Latest / Toadstool Sports / Wednesday BEST BETS | College Basketball Crown & MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/1/26

Transcript

Wednesday BEST BETS | College Basketball Crown & MLB & NHL & NBA | 4/1/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:02
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:07
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:11
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this.
• 0:22
  Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: good day at all.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: Own four, I have not had a good season.
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: slump continues, I've.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Reached a new peak.
• 0:39
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat man, I
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Arch hate? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. I don't even
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. Man, back with you after
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: the worst day that I could possibly have. I'm back
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die at
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: least oh and two.
• 1:05
  Speaker 2: Yesterday and yesterday did not go well for me. Own
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: five the worst month that I've ever had in my
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to even
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: tell you about this anymore. To the slumperies, the slump discontinues,
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: the slump continues.
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:26
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody,
• 1:35
  Speaker 2: It's towed back with you, Toadstool Sports Wednesday, April first,
• 1:41
  Speaker 2: Happy April Fool's Day, everybody. I don't have any pranks
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: to play on anybody here on the show.
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: One on one.
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: On the show yesterday we got the Major League Baseball
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: play right with Pittsburgh Bubba Chandler. I don't know what
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: to say about that performance, dude. He he had a
• 1:59
  Speaker 2: no hit performance. I think he only lasted into the
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: fifth inning, six strikeouts, no runs allowed, and he walked
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: six guys.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: I'm like, what is this a J. Burnett out there?
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: If you guys remember Burnett when he was on Miami
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: or Florida, I guess back then he had a no
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: hit or where he walked nine guys or something like that. Yeah,
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: we're not in the day of the full game no
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: hitters anymore. Sucks because that's what you want, unless maybe
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: some of the better pitchers might be able to pull
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: it off, but managers got to leave them in the
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: longer man so we did have that, and then the
• 2:36
  Speaker 2: hockey game was horrible. The Red Wings got absolutely destroyed. Statistically,
• 2:41
  Speaker 2: the game was closer than the final score looked, but
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: on the scoreboard they were pretty much never in that game.
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: That sucked big time. So it was a slight losing day.
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: We gotta somehow get back on track. Here, man, we're
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: gonna talk about what we have going on today. I'm
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: gonna have two Major League Baseball plays. The baseball board
• 3:00
  Speaker 2: is weird because usually getaway day is usually like Thursday,
• 3:06
  Speaker 2: and I guess Sunday kind of, so you have afternoon
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: games because baseic what it means is the teams are
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: gonna be traveling throughout the next day. I guess Wednesday
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: is getaway day because Thursday usually is a smaller slate
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: and tomorrow it really is, so I guess it does
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: make sense.
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: So teams play in the afternoon so.
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: They can then travel to their next destination in baseball,
• 3:27
  Speaker 2: So I'm gonna talk about baseball first because it's afternoon
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: action later afternoon for my actual play baseball, and I
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: started looking at the board, and I'm like, I'm not
• 3:38
  Speaker 2: gonna have any plays today. I don't feel strongly about
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: any of this. Then I got to the bottom of
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: the board, and then I had to actually narrow it
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: down because I actually liked like five or six of
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: the last.
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: Like eight games on the board.
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: I'm like, this is pretty insane, So hopefully I narrowed
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: it down to the correct two, but dude, I better
• 3:56
  Speaker 2: of and then we're gonna talk about NBA.
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: I don't like the NBA board at all.
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: I was right about the Magic last night and not
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: correct about Toronto.
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: So the Magic were the one.
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: That I was gonna add though if I was gonna
• 4:09
  Speaker 2: add an NBA play, and that would have given us
• 4:11
  Speaker 2: a winning day if I did it. So I'm not
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: happy about that, I guess, but I don't know. I
• 4:15
  Speaker 2: didn't feel it strongly enough, and they barely covered. Then
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: we had what else do we have today? We have
• 4:22
  Speaker 2: a very small NHL board today that I don't like
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: at all, And then we're gonna talk about the college
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: basketball Crown beginning today, which I don't really have a
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: strong enough opinion on those games either, but I'm gonna
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: talk about them anyway, Kyle, what's up? Thanks for hanging out.
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: All right, I gotta share my screen here. I'm not prepared,
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: all right, Yeah, I think we're good. Let's go baseball.
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: We're getting into it, man. Baseball starting at twelve fifteen
• 4:51
  Speaker 2: in the afternoon for us here on the East Coast
• 4:54
  Speaker 2: with the A's at Atlanta. I believe Atlanta is I say,
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: I thought Atlanta was on the version of sweep, but
• 5:02
  Speaker 2: I'm not right.
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: These teams actually split the first two.
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: Games one one in one. The A's actually won yesterday.
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: I do think Atlanta does have the better bullpen. Atlanta
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: fairly rested bullpen. A's used more of the bullpen yesterday,
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: so we're gonna give it Lanta the bullpen edge here.
• 5:18
  Speaker 2: I think the A's have the better offense. I feel
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: like I'm repeating myself a lot, but you know, just
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: to clarify where I'm going in my head with these
• 5:26
  Speaker 2: games here, Luis Severrino is pitching for the As. So
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: now we're finally getting into a spot where almost every
• 5:32
  Speaker 2: pitcher on the board does have a start under their
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: belt now, so we can kind of start looking at
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: what is this pitcher done so far? But you don't
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: want to overreact to one outing. Man, You definitely don't
• 5:42
  Speaker 2: want to do that, so several. You know, what we
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: do know is he was actually really good on the
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: road last year.
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: Like you put him in that horrible Triple A stadium.
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: I think I said Spring training stadium yesterday, Triple A
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: Stadium that the A's playing in Sacramento.
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: He does horrible there. It's a very hitter friendly park too.
• 5:59
  Speaker 2: But he was good last year on the road, and
• 6:02
  Speaker 2: he was decent in his first outing against Toronto. He
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: did walk three guys, which isn't that great, but a
• 6:07
  Speaker 2: lot of these guys actually walked a lot of guys
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: in their first outing, so I'm not gonna put too
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: much weight into any of that. Really, guys, you know,
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: could come out a little bit shaky in their first start.
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: Whatever.
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: But he did hold the pretty good Toronto lineup to
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: two runs in five innings, so he did pretty well.
• 6:22
  Speaker 2: He is pretty good on the road against the Braves.
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: He does not have very good numbers though, in eighty
• 6:30
  Speaker 2: two at bats twenty one to six strikeout walk ratio
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: two ninety three batting average allowed eight twenty nine ops,
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: so those are not good numbers.
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to settle down a little bit, man.
• 6:40
  Speaker 2: Because I feel like I really tire myself out going
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: through all these games. Uh So, I don't really want
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: Severino in this game. Chris Sale pitching for the Braves.
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: He obviously is the better of the two pitchers here.
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: He's getting up there in age. He had a six
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: inning shutout performance in his first outing against the Royals.
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: Although the A's have a better offense than the Royals.
• 7:01
  Speaker 2: Sale also was walking too many guys in that game three.
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: But we I mean, we know who Sale is. We
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: know who both these guys are. They're both veterans, have
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: been around for a while. Chris Sale against the A's actually,
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: believe it or not, he doesn't have good numbers against them,
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: but it's a small twenty eight at bat sample size.
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: Ten strikeouts is good, two walks, three point fifty seven
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: batting average allowed the on nine to thirty six ops,
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: so they have a lot of hits off him. Interesting
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: looking at this game, it looks like the money is
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: sort of coming in towards the under I kind of disagree, man,
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: Atlanta's up to minus two ten here on the money line.
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: I don't really disagree that.
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: Atlanta should win this game ninety percent of tickets ninety
• 7:45
  Speaker 2: nine percent of the cash on them Based on these
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: pitching matchup numbers, though, over might actually kind of make
• 7:53
  Speaker 2: sense in this game because these pitchers are not really
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: as good as you would think, especially Sale against these
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: specific lineups. You don't put too much weight into those
• 8:02
  Speaker 2: lineup numbers either. You got to put more weight into
• 8:04
  Speaker 2: them when it's a bigger sample size. We have sixty
• 8:08
  Speaker 2: seven percent of tickets, seventy three percent of the cash
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: on the under total sitting at eight. Maybe you do
• 8:14
  Speaker 2: find some value taking an over in a Cris Sale game, man,
• 8:17
  Speaker 2: because everybody knows. Everybody knows how good he is, and
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: this is not exactly the most advantageous matchup for him.
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: But I don't have a strong opinion on that game
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: at all. Moving on in the afternoon, Texas and Baltimore.
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: Baltimore trying to avoid a sweep at home here. A
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: lot of times when the team is in that type
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: of situation, they will show up with a big effort here.
• 8:40
  Speaker 2: I believe these teams are not playing tomorrow, but I
• 8:42
  Speaker 2: could be wrong about that. Yeah, so this is the
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: last game of the series. Texas has won the first two.
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: Texas did actually have Jacob de Gram pitching yesterday. Texas
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: has the better pitching in general, better bullpen, Baltimore has
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: the better offense. Baltimore used a lot of their bullpen
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: yes there well four relievers.
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: I guess Texas also did.
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna give Texas a bullpen edge again here though,
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: but motivationally, I think Baltimore, because they're at home trying
• 9:11
  Speaker 2: to avoid getting swept, I think you will see a
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: big effort out of them in this game. Nathan y
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: Evaldi's pitcher for Texas. He did not do well in
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: his first outing, at least looking at his era. After that,
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: people are not gonna really want him after that. But
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: I think you got to give him a little bit
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: of a pass for it. He gave up five runs
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: in less than five innings, but it was at Philadelphia,
• 9:32
  Speaker 2: and you know Philadelphia, they're a really good offense. And
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: he had seven strikeouts and no walks, so it's not
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: exactly like he was really that bad.
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: In that game.
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: He gave up two of them runs, which pretty much
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: kind of was the tail of that was like basically
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: what happened, and that was the tale of his game. There,
• 9:50
  Speaker 2: like the home runs pretty much ruined his outing. So
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: I'm not.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: Gonna say that Evaldi sucks or.
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: Anything like that at this point. I don't think he does.
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: He had a good season last year. Baltimore is not
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: as good offensively as Philadelphia is, even though.
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: They are pretty good.
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: Trevor Rodgers pitching for Baltimore. He's having a nice resurgence. Man.
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: He was good for Baltimore last year, shockingly good. He
• 10:13
  Speaker 2: had a good outing in his first outing, seven innings
• 10:16
  Speaker 2: of shutout ball against the Minnesota Twins. The Twins not
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: a good offense, so the Texas isn't really that much better.
• 10:23
  Speaker 2: He did have four walks, which was the main concern.
• 10:25
  Speaker 2: They're all these guys walking, too many guys in their
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: first outing. This reads is an under game to me,
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: you know, I know the bullpens look.
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: Like they're a little bit used, So maybe a first.
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: Five inning under which I don't think I've done that
• 10:40
  Speaker 2: so far this season, or no, I did once with
• 10:43
  Speaker 2: that Soriano opening game, Jose Soriano.
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: Who pitched well again yesterday.
• 10:48
  Speaker 2: By the way, this total has dropped to eight and
• 10:50
  Speaker 2: a half, which is kind of in no man's land.
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: It would have been better if you could get the under.
• 10:55
  Speaker 2: Nine on the full game, but I don't love the
• 10:58
  Speaker 2: bullpens here either. Seven tickets, ninety seven percent of the
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: cash on the under, I'd be looking probably first five
• 11:04
  Speaker 2: inning under in this one and looking for both starting
• 11:07
  Speaker 2: pitching to actually do both starting pitchers to actually do
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: okay here. Although we got to look at the matchup numbers,
• 11:12
  Speaker 2: I'm neglecting that actually evolving not good against Baltimore sixty
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: nine at bats, fifteen to two strike at walk ratio
• 11:19
  Speaker 2: is very good, but he's been hit a little bit
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: hard by them.
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: Three point thirty three.
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: Batting average in eight oh one ops, so that's not
• 11:26
  Speaker 2: actually that good. Trevor Rodgers against Texas, his numbers are mediocre.
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: In seventy six at bats, seventeen to eight strike at
• 11:34
  Speaker 2: walk ratio not that good. McCutcheon really does a lot
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: of damage against some of three home runs off him,
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: and he is older now. Overall, two point fifty average
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: allowed seven to ninety five ops is pretty high though,
• 11:47
  Speaker 2: so you know, I'm kind of leaning under here in
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: the first five innings, but based on these matchup numbers,
• 11:52
  Speaker 2: I definitely want to stay away if you really want
• 11:56
  Speaker 2: to do it, you could probably get about a four
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: on that first five inning there. As far as the
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: money line is concerned, Baltimore dropped from minus one fifty
• 12:04
  Speaker 2: five to minus one twelve. My guess is that Texas
• 12:08
  Speaker 2: probably had somebody else scheduled to pitch, and then you
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: have Voldu was switched in, and that's why the line
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: would move that much toward Texas. That's the only thing
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: I could really think of there, because I don't think
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: just market action alone did that fifty percent of tickets
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: fifty seven percent of the cash excuse me on Texas
• 12:25
  Speaker 2: fifty five percent of the ticket So it looks like
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: the money is slightly indicating on the Texas side there.
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: I don't agree with that.
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: Actually, I lean to Baltimore in that game to try
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: to avoid the sweep it. Actually, perhaps Baltimore is actually
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: the better way to look at that than the first
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: five under Now that I refreshed my memory about the
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: matchup numbers, mean you could see what I was doing
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: in my head earlier this morning. I'm like, I'm not
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: gonna have any of these games on my card, you
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: know what I mean. Pittsburgh at Cincinnati, Pittsburgh got us
• 12:57
  Speaker 2: to the win yesterday with my one baseball play, So
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: I'm happy about that, especially because my other two leans
• 13:03
  Speaker 2: didn't get there. So I picked the right game there.
• 13:07
  Speaker 2: Even though Chandler wasn't good enough. Pittsburgh did tag Williamson
• 13:12
  Speaker 2: a bit in the game. Pittsburgh did have a six
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: to one lead going into the eighth inning in that game,
• 13:17
  Speaker 2: and one eight to three.
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: I believe I got closer. I got to six to.
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: Three at one point, but Pittsburgh put on some runs
• 13:25
  Speaker 2: at the end. Anyway, this game, yeah, these teams have
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: split the first two games of the series. It's a
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: big divisional series Pittsburgh. As far as the bullpen's, I
• 13:36
  Speaker 2: don't like either bullpen. Really, it's tough to even say
• 13:39
  Speaker 2: which bullpen is better at this point. Pittsburgh used four leavers,
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati only used three. I guess I'll give Cincinnati a
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: slight bullpen edge in this one. I'll give Pittsburgh a
• 13:50
  Speaker 2: starting pitching edge because Paul Skeens is pitching here.
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: Even though he's coming in with a sixty seven point
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: five ERA.
• 13:58
  Speaker 2: Dude, the public my not want Skeens after this, and dude,
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: you don't want to overreact to one outing Skeens in
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: his first outing, had his worst outing of his career.
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: Do you really think he's just all of a sudden
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: not good. No, no way, He's obviously one of the
• 14:14
  Speaker 2: best pitchers in baseball. I'm gonna overlook one bad start,
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: especially the first start of the season. Weird things can happen.
• 14:22
  Speaker 2: They could have left him in in that game. Really, Like,
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: if I was that manager, I probably would have left
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: him in, you know, just let him settle down. But
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: he got taken out in the first inning.
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: But you know he's.
