Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Divisional Round Playoffs Gambling Picks, Vrabel's Back, Inevitable Chiefs
Transcript
- 0:003 for the Money is brought to you by the Trend Center app. This is the best tool for sports
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- 0:54Playoff football was a nice change of pace. I'll speak for everyone here when I thought it was
- 1:08kind of nice where it was just one game on at a time and that's what I could focus on. That's
- 1:14what I enjoyed. I did not enjoy going 3-in-3 with a surefire loss. I know that I think I might have
- 1:29the best record on the show from last week, but that's okay. But before we move on to the other
- 1:35gentleman, we are brought to you by the Trend Center app. Link is in the description, 15% off of a
- 1:43premium membership. It's the greatest tool on the planet for sports bettors. Check that out
- 1:52right after you watch this. Okay, Chris, how did you do?
- 1:57Bad. Worse than you. I went 2-in-4 with a surefire loss. For some reason, I bet the chargers and
- 2:07then, well, I know I bet the chargers, I thought they were better. Then I was reminded that they
- 2:15will just always choke in the playoffs. To the end of days, they will choke in the playoffs.
- 2:23I thought maybe with Harbaugh it would be different. Apparently it ain't. They're doomed to mediocrity
- 2:31forever. Even if I had won that, it still would have been very mediocre. Just not a good week, but
- 2:39love the card this weekend. We're on to the divisional round. I'm pumped. How we feeling, Sean?
- 2:49Yeah, I only won one bet. Shout out Rams. What's up? I was going to say you won one bet,
- 2:56but it was your last one. Yep. Thank God it was my surefire as well. There we go.
- 3:04Thank God it was a double unit plus 125 winner. Maybe feel a little better, I guess, but
- 3:12I felt really good about my picks last week. I felt like these are locked in. I will go 6-0.
- 3:22Living, learn, I guess. Moving on to the divisional round.
- 3:29Nothing good has ever happened to me when I was like, yeah, this card fucking rocks.
- 3:35It's always been like, well, we'll see how this goes. It's like, oh, like 8-2? Awesome.
- 3:41What? I could do this for a living.
- 3:43Moving on. Talking about the games. Four games on the slate. That's it.
- 3:55What is it? There's four games this week, two next week, and then one more after that.
- 4:04The big one. Kind of puts it into perspective there. Very sad. Oh well. At least what we can do
- 4:12is make some money. Okay, first game. Seven more NFL games. Yes, seven more NFL games.
- 4:19First game, Texans at the Chiefs, Saturday, 3.30 game. Spread is 8.5 in favor for the Chiefs
- 4:32in Kansas City. I'm going to throw it to Sean first. What do you think, Sean?
- 4:36I'm going to go under 41.5 again. Another Texans under. This was the exact same total as last week.
- 4:48And this burned me last week. But thanks to Justin Herbert playing the worst game of his entire life.
- 4:58You don't have to worry about turnovers this week, probably. Justin Herbert throwing more
- 5:04interceptions in one game than he did the entire regular season. Crazy. But it's going to be cold,
- 5:14which means we're going to see a lot of running the ball, grinding out the clock,
- 5:18limiting explosive plays. This also comes from our friends, shout out the Trend Center for Stroud's
- 5:28Over Under trend, which when the total falls between 41.5 and 48.5 in Texans games, the under
- 5:38is at a ridiculous 25 and 1 and 8 and 2 in the last 10. Obviously, one of those losses was last week.
- 5:47But it's hard to ignore, especially when you consider Houston's offense ranks 28th
- 5:53and is wildly inconsistent, managing just three drives of more than five plays last week.
- 6:03Kansas D, they're not like elite, but they're solid enough to contain Houston, I'd say.
- 6:14On the flip side, though, the Chief's offense, they've been productive, but they haven't been
- 6:20lighten up the scoreboard. Did they score 30? They scored 30 in week 18, correct? No, they
- 6:26scored zero points. Sorry. They got shut out. What? I mean, they were playing
- 6:34cars and plan Swiss this starting quarter. Yeah, they're playing plumbers and firemen.
- 6:42But yeah, this feels like a slow pace game. Both teams are just going to lean on their
- 6:46defenses, lean on the running games. Patrick Mahomes, I think he's cleared up some of his turnover
- 6:52issues. Houston's D, we saw last week, they've been optimistic, but I expect both sides to
- 7:02play it a bit safe. I'm going to lock in under 41.5. Again, grinded out game.
- 7:08Chiefs control the pace. Texans struggle to find the end zone. Let's hope the weather and the trends
- 7:14are on our side this time. I'm also going to do something different for each game. I'm going to
- 7:21have a prop. Along with under 41.5, I am taking the Andre Hopkins anytime touchdown, plus 265 on
- 7:31DraftKings against his former team, kind of a revenge spot. I think the rest that he got
- 7:40was much needed. His hamstrings are made of wet tissue paper, but I think he could make a great
- 7:49red zone target this week. I know this kind of goes against my under, but if you're going to bet
- 7:54on anyone, bet on de-hop to get in the end zone. I'm going to throw it to Chris next.
- 8:01All right. I mean, that was a very convincing case. You had me about to switch my pick, but I'm
- 8:07sticking with my guns. I'm taking the Chiefs minus eight and a half. I know I said this last week,
- 8:16and I was proving dead wrong. I still don't think the Texas offense is all that good.
- 8:20I just don't. I think they were able to capitalize on four, like Sean said, four interceptions
- 8:28thrown by Justin Herbert. Patrick Mahomes, they're going to throw four. He might throw one,
- 8:31they won't throw four. Also, Chiefs defense is, again, said this. I'm saying the same thing I
- 8:39said last week, but I'm just kind of hoping it goes the other way. Chiefs defense will hold the
- 8:45Houston offense. I just don't think they're that good. This is when the Chiefs just flip the switch,
- 8:52go in the fuck you mode. This playoff football, this is what they've been waiting for the whole
- 8:56season. I feel like they've just been kind of lollygagging and going through the motions. It's
- 9:00like, oh, now we actually have to try in these games. We're going to whoop them. I think they
- 9:06won this game by 10. I think it's a little scoring. I don't think the Texans are going to
- 9:12score that much, and I don't think the Chiefs are going to have to score that much. I think they'll
- 9:16get a lead and then just kind of let their defense do the work. Yeah, Chiefs minus eight and a half.
