Latest / Views from 6,230 / Mastering Energy Market Trends for Portfolio Growth
Transcript
- 0:01Welcome
- 0:02to
- 0:02the
- 0:02Adjusted
- 0:03for
- 0:03Risk
- 0:03podcast.
- 0:05Join
- 0:05myself,
- 0:06Brian
- 0:06Naumann,
- 0:07as
- 0:07I
- 0:07talk
- 0:07markets,
- 0:08investments,
- 0:09economics,
- 0:10and
- 0:10life
- 0:10as
- 0:11I
- 0:11help
- 0:11prepare
- 0:12you
- 0:12for
- 0:12the
- 0:13upcoming
- 0:13week
- 0:13in
- 0:14markets.
- 0:15I
- 0:15work
- 0:16for
- 0:16Zephyr,
- 0:17and
- 0:17all
- 0:17opinions
- 0:17expressed
- 0:18by
- 0:18myself
- 0:19and
- 0:19my
- 0:20podcast
- 0:20guests
- 0:21are
- 0:21solely
- 0:21of
- 0:21their
- 0:22own
- 0:22opinions
- 0:22and
- 0:23do
- 0:23not
- 0:23reflect
- 0:24the
- 0:24opinion
- 0:24of
- 0:25Zephyr
- 0:26or
- 0:26Informa,
- 0:27its
- 0:27parent
- 0:27company.
- 0:29This
- 0:29podcast
- 0:30is
- 0:30for
- 0:30information
- 0:31purposes
- 0:32only
- 0:32and
- 0:32should
- 0:32not
- 0:33be
- 0:33relied
- 0:33on
- 0:34for
- 0:34investment
- 0:35decisions
- 0:38Welcome
- 0:38everyone
- 0:38to
- 0:39Zephyr's
- 0:39Adjusted
- 0:40for
- 0:40Risk
- 0:40podcast.
- 0:41We
- 0:41are
- 0:42recording
- 0:42on
- 0:43location
- 0:44at
- 0:44the
- 0:44Exchange
- 0:45ETF
- 0:45Conference,
- 0:46which
- 0:46has
- 0:46been
- 0:46a
- 0:47fantastic
- 0:47conference
- 0:48so
- 0:48far.
- 0:49This
- 0:49is
- 0:49Ryan
- 0:50Nauman,
- 0:50the
- 0:50market
- 0:50strategist
- 0:51here
- 0:52at
- 0:52Zephyr.
- 0:53Energy
- 0:54has
- 0:54been
- 0:54a
- 0:54very
- 0:55hot
- 0:55topic
- 0:56well
- 0:57before
- 0:57oil
- 0:58increased
- 0:59to
- 0:59over
- 1:00$100
- 1:01a
- 1:01barrel.
- 1:01The
- 1:02energy
- 1:02demands
- 1:03from
- 1:03data
- 1:03centers
- 1:04have
- 1:04put
- 1:05energy
- 1:05in
- 1:05the
- 1:06headlines.
- 1:07Now
- 1:08we
- 1:08have
- 1:08oil
- 1:09that's
- 1:09above
- 1:09$100.
- 1:11Well,
- 1:11I
- 1:11have
- 1:12on
- 1:12the
- 1:12perfect
- 1:13guest
- 1:13to
- 1:13discuss
- 1:14all
- 1:14things
- 1:14energy
- 1:15and
- 1:15what
- 1:15it
- 1:15means
- 1:16for
- 1:16investors.
- 1:17But
- 1:18first,
- 1:18this
- 1:19episode
- 1:19is
- 1:19sponsored
- 1:20by
- 1:20the
- 1:20award-winning
- 1:21Zephyr,
- 1:21which
- 1:21helps
- 1:22investment
- 1:22professionals
- 1:23make
- 1:23more
- 1:24informed
- 1:24investment
- 1:25decisions
- 1:26on
- 1:26behalf
- 1:26of
- 1:27their
- 1:27clients.
- 1:28I'm
- 1:29very
- 1:29honored
- 1:30and
- 1:30excited
- 1:30for
- 1:31our
- 1:31next
- 1:31guest.
- 1:32I'd
- 1:32like
- 1:32to
- 1:32welcome
- 1:32Mark
- 1:33Marifian.
- 1:34Mark
- 1:35is
- 1:36the
- 1:36head
- 1:36of
- 1:36product
- 1:37at
- 1:37Tortoise
- 1:38Capital.
- 1:39Mark,
- 1:40thank
- 1:40you
- 1:40so
- 1:40much
- 1:41for
- 1:41coming
- 1:41on
- 1:41the
- 1:41podcast.
- 1:42It's
- 1:42an
- 1:42honor
- 1:42to
- 1:42have
- 1:43you
- 1:43on.
- 1:43Can
- 1:43you
- 1:43tell
- 1:43me
- 1:43a
- 1:43little
- 1:43bit
- 1:44about
- 1:44yourself
- 1:45and
- 1:45Tortoise
- 1:45Capital?
- 1:46I'd
- 1:46be
- 1:46happy
- 1:47to.
- 1:47So,
- 1:48uh,
- 1:49yeah,
- 1:49no,
- 1:49uh,
- 1:50been
- 1:50in
- 1:50the,
- 1:50um,
- 1:51investment
- 1:52industry
- 1:52really
- 1:52all
- 1:53my
- 1:53career.
- 1:54Um,
- 1:54started
- 1:54at,
- 1:54uh,
- 1:55Mercer,
- 1:56um,
- 1:56doing
- 1:56big
- 1:56consulting,
- 1:57and
- 1:58then,
- 1:58uh,
- 1:59moved
- 1:59to,
- 2:00uh,
- 2:00Advisory
- 2:01Research,
- 2:01which
- 2:02is
- 2:02a
- 2:02MLP
- 2:03manager,
- 2:03um,
- 2:04in
- 2:04St.
- 2:04Louis,
- 2:05and
- 2:05then
- 2:05Tortoise
- 2:06subsequently,
- 2:07um,
- 2:07acquired
- 2:08us
- 2:08in
- 2:082019.
- 2:09So
- 2:10that
- 2:10was
- 2:10in
- 2:112014
- 2:11when
- 2:11I
- 2:12joined
- 2:12Advisory
- 2:13Research.
- 2:13Um,
- 2:14you
- 2:14know,
- 2:14really
- 2:14been
- 2:14in
- 2:15product,
- 2:15um,
- 2:16since
- 2:16then.
- 2:16Started
- 2:17off
- 2:17as
- 2:18a
- 2:19product
- 2:19specialist,
- 2:20um,
- 2:21moved
- 2:21to,
- 2:21you
- 2:21know,
- 2:22client
- 2:22portfolio
- 2:22manager
- 2:23doing
- 2:23some
- 2:23client
- 2:23facing,
- 2:24um,
- 2:25for,
- 2:25for
- 2:25a
- 2:25number
- 2:25of
- 2:25years,
- 2:26and
- 2:26that's
- 2:26just
- 2:27wonderful
- 2:27if
- 2:27I
- 2:27could
- 2:28say,
- 2:28because
- 2:28that's
- 2:28really
- 2:29where
- 2:29you
- 2:29find
- 2:29out,
- 2:29you
- 2:30know,
- 2:30the
- 2:30pulse
- 2:30of
- 2:30what,
- 2:31what
- 2:31matters
- 2:31to
- 2:31clients
- 2:32and,
- 2:32uh,
- 2:32you
- 2:32know,
- 2:33what,
- 2:33what's-
- 2:33Mm
- 2:33what's
- 2:34meaningful
- 2:34to
- 2:34them.
- 2:35Um,
- 2:35and
- 2:35then
- 2:36to
- 2:36have
- 2:36transitioned
- 2:37into
- 2:37the,
- 2:37uh,
- 2:38the
- 2:38head
- 2:38of
- 2:38product
- 2:38role
- 2:38over
- 2:39the
- 2:39last
- 2:39couple
- 2:39years
- 2:40and,
- 2:41uh,
- 2:41you
- 2:41know,
- 2:41we've,
- 2:41we've
- 2:42kind
- 2:42of
- 2:42retooled
- 2:42our,
- 2:43our,
- 2:43uh,
- 2:43platform
- 2:44and
- 2:44so,
- 2:45um,
- 2:45you
- 2:45know,
- 2:45I
- 2:45think
- 2:45we're
- 2:45well
- 2:46positioned
- 2:46for
- 2:46kind
- 2:46of
- 2:46where
- 2:47the
- 2:47market's
- 2:47heading.
- 2:48Yeah,
- 2:48that's
- 2:49fair.
- 2:50Market's
- 2:50heading,
- 2:50we
- 2:50could
- 2:51probably
- 2:51spend
- 2:51all,
- 2:52all,
- 2:52all
- 2:53episode
- 2:53talking
- 2:53about
- 2:54where
- 2:54the
- 2:54market's
- 2:55heading,
- 2:55but
- 2:56let's
- 2:56just
- 2:56take
- 2:56a
- 2:56step
- 2:57back
- 2:57and
- 2:58I
- 2:58think
- 2:59people,
- 3:00you
- 3:00know,
- 3:00financial
- 3:00advisors,
- 3:01when
- 3:01they're
- 3:02building
- 3:02investment
- 3:02portfolios,
- 3:03obviously
- 3:04you
- 3:04have
- 3:04your
- 3:04core
- 3:04asset
- 3:05classes,
- 3:05fixed
- 3:06income
- 3:06to
- 3:08People
- 3:08think
- 3:08about
- 3:09energy.