• 14:33
  Speaker 2: Gonna give you a much better outing here. I mean,
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: that was totally uncharacteristic. I think people are gonna overreact
• 14:39
  Speaker 2: to it. His numbers against the Reds are very good
• 14:41
  Speaker 2: and seventy six at bats, he has a ridiculously dominant
• 14:45
  Speaker 2: thirty one to two strikeout walk razio against them, a
• 14:48
  Speaker 2: one ninety seven batting average allowed for sixty eight ops.
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: Even though this is a hitter friendly park.
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: I'm guessing I'm gonna just go out on a limb
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: and say that Skeens is gonna do better in this
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: game than he did in his first outing. I'm calling
• 15:01
  Speaker 2: me crazy. Andrew Abbott pitching for Cincinnati, though he's actually
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: pretty good as well.
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: He pitched well against the Red Sox.
• 15:09
  Speaker 2: In his first outing, he lost a pitching duel to
• 15:12
  Speaker 2: Garrett croz J, but it was the bullpen that.
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: Lost the game.
• 15:16
  Speaker 2: Abbot went six shutout innings. I think one run scored,
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: while I think one run scored after right after he
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: got taken out, but it got charged.
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: To the bullpen something like that. I don't know.
• 15:30
  Speaker 2: Anyway, he did well though against the Red Sox. Against Pittsburgh,
• 15:35
  Speaker 2: he does not have particularly good numbers though. In twenty
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: seven at bats five to two strike out walk ratio
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: two ninety six average allowed eight sixty three ops.
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: So I do like Abbott.
• 15:45
  Speaker 2: I think he is a decent pitcher, but I think
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: you have to give the edge to Paul's schemes here.
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna lean towards the Pirates in this one, man,
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: I think people are overreacting to schemes.
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: You still do have to lay quite a bit of
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: a price here.
• 15:59
  Speaker 2: Though, minus fifty one ninety one percent of tickets, ninety
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: nine percent of the cash on Pittsburgh, you know, I
• 16:07
  Speaker 2: mean they are still kind of a public side here.
• 16:09
  Speaker 2: It looks like you're still laying a bit of a
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: price here, you know. Yeah, I mean Abbott is one
• 16:18
  Speaker 2: of the pictures that Cincinnati has that could theoretically dual
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: schemes though, and you know, keep the game close. So
• 16:25
  Speaker 2: that is what I worry about there. The money is
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: coming in on the over. For what that's worth, I
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: don't think.
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: I like that.
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: Uh, the totals, it's seven and a half, which is
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: a low total, and it's low for a reason. That's
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: like the lowest total you'll probably ever see in a
• 16:38
  Speaker 2: Cincinnati game at home. Fifty eight percent of tickets on
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: the under, ninety percent of the cash on the over.
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: So I think maybe the money coming in on.
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: The over just because of the nature of the ballpark
• 16:49
  Speaker 2: and because Abbot actually doesn't do that well against Pittsburgh.
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: With the Bullpens being factored in. You know, I could
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: see that game going over by the end of it.
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: But I probably would slight lean towards the under in
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: that game just based on that starting pitching matchup. But
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: that's a game I don't want to touch at all. Yeah,
• 17:08
  Speaker 2: that's right own Al. People call him O'Neil. I'm like,
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure it's own Al, Like, what do you think,
• 17:15
  Speaker 2: what do you think he is? Like an Irish Puerto Rican?
• 17:17
  Speaker 2: Or is he Puerto Rican? I have no idea he's
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: an Irish Hispanic dude. No, I think I'm pretty sure
• 17:22
  Speaker 2: his name is own al as one word.
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: Yeah Cruz, Yeah he was awful in the field. I
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: don't know what that was.
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: And yeah, Cruise probably should have been charged with like
• 17:35
  Speaker 2: two errors, so instead Skemes had to take the brunt
• 17:39
  Speaker 2: of that. I don't know what that was. But I
• 17:43
  Speaker 2: don't think that's gonna happen again either. But yeah, my
• 17:48
  Speaker 2: strongest opinion in that game is probably towards the Pittsburgh side,
• 17:51
  Speaker 2: but I don't really love it. And you know, if
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: you think Cincinnati has a slight bullpen edge, Pittsburgh first
• 17:58
  Speaker 2: five innings on a online is potentially on the table
• 18:01
  Speaker 2: as well, if you want to go with Pittsburgh to
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: just have the lead and through the first five and
• 18:06
  Speaker 2: just go.
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: With Skemes there.
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: Washington at Philadelphia Philadelphia did did win barely yesterday. I
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: expected a lot better from Philadelphia yesterday.
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: Do it offensively.
• 18:17
  Speaker 2: Painter was good, which I told you I thought he
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: would be. So that's interesting to see Painter might actually
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: be a really good pitcher man, just he's been derailed
• 18:27
  Speaker 2: by injuries before his career could even really start. Washington, dude,
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: it's just strange to see that that Washington, whatever the
• 18:35
  Speaker 2: fuck they were doing with their pitching yesterday, somehow held
• 18:38
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia to three runs.
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: Makes no sense.
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia is clearly the better team here, the way better offense,
• 18:45
  Speaker 2: and I think they have the better bullpen too. I
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: think used three relief pitchers, Washington actually only used two.
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: So I thought Washington was gonna be using a bullpen
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: for the whole game yesterday.
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: And they actually did not do that.
• 18:56
  Speaker 2: So Pooling, I guess, actually pitched a lot for Washington yesterday.
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: I'm surprised by that, but I'm still gonna get Philadelphia
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: a bolt Ben Edger because I still think Washington's is
• 19:06
  Speaker 2: complete ass kid. Cavali is pitching for Washington. He looked
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: like he had an okay outing in his first game,
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: but he wasn't that good. Somehow his team won against
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: the Cubs, but he didn't even last long enough to
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: get the win.
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: In that game.
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: He walked three guys in three and two thirds and
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: also allowed three hits, touring runs five strikeouts. Was fine,
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: but that's not exactly an elite performance. I don't trust Cavale.
• 19:35
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia has seen him before, although they haven't exactly been
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: that great against them. Thirty nine at bats, nine to two,
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: strikeout walk ratio two fifty six average allowed six to
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: seventy seven ops. Cavale, he's been okay against Philadelphia, But
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: you have to give the starting pitching edge to Christopher Sanchez.
• 19:53
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's obviously the better pitcher. He was really
• 19:55
  Speaker 2: good in his first outing. He's one of the few
• 19:57
  Speaker 2: guys who didn't walk anybody in his first out, shut
• 20:00
  Speaker 2: out Texas for six innings, ten strikeouts. Really good outing
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: for Sanchez, picking up where he left off last year,
• 20:08
  Speaker 2: where he was the guy that was like the first guy.
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: Left off of the All Star team.
• 20:14
  Speaker 2: I think in Philadelphia was complaining about it, if I
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: remember correctly. His numbers against Washington are good as well.
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: In fifty eight at bats nine to three, strikeout walk
• 20:22
  Speaker 2: ratio two twenty four average, allowed five to sixteen ops.
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: You gotta give Philadelphia the advantage here, but they are
• 20:29
  Speaker 2: a huge favorite. The money is coming in on them.
• 20:32
  Speaker 2: It looks like too. They're up to minus two sixty five.
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: I mean, I don't really see much of a way
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: of playing this game other than Philly on the run line. Dude,
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: I mean, it's not one. It's not something that I
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: want to do very often. I know we did get
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: a win doing it with the Cubs in their bounce
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: back game after they lost to Washington. I don't really
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: want to do it here. But that's really the only
• 20:54
  Speaker 2: way that I could see this game going is is
• 20:57
  Speaker 2: to run line it with Philadelphia. They should win the
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: game by more than one run this time. Man, that
• 21:03
  Speaker 2: that would be my read on that it was all
• 21:08
  Speaker 2: earned runs for Skins. Yeah, basically just because o Al
• 21:13
  Speaker 2: did not touch and he did not touch the ball.
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: He dude, he's he's not gay.
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: He doesn't touch balls out there in the outfield. That's why.
• 21:23
  Speaker 2: So you know, uh, if he had, if he had
• 21:26
  Speaker 2: touched the ball in any way, then he would have
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: gotten charge with an error. All right, Colorado at Toronto,
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: we're getting through all these afternoon games that I just
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: don't really love at all. Toronto did bounce back yesterday
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: with a win against Colorado. Obviously, Toronto's the better team here.
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna give I'm gonna give Toronto a bullpen edge
• 21:47
  Speaker 2: as well.
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: They got three.
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: They used three relief pitchers yesterday, but there's still better
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: than Colorado.
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: Colorado actually used more, they used four.
• 21:56
  Speaker 2: So yeah, we're giving Toronto the edge and the bullpen,
• 21:58
  Speaker 2: we're giving them the offense edge.
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: Of course, it's not even close.
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: Toronto actually is a massive, massive favorite in this game.
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: I think they're the biggest favorite that we've seen so
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: far this season. Uh yeah, probably.
• 22:12
  Speaker 2: I don't know, because the Dodgers have not faced like
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: an incompetent team like Colorado yet, although I actually think
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: Colorado might be a little bit better this year than
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: people are gonna expect. Kyle Frieland is pitching for the Rockies.
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's he's fine as far as the Rockies
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: pitchers go. He didn't last five innings in his first start.
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: He was okay at Miami, but Toronto is a different
• 22:36
  Speaker 2: animal than Miami, so it's not like I'm expecting Freeland
• 22:39
  Speaker 2: to actually be that good here. His numbers against Toronto
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: are not good. In forty three at bats twelve three
• 22:44
  Speaker 2: strike at walk ratio is good, but three twenty six
• 22:47
  Speaker 2: batting average, eight thirty five ops. Those are high numbers.
• 22:52
  Speaker 2: Not liking what we see with Freeland. There Kevin Gossman
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: pitching for the Blue Jays, he is the better pitcher.
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: He had a really good outing in his first outing,
• 23:00
  Speaker 2: one hitting the A's, which the A's are talented lineup dude,
• 23:04
  Speaker 2: and Gossman burned through them for six innings.
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: He only gave up.
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: One hit, which was actually a home run, but he
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: also had eleven strikeouts and no walks. I mean, he
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: was dominant in that outing, and Colorado is worse than
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: the A's significantly, but he actually doesn't have good numbers
• 23:21
  Speaker 2: against the Rockies, believe it or not. In thirty nine
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: at bats a pretty bad fourteen to nine strikeout walk ratio,
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: though six of those walks are Julian.
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: I don't know what's up with that.
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: I don't even know who that is, to be honest,
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: I don't know Colorado's offensive players at all. But Gossman
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: is allowed a three thirty three average to them in
• 23:41
  Speaker 2: nine to twenty oh ps to them. So I got
• 23:45
  Speaker 2: my hesitations with it, man, I really do. Maybe Gossman
• 23:49
  Speaker 2: doesn't do as well as he did in his first outing,
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: I mean, he couldn't possibly really do better. Like his
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: first outing was close to being perfect for the time.
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: You know, the amount of time that he was in there.
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: So Toronto's minus two eighty seven here, I thought they
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: were actually minus three hundred.
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: They should win the game.
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: But you know, I don't really see much value in
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: playing Toronto on the side here. I could definitely see
• 24:15
  Speaker 2: an argument for the over based on the fact that
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: neither pitcher actually has good matchup numbers. Here, Gossman might
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: be a little bit overrated after what he did in
• 24:24
  Speaker 2: his first outing. Uh seventy five percent of tickets on
• 24:27
  Speaker 2: the over, though sixty four percent of the cash on
• 24:29
  Speaker 2: the under looks like money's coming in towards the under.
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: The total sitting at seven and a half.
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: That seems crazy low for a game involved in Colorado's pitching.
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: In any way, I don't really think the I mean,
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: we're not looking at elite bullpends here.
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: Either, Like Colorado's is bad, So, like, what are we
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: doing here? I don't know. I would lean to an
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: over in that game.
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: Probably would actually be my stronger opinion there, but I
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: don't want to touch it at all. White Sox at
• 24:57
  Speaker 2: Miami Miami was able to bounce back with an easy
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: nine to two win yesterday. I told you Miami would
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: win yesterday. I mean, I wasn't going out on a
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: limb with that one. White Sox not good.
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: Although they might.
• 25:09
  Speaker 2: Be a little bit improved this year. Looks like their
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: offense might be a little bit better. They used only
• 25:15
  Speaker 2: two relief pitchers yesterday, so that's not that bad.
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: Miami actually used four, So Miami.
• 25:21
  Speaker 2: Normally, I would say they do have a bullpen edge here,
• 25:23
  Speaker 2: but given the rest situation, that kind of counters it
• 25:26
  Speaker 2: a little bit there. Miami does have the better offense.
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: I'll still give them that for now.
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: At least. Shane Smith is pitching for the White Sox.
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: He did not do well in his first outing, but
• 25:37
  Speaker 2: it was against a really good offense, the Brewers on
• 25:40
  Speaker 2: the road.
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: He only lasted into the second inning. He allowed three runs.
• 25:44
  Speaker 2: Not a good outing for him. He's better than that.
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: I mean, his numbers last year were actually pretty solid,
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: so I don't think he's that bad. He looks like
• 25:52
  Speaker 2: Robbie the Fire Bernstein, by the way, doesn't He Smith
• 25:57
  Speaker 2: against Miami very small sample, nine at bats, two strikeouts,
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: no walks, although he has allowed a four to forty
• 26:04
  Speaker 2: four average and one thousand ops to them, so those
• 26:07
  Speaker 2: numbers are not good, but only four of their hitters
• 26:10
  Speaker 2: have ever faced him before Man, so it's such a
• 26:12
  Speaker 2: small sample size. I'm not gonna say that he's actually
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: bad against Miami, like I think he actually does have
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: the potential to pitch well. In this game, he's going
• 26:22
  Speaker 2: up against Sandy Alcantra, who we know more about him.
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: He started off the season pretty well Man seven innings
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: a shutout ball against the Rockies. The Rockies are bad,
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: but it's not like the White Sox are that much
• 26:34
  Speaker 2: better on offense. But al Contra, the thing about him
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: is he looked like he was never gonna be what
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: he once was after his Tommy John.
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: Surgery or surgeries.
• 26:46
  Speaker 2: But towards the end of last year he started pitching better.
• 26:48
  Speaker 2: And he had a good outing in his first outing here,
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: so that is a good sign up against the White Sox.
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: His numbers are not great though in twenty four at bats.
• 26:57
  Speaker 2: It's still a pretty small sample size. Five to two
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: strike up walk ratio, three thirty three average and nine
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: to twenty six ops is not that good. I mean,
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: it's really not good, but again it's a small sample size.
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: A lot of it is because it's a small sample size,
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: and Hayes has a home run off him, so that's
• 27:13
  Speaker 2: kind of skewing the numbers a bit. Overall, I do
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: think this is a decent pitching matchup, and that's why.
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: The total is as low as it is. It's seven
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: and a half.
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: I'm not really gonna disagree with an under in this game.
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you don't really trust the bullpens, maybe
• 27:29
  Speaker 2: a first five inning under makes sense.
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: But you're kind of teetering on the.
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: Edge a little bit there with that, because I still
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: have questions about both these pitchers man and I don't
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: like the matchup numbers that we just looked at, but
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: they are small sample sizes, so we got to kind of,
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: you know.
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: Weigh that appropriately.
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: Eighty one percent of tickets, sixty seven percent of the
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: cash on the over, so the money kind of indicating
• 27:50
  Speaker 2: towards the under. Here, Miami looks like they've taken a
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: hit on the money line down for minus one sixty
• 27:58
  Speaker 2: seven to minus one forty five. I have money initially
• 28:01
  Speaker 2: came in towards the White Sox. Eighty six percent of tickets,
• 28:05
  Speaker 2: ninety nine percent of the cash on Miami.
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: I don't buy that.