- 9:22Love it. Will, what are you taking? So I love both of your picks, but I am choosing the under
- 9:32as my official pick, the under 41 and a half. That's the official pick, but I think this game
- 9:41will be kind of telling on what Chiefs team we are getting this playoffs. Aside from week 18,
- 9:51when they played all their benched players at none of their starters, they were kind of picking up a
- 9:59little bit of steam there at the end, getting a little healthier and getting back into form, back
- 10:09into Chiefs, regular Chiefs form where they're just better than everyone. I think this playoff
- 10:17matchup will be, if the Chiefs barely squeak out a win, it's going to be like, okay, well, this season,
- 10:24that's the story of the season, the Chiefs barely squeak out wins all but two or whatever.
- 10:32And then if they beat the fuck out of Texans, which I think is more likely to happen than
- 10:40the latter, but then it's like, all right, they're winning it all again.
- 10:51That's already in the back of my mind, them taking it all again, but I think the under
- 10:58is the play here, just because Texans offense is bad. I don't even think that's even
- 11:06take worthy. I think that's just a fact. I know you were like, I believe that the Texans offense
- 11:13is bad, Chris. It just is bad. Yeah, they're not good. According to Sean, they're ranked 28th,
- 11:21something like that, that the 20s number. Yeah, I don't remember what it was, but it was low.
- 11:27So I think the stars will align here and we're going to get it under and the Chiefs defense
- 11:38is very good. Dare I say elite? I don't know. We'll see, but the Texans just cannot score.
- 11:47So that's that game moving on. Next game, Saturday night football,
- 11:53Manders at the Lions. Okay, Lions in Detroit, they're the one seed,
- 12:01favored by nine and a half points in a dome, Jared Goff, Chris, I'm going to let you go first on
- 12:10this one. All right, you guys are going to hate me. All right. It's an under, isn't it? Under 55 and
- 12:19a half. I thought about this. This is too many points for 55 for a playoff game. I just that's
- 12:27way too many points. The commanders have one of the worst run defenses in the league. David Montgomery
- 12:32is back. I think him and Jameer Gibbs, they just go back running, run the football. They're gonna,
- 12:39Detroit's gonna have lots of long just time consuming drives. I think they just shoot clock,
- 12:44try to get out with the win. The commanders, I think we'll have to kind of have the same
- 12:49offensive approach in order to keep Detroit's offense off the field. They're gonna have to
- 12:54kind of put together some drives of their own. And I don't know if they're able to,
- 12:58but I think that's what they're gonna try to do. Also, Detroit's defense has like better,
- 13:02as of late. We saw them just dominate Minnesota in week 18. I think they kind of do the same.
- 13:10I don't know if they'll just completely shut down Washington's offense, but I think they'll
- 13:16have success. And yeah, it's just too many points. I just don't, too many points. So under 55 and
- 13:25a half. I hate it. Kind of going against everything I've been saying, or we've all been saying all
- 13:29your managers over as Lyons over, but 56 points in a playoff game. That's a lot to ask for. So
- 13:36I hate it, but under 55 and a half. Anybody else agree, Sean?
- 13:43I thought about that. I really did. And like, I feel like that under or like that over is more
- 13:51of a trap. It's probably gonna be like 17 to six or something, you know, like something dumb.
- 14:02Like 17 to four. Yeah, four. That's it. Yeah. Yeah, you can totally score four points. Yeah,
- 14:11we could. But that's good. Go. So go. Score a got me. Score a got me. That's that's what it is.
- 14:22Uh, skit Gormney. Sigourney Weaver. Sigourney Weaver from Alien. From Holes. No, but I'm going
- 14:34to take the Lyons on the points. I got them at nine and a half. I think they opened at eight and a
- 14:40half. This line's moving. So I kind of expect this to be at 10, 10 and a half by Saturday.
- 14:48But Lyons, uh, I mean, they, they've been a hurricane dude all season, especially at home.
- 14:58I don't really see the Mander slowing them down. Golf has been lights out ranking second
- 15:05in both completion percentage and yards per attempt. He's got his full arsenal.
- 15:11Uh, as you said, Chris David Montgomery is back to face a Washington defense that is awful on the run.
- 15:21I feel like Detroit can just kind of do whatever they want in this game. They can score however
- 15:27they want to score. Um, Detroit also has, I think the best tight end defense in the league.
- 15:35Uh, they'll lock down Zach Erz. Zach Erz has been a big weapon for the Manders recently.
- 15:43So they could lock them down, but, um, Detroit, you know, they've been putting up 30 constantly.
- 15:49Um, and you know, their defense, they've been on the up, they're ranking in the top five.
- 15:54Um, it's hard to see the, the Manders keeping that pace. Um, as much as like
- 15:59great of a story as this Mander season has been, I really don't trust a rookie quarterback to face
- 16:06the number one seed. Um, you know, just like they, they benefited from an easy schedule.
- 16:13They've had a great, they've had a great year, made it to the divisional round,
- 16:17just build off that. But, um, the Lions are going to blow them out, dude.
- 16:22I might get a little crazy. Let's take them by two touchdowns minus 13 and a half. We'll see.
- 16:27But right now, officially minus nine and a half. Will, what you got? Oh wait, I gotta do my pick.
- 16:34My other, my other prop pick. Um, I will be taking golf under interceptions.
- 16:41Uh, he has only thrown an interception in just three of his last 14 games and has only thrown
- 16:49two picks in his last nine playoff starts, um, minus 150 little juiced, but I like it.
- 16:58Like it a lot. Okay. So Will, what you got? I'm also on the Lions minus nine and a half here.
- 17:07Uh, I mean, playing it simple, just to kind of piggyback on what you're saying,
- 17:12I think the Lions are going to cream them. I, I, this is, this has been a, a great Mander
- 17:18season. Um, like you said, uh, and it's, they have a lot to be thankful for and happy about
- 17:26for their season. The fans in, uh, in Washington. Um, but this is, this is big boy football. This
- 17:35is big boy football. Now this isn't, this, there is no underdog story here. This, this, this, this
- 17:41is the Lions. They're, they're going to crush them. They are going to crush them.
- 17:46They are going to crush them. And that's, that's, that's it. That's it. Uh,
- 17:56I think, I think it's going to be the Lions Eagles NFC championship game, which brings me to the
- 18:04next game. It's the Rams and the Eagles. I'll go first. What a transition. What a transition.