- 3:10They
- 3:10think
- 3:10maybe,
- 3:11"Well,
- 3:11maybe
- 3:11we
- 3:11should
- 3:11include
- 3:12oil.
- 3:13It
- 3:13could
- 3:13be
- 3:14maybe
- 3:14a
- 3:14good
- 3:14diversifier."
- 3:15But
- 3:15why
- 3:16invest
- 3:16in
- 3:16energy?
- 3:17Why
- 3:18put
- 3:18it
- 3:18in
- 3:19an
- 3:19investment
- 3:19portfolio?
- 3:20Yeah.
- 3:21I,
- 3:21I
- 3:21think
- 3:21this
- 3:21question,
- 3:22um,
- 3:23you
- 3:23know,
- 3:23a
- 3:23lot
- 3:23of
- 3:23people
- 3:23ask
- 3:24this
- 3:24question,
- 3:24why?
- 3:26And
- 3:26I,
- 3:26I
- 3:26think
- 3:27part
- 3:27of
- 3:27it
- 3:27is
- 3:27you
- 3:27don't
- 3:27see
- 3:28what's
- 3:28happening
- 3:29within
- 3:29energy
- 3:30every
- 3:30day.
- 3:30You
- 3:30don't,
- 3:30you
- 3:30don't,
- 3:31you
- 3:31don't
- 3:31see
- 3:31the
- 3:31drilling.
- 3:32You
- 3:32don't
- 3:32see
- 3:32the
- 3:32pipelines
- 3:33that
- 3:33are
- 3:33moving
- 3:33the
- 3:34energy.
- 3:34You
- 3:34don't
- 3:34see
- 3:34the
- 3:34refiners
- 3:35that
- 3:35are,
- 3:36are
- 3:36cutting
- 3:37and,
- 3:37uh,
- 3:37you
- 3:37know,
- 3:37cracking,
- 3:38um,
- 3:38you
- 3:39know,
- 3:39the,
- 3:39the
- 3:39barrels,
- 3:39if
- 3:39you
- 3:40will.
- 3:40Mm-hmm.
- 3:40And
- 3:40so,
- 3:41you
- 3:41know,
- 3:41a
- 3:41lot
- 3:41of
- 3:41this
- 3:41is
- 3:41just
- 3:42invisible
- 3:42to
- 3:42us.
- 3:43And,
- 3:43you
- 3:43know,
- 3:43we
- 3:43just
- 3:43expect
- 3:44when
- 3:44our...
- 3:45You
- 3:45know,
- 3:45we
- 3:45wanna
- 3:45turn
- 3:45the
- 3:45thermostat
- 3:46on,
- 3:46that,
- 3:47uh,
- 3:47you
- 3:47know,
- 3:47we're
- 3:47gonna
- 3:47be
- 3:47able
- 3:47to
- 3:47cool
- 3:48our
- 3:48house,
- 3:48or
- 3:48we're
- 3:48gonna
- 3:49be
- 3:49able
- 3:49to,
- 3:49to
- 3:49heat
- 3:50our
- 3:50house.
- 3:50Or,
- 3:50you
- 3:51know,
- 3:51we
- 3:51wanna
- 3:51go
- 3:51cook
- 3:51some,
- 3:52uh,
- 3:52some
- 3:52steak,
- 3:53you
- 3:53know,
- 3:53we're
- 3:53gonna
- 3:53be
- 3:53able
- 3:53to
- 3:54fire
- 3:54up
- 3:54the
- 3:54grill,
- 3:55or
- 3:55we're
- 3:55gonna
- 3:55be
- 3:55able
- 3:55to,
- 3:56uh,
- 3:56you
- 3:56know,
- 3:56turn
- 3:56the
- 3:56stove
- 3:57on
- 3:57and
- 3:57have...
- 3:58Yeah.
- 3:58So
- 3:58anyways,
- 3:59I,
- 3:59I
- 3:59think,
- 3:59like,
- 3:59some
- 3:59of
- 3:59this
- 4:00just
- 4:00you
- 4:00don't
- 4:00naturally
- 4:01think
- 4:01about
- 4:01it
- 4:02day
- 4:02in
- 4:02and
- 4:02day
- 4:02out,
- 4:02where,
- 4:03you
- 4:03know,
- 4:03with...
- 4:04Think
- 4:04about
- 4:04technology.
- 4:04Like,
- 4:05everyone's
- 4:05on
- 4:05their
- 4:05phone
- 4:05all
- 4:05the
- 4:06time.
- 4:06Like,
- 4:06it
- 4:06makes
- 4:06sense
- 4:07why
- 4:07it,
- 4:07it
- 4:07would
- 4:07fit
- 4:08potentially
- 4:08in
- 4:08your
- 4:08investment
- 4:09portfolio.
- 4:10But,
- 4:10uh,
- 4:11you
- 4:11know,
- 4:11energy
- 4:11has
- 4:12a
- 4:12s-
- 4:12You
- 4:12know,
- 4:12right
- 4:13now
- 4:13it's
- 4:13not
- 4:13a
- 4:13huge,
- 4:14uh,
- 4:14part
- 4:14of
- 4:14the
- 4:14S&P
- 4:15500.
- 4:16I
- 4:16think
- 4:16that's
- 4:16where
- 4:16the
- 4:16opportunity
- 4:17is,
- 4:17quite
- 4:17frankly,
- 4:18because
- 4:18it's
- 4:18so
- 4:18small.
- 4:19Uh,
- 4:20but
- 4:20yeah,
- 4:20really
- 4:20the
- 4:20definition
- 4:20of
- 4:21energy,
- 4:21I
- 4:21would
- 4:21say,
- 4:21is
- 4:22also
- 4:22changing.
- 4:23Um,
- 4:23you
- 4:23know,
- 4:24it-
- 4:24i-
- 4:24in
- 4:24the
- 4:25past
- 4:25you
- 4:25would,
- 4:25you
- 4:25would
- 4:26traditionally
- 4:26just
- 4:26look
- 4:26at
- 4:27Exxon,
- 4:27Chevron
- 4:28as
- 4:28y-
- 4:28as
- 4:28your
- 4:28big
- 4:28integrateds.
- 4:29And,
- 4:29uh,
- 4:30you
- 4:30know,
- 4:30it's
- 4:30much
- 4:30more
- 4:30than
- 4:30that
- 4:31now.
- 4:31To
- 4:31me,
- 4:32the
- 4:32utility
- 4:32industry,
- 4:33you
- 4:33know,
- 4:33is
- 4:34really
- 4:34part
- 4:34of
- 4:34the,
- 4:34the
- 4:34energy
- 4:35story,
- 4:35and
- 4:35we,
- 4:36you
- 4:36know,
- 4:36we
- 4:36think
- 4:36about
- 4:36that
- 4:36through,
- 4:37um,
- 4:38the
- 4:38electrification
- 4:38lens.
- 4:39Yeah.
- 4:40That's
- 4:40fantastic,
- 4:41Mark.
- 4:42And
- 4:42you're
- 4:42exactly
- 4:43r-
- 4:44I
- 4:44think
- 4:44we
- 4:44take
- 4:45it
- 4:45for
- 4:45granted,
- 4:46energy.
- 4:47Even
- 4:47though
- 4:47we
- 4:47use
- 4:47electricity
- 4:48in
- 4:48everything
- 4:49we
- 4:49do,
- 4:49we
- 4:49use
- 4:49energy,
- 4:50whe-
- 4:50Oil
- 4:51is
- 4:51in
- 4:51everything
- 4:51we
- 4:52touch.
- 4:52Everything.
- 4:53So
- 4:53maybe
- 4:54we
- 4:54just
- 4:54take
- 4:54it
- 4:54for
- 4:55granted.
- 4:56We-
- 4:56So
- 4:57that's
- 4:57a
- 4:57great
- 4:57exam-
- 4:58And
- 4:58you
- 4:59used
- 5:00steak
- 5:00as
- 5:01an
- 5:01example.
- 5:01So,
- 5:02um,
- 5:03you
- 5:03won
- 5:03me
- 5:03over
- 5:04there.
- 5:04Grilling
- 5:05a
- 5:05steak
- 5:05is
- 5:05perfect.
- 5:06Is
- 5:06perfect.
- 5:07That's
- 5:07right.
- 5:07You
- 5:07need
- 5:07the
- 5:07propane,
- 5:08right?
- 5:08Yeah.
- 5:08The
- 5:08propane's
- 5:09gotta
- 5:09come
- 5:09from
- 5:09somewhere,
- 5:10right?
- 5:10So.
- 5:11Exactly.
- 5:11That's
- 5:11right.
- 5:12Exactly.
- 5:13What,
- 5:13um-
- 5:14And
- 5:14you
- 5:15kind
- 5:15of
- 5:15touched
- 5:16on
- 5:16it.
