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One Month of War -- Is Victory Possible, What Does it Look Like? | Yaron Brook Show · Yaron Brook Show

0:04
Speaker 1: Fundamental principles of lego, last self interest and an individual waves.
0:14
Speaker 2: This is the show.
0:20
Speaker 1: Oh right, everybody, welcome to your own book show on
0:22
Speaker 1: this Friday. It's Friday already, It's March twenty seventh. We are,
0:29
Speaker 1: indeed at the end of March, the very last weekend
0:32
Speaker 1: of March, and it is about a month tomorrow will
0:36
Speaker 1: be four weeks from the start of the war. I
0:39
Speaker 1: thought I would do a show kind of.
0:43
Speaker 2: In review.
0:45
Speaker 1: Where are we in the war? What is the situation?
0:49
Speaker 1: Is victory possible? Is it deal possible? What is going on?
0:57
Speaker 1: What is going on? What is going on.
1:03
Speaker 2: With the war?
1:04
Speaker 1: Four weeks? And is sort of success failure? All of
1:08
Speaker 1: that stuff. It continues to be, continues to be negative
1:12
Speaker 1: news constantly with no stop. Clearly, the Uranians are winning
1:20
Speaker 1: the propaganda war, and I think the main reason for
1:23
Speaker 1: that is there's so many Americans the eager to help
1:26
Speaker 1: them out.
1:28
Speaker 2: So many Americans and.
1:30
Speaker 1: Westerns more broadly eager to help out the Uranians in
1:37
Speaker 1: winning the propaganda war. Anyway, let's talk about the war itself.
1:42
Speaker 1: The war started four weeks ago with the decapitation, the
1:48
Speaker 1: killing of the entire Uranian leadership from how many down,
1:53
Speaker 1: including the leader of the IRGC and many of their advisers, subordinates,
2:01
Speaker 1: everybody around us, and probably the injuring of how Many's
2:05
Speaker 1: son who is now being appointed supreme leader and is
2:09
Speaker 1: supposedly somewhere a supreme leader. It started with that, and
2:14
Speaker 1: of course an attack on the infrastructure of Uranian ballistic
2:19
Speaker 1: missile launching and the missiles. Within three days, the number
2:26
Speaker 1: of missiles declined dramatically, but to somewhat surprise, the Ranians
2:33
Speaker 1: are managing to get off of a steady barrage of
2:36
Speaker 1: missiles and drones every day. Small quantities at a time,
2:42
Speaker 1: but significant, so one at a time, but significant numbers,
2:46
Speaker 1: so more harassment than anything else. Once in a while
2:49
Speaker 1: missiles get through, as they did in southern Israel a
2:52
Speaker 1: few days ago, and they are real casualties, But most
2:57
Speaker 1: of the missiles are just there to harass and.
3:02
Speaker 2: Disrupt. The SAME's true.
3:04
Speaker 1: Missiles launched and drones launched at the UAE at Saudi Arabia,
3:09
Speaker 1: Bahrain at quit most most of them are shut down.
3:14
Speaker 1: Most of them do not have much of an impact,
3:18
Speaker 1: but it's a constant. They're constantly being shot, and that
3:22
Speaker 1: is harassing and disobiented and distracting and difficult for the
3:29
Speaker 1: various countries and the militaries and their citizens, their civilian
3:32
Speaker 1: citizens to deal with, to deal with. So you know,
3:44
Speaker 1: that happened within three days. Since then, it's been a steady,
3:48
Speaker 1: steady flow. We've got about thirty missiles a day going out,
3:52
Speaker 1: maybe double that number of drones going out. Drones are
3:55
Speaker 1: not hitting Israel. They're hitting mainly the Gulf States. As
3:59
Speaker 1: I've told you, drones takes them a long time to
4:02
Speaker 1: get to Israel. They're not very effective. Chrisbella has joined
4:07
Speaker 1: the war. It's sided with the Iranians and started attacking Israel.
4:11
Speaker 1: Since then, Israel has pounded the Risabella, has destroyed many, many,
4:17
Speaker 1: many of their facilities. In West Bay Root, many of
4:20
Speaker 1: high rise buildings have been knocked to the ground. There
4:23
Speaker 1: are about a million people who are homeless right now
4:25
Speaker 1: in Lebanon, including most of the population of southern Lebanon,
4:29
Speaker 1: souther of thely Tini River, and the population of certain
4:33
Speaker 1: neighborhoods in Bay Roots, which would deemed Grisbella neighborhoods. They
4:37
Speaker 1: were told to evacuate, and so they are over a
4:41
Speaker 1: million Lebanese that are homeless right now and are likely
4:44
Speaker 1: to be homeless for a long time because Israel it's
4:47
Speaker 1: not going to allow them back until Southern Lebanon. You know,
4:52
Speaker 1: They're going to occupy it until there's a viable solution,
4:56
Speaker 1: a viable Lebanese army that is actually willing to confront Ballah.
5:00
Speaker 1: There hasn't been today, it's been decades. I wouldn't assume
5:05
Speaker 1: there would be one in the future. Israel.
5:06
Speaker 2: Well, you know, it's also.
5:08
Speaker 1: True that Israel will continue to take out and fight
5:12
Speaker 1: with his Bala north of the lidy Tni. So this
5:14
Speaker 1: is not this is not going to end anytime anytime soon.
5:22
Speaker 1: It is so far casualty wise, there have been casualties
5:26
Speaker 1: on these raelly side, all civilians, one hundred percent civilians,
5:30
Speaker 1: but relatively few, you know, two to three dozen at
5:33
Speaker 1: the most. A lot of injured. But again we're talking about,
5:38
Speaker 1: you know, in the one hundred to two hundred realm.
5:43
Speaker 1: Nothing catastrophic, nothing close to October seventh, nothing close to
5:49
Speaker 1: any you know, previous previous events. No Israeli planes have
5:53
Speaker 1: he shot down, No Israeli military facilities have been hit,
5:59
Speaker 1: you know, know, Israeli major industrial facilities being hit. Basically,
6:04
Speaker 1: all the hits that have caused damage of any substance,
6:08
Speaker 1: of any significance, of any significance of all happened have
6:16
Speaker 1: all been basically happening in residential areas. The United States
6:23
Speaker 1: has taken very little damage. Again planes again downed only
6:27
Speaker 1: by friendly fire. But you know, so they haven't been
6:30
Speaker 1: really planes down by the Iranians. No ships have been
6:35
Speaker 1: really destroyed. I mean, this is an unbelievably one sided campaign.
6:41
Speaker 1: You know, the United States and Israel can do whatever
6:44
Speaker 1: they want in Ian, They can destroy anything they want
6:47
Speaker 1: in Ian. The only thing keeping any building in Iwan up,
6:52
Speaker 1: any industry in Iran, any facility in Iran up, is
6:57
Speaker 1: the unwillingness of the Americans in Thesia used to hit it.
7:01
Speaker 1: With one exception. The one exception is the very very
7:05
Speaker 1: deep bunkers what do you call it, storage facilities that
7:13
Speaker 1: are deep, deep, deep inside mountains that even the big
7:18
Speaker 1: bunker busting bombs, that thirty five thousand pound bombs cannot reach.
7:22
Speaker 1: That is the only thing in Iran that is outside
7:26
Speaker 1: of the range of or the ability of the Israelis
7:30
Speaker 1: and the Americans to destroy. But even there we'll see,
7:35
Speaker 1: you know, by the end of the war, what happens again,
7:39
Speaker 1: if there are boots in the ground. I won I
7:41
Speaker 1: wonder if there were going to be any boots in
7:43
Speaker 1: the ground to try to destroy those those tunnels. How
7:49
Speaker 1: to tell? How to tell? I wonder why they don't
7:52
Speaker 1: try to fly drone into the tunnel and and and
7:56
Speaker 1: kind of shoot it from within. I guess they don't
7:59
Speaker 1: have the capability to do that, but it strikes me
8:02
Speaker 1: that that is the way to do it. It's hard
8:05
Speaker 1: to get a Kruis missile through the mountains and into
8:09
Speaker 1: the tunnel itself.
8:10
Speaker 2: But why not? Why not drones?
8:13
Speaker 1: I don't know. We'll see what will be done in
8:17
Speaker 1: the future. In the meantime, the US is also fighting
8:22
Speaker 1: fighting the Iranian affiliated affiliate militious terrorist organizations in Iraq.
8:30
Speaker 2: So this is the equivalent of RIBA.
8:32
Speaker 1: But in Iraq, the Hotogh you know, the the Wartog,
8:38
Speaker 1: the eight ten is active in the Iraqi in the
8:42
Speaker 1: i Waki Arena. It is mowing them down. Huge numbers
8:47
Speaker 1: of these Iraqi militias are being mowed down by the
8:51
Speaker 1: by the a En in Uh you know, particularly in
8:54
Speaker 1: the west of Yuan. Yes, in the west of Iuan.
8:57
Speaker 1: Close to Syrian and Jordanian borders, but also inside inside Iran,
9:03
Speaker 1: and they've been battles even inside in Baghdad itself. The
9:15
Speaker 1: leadership of these militias has been decimated, just like the
9:20
Speaker 1: Iranian leadership. They still think they can meet and have
9:22
Speaker 1: strategic planning sessions. Or maybe it's you know, DEI required
9:27
Speaker 1: that they want to know, I me to have harassment training.
9:30
Speaker 1: I don't know. But when they do meet, you know,
9:34
Speaker 1: out of nowhere, bomb appears and blows them all up.
9:37
Speaker 1: And that has happened in Western you walk to the
9:42
Speaker 1: leadership of that militia. So at every front militarily, these
9:48
Speaker 1: Raelis and the Americans winning hands down. It's not even
9:53
Speaker 1: close in terms of the casualties, in terms of the damage,
9:57
Speaker 1: in terms of the suffering, there is no comparison. Today.
10:03
Speaker 1: The Israelis in a sense took it up a notch
10:08
Speaker 1: and today Israel hits strategic assets of the Uranians. They
10:13
Speaker 1: hit the hot water nuclear facility in Iraq that the
10:20
Speaker 1: Uranius have. Now, this is not this facility that is
10:22
Speaker 1: built to produce plutonium for nuclear weapons. That is not
10:28
Speaker 1: the path the Uranians have chosen to go. They've chosen
10:30
Speaker 1: to go uranium and rich uranium. But they have been
10:34
Speaker 1: building this facility. It was hit in the June War
10:37
Speaker 1: and they were rebuilding it, and Israel hit it again
10:40
Speaker 1: today in a different In addition, Israel destroyed a facility
10:46
Speaker 1: that was producing uranium from what's called yellow cake I guess,
10:50
Speaker 1: from from mining uranium out of yellow cake uranium that
10:53
Speaker 1: would then be used for enrichment. Here I guess there
10:58
Speaker 1: was some danger of potential for radiation. So far there
11:02
Speaker 1: is none, but Israel hit that plant and supposedly destroyed
11:06
Speaker 1: it today. Uh As far as I know, this is
11:09
Speaker 1: the first time Israel's hit that particular plant. So they're
11:12
Speaker 1: going through and dismantling the entire supply chain nuclear supply
11:17
Speaker 1: chain that the Urnians have, you know, point by point
11:22
Speaker 1: by point, area by by area. But in addition, Israel
11:29
Speaker 1: today bombed all at once, uh, all at once, three
11:34
Speaker 1: of three of the biggest steel making plants in Iran,
11:41
Speaker 1: basically devastated the steel industry in Iran. This is steel
11:45
Speaker 1: that's the disused to make ballistic missiles. But but more importantly,
11:51
Speaker 1: it is still that's used in the in the economy,
11:54
Speaker 1: in the Iranian economy, and thus is it a huge
11:57
Speaker 1: hit for the Ranian economy. Now that you Inians have
12:00
Speaker 1: taken this as a personal affront. Really, they've taken this
12:05
Speaker 1: as a violation of Trump's promise not to strike their
12:09
Speaker 1: energy infrastructure until April six. You remember, he gave them
12:14
Speaker 1: a ten additional days yesterday, kind of randomly because he's
12:18
Speaker 1: negotiating with somebody somewhere somehow, and he gave them an
12:23
Speaker 1: extra ten days because they gave him some gift which
12:26
Speaker 1: they deny they've given him, which is the passage of
12:28
Speaker 1: three ships are the Homost Straits. But they've denied it.
12:33
Speaker 1: They've denied the negotiating. But Trump is generous, so he
12:38
Speaker 1: you know, postponed any attacks on energy infrastructure on show
12:43
Speaker 1: April six. The Arenians are saying now that this attack
12:47
Speaker 1: on their steel industry and on the nuclear facilities constitutes
12:51
Speaker 1: an attack on energy infrastructure. And therefore they're about, and
12:55
Speaker 1: we'll see in the minutes, hours, days to come, they're
12:58
Speaker 1: about to launch a massive attack act on Golf states,
13:05
Speaker 1: on energy and UH and power facilities UH in in
13:11
Speaker 1: in a variety of Golf states. Right, unbelievable. I mean,
13:17
Speaker 1: here's ma nefas Nepal. I mean a real creep and
13:22
Speaker 1: you know, but he is the official news guy of
13:25
Speaker 1: x I guess of Twitter. He is constantly reporting breaking
13:29
Speaker 1: news and interviewing people. But he's he's really really bad
13:31
Speaker 1: and and and and really disgusting. But listen to this, right,
13:35
Speaker 1: this is and this is this is the sense in
13:37
Speaker 1: which Iranians are winning, right, the sense in which people
13:40
Speaker 1: like Mario basically take their side. Uh here is, he says.
13:47
Speaker 1: I'm pissed Trump gave you on a pause on strikes
13:50
Speaker 1: against their energy infrastructure until April six.
13:53
Speaker 2: So what it Israel?
13:54
Speaker 1: Do They bombed all three of you one's largest steel
13:57
Speaker 1: plants simultaneously, which are crucial for the very y me
14:02
Speaker 1: scratching my head, asking the question, Wait a minute, is
14:07
Speaker 1: this is this energy infrastructure steel plants? No, he continues,
14:15
Speaker 1: and if that wasn't enough, they also struck you on
14:18
Speaker 1: heavy water react the facility, as well as uranium production
14:22
Speaker 1: and uranium conversion sites. Scratching my head again, nothing to
14:28
Speaker 1: do with their energy production. And indeed the United States
14:32
Speaker 1: and is all set from day one. Number one target
14:36
Speaker 1: was the nuclear program.
14:37
Speaker 2: So what's the spice?
14:39
Speaker 1: Okay, he continues, All in the same day, how horrific?
14:43
Speaker 1: Is that. Why did is yell do this? And was
14:47
Speaker 1: it in coordination with the United States? Well and not.
14:50
Speaker 1: According to ged Evans, if it's in coordination, it means
14:53
Speaker 1: Trump lie to the Uranians. Oh my god, can you
14:58
Speaker 1: imagine this be I mean global news, Trump lied. It
15:03
Speaker 1: must be the first time ever, although maybe maybe what
15:07
Speaker 1: he means is Trump always lies to the Americans. No,
15:09
Speaker 1: he's lying to the Ranians as well. How did that happen?
15:15
Speaker 1: I mean, God, anyway, if not, then Israel is lying.
15:23
Speaker 1: If you take into account they will put today the
15:25
Speaker 1: JD events yelled at Nitagnelle over the phone this week,
15:29
Speaker 1: upset at being dragged into the war by misleading intelligence.
15:33
Speaker 1: Then I think you have your answer. It all seems
15:36
Speaker 1: to be trying to sabotage these negotiations, and it serves
15:39
Speaker 1: their interest to do so. I mean, it's it's pretty amazing,
15:52
Speaker 1: right that this is the case. It's pretty amazing that
15:56
Speaker 1: these people, you know, clearly advocating for the Iranian regime
16:03
Speaker 1: and they're just pissed off at Israel and they will
16:06
Speaker 1: attack Israel at every opportunity, and they'll go after Israel,
16:09
Speaker 1: and they're doing Iran's work to convince the world that
16:12
Speaker 1: this is a war instigated by Israel, and this is
16:15
Speaker 1: a war that Iran will win, and.
16:19
Speaker 2: Trump is lying.
16:20
Speaker 1: Iranians don't lie, never like the Iranians are one hundred percent.
16:24
Speaker 1: They're wonderful people. But you know, Israel bombed their facilities.
16:32
Speaker 1: Now jed Events did.
16:33
Speaker 2: Supposedly supposedly, we don't know.