- 18:11They call me the transition king. Uh, this is my name in high school.
- 18:17Okay. Sure. All right. You be whoever you want to be, Will. That's, that's fine with us.
- 18:26I'm constantly transitioning. Uh,
- 18:32Eagles favored by six, uh, in Philadelphia. I'm taking the Eagles. I'm taking the birds.
- 18:39They're, I think they're going to crush the Rams by six point by a touchdown. I think this
- 18:44Eagles team is hot. They're exactly where they want to be. There's a couple of different,
- 18:50they haven't had a perfect season by any means with the whole Nick Siriani shit. And, uh,
- 18:58people want them out people, but he just keeps winning. And I, I think they, I think they crush
- 19:03the Rams. I think they crush the Rams. Um, I have no numbers to back this up. This is just ball. I
- 19:10just, I think that Eagles are just a all around better team. Uh, the Rams, they have some holes.
- 19:16They're not, when I watch the Rams, I don't see them as complete. Uh, and I think they're, they're
- 19:23win against the Vikings. Although we all three definitely saw it from the beginning. Um,
- 19:29the Rams would pull that one out. Uh, the, the Vikings were,
- 19:36I'm just going to come out and say it. They're frauds. They were frauds. They were absolute frauds.
- 19:40Uh, they just, they just crumbled. And I don't think it's entirely Sam Donald's fault,
- 19:48but it's like, you got to, you got to stop. You got to stop the Rams like,
- 19:52and the Rams offense was kind of electric in that game, but I think the Eagles just,
- 19:59they're just a better all around team. And I think this is when they show up and they lay their
- 20:04nuts on the table. Eagles, Lions, NFC championship game, and that game is going to be awesome.
- 20:10I'm predicting it. Chris, what is your play for this game?
- 20:13Chris, what is your play for this game? Rams plus six. I guess the Eagles offense continues
- 20:24to be the most infuriating thing. Um, I said it last week and it was true. They scored
- 20:31on the, their first possession because Green Bay fumbled the opening kickoff and then they scored
- 20:36or how many points after that? 16 points after that? Um, how many, if it was 22.
- 20:44Yeah, I think it was, I think so. What's that math? Anyway, 15 points. Um, they,
- 20:50they just, AJ Brown's reading self help books on the sidelines. I just, they, I don't think they're
- 20:56always time for self development. There is, there is, that is true. But when you have,
- 21:01when you have say, Quan Russian 200, it's like I could just read a book right now.
- 21:08I mean, I just know, I mean, that's true. I, but I don't think Phillies offense is all that,
- 21:14it's all that special. I think they have special players, but at times they just
- 21:18fit look incredibly out of sync. Uh, they needed Jordan Love to play like shit,
- 21:25to kind of run away with that game. And he did. I don't think Matthew Stafford will play like
- 21:29shit. I think he'll be very good. I think they'll keep it close. Um, LA's defense just showed they
- 21:34can make like, like, make life hell for a quarterback. And I think Sean McFay is a
- 21:40billion times better coach than Xerion. So all that, I think the Rams keep it within the touchdown.
- 21:46I don't know if they win. Cause I do agree. I'd think the Eagles on paper are the better team,
- 21:51but I think the Rams keep it within the number. So yeah, give me LA on the road plus six.
- 21:56Sean, what are you taking? Yeah, fly Eagles fly baby. Uh, Eagles minus six. Um,
- 22:04well, I got some numbers for you, but we'll get there. Yeah. Yeah. Um, I think the Eagles are
- 22:12the most complete team in the NFC. Um, and their offense has the weapons to dominate
- 22:22both on the ground and through the air. Um, their defense is peaking at the perfect time.
- 22:29They absolutely crushed the Rams in week 12, especially in week, in the second half. Um,
- 22:38when, uh, you know, when you have Seyquan Russian for over 250 yards, um,
- 22:44um, it's, it's, it's hard to see LA keeping this one close. If I'm being honest, um,
- 22:52the Rams defense, they rank 23rd against the run. Um, they have struggled to stop physical
- 23:00teams like the Eagles all year long. Um, Philly's defense ranked second in the league. Um, they gave
- 23:08Stafford night terrors, uh, in week 12. Um, I mean five sacks just under five yards per pass attempt.
- 23:22Um, I, I, I think the Eagles just have fresher legs on this game, to be honest. Um, I don't think
- 23:32the Rams really have the size or the talent to hang around with the Eagles, especially in a
- 23:38playoff game at the link. Um, I could see the Eagles winning this by double digits, whether it be,
- 23:44you know, 10, whatever. But yeah, I do think that the Eagles kind of dominate this game.
- 23:52And now for my prop bet, I know this goes against what I just said a little bit,
- 24:00but I do think this will be a run heavy game for the Eagles. Um, I'm going to take Jaylen
- 24:06Hertz under 204 and a half passing yards. Um, he is only thrown for more than 140 yards
- 24:16one time since week 13. Uh, granted, he missed week 16 through 18. Um, but he honestly didn't
- 24:25really look all that impressive against the Packers last week, to be honest. Um, and that is at a solid
- 24:32minus one 10. I kind of hate it because he's probably going to just fucking chuck it through the air,
- 24:39but I got to go with the numbers on this one. Uh, Jaylen Hertz under 204 and a half passing yards.
- 24:49I don't have a good transition for the next game. Sorry, Will.
- 24:51It's okay. Um, all right, next game. Ravens at the Bills in Buffalo, kind of a pick them,
- 25:02but right now I, when I was writing down, um, I don't know if the line has moved at all,
- 25:08but the Bills are home dogs by one point. Uh, honestly, it's kind of tough for me to get a
- 25:16read on this game. I feel like both teams are just playing so, so well right now. And when I
- 25:25envision the next round of the playoffs, if it's the Bills and the Chiefs in the AFC Championship,
- 25:33or if it's the Ravens and the Chiefs in the AFC Championship, I, I can't complain either way.
- 25:41I can't, I can't really envision which, which one would win this game, but I'm gonna,
- 25:47I'm gonna throw it to Sean first to, to start giving.
- 25:52I feel like you wanted to throw it to Chris. Chris, go first.
- 25:54You did it to me last, uh, maybe? Uh, no, Sean.