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: I do buy that Miami will be a public side though,
• 28:12
  Speaker 2: but you know, this is a game, it's it's a
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: stay away from me completely, as I said, like all
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: these early games are total stay aways from me.
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: So do with that information what you want.
• 28:24
  Speaker 2: I mean, first five inning under might be my better
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: opinion in that game, but it's very, very dicey so
• 28:31
  Speaker 2: and you're probably looking at three three and a half there,
• 28:33
  Speaker 2: which is, you know, there's almost no room for error there.
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: So I don't really like it.
• 28:39
  Speaker 2: ESPN Unlimited Game or whatever the hell this is. It's
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: the one.
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: TV game.
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: Sort of with everything else on MLBtv, Mets and Cardinals.
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, why is it this game?
• 28:52
  Speaker 2: I don't know, because the Cardinals are supposed to be
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: bad this year then won yesterday. Somehow the Mets did
• 28:58
  Speaker 2: not score anything again it's Andre Pallante. I mean, how
• 29:02
  Speaker 2: is that even possible?
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: I have no idea.
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: I thought that game was gonna go over the total.
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: Could I Sengo wasn't that good in the game, so
• 29:09
  Speaker 2: that was correct as far as my read on that game.
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: I don't think he's that good.
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: But Saint Louis winning the game three to nothing was
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: not something that I expected Mets could be in bounced back.
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: Mode here again.
• 29:20
  Speaker 2: When you get the better team and they're coming off
• 29:23
  Speaker 2: getting shut out by that bad team, that better team
• 29:26
  Speaker 2: a lot of times will bounce back with a better effort.
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: As far as the bullpens, I'm gonna give the bullpen
• 29:31
  Speaker 2: edge to the Mets.
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: As far as their personnel.
• 29:33
  Speaker 2: They only use one relief pitcher yesterday too, so and
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis used four, although, uh, but how do you
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: pronounce this guy's name, Corisefo? He probably is available again
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: because he only made three He only yeah, made three
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: pitches yesterday. Anyway, I think the Mets have the better
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: offense too, and you got to give them the starting
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: pitching edge here as well. Freddy Peralta's pitching for the Mets.
• 30:00
  Speaker 2: There's a reason why they went and got him over
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: the offseason. He's a veteran pitcher.
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: He was the ace of Milwaukee's staff last year. He's good, dude.
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: He's still not even thirty yet.
• 30:11
  Speaker 2: He didn't have the greatest outing in his first out
• 30:13
  Speaker 2: against Pittsburgh. That was the game against Paul Skins. By
• 30:16
  Speaker 2: the way, he outdueled Paul Skins by lasting five innings
• 30:20
  Speaker 2: and he allowed two home runs.
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: Four and runs.
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: But I'm giving him. I'm giving him a pass for it. Man,
• 30:25
  Speaker 2: he had seven strikeouts, no walks. He wasn't actually bad
• 30:29
  Speaker 2: in that game. He just gave up some untimely power
• 30:33
  Speaker 2: hitting there. Uh So I think par Alta is actually good.
• 30:35
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna look at his era here in this case.
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: We know who he is. Anyway. His numbers are not
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: as good as you would think. Against Saint Louis.
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: Throwing sixty nine at bats fifteen to six strike at
• 30:46
  Speaker 2: walker race, you're two seventy five average, seven to fifty
• 30:49
  Speaker 2: four ohps allowed, So that's not.
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: Exactly that good.
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: Like I expected his numbers to be better against what
• 30:56
  Speaker 2: I think is a pretty weak Saint Louis lineup. So
• 31:00
  Speaker 2: you know, I lean to the Mets here. But those
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: numbers worry me a little bit. And the price is very,
• 31:05
  Speaker 2: very high on the Mets here. But if you do
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: like the Mets, you're getting to fade. Matthew Libertore, who
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: I don't think is particularly good at all. He did
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: have a pretty decent outing in his first outing against Tampa.
• 31:17
  Speaker 2: He went five innings allowed, one on and run, but
• 31:20
  Speaker 2: he doesn't strike guys out really, you know, He was
• 31:23
  Speaker 2: fine in that game, but the Mets are a better
• 31:25
  Speaker 2: offense than Tampa Is, and the Mets have pretty much
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: tagged him in the past forty two at bats, not
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: a huge sample size, but a decent one four to
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: three strike out walk ratio, three average allowed, nine oh
• 31:38
  Speaker 2: three ops allowed. So libratoring, he's definitely the lesser of
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: the two pitchers.
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: I think it's not even that close.
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: His matchup numbers are also worse, so I'm gonna have
• 31:47
  Speaker 2: to lean to the Mets in this game.
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: It's just the price is pretty high.
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: They're actually getting faded a little bit in the market.
• 31:54
  Speaker 2: It looks like they're down to minus one sixty two
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: ninety percent of the tickets and only eight of the
• 32:00
  Speaker 2: cash on the Mets. The Mets are actually a public
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: road favorite here, and again I think, really it's just
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: because of the price. I think the reason why there's
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: money coming in on Saint Louis here is because the
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: feeling is that the Mets are just overpriced in the market.
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: But looking at this match up here, I just don't
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: see how the Mets lose this game, you know what
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: I mean. So I think the Mets would be my
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: lean in that game, But I don't love going and
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: jumping in, you know, with jumping in on a public
• 32:29
  Speaker 2: side there, That's not something that I really want to do.
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay at Milwaukee. As we get two about.
• 32:37
  Speaker 2: The midway point here, almost every game is in the afternoon.
• 32:40
  Speaker 2: There are two night games on One of my plays
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: is actually in one of the night games, and it's
• 32:46
  Speaker 2: kind of a night conducive lean in it as well,
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: So you probably know what that means.
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay Milwaukee. I actually have.
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: Somewhat of an opinion in this one. Milwaukee was able
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: to get the win yesterday. The teams split the first
• 33:01
  Speaker 2: two games of the series. We lost on Milwaukee in
• 33:06
  Speaker 2: the first game. Unfortunately, Milwaukee did use four relief pitchers yesterday.
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: I think Tampa does have the better bullpen. Tampa on
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: these two relief pitchers yesterday as well, so I'm gonna
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: give Tampa a bullpen edge here. Started pitching, I think
• 33:19
  Speaker 2: I am not going to give Tampa the edge there,
• 33:21
  Speaker 2: and of course Milwaukee has the better offense here. Drew
• 33:24
  Speaker 2: Rasmusen is pitching for Tampa and he is pretty good.
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 33:28
  Speaker 2: With Rasmussen, Tampa seems to like explicitly take him out
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: after five innings in every game.
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: Like, that's just what they do.
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: I don't know why specifically with Rasmussen they do that,
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: but he might have like a huge drop off like
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: in his outings if they leave him in longer than five.
• 33:45
  Speaker 2: Like maybe that's the case because they keeping him fresh
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: because he goes through five innings. Like, he was really
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: efficient in that first outing against the Cardinals. He only
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: threw seventy three pitches, so they could have left him in,
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: but they didn't. They took him out, went to the bullpen,
• 33:59
  Speaker 2: and the bullpen was horrible in that game. Rasmussen gave
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: up one run in five innings and they take him
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: out and they lose nine to seven to the Cardinals.
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: I think Tampa Bay's bullpen is better than that though,
• 34:11
  Speaker 2: So you know, personally, I probably would have left Rasmussen
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: in for another inning or so in that game, but
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: I'm not Tampa Bay's manager.
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: But that's just what they do. Man, he's good.
• 34:21
  Speaker 2: He basically he pretty much gives you five good innings
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: pretty much every single outing. That's kind of what you
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: can expect. But he's facing a good Milwaukee offense. They're
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: better than Saint Louis and he hasn't been that good
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: against him in the past twenty two at bats.
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: I know, it's not a big sample size four to.
• 34:39
  Speaker 2: Two, strikeout, walk ratio three eighteen average allowed on Oney
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: eleven ops, Contreras and Yellick Yelich both have a home
• 34:47
  Speaker 2: run off him, so he hasn't been that good against them.
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: But you know, I'm not ready to say that Rasmuson
• 34:55
  Speaker 2: is going to be that bad in this game. But
• 34:57
  Speaker 2: he is going up against Lei miz I hope that's
• 35:00
  Speaker 2: his nickname. I don't know if it is Jacob Mizierowski,
• 35:03
  Speaker 2: who is you know, the young fienom for the Brewers
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: who can reach one hundred miles an hour and whatever.
• 35:10
  Speaker 2: And he pretty much lived up to the billing in
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: his first outing of that it was against a bad
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: White Sox offense. He went five innings, he allowed a
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: home run, and you know who that home run was.
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: It was that Japanese guy.
• 35:21
  Speaker 2: That the White Sox guy who's ripping the cover off
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: the ball pretty much right now. But Missierrawskal has had
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: eleven strikeouts in five innings, three walks. But that's also
• 35:31
  Speaker 2: kind of the problem with him is that he throws
• 35:35
  Speaker 2: so hard that he gets a little bit wild, and
• 35:37
  Speaker 2: he throws way too many pitches. He threw ninety four
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: pitches in five innings. That's not efficient, you.
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: Know what I mean.
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: Like for a guy to really really be a dominant pitcher,
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: he's got to be more efficient than that. And maybe
• 35:49
  Speaker 2: he'll figure that out and start doing that. The Rays
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: have basically never seen him before. Only Williamson has ever
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: faced him before and he's zero for one off him,
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: so miss is pretty much he's never been seen before
• 36:01
  Speaker 2: by Tampa. So that is an extra edge for Mizierowski.
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: So I do think he has the edge in this game.
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna lead.
• 36:08
  Speaker 2: Towards Milwaukee in this one in the first five innings
• 36:11
  Speaker 2: because I do think Tampa bay better bullpen and more
• 36:14
  Speaker 2: rested bullpen, so I don't really want to include the
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: bullpens in that. Milwaukee did go all the way up
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: from minus one away to minus one thirty seven, although
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: believe it or not, I saw some first five inning
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: money lines on Milwaukee that actually were cheaper than that.
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: If you want to go to Milwaukee to be winning
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: after five innings, go minus a half run, you could
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: really knock the price down to like plus one hundred probably,
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: so I don't mind either way. I mean, that would
• 36:42
  Speaker 2: be my opinion in this game. This is actually the
• 36:44
  Speaker 2: strongest opinion I've had so far, and it's really just
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: based off of the matchup numbers. But I do still
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: worry that Rasmusid could come in there, and certainly he
• 36:53
  Speaker 2: could come in a duel Missierowski.
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: But basically with.
• 36:57
  Speaker 2: This starting pitching matchup, you're pretty much you're looking at
• 37:00
  Speaker 2: two starting pitchers that are probably gonna be out of
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: the game after the first five innings based on how
• 37:05
  Speaker 2: Tampa pulls or assent at that point, and Missierowski throws
• 37:09
  Speaker 2: way too many pitches. So first five inning is pretty
• 37:12
  Speaker 2: much a really like a straightforward starting pitching handicap. The
• 37:17
  Speaker 2: total is really low at seven, and maybe rightfully so,
• 37:21
  Speaker 2: because both pitchers are pretty good. I mean, I'm not
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: really gonna disagree with an under in the first five
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: innings here. I'd worry a little bit more about the bullpens.
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: Here, especially Milwaukee's.
• 37:31
  Speaker 2: That's why also with the Milwaukee side, I would want
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: to not include Tampa, not including Milwaukee's bullpen in that equation.
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: The less rested and probably lesser bullpen.
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: I don't you know, I don't know why exactly the
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: money line moved up this much on Milwaukee. It might
• 37:47
  Speaker 2: have just been because of us starting pitching change or something,
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: because I don't really see the actual money percentages yet
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: year or ticket percentage of money percentage.
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I'm gonna go.
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna lean Milwaukee first five, but I don't want
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: to touch the game. Still, my Boston Red Sox. They
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: gotta start turning this around. Man, this is getting bad.
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: Brian Beao sucked yesterday. Hunter Brown was pretty good. I
• 38:12
  Speaker 2: did say I lean to Houston in that game yesterday
• 38:15
  Speaker 2: and they won pretty easily. So yeah, that sucks. I mean,
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: it is what it is. Red Sox, they got to
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: turn it around. But they do have their best pitcher
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: on the mound here and the only game that they
• 38:28
  Speaker 2: won was the game.
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: That he pitched.
• 38:30
  Speaker 2: Believe it or not, the Red Sox were one to
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: zero at one point, Carrot Crochet on the mound. I
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: still think the Red Sox are a lot better than
• 38:37
  Speaker 2: the record looks right now. People are massively overreacting to this.
• 38:40
  Speaker 2: I'm like, no, BeO is like the last guy in
• 38:43
  Speaker 2: the rotation. We know that BeO is not as good
• 38:45
  Speaker 2: as people think he is. But people are giving like
• 38:48
  Speaker 2: Suarez and even Sonny Gray way too much shit right
• 38:51
  Speaker 2: now in my opinion. And some of these like offensive
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: players they got like Durban, like just shut up, man,
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: you know what I mean? The Red Sox are gonna
• 39:00
  Speaker 2: start doing better. Maybe it'll start happening here after a
• 39:03
  Speaker 2: pretty embarrassing loss. Houston only used one relief pitcher yesterday,
• 39:08
  Speaker 2: but the Red Sox didn't use that many either. Yeah,
• 39:10
  Speaker 2: the Red Sox used two, so I think we're looking
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: at two, like, yeah, two pretty rested bullpens here. I
• 39:19
  Speaker 2: do think the Red Sox actually still have the slightly
• 39:21
  Speaker 2: better bullpend here. Garrett Crochet on the mouth obviously, he
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: can get you fairly deep into a game. He went
• 39:26
  Speaker 2: six shutout innings at Cincinnati in his first outing, which
• 39:30
  Speaker 2: you know, I mean, Crochet is one of the elite
• 39:32
  Speaker 2: pitchers in baseball. That was against a pretty decent lineup
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: in a hitter friendly park, and he still went through
• 39:38
  Speaker 2: their lineup with pretty much with ease, had eight strikeouts,
• 39:41
  Speaker 2: two walks. Good outing from him. His numbers are not
• 39:45
  Speaker 2: good against the Astros, though, in fifty four at bats so.
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: This does worry made.
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: Nineteen to six strike at walk ratio is fine, but
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: three seventy batting average allowed nine to fifty two ops.
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: That worries me.
• 39:57
  Speaker 2: A lot of these hitters on the Astros have hit
• 39:59
  Speaker 2: Krosche pretty hard, so that's not good. He's going up
• 40:04
  Speaker 2: against Mike Burrows, who unfortunately we lost backing him in
• 40:08
  Speaker 2: his first outing. He did go five to two thirds innings,
• 40:11
  Speaker 2: but he allowed two of them runs and kind of unravel.
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: For him a bit.
• 40:15
  Speaker 2: He had six strikeouts to two walks, which that's not bad.
• 40:18
  Speaker 2: I mean, it kind of indicates his command was fairly good,
• 40:21
  Speaker 2: but he just gave up too many hits.
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: He was definitely too hittable in that game against Anaheim. Unfortunately,
• 40:28
  Speaker 2: Borrows against the Red Sox very limited sample size eleven
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: at bats. The Red Sox must have faced him when
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: he was on Pittsburgh last year. One strikeout, no walks,
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: no extra base hits allowed, but he still allowed them
• 40:41
  Speaker 2: to hit three sixty four off him seven to twenty
• 40:43
  Speaker 2: seven OPS allowed. I mean, I think you got to
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: give the edge of Gara Crochet. Although I know his
• 40:50
  Speaker 2: numbers are not that good against Houston, I still think
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: you gotta admit that he's the better pitcher here. Red
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: Sox are minus won forty five here eighty four percent tickets,
• 41:00
  Speaker 2: ninety one percent of the cash on the Red Sox.