16:35
Speaker 1: I wasn't on the call yell at Nitenielle. He yelled Ato,
16:40
Speaker 1: not for supposedly dragging you nacily it's in the war,
16:44
Speaker 1: but for claiming at the beginning of the war, or
16:47
Speaker 1: before the war started, that regime change was going to
16:50
Speaker 1: be easy, and it's not, and it hasn't happened yet.
16:55
Speaker 1: Now there are questions about what Nataio actually said and
16:58
Speaker 1: what he actually said to the Americans and JD Evans. Look,
17:01
Speaker 1: the very fact that JD. Vance now is at the
17:04
Speaker 1: forefront of the American administration's efforts around the war. He's
17:07
Speaker 1: the one they were going to send to negotiate in Pakistan.
17:12
Speaker 1: He's calling the Taniel suggests a shift less friendly stance
17:19
Speaker 1: of the American stewards Israel. It suggests a shifts towards
17:23
Speaker 1: towards trying to you know, shift towards trying to appease
17:32
Speaker 1: the Iranians in some way, trying to put an end
17:34
Speaker 1: to this. We'll see, we'll see. But Vance was quiet
17:40
Speaker 1: for the first three and a half weeks of the war. Suddenly,
17:42
Speaker 1: over the last few days, Vance is in the news.
17:46
Speaker 1: Not a good thing, not a good sign, not a
17:50
Speaker 1: good sign for victory. Okay, So that's basically what's happening.
17:56
Speaker 1: Israel is attacking. The United States is attacking United States
18:00
Speaker 1: troops into the area, ground troops. That rumor today said
18:04
Speaker 1: they're thinking about deploying ten thousand troops to the Middle
18:08
Speaker 1: East again, fog of war. I don't know exactly what's
18:13
Speaker 1: going on. I don't know what Americans are doing. I
18:15
Speaker 1: don't know what the plan is now. The detailed plans
18:19
Speaker 1: going up online, I've seen them all day today about
18:23
Speaker 1: the fact that the United States will not go to
18:26
Speaker 1: Kurrag Island, that is a facility where all the all
18:30
Speaker 1: the oil export facilities off of the Iranians. No, they're
18:34
Speaker 1: not going to take that island. They're going to take
18:36
Speaker 1: three islands in the middle of the Homo Straits. These
18:39
Speaker 1: are three islands I showed you when I did the maps.
18:42
Speaker 1: I showed you the three islands. Anyway, these are three
18:45
Speaker 1: islands that the Shavian basically took in the nineteen seventies
18:50
Speaker 1: from the UAE. So these are three islands that are
18:53
Speaker 1: in dispute that the Iranians claim of theirs, that the
18:56
Speaker 1: UAE claim of theirs. They said, right smack in the
19:00
Speaker 1: know of the entrance to home Wos Strait. They have
19:03
Speaker 1: incredible strategic potential. So now, but again, why would this
19:07
Speaker 1: be all of the news. That is, if they really
19:09
Speaker 1: intend to take those islands, why would they advertise it
19:12
Speaker 1: in advance? So I don't know what the military plans are.
19:16
Speaker 1: I have no insight into their intelligence. To me, it
19:20
Speaker 1: makes sense rather than to take color islands, it does
19:23
Speaker 1: make sense to take the Homemost Straits itself, to take
19:26
Speaker 1: the islands to control it. If you do that, you
19:29
Speaker 1: control all the shipping coming out of you on you
19:33
Speaker 1: control the oil.
19:34
Speaker 2: Exports if you want to.
19:36
Speaker 1: And if you want to destroy their oil exports, you
19:38
Speaker 1: just bomb the hell out of Colorg Island and turn
19:40
Speaker 1: it into dust, which the United States and Israel could do,
19:44
Speaker 1: shouldn't do, should have done a long time ago, but won't.
19:49
Speaker 1: So that's kind of where we are troops coming in,
19:53
Speaker 1: maybe maybe a land excursion. Trump talking to I don't know,
20:00
Speaker 1: somebody in the Iranian regime negotiating maybe a deal which
20:05
Speaker 1: the Iranians constantly say that on interested in, and they
20:08
Speaker 1: won't negotiate around on the terms that the Iranians are
20:11
Speaker 1: rejected over and over and over again. I can't imagine
20:15
Speaker 1: a deal that any of us would be happy with.
20:18
Speaker 1: That Israel would be happy with it, the US should
20:20
Speaker 1: be happy with that the Iranians would agree to at
20:22
Speaker 1: this point. Because here's the problem, and and and I
20:27
Speaker 1: want to talk about what victory.
20:29
Speaker 2: Means off of this.
20:30
Speaker 1: Here's the problem. The Iranians look around the world right now,
20:37
Speaker 1: and while it's clear to them that they've taken significant losses,
20:41
Speaker 1: it's clear to them that they've been devastated. All their losses,
20:46
Speaker 1: from their perspective, can be rebuilt. With the right amount
20:50
Speaker 1: of money, they can rebuild anything. And one of the
20:54
Speaker 1: great mysteries of this war, and somebody might be able
20:57
Speaker 1: to enlighten me about this, One of the great mysteries
21:01
Speaker 1: about this war is the United States continues to allow
21:03
Speaker 1: the Uranians to ship oil out and to collect revenue
21:06
Speaker 1: from the oil sales. So the Auranians look around the
21:08
Speaker 1: world and they say, our oil is more valuable today
21:11
Speaker 1: than ever. People are willing to pay a lot of
21:13
Speaker 1: money for it. We will get a massive revenue increase
21:18
Speaker 1: in the future. As long as the regime doesn't collapse.
21:22
Speaker 1: We can rebuild our ballistic missiles, rebuild our factories, we
21:26
Speaker 1: can rebuild our you know, whatever we need to do
21:30
Speaker 1: because we have money coming in, and we will have
21:32
Speaker 1: money coming in indefinitely. The Americans in the Israelis are
21:37
Speaker 1: not touching our oil fields and our oil production facilities.
21:44
Speaker 1: Those we cannot build. Those will take years to rebuild,
21:48
Speaker 1: but they're not touching those. So as long as I
21:50
Speaker 1: don't touch those, it means we continue to have the
21:54
Speaker 1: ability to sell oil in the market, and they will
21:56
Speaker 1: continue to have money. At the same time, we control
22:02
Speaker 1: the Homost Straits. Nobody seems to really be challenging that.
22:07
Speaker 1: I mean, there's a lot of noise being made. Americans
22:09
Speaker 1: claim they're going to reopen it. The UAE today announced
22:12
Speaker 1: that they will reopen it. They are trying to form
22:15
Speaker 1: an international coalition that will open it, something I've been
22:18
Speaker 1: advocating for since week one.
22:21
Speaker 2: But it still hasn't happened.
22:23
Speaker 1: This seems constantly reports about countries willing to do it,
22:26
Speaker 1: and nobody's actually sending except the Indians. The Indians are
22:29
Speaker 1: the only ones that have seven boats right outside the
22:32
Speaker 1: Homo Straits, and they're claiming they're going to go in
22:35
Speaker 1: to escort Indian ships out. We'll see if that happens.
22:38
Speaker 1: That'll be an interesting experiment to see what happens. But
22:43
Speaker 1: so they're looking at and they control the Homo Straits.
22:47
Speaker 1: The Americans are bombing it, they're bombing their facilities, they're
22:53
Speaker 1: destroying their small boats, but so far they ConTroll the
22:58
Speaker 1: Homo Straates.
23:00
Speaker 2: Nobody's going anyway.
23:03
Speaker 1: And now look at all of this and say, yes,
23:06
Speaker 1: you know, we've lost people, we've lost weapons, we've lost industry,
23:14
Speaker 1: but we haven't lost anything we can't rebuild, and we
23:20
Speaker 1: have the money to rebuild because of oil. And yeah,
23:24
Speaker 1: as long as there's no regime change, which is a
23:26
Speaker 1: big gift, because after this war, let's say it ends tomorrow,
23:31
Speaker 1: Iran is significantly poorer. If it takes all the money
23:36
Speaker 1: and gets some oil and pours it into rebuilding its military,
23:40
Speaker 1: it'll be even poorer.
23:43
Speaker 2: The Iranian people rose up.
23:44
Speaker 1: Against the regime in January, primarily because of poverty and
23:48
Speaker 1: because of bad economics. I mean, they're gonna have a
23:51
Speaker 1: hard time with the Ranian people, no question about that,
23:54
Speaker 1: hard time with the Ranian people.
23:55
Speaker 2: But let's put that aside for now.
23:58
Speaker 1: The Iranian regime is thinking, you know, we're not losing,
24:03
Speaker 1: we're not winning, can't win. But they're not losing, and
24:11
Speaker 1: they haven't they haven't suffered enough. And this is the
24:16
Speaker 1: problem with these soft wars, what I call soft wars.
24:23
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm really happy to see Israel bombing these
24:27
Speaker 1: steel factories today. I mean, there shouldn't be a factory
24:31
Speaker 1: left standing in Iran. That is, their entire civilian infrastructure
24:37
Speaker 1: should be demolished. The Uranian government should understand that they
24:42
Speaker 1: have no economy when this is over. No economy. I mean,
24:48
Speaker 1: the power plants should have been taken out. The gas facilities,
24:53
Speaker 1: which all or mostly mostly I think eighty percent for
24:57
Speaker 1: domestic use, should have been can out. You remember when
25:00
Speaker 1: Israel took out forty percent of them and trum bulked
25:04
Speaker 1: and told them, no, don't do that anymore because of
25:07
Speaker 1: kata I mean that should have been taken out. The
25:19
Speaker 1: you know, whatever's left of the Union military establishment. If
25:23
Speaker 1: they're in bunkers deep down, and we know where they are,
25:27
Speaker 1: big bunker busting bombs should have been used, even if
25:31
Speaker 1: the result would have been collateral damage. That is what
25:36
Speaker 1: you need here is a serious war.
25:39
Speaker 2: Now.
25:40
Speaker 1: What American and the US are doing, What American US,
25:43
Speaker 1: what is in the US are doing it is amazing
25:45
Speaker 1: in terms of precision attacks and unbelievable intelligence and all
25:51
Speaker 1: of that amazing, amazing. But what you have to do
26:01
Speaker 1: is make it clear to the Unions that they've lost.
26:09
Speaker 1: They've lost, they've lost the country, they've lost, their ability
26:13
Speaker 1: to govern. The future is unbelievably bleak. I mean, Trump
26:20
Speaker 1: is whatever he's negotiating, is telling them he's going to
26:23
Speaker 1: eliminate sanctions. Well, sanctions are elimited. They can sanctions eliminated.
26:27
Speaker 1: They can build whatever they want, you know, unless there's
26:31
Speaker 1: some guarantee that they won't build. But how do you
26:33
Speaker 1: how do you secure that guarantee? And what is only
26:38
Speaker 1: i'd say should be doing is making you run so improvished.
26:42
Speaker 1: There should be no electricity anyway anyone, because we bombed
26:49
Speaker 1: all the gas facilities and whatever other forms of power
26:52
Speaker 1: they have. We've bombed those as well. Then the regime
26:57
Speaker 1: will feel like, oh my god, what are we going
27:01
Speaker 1: to do? And then you might each actually get the
27:05
Speaker 1: Ranian people going out the streets and demanding a surrender.
27:10
Speaker 1: You've got victory means. One of the things about victory
27:15
Speaker 1: is that the people who have been defeated know unequivocally,
27:20
Speaker 1: without question, that they have lost and that there is
27:27
Speaker 1: no recovery for them. Sort of surrender, you know, this
27:36
Speaker 1: was why he was Shumanagasaki was so essential. They conveyed
27:42
Speaker 1: a clear message, you have lost, there is no way
27:48
Speaker 1: out for you. And the Japanese got it. They got it.
27:53
Speaker 2: They had a surrender.
27:58
Speaker 1: So what's missing right now is not only the opening
28:06
Speaker 1: of the Homo Straits, which should have happened by now.
28:09
Speaker 1: If it was planned properly in advance, then it would
28:14
Speaker 1: have happened by now. And massive failure, massive strategic failure.
28:23
Speaker 1: And don't believe all the people are telling you out
28:25
Speaker 1: to all these former generals and admirals telling you that,
28:27
Speaker 1: oh no, we know the US government, US military prepared
28:31
Speaker 1: for all these scenarios. They have a plan, they know, yeah,
28:34
Speaker 1: they do the plans. Plans, you know, just like Israel
28:36
Speaker 1: had a plan for what would happen if they need
28:39
Speaker 1: the invage Gaza. But then when they actually had to
28:42
Speaker 1: implement their plan, they had to reconceive the whole thing,
28:45
Speaker 1: and it took them three weeks. Was there a plan
28:51
Speaker 1: on day one? Was there a plan a day minus one?
28:55
Speaker 1: What to do with the homeone straits? And the answer
28:57
Speaker 1: to that is no, there was no plan. Trump evaded
29:02
Speaker 1: the need for one and launched the attack without one,
29:06
Speaker 1: thinking he would need it. And so it's taken four
29:11
Speaker 1: You know, it took two weeks to get a plan,
29:12
Speaker 1: it's going to take four five weeks to implement a plan. Ultimately.
29:16
Speaker 1: I mean, it's possible, very very very possible to open
29:21
Speaker 1: the home up straits. It's very very very doable with
29:26
Speaker 1: the right navy supports, the right ships in place. Absolutely
29:32
Speaker 1: it can be done, and it should be done, and
29:34
Speaker 1: it will be done, I guess. But in the meantime,
29:37
Speaker 1: the Ranians are looking and they're seeing the world, and
29:41
Speaker 1: they're seeing the world panicking. They're seeing all prices go up,
29:44
Speaker 1: fertilizer prices go up. They're seeing people panicking about global starvation,
29:48
Speaker 1: panicking about the price of oil, panicking because there's gonna
29:52
Speaker 1: be no micro processes because there's no helium panicking about
29:55
Speaker 1: all these things.
29:56
Speaker 2: And the Ranians are going, yeah, we're winning, We're winning.
30:12
Speaker 1: Right, there's a funny comment on the chat from Aubrey,
30:19
Speaker 1: So I'm distracted. Sorry, we'll get you know, maybe we'll
30:25
Speaker 1: get to that. What America has to convey to the
30:29
Speaker 1: world and equivocally, and all this talk about negotiation is
30:32
Speaker 1: a massive destruction from conveying this message. American needs to
30:37
Speaker 1: convey to Iran into the world that there is no
30:40
Speaker 1: negotiated settlements for this. It needs to convey to Iran
30:44
Speaker 1: in the world that the Homo Straits will be open
30:47
Speaker 1: sooner rather than later, and when they are open, all
30:52
Speaker 1: bets are off for this regime, that this regime is history.
30:59
Speaker 1: Maybe at begin they should they should say now, maybe
31:01
Speaker 1: at the beginning he kept paying. We thought maybe we
31:04
Speaker 1: could still kind of deal with you guys, Maybe you'd
31:06
Speaker 1: learn a lesson now, given your behavior, given you attack
31:10
Speaker 1: on the Gulf States, given everything that happens, we will
31:14
Speaker 1: not settle this wall until you guys are all dead,
31:17
Speaker 1: until this regime is buried. Now you could do that,
31:25
Speaker 1: you open the homost straits, the economic pressures go away.
31:32
Speaker 1: He dropped special forces teams onto the cave complexes. He
31:36
Speaker 1: dropped special forces teams onto where the uranium in richment is,
31:40
Speaker 1: and you take out the complexes. You you make sure systematically,
31:45
Speaker 1: whatever it takes to destroy their bbilistic misstock capabilities, you
31:49
Speaker 1: make it zero, so they're launching zero and then you
31:54
Speaker 1: can just wait it out. You can just send drones
31:57
Speaker 1: into the streets to kill Besison GC and the war
32:02
Speaker 1: will be over. At some point they will give in
32:05
Speaker 1: or the Iranian people will take control. But you have
32:08
Speaker 1: to do it, and you have to blank in the place,
32:10
Speaker 1: turn the dark. No lights at night, no lights at night.
32:16
Speaker 2: I don't need heat.
32:17
Speaker 1: Right now, it's already April, but no lights at night.
32:23
Speaker 1: And if you do that, I think there was over
32:26
Speaker 1: pretty quickly. But we need negotiate. And he keeps saying
32:29
Speaker 1: I really want them w to end and two weeks
32:32
Speaker 1: that will be done.
32:33
Speaker 2: And now it's four weeks.
32:34
Speaker 1: No, no, no, no. Rubio just said two to four
32:37
Speaker 1: weeks from today, which is probably more realistic because if
32:40
Speaker 1: they're going to invade the islands, if they're going to
32:43
Speaker 1: big troops in, they need to build up the infrastructure
32:46
Speaker 1: for that. That's going to take weeks, weeks, probably four
32:50
Speaker 1: rather than two. And you know, somebody says, you can't
32:59
Speaker 1: tell that they are is he surrender. You have to
33:00
Speaker 1: tell them to get out. No, you can't tell them anything.