- 25:58Okay. Um, whatever. Uh, I want this game to rock. Um, we're going over, over 51 and a half.
- 26:05Um, Ravens Bills, you, you, this, you don't get a better matchup than this, like in the
- 26:14divisional round. Like this is like an AFC Championship level matchup, to be honest.
- 26:19You know, both teams flexing on them last week in the wild card round, um, averaging
- 26:26over six and a half yards per play from both teams. Uh, while barely breaking a sweat defensively,
- 26:34um, completely over matching their opponents, um, two of the league's top offenses square off.
- 26:42This over just feels right. Um, I got it at 51 and a half. Uh, I kind of expect this to climb
- 26:50a little higher, if I'm being honest. Uh, but, uh, you know, Buffalo, they've been firing on all cylinders.
- 26:56Uh, they've been efficient in pass, uh, passing ability to finish drives. Um, they're averaging
- 27:05three points per possession right now. Um, you know, meanwhile, Baltimore, King Henry, strong
- 27:14run game. I mean, okay, playoff, playoff Henry is, is here. He's here and I miss him very much.
- 27:23Um, but that makes, that makes them just as equally dangerous. Uh, both team businesses solid, but
- 27:31you know, they haven't, you know, like faced anything close to this kind of
- 27:37stakes or like offensive firepower that both of these teams bring. Um,
- 27:42um, yeah, it's, uh, it's the over. I just got to lock it in. I mean, both of these teams might
- 27:53flirt with 30 points by the time this, this final whistle blows. And you know, if we go 30, 30 into
- 27:59overtime, this could be like one of the best divisional games of all time. I'm just going to say that.
- 28:05But, uh, for my prop, there should be no surprise. Uh, King Henry over 96 and a half rushing yards,
- 28:13minus one 15. Um, I think this, this total is low.
- 28:20And, uh, you know, he rushed 199 on the bills earlier this season. Uh, that, that more than
- 28:28doubles this total right now. Uh, like I said, playoff King Henry is here. Uh, lock it in.
- 28:36Rob books. Chris, what you got? Same. Okay. Well, what you got? No, I'm talking. No, I mean,
- 28:46honestly, it was pretty much everything you just said. Um, Baltimore, lean on Derek Henry. Um,
- 28:52which may not be, you think of, oh, they're laying on the right game. That's not good for the over.
- 28:57Well, like you said, Derek Henry, damning your rank for 200 yards last time they played Buffalo.
- 29:01He had a hundred before the half last week. So I love that prop on it. Sean, I'm probably going to
- 29:06take it. Um, I, I just think Baltimore is kind of in that stage of offense where they're just like,
- 29:13fuck you, we're going to do whatever we want. Um, we're going to run the ball. And then when you
- 29:18glowed the box, we're just going to play action. I think Zay flowers might be back for this one.
- 29:22Um, I don't know if that's official yet, but they said he was hoping to come back. So if he is, I
- 29:28mean, that's just another reason to love this over and Buffalo's offense is amazing. So they,
- 29:34they'll get theirs. Like, I don't care who they're playing. They will score points.
- 29:40Um, I think, but yeah, like Sean said, both teams get 30 would not shut me at all. So yeah,
- 29:46over 51 and a half. That's in divisional week with the bank. Uh, well, do we have a clean sweep?
- 29:53Yes, sir. Let's go. Yes. Um, I kind of, well, first I, I do think this game has the, the,
- 30:03the very large potential to rock, uh, and just be a great, great way to end the, uh, the divisional
- 30:11round of the playoffs. Um, and it was also like a, uh, I can't really choose in between these teams.
- 30:20I'm, I'm going to be real. Like it, uh, both of them seem unstoppable. And to see that one of them
- 30:31is not going to move on. I, I can't, I can't make that decision. It's, it's, it's so weird, you know?
- 30:40Like I, I can't choose. I don't know if the bills can beat the Ravens and I don't know if the Ravens
- 30:46can beat the bills. It's, I think this game is going to be awesome and I am interested to see
- 30:53what happens, you know? Um, gosh, it's just like,
- 30:59Raven's got a lot of riding on this and it's like the bills, they've been, they've been there
- 31:06kind of exactly like the Ravens. Like they've went to the AFC championship and lost to the Chiefs and
- 31:14one of them is probably going to lose to the Chiefs again. Like, I don't know. Nope. All right.
- 31:22I just don't want it. That's all. I don't, I just don't want it. I don't want it either.
- 31:27But I'm, it's facts, bro. It's facts. It's, it's, it's going to happen. Um,
- 31:32but yeah, I'm taking over 51 and a half. Keep it simple. Sunday night football. Let this rock.
- 31:41Please. Okay.
- 31:42There's a big reason why I wanted to take the over as well because I couldn't decide
- 31:47on a side.
- 31:48Yeah, I just can't, playing it simple. I just can't.
- 31:50I can't, like, I, like one and a half home dogs for the bills. Like that's, that's crazy.
- 31:57I was nuts.
- 31:58I was initially going to take the bills money line, but then because I was like, well, the Ravens,
- 32:04they just always kind of find a way to really choke the playoffs. Like last year against the
- 32:12Chiefs, they were running the ball down their throats and then they just died and the Chiefs
- 32:17won. I don't think that happens this year because they have Derek Henry. So
- 32:22depending on how I do, I might hop on bills money line that night.
- 32:34Just because I do have a future on the bills to be the AFC champ to go to the bowl.
- 32:44Because I do, I did parlay the, you know, that Super Bowl matchup we talked about with the
- 32:49bills and the Lions because that would be like the ultimate Super Bowl of all time,
- 32:54just two dog shit franchises just duking it out.
- 32:59So I mean, conference winner bills, conference winner Lions, plus eight 50, like I might just
- 33:06double down and they got to get to the AFC championship to, to, you know, be the AFC champion.
- 33:14So, but we'll see, we'll see. Check the Twitter.
- 33:17Obviously. Check the Twitter. Obviously. Okay. Moving on. That's the main slate. Well,
- 33:26that's the only slate. Now moving on to surefire picks of the week, double units.
- 33:33The only one of us that won their surefire was Sean, which was a money line, an underdog money
- 33:40line. So that probably didn't suck for him, but I'm going to throw it to Sean and maybe he can
- 33:49give us some wisdom or something to maybe win a surefire pick.
- 33:56Yeah, well, it's the Lions minus nine and a half. Oh, sick.