• 41:03
  Speaker 2: You know it's not the most expensive price you're gonna
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: see with Crochet on the mound this year. I'm probably
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: gonna lean slightly towards the Red Sox in this one.
• 41:12
  Speaker 2: I don't really have a good read on the game otherwise. Again,
• 41:14
  Speaker 2: I do really worry that his matchup numbers are just
• 41:18
  Speaker 2: really not good against Houston Man, so I could see
• 41:22
  Speaker 2: him not having the best outing in that game, and
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: that does definitely concern me. It looks like initially there
• 41:28
  Speaker 2: was a move heavily towards the under from eight and
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: a half down to seven on the total, but eighty
• 41:33
  Speaker 2: one percent of tickets ninety four percent of the cash
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: on the over.
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: I mean it under makes sense to some extent.
• 41:40
  Speaker 2: And that you have a really good picture up against
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: the pitcher who's pretty unfamiliar to the opposing lineup so
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: and two pretty good bullpens that are pretty rested.
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: So I can see some arguments for an under in
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: that game.
• 41:52
  Speaker 2: Total has really giving you almost no leeway there at seven,
• 41:56
  Speaker 2: so that's a stay away. The next game up is
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: actually one of my plays though, and in Anaheim at
• 42:02
  Speaker 2: Chicago and looking at the game right away, you might
• 42:04
  Speaker 2: actually know what it is.
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: I think you know what I'm gonna do here. Man,
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: Maybe I'm.
• 42:13
  Speaker 2: Too predictable, but we're gonna take the Cubs on the
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: run line at minus one. You know, if you want
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: to do a split bet partially on the minus one
• 42:21
  Speaker 2: and a half run line at plus money and partially
• 42:24
  Speaker 2: on the money line, you.
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: Could do it that way too.
• 42:27
  Speaker 2: A lot of books offer the minus one run line, though,
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: I saw it out there at about minus one seventeen.
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: But again, if you do line shopping and you.
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: Do the split bet, it's basically like you're making your
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: own minus one run line, and you might be able
• 42:39
  Speaker 2: to knock the price down a little bit more that way,
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: which does make sense.
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: But we're gonna go with Chicago here. Man.
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: They lost two to nothing to Anaheim yesterday. Man, Jose
• 42:48
  Speaker 2: Soriano was on the mound. He continued to be really
• 42:51
  Speaker 2: good on the road. I mean, what else can we say.
• 42:53
  Speaker 2: I talked about that game yesterday and I told you
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: Soriano is a good road pitcher, and he pitched really
• 42:59
  Speaker 2: well yesterday. But now that the Cubs are the better
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: team and they're coming off getting shut out, tune a
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: not thing. I mean, come on, man, there's no way
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: the Cubs are gonna get shut out again in this game. Now,
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: if you wanted to go with the Cubs over their
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: team total, I'm not gonna disagree with that either. I
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: think they are gonna hit Anaheim here. But I actually
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: like the side because I think that you're actually gonna
• 43:19
  Speaker 2: get more of a disparity in this pitching matchup that
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: people are gonna think like people are gonna overreact to
• 43:25
  Speaker 2: the first outing for these two pitchers, and I like
• 43:29
  Speaker 2: that coming in fading that overreaction of What's really insane, though,
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: is the total here is six.
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: What are we doing here? Man?
• 43:38
  Speaker 2: I mean, obviously, the the oddsmakers are not throwing money away.
• 43:41
  Speaker 2: They're gonna put the total low for a reason. But
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: six is insane. I mean that must mean you have
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: insane win blowing in off of Lake Michigan here into
• 43:50
  Speaker 2: the stadium, Like I don't even at Wrigley Field, you're
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: usually never gonna see a number that's below seven. I mean,
• 43:56
  Speaker 2: that is insane, and given that Kakouch he was pitching
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: for Anaheim, I would not go under that. There's no way.
• 44:04
  Speaker 2: There is no way that I would go under that number. Now, Anaheim,
• 44:09
  Speaker 2: their bullpen's is not good. They use three relievers yesterday.
• 44:11
  Speaker 2: The Cubs have the better bullpen. They used mostly two
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: relievers yesterday. So I think we're gonna give the Cubs
• 44:17
  Speaker 2: a bullpen edge here, not just because it's the better bullpen,
• 44:20
  Speaker 2: but I think they're more rested. They use Ben Brown
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: to eat up some innings yesterday. So I like how
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: the Cubs bullpen sets up here. And you know me,
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: I do not like Kokuchi. People are gonna look at
• 44:31
  Speaker 2: it and think, oh, he was actually pretty good in
• 44:33
  Speaker 2: his first outing.
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: He held Houston a touring runs.
• 44:36
  Speaker 2: That's pretty good, right, And yes, I know we lost
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: on that game, But Kakuchi was skating on thin.
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: Ice that whole time. Dude.
• 44:44
  Speaker 2: He gave up eight hits in one walk and four
• 44:47
  Speaker 2: and a third innings. He put nine guys on base
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: and gave up a home run and somehow only two
• 44:52
  Speaker 2: runs scored. That's ridiculous, Like he should have allowed like
• 44:55
  Speaker 2: four or five runs in that outing. You can't put
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: that many guys on basy but more more than two
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: guys on basein inning, and he somehow got out of there.
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: Are only allowed to horn runs.
• 45:05
  Speaker 2: Yet, No, he's on thin ice and he's not good
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: on the road.
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: If you look at what he.
• 45:10
  Speaker 2: Did last year, he was throughout his career, he's been
• 45:13
  Speaker 2: awful on the road. Last year he had a five
• 45:15
  Speaker 2: plus RA on the road. That's where he is now.
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: The Cubs actually have not hit him well the Cubs.
• 45:24
  Speaker 2: The numbers are kind of all over the place, thirty
• 45:26
  Speaker 2: nine at bats where so the Cubs haven't seen him
• 45:28
  Speaker 2: that much.
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: But I'm willing to.
• 45:30
  Speaker 2: Fade Kokuchi anyway, because dude, he's been in the league
• 45:34
  Speaker 2: for years. Everybody this tape on him, everybody knows what
• 45:37
  Speaker 2: to expect pretty much out of him. The Cubs have
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: eleven strikeouts and eight walks against him, although granted all
• 45:43
  Speaker 2: eight walks or Alex Bregman, who absolutely destroys him, but
• 45:48
  Speaker 2: the Cubs do only have a two point five average
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: against him and an eight fifty three OPS, so overall
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: they have they have gotten.
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: To him, although it's mostly Bregman.
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: But I'm mostly fad of Kakuchi because I think he's
• 46:00
  Speaker 2: and he sucks on the road, and I think we're
• 46:02
  Speaker 2: gonna get a bounce back from Chicago, and I think
• 46:04
  Speaker 2: we're gonna get a bounce.
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: Back from Matthew Boyd.
• 46:07
  Speaker 2: Nobody's gonna want to play Boyd dude after he has
• 46:10
  Speaker 2: a fourteen point seven to three ERA right now because
• 46:12
  Speaker 2: he gave up six earned runs in his first outing
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: and gets a bad Washington team. But dude, I mean,
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: he just came out and he was putting too many
• 46:21
  Speaker 2: pitches over the plate, and that is what it was.
• 46:23
  Speaker 2: He had seven strikeouts, one walk, so that's not bad.
• 46:27
  Speaker 2: Like his command was there, Like which one of the
• 46:29
  Speaker 2: two pitchers here had a better outing in the first outing?
• 46:32
  Speaker 2: Like people are gonna look at it and say Kikuchi
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: did because he didn't allow as many runs, But no,
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna disagree with that because Boyd had the way
• 46:40
  Speaker 2: better strikeout walk ratio in the game, and I think
• 46:42
  Speaker 2: that's more indicative of.
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: What actually happened.
• 46:45
  Speaker 2: Boyd was way better last year of course too, although
• 46:49
  Speaker 2: I think he overperformed last year. Like usually you don't
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: see a guy in his mid thirties come from out
• 46:54
  Speaker 2: of nowhere and pitch well. Uh, pitched that well, and
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: I know I said that going into his first game
• 47:00
  Speaker 2: this year. I wasn't that high on him in his
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: first game this year, but I am high on him
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: in this game to bounce back last year. He was
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: really good at home two point five to one ERA
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: at home last year with the Cubs, so you know,
• 47:13
  Speaker 2: he's in that same environment here. And his numbers against
• 47:16
  Speaker 2: Anaheim are pretty good and sixty six at bats twenty
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: nine to eight strike up walk ratio one ninety seven
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: average allowed, five to seventy two ops allowed, so he's
• 47:25
  Speaker 2: pretty much dominated Anaheim. So I like that. You gotta
• 47:29
  Speaker 2: give the edge to the Cubs. I think across the
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: board here, man bullpen started pitching. Hitting wise, we're gonna
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: do it. They're at minus one fifty eight on the
• 47:37
  Speaker 2: money line right now. Again, I would go either do
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: what I'm doing here or make your own minus one
• 47:43
  Speaker 2: run line and split it between the one and a
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: half run line and money line. I know we have
• 47:48
  Speaker 2: a crazy low total here, so there is a decent
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: chance the Cubs only win by one and then in
• 47:54
  Speaker 2: that case you get your money back. But I just
• 47:56
  Speaker 2: don't see them losing this game, man, I really don't.
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: And I think again, you get the situation.
• 48:03
  Speaker 2: Where one of these pictures is clearly way better than
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: the other, has way better home roads, what's in their
• 48:09
  Speaker 2: favor as well, and better matchup numbers even as well,
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: and people are gonna be misled, Like looking at one
• 48:16
  Speaker 2: outing that you've gotten from each of these starters so far,
• 48:18
  Speaker 2: people are gonna overreact to that one outing, you know
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: what I mean. So we're gonna go with the Cubs there,
• 48:25
  Speaker 2: all right? Detroit at Arizona. Detroit blew the game yesterday.
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: I mentioned I liked Detroit yesterday. I don't know what's
• 48:35
  Speaker 2: going on with this. Why are you giving your manager
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: a gatorade bath?
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: Dude? Is that the manager?
• 48:42
  Speaker 2: Maybe that's not the manager, Maybe that's one of their
• 48:43
  Speaker 2: Maybe that's a Fernandez.
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: I don't know what these guys look like.
• 48:46
  Speaker 2: I apologize, I have no idea, but maybe that's Fernandez.
• 48:51
  Speaker 2: Why are you giving somebody a gatorade bath dude?
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean?
• 48:54
  Speaker 2: Like, you just won one game against the Tigers. Well,
• 48:56
  Speaker 2: then now they've won two, but still it's kind of ridiculous. Now,
• 49:00
  Speaker 2: I don't think the Dbacks are that good. They made
• 49:02
  Speaker 2: a comeback late because I know. I looked at that
• 49:04
  Speaker 2: score and the Tigers were winning that game five to
• 49:07
  Speaker 2: three in like the eighth inning or something, so I
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: was like, oh, Detroit looks like they're probably gonna win. Nope,
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: Arizona scored late and won the game. But I am
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: not buying what we're seeing out of Arizona here. Arizona's
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: bullpen especially is really bad. Their offense is good, I'm
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: not gonna deny that, but Arizona's pitching has some major issues.
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: Man. And now they're looking for a sweep.
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: Against Detroit, so you know Detroit is gonna be motivated
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: here to avoid the sweep. And Detroit is actually the
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: better team trying to avoid the sweep. So I think
• 49:39
  Speaker 2: you're gonna get a good effort out of Detroit here.
• 49:42
  Speaker 2: Detroit has the better bullpen, their offense is okay, even
• 49:45
  Speaker 2: though I'd probably argue that Arizona's is better. Detroit only
• 49:48
  Speaker 2: these two relief pitchers yesterday. Arizona also used two. But
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: Arizona's bullpen is one of the worst in baseball, so
• 49:55
  Speaker 2: they're not a good bullpen. And Detroit has Scooball on
• 49:59
  Speaker 2: the mound. I mean, come on, man, I would argue
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: he's the best pitcher in baseball. He's on the mound
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: trying to avoid the sweep. Here with Detroit, you're likely
• 50:11
  Speaker 2: to get a good outing out of him. I know,
• 50:12
  Speaker 2: he's coming off a six inning shutout with six strikeouts,
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: no walks against the Podres.
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: Actually he gave up one unnern run in that game.
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: My mistake that was.
• 50:23
  Speaker 2: You know the Padres, they're an okay offense and they
• 50:26
  Speaker 2: play in a pitcher friendly park. So now he's playing
• 50:28
  Speaker 2: in a hitter friendly park here against a better offense.
• 50:31
  Speaker 2: So yeah, you could make the argument he's not gonna
• 50:33
  Speaker 2: be quite as good in this outing as he was
• 50:35
  Speaker 2: in that one.
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: But he's still school ball, man.
• 50:38
  Speaker 2: I mean, come on, and Arizona has not done that
• 50:41
  Speaker 2: well against him at all. In thirty six at bats
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: eleven to two strikeout walk ration. That is a ton
• 50:46
  Speaker 2: of strikeouts one to sixty seven average allowed for sixty
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: one ops.
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: School Ball has pretty much dominated them.
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: So I think you will get a good outing out
• 50:55
  Speaker 2: of Schoolble Here he's going up against Zach Gallon. Now,
• 50:59
  Speaker 2: I don't think Gallon is as bad as his numbers look.
• 51:02
  Speaker 2: Right now, he got tagged by the Dodgers in his
• 51:05
  Speaker 2: first out, and we know the Dodgers. They're an elite offense,
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: probably the best in baseball, especially in La Gallon went
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: four in He's gave up foreign runs. I'm not gonna
• 51:15
  Speaker 2: give him much crap for that.
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: Last year.
• 51:17
  Speaker 2: He wasn't very good overall, but if you look at
• 51:21
  Speaker 2: his career stats, he is better than what we got
• 51:23
  Speaker 2: out of him last year. So I think he might
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: give us a little bit of a better outing year.
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: But his numbers are not good against Detroit. He's obviously nowhere.
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: Near the level of school ball.
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: Forty at bats, twelve to two strike a walk ratio.
• 51:35
  Speaker 2: That's not bad, but three hundred batting average allowed to Detroit,
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: eight seventy six ohps allowed, so Detroit has been able
• 51:41
  Speaker 2: to get to him. I could only see leaning towards
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: Detroit in this one, man, But I don't really want
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: to lay the price with it. Man. You know, you're
• 51:49
  Speaker 2: getting charged at premium if you want to play school ball.
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: And that's the issue that I have with it.
• 51:54
  Speaker 2: Ninety three percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: cash on Detroit year. You know, I just think they
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: have the upper hand though, So I don't really see
• 52:04
  Speaker 2: a better way of looking at this game.
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: And I mean you could go like Arizona under their
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: team total.
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: The totals kind of shockingly low at seven and a half.
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: That's because school balls on the mound. If you want
• 52:15
  Speaker 2: to go with Schooble to burn through Arizona and go
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: with the Arizona to go under their team total, maybe
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: you'll be able to get that one, right, you know
• 52:25
  Speaker 2: that that might be Actually that's a that's an approach
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: to at least consider in this game. I'd probably still
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: actually money line it or something with Detroit here. I
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: don't love these run lines, but at least if you do.
• 52:36
  Speaker 2: If you do a run line though on the on
• 52:38
  Speaker 2: the road team, you know you're getting full nine innings
• 52:41
  Speaker 2: of a bats from them, though, you know what I mean.
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: So if they're up one going into the ninth inning,
• 52:47
  Speaker 2: they have the ability to still pad the lead and
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: get you the win.