- 5:16What
- 5:16are
- 5:16some
- 5:16misconceptions,
- 5:17though,
- 5:17of
- 5:18investing
- 5:18in
- 5:19energy?
- 5:19Is
- 5:19it
- 5:20like,
- 5:20well,
- 5:20it's
- 5:20just
- 5:21all
- 5:21oil
- 5:22or
- 5:22like
- 5:22you
- 5:22said,
- 5:23ExxonMobil?
- 5:24You
- 5:24know,
- 5:24what,
- 5:24what's
- 5:25the
- 5:25misconceptions?
- 5:26There's,
- 5:26there's,
- 5:27there's
- 5:27a
- 5:27lot
- 5:27of
- 5:27depth,
- 5:28um,
- 5:28and,
- 5:28and
- 5:28sub-sectors,
- 5:29you
- 5:29know,
- 5:30then
- 5:30different
- 5:30ways
- 5:30you
- 5:31can
- 5:31play
- 5:31energy.
- 5:32Of,
- 5:32of
- 5:32course,
- 5:32the
- 5:32headlines
- 5:34will
- 5:34always
- 5:34be
- 5:35what's
- 5:35going
- 5:35on
- 5:36with
- 5:36the
- 5:36price
- 5:36of
- 5:36crude.
- 5:37Um,
- 5:38but,
- 5:38you
- 5:38know,
- 5:38these
- 5:39are,
- 5:39these
- 5:39are
- 5:39businesses
- 5:40that
- 5:40have
- 5:40been...
- 5:40You
- 5:40know,
- 5:41the
- 5:41infrastructure's
- 5:41been
- 5:41built
- 5:42over,
- 5:42you
- 5:43know,
- 5:43100
- 5:43years
- 5:44now
- 5:44in
- 5:45terms
- 5:45of
- 5:45the,
- 5:45the
- 5:45drilling.
- 5:46And
- 5:46the
- 5:46first
- 5:46pipelines
- 5:47were
- 5:47built,
- 5:48um,
- 5:48you
- 5:48know,
- 5:48in,
- 5:48in
- 5:48the
- 5:481860s.
- 5:49So,
- 5:50you
- 5:50know,
- 5:50this
- 5:50is
- 5:50infrastructure
- 5:51that
- 5:51has
- 5:52grown
- 5:52over
- 5:52time,
- 5:54um,
- 5:54you
- 5:54know,
- 5:55a-
- 5:55a-
- 5:55and,
- 5:55and
- 5:55just
- 5:55evolved.
- 5:56And,
- 5:56and
- 5:56so
- 5:57just
- 5:57'cause
- 5:57you
- 5:57see
- 5:57the
- 5:57commodity
- 5:58price
- 5:58moving
- 5:58up
- 5:59or
- 5:59down,
- 5:59that
- 5:59doesn't
- 6:00mean
- 6:00the
- 6:00cash
- 6:01flows
- 6:01are
- 6:01moving
- 6:01dollar
- 6:02for
- 6:02dollar
- 6:02with,
- 6:03with
- 6:03how
- 6:03the
- 6:03commodity
- 6:03prices
- 6:04are
- 6:04doing.
- 6:04These
- 6:04are
- 6:04actually
- 6:05underlying
- 6:05businesses.
- 6:06You
- 6:06know,
- 6:06people
- 6:06work
- 6:06at
- 6:07them,
- 6:07uh,
- 6:08full
- 6:08time
- 6:08and,
- 6:08and
- 6:08they
- 6:09wanna
- 6:09h-
- 6:09build
- 6:09a
- 6:09stable
- 6:10cash
- 6:10flow
- 6:10moat,
- 6:11um,
- 6:11a-
- 6:11and,
- 6:12and
- 6:12have
- 6:12a
- 6:12repeatable
- 6:12business
- 6:13model.
- 6:13And
- 6:13so
- 6:13that's
- 6:14what
- 6:14you
- 6:14see
- 6:14in
- 6:14a
- 6:14lot
- 6:14of
- 6:14these
- 6:15different
- 6:15sub-sector
- 6:16industries.
- 6:17Um,
- 6:17you
- 6:17know,
- 6:18our,
- 6:18our
- 6:18expertise
- 6:19historically
- 6:19has
- 6:19been
- 6:20midstream.
- 6:21And,
- 6:21and
- 6:21that,
- 6:22that
- 6:22is...
- 6:22You
- 6:22know,
- 6:22think
- 6:23about
- 6:23a
- 6:23pen.
- 6:23You're
- 6:24just
- 6:24moving
- 6:24a
- 6:24pipe
- 6:24li-
- 6:25You,
- 6:25you're
- 6:25moving
- 6:26the
- 6:26volume
- 6:26from
- 6:26point
- 6:27A
- 6:27to
- 6:27point
- 6:28B,
- 6:28and
- 6:28the
- 6:28midstream
- 6:28guys
- 6:29just
- 6:29get
- 6:29paid
- 6:29a
- 6:29fixed
- 6:30fee.
- 6:31And
- 6:31so
- 6:31that
- 6:32is
- 6:32the
- 6:32repeatable
- 6:33business
- 6:33that,
- 6:34that
- 6:34they've
- 6:34done.
- 6:34You
- 6:34know,
- 6:34we
- 6:34have
- 6:35thousands
- 6:35and
- 6:35thousands
- 6:36of
- 6:36miles,
- 6:37um,
- 6:37of
- 6:37pipeline
- 6:37across
- 6:38the
- 6:38country.
- 6:38So,
- 6:39you
- 6:39know...
- 6:39But
- 6:39we
- 6:39have
- 6:40refiners.
- 6:40You
- 6:40have
- 6:41oil
- 6:41field
- 6:41services.
- 6:42You
- 6:42have
- 6:42the
- 6:42drillers
- 6:43upstream.
- 6:43You
- 6:43have
- 6:44the
- 6:44integrateds
- 6:44that
- 6:44do
- 6:44it
- 6:45all.
- 6:45You
- 6:45have
- 6:45LNG,
- 6:46um,
- 6:46you
- 6:46know,
- 6:46exporters.
- 6:47So,
- 6:48I
- 6:48mean,
- 6:48there's,
- 6:49there's
- 6:49all
- 6:49these
- 6:49different
- 6:49ways
- 6:50you
- 6:50can
- 6:50get
- 6:50investments,
- 6:51um,
- 6:51and
- 6:52exposure
- 6:52to,
- 6:52to
- 6:53energy.
- 6:54Yeah,
- 6:54I'm
- 6:54glad
- 6:54you
- 6:54brought
- 6:55that
- 6:55up.
- 6:55It
- 6:55is...
- 6:56There's
- 6:57so
- 6:57much
- 6:57more
- 6:57to
- 6:57that
- 6:58sector.
- 6:58I
- 6:58think
- 6:58it's
- 6:59a
- 6:59lot,
- 6:59it's
- 7:00a
- 7:00lot
- 7:00bigger
- 7:00than
- 7:01what
- 7:01I
- 7:01think
- 7:01people
- 7:02really
- 7:02think
- 7:02about.
- 7:03But
- 7:03like
- 7:03you
- 7:04said,
- 7:04it's
- 7:04such
- 7:04a
- 7:05small
- 7:05part
- 7:05of
- 7:05the
- 7:05S&P,
- 7:07so
- 7:07there's
- 7:08some
- 7:08alpha
- 7:09opportunities
- 7:09there,
- 7:10I
- 7:10would
- 7:10think.
- 7:10Yeah.
- 7:11I
- 7:11mean,
- 7:11if
- 7:11you
- 7:11go
- 7:11back
- 7:12in
- 7:12history,
- 7:13and,
- 7:13and
- 7:14this
- 7:14is,
- 7:15you
- 7:15know-
- 7:16Yes,
- 7:16there's
- 7:16been
- 7:16some,
- 7:16some
- 7:17crises
- 7:17that's
- 7:17l-
- 7:18have
- 7:18led
- 7:18to
- 7:18some
- 7:18of
- 7:19this,
- 7:19these
- 7:19weightings.
- 7:19But
- 7:20energy's,
- 7:21you
- 7:21know,
- 7:21has
- 7:21been
- 7:21as
- 7:21high
- 7:21as
- 7:2130%
- 7:22of
- 7:22the
- 7:22S&P
- 7:22500.
- 7:23I
- 7:23think
- 7:23people
- 7:23would
- 7:23just
- 7:23like
- 7:24jaws
- 7:24would
- 7:24drop
- 7:24if
- 7:24they
- 7:25heard.
- 7:25Yeah.
- 7:25And
- 7:25that
- 7:26probably
- 7:26wouldn't
- 7:26be
- 7:26a
- 7:26good
- 7:26scenario,
- 7:27right?
- 7:27Like
- 7:27that-
- 7:28that
- 7:29means
- 7:29the
- 7:29other
- 7:29sectors
- 7:30are
- 7:30potentially
- 7:30cratering-
- 7:31Yeah
- 7:31and,
- 7:31and
- 7:31energy's
- 7:32expanding.