- 34:02The, you know, two best against the spread teams going head to head this week.
- 34:11But the Lions will come out victorious to win by at least 10. Like I said, I feel like the Lions
- 34:21can just do whatever they want this game. I mean, obviously pun intended, but they will be roaring
- 34:32up and down Ford field all night, just like they've done all season long.
- 34:37The commanders, they just do not have the capability to stop them.
- 34:42Jared Goff, I mean, like I said, he's got his full weapons as his disposal.
- 34:53With Mark Hummering coming back to, I mean, this should be, this should be easy. This should be,
- 35:00this is already locked in for me. I might take, I know I said I might take Lions minus 13 and a
- 35:07half. That will be a day of decision. But right now, what you should do as a person is to lock in
- 35:17Lions minus nine and a half or whatever spread you see it as you see this. I am
- 35:26staking my life on this game. As a human person, you should take the Lions. This is a big spread
- 35:35for a playoff game. And this is the biggest, what was it? I think I saw a stat. It was like,
- 35:42this is the biggest favorite the Lions have ever had postseason, which isn't surprising.
- 35:49You know, like, they haven't been, they haven't been here a lot. So it's not surprising, but
- 35:57this three year dude, they're going to roll on them. They're going to, they're going to lay their
- 36:02nuts on the table. They're going to show that we are the one seed. We are the future Super Bowl
- 36:07champions. We called it early. We called it weak preseason week one, probably Lions Super Bowl
- 36:18champion. So I'm basically just going to keep rolling with the Lions no matter what.
- 36:24Lions minus nine and a half double unit surefire guaranteed to win. Will,
- 36:34what is your surefire pick this week?
- 36:38It's the frigging birds, dude. It's the birds minus six. I just think they're such a complete
- 36:46team right now. The Rams had their nice moment where, okay, yeah, we were hurt for
- 36:52five weeks. Everyone came back and then we destroyed everyone and we beat the frog lions.
- 37:00They were frogs. Right. We beat the frog by, sorry.
- 37:08I don't, I don't think the lions are frauds. I was going to say
- 37:12thems are fighting words. No, there's only one fraud every year in that year. That year was
- 37:18It's usually the Vikings. Yeah. It was the Vikings like two or three years ago as well.
- 37:25Yeah. They were big frauds. But yeah, it's the Eagles. I really don't,
- 37:37I do not see the Rams winning this game. And I think the Eagles beat them by a touchdown,
- 37:46honestly. I don't think that's a hot of a take, but here we are.
- 37:54Did you go to Chris? What is your surefire pick?
- 37:58All right. We're going all favorites. I'm going back like last week, first game this
- 38:04era of the weekend against the Texans. Taking the Chiefs minus eight and a half.
- 38:11I'm just going to keep betting against the Texans because they're not that good.
- 38:14And also I have a stat from Trent Center to back me up. When a team who is favored by four or more,
- 38:23who won their, or lost their last game is playing a team who won their previous game as a dog.
- 38:29That team is 130, 76 and three against the spread. Seven and three in there. Yeah,
- 38:35seven and three in their last 10. Give me the chance. You said it again. Give it.
- 38:38I need to hear that again. Gotcha. When a team who lost their last game is favored by four or more
- 38:46versus a team who won their previous game as a dog. Okay. Gotcha. Yeah.
- 38:53130, 76 and three. I was confused. I was like, I thought you were talking about the Texans
- 38:59when it was like the team who lost. I was like, wait, but hold on.
- 39:03The Chiefs. I got you. And I got you. Yeah. And that with everything I already said,
- 39:10I think they, people are like, oh, the Chiefs are just barely skating by and all these wins.
- 39:15Are they ever going to, are they going to be able to kind of keep that going to a three
- 39:20P? This is when they, Andy Reed, Patrick Mahomes, like, yeah, we're the motherfucking Chiefs.
- 39:25Our balls are on the table. They won the scamp. At least 10 points.
- 39:28Oh yeah. That's our short. I hate it. But all right. I don't like it either, but it's just
- 39:36going to happen. Yeah, I know.
- 39:41Didn't they beat the Texans like the first time they won the Super Bowl?
- 39:47It was their first of the three P, wasn't it? Because the Texans were up like 24 to
- 39:53six at half. Yeah, they were. That's when they beat the same year they beat us in the FC Championship.
- 40:00Yeah. Because the Chiefs came from behind in all of those victories.
- 40:07God damn it. Yeah. I did see a cool clip from that, the Chiefs Texans came back from that year.
- 40:15There was, I don't remember, I don't remember this happening, but
- 40:18at some point when the Chiefs scored, they were all going over, like, celebrating with the fans.
- 40:25And a Chiefs lineman took like two Mikolo Bultras from a fan and just dumped them all.
- 40:32I'm sure that visual was hilarious.
- 40:36For a division, was that wild card?
- 40:40I don't know, but it wasn't like, it was during, it wasn't like, oh, we just won the game. Like,
- 40:45they just scored a touchdown. I think it was just to go ahead. Oh, shit, that's wild. That's crazy.
- 40:52I was like, I don't remember this happening, but that's pretty funny.
- 40:57They showed that on TV? Was it like a TV broadcast? Yeah, this was like a, it looked like a very
- 41:03official, like it had the touchdown graphic on the screen and everything. Oh my god.
- 41:07I don't remember that happening either. I mean, that was a while ago. Yeah. That was the last
- 41:11time the Titans were good. So it was a while ago. Many moons, many, many moons. Yep. Okay.
- 41:22Well, sure fires are over. Now we discuss other things in sports and or football.
- 41:31So this past week has been pretty bad for the Tennessee Titans organization.
- 41:38Fire and Ran and then Mike, Keith leaves.
- 41:47And what else? I don't know. It's just echoing Chris's statement last week,
- 41:56whatever the Titans do is wrong. So I don't know.
- 42:02I don't really think you can lump in the Mike Keith thing with like the organization, but I get it.
- 42:09Can we just like a sherry on top? Yeah, I know. Yeah, I get that. That's his own,
- 42:16that's his own decision. Like he's, he doesn't work for the organization. He works for the radio.