33:03
Speaker 1: You have to kick them out. You have to kill
33:06
Speaker 1: as many of them is necessary for them to run away,
33:10
Speaker 1: and you have to get the population to rise up
33:13
Speaker 1: against them. And you know, I don't think we're that
33:19
Speaker 1: far away from it. It needs that push. Victory is possible,
33:24
Speaker 1: victory is within our reach, but it's that final push,
33:30
Speaker 1: which it doesn't seem like Trump is willing to make
33:32
Speaker 1: right take out the pop plan. No, no, no, we'll
33:35
Speaker 1: do it in twenty four hours, No five days, no no,
33:37
Speaker 1: no ten days. I mean, how does the Iranian regime
33:42
Speaker 1: read that? It reads it as Trump is a coward,
33:47
Speaker 1: It reads it as Trump is not willing to do
33:49
Speaker 1: as necessary to actually win. But the reality right now
34:02
Speaker 1: is Saudi's want the regime gone. UAE, once the regime gone, Bahrain,
34:11
Speaker 1: once the regime gone. You know, they've even talked about
34:17
Speaker 1: potentially using their own forces.
34:19
Speaker 2: U AE is volunteering its.
34:21
Speaker 1: Navy, which is small but very very technologically advanced. I
34:29
Speaker 1: think they even have minesweepers, which the US does not. Oh,
34:40
Speaker 1: I completely think that the Iranians think he's too cowardly.
34:44
Speaker 1: I mean, what is The US has not touched any
34:47
Speaker 1: of their economic facilities. The US has not taken out
34:52
Speaker 1: any of their leadership. The US is focused on big infrastructure,
34:56
Speaker 1: trying to break those caves, trying to get the missiles
35:00
Speaker 1: going after the shore. The US has not shown any
35:06
Speaker 1: willingness to attack civilian infrastructure, not shown any winningless to
35:11
Speaker 1: actually penalize this regime, penalize it in a way that
35:15
Speaker 1: the people will suffer. People have to suffer in a
35:17
Speaker 1: war nowhere around it. This regime is right now. I
35:32
Speaker 1: mean if you look at the Ranians on the one hand,
35:35
Speaker 1: as I said, they look around and they see Trump,
35:38
Speaker 1: who is mostly cowardly. I mean, these Raelis have taken
35:44
Speaker 1: out the leadership. By every account, it's been the Israelis.
35:47
Speaker 1: The Americans have not attacked leadership, which is interesting, right,
35:54
Speaker 1: Americans have not taken out leadership. The Israelis have and
35:59
Speaker 1: they continue to do so. And there's rumors of more
36:01
Speaker 1: leadership being decapitated yesterday and today, we just haven't got
36:05
Speaker 1: confirmation yet. But not the US. US doesn't do those
36:11
Speaker 1: kind of things. So they look around. They see the
36:17
Speaker 1: unwillingness of the US to act against the civilian infrastructure.
36:23
Speaker 1: They see the effect they're having on the global markets
36:26
Speaker 1: and the effect that has on Trump. By the way,
36:29
Speaker 1: Trump did the ten day extension when he saw the
36:32
Speaker 1: market going down dramatically. They see the ten year bond
36:37
Speaker 1: going way high because nobody right now trusts the Trump
36:41
Speaker 1: administration to end US and.
36:42
Speaker 2: Its quick end lists quickly.
36:48
Speaker 1: But on the other hand, they also see their colleagues killed,
36:55
Speaker 1: their weapons systems deteriorated, the people hate them. It's not
37:01
Speaker 1: clear who's running you on right now. That's you know,
37:05
Speaker 1: that's part of it. Stream leader might be, might not be.
37:09
Speaker 1: Nobody knows. Speak of the House is supposedly negotiating with Trump,
37:14
Speaker 1: but does he have power. The head of the IGC
37:18
Speaker 1: knows there's bounty on his head, and it's just a
37:21
Speaker 1: question of time before Israel succeeds in killing him. They're
37:25
Speaker 1: certainly trying. Whether they're actually gotten him or not, we'll
37:31
Speaker 1: find out. But he knows they're after him. Every IRGC
37:37
Speaker 1: commander at a senior position knows Israel is trying to
37:41
Speaker 1: kill them. Don'ty cheap people or off the list Right now?
37:45
Speaker 1: Are there the Speaker of the House who's negotiating with
37:48
Speaker 1: Trump supposedly and the foreign minister Trump took them off
37:51
Speaker 1: the list. There's another sign of unbelievable weakness. The Iranian
38:02
Speaker 1: drone threat is not that big of a deal. Iranian
38:06
Speaker 1: drone drones the numbers of being depleted dramatically. Again, if
38:12
Speaker 1: you look at the numbers in the early part of
38:13
Speaker 1: the war, their way down drone facilities have been destroyed.
38:19
Speaker 1: Even the fleet of ships that was bringing in drones
38:23
Speaker 1: from Russia on the Caspian Sea has been destroyed. So
38:27
Speaker 1: I'm sure Russia is trying to bring in drones in
38:29
Speaker 1: other means, in other ways. But as I was watching
38:34
Speaker 1: those as well, you know, the drones can be launched.
38:41
Speaker 1: Saudi Arabia just signed a big deal with the Ukrainians
38:44
Speaker 1: to develop to bring to Saudi Arabia the drone the
38:49
Speaker 1: anti drone technology. Drones can be shot down, Drones can
38:58
Speaker 1: be shot down. Chinese ships are not going up the
39:03
Speaker 1: Homo Straits, so they're not delivering anything. They might be
39:06
Speaker 1: deliving by road elsewhere. The drone manufacturing facilities have been bombed.
39:15
Speaker 1: There's you know, there's very little that the Iranian regime has.
39:20
Speaker 1: I mean, most drones are shot down. Ninety plus percent
39:22
Speaker 1: of drones are shot down, and with the Ukrainian technology
39:27
Speaker 1: not at a huge cost. Oh here's another one. You know,
39:34
Speaker 1: why isn't Why isn't Why hasn't the United States? Here's
39:38
Speaker 1: a good question. I mean, this is part of this
39:41
Speaker 1: civilian infrastructure question. Why hasn't the United States basically shut
39:45
Speaker 1: down every Iranian port civilian port? Why isn't it basically
39:50
Speaker 1: said said no ships can come and no ships can
39:54
Speaker 1: leave nobody. Any ships that does leave will get boarded.
40:00
Speaker 1: Any ships that attempts to dock at an Iranian port
40:03
Speaker 1: will be sunk. And generally, why don't they just demolish
40:07
Speaker 1: the ports? Why haven't they destroyed the port? It's not
40:09
Speaker 1: that hard to destroy ports, it wouldn't take much. I mean, again,
40:15
Speaker 1: this is American weakness. This is not taking a war seriously,
40:18
Speaker 1: this is playing playing video games wars, video games, not
40:23
Speaker 1: a strategic thinking. Why are the Uranians spilled exporting oil?
40:29
Speaker 1: Why not board every single Iranian tanker and take and
40:33
Speaker 1: take the oil for yourself. None of this is hard.
40:42
Speaker 1: Nan States has the asset in place to do all that.
40:46
Speaker 1: Does he need eighty second able? Does he need boots
40:48
Speaker 1: on the ground. It's again, it's a it really is,
41:04
Speaker 1: you know, maybe a video game war and with rules
41:08
Speaker 1: of war straight out of just with theory. No civilian casualties,
41:12
Speaker 1: no civilian facilities, don't hurt the economy after we build afterwards.
41:19
Speaker 1: But that's what they're doing. That's how they're fighting. And
41:22
Speaker 1: they're bombing every day, huge amounts, but nothing civilian.
41:30
Speaker 2: No, none of the ports they bombed.
41:32
Speaker 1: Ships they've sunk basically the entire Iranian navy. Supposely of
41:37
Speaker 1: the ships, I don't understand the eight percent. Supposely there's
41:40
Speaker 1: one large Iranian warship still standing. Why why hasn't it
41:44
Speaker 1: been sunk? So I don't know. I mean, somebody should
41:47
Speaker 1: that Chegiby team maybe they know. Why is the one
41:50
Speaker 1: ship not being sunk? Is it in China? Is it
41:55
Speaker 1: in a tunnel down? Is it? Is it disappeared? Nobody
41:58
Speaker 1: can find it? I mean satellite imagery, you think you
42:02
Speaker 1: could find it pretty easily, and then you know, one
42:05
Speaker 1: bomb and it's gone. So when you fight with two
42:14
Speaker 1: hands or one hand tied behind your back, when you
42:17
Speaker 1: fight without a pure commitment to victory. Then you get
42:23
Speaker 1: entangled in quagmires, you get entangled in long wars, You
42:25
Speaker 1: get and you and you get the possibility of actually
42:29
Speaker 1: not winning in spite of the tactical and to something,
42:33
Speaker 1: you know, the tactical brilliance of this campaign. Suddenly on
42:37
Speaker 1: the American side there's a massive void of strategy again,
42:43
Speaker 1: no strategy for the straits of homos, no strategy to
42:47
Speaker 1: take out the civilian infrastructure, or no willingness to take
42:50
Speaker 1: out the civilian infrastructure. Is those doing it? Maybe it's
42:57
Speaker 1: getting American approval, maybe not. I do not know. But
43:03
Speaker 1: the IDF is focusing now, and I think in the
43:06
Speaker 1: next day, a couple of days, we'll focus on economic targets.
43:09
Speaker 1: They're worried, they're worried that the US is going to
43:14
Speaker 1: cut a deal here and not win and for shorter victory.
43:21
Speaker 1: So they are doing what they can to take out
43:23
Speaker 1: whatever assets they can while they still can do it.
43:28
Speaker 1: And of course, you know the United States. Trump can
43:30
Speaker 1: tomorrow say no more steal plants, don't bow many factories.
43:34
Speaker 2: He could say that.
43:36
Speaker 1: We have no idea what he'll say, right, like you
43:37
Speaker 1: said about the gas, like you said about power. No,
43:41
Speaker 1: can't do that. Why not.
43:45
Speaker 3: Essential for victory.
44:01
Speaker 1: In anytime? As of earlier today, all prices away up again,
44:07
Speaker 1: a sign they're not really trusting. They're not trusting. Trump
44:16
Speaker 1: stocks basically took a dive today with the NASDAC down
44:20
Speaker 1: two percent. Could West Texas? Could West Texas Oil is
44:26
Speaker 1: for the you know, for one of the few times
44:29
Speaker 1: during you know, as of one of the few times
44:32
Speaker 1: it's above one hundred. It was at ninety four and
44:35
Speaker 1: a half at midnight, So it's spent the whole day
44:40
Speaker 1: just going up to over one hundred. That's not good news.
44:43
Speaker 1: It's also kind of maybe a hedge before the weekend.
44:47
Speaker 1: Gold is up, Silver is still under seventy, but up
44:51
Speaker 1: from its lows. The dollars going down, not hugely. Bond
44:57
Speaker 1: yields are very high, four point four four on the
44:59
Speaker 1: t year bond, maybe close to five on the thirty
45:02
Speaker 1: year bond.
45:03
Speaker 2: Bitcoin is collapsing.
45:05
Speaker 1: Go figure, if bitcoins a hedge against something, somebody let
45:08
Speaker 1: me know what it's a hedge against exactly. So again,
45:16
Speaker 1: victory is very close, very achievable with the right strategic commitment.
45:29
Speaker 1: Open up the straits of homoes, open it up aacap.
45:34
Speaker 1: All you have to do for the old price to
45:36
Speaker 1: come down is have an almada of ships from a
45:41
Speaker 1: variety of different countries ready to go. All prices will
45:44
Speaker 1: come down, and then go do it. And you should
45:49
Speaker 1: be able to start that with whichever countries are ready
45:51
Speaker 1: to do it right now. I mean again, the Indian
45:54
Speaker 1: ships there, there's ue there. Maybe the Saudis will cop
45:58
Speaker 1: will go in. Maybe the Bahrain I don't have a
46:00
Speaker 1: huge navy, but again they're very sophisticated navies. And then
46:03
Speaker 1: the Americans have a navy there, Japan has a ship there.
46:10
Speaker 1: Just go in and do it. I guess they're waiting
46:14
Speaker 1: for the ground troops. I guess they're waiting for the
46:19
Speaker 1: ground troops to take the islands before they put ships
46:24
Speaker 1: in harm's way. That's the only explanation I have for
46:27
Speaker 1: not having done it already. And ground troops take a
46:30
Speaker 1: long time. You have to get them in place, you
46:31
Speaker 1: have to arm them, you have to train them, you
46:34
Speaker 1: have to make sure they know what their targets are.
46:37
Speaker 1: Not easy at all, and it just takes time. But victory,
46:41
Speaker 1: it's easy to know what the goal is and it's
46:44
Speaker 1: easy to achieve that goal. God there's so many funny
46:53
Speaker 1: things going on, I find it hard to just focus
46:57
Speaker 1: on this. What else did I want to say about? Yeah,
47:03
Speaker 1: I mean, the US could declare unilateral declaration of victory,
47:09
Speaker 1: but the UE is not going to be happy, The
47:11
Speaker 1: Saudis is not going to be happy.
47:12
Speaker 2: These Raelis won't be happy.
47:16
Speaker 1: A unilateral declaration of victory will basically give the Iranians
47:20
Speaker 1: complete control over the Straits of Hormoes. It would be
47:24
Speaker 1: an unmitigated disaster, uh Israel. This kind of thinks that
47:31
Speaker 1: this is possible, that Trump would do this, But UE
47:36
Speaker 1: and Saudi Arabia are really hustling to convey to the
47:39
Speaker 1: United States is this is not acceptable. Iran must be defeated,
47:44
Speaker 1: and that means the Gulf of Homoes is open.
47:47
Speaker 2: Is open.
47:51
Speaker 1: Second scenario is a detailed agreement, an actual deal. But
48:02
Speaker 1: you know, it's not clear to me does anybody to
48:05
Speaker 1: deal with on the Uranian side. These are religious fanatics.
48:09
Speaker 1: They have no interest in giving in, particularly if the
48:13
Speaker 1: United States does not show the willingness to take out
48:18
Speaker 1: their entire country. In other words, their all facilities, their
48:21
Speaker 1: power plants, the gas facilities, really make this the end
48:25
Speaker 1: of you, you know, the destruction of Uranian infrastructure through
48:30
Speaker 1: and through.
48:37
Speaker 2: So you know, we're going.
48:39
Speaker 1: To see, We're going to see whether Trump is serious
48:44
Speaker 1: or not. Those are hard words to say Trump is serious,
48:47
Speaker 1: he's not serious, but whether the people around him can
48:50
Speaker 1: get him to do the right thing or not. So, yeah,
49:01
Speaker 1: we will see, we will see. Let me go through
49:04
Speaker 1: some of this and yeah, we're not going to do that.
49:11
Speaker 1: And if you look at you know, if you look
49:13
Speaker 1: at how bad things are in the markets relative to
49:17
Speaker 1: past wars, this was not that bad in terms of
49:22
Speaker 1: or prices, in terms of stocks, but it's getting there
49:26
Speaker 1: and if it continues, it could easily become much worse
49:29
Speaker 1: than the Ukraine War, the Gulf War or other wars,
49:33
Speaker 1: or the even the Arab oil embargo. Again, the United
49:37
Speaker 1: States needs to get it back together, really does Now's
49:40
Speaker 1: that going down two percent today? Not good and and
49:44
Speaker 1: not good in terms of this is uh, this is
49:47
Speaker 1: significant pressure on on on Trump, right, all right, I
50:03
Speaker 1: guess there's fear right that if Iran are any infrastructure
50:07
Speaker 1: is really good, then there'll be a massive refugee crisis.
50:10
Speaker 1: And this was right at the beginning of the war.
50:12
Speaker 1: But he says, oh war, this will be awful. There'll
50:14
Speaker 1: be massive refugees. Turkey will be you know, Iran has
50:18
Speaker 1: a voter with Turkey. Turkey will be flooded. They'll be
50:20
Speaker 1: heading to Europe. And the fact is, since the war started,
50:24
Speaker 1: the number of refugees has actually declined. The number of
50:27
Speaker 1: people crossing the Turkish border has actually gone down, not up.
50:32
Speaker 2: Now.
