24
I'm fading the trendy dog warriors.
16:26
I'm hoping that the Rockets stay alive.
16:28
Let's get a win in Houston. I'm on the Rockets money line at
16:31
-170 so that about does it for episode 268 of the All systems
16:37
Go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
16:39
As always, this is the part of the pod, of course, where we
16:42
wrap things up and I start first by saying thank you.
16:45
Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
16:47
busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some
16:51
sharp data-driven breakdowns with me.
16:53
As always, if you do enjoy this pod, could you do me solid and
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give it a five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
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That would go a long way to helping us to continue to grow
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the pod and continue to rise up the the ratings, which is great.
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Our rankings, whatever you want to call them.
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If you do want to leave a nice little review in the review
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section, a nice little comment, hey, I'll take it.
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That would be very much appreciated.
17:15
If you want to click the follow button, that way you get alerted
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as soon as it drops each day, there'll be a pop up or
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notification on your smartphone. That'll be great.
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And then if you want to recommend the pod to a friend or
17:25
colleague or someone who maybe would enjoy these data-driven
17:29
breakdowns, maybe it's a style of betting they've never really
17:32
heard of. Because I can tell you what, on
17:34
Twitter, there's a lot of yeah, take the Warriors and the
17:37
points. Curry's getting points.
17:38
You got to take it with no analysis behind it, just
17:41
literally bias and favoritism. So we try to avoid that because
17:45
you might win here and there betting with your bias and gut
17:47
instinct and favoritism. But long, Long story short, long
17:51
term, that's a good way to to lose a lot of money.
17:54
So again, if you want to help us grow the pod, that'll be great
17:58
for a five star review next, if you enjoy the style of betting
18:03
breakdown, data-driven sharp contrarian betting, you've
18:06
learned to read the market. You know, look at what the
18:09
market is doing. Will every market move when No,
18:11
of course not more more often than not, and we can identify
18:15
sharp moves that are also against the public and get some
18:17
good numbers before we get, you know, getting some CLV.
18:21
Typically that's a winning strategy.
18:23
So if you want to learn more about data-driven betting or
18:25
maybe you want to just let me know you appreciate the pod or
18:28
you have someone in your life who you know could use a little
18:31
insight into a data-driven betting or how to set up a
18:34
bankroll management plan or how to identify sharp action or go
18:37
contrarian or place the bet in person or online.
18:40
If any of that is the case, you know what you should do.
18:42
You should tell them to go to Amazon.com and type in the
18:46
everything guide to sports betting.
18:48
That's my baby. First book I ever wrote.
18:50
Very proud of it. But again, it'll give you that
18:52
data-driven blueprint that you can hopefully use to your
18:56
advantage and and win some plays with while you're on Amazon.com.
19:00
The next thing you want to do after you buy a copy of the
19:02
everything Guide to Sports betting is you then want to type
19:05
in the NFL Sharp Betting playbook.
19:08
That's my new book. Very proud of it.
19:10
Cannot wait for it to drop. It debuts on August 12th, later
19:13
this summer, August 12th, 2025. And who knows, I might even be
19:17
doing a book, a book tour and a Barnes and Noble or sports book
19:21
near you. But it's all about how to bet
19:23
the NFL from a data-driven perspective.
19:24
So I've been working on it for a little over three years now and
19:28
my final edits are in. It's now just some some
19:31
finishing touch ups, but pretty soon it'll go to print.
19:34
If you want to pick up a copy to of that book or my other book.
19:38
Hey, it would make my day. You bring them to the sports
19:40
book, I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
19:43
ale and we'll get some nachos and sweat some games together.
19:46
Next. Have you downloaded Rhythm or
19:48
juice Reel yet? Well, if you haven't, what are
19:50
you waiting for? Just go to the App Store, type
19:53
in rhythm RITHMM download the app.
19:56
Rhythm does a great job of powering this podcast, providing
19:58
us AI backed models and predictions for game bets and
20:02
player props. And then of course, juice reel
20:05
where I hold out my tip jar pass the hat.
20:08
If you want to support the pod, let me know you appreciate the
20:11
pod. If you want to tip your podcast
20:13
host, this pod is free. As I always say, you know you
20:16
can do on juice reel. You can sign up to follow the
20:19
All Systems Go official best bet picks and you'll get them.
20:22
Throughout the day, earlier in the day, hopefully get some
20:24
closing line value. Maybe you'll see a futures bet
20:27
and a guy like Stefan Castle had a good number before the pod,
20:30
you know takes place the next afternoon.
20:33
But that is $4.99 a week. And again, if you want to sign
20:37
up for that, it would it would really be much appreciated.
20:40
But not just that for juice really you're going to get the
20:42
robo Jackson best bet picks. The AI backed model plays each
20:45
day. There are a pair of plays that
20:47
come out at noon. You're also going to get the
20:50
arbitrage indicator, sharp mush system matches, shop for the
20:53
best line futures, sync up your sports books, get a running
20:56
report card of your action. If you go sync up, you know,
21:00
FanDuel, DraftKings, Bet MGM, Caesar's, ESPN bet fanatics.
