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Mets/Cubs MLB + NFL + NCAAF Best Bets Thursday 9/25/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four that have
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached a
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my Bruins hat man.
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: Arch hate? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: know it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I can.
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: Possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: I die at least oh and two yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: did not go well for me. Oh and five the
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: The slump series, the slump discontinuous, The slump continues. Somebody
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, it's towed back with you? Better off dead. Thursday,
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: September twenty fifth, Uh, the streak of winning days continued
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: yesterday barely is. It was a very strange one one
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: and two day with two pushes, which got me irritated.
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: By the way, doesn't sound like it would be a
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: winning day normally it wouldn't, but the way that the
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: prices worked out, it was a very small win somehow
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: as we did. The one win was the first one,
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: so I was like, all right, we're off to a
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: nice start here with the under in Milwaukee San Diego
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: three to one final in that game, that was an
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: easy win. I think it was a win if you
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: went first, five or full game, didn't matter. Pittsburgh Cincinnati
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: off to a good start. Looked like it was going
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: to be an under. Both starting pitchers did pretty well.
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: I think it was two to nothing. It would have
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: been an under in the first five innings, even under
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: the three and a half, it was two to nothing,
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: and then it was three to one. Pittsburgh to the
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: eighth inning, looking pretty good, right, Oh no, what happens?
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: The Reds decide to tie the game with a run
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: in the bottom of the eighth, another run in the
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: bottom of the ninth, and it goes into extra innings,
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: which is where unders go to die. I'm sick of
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: it with the ghost runner on second, but luckily, the
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: best possible outcome at that point, which was the push
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: on the seven, which I said, if it was six
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: and a half, don't play the game, and you would
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: have lost with the six and a half. Luckily, the
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: seven was a push, which was the best possible outcome
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: at that point. Was three to three going into extra innings,
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: which is an example of why seven is a key number.
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: I'm just hoping at that point that one of the
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: team is just gonna win by one run, and that
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: is what happened. Pittsburgh won four to three. Man, I mean,
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: that could have easily been a loss just because of
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: the fucking ghost runners and extra innings. Just awful. The
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: Metz was a complete loser, so I don't know what
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: to give you with that, Like, I have nothing to
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: say about that one. That was just Jonah Thong. He sucks.
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: Maybe he's just not even good. I don't even know, man,
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: It's just that was awful. Matthew Boyd, I don't think
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: pitch too badly in that one. Then we did get
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: a push yet another push on Dodgers Arizona. The both
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: starting pitchers did do pretty well in that game. They
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: both went somewhat deep into the game too, But it
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: was exactly four runs in the first five innings. It
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: was a three to one game at that point, which
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: I think was I don't even know. I think the
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: Dodgers were winning the game at that point. Yeah, And
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: I think the Dodgers did wind up still hanging on
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: to a win. But I think the game went into
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: extra innings, so I think the the full game I
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: think actually went over So the first five innings, that
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: was a good call. As far as the under, I
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: would still say versus the full game at least, even
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: though it was a push. Today is gonna be light.
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: I mean, there's not a huge baseball card today. Most
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: of the teams are playing. But I don't love the
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: card or the board at all. We have two football
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: games to day, one college one NFL don't love those games.
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: We'll talk about it, and I will have one Major
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: League Baseball play. Jeffrey, what's up man, underneath? Yeah, you'll
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: you're an unders better. Yeah. It's similar to underdog betting
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: that the the the recreational betters like the public, they
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: tend to they tend to like favorites and overs. So
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: if you're a contrarian like me, which I think more
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: often than not, you want to be just because the
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: number at least has to be a little bit skew
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: towards where the public is going to be. So typically
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: you're gonna be getting value on underdogs and unders because
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: the public doesn't like to play them as much. That's
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: just like a general rule. Though obviously I have my
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: fair share of, you know, favorites and overs. Still, it
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: depends entirely on the situation whatever, But that's a general rule.
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: I think you do want to lean towards more unders
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: and underdogs. Let's get into it, man. We have no
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: WNBA until tomorrow, where the semi final series switch venues
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: to the road team. The road team of the series
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: hosting the games tomorrow Major League Baseball. I think we
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: have about eleven games here today, a lot of afternoon
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: games because some of these series are ending today. A
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: few teams are off today. Still have a lot of
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: playoff races. That's some need to be determined here. Pittsburgh
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: is at Cincinnati still, so this series continues. The slump
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: continues for Cincinnati is after sweeping the Cubs. They have
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: not done well in this series. It's been close, but
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: they've lost both games to Pittsburgh, even though Pittsburgh is
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: definitely not as good on the road. Pittsburgh pretty capable
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: at home, but not verygan on the road. Actually pretty
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: crazy that Cincinnati has lost both these games of this series,
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: one of them with Hunter Green pitching, and they still
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: couldn't get it done. But that was because they got
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: kind of unlucky in how that lined up. They had
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: to have Green go up against Schimes. Maybe they should
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: have shifted their pitchers around. But it's been low scoring,
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: it's been close games here. We might get more of
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: the same in this game, but we'll have to see
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: both bullpens. I mean, they're both mediocre bullpens. I would
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: say the usage was a little bit high yesterday for
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati and for Pittsburgh was actually even a bit higher.
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: So Pittsburgh's bullpen not really in great shape here. I
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: might lean towards Cincinnati actually being slightly better bullpen shape here.
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: They're both really close as far as bullpenny ra Pittsburgh
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: thirteenth Cincinnati fourteenth. Although it was a little bit of
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: a gap in the number between the two. Cincinnati has
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: the better offense, that's not even close. The pitching. Braxton
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: Ashcraft was pitching for Pittsburgh. He was in their bullpen
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: for a while and they moved him to the starting rotation.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: He doesn't like make these like deep starts, but he
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: has been pitching pretty well two point six to two years,
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: one point one to nine whip. He's better on the
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: road two point two to three ERA, even though this
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: is a hitter friendly ballpark. This month, he's made four starts,
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: I believe, but they were all kind of shortened. He
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: went three and four innings in each of them, but
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: he hasn't a lot more than three or runs in
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: any of them. Two shutout performances, including last time out
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: against the A's where he didn't even put anybody on
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: base in that outing. No hits, no walks. They took
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: him out of a no hitter man, which I don't
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: like that man. Let him keep pitching. It's a no hitter,
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: even though it was only for three innings, which I
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: actually think. I'm pretty sure that Pittsburgh might have actually
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: had a had a no hitter in this game combined.
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: Is that right? Did I get that right? No, they
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: didn't excuse the Ashcraft pitching relief. That was the Bubba
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: Chandler game, that's right. I gave it an under on
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: that game, never mind, but it was close. But anyway,
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: Ashcraft came in and relief in that one. So he
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: will make the start here, but he's probably gonna go
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: about three to four innings again here. That's what you
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: can expect. He doesn't have a two point six two
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: ERA one point one to nine WHIP on the which
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: I think I already said against Cincinnati, only thirteen at
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: bats against some five strikeouts, one walk, no extra base hits,
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: two thirty one batting average, allowed five to sixteen ops.
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: So I do expect Ashcraft to be solid during the
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: time that he's out there. He's going up against Nic
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: Ldolo for Cincinnati, who's had a good season. Three point
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: four to four ERA one point oh eight whip. He
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: is worse at home, though, four point three six ERA
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: in this more hitter friendly ballpark here. He's been a
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: little bit worse recently too, because he got a blister
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: on his finger back on August fourth in this Cubs game,
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: and he was throwing a no hitter at that point.
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: In the second inning, he got taken out of the game,
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: and since then he hasn't been good. He's allowed four
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: more and runs and three of the four starts he
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: did have a shutout at San Diego for five innings,
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: but he's a little bit off right now. He does
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: have a five point four ERA this month. Granted he
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: did face the Cubs again in short succession. His start
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: that he came back from the blister was on the
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: road against the Dodgers, so those are not easy offenses
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: to face. And his other bad start was at the A's,
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: which is a difficult ballpark to pitch in against a
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: pretty good offense. So maybe you cut him a little
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: bit of slack for all that he is stepping way
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: down in class to face this Pittsburgh offense. Fourteen to
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: three strike out walk ratio this month isn't bad, but
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: it seems like the blister must be affecting him though,
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: because he's just not as good as he was prior
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: to that, So there's something going on there. He does
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: have good numbers against Pittsburgh fifty nine at bats twenty
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: three to five strike out walk ratio two, twenty batting average,
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: six to fourteen oh ps allowed, So you really have
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: to determine, like is Lodolo gonna be back from his blister?
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: In Cincinnati, they have more motivation here, I mean Pittsburgh,
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: they are trying to win. As you can see here,
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's won both games in the series, so it's a
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: divisional series. Pittsburgh, this is one of their last series
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: of the season, so they're showing up for it to
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: try to spoil Cincinnati season. Here they do seemingly want
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: to do that. Cincinnati is trying to hang on in
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: the wildcard race. I believe either one game behind the Mets,
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: still in the wildcard race. In Arizona, I believe is
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: still tied to Cincinnati because I think both of them
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: lot all three of those teams lot lots yesterday. I'm
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: pretty sure. Oh my god, I can't control my laughter.
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: They all. I was thinking about this meme that I
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: saw that UH used like the South Park when the
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: two based the two baseball teams or whatever are both
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: trying to lose the game intentionally, and it had like
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: Reds and Mets, like the teams were labeled the Mets
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: of the Reds. I thought that was pretty funny. Cincinnati
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: up for minus one sixty five to minus one sixty
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: seven on the money lines. They are a pretty big
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: favorite here, ninety one percent of tickets but ninety five
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: percent of cash on them. They are really public though,
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: so I don't think I would want to do anything
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: with Cincinnati, and that is a pretty high price in
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: my opinion for Cincinnati, especially when you don't know what
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get out of the dolo this blister issues.
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: The money's coming in on the under, and that would
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: still be the way that I would lean in this game.
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: At least I would go first five under in this one,
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: probably because I don't really trust the Bulls and they're
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: a little bit used right now. Total down from eight
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: to eight juice to the under fifty percent tickets on
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: the over seventy cash in the under. Yeah. I mean,
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play this game. It would probably
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: be under first five innings because I think Ashcraft will
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: get you most of the way there, and I think
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: he will pitch well. Lodolo, you gotta worry about if
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: he's back from his blister. That's the only thing, because
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: he should be able to handle Pittsburgh. Uh but the
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: blister is an issue and he's not as good at home.
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: Parlay with Nats Brewers yesterday. Uh so that one right, Yeah,
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: the Brewers I think continue to win the Nats one.
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: I saw the upset Atlanta, I believe. So you won
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: that parlay while you're at Buffalo Wild Wings? Hell, yeah,
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: did you do? You do the Blazon wing challenge? Man,
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: I've done that multiple times and it keeps getting hotter,
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: Like I think they they keep introducing new like levels
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: of heat and then they bump the blaze in one
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: like up because it always has to be the hottest,
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: Like fuck, we have to make this hotter because like
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: the first time I did it, it was not that hard,
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: and like I've done it more recently and it's like
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: they're so insane now and it kind of depends on
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: how much sauce they douse the wings in it's just
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: crazy though. You get so much like skin contact with
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: the sauce, it gets really bad. Man. I remember one
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: time I was with one of my friends. We went
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: to Buffalo Wild Wings. We got some of those wings.
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: We were going to see Sausage Party, which was very appropriate,
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: which I enjoyed that movie. I mean, I know a
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: bunch of Hollywood leftist comedians in that one, but I
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: thought it was a funny movie. But the after the
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: blazing wings, I had to take a piss and I had, like, dude,
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: like we had napkins, we had you know, the like
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: wet ones whatever, the like wet wipe things. I went
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: to the bathroom. I washed my hands first to get
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: rid of whatever sauce might be lingering on my hands.
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: Took a piss, and just because I touched my dick,
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: my dick like went completely numb, just because of the
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: blazing wings that were like the remnants that were like
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: still apparently on my hands even though I'd washed my hands.
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: I was like, this is insane, dude, definitely a sausage
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: party there. Yeah, and then I washed my hands again. Obviously,
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: don't don't shoot me, but yeah, I'm not one of
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: those guys that I'm not an Indian. I'm not one
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: of these guys that doesn't wash my hands or whatever.
