Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Vicky Pryce: business correspondent on Europe's reaction to Trump easing Russian diesel import restrictions
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Vicky Price is joining us now. Vicky, hello.
- 0:03Speaker 2: Hi, good morning.
- 0:04Speaker 1: The EU budget bust up. What's up?
- 0:09Speaker 2: Yes, it's a real worry, actually, because, of course, there
- 0:11Speaker 2: is a little bit of time to negotiate the new
- 0:15Speaker 2: seven-year budget that's coming up. And it's quite important. I mean,
- 0:19Speaker 2: we're talking about something like 1.8 trillion. So it's not
- 0:23Speaker 2: huge by comparison to the GDP of the EU, but
- 0:25Speaker 2: it's quite important because it's the one area where there
- 0:28Speaker 2: is you know, money which is being spent across the
- 0:31Speaker 2: EU and in ways in which people have all agreed
- 0:35Speaker 2: this should be spent rather than individual governments sort of
- 0:37Speaker 2: making the decisions and being under some sort of supervision
- 0:40Speaker 2: by the authorities and the European Central Bank. So there
- 0:45Speaker 2: is a lot of that that goes on. But in addition,
- 0:47Speaker 2: this budget is one which is supposed to be helping
- 0:50Speaker 2: various regions, helping some working together on research and development,
- 0:56Speaker 2: on defence and things like that. But they don't all
- 0:59Speaker 2: agree on how big that should be because of course
- 1:01Speaker 2: each country contributes to it So though it's supposed to
- 1:04Speaker 2: be run from the center and then allocated across Everyone
- 1:09Speaker 2: contributes to it and there is a redistribution from the
- 1:12Speaker 2: rich countries to the poorer ones And there is always
- 1:14Speaker 2: a fight as to how much of that they want
- 1:17Speaker 2: to see happen And of course the the countries that
- 1:20Speaker 2: tend to receive more than pay want more of that
- 1:24Speaker 2: particularly in areas like agriculture and And others who are
- 1:28Speaker 2: the sort of frugal countries, if we want to call
- 1:29Speaker 2: them that, like the Netherlands, for example, don't really want
- 1:33Speaker 2: to do that and let others sort of use their
- 1:37Speaker 2: own taxpayers' money for areas that they don't perhaps consider
- 1:41Speaker 2: to be so significant. So, compromises are coming, or at
- 1:46Speaker 2: least suggestions. The Irish have put a compromise through with
- 1:50Speaker 2: a small reduction, but actually keeping it more or less intact.
- 1:53Speaker 2: That's been rejected by lots of other countries. And the
- 1:57Speaker 2: final thing about this is that it's not really meant
- 2:00Speaker 2: to be finalized until next year, but because there are
- 2:02Speaker 2: going to be quite a lot of elections in Europe
- 2:05Speaker 2: and possibly some more right-wing governments may be coming in.
- 2:09Speaker 2: And this is, of course, the presidential election in France
- 2:12Speaker 2: is one that comes to mind. Everyone is trying to
- 2:15Speaker 2: get it all organized and agreed by the end of
- 2:17Speaker 2: the year. But the way things are going, and before
- 2:20Speaker 2: the elections, in other words, which might torpedo it, the
- 2:23Speaker 2: way things are going, we may not get an agreement.
- 2:25Speaker 1: No, well, everyone's in a cost of living crisis. Nobody's
- 2:27Speaker 1: got any money. There's no such thing as free money.
- 2:30Speaker 1: And if they're making big contributions, they'd like to cut it.
- 2:32Speaker 1: And I found it interesting that you said that's a
- 2:34Speaker 1: small reduction by Ireland. It's still 400 billion, which is
- 2:37Speaker 1: quite a lot, and a 2 trillion budget. But there
- 2:39Speaker 1: we go. Now, let's get to oil here because everyone's
- 2:43Speaker 1: concerned about oil and there's concern in the EU because
- 2:45Speaker 1: Donald Trump eased some sanctions on Russian diesel exports. So
- 2:50Speaker 1: there's 11 happening there. How's Europe feeling?
- 2:54Speaker 2: Well, I mean, Europe in theory should be relieved that
- 2:57Speaker 2: perhaps some of the pressure on diesel in particular may
- 3:02Speaker 2: go because, of course, prices are rocket high right now
- 3:05Speaker 2: and everyone is screaming and there are concerns that we
- 3:08Speaker 2: might adapt having rationing happening, particularly for sectors that rely
- 3:13Speaker 2: on diesel. But I think what they're worrying about is
- 3:16Speaker 2: two things. First of all, it's what the optics of
- 3:19Speaker 2: it are indicating, which is Ukraine, which Europe supports, would
- 3:25Speaker 2: be the loser in this in many ways politically. And
- 3:28Speaker 2: the second thing is that actually the amounts that we're
- 3:31Speaker 2: talking about that Russia can actually export in terms of
- 3:35Speaker 2: sort of diesel products... are very small, so they're not
- 3:40Speaker 2: going to make any difference. So basically, when it's going
- 3:44Speaker 2: through all this political upheaval and concern about what it means,
- 3:48Speaker 2: and even here in the UK, Andy Burnham has said
- 3:51Speaker 2: how we are on the side of Ukraine, it could
- 3:53Speaker 2: split the EU from the US thinking and not actually
- 3:58Speaker 2: even achieve anything at all, except Russia looking politically more acceptable,
- 4:03Speaker 2: if you like. And I think that's what they're worried about.
- 4:05Speaker 2: It's more political than economic. But of course, they would
- 4:08Speaker 2: love to see some reduction in fuel costs.
- 4:12Speaker 1: Wouldn't we all? And I thank you so much. This
- 4:14Speaker 1: is Vicky Price out of Europe News.