- 7:32But
- 7:33y-
- 7:33you
- 7:33know,
- 7:33even
- 7:33go
- 7:33back
- 7:34to
- 7:34the,
- 7:34to
- 7:34late,
- 7:35uh,
- 7:352010s
- 7:36or,
- 7:37you
- 7:37know,
- 7:372008
- 7:38when,
- 7:38when
- 7:38oil
- 7:38went
- 7:38to
- 7:39147,
- 7:39and
- 7:40energy
- 7:40was
- 7:40in
- 7:40double
- 7:41digits,
- 7:41um,
- 7:41in
- 7:42terms
- 7:42of
- 7:42a
- 7:42sector,
- 7:43uh,
- 7:44you
- 7:44know,
- 7:44allocation
- 7:44within
- 7:45the
- 7:45S&P
- 7:45500.
- 7:45So,
- 7:46you
- 7:46know,
- 7:46we
- 7:46are
- 7:46really
- 7:47kind
- 7:47of
- 7:47in
- 7:47this...
- 7:47If
- 7:47you
- 7:47think
- 7:48about
- 7:48it
- 7:48long
- 7:48term,
- 7:49we're
- 7:49in
- 7:49this
- 7:49very
- 7:50odd
- 7:50period
- 7:50where
- 7:51energy's
- 7:51kinda
- 7:51hovered
- 7:52between
- 7:522
- 7:52and
- 7:524%.
- 7:53Mm-hmm.
- 7:54Um,
- 7:54the,
- 7:54the
- 7:54depth
- 7:55was
- 7:55at
- 7:55COVID,
- 7:56um,
- 7:56when,
- 7:57when
- 7:57of
- 7:57course
- 7:57prices
- 7:58went
- 7:58negative
- 7:58and,
- 7:58you
- 7:59know,
- 7:59we
- 7:59thought
- 7:59we
- 7:59had
- 8:0010
- 8:00years
- 8:00of,
- 8:01of
- 8:01life-
- 8:02left
- 8:02for
- 8:02this,
- 8:02this
- 8:02industry
- 8:03that
- 8:03had
- 8:03been
- 8:03around
- 8:03150
- 8:04years,
- 8:04and
- 8:04everything
- 8:05was
- 8:05gonna
- 8:05be
- 8:06moved
- 8:06to
- 8:06renewables
- 8:06overnight.
- 8:07You
- 8:07know,
- 8:07that,
- 8:07that's,
- 8:08that
- 8:08pendulum
- 8:08has
- 8:08certainly
- 8:09shifted,
- 8:10um,
- 8:10a
- 8:10fair
- 8:11amount.
- 8:11And,
- 8:11you
- 8:11know,
- 8:11the,
- 8:11yes,
- 8:12the,
- 8:12the
- 8:12n-
- 8:13the
- 8:13overall
- 8:13allocation's
- 8:14a
- 8:14bit
- 8:14bigger
- 8:15than
- 8:15it
- 8:15was
- 8:16then,
- 8:16but,
- 8:16you
- 8:16know,
- 8:16historically
- 8:17speaking,
- 8:17you're
- 8:18still
- 8:18at
- 8:18just
- 8:18pretty
- 8:19low
- 8:19levels
- 8:19in
- 8:20terms
- 8:20of,
- 8:21um,
- 8:21h-
- 8:21how
- 8:21it
- 8:22is
- 8:22represented
- 8:22in
- 8:22the
- 8:22portfolio.
- 8:23I
- 8:23think
- 8:23the,
- 8:23and
- 8:24you
- 8:24may
- 8:24be
- 8:24going
- 8:24here,
- 8:24but
- 8:25I
- 8:25think
- 8:25the
- 8:25bigger
- 8:25question
- 8:26that,
- 8:26uh,
- 8:26that
- 8:26allocators
- 8:27a-
- 8:28ask
- 8:28themselves
- 8:28is,
- 8:28how
- 8:29do
- 8:29I
- 8:29fit
- 8:29this
- 8:29in
- 8:29my
- 8:29portfolio?
- 8:31Yeah.
- 8:31Well,
- 8:31why
- 8:32don't
- 8:32you
- 8:32answer
- 8:32it?
- 8:33That
- 8:33is
- 8:33exactly
- 8:34it.
- 8:34Uh,
- 8:34it
- 8:34will
- 8:34segue
- 8:35to
- 8:35that.
- 8:35Like,
- 8:36where,
- 8:36where
- 8:37does
- 8:37it...
- 8:37Is
- 8:38it
- 8:38a
- 8:38alternative?
- 8:39Do
- 8:39you
- 8:39just
- 8:39bucket
- 8:40in
- 8:40with,
- 8:40um-
- 8:42You
- 8:42know,
- 8:42equities,
- 8:43but
- 8:43though
- 8:43then
- 8:43there's
- 8:44different
- 8:44ways
- 8:44of
- 8:44getting
- 8:45exposure
- 8:45to
- 8:46energy,
- 8:46which
- 8:46might
- 8:47be
- 8:47more
- 8:47of
- 8:47a
- 8:47income-oriented
- 8:49product.
- 8:49That-
- 8:49that's
- 8:50right.
- 8:50I'd,
- 8:50I'd
- 8:50say
- 8:50that's
- 8:50probably
- 8:51more
- 8:51typical
- 8:52when
- 8:52people
- 8:52think
- 8:52about
- 8:53energy,
- 8:53is
- 8:53that
- 8:53they're
- 8:53thinking
- 8:53about
- 8:54the
- 8:54income.
- 8:55They're
- 8:55thinking
- 8:55about
- 8:56it
- 8:56in,
- 8:56um...
- 8:57So,
- 8:57so
- 8:57we'll
- 8:58see
- 8:58a
- 8:58lot
- 8:58of
- 8:58the
- 8:59folks
- 9:00that
- 9:00we
- 9:00speak
- 9:00to
- 9:00that
- 9:00are
- 9:00model
- 9:01allocators,
- 9:02they
- 9:02say,
- 9:02"All
- 9:02right,
- 9:02let
- 9:02me
- 9:02carve
- 9:03something
- 9:03out
- 9:03of
- 9:03my
- 9:04income
- 9:04model
- 9:05for
- 9:05energy,
- 9:06um,
- 9:07for
- 9:07energy
- 9:07infrastructure."
- 9:08I
- 9:08mean,
- 9:09you're,
- 9:09you're
- 9:09seeing
- 9:09yields.
- 9:10Yes,
- 9:10yields
- 9:10have
- 9:10come
- 9:11down,
- 9:11but
- 9:11you're
- 9:11still
- 9:11seeing
- 9:12yields
- 9:12at,
- 9:12you
- 9:12know,
- 9:135-plus
- 9:13percent,
- 9:14uh,
- 9:14for
- 9:14a
- 9:14lot
- 9:14of
- 9:15those
- 9:15companies.
- 9:15Mm-hmm.
- 9:15Energy
- 9:16yields
- 9:16are,
- 9:16are
- 9:16gonna
- 9:16be
- 9:17above
- 9:17the,
- 9:17the
- 9:17broader
- 9:18market
- 9:18as
- 9:18well.
- 9:18So
- 9:19it
- 9:19is
- 9:19a
- 9:19good
- 9:19place
- 9:19you
- 9:19can
- 9:19get,
- 9:20you
- 9:20can
- 9:20get
- 9:20income.
- 9:22Um,
- 9:22you
- 9:22also
- 9:22get,
- 9:22you
- 9:22know,
- 9:23if
- 9:23you're
- 9:23just
- 9:23focusing
- 9:23on
- 9:24broad
- 9:24energy
- 9:24specifically,
- 9:26I
- 9:26mean,
- 9:26a
- 9:26lot
- 9:26of
- 9:27people
- 9:27worry
- 9:27about
- 9:27inflation
- 9:28protection,
- 9:28right?
- 9:28Specifically,
- 9:29their
- 9:30contracts
- 9:30adjust,
- 9:31and
- 9:31so
- 9:32relative
- 9:32to
- 9:32the
- 9:33PPI,
- 9:33which
- 9:33is
- 9:33the
- 9:34Producer
- 9:34Price
- 9:34Index,
- 9:35and
- 9:35so
- 9:35if
- 9:36the
- 9:36Producer
- 9:36Price
- 9:36Index
- 9:37goes
- 9:37up,
- 9:37that
- 9:37means
- 9:38they
- 9:38can
- 9:38increase
- 9:39the,
- 9:39the
- 9:39fee
- 9:40year
- 9:40over
- 9:40year
- 9:40on
- 9:41what
- 9:41the
- 9:41tariffs
- 9:42that
- 9:42they
- 9:42charge
- 9:42on,
- 9:43uh,
- 9:43for
- 9:43interstate
- 9:44pipelines.
- 9:44So
- 9:45there's
- 9:45this
- 9:45pass-through
- 9:46effect,
- 9:46which
- 9:47not
- 9:47all
- 9:47industries
- 9:48have,
- 9:48but
- 9:48certainly
- 9:48the
- 9:48energy
- 9:49industry
- 9:49has,
- 9:50hence
- 9:50your,
- 9:51your
- 9:51inflation
- 9:51protection-
- 9:52Mm-hmm
- 9:53um,
- 9:53you
- 9:53know,
- 9:53ability
- 9:54there.
- 9:54So
- 9:55y-
- 9:55you
- 9:55know,
- 9:56I...