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: You like hot stuff, Yeah, so do I the Blaze
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: and Wings. Yet they keep getting hotter. Man, They're definitely
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: pretty hot. They're not the hottest that I've had, but
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: they're pretty hot. Yeah. That was a fun night. Yeah,
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: I think I got feeling back, you know, in my
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: dick like later on. Took a little while though. Uh,
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: I could have done the reverse stranger though, one of
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: the one of the only times where I could have
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: done that. You know, it feels like you're jerking off
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: another dude. It's it's the best thing. Uh. This is
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: turning into the Tower Gang. Tampa Bay at Baltimore. Uh,
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: both teams just playing out the stretch here. They're both done, although,
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: as I keep pointing out, I do think Tampa is
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: better than the record looks, though Baltimore has been playing
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: with some motivation recently. I mean, I think both teams
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: are motivated in this series. They've split the first two games,
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: with Tampa winning yesterday. Shane Boz I told you man,
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: Boz didn't do bad in that game yesterday. As far
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: as the bullpens. I mean Tampa Bay does have the
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: better bullpen out of the two. Not a ton of usage,
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: I don't think for either team yesterday, a little bit
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: more for Tampa, but their bullpen's pretty rested over the
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: last few days, so I'll still give them the bullpen edge.
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: Tampa actually has the better offense too, and I think
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: they have the better starter on the mound, but I
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: would dial it back a little bit as far as
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: that's concerned. Dur Rasmus and I know he's good. He's
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: probably Tampa's best starter. Two point eight e RA at
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: one point zero one whip really solid. Numbers a little
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: bit worse on the row two point nine to five ERA,
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: still really good, but they've been keeping Rasmusten like really
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: fresh for whatever reason. He's on like a pitch count,
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: so he pretty much goes like five six innings maybe
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: and he start. He's been really effective in doing so.
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: He's allowed three or fewer earned runs every start going
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: all the way back through the beginning of July. Even
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: though he got named to the All Star team and
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: pitched in the All Star Game, which is a bit
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: of a distraction for some pitchers. But he overcame that.
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: This month, he's been a little bit worse though he's gone.
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: He only went three innings last time out against the
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: Red Sox. I think they just took him out because
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: his pitch count was really high and that one through
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: seventy six pitches still got out of there along tour
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: in runs Red Sox. He did win the game, though.
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: He has a four ERA this month and eleven to
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: seven strike at walk ratio, so he looks to be
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: kind of dwindling a little bit here. I think again
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: like they've been kipping him on a pitchcount because I
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: think they don't want to overwork him. As you can
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: see here, he's now thrown more innings than he ever
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: has in his career. Twenty twenty two was the most
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: he ever threw in a season, one hundred and forty six.
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: So Tampa's being like smart about this. They don't want
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: him to throw that many innings. He's at one hundred
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: and forty seven and two thirds now, so he's kind
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: of hit that thresholder maybe you do have to worry
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Then maybe he is wearing down a
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: little bit, and his numbers against Baltimore are actually not good.
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: In four aready at bats, seven to five strike at
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: walk ratio, three point fifty batting average, and nine to
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: twenty two o ps allowed. So even though yes he
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: is the better team, when you look at the season numbers,
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: he is the better pitcher. Excuse me, if you look
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: at the season numbers, it almost looks too obvious that
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: you want to go with Rasmussen. But again, I think
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: he's kind of hit the limit on the season. He's
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: not pitching as well right now, and he doesn't have
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: good numbers against Baltimore, so I would worry about that.
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: He's going up against kde Povich, who I know he
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: doesn't have good numbers five point zero sixty RA, one
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: point four to six whip for Baltimore. He is worse
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: at home five point sixty six home y RA. I mean,
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: he's the guy who I still think has something, it
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: just hasn't really shown up yet. And his walk number
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: has just been a problem this month. He has gone
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: at least five innings in every outing, but he has
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: a five point one to seventy RA. Fourteen to nine
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: strike at walk ratio is really the issue. I mean,
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: that's just way too many walks. So he continues to
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: put too many guys on base, and that is the
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: issue with him. He does have one maybe advantage in
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: this game, which is that Tampa somehow has actually never
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: faced him before, even though I know he's young, but
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: he's been in the division for a couple of years now,
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: so that kind of surprises me. But when these young
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: pitchers face an offense they haven't seen before, a lot
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: of times that offense struggles a little bit to figure
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: them out early on. So Povich, looking at just the
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: matchup and what the matchup numbers look like, I actually
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: think Povich might have an edge here. Tampa is extremely
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: public eighty seven percent of tickets and cash. They're down
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: for minus one thirty one twenty three on the money line,
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna lean towards on the side I would. I
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: would lean to Baltimore in the first five innings. I
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: don't really want to do anything with their bullpen. They
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: don't have a bullpen advantage. But I think Povich, based
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: on that matchup, actually surprising it has an advantage against Rasmussen.
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: So I think money line, first five innings, Baltimore, you
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: take the shot on that you're getting them as a
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: home underdog. It makes sense enough to me that that's
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: that would be a lean for me in that game,
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: and then I probably would also lean to the over,
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: and the money is agreeing with that. Of fifty nine
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on the under, fifty one sent a
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: couch on the over. Tolls just kind of sitting in
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: eight and a half. But Ras was in again, he
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: doesn't have good numbers against Baltimore. You know, he's probably
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: gonna be out of the game four or five innings in.
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: And then you get bullpen usage, and I know Tampa's
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: bullpen is pretty solid, but Baltimore's bullpen is not. Povich
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: still could potentially not do too well here, so I
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: wouldn't really have like, I wouldn't mind an over in
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: that game either, Curtis, what's up man, Thanks for hanging out.
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: Even though it over kind of contradicts looking towards an underdog,
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: He's usually a closer game means that the underdog, like
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: a lower scoring game means it's probably a closer game,
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: and the underdog makes a little bit more sense. Minnesota
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: at Texas. Texas finally won yesterday, so they kind of
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: got over that. Basically where Dad now type of thing,
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: the dream crusher, the prolonged dream crusher, because that series
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: against Houston basically crushed Texas, man like, they pretty much
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: knew they were going to be out of it at
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: that point. They got swept by Miami. After that, they
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: lost the first game in this Minnesota series where they
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: did win yesterday to Grom gave them a good start yesterday.
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: So sometimes when that happens, that a team breaks that
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: low streak, it's like they have this new found like
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: mentality like, oh, we can win, you know, like we're
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: not in this like losing like rot anymore. So that
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: might help Texas as far as their momentum is concerned
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: coming into this game. Texas does have the better bullpen
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: of the two, but they are the more used bullpen
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: after yesterday, but not Mancheo used three relief pitchers Minnesota.
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: Actually Minnesota used three as well. It's just Texas has
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: more usage over the last few days, so we'll give
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: Texas a bullpen edge. Still they have the better bullpen Minnesota.
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: This is pretty putrid. Neither of these offenses is very good,
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: although Texas is worse, and Texas offense really does struggle
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: at home. As far as the pitching. We're looking at
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: Bailey ober from Minnesota hasn't had a good season. He
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: was injured during the season. I've been a fan of
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: him in the past as far as like I think
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: he was kind of an under the radar decent pitcher
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: with decent like command stats and whatever. But he hasn't
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: been very good this year five point three two ERA,
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: one point three three whip. He isn't as good on
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: the road five point six to two ROADI area, though
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: he does get an easier assignment here, and his last
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: road game was similar to this. It was at Kansas City.
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: They have a similarly weak offense and they also playing
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: a pitcher front of the park, and he did do
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: well in that start, went five and a third in
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: He's give him one on and run there, so maybe
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: he will actually do okay here this month nineteen to
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: five strike out walk ratio, so again, his command numbers
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: are pretty good, but he has a six point three
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: to three ERA, so he's giving up runs. And the
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: only good offense that he faced this month is Arizona.
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: Because he faced the White Sox and Cleveland. It didn't
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: really do well in either one of those outings, so
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: I mean He's still not in good form, but he
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: might do okay the way this game sets up against Texas.
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: His numbers are not good though, so maybe not. In
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: forty seven career bats, ten to five strike a walk
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: ratio against him, that's not good, two ninety eight batting
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: average allowed, nine to nineteen ops. So surprisingly he doesn't
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: do well against this offense, so maybe he will not
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: do well in this outing. Tyler Moley is pitching for Texas.
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: He is the better of the two pitchers. He's had
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: a good season two point two ERA, one point one
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: to three WHIP. He's been really really good at home
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: zero point seven four ERA, which is basically unsustainable. But
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: he did just come back from injury, and his last
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: two starts before being injured he was out for three months.
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: He was a little bit worse, but those were both
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: starts on the road. When was that Tampa, which is
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: a difficult park for a pitcher to pitch and it's
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: a hitter friendly park. Didn't do well against Minnesota, which
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: is a bad sign. But maybe I mean I talked
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: about this going into his last game. Maybe some you know,
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: the injury might have come into play there and had
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: some effect in that game. I don't know. He came
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: back and he did well in the last start, his
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: only start coming back from injury, which was his most
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: recent start. I had the under in that game, and
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: that was the under that we don't want to talk about.
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: It was a one to one game at the end
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: of the ninth inning and it went over with a
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: final six to four with runs being scoring multiple different
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: extra innings. Just pisses me off so much. Molly didn't
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: allow any runs in that one, only went four and
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: two thirds innings. They kind of just they kept him
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: on a little bit of a limit there, six strikeouts,
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: one walk, but he was good in the outings, so
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: I think he will be good again here. But Minnesota
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: does have good numbers against him. In twenty two at
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: bats only four there does a scene him before five
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: to two strike a walk ratio, but they have a
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: four to fifty five average and one thousand, two forty
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: seven ohps off him with a home run for Jeffers,
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: So maybe Molly won't do well in this one. The
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: money's kind of coming in against Texas down for minus
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: one forty five to minus one forty ninety eight percent
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: of tickets one hundred percent of the cash on Texas.
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: I don't really want any part of over here, though,
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: based on what those matchup numbers look like, I mean,
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: I would actually probably lean with an over here, although
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: I know it's kind of insane to do that in
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: a game in Texas where it seems like it's been
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: the most like underconducive ballpark season, because Texas is bad offensively,
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: especially at home to a pitcher friendly park, and Texas
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: is pitching is really good and it becomes even better
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: at home, and they allow very few runs at home,
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: I think probably the fewest in baseball. So it seems
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: basically insane to go with an over in this one,
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: but I actually think that might be the way. I
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: think both starting pitchers actually might struggle a little bit
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: in this one. The total down from seven and a
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: half to seven, but eighty three percent of tickets ninety
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: eight percent of cash on the over. If you want
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: to go over, you got to find the seven. I
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: mean seven and a half is a key difference there,
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: because seven key number in baseball. It breaks the three
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: to three tigh. So that's probably the probably what I
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: would do in that game, to be honest, So that
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: is a that is not close to one of my
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: favorite games here Houston at the A's. Houston keeps losing. Man,
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: They're Houston is in danger of not making the playoffs
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: at this point. Seattle pretty much is wrapped up the
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: division now. I mean it's crazy. Seattle was behind Houston
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: like a week ago. They swept Houston. I think they
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: basically haven't even lost a game since then. In Houston
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: continues to struggle as the A's have outscored them eleven
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: to one in the first two games of this series.
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: Houston can't even score in this A's stadium. It's crazy, man.
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: It's a very hit or conducive ball hitter conducive ballpark,
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: and usually the road teams hit well in the stadium,
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: and that hasn't happened. It's I don't know, it's very insane.
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: The A's they're playing with a sense of purpose right now.
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: They're like, they look like they do want to spoil
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: the party for Houston here. They're playing with with motivation here.
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: So both teams have motivation here. I mean, Houston their
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: best hope is a wildcard now and they've got to
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: try to hang on to They're they're really battling with
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: Detroit right now for the final wildcard spot, because it
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: looks like the Red Sox are pretty much gonna do
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: it is I think the Red Sox just have to
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: win one more game, uh to get in now, which
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: they better do that. But I think there's only one
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: series left too, so they have to basically avoid going
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: on four and the remainder. But the Red Sox have
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: to play Detroit next, and they're on the road against
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: Toronto here, but I think the Detroit series might be
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: at home. But still they better get it done. The
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: magic number is one though, so I think their opponents
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: could lose as well and then they'd get in that way.