- 42:24Yeah, but he was awesome. I know. Like if the radio station fired him,
- 42:29that would be done. Yeah, that would be done. That would be in the same, yes,
- 42:33it'd be incredibly done, but also be like in the same vein of this organization can't do anything
- 42:38right. Right. Not then. I get that. I mean, but yeah, that was just heavy leaving, which I mean,
- 42:44it was just, yeah, what else could go wrong? Yeah. And, you know, it came a day after the
- 42:5125th anniversary of the Music City Miracle, which I'm glad he didn't like that. I'm glad they
- 42:57didn't announce that on the anniversary because, you know, that's like the best radio call probably
- 43:03of all time for me. Definitely have Titans history. Have Titans history. Yeah. Yeah. I do think of
- 43:13Pete Webber's radio call of the triple overtime. Yeah. Sharks, Mike Fisher
- 43:21goal. I have that saved on my YouTube of it, of the of the broadcast synced with the radio and it's
- 43:32it's perfect. But yeah. Yeah, Mike Keith, the goat, but he'll still be in the state at least.
- 43:41Just went up the road a little bit. Yeah, he just went, he just went up by 40.
- 43:44Yeah. Like a like four hours. It's good for Chris, though, I guess. I don't know how much you listen
- 43:54to the radio for Tennessee games, but that was the thing is like it was more just like the knowing
- 44:00that he's not on the radio for the Titans. Like that's why it was like, I guess I never listened
- 44:06to the Titans on the radio. I never listened to the balls on the radio. I watch them on TV because
- 44:11it's like, yeah, this isn't 1975. I listened to Mike Keith a decent amount this year, starting my
- 44:22like job. Well, you know, I have to work Sundays and I'll be coming back. Yeah. When I'm done and
- 44:29you know, Mike Keith's on the radio and I'm like, this kind of awesome. Yeah. Don't get me wrong.
- 44:33It like I get like the blow for like Titans fans as a whole. It is very sad. But like me personally,
- 44:40I was like, yes, it's sad. I my Sundays won't be any different. It's more like it's more just like
- 44:48hearing like nowadays at least hearing like his voice on highlights, which is the cool part.
- 44:54But it was I said, it's like the Titans fan to me was very sad. But the Vols fans are pretty awesome.
- 45:02I've kind of like part of me has been wanting this for a while.
- 45:06I think it's been is this been in talks or no, it's just been kind of like
- 45:15like the Titans suck. They don't deserve you. Great. Tennessee has been very good for has been
- 45:23good for a long either. I was gonna say I was like, okay, but it's just kind of like that feeling.
- 45:29It's like I've always I always last couple years. I'm like, just go go up the road a little bit.
- 45:37Yeah. Yeah. I know that I know that he before he was the Titans radio. He was the Vols. He was
- 45:47doing it for the Vols. I think for baseball, actually. He's always talking to my dad about it.
- 45:54And I was like, hey, Mike Keith, he's the goat. And he was like, well, he used to do
- 45:59Vols baseball. So yeah. And I was like, all right, well, fuck you. Fuck you, dad.
- 46:09I was like, okay, thanks. Just just say like, I agree. So he did that before he did Vols before.
- 46:19According to my dad. But I didn't know that. Yeah. I mean, you don't have to know whatever.
- 46:29I didn't think I did have to know, you know, Mike Keith's entire career history, but
- 46:36you don't. Moving on. It's somewhat related. There's a kind of another fun fact.
- 46:46Al Michaels, I think one of his first gigs was back in the 70s, early 70s, he was the Reds
- 46:52play by play radio announcer. Fun fact. And a drive to right field. That's Castellanos.
- 47:01Again, many, many moons before that didn't now call the miracle on ice game. Yep. Yeah.
- 47:16Yeah. Yep. Yeah, it's a great call to somebody great radio calls that we've like just missed because
- 47:25we have to watch them. Yeah. I mean, they're so good TV. We should do that. I know there.
- 47:30There are good TV calls, but like there's something about the radio that's just like
- 47:36you have to describe it in a way to make the listener visualize it, you know. Yeah.
- 47:45It's awesome. We should do that over the summer. Right. Some talk about some famous radio calls.
- 47:51That'd be fun. Well, number one is. Okay, are you doing now? No. Well, number one is what's his
- 47:58name for the Reds? Obviously, TV. Oh, that was TV. You're right. Yeah. Still number one.
- 48:08Can't breathe. Can't beat that really. You really can't.
- 48:11He's back too. With the Reds? No, on TV. Okay. No. No, he's doing like the CW network.
- 48:29Because he. Oh, so he'll never be watched. Yeah, probably not. But he did a Boston
- 48:35college game earlier this season and their starting core back at the time was his last name was Castel
- 48:41Onos. So he did like a little Christ. He did like a little wink to it. Like he just kind of like
- 48:48said the first time we said the guy's name, he kind of paused and then kind of kept going.
- 48:55The entire week leading up to it was like, he's got it. He's got to say something.
- 48:58Yeah, it's got to acknowledge us. Yeah. Well, what else you got?
- 49:12Mike Vrable is the Patriots coach. That sucks. Whatever. Okay. The least. That's the
- 49:20yeah, that was like the least. Every time I bring up something and you guys are like,
- 49:24whatever, we talk about it for 20 minutes. I mean, no, let's talk about it. But we will talk
- 49:31about it. But it's just like, it's the fact that we knew this was going to happen. Like as soon as
- 49:38Mayo was fired, we knew that this was going to be a thing. It was like they were talking
- 49:45before Mayo got hired. You know, like it was kind of going to be set in stone anyways.
- 49:52And the Titans were wrong. Too fiery for Abel, obviously.
- 50:02I just, I'm like kind of just so whatever about it because like, yes, it is like kicking the nuts,
- 50:09especially because we play the Patriots next season. But I thought this was going to happen
- 50:14last year. So I've just been kind of like still in that like mindset. It's like, it's going to happen.
- 50:20And so it just finally did. And you add stinks and we'll probably see some former Titans on that
- 50:26team just balling out. But yeah, we deserve it. Whatever. I do want to talk about
- 50:40Vrable for a second. He's been getting like, I agree, he's a good football coach. The Titans were
- 50:47wrong to fire him. He's been getting glazed on the internet a little too much lately. Yeah,
- 50:54they're talking about him like he's like the greatest coach you'll ever see. Like he's like,
- 51:02oh, he immediately makes, I don't think anyone's actually said this, but this is kind of the vibe
- 51:06I get is like, oh, the Patriots are now just leaps and bounds better now that they have Mike
- 51:11Rae. I'm like, he's a good coach, but he has some major flaws. I don't think I think he is a
- 51:22big step above Mayo, but I don't think he's I just don't think he's like a phenomenal head coach.