- 9:56Look,
- 9:57I,
- 9:57I
- 9:57think
- 9:57you
- 9:57could
- 9:57put
- 9:57it
- 9:57in
- 9:57real
- 9:58assets.
- 9:58You
- 9:58can
- 9:59certainly
- 9:59put
- 9:59it
- 9:59in
- 9:59income.
- 10:00And
- 10:00then
- 10:00if
- 10:00you
- 10:00think
- 10:01about
- 10:01the
- 10:01broad
- 10:01equity
- 10:02allocation,
- 10:03you
- 10:03know,
- 10:03I'd,
- 10:03I'd
- 10:03say
- 10:03people
- 10:04maybe
- 10:04stick
- 10:04it
- 10:05more
- 10:05in
- 10:05that
- 10:05core
- 10:05satellite
- 10:06position
- 10:06when
- 10:06they're,
- 10:07when
- 10:07they're,
- 10:07when
- 10:07they're
- 10:08bullish
- 10:08there.
- 10:09So
- 10:09one
- 10:09of
- 10:09the
- 10:09ways...
- 10:10That's
- 10:10fantastic,
- 10:11Mark,
- 10:12and
- 10:12it,
- 10:12it,
- 10:13you
- 10:13know,
- 10:13I
- 10:14love
- 10:14the
- 10:14fact
- 10:14that
- 10:14you
- 10:14brought
- 10:15up,
- 10:15too,
- 10:15you
- 10:15know,
- 10:16inflationary
- 10:16hedge,
- 10:17right?
- 10:18Obviously,
- 10:18everybody
- 10:19was
- 10:19looking
- 10:19for
- 10:19a
- 10:19hedge
- 10:20to
- 10:20inflation.
- 10:21So
- 10:21the
- 10:21next
- 10:21question
- 10:22then
- 10:22is
- 10:23a
- 10:23lot
- 10:23of
- 10:23people,
- 10:24they
- 10:24can
- 10:24access
- 10:25energy.
- 10:25You
- 10:25know,
- 10:25there's
- 10:26ETFs
- 10:26obviously,
- 10:27but
- 10:27there's
- 10:27also
- 10:28MLPs.
- 10:29Mm-hmm.
- 10:29MLPs
- 10:30are
- 10:30a
- 10:30top,
- 10:30a
- 10:31popular
- 10:31way
- 10:32of
- 10:32accessing,
- 10:33getting
- 10:33exposure
- 10:34to,
- 10:35to
- 10:35energy.
- 10:36Why?
- 10:37W-
- 10:37what
- 10:37is
- 10:37it
- 10:37about
- 10:37MLPs
- 10:38and,
- 10:39and
- 10:39then
- 10:39the
- 10:39how?
- 10:40Yeah,
- 10:41I
- 10:41mean,
- 10:41I,
- 10:42I
- 10:42covered
- 10:42it
- 10:42a
- 10:42little
- 10:42bit
- 10:42earlier,
- 10:43but
- 10:43ener-
- 10:44MLPs
- 10:44sit
- 10:45specifically
- 10:46within
- 10:47the
- 10:47energy
- 10:48infrastructure
- 10:49sector.
- 10:50Mm-hmm.
- 10:50And
- 10:50so
- 10:50they
- 10:50are,
- 10:51they
- 10:51have
- 10:51long-term
- 10:52fixed
- 10:53fee
- 10:53contracts,
- 10:54and
- 10:54those
- 10:55long-term
- 10:55fixed
- 10:55fee
- 10:55contracts
- 10:56allow
- 10:57them
- 10:57to
- 10:57have
- 10:58stability
- 10:58of
- 10:58their
- 10:59underlying
- 10:59business
- 11:00model.
- 11:00And
- 11:01because
- 11:01they
- 11:01have
- 11:01a
- 11:02more
- 11:02stable
- 11:02business
- 11:02model
- 11:03that
- 11:03is
- 11:03less
- 11:03impacted
- 11:04by
- 11:04the,
- 11:04the
- 11:05up
- 11:05and
- 11:05the
- 11:05downswings
- 11:07of,
- 11:07um,
- 11:07commodity
- 11:08prices,
- 11:09what
- 11:09they
- 11:09can
- 11:09do
- 11:09is
- 11:09pay
- 11:10a
- 11:10bigger
- 11:10distribution
- 11:11that
- 11:11is
- 11:11repeatable
- 11:12and
- 11:12consistent.
- 11:13So
- 11:13I
- 11:13think
- 11:13that
- 11:13is
- 11:14where,
- 11:14you
- 11:14know,
- 11:14folks
- 11:15really
- 11:15like
- 11:15portfolios.
- 11:16They'll
- 11:16be,
- 11:16they'll
- 11:16be
- 11:17yielding,
- 11:17you
- 11:17know,
- 11:17anywhere
- 11:17from
- 11:185
- 11:18to
- 11:198,
- 11:199,
- 11:1910%.
- 11:20Um-
- 11:20Okay.
- 11:21Mm-hmm.
- 11:21So
- 11:21yeah,
- 11:22that's
- 11:22a
- 11:22really
- 11:22income
- 11:23play
- 11:23there.
- 11:24More
- 11:24income
- 11:24oriented.
- 11:25Okay.
- 11:25Yep.
- 11:25Yep.
- 11:26So
- 11:26then
- 11:27financial
- 11:28advisors
- 11:29out
- 11:29there,
- 11:29they
- 11:29hear
- 11:29that,
- 11:30great
- 11:30income,
- 11:31perfect
- 11:32for
- 11:32this
- 11:32time.
- 11:34But
- 11:34then
- 11:34how,
- 11:35like,
- 11:35MLP,
- 11:36like
- 11:36how,
- 11:36where
- 11:37would
- 11:37they
- 11:37go
- 11:37to
- 11:37get
- 11:37more
- 11:38information,
- 11:38or
- 11:39how
- 11:39would
- 11:39they
- 11:39implement
- 11:40it?
- 11:41Um,
- 11:41are
- 11:41they...
- 11:42Do
- 11:42they
- 11:42have
- 11:43ticker?
- 11:43You
- 11:43know,
- 11:44like-
- 11:45Yeah.
- 11:45Yeah.
- 11:45We...
- 11:46So
- 11:47that,
- 11:47that
- 11:47is
- 11:47our,
- 11:48our
- 11:48core
- 11:48is,
- 11:49is
- 11:49midstream
- 11:50energy
- 11:50infrastructure.
- 11:50That's
- 11:51how
- 11:51our
- 11:51business
- 11:51starts.
- 11:51We
- 11:51got
- 11:52a
- 11:52multitude
- 11:52of
- 11:52ways
- 11:53you
- 11:53could
- 11:53play,
- 11:54um,
- 11:54MLPs.
- 11:55Specifically,
- 11:56um,
- 11:57we,
- 11:57we
- 11:57have
- 11:57pipeline
- 11:58funds
- 11:58that,
- 11:59uh,
- 11:59you
- 11:59know,
- 12:00have
- 12:00C
- 12:00corps
- 12:00and
- 12:01MLPs,
- 12:01but
- 12:01then
- 12:01we
- 12:02have
- 12:02a
- 12:02dedicated,
- 12:03um,
- 12:03uh,
- 12:04MLP,
- 12:05uh,
- 12:05ETF
- 12:05as
- 12:06well,
- 12:06which
- 12:06we,
- 12:06which
- 12:06we
- 12:07just
- 12:07launched,
- 12:07uh,
- 12:08TMLP,
- 12:08which
- 12:08is
- 12:09a
- 12:09Tortoise
- 12:09MLP
- 12:10ETF.
- 12:11And
- 12:11so
- 12:11that,
- 12:11that
- 12:11tracks
- 12:12our
- 12:12underlying
- 12:13index,
- 12:13which
- 12:13we
- 12:14built,
- 12:14um,
- 12:14you
- 12:14know,
- 12:1515
- 12:15years
- 12:15ago,
- 12:16um,
- 12:17and
- 12:17wh-
- 12:17which
- 12:17really
- 12:18owns
- 12:18the
- 12:18best
- 12:18and
- 12:19market-weighted,
- 12:20uh,
- 12:20MLPs
- 12:21in,
- 12:22in
- 12:22the
- 12:22universe.
- 12:23And
- 12:23so
- 12:23that,
- 12:23that's
- 12:24one...
- 12:24That,
- 12:24that's
- 12:24an
- 12:24index
- 12:25we've
- 12:25had
- 12:25for
- 12:25a
- 12:25long
- 12:25time.
- 12:26Um,
- 12:27it,
- 12:27you
- 12:27know,
- 12:27gives
- 12:27you
- 12:27a
- 12:27nice
- 12:28broad
- 12:28set
- 12:28of
- 12:29ex-
- 12:29exposure.
- 12:29So
- 12:30if
- 12:30you
- 12:30look
- 12:30at
- 12:30some
- 12:30of
- 12:31the
- 12:31other
- 12:31competing,
- 12:32uh,
- 12:32products
- 12:33are
- 12:33gonna
- 12:33be
- 12:33more
- 12:33narrow,
- 12:3413,
- 12:3414
- 12:35holdings.