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: We'll see what happens something like that. Let me see
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: in this game. Yeah, so Houston has a better bullpen. Obviously,
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: the A's don't have a good bullpen. They only use
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: two relief pitchers yesterday though Houston used three, so both
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: bullpens in pretty decent shape here. Houston's got the better bullpen,
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: A's have the better offense. On the surface, it looks
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: like Houston has like the obviously better pitcher with from Bervaldez,
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: but I don't know if we could really trust him
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: right now. Man He's got a three point seventy five
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: ERA one point two to four whip on the season,
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: which is fine, I mean, pretty good season for him,
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: but he's been way worse recently. He's not good on
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: the road four points nine to six ERA on the road.
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: That is a problem, especially pitching in a ballpark like this.
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: He's been pretty bad this month with an eight point
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: two to seven ERA. It seems like once he gave
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: up that Grand Slam to the Yankees, he just like
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: he intentionally crossed up his own catcher and he's been
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: a massive head case basically since done. Though. He actually
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: did pitch well the next time out against Texas, but
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: the last two outings he failed to even make it
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: five innings against Atlanta and Seattle will give him five
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: and runs them both out. He's walked four guys in
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: both outings. Nineteen to ten strike at walk ratio this month. Yeah,
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: he's not a good form right now, man, So you
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: gotta worry about Valdez right now. His numbers against the
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: A's are pretty good and sixty four at bats fourteen
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: to seven strike a walk ratio is not good, but
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: two thirty four average allowed seven to thirty two ops,
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: it's difficult to figure out what you think he's gonna
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: do in this game. Man I would have a tendency
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: to lean towards him not doing well because he doesn't
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: do well on the road and he's not in a
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: good form. He's going up against j. T. Gin for
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: the A's, who hasn't been that great this season four
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: point five to seven ERA, one point three to two WI,
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: but it's mostly because he doesn't too well in this stadium.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: He's actually been pretty good on the road five point
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: nine to eighty RA at home though not good. Obviously,
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: he struggles in this stadium, but he hasn't been the
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: better of the two pitchers this month, and it's not
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: even really close. The A's have actually won five of
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: his last six games, and he's allowed three or four
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: earned runs and all of those outings this month includes
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: three of those outings fourteen to five strike at walk ratio.
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: He's only allowed three runs of fifteen to third innings
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: this month one point seven to six e IRA. He
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: is pitching pretty well right now, although only one of
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: those starts at home, and that was the one that
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: he didn't make at five innings against Cincinnati, he walked
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: for guys, but he didn't allow any runs, So kind
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: of a weird outing there. You'd expect if he did
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: bad at home because he's allowing like home runs or whatever.
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: He has good numbers against Houston. It's a small sample size,
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: twenty eight at bats. The only hit, only extra base
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: hit is a double from Trammell nine to one strike
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: out walk ratio one seventy nine average allowed, four twenty
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: one ops allowed. So again, does actually have the better
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: matchup numbers here. I'd probably slightly lean into the A's
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: again here, I know Houston has the motivation, but I
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: don't love how it sets up. I think if you
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: go with the A's that you gotta go first five innings. Though,
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: I I just wouldn't recommend having their bullpen, like I
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: almost never want to have the A's bullpen be involved
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: in one of one of my plays, Houston's of minus
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: one twelve road favorite here, eighty percent tickets, eighty five
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, so the public is
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: on them. Looks like a little bit more of the
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: cash is on the line hasn't even moved, so seems
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: to me like the books are just staying pat on
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: that one and just accepting that tons of the money
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: is gonna come in on Houston. So A's as an
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: underdog in the first five innings at home seems like
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: it maybe worth looking at in that game an what's up?
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out, okay. Dodgers Arizona, This is an
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: interesting series.
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: The teams to split the first two games of the series.
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: Arizona in the wildcard hunt there I believe, tied with
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: the Reds one game behind the Mets, and all three
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: of them lost yesterday, So the slump continues, I guess
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: for them, or the situation continuous of all three of
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: them being in the same position that they were yesterday.
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: Dodgers kind of still fighting to win the division. Man
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: San Diego could potentially still catch them, although it looks
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: pretty likely the Dodgers are gonna finish it off and
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: win the division. Both close games. Both these games of
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: this syeares have been a five to four win Arizona
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: in game one and Dodgers in game two. Both bullpens
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: are pretty bad. Arizona's is the worst of the two, though,
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: which might come into playing this game, and the usage
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: is a little bit higher on the Dodgers side, But
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: we're gonna see in a minute that it probably doesn't
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: matter that much as far as Arizona, their bullpen usage
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: is gonna get is gonna go higher in this game.
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: As we'll see in a second here, both teams have
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: good offenses. The Dodgers have the somewhat better offense, but
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: this is at Arizona. It is a hitter friendly ball.
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: The Dodgers do of Yama Moto pitching, Yoshinobu Yama Moto,
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: and he is the better of these two starters here,
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: which I put in quotes for the Arizona side of this.
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: Yama Moto, we know he's good two point five EIGHTRA,
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: point nine to nine WHIP on the season, really solid
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: season in his second season in the majors. Two point
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: two six ERA in the road, so he's been good
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: on the road. He's been good this month with a
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: point eight six ERA, twenty seven to nine strike a
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: walk ratio. That's only because he inexplicably walked six guys
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: in his last outing against San Francisco and one hit
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: them through five and third innings. I don't know what
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: that was. He did throw over one hundred pitches, but
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: he's on that twice in his last three starts. Maybe
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: they're overworking him a little bit, but he's He's thrown
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: over one hundred pitches multiple times this year and it
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: hasn't really affected him. So I think he should do
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: pretty well in this game. But he is facing a
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: good offense here. He did well last time out against Arizona.
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: That doesn't mean they just saw him, but he went
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: seven innings, had strikeouts, no walks, one on and run,
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: allowed four hits. That was at LA when he did
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: that not too long ago. His numbers are good against
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: Arizona though anyway, in sixty eight at bats, they just
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: don't do well against him. Twenty one to five strike
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio one ninety one batting average, allowed five
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: to forty one ops. So I would expect you, I'm
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: a modo, to still do well in this game. And
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: he's going up against my man, Jalen Beaks, who was
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: on the Red Sox for about two days, like two
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: games before they traded him to Tampa Bay. I saw,
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: you guys know the lore if you've see my show enough.
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: I saw beaks major league debut in person with the
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: Boston Red Sox. He started a game for the Red Sox.
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: I don't even remember who the opponent was. He was
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: awful in the game, but I was at his major
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: league debut. His parents were in town for it. I
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: was with one of my friends who was in town
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: to try a bunch of local brewer is. One of
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: my friends came up from Houston, although he does root
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: for the Red Sox and the Astros. We went to
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: the game, got some drinks, did like a brewery crawl
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: the next day, and we wound up back in Boston
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: in the middle of Boston the next day. That night,
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: did some karaoke at one of my Irish pubs, the
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: one that I mentioned, by the way, on ben Emo
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: Ancap I was on his show last night, Shut the
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: Punk Up so you guys could checked out. I mentioned
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: this bar last night, the Wild Rover in Boston in
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: Fanuel Hall. So I went with my friend, met up
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: with another friend slash former co worker, and I think
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: maybe another I forget. Maybe it was just the three
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: of us. We did karaoke and Jalen Beak's parents who
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: were still in town for his major league debut. He
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: wasn't there, but his parents were there and they're like
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: karaoke fiends, and we didn't, like, I didn't know who
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: they were obviously, Like, I'm not gonna I'm not gonna
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: recognize Beak's parents when it was his major league debut.
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: I barely recognize him. But they told us that that
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: that's who they were. They were up from Arkansas, which
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: is where he's from. Like all right, sweet, I'm like,
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: all right, let's yeah, let's like sit with us, guys.
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: Come on. So we sat with beaks parents. I got
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: to see their karaoke skills. They're actually pretty good. His mom,
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: she loves karaoke. She's good man. So, yeah, that was
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: a weird event. It was a fun time. Got to
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: do karaoke with this guy's parents. Hell yeah. Beaks on
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: the season as a three point six seventy R one
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: point oh eight whip. So he has been good on
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: the season, but he's been a relief pitcher this whole time,
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: which is kind of where he has found his groove.
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's been a relief pitcher for a long
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: time now. That's that's been what he's done in the
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: majors after he didn't do as well as a starter,
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: but he's been really bad at home. Six point oh
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: seventy RRA. That's an extreme home road split. He has
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: a one point one ERA in the road. He's been
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: awful in this stadium. I can't really determine why, I mean,
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: other than it is a hitter friendly park. But man,
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: that is crazy. Uh. So you're probably only gonna get
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: about one inning out of him because he's gonna be
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: opener one to maybe getting close to two winnings in
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: this game, depending on what the matchups are. He is
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: a lefty, so depending on what the lineups look like
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: and whatever. Uh, they'll probably take him out at some
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: point when a righty is coming up next. So he's
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: not gonna get you that long into the game. So
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: this is an Arizona bullpen game, and Arizona's bullpen sucks,
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: so it is not a good thing that it is
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: a bullpen game. And then Beaks has been good against
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers seventy four at bats. I don't think it
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: matters too much though. Nineteen to ten strike a walk
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: ratio is not good, but at two sixteen average allowed
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: six to sixty one ohps fine, but we don't really
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: want to put much weight into those numbers because again,
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: he's only gonna go like one two winnings max in
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: this game. So an Arizona bullpen game up against Yamamoto,
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: really it doesn't look good to me. However, the money
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: looks like it's fading the Dodgers, the Dodgers. I think again,
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: it probably has to do with price, because again it's
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: a lot of it is about is the price like
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: reasonable on the Dodgers, they're up for miss one fifty
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: one sixty six, now eighty one percent of tickets on them,
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: only seventy six percent of the cash. So the money
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: is saying basically no, Like I think maybe it's some
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: of it has to do with Arizona's motivation year, but
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: I would not trust an Arizona bullpen game. Man, There's
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: no way I could do that. It is a pretty
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: like it's a pretty decent underdog price if you do
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: want to go with Arizona. But man, and because their
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: bullpen's gonna be pitching the whole game, you can't even
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: go like first five innings and take the bullpens out
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: of the equation. You can't even do it. So yeah,
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: I don't like it, really, I yeah, I would have
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: to leave it alone, man, because that just it just yeah,
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: I don't know. And then we have conflicting indicators on
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: the total too. It's gone down from eight and a
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: half to eight and a half juice to the under.
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: We have sixty percent of tickets eighty five percent of
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: the cash on the over, so the money looks like
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: it's actually playing the over. I probably wouldn't disagree with
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: an over. Yamamoto is gonna be the one concern. I
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: think if he pitches, well, that's really the one concern
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: in playing the over, because I I an Arizona bullpen
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: game seems like it's gonna give up some runs. As
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: far as the Dodgers, their bullpen's not very good, so
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: it could be an over. Maybe given all of that,
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: maybe the best way to look at this game is
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: actually to go Dodgers over their team total and just
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: go with the Dodgers to score enough runs off of
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: the Arizona's bullpend. Maybe that is the way to do it. Paul,
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out? Is that you
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: and your profile picture? Man, it almost looks like Bill
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: Krackenberger if you're familiar with him, The Extraordinary Sports better
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: Bill Krackenberger. He wears the same type of hat like
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: a Kangle type of hat. Similar Look, man, all right,
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: Miami at Philadelphia. Philadelphia seemed like they had kind of
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: put themselves on cruise control. They've lost three games in
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: a row, but they won easily yesterday, eleven to one.
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: So Philadelphia, I mean, they don't have a whole lot
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: left going on here. They're not gonna catch Milwaukee, I
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: don't think, and they're obviously not gonna get caught in
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: the NLS. So Philadelphia's kind of like locked into the
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: two seed in the NL, I believe. So there's not
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: a whole lot left for Philly to play for Miami's
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: just playing out the stretch too, But you gotta think
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: they're probably gonna be motivated to try to beat Philly
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: just because this is one of their last big series
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: of the year. But they're kind of in a bad
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: momentum spot because Miami had actually won seven straight games
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: until they lost yesterday. And I point out that when
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: a team loses along wind streak like that, a lot
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: of times it does hang them over into the next game.
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: So I don't really love it for Miami. I don't
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: love the spot. Bullpen wise, neither bullpen is good. Miami's
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: is probably the slightly better of the two. They only
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: used two relief pitchers yesterday. Philly also only used two,
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: so the rest is kind of similar with both. I
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: can look here real quick. Actually Philly has jumped them.