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: But I'm not touching it.
• 52:52
  Speaker 2: I do think you're may charge a little bit too much,
• 52:54
  Speaker 2: although the price did drop from minus one seventy three
• 52:57
  Speaker 2: to minus one fifty five, ninety three percent of tickets
• 53:00
  Speaker 2: of the cash on Detroit There all right. Yankees at
• 53:05
  Speaker 2: Seattle Now we're getting into my stronger opinions here, other
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: than the fact that I already gave you a play
• 53:10
  Speaker 2: on the Cubs, but I do have an opinion on
• 53:12
  Speaker 2: this game. We're getting into the later evening or excuse me,
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: later afternoon games here.
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: Excuse me.
• 53:19
  Speaker 2: Now, every game in this series has gone under so far,
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: but I actually like the under in this game too.
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: The Yankees had a shutout yesterday.
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: Unfortunately, but I told you.
• 53:31
  Speaker 2: The Yankees are gonna win yesterday with free and on
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: the mound against Gilbert. Definitely a matchup advantage to the
• 53:37
  Speaker 2: Yankees there. I like the under in this game, though,
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: So I think we have two bullpens that are decent.
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: At least Seattle's, I would say, is probably good. The Yankees,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: we still don't really know.
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: Yankees not a good bullpen last year, but they did
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: cut some of those guys.
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: The bullpens are pretty rested though.
• 53:57
  Speaker 2: Both bullpens only had two guys come out the bullpen
• 54:00
  Speaker 2: last night, so we have rested bullpens here. Both offenses
• 54:04
  Speaker 2: are good, so the public's gonna come in. Like I said,
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: we won with the under in the first.
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: Game of this yeraries.
• 54:10
  Speaker 2: Remember I gave that out as a play, and like
• 54:13
  Speaker 2: I said, then the public is gonna look at this
• 54:15
  Speaker 2: and be like, we're gonna have like the public's gonna
• 54:17
  Speaker 2: take an over, you know what I mean?
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: Because it's Yankees Seattle.
• 54:20
  Speaker 2: They know both these offenses are good and that's true,
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: So the public's only gonna want to play an over here.
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 54:26
  Speaker 2: I worry a little bit because every game has gone
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: under so far, but maybe that trend will continue here.
• 54:31
  Speaker 2: And if you look at the starting pitching matchup, it
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: looks pretty underconducive to me. Schlitzler Kyle Schlitzler is pitching
• 54:38
  Speaker 2: for the Yankees here. He was good in his debut
• 54:42
  Speaker 2: at San Francisco. The Seattle's gonna be a more more
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: of a test than San Francisco was. Uh, but both
• 54:49
  Speaker 2: parks are a pitcher friendly ballparks, though.
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: Uh.
• 54:52
  Speaker 2: Schlitzler shut out San Francisco for five and a third,
• 54:55
  Speaker 2: eight strikeouts, no walks. They pulled him after only sixty
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: eight pitches, so he could have stayed in the game longer,
• 55:01
  Speaker 2: but the Yankees didn't want to overwork him, so kind
• 55:04
  Speaker 2: of made sense that they pulled him there. Schlittler against
• 55:09
  Speaker 2: Seattle fourteen at bats very small sample size, but he's
• 55:13
  Speaker 2: been really good against them six to zero, strikeout walk
• 55:16
  Speaker 2: ratio one forty three average, allowed three fifty seven ops.
• 55:20
  Speaker 2: So he's done well in a small sample size against Seattle.
• 55:23
  Speaker 2: Seattle's got George Kirby.
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: On the mound.
• 55:27
  Speaker 2: I consider him to be very matchup dependent though, because
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: he does have like occasional starts where he gets absolutely destroyed.
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: But he was good at home last year.
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: He was way better at home than on the road,
• 55:37
  Speaker 2: like most Seattle pitchers are. He had a three point
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: three to eight home ERA last year. He's coming off
• 55:43
  Speaker 2: a good start against Cleveland, although obviously the Yankees are
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: a way better offense than Cleveland, but good sign the
• 55:49
  Speaker 2: Kirby pitch well in that game six innings, wonner and run,
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: allowed six strikeouts, two walks. He threw more pitches than
• 55:56
  Speaker 2: Schlitler did. But Kirby, you know, he's not as young,
• 56:00
  Speaker 2: so he's more you know, like ready to go, if
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: you want to call it that, although he's been dealing
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: with some injuries over the last season or so. Kirby,
• 56:08
  Speaker 2: believe it or not, has really good numbers against the Yankees.
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: They're only three for thirty.
• 56:13
  Speaker 2: One off him, although one of those hits is a
• 56:16
  Speaker 2: home run from greed Chuck. But seven strikeouts, that's not
• 56:19
  Speaker 2: that many strikeouts, but no walks own ninety seven batting
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: I was allowed in three twenty three ohps. So Kirby
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: has done shockingly well against the Yankees given how good
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: their lineup is in a sample size, it's a decent
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: size there. Kirby has done really well against them. So
• 56:36
  Speaker 2: I do like the under in this game. This one
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: is very close to being a play for me. The
• 56:42
  Speaker 2: money is all coming in in the under as well.
• 56:44
  Speaker 2: Seventy two percent of tickets on the overs, seventy two
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the under. Total has dropped
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: to seven you can get I think a decent you
• 56:51
  Speaker 2: might still be able to get seven and a half
• 56:53
  Speaker 2: on this.
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: And as far as the.
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: Side, the money's actually indicating on the Mariners here seventy
• 56:58
  Speaker 2: three percent of tickets and only sixty five percent of
• 57:00
  Speaker 2: the cash on the Yankees. So the public is signing
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: with the Yankees, especially probably because they saw the Yankees
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: win last night in a shutout, and because they like
• 57:11
  Speaker 2: Schlittler more than Kirby, probably, I guess. But Seattle sitting
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: at minus one thirteen. You know, the market read is
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: saying Seattle here. But obviously I like the under in
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: this one quite a bit. Actually, I'm considering it right now,
• 57:28
  Speaker 2: you know, I like it. You know, I like three
• 57:34
  Speaker 2: unders today and this is one of them, and I'm
• 57:36
  Speaker 2: I'm heavily considering it here. I already forget what the
• 57:40
  Speaker 2: other one was.
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: Though.
• 57:42
  Speaker 2: Um Man, Kirby's numbers are just really good. And the
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: fact that the money is coming in indicating on Seattle
• 57:51
  Speaker 2: kind of indicates that the professionals think that Kirby is
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: going to bitch well on this one, you know, And
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: it kind of makes sense to lean towards Seattle as
• 58:00
  Speaker 2: far as like a bounce back after getting shut out
• 58:02
  Speaker 2: and whatever. Seattle does have the better bullpend still in
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: my opinion, Oh man, you know what, let's do it.
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: Let's add another play. We're gonna have three baseball players here.
• 58:18
  Speaker 2: Where where is this thing at? Yeah, let's do it.
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: Let's go under in this one here. Let me see
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: what's the best number that we can get here. We're
• 58:27
  Speaker 2: including the bullpens here. You have to pay a bit
• 58:32
  Speaker 2: too much, I think, in my opinion for the under
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: seven and a half.
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: Although under seven, you can find it like a really
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: ridiculous price.
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: But yeah, all right, under seven. I see it at
• 58:45
  Speaker 2: plus one oh five out there right now. Seven is
• 58:49
  Speaker 2: of course the key number in baseball, because you know,
• 58:54
  Speaker 2: it's how you break the three three tie hold on.
• 58:57
  Speaker 2: I'm putting it into the system right now. Man, So
• 59:00
  Speaker 2: a lot of baseball plays for me today, I do.
• 59:02
  Speaker 2: We do a lot of baseball on the show Man.
• 59:05
  Speaker 2: Decent quantity in baseball, let's say decent volume because I
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: do totals. There you go, Yankee Seattle under seven that
• 59:12
  Speaker 2: I see at plus one oh five out there, if
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: you wanted to pay them like I see it at
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: minus one twenty two for the under seven and a half.
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: Both of these best numbers, are it? Well? Am I
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: allowed to say it?
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: The book that starts with an M and ends and
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: ends with a GM, the book with the lion, I
• 59:32
  Speaker 2: don't know, but yes, that would be my opinion in
• 59:35
  Speaker 2: that game.
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: Not an opinion.
• 59:36
  Speaker 2: We're gonna add it as a play under in Yankee Seattle.
• 59:40
  Speaker 2: Going back to the well with that one. San Francisco,
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: San Diego. Another pitcher friend the park here, and I
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: actually like the under in this.
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: Game as well. This game.
• 59:49
  Speaker 2: You have two really good bullpends, San Francisco and Seattle,
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: at least based off of or San Francisco san Diego.
• 59:55
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, at least based off of what we saw
• 59:57
  Speaker 2: last year. San Francisco used two relievers. San Diego used
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 2: four though, so it's getting a little bit more dicey
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 2: with San Diego's bullpen here given the usage last night.
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 2: San Francisco did win the game last night. They won
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 2: I think nine to three or something, with Logan Webb
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 2: on the mound, giving them a decent performance there. I
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: leaned towards San Francisco in that game as well. I
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: believe San Francisco has won both games in the series.
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 2: Let me say, yeah, so San Diego is gonna try
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 2: to avoid the sweep here, so that is maybe a
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 2: reason to look towards San Diego here to try to
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: avoid the sweep. Now, I think there are a few
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 2: other reasons to like San Diego here as well, although
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 2: I don't like the bullpen though, that's kind of the
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 2: problem right now. Like the bullpen, rest edge has got
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: to go to San Francisco here. San Diego does have
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: the better offense though as far as the starting pitching
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: Adrian Hauser's pitching for the Giants. He had a decent
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: season last year, and he's moved around. He was not
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 2: on the Giants last year. I don't believe he got
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 2: traded around a little bit. I think he's a little
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 2: bit underrated though. I think he's an okay pitcher. Now
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 2: he's getting to pitch it a pitcher from the park
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 2: here too, which is good.
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: But he hasn't pitched yet this season.
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 2: So I think on the San Diego side, because Paveta
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 2: is pitching for them and he already has a game
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 2: under his belt, I think that is an advantage to him.
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: And I mentioned that yesterday, Houston had that advantage yesterday
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: with Hunter Brown. Bao hadn't pitched yet and Brown had
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: Houston won. There was also that edge with who else
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 2: was that I'm trying to remember now. I believe Jose
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 2: Sorriano might have had that edge against whoever the hell
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: was pitching for Chicago the Cubs yesterday, So that moment
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: of being a winner as well.
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: So yeah, so in some of these cases, yeah, it
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: did turn out. I think those.
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 2: Spots went two and one yesterday, I believe, if I'm
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 2: not mistaken, But yes, so there is a little bit
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 2: of an advantage when a starting pitcher has already pitched
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 2: once up against the pitcher that hasn't pitched yet during
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 2: the regular season. Although I don't think Howser is gonna
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 2: be that bad. His numbers against San Diego are pretty
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 2: good and sixty two at bats sixteen to four strike
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: out walk race, you're two to twenty six average allowed,
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 2: six twenty eight ohps allowed, So I think he will
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 2: actually do okay. He's going up against Pavetta, who, like
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: I said, already had one outing, and people are gonna
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 2: probably shy away from Pavetta because he didn't do well
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: in that outing. It was against Detroit. Now Detroit is
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: a way better offense than San Francisco. And yeah, Pavetta
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 2: didn't do well.
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: He struggled.
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: He gave up six roned runs on seven hits, three walks,
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: four strikeouts.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: That isn't good.
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: But the good thing is Pavetta's pitching at home in
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: a pitcher friendly park. You can't take too much away
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: from one start man because a lot of times these
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 2: guys will struggle in their first start. They got to
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 2: get that out of the way and then they'll be
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: off to the races after that. We know that Pavetta
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 2: pitched really well at home last year with San Diego,
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 2: so I think he will return to form at least
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 2: to some extent in this game.
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 2: He's going up against a weaker offense, like I said,
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 2: and he's done pretty well against them in the past
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 2: one hundred and thirteen at bats against San Francisco, really
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 2: good thirty eight to seven strike got walk ratio against them,
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 2: two thirty nine batting average allowed as low seven to
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: eight ops is getting a little bit high because he's
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 2: allowed a lot of doubles ten doubles in three zero runs,
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 2: so he does give up some hard hits to them,
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: but overall, I think Paveta is going to pitch well
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 2: in this one. I prefer the under in this game,
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 2: although there I think are probably a few question marks
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 2: with this one. So I like this one the least
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 2: out of the three unders that I'm about to talk
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: about here, which, of course, because this is the one
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: I'm leaving off my card, so you know that fifty
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 2: five percent ticket sixty two percent of the cash on
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 2: the under. I do like the under if you worry
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 2: about San Diego's bullpen being to us, you could look
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 2: under first five innings. I wouldn't disagree with that either,
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: and I lean to the San Diego side, but I
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 2: would probably limit that to the first five innings because
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to deal with their bullpen being
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 2: a little bit too unrested. But I think San Diego
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 2: they should be in bounced back mode. And again, when
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 2: a team's trying to avoid a sweep, you will get
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 2: that like full game of effort out of them usually.
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 2: So if you did want to go San Diego money line,
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 2: full game, you know, I'm not gonna tell you to
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 2: not do that. Eighty nine percent of tickets, ninety nine
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on San Diego. I would just
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 2: prefer in this case the first five inning is a
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: little bit more there, with Pavetta having a game under
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: his belt, probably having people shy away from him a
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: little bit because his first outing wasn't good. Although I
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 2: don't think the public is gonna want Houser either, So
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 2: that's the other thing about legging the under here. The
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 2: public they're not gonna play on Adrian Houser. They don't
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 2: know who he is, you know, whatever, Nick Pavetta, they
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 2: know who he is, but they might shy away from
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: him because he wasn't good in his first outing, so
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 2: that might give us a little bit of value on
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 2: the under in that game as well. So yes, I
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: like the under more than the side in that game.
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 2: Probably prefer it first five inning though. Next game up
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: is my other play and my final play. We're going
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: on in Minnesota Kansas City. Now, I know Kansas City
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: they move their outfield walls in a bit, but we
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 2: don't really have much to go on.
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: So far as Kansas City.
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 2: They've only played one game so far at home and
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 2: it was an under three to one. I told you
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 2: the total in that game was like nine and a half.
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 2: I'm like, why I told you that. I thought the
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 2: total was skewed too much in the direction of the over,
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: just like just because of the wall being moved in.
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: Like I don't think you take like a stadium like
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: Kaufin Stadium, which is very picture friendly, moved the wall
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: in a couple of feet and then it becomes like
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 2: a you know, home run derby, Like, I don't think
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: that's really the case here. You're also looking at it.
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: In this case, you're looking to two offenses that aren't
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: that good. So this already, like I'm looking at this
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: and this has underwritten all over it. And it's even
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: better because both teams didn't play yesterday, so we have
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 2: two rested bullpends here. And now I don't like Minnesota's bullpen,
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 2: but I do like Kansas City's.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: But you have two totally.
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: Rested bullpends, so every reliever is at both team's disposal.
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 2: Here I almost said exposal. That's not good.
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: So I like that. Kansas City did win the first
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: game of the series two days ago. Very weird. These
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: teams didn't play yesterday.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 2: Very weird schedule at the beginning of the season for
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 2: baseball here, man. But again, because we have this weird
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 2: scheduling quirk where both teams were off yesterday, I think
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 2: that helps us with an under because when the hitters
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 2: have a day off, they can cool off a little
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: bit and they might come out a little bit colder,
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: and again.
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: The bullpen's are rested.