- 12:35Top,
- 12:36top
- 12:36holdings
- 12:36are
- 12:36gonna,
- 12:37you
- 12:37know,
- 12:37be
- 12:3810,
- 12:3812,
- 12:3813,
- 12:3914%.
- 12:40Um,
- 12:40we
- 12:41are
- 12:41gonna
- 12:41be
- 12:41more
- 12:42market
- 12:42cap
- 12:43weighted.
- 12:43We
- 12:43have
- 12:4323
- 12:44holdings,
- 12:44um,
- 12:45so
- 12:45a
- 12:45little
- 12:45bit
- 12:45more
- 12:46diversification
- 12:46there.
- 12:47Fantastic.
- 12:48Great
- 12:48information,
- 12:49Mark.
- 12:50So
- 12:50let's
- 12:50take
- 12:50a
- 12:50step
- 12:51back
- 12:51again.
- 12:52So
- 12:52what's
- 12:52the
- 12:53future
- 12:53look
- 12:53like
- 12:53for
- 12:54energy?
- 12:54I
- 12:54mean,
- 12:55I
- 12:55talked
- 12:55about
- 12:56the
- 12:56data
- 12:56centers,
- 12:57electricity,
- 12:58big
- 12:59demand
- 12:59there
- 12:59for
- 13:00energy.
- 13:01You
- 13:01have
- 13:01oil.
- 13:02Who
- 13:02knows
- 13:02where
- 13:02oil's
- 13:03gonna
- 13:03be
- 13:03next
- 13:04time
- 13:04we
- 13:04talk
- 13:04and
- 13:05if
- 13:05we
- 13:05talk
- 13:05in
- 13:05a
- 13:05year-
- 13:06Yeah
- 13:06where
- 13:07oil's
- 13:07gonna
- 13:07be.
- 13:07But
- 13:08what's
- 13:08the
- 13:08future
- 13:08look
- 13:09like?
- 13:10Yeah,
- 13:10I
- 13:10mean,
- 13:10I,
- 13:10I
- 13:10think
- 13:11what
- 13:11you're
- 13:11getting
- 13:11is
- 13:11these
- 13:12signals
- 13:12and,
- 13:13and
- 13:13a
- 13:13realization
- 13:14that,
- 13:15um,
- 13:15you
- 13:15know,
- 13:16front
- 13:16and
- 13:16center
- 13:16energy
- 13:17is,
- 13:17is
- 13:18really
- 13:18in
- 13:18high
- 13:18demand.
- 13:19Now
- 13:19you're
- 13:19seeing
- 13:19it
- 13:19on,
- 13:20on
- 13:20the
- 13:20AI
- 13:21side
- 13:22specifically
- 13:22because
- 13:23these
- 13:23data
- 13:23centers
- 13:23are
- 13:24just
- 13:24so
- 13:24intensive.
- 13:25So,
- 13:25I
- 13:25mean,
- 13:26the
- 13:26easy,
- 13:27you
- 13:27know,
- 13:27way
- 13:27I
- 13:28relate
- 13:28to
- 13:28people
- 13:28is
- 13:28you
- 13:28think
- 13:29about
- 13:29a
- 13:29Google
- 13:29search,
- 13:30and
- 13:30then
- 13:30you
- 13:30think
- 13:30about
- 13:31a
- 13:31ChatGPT
- 13:32search,
- 13:32just
- 13:32a
- 13:32simple
- 13:33ChatGPT,
- 13:33not
- 13:33even
- 13:33the
- 13:34picture
- 13:34one.
- 13:3510
- 13:35times
- 13:35the
- 13:35amount-
- 13:36of
- 13:36energy
- 13:36usage.
- 13:37And,
- 13:37and,
- 13:37and
- 13:38then
- 13:38you
- 13:38think
- 13:38about
- 13:38the
- 13:38broader
- 13:38population.
- 13:39How
- 13:39many
- 13:40people
- 13:40are
- 13:40doing
- 13:40more
- 13:40ChatGPT
- 13:41searches?
- 13:41I
- 13:41can
- 13:42tell
- 13:42you
- 13:42my,
- 13:42my
- 13:43ChatGPT
- 13:43usage
- 13:44is,
- 13:44I
- 13:45was
- 13:45a
- 13:45early
- 13:45adopter,
- 13:45and
- 13:46it
- 13:46continues
- 13:46to
- 13:46skyrocket.
- 13:47Yeah.
- 13:47So,
- 13:48um,
- 13:49you
- 13:49know,
- 13:49uh,
- 13:49the
- 13:49future
- 13:50of
- 13:50energy
- 13:50I
- 13:50think
- 13:50is
- 13:50really
- 13:51bright,
- 13:51but
- 13:51we're
- 13:51coming
- 13:51to
- 13:52a
- 13:52realization
- 13:53that,
- 13:54uh,
- 13:54you
- 13:54know,
- 13:54it's
- 13:55gonna
- 13:55be
- 13:55needed.
- 13:55So
- 13:56if,
- 13:56if
- 13:56you
- 13:56back
- 13:57up
- 13:57and
- 13:57think
- 13:57about
- 13:57how
- 13:57Tortoise
- 13:58has
- 13:58talked
- 13:58about,
- 13:59uh,
- 14:00energy,
- 14:00it's
- 14:01reliability,
- 14:02it's
- 14:03affordability,
- 14:04and
- 14:04it's
- 14:04security.
- 14:06And,
- 14:06um,
- 14:07you
- 14:07know,
- 14:07that,
- 14:08that
- 14:08I
- 14:08would,
- 14:08I
- 14:09would
- 14:09say
- 14:09security,
- 14:10like
- 14:10all
- 14:10of
- 14:11a
- 14:11sudden,
- 14:11you
- 14:11know,
- 14:11we're
- 14:12talking
- 14:12about
- 14:12security
- 14:13as
- 14:13a
- 14:13concern.
- 14:13No
- 14:13one
- 14:13was
- 14:14thinking
- 14:14about
- 14:14energy
- 14:14security
- 14:15as
- 14:15a
- 14:15concern
- 14:15five
- 14:16years
- 14:16ago.
- 14:16It
- 14:16just
- 14:17kinda
- 14:17happened
- 14:17for
- 14:17us.
- 14:18But
- 14:18when
- 14:18you
- 14:18get
- 14:18in
- 14:19these,
- 14:19these
- 14:19types
- 14:19of,
- 14:20uh,
- 14:20you
- 14:20know,
- 14:21regional
- 14:21wars
- 14:22where
- 14:22you're
- 14:22cutting
- 14:22off
- 14:22and
- 14:23choking
- 14:23off,
- 14:23you
- 14:23know,
- 14:2420
- 14:24to
- 14:2430%
- 14:25of,
- 14:25of
- 14:25any
- 14:25type
- 14:26of,
- 14:26um,
- 14:26you
- 14:27know,
- 14:27commodity,
- 14:27all
- 14:27of
- 14:28a
- 14:28sudden
- 14:28you're
- 14:28worried
- 14:28about
- 14:29security
- 14:30and
- 14:30you-
- 14:30you're
- 14:30worried
- 14:30about
- 14:30affordability,
- 14:31right?
- 14:31Like,
- 14:32what's
- 14:32the
- 14:32price?
- 14:32What
- 14:32am
- 14:32I
- 14:32gonna
- 14:33pay
- 14:33at
- 14:33the
- 14:33pump?
- 14:34Um,
- 14:34s-
- 14:34and
- 14:35then-
- 14:36And
- 14:36these
- 14:36are
- 14:36all
- 14:36things
- 14:37that,
- 14:37that
- 14:37we're
- 14:37thinking
- 14:37about,
- 14:38you
- 14:38know,
- 14:38day
- 14:38in
- 14:38and
- 14:38day
- 14:39out.
- 14:39But
- 14:39the
- 14:39pendulum
- 14:40has
- 14:40just
- 14:40swung
- 14:40back
- 14:41to,
- 14:41I
- 14:41think,
- 14:41more
- 14:41of
- 14:41a
- 14:41normalization-
- 14:43Yeah
- 14:43stage.
- 14:43Yeah,
- 14:43and
- 14:43I
- 14:44feel,
- 14:44I've
- 14:44always
- 14:45talked
- 14:45a
- 14:45lot
- 14:45lately,
- 14:46we're
- 14:47in
- 14:47a
- 14:47normalization.
- 14:48It
- 14:48just
- 14:48said
- 14:48markets,
- 14:49I
- 14:49would
- 14:49feel
- 14:49maybe
- 14:50not
- 14:50with
- 14:50the
- 14:50war
- 14:51and,
- 14:51and,
- 14:51and
- 14:51oil,
- 14:52but-
- 14:53Correct.
- 14:53Yeah
- 14:53you
- 14:53know,
- 14:54interest
- 14:54rates
- 14:55aren't
- 14:55supposed
- 14:55to
- 14:55be
- 14:55at
- 14:55zero.
- 14:56That's
- 14:56right.
- 14:56Right?
- 14:57Interest
- 14:57rates-
- 14:58That's
- 14:58right
- 14:58are
- 14:58supposed
- 14:59to
- 14:59be
- 14:59at,
- 14:59you
- 15:00know,
- 15:00three
- 15:00and
- 15:00a
- 15:00half,
- 15:004%,
- 15:01right?