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: Philly is twenty at the bullpenny ram, Miami is twenty first,
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: so Philly actually has the slightly better bullpen now based
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: on that, but it is close. Jansen Junk is pitching
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: for Miami and I actually prefer him over Philadelphia starter
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: in this game. Junk, he's been okay two to seven
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: e Ra one point one to four. Whip Uh, he's
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: a good on the road, three point four to two
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: Roady Ra. We don't want to talk about his last
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: start when he went seven innings against Texas and allowed
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: one on and run, five strikeouts, no walks, because that
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: was that dreaded undergame with him against Molly where we
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: had the under was a lock at that point. Basically
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: it was one to one at the end of the
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: ninth inning, and then we had to get runs scored
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: in the tenth and the twelve innings and it went
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: over the total over the eighth. Just unbelievable bullshit. It's
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: one of the worst beats of the Year in baseball.
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: I hate it. I had the right handicap in that one.
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: Just fucking stupid junk. But yeah, I mean he's been
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: good in his last two starts against Texas and Detroit,
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: nine strikeouts, one walk over that span. Wasn't good against
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: Washington in the start before that, so it was the
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: Ray this month is five point one to nine, which
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: isn't good. Twelve to three strike out walk ratio is
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: fine though against Philadelphia. He might have a little bit
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: of an advantage here because only Bait has ever faced
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: him for a bait or the guy who met up
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: with the kid who had his balls stolen by the Phillies.
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: Karen Bader was the guy that met with the kid afterwards.
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: But he's over to lifetime against Junk, no strikeouts, no walks,
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: so Junk is unfamiliar to Phillies. So maybe that's an
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: advantage for him because Philly has to kind of figure
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: him out, kind of surprised that they haven't seen him
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: before because he is in their division. Philadelphia is going
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: up against our guy here. Walker Bueller, who the Red
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: Sox picked up over the offseason, realized that he still sucks.
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: He's never been good since Tommy John surgery and the
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: Red Sox designated him for assignment, and then the Phillies
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: claimed him and decided to pick him up, which I
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: don't know how that actually works if it winds up
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: being like a trade, if they have to give something
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: up for him. I'm not sure. He's got a five
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: point one three ERA this year one point five to
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: three whip. That's not good. He has been better at
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: home four point one five R mostly with the Red
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: Sox since Philly acquired him. He had a good start
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: against Kansas City five innings, pitch one and run aloud,
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: three strikeouts, one walk, But then he pitched at Arizona
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: and he was not as good. He threw a ton
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: of pitches, sixty pitches and three and two thirds. Well
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: it's not a ton of pitches, really, but they did
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: take him out at that point. But he wasn't exactly good.
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: Even though he held them off the scoreboard. He did
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: get a win, which wait, oh, he must have pitched
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: him relief. I'm like, he couldn't have gotten a win
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: because if you're a starter, you have to go five
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: innings to get a win, So he must have pitched
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: in relief in that game against Arizona in order to
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: get the win there, he gave up two it's two
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: walks though three strikeouts, so he puts some guys on base,
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: got a little bit lucky not allowing them to come
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: home in that game. Miami actually has basically never faced
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: him before. Ryan Weathers is the only guy who's facing
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: him for he's a pitcher who pitched yesterday, So nobody
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: in Miami's lineup has faced Bueller before. Weather's over three
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: with a strikeout. Man Bueller dominant against these pitchers. But
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: I don't know if we're gonna get anything great out
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: of Bueller here, man. I mean, Miami's not the most
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: intimidating offense. Philly obviously has the better offense. Philly's down
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: for minus one sixty mine one fifth eighty two percent
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: takes ninety percent of the cash on Philly, so they
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: are public, uh they I wouldn't want to put my
• 41:07
  Speaker 1: money on it. With Walker Bueller and with that price,
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: and with Philly really not having much need to win
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: this game. I don't like it. It looks like some
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: of the money's coming in on the over joining the
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: public ninety percent tickets ninety five percent of cash in
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: the over I mean, if you want to look that way,
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: maybe have at it. I mean I don't necessarily trust
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: either startled. I think Junk is actually probably better than
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: buell Er, So, uh, maybe a slightlying to Miami in
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: the first five innings. I guess it might be leaning
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: there as well on like the run line or whatever. Jordan,
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: what's up man?
• 41:42
  Speaker 2: Uh?
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Krackenberger, he's him. I mean he looks like a
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: like a mafioso type of dude from New Jersey, So yeah,
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: he's obviously handsome. The bets did well. They didn't really
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: do that well there. They were one, one and two,
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: so a couple of pushes there wasn't a great day.
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: It was a slight win though, even though usually when
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: you go one, one and two it's not gonna be
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: a win. Uh. Paladin Sin Fuent does my regards as well, Dude,
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: I don't hate Fuent as man like I don't. I'm
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: suspicious of his recent strange term. Let's just say that
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: I got his whole army after me. He blocked me.
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: But I've always been more of a fan of f
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: Went does than not a fan, like I don't yeah,
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: I don't even dislike him. Really, I'm just suspicious right now.
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: So that's what I'll say. I mean, I think people
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: should give me a break. I go hard on Twitter
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: or whatever. Uh, that's what I have to say about that.
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: All Right, we got oh boy, Detroit Cleveland. This is
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: completely insane. And yeah, I don't know what's nice. I
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: don't know Detroit Cleveland. This is ridiculous. Man. Detroit has
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: had the biggest implosion maybe in Major League Baseball history.
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: They had to lead over Cleveland in the division by
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: I think nineteen games or so back in July, like
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: early to mid jell Lie, it was still twelve games
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: in August, and now Cleveland has now overtaken them in
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: the division, even though Cleveland still has a negative run
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: differential and Detroit's is still like plus sixty whatever. I've
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this. Cleveland is still not even good.
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: Their offense isn't good. They're pitching is carrying them though.
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, Cleveland, dude, they sold off with the trade deadline,
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: so they're basically signaling our season is over. And the
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: team actually started playing better. They lost their closer Cluss
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: and one of their starters, Luis Ortiz to gambling concerns,
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: so they're not there. But Cleveland's bullpend has been good
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: even without class. They've been one of the better bullpens
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: in all baseball, which is really one of the reasons
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: why they've been doing this because their offense is one
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: of the absolute worst. They're starting pitching has been fairly good,
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: even though Biby has not been good, and he is
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: one of their best starters. I guess he did well
• 43:50
  Speaker 1: last night. Though. Detroit is on this major skid right now.
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: They've lost eight games in a row. This is insane, man.
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: Detroit's now in the wildcard race, there on the verge
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: of missing the playoffs, when that looked like an impossibility
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: even like a few weeks ago, or even less than that.
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is insane. Never seen anything like this, man,
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: And I don't think Cleveland should be in the playoffs.
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: To be honest, they're just a joke. I'm sorry they're
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: not good, but this doesn't set up well for Detroit
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: in this game, man. Cleveland, they didn't use a ton
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: of their bullpen the last couple of days ago. They
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: used four arms yesterday, the only two of them for
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: single digit pitch counts. They could use them again potentially
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: if they wanted to. Well, actually, maybe not Gaddis because
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: he pitched two days in a row, so he probably
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: won't come into the game again. Although you never know
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: what Cleveland's gonna do. Detroit, their bullpen's somewhat similarly rested,
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: but Cleveland has a better bullpend. Detroit has the better offense.
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: I mean, we all know this, but the starting pitching
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: looks like a huge problem here. Detroit doesn't have a
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: listed starter in this game, which oh no, they do
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: now it's Troy Melton, so we'll talk about that then,
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: I guess. So it looks like it's gonna be a
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: bullpen game though either way. So for Detroit, with Troy
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: Melton on the miule, let's take a look at him
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: real quick. He is a relief pitcher as far as
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: how he's listed, does have good numbers two point seven
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: to ninety ra one whip. I don't think he has
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: a lot of playing experience here. This is actually his
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: first season in the majors. He's made three starts and
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: twelve relief appearances. He's been pretty decent, but I don't
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: think he's gonna go many innings. In this game. He
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: has a three point six to six roadyra Yeah, as
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: you can see here, I mean the most that he's
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: gone in any outing. He did go five and seven
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: innings really early this season when he was a starter,
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: with actually a shutout for seven innings against Arizona. That
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: is pretty impressive, but since then he's only gone more
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: than three innings once besides that, so I don't think
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have him go very deep into this game.
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: I think you're probably gonna get two or three innings
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: out of him based on what he's been doing recently.
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: So this month, he's made a bunch of relief appearances.
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: Three point five to five ERA, ten to eight strike
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio not great but is solid. So I mean,
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know how much you need to handicap him
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: because he's not gonna be in the game that much.
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: Or Cleveland actually has hit him fairly well, but it's
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: only in seven at bats. They do have a home
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: run against him from Ramirez, who Jose Ramirez looks shockingly
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: like Manu Ramirez and he's not related to him, so
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: I thought he was his son or something. It's wild
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: Man two eighty six batting average allowed to Cleveland one
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: thousand and eighty nine ops. Maybe Ramirez, his man, Ramirez,
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: his illegitimate son. I don't know, but that's what you're
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: gonna get out of Detroit. Melton. He has not very
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: great numbers against Cleveland. He's probably gonna go a couple
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: of innings in the game, so you will get a
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: Detroit bullpen game. Although Detroit is basically the bullpen game
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: team at this point. I mean, that's what they do.
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: They did it a lot last year, so they're at
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: least used to doing that. But Cleveland's going with their rookie,
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: Parker messek Here, who's been pretty good. I think, outside
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: of one bad start, I think he's been good. Two
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: point oh eighty RA. The one point three whip is
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: too high, but he has a point six' NINE era at.
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: Home hasn't pitched that much. Yet he's made six, starts
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: but he's allowed actually three or four earned, runs and
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: every single one of, them even though that three was
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: in a three and two thirds inning outing against The
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: Red sox In, boston WHICH i do remember that every
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: other one of his starts he's got at least five
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: and a third. Innings his team has won four of
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: his last five, ittumns with the only non win being
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: That Red sox. One he does have a thirty one
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: to five strike a walk ratio so, far which is very.
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: Good it's just he's allowed too many hits forty hits
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: and thirty four and two thirds. Innings he's pretty, good, though,
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: man And detroit has not seen him, yet so he
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: hasn't an extra. Edge good talented rookie like this pitching
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: against an offense that hasn't seen him. Before you know
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: the drill at this point if you watch, me it's
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an extra advantage to the. Pitcher
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: SO i really don't Love detroit in this. Setup but
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: the money is actually coming in On. DETROIT i, mean
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: they are at least the more desperate team. Here but
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: you're jumping in front of two trains if you try
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: to do. That Like cleveland's on a win, Streak detroit's
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: on a horrible loss. Streak at some point it has
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: to end. End BUT i, mean even though we don't
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: know that many games left in the, season But, detroit
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: they got to be so pissed off at this, point
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: so the money is coming in that. Way minus won
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: sixty three On cleveland down to minus won forty. One
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: but part of the move probably is Because detroit went
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: from undecided to announcing a. Starter BUT i don't know
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: if that would move the line that much BECAUSE i
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: think With detroit being, undecided you pretty much knew it
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: was going to be a bullpend, Game so whatever opener
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: they decided, ON i don't think that should really affect
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: the line that. Much so maybe some of this is
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: real money coming in On detroit seventy three percent of
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: tickets On, cleveland eighty seven percent of the cash On.
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: Detroit BUT i just don't Trust detroit as far as
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: the pitching is. CONCERNED i don't trust the bullpen game
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: up Against messk Plus cleveland's, bullpend SO i can't do.
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: IT i can't Recommend detroit, now AND i would probably
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: slightly lead To, cleveland even though it's absolutely absurd at this.
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: Point what's going On White sox at The. Yankees you,
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: Know i'm pissed that The yankees get to face these
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: bullshit teams down the. Stretch look at The, yankees look
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: at how they finished the. Season they get to Face
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: minnesota And baltimore and Then White sox And baltimore at.
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: Home baltimore is gonna be their last. SERIES i, mean
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: they get to face a bunch of terrible. Teams The
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: yankees are gonna win The Al. East toronto has the
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: tiebreaker against, them which is head to head matchups you
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: can see, Here but they are in a tie right,
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: now so The yankees could definitely Beat. Toronto And toronto
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: is having to play The Red sox right, now which
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: is much more difficult than what The yankees are doing right.
