Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Sean Trende: Political Analyst on Trump's success in the US Election, the impact on the Democratic Party

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Sean Trende: Political Analyst on Trump's success in the US Election, the impact on the Democratic Party · Early Edition with Ryan Bridge

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: The polls had a very tight race. We all know that.
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: So what exactly got Donald Trump and the Republicans over
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: the line? Sean Trendy is one of America's best known posters.
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: He's with Real Clear Politics. He's a senior election analyst
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: there and he's with me this morning. Sean, welcome to
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: the program. Where does this victory for Trump rank in
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: terms of history?
• 0:23
  Speaker 2: It's almost unprecedented. We have one example in the US
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: of presidents winning non consecutive terms, so it was Grover Queenveland.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: I'm sure you've heard of him back in the late
• 0:33
  Speaker 2: eighteen hundreds. Other than that, presidents that lose or even
• 0:39
  Speaker 2: canvas lose, typically don't come back and win another term.
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: The Republicans have also flipped the Senate. What's happening with
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: the House race?
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: The House is very close, It's surprisingly close, actually, and
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: it looks like Republicans will likely lose a couple seats there.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Even if they do manage to control the Chamber, that's
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: going to be a very very big am for them.
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: They had a tough time keeping the Chamber together with
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: the narrow majority they already have. Narrowing it even further
• 1:07
  Speaker 2: is going to be a nightmare to navigate.
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: What does that mean for the trifecta power of a
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: Republican white House Senate and albeit a week in majority,
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: but a majority nonetheless in the House.
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: Well, they'll likely have the trifecta, which means they have
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: at least nominal control. But remember here in the US,
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: we have something in the Senate called the filibuster, which
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: means effectively you need sixty votes in order to keep
• 1:34
  Speaker 2: to get anything done. That's going to almost certainly put
• 1:39
  Speaker 2: a question mark on anything Donald Trump wants to accomplish,
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: at least substantively in the States.
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: What do we know about why people voted for Donald Trump?
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: The economy, cost of living.
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: That's a big factor. I mean, different people will tell
• 1:56
  Speaker 2: you different things, and we're still digesting the returns. The
• 2:00
  Speaker 2: most interesting thing though, is that Trump won one in
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  Speaker 2: four black men. Black voters have been a backbone of
• 2:06
  Speaker 2: the Democratic coalition since the nineteen thirties. So to see
• 2:10
  Speaker 2: Trump make those advances suggest that something's really a miss
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: in the Democratic coalition.
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: Yeah, and that is going to be quite a hurdle
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: for them to try and overcome, isn't it. Because they
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  Speaker 1: haven't quite managed to get back those middle class white
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: voters in the Roust Belt, for example.
• 2:26
  Speaker 2: Either that's right, there's some real pressure points on the
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: Democratic coalition right now, and to have this result come
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: about with the candidate who has the plane miss steps
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: that Donald Trump has really calls into question. What could
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: happen if the Republican Party were to nominate someone with
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: a similar platform but who didn't make some of the
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: same mistakes that Donald Trump consistently makes.
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: When it comes to Ukraine, Donald Trump has obviously been
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: talking about ending that war by Christmas. Do you think
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: that means he might pull support?
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  Speaker 2: I think he'll certainly threaten it. And yeah, I think
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: his supporters have a real, real problem with the continued
• 3:14
  Speaker 2: money that's been flowing to Ukraine. I think there's gonna
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: be a lot of pressure on him to pull support
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: and I'm going to be really surprised if he doesn't
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: do it.
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: What does it say about the state of the United
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: States when they elect a president who is a convicted felon,
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: who has threatened to go after the media, go after
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  Speaker 1: quote left wing lunatics, and here he is now was
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  Speaker 1: forty fifth now a forty seventh president.
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: Well, I do think that a lot of the things
• 3:42
  Speaker 2: that resonate with some voters don't resonate with others. I
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: think that the I do think that the felony convictions
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: were seen as politically motivated, given that they did occur
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: in our most heavily democratic city. But you know, at
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: the end of the day, if you can give people,
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: or at least promise people, you know, a good standard
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: of living, they'll put up with a lot of other
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: things that might strike a lot of other people as
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  Speaker 2: pretty horrifying.
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  Speaker 1: Sean, thank you very much for your time. Really appreciate
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: your analysis that Sean Trend the Real Clear Politics senior
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: election analyst. Thank you for more Family Edition with Ryan Bridge.
• 4:21
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• 4:25
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