21:04
Once you go in your app and place a bet, it goes right to
21:06
juice Reel and Juice Reel keeps a running list of basically a
21:10
report card of your action to keep you honest.
21:12
You can figure out what sports you're good at, what sports
21:14
you're struggling at and then also it'll give you the exact
21:17
dollar breakdowns bets in dollars on every single game
21:20
spread money line in total from everyone who has synced up their
21:23
sports books to the app. So it's pretty cool, but
21:25
download rhythm, download juice real, give them a five star
21:28
review in the App Store. Lastly or next to 2nd to last
21:32
third to lastly. Do you have a live odds page?
21:35
Again, this is so important in sports betting.
21:38
You got to have a live odds page.
21:39
Some people call it the screen, the board, but it's so critical
21:42
because number one, it tells you all the games that are being
21:45
played that day. If you're going to bet on
21:47
sports, the first thing you got to know is what sports are in
21:49
action. What are the games today?
21:50
What are the start times? But more importantly, with the
21:53
live odds page, it's going to give you the opening number, a
21:56
column that stays static and never moves.
21:58
And then right next to it are all the current numbers across
22:00
the market. So you can literally within a
22:01
second figure out which direction the line is moving.
22:04
To me, that's kind of half the battle.
22:06
You can pull up the line history, see all the moves and
22:08
the nuances in between. And then most importantly, you
22:10
can shop for the best price, get the best number at the book
22:13
offering the best price. And I mentioned this, I tweeted
22:17
it yesterday for my Twitter account at Josh under score
22:20
Insights. But I said basically one thing I
22:22
like about odds Logic, which is the best live odds page out
22:25
there, is that they have Pinnacle and Circa.
22:28
So a lot of live odds pages, they'll be delayed.
22:31
You know, basically they'll have books that are not relevant to
22:34
you, offshore books. But with Odds Logic, they have
22:37
all the major books. And then they have Pinnacle and
22:39
Circa, which are the market setting, Wiseguy, Sharp Global
22:42
books which open 1st and move first.
22:45
So if you see them start to move, it lights up on your page.
22:48
Any time anything moves, it gets lit up in red and then orange
22:51
and then yellow or it's green or yellow.
22:55
But once they move, you'll have a little bit of a window to find
22:58
a book that's slow and hasn't adjusted yet and hit that number
23:01
and get a good number. So it's almost like it gives you
23:03
like a, you know, a 2 minute warning like, hey, something's
23:07
happening, it's moving. If you like it, you better hit
23:09
it now. So I always like that feature.
23:11
But anyway, if you need a live odds page or you want to test
23:14
one out, as I mentioned, Odds Logic is the one you want to go
23:16
with. And if you click this link or
23:19
type it in, you will get a 7 day free trial and 50% off your
23:23
first month. All you got to do is go to
23:24
oddslogic.com/josh 123. That's Odds logic.com/josh 123.
23:33
So that about does it for episode 268 of the ASG Pod.
23:37
Powered of course, and always by rhythm.
23:40
But I'm going to leave with a couple things.
23:41
One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
23:45
River in Rhode Island, the Brook in New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
23:48
Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain
23:51
Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield or the Nash in
23:54
Nashville, New Hampshire in my neck of the woods.
23:56
Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
23:59
down. Or Billy Walters sends his
24:00
number runners where the lowest use possible is found at the
24:03
South Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
24:05
plays, jumping in the stadium swim pool.
24:07
When you catch a big ticket at Circa, you're going to walk up
24:10
to me and you're going to show me.
24:11
Not a Clippers ticket because they stink and they're dead to
24:14
me, but a Mariners ticket, an Astros ticket, a Stefan Castle
24:18
Juicy plus 175 Rookie of the Year ticket.
24:22
And guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
24:23
you. We'll post about the book and
24:25
sweat some sharp, data-driven plays all night long.
24:28
So as always, guys, two and one, one and two, two and OO and two,
24:34
you know, 3 and OO and three, I think we had all the
24:37
combinations again previous day, good or bad, terrible or
24:40
amazing, grinding, doesn't matter.
24:42
Stick to the market, stick to the blueprint, stick to the
24:45
process. And by now you might have, might
24:48
have picked up on what the process is.
24:50
Betting games with our head and not our heart.
24:52
That's the most important thing. Not betting games based on
24:54
favoritism or bias. We all have those things.
24:57
We're human. We try to keep them at the door
25:00
and that based on what the market is telling us and
25:02
everyone's like, hey, who do you like?
25:03
What do you like to bet on? You don't like to bet on sharp
25:06
plays. I don't know who they are, but
25:07
I'm a wake up, do my research and we're going to figure out
25:09
and sweat them and hope that we can get some winners.
25:12
So as always, guys, stay true to the model against the public,
25:16
with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get
25:20
that closing line value. If we can do that long term, and
25:23
I'm pretty confident that we can then guess what we're going to
25:25
be successful sports bettors. So have a great Wednesday night,
25:28
everybody. I'll see you tomorrow for a big
25:32
Thursday edition. That'll be episode 269 of the
25:35
All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
25:39
Good luck everybody and I'll see you tomorrow.