- 15:02Yep.
- 15:02So
- 15:03I
- 15:03think
- 15:03during
- 15:03that
- 15:03time
- 15:04period
- 15:04when
- 15:04interest
- 15:05rates
- 15:05were
- 15:05zero,
- 15:06there
- 15:07was
- 15:07a
- 15:07lot
- 15:07of
- 15:07dislocations,
- 15:08things
- 15:08that
- 15:09shouldn't
- 15:09be
- 15:09happening
- 15:10were
- 15:10happening,
- 15:11and
- 15:11so
- 15:11on.
- 15:12So
- 15:13speaking
- 15:13of
- 15:13oil-
- 15:14Yeah
- 15:15what's
- 15:15$100
- 15:16barrel
- 15:16of
- 15:16oil?
- 15:17Just
- 15:17a
- 15:17few-
- 15:17What's
- 15:17the
- 15:17impact?
- 15:18Just
- 15:18a
- 15:18few
- 15:18things
- 15:18been
- 15:19happening
- 15:19in
- 15:19oil
- 15:19lately,
- 15:20right?
- 15:20Yeah.
- 15:20Just
- 15:21a
- 15:21couple
- 15:21of
- 15:21things.
- 15:22A
- 15:22few
- 15:22headlines
- 15:23out
- 15:23there.
- 15:23What
- 15:24impact
- 15:24does
- 15:24that
- 15:24have
- 15:25on
- 15:25energy?
- 15:25Obviously,
- 15:26the
- 15:26price,
- 15:27as
- 15:27an
- 15:27investor,
- 15:28you're
- 15:28like,
- 15:28"Wow,
- 15:29this
- 15:29is
- 15:29great
- 15:29for
- 15:29my
- 15:30portfolio."
- 15:31Yeah.
- 15:31Yeah.
- 15:32It,
- 15:32it's
- 15:32gonna
- 15:32impact
- 15:33different
- 15:34sub-sectors
- 15:35differently,
- 15:36and,
- 15:36and
- 15:36really
- 15:36how
- 15:36much
- 15:36they
- 15:37take
- 15:37the
- 15:37commodity,
- 15:38um,
- 15:38you
- 15:38know,
- 15:39front
- 15:39month
- 15:39risk.
- 15:40And
- 15:40so
- 15:40I
- 15:40s-
- 15:40I
- 15:40say
- 15:40that,
- 15:41but
- 15:41I
- 15:41think
- 15:41the
- 15:41bigger
- 15:42issue
- 15:42is
- 15:43how
- 15:43much
- 15:43has
- 15:43this
- 15:43conflict
- 15:44kinda
- 15:44moved
- 15:45the
- 15:45curve?
- 15:46'Cause
- 15:46that's
- 15:46where,
- 15:47you
- 15:47know,
- 15:47the
- 15:47companies
- 15:47are
- 15:47gonna
- 15:47make
- 15:48their
- 15:48long-term
- 15:48investment
- 15:49decisions
- 15:49on
- 15:50and,
- 15:50you
- 15:50know,
- 15:50what
- 15:50they
- 15:50maybe
- 15:51spend,
- 15:51what
- 15:52they
- 15:52ultimately
- 15:52bring
- 15:53to
- 15:53market
- 15:54in
- 15:54terms
- 15:54of
- 15:54production.
- 15:55And
- 15:55so
- 15:56this
- 15:56is
- 15:5780-
- 15:57oil
- 15:58was
- 15:58at
- 15:58$85,
- 16:00you
- 16:00know,
- 16:01middle
- 16:01of
- 16:01last
- 16:01week.
- 16:02So
- 16:02this...
- 16:02That's
- 16:02like
- 16:02dated
- 16:02information
- 16:03with
- 16:03how
- 16:03fast
- 16:04things
- 16:04are-
- 16:04Yeah
- 16:04moving
- 16:04at
- 16:04this
- 16:05point.
- 16:05But
- 16:05what
- 16:05I
- 16:05was
- 16:06looking
- 16:06at
- 16:06was
- 16:06how
- 16:06much
- 16:07has
- 16:07the
- 16:07curve
- 16:07moved?
- 16:08And,
- 16:08and
- 16:09when
- 16:09you
- 16:09looked
- 16:09at
- 16:09the
- 16:09nine
- 16:10months
- 16:10remaining
- 16:10for
- 16:11the
- 16:11rest
- 16:11of
- 16:11the
- 16:11year,
- 16:11the
- 16:11curve
- 16:12on
- 16:12average,
- 16:13so
- 16:13each
- 16:13monthly
- 16:13delta
- 16:14had
- 16:14moved
- 16:14$12.
- 16:15That's
- 16:16gonna
- 16:16be
- 16:16very
- 16:16profitable
- 16:17for
- 16:18all
- 16:19of
- 16:19the,
- 16:19the
- 16:19energy
- 16:20industry.
- 16:21Um,
- 16:21you
- 16:21know,
- 16:22I,
- 16:22I
- 16:22saw
- 16:22a
- 16:22stat
- 16:22that
- 16:23they're
- 16:23gonna...
- 16:23that
- 16:23the,
- 16:24the
- 16:24integrators
- 16:24are
- 16:24gonna
- 16:24make
- 16:25$5
- 16:25billion
- 16:26in
- 16:26profits
- 16:27in
- 16:27margin.
- 16:28Is
- 16:28that
- 16:28sustainable?
- 16:29This...
- 16:29The,
- 16:29the
- 16:30gyration,
- 16:30I,
- 16:30I'd
- 16:30say
- 16:31is
- 16:31not,
- 16:31it's
- 16:31not
- 16:31healthy
- 16:32for
- 16:32the,
- 16:32for
- 16:32the
- 16:32broader
- 16:32economy.
- 16:33And
- 16:34actually,
- 16:34if
- 16:34you
- 16:34have
- 16:34prices
- 16:35that
- 16:35get
- 16:35too
- 16:35high,
- 16:36you
- 16:36end
- 16:36up
- 16:36having
- 16:37demand
- 16:37destruction,
- 16:38and
- 16:38that
- 16:38ends
- 16:39up
- 16:39putting
- 16:39you
- 16:39into
- 16:39a
- 16:39recession,
- 16:40and
- 16:40then
- 16:40that's
- 16:41not
- 16:41good
- 16:41for
- 16:41anybody,
- 16:42right?
- 16:42'Cause
- 16:42then
- 16:42all
- 16:42of
- 16:42a
- 16:42sudden
- 16:42you
- 16:43don't
- 16:43have
- 16:43the
- 16:43demand,
- 16:44the,
- 16:44the
- 16:44supply
- 16:45has
- 16:45nowhere
- 16:45to
- 16:45go.
- 16:46You...
- 16:46We
- 16:46don't
- 16:46wanna
- 16:47go
- 16:47there.
- 16:47Right.
- 16:47But,
- 16:47but
- 16:48certainly
- 16:48I'd
- 16:49say
- 16:49it,
- 16:50you
- 16:50know,
- 16:50the
- 16:50improved
- 16:51prices,
- 16:52um,
- 16:53are,
- 16:53are
- 16:53healthy
- 16:53for
- 16:54the
- 16:54energy
- 16:54sector.
- 16:56What
- 16:56I
- 16:56would
- 16:56say
- 16:57is,
- 16:57is,
- 16:57you
- 16:57know,
- 16:58notable.
- 16:58Why
- 16:58haven't
- 16:58they,
- 16:59the
- 16:59prices
- 16:59moved
- 17:00alongside
- 17:00of
- 17:01crude?
- 17:01And,
- 17:01and,
- 17:01you
- 17:01know,
- 17:02the
- 17:02market
- 17:02discounts
- 17:03what,
- 17:03what
- 17:03prices
- 17:04will
- 17:04be
- 17:04in
- 17:04the
- 17:04future.
- 17:05And
- 17:05so
- 17:05that's,
- 17:06you
- 17:06know,
- 17:06just
- 17:06because
- 17:06front-month
- 17:07prices
- 17:07have
- 17:07gone
- 17:07up
- 17:07$30,
- 17:08it
- 17:08doesn't
- 17:08mean
- 17:09the
- 17:09whole
- 17:09curve's
- 17:09gone
- 17:09up
- 17:09$30
- 17:10over,
- 17:10over
- 17:10the
- 17:11rest
- 17:11of
- 17:11the
- 17:11year
- 17:11and,
- 17:11and,
- 17:12and
- 17:12outer
- 17:12years.
- 17:13Mark,
- 17:14that's
- 17:14fantastic.
- 17:15Really
- 17:16great
- 17:16information.
- 17:17So
- 17:18this
- 17:19probably
- 17:19is,
- 17:20might
- 17:20be
- 17:20a
- 17:20question
- 17:20there's
- 17:21real
- 17:21no
- 17:21answer.
- 17:21Is
- 17:22there
- 17:22a
- 17:22sweet
- 17:22spot
- 17:24to
- 17:24oil?