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 2: We're looking at the night game here as well, so
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: you know, night game cooler environment usually is more underconducive.
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: It's gonna be sixty degrees and cloudy, it looks like,
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 2: so that's a little bit you know under ish weather there.
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: It's not exactly cold or cool, but you know it's
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 2: not a hot environment by any means, so that seems
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: under friendly as well. And look at the starting pitching matchup.
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 2: Joe Ryan is pitching for the Twins. I mean, he's
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 2: their ace. He pitched well in his first outing, went
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 2: five shutout innings five and a third against Baltimore, seven strikeouts,
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 2: two walks. I mean, he's pretty much picking up where
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: he left off. That's a good sign. And against the
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 2: Royals he's pretty much dominated them. We have a big
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 2: sample size here, but the Royals, their offense is just
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 2: not that good. One hundred ten at bats, he has
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: twenty four strikeouts eight walks against him, which you.
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: Know, I'd like that to be a little bit of
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: a better ratio, but.
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 2: He sell them to a one ninety one batting average
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: of five to eighty two ops. Those are really good
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 2: numbers for a large sample size like that. So Ryan
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 2: has done well against Kansas City, as familiar as they
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: are with them. And on the other side, Noah Cameron
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 2: one of my favorite guys to bet on last year
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 2: man because he just went totally under the radar because
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 2: nobody knows who he is. He's like the most talented
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: young pitcher in the Royals rotation.
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: Shut out to Zach wherever he is right now.
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 2: Now, Cameron is coming in cold here. He hasn't pitched
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 2: yet this season. I don't know why, like why his
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: start to the season got a little bit delayed here.
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: But he pitched last year man, so I think he's
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 2: he should be ready to go. I'm not too concerned
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 2: about that.
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: You know.
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 2: There is the concern that maybe he'll be a little
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 2: bit shaky because it's his first game. But he's good
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 2: enough that I think he will give us a good
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: effort here. And his numbers against Minnesota are pretty good
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 2: and twenty nine at bats. Yes, they did see him
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 2: last year, but seven strikeouts, one walk, only, one extra
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: base hit allowed, two oh seven batting average allowed in
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 2: a very low four to seventy five ohps allowed.
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: So I like that.
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: I think Cameron should be able to pitch well against
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 2: this Minnesota lineup.
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: Again, Uh, they're not.
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 2: They haven't been good against him in the past, and
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: they're a weak line up anyway, So I like this
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 2: one under. This is my favorite of the three unders.
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: We're getting under eight and a half here too, and
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 2: I found it at minus one thirteen, seventy three percent
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 2: of tickets, ninety one percent of the cash on the under.
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on the under here.
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: And again we're looking at a total that like last year,
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 2: in this same stadium, with this same pitching matchup, this
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 2: total probably would have been seven and a half, and
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 2: now we're looking.
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: At eight and a half here. Why you know what
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: I mean?
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 2: Just again, because Kansas City moved the walls and we
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 2: still don't even know what effect that's gonna have. And yeah,
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: that's a little bit of a risk here, I guess,
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 2: but looking at the first game that Kansas City had
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: at home, it was a complete under in that game,
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 2: So I don't really know that the walls are going
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 2: to really have that much of an effect, especially early
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 2: in the season. You know, early in the season, the
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 2: pitchers usually still are better off than the hitters are.
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: We're starting to see a lot of unders come in
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: after we had that one day, like the official opening
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 2: day was very over heavy, but since then a lot
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 2: of unders have been hitting.
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: So we're going under in this one. Man.
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 2: Yeah, again, I think this one has underwritten all over it,
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 2: and I think we're getting a little bit of value
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 2: on that number two because of the whatever you want
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 2: to call it, the hype surrounding the wall being moved
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 2: in in Kansas City.
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: Dirty saw what's up?
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 2: Thanks for hanging out, but you know it's stupid because
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 2: like the wall is getting moved in me because oh,
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: you're your park is to picture friendly, Like we need
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 2: this game to Baseball needs to be more entertaining, man, Like.
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: What are we gonna do?
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 2: We're gonna move the walls in in Seattle and San
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 2: Diego too, and San Francisco. I don't like it, man,
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 2: I really don't. But I like the under in that
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: game for sure. And then the last game is, you know,
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: not a game that I'm interested in. Cleveland at the Dodgers.
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 2: The Dodgers bounced back with a win last night, not
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: surprising really.
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: Four to one.
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 2: Obviously, the Dodgers are the better team. They have the
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 2: way better offense, there's no question about that. Although Cleveland
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 2: does have the better bullpen in my opinion, so I
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: will give them that at least until we see otherwise.
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 2: If you know, if there is a situation where we
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 2: might be proven wrong, I don't think so. Though the
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 2: Dodgers used three relievers yesterday, Cleveland used two. I'm giving
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 2: Cleveland a bullpen edge in this one, but you gotta
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 2: give the dog the starting pitching edge here. Gavin Williams
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 2: pitcher for Cleveland. He's not bad, but he had way
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 2: too many walks in his first outing.
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: Six walks against Seattle. That's not good.
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: I mean, he did hold them off the board pretty
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: much so because he only allowed two hits in the game,
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 2: so he held Seattle to the three earned runs, which
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: was decent ish.
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: I think he's an okay pitcher.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 2: Against the Dodgers, he struggled though thirty at bats he is.
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: This is ridiculous.
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 2: His strikeout walk ratio and no, I'm not inverting this.
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 2: His strikeout walk ratio against the Dodgers.
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: Is one to nine. Yeah, I'm not inverting that.
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 2: One strikeout, nine walks in his career against the Dodgers.
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 2: I haven't really seen anything like that before. That is
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 2: obviously not good, although he might have some intentional walks there,
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 2: but still, yeah, that's not good. Three thirty batting average
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 2: allowed three thirty three excuse me, and nine to fifty.
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: Four ohps allowed.
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 2: So the Dodgers, Yeah, they've been able to get offense
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 2: going against them. Let's just put it that way. Yamamoto
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 2: is pitching for the Dodgers.
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: He's good.
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 2: I mean, there's not much to say about that. He
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: did well against a pretty good Arizona lineup in his
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 2: first outing. Six innings, two urn runs allowed, six strikeouts,
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: no walks, good outing from him in that one. Cleveland
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: does not have as good of an offense as Arizona does.
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: His numbers against Cleveland in the past it's a small
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 2: sample size seventeen at bats, but he's done well against them.
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: Six strikeouts, one walk, one seventy six batting average allowed,
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 2: four fifty eight ohps allowed. A Yamamoto has done well
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: against them. So that's really all you could say, man,
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 2: I mean, I have to lean to the Dodgers in
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 2: this game. But how you want to approach that game,
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 2: I don't know, Man, they're up to minus two fifty five.
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 2: I mean, I guess it would be a Dodgers minus
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 2: one and a half on the run line. There is
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 2: what makes sense to me in that game. I mean,
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: if you wanted to limit it to the starting pitching though,
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 2: because I think Cleveland might have the better bullpen here.
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 2: Like I said, you could go Dodgers run line first
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 2: five innings and maybe knock that price down, get like
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: a minus one run line on that, so as long
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 2: as they're winning by one run at the end of five,
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: you'll at least get your money back.
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: Maybe that's a way of doing it.
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 2: Or actually, you know what, probably the best way to
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: do this is Cleveland under their team total. Uh but
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: even that, you might want to go under their team
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 2: total in the first five innings to get really granular
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: with it, just because I just don't like the Dodgers' bullpen.
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 2: So you can see why I kind of struggled with
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 2: this game. I just don't want to deal with it.
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 2: So yeah, but you know, I do think, you know, simplification,
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 2: I do think Dodgers run line is also, you know,
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 2: maybe worth considering in that game. All right, that's baseball.
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 2: We're gonna go to hockey in a second, and I
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 2: still gonna talk about NBA and the college basketball Crown,
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 2: which I'm sure that's very addressing to everybody. It's a
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 2: it's a wild situation. Man, I'm gonna take a break.
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 2: I'll be back in a second, and then we'll talk
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 2: about the rest of these games. There are not really
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 2: that many games left to talk about, so hopefully we
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 2: can get this done. All right, I'm back, No, I
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 2: just I just took my usual break. All right, let's
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: get into hockey here, finish this off. Man.
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: We only have three hockey games.
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 2: I don't like any of these games, so it's gonna
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 2: be quick.
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: You could hear me when.
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 2: I was talking about the rest of the baseball, right,
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 2: I talked about the Dodgers last, hopefully.
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: All Right, Vancouver and Colorado.
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 2: I mean, this is the biggest line that you'll see
• 1:18:51
  Speaker 2: in hockey all year. I mean, this is literally the
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 2: best team in hockey at home against the worst team
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 2: in hockey. This is ridiculous. But you know, the price
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 2: is probably the price is probably too heavy. Vancouver has lost,
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 2: you know, six games in a row. They're probably gonna
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 2: at least try to show up for a game against
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 2: Colorado because Vancouver doesn't have anything to play for it
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 2: at this point. So maybe this is a game they're
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 2: gonna get up for Colorado. They're playing out the stretch
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 2: and they're already almost locked into the one seed pretty
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 2: much like home ice throughout the playoffs.
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: Whatever. They're also coming off a nine.
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 2: To two win against Calgary might be feeling a little
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 2: high on themselves, and they have a TV game up
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 2: next on Saturday against Dallas, so that's a pretty big
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 2: look ahead as well.
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: So I would lean to.
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 2: Vancouver in this game. Man, I don't know what the
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 2: puck line looks like here because Colorado's minus four point
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 2: fifty in this game. I mean, if you want to
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 2: take Vancouver, I'm actually interested because this line is so insane, Like,
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 2: let me see here. I'm not gonna actually give it
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 2: out as a play, but hold on, let me see
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 2: what can we get on the puck line on the
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 2: on the Canucks here.
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: You can get you can.
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 2: Get plus two and a half at minus one fifteen
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 2: I see out there right now, actually minus one ten
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 2: at the m book. So yeah, if you wanted to
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 2: do that, that's the way I would play it. Plus
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 2: two and a half on the puck line against vigor.
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 2: When do you ever get that as like a spread play?
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 2: That's what I would actually, you know what, that's that's
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 2: close to being, you know, a play for me, I
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 2: will actually say, it's just so ridiculous.
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: I don't I still don't want to do it, though.
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis and you might get like an empty net
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 2: goal or something that could ruin the whole thing for you,
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 2: although that's not a reason to not play one of
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 2: those games. But yeah, oh no, yeah I was. I
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 2: was also looking at a Wheezer tickets as well, even
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 2: though I can't really even afford anything right now. They're
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 2: one of my favorite bands, so I got to see
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 2: what I could do about that. Saint Louis and the Kings,
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 2: they're in pre sale right now. Man, Saint Louis, they
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 2: have nothing left to play for. So but actually, you
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 2: know what, I don't want to say that Saint Louis
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 2: actually technically is.
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: Not eliminated yet.
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 2: They're actually not that far behind these teams that are
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 2: fighting to get into the playoffs.
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: So I guess you.
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 2: Could make the argument Saint Louis does still have motivation here.
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 2: They did just lose a four game win streak, lost
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 2: to San Jose. Maybe they will show up because Anaheim
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 2: is ahead of them in the standings. Anaheim or excuse me,
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 2: not Anaheim.
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: LA. What am I saying? La? The La Kings.
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 2: Anaheim's playing tonight as well, but La, they're staying at
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 2: home and they're coming off a gross loss.
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: To Utah six to two.
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 2: LA, Like, dude, like the last playoff spot has kind
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 2: of right been right there for the take game because
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 2: Nashville is playing so bad, LA could have just taken
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 2: that spot over, but instead they've lost four of their
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 2: last five games, although granted they did have some overtime
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 2: losses in there, so actually five of their last six
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 2: games my mistake, but those overtime losses at least did
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 2: give them some points.
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: But still, I.
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 2: Think they're going to be in bounced back mode after
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 2: that bad Utah loss. The Kings are literally like one
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 2: point out of the last playoff spot right now behind Nashville,
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 2: so I think they will have a lot of motivation here.
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis is not that far behind them, though, like
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 2: I said, so they might have motivation as well. I
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 2: think the money is coming in on the Kings though,
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 2: sixty percent of tickets around Saint Louis sixty percent of
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 2: the cash on La LA. It might just won thirty
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 2: seven here. I agree with the Kings in this one,
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 2: but not really a strong opinion here. And as you know,
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 2: I always point out the Kings are not very good
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 2: at home, so that's another slight issue there. But it's
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 2: not a reason, you know, in of itself to never
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 2: play them in a home game, you know what I mean,
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 2: That would be kind of crazy, And they're not as
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 2: bad as the Rangers at least, So.
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: Those are my thoughts on that.
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 2: Anaheim at San Jose is the last game T and
• 1:23:04
  Speaker 2: T True TVHBO Max. Anaheim is winning their division right now,
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 2: so they're pretty safe as far as making the playoffs,
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 2: so they might not have They might not have that
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 2: much to play for here. They did just return home
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 2: from a road trip and they lost to Toronto. I
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 2: mentioned that was a difficult spot returning home from from
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 2: the road, having to go back out on the road
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 2: right after that, playing a team that they were probably
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 2: gonna overlook.
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: They lost to Toronto.
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 2: Maybe they will bounce back in this game, but really
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 2: they don't have that much to play for at this
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 2: point because they pretty much know they're gonna be in
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 2: the playoffs here. San Jose, I think, is not totally
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 2: out of it yet, so San Jose might give you
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 2: an effort here. They return home from the road in
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 2: their last game as well, but they're actually staying at
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 2: home and they got by Saint Louis in that game.
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 2: I thought Saint Louis was the right side in that game.
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 2: I think San Jose did get the win, but they're
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 2: not gonna overlook Anaheim in a TV game, you know,
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 2: Anaheim winning their division, I'm pretty sure, which I thought
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 2: San Jose might be looking ahead to this game in
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 2: their last game there, which is why I think I
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 2: gave out Saint Louis as a lean in that last game.
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I would lean to San Jose in this one. Man.
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 2: They're you know, there's not much your a chance they're
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 2: gonna make the playoffs at this point. But Anaheim is
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 2: pretty safely in so. And Anaheim is not very good
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 2: on the road either. That's another thing to consider. Anaheim
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 2: is below five hundred on the road. They're at only
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 2: minus one twelve. It looks pretty easy to play Anaheim here,
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 2: seventy five percent of tickets on them, fifty seven percent
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 2: of the cash on San Jose. I agree with that
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 2: money there. I would lean San Jose in that game,
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 2: all right. NBA uh yeah, we do have a good
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 2: amount of NBA here. Fuck, this is gonna be a
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 2: long show. My god, this is dude. Baseball takes way
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 2: too much. Oh my God, I'm gonna be happy once
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 2: the regular season is over here for these other sports.
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia at Washington, I mean, this is a game, Washington.
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 2: I mean they're just playing out the stretch. Like, will
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 2: they actually get up for this game?
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Philadelphia is at full strength again.
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 2: In Philadelphia is trying to avoid having to play in
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 2: the play in at this point. So Philadelphia does have
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 2: some motivation here.
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: They did just.
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 2: Lose to Miami in their last game. But you know,
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 2: Washington's an easy team to overlook too. Washington though they
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 2: were turning over from a road trip, but that's not good.
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 2: They were out on the West Coast, so they've been
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 2: on the road actually since Sunday, March twenty second, although
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 2: they were in New York for that one. But then
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 2: they went to Elevation and went all the way out
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 2: to the West coast. So you know, return home spot
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 2: a lot of times the team won't do well when
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 2: they return home. They'll be distracted. They have to get
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 2: back to home life. Maybe Philadelphia is not enough to
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 2: get them up for this game. But Philadelphia's laying fifteen
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 2: and a half points here. I mean, I'm not gonna
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 2: lay that on the road, No way. There are some
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 2: situations where I would recommend it, very very rare, but
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 2: not this one.