- 51:29I think he's just getting overblown a little bit. Yeah, it's, it's weird if you if you just like
- 51:37actually take a step back and think about like the roster that he inherited when he when he
- 51:44became the Titans head coach. I mean, the year before like, I mean, they they won a wild card
- 51:50playoff game against the Chiefs. Exactly. Like, not a bad situation to walk into, honestly.
- 52:00And, you know, they got better, you know, as time went on. But it's, it's a big difference when you
- 52:13inherit a team that wins a playoff game and a team that won three games. So we will see what happens.
- 52:21But also to his credit, the last year that he was with us, he he did a pretty good job at polishing
- 52:30a third. Yeah. And that's what I'm saying. Like, don't get me wrong. He is a good coach, but him
- 52:36and D'Amico Reigns have the same amount of playoffals. So, damn. Yeah. You really need to think about that.
- 52:48Yeah. I'm just saying like, and they and that both came in the same year. So I just think the
- 52:58frayable dick riding has been a little overdone on Twitter.
- 53:04Yeah. I agree. I do think that he definitely should have gotten a job last year.
- 53:14Or this past year. But fucking, he's just too big, you know, he's just too scary.
- 53:25I also don't know what Kraft was thinking. Did he just feel like some sort of loyalty to Mayo,
- 53:32where it's like, he's been with its staff for a while. I don't know how long exactly, but a while,
- 53:39I have to hire him. Like, what? Like, it was very obvious he wanted frayable last season.
- 53:50Why didn't I don't know. I think there's some sort of collusion here. I had potential collusion.
- 54:00All right, we'll get Mayo, and then we'll be bad. And then we'll get a draft pick.
- 54:06And then we'll give rabble. Oh, you got me putting that tin hat on. Honestly.
- 54:10That's definitely possible. Yeah. I never really thought about that.
- 54:14Or, I don't know. Maybe Vrabel was just like,
- 54:20I mean, there's that thing lasted like one of the last years he was head coach with us on our
- 54:26bi-week. He went to the Patriots game and was a doctor in the Ring of Honor. And so like, that
- 54:36might have been the same year before we fired him. So that would have kind of looked a little bit
- 54:42weird. I don't know. That's just my take. But it's, I don't know. I mean, maybe three times
- 54:53Super Bowl champion with the Patriots, he completed every pass that was thrown to him.
- 55:00You know, like he didn't drop a single pass that was thrown to him.
- 55:06On offense. On offense. Exactly. That's what I mean. Yeah. But that's what I mean. That was
- 55:12thrown to him. I also think that maybe Mayo was groomed to take the head coach job.
- 55:21I remember hearing something about that last year after they let Balachek go.
- 55:30Yeah.
- 55:30I think they were ready to get into the next. But I feel like if he was, where he was kind of like
- 55:37the head coach and waiting, if you want to say that, you got to give him more than a year,
- 55:43especially when you had one of the worst rosters in football.
- 55:46Oh, I agree. I think, did you see that clip of Gronk? I think you actually sent that in our
- 55:52gambling group. Yeah. Yeah. It was right after they announced it. He was gonna like on Fox,
- 55:59on national television. He was about to go off on Robert Kraft. But yeah, they're like, hey,
- 56:04we got to take a break. Yeah. So that luckily they took that break, honestly.
- 56:11I think like how convenient that break. Yeah.
- 56:19But and then a Kraft mac and cheese commercial plays right after.
- 56:29All right. What else?
- 56:32Do y'all want to make a it's okay. Do y'all want to make a TD score parlay for this weekend?
- 56:37No. Yeah. I'm terrible at this. No, well, come on.
- 56:40All right. This is easy.
- 56:44We already got one. We already got de hop for one. We already got de hop.
- 56:47So hold on. Let me put him in.
- 56:50Where is he? 265. All right. Mander's Lions.
- 57:00All right. We want to go.
- 57:02Hold on. Let me pull up. Let me pull out your F Kings.
- 57:05Do we want to go Montgomery first game back?
- 57:07I mean, I think any I think any Lions offensive player is like money is wild.
- 57:19Well, they have let's see one, two, three, four, five. They have five of the best odds
- 57:24or the top I would say best top odds where you want to call that and only two of them are plus money.
- 57:30So hold on. Let's go. No free shout outs, but I love the Draft King stat stats.
- 57:42Little yeah thing. Let's see who has scored.
- 57:48All right. David Montgomery has scored at least one touchdown in 10 of his last 11
- 57:52appearances with a total points line of at least 50. So yeah, add Montgomery in there.
- 57:59I think they'll with first game back. I also think they'll just have an emphasis on them
- 58:04getting the ball. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. Yeah. All right. Rams Eagles.
- 58:13I mean, take one. That's I mean, we don't want to be like, you know, cheesy, but
- 58:20also, you know, maybe you'll maybe puka 150.
- 58:23I don't like to want to. Puka is probably the best one. Like, well, AJ Brown plus 145.
- 58:36I like last week. He only had like three catches. If that.
- 58:42Yeah. Could be a bounce back. What about Kyron Williams has scored at least one touchdown in
- 58:48nine of his last 10 appearances with the Rams as underdogs. Do it. Kyron or AJ?
- 58:59All the Kyron. I agree. All right. We'll do Kyron. All right. We're a plus. Oh,
- 59:07plus 10 22 right now. I like that. All right. Last one Ravens Bills. We can't go Derek.
- 59:14Here. That's two. We can double up. We could double up. We could double up Derek.
- 59:22It's like 225. Let's double up. Let's double up. All right. Derek Henry.
- 59:27And Josh Allen. I mean, he's going to he's going to carry the rock.
- 59:31I thought that last week too. He didn't get it. So yeah. Oh, did he not get one? No.
- 59:36He should have fucking Mack Holland's got a taunting penalty at the one yard line.
- 59:41Yeah. That also hit the over. Like yeah. Oh my God, dude. No. Fuck that pissed me off.
- 59:49He fucking Mack Hollins is like on my hit list. Like actually not not actually allegedly allegedly.