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: Now yankees almost got caught in the first. Game they
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: probably should have. Lost they were losing in the ninth.
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: Inning AND i told YOU i thought The White sox
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: would be competitive in that first. Game YESTERDAY i didn't think.
• 49:34
  Speaker 2: So.
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: YESTERDAY i said Either yankees over their team doll Or
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: White sox under their team. Total they both were. Correct
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: yankees won eight to one coming into this, game and
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: The yankees obviously have a massive hitting edge in this matchup.
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: Here both bullpens are pretty. BAD i don't know which
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: one is worse at this, point to be, honest we're
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: let me look. Here yankees are twenty, Third White sox are,
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: eighteenth and bullpen areas The, yeah The White sox have
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen slightly not really trustworthy bullpens. Either in either,
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: Case yankees used fewer of their bullpen. Arms, yes, yes
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: their bullpen is a little bit more. Wrested yankees do
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: have the better starter here. Too Davis martin pitching for
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: The White. Sox he's. Okay four point zero THREE, era
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: one point two to seven, whip a little bit, high
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: four point four to two ROAD. Era that's not very.
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: Good he's been. SERVICEABLE i mean his last eight, Starts
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: he's allowed three or four earned runs every single, time
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: including one against The. Yankees but against The yankees he
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: allowed one unearned run there he only lasted three to two.
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: Thirds it was not a good start for. Him he
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: did have five, strikeouts but three walks four hits. Allowed
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: that was At chicago as, well so his worst start
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: in this recent, stretch the only one reading to go
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: at least five innings was against The, yankees and he
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: faced significantly weaker offenses for the most part in that.
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: Stretch besides, that second best offense he faced Was, detroit
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: which he walked three guys in that. Out in two this,
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: month he has a four point zero THREE era in
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: fourteen to eight strike out walk, ratio so it is
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: too many walks, again even though his last couple of
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: starts are pretty good Against cleveland And San. Diego so,
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: YEAH i don't Think martin's gonna do too well in
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: this game against The. Yankees' his numbers aren't, good which
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: mostly includes that most recent start against, them thirty one
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: at bats nine to five strike up walk ratio not,
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: good three twenty three batting average, allowed one thousand and thirty.
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: Ops so, YEAH i, Mean i'm not Expecting martin to
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: do very well. Here he's having to go up Against Carlos,
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: redone who has had a good season for The yankees
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: three point FOUR, era one point oh SIX. Whip he's
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: been a little bit better at home as well two
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: point eight seven home E. Ira he had a stretch
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: mostly last month where his walk numbers were out of
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: control and he somehow didn't allow it literally and he
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: somehow didn't allow that many. RUNS i had a thirty
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: to twenty strike out walk ratio On, august which is
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: a bit of a, concern even though again he held
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: the runs off the. Board this, month he's been, better.
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: Though he has a twenty one to five strike up
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: walk ratio this, Month he's got at least six innings
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: in all four starts two point one SIX, era so
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: he is pitching well right. NOW i didn't face any
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: like really lethal offenses this, month but he's allowed two
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: or fewer earned runs in all the. Outings he's pitching,
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: well and obviously The White sox are far from a lethal.
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: Offense he's been good against them in twenty nine career at.
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: Bats one Extra mase hit is a home run From MICHAEL. A.
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: Taylor eleven, strikeouts four walks against, them two poh seven
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: batting average, allowed six point thirteen. Ops So radon definitely
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: has the edge in this. Matchup but you have to
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: pay a huge price for The yankees at minus three,
• 52:34
  Speaker 1: hundred and the money is actually kind of fading them
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: ninety seven percent of tickets only ninety six percent of
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: the cash on. Them, again the way THAT i would
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: probably go, HERE i would probably again Recommend yankees over
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: their team. Total it looks like the money's somewhat coming
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: in on the over up from eight and a half
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: to eight and a. Half juice to the, OVER i
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: could definitely see The yankees being able to tee off
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: a little bit On martin plus The White sox. Bullpen
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: you're probably gonna be asking The yankees to score about
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: six plus runs again in this one if you do,
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: That but that is probably the recommendation in that. ONE
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: i mean, AGAIN i wouldn't really hate A White sox
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: under their team total, either or you're probably gonna need
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: them to go two or. Few where both did happen,
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: yesterday AND i said the same thing. YESTERDAY i probably
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: slightly Preferred yankees over the team total, though because The
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: yankees bullpen is still pretty difficult to. Trust Red sox
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: At toronto highlighted here ON espn BECAUSE i have The
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: Red sox is one of my favorite. Teams toronto has
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: lost whatever this, is six of their last seven. Games they're. Sliding,
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: man it looked like they were gonna have the division
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: wrapped up and not so. MUCH i told you like
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: a few well more than a few weeks. AGO i
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: THINK i saw The yankees at plus two to eighty
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: to win the. DIVISION i thought that was a decent,
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: look and it looks like it might. HAPPEN i don't
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: want it to, happen BUT i do still think The
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: yankees are probably the best team in this. Division Red
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: sox have the better bullpen out of all three of these,
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: Teams Red, Sox, Yankees, toronto But toronto has the better,
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: offense especially with The Red sox having some offensive injuries
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: Here toronto injuries that offend. Me toronto used a little
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: bit of their. Bullpen yes to, say The Red sox
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: only used totally out of the, bullpen and if you
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: saw how that game ended with totally out, there it
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: was pretty. Ridiculous he he allowed what looked like it
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: was going to be a base hit To Alejandro, kirk
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: who lined it to right. Field though The Red sox
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: were gonna win the game, anyway most like it was
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: seven to one in the bottom of the ninth inning
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: with two, outs But kirk looked like he extended the,
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: game lining it to right field off a totally And
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: William abray in right, field he's got a pretty pretty
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: sick arm, man and he just came back not that long.
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: Ago he noticed That kirk wasn't running that hard and
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: he just grabbed, it just chucked the line drive to
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: first base and they got him. Out So kirk on
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: a line a lineer it to right, field that's like
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: like a guaranteed single basically didn't even run hard enough
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: a bray whose arm is so strong that he threw
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: him out still at first. Base it was in, saying just.
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: HILARIOUS i THINK i might have tweeted that one. OUT
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: i know you can go find it On, twitter, Though
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: but The Red sox won that. Game The Red sox
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: have had the upper hand in the, series Outscore toronto
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: eleven to two in the, series Although toronto in somewhat
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: more desperate times here in a way because they want
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: to hang onto the. Division although The Red sox still
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: aren't out of the weeds, yet it looks like they're
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: pretty likely to get into the. Playoffs is really only
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: one of these teams is gonna be left out of the,
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: playoffs and it looks like it's either gonna Be houston
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: Or detroit at this, point which is pretty. Ridiculous out
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: of those, teams it probably should Be houston, though to be,
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: HONEST i don't Think cleveland should be in at. All
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: but if they're going to, be then probably that's how
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: it should. Be based on how good these teams are
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: or not as, good not good that these teams are
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: Whatever Red sox coming into this. Game Brian beao is
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: pitching for. Them he's kind of struggling. Again. Man good
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: numbers on the season three point three FOUR, era one
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: point two to FOUR. WHIP i know the advance advanced.
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: Analytics guys Hate. Bao they're, saying, oh he's EXPECTED era
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: is like a run higher than. This he shouldn't be this,
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: Good AND i somewhat agree with. That he is better
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: on the road three point oh TWO era on the.
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: Road the thing About BeO is he has stretches where
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: he walks way too many. Guys, dude like he became
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: really locked. In In july And. August he was really,
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: good but this month he's been bad again with the.
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: Walks he's it's just not. Happening. Man, granted he's faced
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: three good offenses in a Row Arizona Yankees a's but
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: five point eighty five vra here thirteen to, nine strike
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: a walk right here this. Month he's not in good
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: form right, now SO i don't trust him. Here his
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: numbers are not very good Against toronto. Either they have
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: a lot of experience against him one hundred and thirty at,
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: bats although some of this is in the past, Though
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: so he is better this year than he has been
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: in the, past so take it with a little bit
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: of a grain of, SALT i. Guess but he's got
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: a twenty nine to twelve strike out walk ratiogainst, them
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: which isn't that great two ninety two average allowed in
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: seven to seventy five. Ops So toronto does have the
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: ability ability to hit. Bao what's, UP, Jc hi to.
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: Everybody Louis viarland is pitching For toronto here AND i
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: don't know what we're gonna get out Of ireland. Here
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: he originally was On, minnesota which he's actually From, minnesota
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: so he was on his home town, team The, twins
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: and they were, Like, nah you. Suck so now he's
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: On toronto And toronto's had him working out of the.
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: Bullpen is kind of a long ish relief. Man he's
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: been decent in that role as a three point ONE,
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: era one point two two whip this, year pretty good
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: at home two point three FIVE. Era the question is
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: is this A toronto bullpend. GAME i don't, know because
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: he was With. Minnesota actually some of those numbers are With.
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: Minnesota toronto got him like right at the trade deadline
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: at the end Of, july and he's actually been a
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: little bit worse With. Toronto he had a six E
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: ra In august and five point one to nine E
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: ra so far In, september so he has not been
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: as good With TORONTO u so definitely something to consider this.
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: MONTH a nine to three strikeout walker. Show not really
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: much to look into it that he does strike. Out
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: he usually has a decent amount of strikeouts and not
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: that many walks like throughout his, career but he usually
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: is too hit a. Ball that's kind of his. ISSUE
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: i don't know if he's really totally. Trustworthy it looks
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: like we might get A toronto bullpend. Game for the
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: most part here In toronto's bullpend isn't. Good IT'S i,
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: Mean toronto's still gonna make the. PLAYOFFS i, mean it's
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: just a matter of are they gonna win the division or,
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: not WHICH i know they would like to. Do but
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: going with a bullpen game doesn't seem like a great
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: idea if Your toronto, here so in this, GAME i
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: would go with an, over but the money is completely
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: disagreeing with. That the totals down a little bit with
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: more juice on the, under eight sixty five percent of
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: tickets on the over and ninety percent of the cash
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: on the, under so the money is completely disagreeing with
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: me on. This sixty one percent of tickets are on
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: the red, sox eighty four percent of the cash On
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: Toronto toronto down for minus one fifty minus one thirty.
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: Eight so the money line initially moved, down BUT i
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: think that was Because toronto probably hadn't announced a, starter
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: and then when they announced that it was gonna be
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: a bullpen, game that's probably why the money line. Moved
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: so you got to figure that, out, like did the
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: money line actually move because the cash was coming in
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: on the red Sox AND i think the answer to
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: that is, no because you can see the cash is
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: coming in On toronto. Here SO i think the money
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: line moved Because toronto went from having an undecided starting
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: pitcher to going with a bullpen. Game but STILL i
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: think it over is the WAY i would look in that.
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: GAME i don't trust either starting pitcher. Situation. There FanDuel
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: pus it out to offer you a buyout on the.
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: Under well they always do. That don't think you. COULD
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: i think you can always cash out on FanDuel And
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: DraftKings or, whatever but it's a, scam like they never
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: give you good enough odds on, it so it's a.
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: Scam SO i would actually recommend never doing. It like
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: they look at what the current situation is and they
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: give you a money amount and it looks tempting to do,
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: it especially if it looks like your you, know your
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: bet is possibly gonna be in trouble or, whatever but
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: they never give you a good enough buyout on. It Mets,
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: cubs as you can, see is gonna be my only play,
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: today So i'll skip that for a. Minute Kansas city
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: AT A. Toaheim these teams are both playing out the stretch.
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: Here they've split the first two games of the. Series.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: ANAHEIM i gave Out Kansas city in the first game
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: of this, yearies which is a winner FOR. Us anaheim
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: in the return home. Spot thought it was a bad
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: spot for them going up Against Cole Reagan's Kansas city
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: got the job done FOR. Us anaheim bounced back with
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: a win, yesterday which was a decent spot historically to do.