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: Three percent of ticket, sixty one percent of the cash.
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 2: On the sixers, so the money is kind of indicating
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 2: on taking the points of the Wizards. I certainly don't
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 2: want to do that either, though, you know, Philadelphia, they
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 2: at least have some motivation here. I mean, I might
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 2: have a slight lean towards laying the points in that one,
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 2: as bad as that seems, but you know, I don't
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 2: want to do anything with that game at all. Atlanta
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 2: at Orlando is a more interesting game. These teams are
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 2: fighting for playoff positioning here, they're both trying to avoid
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 2: the playing games as well. Atlanta coming off a big
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 2: win over the Celtics, though, so this could be a
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 2: little bit of a letdown spot, even though they shouldn't
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 2: overlook Orlando. But Orlando's way behind them in the standings
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 2: right now, and they did just beat Orlando by twelve
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 2: on the sixteenth in Atlanta, so Orlando might have some
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 2: adjustments to make here. Orlando still is gonna be without
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 2: Franz Wagner. Dude, like he's supposed to be close to
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 2: coming back, but he's not back yet. And the problem
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 2: with Orlando is they played yesterday and they beat Phoenix.
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 2: That was a correct lean for me on the show yesterday.
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 2: Orlando on a back to back now, though, but they
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 2: are at least staying at home. You know, I think
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 2: I do actually still lean towards Orlando even though they
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 2: are on.
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: A back to back.
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 2: Because they're on the back to back, the Hawks are
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 2: probably gonna be a little bit overpriced.
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: Here, because that has to get factored into the line.
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 2: The Hawks are minus four and a half, sixty six
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 2: percent of tickets on them, sixty one percent of the
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 2: cash on Orlando.
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree with that.
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 2: I would lean to the Magic in that one as well,
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 2: getting points at home in a spot like that. But
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 2: both teams, you know, might be likely to show up
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 2: in that one though, but maybe Orlando just a little
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 2: bit more. But then again, Orlando, you know, I don't
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 2: love playing teams on no rest either. ESPN has a doubleheader.
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 2: The first game up is Boston at Miami, My Boston Celtics.
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: They're gonna try to bounce back.
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 2: The Celtics have a decent cushion right now over the
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 2: Knicks because the Knicks lost last night, so the Celtics
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 2: are leading for that number two seed by two and
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 2: a half games right now, so maybe some motivations still
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 2: for the Celtics. Celtics under Joe Mazzoula, the Celtics have
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 2: been really good at bouncing back off of losses. Tatum
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 2: did not play in that game they lost to Atlanta
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 2: on Monday.
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: Maybe they will show up for a game against the Heat.
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 1: The Heat are trying to avoid the play in.
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 2: Though the Heat are pretty good at home twenty four
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 2: to fourteen, Celtics are actually as good on the road.
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 2: Though twenty four to fourteen on the road, Celtics not
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 2: a bad road team by any means. Let me see
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 2: here was I was looking at the injury report. It
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 2: looks like everybody's gonna be in there for the Celtics.
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 2: Ron Harper Junior is a game time decision. But other
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 2: than that, I believe isn't he the guy that made
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 2: that very famous maybe not that famous anymore, three pointer
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 2: buzzer beater in the NCAA Tournament for Georgia State when
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 2: they beat Baylor.
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: I won money on that game, by the way, back
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: in the day.
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 2: Wasn't that him and his coach was his father, and
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 2: his coach fell out of his chair.
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: Do you guys remember that it was like it was a.
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 2: Four versus or thirteen versus four upset or something like that,
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 2: or fourteen versus three.
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: Maybe I don't know.
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 2: I think it was like a nine and a half
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 2: point up set. I had money on the points and
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 2: now I don't know. I'm rambling now my bracket autism.
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 2: And then for the heat, Andrew Wiggins is a game
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 2: time decision, so I don't know things to look out
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 2: for there.
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: He's questionable.
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 2: He'll probably play, though it would be my guests. Celtics
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 2: are deep team though, so Harper being in or out
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 2: doesn't really matter.
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: From Miami.
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 2: Miami is coming up beating Philadelphia in their last game
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 2: in Miami. Might have a little bit extra motivation here
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 2: because they're trying to avoid the play in they get
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 2: to play the Celtics at home on TV. So I
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 2: really don't love the spot for the Celtics here, even
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 2: though the Celtics are pretty good at bouncing back, but
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 2: maybe not in this one. They're at minus five, they're
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 2: public side, seventy six percent of the tickets, seventy two
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the Celtics.
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna lean towards taking the points of the heat.
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 2: But it's not a strong opinion for me in that one,
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 2: And obviously I'm just gonna root for the Celtics for
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 2: my rooting interests there. Unfortunately, the Knicks have a pretty
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 2: easy matchup here against Memphis, although the Knicks are not
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 2: exactly in the greatest scheduling spot because they played last
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 2: night in Houston, although they got pretty much blasted at Houston,
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 2: but the Knicks are not very good on the road man. Now, yeah,
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 2: they're gonna try to get up and try to salvage
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 2: a game here, especially with the Celtics having a tough
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 2: game tonight, possibly the Knicks trying to close that gap there.
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: I think the Knicks will probably actually show up, but.
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 2: They're playing on a back to back, third game in
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 2: four days, all in different cities.
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: That's not really that easy to do.
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 2: But remember last night, they were kind of in a
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 2: bad spot because they played Oklahoma City pretty tight in
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 2: the prior game, which is a big.
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: Effort from them. They should.
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 2: I mean, I think they're gonna at least win this game,
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 2: but covering is a different story. Memphis is staying at
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 2: home off a blowout loss to Phoenix and didn't play yesterday.
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 2: And you know, Memphis, they're a team just playing out
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 2: the stretch here, but this might be one game that
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 2: they will get up for against a playoff team, you know,
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 2: playoffs where maybe they can play a little bit of
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 2: a spoiler role.
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: Here. The money is indicating on taking the boys with Memphis.
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: For what that's worth.
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 2: The Knicks dropped from sixteen and a half to fourteen
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 2: and a half here, seventy six percent of the.
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: Tickets and only sixty six percent.
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 2: Of the cash on the Knicks, So the money is
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 2: indicating towards the Grizzlies plus the points there. I mean,
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 2: that game is definitely not one that I want any
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 2: involvement in, though I'm skipping this entire board, so you know,
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 2: I'm being really picky. Sacramento at Toronto. This is pretty
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 2: ugly as well. Sacramento coming off of four straight losses here.
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 2: They just got blown out by Brooklyn. I mean, that
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 2: is an embarrassing loss. Maybe it's so embarrassing that maybe
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 2: they will show up and try to at least get
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 2: one game on the road trip here. But they're playing
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 2: a third game in four days, I believe. Oh no, no, no,
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 2: they've had two days off.
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: My mistake.
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 2: So yeah, actually Sacramento does have a little bit of
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 2: rest here. I can't do math anymore, calendar math anymore.
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 2: How many days are in March April?
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: Fools?
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 2: No, Yeah, so Sacramento has had two days off, So
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 2: that's actually good considering that Toronto has had no days off.
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 2: Toronto had to play Detroit last night on the road
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 2: and now they're having to return home from that. Now
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 2: Toronto does have motivation because they're also trying to avoid
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 2: being in the play ins in the East. But they're
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 2: coming off a big game with no rest and travel.
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 2: So I think you gotta lean to the Kings.
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 1: In this spot.
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 2: Man in Toronto is not a good home team either,
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 2: and asking him to lay this many points, I think
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 2: it's too many points.
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: They're laying thirteen eighty eight.
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 2: Percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash on Toronto,
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 2: some money kind of indicating towards Toronto.
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: I don't agree with it.
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 2: I would lean towards taking the points, but you know,
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 2: it wouldn't shock me if the Kings just have a
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 2: total no show too.
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 1: So it's very hard to gauge.
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 2: That, Like, do you think the Kings are gonna give
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 2: you effort in that game? Is kind of the question
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 2: that you have to answer there. Indiana at Chicago, this
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 2: is ridiculous Indiana. They're coming up of a nice win
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 2: over the Miami Heat that was a big win for Indiana.
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 2: I mean, Indiana has nothing really left to play for,
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 2: so they're gonna get up for certain games, probably where
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 2: they get to play spoiler perhaps whatever. Their next three
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 2: games are all bigger than this game against Chicago. They're
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 2: playing Charlotte, Cleveland, Minnesota, so I think they might look
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 2: past Chicago here. Problem is, I think Chicago is dealing
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 2: with a lot of distractions here because of the stupid.
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: Jade and Ivy thing.
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 2: You know, they got rid of him just because he
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 2: spoke out against Pride night. And Chicago's also not really
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 2: in a good spot either because they're returning home from
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 2: a road trip.
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 1: They've been on the roads.
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 2: It's last Wednesday, and they played San Antonio in their
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 2: last game, although they lost by fifteen, but returning over
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 2: from a road trip not a good spot, so they
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 2: might be distracted.
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: They could easily overlook Indiana.
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 2: Here because they gotta play the Knicks in their next game,
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 2: and that's a bigger game. It's on NBA TV, so
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 2: it's a bad spot for both teams.
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: So what does that mean. I think Over is worth
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: a look in this game. Again.
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 2: I think the Bulls might be distracted because of the
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 2: Ivy stuff too. As far as the side the money
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 2: is indicating on the Pacers, Bulls seventy eight percent of tickets,
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 2: only fifty three percent of the cash on them, they're
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 2: laying four and a half.
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: I'm not necessarily gonna.
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 2: Disagree with the Pacers because the return home spot is
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 2: really quite bad. So I'm not really gonna disagree with
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 2: the Pacers, but Over makes a lot of sense to me.
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 2: The problem with that is the totals already shot up
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 2: from two forty two and a half all the way
• 1:34:52
  Speaker 2: to two forty nine already, so you know, there's not
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 2: much value in that over anymore, man, So it's got
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 2: to be a stay away. But you know, I do
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 2: think it's gonna be a very high scoring game. Like,
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 2: you have two teams that are in bad spots and
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 2: are not going anywhere this year, so usually that that
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 2: combination all pretty much means you're not gonna get really
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 2: good defense out of these teams whatsoever, So it's gonna
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 2: be like basically a scrimmage in my opinion.
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: So over is my opinion in that game.
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 2: Even still at that higher price, that's the way I
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 2: would lean, But I don't think you want to really
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 2: take it, you know, losing that much value. Again, timing
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 2: the market is important, and you know, losing that much
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 2: value on the number is not something I would be
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 2: really willing to do. So fifty two percent of tickets
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 2: on the under, ninety eight percent of the cash on
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 2: the over, though, I do think the over is the correct.
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: Lean in that game. Nonetheless, though.
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 2: Milwaukee at Houston, Milwaukee pretty much nothing to play for
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 2: for them playing out the stretch here. They did just
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 2: beat Dallas to end a losing streak, so maybe they'll
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 2: carry that momentum into this game. Maybe they'll show up
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 2: game against Houston. But they're on a back to back,
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 2: so Milwaukee played last night. Now they have to travel
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 2: to Houston. Milwaukee actually might get up more for their
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 2: next game against the Celtics. Try to play you know,
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 2: maybe slight spoiler there, although the Celtics, you know, I
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 2: don't know how much they care about the two versus
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 2: the three, But the Celtics should care because it looks
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 2: like we're really headed towards a Celtics Knicks matchup in
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 2: the second round of the playoffs, and having a home
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 2: advantage is gonna be big because the Knicks are way
• 1:36:28
  Speaker 2: better at home than they are on the road. Celtics
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 2: are pretty good on the road, but the Celtics, they
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 2: still want to be at home. Man for that, you
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 2: know what I mean. So I don't know, I'm rambling
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 2: a little bit here, but Milwaukee and Houston, Yeah, I mean,
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 2: I don't know how much Milwaukee's gonna get up for this.
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: They're on the back to back.
• 1:36:44
  Speaker 2: Houston is also on a back to back, though, and
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 2: they just had a really big win last night against
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 2: the Knicks, so they could be in a letdown spot here.
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 2: They only have Utah on deck, which isn't a big deal,
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 2: but it looks like could simply be a let down
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 2: spot for Houston here. Houston is going a lot better
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 2: at home than on the road, though, and the money
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 2: is all coming in on Houston. Fifty of the tickets
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 2: are on the Bucks, seventy two percent of the cash
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 2: on Houston they're up to seventeen and a half.
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: I would not lay that though you got a really
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: low total of two eighteen here.
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 2: Houston just hasn't been covering spreads either, so I know
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 2: they just had a nice win and cover against the Knicks,
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 2: but I think the letdown.
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: Spot is worse for Houston here.
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 2: I'd actually probably lean towards taking the points with the Bucks,
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 2: although again, the Bucks could potentially just not show up
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 2: in that game, so that's kind of the risk you're
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 2: taking there.
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: Denver at Utah.
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 2: Denver has actually been a decent road team, but they
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 2: are coming off a nice win over Golden State. I mean,
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 2: Golden State still carries a lot of weight behind their name,
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 2: and Denver is a big game against San Antonio next,
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 2: so this weird single road game against Utah doesn't look
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 2: like the greatest spot for them.
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: The question is is Utah actually gonna show up? I
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: don't know.
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 2: Utah is coming off a really tough game. They're staying
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 2: at home, but they just they played Cleveland on Monday
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 2: and they played pretty close. They only lost by nine,
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 2: and that game was tied with like four minutes to
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 2: go or something like that in that game, so Utah
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 2: pretty much put in an all out effort against Cleveland
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 2: in that game.
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 1: It fell short.
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 2: So I don't love the spot for Utah coming off
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 2: of that, even though they should get up for Denver.
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 2: Denver just beat Utah in Denver, but only by six
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 2: back on Friday, so Denver actually might take Utah a
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 2: little bit more seriously because of that, because Utah played
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 2: them closer than expected. It's a tough read in this game,
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 2: and again I don't want anything to do with it.
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 2: The Nuggets are laying seventeen points and the money is
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 2: coming in on them seventy seven percent of the cash
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 2: on Denver, fifty eight percent of tickets on the Jazz.
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 2: I don't like it, man, I really don't. I'd probably
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 2: lean gwards taking the points of the Jazz in that
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 2: game still, but the money is indicating completely in the
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 2: opposite direction there. And then the final game in the
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 2: ESPN doubleheader is a game that would be better if
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 2: Golden State didn't have a bunch of injuries, but it's
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 2: San Antonio and Golden State. San Antonio still has a
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 2: chance to leap frog Oklahoma City, but they don't play
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 2: each other again for the rest of the season, so
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 2: it's unlikely they're gonna be able to do that, but
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 2: you never know. San Antonio. They're just they're cruising right now.
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 2: I mean they have momentum. I mean they're coming off
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 2: some easy wins. Not really a horrible spot for them really.
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 1: For Golden State.
• 1:39:29
  Speaker 2: Golden State is coming off losing pretty badly in Denver,
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 2: but they're returning home from Denver. That game was on Sunday,
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 2: so they do have a couple of days off. They're
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 2: not gonna overlook San Antonio in a TV game, though,
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 2: you know, so, I think Golden State will get up
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 2: for it. But Curry is still out for the Warriors,
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 2: so they're just kind of playing out the stretch. The
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 2: Spurs are laying thirteen and a half on the road
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 2: here in a game with a total that's not that
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 2: high in the two twenties, eighty eight percent of the tickets,
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 2: eighty nine percent of the cash on the Spurs. I'm
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 2: gonna lead towards taking the boys of the Warriors in
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 2: that one. The Spurs public side there. But I don't
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 2: have a good feel for really any of these NBA
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 2: games today.