50:32
Speaker 1: It's true that if it really gets bad in Iran,
50:36
Speaker 1: there is a possibility that more refugees will try to
50:39
Speaker 1: cross that border. It's what's a possible to stop them
50:44
Speaker 1: from doing that. You can stop them in a variety
50:48
Speaker 1: of different military ways. The border is not that long.
50:51
Speaker 1: They could flood into Iraq. But what would they do
50:53
Speaker 1: in Iraq? I work would be kind of a waste
50:56
Speaker 1: for them. Where they're going to go exactly, Turkey doesn't want.
51:01
Speaker 2: Them the US.
51:04
Speaker 1: If the US decides it doesn't want them to cross over,
51:07
Speaker 1: it can help Turkey stop them. There's no three million
51:13
Speaker 1: Iranians displaced into Turkey right now. It's just since the
51:17
Speaker 1: war began, maybe over the last ten years, but it
51:21
Speaker 1: just it's just these are made up numbers, made up numbers.
51:27
Speaker 1: A lot of Uranians in the West might go to
51:31
Speaker 1: Pakistan or Afghanistan, but who cares and not a lot
51:36
Speaker 1: for them to seek over there, right, Yeah, I mean
51:41
Speaker 1: it's very there's ultimately very little risk, particularly if this
51:47
Speaker 1: can be done quickly, decisively, thoroughly, and then the United
51:52
Speaker 1: States comes in with some kind of eight package, some
51:54
Speaker 1: kind of lifting of sanctions, helping to rebuild the energy facilities.
51:59
Speaker 1: American old companies come in. You could get you on
52:02
Speaker 1: back up to you know, economic prosperity fairly quickly. It
52:10
Speaker 1: just opened the spigot of investment, not government investment, private investment.
52:14
Speaker 1: Just let us companies come in there and start wookie.
52:18
Speaker 2: The oilfields.
52:22
Speaker 1: Could be done very very very quickly, very quickly, went sane,
52:42
Speaker 1: Give me five seizers, all right, Okay, here's is the
53:02
Speaker 1: three million number that the tammy Is is educated enlightening
53:08
Speaker 1: us with up to three point two million people estimated
53:11
Speaker 1: to are being internally displaced within Iraq Iran since.
53:15
Speaker 2: The beginning of the conflict.
53:16
Speaker 1: Yeah, basically Tehran is emptied out, so there is no
53:20
Speaker 1: evidence of so there's evidence of people being displaced. It
53:24
Speaker 1: says most of the displaced the fleeing Tehran and other
53:27
Speaker 1: urban centers in the northern part of the country, while
53:31
Speaker 1: fears of a large scale refugee crisis exist. Initial reports
53:36
Speaker 1: indicate that neighboring countries such as Almenia and Turkey had
53:40
Speaker 1: fortified their voters, limiting external departures. However, the situation remains fluid,
53:46
Speaker 1: with the UN appeals to the humanitarian Of course, the UN
53:48
Speaker 1: will appeal for humanitarian assistance. That is their job, right,
53:52
Speaker 1: So no, no, no significant outside of Yuan.
53:57
Speaker 2: I mean you could.
53:58
Speaker 1: Expect us at a Jan to accept a lot of
54:00
Speaker 1: the Azeris northwestern Yuan, the coods, and then there's Azeris,
54:06
Speaker 1: something like what is it, twenty or thirty percent of
54:09
Speaker 1: the Iranian population Azeris. That's the same tribe if you will,
54:13
Speaker 1: as Azerbaijan, Azeri Baijan, that's how it's named. You can
54:18
Speaker 1: imagine Azeri's flat as a Bajan. But even that doesn't
54:21
Speaker 1: seem to be happening in large numbers. There are a
54:23
Speaker 1: lot of mountains on the way. It's not easy. So yeah,
54:30
Speaker 1: no big refugee crisis yet, and I don't think one
54:33
Speaker 1: to be expected. Oh wait, yeah, I mean, let's see,
54:48
Speaker 1: Rubio said two to four weeks. He rejects the idea
54:52
Speaker 1: of of UoN controlling Homo Straits in the future, Trump
54:56
Speaker 1: at some point says me and Ayatula will control the
54:59
Speaker 1: Homos Straits. I don't think the the the you know,
55:03
Speaker 1: the Saudis and the UAE and Kata's Kataris are gonna
55:07
Speaker 1: like that. Regime change the understanding right now in Israel
55:15
Speaker 1: for regime changes, it's not going to happen as long
55:18
Speaker 1: as they's fighting. While regime change is the ultimate victory
55:22
Speaker 1: for thinking about victory, then regime change is the ultimate
55:25
Speaker 1: victory that will happen after the war is over. That
55:32
Speaker 1: will happen after this regime is weakened so badly and
55:36
Speaker 1: the civilian population is so furious and it's suffering so
55:41
Speaker 1: much that then they will rise up. But it probably
55:45
Speaker 1: won't happen while they're still bombing going on all over
55:50
Speaker 1: to her On. Now I'm seeing videos and I don't
55:55
Speaker 1: know again if to trust them or not. Videos of
55:58
Speaker 1: Irenians basically you know, shooting, shooting a Revolutionary Guard corps
56:06
Speaker 1: or besiege in various places around Iranan in Tehran, but
56:09
Speaker 1: in other places around Iran that they are armed. Now,
56:13
Speaker 1: I'm sure the MOSAD and the CIA are arming. Whatever
56:18
Speaker 1: elements of the opposition are willing to be armed. I'm
56:21
Speaker 1: sure there's a lot of that going on. Whether that's
56:23
Speaker 1: enough to make a difference, I do not know. Right
56:31
Speaker 1: Abu Dhabi is announced that it would deploy its navy
56:34
Speaker 1: in the Homo Straits for Homo security, for the Homo
56:36
Speaker 1: Security Force. It's asking other countries to join. They are
56:42
Speaker 1: of all countries, they're the ones exhibiting the biggest spine.
56:45
Speaker 1: They're also the ones assigned to Abrama Court. So they
56:48
Speaker 1: have a PC deal with Israel. They are buying technology
56:51
Speaker 1: from Israel and buying military technology from Israel.
56:53
Speaker 2: Wouldn't be surprised if.
56:54
Speaker 1: They get one of those laser laser beams to shoot
56:57
Speaker 1: down drones. Let's see what else is here. Yeah, we
57:03
Speaker 1: talked about the steel plants. Steel plants have been taken out,
57:06
Speaker 1: the heavy water nuclear complex was taken out, the I mean,
57:13
Speaker 1: there's a whole list here. Mythology company, other industries, holding
57:21
Speaker 1: an industrial town east of Alakh and note that what
57:25
Speaker 1: these Raelis are doing in these industrial places is the
57:29
Speaker 1: warning in advance the evacuate, so there are no casualties,
57:32
Speaker 1: but they're destroying the facilities. Yeah, I mean, the this
57:41
Speaker 1: is the UEE embassy in the United States. It says,
57:46
Speaker 1: we can't let youon hold the US, the UEE, and
57:49
Speaker 1: the global economy hostage. A simple cease fire isn't enough.
57:53
Speaker 1: We need a conclusive outcome that addresses Iran's full range
57:58
Speaker 1: of threats. Again, this is uh. Very few countries in
58:05
Speaker 1: the world are taking as stronger a stance against uh
58:08
Speaker 1: the Uranians as the UI E, the u E stance. Instead,
58:11
Speaker 1: Frans from our narvrative is confident. Uh that the dumb Uh. Yeah,
58:16
Speaker 1: so they are no cease fire.
58:22
Speaker 2: Let's see.
58:22
Speaker 1: This is the yellow cake production site near Yazed, Iran.
58:27
Speaker 1: Yellow Cake is U three oh eight. This uranium three eight.
58:30
Speaker 1: It's a production site. It's the only one of its
58:33
Speaker 1: kind in Iran, and it's necessary for taking war material
58:37
Speaker 1: and ultimately enriching it uh in enrichment facilities and centifuges.
58:44
Speaker 1: All right, it is the steel Hubrio has told the
58:49
Speaker 1: G seven will be two to four weeks. U India
58:54
Speaker 1: supposedly has said that it will. It's it's going into
58:56
Speaker 1: the Straits to escorts the chips. We'll see if that happened. Yeah,
59:03
Speaker 1: that's that's that. I'm just making sure I've got everything.
59:10
Speaker 1: Have you water plant again? Yeah. This evening, uh Ieran
59:21
Speaker 1: put out a list of all the things that they're
59:23
Speaker 1: going to strike now that Israel structure, they steel plants,
59:26
Speaker 1: uh you know, quate, desalination plants, complex and power plant,
59:31
Speaker 1: United Arab Emirates, it's a new nuclear power plant, desalination plant,
59:35
Speaker 1: power plant, power plant, and solar park. In for Saudi Arabia,
59:40
Speaker 1: it's desalination plant and power and water station. Bahrain, it's
59:46
Speaker 1: power and water stations, Kata power station and power and
59:49
Speaker 1: water station, Jordan power station, power generation station. So they're
59:54
Speaker 1: going after civilian infrastructure in all those countries. Note that
59:59
Speaker 1: you ae A least has massive reserves of water, so
1:00:02
Speaker 1: if they take out their desalination plant, they're not going
1:00:05
Speaker 1: to all go thirsty. Paul corrects me in terms of
1:00:10
Speaker 1: the uranium at uranium two thirty eight. I don't know
1:00:12
Speaker 1: the story said you were name three or eight, but you're
1:00:15
Speaker 1: probably right. All right. You know, we talked about that,
1:00:24
Speaker 1: we talked about that, we talked about all of this.
1:00:26
Speaker 2: There we go, all right.
1:00:28
Speaker 1: So bottom line, my conclusion after a month of war
1:00:31
Speaker 1: is we're close the United States and there is all
1:00:36
Speaker 1: close to winning. This winning is within reach. It's not
1:00:41
Speaker 1: outside of reach. It is. It is essential to win,
1:00:49
Speaker 1: but victory requires a kind of commitment that goes beyond
1:00:53
Speaker 1: what the United States at least has shown willingness to
1:00:56
Speaker 1: do in this war. Winning will both require whatever it
1:01:01
Speaker 1: takes to open the Homeost straits, and it will require.
1:01:06
Speaker 2: Punishing Iran.
1:01:09
Speaker 1: In a way that is going to cause civilian pain,
1:01:16
Speaker 1: taking our power, taking out gas facilities, making sure the Iranians.
1:01:22
Speaker 1: You know, and my view is, I.
1:01:24
Speaker 2: Don't care about Kata.
1:01:25
Speaker 1: They can take out all of Kata. As far as
1:01:27
Speaker 1: I'm concerned, the lergy market will find other sources who
1:01:31
Speaker 1: cares about the Ranians. Attacking Kata is like like God
1:01:37
Speaker 1: exists and he's and he's implementing justice in our life.
1:01:42
Speaker 1: You know that.
1:01:43
Speaker 2: That's what it's like.
1:01:44
Speaker 1: Uh. Kata is like the worst of the Gulf States.
1:01:49
Speaker 1: It has been an ally of the Iranians. It has
1:01:52
Speaker 1: been home to Ramas, It has been, you know, thoroughly
1:01:56
Speaker 1: anti Israel. Even now it is blaming Israel for thing
1:02:00
Speaker 1: that's going on. Anything they get from the Iranians they
1:02:04
Speaker 1: absolutely deserve. Israel has promised the Americans not to attack Kutter.
1:02:11
Speaker 1: That's fine. Let the Iranians do it.
1:02:13
Speaker 2: For Israel. Let the Iranians attack Kutter. That's fine.
1:02:18
Speaker 1: You know, hopefully the Israelis and the Americans can help
1:02:21
Speaker 1: the UAE in the Saudist because right now those are
1:02:24
Speaker 1: allies of ours to defend their infrastructure and let the
1:02:29
Speaker 1: Kataris go to hell. It was the Qataris that after
1:02:33
Speaker 1: Israel struck for the gas facilities and Iran attacked the
1:02:38
Speaker 1: Katari gas facilities. It was the Qataris that got Trump
1:02:42
Speaker 1: to ban stop Israel from attacking infrastructure or at least
1:02:47
Speaker 1: gas infrastructure in the future. We should stop listening to Kataris.
1:02:52
Speaker 1: We should have never listened to the Katari's. I mean, okay,
1:02:57
Speaker 1: the biggest liability for victory, The biggest liability to victory
1:03:04
Speaker 1: is Trump. It's Trump's willingness to listen to people like
1:03:09
Speaker 1: the Katawis. It's Trump's willingness to try to quote negotiate.
1:03:18
Speaker 1: It's Trump's unwillingness to go all in and actually get.
1:03:24
Speaker 1: And that doesn't mean ground troops in bi boots. You
1:03:26
Speaker 1: don't need ground troops in boots. Although I don't know
1:03:28
Speaker 1: if you saw this news today, right I told you
1:03:30
Speaker 1: about this yesterday or the day before, about Uganda's uh
1:03:35
Speaker 1: like ahead of the Ugandan army, saying that if Israel
1:03:40
Speaker 1: needs their help, they're happy to come and they will.
1:03:42
Speaker 1: They're happy to you know, defend Israel and help Israel
1:03:46
Speaker 1: Uganda because they're Christians and the Jews are their brothers,
1:03:51
Speaker 1: and they will help them out. Anyway, today the same
1:03:54
Speaker 1: head of the Ugandan army said maybe it's yesterday. He said,
1:03:59
Speaker 1: you want boots in the will be your boots in
1:04:01
Speaker 1: the ground. We're willing to invade Iran. We will take
1:04:04
Speaker 1: Tehran in two weeks. You Ganda will take Tehran in
1:04:08
Speaker 1: two weeks. He also said he models his life after
1:04:13
Speaker 1: Moshet Dayan, the legendary Israeli general and defense minister. So
1:04:19
Speaker 1: go you Ganda. I mean, it's part of the funny
1:04:22
Speaker 1: stories that are in surrounding this, this whole whole insanity
1:04:28
Speaker 1: right anyway, Yeah, I mean the biggest liability is Trump.
1:04:41
Speaker 1: Trump's unwillingness it's actually fight a war, and willingness to
1:04:46
Speaker 1: put boots in the ground, Trump's unwillingness to destroy civilian infrastructure,
1:04:51
Speaker 1: Trump's unwillingness to completely back Israel, Trump's on willingness to
1:04:56
Speaker 1: listen to Kataris and negotiated with the Ranians. That is
1:05:00
Speaker 1: is the number one unequivocal obstacle to this war. Now,
1:05:06
Speaker 1: I get even if it ended today, is Role would
1:05:09
Speaker 1: be safer. I'm not sure about cut out and the
1:05:15
Speaker 1: UAE and Saudi Arabia. They might not be safer, but
1:05:17
Speaker 1: Israel is safer. But that's not good enough. I want
1:05:22
Speaker 1: total victory, total victory. We got an administration of nutcases.
1:05:32
Speaker 1: One of the things that caused me to laugh while
1:05:36
Speaker 1: we were going was this about JD. Vance.
1:05:39
Speaker 2: Right, He's doing an interview with The Benny.
1:05:46
Speaker 1: Show, and he's asked about ufotes, Remember uifotes, unidentified flying objects,
1:05:53
Speaker 1: And this is what the Vice President of the United States,
1:05:56
Speaker 1: maybe potentially a future president of the United States. This
1:05:59
Speaker 1: is what he says, I don't think they're aliens. And
1:06:03
Speaker 1: I was going, okay, wow, that's good. He doesn't think
1:06:06
Speaker 1: they're aliens. He just thinks they're unidentified. No, but what
1:06:11
Speaker 1: he says is, I don't think they're aliens.
1:06:14
Speaker 2: I think the demons.
1:06:19
Speaker 1: Vice President of the United States, a future candidate for
1:06:22
Speaker 1: the presidency of the United States, thinks UFA oh is
1:06:26
Speaker 1: actually demons. Now this shouldn't surprise you. It shouldn't surprise you,
1:06:33
Speaker 1: he is really really best friends with the you know,
1:06:41
Speaker 1: the guy the demon scratched, the guy who the demons attacked.
1:06:47
Speaker 1: He's best friend with Tucker Calson. So why am I surprised?
1:06:52
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. There's a level of irrationality,
1:06:56
Speaker 1: a level of irrationality out there that just keeps surprising me.
1:07:02
Speaker 1: I can't imagine anybody's really serious about this, And then
1:07:05
Speaker 1: people who are per serious say this kind of stuff and.
1:07:09
Speaker 2: You go, oh, oh, it's sooner than you think.
1:07:14
Speaker 1: As Iron Man would say, the world is still massively irrational.