- 1:00:02If a list did such exist, Mack Hollins would be number one on that list
- 1:00:10because he lost me my $5 bet. I used to have a list. You just made the list. It wasn't a hit list.
- 1:00:23James Cook. Did he get one last week? Hold on. Yeah, he did. He got the first one.
- 1:00:28Yeah. Set first one for the bills. I like James Cook. Derek Henry and James Cook.
- 1:00:37I don't hate that. All right, Chris, what are we at? All right. So those five of D hop, Montgomery,
- 1:00:49Kyron Williams, Derek Henry, James Cook, it, whoa, plus $3,357. $5 wins 172.
- 1:00:59That's kind of wild. Damn. We're about to make bank, dude. Are we taking it? Or are we going to add to it?
- 1:01:18No, I don't think we should add to this. I think we should just take it. I think we should just
- 1:01:23take it as it is. $3,357. Is that what you, yeah. Okay. $5 wins 172.
- 1:01:3710 wins 345 and so on and so forth.
- 1:01:44$100 wins three and a half grand. Yes, but I'm not doing that. I'm not doing that.
- 1:01:50I'm not Rockefeller over here. Yeah. Let's relax. I don't have $100 to throw on a parlay
- 1:01:59that's going to lose. Hey, hey, good one. Yo, we built this together. That's how, that's how.
- 1:02:06With the power of friendship. That's how the books get your money is parlays. Yeah. Oh, I know. I
- 1:02:13got a little too cute with them last week, but we're just doing one. We have all of our other
- 1:02:19books. I do it every week. It's true. And I lose is every week. But when it wins, sometimes it wins.
- 1:02:29It's never won. That's one. What do you want? The one week I didn't do the surefire parlay.
- 1:02:36Well, that's on you. It was like week one. No, we hit it two weeks in a row in the middle of the
- 1:02:41season. Yeah. We've hit this a couple times this season. I think it's hit three times. Well, it's
- 1:02:49me. I can't win a parlay. Except for the Gino Smith one. At least three times this season.
- 1:02:55Three or four times, which is not, it's not great. But none of the times that I took it.
- 1:03:03Well, that's wild. I'm taking it every week. I think I've taken it all but just about every
- 1:03:08week. It's just because I like forgot. I've taken it every week.
- 1:03:16That it's lost. Always loses. I'm terrible at this. This is why I didn't want to do this.
- 1:03:23I'll do it. It's just fun. It's fun. Yeah. Well, you know me. I'm a fun guy. Yeah, clearly. I love fun.
- 1:03:29But I don't think losing money is fun. It's $5 or however much you want to put on it.
- 1:03:41All right. Anything else?
- 1:03:48I don't know, Will. Sucked all the fun out of everything.
- 1:03:51I was just saying. Just telling it like it is. Jesus.
- 1:04:02You're being really pessimistic for us that has a gambling show that we give out picks for.
- 1:04:12That we lay our own money on. They're just gonna lose. This never wins. Why should we take it?
- 1:04:18I take it and it never wins. I don't know.
- 1:04:25Well, this one's gonna hit. Now that Will's being so poo-poo about it, it's definitely
- 1:04:29hit. Yeah, this is a lock. This is our surefire of the week. I'm putting five.
- 1:04:37Well, if I don't place it, then it will win. That is what's going to happen. All right, then
- 1:04:41don't place it. No, but I want it. Do you? It doesn't really sound like you do. I want it to win.
- 1:04:55Because I want money.
- 1:05:00All right. I can't eat. I can't eat. There's a reason it's plus 3,000.
- 1:05:06Yeah. Yeah, because it's awesome. I agree. It's a long shot. That's the fun part of it.
- 1:05:14But you get that first one and you're like, all right.
- 1:05:18I saw a clip from on Twitter. It was these guys sitting around gambling.
- 1:05:26He's like, hey, I got a half a mil parlay that's live right now. And the other guy was like,
- 1:05:34really? He's like, yeah, I mean, I need like eight other touchdown scores. But the first two hit.
- 1:05:44Golly.
- 1:05:48I'm so bad at touchdown scores. I'm glad I picked out one.
- 1:05:53One of the picks. It's probably going to be the one that loses this.
- 1:05:57You got to relax.
- 1:05:59You need to calm down.
- 1:06:06All right, fellas.
- 1:06:10I can't believe we're going to end on such this sour note, though.
- 1:06:15Hey, tell a joke, Chris.
- 1:06:19I was trying to think of something positive to end on.
- 1:06:23I don't know.
- 1:06:26I don't know.
- 1:06:28All right.
- 1:06:28All right. Time for transition King will to step in.
- 1:06:32This is going to hit. That's the positive.
- 1:06:36This touchdown parlay is going to hit.
- 1:06:38All right. This is going to hit.
- 1:06:42And you know what else is going to hit this episode on Thursday,
- 1:06:46like it is every single Thursday. And we will see you back here next week.
- 1:06:49Check out the description link in the bio for 15% off a trend center membership.
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- 1:07:03Check that shit out, man.
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- 1:07:28How big of a discount will I think it's 15% but I also think 15%.
- 1:07:34But I think they also did I say something else?
- 1:07:36No, but you said you think it's 15%. It is 15%.
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- 1:07:59I'm just making sure people pay attention when I do these ad reads.
- 1:08:08Follow us on Twitter for the updated picks when the day of the games
- 1:08:15and then Chris is constantly betting college basketball every day because he has a problem.
- 1:08:21Only their parents have ever heard of the players, the parents players have ever heard of.
- 1:08:26He's on that shit.
- 1:08:27I don't get this shot that's coming at me.
- 1:08:34Money won on East Texas A&M is the same color as money won on Kansas.
- 1:08:41Exactly.
- 1:08:43You're on that shit and without you, nobody would know these colleges exist.
- 1:08:51Games that aren't even on like on random TV networks that no one's ever heard of.
- 1:08:55I know.
- 1:08:56It's terrible.
- 1:08:57That's great.
- 1:08:57I hate it.
- 1:08:59I'm just, no, I love it.
- 1:09:00I love it.
- 1:09:00You love it and that's great.
- 1:09:03You have the power to stop.
- 1:09:05Anyway, if you hate it.
- 1:09:14Yep, we'll see you next week.
- 1:09:16There's three of us.
- 1:09:17Now let's make some money.
- 1:09:19Wow.
- 1:09:21Power.
- 1:09:22Mmmmm what.