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: Man, I don't even know, like, what is even my strongest.
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 2: Opinion in the NBA team, I don't even really have one,
• 1:40:14
  Speaker 2: you know. I would actually probably say it would be
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 2: the over in that Indiana Chicago game, except that the
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 2: line has gotten totally out of control. So yeah, it's
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 2: a bad NBA board today, all right. And then we
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 2: have the College Basketball Crown before I get out of here,
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 2: So this is weird.
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: This is the second year of the College Basketball Crown.
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 2: Last year, sixteen teams were in it, and this year
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 2: it's only eight. Now, the teams are incentivized to play
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 2: in it because for each win that you get in
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 2: this tournament, your school gets more nil money. So that's
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 2: what these teams are playing for nil money here. And
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 2: the further you go in this tournament, the more you
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 2: get out of this overall like nil prize money pool.
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 2: So two of the four first round games are being
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 2: played tonight.
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: All these games are in Las Vegas.
• 1:41:04
  Speaker 2: At least Tonight's games are at the MGM Grand I
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 2: think the whole tournament is in Las Vegas.
• 1:41:08
  Speaker 1: If I'm not mistaken. They might use two different arenas
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 1: for it. Now.
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 2: One thing to consider is that these games could be
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 2: low scoring, especially early on, because I know the total
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 2: in this first game is really high, which I'll talk
• 1:41:22
  Speaker 2: about in a minute, but the games could be a
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 2: bit lower scoring early on because the teams have to
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 2: get used to this arena, you know what I mean,
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 2: Like these teams have been off for a long time,
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 2: Like these teams haven't played for like two weeks basically,
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 2: so that could make the offenses go cold and having
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 2: to get useless site lines at this new arena in
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 2: the MGM Grand.
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: You know the M starting with an M and ending
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 1: in a GM.
• 1:41:45
  Speaker 2: They don't have the actual lion at the MGM Grand
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 2: anymore though.
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: It's an empty cage. I've seen it. But yeah, so
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 1: you get what I'm saying.
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 2: Like under in the first half kind of makes sense
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 2: in games like this because these teams could come out
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 2: not shooting well, having to get used to the site
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 2: lines and not having played offense in quite a while.
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 1: Now. The first game is Oklahoma and Colorado.
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 2: The way this tournament works is I believe the Big Twelve,
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 2: Big Ten, and Big East all got a one auto
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 2: bid into this tournament, and I think it was like
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 2: whoever the best team was that didn't.
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 1: Make the NCAA tournament or so.
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know if that's right, because Oklahoma, I believe,
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 2: got invited to the NIT and they turned it down
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 2: to play in this game, so I don't even know
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 2: do it. I honestly don't even know how it works.
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 2: But Oklahoma's not in one of those conferences. They're in
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 2: the SEC, so I don't even know, dude, I honestly
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 2: don't know exactly how it was determined who's playing in
• 1:42:43
  Speaker 2: this thing. Oklahoma seems like they want to be here, though,
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 2: because again they explicitly turned down the NIT to play
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 2: in this It seems like they want the nil money.
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 2: They're playing Colorado and this line has gone up from
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 2: six to ten on Oklahoma, and the reason for that
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 2: is Colorado basically has nobody playing in this game. So
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 2: this is basically becoming like a bowl game where Oklahoma
• 1:43:06
  Speaker 2: seems like they kind of want to be here. Colorado,
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 2: like three of their best players are opting out of
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 2: this game and hitting like the transfer portal. So this
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 2: is the new age man with the transfer board. It's like,
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 2: why is Colorado even here?
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 1: Then?
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 2: If you know they're gonna have guys just opt out
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 2: of this, It's It's dumb, dude, it really is. And
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 2: the incentive is a little bit more in games like this,
• 1:43:29
  Speaker 2: because you can get your school nil money, you know
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 2: what I mean, Whereas like in the bowls, I don't
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 2: think that's the case.
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know.
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 2: Maybe in the bulls it is still the case. I
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 2: don't like just playing in the ball give you money.
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know. I don't know what's
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 1: going on here.
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 2: I don't think I would want to fade Oklahoma though Colorado.
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, sometimes your backups will get up, and
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 2: sometimes the line will overreact to too many guys being
• 1:43:53
  Speaker 2: out on the other side, you know what I mean.
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 2: But Colorado's gonna have some backups that haven't played that
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 2: much coming in, and yeah, they'll be excited to play.
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 2: But I don't know if it's gonna be enough. Man,
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 2: sixty three percent of tickets, sixty four percent of the
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 2: cash on Oklahoma. Oklahoma certainly should win this game. I
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 2: don't want to lay ten points either, though. I mean,
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 2: this is a stay away from me for sure. The
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 2: total is also high in the one sixties. I think
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 2: maybe partially because Colorado is just not going to have
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 2: some of their better defenders here.
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 2: I think the total might be too high though, because
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 2: Oklahoma does actually play slow. I'm pretty sure they're a
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 2: weird team where they actually are a really good offense,
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 2: but they play slow.
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: They take a lot of threes. Colorado, I don't think,
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 1: is that good at defending the three. So I don't know.
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 2: I mean the money is slightly coming in towards the under, though,
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 2: fifty nine percent of tickets on the over, fifty five
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the under.
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: The total one.
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 2: Sixty six is quite high if you wanted to go
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 2: under first five innings, you know, and go with these
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 2: teams to start slow, like I said, in an unfamiliar arena,
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 2: with the offenses having been off for so long. I
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 2: don't hate that approach, but I don't really want to
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 2: do it.
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 2: The second game looks like it's more of an underconducive game,
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 2: although of course that's why the total is so low.
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 2: At one forty eight and a half. It's actually gone
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 2: up a little bit, which is Baylor in Minnesota sixty
• 1:45:16
  Speaker 2: five percent of tickets ninety four percent of the cash
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 2: on the over. There. By the way, one other thing
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 2: to consider is how did these teams finish.
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma almost pulled off.
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 2: An upset, like they made a nice run, a little
• 1:45:27
  Speaker 2: run in the SEC tournament. If you remember, they almost
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 2: beat who was at Arkansas? I think it was Arkansas.
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 2: So Oklahoma is coming off a game where they almost
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 2: pulled off a big upset, so that is something to consider.
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 2: Like when that was the last time a team played
• 1:45:43
  Speaker 2: and they put in a huge effort, you know, and
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 2: almost pulled off an upset, I don't love that team
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 2: in the next game, so I don't love Oklahoma for
• 1:45:50
  Speaker 2: that reason. Whereas Colorado bowed out of the Big Twelve
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 2: almost immediately. But then again, it looks like Colorado's just
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 2: not caring about this game. Baylor in Minnesota, they both
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 2: had early exits from their conference tournaments, so there's nothing
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 2: to really see there.
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: I think they're both going to be motivated in this game.
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 1: It looks like neither team.
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 2: Has opt outs here, so I think you're gonna get
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 2: the full compliment of players in this one.
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 1: It makes it easier to handicap.
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 2: Baylor's a four point favorite, and I actually think rightfully,
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 2: so I think people had this game a little bit wrong.
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 2: It looks like the money is coming in on Baylor
• 1:46:24
  Speaker 2: seventy two percent of tickets eighty nine percent of the
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 2: cash on Baylor. I actually agree mostly with Baylor in
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 2: this one. I think Baylor is actually the better team,
• 1:46:32
  Speaker 2: and I think Baylor has been very unlucky this year
• 1:46:35
  Speaker 2: and underperformed quite a bit. I don't know if ken
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 2: Bom up right now, but I think Baylor was pretty
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 2: low in his Luck Index, like Baylor was in like
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 2: the top fifty and ken BOM's rankings I think at
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 2: the end of the season, whereas Minnesota I think was
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 2: probably about in the seventies or so. So Baylor is
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 2: actually the better team, and people might not think that
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 2: because Baylor made no noise this year and they look
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 2: pretty ugly.
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 1: Baylor plays it's a weird style. We're kind of like Oklahoma.
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 2: Baylor is playing slow, but they have a good offense
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 2: this year, not a good defense.
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 1: I believe it's the case.
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 2: So that is one thing from Minnesota here is they
• 1:47:12
  Speaker 2: actually do have the better defense. So Minnesota they play
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 2: slow as well, but they're way better on defense than offense,
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 2: so better defense getting points sometimes I do like to
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 2: look that way. That is something that's in favorite of
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 2: Minnesota hear, but I think I still like Baylor in
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 2: this one.
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 2: I just think they're overall the better team, and I
• 1:47:30
  Speaker 2: think the looking at the team's records I think makes
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 2: Baylor look worse than they actually are. Like looking at
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 2: the team's records, well, both teams actually finished with pretty
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 2: bad records, but a five hundred team. People are not
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 2: gonna want to lay that many points with a five
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 2: hundred team, so against the team another team that was
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 2: close to five hundred.
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: So those are my thoughts on that.
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 2: And then Oklahoma people are probably not even gonna want
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 2: to lay ten with Oklahoma, you know, and a pretty
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 2: bad record there. But Colorado again just not even like
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 2: I was gonna say, not fielding an entire team here.
• 1:48:03
  Speaker 2: They're not courting an entire team here. They're not wooing
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 2: their players enough, which is actually true. They're not incentivizing
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 2: their players to actually playing this game anyway. Location Wise, yeah,
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 2: Colorado actually probably has a location edge out of all
• 1:48:17
  Speaker 2: these teams playing in Vegas, but that's not really gonna
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 2: matter when they're basically like, you know, their team just
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 2: has too many opt outs. Man, So I don't like it.
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 2: I don't want to do anything with any of these games.
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 2: You know, an under in the second game kind of
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 2: makes sense to me in a way because it looks
• 1:48:32
  Speaker 2: like it's gonna be a lower scoring game. But I
• 1:48:34
  Speaker 2: worry because Baylor is a much more offensive team and
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 2: their defense is not that good. So if both teams
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 2: are slow defensive teams, I would agree with that, but
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 2: then again, the total would be a lot lower if
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 2: that was the case.
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 1: So but you know, first first.
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 2: Half, I think I said, first five innings, I'm in
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 2: baseball mode, man. First half under makes sense though, because
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 2: teams are gonna have to get used to the site
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 2: lines and whatever, you know what I mean. And that
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 2: could have in Oklahoma's three point shooting early in their
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 2: game too, because teams that take more threes tend to
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 2: get more affected by having to get used to the
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 2: site lines.
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: Which we're gonna talk about that in the final four.
• 1:49:10
  Speaker 2: Really that's a huge I don't want to say huge,
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 2: but it's more impactful in the final four because they're
• 1:49:17
  Speaker 2: playing in this massive football stadium, so the site lines
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 2: really get kind of fucked up. But we'll talk about
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 2: that when we get Saturday, man. But anyway, Yeah, those
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 2: are my thoughts on the Crown. The first two games.
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 2: I think the second game is gonna be kind of
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 2: more exciting to watch in the first game.
• 1:49:33
  Speaker 1: But we'll see. We'll see what happens.
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 2: Man, it's more college basketball, so there is that that's
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 2: gonna do it. My plays today we have three baseball players.
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 2: Chicago Cubs run line or minus one run line. If
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 2: you want to do a split that make your own
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 2: minus one run line on the minus one and a
• 1:49:50
  Speaker 2: half run line of money line.
• 1:49:51
  Speaker 1: You could do that too.
• 1:49:53
  Speaker 2: We're going under in Yankee Seattle again. Maybe you can
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 2: find a seven and a half at a cheaper price.
• 1:50:00
  Speaker 2: If it's seven and a half at minus one twenty
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 2: or cheaper, I would probably do it that way, but
• 1:50:04
  Speaker 2: for now, seven was the better price I could find.
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 2: And we're going under the eight and a half in
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 2: Minnesota Kansas City as well. That's gonna do it all baseball, Man,
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 2: we're in baseball mode for sure.
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 1: I'll be back tomorrow. We'll have more to talk about
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 1: the n I T.
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 2: I believe re zooms tomorrow and I believe the n
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 2: T semifinals or tom is it. Yeah, I think the
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 2: NIT semifinals are tomorrow. So we're gonna we're gonna talk
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 2: about that it's gonna do it for now man, and
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 2: final four up coming over the weekend. We're gonna have
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 2: more baseball to talk about. Tomorrow is a very small
• 1:50:38
  Speaker 2: baseball slate, so at least there's that it'll be a
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 2: shorter show tomorrow for that reason, but there's gonna be
• 1:50:42
  Speaker 2: more hockey. So eh, all right, I'll be back tomorrow.
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 1: I appreciate it.
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 2: Guys, learn a tone on Twitter, learn it tone on Instagram, like,
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 2: subscribe to the channel here, give me good replies here.
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 2: I hope everybody's okay. I hope mister Pinsey didn't run
• 1:50:57
  Speaker 2: away because I yelled at him the other day. I
• 1:50:59
  Speaker 2: think he came back the next day. But I miss
• 1:51:01
  Speaker 2: some of these guys, mister Pinsey, Jeffrey. Hopefully everybody's all right.
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 2: Hopefully people are gonna come back. We're on audio as
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 2: well with the show, so you can check it out there, Apple, Spotify.
• 1:51:12
  Speaker 1: That helps me out.
• 1:51:13
  Speaker 2: Covered in yuke My YouTube, YUK channel, Patreon, dot com,
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 2: slash learned it so and I know I gotta, as
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 2: I always say, I gotta get more stuff going on
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 2: for the Patreon. I gotta figure something out there. Give
• 1:51:24
  Speaker 2: me a break, man, it's my birthday tomorrow.
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 1: Come on, man? Uh and what else?
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 2: Uh?
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 1: Oh? Loser cast?
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 2: We had an episode last night. I was not a
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 2: fan of it last night. No I can say it
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 2: because nobody's gonna watch this show, So there you go.
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 1: I was not a fan of it. Technical issues are.
• 1:51:44
  Speaker 2: The audio quality that our guests had was unbelievably bad.
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie.
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 2: I it was torture for me to be in that
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 2: show last night, So I don't know. I would say
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 2: watch it, but I can't even justify watching last night's episode,
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 2: to be honest. Hopefully we're to normal next week with
• 1:52:01
  Speaker 2: a better Loser cast. I apologize for last night's show,
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 2: but you know, I should have been more vocal about
• 1:52:09
  Speaker 2: we got to make sure that our guests actually have
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 2: audio quality that's not the shittiest audio quality that.
• 1:52:16
  Speaker 1: I've ever seen. So you know or heard Yankee smack?
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 1: What are we?
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 2: I don't even know is he a Yankee fan? I
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 2: don't even know what's going on here, or you or
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 2: you guys are Yankee fans. I have no idea. I
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 2: don't know who you guys root for. I thought you
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 2: guys were all New Englanders. I don't know I don't
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 2: know what's going on here, but yeah, you can let
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 2: me know.
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Though, I gotta get out of here.
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna have some lunch in a minute, toun, and
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 2: see if I can get, you know, a Weezer ticket
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 2: that's a decent seat, that's not that expensive, if I can,
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 2: because I like Weezers, so all right, Well, I prefer
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 2: you guys over pinsy.
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 1: I knew it.
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 2: Go Red Sox do the Red Sox. They're gonna they're
• 1:52:59
  Speaker 2: not gonna be this bad for the remainder of the season. Okay,
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 2: it's gonna start today. They'll they'll get the win with
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 2: Crochet on the mound. Come on, uh, they better. But
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 2: that's gonna do it for now.
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 1: Man Peace