1:07:23
Speaker 1: Here's another news reports Saudi Arabia urging the United States
1:07:25
Speaker 1: to ramp up Iran attacks. Saudi Arabia has urged the
1:07:29
Speaker 1: US to ramp up attacks on Iran, as Saudi intelligence
1:07:32
Speaker 1: sources confirmed, while it is weighing a decision on whether
1:07:35
Speaker 1: to join the fight directly. Yeah, you think if they're
1:07:38
Speaker 1: urging the United States or ramp up they would join.
1:07:40
Speaker 1: The Saudi source confirmed reports in The New York Times
1:07:42
Speaker 1: that said the Kingdom is fact is the Kings of
1:07:45
Speaker 1: de facto leader NBS has urged Donald Trump not to
1:07:50
Speaker 1: cut shortest war against Iran and that US Israelly campaign
1:07:53
Speaker 1: represents a staric opportunity to remake them addle least absolutely,
1:07:57
Speaker 1: the intelligence source said. Read it's not just called for
1:08:02
Speaker 1: the military campaign to continue, but to be intensified. Trump
1:08:05
Speaker 1: appeared to confirm the report about the Crown Prince role,
1:08:08
Speaker 1: telling journalists on Tuesday, Yeah, he's a warrior, he's fighting
1:08:12
Speaker 1: with US. No, really, his troops are not out there.
1:08:16
Speaker 1: The no report of active Saudi military involvement in the
1:08:19
Speaker 1: nearly four week war so far, but a Saudi political
1:08:23
Speaker 1: analyst said the kingdom would be likely to take that
1:08:26
Speaker 1: step if peace efforts led by Pakistan failed. Saudi Arabia
1:08:31
Speaker 1: and Iran claiming leadership roles of the Sunni and Shia
1:08:35
Speaker 1: Islamic worlds, respectively, have long been regional rivals. According to
1:08:39
Speaker 1: a leaked US State Department cable, the Crown Prince's paternal uncle,
1:08:45
Speaker 1: King Abdullah, urged the United States military in two thousand
1:08:48
Speaker 1: and eight to cut off the head of the snake,
1:08:52
Speaker 1: a reference to theocratic regumian Tehran. Maybe he read Leonard Peacock's
1:08:56
Speaker 1: for Page ad in two thousand and two calling for
1:08:59
Speaker 1: the same thing. The con pens solidified his hold on
1:09:02
Speaker 1: power by cultivating closure relationship with Trump, but will now
1:09:05
Speaker 1: have to rethink Saudi reliance on the US for its security.
1:09:08
Speaker 1: Observers have argued, yeah, China will step in if the
1:09:12
Speaker 1: United States doesn't do its job. NBS has lost the
1:09:17
Speaker 1: bet on all his investments over the last several years.
1:09:21
Speaker 1: He financially invested in Trump and Trump's family and his
1:09:24
Speaker 1: corporations and his White House. But at the end of
1:09:27
Speaker 1: the day, the views of the Saudis and of the
1:09:29
Speaker 1: whole Gulf have been sidelined by the wishes of Benny Minuetaniell.
1:09:36
Speaker 1: Buttuhammad has begun to recapibrate this position after a missile
1:09:39
Speaker 1: attack on the Saudi of facilities. Anyway, the Saudis try
1:09:45
Speaker 1: to link up with the Chinese, and that didn't work
1:09:49
Speaker 1: very well for them, if you remember. If you remember,
1:09:57
Speaker 1: they also signed a mutual defense agreement with the Pakistanis,
1:10:04
Speaker 1: and when Saudi Arabia was attacked at the beginning of
1:10:08
Speaker 1: the war, they asked the Pakistani state intervene is part
1:10:11
Speaker 1: of the mutual defense agreement and the Pakistani's refused, So
1:10:15
Speaker 1: that mutual defense agreement has not gone very well for
1:10:18
Speaker 1: the Saudis either. They stuck with the Americans one way
1:10:20
Speaker 1: or another. Now, a few minutes ago, the Hutis. The
1:10:27
Speaker 1: Hutis had a press conference and made an announcement, not
1:10:31
Speaker 1: a press conference, just an announcement, And everybody thought that
1:10:35
Speaker 1: the announcement would entail them entering the conflict and closing
1:10:41
Speaker 1: off the straits leading to the Red Sea, which would
1:10:44
Speaker 1: create another headache. However, this statement didn't say that. It
1:10:52
Speaker 1: set a number of thresholds for FUTI involvements, including the
1:10:56
Speaker 1: US and Israel failing to seek a diplomatic pathway to
1:10:59
Speaker 1: ending the conflict, increased aggression against both Iran and the Huties,
1:11:04
Speaker 1: the use of the Red Sea to target Ian, expanded
1:11:07
Speaker 1: coalition with the US, and the implementation of the past
1:11:10
Speaker 1: Gaza agreements. Anyway, they're looking for excuses not to intervene,
1:11:16
Speaker 1: which is interesting. Maybe all those attacks by the Israelis
1:11:20
Speaker 1: and the Americans, maybe all of that has caused them
1:11:24
Speaker 1: to step back, step back.
1:11:30
Speaker 2: We will see.
1:11:31
Speaker 1: But so far, who in spite of the fact that
1:11:33
Speaker 1: everybody expected them to announce that they were going to intervene,
1:11:38
Speaker 1: they basically have decided at least for now, not to intervene.
1:11:43
Speaker 1: Maybe they value their lives all right, Uh, I think
1:12:02
Speaker 1: we're good all right, it's uh, let's go to your
1:12:05
Speaker 1: super check questions. Yeah, I mean, look, talks are going on.
1:12:13
Speaker 1: It's just a question of probability of whether a deal
1:12:16
Speaker 1: could be struck. It's unlikely a good deal can be struck. Now.
1:12:20
Speaker 2: Trump might be willing to.
1:12:22
Speaker 1: Compromise quite a bit on his demands in order just
1:12:25
Speaker 1: to in order to be able to walk away. And
1:12:28
Speaker 1: and I think that's what these realis are fearing. It's unlikely,
1:12:32
Speaker 1: almost impossible, that it's pretty much impossible that a deal,
1:12:41
Speaker 1: a good deal, will be struck.
1:12:43
Speaker 2: Uh.
1:12:44
Speaker 1: And yeah, the whole thing is that it is a
1:12:49
Speaker 1: massive waste of time, a massive waste of time. So
1:12:58
Speaker 1: uh yeah, okay, uh, super chat, super chat time. Let
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1:15:07
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Speaker 1: heart of our life there in the middle everything, everything
1:15:18
Speaker 1: is dependent on fossil fuels. So right now, plastic prices
1:15:22
Speaker 1: through the roof, fertilizer prices through the roof, chips. Worried
1:15:27
Speaker 1: about helium prices which are through the roof, so oil
1:15:31
Speaker 1: and natural gas. Yeah, you get that that that is
1:15:34
Speaker 1: going to be problematic because of the straits of foremost.
1:15:38
Speaker 1: But pretty much everything that modern life depends on relies
1:15:45
Speaker 1: on fossil fuels. And it's Alex who is, as far
1:15:50
Speaker 1: as I know, the first person who really conquatize that,
1:15:53
Speaker 1: who make that real. Check him out Alex Epstein, dost
1:15:57
Speaker 1: substick dot com, and finally, Defenders of Capitalism dot com,
1:16:02
Speaker 1: a wonderful website and program defending capitalism by from Michael Williams.
1:16:08
Speaker 2: To which I have contributed.
1:16:11
Speaker 1: All right, let's see, yes, reminder that you can support
1:16:18
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1:16:47
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Speaker 1: access to all of those and to all the ones
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Speaker 2: In the future.
1:18:57
Speaker 1: All right, let's let's keep going here with your questions.
1:19:17
Speaker 1: So Jonaton says, as much as I agree with you
1:19:20
Speaker 1: on most things, most issues, I constantly think by like
1:19:23
Speaker 1: you stars, you have almost no influence on military matters
1:19:27
Speaker 1: in real life. Yeah, I mean, I have no influence
1:19:31
Speaker 1: on military matters in real life. But you're wrong your life.
1:19:35
Speaker 1: I don't know where you live. You are a time
1:19:37
Speaker 1: that is an Israeli named. I don't know if you
1:19:38
Speaker 1: live in Israel, but Israel would be a lot lot
1:19:42
Speaker 1: safer right now. And if America would have listened to
1:19:45
Speaker 1: me after nine to eleven, we wouldn't be going through
1:19:49
Speaker 1: any of this right now. It will be all over
1:19:51
Speaker 1: the The real thing about our politicians and our military
1:19:56
Speaker 1: strategist is they're very very good at Nataniel's brilliant at this,
1:20:00
Speaker 1: and American politicians a billion had this kicking the can
1:20:03
Speaker 1: down the road, constantly delayed, delayed, delayed, delayed, delayed, delayed, delay,
1:20:07
Speaker 1: never never win, never you know, finish. And that's why
1:20:16
Speaker 1: we had October seventh, It's why we had nine to eleven.
1:20:20
Speaker 1: It's why after nine to eleven, all these terrorist attects
1:20:22
Speaker 1: in the West, and that's why we're having to fight
1:20:24
Speaker 1: a war with Iran right now. It's because nobody listened
1:20:28
Speaker 1: to me for the last twenty three years. And if
1:20:30
Speaker 1: you go back twenty three years, if you go back
1:20:32
Speaker 1: to my talks after nine to eleven, including the one
1:20:35
Speaker 1: in Israel in two thousand and three, which is on
1:20:36
Speaker 1: c SPAN you can find it on se span, will
1:20:43
Speaker 1: you will discover that I've been right on everything that
1:20:45
Speaker 1: I've said on the big picture. It says a war
1:20:49
Speaker 1: would happen if they didn't listen to me. Emil says man,
1:20:53
Speaker 1: I'm Bigan would have dealt with this. No, you wouldn't have,
1:20:56
Speaker 1: and he didn't. He didn't, And in nineteen eighty two
1:20:59
Speaker 1: in Israel invaded Lebanon and went all the way to
1:21:02
Speaker 1: be Roots didn't even know there was happening because Ali
1:21:06
Speaker 1: Shaan lied to him and basically drove basically, you know,
1:21:15
Speaker 1: drove the campaign without Began's full knowledge. Uh Began was
1:21:22
Speaker 1: not as tough as he would seems, and suddenly began
1:21:25
Speaker 1: allowed yes or offer to escape Lebanon because of Reagan.
1:21:29
Speaker 1: Began made many, many, many, many mistakes. And no, there's
1:21:33
Speaker 1: no reasonably Bagan would have done any better than any
1:21:36
Speaker 1: of these others, any of these others. Ian has no
1:21:41
Speaker 1: cards zero cards. If America actually engages, if America does
1:21:47
Speaker 1: what it's capable of doing a week America and America
1:21:52
Speaker 1: that doesn't want to win, that refuses to win, we'll lose.
1:21:56
Speaker 1: In that sense, the cards Yvon has is a weak
1:22:00
Speaker 1: America is a Trump that doesn't know what he wants
1:22:04
Speaker 1: and can't actually engage for victory. Author says, will the
1:22:13
Speaker 1: objectives movement still grow after You're gone? Will it grow
1:22:16
Speaker 1: significantly most slowly?
1:22:18
Speaker 2: No?
1:22:19
Speaker 1: I don't think that's true at all, and if it does,
1:22:21
Speaker 1: it'll be a big failure of mine. But no, no,
1:22:24
Speaker 1: I mean, first of all, the objective's movement grows because
1:22:27
Speaker 1: of Ironran. It's still true that most people come to
1:22:29
Speaker 1: objectivism because they read Iran in high school and college,
1:22:33
Speaker 1: not because of me. I bring a lot of people in,
1:22:36
Speaker 1: but nowhere near the numbers that come through Iran. Iran
1:22:38
Speaker 1: is the source, and Ironman's novels are the way objectivism,
1:22:43
Speaker 1: the way objectivism actually actually.
1:22:48
Speaker 2: Will grow and sustain itself and exists.
1:22:53
Speaker 1: Plus, I really do believe that we are training a
1:22:58
Speaker 1: whole generation intellectuals who will take my place. Take my
1:23:04
Speaker 1: place hopefully walks side by side with me, and he
1:23:06
Speaker 1: is to come and have a bigger impact than I do,
1:23:10
Speaker 1: and there'll be bigger numbers of them, so you know,
1:23:14
Speaker 1: it will be a huge, a huge defeat from my
1:23:19
Speaker 1: behalf of failure on my behalf if they're not if
1:23:23
Speaker 1: I'm not replaced with twenty people, right, if for every
1:23:26
Speaker 1: one of me they are on twenty.
1:23:29
Speaker 2: So no, I think it.
1:23:35
Speaker 1: Objector's movement will accelerate over time, but it has to
1:23:41
Speaker 1: be you have to take into account the context the society.
1:23:50
Speaker 1: I mean, if there's if people are brainless, then there's
1:23:52
Speaker 1: nobody to talk to. But as long as society is reasonable,
1:23:55
Speaker 1: then yes, yeah, And of course you know the real
1:24:04
Speaker 1: contributions of objectivist objectivism is einrand of course, founder and
1:24:08
Speaker 1: a creed of it and then let it peak off.
1:24:11
Speaker 2: Oh pauh.
1:24:12
Speaker 1: You don't have objectivism without those. So I'm I'm not
1:24:16
Speaker 1: in the big picture.
1:24:17
Speaker 2: I'm not that important in the big picture, Michael.
1:24:30
Speaker 1: Even when I get British people to admit NHS sucks,
1:24:34
Speaker 1: they say, well, it's underfunded. Why can't they understand it's
1:24:38
Speaker 1: the nature and incentive structure of a socialized system to
1:24:42
Speaker 1: always be dysfunctional. Well, because because they're outr us because
1:24:50
Speaker 1: you know, they believe that with enough good will and
1:24:55
Speaker 1: with enough money. I mean, why why do people keep
1:24:58
Speaker 1: hoarkening for socialism? Why do people still believes communism is
1:25:02
Speaker 1: a noble idea? Because altruism. It's all altruism, it's all
1:25:08
Speaker 1: altrus So.
1:25:11
Speaker 2: Altruism is what.
1:25:14
Speaker 1: Keeps returning these people to the NHS, keeps insisting it
1:25:18
Speaker 1: will work just if we.
1:25:19
Speaker 2: Tinkle with it just right.
1:25:22
Speaker 1: They can't imagine that a system like the NHS wouldn't work,
1:25:26
Speaker 1: That would cause them to have to question the whole
1:25:29
Speaker 1: premise of altruism is applied to politics, and they can't
1:25:33
Speaker 1: do that.
1:25:33
Speaker 2: They won't allow themselves to do it.
1:25:36
Speaker 1: And of course it doesn't help that there's no real
1:25:39
Speaker 1: alternative system out there that is purely private that they
1:25:43
Speaker 1: can see without any question is better, partially because they're
1:25:51
Speaker 1: ignorant of the Swiss system, the American system, and other systems.
1:25:55
Speaker 1: All right, let me think Wes did a fifty dollars
1:25:57
Speaker 1: stick I think you think you Wes. Come on, That
1:26:00
Speaker 1: should be a challenge to you guys out there to
1:26:03
Speaker 1: do uh, to do fifty dollars or more? Beat West
1:26:08
Speaker 1: out with stickers. Jack, thank you for the sticker. Paul,
1:26:13
Speaker 1: thank you for the sticker. Ts Cohn, thank you for
1:26:16
Speaker 1: the sticker. Uh, Tom Mary, mary A Lean, thank you. Roland,
1:26:23
Speaker 1: thank you. And I think I saw Jonathan Honing right
1:26:29
Speaker 1: at the beginning, Yes, and Silvanus and uh Jean Gion
1:26:39
Speaker 1: and Apollo. Right, I think I got all the stick
1:26:44
Speaker 1: of people for now. But don't let that stop you.
1:26:47
Speaker 1: Keep there in, Roland, Roland, thank you. Keep keep the
1:26:50
Speaker 1: stickers coming in, keep the sticker coming in.
1:26:56
Speaker 2: Uh, thank you, all right, let's see James.
1:27:00
Speaker 1: In fact, I learned recently the idea of equality on
1:27:03
Speaker 1: material possessions actually doesn't originate with communism. It comes from Plato.
1:27:10
Speaker 1: So did the idea of re education concentration camps where
1:27:14
Speaker 1: where we're in Plato's writings, Yeah, I mean and the
1:27:19
Speaker 1: early Christians. I mean, what are what are monasteries if
1:27:22
Speaker 1: not places where communism is practiced, vour poverty and everybody's
1:27:29
Speaker 1: equal and uh, you know, simple life. But equality equality
1:27:35
Speaker 1: of material possessions is crucial in a in a monastery,
1:27:39
Speaker 1: a nunnery. So and and if you will, that to
1:27:44
Speaker 1: a largest thing comes from Plato. Christianity is very neo Platonist.