- 17:25Like
- 17:25$100,
- 17:26like
- 17:26you
- 17:26said,
- 17:26once
- 17:27it
- 17:27gets
- 17:27above
- 17:28too
- 17:28high,
- 17:28then
- 17:28all
- 17:28of
- 17:29a
- 17:29sudden
- 17:29you
- 17:29have
- 17:29that
- 17:30destruction
- 17:30of
- 17:30GDP,
- 17:31nobody's
- 17:31spending
- 17:32and
- 17:32so
- 17:32on.
- 17:32Yeah.
- 17:33Is
- 17:33there
- 17:33like
- 17:33a
- 17:33sweet
- 17:34spot?
- 17:34You
- 17:34don't
- 17:34want
- 17:34it
- 17:34too
- 17:34low.
- 17:35Yep.
- 17:36Um,
- 17:36or
- 17:36a
- 17:36range.
- 17:37Yep.
- 17:3860
- 17:39to
- 17:3990
- 17:39is
- 17:39kind
- 17:39of
- 17:40the,
- 17:40the
- 17:40comfortable
- 17:40range.
- 17:41Um,
- 17:42and
- 17:42so
- 17:42I
- 17:42would
- 17:42say,
- 17:43you
- 17:43know,
- 17:43once
- 17:43you
- 17:43get
- 17:44above
- 17:4490,
- 17:45you
- 17:45know,
- 17:45I
- 17:45don't,
- 17:45I
- 17:45don't
- 17:45think
- 17:45you're
- 17:46seeing
- 17:46demand
- 17:46destruction,
- 17:48but,
- 17:48you
- 17:48know,
- 17:48someone's
- 17:49gonna
- 17:49start
- 17:49getting
- 17:49pinched
- 17:50and
- 17:50it's
- 17:50probably
- 17:50gonna
- 17:50be
- 17:51the,
- 17:51the
- 17:51consumer
- 17:52with,
- 17:52um,
- 17:53at,
- 17:53at
- 17:53the
- 17:53pump,
- 17:54right?
- 17:54And
- 17:54so,
- 17:54you
- 17:54know,
- 17:54the
- 17:55energy,
- 17:55the
- 17:55energy
- 17:56industry,
- 17:56you
- 17:56know,
- 17:56starts
- 17:56to
- 17:56get
- 17:57portrayed
- 17:57in,
- 17:57in
- 17:57a
- 17:57more
- 17:58negative
- 17:58light.
- 17:59On,
- 17:59on
- 17:59the,
- 18:00the
- 18:00lower
- 18:00range,
- 18:01if
- 18:01you're
- 18:01below
- 18:0260,
- 18:02all
- 18:02of
- 18:02a
- 18:03sudden,
- 18:03you
- 18:03know,
- 18:04our,
- 18:04our,
- 18:04our
- 18:06curves,
- 18:06um,
- 18:07from,
- 18:08you
- 18:08know,
- 18:08what
- 18:08the
- 18:08companies
- 18:08can
- 18:08drill
- 18:09at,
- 18:09can
- 18:09they
- 18:09be
- 18:09profitable
- 18:10at
- 18:10$55?
- 18:11It
- 18:11starts
- 18:11to,
- 18:11you
- 18:11know,
- 18:12creep
- 18:12into
- 18:12their
- 18:12profitability
- 18:13and,
- 18:13and
- 18:13so
- 18:13they
- 18:13may
- 18:13not,
- 18:14you
- 18:14know,
- 18:14bring
- 18:14as
- 18:14much
- 18:14production,
- 18:16um,
- 18:16online.
- 18:16And
- 18:17so
- 18:17I'd
- 18:17say
- 18:1760
- 18:17to
- 18:1890
- 18:18is
- 18:18kind
- 18:18of
- 18:18that
- 18:18sweet
- 18:18spot.
- 18:19If
- 18:19y-
- 18:19if
- 18:19I
- 18:19had
- 18:19to
- 18:19pick
- 18:20a
- 18:20number,
- 18:20it'd
- 18:20be
- 18:2075,
- 18:2180.
- 18:21Yeah.
- 18:21Okay.
- 18:21So.
- 18:22I
- 18:22like
- 18:22it.
- 18:22Pick
- 18:22a
- 18:23number.
- 18:24I'm
- 18:24gonna
- 18:24hold
- 18:24you
- 18:24to
- 18:25that,
- 18:25Mark.
- 18:25And
- 18:25when
- 18:26we
- 18:26talk
- 18:26next
- 18:27and,
- 18:27you
- 18:27know,
- 18:27have
- 18:27you
- 18:28back
- 18:28on
- 18:28in
- 18:28a
- 18:28year,
- 18:28we'll
- 18:29g-
- 18:29we're
- 18:29gonna
- 18:30revisit
- 18:30it.
- 18:31Wonderful.
- 18:31Awesome.
- 18:31Wonderful.
- 18:32Mark,
- 18:32great
- 18:33conversation.
- 18:34Thank
- 18:34you
- 18:34so
- 18:35much.
- 18:35Really
- 18:35fun.
- 18:36Energy,
- 18:37oil,
- 18:37really
- 18:37hot
- 18:38topic
- 18:38right
- 18:39now.
- 18:39So
- 18:39really
- 18:39glad
- 18:40you
- 18:40brought,
- 18:40came
- 18:40on,
- 18:41joined,
- 18:41um,
- 18:42shared
- 18:42such
- 18:42great
- 18:43information.
- 18:43Where
- 18:44can
- 18:44our
- 18:44audience
- 18:44get
- 18:44more
- 18:45information
- 18:45about
- 18:45Tortoise
- 18:46Capital?
- 18:47Yeah.
- 18:47G-
- 18:47go,
- 18:48go
- 18:48to
- 18:48our
- 18:48website,
- 18:49tortoisecapital.com.
- 18:51Um,
- 18:51you
- 18:51know,
- 18:51we,
- 18:51we
- 18:52have,
- 18:52uh,
- 18:53our
- 18:53marketing
- 18:54machine
- 18:54is,
- 18:54you
- 18:54know,
- 18:55cr-
- 18:55creating
- 18:55content.
- 18:56Um,
- 18:56you
- 18:56know,
- 18:56really
- 18:57differentiated
- 18:58content.
- 18:58We
- 18:58wanna
- 18:59talk
- 18:59to
- 18:59you
- 18:59about
- 18:59what
- 18:59the
- 19:00market
- 19:00is,
- 19:00what
- 19:00is
- 19:00happening
- 19:01in
- 19:01the
- 19:01market.
- 19:02Um,
- 19:02you
- 19:02know,
- 19:02give
- 19:02the,
- 19:02give
- 19:02the
- 19:03up-to-date
- 19:03views
- 19:03as
- 19:03well
- 19:04as
- 19:04just
- 19:04educate
- 19:05you,
- 19:05um,
- 19:06you
- 19:06know,
- 19:06on,
- 19:06on,
- 19:06on,
- 19:07on
- 19:07the,
- 19:07um,
- 19:08the
- 19:08products
- 19:08that
- 19:08we
- 19:08have.
- 19:09Yeah,
- 19:10Mark.
- 19:10I,
- 19:10I
- 19:10know
- 19:10a
- 19:11lot
- 19:11of
- 19:11people
- 19:11out
- 19:11there
- 19:11are
- 19:11gonna
- 19:12probably
- 19:12disagree
- 19:12with
- 19:13this,
- 19:13but
- 19:13I
- 19:13actually
- 19:13do
- 19:14do
- 19:14some,
- 19:14uh,
- 19:15research
- 19:15in
- 19:15my
- 19:16preparation,
- 19:17and
- 19:17I've
- 19:17gone
- 19:17to
- 19:18Tortoise.
- 19:18Great
- 19:18website.
- 19:19You
- 19:19do
- 19:19have
- 19:19a
- 19:19lot
- 19:19of
- 19:20content
- 19:20out
- 19:20there.
- 19:21I
- 19:21learn
- 19:21a
- 19:21lot
- 19:21from
- 19:22it,
- 19:22so-
- 19:22Good
- 19:22can't
- 19:23recommend
- 19:23it
- 19:23enough.
- 19:24Thank
- 19:24you,
- 19:25Mark.
- 19:25And
- 19:25thank
- 19:25you
- 19:25everyone
- 19:26for
- 19:26listening
- 19:26to
- 19:26this
- 19:27episode
- 19:27of
- 19:27Zephyr's
- 19:28Adjusted
- 19:28for
- 19:29Risk
- 19:29podcast.
- 19:29You
- 19:30can
- 19:30watch
- 19:30all
- 19:30of
- 19:30our
- 19:30other
- 19:31episodes
- 19:31on
- 19:31the
- 19:31Zephyr
- 19:32YouTube
- 19:32channel,
- 19:33Spotify.
- 19:34Please
- 19:34be
- 19:34sure
- 19:35to
- 19:35like
- 19:35and
- 19:35follow
- 19:36and
- 19:36give
- 19:36us
- 19:36a,
- 19:37uh,
- 19:37follow
- 19:37on
- 19:37LinkedIn.
- 19:38Thank
- 19:38you
- 19:39very
- 19:39much,
- 19:39and
- 19:39have
- 19:39a
- 19:40great
- 19:40rest
- 19:40of
- 19:40your
- 19:40week.
- 19:43Get
- 19:44started.