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: That when you lose the first game back from a
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: long road, trip a lot of times you do bounce
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: back in the next. Game Kansas city pretty much knows
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: they're out of it. NOW i don't know if they're
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: mathematically eliminated, yet BUT i think they know That Kansas
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: city has the better. Bullpen out of these two. Teams the,
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: offenses as we saw, yesterday are actually surprisingly close BECAUSE
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: i thought it WAS i Thought anaheim was definitely the better,
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: offense But Kansas city actually has overtaken them in ops
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: on the. Season Interesting Michael lorenz and his pitching For
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: Kansas city, Here he's been mediocre the. Season four point
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: seven E, ra one point three to five. Whip he
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: has not been good on the, road five point seventy
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: FIVE roadyra this, month five point zero NINE, yrra not very,
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: good eighteen to six strike a walk. Ratios, okay he
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: was good in his last outing Against. Toronto that was
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: the twenty to One Kansas city. Win lorenzen went seven
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: to two thirds innings in that, game allowed only one
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: in a, run but that was a big win for,
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: him and he threw one hundred and thirteen. Pitches SO
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: i don't think that's a good. Sign And lorenzo will
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: just have these, random like really good, starts and then
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: like he had him when At arizona earlier this, season
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: then he'll just like massively, regress but one hundred and
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: thirteen pitches is. Absurd, man he threw over one hundred
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: pitches twice this entire season and hadn't done that Since,
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: may SO i think that's too many. PITCHES i think
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: he's not gonna be in good shape coming into this. One,
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: man that would be my. OPINION i know he had
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: like a really short outing the time before, that had
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: a one inning, outing so maybe he's not totally destroyed,
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: Here but that just seems like way too many pitches
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: to throw coming into this one for, Him SO i
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: don't really love it for. Him he's going up Against Mitch,
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: farris who is a ROOKIE i believe for The, angels
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: but his numbers are not good six point five TWO,
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: era one point four or FIVE. Whip he's been good at,
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: home though three E ra at. Home it's been a
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: small sample. Size he's only made four starts so. Far
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: he's failed to make it five innings in each of
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: his last two. Starts we're both on the, road. Though
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: his one home start was against a pretty hard Hitting a's,
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: lineup and he did pretty well six innings, pitch two
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: in runs, allowed for, strikeouts one, walk so he may very.
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: Well do? Okay, Here Kansas city's offense isn't exactly. Good
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: the problem Is, faris because he's a, rookie you're usually
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: going to be looking for him to have an unfamiliarity
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: edge because the hitters won't be familiar with. Him but
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: he already Faced Kansas city and his major league. Debut
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: he did pretty, well and it was on the. Road
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: five innings pitch in that. One it's a pitcher friendly park.
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: There three hits, allowed one on run, allowed three, strikeouts two,
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: Walks so he did pretty well in that. Outing so
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: he does have good numbers against this royal line up
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: here they're one for twelve often with the only hit
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: being a triple From wit the three, strikeouts two walks
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: or all here eighty three average four to sixty four.
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: Ohps but Is farris gonna be able to do that
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: again because Now Kansas city is seeing him, once so
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: they might be familiar with him and know what to
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: do this, time might hit him a little bit better this.
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: Time so a little bit of a disadvantage For lorenz
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: in this ever A farris this, time although the money
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: is coming in on The anaheim side. Anyway Kansas city
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: up for minus one of five to minus one ten
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: on the money, line ninety three percent of tickets eighty
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on, them so the money.
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: FADING a very Public Kansas city team, HERE i would
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: probably lean to an, over, though With farris being a
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: little bit less familiar and not pitching as well, RECENTLY
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 1: i think he might struggle a little bit here In
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: lorenz AND i think he's in a bad spot after
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: that one hundred and thirteen pitch, Outing SO i think
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: an over might be worth a look. HERE i Know
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: Kansas city's bullpen is pretty. Good, SORRY i didn't look
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: at the bullpen usage? Here where's it? At? OH i
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: have to bring it back, up DON'T? I bullpen? Usage?
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: Man is it in my recent? Tabs hang? On when
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: DID i get rid of? It what the? HELL i
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: like to look at the bullpen usage? Man for all
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: these teams? Here how DID i lose? It when DID
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: i lose?
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: It?
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: Man all? RIGHT i thought this was gonna be like really,
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: quick there it. IS i don't know HOW i lost
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: that tab man? Anyway, yeah all? Right so, yeah looking
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: At anaheim here real. Quick i'm just gonna look at
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: the bullpen usage real. QUICK i did this earlier, today but,
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: yeah they used four relief. Pictures Kansas city only used.
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: One So Kansas city does have a bullpen advantage, here
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: But anahem's bullpen is so. Bad if the starting pitching starts,
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: unraveling it can kind Of domino went to the bullpens,
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: Anyway so probably only into an. Over it's really public.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: Though ninety three percent of, tickets but ninety seven percent
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: of the cash as. Well it's just kind of sitting
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: at nine just to the. OVER i wouldn't want to
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: go over nine and a half. Though nine is a key,
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: number so that's the way THAT i would look. There,
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: jordan what's up, Man thanks for coming. Back, Nate, uh
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 1: good to see you, Again, Man Tower, GAG, nbc what's up,
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: Man thanks for hanging out. Everybody we'll get to the
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: best bet in a second, here and then we'll talk about,
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: football WHICH i know everybody, wants even though there are
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: only a couple of games. Here one is THE Nfl
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: colorado At. Seattle this game is just come, on, MAN
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: i Mean. Seattle they're pretty much locked up The als,
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: now which is, crazy SO i think they might not
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: really care about this game that. Much they've won six
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: games in a. Row they won both games in this,
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: series struggled a little bit in the first game back,
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: home and then won easily. Yesterday but we don't know
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: Who seattle's starter is gonna be yet in this, game
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: so that's it makes it difficult to handicap this. One
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: seattle has the better offense and the better bullpend here
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: as far as the bullpen, Usage colorado used two relief,
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: pitchers so Did seattle. Yesterday seattle's definitely got the bullpen edge.
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: Here don't know what they're gonna do with the starting pitcher, here.
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: Though Bradley blaylock is gonna be pitching for The. Rockies
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: he's a young. Dude it might be his Major league his, First,
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: no it's not his first. Season he pitched a little
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: bit with Both milwaukee And colorado last, year wasn't particularly
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: Good this year he also hasn't been. Good nine point
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: one SIXTY, ra one point eight too whip not. Great
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: he has a five point six p't ONE r on the, road,
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: though so he is better away from Corus field at,
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: least but he's just not good in. General twelve point
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: three EIGHTY r in two starts this, month four to
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: three strike a walk, Right, sure there's nothing good about,
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: this SO i don't expect him to actually be. Good
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: Although seattle hasn't faced it before except for Sware as We.
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: Guesse suarez was With Arizona suarezzo for two with a
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: strikeout off, him and that's the only experience they have against,
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: him so he is at least unfamiliar to. Them seattle
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: is gonna be a big favorite, here and maybe kind
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: of unjustifiably, big BECAUSE i don't Think seattle really has
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: a ton of motivation. Here Maybe colorado wants to try
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: to show up and. Win Cal rawley just hit his
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: sixtieth home run last night, too so kind of some
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: celebratory stuff going on, there probably For. Seattle so it's
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: probably not the greatest spot For. Seattle we don't know
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: what they're doing with their starting, pitching so that's gonna
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: be a stay. Away, pete what's, up? Man? Caso what's? Up? Man, well,
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: Dude like LIKE i was saying, EARLIER i, Mean I'm
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: i'm more of a fan of Fuent as than not
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: a fan LIKE i like fuent does. Generally i'm just
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: suspicious of his going soft On. Israel and let's put
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: it that. WAY i don't know exactly what's going on,
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: here But i'm raising some questions about it and his you, know,
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: cult they don't they don't like. That they don't want
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: anybody to question their. LEADER i think, everybody, no nobody
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: is beyond questioning or beyond. Criticism let's just put it that.
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: Way even though, GENERALLY, i LIKE i, SAID i am
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: more of a fan of him than. Not So i'm
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: not really that happy that he blocked me BECAUSE i
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: go hard On. Twitter, man that's the other. Thing so,
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: yeah more or, Less, yeah the gropers are beating with
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: me BECAUSE i basically SAID i thought That nick might be.
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: Compromised basically what we saw out of him just kind
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: of this weird sudden turn. Here so, YEAH i don't, know.
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: Man and then, YEAH i MEAN i. DID i did
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: have some strong, Words that's, true. DUDE i MEAN i
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: did call him Day but, YEAH i, Mean i'm just
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: pointing out like like, this like this, dude is your
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 1: is like is your? Leader? MAN i don't. KNOW i,
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: mean it's kind of LIKE i don't. KNOW i. DON'T
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: i wouldn't go as far as saying he's a fed
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: Like I've i've pushed back against that, narrative, LIKE i
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: just think maybe he's toning down his rhetoric just because
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: somebody's in his. EAR i don't know, exactly maybe like
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: he might be running for office or. Something SO i
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: don't know what the deal is, Really but you, KNOW
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 1: i liked. DUDE i liked his when he was going
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: hard with the, rhetorics like you're not gonna find him
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: more like Anti israel dude THAN i, am which is
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: gonna get my channel. Nuked ALTHOUGH i guess YouTube Let fuentes,
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: back so don't nuke, me, Baby but, yeah like, YEAH
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: i mean that's that's how it.
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: Is.
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: MAN i don't. KNOW i call things LIKE i see,
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: IT i get a little bit. CRAZY i also didn't
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: like that he was pushing back on the the like
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: he was calling like my group of people at Low
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: iq Anti semites because we're saying that we think that
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: there's a good chance That israel is involved in The
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: Charlie kirk, assassination WHICH i still agree with. THAT i,
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: MEAN i think the official narrative has tons of holes
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: in AND i think there are huge problems with. It
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: SO i don't think the narrative THE fbi is putting
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: out as believable at. ALL i, mean you never should
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: trust THE. Fbi so a lot of things going on, here.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: MAN i kind of talked about it On ben's show
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: last night To emo a cap shut the punk, Up
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: so if you want to watch that. Show we talked About,
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: Fuentes we talked about The james O'Keefe epstein's stuff that
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 1: came out. Yesterday james o'keef is not in The epstein.
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: Vaza he did like A Project veritas thing where he
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: had some undercover person get some details to come out About,
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: epstein so that was. Interesting and then we also talked
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: about football Because ben is A giants fan AND i
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: am A Jackson dart, fan so we talked about that
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: yesterday as. Well, well, yeah we, know, dude it's basically
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: like just knowledge at this point That israel has been
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: behind like, yeah tons of different ASSASS i have the.
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: BOOK i haven't read it. YET i just bought the
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: book that like catalogs all of Like masads, assassinations not
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: even all of, them but like the ones that are
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: the ones that have more like documentation behind. Them at.
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: Least it's a thick. Book it's like eight hundred pages.
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: Massade it seems like they're pretty assassination. Heavy let's. Say,
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: SO i do have that. BOOK i forget what the
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: name of it, is BUT i tweeted it. Out it's
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: A New York times bestseller as. Well not THAT i
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: trust The New York times. Anyway that was the break.
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: DOWN i always forget to put my my graphic up
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: there for. It let's go to the best bets, here
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: which is only gonna be. One it's A. Thursday don't
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: love the board, here So i've only got, one and
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: we're doing what we did. Yesterday it's gonna be The.
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: Mets we're going right back with. It, man The. Mets
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: they're my abusive gay boyfriend right now or. Something The
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: mets minus WENT i wait on the money line this.
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: Time WHEN i first looked at this, GAME i was,
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: thinking this is, like, sure this is gonna be an
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: under like that was WHAT i was gonna. DO i
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: was looking at, this It's nolan mcclaining and showed To imanaga'm,
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: like these are both under guys, here these are both
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: starters that you want to be. On i'm, like all,
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: right let's do. This SO i thought my one plate
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: did it was gonna be an under of this, game
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: and THEN i dug into it And i'm, like, Nah
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: so The mets have more motivation. Here they're trying to
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: get this last wildcard. Spot. Man right, now they are
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: barely hanging on to. It all the teams lost, yesterday
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: so The mets got a little bit lucky out that
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: The reds And arizona both. Lost so The mets are,
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: STILL i, believe one game ahead of both of those.
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: Teams mets are just hanging on, here. Man, NOW i
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: pointed out yesterday The mets had been the better of
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: the teams. Recently The, CUBS i, mean The cubs looked
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: like they basically were just kind of playing out the
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: stretch at this, way because The, cubs they they don't
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: have a sense of urgency like The mets. Do here,
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: man even THOUGH i know The cubs won. Yesterday cubs
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: they're kind of playing out the stretch, here, man because
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: they're basically locked into the top wild. Card like they're
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: not gonna catch The. Brew they're most likely going to
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: be the fourth seed in The National. LEAGUE i don't
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: know if it's totally, guaranteed but it pretty much looks that.