1:27:50
Speaker 1: Christianity is very neo platonist. Michael thoughts on Stephen Klobeck
1:27:59
Speaker 1: running for god of California seems like a legitimate businessman
1:28:03
Speaker 1: refuses to work with Trump in the hotel business. Yeah,
1:28:06
Speaker 1: I don't know who he is. I haven't really followed
1:28:08
Speaker 1: the particulars of all the people running for the governorship
1:28:15
Speaker 1: in California right now. It doesn't look like anybody you
1:28:20
Speaker 1: know that they are these. I guess he's a CEO
1:28:24
Speaker 1: of Diamond Resorts International. Is he a Republican or a Democrat?
1:28:31
Speaker 1: I'm trying to dumb dumb. Well, it doesn't actually give
1:28:36
Speaker 1: the in three he's a governor. He doesn't tell you
1:28:39
Speaker 1: if he's a Republican or Democrat. Anyway, you know, I'll
1:28:47
Speaker 1: take pretty much he's a Democrat. Well, then he's not
1:28:50
Speaker 1: even close to the top Democrats that look like they
1:28:55
Speaker 1: could get it elected. It's still it's still way way
1:29:01
Speaker 1: way below. Yeah, so he doesn't seem like to be
1:29:09
Speaker 1: one of the more prominent Democrats that might have a
1:29:11
Speaker 1: chance to get elected. The Democrats are going to have
1:29:14
Speaker 1: to consolidate they vote around a couple of candidates, otherwise
1:29:17
Speaker 1: the Republicans will win one and two and will be
1:29:21
Speaker 1: a Republican governor, which I don't think will happen. I
1:29:23
Speaker 1: think Democrats will figure out kick a bunch of people
1:29:26
Speaker 1: out and focus and focus on the you know, on
1:29:30
Speaker 1: certain people to focus the candidacy, so that at least
1:29:36
Speaker 1: one Democrat will make the runoff. But you know, anybody
1:29:45
Speaker 1: who's in business is going to be better than the
1:29:49
Speaker 1: joke that they have right now, and particularly some of
1:29:51
Speaker 1: the people running in the Democratic right now would be
1:29:53
Speaker 1: Democratic Party right now for governor of California off and
1:29:57
Speaker 1: will be worse than would be worse than Newsome. All right,
1:30:04
Speaker 1: Lewis has a fifty dollars question. Thank you, Lewis, really
1:30:07
Speaker 1: appreciate the support. You are going to do that movie review.
1:30:11
Speaker 1: Let me know if you still want me to do
1:30:12
Speaker 1: it anyway. Could you give concrete examples of how the
1:30:21
Speaker 1: average person commonly engages in altruism in.
1:30:24
Speaker 2: Everyday life without being aware.
1:30:30
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I think the lots of little and
1:30:34
Speaker 1: larger examples.
1:30:40
Speaker 2: The person who.
1:30:43
Speaker 1: Doesn't really like his family and doesn't appreciate them at
1:30:46
Speaker 1: all and doesn't get anything out of them, constantly doing
1:30:49
Speaker 1: what his mother wants and constantly going to visit not
1:30:53
Speaker 1: out of a sense of any value here, not even
1:30:55
Speaker 1: of loving their mother, but out of a sense of
1:30:57
Speaker 1: duty towards their mother, out of a sense of ultro
1:31:01
Speaker 1: you have to sacrifice for family. A boss who has
1:31:07
Speaker 1: clearly an underperforming employee, who's arguably in doing damage to
1:31:12
Speaker 1: the project, who won't fire them because I don't know
1:31:16
Speaker 1: they have a sick kid or some situation at home
1:31:22
Speaker 1: that they would suffer significantly if they were fired, and
1:31:25
Speaker 1: so he won't fire them out of again a sense
1:31:28
Speaker 1: of more important not to not to cause this person
1:31:34
Speaker 1: any pain than what's good for the team, what's good
1:31:37
Speaker 1: for the company. You know, the incredibly successful entrepreneur who
1:31:45
Speaker 1: has done really really well and succeeded, made a lot
1:31:47
Speaker 1: of money, but it feels guilty, It feels like he
1:31:53
Speaker 1: should have done more for the wrole. You know, the
1:31:55
Speaker 1: effective altruist type who thinks, oh, how do I give all.
1:32:00
Speaker 2: The money I've made?
1:32:02
Speaker 1: I made it in kind of an illegitimate way in
1:32:04
Speaker 1: some sense, so I need to give it a way
1:32:06
Speaker 1: to not quite buy myself into heaven, because most of
1:32:09
Speaker 1: them are, some of them at least atheists, but in
1:32:13
Speaker 1: order to reduce the guilt that I feel. The person
1:32:21
Speaker 1: who is raised with altruism in his life and rejects it,
1:32:25
Speaker 1: hates it hates the idea of sacrificing for other people.
1:32:29
Speaker 1: But instead of that, becomes a cynical manipulative other people
1:32:34
Speaker 1: and you know, tries to exploit them in every kind
1:32:38
Speaker 1: of way, and indeed hates other people because he knows
1:32:43
Speaker 1: the morality demands that he sacrificed to them. So they
1:32:45
Speaker 1: kind of malevolent types out there who just resent everybody
1:32:49
Speaker 1: around them and hate everybody around them. They're are they're
1:32:53
Speaker 1: being driven by altruism. It's affecting their lives. And indeed,
1:32:57
Speaker 1: many of the malevolence that you see in the world
1:33:00
Speaker 1: out there is driven by the fact that people they
1:33:03
Speaker 1: don't want to sacrifice fathers and you know, it's their duty,
1:33:06
Speaker 1: so they they lash out with malevolence because they can't
1:33:14
Speaker 1: suppose they can't live up to this morality. You know,
1:33:20
Speaker 1: we talked about the narcissist being another manifestation of this, right,
1:33:24
Speaker 1: So I don't know, you know, friends who ask you
1:33:34
Speaker 1: to do them a favor and you can't, You've got
1:33:36
Speaker 1: other stuff to do, and it's not a good time,
1:33:38
Speaker 1: and they're not that close of a friend, and and
1:33:41
Speaker 1: you do it because they asked you and you feel
1:33:45
Speaker 1: like you have a duty to help them out. Now,
1:33:48
Speaker 1: you know you have to balance that versus friends who
1:33:50
Speaker 1: are close and they're important to you and you really
1:33:53
Speaker 1: value the friendship and it's important to you to help
1:33:56
Speaker 1: them out. That's different, right, So those are some examples
1:34:02
Speaker 1: of altruism, you know, altruism in day to day lives
1:34:07
Speaker 1: for average people, I think, and not so average people
1:34:11
Speaker 1: out there.
1:34:12
Speaker 2: Let me know if you.
1:34:13
Speaker 1: Want to follow up on that of that is satisfactory,
1:34:32
Speaker 1: all right, Savannas, thank you for ongoing coverage of the
1:34:38
Speaker 1: war you're on.
1:34:38
Speaker 2: Appreciate it.
1:34:39
Speaker 1: Savannahs. Thank you for the ongoing support. William go Israel.
1:34:43
Speaker 1: Don't trust the Trump administration. Yeah, no, kidding, Thank you,
1:34:46
Speaker 1: William Molten splend up. Interestingly, there have been complaints of
1:34:52
Speaker 1: a US weapons shortage due to our sale of weapons
1:34:55
Speaker 1: to Ukraine.
1:34:56
Speaker 2: Maybe those weapons were.
1:34:57
Speaker 1: Really outdated and obsolete, like you said, well, I mean
1:35:02
Speaker 1: there is there's a weapon shortage, not so much in
1:35:05
Speaker 1: the field, but the stockpiles are dwindling and the United
1:35:09
Speaker 1: States is still supposed to be selling weapons to NATO
1:35:16
Speaker 1: that then gives it to Ukraine, and there is a
1:35:19
Speaker 1: lot of talk right now. There hasn't been a decision
1:35:21
Speaker 1: made yet, but there's a lot of talk right now,
1:35:23
Speaker 1: but not selling it to Ukraine and instead using those
1:35:27
Speaker 1: weapons systems to both the.
1:35:30
Speaker 2: The you know, stockpiles. I don't know the details.
1:35:36
Speaker 1: I don't have the numbers, but there's no question that
1:35:41
Speaker 1: the United States of the last decade on wall has
1:35:46
Speaker 1: been has not been building enough missiles, Pimli patriot systems,
1:35:58
Speaker 1: the different anti the different anti uhuh, the different defense systems,
1:36:06
Speaker 1: and even Tomahawks, the chrismosos. They're not building enough of those.
1:36:12
Speaker 1: They haven't built enough of those. They're expensive and they
1:36:15
Speaker 1: didn't think they were going to get involved in a war,
1:36:17
Speaker 1: so they didn't build them. Uh. And it's not clear
1:36:20
Speaker 1: that the capacity is there. That is again, there hasn't
1:36:24
Speaker 1: been the kind of strategic long term thinking, certainly enough
1:36:28
Speaker 1: in this administration, but not of Biden, certainly enough of
1:36:31
Speaker 1: Obama about how do we how do we sustain enough
1:36:35
Speaker 1: of an industrial capacity to build these weapons when we
1:36:39
Speaker 1: need them?
1:36:42
Speaker 2: Uh.
1:36:42
Speaker 1: So they just haven't built them and they're not building
1:36:47
Speaker 1: enough of them, and the manufacturers of these weapons systems
1:36:51
Speaker 1: are saying, yeah, we can only build them. Really slowly,
1:36:53
Speaker 1: and the traumat administration now was that to build them fast,
1:36:56
Speaker 1: and but that capacity is not there and they'd have
1:36:59
Speaker 1: to build it. So there is a there's a real
1:37:08
Speaker 1: need to scale up weapons production, real need to scale
1:37:12
Speaker 1: up weapons production. And one way to do that is
1:37:16
Speaker 1: to expand the profit margins of the of the builders.
1:37:22
Speaker 2: Profit is an incentive.
1:37:24
Speaker 1: Tell them you'll get a ten percent profit on the
1:37:26
Speaker 1: first hundred profit.
1:37:29
Speaker 2: I'm making numbers up.
1:37:30
Speaker 1: I don't know what the numbers should be, but something
1:37:32
Speaker 1: like this, and if you can deliver a thousand to
1:37:34
Speaker 1: me in year one, I mean, you get this in
1:37:36
Speaker 1: construction all the time. If you can exceed, if you can,
1:37:40
Speaker 1: if you can deliver early, we'll give you a bonus.
1:37:44
Speaker 1: So tell them, manufacturers, if you can, if you can
1:37:46
Speaker 1: two acts your deliveries over the next year, you'll get
1:37:50
Speaker 1: a big bonus.
1:37:52
Speaker 2: Something like that.
1:37:53
Speaker 1: So instead of Bob beating them, and instead of yelling
1:37:58
Speaker 1: at them and getting mad and threatening them with all
1:38:00
Speaker 1: kinds of things, the cabot is much more effective. Give
1:38:05
Speaker 1: them a cabot, give them a bonus for delivering. You
1:38:08
Speaker 1: do that again. We do that in construction all the time.
1:38:11
Speaker 1: You deliver the building two months early, you get a bonus,
1:38:18
Speaker 1: so this should not be that hard. Provide them with
1:38:23
Speaker 1: an incentive to take the factories that have been shut
1:38:26
Speaker 1: down in various places and convert them to building missiles.
1:38:31
Speaker 1: I think it's now clear if we have engaged in
1:38:35
Speaker 1: war in the Pacific, we will need a lot more
1:38:37
Speaker 1: missiles than we have, and we will need a much
1:38:39
Speaker 1: faster production line than we have. Let's get ready now,
1:38:43
Speaker 1: you know. But again, that would require strategic, long term thinking,
1:38:46
Speaker 1: not a strength of the Americans. Not a strength certainly
1:38:49
Speaker 1: not this administration, but generally of American politicians.
1:38:54
Speaker 2: Think also about think also about.
1:38:59
Speaker 1: The the inability of our leadership to deal with things
1:39:03
Speaker 1: like or going bankrupt because of Medicare. So security is
1:39:07
Speaker 1: gonna go bankrupt soon. Kick the can down the road.
1:39:10
Speaker 1: That's our phone policy, and that's our domestic policy. Kick
1:39:12
Speaker 1: the can down the road. That's all they can do.
1:39:16
Speaker 1: Evan says, hope this twenty dollars will make you feel
1:39:18
Speaker 1: better about taking a long flight to two Warso on
1:39:22
Speaker 1: a budget airline. Yeah, I mean it's farm to Poto.
1:39:26
Speaker 1: It's the only airline that has a direct flight is
1:39:28
Speaker 1: a budget airline. So I've phoonned budget airlines in Europe,
1:39:31
Speaker 1: and I have to say, if you buy a seat
1:39:34
Speaker 1: up front, I think you can buy extra legroom. They're
1:39:38
Speaker 1: not that bad and it's worth it for a direct
1:39:42
Speaker 1: flight rather than having to change airplanes to some airports
1:39:46
Speaker 1: and the hassle, particularly if you have to fly through
1:39:49
Speaker 1: Frankfort my least favorite airport in the world, Frankfurt, Germany.
1:39:54
Speaker 1: I've talked about this in the past. Jeffrey would woul
1:40:00
Speaker 1: Should we know about Alan Greenspan? Oh? God, all right,
1:40:04
Speaker 1: you should know that he was a never got an
1:40:09
Speaker 1: economics degree, he got a master's. He was a numbers guy,
1:40:13
Speaker 1: very much an empiricist, somebody who focused on the empirics
1:40:18
Speaker 1: of stuff.
1:40:19
Speaker 3: But not.
1:40:21
Speaker 1: Really a principal thinker. He was a associated with Ironrand
1:40:27
Speaker 1: met Ironrand, I think in the nineteen fifties, associated within
1:40:30
Speaker 1: the sixties seventies. He wrote essays for her, which ultimately
1:40:35
Speaker 1: included in the Capitalism and Unknown Ideal, but that was
1:40:38
Speaker 1: heavily edited by Ironman, so he was heavily influenced by
1:40:43
Speaker 1: her in those days. One of the things that comes
1:40:45
Speaker 1: out of his autobiography is that he believed that iinmand
1:40:50
Speaker 1: was one of the first people that he'd ever met
1:40:55
Speaker 1: that was smarter than him, and that's what impress him
1:40:59
Speaker 1: about her. What really impressed him was that she was
1:41:05
Speaker 1: smarter than him. He hang around her during the sixties
1:41:09
Speaker 1: in her so Colt. I don't know how frequently how
1:41:13
Speaker 1: to tell, but he was always also interested in policy.
1:41:18
Speaker 1: I mean, he ran a consulting firm that basically did
1:41:20
Speaker 1: a lot of statistics and a lot of policy work
1:41:24
Speaker 1: driven around data around statistics. He was appointed by Ford
1:41:28
Speaker 1: to be his chief economic advisor, and even by then
1:41:33
Speaker 1: he was very caught up in the politics of what
1:41:37
Speaker 1: was going on.
1:41:38
Speaker 2: He was very enamored with politics.
1:41:40
Speaker 1: He really he thought it was cool that he got
1:41:43
Speaker 1: to hang out with the president and he got to
1:41:45
Speaker 1: do all these things. While he was in the White House.
1:41:47
Speaker 1: They literally had these buttons, you know, was a kill
1:41:52
Speaker 1: inflation now, something like that, as if buttons will kill inflation. Anyway,
1:41:56
Speaker 1: he never really exhibited any great economic insight as a practitioner.
1:42:06
Speaker 1: After Iran died in the nineteen eighties, now, Iran was
1:42:10
Speaker 1: very happy with him at Ford administration. She liked Ford,
1:42:14
Speaker 1: and she actually has a photo visiting the White House
1:42:18
Speaker 1: meeting Ford and Alan Greenspan and there's a photo of
1:42:20
Speaker 1: the three of them. In the eighties, Alan green Span
1:42:27
Speaker 1: headed up a commission appointed by Ronald Reagan to review
1:42:31
Speaker 1: SOD security and make recommendations on how to make it
1:42:33
Speaker 1: solvent and tragically and infuriatingly is that a word? Infuriatingly?
1:42:41
Speaker 1: The commission's recommendations were raised taxes and raise their time
1:42:46
Speaker 1: and age, I think, and that's what was implemented. It
1:42:52
Speaker 1: was an opportunity for Allan green Span to argue for privatization.
1:42:59
Speaker 1: Just privatization would being a big, big deal, but no
1:43:02
Speaker 1: very conventional. And generally my view of Vland green Span
1:43:06
Speaker 1: is he flooded with irand he had this intellectual interest
1:43:10
Speaker 1: in Ironrand. But at the end of the day he
1:43:13
Speaker 1: was there's one word to capture him conventional. Conventional. He
1:43:24
Speaker 1: then became chairman of the FED in nineteen eighty seven
1:43:28
Speaker 1: and was successful in calming markets when the market crashed
1:43:33
Speaker 1: in October nineteen eighty seven. Basically he was successful doing
1:43:37
Speaker 1: that by flooding the markets with liquidity, with money. It
1:43:42
Speaker 1: became known as a green Span put the idea that
1:43:45
Speaker 1: Greenspan would never let Greenspan would never let the markets
1:43:51
Speaker 1: go down too much. He would do whatever it took
1:43:53
Speaker 1: to recover to save them. Then what else can I
1:44:00
Speaker 1: say about Greenspan. He was a very conventional Fed Reserve chairman,
1:44:06
Speaker 1: and most of his tenure is considered pretty good, as
1:44:10
Speaker 1: good as you can be at the Federal Reserve post
1:44:14
Speaker 1: the crash, until nineteen until two thousand and one, but
1:44:17
Speaker 1: after nine to eleven. In two thousand and two, in particular,
1:44:22
Speaker 1: he made a fatal mistake of lowering interest rates way
1:44:25
Speaker 1: lower than he should have, and that ultimately was the
1:44:29
Speaker 1: fundamental cause of the great financial crisis in two thousand
1:44:32
Speaker 1: and eight. So I think to a large extent he's responsible.
1:44:37
Speaker 1: He did a lot of damage to capitalism. He went
1:44:42
Speaker 1: in front of Congress and blamed capitalism for the financial
1:44:44
Speaker 1: crisis during hearings. He never in front of Congress as
1:44:51
Speaker 1: chairman of the Fed. He prided himself on making statements
1:44:56
Speaker 1: that nobody understood, that were unintelligible, and again were always
1:45:02
Speaker 1: super conventional, very very much along the lines of a
1:45:08
Speaker 1: standard Kinesian.
1:45:10
Speaker 2: So he had the ear of the world.
1:45:11
Speaker 1: Everybody respected him and admired him, and he failed to
1:45:16
Speaker 1: actually deliver a compelling pro liberty message. And I will
1:45:21
Speaker 1: never forgive him for that never forgiven. For that. He
1:45:24
Speaker 1: had an interesting relationship with Lenna Peacock, you know, when
1:45:31
Speaker 1: they were young. They were both for a while unmarried
1:45:35
Speaker 1: in Ironman circle. But if you read his autobiography, which
1:45:39
Speaker 1: I did, it's very secondhanded, very second handed. He loved
1:45:45
Speaker 1: the Hollywood parties that he was invited to because he
1:45:48
Speaker 1: was chairman of the FED. He loved the White House,
1:45:49
Speaker 1: he loved the politics. He loved the people treating him
1:45:52
Speaker 1: with this incredible respect. He loved that a duration. If
1:45:57
Speaker 1: you will, thank you, Jeffrey. All right, No, let's call
1:46:07
Speaker 1: Trump taffo. Trump always fights on to encourage him to
1:46:12
Speaker 1: see this war through to its proper end regime change.
1:46:18
Speaker 1: I don't think he listens to the show. I don't
1:46:20
Speaker 1: think he cares what I call him. So yeah, but yes,
1:46:26
Speaker 1: let's go for always fights on, always, always, always, and
1:46:29
Speaker 1: this one in particular, this one in particular, I will
1:46:34
Speaker 1: be interestingly. I will be meeting some people from the administration.
1:46:41
Speaker 1: We'll see I personally. I might even be presenting something
1:46:44
Speaker 1: about the war in front of people from the administration.
1:46:47
Speaker 1: You know, a couple of weeks. That'll be interesting. I'll
1:46:51
Speaker 1: let you know how it goes. If i'm allowed to
1:46:54
Speaker 1: at a conference, if I'm allowed to comment on it,
1:46:56
Speaker 1: I will, But I expect you well, I know who
1:47:00
Speaker 1: else is on the program and who will be in
1:47:02
Speaker 1: the audience, and there'll be a number of people pretty
1:47:05
Speaker 1: senior from the Trump administration there, So it'd be interesting
1:47:09
Speaker 1: to see if I get any reception, What kind of
1:47:13
Speaker 1: reception if I do have a chance to speak to them,
1:47:15
Speaker 1: what kind of reception I get? All right, I want
1:47:19
Speaker 1: to remind you all that this program is funded by you,
1:47:23
Speaker 1: and it exists because of the funding from you, and
1:47:26
Speaker 1: no funding, no existence. So please consider getting us to
1:47:30
Speaker 1: our target. We've got ten minutes to raise sixty seven
1:47:35
Speaker 1: dollars sixty seven. It's very doable. It would be great
1:47:40
Speaker 1: if we did it. I'm not even talking about the
1:47:43
Speaker 1: third hour, but we might know. You know, we don't
1:47:45
Speaker 1: have a lot of questions, so it's going to be
1:47:46
Speaker 1: going pretty quickly here. Sixty seven. That's three twenty dollars questions,
1:47:51
Speaker 1: one fifty dollars question and a bit. So please consider
1:47:55
Speaker 1: getting us to the target. I think we've been short
1:47:59
Speaker 1: a little bit the last couple of days, so let's
1:48:01
Speaker 1: get it this time. And of course you can ask
1:48:03
Speaker 1: a question. I'll talk about anything you want me to
1:48:06
Speaker 1: talk about. I'm sure the topics you'd like me to
1:48:09
Speaker 1: talk about, and they haven't. And you can do that
1:48:11
Speaker 1: by just asking a question, even if it's two bucks
1:48:13
Speaker 1: and a sticker.
1:48:15
Speaker 2: Don't even come.
1:48:16
Speaker 1: I have to come up with a question, Harrison. We're
1:48:21
Speaker 1: going back to the Moon next Wednesday? Cool? Are we
1:48:27
Speaker 1: literally they're going to be astronauts landing on the Moon
1:48:30
Speaker 1: or just an unmanned thing landing on the Moon. I
1:48:32
Speaker 1: don't know what I'm you know, if it's not astronauts,
1:48:35
Speaker 1: it's not really going back. Like if it's a robot,
1:48:38
Speaker 1: it doesn't count. Robots don't count. Right, It looks like
1:48:49
Speaker 1: a missile did hit an airfield in Saudi Arabia and
1:48:53
Speaker 1: damaged a number of American refueling aircraft.
1:48:56
Speaker 2: It is surprising to me how.
1:49:02
Speaker 1: That the air defense systems that the Americans have deployed
1:49:05
Speaker 1: in the in the Golfer not better than they are,
1:49:09
Speaker 1: not better than they are. Looks like the Buscher nuclear
1:49:22
Speaker 1: power plant which is on the Gulf has been hit.
1:49:28
Speaker 1: It is one where you could get nuclear radiation and
1:49:32
Speaker 1: that could reach Quait Bahoen cutout, Saudi Arabia. U E.
1:49:36
Speaker 2: So not sure what's going on there, not sure who
1:49:39
Speaker 2: did that.
1:49:41
Speaker 1: Also, cluster bombs hit tel Aviv, so cluster bombs almost
1:49:45
Speaker 1: impossible to stop because it breaks up before you can intercept.
1:49:48
Speaker 1: And then the little bombs and it's very hard to
1:49:50
Speaker 1: hit the little bombs. So a lot of damage. I
1:49:52
Speaker 1: don't know if any casualties, but Tel Aviv has been hit.
1:50:00
Speaker 1: So but you know, again, these the damages, it's pretty
1:50:04
Speaker 1: minus compared to what's going on. And you Wan, Jeffrey,
1:50:10
Speaker 1: thank you for the sticker. I really appreciate that. Jeffrey
1:50:12
Speaker 1: a thought criminal, thought criminal. Isn't it great to get
1:50:16
Speaker 1: money from a thought criminal? Thank you for the for
1:50:21
Speaker 1: the ten British pounds. Really appreciate that. Gail, thank you
1:50:24
Speaker 1: for the sticker. We are now only twenty nine dollars away,
1:50:30
Speaker 1: twenty nine dollars away from hitting a goal.
1:50:35
Speaker 2: Twenty nine.
1:50:38
Speaker 1: All right, newly Dan, let's see newly Dan. Tribalists are
1:50:47
Speaker 1: anti conceptual because they seek the security and safety of
1:50:51
Speaker 1: others and they thought freedom scares them. Well, thoughts scares them.
1:50:57
Speaker 1: What if anything will motivate them to think for themselves.
1:51:03
Speaker 1: I think it's very difficult once you're a truly committed tribalist.
1:51:07
Speaker 1: It's very difficult to snap out of it. It's very good,
1:51:10
Speaker 1: you know, defeat, tribal defeat, like the Germans were tribal
1:51:14
Speaker 1: and then they were crushed and then they had no choice.
1:51:17
Speaker 1: They had no choice. So it's very difficult short of
1:51:34
Speaker 1: the tribe really losing in some big, significant, substantial way
1:51:39
Speaker 1: or disappointing him or but how do you get rid
1:51:43
Speaker 1: of that fear that drove them there?
1:51:44
Speaker 2: Anyway?
1:51:46
Speaker 1: That fear of thinking. That's why once you descend in
1:51:49
Speaker 1: the tribal society, very difficult to snap out of it.
1:51:55
Speaker 1: It's almost like you have to create a pro liberty
1:51:57
Speaker 1: Tribe's kind of a contradiction terms an impossible bit. Ye
1:52:05
Speaker 1: all right, Michael says. Billionaire Stephen Klubec said money doesn't
1:52:12
Speaker 1: make you happy. Experiences make you happy, Memories make you happy.
1:52:15
Speaker 1: Is there some truth to this? Well, that's kind of stupid.
1:52:21
Speaker 1: I mean, his statement is kind of stupid because, yeah,
1:52:25
Speaker 1: there's money, you're just having. Money doesn't make you happy,
1:52:28
Speaker 1: but money buys you a lot of experiences. If you
1:52:32
Speaker 1: have money, you can experience things you can't experience without money.
1:52:37
Speaker 1: You can travel around the world, you can see things
1:52:39
Speaker 1: that you've never seen before. You can create the memories,
1:52:45
Speaker 1: and you know you can invest in values. I mean,
1:52:51
Speaker 1: here's the point. Achieving values makes you happy. Achieving life
1:52:56
Speaker 1: affirming values makes you happy.
1:53:00
Speaker 2: He doesn't make you happy.
1:53:01
Speaker 1: Achieving life affirming values makes you happy. But to achieve
1:53:05
Speaker 1: life affirming values, you need some money to eat, to invest.
1:53:13
Speaker 1: And if you want to go to the moon, to
1:53:14
Speaker 1: go to the moon, if that's a value. So money
1:53:18
Speaker 1: makes more values possible, more experiences possible, more memories possible.
1:53:27
Speaker 1: So no question that money in and of itself does
1:53:31
Speaker 1: not make you happy. But money contributes to your happiness
1:53:34
Speaker 1: in vast ways. Notice that only very rich people, very
1:53:40
Speaker 1: very rich people, will tell you that money doesn't make
1:53:46
Speaker 1: you happy like the rest of us know. Oh, No,
1:53:51
Speaker 1: money is important. Money is important to my happiness. I
1:53:54
Speaker 1: need it. Darlene, thank you for the stick and Linda,
1:54:01
Speaker 1: thank you for the sticker. We're now only six seventeen
1:54:04
Speaker 1: dollars short seventeen dollars. Well, let's shift this to the right.
1:54:11
Speaker 1: There we go.
1:54:12
Speaker 2: That's the right goal, all right, Not to have your algorithm?
1:54:16
Speaker 1: How much can you bench press, squat and deadlift? God,
1:54:21
Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't deadlift, so I just don't
1:54:26
Speaker 1: deadlift because of my back, so deadlifting is out. I can.
1:54:32
Speaker 1: I don't know how much you can bench press, you know.
1:54:36
Speaker 1: I've never really you know, like I, you know, do dumbbells.
1:54:43
Speaker 1: When I was like fifteen years twenty years younger, I
1:54:45
Speaker 1: could do about if It also depends on how many reps, right,
1:54:52
Speaker 1: so I could do four reps of ninety five pounds
1:54:56
Speaker 1: in each arm, so one hundred and ninety pounds of dumbells,
1:55:03
Speaker 1: which is harder than just a straight a straight bench
1:55:06
Speaker 1: press bench press. You could probably bench press more than that.
1:55:09
Speaker 1: What could I do today? I can definitely do fifteen
1:55:15
Speaker 1: both arms. I don't try because I don't have a
1:55:18
Speaker 1: trainer with me, and to do anything about forty pounds
1:55:21
Speaker 1: in each arm, I would want somebody to spot me.
1:55:24
Speaker 1: I'm really scared of one of those weights falling on
1:55:27
Speaker 1: my head. I'm going to guess if you just talked
1:55:33
Speaker 1: about one or two reps that I could do, certainly
1:55:37
Speaker 1: do one hundred and fifty pounds maybe more. Right, it's
1:55:42
Speaker 1: squad again, I don't know. I haven't done like full on,
1:55:49
Speaker 1: load me up with as much weight as you can
1:55:51
Speaker 1: and squat. I can.
1:55:53
Speaker 2: I can do many squats.
1:55:54
Speaker 1: With fifty pounds with a fifty pound dumbbell in my hand.
1:56:03
Speaker 2: But I don't know what the max is.
1:56:06
Speaker 1: It's pretty high, would be my guess when I you know, Yeah,
1:56:12
Speaker 1: I don't. I don't know. I've never done that. I've
1:56:14
Speaker 1: never put that kind of weight on my back and
1:56:16
Speaker 1: squatted again. I would want somebody to I would want
1:56:21
Speaker 1: somebody to spot me if I was doing something like that. Plus,
1:56:25
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm sixty I'm almost sixty five, right, I'm
1:56:29
Speaker 1: almost sixty five, and you know you stop pushing weights
1:56:36
Speaker 1: that big that are free weights that are not You
1:56:42
Speaker 1: can really hurt yourself. See, you've got to be careful.
1:56:45
Speaker 1: So I'd rather not do my one rep max right.
1:56:52
Speaker 1: Proto says, do fifty push ups right now. I could.
1:56:55
Speaker 2: I can't do fifty push ups in one go. I can't.
1:56:59
Speaker 1: I could do push ups if you give me a rest,
1:57:03
Speaker 1: I could do somewhere between thirty five and forty. Somewhere
1:57:09
Speaker 1: between thirty five and forty. I could do straight push
1:57:15
Speaker 1: ups thirty five and forty. Yeah, thirty I could do
1:57:19
Speaker 1: for sure, probably make it a thirty five maybe on
1:57:22
Speaker 1: a good day. If I'm well rested. I could make
1:57:23
Speaker 1: forty in terms of leg press. I don't know. Again,
1:57:29
Speaker 1: I haven't pushed, and it depends on the machine, depends
1:57:32
Speaker 1: on the angle and everything. A few years ago I
1:57:36
Speaker 1: did like between seven and eight hundred pounds. Remember, I'm old,
1:57:48
Speaker 1: so I'm in pretty good shape. I would take you
1:57:52
Speaker 1: guys on, most of you guys on, even though I'm
1:57:56
Speaker 1: quite a bit older than you are.
1:57:59
Speaker 2: All Right, I don't know why why we're talking about this?
1:58:02
Speaker 1: Oh wait, James, how does progressive taxation not violate equal
1:58:07
Speaker 1: protection under the fourteenth Amendment? Well, a lot of things don't,
1:58:14
Speaker 1: don't you know, do violate the fourteenth Amendment. It just
1:58:19
Speaker 1: nobody considers that. Plus there's a so it's not even
1:58:24
Speaker 1: thought of. When income text was first introduced and was
1:58:27
Speaker 1: worth constitutional, only the only the very rich paid income text,
1:58:34
Speaker 1: only the top ten percent paid seven percent income text. Nobody,
1:58:40
Speaker 1: nobody tried to challenge that under the fourteenth Amendment.
1:58:44
Speaker 2: You would think that it would.