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: Way SO i think that's where we're gonna have The
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: cubs this. Year so The mets have a lot more
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: to play for right now because they could still miss the,
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: Playoffs so we have that going. On as far as
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: the bullpen usage is, Concerned mets only used two relief pitchers.
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: Yesterday The cubs also only use, two so it's kind
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: of a similar bullpen. Usage but AS i pointed out,
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: yesterday The mets actually got pretty close to where The
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: cubs are as far as their bullpenny rays in the.
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: Season The cubs haven't been as good recently and The
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: mets have been a little bit better again. Recently cubs
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: are at twelfth overall in bullpenny ray and The mets are,
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: fifteenth so it's pretty. Close SO i don't think there's
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: a huge advantage or disadvantaged one way or the. Other
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: so we'll go full game because you're gonna get a
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: full effort out of The mets, here so we'll go
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: with the full, game and that includes the starting. Pitching,
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: obviously The, mets by the, way have the better offense.
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: Too AS i pointed out, yesterday The mets are sixth,
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: offensively at least in overall. Ops The cubs are, ninth
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: SO i mean too go to offense with The cubs
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: offense has been worse than The mets recently as, well
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: even THOUGH i know The mets have been kind of. Tanking,
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: Uh nolan McClain is pitching for The. METS i, mean you,
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: Know i've talked about this guy a lot on the.
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: Show he's Not Jonah tong who pitched last. Night tong
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: can't get me and he. Wins nolan McClain keeps getting me.
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: Wins so let's keep it, going. MAN i Think i've
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: won three times on his, games maybe on either unders
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: or on The mets. Side let's do it. Again he's
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: a rookie and he's been really good so. Far one
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: point two to SEVEN, era one point zero one. Whip
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: he's a little bit worse on the road point two
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: point four to FIVE, era but that's still obviously. Good
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: he's allowed two or fewer earned runs and every single
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: one of his starts so. Far he's made seven, starts
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: The mets have won five of those. Outings he's pitching, well.
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: Man he's got a one point six WINNING ra this.
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: Month his walk rate did go up a little, bit
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: so twenty five to ten strike a walk razure this.
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 1: Month it's a good strikeout rate in twenty two and
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: a third, innings but the walk rate is a little
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: bit too, high so he's got to keep that a
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: little bit in. Check but other than, that he's still pitching.
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: Well and the have never seen him. Before SO i
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: talk about this all the, time WHICH i have on
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: this show. Already you got a young rookie, pitcher and
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: he's one of the better ones out there right now
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 1: up against an offense that hasn't seen him. Before the
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: pitcher tends to have it a little bit of an
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: advantage against the hitters the first couple of times they
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: have to face, him because they don't really know what
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: it's like to face them in a real game. Environment
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: and every pitcher has a unique arsenal of, pitches SO
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: i think that's an extra edge to. Him SO i
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: was gonna go under. HERE i look at SHOWS I.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: MONAGA i, mean we know how good he. Is three
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: point three seven E ra point nine to six whip
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: for The. Cubs below one whip is basically. Elite he
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: is a little bit better at home to three point
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: two NINEY, ra but he hasn't been that good this,
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: month he's been struggling a little. Bit four point nine
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: winnyra this, month nineteen to three strike a. Walk racial
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: is still, good but he's had some. Issues he's a
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: lot eight home runs this month after alying five last,
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: month so the home run ball has been a bit
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: of an issue for. Him, Man he's been really good.
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: Otherwise he's not that, hittable doesn't usually put a lot
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: of guys on base via the, walk which he still
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: in this. Month but the contact that has been being
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: made against him has been, hard let's just put it that,
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: way and he didn't face like the best offenses this
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: month Really atlanta, Twice Tampa bay at, home and Then
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: cincinnati on the. ROAD i know that's a hitter friendly,
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: park but he's just been getting kind of jacked up this,
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: month so maybe a little bit of a. Concern although
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: he hasn't reached the amount of innings that he pitched last,
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: year SO i don't really think he's wearing. Down he
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: threw one hundred and seventy three innings in his first
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: major league season last, year one hundred and seventy three
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: and a, third which he was used to pitching a
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: decent amount because he was pitching In japan prior to,
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: this but the major league season is. Longer BUT i
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 1: don't know if maybe he's tiring, out even though he's
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: only up to one hundred and thirty nine innings this,
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: year but he's definitely not been as good as of
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: late and against The. Mets this kind of SURPRISED. MA
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: i know it's not a big sample size of twenty
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: eight at bats six to one strike out walk race,
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: yoar but he has not been good against The, mets
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: and he's allowed a opponent batting averager three to fifty
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: seven and one thy fifty eight. Ohps six to one
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: strike walk ratio is, good but the rest of these
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: numbers is not very. Good so The mets have been
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: able to hit. Him so we're gonna go with The
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: mets in this. One, man they have the. Need you're
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: not being asked to lay like a huge price here or,
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: anything even THOUGH i know they're the road, Team, like
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: do they deserve to be a favorite on the road
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: just because of? NEED i think McClain does have the
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: edge and the starting pitching matchup. Man The mets are
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: down for minus one to fifteen minus one oh nine
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: on the money, line but fifty two take us fifty
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: three percent of the cash coming in and, them so
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: it does look like the money is agreeing with that,
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: side and it is still agreeing with the under total
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 1: at seven and a. HALF i think it is partially
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: because the starting pitchers are, good and it probably means
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: that we don't have wind blowing out at the very
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: least At, wrigley Because wriggley heavily affected by the. WEATHER
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: i think probably it at least means it's like a
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: slight crosswind or something like. That if the wind was blowing,
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: in the total would probably be actually even be lower than.
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: This but it seems like it's definitely not blowing, out
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: which that would hurt Me monaga more if it was
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: blowing out because he's given up too many long. Balls
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: larry long, ball, dude that's what whoever the picture is
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: who Throw if maybe if you have a picture his
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: name Is larry and he gives up a town home,
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: runs you Call larry long. Balls that's a curb your enthusiasm.
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: Reference When larry finds out that he has long balls
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: and then he starts LIKE i don't, know Like, hoky
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: this is, new like. Underwear that's supposed to be underwear
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: for men with long. BALLS i love that Show man.
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: Anyway seventy seven percent tickets on the, over fifty five
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: percent of cash on the, Over so the money is
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: coming in towards the under, here AND i don't really
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: disagree with, it BUT i just think that The mets
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: side is is preferable to me then in the Under
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: so that's What i'm. Doing that's where we're gonna go with.
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: It you're rooting for The mets. There what is the book?
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: Called i'd have to hold. ON i can tell you right.
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: Now this is the the book about massads. Assassinations i'm
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: gonna tell you right. Now it Is rise And Kill,
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: first is the name of. It, YEAH i mean hopefully
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: we can get the get it with The mets here, Caso,
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: YEAH i do like McClain in this. One, yeah uh yeah. Tong. Yeah, well,
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: dude he keeps costing me, money so, yeah let's let's support. Him,
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: man he's gonna, DUDE i, mean he's wind up so
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: violent like Ten. Linsigam's LIKE i, think LIKE i thought
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: he was gonna be good Like linsingham for a little
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: while and then eventually like throw his back out and
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: have a short, career BUT i don't know what's gonna
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: happen to him. Now, Football, yeah well we're gonna get
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: to football. Now we only have two games. Today, uh
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 1: they're somewhat interesting, THOUGH i would say so college. Football
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: we Have army At East, carolina so we get a
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: conference matchup, here WHICH i believe is The American Athletic.
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: Conference is that what this? Is this is ON espn
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: tonight at seven thirty. Eastern some interesting things going on
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: in this. Matchup but looking at the money, here at
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: what the market is. Doing we Got East carolina up
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: from three and a half to. Four the number did
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: actually go to, five and THEN i think some of
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: the money came back against. It SO i think we
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: have conflicting opinions between, professionals And i've actually heard conflicting,
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: opinions LIKE i heard that there was actually professional money
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: coming in initially On East. Carolina don't know if it
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: was intended to be a set. UP i don't think,
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: so because the number was already three and a. Half
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: so if professionals Like, army like what are they gonna
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: try to? Do drive it up to, five which is
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: just you, know kind of a dead. Number that doesn't
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: totally make. Sense SO i think what happened is there
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: were some real opinions On East carolina that drove it
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: up to four or drove it up to. Five THEN
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: i think some other real opinions came in and grabbed
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: the higher number four and a half, five driving it back.
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: Down SO i kind of think that's what happened WITH
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: i guess that means some of those guys were waiting
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: for a four and a, HALF i, guess so MAYBE
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: i guess it could potentially have been a. Setup but
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: the WAY i read it is that professionals on both
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: sides of this conflicting, opinions so AND i could see
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: the argument for both, sides to Which i'll talk about
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: in a. Second we have fifty six percent of tickets
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: on arm though sixty three percent of the cash On East,
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: carolina so cash is coming in On East. CAROLINA i
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: don't really have an opinion on the total at. All
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: the total is a bit, high which seems maybe a
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: little bit too high for An army game But, Army
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: SO i Think army is not in a particularly good.
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: Spot they just played two big. Games they played At
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: Kansas state got the. WIN i think they did have
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: a bye in year as. Well, yeah so After Kansas
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: state they had a. Bye then they Faced North texas
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: and they had a crazy overtime game against an Undefeated
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: North texas, team which is a solid team In North
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: texas is good and that was a big time game
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: went to. Overtime that was also a conference, game although
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: this also. Is but you're coming up that big overtime
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: game and you could maybe be a little bit, hungover
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: especially on a short turnaround time like. This so there
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: are definitely reasons to look Towards East carolina, here Although
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: i'm gonna talk about WHY i would hesitate with that
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: in a. Second so the money being On East, carolina,
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: YEAH i mean it seems, like, yeah it's a spot
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: play if you Like East carolina arm coming off that grueling,
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: game short turnaround, time and the short turnaround, time it
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: tends to get even worse when you have to go
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: on the road because you're not as used to doing. That,
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 1: WELL i, know these are conference, teams so it's not
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: like a totally unfamiliar thing For army to. Do but
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: they don't Play East carolina that. OFTEN i think it's
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: every other year they do. That so these guys aren't
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: totally used to. It the home team does have a
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: bit of an advantage short prep, time, right but the
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: prep time might actually the short prep time may actually
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: Help army slightly as, well Because army runs the triple
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: option and that's hard to prepare. For but on the other,
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: Hand East carolina does face it every year basically because
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: they're in this, conference so they pretty much know we
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: got to prepare for the triple option because we have.
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: To pretty much we have to face all these guys we, have,
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: Well navy And, army we pretty much have to face
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 1: those guys every. Year so they're not one of those
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: teams that's totally unused to facing the triple. Option but
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: maybe it is still difficult to do it on the
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: short turn around. Time but still For army coming off
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: that difficult game travel short turn around, TIME i still
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: think the spot is a bit worse For. Army AS
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: i kind of think this out in my. Head, Here
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: East carolina is coming off a disgusting loss TO. BYU
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: i know IT'S. Byu it's a big twelve. TEAM byu
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: not a bad, team and that was a big game
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: For East. CAROLINA i Thought East carolina was actually the
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: right side in that game to cover that, spread and
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: they certainly did. Not BUT i think because they got
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: blown out and they're staying at, home it does kind
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: of set up a little bit more easily for. Them
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: but because they were probably focused on that game and
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: they had a big game that they might not have
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: prepared for Facing army as much. Here so we'll see
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: what happens. Here, Man and they don't Play navy this,
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: YEAR i don't. Know let me look to see if they.
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: PLAYED i think they did probably Play army last, year
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: but let me see if they. Did they, did they
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 1: played Both army And navy last, year they did lose
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: both of those, games So East carolina they have actually
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 1: struggled against the triple. Option but we Know army AND
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: nava were both particularly good last, year like they both
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: were ranked TEAMS i think for a while last. Year
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: so This army team is not as good as the
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: one last. Year so at least there is, that AND
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: i think that's basically WHAT i have to say about.