1:58:46
Speaker 1: Qualify, but it doesn't. Harpocampbell, would you consider the growth
1:58:53
Speaker 1: of the objectives and a flat I don't know what
1:58:55
Speaker 1: you mean. Does that mean the growth rates that is
1:58:58
Speaker 1: going ten percent every year? And the ten percent is flat,
1:59:01
Speaker 1: that would still mean more people every year, because the
1:59:03
Speaker 1: ten percent of a larger number is a growing number
1:59:07
Speaker 1: of people. So I don't know what exactly meant, and
1:59:09
Speaker 1: I don't know how to measure it. I don't know
1:59:11
Speaker 1: how to figure that out. So I don't know. I
1:59:13
Speaker 1: don't know. Len, there is the Trump three D chess thing,
1:59:21
Speaker 1: an NBS interaction. But what if it's just the professional
1:59:27
Speaker 1: US military presenting information and pallante anthropic tools, having a
1:59:33
Speaker 1: fulsome plan ABCD like life. I mean, all of that
1:59:38
Speaker 1: is possible, But you know, I don't think Trump plays
1:59:46
Speaker 1: three D chests. I can't. I don't think he can
1:59:48
Speaker 1: play one D chess. He's just not smart and he's
1:59:51
Speaker 1: not strategic. What if it was the military. But if
1:59:56
Speaker 1: the military's presenting it were four weeks in and we
2:00:02
Speaker 1: still don't have the assets in place that open up
2:00:04
Speaker 1: the straits of Homoes, I would say that the military
2:00:08
Speaker 1: has failed. The military has failed. So yeah, it's if
2:00:21
Speaker 1: they presented ABC and this is where we are and
2:00:24
Speaker 1: we haven't opened up the straits of Homos and we
2:00:26
Speaker 1: haven't attacked the civilian infrastructure, then they failed, Daniel, can't
2:00:36
Speaker 1: you explain the full significance you think is associated with
2:00:38
Speaker 1: US fighting with Israel. Yeah, it's massive. I mean the
2:00:43
Speaker 1: US ignore, you know, refuse to fight with Israel over
2:00:48
Speaker 1: and over and over again over the years, even when
2:00:50
Speaker 1: it made sense for Israel to fight the ninety one
2:00:52
Speaker 1: Gulf four, the two thousand and three invasion.
2:00:57
Speaker 2: Of of u Ork.
2:01:00
Speaker 1: Over and over again, there were wars that Israel had
2:01:03
Speaker 1: a stake in them and where the United States did
2:01:06
Speaker 1: not allow them to participate. Uh So, the very fact
2:01:12
Speaker 1: that the United States is willing to work with the
2:01:14
Speaker 1: United Israel on a war and and you know, use
2:01:21
Speaker 1: their capabilities for US's advantage is the kind is a
2:01:24
Speaker 1: kind of is a kind of alliance that we've just
2:01:28
Speaker 1: never seen between Israel and the United States. And it's
2:01:30
Speaker 1: very positive because Israel is the only true ally of
2:01:35
Speaker 1: the United States and the entire Middle East. It's the
2:01:38
Speaker 1: only country dedicated to the same goals as the United
2:01:41
Speaker 1: States has.
2:01:43
Speaker 2: So it's a it's it's it's.
2:01:45
Speaker 1: The ultimate alliance. And the fact that it was never
2:01:47
Speaker 1: done before were signs of cowardice and finde signs that
2:01:51
Speaker 1: the United States cared too much and it was willing
2:01:55
Speaker 1: to sacrifice this interest not to offend Saudi Arabia basically,
2:02:01
Speaker 1: and the fact that now Saudi Arabia is not that offended.
2:02:06
Speaker 1: That means the Middle East has come a long way,
2:02:07
Speaker 1: and it means America. The one thing Trump is good
2:02:10
Speaker 1: at is not caring about what people think, certain people think,
2:02:15
Speaker 1: the elites, and telling the Saudist to suck it in
2:02:18
Speaker 1: and and and get with the program. He's good at that,
2:02:28
Speaker 1: d Willows. If Trump with draws early, what do you
2:02:30
Speaker 1: think Israel will do?
2:02:32
Speaker 2: What should they do?
2:02:33
Speaker 1: Well? They should continue for as long as they need
2:02:36
Speaker 1: to in order to achieve their aims. But it's likely
2:02:44
Speaker 1: to have Trump with draws, he will force them to
2:02:46
Speaker 1: withdraw as well, so Israel should continue doing it. They
2:02:52
Speaker 1: should go back. They haven't in recent days done the
2:02:57
Speaker 1: kind of bombing that helps the Iranian villions think that
2:03:01
Speaker 1: they're safe from the best season ircg our GC, so
2:03:07
Speaker 1: it is okay to go back to doing that could
2:03:09
Speaker 1: providing support for any demonstrations. It stopped doing that because
2:03:14
Speaker 1: it feels like if Trump stops, it needs to achieve
2:03:18
Speaker 1: its other.
2:03:21
Speaker 2: Basically, its other.
2:03:22
Speaker 1: Goals like destroying the industrial capabilities of your so it
2:03:27
Speaker 1: should continue doing that until it's achieved its goals, and
2:03:31
Speaker 1: if possible, until there's regime change. If he runs, regime falls,
2:03:38
Speaker 1: what do you think will take power? I don't know.
2:03:43
Speaker 1: I don't know enough about internal Uranian politics, but I
2:03:46
Speaker 1: think pretty much if the regime falls, which means if
2:03:50
Speaker 1: they're no longer in Islamic republic, maybe your mild Islam
2:03:55
Speaker 1: or your secular government, whether it's a dictatorship or not,
2:04:00
Speaker 1: whether the military takes over and the military rules in
2:04:04
Speaker 1: some capacity. I think whatever happens, the new regime will
2:04:11
Speaker 1: want to be successful economically, and it wants to spur
2:04:16
Speaker 1: investments and to do all that it will. It will basically,
2:04:22
Speaker 1: you know, be peaceful, particularly towards Israel. All right, Uh, okay.
2:04:41
Speaker 1: Supposedly the Turkish foreign minister's confirming the US Iranian negotiations
2:04:47
Speaker 1: have officially started.
2:04:49
Speaker 2: I don't know what that.
2:04:50
Speaker 1: Means, no idea what that means. So, and it's coming
2:04:56
Speaker 1: from zero heads, which is not a particularly reliable source,
2:05:02
Speaker 1: all right, Daniel. Leftists often claimed the US as responsible
2:05:11
Speaker 1: for the Unian Revolution. Can you give your five minute rebuttal?
2:05:16
Speaker 1: You should still do a whole show. I mean, there's
2:05:24
Speaker 1: a sense in which that's true. In a sense that
2:05:27
Speaker 1: the United States did not stand by the Shaw, did
2:05:31
Speaker 1: not defend his regime, and did not stand by his
2:05:35
Speaker 1: generals when they wanted to defend the regime, and in
2:05:38
Speaker 1: a sense allowed the shot to the the the I
2:05:43
Speaker 1: told her to take over once the Shaw left, and
2:05:46
Speaker 1: basically the United States encouraged the military to stand down.
2:05:50
Speaker 1: So in that sense, yes, they are somewhat responsible. But
2:05:57
Speaker 1: in the broader sense, the responsible is with the Shaw,
2:06:01
Speaker 1: who abused his own people, who behaved as an authoritarian,
2:06:06
Speaker 1: torture chambers, all kinds of things that were that were
2:06:08
Speaker 1: really bad, shouldn't have done. But you know, beyond that,
2:06:16
Speaker 1: it's the Iranian people, I mean the Ranian people, and
2:06:18
Speaker 1: it's it's of all the people responsible for the Shaw,
2:06:22
Speaker 1: for the sorry for the Ayatula coming to power. It
2:06:25
Speaker 1: was the left, the left in Iran, left as students,
2:06:30
Speaker 1: and the left in Europe, which was most supportive of
2:06:34
Speaker 1: Ayatullahmani basically cultivated the left for decade. He used Marxist
2:06:43
Speaker 1: language in his in his sermons, he constantly talked about
2:06:48
Speaker 1: social justice and who has been to bring social justice
2:06:51
Speaker 1: and talked about talked about all the you know, the
2:06:54
Speaker 1: kind of redistribution he was going to engage in, and that,
2:07:01
Speaker 1: you know the so the left in Iran joined up
2:07:07
Speaker 1: with the Islamists to overthrow the regime. And then once
2:07:12
Speaker 1: I told Romani was in power for a year or so,
2:07:16
Speaker 1: he turned around and killed them all, killed all the leftists.
2:07:21
Speaker 1: Now the Shaw himself, you know, he was bad, but
2:07:25
Speaker 1: he wasn't that bad.
2:07:29
Speaker 2: And the people who most opposed the Shaw were the leftists.
2:07:33
Speaker 1: And the United States could have easily supported the Shaw,
2:07:37
Speaker 1: maybe even forced him to reform, maybe forced him to
2:07:41
Speaker 1: engage in some kind of democratic transition. But by abandoning him,
2:07:47
Speaker 1: they basically let the masses decide, and the masses because
2:07:53
Speaker 1: of Romiani was so smart, much smarter than Homini. Romiani
2:07:57
Speaker 1: was so smart and manipulative. Then he managed to it
2:08:00
Speaker 1: so that he landed up on top. That is my
2:08:03
Speaker 1: five minute version. I'd have to do quite a bit
2:08:06
Speaker 1: of research to give.
2:08:08
Speaker 2: You the longer version, which which I will do at
2:08:10
Speaker 2: some point.
2:08:10
Speaker 1: If somebody wants to sponsor a whole show on the
2:08:13
Speaker 1: causes and consequence of the Uranian Revolution, sponsorship of sows
2:08:18
Speaker 1: of one thousand dollars, You can sponsor any topic you
2:08:22
Speaker 1: want up to you and I will cover that.
2:08:24
Speaker 2: I'll do the research.
2:08:24
Speaker 1: I'll do all of that and cover its one thousand
2:08:27
Speaker 1: dollars per topic. We used to have a lot of
2:08:30
Speaker 1: people sponsoring show topics. Haven't had a show topic sponsor
2:08:34
Speaker 1: in a while. You used to have quite a few
2:08:38
Speaker 1: of those. So if you'd like, let me know, happy
2:08:40
Speaker 1: to happy to happy to do it.
2:08:44
Speaker 2: Let's see.
2:08:44
Speaker 1: Harryson says, first we will bring freedom to Persia and
2:08:47
Speaker 1: then to the Moon. I cannot wait for automist mission
2:08:49
Speaker 1: next Wednesday. Cool looking forward to it too, Daniel last,
2:08:54
Speaker 1: have you ever eaten at Souno de Burger rocking crackout?
2:08:58
Speaker 2: I don't think so.
2:08:59
Speaker 1: No, hmm, I'll have to try it. Hey. Ron thoughts
2:09:04
Speaker 1: on Jordan Badella. He is obviously flawed with the European
2:09:07
Speaker 1: rights seems better, though not not hard these days than
2:09:13
Speaker 1: the US right. I don't know. It's hard to tell
2:09:18
Speaker 1: because they disguise what they really think so well. To
2:09:22
Speaker 1: what extent are they pro Russia? It's how to get
2:09:26
Speaker 1: a straight answer from them. Would they support Ukraine as
2:09:30
Speaker 1: much as France has supported Ukraine up until now? To
2:09:33
Speaker 1: what extent are they pro EU? I think Brexit is
2:09:38
Speaker 1: a disaster for Britain. I think Frexit would be a
2:09:41
Speaker 1: disaster for France. The EU is more good than bad.
2:09:50
Speaker 2: Economically.
2:09:52
Speaker 1: What else you know? Do they really have a plan
2:09:57
Speaker 1: to deal with imm agreat with Islam, not that I
2:10:00
Speaker 1: can see. I mean they wanted to port illegally immigrants, okay,
2:10:04
Speaker 1: but that's not the problem. And the problem is radical
2:10:06
Speaker 1: Islam in France among French Muslims. How are they going
2:10:11
Speaker 1: to deal with that? Is their plan? I don't see one,
2:10:13
Speaker 1: so I don't know. Then the anti capitalism, they're quite socialist.
2:10:19
Speaker 1: They were against pension reform, which France needs desperately, so
2:10:28
Speaker 1: I don't know how good they really are. And what
2:10:32
Speaker 1: do they stand for? Statism more than anything else? So
2:10:37
Speaker 1: he I don't see most of the right wing parties.
2:10:41
Speaker 1: I mean, what does reform stand for in England? Not
2:10:44
Speaker 1: of economic liberty? Is? What does they f D stand
2:10:49
Speaker 1: for in Germany? So I'm not that excited, Greg Ass.
2:10:55
Speaker 1: What was your favorite Brexfast cereal? I don't remember. I
2:10:59
Speaker 1: mean I haven't had real cereal in decades. I mean,
2:11:03
Speaker 1: I'm sure when I was a kid, I had some
2:11:05
Speaker 1: what do they call it? I had conflakes, I had
2:11:07
Speaker 1: all the standard ones. I can't remember having a favorite
2:11:12
Speaker 1: snap crackle pop what was that rice crispies? Today?
2:11:18
Speaker 2: If I eat.
2:11:19
Speaker 1: Cereal, it's a no grain cereal, like a cereal made
2:11:23
Speaker 1: from nuts and seeds, and there's a bunch of them
2:11:26
Speaker 1: out there. It's hard to find one that is good
2:11:29
Speaker 1: and has very low sugar. They they stick them with
2:11:33
Speaker 1: tons of sugar, all with like fruit, dried fruit, which
2:11:39
Speaker 1: is heavily concentrated with sugar. And I don't like to
2:11:43
Speaker 1: put too much sugar in my body, so I mean,
2:11:45
Speaker 1: particularly not if it's concentrated. So I don't eat cereal anymore,
2:11:51
Speaker 1: but I would if you could find me a breakfast
2:11:53
Speaker 1: If you could find me a cereal made of nuts
2:11:57
Speaker 1: and seeds primarily you know, if there were oats there,
2:12:00
Speaker 1: I'd be okay with it. But that had very little sugar,
2:12:07
Speaker 1: ideally with no added sugar, but also no sugar, alcohols
2:12:11
Speaker 1: and nothing else, right, nothing else. So if you can
2:12:15
Speaker 1: find me a cereal like that, that would be great.
2:12:20
Speaker 1: But you know, I'll take recommendations. Take recommendations. Basically, what
2:12:25
Speaker 1: I eat that is nuts for breakfast, booberry. I don't
2:12:32
Speaker 1: know if that's real booberry. Yeah, I mean blueberries and
2:12:37
Speaker 1: nuts and seeds. A lot of seeds that would make
2:12:39
Speaker 1: a great breakfast. That's a lot of protein, that's healthy,
2:12:42
Speaker 1: fats and that is fiber. And the blueberries give you
2:12:46
Speaker 1: some antioxidants. That's ideal. That's ideal breakfast cereal. Steven thank
2:12:52
Speaker 1: you for the sticker. I appreciate it. I think, I think,
2:12:55
Speaker 1: Friend Harper, I think so. I can't remember now, but
2:12:59
Speaker 1: thank you guys, Guy Darlean again, all I thank yep,
2:13:03
Speaker 1: we got everybody.
2:13:05
Speaker 2: Thank you, steven A.
2:13:07
Speaker 1: That is it. We'll call it a day. I will
2:13:09
Speaker 1: be back tomorrow with a We'll see what the topic is.
2:13:14
Speaker 1: I'll try to figure out a topic, maybe something positive.
2:13:17
Speaker 1: We need positivity in these days. So Juan's Rules for
2:13:20
Speaker 1: Life type topic tomorrow, No listen, what am I talking about?
2:13:24
Speaker 2: Scrap all that?
2:13:26
Speaker 1: Tomorrow is AMA three pm East Coast time, Ama Sunday.
2:13:33
Speaker 1: I will do a kind of Rules for Life type show.
2:13:37
Speaker 1: All right, Skyles says, Cashy Cashi a go, I'll check
2:13:42
Speaker 1: it out, cashy a go, all right, I'll check those
2:13:45
Speaker 1: out quick a harvest crunch. All right, guys, thank you
2:13:53
Speaker 1: told the super chatters. Thank you for being here. Thank
2:13:55
Speaker 1: you for following me. Don't forget to like the show
2:13:58
Speaker 1: before you go. Don't forget to subscribe if you know subscriber,
2:14:00
Speaker 1: and I will see you all tomorrow for the AMA.
2:14:03
Speaker 1: For the AMA, don't forget if you're twenty five and above,
2:14:05
Speaker 1: join us in the.
2:14:08
Speaker 2: On the panel. Bye everybody, see you tomorrow.