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: This both teams on the short turn around, time so
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: there are kind of some disadvantages to both teams, Here
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: but With East carolina is seemingly not really defending against
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: the triple option that well in recent. HISTORY i don't
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: know that i'd want to lay points with, them, man
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: even THOUGH i do think the spot is a little
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: bit more difficult For army. Here it's not going to
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: be a play for. ME i don't love. It but
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: the money is coming out Of East, carolina so maybe
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: just a very slight lean for me To East, carolina
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: BUT i really don't love it at. All go to
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: THE nfl, here you like The seahawks. SIDE i have
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: some conflicting opinions on that one. TOO A FanDuel boosted.
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: THEM i don't know exactly how that works in some
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: of these, cases BUT i JUST i don't even look
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: at the promotions. NECESSARILY i, Mean i've Been i've had
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: an account for a while there ANYBODY i just kind of,
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: like just make the bets and that's about. It Although
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: i've been not really making the bets recently Because i'm
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: trying to figure out my financial situation right, now though
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: MAYBE i should be Because i've been winning. Recently The
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: Chiefs ravens, game what do you? MEAN i, Mean i'll
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: talk about that on My saturday NIGHT nfl, show, probably
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: but it's an interesting game for, sure are The Chiefs.
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: RAVENS i think The ravens are road favorite If i'm not.
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 1: Mistaken in that, game it's an interesting. One we do
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: have as A natus pointing, out we Have Seahawks. Cardinals
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: tonight is A thursday night. Game Decent thursday night. MATCHUP
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: i mean it is a divisional matchup between two okay.
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: TEAMS i would SAY i went into the season not
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: thinking much of The, seahawks Though i'm still not A
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: Sam darnold, believer and SO i don't think The seahawks
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: are gonna wind up being that good this. Year but
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in on The seahawks right, now
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: enough so that they flip from a two and a
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: half point dog to a minus one and ap point,
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: favorite which if you like The, SEAHAWKS i, mean it
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: is still basically a pick the winner type of, price
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: so that you'd rather have the plus two and a
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: half than the minus one and a. Half but you
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: could maybe if you want The, SEAHAWKS i mean you
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: could still it's still basically like picking who's gonna win the.
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: Game for the most, parts you could lay the minds
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: one and a, half find the money line, whatever sixty five,
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: percent take it sixty nine percent of the. Cash the
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on The seahawks money also coming
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: in towards an under here total is down for forty
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: four to forty. THREE a lot of times these deep
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: THESE a lot of times The thursday night games can
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: be defensive, man and especially when the two teams know each,
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: other they know how to defend against each, other so
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: the defenses can show up in these Divisional thursday night
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: games better because a lot of times the short prep
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 1: time kind of hurts the defenses because they don't know
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: what offense to prepare. For but in this, CASE i
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: think they kind of, do except for the fact The
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: seahawks are running a new offensive scheme this year with
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: a new, quarterback so that is an advantage to The
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: seahawks actually as far as the short prep, Time so
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: that was SOMETHING i hadn't really thought about because usually
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: the home team kind of as an edge as far
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: as prepping because they know their own venue they don't
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: only have to travel as. Much but in a divisional
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: matchup that advantage is not as great because there facing
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: an opponent that comes into their place every. Year so
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: like The seahawks are used to traveling To, arizona so
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: the short turnaround time is not as difficult for. Them
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: and of course they Know arizona's offense because they face
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: them every, year so the quick turnaround time is less
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: bad in this case for The. Seahawks but because The,
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: cardinals again they haven't really faced this version of The seahawks,
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: offense it's kind of dramatically different this. Year that actually
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: could be a bit of a disadvantage on the short
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: week for The cardinals. Here seattle, also so, yeah so
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: there are some reasons to Like seattle, here and also
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: the fact That arizona's coming off another big divisional game
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: where they almost beat The San francisco forty nine, Ers
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: And arizona had a chance to win that game at
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: the end At San francisco and they blew it at the.
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: End San francisco they're a mess right. Now they have
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: a ton of, injuries they Had Mac jones a quarterback
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: for the second straight, game and now When San francisco
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: is still somehow three to, zero so my over under
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: a season win total is still looking. Okay But, arizona
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: that's a tough, game. Man so they drove the face
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: two tough opponents in a. Row it's back to back divisional.
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: Games that does make it a little bit difficult For
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: arizona as. Well SO i definitely see some some reasons
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: to Take seattle in this, game WHICH i just laid,
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: Out BUT i do also see reasons to maybe look
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: Against seattle here Where seattle they've looked a little bit
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: too good in their games, Now like we, see these
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: teams have faced common. Opponents, right they both lost To San,
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: francisco so people probably just aren't really gonna look at
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: that even Though seattle lost it. Home but actually both
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: teams had a chance to win Against San francisco and
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: they both blew it like right at the end of the,
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: game so that happened with both. Teams seattle Beat, pittsburgh
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: Though pittsburgh made a lot of mistakes in that, game
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 1: so this game wasn't really as good as it looked For.
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: Seattle if you dig into the box score a little bit,
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: Here seattle had a fumble return touchdown in the. Game
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: they were only winning by three in the fourth, quarter
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: so it was actually tied going into the fourth, Quarter
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: so the game wasn't really exactly what it looked, Like
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: ALTHOUGH i do think seat did have the yard to
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: jedge in the game, Anyway yeah they, did so they
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: did have a big yard to, judge but still a
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: crucial fumble you, Know fumber returned touchdown kind of swung
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: the game, completely so the game wasn't really as. Good
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: and then people Saw seattle and Annihilate New orleans Where
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: arizona struggled Against New orleans In week, one if you,
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: remember it was At New, Orleans arizona barely got by
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: and they won by. Seven And seattle just Pummeled New
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: orleans this past, Week SO i think that's gonna that's
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: the reason why the public is gonna be On seattle
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: for the most, part because their wins have been better,
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: looking they've been more impressive. Looking and this game was closer,
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: Statistically like the yardage battle wasn't a huge. Difference seattle
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: like won it by a little. Bit, Uh New orleans
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: actually won the possession, battle and the turnovers were the
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: same and the first downs were almost the. Same SO
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: i actually don't even know How seattle won the game
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: by a blowout score like. That so it must have.
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: Been do they have defensive and special teams? Touchdowns? Again
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: they must have because these wins look more impressive than
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: they actually were For. Seattle so let me look at
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: this real, quick BECAUSE i don't. KNOW i didn't watch
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: the whole, game ALTHOUGH i had h they were My
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: survivor pick, Though yeah they had a punt return Touchdown,
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: seattle just they did have, another yeah special teams touchdown
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: in the game or defensive slash special teams touchdown in the,
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: Game SO i did Have seattle And survivor, Though so
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: in a, way, yeah the public is On seattle for
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: those reasons because they look more impressive and they look
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: better in a game against a common, opponent that Being New.
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: Orleans So arizona looks way less impressive right. Now And
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: arizona did Lose James, connor WHO i, MEAN i, know
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: it's kind of plug and play with these running, Backs
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: Like benson is gonna be in, there and he's been
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: pretty good as well in the, past SO i don't
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: Think arizona's gonna lose that much Without, connor ALTHOUGH i
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: lose a lot because he was on my fantasy, team
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: SO i don't like. That but, YEAH i mean, AGAIN
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: i see conflicting opinions here BECAUSE i heard some professional
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: betters talking about like the reason Why seattle is. Public and,
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: YEAH I i agree That seattle is probably getting too
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: much of the public action because of, that because they've
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: looked too good. Reasonly and, Again i'm not a believer In.
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: SEATTLE i Thought arizona would wind up ahead of them
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: in the. DIVISION i don't Think Sam donald is that.
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: Good but this, spot for the reasons THAT i laid,
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: OUT i actually think it's gonna be a little bit
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: more difficult for The cardinals to get ready for this
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: game because they had a much more difficult game last
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: week and they have to prepare for A seahawks offense
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: that's different this year than they haven't seen. Before SO
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: i will slightly lean to The seahawks in that, game
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 1: but it's a very very difficult game to figure. Out
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 1: the promos do help you, out, Well i'll see If
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: i'm still allowed, to Because i'm not like a new customer.
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: Anymore there you got The. SEAHAWKS i WILL i will
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: probably pick The, seahawks AND i pick them. Pools but
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: this is not gonna be a play for, me. Man,
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: yeah both teams are on a short, week but that's.
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: True The cardinals did have to face The niners are
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: a much more punishing defense than The saints, are so
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: that's also. True The cardinals were in a more physical game,
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: there so that could affect them a little bit here
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: on the short. Week seahawks d has been good so,
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: far that's. True they've been a good fantasy. DEFENSE i stream,
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: defenses So i'm all about the. Matchup So i'm going
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: with The patriots defense this week Against, carolina which hopefully
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: it will work out. Well we just Need carolina to
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: make some mistakes. Here man's that's what it's all. About
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: you want to go with defenses playing against mistake prone
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: offenses for the most, Part so hopefully it works for
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: me as the defensive STREAMER i tried to, GET i
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: tried to get a different. DEFENSE i forget which DEFENSE
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: i tried to get this. Week with somebody paid. MONEY
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: i don't pay money on the free. Agent WHY i
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 1: will not bid any money on defenses, Though because the
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: defenses are so unpredictable THAT i just go with whatever the.
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: LIKE i put in claims for like multiple different, defenses
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: all for no, money and THEN i just whichever ONE
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: i wind up, with Unless i'm keeping my defense AND
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: i think my defense THAT i already have is like
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: better than the other. Options but you, know and THEN
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: i stream kickers a lot. Too but right, Now i'm
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: just kind of sticking with McManus McK, ainus which is
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: what he was last, week even THOUGH i still won
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: my matchup last. Week but he's green bas. KICKER i
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: still think he's good AND i think he should get
• 1:32:04
  Speaker 1: a lot of opportunities Against, Dallas So i'm gonna stick
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: with him for the time. Being robert solid, Defense, yeah
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 1: he's good man with Us Sar. Francisco they brought him back.
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: There that. Defense, yeah the defense is somewhat the reason
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: Why seattle lost that first. Game But seattle was about
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 1: to score And Sam donald did make a. MISTAKE i
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: mean he kind of ran into his own offensive lineman
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 1: or kind of threw the ball into his own offensive.
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: Lineman So donald kind of. Mistake and we'll see what
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: happens With, donald because you know that when he was
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: in those, big like high profile games last, year like
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: that last game of the season Against detroit and in
• 1:32:38
  Speaker 1: the playoff, game he was. Terrible he turned into a.
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: Pumpkin So Cinderella donald or Whatever donald's carriage or whatever
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: turned into a. Pumpkin it struck midnight on. HIM i
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: don't know if it's gonna happen in this game, though
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: because it's just A thursday night, game so maybe it's
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: not a huge pressure environment. YET i, mean we'll see
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: what happens with, him, Man although he wasn't good in
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: That Sarancism go, game so we will. Say but, yeah in,
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: GENERAL i don't think he's that. Good But arizona's defense
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: is not as good As San, francisco's so we'll see what. Happens.
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: Man that's gonna do. It my one play one more
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: Time mets. Moneyline that's the only THING i got today
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: on A thursday where we do have a decent amount of.
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: Baseball But i'm focusing in focus in which is the
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: AD d drug Depart simpson takes in whatever That simpsons
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: episode was back when The simpsons was still. Good that's
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: gonna do. It learn it own On, Twitter thanks for hanging, out.
• 1:33:31
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• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel, here. Man it helps me, out
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: try to get me. Monetized, Finally i'm on the audio
• 1:33:39
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• 1:33:42
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• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: me out there as, well because there is monetization, there
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: but it's very small unless you have huge numbers covered
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 1: in you because my ukulele YouTube, channel so check that out.
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: Too and THEN i Have, patreon patroon dot, com slash
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: learned A, tone and there's bonus yuke content there AND
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: i gotta be more active with. IT i, apologize but,
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: yeah the feed is like a couple of yuke covers,
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: behind SO i got to get that. Going there's A
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: spotify yuke feed THAT i put out on there and
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: also prioritize requests And i'll probably eventually start doing Some
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: patreon streams for it. Too so MAYBE i should do Some.
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: Patreon MAYBE i should paywalls some of the better off dead. Stuff,
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: MAN i don't, know But i'm not even monetized, yet
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: SO i want to just get as many eyes on
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: this channel as possible right. Now that's gonna do. It
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: have a good one as, well. Everybody thanks for hanging
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: out this, morning and peace